Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Brambles Limited twenty twenty Half Year Results Conference Call. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Graeme Chipchase, CEO. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for our twenty twenty half year results announcement. I would like to start with a few key messages about the first half performance. We delivered strong sales revenue growth of 7%, in line with our objective for mid single digit growth. This performance reflected volume growth with new and existing customers across all CHEP pallet businesses, improved price realization in our U. S.
Business and illustrated the resilience of our European business despite significant geopolitical, economic and cost headwinds. Our underlying profit was up 5%, including the impact of AASB sixteen, which is in line with the guidance we provided at our full year 2019 announcement. Underpinning this performance was the strong growth in sales revenue, improved supply chain efficiencies and a moderation in transport and lumber inflation, which were partially offset by higher operating costs and increased asset charges across the group. Previously, we outlined a number of initiatives to restore margins in our U. S.
Pallets business. These initiatives included the accelerated automation program, the lumber procurement program and a number of productivity and pricing initiatives. I am pleased to report that these initiatives delivered a 1% margin improvement in the period, which is in line with our commitment to lift U. S. Business margins by two to three percentage points by fiscal 'twenty two.
In December, our Asia Pacific business won a ten year RPC contract with a major Australian retailer commencing in July 2020. The contract win reaffirms our commitment to the RPC business in Australia. During the half, we recorded a significant improvement in cash flow driven by increased earnings, lower capital expenditure and improved cash collections across the group. Our return on capital invested of 18% remains strong and well above our cost of capital. Now turning to our dividends and capital management program.
In line with our new dividend payout ratio policy, we have declared an interim dividend of 0 point dollars which will be converted and paid as Australian dollar $13.38 This represents a payout ratio of 50%. This ratio is consistent with prior year and within our targeted payout ratio range of 45% to 60%. During the period, we also conducted significant capital actions. In June 2019, we commenced our US1.65 billion dollars on market share buyback. To date, we have repurchased 51,400,000.0 shares at a cost of US415 million dollars We expect to complete the buyback in late fiscal 'twenty one.
In October, we returned USD312 million to shareholders, comprising $183,000,000 of special dividends and a pro rata capital return of US129 million dollars I'd like to take this opportunity to remind everyone of our global leadership position in sustainability. Firstly though, it's worth noting that when we first set the targets in 2015, the goals were considered very ambitious. And in many cases, we did not have fully defined pathways to achieve the objectives. As such, it is extremely pleasing to report that we are on track to achieve many of our key targets by the 06/30/2020 deadline. Without mentioning all the achievements, I'd like to highlight some.
We expect by June 2020, we will be able to report that 100% of our wood comes from certifiable sustainable sources. We will have reduced our carbon dioxide emissions by 25% since 2015. We helped remove 1,300,000 tonnes of waste from customers' supply chains, and we have eliminated 70,000,000 kilometers of trucking haulage through transport collaboration with our customers. As a group, we remain committed to our sustainability leadership position. It is our intention to launch our 2025 sustainability goals at our May 2020 Investment Day in Orlando.
They will again be ambitious and designed to maintain Brambles as one of the world's most sustainable companies. I would now like to take a moment to address what Brambles is doing to support bushfire affected communities in Australia. All of us at Brambles have been shocked and upset by the devastating bushfires we've seen across Australia in recent months. These fires have significantly affected whole regions and communities and many of our own employees have been impacted. Our Australian team has provided emergency relief, including significant in kind support for our charitable partner, Foodbank, which continues to provide food to affected communities.
We've also allowed for paid leave for up to four weeks for rural fire service and emergency services volunteers. Additionally, we have donated AUD500000 to be shared equally between Food Bank Australia, the Australian Red Cross Disaster Relief and Recovery, Landcare Australia and the Australian Rural Fire Services. Brambles is also matching any donations made by our employees globally. Providing this support, both financial and in kind, recognizes that sustainability is in our DNA as a business, and this includes contributing positively to the communities in which we operate. We know from previous discussions that many of you are interested in our ongoing trials with a U.
S. Retailer to test the operational functionality, asset management and economics of plastic pallets, in line with the retailer's stated strategy to convert all their inbound platform flows to plastic. While commercial and customer sensitivity prevents me from going into greater detail, I will make the following points. Total flows from this retailer represent less than 3.5% of Bramble's global pallet flows. All our major U.
S. Competitors are participating in these trials. The trials involve extensive testing of new plastic pallet designs and asset management technology, and the trials will extend into the second half of twenty twenty. In addition, I would add that Brambles already maintains the world's largest pool of plastic pallets and operates substantive wood and plastic parallel pallet pools in Europe. Now looking forward to our expected operating landscape and our full year 2020 outlook.
Volatile global trading conditions and political instability, including Brexit, have led to a slowdown in organic growth in core European markets such as The U. K, France and Germany. These conditions are expected to continue in the second half of fiscal 'twenty. Similarly, the coronavirus may lead to a slowdown in Asia, though our businesses there remain small and not material from an earnings perspective. Transport and lumber inflation in The U.
S. Business is moderating, though other sources of inflation, such as labor and property lease inflation, continue to rise. While sales revenue growth in the Americas segment is expected to remain strong, benefits from timing of customer contracts of 1% to 2% are not expected to repeat in the second half of fiscal 'twenty. Within this context, at constant FX and including the impact of AASB sixteen, Bravo's outlook for full year 2020 is for mid single digit sales revenue growth and underlying profit growth to be in line with sales revenue growth. I'll now hand over to Nessa.
