Arcadis NV (AMS:ARCAD)
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43.00
+0.70 (1.65%)
Sep 21, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Jul 29, 2021

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to this virtual analyst meeting. My name is Jurgen Pullens, Director Investor Relations, Arcadis. We are here to discuss the company's Q2 and half year results released this morning. With us on the call are Peter Oosterveer, CEO, and Virginie Duperat-Vergne, CFO. We will start with a presentation by Peter and Virginie, which will be followed by a Q&A. For the analysts attending this call, in case you would like to raise a question, please notify us using the chat box by typing, "I have a question," or simply say, "Question." Please do so only after we have opened for the Q&A. Kindly keep to a maximum of two questions at a time. Lastly, we will call your attention to the fact that in today's session, management will integrate forward-looking statements which were made in the press release.

We would like to call your attention to the risk related to these statements, which are more fully described in the press release and on the company's website. With these formalities out of the way, Peter, please begin.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Okay. Thanks, Jurgen, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss our trading update for the H1 and the Q2 of 2021. I will begin today's presentation with one of our major wins in Q2, a strong example of a collaboration across our infrastructure and buildings business, as well as an example of including sustainability in all we do. In fact, you'll see us actually using a couple more nice project wins sprinkled in the presentation. As you will be aware, Arcadis is already a partner on the new U.K. high-speed rail network, HS2. In May, we were selected as a design partner for the Mace Dragados joint venture on the Curzon Street Station rail terminus in Birmingham in the U.K.

The station will be net-zero carbon in its operation and adopt the latest eco-friendly design and sustainable technologies, including capturing rainwater and utilizing renewable power generation with over 2,800 sq m of solar panels located on platform canopies. Not only is this a great example of cross-business collaboration, but also one where we are combining our global best practices to bring them together on a major infrastructure project. Just another great win in the quarter, on to the next slide. I don't need to remind you that the transition from largely fossil-based energy to zero carbon energy is a truly critical element of limiting the impact of global climate change. Arcadis is supporting our clients with project and cost management services to allow them to build a new manufacturing facility to support their U.S.-based business.

The facility has the potential to bring 1.7 GW of clean, reliable offshore wind electricity to American communities in the Northeast. On to our results now. Our H1 and Q2 update has been underpinned by a rebound of major economies, which is stronger than we had initially envisaged, which obviously creates a business outlook for Arcadis, which is quite positive. As I mentioned to you during our Capital Markets Day, and also during our Q4 2020 and Q1 2021 updates, the growth in demand for our services is driven by mega trends like urbanization, digitalization, and climate change, as well as the increased expectations societies have in creating sustainable and livable communities.

The recent flooding close to home in Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands, as well as in China, as well as the heat waves we've seen in the U.S. and Canada are clearly evidence of changing weather patterns. They will occur more frequently. They will occur at different times. We believe that swift action is required to ensure we reduce the impact and protect lives and communities from further disasters. On COVID-19, we are seeing central governments all over the world attempt to stimulate the economy through various methods, including accelerating projects, investing in new ways to support the economic recovery, and deliver on the Build Back Better agenda. As a result of these relief measures and stimulus plans, particularly in the U.S., the U.K., as well as the recently announced EU Green Deal, we have won Excuse me.

We have won 14 new commissions across the infrastructure, buildings, and government sectors, with another 80 further projects in the pipeline. We do obviously not expect it to stop here. In terms of our results, I'm obviously very pleased with both the accelerated organic revenue growth in the quarter. I'm also pleased with the improved margin, as well as with the further growth of our backlog, with four of the five last quarters now having generated a book-to-bill greater than one. Our strong financial position with a leverage ratio of now 0.3 creates room to invest in our people, our digital expertise, as well as into our business. With respect to our strategic progress, we continue to obviously pioneer sustainable and digital solutions for our public and private sector clients, underpinning our really strong ESG credentials and our strategic direction.

Looking at our people over the last 18 months, all 28,000 Arcadians have consistently demonstrated their flexibility, their drive, and their creativity. I'm sitting here being extremely proud of their ongoing focus on our clients, on putting our clients first, and on their contribution to our business. They have been productive wherever they work, even during the most challenging times. COVID-19 has actually accelerated our existing plans to rethink our workplace and adopt a hybrid way of working. Following discussions with our people, we have launched our workplace promise. Our new promise will embrace a culture of trust and allowing our people the flexibility to work from home or to come into a collaboration-focused, inclusive workplace that will also act as a client hub.

In addition, we will also soon launch our revised approach towards traveling, which needless to say, will also include a very positive impact on the environment. Finally, we remain clearly on track with the three-year strategy implementation that we launched in November of last year. Let me share with you a few stories, how we are actually implementing our strategy, and how we are maximizing our impacts with our clients. We're proud to be delivering sustainable solutions for our clients across the world, not only highlighting our strong ESG credentials, but also fulfilling our ambition to limit global carbon emissions to 1.5 degrees centigrade. In my view, our generation's single biggest challenge. I'll share a few examples with you that demonstrate our commitment to sustainability and our commitment to improving quality of life in communities around the world.

