Mineral Resources Limited (ASX:MIN)
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Apr 28, 2026, 4:10 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: H2 2023

Jun 29, 2023

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Much appreciated. I'm not gonna spend a lot of time on the presentation this morning. I think everyone wants to really get at the Q&A, so there probably are a few issues that you want to deal with. Look, it's been a challenging year over the last 12 months. We've had a lot of supply chain issues out there, inflationary pressures, labor, fuel, parts, consumables, everything's been on the move, and trying to get equipment into Australia continues to be reasonably difficult. We get suppliers making commitments, and they just don't deliver. So we've dealt with all of that, and we've... But I think the good news is that we've got a strong track record of being able to understand what it costs to build a project. We've never yet run over, and we're not about to.

So over the next 12 months, our focus is on delivering the lithium. So we're doing a lot of work around that we'll talk about. We're building out 35 million tons of iron ore on the Onslow Project, which is a great long life low-cost project. We're developing gas. We've found a lot of gas, and we're a strong believer in gas over the next 30 or 40 years. And our mining services business naturally follows along when all of those opportunities present. So I'll just quickly run through a few highlights, and then Mark will come up and take us through the financials. And then I'll give you a bit of an overview of where I'm going over the next 3 to 5 years with the business. Headlines, you've seen the numbers.

I mean, the numbers are okay. We've had a reasonably strong performance in production, but we did miss our targets. We acknowledge that. We had some issues around the lithium and a lot of rock that we got to move. EBITDA, quite respectable. Good cash conversion. Finished the year with AUD 1.4 billion in the bank. Net debt, about AUD 1.9 billion, so again, we're there- we're in good shape for future growth. We've got about another 620-ish million due in from Albemarle once we close the deal and we get the FIRB approval. So again, I mean, very robust balance sheet, as we've always had. Second half dividend, AUD 0.70, so a total of AUD 1.90 for the year. Our ROIC, 17 years at 20%+ return consistently.

We've got about AUD 3 billion, as you know, parked up, sitting out there on these projects we're developing that isn't earning cash, that those earnings will start and earn us from about the end of this year as the lithium really ramps up to its full potential and, about June next year when the, the iron ore starts contributing. So sitting down around December of 2024, we're looking to move that ROIC up about up to around 25%-26%, so, fairly healthy. Mining services, volumes were impacted a little bit. We've had, again, by delays that were unexpected. Getting, approvals, on some of the projects are difficult. But good news with that, we've had 6 new contracts and, 4 contracts that have been renewed, and we again, won the Rio Contractor of the Year award worldwide.

They've only ever done that twice in the history. They did it in 2012. We won it then, and we went along to the Grand Ballroom with 1,200 delegates, and we were the winners again. Pretty tough. I mean, we do a lot of work for these guys, and we're fairly large on site. To have a large presence and to have that viewed by your client is quite exceptional, something we're very proud of. The iron ore production has been steady. We've improved the product quality. All of the approvals are now through on Onslow Iron, so that's sort of full steam ahead, and we're making really good progress on that project. Mount Marion, overshot on the expansion at Mount Marion.

It took us about six months longer than we were hoping for, but again, just getting equipment in from offshore. We've got a couple of major cutbacks running on Wodgina around Mount Marion, so we're taking the pain there, and we're taking the tops off those mountains. So, it's about a 12-month process. Got about 100 bits of yellow gear out there pulling that back, and it's going fairly well, but challenging. So we're moving that cutback while we're operating with the mining operations. lithium market, we all know, changed. We've had some issues out there with the pricing. I mean, everyone's concerned about price coming down.

I mean, I've spent most of my time with lithium around $400 a ton, and we're getting $3,500, so you know, you wonder what the problem is, but it's still a very healthy, healthy business. Mount Marion, we put a couple of drill rods down. We got inquisitive. I drilled Marion out in 2010 to own 30% of the deposit then. As soon as I spent the required capital, I stopped. We put 4 more drill holes down under the pit about 4 months ago, and we hit what we call the feeder. So, it's about 50 meters wide, and we chased it down about 800 meters. We suspect that it goes somewhere down towards the center of the earth, so there's a lot of lithium sitting under there.

We'll develop that out a lot more over the next 12 or so months. We renegotiated the deal that we had with Ganfeng, of course. Hydroxide was crashing quicker than spod, so we pulled up on that. We actually make more money at the moment selling spod direct than trying to convert it. We've always remained flexible in that regard with our products. We don't have long-term contracts, so we can maneuver when the market changes. And of course, I renegotiated the Albemarle agreement yet again. We're now at 50% of Wodgina. We're completely out of Kemerton, and we are not investing AUD 1 billion in China. In energy, we had a pretty good time with that. We've bored 4 holes up in the Perth Basin.

