Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining this webinar for our full year results that we published this morning with a press release and an investor presentation. Now, we intend to run through some of the slides of this investor presentation this afternoon, after which, we will be inviting some of the sell side analysts to ask us questions. That is the format for today. Now, we thought that it would actually be nice to start with a bit of the highlights of the key achievements that we have had in 2021 on our strategic journey. Dimitri will take us through that, and then I will take over and run through the full year results, Q4, outlook 2022, et cetera. Now, before we get started, maybe one last caution.
I've been asked by Dave to remind you to caution you that any forward-looking statements that we make that there is a disclaimer in the press release. Please have a look at that. With that, let me hand over to you, Dimitri, to run us through the key highlights on the strategy.
Thanks, Geraldine, and welcome to everybody on this call. Great to hear you later on, I hope. I would like to run you through a bit on progress we've made on our strategy, which I think we have communicated last year. Let me start with our Co-CEO statement in terms of 2021, with a few elements in the strategy. We talk about a pivotal year. We talk about the focused Health, Nutrition & Bioscience. We talked about our improved greenhouse gas target reductions, and we also talked about some of the innovation. I will quickly run them through with you. If you go to the next slide, I will summarize a little bit what we have seen in 2021, where we've accelerated our purpose-led performance delivery story.
It started with the fact that we've seen global food systems facing multiple challenges. This food system is not in balance. As you've known, we mentioned a few numbers at that time saying that 800 million people are malnourished, while two billion people are overweight in this today's world. Farming today is emitting more than 90%-20% of our greenhouse gases, and therefore, there is huge potential to innovate and to make farming more sustainable. That brings me to the second box. These food system challenges offers huge opportunities for DSM, innovation opportunities, solutions, offerings to our customers. Therefore, we have focused ourselves on health for people and health for planet.
By doing so, we've decided to become a fully focused health, nutrition, and bioscience company, and realign not only our strategy, but also our structure and also our culture. A fully aligned set of actions to implement that strategy going forward. Therefore, not because materials is not a good business, and you've seen today, again in the results, that materials is a fantastic business, but that we need to focus ourselves, and that if we want to continue the success of materials, it is best to look for a new best owner. We then go to the next slide, and this slide should be familiar to you. This is our strategy in a one-pager.
This is the most frequent used slide by Geraldine and myself, and I think it's also interesting to see that our management team, but even employees around the globe are using this slide to explain the strategy of DSM. I would like to highlight one specific point on this specific slide. I mean, I already indicated the food systems and the opportunities. I already indicated our food system commitments with the improved target setting on greenhouse gas. Why is this unique for us? We have a unique business model according to three muscles, global products, local solutions, and precision and personalization. Creating the third muscle to create a differentiating DSM for the 5-10 years to come. We can only do that because we have great people and a unique culture.
That is in the heart of what we're trying to achieve as a company, as DSM. Let me highlight a bit on the structure changes we've made. If you go to the next slide, we have announced that we're gonna create three business groups. In fact, those are active and effective beneficial general. Animal Nutrition & Health, a EUR 3.4 billion business group which will be focusing on health for the planet, radically more sustainable animal farming. A second business group, Health, Nutrition & Care, with the focus to keep the world's growing population healthy, health for people, EUR 2.5 billion business group.
The newly constructed Food & Beverage unit, not only to create health for planet and health for people, but also make sure that it's delicious, that it's tasty, and that human beings around the globe really like to create and have healthy food. That's a EUR 1.3 billion business group. If we then go to the next slide, alongside in alignment the structure to our strategy, we've also decided to fully integrate the innovations in the business group. You've seen that here. Remember, in the past, we had a separate DSM Innovation Center. We keep the competencies, we keep the research, but the innovation will be dedicated to the three business groups with the route to market to the customers and to the market dynamics.
For the innovation, we have decided to c reate a bit of priority setting, and we will create our innovation focus alongside precision, prevention, proteins, and pathways. This will be our guiding compass on where we will spend our science efforts to help the business groups to differentiate. I have just two slides on some of the examples on innovation. If you go to the next slide, you see a few of these examples which are linked to health for people. I'm not gonna dive into them one by one, but I think the most interesting I would highlight for this call today is supporting the immunity of people. What we see in today's world is that healthcare costs are rising.
What we see today in the world on COVID is that we are a bit preoccupied with how many people are going to the hospital.
Therefore, we need to spend more time, effort, and resources in preventing people going to hospitals. That also means that from a cost-effective perspective, that is far better money spent. Immunity, health for people, the link between healthy food and health as a human being is more and more important. We are developing and innovating products to boost that immunity. One of the elements are, for instance, vitamin D. I'm gonna show you a little bit the product which we've launched in the U.S., just a couple of months ago, it's called d.velop. It is a fast emerging and more effective D3, which is absorbed by your body, your metabolism, and therefore brings up your vitamin D level and boosts your immunity.
If you are interested in this product, then just send Dave Huizing a call, a quick email, and we'll make sure that you get a package. I'm taking it every day. I'm also measuring it, and it works perfectly well. Maybe on the next slide, some examples on health for planet. Here are our examples on Veramaris and Sustell, but I would like to spend a half a minute to a minute on Bovaer. I think we've made enormous progress over the last year. I think we've got Brazil and Chile registration approval. We've got EFSA, a positive opinion, and waiting for the formal approval of the EU. We've announced this large-scale production capacity, which will be planned in Dalry, and that will be by 2025. We've signed agreements with customers.
They are knocking on our door, and we signed agreements with JBS and with Fonterra. Enormous progress made on health for planet as well. Let's move from organic growth with innovation to inorganic growth, M&A. If you go to the next slide, normally, your first question is, "Hmm, Geraldine, Dimitri, how did these M&As contribute to your growth? Did they really deliver on the business case?" What we try to do here is for the acquisitions we've done in 2020, CSK, Glycom, and Erber. We basically have calculated the EBITDA at acquisition, EUR 115 million, and how much it contributed to the 2021 adjusted EBITDA. That is about EUR 150 million, which includes the synergies from DSM and the acquisition going forward. Definitely value adding M&As.
