Envipco Holding N.V. (AMS:ENVI)
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May 6, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q4 2025

Mar 11, 2026

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Good morning, everyone, and a very warm welcome to Q4 2025 results presentation from Envipco. My name's Simon Bolton, Group CEO, and I'm joined by two colleagues, Mikael Clement, Chief Strategy & IR Officer, and also welcome back to our old friend, Bob Lincoln, President of the U.S. and responsible for the very important U.K. and Irish markets. Maybe before we get into the presentation, just to say that you will have seen the announcement. This will be my last quarterly report. I'm stepping down at the end of April. Personal decision. While 2025 was a transitional year, you'll see the exciting future that this business has. It's been an honor and pleasure to lead the business, and also thanks for your continued interest and engagement in the business.

I know many of you have followed the business for many years and hope that support, interest continues in the future. Okay. Let's talk about Q4. Again, 2025 overall was a transitional year as some of our existing markets were being delivered and some of the new markets, which started, had yet to really ramp up. Revenue EUR 23.8 million, year-over-year 27% lower. Gross margin, that was impacted by continued investments and also some one-off items which Mikael will take you through in a little bit more detail. Overall for the quarter, we had EBITDA of EUR 0.7 million, which included EUR 4.1 million in other income, and we exited the quarter and the year with a healthy cash balance of EUR 60 million.

We continue to make targeted, long-term investments in the business, and this results in delivery. We continued operationally to build our share in Romania. We're now up to about 40%. Brownfield markets are also exciting, and we have a little bit more detail later, but we continue to build into Netherlands, working with Statiegeld Nederland and also some key retail customers. We continue to invest in product development and technology. We had two really exciting product launches recently. Great excitement in EuroShop when we showed these a few weeks ago, and Bob will go through some of those in more detail. We continued to invest and develop our employees.

We exited with 529 in terms of number of employees, and we also launched the Envipco Academy, which supports development and growth of staff. As we become a larger and more complex business, that's important. For those who maybe just joined us, Envipco is a global recycling technology business. We've been doing this about 40 years, and we are focused in the recovery of beverage containers. That's what we do, that's what we've done since the beginning, and that's what we'll do in the future. In this segment, there is an unprecedented growth opportunity driven by legislation, particularly the EU Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation targets 90% recovery by 2029. What does that mean?

There's about 120,000 reverse vending machines, the equipment that accepts the bottle, operating in the market, and it's taken 40 years to deliver those units. In the next five years, about 200,000 more will be needed. This multi-billion dollar/euro market is where we're active in. We continue to invest in products, technology and our platforms delivered with an increasingly experienced and seasoned team, and ultimately that will drive revenue and profitability, which we are very excited about. Now with more detail for the financial review, let me hand over to Mikael.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

I'll start out with the P&L as usual. Group revenues in Q4 2025 were EUR 23.8 million, down 27% year-over-year from a very strong Q4 2024. The prime driver behind the decline are lower European RVM sales, as existing markets are increasingly maturing and also largely due to Greece, which has been a very important market for Envipco over the last few years, is preparing toward a DRS launch. Gross margins 25.1% in the quarter, adjusted for non-recurring items 32.3%. I'll come back to that in a later slide. OpEx EUR 11.1 million, flat year-over-year, reflecting continued investments in the organization. Our head count is down slightly this quarter from Q3.

In addition, we had other income of EUR 4.1 million, stemming from the reversal of parts of the earn-out provisions from the Sensibin acquisition. EBITDA this quarter EUR 0.7 million, down from EUR 4.6 million in Q4 2025. For the year, revenues were EUR 90.4 million, down 18%. Key driver, once again, are lower European RVM sales, largely explained by lower revenues in Greece and other maturing markets, together with the delayed launch of DRS and activity in Poland and Portugal. Gross margin for the year, 33.3% down from 37.1% last year. Adjusted for the non-recurring items, gross margins for the year were in excess of 35%.

