Arena REIT (ASX:ARF)
Australia flag Australia · Delayed Price · Currency is AUD
3.420
-0.050 (-1.44%)
Apr 28, 2026, 4:10 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: H1 2022

Feb 10, 2022

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Arena REIT half-year results conference call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question-and-answer session. If you wish to ask a question, you'll need to press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. I'd now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rob de Vos, Managing Director. Please go ahead.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Good morning, everyone, and a very warm welcome to Arena REIT's results presentation for the half year to 31 December 2021. Before commencing our presentation, I would like to acknowledge the traditional custodians of the various lands on which we gather today and recognize their ongoing connection to land, waters, and community. Arena's announcement, investor presentation, and financial statements were released to the ASX earlier this morning. My name is Rob de Vos, Arena's Managing Director. Joining on the call today is Gareth Winter, Arena's Chief Financial Officer. Today's presentation will include an overview of the highlights for the half year and an update on our performance against Arena's investment objectives and our business strategy. Gareth will provide insight into Arena's financial results and capital management position, and I will close the presentation with an update on portfolio operations and commentary on Arena's outlook.

As always, there will be an opportunity for questions at the end of our presentation. Moving into the presentation on page three, and I'm pleased to report that first half of financial year 2022 has been another successful period for the business. We've performed well against our investment objective, achieved strong investment outcomes across the portfolio, and facilitated ongoing positive outcomes for the many communities across Australia that use an Arena property for their early learning or healthcare needs. Our highlights for the period include a record statutory profit of AUD 185 million, an underlying cash-based net operating profit of AUD 27.5 million, which is up 11% on half year 2021.

We've seen strong valuation growth across the portfolio, reflective of ongoing demand for real estate that accommodates essential community services, contributing to an increase in net asset value, which is up 18% since June. We've made good progress on our renewable energy installations across the portfolio and against our FY 2022 sustainability goals. We've acquired 1 new early learning center on completion and completed 3 early learning center development projects and replenished our development pipeline, which now includes 19 future projects that will provide community access to 2,000 new early learning places. Gearing is under 19%, providing balance sheet capacity to take advantage of further new opportunities that are consistent with our investment objective and strategy. Earnings per security was AUD 0.0797, which is up 10% on first half of FY 2021.

We have distributed 7.9 cents per security and are pleased to announce today an upgrade to full-year distribution guidance to 16 cents per security, reflecting an increase of 8.1% on financial year 2021. Moving to the next slide, and underpinning those achievements made in the first half is Arena's consistent approach, strong industry relationships, and high conviction on maintaining our discipline and executing on our strategy. Highlights for the period under the team's key focus areas. We've sold 2 early learning center properties that relative to the balance of the portfolio are older and less efficient, for total proceeds of just over AUD 10 million and a premium of 15% to book value. We've seen strong valuation growth across the portfolio of AUD 153 million for the half year.

The passing yield for the portfolio is now 5.14%, having compressed by 63 basis points from June. Our long WALE has been maintained at just under 20 years, and we've also maintained 100% occupancy across the portfolio, which has been the case now for 6 consecutive years. This achievement highlights the overall quality of the portfolio, the need for the services we accommodate in the community, as well as the proactive asset management programs undertaken by the Arena team. Average like-for-like rental increases across the portfolio for the half was 3.6%. In post-balance date, we've agreed terms to extend leases on 21 properties by an average of 5 years to facilitate solar installation and access to energy consumption data.

During the period, we made good progress on our renewable energy program that is focused on collaborating with our tenant partners to install and promote the use of solar and reduce the energy intensity of our portfolio. Not including the post-balance date agreement, we have now over 75% of the portfolio using or in the process of installing renewable energy. In relation to the relatively small rent relief program struck in FY 2020, all of our tenant partners remain compliant with those agreements, and we've received 100% contracted rent through the year. We've completed three early learning center developments with existing tenant partners. These projects had a total investment cost of AUD 16.9 million and a net initial yield on all costs, including transaction costs, of 6.4%.

We've also replenished our development pipeline with the acquisition of 8 new early learning center development sites. Each project has been committed on a new 20-year triple net lease. We've acquired one operating early learning center in metropolitan Victoria on a new 20-year lease at a 4.7% initial yield on all costs. We've agreed to buy a further 6 operating properties in South Australia post-balance date with an existing tenant partner on new 25-year leases at an initial yield on all costs, including transaction costs, of 5.6%. Moving on to slide 5. Arena released its 2021 sustainability report during the period, which provides the detail on our commitment to strategies that address sustainability challenges and opportunities faced by our business and our stakeholders.

