Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR)
United Arab Emirates flag United Arab Emirates · Delayed Price · Currency is AED
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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

May 3, 2023

Operator

Greetings and welcome to Aldar Properties first quarter 2023 financial results conference call. Greetings. Welcome to Aldar Properties first quarter 2023 financial results conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. A question- and- answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero from your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Faisal Falaknaz, Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer. Mr. Falaknaz, you may begin.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Good afternoon, everybody. I hope you're well. I see a lot of familiar names that I've met over the past few months since I've taken on the new role. I'm glad to be with you here for my first quarter release and our first quarter results for the year. I'll kick off with a very short summary of our financial and operational performance, accompanied with a few slides, which hopefully you guys can see through the webcast. If you're joining us through the conference call, you can access the full presentation, which is uploaded on the IR section of our website. I'd like to begin with the highlights of the group. We are very pleased to report that Aldar has achieved another quarter of very strong performance on the back of a resilient U.A.E. economy and a growing demand for quality real estate.

Despite the global headwinds when it comes, you know, to the banking sector and inflation, the U.A.E. has proven to be pocket of opportunity and growth and stability, and we've been key net beneficiaries of the structural reforms and the commitment and investment that the government is doing into the economy. Jumping into the number highlights, as you can see, our revenues have gone up by 14%, up to AED 3.1 billion. Our EBITDA is up by 18% to AED 955 million, and our net profit is up by 22% to AED 836 million. This was driven by a record quarter of development sales, which we'll get into very soon, and the continued execution of our development backlog, which has started now getting realized onto the P&L.

And then on the investment side, we've seen sustained rental growth across the recurring income portfolio and rising recurring income from the investment properties on the back of the strong acquisitions that we've done in 2022. Moving on to the next slide. For Aldar Development. We had a record launch for the quarter as well. So for the first time, we launched seven new projects and phases in one quarter, leading to a record U.A.E. sales of AED 4.2 billion. This is up almost three times year-on-year from the previous quarter, taking up our revenue backlog to AED 14.7 billion. What's interesting to note is we continue to see this secular trend of international investors and resident expats further investing into Abu Dhabi. They made up 45% of our sales for the first quarter.

I think this is a testament in terms of the appeal of Aldar's offering to those clients as one of the major developers and leading developers here in Abu Dhabi. I think more to that, Abu Dhabi continues to prove that it is a premier investment and lifestyle destination. Going on to the group residential sales, we hit AED 4.5 billion, taking our backlog overall to AED 18.8 billion, which we think provides very strong visibility into our future earnings. Our Egyptian subsidiary SODIC contributed AED 281 million development sales during the quarter. Some of that was slightly impacted by the devaluation that has happened. We do, however, remain very positive on the long-term prospects of the business, and we are taking a very measured approach when it comes to launching new projects in the near term given the current inflationary environment there. Moving on to Aldar Investment.

Aldar Investment continues to outperform, driven by higher occupancy across the portfolio, significant contribution from the recent acquisitions. As you can see, we've started to reap the benefits of the acquisitions that we did last year, which are about AED 7.5 billion. Adjusted EBITDA for the division was up 43% year-on-year to AED 536 million. What's worthy to note, ADGM, which we acquired back in July from Mubadala for AED 4.3 billion, the occupancy of that asset was 79% when we acquired it. Today it's trading at 97% occupancy. So, not only has it overperformed in terms of ramp-up, we've also seen market rents go up more than 10% since we acquired it.

What we are seeing from the market is that GREs are taking on office space, expanding on their existing footprint, and then a lot of international demand is coming due to the structural reforms where a lot of companies are now taking Abu Dhabi as a base. And then the second strongest contributor was our hospitality segment. We did about AED 1.8 billion in acquisitions last year. Three hotels, two hotels in Ras Al Khaimah, which was our first entry for about roughly AED 1.5 billion, followed with Nurai Island. Those assets are also performing better than underwriting and contributing significantly to our P&L today. And then lastly, on the hotel portfolio, Abu Dhabi for the first half last year was still under somewhat COVID restrictions with PCR testing and whatnot. Those were removed. Around May or June.