We will monitor and track them for all acquisitions, but I think this is a good proof of that we do acquisitions where we have value adding acquisitions. That has to do with the fact that every acquisitions we do, we check with our business model. It should contribute to either global products, local solution, or precision and personalization, or even better, it will contribute to all three muscles. We have a few of these acquisitions. For instance, Erber is contributing with mycotoxin absorbers on the global products, but also on the local solutions with this fast premix approach, across the globe. We also done a few acquisitions in 2021. If we go to the next slide, you see that the one which I would like to highlight is First Choice Ingredients. This will accelerate our growth in dairy flavors.
It is clean label, fermented dairy, and dairy-based flavoring offerings, which helps DSM in their solution process. We will add ingredients to First Choice Ingredients portfolio, which will help them to differentiate. We will use for regional multiplication. This is a U.S.-based, focus firm. We will use the global footprint, which we have as DSM, and we will add our bioscience capability. We've consolidated First Choice as of 18th of October last year, and it has a fantastic start in DSM with EUR 30 million sales and EUR 4 million adjusted EBITDA for the two and a half months they are with us. We go to the next slide. That's the latest acquisition. It has to do with Vestkorn Milling, Norway.
I'm very proud that we could add that to the DSM family, a leading producer of pea and bean-derived ingredients to build our plant-based proteins.
You know that it's a strategic area for us, and with CanolaPRO and with Vestkorn Milling, we're building that platform of plant-based derivatives bit by bit, step by step. If we hold for a second to give you a bit of background on the company as DSM. If you go to the next slide, we are a company which is linked to ESG, people, planet, profit. I would like to show you that in the next slide. If you go to the next slide, I would highlight a few of our improved ambitions. On scope one and two, our original ambition was to reduce 30% by 2030, and we beefed it up because we have developed a roadmap with evidence on to achieving that roadmap that we could now commit ourselves to 50% by 2030, coming from 30%.
Helped by additional targets on renewable energy. I think that is the way how DSM ops. We commit ourselves to targets. Not because we will see how we get there. No, we are a science-based target company who basically have a plan forward and then we commit. If we then go through another ESG performance index, indices for us. If you go to the next slide, it has to do with employee engagement. Many people have asked that, "Well, why do you measure the employee engagement and why is this an important element for an investor call?" I think it's an important element because our people make the difference.
We should have a good strategy, we could have a good set, but the engagement of employees is absolutely good key going forward, and I'm extremely proud, we are extremely proud that we had a 76% score of our employees in a very insecure and uncertain environment. What I'm also personally proud of is our safety index. It's the foundation of the company, safety, health, environment, and quality that we have scored a frequency index of 0.21. I can tell you that if you benchmark this, then if you are below 0.25, you're in the top notch of safety performance. Coming from 0.35 just a couple of years ago into 0.21 in the context of a lot of supply chain and operational pressure is a tribute to great work our company did. Then last but not least, the last slide.
This is one of the reasons why Geraldine and myself come out of bed early, and we are passionate about what we're doing at this company. It was certainly early this morning, and it's easier for Geraldine because she's an early morning person and not for me. Even today, I'm coming out of bed because we contribute to making the world slightly better. We have capabilities to help the transition of the food system to become more sustainable, to create a little bit more health for people and planet. That's why I'm extremely proud that with DSM, we've committed ourselves for setting the targets for 2030. As of next year, as of this year, we will also ask these systems, food system commitments, to be audited by our auditor, because this is not just a story.
This is a story where we commit ourselves, and we will ask auditors to report accordingly on if our numbers are the right numbers and whether we can be proud on progress, yes or no, like we do for our profit numbers. Talking about profit, talk about financials. Nice bridge to you, Geraldine. Here you go.
Thank you very much, Dimitri. Indeed, thank you for the big highlights. Now let's go into the numbers. By the way, if you get up in the morning, you get a fresh orange juice. Just this picture makes me thirsty looking at it. Packed with vitamins, natural ones. Now, going into the numbers. I think let's start with looking at the big picture. If you look at 2021, I think in all respects, we can say that it's been a very successful year. Firstly, in terms of nutrition businesses, we have delivered in line with our long-term ambitions, our midterm ambitions. If we think of materials, and we'll come back on all of this, but materials had an exceptional year. Very, very strong year. Not only because it's bouncing back from a COVID year, but also delivering growth over 2019.
We have also, in the process of the year, completed the divestment of our Resins & Functional Materials business and of AOC, which by the way, brought us to a net profit just short of EUR 1.7 billion for the year. Now, if I park those one-off gains, we still have a nice 21% increase in net profit for this year. Of course, importantly as well, in terms of cash generation, we delivered a 9% adjusted net operating free cash flow increase, in the context of, and I'll come back on this as well, a pretty difficult environment in which to optimize working capital. Of course, not listed here, all of the achievements and progress on our ESG targets and our food system commitments being in place.
Pretty much a good performance, even if I zoom out from the numbers that you see on this slide. Now when we look at Q4, and of course we will go into more details on this, we see the good business momentum that I just referred to keep going in Q4, both for nutrition and for materials. This is how we deliver this 13% organic sales growth and a 13% step up in EBITDA for the quarter. When it comes to inflation, which no doubt will be a topic for us today, we took very early actions which then enabled us to partly offset the inflation in our cost base in Q4, and then clearly set us up well for Q1, Q2, and going forward.
Now if we go down to the next slide, and have first a look at the overall nutrition picture. Now, as I said, a strong performance for nutrition, despite the fact that we had to navigate very complicated supply chain and logistics situations, we managed to deliver an 8% organic growth for the full year, driven, as you can see there, by 8% in volumes, predominantly on a full year basis. We also see strong contribution that Dimitri referred to from our acquisitions. They brought 4% growth, unfortunately, partly offset and pretty much fully offset in the first three quarters of the year by FX, but nonetheless, a really good contribution.