Operating costs for the year increased by 8% to EUR 41.8 million, with EBITDA ending at EUR 1.2 million. Europe in Q4, EUR 15 million revenues, down more than 35% year-over-year. I've touched upon some of the key drivers here. It's lower RVM sales, key driver. RVM sales EUR 12.7 million, close to half what it was in Q4 2024 at EUR 24.8 million. We did have our first Poland deliveries in Q4, offsetting some of the declines in other markets, existing markets. We had very positive development in both Sweden and the Netherlands, while Greece, Hungary, and Romania were down year-over-year.

Romanian revenues have been pretty stable through 2025, and Q4 is no exception, but Q4 2024 was very strong, so the year-over-year comparison is down. Program services in Q4 were EUR 2.3 million. North American revenues in 2025 were flat year-over-year for the year as a whole. In Q4, revenues of EUR 8.7 million were down 3%. Adjusting for the weaker dollar, the North American revenues were up by 5%. Key explanatory factor, as you know, program services make up the lion's share of revenues in North America. Program services were down 13% year-over-year to EUR 6.9 million, largely driven by volume declines but also some material pricing effects.

RVM sales this quarter, EUR 1.9 million, a pickup from where it's been in the last few quarters on replacement sales and new sales into existing customer accounts. A comment on the gross margin. The gross margin this quarter reported at 25.1%. This includes some non-recurring items. Adjusted for this, the gross margin underlying was 32.3%. The non-recurring items can be divided largely into two key components. One, explaining around 2/3 of this, are inventory provisions on end-of-life products. What we have, we've replaced the leasing portfolio gradually in specifically in the North American markets. We've done quite a bit of product innovations, which has led to some obsolete parts inventory in our business. This has been adjusted this quarter.

The remaining parts are explained by some year-end true-ups as we harmonize our positions across the entire organization. 32.3% adjusted margin still reflects an increase in our service personnel and a low utilization in our assembly facilities in Europe primarily. As a result of the lower revenues. Operating costs, as mentioned, flat year-over-year at EUR 11.1 million. We exit the quarter with 529 employees, down five employees from Q3. We have EUR 4.1 million in other income from the reversal of parts of the earnout provision.

We will continue to maintain a disciplined approach to manage our operating costs, investing, to make sure that we are positioned towards new markets, but also, managing this in relation to the activity levels. Over to the balance sheet. Not very large changes in the fourth quarter. The total balance sheet is down slightly on a reduction in working capital. Our working capital is down by roughly EUR 5 million, driven by both the reduction in inventory levels and accounts receivables. In addition, our trade creditors are up slightly. On the equities and liabilities side, a reduction in our borrowings explains the change from Q3 to Q4.

Balance sheet total, EUR 159 million, down from EUR 165 million, and we exit the quarter with EUR 59.9 million in cash, down from EUR 62.7 million in Q3. The cash flow in Q4 started out the quarter with EUR 62.7 million. A working capital release added EUR 4.9 million, offset by investments, EUR 4.1 million, driven by CapEx in excess of EUR 3 million and some capitalized R&D at EUR 1 million this quarter. Repayment of borrowings at -EUR 3.5 million. Ending the quarter with EUR 59.9 million in cash. For the year, starting out with EUR 30.7 million in cash, working capital build of EUR 9.7 million, largely explained by lower receivables.

CapEx total, both our CapEx and capitalized R&D at EUR 9 million, relatively flat with the previous year, and then plus EUR 47.9 million in cash flow from financing, largely explained by the private placement in Q3. With that, I would like to give the word on to Bob.