Thank you, Graham, and good morning, everyone. I'll start with an overview of the first half fiscal 'twenty results. We delivered sales and earnings growth across each of our regions in the first half. Sales revenue growth of 7% was at the top end of the group objective to deliver growth in the mid single digits. Underlying profit growth was 5%, including a three point increase from the implementation of AASB 16.
We have had no significant items in this period or in the prior year first half, and hence, the underlying profit growth of 5% is in line with operating profit growth. Earnings growth was driven by sales, efficiency gains and lower lumber and transport inflation, which more than offset higher operating costs and asset charges across the group. The first half increase in asset costs partly reflects the weighting of annual asset charges in Latin America to the second half of FY 'nineteen, which are now phased across the full year. Profit after tax, which includes discontinued operations, decreased 9% due to the prior year period, including earnings of €51,400,000 from the IFCo business, which was sold in the second half of FY twenty nineteen. Underlying EPS of $0.01 $78 increased $01 per share, reflecting higher earnings and a €0.3 benefit from share buybacks.
The new leasing standard, AASB 16, came into effect for Brambles on the July 1. The key points to note are as follows: double ASB 16 contributed three percentage points to the group underlying profit growth. Whilst the standard has a net nil impact on the total statutory consolidated cash flow, there is a £56,000,000 net increase in reported free cash flow with £56,000,000 of lease payments now classified as debt repayments and recognized in the payment of principal component of lease liabilities line in the consolidated cash flow statement within the statutory accounts. And in terms of the impact on the group ROCE, double ASB 16 resulted in a 1.8 percentage point reduction in the group reported return on capital invested. For those seeking more information, Appendix 3A and 3B provide more details, including a breakdown by segment.
Turning to the group sales revenue on Slide 12. Group sales growth of 7% was driven by a good balance of volume growth and price realization across our businesses. Price growth of 3% includes price realization across all markets with a notable increase in the Americas region, reflecting inflationary trends and cost to serve increases. Group like for like volume growth was 1%, driven by growth in The Americas and Asia Pacific regions. Like for like volumes in the EMEA region were in line with the prior year.
It should be noted, however, that all regions contributed to the 3% growth in net new business wins in the half, including the EMEA business, which delivered net new business growth of 3% despite economic challenges in the region. In terms of the second half, our expectation is to see group revenue growth moderate by one to two points, reflecting ongoing economic challenges, the roll off of a contract loss from the second half of FY 'nineteen and the cycling of prior year customer wins. Turning to Slide 13 and the group profit analysis. Sales revenue made a strong contribution to the profit of 94,000,000 which was partially offset by direct and indirect cost increases across the group. Depreciation expense increased £14,000,000 reflecting growth in the asset pool to support increased issue volumes net of improved asset efficiencies.
The increase in depreciation also reflects the ongoing investment in The U. S. Supply chain automation and lumber projects with £115,000,000 spent to date, which has been funded by £250,000,000 of proceeds from FY 'eighteen asset actions exiting underperforming assets. Net transport costs increased 7,000,000 largely driven by higher collections in Latin America following the launch of the enhanced asset management program in the second half of FY 'nineteen. This cost increase also drove increased pricing in the region, which is recognized in the price volume mix bucket on the slide.
In the transport cost bucket, this increase was partly offset by a £2,000,000 decrease in U. S. Transport costs, reflecting lower third party freight rates in the period. Plant cost increases of £25,000,000 related to three key factors: firstly, labor and property inflation, with particularly notable increases in North America. In Europe, we incurred additional handling and inspection costs largely due to an increased focus on asset efficiency across our service center network.
And finally, we experienced some anticipated inefficiencies in The U. S. Pallets business during the rollout of the automation program in the region. IPEP expense increased £25,000,000 in the half, reflecting higher asset charges partly due to an increase in pallet written down values across the group and £5,000,000 of the increase related to the rephasing of higher asset charges in the first half of FY 'twenty in Latin America, which followed the recognition of a higher cost to serve in the second half of the prior year. Other costs increased 13,000,000 largely due to investment in additional overheads across the group to support supply chain efficiency and asset management programs, particularly in the Americas region to support the delivery of improved commercial outcomes across those regions.
And finally, AASB sixteen contributed €12,000,000 benefit to the underlying profit growth in the period. Now looking at our segment performance and starting with CHEP Americas on Slide 14. Sales revenue growth in The Americas was very strong at 9%. This included improved price realization across The U. S.
And Latin America to recover input cost inflation and cost to serve increases. Despite these pricing initiatives, volume growth was robust and reflected contributions from the current and prior year contract wins in Canada, Latin America and The U. S. Double ASB sixteen contributed 0.6 points to CHEP Americas margin, which improved by 0.2 points in the half. Excluding the benefit of Double ASB sixteen, the Americas region margin declined 0.4 points, notwithstanding a one point increase in U.
S. Margins in line with our stated objective. The decline in segment margins was driven by anticipated first half margin pressure in Canada and Latin America, which includes the impact of half one, half two phasing of costs in Latin America related to assets and the asset management program, which were recognized in the second half of the prior year. Slide 15 details the components of the CHEP Americas margin increase in the first half and provides commentary on our expectations for the full year with improvement expected in the second half. Starting with The U.