That leads us to an 8% step-up in EBITDA. Now looking at Q4 which of course is the new part of the puzzle, here what you see is the continued good momentum in volume. We see a 10% volume for nutrition overall in the quarter. This was really underpinned by continued good business conditions and exacerbated by some stocking, and I'll come back on that, linked to the fact that our customers have pretty much throughout the year preferred to hold higher inventory levels due to these uncertainties around supply and the complications in the value chain.
Now, importantly, for the quarter, of course, there is inflation, and you see here the margin coming in a bit lower in Q4 2021 versus prior at 18.9% versus 20.3% in Q4 last year, so a drop of 140 basis points. Now, when we look at this, it is actually made up of two elements. On the one hand, you see that we have a positive pricing. So as I said, we took rapid action to really address the inflationary environment. You see the + 4% here coming through already in Q4. Now, that creates actually a mathematical effect, you know, more top line for the same bottom line, and that mathematical effect is about half, so 70 basis points.
Now, we also, thanks to the big top line, had a positive volume leverage, but that wasn't sufficient to offset a time lag between pricing actions and those actually coming through versus the cost inflation. That time lag is about EUR 25 million for Q4. Put together, that's the other 70 basis points of drop in margin for Q4. I want to stress that actions have been taken in Q4 that will have effect in Q1, Q2, et cetera. Not everything is visible in Q4, and I'll comment a bit more to that as we go through. Maybe I'll take this opportunity to already comment on how we look at inflation going into 2022. Here, we are assuming an inflation in the order of about 5%.
The actions that we have taken and that we will continue to take will offset this inflation. We do not expect that in 2022 we will have a delta between the cost increase and the pricing and cost management as well. Basically, we can offset, which is why we are confident with the outlook that I'll comment on later of a high single-digit EBITDA growth. I do want, however, to flag that of course, that will require a higher organic growth and will have a mathematical effect on the margin, more top line in order to offset the inflation. That mathematical effect is probably gonna be about 60-70 basis points for the full year 2022. That's on the total nutrition. Maybe let me just comment then briefly on animal nutrition first.
Here, if we look first on the left, what kind of year has it been for animal nutrition? If we go down one slide, that's the one. This has been a year with strong volumes in animal nutrition. It's 10% volume growth throughout the year. Now, if you remember, partly that has to do with these higher inventory levels that we have actually seen in Q1, stayed in Q2, Q3, and stayed in Q4. There is here clearly still a bit of nervousness on the customer base, in terms of inventory levels. It is also linked to good business conditions. We've seen good business conditions in all species, although with particularly good growth in ruminants and poultry. From a geographical point of view, China and LatAm stand out.
Really a pretty good picture overall. Now, to the question that probably is in your mind of that 10% volume growth, then how much is that linked to, you know, stocking, to these high inventory levels? It's of course very difficult to know exactly, but we estimate that about 3% is a stocking effect, so embedded in that 10%. Now, if you look at the bottom part of the slide, you see there the Q4 numbers. This continued high volume that I mentioned, you see there with 11% volume. Again, you know, the inflationary environment reinforcing the tendency to hold higher levels of inventory. Importantly here, the number is the 7% price effect on animal nutrition.
You can see that we have been very proactive in responding to what has been actually a bit of an accelerated inflationary pressure in Q4, among others linked to the energy costs in Europe. We also took actions in Q4 that will actually benefit as of Q1 2022. That's the picture for animal nutrition. Now, before we drop to human nutrition, we go down one slide, a couple of nice highlights for the year. I won't comment on all of this slide because it's pretty self-explanatory, but I think it's nice to highlight that Erber, as Dimitri said, a very important acquisition for us, is now fully integrated and actually delivered some very good results, which is very helpful. Great developments on Bovaer, which have been mentioned already.
Maybe I'll highlight here, Sustell and Verax, two new offerings which are linked to our data-driven precision activities in animal nutrition, have actually recorded first sales in 2021, which is really nice. We're starting to build that third set of muscles, that Dimitri was referring to earlier. Now moving to human nutrition, going down one slide. Human nutrition, after a very good year, 2020, if you recall, has delivered once again some very nice numbers with an organic growth of 5% overall. And here I have to say it has been supported by pretty much all of the segments, whether it be Food and Beverage, Pharma, Medical, that certainly stand out.
In the case of Food & Beverage, we saw a combination of home-based consumption combined with a reopening, of course, of restaurants and a bit more food service activities, which was helpful. To the big question of how does dietary supplement hold up after such a big year in 2020? Well, it continued to grow. We see that the interest in not only immunity, but on the trend of staying healthy through what we eat, is pretty sticky. We don't expect actually that will go away, once everybody's vaccinated or we can look back at COVID. Now, the one segment of course, that has remained soft is Early Life Nutrition, and you've heard us say that throughout the year.
Now, if we look at Q4, we see there a 6% volume, which is a little on the high side, and a bit of pricing. When it comes to pricing in human nutrition, because of the contractual setup, it is harder for us to rapidly get prices through. Actions have been taken in Q4 that will benefit going into 2022. That's why we are confident that the time lag we saw in Q4 we will not see going forward. Also good to highlight that early life nutrition actually saw somewhat better conditions in Q4, particularly in North America, and Europe. Now, if we go to the next slide, here, I think actually all of these have been highlighted by Dimitri.
For the sake of time, let me not repeat, but maybe just comment on the picture. That is the HMOs. As you know, we got HMOs through the Glycom acquisition. While early life nutrition market conditions remained a bit challenging, we have taken the opportunity to introduce them into our i-Health products. Culturelle is our brand of probiotics, and you see here an example of Culturelle including HMOs. We've launched products for adults, for children, and also with indications on irritable bowel syndrome. That's gone very well and actually very fast, which was very nice. Now, a few words on Food Specialties if we move on to the next slide. Here, a very good year.
