GQG Partners Inc. (ASX:GQG)
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Earnings Call: H1 2024

Aug 16, 2024

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the GQG Partners Incorporated 2024 half-year earnings release conference call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question- and- answer session. If you wish to ask a question, you will need to press the star key, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad.

This call will contain forward-looking statements, including statements of current intention, opinion, and predictions regarding the company's present and future operations, possible future events, and future financial prospects. While these statements reflect expectations at the date of this call, they are, by their nature, not certain and are susceptible to change.

The company makes no representation, assurance, or guarantee as to the accuracy of or likelihood of fulfilling any such forward-looking statements, whether express or implied, and except as required by applicable law or the ASX listing rules, disclaims any obligation or undertaking to publicly update such forward-looking statements.

Participants recording or transcribing this call may use such recordings or transcripts for their internal business purposes only and are prohibited from making any part of such recordings or transcripts available to the public without prior written permission of the company. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Tim Carver, CEO. Please go ahead.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Thank you, everyone, for joining us. We are pleased to present to you our half-year result. I am joined, as always, by my partners, Rajiv Jain, our Chairman and CIO, Melodie Zakaluk, our Chief Financial Officer, Steve Ford, our Global Head of Distribution, and, this time joining us also is Charles Falk, our Chief Operating Officer.

If we go to slide two, I'd like to give a brief highlight of the financial result for the period. We had a very strong period. Net flows of over $11 billion in the first half of the year led to funds under management of over $155 billion at the end of the period. Our net revenue was $363 million, roughly 53% higher than the year ago period.

Our net operating income was $273 million, an increase of nearly 55% from the prior period. The board has declared a second quarter dividend of $0.0335 per share. As always, a 90% payout ratio of our distributable earnings. On slide three, we will start where we always should start. As you know, I believe this business begins and ends with investment performance.

The good news is that over the one-year period, in the short term, our investment performance has been exceptional. Having said that, I'd caution everybody that we should not focus on short-term performance, but rather on our longer-term performance a nd the good news is, across all four of our core strategies, we have substantial outperformance with lower volatility on a one-year, three-year, five-year, and since inception basis.

As you know, I also like to talk about our operational value added. So as we look at slide four, you'll see: what does it look like, w hat have we delivered, and what you should hold me and our team accountable to, what have we delivered relative to a theoretical passive GQG? Here you see that, as I mentioned, we've added over $11 billion of net flows in this period, and on top of that, the investment team has added excess return relative to the benchmark of nearly $15 billion.

Collectively, that takes us to nearly $26 billion additional assets under management as a result of the hard work and excellent execution from the team. On top of market returns of nearly $10 billion, you'll see it in the first half, the firm has performed exceptionally well.

As we go to slide eight, from the period, as I mentioned, all strategies have outperformed their respective benchmarks on a three- and five-year basis. That's taken us now to, on a five-year basis, top decile performance in terms of alpha and Sharpe ratio across all four of our primary strategies.

That's resulted in 10 of 12 of our funds now carrying Morningstar gold-medal ratings a nd this, of course, is very important as we build out our distribution in retail, in particular, where we're seeing very strong flows across the board. Our distribution team has continued to make strong investments over the past eight years, and we're seeing some of the benefits of those investments here in this period. We are a top 10 mutual fund family in the U.S., ranked by net flows.

Our Australian global equity net fund flows are top in that market, and our U.S. complex has now surpassed $8 billion. Our head count has grown to 213 people in total at the end of the period. As we've talked about in the past, we believe that our core infrastructure investment in the business is starting to wane.

So the increased head count here is coming from discrete investments we're making, notably in the private capital business and in Abu Dhabi, but also continued investment in sales, where we expect to continue to see strong returns from the investments we're making in the team.

Strategically, during the period, we closed on the acquisition of three boutique interests from Pacific Current Group, a deal that I'm thrilled with, that we worked very hard on, and which will be the basis for our private markets business. We are now operational in Abu Dhabi, after a long and successful investment in that region. We now have 12 employees as of today, and a regulatory authority and space to operate from.

If we go to slide six, I'd like to talk briefly about this strategic initiative we made to invest in private markets. As I've said before, my expectation is that in this period and in the near term. Our investment in the private markets business will not be material as it pertains to our financial statements.

Having said that, I believe strategically over the long run, it is quite material. I'm very excited that we were able to accomplish this transaction, and that we've been able to attract such a strong team to go build out a full-blown private markets business. I think it's important for everybody to understand strategically why it is that we wanted to enter this business.

Now, we always are looking for what we call the sunrise parts of the market. Where within the asset management business are we seeing growth? Where are we seeing talent flow to, and where do we therefore want to position our own business?

Private markets clearly embody this, and in, in doing, the transaction that we did with PAC, we were able to bring on board not only three great investment boutiques, but also a team that we know quite well and that we know has among the longest tenure and deepest track record in the industry.