S. The one point margin improvement in the first half translated to a 0.6 benefit to the overall Americas segment margins. This one point of U. S. Margin improvement reflected improved cost recovery through price, a moderation in lumber and transport inflation and efficiency benefits from our lumber procurement initiatives.
These benefits offset labor and property inflation as well as anticipated inefficiencies during the rollout of The U. S. Automation program. As we look to FY 2020, we expect U. S.
Margins to increase by one point on FY 'nineteen levels. As anticipated, Canada margins declined in the first half, decreasing the overall Americas margin by 0.5 points. This decrease was driven by higher asset repair costs associated with the stringer to block pallet transition and increased IPEP due to higher unit pallet costs. As a result of these additional costs, we expect the year on year trend in half two and full year Canada margins to be consistent with the trend noted in the first half. Latin America margins declined in the first half, reflecting higher asset charges recognized in the current period with the prior year charges weighted to the second half of FY 'nineteen.
First half FY 'twenty overhead costs also reflected investment in the additional headcount associated with initiatives and actions implemented in the second half of FY 'nineteen to deliver higher asset collections and improved cost recovery through pricing in the region. The pricing and asset management initiatives in Latin America have already started to deliver results with improved price realization and €24,000,000 of additional cash flow from asset efficiency benefits in the region. We expect margin improvement in both the second half and for the full year, reflecting improved cost recovery through price and the benefit of the year on year phasing of half two asset charges. In summary, excluding the benefit of double AASB 16, Americas FY 2020 region margins are expected to increase on FY 'nineteen levels, largely driven by the anticipated margin improvements in The U. S.
And Latin America businesses. Turning to Slide 16 and U. S. Sales revenue, which reflected improved price and volume growth in the first half. Pricing initiatives to recover costs contributed four points to revenue growth, although effective price, which includes surcharges, was one point lower at 3%, reflecting a reduction in surcharge contributions in line with the moderation in lumber and transport inflation over the past six months.
Like for like volume growth of 1% was in line with historic levels. Net new business wins increased to 3% and included the rollover contribution from a major contract win in the prior period. Looking to the second half of the year, we expect volume growth to moderate by one to two points, driven by a roll off of a prior year contract loss and the cycling of prior year second half wins. In addition, surcharge contributions are expected to decrease in line with current trends in third party freight rates. Turning to slide 17.
We have made good progress with our U. S. Margin improvement initiatives during the first half. As you can see from the shaded circles in the chart, our pricing and procurement initiatives have largely been implemented, and we expect full year contributions from both initiatives in FY 'twenty one. Our automation program is on track with the 25 sites automated to date delivering in line with our initial investment case expectations.
Collectively, we continue to expect that these initiatives will deliver two to three points of margin improvement on the first half 'eighteen levels and for the phasing of this improvement to reflect an annual increase in margins of around one point per annum across FY 2020, FY 2021 and FY 2022. Turning to the CHEP EMEA segment, where the margins and returns remained strong despite challenging economic conditions and cost headwinds. Revenue growth of 4% was driven by solid volume growth and price realization in most parts of the business. Excluding the impact of AASB sixteen, underlying profit was flat on the prior year as the sales contribution to profit was offset by direct and indirect cost increases. Direct cost increases reflected higher transport costs in the automotive business and additional inspection and handling costs in Europe pallets business as the business sought to optimize pallet balances across the network.
Indirect cost increases were driven by higher pallet unit costs in the IPEP calculation and investment in overhead to support new business growth and improve commercial outcomes across the region. The 1.7 reduction in region ROCE reflected lower profit margins and higher ACI, which included the impact of prior year automotive asset purchases and CapEx to support Brexit related increased retailer stocking. On Slide 19, looking at the EMEA sales revenue in more detail, Despite challenging macroeconomic conditions, which impacted like for like volumes, which were flat on the prior year, CHEP EMEA delivered growth of 4%, which included a one percentage point contribution from price realization, in line with cost inflation in the region. The net new business wins of 3% was below the prior year FY 'nineteen level. However, FY 'nineteen included a two point contribution from a large automotive contract win.
Looking to the second half of FY 2020, we expect like for like volumes in the European pallet and automotive businesses to continue to be impacted by broader economic uncertainty. Turning to Czech Asia Pacific, which delivered margin uplift and strong returns in the first half. Solid revenue growth in the Pallets business and cost control and efficiencies across the region more than offset the impact of a large RPC contract loss in the prior year. We won a large RPC contract with a major Australian retailer in the first half. The contract, which is a term of ten years, will commence in July 2020.
Revenue contributions from this contract will commence in FY 'twenty one, and we expect earnings benefits to flow through from FY 'twenty two onwards. In terms of capital and return considerations, upfront capital investment will be made in FY 'twenty one with returns expected to be well in excess of the cost of capital over the ten year life of the contract. Looking at our cash flow performance in the first half of 'twenty on Slide 20 '1. Excluding the impact of the €183,200,000 special dividend, which was funded by IFCo sale proceeds, free cash flow increased €108,100,000 on the prior year first half. This outcome was driven by a significant increase in operating cash flow, which reflected higher earnings, a £33,000,000 reduction in cash capital spend despite volume growth and increased cash collections, which drove working capital improvements in the period.