Again, in the U.K., we are designing the first carbon neutral bus station in the country, in Leicester, helping to connect people and places in a more sustainable way. Design also, just like with Curzon Street, benefits from solar panels to generate enough renewable power to power the station and to feed surplus energy back into the grid. Not only will this provide a huge boost for sustainable transport, but it will actually also help to regenerate deprived parts of the city of Leicester. In North America, as another example, we're partnering with the New York City Department of Environmental Protection, to reduce flood risk and drive citywide resilience. The $53 million program will allow us to engage property owners across the city in jointly designing and implementing resilience measures that improve local living and health conditions.

These plans include, for example, retrofitting private properties and creating green and living infrastructure across the city. Another example, in Singapore, we're working with the Land Transport Authority in developing innovative solutions to transform mobility in the country. We are having the role of project management, the first integrated active travel and public transport project with dedicated bus, foot, and cycling paths. The EUR 26 million commission will provide an uninterrupted and pedestrian-first 21.5-kilometer-long transit priority corridor connecting communities across the city-state. Next, a few examples of our progress on our digital expertise. As we know too well, the pandemic has pretty much upended everything. How we work, how we travel, and how we quickly respond to changing circumstances. The reliance on technology and data has grown exponentially over the last 18 months, and our clients' appetite to innovate and digitalize their solutions shows no signs of slowing.

At Arcadis, we've been investing already heavily in digital skills and empowering our people to create digital solutions to meet our clients' greatest challenges. I'd like to now share a few examples with you that showcase our role as digital leaders. Firstly, Arcadis Gen's new AppliedInsight software-as-a-service platform. As you might remember, we launched Arcadis Gen back in early part of 2020 to further accelerate our industry-leading digital transformation with scalable and product-based solutions. Earlier this year, we launched AppliedInsight, a SaaS analytics platform and online marketplace designed to make advanced asset analytics products available to clients of any size.

One of the products we have available is our water artificial intelligence pipe predictor, which is a tool which has the ability to predict water pipe failures, wastewater collapses, flooding, and pollution incidents, resulting in a more reliable supply and handling of water to and from customers. Another example is FieldNow, Arcadis' environmental digital data collection program pioneered in the U.S. and now scaling across Latin America and Europe. It helps to standardize, automate, and integrate data right at the point of collection. Utilizing software solutions from our external platforms for data collection, FieldNow eliminates the need for manual data entry and provides rapid, real-time accessibility to field and other data, which can then be transformed into visuals, helping to ensure a project is delivered efficiently and delivered on time.

This capability has clearly contributed significantly to the growth we have enjoyed in the U.S., and we are now rolling it out globally. Finally, to initially support our U.K.-based clients, we are applying newly developed software aimed at agile, flexible ways of working called Building Intelligence. The software helps to optimize space, reduce energy use, and reduce maintenance costs while improving health, wellbeing, and productivity across workspaces. We've obviously also used this software for our new London office, which is actually pictured in this slide, which provides Arcadians and clients with functionality of mobile apps, room visits, large interactive dashboards, et cetera. All help to improve the user experience.

Combining these new agile ways of working with the sensors, the machine learning, and management insights that come with Building Intelligence, it creates a really rich picture of how a building is operating and how the users are engaging with it. A good example of digital solutions that are helping to improve the everyday quality of life. Finally, how we are growing our business through focus and scale. As I mentioned at the beginning, we are seeing a strong and sustained backlog of opportunities in our pipeline. In fact, this is, again, the fourth out of the five last quarters in which we were able to grow our backlog. One such area of growth is around PFAS, man-made chemicals that are found in a number of everyday products such as cookware, firefighting foam, et cetera.

Arcadis is at the forefront of a global effort to sustainably manage the impact PFAS has made through decades of its use. Our knowledge inside remediation and environmental planning is successfully addressing demand we see from clients within the defense, aviation, and industrial manufacturing sectors. PFAS is just one area where we are using our knowledge and expertise to scale globally to help create a safer, more resilient, livable world for everyone. Not quite at the end yet of this presentation, but I believe that the future is bright for Arcadis. Our acceleration of organic net revenue growth and improved profit margin, combined with a very strong order backlog and very solid opportunities ahead, provides me with confidence in our ability to deliver on the strategic targets we've set for 2023. With that, I will hand it over to Virginie to provide further detail on our financial performance.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Thank you, Peter, good morning, everyone. Quite happy to be with you this morning to share with you Q2 and H1 financial results. First, maybe to put our quarterly results in perspective. You can see here that we accelerated organic growth to 5.7%, and even 6.3% restated from Middle East performance. We increased our net revenue to EUR 644 million. Our operating EBITA in Q2 increased by 20% to EUR 59 million, with an operating EBITA margin of 9.2%, which is a solid improvement compared to Q2 last year, and quite in line with our 2021 Q1 results. Net working capital as a percentage of gross revenues was 14.3%, to be compared to 17.7% in Q2 last year, and days sales outstanding decreased to 74 days compared to 87 days, which is a result of the cash management program set in motion one year ago.

For the H1 year, our net revenue organically increased by 3% to EUR 1.3 billion. Our operating EBITDA increased by 21% to EUR 117 million, and our margin improved to 9.2% compared to 7.6% in H1 2020. This margin improvement resulted from a strong performance in the Americas and in Europe, Middle East, compensating for a lower margin in Asia Pacific and in CallisonRTKL. Our free cash flow of EUR 30 million was solid, in line with our expectations, and demonstrates our sound cash management. Due to the improvement in EBITDA and cash focus in the last four quarters, the leverage ratio further improved to 0.3. Moving to the view region by region. North America. First, North America continued to deliver very strong financial results. Organic net revenue growth increased in all business lines, despite 2 less working days in this H1 compared to H1 2020.