We also believe over time, that our distribution infrastructure that we continue to invest in, can be leveraged to distribute high-quality products that our, that our current investors and future potential investors will find value added in their portfolios. Fundamentally, we think that these businesses are attractive, business to invest in. We think that closed-end managers can provide relatively predictable contractual management fees and can scale their businesses.

We believe that our team, that we've brought on and that we will continue to build, as I said, is one of the most experienced in the market and can drive substantial growth in that business over the longer term.

With that, I'd like to hand over to Charles Falk, who will talk a little bit about Abu Dhabi, but frame it really in the broader context of what we're trying to achieve operationally, how we think about investing in our infrastructure, and how we think about building a global, redundant, robust infrastructure in our business. Charles?

Charles Falck
CFO, GQG Partners Inc.

Thank you, Tim. Yes, I'd like to spend a couple of minutes on our operating model and describe to you how the establishment of the subsidiary in Abu Dhabi that Tim mentioned forms an integral part of that sort of strategic initiative. On page seven, you'll see a couple of comments relating to that.

As you would expect, our operating model supports a global investment practice, as well as client-facing functions and corporate units. Such an operating model is designed to be robust, scalable, and efficient.

As we've previously mentioned, there were three primary drivers illustrated at the top of page seven that drove us towards establishing a regulated entity and a wholly owned subsidiary in Abu Dhabi. Those are acquiring talent, building and developing regional and local businesses, and then leveraging operational efficiencies.

Through June 30th, we've been able to execute on all of these, and starting on the bottom left, as Tim mentioned, we're now at 12 full-time equivalents. At June 30th, we were at eight. Our experience in hiring locally has been extremely positive. We've been able to hire a number of highly qualified colleagues from diverse experiences and backgrounds that cover a variety of roles and functions.

Additionally, going forward, we're planning on expanding our asset management associate training program to include the Abu Dhabi location. In the middle of the page, current business and prospects. We've had existing relationships with investors and have been able to further expand on those, as well as initiate new relationships with both investors and potential distribution partners, which has gone well. Then that leads me to the current operations.

Our functional capabilities in Abu Dhabi really span the entire value chain, starting with research and portfolio management, going across to trading and portfolio implementation, operations, and corporate functions, including sales and client services.

If you take these three elements together, I think they provide a good illustration of how expanding to Abu Dhabi enhanced our operating model, allowed us to, operate globally and really, evolve towards a follow-the-sun model. With that, I'll hand it over to Melodie Zakaluk for her comments on the half-year financials.

Melodie Zakaluk
CFO, GQG Partners Inc.

Thanks, Charles. Before we jump into the numbers, as Tim discussed, we launched our PCS business on 17 May 2024. At the closing of the transaction, where the PCS Master Fund purchased three boutique interests from Pacific Current and Northern Lights, the purchase was funded by a term loan from HSBC that is guaranteed by various GQG entities.

U.S. GAAP accounting rules have required us to consolidate the fund within the GQG group for the 2024 half year period. As we review those financials, you will see the impact from the consolidation of the PCS Master Fund on our operating income is not material. There is a notable impact to the balance sheet as the assets were grossed up to reflect the fair market value of the PCS Master Fund assets, and the liabilities to include the term loan to fund the transaction.

While the accounting rules around this topic are complex, we expect the PCS Master Fund to be a standalone entity when unaffiliated clients or investors contribute sufficient capital to the fund in the first close. I'll be presenting today consolidated and deconsolidated financials, so that we can review the impact.

Now, let's take a look at our results for the first half of the year. Slide nine, please. We are pleased with our financial results for the first half of 2024, and have good momentum heading into the second half of the year. The global equity markets were broadly positive during the first six months of 2024, as they were in the first half of 2023.

GQG's excess return was meaningfully higher for three of the four flagship investment strategies during the period, significantly contributing to FUM growth, along with new net asset flows of $11.1 billion. New net asset flows were 79% higher than the first half of 2023. Higher average FUM resulted in more than a 50% increase in net revenue, operating income, and net income after tax.

Looking at the bar chart on the left-hand side, our operating margin for the six months ended 30 June 2024 was 75.2%, a slight increase from the first half of 2023, even as we continue to invest in the business. We note that net revenue and operating income have each grown over the past three six-month periods at a compounded annual growth rate of 23.8% and 24.4% respectively.

Our declared dividend per share on earnings during the period increased 53.7% year-over-year. The dividend declared today of $0.0335 per share is based on the revised dividend policy approved by the board of directors and released today.

The revised dividend policy updates the calculation of distributable earnings by adjusting GQG's consolidated net income after tax to remove the impact of unrealized gains and losses on investments in foreign currency, which have not been meaningful in the past, but are expected to increase. We determined it is appropriate to exclude them going forward, as they do not have an impact on free cash flow until those gains or losses are realized.