We've made good progress in the first six months of the year on these strategies, including a material increase in the use of renewable energy, reducing our tenant partners' utility costs, and reducing negative impacts on the environment. We've increased our stakeholder engagement, which has allowed us to collaborate and create partnerships for positive change. We're currently working on plans to further reduce carbon emissions for our organization and for our portfolio and to align our reporting with TCFD. Our partnership approach promotes ongoing business and mutually beneficial outcomes for our stakeholders, including, importantly, for our team, where we are working on extending and reporting on employee initiatives to retain and attract the best resources and maintain our strong culture.

If we do all of these things well, not only will we achieve positive sustainability outcomes, we'll also achieve positive commercial outcomes, and we will continue to broaden our universe of capital providers with a growing number of investors seeking better sustainability and social impact attributes from the businesses they invest in. In that context, Arena is at the start of a journey and is now viewed very well-positioned. Moving on to an update on the COVID impacts on the business on slide six. Like all of us, we had hoped to be on an improving health trajectory in the latter months of the half. Obviously, this was not the case with the resurgence of COVID-19, requiring our tenant partners, our team, contractors, and service providers to again adjust their processes.

On behalf of the Arena team, thank you to all of the stakeholders for their tenacity and professionalism they have shown over this period. As Arena's portfolio exclusively accommodates essential community services, we've been somewhat sheltered from the financial impacts that other businesses are dealing with. We are acutely aware of the challenges that the resurgence of the pandemic has had and is continuing to have on many of our stakeholders. At an operational level, all of Arena's properties continued to trade over the period, delivering essential services. We've received 100% contracted rent for the six-month period and therefore have no arrears. Progress on our development and origination programs has largely been unaffected to date. Looking forward, our medical centers will continue to play an important role in assisting the national vaccination program.

Like many parts of the economy, but particularly true of social services, the most evident impact on our stakeholders currently is the shortage of educators in the early learning sector, which for anyone that has been following us for the last few years would know has been an issue that we've talked about for some time and is an issue that is becoming more pressing in a living with COVID environment. Operators, including our tenant partners, are needing to pay more, engage more, train more to attract and retain a good team. In our portfolio to date, the extra cost of labor has been absorbed by higher operating revenue, but it remains an area of key focus for the industry in relation to both containing cost and maintaining and improving overall quality of service.

One consistency through the pandemic is the efforts by both state and federal government to ensure that early learning services remain open and continue to improve, not just for now, but for the important contribution they make to our current and future communities, allowing parents and carers to join or get back into the workforce, providing opportunity for better financial security, as well as the benefits from increased socialization, including the emotional well-being of preschool children. In addition to the increased government funding coming into the sector next month, we are likely to see early learning to be a focus point for both major political parties in the lead up to the next federal election. With that, I'll now pass you over to Gareth to provide some detail on our financial results.

Gareth Winter
CFO, Arena REIT

Thanks, Rob, and good morning, everyone. Just turning to page 8 of the presentation, there you'll find a summary of Arena's operating income statement for the half, which shows an 11% increase in net operating profit to AUD 27.5 million and a statutory profit of AUD 185.8 million for the half year. A reconciliation of net operating profit to statutory profit is included in the appendix to the presentation, with the most substantial item being the periodic revaluation of the investment property. Operating EPS of AUD 0.0797 is 10% higher than the prior period and in line with our expectations for the first half. The key driver of the increase in operating profit is the 15% increase in property income, which has been derived from a combination of rent reviews, capital deployment.

Like-for-like rent reviews averaged 3.6% for the half. Noting that 87% of rent reviews in FY 2022 have a direct link to CPI outcomes, with CPI being the minimum amount of the rent review. With recent volatility in CPI, this provides Arena with inbuilt inflation protection through our net cash flow. Arena's ongoing program of investment in ELC developments and new acquisitions contributed to earnings via capital deployment of AUD 48 million to date in the FY 2022, including the completion of 3 ELC developments and the acquisition of 8 new ELC development projects. For the acquisition of 1 operating ELC in conjunction with a tenant partner and as noted in the announcement today, terms are agreed on the acquisition of 6 operating ELCs in conjunction with the tenant partner post 31 December.