Key priority in this region is really to attract and retain new talent, and while expanding our global excellence center usage to further leverage, execute also our current backlog and seize flourishing market opportunities. In Latin America, organic net revenue growth was outstanding, driven by infrastructure and environmental projects in Brazil. Overall, for the total Americas, organic net revenue growth was 7% in the quarter, and 5% for the H1. Operating EBITDA margin for the segment in the H1 improved to 11.5%, driven by high availability, higher value of project portfolio, and lower operating costs. Organic net revenue growth in Europe and Middle East in Q2 of 10%, sorry, was mainly driven by strong growth in the U.K., as well as in several countries in continental Europe, compensating for an expected modest decline in the Middle East.

Operating EBITDA margin in the H1 year improved from 7%- 9.1%, due to revenue growth and lower operational expenses. U.K.'s strong performance in the Q1 continued in the Q2, with excellent organic revenue growth driven by key clients in all business lines. Arcadis is benefiting from its strong local market position and long-term plans such as the U.K. government's Build Back Better stimulus program, as well as a range of green policy initiatives to accelerate the decarbonization agenda in the country. In continental Europe, there was a steady organic net revenue growth due to good performance in Belgium, Poland, France, in combination with a stable performance in the Netherlands. Arcadis is well-positioned to engage on opportunities presented by government spending on infrastructure, energy transition, and for sure, proposed European Union Green Deal incentive programs. Asia now.

Overall, Asia showed an organic decline of 2% in the quarter, and 3% in the H1 year. Operating margin continued to be strong in Australia, but was negatively impacted by lower revenue and losses on a few projects. Net revenues in Asia declined due to a return to prolonged lockdowns in Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, and this impacts economies and commercial development. China performs relatively well, with revenues in line with last year. Revenue in Australia was slightly lower than last year, and the focus continues to be on seizing major infrastructure projects in Sydney and Melbourne. Order intake in both Asia and Australia was positive, with the book-to-bill above one. In CallisonRTKL, we see net revenues remaining under pressure due to COVID-19 crisis affecting mainly retail and commercial sectors, and now especially in Asia Pacific.

Organic revenue decline in the quarter was 11%, and even 15% for the H1 year. Order intake in the U.S. is showing some recovery, with the book-to-bill ratio greater than one. Despite decline in revenue, operating EBITDA margin in the H1 was 5% thanks to strong cost management. At group level now, half year EBITDA amounted to €115 million, which represents a 25% increase compared to the same period in 2020. Net finance expense decreased to €13 million, versus €16 million one year ago. Interest expense on loans and borrowing of €7 million dropped due to lower average cost debt and lower interest rates. The effective income tax rate for the 6-month period ending June 2021 is 21% versus 34.3% last year. Our tax rate was impacted by, amongst other things, updates on previous years' tax positions.

Net income from operations increased by 53% to EUR 81 million, or EUR 0.90 per share. Our free cash flow of EUR 30 million was solid and showed the good performance of the quarter. It's worth remembering that 2020 Q2 cash flow has been exceptionally strong due to the combination of catch-up effects in North America following Oracle implementation in 2019, and also catch-up on overdue thanks to this cash management program. All this further enhanced by tax payment deferrals granted by governments at the countries who were hit by COVID crisis. Our net debt was EUR 107 million end of H1, significantly lower than last year, driven by the decrease in net working capital financing need following the results of the sound cash management program implemented one year ago. Moreover, Arcadis invested EUR 62 million in share buyback and distributed EUR 31 million in cash dividend. The leverage ratio further improved to 0.3.

In May 2021, EUR 36 million of floating rate Schuldschein loans were repaid early free of interest penalty. In June 2021, our U.S. private placement note of $110 million bearing a 5.1% interest rate was fully reimbursed in accordance with the expected repayment schedule. To conclude on the financial results, I would like to emphasize the fact that we accelerated our organic growth to a 5% increase in the Q2, and sustained a strong order intake. Our operating margin was 9.2% in the H1 year, with an excellent performance in Americas and in the U.K. Our free cash flow in the Q2 was strong, leading to a solid free cash flow for the H1 year. Overall, we now have a strong financial position that creates room to invest in our people, our digital expertise in our businesses.

With that, I'd like to hand it back to you, Peter.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Thank you, Virginie. Let me now wrap up our presentation, reminding you about the strategic targets we set for 2023, which we shared with you in November of last year during the launch of our Maximizing Impact strategy, as well as with a brief summary of our H1 results before we get over to Q&A. One more project example, and a really nice project example. We are supporting the Ocean Cleanup in managing its environmental, social risks, impacts, and opportunities. We are working for this organization on the development of environmental and social impact scanning reports for all the projects they undertake. These documents are important to them and are an independent and technical analysis of the potential effects that the Ocean Cleanup's operation could have on the environment, or the surrounding communities.

If the impacts are identified, to then define measures which need to be taken in order to address them. Responding to the pandemic over the past 18 months has, for us, led to an even greater focus on cross-sector and cross-regional collaboration, increased leverage of our global expertise across our businesses, and thus generating additional benefits for our clients. Our new strategy, launched back in November of last year, is now proving to be a very timely and prudent springboard for delivering scalable, sustainable solutions, both by leveraging our digital leadership as well as on focusing on opportunities where we have a right to play and an opportunity to win. In terms of financial targets, I've said it before, we simply aim for further improved, predictable, and profitable growth, satisfying the interest of all our stakeholders.