Reported free cash flow also included a £56,000,000 increase due to the implementation of double ASB 16, which, together with stronger operating cash flow, more than was more than offset by the €119,000,000 adverse year on year impact relating to the divestment of IFCo. The €119,000,000 year on year IFCo related reduction in cash flow is made up of the €97,000,000 IFCo cash contribution to the prior year comparative period recognized in discontinued operations as well as 22,000,000 of current year ordinary dividend outflows, which related to prior year IFCo earnings. Importantly, ordinary dividends were fully funded by underlying free cash flow after adjusting for IFCo related dividends and the investments in automation, which are funded through proceeds from FY 2018 asset actions. Moving to Slide '22. On an accrual basis, total capital expenditure decreased €26,000,000 at constant currency in the first half, reflecting asset efficiency benefits and timing of non pooling CapEx.
Our key asset efficiency metric, the pooling CapEx to sales ratio, improved materially in the first half with a 1.8 percentage point reduction to 19.6%. This improvement was delivered despite ongoing investment to support volume growth and reflects asset efficiency across the group with a notable contribution from our Latin American pallet business. Prior year pooling CapEx included two items which did not repeat in the current year: firstly, euros 11,000,000 of additional pallets to support Brexit related retailer stocking, which is yet to unwind and secondly, euros 12,000,000 of CapEx invested in automotive assets relating to a large contract win in the prior year. Nonpooling CapEx decreased €15,000,000 over the prior year, largely due to the timing of investment in The U. S.
Automation program with commissioning of sites weighted at the second half of FY 'twenty. Turning to the balance sheet on Slide '23. Net debt increased €1,400,000,000 on FY 'nineteen levels, reflecting €718,000,000 of lease liabilities brought on balance sheet under AASB 16 and €674,000,000 of capital management transactions, which included share buybacks as well as a capital return and a special dividend payment in the first half. We have significant headroom on our balance sheet with €2,400,000,000 of cash and undrawn credit facilities, which is more than sufficient to fund the balance of our share buyback program. As we look to the full year and considering the impact of AASB 16, we expect FY 'twenty net interest expense to be between 85,000,000 and £90,000,000 for FY 'twenty.
During the half, we revised our financial policy to include the impact of AASB 16, with the revised policy targeting net debt to EBITDA below 2x, which is aligned with our commitment of maintaining our investment grade BBB plus credit rating. In addition, we have also revised our EBITDA definition to recognize IPEP as a depreciation line expense, which is in line with the methodology applied by the credit rating agencies. In summary, revenue growth in the first half was resilient in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. The initiatives we've implemented in the Americas region are on track to deliver both operational and financial improvements over the medium term. We delivered a material improvement in underlying cash flow, reflecting asset efficiency across the group and disciplined working capital management.
And finally, we have a conservative and flexible balance sheet, which continues to be underpinned by an investment grade credit rating. Thank you. We will now go to Q and A.
Thank Your first question today comes from Anthony Mulder with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Good morning all. If I can start with the guidance level you've talked to, 1% to two percentage points revenue impact in the second half. Is it do we take that, that's evenly split across The Americas and EMEA?
No, it's in The U. S. Basically. There's a little there'll be a little bit in EMEA, the majority of it's in The Americas.
And that's the volume impact from the contracts rolling?
Yes.
So economic uncertainty in EMEA, no real impact?
So I think what we're highlighting there is very similar to what we said in August or our thoughts are similar to August and probably the year before that as well, which is Europe this is not just a Brexit impact, it's we're seeing economies slowing down in places like France and Germany as well. But do we see the impact being worse in the second half than we've already seen in the first half? And I would say probably not, which is we've seen flat underlying like for like growth in Europe. So we think it's going to be like that and rather than going negative, but you've just got to keep a close eye on it because again, what could the impact be of something global trade wars getting worse or coronavirus spreading outside of Asia, we don't know at this point. But our view at the moment is the second half is that in Europe, it will be similar to the trends we've seen in the first half.
You're no longer providing the geographic regions of Europe. Can you talk to whether or not one of those has been more impacted by that slowdown?
Well, yes, mean, I think what we're saying is it's the I'll call them established rather than developed markets in Europe. So you're talking at Mainland Europe, we're still seeing good growth on the fringes and in some of the sort of Middle East, India type of parts of that reporting segment. So again, that sort of does lead a little bit to why we're calling out in terms of the margin growth that whilst we're seeing growth in some of these other markets, we are they're not necessarily going to be as high profitability as the sort of the France, Germany, UKs part of Europe. So yes, that's I think that's the picture we be thinking about.
More Western and Northern?
Yes.
You comment on the automation programs running to expectations. Given customers, I guess, over the last twelve months have agreed to the pricing increases from higher inflation in the system, are you expecting customers to ask to share the benefits of the automation program when they start to step up?
No, that's not our assumption. And I don't think we've had any indication from the negotiations we've had so far that, that will be the case. So we are very confident that those margin that margin guidance we've given over the next three years is something we can deliver.
And I think, Anthony, it's also worth noting, as we talk about effective pricing, we've highlighted that effective pricing is lower than the actual price realized on the top line, and that reflects that we're getting lower surcharges. So the mechanisms largely, as the lumber costs come down and transport come down, so too do our surcharges. But particularly in The U. S. Region, the Americas region, that is not reflected on the top line revenue.
It's an offset to the cost line. So that's where the flip comes in as costs come down or surcharges come down also.
And remind us as to how long that takes to normalize down, please?