We have also continued our program of selective capital recycling with the proceeds of AUD 10 million from the sale of 2 ELCs during the half at a 15% premium to book value to be reinvested into our new developments. Some specific comments on rent collections for the half year. Arena's portfolio has demonstrated high resilience throughout the pandemic. There are no rent arrears and all contracted rent is being received, including the collection of AUD 600,000 of deferred rent in the first half. You may recall that our COVID-19-related rent deferrals were relatively short-term, with the remaining balance of deferred rent of AUD 1.5 million to be received by December 2023. Deferred rent has been previously recognized in income and is booked as a receivable, with only the cash to be collected. Just turning now to some other line items.

The property expenses have primarily increased during the period due to additional allowances for independent valuations and some property inspections from growth in the portfolio. It's a relatively modest increase in our operating expenses compared to the comparative period from FY 2021. This increase is due to the cost increases from the scale of the platform, such as corporate insurances, custodian fees, and building our ESG capabilities. It is also substantially due to the implementation in FY 2022 of the outcome of an independent remuneration review completed in late FY 2021.

The objectives of that review were to compare the structure of Arena's remuneration framework, including incentive programs, against contemporary market practice, and to benchmark each role in the Arena team to market to ensure remuneration recognized their skills, experience, and appropriately structured rewards to performance-based outcomes, and importantly, in the current environment, to also assist with staff retention. I note that it's been four years since the last independent remuneration review was performed. Pleasingly, this points to the benefit of the internalized management platform is that the property revenues have increased by AUD 4.1 million and while the cash OPEX increased by less than AUD 600,000, and our cash MER remains less than 40 basis points.

The increase in finance costs is the natural outcome from the completion of 14 development projects in FY 2021, which moved them from capitalization of interest and WIP to operating and the commencement of leases and rental payments. Our overall cost of borrowing is stable with a slight reduction to 2.6% compared to 2.65% at June 2021. The higher statutory profit of AUD 185 million is primarily due to the growth in net operating earnings and the positive asset revaluations of AUD 153 million at December, representing a 14% increase on 30 June 2021. Arena's FY 2022 distribution guidance was initially set at AUD 0.158 per security, representing growth of 6.8% on FY 2021.

With the further deployment of capital in FY 2022, we've updated distribution guidance today for total distributions of AUD 0.16 per security, representing growth of 8.1% on FY 2021. We expected our final payout ratio to be consistent with recent years. Just turning to page 9, the waterfall chart of EPS for the half year. The chart demonstrates the relativity of the individual items supporting EPS growth, noting the impact in FY 2022 to date of the key drivers of growth being rent reviews and the deployment of capital. Turning to page 10. This slide represents a summary of Arena's balance sheet. Full balance sheet is in the appendix of the presentation.

Key points to note, growth in total assets is primarily due to the AUD 50 million invested in acquisitions and developments in the first half, and the asset revaluations of circa AUD 150 million, which is also the primary driver of the 18% increase in net assets per security. Net gearing at just under 8% and under 19% is well below Arena's maximum gearing range of circa 35%-40%. However, this level of gearing provides substantial liquidity to fund the existing pipeline of developments, will enable us to continue to take advantage of growth opportunities at a low incremental cost of capital, and also provides a buffer around any future market volatility. Turning to page 11, capital management summary.

Our broad capital management continues to prioritize resilience and risk reduction through relatively low gearing, high levels of hedge cover, regular extension of debt facility terms, and maintaining immediately available liquidity in excess of our development commitments. During the period, our debt facility was expanded by AUD 100 million, and at 31 December, we had AUD 155 million of immediately available liquidity through the debt facility to cover our AUD 70 million of future development commitments. This liquidity, in combination with our modest gearing, allows us to actively consider further growth opportunities, such as the six asset acquisition announced today. Weighted average debt term is 3.9 years with no expiry before March 2024, and we have recently extended our March 2025 expiry out to March 2027.

The rolling cost of debt, as I've mentioned, has reduced to 2.6%, with interest rate hedge cover at 76% with a weighted average term of near 5 years. The relatively long-term hedge cover, combined with the natural inflation protection provided by rent review mechanisms that are directly linked to CPI outcomes, provides us with substantial protection of our net operating income in an environment where interest rates may now increase. Finally, it is important to note that Arena is operating well within the requirements of our debt facility, and we have very substantial headroom in both our LVR and ICR covenants. I want to hand you back to Rob, who will give you an update on Arena's property portfolio.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Thanks very much, Gareth. I'm now on page 13. As at 31 December, Arena owned 256 properties across Australia with a value of AUD 1.3 billion. The portfolio is approximately 67 hectares of predominantly residentially zoned land, with improvements that are almost exclusively purpose-built for our tenant partners to provide essential services to Australian communities. The portfolio is 100% occupied and with an exceptionally strong occupancy record, having had no vacancy in 6 consecutive years. It has the longest contracted rent profile in the REIT sector at 19.8 years, with annual rent escalations that provide inflation protection. The portfolio has low single asset concentration, with the largest asset by value and income representing only 2% of the portfolio.