You see there a 9% volume-driven growth in the year, as I said, with actually good dynamics, whether it be in dairy, baking, brewing, savory, and this reopening of, you know, eating out of home, has certainly helped. In Q4, we saw actually a 15% volume step up. There is an element of stocking in there with quite a lot of nervousness around inflation, but also around security of supply. You know, a strong finish for Food Specialties. Here in terms of M&A and innovation, all items that have been commented on already. If we move to personal care. There we go. Try and get rid of the croaky voice. Personal Care and Aroma. If you remember in 2020, Aroma had done very well.
It continued to do well in 2021. You see there a strong 21% growth overall. We saw a recovery, more on the skincare side. Of course, during the heart of the pandemic, there was very little travel, and we did see a nice recovery post-lockdowns in that category, with Q4 actually ending very strong, with a 34% growth. Really, a nice development in personal care as well. Now, switching to materials. Here, as we said earlier, of course, a very strong year, and that is a very strong year versus 2020, which was a bit depressed. These numbers look very strong. Also, as you see, a step up versus 2019.
That is despite the fact that actually the segments that we serve with our materials businesses did not see a growth versus 2019. A very strong performance. This was helped by our operational efficiency and very reliable performance. We've been able to supply to our customers throughout the whole year. And as you know, there were a lot of force majeures in the space, and in places we were able to step in and assist our customers when they really needed it. In that sense, a very good performance. You see there from a step-up in EBITDA to 17% up versus 2019 for the full business. Now, a couple of comments on Q4. Here on the one hand, we see a normalization of the situation around force majeures, et cetera.
That is normalizing. Also Q4 last year was the first big quarter post-pandemic. This is why the 12% lower volumes, but this very effective team when it comes to pricing has managed to deliver, you know, an organic growth overall of 12% and a step-up of 19% in EBITDA. Very much a strong performance to end the year for our materials businesses. Now, couple of slides on core financials. First in terms of capital employed, working capital. When you actually look at the ratios of working capital to sales, they have improved versus 2020, which is good. Now, this has been helped by the strong top line. We did, of course, take a prudent approach when it comes to working capital.
Because of the supply chain and logistics disruptions, it is not a year where we particularly emphasize optimizing that. It was much more about securing the ability to serve our customers. Nonetheless, a good performance. Our ROCE improved as a group, and that is helped by a very strong performance in materials while the ROCE in nutrition is diluted by the M&A effect. That is quite a big M&A effect of about 4% on the ROCE of nutrition. Now, dropping to or going to the next slide. Here, a couple of comments on our balance sheet. Our net debt closed at about EUR 1 billion at the end of 2021, which is down from EUR 2.6 billion.
This is driven by two things, a good operating performance, so good operating free cash flow, and the fact that, of course, we also had the proceeds of the divestments coming in this year. A very healthy balance sheet. We propose a dividend increase of EUR 0.10 to EUR 2.50, which keeps us in our dividend policy. We want stable, preferably rising dividends, but with a payout ratio in the range of 40%-50%, and this is about 50% payout ratio. Last but not least, the outlook for 2022. If we go to the slide that comes next, you see the text that's in our press release. For 2022, we expect our health, nutrition, and bioscience activities.
You see here that we're reflecting in our wording the new structure that Dimitri just described. For HNC, we expect to deliver a high single-digit adjusted EBITDA increase. While for the group, we expect a mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA increase and a high single-digit adjusted net operating free cash flow increase. That reflects the fact that we expect a stable EBITDA performance for our materials businesses, given the very strong performance in 2021. With that, I think we are now going to switch to the Q&A. That's Dave, do I go back to you?
Yeah. That's good for a moment, maybe for the break that we switch from one to the other. Good afternoon. Indeed, we are now going to bring the sell-side analyst to the party. Like in September, technically, we're going to do this Q&A session via an audio webcast. By the way, for the sell-side who have not yet registered, you can still do so via the link on the website. As a heads-up to them, there is a small time delay between the audio webcast and the live Zoom meeting. Don't get disturbed. That's normal. Yeah. For everybody else in the Zoom meeting, you can simply stay where you are and listen to the Q&A. As I see that we have some people in the queue for the audio webcast, I think I can already hand over to the operator.
Operator, can we start?
Thank you, Mr. Huizing. First of all, I would like to request the Q&A participants to dial star one to register for questions. Please press star one on your telephone if you have a question or remark. Go ahead. Our first question is from Mr. Matthew Yates of Bank of America. Go ahead, sir. Your line is open.
Hey, thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. A couple of questions, please. The first one, I wondered if you could give us some further insight into your typical contract structures. I'm interested to what extent you have automatic pass-through clauses, versus the need for more bilateral negotiations. Appreciate you distinguishing between the mechanical dilution and the timing lag. I'm just curious whether we should be thinking that lag is closer to three months or 12 months. The second question is around capital allocation. Geraldine, you said returns in nutrition fell about 4% because of the acquisitions. Dimitri went through sort of slide number 10 on the contribution from acquisitions and the synergies you've got from them. Obviously, with a potential sale of materials, it's conceivable you're gonna have an awful lot of capital to recycle.
I'd just be interested to hear a little bit more about the example of these recent deals and the extent to which you can give some sort of case studies, how you drove revenue cross-selling or where you've taken cost out. Thank you.
Dimitri, do you wanna start with the contract structures?
Pleasure. Hi, Matthew. Good to hear you. Let me run you through a bit the contract structure. It depends a little bit, like Geraldine alluded to, per business, and by the way, per customer and per segment. I will not make life easier for you because it's not as simple as it is. However, the big components are that Animal Nutrition & Health works with quarterly contracts. Not all of them, but quarterly contracts. That's also why you see a 7% price increase already in Q4. We expect that to continue for quarter one going forward. Part of the Animal Nutrition & Health contracts are also pass-through elements. As you know, we also source products which go into the premix, and that goes almost automatically. With some of the customers, that's a formulation.