Three of them have got substantial gas in them, and one of them's got hot water. People and safety. Tragically, we had a small contractor that come on our site out at Ken's Bore . And they were putting the bitumen on the airstrip, and we tragically lost a young guy out there. It was tough. I was up on site early the next morning with a team of people to help support our staff out there with the trauma. It was something that you don't ever forget. It's being investigated by the police and the Mines Department . It'll take some time before we get the results of that. We've done an internal investigation.

Getting access to some of the contractor's people has been a little difficult, but we're, we're still working on it. Been strongly supporting the young guy, Kieren, his partner, and he had two young boys, and we've put in a scholarship. So we're providing education for those two boys until they get to Year 12, and then we're gonna put them either through a year in apprenticeship, and hopefully, they'll, they'll be working with us. TRIFR, we're in good shape. 2.08, we're at industry-low standards. I mean, it's quite incredible when you consider I've got 74,000 people out there now throwing rocks around all day. We managed to make sure that we don't even have a Band-Aid. So our safety people and our training people have done an exceptional job. Well-being around our people, really important.

We're creating environments for our people that are very different in the mining industry. We've recreated the environment in our head office that we ask people to work in. I have a no work-from-home policy, unless it's for health reasons or something significant, which I've always had around for the last 20 years. But, I mean, I expect people to come in and collaborate. As we all know, most of our people in the mining industry cannot work from home. Pretty hard to drive a dump truck or a digger from there. If we have any entitled people that want to work 3 days a week and get paid for 5, they're not welcome with MinRes. But we've got a pretty amazing workforce, and it works well. If you've been to our head office, you'll see the environment.

They come in in the morning, and they don't need for anything during the day. I'm carrying that out to site into resort-style accommodation. So we're upgrading our villages, and all the new villages are going to be able to cater for couples. Attracting new people is something that's getting much easier for us now with those sort of facilities we're putting in and the culture that we have in the business, which is very strong. So over the last year, we've grown by 45% in number of people. So as I said, headcount now are about 7,250 full-time people. In 2021, we had 550 women on the payroll. In 2023, we got 1,300. Once we open these camps up at Onslow Iron in Ken's Bore , that is gonna accelerate rapidly.

Environment, decarbonization. WA, we're a tier one part of the world. We've got probably the best safety standards in the world. We're the most ethical. We understand that we manage the environment extremely well. I mean, we are probably the best in the world at what we do, and it's something that we're proud of, but we work hard on. We're all committed in the mining industry to get to net zero by 2050. There's a lot of challenges ahead of us to get there. No one's producing any green juice at the bows yet, so we're doing what we can to make sure we decarbonize everywhere we go. So we're basically looking at natural gas and solar are the prime source of power that we're trying to change over, and we're trying to eliminate diesel wherever we can.

That's sort of the short to medium-term focus. We've installed a battery system and a big solar farm out on the Wonmunna site. That's live now. It reduces our diesel burn by about three-quarters of a million liters a year. Head office, of course, is carbon neutral with a Platinum WELL rating . Water, we've got a big focus on water and water reduction, so we've reduced our overall water across the board by about 4.2% through being able to recycle it better. We're dry stacking all our tailings now down at Mount Marion. Something I spoke to a year or so ago, where I want to get most of our tailings that we have wherever we can, get them dry stacked, so much better environmentally.

Look, I'm gonna hand over to Mark, and he'll walk you through the financials.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

Thanks, Chris, and good morning, everybody. Pleasure to be here to walk you through the MinRes results for FY 2023. As Chris said, a reasonably strong financial performance for the year. I've been very pleased by the cash performance, in particular. The business performed evenly through both halves, but the cash, particularly in the second half, was very strong. I'm gonna go through this reasonably quickly so we can get to the questions, but I want to emphasize we're investing for the future. The investments we're making are in high-quality assets that are gonna deliver substantial amount of cash for decades to come. Sitting in the business, there's a lot of optionality, a lot of optionality that the market may not understand... a lot of flexibility for us to be able to pull levers as we need to, to support the growth going forward.

I want to emphasize that. Turning to the P&L. Underlying performance, this is pre-impairments, has been very strong year-on-year, as you can see there, driven by lithium, record contribution, AUD 1.3 billion of EBITDA in the lithium business. It's 2.3 times up, out of the growth out of Marion and Wodgina. iron ore was AUD 185 million of EBITDA for the year, which was a solid performance in the face of some pretty significant cost pressures that Chris mentioned earlier. Mining services contribution was AUD 484 million of EBITDA, and that was a result that was impacted by timing of award and new contracts, and also some of those cost pressures.

EBITDA per ton in the mining services came in at AUD 2, which is pretty much where we expect it to be, which was a solid performance. Underlying NPAT, AUD 769 million, and as Chris said, a fully franked dividend, final dividend of AUD 0.70, taking total for the year to AUD 1.90. Next slide, I won't dwell on, just shows drivers on the year-on-year performance. You can see there the impact of both higher costs but also higher commodity prices through the business. In terms of the impairments, as always, we assess our asset values at the end of the year. Lower prices, higher costs, cause us to choose to impair the iron ore operations in the Yilgarn and at Utah Point, AUD 552 million after tax. That's a non-cash charge, of course.