Robert Lincoln
President of the Americas, Envipco

Thank you, Mikael. Hello, and good morning to everyone. I am gonna spend a bit of time on the product portfolio, particularly to give some insight on how we're positioning our products, to win quite large RFPs, not just in the U.K., but in Poland. If you look at our product portfolio, it's very broad. We go from very small applications in convenience stores to medium-sized convenience stores to the middle tier, which are traditional supermarkets, all the way up to maxi stores with our backroom systems, and of course, you know, the Quantum, which has proven to be the gold standard in bulk feed technology. A couple of these products are very critical as we move through these large RFPs, particularly that are near-term in the U.K. First off, the Compact product.

Now, our team in the UK has mapped every single store throughout the UK, and 75% of the store count in that country is small stores, convenience or medium-sized convenience stores. This is a very important product to help us attack the lion's share of stores that are out there. This product has very significant product attributes. One of the things we've done is we've engineered a lot of the cost out of the platform. How do we do that? On the in-feed, we're using AI technology to validate the container, the barcode, and the shape. Which eliminates cameras and cabling, allowing the machine to be less costly. We've also designed a new compactor technology that sits much higher in the machine, allowing for the bin below to be much larger. It's a very high-performing machine in this form factor.

The other brilliant part of the platform, it's truly plug and play. You know, for these stores, you roll the machine in, you plug it in, it's standard electric, and you're running immediately. It also can be moved around the store. These points resonate with the customers we're talking to about it, because during high merchandising seasons like at Christmas, they want to be able to move the machine around with one store personnel. You can do this very easily with the Compact. Th e product also is a bit shorter than the standard RVM, and the area on top can be used for merchandising. It seems like not that big of a criteria, but it is resonating quite heavily with these accounts because they're giving up floor space already.

Now they can merchandise on top of the machine with a captive audience that's using the machine. We've also been asked by tier one retailers to install a monitor above the machine so they can run promotions real-time to customers using the machine. Very important product, huge market potential in the U.K a nd in Poland. What's really important about it's kind of a gateway product, because if you have an account, let's say in the U.K., that has 2,000 store locations, and we have a fantastic product with this Flex to penetrate 1,500, it's very easy for us to then start to position our higher technology products. Simon referenced this earlier, but this product called Magna, which we introduced at EuroShop, really has a lot of very positive features. First off, it's a fully environmental machine.

This machine can work at -20 degrees Celsius up to +40 degrees Celsius, so it can be placed outside and work perfectly. We know from the U.K. that a lot of retailers want the machines outside, either under the vestibule or in a kiosk, and this machine, you know, meets that need. The other thing the machine has is an accessibility kit. Some retailers want a machine, a bespoke machine, for the handicapped to use. We can graft onto this machine braille, audio, and different buttons at the reach height for folks who wanna use the machine that are handicapped. Importantly, the machine is very modular. You can take this machine, and let's say we go to a retailer and we say, "You know, let's not over CapEx your commitment for the go-live.

We'll start discreetly, say four Magna to start with. When it ramps, if they need to add a machine, within 48 hours, we can come in and put a machine next to it. Importantly, that additional in-feed can feed an existing bin. They don't have to put an entirely new machine in. They can get another queuing station by adding the machine. We can also take it away and move it to other stores. That flexibility, that modularity of the platform is very important. Additionally, there's a dynamic in this business where you can look at a spec sheet and say, "Oh, the bin full is X number of containers." In reality, when those containers are ejected from the compactor, they nest in the bin.

When they do that, they come up the sidewall of the bin, and they cut the bin full sensor, causing store personnel to go to the machine and shake it down. Well, that's OpEx. This machine has a self-automated, self-leveling device, so the bins fill perfectly evenly. We are looking at an account that has 1,000 stores with this product, that reduction of trips to the machine across the life of the platform evolves into a huge number and a big advantage to the company on positioning this product. Gateway product with Compact and Flex, high-performing product for the middle tier, that we can then move them up to backroom systems or to Quantum. Now, we've had some advancements in Quantum as well. Now, the standard Quantum requires four parking spaces, and some retailers can't give up that many parking spaces.