Slide 10, please. We continue to have what we think is a high-quality revenue profile due to the concentration of management fees versus performance fees and the competitive pricing of our products. Management fees represented 94.6% of our net revenue in the first half of 2024. We believe this high proportion of management fees provides a foundation for stable, quality earnings, particularly during the periods of equity market volatility.

Our average management fee during the first half of 2024 was 49.3 basis points, up from 48.3 basis points for the first half of 2023. Net revenue increased 53.1%, and operating expenses increased 48.1% as compared to the prior year period. We're pleased to see our prior investments in the firm fueling revenue growth.

More than half of the expense growth from the half year 2023 to half year 2024 is directly related to costs that have been driven by growth in FUM, new sales, investment performance, and strategic investments, namely the launch of PCS and expanding our global footprint into the UAE with our new office in Abu Dhabi.

Taking a closer look at our expenses, compensation and benefits as a percentage of total operating expenses has remained consistent year-over-year. 57% of the first half of 2024 versus 56% a year ago. As expected in a human capital business, we believe the greatest investments we can make are in our current team and in attracting other talented people as needed to operate the business and serve our clients.

Compensation expense increased as a result of increased sales commissions related to higher new sales, the impact of strong investment returns on the deferred compensation program, and new employees. GQG is focused on creating a firm that endures beyond its founders. Achieving this goal is reliant on creating a resilient organization and building in succession.

Many of the resources added during the period are in pursuit of this goal and are tilted toward more junior roles, resulting in a lower average cost per headcount than in previous periods. As Steve will further discuss, our wholesale business continues to grow around the world, reflecting our investments in the channel. As third-party distribution, servicing, and related fees are primarily a wholesale FUM-based business, the growth in this line item was driven by the increase of average FUM and fund vehicles where these fees are incurred.

Comparing general and administrative costs for the six months ended 30 June 2024 to the same period in 2023, expenses increased by $6.6 million. In addition to the increase of the middle office expense driven by FUM growth, costs increased related to PCS Master Fund asset transition and higher professional consulting fees. As you would expect, the largest single expense is taxes.

Our U.S. GAAP effective tax rate decreased from 27.44% to 27.04% due to tax changes in various U.S. states. Generally, the driver in changing tax rates are U.S. states, where each state has different rules on how income is apportioned and unique tax rates. Slide 11, please. On this slide, we have an illustration of the impact of the PCS Master Fund consolidation on the statement of operations.

In the first column on the left, we have GQG Group prior to the consolidation, followed by a column with the PCS Master Fund impact to arrive at the total consolidated result of our U.S. GAAP financial statements. The total impact, a $3.4 million loss, is primarily professional fees associated with the establishment of the fund, interest expense, and transaction costs that were capitalized to the cost of the boutique interests, resulting in an unrealized loss.

While the accounting rules in this area are complex, when unaffiliated investors contribute sufficient capital to close the fund, we expect GQG will deconsolidate the fund. Upon deconsolidation of the fund, we expect all operating expenses of the fund, including interest expense, should no longer be a part of our consolidated financial results.

Slide 12, please. GQG's financial condition without the U.S. GAAP, but without the U.S. GAAP-required consolidation of the PCS Master Fund, would be very similar to other periods with no debt and the primary use of cash for working capital and dividend payments. Growth in cash and accounts receivable are aligned with growth in revenue, and excluding the impact of the PCS transaction, liabilities increased from seasonal timing of the payment of annual bonuses and service provider expenses.

The significant changes in the balance sheet over the period are generally attributable to the consolidation of the PCS Master Fund. Let's go to the illustration of the consolidated impact. Slide 13, please. On this slide, we have an illustration of the impact of the PCS Master Fund consolidation on the statement of financial condition.

Again, in the first column on the left, we have GQG Group prior to the consolidation of PCS Master Fund, followed by a column with the impact of the PCS Master Fund and intercompany eliminations to arrive at the total consolidated result of our U.S. GAAP financial statements. The most significant impact is the inclusion of the boutique interest at fair market value in total assets and the correlated short-term debt obligation.

The fair market value includes additional payments to the boutique Avante, part of the contract terms. These payments are the majority of the accounts payable balance. Slide 14, please. As noted on the balance sheet, the primary use of cash, excluding PCS Master Fund consolidation, continue to be working capital and dividends.

GQG has remained committed to distributing 90% of distributable earnings, resulting in $167.8 million in dividends paid during the period, a 46.4% growth from the half year 2023. Now, Steve will give a performance and distribution update.

Steve Ford
Global Head of Distribution, GQG Partners Inc.

Thank you, Mel. I appreciate the opportunity to address all of you as shareholders once again. As Tim and Mel both alluded to, I get to bring quite good news. If we want to start with slide 16, looking at performance on both the near-term and long-term basis is incredibly strong. As Tim noted, look, we would never want to tell anyone to extrapolate out near-term performance as long-term performance.

However, when you're in the business that I am of trying to grow the top line, it is quite helpful to have both. Right now, you see us really in the top decile across all four of our core strategies on both the near term and the long term, which is a very strong statement to our performance right now.