Passing yield is 5.14%, which has seen compression of 63 basis points in the last six months, which added with rent increases, has provided valuation growth of just under 14%. Land and building rate remains under 1950 per meter, which looks like compelling value when measured against other real estate asset classes. Sector diversity for the portfolio sits at 87% for early learning and 13% for healthcare. Whilst we'd like to see more healthcare exposure, we currently see better long-term risk-adjusted returns in early learning center opportunities. In terms of tenant diversification, we continue to improve our spread of tenant partners now totaling 33, with 27% of our rent's income supported by Australia's largest early learning provider, Goodstart, which has an average lease term in excess of 30 years across over 100 properties with us.

Moving on to the lease expiry profile. As you can see, in the graph on this slide, there's no expiries this financial year and, in fact, less than 2% of the portfolio's income expiring prior to financial year 2029. Beyond that, no material concentration of expiries in any year and over 30% of portfolio's income expiring beyond financial year 2034. These are very long-term cash flows that have annual escalations, providing income growth and inflation protection to our security holders. 100% of the leases are triple net with no exposure to variable property expenses, so highly efficient and highly predictable. Every one of our early learning center properties and our SDA properties provide us important business operating information data that assists us in our asset management and capital allocation decisions.

This has been an important tool in assisting the portfolio remain 100% occupied for the last six years. You can see on the right-hand side graph, on the slide here, that the portfolio WALE has increased by over 10 years since 2014, which is a reflection of both development completions and partnering with our tenants on the existing portfolio. The outcome of which is obviously consistent with our investment objective of providing long-term distributions to our security holders that are highly predictable with the prospects for growth. Moving on to our rent review profile on page 15. Here on this slide, we've broken down our rent review structures for the first and second half of financial year 2022, as well as the full year 2023, 2024, and 2025.

Our average like-for-like rent increase for the first half of this financial year was 3.6%, which was made up of 41% of the higher of a fixed amount or CPI. Of those, predominantly they were CPI-based escalations given the increase in inflation during the period. 6% was CPI only, 7% were fixed reviews, and 1% were market rent reviews, which were completed at an average of 6.5% increase. It's a similar profile for the second half of this financial year, with a slightly higher exposure to market rent reviews, which have all been resolved at a 6.5% average increase. Looking forward, we have a similar profile of annual rent reviews in financial year 2023, 2024, and 2025, with over 80% of escalations being the higher of CPI and amount for market rent reviews.

If you add the higher of a fixed amount or CPI, being the bottom of the blue shade, and the CPI only in the dark gray shade, you can see that the financial year 2023 has nearly 90% of income that will escalate at least as high as CPI and a relatively small exposure to market rent reviews, all of which are capped and collared between 0% and 7.5% increase. Financial year 2024 has a higher exposure to market rent reviews, totaling 15.6% of that year's income. All of those reviews have a collar at the passing rent. In other words, the rent can't go backwards, and half of those reviews are subject to a capped increase of 7.5%, whilst the other half of those market rent reviews have no cap on an increase.

I think the main point of focus on this slide is that our discipline in new deals of maintaining an escalation profile that is typically the higher of a fixed amount or CPI, will provide for better rent growth outcomes for our investors in a high inflation environment, as well as protection for low inflation environments, both of which need to be considered when initial lease terms are up to 25 years in duration. Moving to page 16. Our acquisition and development programs continue to perform to our expectation. We've secured a targeted pipeline of quality early learning center development projects that will address community need, complement the portfolio, and deliver future earnings growth. We acquired one early learning center on completion in the growing suburb of Werribee in metropolitan Melbourne at a yield on all costs, including transaction costs of 4.7%.

It's a larger center at 160 places and is performing well in its early ramp-up of occupancy. We've also completed three early learning center development projects in the half at a total cost of AUD 16.9 million and a yield on all costs of 6.4%. Each project was completed with an existing tenant partner. Two were located in metropolitan Brisbane and one in metropolitan Melbourne. All of them are strategically positioned in their local catchment and are meeting our tenants partners' expectations in early ramp-up of occupancy. Post-balance date, we've agreed terms for the acquisition of a portfolio of 6 new operating centers in South Australia with an existing tenant partner on a yield of 5.6% at a total cost of AUD 38 million. The initial lease term for these properties is 25 years.