And so we are seeing that significant recovery happen in Abu Dhabi hotels this quarter with both occupancies and ADRs significantly up. The retail portfolio continues to benefit from the robust consumer confidence, which supported occupancy and all our leasing activity. Yas Mall, for example, our flagship asset, which has undergone a major transformation. We have seen 30% increase in tenant sales and 48% increase in footfall. Our logistics portfolio, which was a new addition to our portfolio last year, continues to make a solid contribution to performance, and we continue to explore opportunities in this space to scale this further. And then lastly, our education business also continues to perform very well with enrollments having gone up 25% year-on-year to about 33,000 students from 26,000 students last year. Moving on to the next slide, we had a busy quarter when it came to deals.

The most notable one was Al Fahid island, which was our acquisition of a unique beachfront offering in Abu Dhabi. This island is between Al Jubail and Saadiyat, which really complements the offering that Aldar has. We are looking at about 4,000 units in that development with a GDV of over AED 26 billion. That is going to be a mix of luxury villas, townhouses, apartments, and a master-planned community which we are going to complement with the offering that we have through our retail and hospitality and education business. The second very exciting thing obviously is our announcement of our entry into Dubai. This is the JV with Dubai Holding. That JV is progressing extremely well. The team are working very hard in terms of getting all the design approvals in place to get that project launched before the end of the year.

We are looking at about 9,000 residential units across the lifecycle of that project, which has three master communities across various locations in Dubai with more than AED 20 billion GDV. Lastly, given the significant demand we have seen on Al Maryah Island in terms of commercial space from tenants, we have also announced a new JV with Mubadala where we are going to jointly develop a new commercial office tower with a net leasable area of over 60,000 sq m. That is expected to be completed by the end of 2026. Moving on. Which slide are we on? Sorry, I just cannot see the slides for a second. Oh, sorry, slide number seven. Just on our debt, we continue to maintain a very responsible debt policy in line with our debt policy. Our LTV on the recurring income side of the business is about 35%.

We do not have any major refinancings coming up, coming over the next two years. We have been renegotiating a number of our facilities with the banks, our RTFs and term loans where we have been able to get very competitive terms when it comes to spreads. We are looking at spreads below 1% in addition to being able to take security out of those facilities. A lot of those facilities used to be secured. The majority today on the balance sheet are unsecured. Again, going back to the comment that I made earlier, despite the global challenges on the banking sector, the banking sector here in the U.A.E. is very strong, is very liquid, and that liquidity is coming into strong credit names such as ourselves, which has recently been iterated by Moody's. Moody's further iterated our investment grade credit rating, I believe, just last week.

Last point, we have AED 6.1 billion worth of free cash sitting on the balance sheet and another AED 4.4 billion of committed undrawn facilities that we can tap into. Moving on to sustainability, which obviously Aldar has taken a leadership role on, not only in the U.A.E. but as a regional champion here. We published our 2022 sustainability report, which you can check out, which outlines the progress we have been making. We've also launched a very ambitious net-zero plan aligned with our near- and long-term targets, where we want to achieve net-zero Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 by 2050. We believe this is one of the most comprehensive plans to decarbonize a company of such scale in the region. We've also seen a lot of our ratings improve.