Some of the customers, it's a formulation with a time lag. By the way, that time lag works a little bit against the EBITDA margin the moment that the raw material prices are going up, but it also works for you the moment that the raw material prices go down. If you look at this from a strategic perspective, it doesn't really matter. From a Health, Nutrition, and Care perspective, those are a bit more longer-term contracts. Those are on average more yearly contracts. By the way, we have multi-year contracts, but then we also do joint innovation, joint development. We also have yearly contracts where there are formula-based pricing, and we have yearly contracts which basically are being redefined almost on a monthly basis.
If you look at that basket, to generalize it, to make it simple for you, animal nutrition has more a quarterly flavor. Health, nutrition, and care has more of a yearly flavor, but with all the details I just mentioned, it is not completely true. Last but not least, you also have an opportunity to bring in your incoterms a change because the moment that logistics and freight are going up, obviously you're not gonna quote CIP or DDP. You're gonna quote either free on board or ex works, right? That's also a card you can play. Overall, very happy with the step-up in quarter four on animal nutrition. Very confident that you will see health, nutrition, and care stepping up the pricing as of Q1.
We expect about 2/3 of that and then another 1/3 in quarter two. I hope that gives a bit of color. Back to you, Geraldine, for, I think, capital allocation.
Yeah, it was a capital allocation. Matthew, I think I understood your question, which is around, you know, with capital being released and could be invested, where do we get the synergies in terms of the acquisitions and what kind of value creation we are looking for. Here, of course, we can go through each and every acquisition because they all have their own story. I think Dimitri referred to, for instance, the growth of Erber. Here, clearly, we were a supplier to Erber. Erber was a supplier to us. We're combining our footprints. There's been a lot of synergy already achieved, and that's where you see on our slide the growth in EBITDA since acquisition is very clear.
We also have, for instance, First Choice, which is one of the more recent acquisition, the dairy flavors. They are very strong in the U.S. We have a global footprint. That's another example of how we drive synergies. Glycom was one of them, by leveraging our segments, away from early life, but also to dietary supplements. Every time, and I hope it came across in Dimitri's comments of when we look at how we deploy capital in acquisitions, we always look at how does it add to our three sets of muscles. Is it more in the global product space? Is it more in the local solutions or in the precision personalization, which we are building over time. Now our capital allocation policy per se is not changed.
As you know, we prioritize organic growth first and foremost. We want a very strong commitment on dividend, which we are honoring. We want, you know, we wanna continue to see how we can build this Health, Nutrition & Bioscience platform that's very unique. Fourthly, you know, should we not find the right assets at the right valuations with the right synergy value creation, then of course, returning some cash is always an option. I don't know whether I've addressed your question properly.
You both did. That was very, very clear. Thank you so much.
Okay. Thanks, Matthew.
Our next question is from Miss Nicola Tang of Exane BNP Paribas. Go ahead, your line is open.
Hello, everyone, and thanks for taking my questions. Firstly, thanks for quantifying the potential stocking effect in animal. That's helpful. I was just wondering whether you're seeing any signs of destock yet, because it seems like these logistics uncertainties might actually continue for quite a while. I was just wondering what you think might trigger a potential destock. The second question was around the cost inflation. Again, thanks for quantifying the 5%. I was wondering if you could clarify what exactly this is covering. You know, is this your estimation around, you know, raws, energy, logistics, et cetera? Maybe you could break out a little bit in terms of what you're seeing in each of those buckets. That would be helpful. Thanks.
Okay. Hi, Nicola, by the way. Dimitri, do you wanna start with the destocking, and I'll take the inflation?
Yep, let's do that. Nicola, thanks for that question. It's a bit of a difficult answer to give, but like I would like to give some color because the question on destocking. Remember that in 2021 we always said there is stocking in the chain, maybe some destocking will happen. It didn't happen in 2021, so everything I say about 2022 has proven me wrong in 2021. So I'm slightly more cautious in forecasting destocking. What you do see is that I think in the current environment where supply chain interruptions cause a little bit of uncertainty throughout the value chain, not only on logistics and freights, but also some of the ingredients.
You need to be aware that in Animal Nutrition & Health, premix is absolutely key, and premix consists sometimes of more than 10 ingredients. If you miss one ingredient, then it's very, very difficult to come with a solution. People are insecure, and have also seen in the animal nutrition space that a reliable supply chain is absolutely important. DSM stood out over 2021 because in all fairness, we have an internal target, which is about OTIF. It's On Time In Full, that's the rate. The higher the percentage, the higher percentage of the orders you delivered on time and in full. That OTIF rate went down in 2021, but our net promoter score, so the feedback we got from customers on how we did in terms of performance went up.
It's also a relative game. I think it's fair to say that we've done relatively very well on that, on that credibility and reliability of supply chain. To your question, when will destocking happen? We don't know. It also has to do with the fact that I think the animal nutrition value chain got to appreciate that a reliable supply is worth value. I think it could very well be that we will, for the longer term benefit from that. That's more speculation, that is just maybe also a bit of visual thinking from my side. All in all, I don't think I will give you the right answer you want to expect, but we have to see quarter by quarter.
You also need to see that it's very difficult to forecast because Animal Nutrition & Health also has a bit of seasonality in their pattern, right? Normally, quarter four is a quarter which is pretty good. Quarter one is a bit lower in terms of total sales, by the way, in Health, Nutrition & Care that normally is the other way around. To predict that with seasonality at play is a bit difficult. I know it's an unsatisfying answer, but it's the truth.
Thanks, Dimitri. Coming back to the inflation. I mentioned indeed looking forward into 2022, we estimate about 5% of inflation that is on our cost of goods sold, broadly speaking. If you do the math, we're looking here roughly EUR 200 million, around that, to be offset. Now within that, it's very difficult to be super specific in the different categories. As you know, we saw, for instance, the logistics costs were already inflated last year, but it kept on building. Energy costs, of course, in Europe has been a big topic since Q4, at times more than doubling. Now, you know, with on top of that, the uncertainty around Ukraine and Russia, it doesn't help calm people's nerves.