Looking forward, our development pipeline has 19 early learning center projects that are located in Queensland, Victoria, South Australia, and in New South Wales, with a total forecast cost of AUD 122 million, of which we have capital expenditure outstanding of AUD 71 million. We anticipate that the average initial yield on all cost for these development projects will be 5.9%. Each of these development projects are being undertaken on a fund through basis, and we've secured agreement for leases with existing tenant partners on every project in our standard 20-year triple net lease format. Arena is a leader in early learning center development and has an enviable record in executing on its development pipeline. Over a third of our early learning portfolio has been developed by us since listing in 2013.

In that time, we've completed 57 developments with 14 tenant partners across all states and territories, except the ACT. Those development projects have delivered increased community amenity as well as unrealized gains of over AUD 100 million through December and in excess of AUD 20 million of annual rent. Moving on to the next slide, just the ELC operating environment. As is well publicized, the federal government support of the early learning sector through the pandemic has been significant and for the very most part, well-designed and well-received by operators that require support, particularly through the COVID lockdown periods. Both major political parties and Australian communities more generally recognize that a well-performing early learning sector is integral to assisting parents and carers, and particularly females, join or get back into the workforce in the short term and on an ongoing and sustainable basis.

There's also a fundamental service to assist workforce productivity by supporting employers in attracting and retaining employees in a tightening labor market. There's a growing awareness of the positive lifelong learning prospects of children that attend early learning services and the broader role that plays in creating a more socially and emotionally well-adjusted community and a more qualified and productive workforce in future generations. The macro drivers supporting the early learning sector continue to be positive, with a lower unemployment rate and increases in female workforce participation. In relation to supply, net new supply of early learning centers was down marginally as measured against the last 5 years in the last 12 months. Across the country, there was a net addition of about 253 centers, which is net growth of approximately 3.1%.

Moving to the next slide. In that context, Arena's early learning portfolio is in a strong position. We are 100% occupied. We've collected 100% of contracted rent through the first half. Every one of our early learning centers is open and trading, and every one of those centers provides us business operating data, and that data provides us important information that assists asset management and capital allocation decisions, as well as providing insight into the general health of the sector. As we've done in previous reporting periods, we've included operating data up to the quarter prior, and that data provides average underlying operator occupancy has increased from September 2020 to September 2021 to record the highest rate in our portfolio in the last five years.

Daily fee growth has also increased to reflect an average of AUD 117 per day, which remains below the government's benchmark fee of AUD 135 per day. As you can see on the graph at the bottom of the page there, the government funding package continues to suit our early learning center portfolio, which is typically geared towards middle-income families. To give that some context, over 90% of our early learning centers have daily fee under the government's Child Care Subsidy benchmark fee as of September. Our average rent per place across the portfolio has increased marginally to AUD 2,606 per place, and given we've developed more than a third of the portfolio over the last six years, remains highly affordable in our view.

Despite rent increases across the portfolio, rent affordability has improved for our tenant partners on a net rent to gross revenue ratio, reducing to 10.3% as of September. Moving on to the next slide. Our healthcare portfolio continues to perform well, and like early learning, the macro trends for healthcare remain compelling. A higher number of people are moving into older age brackets, and a higher proportion of the population is living with chronic illness, which underpins an increased need for healthcare services and infrastructure to accommodate those services. We continue to see increased investor interest in the Australian healthcare property market, which is reflected in the increase in the asset values for our healthcare portfolio.

While we continue to be attracted to new opportunities in the healthcare property market and aspire to grow as part of the portfolio, we currently see better long-term risk-adjusted returns from early learning acquisition and development activity. We'll continue to participate in the healthcare opportunities as they arise, but we'll be disciplined on our approach. Ultimately, we're looking for quality over the long term that will support our investment objective on a sustainable basis. Moving on to the outlook. Today, we're announcing an upgrade to our full-year distribution guidance to AUD 0.16 per security, an increase of 8.1% on FY 2021. The portfolio is in a strong position, 100% occupied, 100% of rent collected, a very long WALE with a transparent, highly predictable rental profile that has inflation protection.

Short and medium-term income growth is underpinned by those contracted annual rent increases, as well as the impact of our financial year 2021 and financial year 2022 acquisition and development completions. Medium and longer-term earnings growth is supported by both our contracted annual rent increases as well as the completion of our recent additions to our development pipeline and any future acquisitions that are consistent with our investment objective and our strategy. Looking forward, early learning and healthcare services are integral to economic recovery and improving community outcomes. Those important themes underpin Arena's portfolio value and investment objective of providing long-term predictable distributions to our security holders with prospects for growth. We have substantial balance sheet capacity to take advantage of new opportunities that are consistent with our strategy, with gearing at less than 20% and no debt expiry falling due until March 2024.