One major announcement we have in the quarter was alongside the Ministry of Climate Change and Environment, Aldar announced a pledge where 28 of the real estate companies and construction companies committed to publishing their decarbonization plans before COP28, which is going to be held in the U.A.E. in November. And lastly, I just want to reiterate the guidance that we have previously provided to you. We remain very upbeat and optimistic on the outlook going forward, we expect to maintain the same level momentum of growth and are confident that we're going to be able to deliver on the guidance that we have provided to you. Thank you, and I'll hand back the call now to the operator to open the floor for questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question- and- answer session. If you'd like to ask a question today, please press star one from your telephone keypad, and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. We also ask that participants joining via the webcast can use the Ask a Question box to send your questions. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Thank you. Our first question is coming from Taher Safieddine with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yes, hi. Good afternoon, Faisal. Hope all is well. Thank you for taking the time. This is Taher from JPMorgan. A few questions if I may. The first one is on the U.A.E. development. I mean, clearly the trend has been very supportive in terms of off-plan sales and where the backlog is today. I've noticed that you say the average duration of the U.A.E. backlog is around 29 months. If I just do a rough back-of-the-envelope calculation, we could see U.A.E. development revenues going closer to AED 6 billion into next year. Is that fair? I mean, given, you know, 2022 was around AED 4.4 billion. I mean, just correct me if I'm wrong, but the expectation is to see a significant growth or ramp-up in the U.A.E. development sales from a revenue perspective. So, maybe just—t his is my first question.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Just on guidance on revenue, Taher. We generally don't provide guidance on development revenue because, you know, it's a bit complicated in terms of project progressing, milestones, et cetera. That backlog of AED 18.8 billion to your point, will be recognized over the next 28, 29 months. You will see a significant uplift from what we have provided over the past year. We are seeing very strong trends when it comes to our current sales, that will only further add to that development backlog.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Just another question maybe on the recurring side. The first one is the equity deployment. I mean, I can still see the guidance at AED 5 billion in equity deployment. Maybe if there's any update there on, you know, what kind of timeline. Is this still a 2023 target? I mean, how should we think about it in terms of the sectors? I mean, you've clearly transformed the way the structure, if you want, in terms of sector exposure, right? Today, it seems to be very well balanced, but logistics is still a small portion at 3% maybe. If you can just share some color on that. Along the same lines, why is retail flat year-over-year despite, you know, Yas Mall being redeveloped. I'm just referring here to slide 20. So maybe if you can just comment on that would be very helpful.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Okay. This deployment, so I'll reiterate again, we have a very disciplined approach when it comes to capital deployment. 2021, we didn't deploy much even though, or nothing even though we had the cash. 2022, we deployed a lot. And we're proving today that that deployment is creating long-term shareholder value. As management, we are not incentivized just to get a quarter or two quarters of income. We are incentivized to create long-term value. We want to make sure that when we put that capital out, that capital creates long-term value. We have a very detailed and comprehensive pipeline across the sectors. Our M&A team has proven that they can close deals and extract value out of those deals. So we're very confident that we will deploy that capital, it is very difficult to give a timing in terms of when that capital will be deployed.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay.

All right. Okay. That will be—

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Moving on to the second question. So, just on retail.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yeah, bro.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

I think we are reporting adjusted EBITDA. I think the guys, I'll ask my team to connect with you. We'll provide you—

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

—with the NOI numbers. So, the NOI numbers on a like-for-like basis are actually up. Once you go down into adjusted EBITDA, then you have a little bit of dilution there, but the assets at the portfolio level are actually growing.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay.

All right. Okay. That's very clear. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you.

The next question is from the line of Mohamad Haidar with Arqaam Capital. Please proceed with your questions.

Mohamad Haidar
Analyst, Arqaam Capital

Hi, Faisal. This is Mohamad Haidar from Arqaam, and thank you for the detailed presentation. I have three questions, please. The first on developments, since we don't hear a lot about this in the media when it comes to Abu Dhabi, what's the nature of the new buyers in Abu Dhabi, and specifically the overseas buyers? So are these like investors or second home buyers or vacation home buyers in Abu Dhabi similar to what we're seeing in Abu Dhabi and in Dubai? And are these really wealthy high net worth individuals also moving to Abu Dhabi? Could you please shed some light on that? Other than the U.A.E. nationals, which is the top buyer still for Aldar, what are the top two international nationalities, please? That's my first question. My second is on rentals, specifically investing in properties.