If we move to slide 17, as you've heard me speak probably before, it's much more, you know, sophisticated investor that we deal with that wants to look at performance, not surely on an absolute or basic relative basis. They want to understand the persistence of that performance, and slide 17 shows that across these four strategies.

Basically, looking at every rolling five-year period that you could have owned one of our strategies, and 100% of those periods across all four strategies, we outperformed relevant benchmarks and relevant peer groups. S o what I think that helps with in a period like we've seen over the last 12 months, and in particular the first half, is it helps new dollars come in without the fear of really kind of top ticking or chasing the hot dot.

Meaning that our style is adaptable and such, and that it's not so exposed to, or persistently exposed to factors where people get worried about mean reversion of chasing hot dots, a nd so, we show this as one of the real advantages to our return stream over time, not just simply outperforming. If we move to slide 18.

Beyond persistence, I think people care about how much risk you're taking to achieve those results. H ere, of course, the picture of returns relative to risk, you want to be in the upper left quadrant, which all four of our strategies are a nd these risk-adjusted returns are ultimately always at the top of the tables for what investors search for quantitatively when they're trying to find a new investment strategy.

S lide 19 and is an important translation of that risk-adjusted return, which is the star ratings by Morningstar, and then the equivalents of the Australian ratings agencies. T hose star ratings are very important to our wholesale retail business that Tim and Mel both have alluded to the strength in. T hen I'll now address in more detail as we move into the distribution section of the presentation.

So slide 20 gives you the current breakdown of assets at the firm across strategies, channels, and concentration levels, and shows the net flow by region just over $11 billion, as both noted before, and how that breaks down. Now, we've had some questions, comments in the past about the delta between Americas and other regions.

I think that it's important to keep in context the size and depth of the U.S. market, our home market, which we've been in since day one, relative to the others, b ecause I think what is happening is it's actually masking quite a bit of strength in the other regions that we're very excited about.

So let's move to slide 21. You can see that breakdown across the channels and the time periods, half-year-over-year, year-over-year, et cetera, a nd, you know, this has been a very strong H1, where we've already exceeded our net flow numbers from last year a nd that has been on the back of the wholesale channel and the sub-advised channel, too. But the sub-advised component is driven by the same end investor, the same end markets in the wholesale side.

So it's really strength across both of those channels for us a nd that has been a significant investment over eight years across geographies, across channels to create these relationships, to create the opportunities and availability for these products, and to put us in a position that, as our track records build, as our brand builds, and as our relationships grow, we're in a position to capitalize on the strength of our investment team.

S o, you know, I see continued strength there moving forward, you know, barring any kind of broader market upset or anything of the like a nd we've done that really on the back of increased platform availability, and also, an expanded offering on strategic platforms in the U.S. with, with a retail SMA offering that allows us to broaden our availability on platforms, as well as get follow-on business, in the mutual funds that are available on those platforms.

Moving to slide 22. You know, I won't belabor the points around what we've done in U.S. wholesale distribution, however, I'll note that the result continues. So again, for first half, we're a top 10 net mutual fund flow company. I f you look at Goldman Sachs, which is in the number four spot, that is a significant partner of GQG, and a large portion of the results for Goldman Sachs and net flow business actually come from the GQG relationship.

On 2023, I wanna spend a little bit more time on our distribution success outside of the U.S. market, and look at wholesale success across our UCITS platform and our Australian funds platform. In total, this is $1 billion in net flow for the period, which is a very strong result, actually a record for the firm.

I think portends good things to come, especially if you look at the growth rate off the bottom of last year. And so it's, to me, encouraging to see the correlation between what we're doing in the U.S. market and the strength that we have there translating into other markets.

You've seen us add over 60 new clients in the UCITS platform in Half one, many of which should be able to create new net flow opportunities as we move forward a nd of course, in our Australian business, we've continued to make significant investments and now see the results of that. W e're actually, if you look over the last 3 years, the number one net flow gainer in the global equity category in Australia.

So I'll finish up with what I think is just an important validation point on slide 24, which is looking at the largest database that investors have access to to review investment product. S o what we wanna see is our ability to drive interest in our strategies, people reviewing our profile, people reviewing our data.

When you combine that with very good performance, which we talked about earlier, I think it is a very good leading indicator for fundraising success. With that, I'm gonna pause. I'm gonna turn it over to Rajiv Jain, our Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, to talk a little bit about his views on the current market environment.

Rajiv Jain
Chairman and CIO, GQG Partners Inc.

Thanks, Steve, and thanks everybody for joining and for all the support. So as Steve said, the performance has been reasonable, looking at the choppiness that we've seen over the last, you know, year and a half. As you know, one year is a kind of arbitrary period in market cycles. But I think the important update would be that if you look at last three years, what we have seen is almost a multiple cycle, so sort of being compressed in different ways.