In terms of non-financial targets, we want to further advance our course to be an employer of choice through lower voluntary turnover and higher engagement by creating a diverse, inclusive culture in which everyone can be their self. Finally, we are convinced that a more sustainable and more equitable world can only be created if we're all willing to maximize our collaboration and strive to deliver on targets. In that context, we will continue to reduce emissions aligned with the 1.5 degree centigrade science-based targets before 2030. To summarize and conclude our half year performance, we are, first of all, very encouraged by the stronger than initially expected rebound of the major economies following the pandemic, which does create the positive business outlook I spoke about before.

The public stimulus programs, particularly increased sustainable infrastructure funding in the U.S., the EU, and the U.K., and the renewed focus by our clients on carbon reduction and environmental mitigation projects, has allowed us to secure new projects and maintain a very healthy pipeline of further opportunities. We expect this to continue given the clear objectives and the longevity of these programs, and because of the continued severe impact of the extreme weather conditions we've experienced in a variety of geographies just recently. Finally, our acceleration of organic net revenue growth and further improved margin, combined with a strong order backlog and a positive business outlook, gives us confidence in our ability to deliver the strategic targets we've set for 2023. With that, I will hand it back over to Jurgen, who will, after some short instructions, open it up for Q&A. Jurgen, over to you.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Yeah, thank you, Peter. Hereby we would like to open our Q&A. In case you have a question, and I see already some questions, please let us know using the chat box by, "I have a question," or simply, "Question." I will call out your name, and you can verbally address your question to Peter and Virginie. Again, would kindly ask you to limit your number of questions to two at a time. I do see that Hans Pluijgers has a question. Please go ahead, Hans. Hans?

Speaker 5

Can you hear me now? Can you hear me now?

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Yes. I can hear you, Hans.

Speaker 5

Yeah. Okay. I was on mute. Sorry about that. Sorry I don't have my camera on because I'm calling from a holiday place, so therefore, excuses for that. Two questions from my side, indeed. First, looking, let's say, on the whole investment programs by different governments and stimulus plans and Green Deal, that kind of things. How do you, let's say, expect that it will start to have an impact on the whole market, when you really see that the funds coming available from those different plans, and especially looking at the U.S., but also, of course, with the Green Deal, will start to have filters through to the different players and your clients in the market. We really can start to see have an impact also on your top line.

Secondly, on the cost structure, of course, with reopening of the economy and people returning to the office also on your side. Let's say, looking at H2 and maybe also annualized basis, what kind of cost do you expect to come back because of that? Without, let's say, any additional sales against it. Let's say, what are, let's say, the cost which could come back when the markets reopen and we, let's say, have a little more normal way of working?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Thanks, Hans. First of all, thanks for joining us while you're still on vacation. I'll take the first question, and then I'll let Virginie respond to the second one. On the first question on the impact as to when you would experience impact. First, make a distinction between programs which are being funded as a result of actions the governments took during the pandemic. Secondly, governments are now increasingly taking actions which are more in the, let's say, sustainability arena, such as the EU Green Deal. It's not necessarily always crystal clear whether a program or a plan is funded by either COVID-19-related programs or more future sustainability-related programs.

As I mentioned when I went through my prepared remarks, we have already seen a handful, about 14, 15 projects, which are clearly examples of actually more sustainability-related funding, with another 80 in the hopper of things we see as opportunities ahead of us, which are also associated with either COVID-related programs or Green Deal sustainability-related programs. By the time that the EU Green Deal, and even more so the U.S. plans are being formalized, because we are seeing large numbers, but the fact of the matter is that the plans are not necessarily quite formalized yet. We expect that number to, of course, significantly increase. That is what I would say in terms of the public stimulus.

Good news is that in the meantime, and particularly actually in the Q2, we've seen our book-to-bill for our private clients actually being higher than it was for public clients. Also our private clients are, of course, already taking action, coming out of the pandemic, and also action resulting from the need to create more sustainable solutions. As a final comment, very recent, of course, we've seen the flooding in the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium, and also there, we have already seen clients approaching us to ask for our advice as what to best do with the immediate impact, as well as with impact, or protecting them against future impact. A whole slew of actions already underway. I'll turn it over to Virginie for your second question, Hans.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Thank you, Peter. On the cost aspect, for sure, we still are in a situation where our ways of working are quite limited due to the pandemic and where we merely work from home for the vast majority of us. In H2, if the world open more, we should see some pickup here and there in terms of traveling. As Peter mentioned earlier in the presentation, we are also putting in place some new policies around our expectations of how we would travel in the post-pandemic world. Also to anticipate on our own, let's say, carbon footprint in the space. That should also change our ways of doing and while, let's say, produce positive impact in terms of carbon footprint, also have a correlative impact in terms of cost of traveling. That's definitely something we are working on.

As Peter said, we do think that we want to experience new work style, that will definitely also have an impact in terms of probably presence of number of days in the offices and such. Some part of what we've been able, let's say, to achieve in terms of cost savings during the pandemic might also, let's say, become more sustainable and more structural in the future, just because, in fact, we do see opportunities and desire on our side to go on sustainably working with quite different models, I would say. As you may have seen, nothing has changed in our way of serving clients. Our activity quite rightfully increased also. There is no reason for us really to change fundamentally, a lot of what we are delivering today.