And given that Q1 rentals were pretty much in line with Q4 rentals, does that mean this is the steady benchmark for 2023, what we are seeing in Q1, assuming no other additions in the existing portfolio? The third question is on Egypt, I'll leave it probably after I get answers.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Thank you. Okay, let's talk about the buyers. If you go to slide four, you'll see the sales demographic, which is for this quarter is broken up 55% U.A.E. nationals, 31% resident expats, and 14% overseas. That overseas and resident expats last quarter was 30%, when I was meeting a lot of you guys, I was saying that we will continue seeing this secular trend play out where one, expats, resident expats living in Abu Dhabi are becoming first home buyers, we're seeing that conversion play out. Then we're seeing that trend of Abu Dhabi becoming appealing to international investors. We talk about nationalities, the top nationalities We're seeing Russian, Indian, Jordanian, U.K., Canada, so it's quite diverse. One pocket of opportunity that we have yet to see play is the Chinese. And then you also have to break it down by product.

For example, The Grove, which is a luxury offering on Saadiyat, which is our luxury district. We generally see very high international buyers on that offering. So, for example, we launched The Source this quarter. That got almost 80% sold out to international buyers before we even went out to the market here domestically. The prices that we were able to achieve from that offering was more than AED 30,000 per square meter, which is really a record for Abu Dhabi. We expect those prices to be sustainable and grow in the long term because you're going to have all the museums open up on Saadiyat and the infrastructure be ready, we're building the Saadiyat Grove, which is the retail heart in that district. So we see prices go up in the future, and we think a lot of the investors that are buying today are going to benefit.

And we're doing it ourselves. Every time we launch a new product, we are gradually increasing our prices to capture some of that upside. Lastly, the most important thing to note, which we've discussed in the past, is payment plans. So we've been progressively improving our payment plans in our favor. Products such as The Grove, which is in high demand. You have a lot more inelasticity there. We are more aggressive on the payment plans. And then on Yas, we've also pushed the payment plans there to minimize our equity contribution and maximize our IRRs. Moving on to the second question, which is rentals. On the existing portfolio, you're going to see somewhere around single-digit growth across the various segments. Where you will see higher growth is where we do redevelopment or repositioning.

For example, the project that we did on Yas Mall, we are now planning on Al Jimi Mall, which is one of the super-regional shopping centers we have in Al Ain. We're planning a project of very similar scale which will pay off over the next two years, which will allow us not only to increase rents but to significantly increase the value of that asset. Similar on Al Hamra. And then growth will also come from the whole. So we have a very healthy pipeline of development projects for these, which we will be announcing to the market over the next couple of quarters, but those are still in cooking, and once they're ready, we'll be ready to share it with you.

Mohamad Haidar
Analyst, Arqaam Capital

That's very clear, Faisal. Thank you very much. My question on Egypt is, why the postponement in the new projects? Is it because of the complexity in the relationship with the contractors? Or is it more on the end user or the affordability with the buyers and the embedded interest rates and the selling price?

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

So there's surely demand from the end users. We are managing the inflation risk. So the strategy with Egypt is you don't want to launch and sell too quickly and then get caught in a devaluation scenario. So we're taking a very cautious approach when it comes to launching those projects. But yes, you have seen the devaluation and some impairment that we have taken in the previous quarter flow through both the P&L and other comprehensive income, the most important thing is that Egypt makes a very small part of our business, and it's probably going to be even smaller given how fast the U.A.E. business is growing. So the impact is really not going to be significant on the group overall.