The sort of big tech boom from, you know, basically 2019-2021, and then a, you know, fairly significant inflation, and then an energy cycle, where tech came down pretty, you know, pretty sharply, and then a meaningful recovery, pretty much driven, in our opinion, solely by AI.

So sitting here and now, as you know, we've been fortunate in terms of how we've, you know, how we've performed, but I feel that it's important to mention that if you look at the positioning today, we are generally underweight technology b ecause sometimes the perception might be that we're riding one or the other cycle, but we tend to be very valuation conscious, you know, in terms of how things are and obviously where the corporate earnings are, which led to our cutting back on China, was corporate earnings.

Not as cheap valuations. Japan, we've been significantly underweight in almost all our books. T oday, tech is almost all the products we are underweight tech, but there's so many other areas that have come up. So we feel that, you know, we just like to sort of get the, you know, get good corporate earnings and at reasonable valuations, and we need both, which allows us to navigate better.

There are obviously no guarantees how things will transpire, but sitting here now, I feel that this is not the time to be going, you know, being as aggressive. It worked very well, because the corporate earnings strong, was very strong, but the valuation where we are and some of the tech names, the semiconductor and so on, so forth, we've generally been sort of, you know, we've trimmed at the margin. So we feel good where we are positioned, as things are, but obviously, you know, as I like to say, we reserve the right to change our mind. Tim?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Great. Thanks, Rajiv, and thanks, everybody. I think now we can open it up to Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Please limit your questions to two questions at a time. If you wish to ask a further question, please rejoin the queue. Your first question comes from Scott Murdoch with Morgans. Please go ahead.

Scott Murdoch
Senior Investment Adviser and Principal, Morgans

Thank you. Thanks, everyone. Tim, can I just start with the private capital business? Can you, I guess, give us a little bit more information on the roadmap for this strategy, and just talk to what the next step is in terms of fundraising there, and then deployment of those funds and what opportunities you're seeing? As you said, it's not moving the needle yet, so just interested in your, your expectations and timeframes around this strategy.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah, thanks, Scott. Look, so I think that, you know, in the near term, as you know, we don't provide real guidance here, but I'm reasonably confident that we will, you know, have success in raising third-party capital, you know, in the relative near term. But I would say that even whatever we raise will be immaterial to the overall business. But I think it will be material to the PCS business.

So, I'm very confident in the quality of the work that's being done. Of course, once capital is raised, there's typically sort of a 3-5-year window to put funds to work, and then you, you're back in market raising future funds after that.

So I think that there are, you know, there'll be real opportunities to continue to scale that business. But again, I just would focus this on more of an intermediate-term perspective for it to really be impactful to our, to our P&L.

Scott Murdoch
Senior Investment Adviser and Principal, Morgans

Okay, thank you, a nd just, I guess a similar question, my second question around the, the similar strategic avenue. I mean, I guess you've talked about leveraging your distribution capability, but PCS is, you know, this longer-term, call it 5- 10 year growth strategy, which doesn't really move the needle on leveraging that distribution. So just interested in your current position on more a direct ownership, you know, meaningful stake in something that you can leverage directly and, and I guess on a quicker timeframe.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah. So first, I actually do think that we can have fairly meaningful impact on the distribution side because we can not only will we raise money for the third-party capital, for the activities of the PCS team, but we will have the opportunity, I believe, over time, to also raise funds for some of the underlying boutiques that we, that team invests in.

W e have some pretty creative ideas and innovative ideas about how we might do that and how we might go to market. We'll talk about that in the future, but, you know, I, I'm reasonably optimistic that in a take a 3- 5 year view, we can actually have meaningful fundraisers around the entire platform, including the underlying boutiques.

Now, in terms of trying to do acquisitions and bring like truly on balance sheet, Scott, as you've heard me say before, I'm pretty negative on the idea that we're gonna actually go out there and do an acquisition that we would really bring in-house. I always say never say never. But I'm... You know, but my bias is pretty strongly against that. I've seen very few full-on acquisitions work out. So I don't anticipate that, and I don't think we, you know, shareholders should anticipate that we would be doing that anytime in the near term.

Operator

Your next question comes from Nicholas McGarrigle with Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Nicholas McGarrigle
Founding Principal and Co-Head of Research, Barrenjoey

Hi, team. Thanks for taking questions. I just had one around the OpEx base. Staff costs are up considerably. Can you talk through the quantum or give us a sense of what are the, you know, kind of, which were the biggest contributors between kind of sales-linked bonuses or investment performance or linked bonuses versus maybe some start-up PCS costs in that staff line b ecause it feels like there was a fourth, you know, the percentage of revenue was maintained, but I think we might have expected to see some leverage through that line as you grow?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah. Hi, Nick. Thank you. So you know, we, as you know, we don't, we don't provide really granular detail on that, but what I can say more generally is, it is all of those, all of those factors. So of course, there's some element where you have sales commissions. Also, as we've talked about in the past, part of the way we manage our comp expenses, that in banner years, people get good bonuses, and in years where they don't perform as well, they don't get as, as strong bonuses.