Speaker 5

Could you give maybe still some number on which cost you expect to come back? Or some feeling on that?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

I'm not going to give a guidance.

Speaker 5

A perspective. Yeah

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Let me say that will also pick up on, depends also on how H2 develops and how you may have seen that the situation is quite contrasted also in some areas of the world. The total reopening that we expected to happen, I'm not sure that we are going to see that. Also for us, in that respect, that's quite a question and a burden. Some countries are reopening, some countries are also discussing of reclosing the frontier. International travel is quite a question, in terms of travel cost and such, this is what has the strongest impact in terms of cost. That's actually, for me, crystal ball to really have a good view on.

Speaker 5

Okay. [Foreign language]

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Thanks. I see that Martijn den Drijver has also a question. He's next in the row. Please, Martijn, go ahead.

Speaker 6

Yes. Good morning, Jurgen. Good morning, Peter. Good morning, Virginie. I'll start off with a question on RTKL. In the notes to the semiannual report, it is mentioned that in the impairment testing part, that RTKL performance was below expectation. There has been uncertainty in the forecast for commercial and retail business in the longer term, and a strategy review is underway. Now, during Q1, you actually mentioned that you would like or that it is your intention to maintain capacity in order to be able to cope with a rebound if and when that happens. How should I read this statement on a strategy review and uncertainty in the forecast? That would be my first question.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah, I understand the question. Let me quickly pick it up first and then, Virginie, feel free to add. I understand the question very much, Martijn. In the context of the same sort of wording we used, or is it three, four years ago when we went through a strategic review? This is something not comparable to that strategic review. I want to make that clear, and I'm actually glad you asked that question because it gives me an opportunity to clarify that. The strategic review is simply to look at, okay, now that we come to grips with a different world, now that we come to grips with markets which have really behaved quite differently than we had expected in the past, including what is retail going to look like, as an example, how quickly will hospitality bounce back?

We felt that it was important that we got some external perspective on the market. It is some external support, just as we've done for Arcadis Core. We've solicited external support to help us with the strategy definition. It is not to be confused and very different from what we did in 2017, 2018 when we went through a review which included a consideration to see if more value could be created if CallisonRTKL was not part of Arcadis. That is not in question this time.

Speaker 6

It's more about where to use assets, staff capacities more efficiently than where they are deployed today.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Absolutely, yes.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

That's it.

Speaker 6

When do you expect to have the outcome of that strategy review? Obviously then also when can you share that with us?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah, we've actually had an interim report. Obviously, we are already in Q3. It will run into Q3. In the meantime, actions are already being taken. It's, again, not going to be a complete overhaul of the organization. It is just making the organization, if you like, more fit for what we expect to be in the future. It's more a foundational repositioning than anything else. Throughout Q3, we expect that to be finished and then be put in place. We do expect that before we see an improvement in CallisonRTKL's performance. That is not so much because of the strategic review, but more the way the markets are behaving, will not be seen before the beginning of next year. Some positive signs. The book-to-bill in the Q2 was above 1. That's positive. That is too early to suggest that the rebound is there.

We want to be on the safe side. I think it is safe to assume that it will be difficult throughout 2021, with improvements as early as the beginning of 2022.

Speaker 6

Okay. That's very helpful. My second question. Obviously, there are more projects coming to the market. You've already mentioned the reasons why. That also means that all your peers, as well as Arcadis, will be clamoring for staff capacity, skill sets. Can you talk to us about attrition rates across the various divisions, your recruitment efforts, how easy or how difficult is it to get the right staff and skill set in, and possibly also comment on wage inflation or overall personnel expense development going forward? That would be the second question. Thank you.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah, I think you mentioned all things which do come into play if the market gets attractive. That includes indeed, typically a pickup in attrition. That could potentially also include pressure on salaries and a pressure as in pressure on the cost, if you like, and improve the salaries. We are starting to see some of it, particularly in the markets where we do really well. I will single out two in particular, North America and the U.K., and Virginie actually made a comment about it. Our focus is on retention. Our focus is on attracting the right talent. Our attrition has gone up slightly in Q2. We find that one of the more or least attractive measures in Q2 in what was a very good quarter. Attrition going up is not what we would like to see. It is inevitable.

It is what most of our peers have seen as well. I maintain what I've said before, Martijn, that we have an availability within Arcadis to offset most of that pressure, and that availability is to try and use our global excellence centers more extensively. That is a little easier in some places than it is in others. If you look at the U.K., they already use global excellence centers quite extensively. To push that further, it's a bit more challenging. In North America, that opportunity is much greater. We have tools available internally to balance and offset the impact, but that the market is getting more attractive and that you start to see all the things which come with a hotter market is absolutely correct.

Speaker 6

Or maybe I should rephrase that. In the past, have you had to resort to significant wage increases to get control of that attrition?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

You know-

Speaker 6

Such a move in order to prevent higher rates of attrition.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

We take a measured approach. In my four plus year, I've not seen us having to do something across the board at a scale which you would call abnormal or material. If something who we consider to be key is thinking about leaving, then we might do something which is out of the ordinary, but that is more on an individual basis than an across-the-board basis. Interesting to know that our total number of employees have actually gone up for the year with 5%. We're still able to attract people.

Speaker 6

Got it. Thank Thank you very much.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Thank you. I see that Luuk van Beek has a question. Luuk, when you are there, please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Yes.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Continue. Yep, okay.