We designed a smaller version of this machine. We did a lot of engineering in terms of the storage area, so we are reducing the capacity of the containers, but it's modest. This is a machine that only takes two car spaces, which is incredible. It's also very good logistically to move this machine around. If you look at a market like Greece, which has a huge confederation of islands, this machine is very easy to move into applications like that. This brings more customer targets in play because it's a smaller unit and takes less parking spaces. Additionally, when you look at Quantum, and Quantum's been just a huge success. We have one in every single market we operate in, and the consumer response to it has been dramatic.

It does require retailers to trench electric to the site, and that requires permitting and expense, and it is a barrier that, you know, we need to push through. The product's strong enough to push through it. Now we have a solar version. This machine doesn't require trenching, that you can simply drop in, run it on solar. It saves OpEx because we're not using electric. This is another great product to further widen our target audience for Quantum. That gives you a preview of some of our new products and how we position our products. Now let's spend some time on the U.K. The U.K. is moving through the commercial cases urgently, and we're involved in every single tier one, tier two debate.

We very much like our position, and these commercial cases are gonna come to fruition very soon in several weeks because the requirement for these retailers to roll this out, essentially all retailers rolling out at the same time to meet the October 2027 go live, is a huge undertaking, and they're taking this extremely seriously. How do we feel about the U.K.? Well, first off, we had a phenomenal success in Scotland. The same team in Scotland is prosecuting the U.K. case, and these are highly skilled professionals. We feel very good about our position. We feel very optimistic that we're gonna be able to announce orders in the short term. The tier one section, which is obviously quite large, will largely be decided in the first half of the year.

The activity is high, our position is strong, and we're looking forward to a very nice result in the U.K. With that, I will turn it back over to Simon.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Okay, Bob, thank you very much. Excellent. Very exciting for the U.K. Wanna show this slide again. This is, I know, a favorite of many. I think Bob has given us a very good insight into the U.K. Clearly, as we head towards 2029, we still have a large number of markets to come. Obviously, we talk a lot about the near term, Poland, Portugal, Greece, as we mentioned. It's still to be determined the exact form, but certainly there's, you know, we understand there's plans to introduce a Deposit Return Scheme this year. Going slightly further forward, we have, you know, Spain, France, towards the back end of that period. Also, we've added one more market, this time, Serbia.

Again, in reference to the EU Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation, which requires 90% recovery using a DRS by 2029, that country now has plans afoot to introduce a scheme. Remains very significant activity. A reminder, we generate growth through four areas. We have now an expanding existing business, so even those countries that went live a few years ago are still requiring services, of course, and also additional machines. Greenfield, new markets. Bob talked about the U.K., but also of course, Poland, Portugal. Brownfield. I'll talk a little bit about the Netherlands, using technology to penetrate an existing market and grow. Occasional M&A, example, Sensibin Ltd. couple of years ago.

In terms of the Netherlands, look, a great example, like Sweden was before it, of Envipco using our technology to penetrate an existing market where we didn't have a foothold. We're in the process of working with private operators, working with Statiegeld Nederland to actually roll out Quantum across the country. Very, very positive. That's one of the first that we actually put in place with Bungas, and that has now done, you know, getting on for 8 million containers. Really fantastic. Poland. A lot of discussion about Poland. Big market, of course. It's gone live. Officially, the market went live in October 2025, but very, very few containers before Christmas, but we see the container number increasing. With that comes the demand for machines.

Even though we weren't successful in a couple of larger deals, autumn last year, we still have a big market to go after. We've been successful in that. In last update, we said we were about 300 orders. We're up to about 1,000 as we work through frame agreements with most of the large store networks in the country. We continue to work with those groups. We've got some pictures there, you know, taken around Warsaw of actual installations. This is not press release. This is not general frame agreements.