Around two to three months, depending on the exact wording in each of the contracts. But roughly, roughly, it's around that sort of time lag.
Yes. So not a six month impact, I guess, is the benefit. And lastly, on while I'm still in The U. S, has there been any change to retailers' behavior in that market positively or negatively?
I would say no material change either way.
Your next question comes from Matt Ryan with UBS Investment Bank.
Just a question on EMEA margins. I think you called out the number of direct and indirect cost pressures on Slide 18. Just curious on which of these costs do you think are temporary or one off? And I guess looking out maybe to FY 'twenty one, your thoughts on this increased cost pressures?
Look, a couple of comments, Matt. One would be if you look at the makeup of the growth, given that we do have high growth in, you'd say, more emerging or developing markets where we don't have the same level of scale, We're getting great returns and strong margins from them, but they're not at the same level of the total region. So I think, pleasingly, what this is showing that although we're seeing a slowdown in Europe, that the business has been able to get good momentum and a pipeline for growth development. And we should sort of expect that kind of shape as we go into the second half. If economic conditions change materially, then we can probably expect to get more organic growth, which may give us a little bit of a benefit through on margins.
But overall, for the region, we're still at very, very strong margins and strong returns, and I wouldn't be building into any of the models a tick back up in margins. We'd rather continue to see good, strong growth at high returns for the business be added in.
Okay. That's clear. And then on Slide 13, there's another line, which looks like you've incurred about $13,000,000 of extra overheads. Can you just describe what that is exactly? And should we just double that for a full year benefit sorry, full year impact?
So the answer is yes in terms of a full year impact, but the nature of the costs, first of all, it includes the Latin America piece. If you remember, so for the second half of last year, we started implementing the new asset management program. So we added more resources, commercial resources and market resources, asset recollection, etcetera, into that market. We also, across the group, have added more resources to improve our commercial pricing of contracts. And also, as we're looking to use more digital capabilities across the group, including we've rolled out a new sales tool for our sales force.
So they're the key contributors to that added cost.
I guess, I mean, like at $25,000,000 that's close to 3% of EBIT. Is that a bit higher than what you were thinking that number might be?
No, that was in line. As you can see, the results we've delivered have been in line with what we had indicated. Really, the biggest flip in terms of first half, second half is really the timing of asset charges first half versus second half rather than that this is an overhead cost. And look, a key piece and that's why we called out, look, a key piece of as we got price realization was recognizing higher cost to serve, particularly in that Latin America business.
Okay. And then The U. S. Transport and lumber costs, can you tell us whether you are a net beneficiary at that cost line after taking into account the surcharge reversals?
Yes. Look, we still have we're a net we're now we're still a net net beneficiary. So we called out that we had a €2,000,000 benefit net in The U. S. From transport.
We generally saw the lumber really net net, net out with the surcharges. The challenge for us, though, in The U. S, which we've seen come on is increased labor inflation and also increased property costs, which are the two, I guess, new components that we have in our total cost base.
Okay. That's all for me. Thank you.
Thanks, Matt.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Owen Birrow with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys. Just a few questions from me. Just firstly, on the guidance, I noticed you've changed your guidance from the lower end of mid singles up to the middle of mid single digits growth. But it sounds like you're sort of talking down the growth profile across all the markets. I'm just trying to reconcile that into what's actually changed since August to give you a little bit more confidence in the growth outlook.
So I think let's just talk about guidance language generally. I think we're and this is not this is we'll take the blame for this. We are talking on a pinhead here between going from mid single digits to sort of slightly above, and we're talking about the ULP being in line with or slightly above to in line with. Just to take to step back from the words, we are still sticking by our view on ULP for the year. What we're just trying to reflect a little bit in terms of the language is we did better on the top line in the first half than I think we expected, but that was partly we held on to business, as Nessa talked about, in terms of U.
S. Business that's coming off. We held on for a bit longer than we thought, and we've done a little bit better in other regions in terms of sales growth than we did in Europe. And there's obviously a margin mix mix impact there just from because Europe is such a profitable market. So in reality, I don't think we're saying much has changed at all.
We're just reflecting what's actually happened in the first half on the top line. Our views on the bottom line stay pretty much the same. In terms of the sort of the market outlook, the only area where I think we continue to be cautious is around Europe just because we are seeing a slowdown in the underlying economies. But again, the business did pretty well in the first half, notwithstanding the macroeconomic implications. And then the only other thing I think I would yes, I have to say is we don't know what the impact of coronavirus will be On our business in Asia and China, it's very small in our business.
Therefore, from an earnings perspective for the group, it's not material. But it's hard to call right now what will happen if there's a pandemic, which is global. I certainly don't know. I don't think many other people know at this stage. So that's I think we're just trying to stay balanced about outlook in terms of the macroeconomics.
But I think the important things to come back to are not yet we've had a lot of economic uncertainty in the first half, but our business is very resilient and is still able to produce really good top line growth and bottom line growth numbers even in those conditions. And more importantly, I think for Brambles, two of the key things which we were trying to deliver in the first half were really good cash flow, which we've done and convince everybody and show everybody that our plans for U. S. Margin improvement were going to happen, and we've been nailed that on the head in the first half as well. So I think if you pull that together, us being slightly still remaining cautious about global outlook growth is a minor point compared to the positives on the other ones.
All right, understood. And just on that U. S. Pallets revenue, you talked to a one to two percentage points roll off in the second half. Just to confirm, so what you're saying is The U.