Mohamad Haidar
Analyst, Arqaam Capital

That's very clear, Faisal. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We have another question coming from the line of Harsh Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Please state your question.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, Faisal and team. Thank you very much for the opportunity to ask the question. My first question is regarding your net income. Obviously, the net income that you have shown, AED 836 million, is up 22% year-on-year. Once we adjust for the minorities, it's up 11%. And when I look at the financials, there's a coupon payment that's done on the hybrids, which is AED 51 million. So I understand it's adjusted against equity, but if I were to adjust it against the residual income, you know, the net income is pretty much flat year-on-year. So I wanted to understand when do we start seeing an uplift on the net income, you know, after all the transactions that have happened over the last 12 months. I can ask the next question now or if you want I can pause and ask it after the answer.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Yeah, let me take that on. So you probably shouldn't look at it in one quarter, but we will surely see EPS accretion in this year. This will come through as the acquisition income flows through the P&L, you're going to have the fair value gains that are going to come through the P&L through the value creation that we have made across the portfolio. And then obviously the development business is also going to continue growing. So, yes. You will see that EPS accretion happening this year.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Understood. It's pretty much as you pointed out, it's kind of a timing difference and probably over the next few quarters we should start seeing that coming through?

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Absolutely.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Understood. The second question I have is regarding the refundable costs, which I believe is largely with regard to the recovery from the government on.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Sorry, I didn't catch it. Forgive me. Can you repeat that again? What cost?

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

The refundable cost.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

The what? Sorry.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

A refundable cost.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Refundable?

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, it shows it's up. Sure.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Okay, that project.

Okay.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, it shows it's up to AED 2.6 billion versus around AED 800 million at the end of last year.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Yeah, so because we act as an agent for the government, yes, we act, sorry, as a principal for the government, the balance sheet of the project that we undertake is consolidated on ours. So it creates a distortion which is really not what the economic reality is. And so do we provide the adjusted cash flows to the market? If you adjust for that, we are actually very positive. It's just that those projects, the inflows and the timing of those inflows and outflows just distort both the balance sheet and the cash flow statement.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

And, I was just trying to understand, does Aldar then end up investing in the working capital over there or it's more of an accounting impact while the cash flows are all?

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

No, no, it's more of an accounting impact. It's more of an accounting impact. We invoice the government, that's recorded as a receivable, they haven't paid us the cash yet, that cash for that receivable, well, it was received in April, exactly, it hasn't appeared in the current quarter, but it will appear in Q2.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Understood.

And then, one last question. So you know, one of the slides in the presentation gives a lot of granular details about the projects. And what was striking was there's a project, Alr eeman, which was launched in 2019 with 923 units. Now that was showing 93% sold as of FY 2022, but in the latest presentation it shows it's 40% sold. The total value is unchanged. I was just trying to understand, you know, did you have some reversal or cancellations over there?

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

No, we didn't have reversals. I'll have Omar from my IR team reach out to you and clarify that. It might be because we have a few Reeman. We might be mixing up the Reeman.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, I looked into it. The others all look fine. This is the oldest one, kind of suddenly had a significant drop. And so the total sales value went down from AED 1.5 billion to AED 740 million in one quarter. I just want to understand.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

No, no, there's truly no reversal. I think it's probably just a categorization thing. Again, there's a bunch of Reeman phases. But then I'll have Rama reach out to you and clarify that.

Harsh Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Sure. Perfect. Sure. Thank you. Thank you very much for all the answers. Wish you best of luck for the coming quarters.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Thank you, boss.

Operator

Thank you. Gentlemen, we have some questions coming in from the web. Our first question is from Ambereen Jiwani with Ajeej Capital. Hello and thank you. Please could you discuss why your EPS is nearly flat despite spending so much on acquisitions? Second question, are the acquisitions loss-making or the organic business is having lower profits? Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

So I think I addressed the EPS question. It is not appropriate just to look at it in one quarter. We will have EPS accretion this year. Are the acquisitions profitable? They are quite profitable. I think we were guiding last year about AED 250 million of EBITDA was recognized in 2022, then we were guiding another AED 250 million in 2023. We are exceeding that, we are making north of 7% yield on the acquisitions that we have made. They are actually very profitable. The most significant one, which made up more than half of the acquisition, was ADGM. We bought ADGM, it was 79% occupied. Today it is 97% occupied. It is the flagship Grade A commercial office building in Abu Dhabi, and the rents that we underwrote again are achieving significantly higher on the actuals.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Lea El-Hage with Bloomberg Intelligence. Do you think that Singapore's newly imposed 60% property tax will attract Chinese buyers into the U.A.E.? If yes, into which segment do you think they will buy into? Prime property or mid-tier property, et cetera? Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