It's a bit of a blend in terms of the COGS, but that's what I was referring to was 3%, which is broadly EUR 200 million. I hope that helps.
Yeah. That's 5.5%, right? Concentration.
5%. Yeah.
Yeah. Thank you.
Following question is from Mr. Martin Roediger of Kepler Cheuvreux. Go ahead, your line is open.
Yes, thanks. I have two questions. First one on nutrition. Within nutrition, there is one business line called others, which is kind of customer manufacturing for pharmaceuticals. When I do the math, I think this activity shrank quite significantly in full year 2021 and in Q4 even more. Can you shed some light on the background for this development? Secondly, on the tax rate, a couple of countries recently agreed to the minimum tax rate, including Switzerland, and I know you have a big production hub in Switzerland. Does this decision have an impact on your tax rate going forward? If so, what is your best guess for your tax rate in 2022 and beyond?
Hi, Martin. Thank you for joining us. Let me start with the tax rate. We closed the year sort of at 19.2%, I think, if I'm not mistaken, and this is very much in line with our current guidance of 19%-20%. Now, what you're referring to are all the Pillar One, Pillar Two OECD discussions around minimum tax rates. This still has a bit of a way to go in terms of actual implementation beyond just the principle of agreeing on a minimum tax rate.
What we're seeing is that this will most likely drift us up a bit, but it's not yet quantified exactly by how much, and I would doubt that it is in 2022 or even 2023, looking at the current implementation timetables that we are seeing. It's not as, you know, all of our profit goes through Switzerland, and particularly with the acquisitions that we have done and our global geographical footprint, we are much more mixed bag. But there will be a bit of a drift upwards to be quantified. Dimitri, do you wanna comment on other nutrition?
Yeah. I'm not 100% sure what you mean with other nutrition, but there is some tolling we do for some partners here and there. I assume it's part of that other nutrition, but I'm not 100% sure what you're referring to.
Yes.
Yeah.
That's right.
Yeah. That is some special events we do. We produce in some of our sites, and it's more linked into production and some of the site streams, and we report that under other nutrition, but it's relatively small. That's why it's reported as such.
The reason why it came down significantly, especially in Q4?
That basically is done with sort of a yearly volume contract, and then basically they only take the yearly volume contract, so it fluctuates per takeoff. It's just a yearly volume, and then they call it off depending on the quarter.
Okay, thanks.
Yep.
Our next question is from Mr. Andrew Stott of UBS. Go ahead, your line is open.
Yeah, good afternoon. Hi, Geraldine. Hi, Dimitri. Hi, Dave. So a couple of questions. The first one is probably an ambitious question, but I'll try, see where I can get. Is there anything you can say about the disposal program or programs, plural, interest levels, timetables, anything at all you can share? Similar question on acquisitions. Maybe a flavor of the opportunities out there. Generally, is there, has there been any change with recent events on valuations, so recent events being Bonumose? And a question I should have asked last September, frankly, is it easy for you, from a management capacity standpoint, to run both programs simultaneously, so the disposals and the acquisitions? Or do we think about a gap between the two? Sorry, that's a long first question.
Second question is, hopefully a bit more straightforward and a short answer. When do you think you'll be back to 20%+ EBITDA margins for nutrition?
Andrew, that is indeed a long first question. Let me first comment on the margin, and then we will bundle a bit of an answer around the M&A, you know, portfolio changes. When it comes to margin, I should have actually said it upfront, but what we expect because of the mathematical effect on 2022, we expect our margin to be for nutrition broadly in line with 2021. What you see is we fully offset the inflation costs with the higher top line, but that 60-70 basis points will be there. Now how long is it gonna take for that to unwind?
We will have to see over time, but it doesn't impact the quality of our earnings, and it doesn't impact the growth in our earnings, which is, you know, the most important element. Now, to your question, and I will let Dimitri comment on timing. In terms of managerially handling both acquisitions and divestments and carve-outs, we have, of course, done a lot of work in 2021 to get ourselves ready. In September, when we talked about, you know, the shifting to the three new business groups, we also did a lot of work in all of the functions to not only adjust it to this new setup for Health, Nutrition & Bioscience, but also to basically have a more dedicated support for Materials, so as to give us strategic optionality.
That is extremely helpful as well going forward because that is quite heavy lifting, if I'm honest. Then the other thing that we've been very mindful of when it comes to managerial bandwidth with acquisitions is to not have too many acquisitions falling on the same business within the group, which we in the past had been guilty of. In terms of both geographies and business, a lot fell on human nutrition North America, for example. This time, as you saw, we've got some who are in food specialties, we've got Erber in animal nutrition, et cetera, Glycom in HNC. You know, it's a little bit how much can the different parts of the organization absorb. Dimitri, would you like to comment to the timing and the interest?
You always leave the nice questions to me on timing. Andrew, good to hear your voice, always a pleasure. Let me say a few things on. Before I say something on timing, building on what Geraldine said on how we can handle disposal and acquisitions, be aware that Helen Mets in our executive committee is responsible for materials, so she takes that basically on our behalf of Geraldine and myself, and then we have Patrick Niels, Ivo Lansbergen, and Philip Eykerman heading the three business groups, who are looking at growth and M&A. I think we are. Because of the structure, strategy structure, I think we're well-positioned. Then to materials. Yeah, basically, it's an open question, so thank you for that.
I can also stay away from something that I don't want to tell. I'm gonna tell a little bit what hopefully brings a little bit light on it. When we announced it in September, we said this will not be a process of months, but it will not be a process of years either. Within that time schedule, we're still on track. I still can confirm it will not be a process of months, but it will not be a process of years either. What did we do in the meantime? As we have communicated, we have put materials a bit on arm's length, so that the moment that we look for a divestment, we could easily transition that instead of start thinking about that arm's length positioning. So that we have finalized.