It's very much that underpins the performance orientation that we want, the culture that we want in the firm. So of course, we've had very strong investment performance and very strong business performance, and as a result, you're seeing some of the sort of in-line growth that you describe.

But there is very significant meaningful investment in both PCS and in Abu Dhabi, where, you know, I'd say the, you know, in terms of headcount expansion, you know, fully 50%+ of the headcount expansion would be between Abu Dhabi, PCS growth, and sales-related activities. S o you're really talking about investments made in the future.

Keep in mind that, of course, we can't predict the timing of when those types of investments will come, but they're not gonna come every year. So my expectation is all of those should yield, just like we've seen before, where we've made investments in distribution.

You know, again, over an intermediate period, we've seen returns on those investments, and we don't have to continue to make those investments if they don't, if we're wrong about the, about the returns. But we're pretty confident that the investments we've made in this period will yield solid returns to the firm over the, over the intermediate term.

Nicholas McGarrigle
Founding Principal and Co-Head of Research, Barrenjoey

Great, thanks. Just the second question is around performance fees. You've had a good outcome there for the half year, 10% alpha across most strategies. I just wanted to get a bit more detail on kind of the structure of performance fees at a general level.

Obviously, no specifics, but just are there caps on total MERs? Are they largely crystallizations at December a nd what's the typical kind of percentage, alpha, you know, is it 10% or 20% o r, you know, some kind of guide on what the percentage performance fee is as well? If that's okay.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah, thanks. So look, I don't want to get into the details of that for competitive reasons. I think it's important that we preserve those, the details of those. But what I would say is there's no meaningful expansion in the number of clients that have had performance fees.

Again, just to reiterate, in Australia, performance fees are much more common than they are in the rest of the world. So you don't typically see, for example, in retail funds, any performance fee in the U.S. In fact, they're forbidden in 40 Act funds.

So the reality is that my expectation is we continue to see kind of single-digit percentages of revenue and performance fees. Of course, we had really fantastic investment performance, which has led to the, you know, stronger than expected performance fees for this period.

Operator

Your next question comes from Brendan Carrig with Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Brendan Carrig
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Macquarie

Thank you. Look, I maybe just wanted to follow up on to Nick's question a little bit more there. Just in terms of the OpEx, is there a direct linkage with the performance fees, or is there a bit of a lag in terms of when, bonuses need to be accrued and, or is the performance fees, you know, not all paid in a half, and there's a rolling performance fee period for some of them, and so there's, you know, sometimes gonna be a bit of a mismatch in terms of the comp benefit, relative to that performance fee uptick?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah. Hi, Brendan. So no, we do not link directly any compensation to performance fees. So again, unlike maybe a smaller hedge fund-oriented type of business, where principals might have a direct linkage or a direct share in carried interest, that's not how we do compensation here.

We do compensation on an annual basis with key, you know, structured KPIs, and we look at and, you know, sort of 360 reviews and ratings and the like. So that every year we get, you know, you should look at how is the business performing, and then how is each individual performing within the context of the business, and that will drive their individual bonus or incentive sort of income.

So the one place where there is a tighter linkage is on the sales front, with unrelated to performance fees, but sales, the sales team has a much stronger linkage to growth, to actual sales with respect to their incentive compensation.

Brendan Carrig
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Macquarie

Yeah, okay. So that would be linked to the flows. That makes sense. T hen my second question, yeah, I think you just mentioned earlier that the PCS, some of those costs are sort of employee and compensation, but in slide 11, it looks like those PCS Master Fund costs are just general and administrative, b ut is that just headcount relating to general and administrative that you were referring to as per it is on slide 11 with the costs relating to PCS?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

No, so two different comments. What I was commenting on was the increase in headcount. So if you look at, and if I said costs, I apologize, I meant the number of bodies, if you look at the increase in headcount, circa 50% has been related to PCS, to Abu Dhabi, and to sales.

S o the investments we're making in people, that will ultimately drive expense, the personnel expense line, are really we think of them as investments that should yield a return, worked for us historically, and where we can, you know, we can make changes if they aren't yielding. With respect to the actual G&A line, that Mel can speak more specifically to that, but that has to do with the expenses related to the actual transaction, advisory fees, and the like.

Melodie Zakaluk
CFO, GQG Partners Inc.

Brendan, I just wanna point out that the consolidation is of the fund, and it's not of a PCS entity. A PCS entity is in our consolidated group and would stay in our consolidated group. But what we needed to consolidate for U.S. GAAP purposes is the fund, and the fund doesn't have any employees. So those expenses, that's, that's why you don't see anything in the comp line relative to the impact of the consolidation of the fund.

Operator

Your next question comes from Nick Burgess with Ord Minnett. Please go ahead.