Has no impact on our debt covenants. I just want to emphasize, those assets have been fantastic assets for this business for over a decade. We estimate that the return on invested capital they've generated is something like 26%, even after the impairment. They delivered hundreds of millions of AUD of free cash last year, and we expect them to continue to deliver free cash into the future. They provide significant optionality for us also. In terms of the cash flow statement. I've talked in the past, and I'll emphasize again, this business has got a very strong record of cash conversion from its operations. Effectively, it was 100% this year in terms of operating cash flows, underpinned by a very strong second half performance, as I said earlier.

Post sustaining, CapEx, interest, and tax, the cash flow was at a over AUD 1 billion. I've included this next slide to pick up on one of the points that Chris made earlier. The invested capital in, in, as we think of it in the business, has grown over the last three years from AUD 2.2 billion to AUD 5.3 billion. The investment that sits within that growth in projects like Onslow and others, are not contributing to our cash generation at the moment. But as Chris said, as we grow out the lithium expansion, and as Onslow comes on middle of next year, you'll see the ROIC generated out of those projects kick up significantly. FY 2023 CapEx came in about AUD 500 million less than we guided earlier in the year, primarily because of we're no longer investing in China, as Chris mentioned earlier.

We're a little bit slower to get started because of approvals at Onslow, so we underspent at Onslow. A little bit more spend at Wodgina as we've started to accelerate the removal of that hill next to us. In terms of the balance sheet, calling out the strong liquidity at the end, AUD 1.4 billion of cash, AUD 400 million of undrawn facilities, so AUD 1.8 billion of liquidity. As Chris mentioned, we're expecting in the final quarter of this calendar year to receive between $380 million and $400 million from Albemarle as we finalize that transaction, which remains only subject to further approval. Net debt waterfall, next slide, takes you through how we get to the closing net debt of AUD 1.8 billion. As I said earlier, strong cash flow and strong investment, basically.

In terms of our credit metrics, I'll just spend a minute on this because I think it's important that you understand how the company thinks about our credit position. We finished the year at 1.1 times net debt, 1.8 times gross debt. We've got very strong support from the debt capital markets. Our bonds have traded exceptionally well, since we last went to the market in April last year, in a period of rising rates. The debt market understands what we're trying to do. First maturity is 2027 on the bonds. We expect to be generating significant cash out of those assets that are coming online over the next 12 months, the expanded lithium assets and the iron ore asset at Onslow. We included a slide here to share with you how we think about capital allocation.

The business has a strong track record over three decades, led by Chris, in managing its balance sheet, the way it thinks about capital. We do not blow up capital. That's why we've been able to generate the returns we've been able to generate over those decades. We think about the balance sheet every day. We think about how we allocate capital every day. Sitting in the business, there are a number of levers that we have available to us to pull to help fund the growth. One of those, which we've done consistently, is to recycle capital. Most recent example of that is the Kemerton transaction as part of the Albemarle deal. In terms of guidance for next year, iron ore largely in line with where we are in the year just gone. Costs up a little bit in the Yilgarn.

In terms of Wodgina—sorry, in terms of lithium, we've got spodumene growth at Marion and, and Wodgina, 40% and 30% respectively. In terms of mining services, expect volumes to come back to where we expected them to be, up 10%-15%, and we expect the margins there to still be sitting at between AUD 1.80-AUD 2 a ton, historical performance. Finishing on CapEx for the current year, big investment in Onslow. Some of that spend has been brought into this year from last year because of the delays with the approvals. Just pause for a moment on the gas there. So gas, that number there that you see, is contingent on where we get to with government policy. Chris will talk about this a little bit more, in this next sess ion.

If we can't get to a reasonable outcome with the WA government, that number will come down possibly by half. But if we can get, and this is in the context of being able to export gas, if we can get to a reasonable outcome, we might add AUD 50 million to that number next year or this... Sorry, this new year. As I said, I wanted to go through that quickly. Lots of time for Q&A after this. I'll hand back now to Chris, and he'll take you through the outlook for the business. Thanks.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Okay, look, briefly, I'll just run through the, the operational performance of the, of the business. I mean, it is a, and I'm sure you appreciate, it's a bit of a moving target. We've got, four pillars sitting inside the business. All of them have got great assets in them, and, and we are growing the business. As I said last time I'd done a presentation, I mean, the, the business is doubling over the next couple of years, so, hence the reason why we're always busy. Where do we start? As I said earlier, there's been a lot of pressure around costs, trying to manage them, making sure that we, on one side, we're trying to get labor and balance it, and on the other, trying to manage the cost of that labor.