I think regardless of the tax, the Chinese will always, you know, come to the U.A.E. Soft and hard infrastructure is one of the most competitive in the region. Dubai has proven so, and you've seen a lot of the Chinese going to Dubai. Abu Dhabi is proving to be an alternative when it comes to getting value for money. Both Dubai and Abu Dhabi today are very competitive when it comes to pricing when compared to global peers. So I think yes. Where will we attract the Chinese? I think you get both. China is a very big country with a very large population. So you'll get both on the luxury, which we're seeing come across on products such as The Grove, and we think you'll get a lot more as well on the mid-tier offerings that we have on places such as Yas.

And then don't forget we're launching in Dubai end of the year. We're going to get access to a lot of clients that we didn't have access to before. Dubai offers a much more international breadth when it comes to clients.

Operator

Thank you. We have another question coming from the line of Abdulaziz Alhebaishi from Jadwa. Can you please comment on the competitive landscape of Abu Dhabi's development market, especially with more big developers coming to the market such as Aabar? Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Number one, competition is good. As management team, I want my team to have competition because I don't want them to slack. But at the same time, we are more than 80% of the development market here, we are the major player. We will continue to be the major player given the strategic land bank that we own in Abu Dhabi. The corridor that we own that goes all the way from Yas to Nakhwah is to Saadiy at is one of the most appealing corridors where you see a lot of the population migrating into.

So, again, we're very optimistic in terms of where we stand within the market and given the strength of the brand that we have and the quality of the offering, both in terms of quality of build and the master communities that we build that are very human-centric, we think will always give us a competitive advantage against our peers.

Operator

Thank you.

As a reminder, you may press star one from your telephone keypad to ask a question over the phone, or you may use the Ask a Question box on the webcast to type in your question. We'll pause a moment to assemble the queue. Thank you. Thank you. We do have a question from over the web from Jagadishwar Pasunoori with NBK Capital. Hello. How are you? First question, when are you planning to start selling and recognizing revenue from the Dubai JV? Second question, what percent of turnover rent contribution as a percent overall retail revenue? How will it benefit from high tenant sales from Yas Mall? Third question, can you please provide the latest update on the plans to deploy AED 5 billion this year? Thanks.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

We're planning to launch in Dubai at the end of the year. When it comes to revenue recognition, obviously revenue recognition is driven by the progress of the project. You're not going to see that come in this year. Just as a reminder, in the JV, we are the controlling partner, we will consolidate and then we will take out the minority. Moving on to the second question, percentage of turnover, I don't want to quote a number. I'll have my investor relations team reach out to you, but what I do want to say is on Yas Mall, it's not just you completed the repositioning and that's it. You have to go through a number of leasing cycles. We completed the repositioning. We're starting to see the sales come in, which is going to kick in turnover.

But then, when next leasing cycle comes, those tenants in theory can afford, sorry, higher OTR. I can actually increase my base rents, which gets more credit from a valuation point of view then. TOR does. Last question on deployment, I think I already answered that about the disciplined approach and having a much more long-term view. But what I will say is last year we entered into logistics. Logistics continues to be an area of significant interest. Education is also an area of significant interest. We're hopeful there's going to be a couple of deals coming this year. And then the basic food groups, residential, commercial, retail. We are opportunistic. You know, it's not easy to be that selective in the market here. You know, you have to be very careful when it comes to crafting a portfolio and what deals you get invite.

Again, we are very confident that all this capital will be deployed. At very accretive returns.

Operator

Thank you.