We're working hard day in, day out to actually get units on the ground, which we think is the most important thing, and that's really that kind of no-nonsense type approach is really resonating well with customers, and we will continue to do that such that we are confident about achieving our target market share. In Portugal, since the last update, we've had a couple of great announcements. One, up to 50 Quantum with SDR Portugal, so a network of Quantums from the, you know, early in the scheme, which is great to support their recovery targets, and then another framework agreement with a large Iberian supermarket, which will roll out over the next 12 months.

Like Poland, we've moved to a new location to support that rollout and support the service, expanding the technical team, and really ready to get busier and get going further in that market. Overall, we're building momentum at Envipco. 200,000 units is multi-billion opportunity. 2025 was a transitional year, but you see really great strength as we go into 2026. Poland, Portugal building momentum. Great case. Lots of commercial activity in the UK. All of that bodes extremely well for the business. Of course, we maintain a disciplined approach. We've improved working capital management. We've kept an eye on OpEx. CapEx is specific and focused, and we will keep that disciplined approach as we grow the business.

I think with that finishes the presentation. Thank you very much. I think, Mikael, we may have some questions. Okay. The next event is May. Okay.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Maybe, understand there were some sound issues in the first few minutes of the presentation.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Oh, yeah. Okay. Very good.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

It would be a great idea if.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

You can maybe just do the intro.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Good morning, everyone. We're Envipco. My name's Simon Bolton, and once again, I'm joined by my good colleagues, Mikael Clement, Chief Strategy & IR Officer, and our old friend, Bob Lincoln. Also, I did announce that I would be transitioning out of the business at the end of April. Just to reconfirm, it's been an honor and pleasure leading this business. This will be the last quarterly update that I give. As you saw, it's a transitional year in 2025, but the business is positioned extremely well for the future, and I'm confident that the best years are ahead for this business.

That's, in summary, what we went through first couple of minutes, and I think now we've got even more questions. Right, Mikael?

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yes.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Great

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yes, we do. I can start with the gross margin. Adjusted gross margin is down from Q3 to Q4 despite slightly higher revenues. What's the key reason for this? Well, we are investing in service personnel in Poland, in Portugal, to be able to install machines as we move ahead. Those costs are into cost of goods sold, and there is a further increase from Q3 into Q4, on that. That weighs a little bit, on that relative change. Then there are also, I think, some geographical mix changes and some product mix changes that explain the decline from Q3 to Q4.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yes. CEO transition. When do you expect that completed? Well, in the press release on January twelfth, the board said that the process of recruiting a new CEO was well underway, that Simon would be staying on with the company until April 30th 2026, and that the board did expect to be able to announce a transition before that time. I have not heard anything yet since that, so I, you know, assume that still stands.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah, very much.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

We have a question on the deliveries in Poland. Revenues in Poland. A couple, few questions here. Shall I take that as well?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Go on.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

In Q3 we announced firm orders of around 500 RVMs in Poland. With delivery both in 2025 and into 2026. We delivered roughly half of that volume in the fourth quarter of 2025 i n Poland.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

There's another question on the inventory provisions in there and true ups. Just to repeat that then. From 25%-32.3% gross margins, those are non-recurring elements. The majority of those stem from inventory provisions, and that is an adjustment on certain parts. Inventory for RVMs that are no longer in use. Obsolete parts inventory largely. We have centralized our finance function through 2025 with the addition of a new CFO.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

A new team based in Amersfoort. That team has made sure that we're now harmonizing all our accounting across all organizations in the group. Some of those explain the remaining one-off items in Q4.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

See what we have here. We've done this Poland. Romania. You state that you continue to build market share in Romania. Where are you now and what potential do you continue to see in Romania?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

I think that's a great question. As we've said before, Romania has been a great success story for us. We've been operating in the country as a supplier and manufacturer for over 10 years. We have a main European manufacturing center there, and obviously we've participated in the DRS, deposit return scheme. As the country exited, you know, they're recovering about 83%, which is a fantastic achievement because they probably came from maybe 30%. It shows the power of deposit return schemes. To get from 83% to 90%+ , you know, that's hard yards, and that will require continued investment. We do see continued investment, which is obviously very positive for us.