It's a juggling act, and all of the yellow goods now, I mean, we're constantly getting increases in yellow goods that 10, 12, 15% a year, and they just come out of nowhere unexpectedly. We've been able to manage all of that. Mining services are able to make sure that they pass that on to our clients, and that's shared in the right way, so margins there aren't eroding, so all of that's gone reasonably well. lithium, as I said earlier, we got two of the best tier one assets in the world. I mean, it, it's rare to get to own those sort of assets. They need a lot more drilling put into them. Not in my lifetime. There's plenty there for the next 20 or 30 years, but we will be drilling them out over the next year or 2.

As I said earlier, we're ramping up at both the sites, and that's going reasonably well. In terms of our costs, our costs are more than double what they would be ordinarily when we're running, and the reason for that simply is that we've got all of that gear out there, and we're expensing all that pre-strip as we go. So, our costs, once we get that strip complete, will be under AUD 500 a ton on both sites. Wodgina has ramped up extremely well. We've got a lot of work done there and doing a lot of work around recoveries, but again, I mean, that's gone exceptionally well. We've got about three months of delay again, with on part of that cutback.

We couldn't get into half the mountain, so that gave us a little bit of pain. But during the year, we also, for the first time, we started selling chemicals, so we sold 7,300 tons of hydroxide. iron ore, pretty flat and boring. Not a lot happening with it. It went reasonably well. It contributes good cash to the business. The two iron ore hubs that we run, they're high cost. We started out with the dregs of the industry, and we've been able to grow, and where we're heading now with Onslow Iron, I'll be able to talk about that more later. But look, the Yilgarn and the iron ore up in the Pilbara continue to make money every month, so as long as they're making money, we'll keep them operating.

Utah Point, we had a few issues down there around port handling and issues with the port, but that's sort of all back to normal. Onslow Iron, we've spent about almost AUD 900 million. I don't know whether that's a badge of honor or not, but we're trying to get AUD 3 billion out the door, and as soon as we do, we'll be done. Mining Services has run pretty well. We had a few hiccups in there. We come off one of the big contracts early. We didn't finish... Sorry, we didn't get terminated. We finished it early, so we done really well for our client. A lot of that gear come over onto the lithium on these two mountains.

During the year, 100% retention, very, very unusual for MinRes to ever lose a contract. It's happened to us twice in 31 years. We have had 6 new contracts were picked up this year, and that's it, it's an exceptional year, and we've got probably 3 or 4 more out there in the pipeline. These are all decent, sort of around crushing. They're 10, 15, 25 million ton contracts, so we're adding real value. We've also had a couple of plants. My very first iron ore plant I put into the industry up in the Pilbara. It finally, it was a 6-year contract for 5 million tonne a year. It went for about 18 years, and it was 10 million tonne a year, and I mean, the plant doesn't owe us much.

I got another one on another site with the same client. They've just decided we're gonna turn them back on again for the next decade. So, you know, sometimes you just get lucky. Crushing and processing, we've got three new plants were just recently commissioned. We got 26 of those crushing plants running in WA now. That next-gen technology we've developed over the last decade is quite phenomenal. I mean, just to give you an understanding of the quality of those plants, I mean, we can put 30 million tons of crushing capacity on the ground in about 4 or 5 months. We can do it for less than quarter the traditional type of plant, less than half the people to run it, and it'll last 20, 30, 40 years.

So it's high value to our clients, and the reason why we win so much work. Construction has gone reasonably well. The other little secret that we have in our business, we're the only mining company, probably in the world, that's got design, engineering in-house and construction. So we own all our own construction people, our equipment, and we know how to build projects. I mean, that's the core of where we come from, and that's another secret. To be able to be successful in mining services, you got to get those plants built at the right capital base. You screw that up, and you're out of pocket forever. So construction's gone well. We've Train 3 early in the year up at Wodgina. They brought that on and commissioned it. We're running that alternatively with Trains 1 and 2 .

Mount Marion, they got that expansion done finally. Still a little bit dirt to do down there. Haulage. So we've developed, and if you paid attention to the, the pictures, those big road trains, they're developed by MinRes. They're proprietary, a lot of proprietary information and knowledge has gone into them, but they move 330-ton payloads. So for less than AUD 0.04 per ton per kilometer, we are moving dirt from inland to the port. So about AUD 5.5 a ton to get our dirt from Onslow or from Ken's Bore into the port, into Onslow. So we started building them specifically just for the Onslow job. They have a dedicated road. There's no interaction with traffic whatsoever. We're gonna be driverless by the time we get there.

We've got about 4 of them running driverless now, but we got the drivers sitting in them. That means that when we go to Onslow, there's about 500 people we don't need. And more important than the labor, the saving on the labor, is the safety. We've got no humans on that road, so quite phenomenal. We're aiming within the next 3 years to have them fully electric. So we're gonna have basically trains on rubber wheels. Where else? Just one more thing on them. We were gonna build about 140 of them for Onslow. That was the plan. We've got about 51 built now, so they're progressively coming out. By the way, they're all built in Western Australia, in three workshops in WA.