We do have a follow-up question from Abdulaziz Alhebaishi, who is from Jadwa. What is the utilization rate for schools on the portfolio? Are seeing waitlists building up? If yes, since when? Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Occupancies? So we have 85% in our existing schools. It's a mix, we have some schools that are still maturing, so that ramp-up takes somewhere between 4-6 years. You have schools that have already matured and that do have a waitlist, obviously, such as Cranleigh, such as Yasmina, and those are very large schools that are rated as outstanding. We have a very healthy pipeline when it comes to greenfield. We've announced last year AED 1 billion in greenfield across three schools that are going to come in a number of our master communities here in Abu Dhabi. Obviously with the entry into Dubai Holding, that gives us an opportunity to also expand Aldar Education into Dubai as a second market.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question via the phone, you may press star one from your telephone keypad, or you may use the Ask a Question box on the webcast to type in your questions. Thank you. We'll pause a moment to assemble the queue. Once again, it is star one to ask a question by phone or use the ask a question box on the webcast. Thank you. We do have a question over the phone from Taher Safieddine with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi Faisal. Just two follow-ups. Just on the project, on the development management, we are still comfortable guiding towards AED 500 million, AED 550 million NOI per year. So I just want to get maybe a bit of update there. The other question is on the hospitality margins. I mean, I've seen EBITDA margins.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

I answered the first question.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yes.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Okay.

Continue.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Will this have some distortion on the revenues versus GP? Because I know that you had some fixed contracts from before. Is the legacy projects all completed and now we're just depleting the backlog with ADQ onwards? Yes.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Yeah. So, the way I look at the business is I wouldn't focus too much on the gross profit margin. I'd look at the GP on an absolute basis. It really depends on the mix between cost-plus and fixed. I urge you to just focus mostly on the GP in absolute terms. Going into margins and stuff is not going to be very helpful for you. Meaningful, sorry.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

All right. Yeah. Okay. The second question is just on hospitality. I mean, clearly this massive ADR growth is flowing directly into profitability, right? I mean, for you guys to generate these high EBITDA margins, I think it's around 40%+ . I mean, my question is, do you think this is a sustainable level into 2023, or you think at one point we shall, I mean, go back to more normalized EBITDA margins?

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Hospitality is a seasonal market, I think overall, yes. Like the good seasons for hospitality are generally Q1 and Q2. For the full year, we expect, yes, this to sustain, and we expect to do better than last year, given last year we had half a year where we didn't have, you know, full operations given the restrictions that were there.

Taher Safieddine
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. All right. Perfect. Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Thank you.

Operator

Our final question today is from the web. It's from Alok Nawani with Ghobash Trading and Investment Company. What is driving the year-over-year increase in minority interest in first quarter of 2023? Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

We did the Apollo transaction. The first leg was the $400 million of equity into AIP. That was done back in August last year, I believe. And then the second leg was the land JV that we did, which is also reflected on NCI. That was done towards the latter end of the year, that was about maybe November last year.

Operator

Thank you.

We did receive an additional—

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

I'm sorry, we have a problem with business topics.

Operator

My apologies. We did receive a final question from Nasser Almadi w ith Hassana Investment Company. This is via the web. Expansion in the education sector, is it going to be based on acquisitions or organic growth? Thank you.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Three legs. So we have capacity in our existing portfolio, which is going to continue to mature and stabilize. We have greenfield, which we are building ourselves within our community. And then the third leg is acquisitions, which makes up part of the AED 5 billion deployment that we have earmarked. Last year, for example, we did Shohub, which was a AED 70 million, AED 80 million acquisition, I believe, into mid-class schools, which is a segment that we didn't have exposure to. So, yes. Do expect further acquisitions into this segment.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we've reached the end of our allotted time for question- and- answer session today. I'll turn the floor back to management for closing comments.

Faisal Falaknaz
Acting Group Chief Financial and Sustainability Officer, Aldar Properties

Thank you guys for joining the call. I look forward to seeing you guys over the next couple of months, catching up with you all. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference and webcast. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.