Nick Burgess
Senior Research Analyst, Ord Minnett

Yeah, good morning, Tim and team. My first question is just on flows. You've mentioned a couple of times over the last few periods that rebalancing and redemption activity has impacted the institutional channel. We can see some of that evidence on slide 21. Are you able to give us a bit more color or some of the reasons behind that? How general is it? Is it specific clients that we're talking about here? I guess, do you expect it to persist?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah, it's a great question. Thanks, Nick. So by and large, any outflows that we've had have been idiosyncratic and client-specific in the institutional space. They're, you know, having said that, there's been enough that you can say that we see the institutional business increasingly focused on things like high customization.

So we are very careful about how we think about building that institutional business to make sure that our business scales. But, but no, there's... I wouldn't extrapolate out to any general trends. Of course, we did, as you recall, a couple of years ago, have the significant trend in the U.K., but that, I believe, is all behind us now. So any institutional losses that we're seeing, I think, really are largely idiosyncratic.

Brendan Carrig
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Macquarie

Okay, thank.

Rajiv Jain
Chairman and CIO, GQG Partners Inc.

The other thing I actually wanna add to that, sorry. The other thing I wanna add to that is that unlike most of the long-only or managers, we feel that at times we may need to actually resign from some of select mandates because there's a disconnect.

We don't wanna grow for the sake of growing, and we feel the longer term, it will be detrimental in terms of how things are. So you will see from time to time where we actually resign. Now, just to refresh, four or five years ago, we resigned from sort of, you know, a mid-single-digit percentage of our business because we thought there was a disconnect.

So I think and we feel that's a healthy part of longer-term growth, rather than simply growing for the sake of growth, especially if you feel there's a disconnect in terms of what the client's expectations are, or what have you.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah, I'll just add to that, just to frame it so everybody remembers. What we've said all along is, our belief is this, particularly at this scale, the strongest driver of long-term growth should be alpha. So if we can, if we can drive alpha, that will have the biggest impact on our revenue growth, also have the biggest impact on our margins. S o if we view that a client has demands on the business that will either compromise the alpha or be operationally very hard, we'll then think very hard about taking on that business.

Nick Burgess
Senior Research Analyst, Ord Minnett

Yeah, okay. Thank you, Rajiv and Tim, for that. So my second question is sort of related to that, given the strong flows that you've had over the last few years and the group at $155 billion U.S. fund. Can you help us out with what you think capacity is of current strategies, given the significant growth you've experienced?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah, again, we're, you know, we don't get into specific capacity numbers for a variety of reasons, b ut we're very confident with sitting where we sit today, that we have ample capacity and ample ability to move. I think you can see just in the way we've been able to perform. Rajiv talked about this sort of past 1.5 years, in very, very different environments, we've moved the portfolio around.

We continue, if you look at the overall factor exposure, sector exposure, you'll see that we continue to move the portfolios as much as we've done historically a nd that won't always be the case because some market environments won't call for it, but we see no impact on our ability to execute today at the capacity we're at or anywhere in the near future.

Rajiv Jain
Chairman and CIO, GQG Partners Inc.

I think the other thing I'd like to add is that, if you look at the context of some of the markets we're operating in, U.S. obviously is, I mean, the largest market, but very deep and liquid. But if you look at some of the other markets, especially emerging markets, where I think this kind of gets a little bit lost, is these markets are large.

I mean, if you look at, for example, India, it's a $5 trillion market cap. Japan is $8 trillion. China is $8 trillion. So, most of the people don't appreciate that India is almost 2x, more than 2x of Germany now, right? So some of these are very large, deep markets.

W e feel we have an edge in terms of our ability to source liquidity and place liquidity over some of the others. And we've done that in the last few years in various markets, not just India, but also in the Middle East and Latin America.

Operator

Your next question comes from Shaun Ler with Morningstar. Please go ahead.

Shaun Ler
Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. Just got two quick ones. My first question is, early this year, when your net flows were increasing above the usual rate, you did note to not project this into the future, but what we had after this was even stronger flows.

So I'm just curious, how much of this are new market share wins that you previously did not expect, and who are you winning share from a nd how much of it can be due to pent-up demand since markets were a bit depressed in 2022 and 2023?

My second question, I just would like to circle back on PCS. Can I just get some clarification, if you could get further pointers on how to model this growth in the medium term? Like, do we get more frequent fund flow data, or what's the target ROI, or should we just go back to when they were still with, you know, Black, and try to model around it there? Thank you very much.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Thanks, Shaun. I'm gonna ask you to repeat the first. Let me answer the second question, but I'll ask you to repeat the first question because it was a little bit garbled on my end. I didn't quite hear it. But on the second question, you know, we don't give guidance as to how to model, you know, specific business lines. All I can say is I'm reasonably confident that it will not have a material impact on the overall group over a, if you're talking about a three-year period, I don't think it should be material to the, you know, to the overall business.

Shaun Ler
Equity Analyst, Morningstar

All right.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Could you re-ask the first question?