S. Market 8% growth in the first half should be around about 6% to 7% growth in the second half year on year and the deviation is essentially in net new business wins.
I would sort of me being me, I'll go sort of 5%, 6% or 7% possibly rather than any higher than that. But it's so you could take the eight minus 2% for sure. And then you've got to take a view a little bit on some of the pricing rollover and all the rest of it. But yes, I mean, that I think your analysis is good enough.
Okay. And just in the Australian market, you talked about the new contract, the RPC contract that you've won. I mean we can all guess at who that is. I'm just wanting to get a sense of what the nature of that contract is. Is it actually a pool management contract?
Or is it just a pool servicing contract as what as per what it used to be?
No. We are effectively taking on the management of the pool and washing of the crates from their own in house operations. We're taking on the full facility full operations of it.
Okay. And can you give us a sense of what level of investment is actually required into that? Because we understand that the old facilities that were quite old as your facilities. Can you give us a sense of the scale and the magnitude of investment that's likely to go in, in was it FY 2020, I
We can't because it's sensitive, but it's not sort of life changing. It's an amount of capital, but I think the most important thing is that the return on that capital investment is above the cost of capital across period of the contract. I think more importantly for me is that strategically, we're back in business in RPCs in Australia, whereas if we had not won that contract, I think we'd have to significantly rethink what we were doing. But as from an economic perspective, it is a good it's a good project to have won. It's just there's a bit of timing, as you've already sort of kind of alluded to, between the investment going in next year and us getting the ULP flowing out in the year after, but it's a good program.
And in terms of the return profile there, I mean, the Wakai moment, I would imagine, for the project over that period is quite low. I know your internal hurdles are quite high. Can you confirm whether you're actually going to be exceeding your internal hurdles on that project?
Yes, because our internal hurdles are our internal hurdles, that's how we judge projects. So whether they're the right internal hurdles or not, they're too high reflecting the lower cost of capital across the globe, we can have a debate about that, but we've kept them up as high as they were before, and we will beat those hurdles with project.
Okay. And look, just final question for me on BXP Digital. Nothing mentioned in this results on BXP Digital. What's happening there? Is there any updates or any new projects or initiatives that have come out of there?
So they're still very much focused on supporting the business in terms of understanding better where the leakages is occurring and how we can run our business more effectively. And I think we'll talk a little bit more about what's going on when we get to May for the Investor Day. But I think you can see the sort of impact of BXBD or the insights we're getting from that flowing through in the better asset productivity and the CapEx to sales numbers because that's all linked to are we understanding where the assets are going missing and can we can change contractual terms to get better pricing to reflect the higher cost of serve. So it's supporting all of that activity, but there's no new major initiatives which we need to talk about until we get to May.
That's great. Thanks guys.
Thanks.
Your next question comes from Anthony Longo with CLSA.
Look, just a couple of questions from me. So earlier, you mentioned, I guess, comments on CapEx and particularly Brexit. Are you able to give a bit more color as to what we should
On what's happening with Brexit? We lost everyone on the call? Or have we still got people on the call? Let me just check that before we answer.
Conference is now being recorded. We now reconnected. Please go ahead.
I'll try again. So I guess my question was around about The U. K. And the impact of Brexit. Are you able to give a bit more color as to what we should expect from that market now, just given the commentary that you did give on the CapEx number?
Well, maybe I guess, look, from a total CapEx, we spent extra CapEx last year. We haven't seen it come back out. We would expect at some point in the future, the incremental CapEx that we outlined for half one, half two last year, we would expect that over time to reverse back. It's fair to say we all saw that Brexit got delayed. We see stocking levels still continuing to remain relatively high.
And that's been part of the driver with increased handling costs because as we've got any of those types of pallets back, we've repatriated them so that we can reissue them because a lot of the flows come from Mainland Europe back to The UK on that particular pallet. So the impact for Brexit is more impacting us in terms of the cost line at the moment. The CapEx has been spent, but we're keeping a placeholder and would expect that to reverse over time. Not sure what
the time frame is yet.
Yes, not a problem. That's great. So second question for me was just looking at the input costs, and I do appreciate your comments around net plant and also transport that you're seeing. Are you able to give a bit more color on what you're seeing on labor inflation and also the property costs, which feels like you've highlighted this time around?
Yes. Look, I think The U. S. Economy has really performed very strongly. And demand for, in particular, blue collar labor has been particularly high.
It's gone to construction and other parts of the economy. Plus, there's also been quite a bit of activity with the likes of Amazon and those bigger big box retailers who are the e commerce end, which has just bid up the cost of labor. And so while it's impacting us now, I think this also reinforces why we need to continue to automate and look for efficiencies as we go forward because there are challenges with getting access to that labor, particularly when the economy is doing well. The other thing we have seen is, again, property inflation. And we're seeing as we and we had quite a lot of leases that we started renewing in the second half of last year, all of which had quite significant increases.
And we did quite a lot of work looking at property benchmarking. And again, us looking to automate the existing plants and get 20% to 25% more productivity out of the sites that we're automating is obviously a good move in light of those increased costs.
Yes, sure. And just in terms of a bit more color. In terms of those lease increases, are you able to give an order of magnitude as to what you've seen that inflation running at?
No, because it varies so widely geographically depending on where we are.