Beginning January, we have the effective structure of the three business groups and Materials on arm's length. In terms of timetable, I can tell you that we will immediately communicate to you all the moment that we have signed the deal. That's a promise. By the way, that's also responsibility and also statutory responsibility, but I will certainly confirm we will stick to that. In terms of interests, well, that's an interesting one because Materials was always been looked for for many partners in the chain already far before we announced that we were looking at a new best owner for Materials. That has been elevated by the fact that we made the announcement in September. People were knocking on our door.
They were refreshing the knock on our door just to remember that we still remember them. We told them, "Yeah, yeah, you're still on our list." I can tell you that with the current 2021 results, I think the interests even have been more positive than that people would say, "Hmm, what is this for a business?" I think the 2021 results shows that it's a really good business, and it also shows that, for us, looking for a new best owner was not because it was not a good business. It was basically because we felt that our focus on health, nutrition, and bioscience deserve the materials businesses to continue to grow under a new ownership. That's where we are, and that's a bit on color on your open question.
I hope it nevertheless gives a bit of a direction of timing, interest, and how you look at it.
Yeah. Thanks, Dimitri. Sorry, can I just follow up very quickly, Geraldine? The comment you made on the margin, you said. I just wanted to double-check I heard correctly. You said FY 2022 is similar to FY 2021, so the 20.6% is the reference?
That's right. Yeah.
You didn't commit to getting there in Q1 necessarily, correct?
No, we give guidance on the full year. We'll have
Yep.
This quarter. Yeah.
This is including a mathematical effect.
Exactly. That's because we're factoring in the 60-70 basis points of mathematical.
Yep.
Unavoidable. I mean, one should expect, of course, an organic growth, which is a bit above our normal midterm guidance, because we're gonna see a higher pricing effect within that. That's why the margin picks up that effect.
Got it. Thank you very much.
Mm-hmm.
Our next question is from Miss Isha Sharma of Stifel Europe. Go ahead please. Your line is open.
Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one is around the innovation pipeline. I appreciate the details that you gave us last year, but could you help us with your expectations on Bovaer, Veramaris, and Stevia in the next two to three years? Is it fair to assume that any meaningful contribution from Bovaer first comes only in 2025, after the commissioning of the plant? My second question is on acquisition. Are you happy with how the margin at Erber has developed? Looking at the 25%-26%, is it a sustainable margin that we can assume going forward?
Thank you for joining the call. In one short question, you asked a very big question which is the potential of a whole long list of our innovation projects. But let me already give some, and then, Dimitri de Vreeze, I'll hand over to you for others. Let me maybe start with Bovaer. And indeed, there was a lot of positive news on the second half of 2021, whether it be the regulatory approval in Brazil and Chile, which led to an MoU with JBS, for instance, the positive advice from EFSA and that, you know, we have good reasons to believe will be ratified, you know, this year for sure. And in terms of that opens the door to commercialization. Now, we have some sales to JBS because they're starting pilots.
We have MoUs with quite a lot of customers who are knocking on the door. We do have in place sufficient production to start the commercialization phase. Now, you know, it's one thing to get the regulatory clearance, but then you have to start moving all of this. What we're doing is pretty much building to about EUR 100 million of sales by 2025, by which time, you're absolutely right, Dalry, that we announced in the autumn, we're working on, it's a big plant, so it needs to be built and commissioned. From the moment that Dalry is up and running, the ramp-up can be, you know, at a very different pace. That's broadly where we are.
The full potential of Bovaer we keep at about EUR 1 billion-EUR 2 billion for now because we know that the commercialization phase will take some efforts. The absolute potential is actually bigger because of, you know, if we go from dairy plus beef, plus, you know, broadening the geographies versus our initial estimates. For now we like to hold the one to two billion. Hopefully that gives you some color in terms of, you know, between now and 2025. Maybe when we look at I'm not sure whether you mentioned Veramaris, but when it comes to Veramaris-
I did.
Yep.
Yeah.
Here the joint venture is, you know, with the capacity that we have, is all about targeting EUR 150 million sales for the JV. That is, you know, within the years to come as we ramp up. When it comes to Avansya, here we are building gradually, you know, towards hopefully about EUR 100 million by 2025, but that is very dependent on how the big soft drink players move on the products. At least that's some of the key numbers. Maybe if I wrap it up a bit in terms of the pipeline, because here we've picked out a few, you know, of the big tickets.
when we look at our innovation pipeline, how we like to quantify it is that we wanna be delivering between 2021 and 2025 about 1.5% of revenues and 2.5% of extra EBITDA from our innovations. that is the scale. here, it's not just the big tickets, it's also the whole pipeline and the platforms, the four Ps that you may remember from our Capital Markets Day, with all of the growth platforms embedded in there.
Right. Thank you very much.
Okay. I've forgotten your second question.
Erber. It's on Erber.
Oh, Erber. Do you wanna take that? Mm-hmm.
Before I go to Erber, maybe just to conclude on the innovation tickets, I think Geraldine said it very well. We focus at some of the key areas. Bovaer is on dairy, but there's opportunity on beef. Veramaris focuses on salmon, but there's opportunity on cat and on shrimp. Avansya is focusing on the low-calorie sweetener, but we also will get sugar replacement. It's not only the big ticket itself, but it also opens the next door. I hope you understand that the next door is a bit far away, so we try to stay focused on where we are with the big tickets. On Erber, obviously very happy with the results, EUR 86 million EBITDA.
This is including synergy from what we brought to Erber, but Erber also brought synergy to us. This is a really specialty area. I hope you appreciate that we don't give guidance on all types of segments in itself. We give guidance for the whole company. But nevertheless, I think it's fantastic to see that Erber nicely fitted in into what we hoped they would fit in. I think that's also the beauty of doing the M&A trajectory, a bit what I said earlier in my presentation. In the past, sometimes we did acquisitions which were a bit more adjacent. We now do acquisitions, like Geraldine said, with fits in that unique business model.