So wherever we can, we're manufacturing local to keep our jobs in Australia, which is really important as well. But we've got... I can't say exactly how many, but I think we've got somewhere in the order of about 30 out on long-term contracts now with our tier one mining companies. And these things have really been quite a hit to be able to move dirt as quickly as we can. So a big winner for us. And Marine, we've started our little Marine division. We've ordered 5 transhippers. You saw them, the first one coming off the slipway up in the COSCO yard up in China. We've now got 2 off the slipway. There was 3 more to follow. There's actually 4 now.

I just ordered another one a couple of weeks ago, so more about that when we get to the iron ore. Those, by the way, too, when you look at those transhippers, don't think they're expensive. When we're running Onslow, it'll be our lowest cost port on the West Coast, so highly accredited on the dollars. And energy, look, we're developing energy. We're bullish on the fact that we need clean energy. We got to get away from diesel. We got to get away from coal-fired power. I've heard some people occasionally say that we got to get away from gas.

Well, good luck with that, because, I mean, Australia right now is burning coal to make most of its power, and if we can get that converted out to gas, I mean, I suspect that gas will be around for the next 40 or 50 years. It's really not our enemy. It's our friend in terms of a transition tool. We've got a lot of gas down the holes in both Erregulla and Lockyer. Lockyer was a monster find. It was one of the better ones done in Australia. North Erregulla looks like it's bigger. So we're working towards figuring out how we can develop those. We've got about 7,300 square kilometers of land in the Perth Basin, so most prospective gas country in Australia. And we're the largest landholder up there.

We've got a fairly intensive program. Carnarvon Basin, we just recently bought out our partner, Buru Energy. They had 25%. We bought them out. We think that's a very highly prospective area up there as well. It's right in the heartland of our Onslow project, and it's right beside pipeline, so, we're gonna work on that in earnest. So that's sort of where we're at for the year. I'll just give you a bit of a rundown on where we're heading, where I'm taking the business over the next sort of two to five years. Mining services. Look, basically, from the beginning of this year to end of 2024, calendar year 2024, the business is gonna double. And how do we do that? So we've got a bunch of what you guys call external contracts, so out there with a lot of clients.

It look like we're spreading out over to Queensland, and possibly up into the Northern Territory with some of our hardware. And that's all just by demand, and that's sort of the equipment we've got is in demand, and our clients love it. We used to say that we were a pit-to-port contractor. We're now a pit-to-ship, so we're unique in that sense. We're the only ones in the world that can take iron ore or any sort of commodity out of the ground, process it, take it into the coast, and put it on a ship, and we can pretty much do that worldwide now. So it's something that we're sort of pushing.

I'm not pushing the worldwide bit right at the moment because we've got a bit on our plate, as you know, and I've got to kind of get through to about the middle of next year, so we can breathe a little bit and have the cash pouring in. We're also in the mining services business going forward. I mean, aside from all those things you know that we do, we're sort of really starting to... We're getting into the rehab quite a bit with a couple of our larger clients, so we're out there doing quite a lot of rehab work, which is, it's a good thing. I mean, we're very, very good at it. We've opened up a technology center over the last 18 months. We've got a pilot plant. We're doing a lot of lab test work around tail ings.

There's an awful lot of metal and material in tailings dams right around Australia, and we've had some very good breakthroughs on how to be able to separate and get some quality product out of some of those big dams. As I said, on the workshops, we are the largest workshop owner in WA. We've got 120,000 square meters under cover at the moment, and we're about to develop another 160,000. So just growing our capability on being able to do maintenance and manufacturing and making sure that we're making everything that we can in WA. Our safety record with our innovations makes us in high demand with our customers. Next-gen crushers have been a huge hit, and they just keep getting better and better.

They're world-class and highly sought after outside of Australia as well as around. Road trains, as I said, are going well. Transhippers, we've got under control, and we are looking at a lot of equipment coming online over the next 18 months. So, the lithium overview, not a lot more to say about that. I'll probably continue to do what we're doing. We're gonna get Trains 1 and 2 , they'll be getting fresh ore by late this year, 100%. We're getting days now where we're getting quite a lot more fresh ore than we expected, so we got those plants are pumping out on a regular basis. I'm seeing 1,800-2,000 tons a day coming out of those two trains.

They're sitting on about 330,000 tons a year run rate. That's spasmodic. We're not gonna be able to count on those sort of numbers till we get around November, December, but then we'll get them long term. Train 3 will come online in January. We'll ramp that through. We've still got more rock to move, so count on that ramping up over about a five- or six-month period. But come June next year, Wodgina will be doing about 1,000,000 tons of 6% spod. Mount Marion's right behind it, and it's really coming into its straps. The last couple of weeks was really starting to get the separation working.