Shaun Ler
Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Yeah. So I guess my, my question was, at the start of the year, your flows were quite strong, and I think there were statements on not to project this run rate into the future, b ut if we look at recent months, your flows are stronger than ever.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah.

Shaun Ler
Equity Analyst, Morningstar

So I'm just curious, how much of this are new market share wins that you know you did not expect, and who are you winning share from o r, how much of it is due to simply pent-up demand from clients, you know, now putting in money when they were not putting in money in 2022 and 2023?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah, it's a fantastic question, and one that's very hard to answer with any precision. My best guess, and, you know, based on my experience, is that it's the latter, that you saw a lot of clients sitting on the sideline and they have come in to come in after 2022, 2023, into our funds.

I think you couple that with, you know, we now have longer track records in all the platforms, UCITS platform, Australia, U.S., and those longer track records are sometimes screens that people use to potentially invest. S o I think we are now available in more, you know, in more platforms and for more investors who require longer track records.

T hen I think, you know, the performance continues to be strong, and so we just continue to take a little bit of share. So a little bit of all three, but if I had to pick one that was more impactful, I think it would be that, that probably there. We know that there were a lot of client dollars on the sideline.

By the way, there remain continue to be client dollars on the sidelines as well, so that, you know, that we- one could extrapolate that, I suppose. But it's very hard, you know, the, the-- it's very hard to predict in the future. What I'd say is, I can look back over our history, and we've very consistently been able to deliver $8 billion-$10 billion a year.

You know, I think that with the breadth of our distribution, provided we have strong investment returns relative to the market and relative to our peer groups, you know, I think that our distribution capabilities should be able to continue to drive that. But I, you know, it's hard to predict anything more than that.

Operator

Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question is a follow-up from Nicholas McGarrigle with Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Nicholas McGarrigle
Founding Principal and Co-Head of Research, Barrenjoey

Hi, just building on some of the questions around PCS. There was the $3.4 million impact was from the master fund. Can you give us a sense of the costs in establishing that business that aren't borne out in that table? Is it in the order of $ a couple of million of additional cost above the three?

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Mel, do you want to take that?

Melodie Zakaluk
CFO, GQG Partners Inc.

Sure. So if you look at the PNL consolidated slide, I don't have the slides right in front of me, what number that is. However, if you take a look at the operating income, you'll see there's some G&A expense. Then there were about $1.5 million of cost associated with purchasing the boutique, so that's due diligence, et cetera, a nd that, under the transaction that we went through, has to be capitalized to the cost.

So that was expense, but shows up in there as a capitalized cost, resulting in the unrealized loss a nd then the line below that is interest expense. So those are the expenses associated with the fund. We're not providing detailed numbers on expenses that were associated prior to those activities, such as the establishment of the other organizational entities, et cetera. We're not providing detail on that, but that's the explanation on those expenses you see associated with the fund.

Nicholas McGarrigle
Founding Principal and Co-Head of Research, Barrenjoey

Yeah, thanks. I think Rajiv touched on it as well, walking away from business that's not economic. I mean, as you approach capacity in some of the funds, do you start to think about having those conversations about what you can, where you can earn the highest yield on that, scarce capacity?

Rajiv Jain
Chairman and CIO, GQG Partners Inc.

Yeah. So actually, it is not related to our capacity constraints or something, because if you look at the market cap spectrum that we operate, and we tend to operate in the top decile based on a market cap perspective.

Our median market cap tends to be a multiple of any relevant index market cap, right? So it is not capacity related, it's much more of sort of disconnect. Maybe they're changing, they're trying to change their guidelines, maybe the expectations are different in terms of ESG constraints and what have you a nd we act— by the way, we... This is not just now, but as I said, we just walked away from almost a mid-single digit of our total AUM a few years ago, and we were tiny compared to where we are now, I mean, five years ago. So it is much more. We feel that it should be a relationship where we are on the same page in terms of how we like to operate.

It has nothing to do with capacity because, as I said, I mean, these are very large market that we operate, and we don't run a SMID fund or something. These are mega-cap type product, and which allows us to move around and generate alpha. That's the objective. So it has nothing to do with that.

It's much more around, you know, like client's expectation can change, and our view is we actively want to explore at least, you know, a few relationships every year where we feel there's disconnect a nd we have offered to resign, by the way, even now, we're in discussion with a few clients, we've offered to resign.

Y ou will see that impact, by the way, in some of these few, you know, future months of little bit lumpiness because of that a nd we feel that actually makes the business healthy . But most of the managers simply are not willing to do that because they care about short term, and while we feel the longer term, we want to do anything that sort of consolidates and improve our business.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Tim Carver for closing remarks.

Tim Carver
CEO, GQG Partners Inc.

Great. Well, thank you, everybody, for joining us. We are, you know, as we always say, we are deeply aligned with you as shareholders. We're deeply aligned with our clients as investors, and we appreciate your support, and we will continue to do everything we can to drive the business forward. So thank you, and we'll talk soon.

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