Speaker 7

Do you hear me now? Okay.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yes.

Speaker 7

The question, the leverage is now well below your target of one to two times. I was wondering, you mentioned some investments. Will they have a meaningful impact on your leverage ratio? Secondly, I have a question about the project losses in Asia that you mentioned. What is the reason behind it, and how significant are they?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Virginie? Please go ahead.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Thank you, Peter. Starting with project losses, we had, let's say, a bunch of projects in Asia that have been suffering significant extension of time due to the current situation of COVID crisis, where you have prolonged lockdowns and difficulty to work on this project. In some of these projects, we are dealing with some, let's say, public organizations. We are facing that on all of that project at the moment, and each and every contractor is now claiming for extension of time, and this is just not only us. That was, let's say, a cautious decision to admit that we might not be able to get 100% of this extension of time in a decent time frame. This is what it is about, and that's a couple of million EUR, something like this.

In terms of your other question around leverage, yes, you're right, we are at 0.3 as a leverage at the moment. It is quite low and lower than where we expect to be. That gives us room from, let's say, additional investment and additional heavy investment. I said in our Capital Market Day, we do want to invest in our capabilities, and that goes for sure with CapEx, but also potentially with some, let's say, interesting M&A additions that would help us accelerate our strategy. This is also something that we are contemplating.

For sure, at one point of time, if we do think that there is nothing that could materialize sufficiently soon for us in terms of M&A transaction, we might consider also additional return to the shareholders based on the fact that we know also now that we probably do produce a better cash conversion, thanks to our cash management program. As we speak, probably a bit early to get that. Remember that our current SBB program is still ongoing, not yet finished. I would rather let this one finish before we come back with anything else.

Speaker 7

Would a share buyback be your preferred method to return cash to shareholders, or would you also consider other methods?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

I am quite agnostic in terms of dividend and share buyback, frankly. I think that it is probably good practice to maintain a decent share of both, because tax interests and tax anticipations of shareholders can be quite different depending on where they are.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thank you.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Thank you, Luke. Quirijn, I think you have a question as well. Quirijn? Are you still on mute, Quirijn? We can't hear you.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

No.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

No, Quirijn?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

I think we might have lost him.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Yeah.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

I think we lost you, Quirijn. I go to Hans Pluijgers with some follow-up questions. Hans.

Speaker 5

Two questions. First of all, on Australia. During the previous press release, you already mentioned that there was, let's say, some delay in projects being rewarded. Could you give maybe some feeling on what's happening in that market currently? What you do expect, let's say, for H2? You already mentioned you have a book-to-bill of above 1.1.

Operator

Yeah, Quirijn, can you hear me?

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Yeah, Quirijn, we can hear you, but let Hans ask his first question, and then we come back to you.

Speaker 8

Yeah, Hans is questioning as well.

Speaker 5

Yeah. Let's continue on Australia. Could you give maybe some feeling what's happening there in, let's say, with respect to big project rewarding, what you expect there for H2? Secondly, on the cash flow. Strong cash flow again in Q2. You still had some repayment of deferred taxes outstanding. Could you give me some feeling what happened in Q2 to have now fully repaid that? Secondly, on that part, the payables went up in H1. Let's say, were there some delay in payments in there? Could you give some feeling what's happened there? There was some other figures, numbers in that line that explains the increase.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Okay. Thanks, Hans. I'll take the first question, and then I'll turn it over to Virginie again for the second one. Australia is obviously still a very attractive market for us. We did indeed, actually already in Q4 of last year, and then also in Q1, signaled that projects are slipping because of focus of the government. Unfortunately, we were not successful on one big project which has been awarded in the meantime, at least not in the initial role we pursued. Quite often, when you're not successful on, for instance, the design role, there is an opportunity to pursue an independent verifier role, and that actually is always a nice reward in case you're not successful. We're now pursuing that role on that same project. Further on, there's still other opportunities, particularly in Melbourne and Sydney, which we are pursuing as we speak.

It maintains or continues to be a really attractive market for us with very good returns. Unfortunately, we were not successful on one big project, but we still have an opportunity to play a different role on that project. Virginie, you want to take the cash flow question?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Yes, for sure. In terms of cash flow, we had some repayments of tax deferrals in H1, and that will remain happening over H2 and probably also a little bit will impact the beginning of 2022. These are, let's say, schedules that has been set up by the various governmental organization, and so we just put the numbers when they are requested. I guess that if you have a look towards the fact that year-on-year, we've been, let's say, this year, paying our normal VAT elements in H1, plus repaying some elements of last year that were deferred, you probably have a delta year-on-year of around EUR 40 million, which is some significant amount. The payments are quite regular, I would say that we should probably have almost the same type of impact throughout the rest of the year.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Was there any other point I missed in your question, Hans?

Speaker 5

The balance sheet, you saw an increase against the end of last year.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Yeah.

Speaker 5

Can you give me some feeling what's happening in there? Is the payables increase or are there some other costs or other posts in there that increases?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

I would rather say that the elements that we had at year-end were quite unusual, and the vast majority of the difference between year-end and now is that at year-end, if you remember, we were just on the point of moving Netherlands and Germany towards Oracle implementation. That for sure, let's say, triggered a payment behavior of paying by anticipation to make sure that you don't have too many elements on accounting standpoint to transfer from one system to the other.