And understand, these are the most complicated plants of all the commodities I've ever seen out of copper, or zinc, or nickel, or iron ore is always pretty easy. But these are really complicated. They're difficult, so bringing the plants online takes time, but both of them are working well. Strategy. We kind of make it up as we go along, as you can imagine. I mean, but one thing we do is we don't get tied down to any take-or-pay contracts. We don't get tied to any long term until we understand where, where the value is, and we've always been able to flex and twist and make sure that we're capturing the right sort of prices. We've had moments last year where we were selling hydroxide for $81,000 a ton.

We were probably the only ones in the industry that were doing that. I'd love to see those days come back again. I think... Look, we're doing a whole range of different things on these plants to make them more productive. I mean, we're certainly getting-- we're seeing the, the recovery rates coming up in about... I mean, on average, you would be lucky if you're getting 50% recovery going back to sort of a year or so ago, and that's about the performance of most. A lot aren't even getting that. What that means is that you put, 1.6% in the plant and you're tailing 0.8. That's the way it's been for a long, long time. The, the lithium business and hard rock is very primitive.

It hasn't been around that long, so we're doing a lot of work around how to make sure that we can get a lot more out of it. I mean, our aim is to get up around 80% recovery. That's a few years away, but it's something we're working on pretty hard. Downstreaming. Everyone wants to know what our strategy is on our downstream. I mean, it's quite simple what we're doing. We're running some studies at the moment. We wanna upgrade our spod from 6% up to 25-30% concentrate. So then, we are running either a carbonate or a sulfate. We're doing the work around that. That means that this stuff doesn't have a shelf life. Hydroxide has a shelf life.

I mean, you've got to package it, you've got to handle it with a lot of care. You've got to keep oxygen away from it. What we would like to do is go carbonate, sulfate, and then we are talking to the OEMs. So our customers are gonna be the OEMs, the car manufacturers.... We don't wanna get involved with the battery manufacturers or the, the tollers. What we are doing is, we're not investing in China. I mean, I had a commitment to put AUD 1 billion in there, and then I just simply pivoted from that and just didn't go there. China and, Australia have had some issues in the past that's high risk for us, and I don't wanna go there, and I wanna be able to go directly with our product in Australia.

We've got the most ethical product in the world. I mean, anything coming out of Western Australia is more sought after than any other product that comes out of South America, or Africa, and that's what they want. So I wanna be able to go direct to the OEMs. We're talking to them, and we're talking to the head of a range of different vehicle manufacturers. They're very keen to get something bedded down, but we've taking our time because there is no rush. We wanna make sure we get the right deals done. I mean, we're selling our product now for full value. So going forward, too, it's actually cheaper to go into China if you want a toll treat, and there's a lot of dirt getting tolled in China.

China actually goes and builds hydroxide plants without any offtake, and I mean, pretty gutsy. But there's plenty of tolling available in China, so we can actually toll over there for a less cost than building and operating our own plants. So that's the reason I just don't wanna be there. It's really simple. It's just a money thing, the reason I'm not building anywhere at the moment. But when we do build, I'm hoping it's in Australia. If we can't get around that with the capital and the help from the government, then we'll build somewhere in Southeast Asia. And then we'll be able to... We wanna make sure that that's aligned with the U.K. and the North American markets, and we will probably finish it off tolling out there.

We, we've been made offers where we can get, free carry, in hydroxide plants in both Europe and, and the UK, and I think the same opportunity's available. I mean, there's a huge amount of capital available out of those areas now from the government, and, and they're not loans, I mean, they're grants. So we'll probably have, by the time we get to about December, we'll have a very clear view on who we're dealing with and what we're gonna build, and we'll be able to make some more announcements, hopefully around, AGM time or maybe a bit beyond that. So more to come on that. Where are we going on iron ore? Onslow is our focus. We got two key focuses.

We got Onslow Iron, and then way down the track beyond that, we're up in the Pilbara on that Berth 3 . We've got a joint venture with Mrs. Rinehart and Hancock. So we've got a berth, last Capesize carrier berth in Port Hedland, 40 million tons, so that's shared between us. And I've also got 20 million tons of capacity on the Roy Hill rail for life. So very good partnership I've got with Hancock. That's gonna take some time. It's probably a year and a half before we start spending any sort of money on that, and by that time, we'll be halfway through the ramp-up and on-site. So what am I looking for down in Onslow? We're gonna have first ore on ship around June next year.

The ramp-up period there from the first 12 months, we'll be hitting nameplate around 35 million tons within 12 months. I'm hoping to get it a bit sooner, but count on taking the full 12. 18-24 months out, we'll be at 40 million tons. And then we have got a pathway to go from 40 out to 50. Now, I'm guessing on that one, so beyond the 40, probably about another 18 months, and we'll be there with another 10 million tons. High-quality products, so we'll be blending all of that. And, the more tons, obviously, we put over this, the less the unit cost is, but it's a great project.