I think there will be opportunities for things like increasing Quantum deliveries, municipal solutions to get that final 10%.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah. Makes sense. There's a question on Ireland. Could you give an update on your performance in Ireland, which you reported was, still lagging in terms of market share.

Robert Lincoln
President of the Americas, Envipco

Yeah. I mean, in the Irish market, there is still a reluctance on some retailers to uptake a portfolio of our smaller machines. We're grinding on it day in, day out, and we expect our share in traditional supermarkets to grow. What's interesting about Ireland is Quantum We did our first Quantum installation at a SPAR location in Ireland, and it's been an unbelievable success. Coming out of that success, we now have seven Quantums already sold and installed, and three in the pipeline, and more to follow.

What's happened is we took a convenience store at SPAR, we put a Quantum in, and the volume went from 3,000 containers to 500,000 to 600,000 containers and ramped very quickly. Now, when you're getting a handling fee of a little over EUR 0.02 and you're doing 600,000 containers, that's a significant revenue stream t o the retailer. Half of the traffic at the Quantum location has been driven into the store itself, so they get all the incremental sales. I think Quantum's gonna be playing an increasing role in Ireland.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Maybe just to build on that, I think we see this as a real theme, right? We have Quantum in Ireland, I think we're seeing obviously the great order in Portugal. I think now pretty much every market we operate in, including the U.S., we see either the technology coming in old and mature markets, brownfield markets, or even like in Portugal, an order being placed for Quantum before the scheme starts. I think with the additional product formats that you talked about, Bob, smaller, Quantum S.

I think Quantum is an incredibly strong platform that more and more markets are understanding. I think certainly, we referenced EuroShop, which was the international retail fair a few weeks ago, incredible interest in Quantum. I think this is a real product platform that's unique to Envipco and holds a lot of value, and I think now the proof points of, you know, hundreds and hundreds of these being rolled out is really very powerful. That, I think that's really exciting.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

There's a question on France. We talked about a pilot program in France.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

in Q3. What type of potential are we seeing in the French market?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah, great. France has always been on our famous Gantt chart. We strongly believe there will be a deposit scheme in France. It may have, you know, slightly different characteristics to some of the others that operate in Europe, but we believe it will come in. The early scheme, which we did announce sales for last year, is around refillables, refillable glass.

France has started with that, with a pilot, which is going quite well. That could be expanded, and then that could be expanded also to include single-use containers. I think France is gonna happen. We've got you know, we're working well in France. We've had Andy there for some time, and we'll continue to stay tight with all the stakeholders to see what we can do to participate. Clearly

France is a big country, so that is another, you know, 25,000-35,000 unit market, depending on the characteristics. It's exciting, but it will come probably towards, you know, t owards the end of the window.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah. There are a couple questions in regards to the LOI in Poland.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Oh, yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

The 1,000 firm orders.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yep.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Number 1, is the LOI included?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Sure.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Number two, what's the status?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah, definitely. The 1,500 that we said before, 1,000 that we updated, they are smaller orders from independent stores. These could be, you know, one unit or they could be up to kind of 10 or 20 unit. Does not include the LOI, which is still valid. Obviously we announced that some time ago. What we have been doing is we have been working with that, with that particular customer to look at how the scheme is developing and also the product and technology selections that may be most optimum to them. .

They've taken that advice on board. What they've done is they've reconstituted how they're thinking about that. We're still working that through with the customer. Hopefully we make some announcements soon.

Certainly the overall magnitude, we expect to be similar. That's not included. What isn't included is, we still have clearly some larger retail chains that have not made a decision yet. As you saw on the slide, we have a really great local commercial team. Not only are we going for and leveraging our framework agreements, but we're also following up hard on these, you know, large mid-sized chains that haven't made a decision.