Speaker 5

Okay. Thanks.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

That the vast majority of the difference.

Speaker 5

Yeah. Thank you.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Thanks, Virginie. Let's try again, Quirijn. I hope you can hear me.

Speaker 8

I can hear you.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

We can hear you. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

That's fine. Okay. A couple of questions. My first question is about the remarks of Peter about the projects. 14 projects in the pocket. Is that not yet in the order book? How should I see that? The other 81s, are they EUR 1 million each, or can you give me some minimum or some median numbers for the sizes of these projects to get an idea about the size of what's coming up? On the attrition rate, are you not afraid that it gets worse in the coming period, especially in the U.S., given the, let me say, the demand side and the shortage of, let me say, the war for talent as your predecessor always said to us? My third question about the Far East, still lockdowns.

Outside China, how do you look at the situation there, and do you expect some recovery in the coming period? Let me say, would it start already in H2? Let me say, if COVID is over. Those are my three questions for this moment.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Okay. Thanks, Quirijn. First of all, on the projects, the 14 I mentioned are indeed in the pocket. If I do speak about projects, I do generally mean that those are projects we already won. The 80 is just a number of projects we see in the pipeline, which obviously, as always, varies in size. There's projects which are in the tens and tens of thousands, there's of course larger projects. It is the usual variety of projects. We didn't necessarily wanted to suggest that we will continue to report on all these projects. We wanted to signal that we are seeing the beginning of the impact, the positive impact of the stimulus plans, and that some of the projects we actually have won are directly funded by stimulus plans. There's a variety of projects.

The war for talent, it is inevitable, as I commented on Martijn's question, Quirijn, that as the market gets more and more attractive, that people start to move again. I think that is compounded by the fact that people generally have stayed put for most of the pandemic, not necessarily pursued any other opportunity. We're now seeing that as the world is opening up, people are looking for other opportunities. We are seeing also clients actually taking people away. As painful as it is, it's probably less painful to see someone go to a client than to see someone go to a competitor, to be perfectly honest.

Frankly speaking, clients are willing to pay salaries which we, in our industry, I'm not talking about Arcadis alone, but probably also speak on behalf of our competitors, would typically not pay, and then you just have to accept that you lose someone to a client who could still be a good ambassador for you. I wouldn't necessarily dramatically say there is a war for talent going on. I still think that we have opportunities enough to retain people. It comes down to creating the right environment, the right culture, and maybe even more so to make sure that people have attractive opportunities to work on so that they have an opportunity to develop themselves. It is not, at the end of the day, simply a matter of paying more money.

If you were to engage in only upping the salaries and not worry about anything else, I think you'll end up in a dead-end street anyway. It is a fact that, as I said in response to Martijn's question, that if the market gets more attractive, attrition tends to go up. I would not make it too dramatic at this point in time. I think we still have levers to pull. Lockdowns outside China. Yeah, it impacts, unfortunately, at this point in time, all the countries we work in outside China. That includes the countries I mentioned, the Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore. Those happen to be also countries where a fair number of our people actually required to be at site.

It is not necessarily similar to other places in the world where people have the facilities at home, and the nature of the work actually allows people to not go to site. As long as these countries will stay in that lockdown, it will probably be tough. I don't want to overstate this, because by the time you single out China from the rest of Asia, you end up with a number of countries which are all smaller than China, but it is still something which is impacting us as we speak. I don't think that if you look at the vaccination rate in some of these countries, which is obviously not comparable to what we see here and in other Western countries, this will probably go on for some time.

Speaker 8

Okay, let me say, if there's a decline in revenues, in fact, in the Far East, how does that translate into the book-to-bill?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah. I think these things will typically go hand in hand. If a country is in a lockdown, not only are you impacted by the inability to perform the work, but you will likely also see that the opportunity to award new work is also being impacted. It goes hand in hand. It's not like we see a tremendous amount of opportunities which we're winning, while in the meantime, we can't perform the work. It goes hand in hand. It's just at a slower pace than you would like to see or will see if the country is no longer in a lockdown. It's just having an impact on the revenue, and it's obviously also having an impact on the book-to-bill. Again, by the time you exclude China from Asia, you're talking about 1% or 2% of the total revenue of Arcadis.

Speaker 8

Yeah. Thank you.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Jurgen, you're on mute.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

I'm sorry. I was on mute. Thanks, Peter. Martijn, I see you have some other questions in the chat. Maybe they are already answered, but I see you, so I think you still have a few questions.

Speaker 6

Yes, I do.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Go ahead.

Speaker 6

Okay. At the Capital Markets Day, you mentioned that there were going to be EUR 40 million-EUR 60 million in investments, CapEx and OpEx. If I look at your CapEx total in the H1, eur 25 million, how should we think about these OpEx/CapEx investments? Well, let's 1st deal with CapEx investments in the H2 of the year. Do you think it will end up at the lower end of the range, so the EUR 40 million, or should we think about it ending up at the higher end of the range, so the EUR 60 million? That's question one. I have two accounting questions, if I may. If I look at your segmental reporting, there is a line Corporate/Unallocated. The number in the H1 in 2021 was EUR -15.2, while it was EUR -6.2 in H1 of last year.