Our experienced management team has strong industry relationships and in-house development and origination expertise that will assist us in sourcing future opportunities in a disciplined manner. In closing, I'd like to thank our team and our tenant partners for contributing to the positive investment portfolio and community outcomes that have been achieved in the first half of financial year 2022. That concludes the formal part of today's presentation, so I'll now pass the call back to the operator to open up for questions. Thanks, operator.

Operator

Your first question comes from Caleb Wheatley with Macquarie Group. Please go ahead.

Caleb Wheatley
Senior Research Associate Analyst of Real Estate, Macquarie Group

Good morning, Rob de Vos and Gareth Winter. Thank you for your time this morning. My first question was just on guidance. Looks like it might be partially driven by those acquisitions post-balance date. Just keen to get a bit more color in terms of how you hear about the components of guidance, including timing around those acquisitions, expectations for the cost of debt, and any rental growth expectations for the second half.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Yeah, sure. Gareth, did you want to field that question?

Gareth Winter
CFO, Arena REIT

Yeah. It's obviously contributing a small part, but obviously we haven't settled on those yet for any agreed terms, and we want to move to settlement as soon as possible on that. We would be in a position to consider an upgrade even without that acquisition.

Caleb Wheatley
Senior Research Associate Analyst of Real Estate, Macquarie Group

Sure. Just around cost of debt.

the loan portfolio for the second half.

Gareth Winter
CFO, Arena REIT

On a cost of debt basis, obviously this acquisition will be debt funded. We're currently sitting at 2.6% all in. Wouldn't expect that to change materially, which in the near term, obviously with the high level of hedging that we've got. Any hedging that we'll be putting in place would be incremental in nature only and only have a small effect.

Caleb Wheatley
Senior Research Associate Analyst of Real Estate, Macquarie Group

Sure. Second one's just on the like-for-like rent growth number. It printed 3.6%, which seems relatively strong. Just wondering if I could get a little bit of color around the composition of that. Looks like a lot of the second half was CPI linked within the warehouse. Was it strong CPI prints that were a key driver, or were there any other things to flag there?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

It's CPI, Caleb. It's the stronger CPI and state-based allocation of where those rent reviews came up.

Caleb Wheatley
Senior Research Associate Analyst of Real Estate, Macquarie Group

Sure. Final one from me, just on opportunities for deployment. It seems like you've done quite well to get that recent portfolio to 5.6% yield, given we're seeing the incremental trends, assets trade in that ELC space. Just keen to hear views about seeing opportunities, for direct acquisitions, and how you view any outlook to developments and particularly, I guess, appetite from a tenant perspective, to launch development.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Yep. We're pretty pleased with where we're up to at the moment. As you know, we've got quite a high filter in regards to rental affordability particularly. That's probably where, if anywhere, we're sort of missing deals, but there's plenty to be done. We're seeing quite strong tenant activity, and we're seeing supply that's actually moderated through the sort of COVID period, Caleb. Conditions on that front are pretty good. I guess, you know, on the downside of that, we're probably competing a bit more with high density residential, which, you know, continues to improve. But, you know, sort of, you know, forward development pipeline at about 6%, you know, that's pretty good against where we're sort of seeing, you know, in place completions.

I think the average market transaction is, you know, for the first half of FY 2022, 80-odd transactions at 4.7%. If we can continue delivering, you know, best of breed at 6s, it's good business to be done and there's plenty more that can be done.

Caleb Wheatley
Senior Research Associate Analyst of Real Estate, Macquarie Group

Just reading between the lines there, it seems like developments might be more of a focus going forward, obviously excluding opportunities here and there?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Yeah. Just look at, you know, that's, Caleb, we've now got really good at it. You know, there's some lessons learned early in the piece, but, you know, having done, you know, 57 that we've done, we think that we've got that down pat with our tenant partners and made it very efficient. Saying that, so that's that fund through model that we've become known for. Saying that, the acquisition that we did recently that we've now got terms agreed and hope to settle imminently, is a good example of relationships with tenant partners that allow us to go buy going concerns. You know, that's. I think I've mentioned that previously. That is an area that we're sort of focusing on a bit too.

You know, 5.6%, including all your capital transaction costs is again good buying, particularly if you've got a portfolio that has got an existing consumer base and is profitable in its own right to start with. You know, we'll continue to look for opportunities in that line as well.