Yes, not a problem. And look, last one for me. Just looking at the Asia Pacific business, I guess we've seen lower revenues year on year, but we've seen a bit of margin expansion come through there. Can you perhaps talk through what some of the dynamics were in seeing that expansion?
Well, look, a couple of things is that the Asia Pacific Team has been particularly good at delivering year on year efficiencies in terms of their overhead costs. We also commissioned a new service center. One of the nature of our business being quite a developed business in the Australian market, in particular, is that we have service centers that were aging. And so we've been embarking on a program of upgrading those. So the first one of those in Victoria has come online, and that contributed to some of the efficiencies that you're seeing in there.
Your
next question comes from Jacob Cargonas with Citi.
You've called out a 1% margin improvement in The U. S, but you've also mentioned in the commentary that there's still some inefficiencies from network disruptions due to automation implementation. Can you let us know how those inefficiencies will sequence into the second half and what some of the remedies are there, please?
Yes. So look, we were always clear that as we started automating, the challenge for us is that you have to take capacity out to upgrade the plants. As a result of that, particularly if you're already capacity constrained, which you were at the start of this, is that you end up having extra handling and other costs as a result of it. So hence, why we're saying the best way to think of it, we've packaged it all together in terms of the efficiencies we get from the ones that are up plus the inefficiencies from the commissioning to say, that's why over each of the next three years, we're saying approximately one point of margin improvement. That wraps in the lumber automation.
We're doing the pricing, all those components together.
Okay. And then just on the EMEA business. Can you let us know how indexation is impacting margin recovery there and whether or not these inspection and handling costs and the other costs that you're calling out are actually captured under the cost indexation that you do have in the EMEA contracts?
Yes. So not all of the cost increases we have are covered by indexation. So that's a key point to note. So and some of the cost increases aren't necessarily just inflation driven. So for us, we had increased costs in our automotive business, which we called out.
And some of that is due to as we look at how we're operating with new contracts there. So we're looking at ways to get more efficiencies in there. So look, generally, the way the indexation works in the EMEA contracts is that there is an increase generally in the first half of the year that's indexed at the beginning of the year, reflecting what's happened to the key inputs, which is largely lumber, labor and transport. And that if there is a major change during the year, there may be some moderation in the surcharge. But generally, you should think about it as an annual change.
Okay. And one final one for me. You've called out a reduction in the pooling CapEx intensity. Can you let us know what initiatives are driving that and whether or not you guys are considering changes to the in plate replacement rate and the rate of new issues to service customer volumes, please?
Yes. So look, as you know, our big focus has been how do we sustainably improve cash flow, and this is sort of a key component as to how we do that. This is managing the asset pool. So you saw us talk about putting in a new asset program in Latin America, which was a big outlier, and we're starting to see big improvements there. And that's involved market mapping, new arrangements with customers, which makes them more accountable for losses, higher pricing reflecting their loss rates on a more granular level, plus arrangements with retailers to improve the efficiency of our collections that we're doing in conjunction with them.
In the other markets, we're also doing similar things, working with customers and retailers to improve collections. We're also you'll see us, and we'll talk more Investor Day about some of the key initiatives that we're putting in place using data analytics and also using AI and ML to help us get better with how we collect and how we run our pool better. So there's more to come in that space. I would say we're making progress, but we'd like to make faster change, and we think there's more opportunity, and we'll talk about that at the Investor Day.
Your next question comes from Cameron MacDonald with Evans and Partners.
Just a question on the other cost line item. On the $13,000,000 Nessie, you said that the $13,000,000 was somewhat related to Latin America. Why was that not put into the Latin American and hence the Americas division as a cost item and held at the group level?
No, no. So in terms of total overhead, we have overhead. So there are direct costs that relate that go into the segment, and then there's some overhead costs. If you look at the some of the corporate costs, we do have some centralized costs that have been about helping to drive global improvements in efficiency. We had global costs that relate to the deployment of the new asset tool.
And so there is some switch with us putting some central resources that are helping with the overall problem solving around the region. As we look at the statutory reporting, the corporate costs get allocated by to the region based on activity.
Okay. And then on the cash flow, you've got a big positive working capital movement given the change to AASB. Can we just get an update on what you expect that benefit second or for the full year to be? Or should we just be doubling that $56,000,000 benefit? And then thinking into the following year, does that then unwind?
So I think so first thing that you should note about the big improvement in working capital is actually because we spent a lot of time working through dispute resolutions with customers and improving our whole collection process. So there's been a big improvement in the processes and the efficiency of cash collection. That's what's driving the working capital benefit. In terms of the actual reported numbers, you can see that the benefit from AASB 16 that's in free cash flow, noting that there is no that the leasing standard doesn't give us any free kick in terms of total statutory. But in terms of reported free cash flow, the €56,000,000 benefit that we got is dwarfed by the impact when you take out impact of IFCo, which was £119,000,000 year on year.
So you can look at the cash flow, the year on year improvement and know that actually the underlying cash flow have actually improved by more than that number there. And when you look at working capital to know that it's about how we're managing collections has been the major driver of that.
Okay. But so presumably, we'll get a full year benefit from the AASB 16?
Yes. And we will call that out so you can separate it out. But the same way, we also had IFCo, remember, the second half of the year, so there'll be a contribution from IFCo that will come out, too. I think the key big picture needs to be material improvement in cash flow generation, which we said was a key objective. We showed improvement last year.