There's a significant step-up in costs in either HQ or unallocated. Could you please explain that? I also saw in your overview of the provisions that you've added another EUR 6 million provision for litigation, which follows on an addition in 2020 of EUR 20 million for litigation. Is there something we should be worried about? Is this normal practice? Perhaps you can shed some light on that provision for litigation. Thank you.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Thank you for your question, Martijn, and starting with CapEx, as you said, we are almost as we speak at half year in the middle of the range. I guess that with that, there's no reason not to be there towards H2. Might be a bit of acceleration in H2 because a little bit of inertia to start with, but this is the way I would say it. In terms of corporate cost and such, part of this, let's say, investments that we make in our strategy do refer to our strategic implementation and such. It's been a decision not to allocate that to the region and to keep that centrally. That's why you have it over there, while in fact it concerns other standardization, automation, and such, and something getting along with the digital transformation of the company.

That's rather the increase that you can see in that amount. Then on the litigation provision, I had the same remark as you did when I first read my financial statements and said, "Come on, how can it happen? I am not aware of any litigation." This is the first consolidation of White Rock, which is our captive of insurance. Because we have a captive insurance, we are now in a mechanism to apply similar methods as insurance companies do. We calculate actuarial provisions that are on the face of the balance sheet. I think that it shouldn't be called litigation because it's not. It's about having that and potential litigation, and it's a kind of self-insurance provision that you have to build around the mechanism of the captive, and that represents the increase.

We'll isolate that on a different line towards the year-end because frankly, same thing as you do, I think that's not very easy as a first read.

Speaker 6

Okay, let me recap. The provision for litigation actually has nothing to do with an actual client filing a claim against Arcadis.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

No, there's no one behind that.

Speaker 6

Okay.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

It's really a mechanical provision that you need to build on an accounting standpoint when you have this sort of captive being consolidated.

Speaker 6

Okay. On the unallocated costs, I get the mechanism. I understood you mentioned automation. Can you maybe perhaps mention other elements that cause that unallocated to go up, and if so, maybe put a number on it?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Digital transformation. We've not been allocating that to regions because that can be used by everyone. We could either have divided that and spread that over the regions or leave it where it is. It is what has been decided to be done.

Speaker 6

Just to get a sense, these are applications that you've bought, these are staff engineers that have developed applications?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Yeah

Speaker 6

that support the service portfolio of Arcadis?

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Yes.

Speaker 6

Because they are not yet available in the market during that development phase, you keep them in unallocated. That's the explanation.

Virginie Duperat-Vergne
CFO, Arcadis

Yes. Also, there is a new accounting pronouncement that is out and that companies will have to apply for this year, where we will have quite difficulties to capitalize some of the cloud developments that we make. That will rather change and have an impact for a lot of companies, probably towards year-end. That's something that has been issued quite recently and that companies are studying, but that's also made us quite prudent in what we capitalize and not.

Speaker 6

Got it. Thank you for the clarifications. Those were my questions. Thank you.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Are there any more questions? I don't see that in the queue and in the chat room. Please, if you have another question, please let us know.

Speaker 8

Yeah, I have a question. Quirijn here.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Quirijn, yeah. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Yeah. We see net organic revenue 5.7% in the Q2 after 0.5%. Peter, what do you think about the H2? Is that sustainable, that number, or is that the easy comparison with the Q2 of 2020, which plays a role here?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Good question, Quirijn. Obviously, you do know our commitment, our goal, if you like, which is mid-single digit growth. That is a goal which we still stand by.

Speaker 8

I understand. Okay, that's the 3.5%-6.5% net revenue growth organically.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah, that was the definition indeed. Yeah.

Speaker 8

Let me say, is this 5.7 repeatable in the H2?

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Well, it depends, of course, on circumstances which we, to an extent, have under control, which look favorable, such as growth of backlog, the ability to retain people and hire additional people. Then there's factors which we obviously do not have under control, and that is there going to be another wave of infections? Will there be an impact from a virus variant which we haven't recognized yet? We are going to continue to be on the prudent side. I think that it is safe to assume that the 3.5, 6.5, the mid-single digit, is the bracket we will be within.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you.

Jurgen Pullens
Director of Investor Relations, Arcadis

Thank you, Quirijn. I don't think there are other questions. I don't see them anymore in the chat. By doing so, if there are no other questions, I will hand back to Peter for some closing remarks.

Peter Oosterveer
CEO, Arcadis

Yeah. Thank you, Jurgen . Thanks again for everyone to join us, particularly if you are on vacation. Really appreciate the interest in Arcadis. Needless to say that I'm sitting here being really pleased with our performance. That performance and that pleasure comes when looking pretty much at all our metrics. Pleased with our backlog development in particular, because performance we delivered this quarter without growth of backlog would provide a bit of a shaky foundation for future growth. The fact that we continue to win a more than fair share of opportunities adds to the confidence I have in where we are as a company. We are in an attractive market that comes with a lot of opportunities, that comes with a lot of positive implications. It also, as you rightfully mentioned, comes with some other consequences, which includes a focus needed on retaining people.

That focus is clearly there. We do see that, as we've commented throughout the whole pandemic, that making sure that we don't lose our people is probably our best ticket and our best guarantee for future success. All in all, looking at our performance, the status of the company, the outlook, and opportunities gives me, as we said in our press release, confidence that we will be able to deliver on the goals we committed to deliver on when we launched them in November of last year during the Capital Markets Day. With that, thanks again for your interest and for your active participation today, and hope that soon, sooner rather than later, we will see you again in person. Thanks, everyone.