Existing home sales fall 5.5% in October to their slowest pace in 16 years
Sales of previously owned U.S. homes fell 5.5% in October to their slowest pace since Aug. 2010, as mortgage rates above 7% kept buyers away.
On Thursday, the National Association of Realtors put sales at a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 3.75M homes, below estimates. (Economists polled by Reuters had expected 3.85M.) Sales were 8.8% lower YoY.
The report counts sales when they close, so October's total mostly reflects deals agreed in August and September. That is when the 30-year mortgage rate moved above 7%, reaching 7.40% by mid-September in Freddie Mac's survey.
Lawrence Yun, the association's chief economist, said, "Home buying is difficult when mortgage rates have climbed to their highest levels since 2000, aside from a single month in 2023."
The annual pace has now been under 4M for 3 straight months, and it has stayed near that level since 2023. The historical average is about 5.2M.
The slowdown reached most of the country:
- Sales fell in the West, South and Midwest, holding steady only in the Northeast.
- The share of first-time buyers slipped to 29%, down from 31% in September.
- At October's pace, the homes on the market would take 5.1 months to sell, the longest pace since Nov. 2015.
- The median price still rose 0.4% YoY, its 40th straight annual gain.
Mortgage rates have eased since September, but not by much. Freddie Mac's 30-year average was 7.18% on November 5. Rates then jumped on Tuesday after a hotter-than-expected inflation report.
Freddie Mac's next weekly reading is due at noon ET on Thursday. The 10-year Treasury yield, which mortgage rates tend to follow, rose to 5.07% as of 10:16 a.m. ET.
Sources & Further Reading
- "Existing-Home Sales Decreased 5.5% in October, According to NAR Report." National Association of Realtors. November 12, 2026.
- "US existing home sales slump to more than 16-year low in October." Reuters. November 12, 2026.
- "US home sales slumped in October to slowest pace in more than 16 years as mortgage rates surged." Associated Press. November 12, 2026.
- "Primary Mortgage Market Survey." Freddie Mac. November 5, 2026.
- "Mortgage rates jump to 7.30%, ending four weeks of declines." Stock Analysis. November 11, 2026.
This article was drafted with the help of AI. Gabe Dunsmith fact-checked, edited and published the article and is responsible for its accuracy and quality. How we use AI