We've gone even further this year. And obviously, a contributor to that has been the increased earnings, including that one point margin improvement in The U. S. Business.
Okay. And then just final question on the plastic pallet trials with one of your major retailers that you've called out involving new pallet designs and asset management technology. How are the discussions going around? Who's going to pay for this? And what are the economics sort of looking like?
And is the customer getting the benefits that they think they're getting or think they're wanting to get?
Well, I think if you look at the slide, we said because of the commercial sensitivity, I'm not really prepared to go into great detail about this, but the trials are ongoing. We are testing out exactly those issues you have raised around the level of pricing, around the level of leakage and loss and damage rate. But I can't really say anything more than that because the trials are still ongoing and we won't really know for some time what the results of the trials are. But again, I would just reiterate that it's a small percentage of the business. All of the competitors in The U.
S. Are going through. This is not just a brambles initiated thing. And I know a lot there was a lot of concern around having to build up separate service centers to run a plastic pool alongside a wooden pool. We do exactly that in Europe already without there being a significant fixed cost increase issue.
So I don't think this is something to be alarmed about. I think we just we'll keep people up to date as we learn more, but it's something that is just a trial.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Paul Butler with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
Good morning. I just wanted to ask a question about the increase in the IPEP charge. I think you've highlighted there that a portion of that relates to Latin America and I think also Canada. Can you how much of that roughly relates to Latin America and Canada versus the other part of the business?
Well, so we called out that EUR 5,000,000 phasing is due to phasing, which comes back into it was the first half versus second half last year. But if you actually look at the total increase of the EUR 25,000,000, 80% of the increase is due to the higher cost per pellet, which was partly reflected in the second half last year, increased FIFO cost, and then the Latin America EUR 5,000,000 change. So of the 25,000,000 you can go, euros 15,000,000 is higher IPEP unit costs, 5,000,000 is due to the phasing. And the balance, you'd expect to see some growth given the volume growth that we've had. This is kind of largely how you should think about it.
And noting that from an underlying perspective, we're getting efficiencies in the asset pool.
So you're saying 15,000,000 is because of the higher cost of pallets? That Is what you mean
by Yes. The higher unit cost of any of the pallets that we're providing for, yes. And we some of that came up last year, and this is now flowing through into the first half of this year. If you're looking at it while we're not giving specific IPEP guidance, you can take it that you shouldn't see this level of step up in IPEP costs. As you get into the second half, you'll be cycling the Latin America piece, plus we had some of that increased unit costs in the second half.
Okay. Now if you were to think about the cash flow in terms of a cash flow conversion metric, what would be your preferred way of thinking about that?
Well, we've always said our objective that we work on is to make sure that we're we want to be in a position to be fully funding the capital in the business and dividend. So that's how we look at it. And we look at it at a very granular than saying big picture, what should the flow through be, we look at all the components of it. And I think that goes to the quality of the earnings, seeing this increase in cash flow consistently that we've had now year on year.
Okay. And I just wanted to ask about the competition you're seeing. I mean, I think in the presentation, you've said competition levels, I think, in S. Are strong but rational.
Have you seen any changes in competitive behavior over the last sort of six, nine months?
No. I think they remain competitive and rational. I think absolutely no changes at all.
Okay. And then just another one related to Brexit. I think there's a significant inventory build over the last twelve, eighteen months. Are you expecting to see that unwind?
Yes. And we've called it out there as a bit of a flag. We're just saying because everything got delayed with Brexit, we haven't yet seen those inventories unwind, but we would expect to see at some point those incremental pallets that we put in to support the increased stocking come out, given that we know everybody will be driving for efficiencies through their supply chains. But at the moment, given uncertainties about how everything is going to operate, we're still seeing that everybody is holding that incremental stock, and we haven't yet seen it unwind.
Okay. And then just on the trial with the plastic pallets, when are you expecting that trial to conclude? And is the view from the customer that their intention is that all of their or predominantly all of their flows would be on plastic pallets? Or would it be a just some smaller group of stock items?
Well, we're expecting to see results from the trials until the sort of second half of calendar twenty twenty. And you'll have to ask the customer what they what their real views are, but we can only go back on what they have stated publicly, which is that they would like to convert all of the wooden flows to plastic. Now clearly, will depend, I guess, on the economics for them and for us as poolers and for their suppliers who are our customers, but that's what their stated ambition is.
Okay. Thank you very much.
Thanks. Thanks.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Niraj Sarr with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Morning, Graham and Vanessa. Just to round out the discussion on competition, you mentioned it was sort of stable and rational in The U. S. I'm just curious about the competitive environment in Europe, both in, I guess, the core as well as the fringes.
Yes. So again, I mean, it's not the same sort of picture because it's much more fragmented across the whole of Europe, which is sort of makes, therefore, the impact of any changes less material than it would be perhaps in The U. S. But I think it's fair to say that it's still very rational, but maybe a little bit more competitive. And you can see that in terms of as economic conditions get a bit tougher, I think people will start trying to win volume.
But our view is that no one's doing it stupidly and neither are we. So I think it's still very rational, but it probably is a little bit more competitive than it was twelve months, eighteen months ago.
Got it. Thank you.
Thanks.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Chipcase for closing remarks.
Well, thanks everyone for dialing in. And I know we'll be seeing a few of you over the next few days, so I look forward to that. But thank you very much.