Caleb Wheatley
Senior Research Associate Analyst of Real Estate, Macquarie Group

Great. Thank you for your time this morning.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Thanks, Caleb.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Lou Pirenc with Jarden. Please go ahead.

Lou Pirenc
Head of Real Estate Research, Jarden

Yeah, good morning. A few questions for me. First one, can you just give an indication that 80% of the higher CPI or fixed increase based on where CPI is today, is the majority of those already kind of CPI links or is the majority still fixed?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Majority just tipped over into CPI. It's a state-by-state basis on an all group state-by-state basis, how they're calculated, Lou. There's a bit of disparity between, you know, geographical disparity in regards to the outcomes there, but you know, we're now tripping into CPI escalations on that on those rent-linked components.

Lou Pirenc
Head of Real Estate Research, Jarden

Great. Thanks. Just following up on the development question, kind of with rent increases, cost inflation, how much pressure do you see here? Maybe a different way of putting it is kind of land that you're buying recently, how much more is that on a per square meter basis than, you know, 12 or 18 months ago?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Yeah. It's probably up at 10%, I think is the answer there, where you know, it's one of the things that we sort of do some pretty detailed math with our tenant partners as it, you know, is. As I mentioned to the early call, you know, we're thinking of breaking is making sure there's plenty of rent cover available at the end of these feasibilities. You know, it's not our style to be building at the highest rent and, you know, selling it off quickly. We want these to provide, you know, if you like, smooth that development profit over the balance by providing, you know, good access to our tenant partners to create profit.

Yeah, there's no question that the input costs, both land, construction materials, albeit coming off a little bit from their highs, a couple of months ago, have increased. So too have, you know, rents across the country as well, so too has gross revenue for tenant partners. If you like, all of those feasibility inputs have actually changed upwards as a result of that. We are, as we always have been, particularly careful on that rent affordability piece.

Lou Pirenc
Head of Real Estate Research, Jarden

Yeah. No, that makes sense. Then, Gareth, just a final one for you. Just on that, the cost inflation, the MER review. Is the first half a pretty good indication of almost the ongoing cost, or is there another ratchet to happen in the second half?

Gareth Winter
CFO, Arena REIT

No, that'll be a fairly good indicator of the NAR's increase. Obviously we would then expect that it would flatten out again. We wouldn't expect it to create quite a bump.

Lou Pirenc
Head of Real Estate Research, Jarden

Great. Thank you.

Gareth Winter
CFO, Arena REIT

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from James Druce with CLSA. Please go ahead.

James Druce
Head of Australian Real Estate Research, CLSA

Good morning, Rob. Good morning, Gareth. Just wanted to provide a bit of color on the health of the underlying tenants. Obviously, there are some labor shortages, occupancy cost equivalent still looks very reasonable. Can you talk to some of the operating conditions that you're seeing?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Yeah, James, certainly can. Look, there's no question I think I dwell on the point that, and I think most people on the call recognize that labor shortage is the first discussion that we have with all tenant partners and that has been, you know, a challenge prior to COVID, through COVID, and certainly a challenge now. We've seen a number of centers, particularly through early January, that reflected that sort of height of the Omicron health trajectory that needed to shut across the market. I think the highest point was 400. You may be familiar, there's actually a government website that sort of shows where the, on a daily basis, you know, what centers are shut.

There's about 80 as of last night that were shut for health reasons across the country in a portfolio of sort of 8,700. So, it is definitely an issue. Like anything, I guess the good operators, including our tenant partners, from my view, have been sort of ready for this. There's been engagement with staff. There has been increased pay that's been sort of working through, but I think there's another leg of that to happen across the industry. Government's doing a pretty good job in regards to, you know, both state or particularly state governments are doing a good job in regards to reducing the cost for qualifications to become an early learning educator. That is the challenge at the moment.

Outside that, you know, supply is not a massive issue, since supply is moderate. That's good. It's obviously a localized issue, but you know, generally that's in check. We are seeing fee growth and occupancy growth across our portfolio. At the top line, things are in good condition from a supply and competitive landscape in reasonably good condition. The operating expenses, yeah, a very careful eye on labor costs.