For those that don't know, with the Onslow Iron Project, it's a joint venture at the mine site where the ore is, and that's a JV. MinRes has got 60.3% of that. The balance is between Baowu from China, POSCO and AMCI from the U.S. So they have 40%, roughly 39.5. From the gate at the mine, all the way in, so the road, the haulage, the crushing, the port is all owned by MinRes 100%. So we own that supply chain, and we own, obviously, the transhippers. That turns into a mining service, great mining services contract that'll last, you know, beyond 50 years. And obviously, owning the road is quite an asset and something we're looking at at the moment.

It's the time we finish these sort of assets, they become a bit lazy, and they're sitting there with capital tied up. So we're gonna have a look and see what we can do with those kind of assets going forward. Mark's gonna get that done before Christmas, at least. Yes? So that's, that's basically, it's the core of our iron ore business going forward. That, and we'll follow that up with that South West Creek operation. Having an asset like that up in the largest bulk harbor in the world is quite a feat, and we got plenty of iron ore up there to put over it. So iron ore, it's a foundation commodity. It's made the world's biggest miners, the world's biggest miners, and there's a reason for that.

If you, I mean, if you have a look at the price of iron ore today, I mean, we probably would be selling that ore today if it was running for about AUD 120 bucks a ton. And as we've said time and time again, I know you don't believe me, but, no more than AUD 40 a ton FOB on board a ship. It's a little bit less than that. And the capital on Onslow Iron, we will not overrun on the spend. I mean, I know everyone's waiting on us to say, "Finally, we're gonna overrun." We're not. I mean, we've got that well in hand.

So the government approvals, we got all the approvals done, and I caught up with our Prime Minister the other night and congratulated them on what they've done. 11 months for all the Onslow Iron approvals from the federal government, and that they ran hand in hand with our state government, so record time. I know we moan and beach a lot about the approvals, but I mean, the government really got behind us on this one. They see the value in the project and what it's gonna do for Australia. So we've done well. Energy, as I said, look, we've got a lot of gas. I mean, we're gonna do one of two things. Mark alluded earlier.

We're gonna spend about AUD 130 million a year on exploration and development wells in the Perth Basin and up in the Carnarvon Basin. Or we're gonna spend about AUD 40 million this year, and that'll be it. It'll be one of the two. We've had some good discussion with the government. We need to be able to export gas as LNG if we're gonna go and pump AUD 2 billion into development. So we can see a pathway in the Perth Basin now, where we can probably get out to about 350 TJs a day of gas.

And that's with export approval, and if we're doing that, we need to be exporting about 200, at least 200 of those TJs, maybe 250, and then we can keep about 100 back for WA. And we can also flex on that, if we need to. If we get down the track around 2030, where they're predicting there may be a shortage in WA, we can flex on that, we can help shore that up. But we've had some good discussion with the government so far, and our government in WA has always been very commercially astute. They listen to industry, so we think that we're gonna have some success along that line. So, we're working towards that over the next few months.

That'll be a big contributor to the business if we can bring that online. In the meantime, we're just doing a lot of work around seismic and stuff that we're doing up in the Carnarvon Basin, and we're starting to get out. So really, I mean, that's sort of the story of the business and where it's heading. Conclusion on all of that, we've got some great opportunities in front of us. The projects that we're building today are high return. As I said earlier, we're going to get out to the end of next year. Our return on capital average over the last 17 years will be beyond 25%. Our total shareholder ret urn to our shareholders, which is why you guys invest in us, we're running at about 33% now for 17 years.

I can see that within the next 2 years, I can see that getting significantly higher than that. As I said earlier, the business will double by the time we get to the end of next year, and that's simply through mining services. It's through Onslow Iron, it's through the lithium, and we'll keep growing the, the lithium business. And then I expect sometime early next year, we'll be starting, if we have success with the, government. Either way, we're either gonna be building a small plant or a large plant in the gas. I mean, at the moment, we're heading towards a AUD 500 million a year spend by the time we get Onslow Iron in full production on diesel, and we got to get rid of that diesel.

We've got to eliminate as much of that as we can, and I wanna do that primarily with the gas. So if you just think about it like this, for the time we get to June next year, we'll have three trains running full steam at Wodgina. Mount Marion, by the time we get to the end of this year, will be in full production. By the time we get to the end of next year, I'll be running at least 25 million tons run rate coming out of Onslow, growing out to 35 and then to 40. And the mining services business would have doubled by then, and we'll be able to enjoy that income.

I think where I was going with Onslow Iron, if you think about selling a ton of that for about $120, and you take away $40 to get it on a ship, and then you take another 10 or 12... Let me think about that. Another $15 to get it into China. Whatever's left times 35 is a good, healthy income. Beyond that, for the first... So we've funded the whole project, so our partners owe us money. So 80% of their margin, going forward, comes back to MinRes, to repay those, the loans are building, and so our cash inflow out of Onslow Iron is significant over the first, couple of years and beyond. I mean, it's, it's just a great long-term project.