Again, hopefully, we'll make some announcements and we will obviously make announcements when we can on hopefully the success in that area.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah. Good. Are there any new developments in the U.S.?

Robert Lincoln
President of the Americas, Envipco

Yes. I mean, we continue to focus very much on California, and we are very close to installing the first Quantum in California. It might be followed by two more Quantum. What's interesting about California, I won't digress too much 'cause it's such a complicated market. Essentially, it's called a Weigh and Pay market. Customers come in with a bag, they put it on a scale, there's an attendant, they weigh it, they pay him cash, and they go. That's a very inefficient model.

Because you have no compaction, no exact accounting. Where Quantum comes in is we can count the material exactly, so we eliminate shrink. Importantly, logistically, moving all these full containers all over a very expensive state, there's a real reason to use Quantum to capture better logistics savings and reduce shrink on count. We are very optimistic you will see a Quantum and maybe a couple of Quantums in California this year.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Great.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Good. There's a question on existing markets. You know, how should you extrapolate kind of the development in some of these existing markets? Is it softness we've seen in 2025? Yeah.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah. Look, I think, you know, as you mentioned, Mikael, in a couple of these new markets, we had a real strong for Q24, which kind of gave quite a tough comparable. I would say, look, Romania, certainly we see, you know, continued developments in Romania. Hungary, it's stable. It's come down a lot because now we're kind of over two years since the scheme went live. We continue to see opportunities. Then we have other existing markets now, you know, like Sweden. Like the U.S. that Bob has referred to. I think in those existing markets, we've got a, you know, a solid stability. I think you'll see the new markets as they start to accelerate add to that which, you know, will obviously have a material impact on their revenue which you know we expect to come through during the course of 2026.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Of course, you know, as we've said before. You know, some of these markets now we're working out of the warranty period, so that will start to drive through, and we'll see, you know, expansion and development of European service business as the installed base has increased, and that again comes out of the warranty period.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah. I think we have time for one more.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Okay.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

There is reliance on the visibility of the outlook.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

You know, what are you seeing now as the key given 2025?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

What are you seeing as what visibility do you have on new developments in markets?

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Great. Maybe we can all answer that. Maybe we start with Bob.

Robert Lincoln
President of the Americas, Envipco

Well, you know, obviously the U.K., i s quite a large market. I mean, we estimated 35,000 machines.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Right.

Robert Lincoln
President of the Americas, Envipco

In my view, it's gonna be more than that. That's gonna come out of the ground commercially this year. Obviously, we have a pretty good outlook 'cause we're so deep into the commercial cases now. We have a good sense of where we stand. U.K. is the prominent one, I think, at least near term in terms of commercial.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah, absolutely. I think just to add to that, I think, whereas the U.K. will order flow, you know, this year, deliveries and revenue in 2027, I think Poland and Portugal, we're starting to see now, you know, proper momentum. I think that really is containers on the shelf.

Customers demanding their deposit back, and I think what if we just go back a couple of years, you know, there's some parallels to maybe Hungary. Very few containers on the shelf You know, there's soft activity. Soon as the containers come on the shelf, that heavy summer, suddenly it kind of accelerated.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

I think we're gonna see some parallels there. We are, you know, very positive about both of those markets. You know, as I said, I think we've got a good, stable level of business in the other existing markets, and of course we have Greece kind of coming up on th e side. Now, we've been very successful. As you mentioned, 2025 was a low year in Greece as the focus moved from municipal infrastructure to preparing for the DRS.

Clearly, DRS, you know, possibly coming in this year gives us good opportunities. I think, you know, for me, they're the key elements in terms of growth.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Yeah.

Mikael Clement
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer, Envipco Holding

I think that's great.

Simon Bolton
Group CEO, Envipco Holding

Okay. Fantastic. Well, once again, everyone, thanks for your time and attention, Q4. It's been great to present our business. Thank you very much. The next time is in May. Thank you.

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