James Druce
Head of Australian Real Estate Research, CLSA

Yeah, no, that's very comprehensive. Thank you. Just you mentioned obviously the federal election coming up and the support from both parties to the sector. Can you just touch on, I mean, Labor's got generally a more generous policy, but can you sort of, without, you know, reading the tea leaves too much, but just comment on how that can come to the sector if Labor do win the election?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

I mean, can't comment for what might be future, you know, policy or policy response, but in the lead up to the last election, the Labor government talked for the first time about perhaps a pathway to universal care. If you looked at our portfolio as a sort of a look into the whole of Australian childcare, we think we're probably middle to top market that receives about 66%, about 2/3 of operators' revenue supported by the federal government. What Labor's hoping to do is push that to a higher level. In doing so, that investment of additional taxpayer money would provide for increased workforce productivity and actually, you know, provide an economic gain.

It's believed that every dollar that's invested in will come back as two dollars investment back into government coffers eventually. There's good reason why they do that. You know, whether that's a short term or long term, don't know. At the last election, they sort of proposed an increase in both the funding and to families as a percentage. Effectively, the Child Care Subsidy sits now as a scaled environment. They sort of shorten that scale and actually increase funding to it, James. I can't remember exactly what the dollars were, but you know, in the order of another couple of billion AUD, so very significant investment.

You know, as I made the point in the speech, the expectation and the work of advocacy groups and importance of these services, we do expect that both major political parties will, you know, have to have good, strong policy that will respond to community demand.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Jeff Powell with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Jeff Powell
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, good morning, Rob and Gareth. Just a quick one, turning back to developments and acquisitions. Are you finding opportunities for some acquisitions just outside of childcare, maybe in the SDA portfolio, maybe some, you know, opportunities to grow with SACARE?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

It's okay, firstly. Yes, we certainly aspire to do more. Our major asset, if you like, Jeff, in Salisbury there with SACARE, has got excess land that, you know, both of us aspire to some further development works in time. You know, that's something that we have talked to SACARE about. Don't want anyone to bake that in, but that is available for us to do at a time that makes sense for both parties. We certainly hope to, you know, grow with them as a landlord partner. In regards to SDA more generally, there's a lot of competition in that space at the moment.

We're sort of on record that we'd sort of like the higher physical support component, more specialized, the higher funding component, and perhaps less so the lower quartile of SDA. I'm not interested in buying sort of apartments and then retrofitting them for access. Continue to watch. You know, there's been a lot about NDIS funding and it being underfunded. The risk of, I guess, policy change in regards to the NDIS and the NDIA's management is, you know, relatively high in our view. We're still watching community demand and government response.

There we've seen a few things pass our desk, but, you know, there's been nothing that we say that might make sense beyond, you know, our development programs that we've got underway with Early Learning.

Jeff Powell
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks for that. I guess just moving back to just the fees and costs. I mean, fees are much higher than they were two years ago, and that's on the back of, you know, obviously a COVID impacted environment, increased government support. But you know, you're also sitting at a rent to revenue ratio of 10%. Now, in context, you know, a couple years ago, supply was high. You know, you had a lot of competition pulling staffing away, and staffing can make up to 50% of the cost.

Does it give you pause for potentially, you know, as rents roll off, being more aggressive in raising that, you know, rent to revenue ratio and raising rents given, you know, costs are so high and it could be going up or you know you have these discussions and rental growth could essentially not be, you know, as strong going forward?

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Yeah. A touch upon. Look, it is a center by center proposition, and it's one that we don't undertake just at the rent review, you know, event, I guess, Jeff. We sort of measure it against business operating data, and market rents, you know, sort of on a quarterly basis and make a call on, you know, who's performing, who's not and why. Our view is that we'll continue to see, you know, strong market rent reviews, in the sort of cap and collar environment that we've got in the next year that we're running through. You know, I guess at AUD 2,600 per place, you know, I think the portfolio continues to sit very well in regards to, I guess, replacement cost as well.

All of that bodes pretty well. You know, the one thing I'm dwelling on a little bit that is important, you know, that 10.3% is, you know, rent to gross revenue, and there is a bit of pressure on the operating expense on the labor side. We are sympathetic to that. If you looked at an EBITDA with a little R on the end, it's sort of sitting at that 35%. Still highly affordable in our view. But, you know, we are watching with interest the government response, as well as the market's response to attracting and retaining labor.

Jeff Powell
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Well, thanks, Rob. That's all the questions from me.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Thanks, Jeff.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I will hand back to Mr. de Vos for closing remarks.

Rob de Vos
Managing Director, Arena REIT

Thank you very much for everyone's attendance on the call today. Please don't hesitate to contact Justin Bailey, Gareth Winter or I directly with any questions. We look forward to seeing a number of you probably virtually, unfortunately again, but over the coming days and weeks. Thanks very much.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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