We always have an anchoring point, either on the global products or on the local solutions or on the region. That makes integration a lot of hard work. In terms of risk profile, there's a good landing spot. I think we've seen that for CSK, we've seen that for Glycom, and we've seen that for Erber.
Thank you so much.
Our next question is from Mr. Chetan Udeshi of JP Morgan. Go ahead, your line is open.
Yeah. Hi. Thanks. I just wanted to come back to that slide where you showed the EBITDA contribution from acquisitions over the last three years. I was just curious if you had some returns number from those acquisitions. I calculate it to be about 5.5%-6%. Like in terms of progress with the return on capital employed or generating returns through those acquisitions, any color on that metric? Like, in general, can you remind us what is the sort of framework you guys use to evaluate the value creation from acquisitions on financial metrics?
Mm-hmm.
A related question was, you know, within the guidance on nutrition of sort of mid- to high-single-digit, I think now it's high-single-digit, apologies, earnings growth, how much of that is, you know, M&A contribution that we should have in mind on average, per year within that number? Or is that number entirely organic? Thank you.
Okay. Maybe to your first question on M&A, of course, it's always the question comes often of what kind of return do you expect on each and every acquisition, and they are very different in nature. If you look at Midori, for example, it has a lot of innovation in there. It has a much longer ambition in the eubiotics gut health space. Whereas an Erber acquisition here, what we have is a very much up and running scaled very synergetic business. Of course, they tend to have, you know, a different ambition. What we see is that therefore even the multiple varies. If I take a very simple math of Erber's EBITDA of 2021 versus how much we paid, it's about 10x-11x .
When you look at more sort of future looking acquisitions, that tends to vary. It's very difficult to give you a very generic answer to what kind of capital employed do we expect, particularly in a short timeframe. What we do try to do, however, is to make sure that we have a healthy mix in our acquisition portfolio of up and running businesses. First Choice is a very good example of that, very much operating, very well established with customers and those that are, you know, building onto the future and complementing our innovation. If we take Vestkorn, it's not a very sizable one, but it very nicely complements, for instance, CanolaPRO, our, you know, rapeseed plant-based protein that will be coming to commercial production in 2022.
It's a little bit, I have to say, case by case. When it comes to the outlook, it is an outlook that includes the contribution of acquisitions, so the high single-digit EBITDA growth. In here I think we have got about EUR 20 million for First Choice and for Vestkorn included in that. 1.5%-2% coming from M&A. Probably, I think one question that has been coming in was the assumption on foreign exchange. Probably good to flag that on foreign exchange, if we take into effect the hedges, because we do hedge half of our exposures, we expect a neutral FX. Whereas if you look at it at first you may think of a tailwind, but it's actually more neutral overall.
Thank you.
We have no further questions. Please continue.
Okay.
We have one question coming through now from Mr. Fernand de Boer of Degroof Petercam. Go ahead.
Yes, good afternoon. It's Fernand de Boer from Degroof Petercam. One question from my side. I thought that in the second half of 2021, you took some EUR 54 million restructuring charges. Could you a little bit elaborate where that was for? And if then, what could you expect as we probably also will see organizational changes or you already implemented as per the first of January the new organizational structure. Is that then foreseen in terms of restructuring charge or could we expect more in 2022?
Thank you very much for the question. Indeed, as was alluded to when Dimitri reminded everyone of what we announced in September 2021 was a year of quite a big reshuffle internally and reorganization. Now, overall, that does unfortunately attract some costs. If I look at the full year costs and break it down, we have about 30% of that is actually linked to the carve-out of Resins & Functional Materials. As you imagine, when a big chunk of business goes, you have to address the hanging costs. You can align that with the gain on disposal that we recorded as we dispose of that business. It comes with the game. About 20%. That 30% is the carve-out for resins.
20% is actually linked to preparing materials and making it more what we call a dedicated support. It's basically disentangling some of the functional support. It's also about putting R&D and innovation in the right place. That is another 20%, and that leaves us with another half. Here we've done a combination of things. We have done programs which are really linked to driving efficiency. We know from experience that that needs to be done. Any time you do a reorganization, you have to embed an efficiency improvement, and that is gonna help us absorb basically some of this inflationary pressure that is coming in in 2022. We also have the tilting to the three business group and in particular the creation of the Food & Beverage division.
There's gonna be also some synergy benefit from having repositioned our businesses much better aligned with the markets and set up in a much more effective way. That's a bit why did we spend quite a lot on reorganization in 2021. Now, looking into 2022, there will be some carryover because of the timing of these things. You may, you know, do the work, but the impact comes a bit later. We're probably looking at EUR 40-ish million in 2022 to complete some of these programs which have been set up and designed in 2021, but still to be finalized.
If I look at the past six years, I think you on average had more than EUR 18 million of restructuring costs. Normally speaking, that should be going to EUR 40 million going forward. Is that the right assumption then, as you said, just said EUR 40 million for 2022?
That is broadly, I mean, this year.
Okay.
Yeah, it was a big year. We always are a bit cautious with guidance because we react also to market circumstance. We need to never sort of say, "This is done and we're done for the next five years." Given how much has been achieved and put in place in 2021, that's what we would expect.
Okay. Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, if there are any further questions or remarks, you can still press star one now on your telephone. Star one for questions or remarks. Go ahead, please.
Yeah. Operator, if of course the queue is empty, as we saw the previous one, I think we can close off this conference. Geraldine, shall we do that?
Yes, I think indeed. Thank you all for joining us. We also want to be mindful of your time. I hope this webcast has been helpful. As you know, Dave and the team are always there for any follow-up questions that you may have. Now, to round off, I think fair to say that 2021 was really very much of a pivotal year for us as a company, not only because of the creation of the new three divisions, you know, setting a strategic review for materials, but also with some very significant steps in our innovation progress that we've discussed. We look back at 2021 with a lot of gratitude to all of our colleagues for their perseverance in very complicated markets and supply chains.
We stay fully alert going forward, among others, given the inflation context. With that, I thank you very much, and we close the call.