As I said, the lithium, we'll probably announce Train 4 later this year, and we probably wanna have that built and coming online around about 2026 from memory. We've also started the approvals process on Trains 5 and 6, and we're going to be a major producer, both in spodumene and downstream. So funding, I mean, I hear some noise around our balance sheet occasionally. It drives me insane. We've been doing this. I started this business 31.5 years ago. I started with AUD 10,000 in the bank, and someone goes, "I'm worried about your balance sheet." And you go, "Have you ever run a business? Do you actually understand what you're talking about?" And I'm not being derogatory. It's just, we know what we're doing. I'm not taking this business to the edge.

I never have. I mean, our track record is pretty good. So I just can't stand here and tell you how I'm gonna raise cash, but we know that. We have a very solid plan. I mean, I'd love to be able to tell you exactly what I'm gonna do, but, we can't until the time's right. And, and you, you all know that. So you need to cut me a bit of slack, and, I mean, if anyone starts writing about my balance sheet again, I'm gonna come after you, in a nice way. We got that? So, look, we've got, as Mark said earlier, I mean, we've got a lot of headroom on our balance sheet. If we wanna go out and do something, the bond market in, in the U.S. loves us. Our bonds have performed well, and the reason for that? We perform well.

I mean, we deliver. We make a commitment, and we deliver. I mean, if we say we're gonna do something, we get it done. My only screw-up, I ran 6 months late on Mount Marion, and I paid the price for that, but you know, it is tough. I mean, I've got a lot of things happening right across 4 different pillars, both operating them and expanding them, and I'm bringing new stuff online that I haven't been able to share with you today, but we will when we get not too far down the track. So we've got lots of headroom to be able to go and raise money.

What I said earlier, too, is when I was talking about some of the assets we've got out there, I mean, if we can get someone that can go and take a shareholding, a 49% shareholding in an asset, and they want 8% return, and I want 25%, I think there's business there to be done, and we're gonna do that, that sort of thing. I mean, I wanna make our capital work a lot harder because I see a lot more opportunity out there where I can get 25%-30% return, and to do that, I need capital to do it. As I said earlier, look, our return on invested capital and our total shareholder return, we're at the top of our game.

I mean, we're in the top four or five on the ASX, and we're gonna keep doing it. We're gonna strengthen that. We're gonna get better. We've got very, very solid plans inside the business. We know what we're doing. I've got a great management team, and I mean, we've had a company out of Melbourne that's been going through our management team, and me included, and interviewing us and scoring us and looking at where our strengths and weaknesses are, and scoring us amongst 7,500 companies nationally and internationally. We're at the top of the spectrum, and I don't mean that in a nutcase way, all right? That we've got a pretty amazing management team. They've got ownership of their business units.

They make life easier for me, but I make it tough for them because we keep driving development and growth. So, you know, we, we've got some amazing Tier One assets. This, Onslow Iron, I mean, there's billions of tons in that region, and we've got the supply chain for it. We're in the best mining jurisdiction in the world. I mean, we've got an amazing federal and state government. They're very, very supportive of mining and development. And we need to be. I mean, what I say to them is that with gas, by the time we get to 2050, it'll probably be outlawed. There'll be no more fossil fuel. But right now, we need gas as a transition fuel to get away from burning coal. That's step number one, and that's probably gonna take 30 or 40 years to do that.

We need to take a leaf out of, say, Norway's book, go sell the gas so we can bank the money, and we can use that cash to move forward. We've got great partners. We've got a lot of JV partners in our business, and they're good partners. I mean, they go from the US to Korea to up to China, and very shortly, Japan, where we're partnering up with another great partner. High quality people. We're agile, I mean, we're focused, and we deliver. So that's our spiel for the day. I'm happy for any questions that you might have. Hopefully, you've got none.

James Bruce
Head of Investor Relations, Mineral Resources

Thanks, Chris and Mark. If you're online, please lodge your question now. But first, we'll start in the room. If you can please state your name and affiliation, and try and limit yourself to one question to start with, and we'll come back around and give everyone a chance. So with that...

Rahul Anand
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Morning, Chris, Mark, and James. Rahul Anand, Morgan Stanley. For my one question to start with, just wanted to touch upon the iron ore business as it stands today. So you've got a bit of sustaining CapEx going in there at AUD 225 million. That's a fair bit of money. I wanted to understand, is that how long do you get these operating costs as a return? Or is that basically, you know, just for the near term, and then you swap over into Onslow and then South West Creek in the future? And, you know, like you said, Iron Valley, perhaps, you know, cap on mine lives , et cetera. Yeah, the costs are still high. How should we think about that sustaining capital? Because it seems to have elevated. Thanks.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Okay. Well, look, first, I mean, yeah, the Onslow Iron Project is gonna allow us to be a little more critical of what we got. I mean, I'm kind of was talking to our guys a few weeks ago, I'm really falling out of love with the Yilgarn. And what I've said to them is, my focus on that would be, unless you can prove me wrong, I think it's got maximum three years life left in it. So let's have a look at the CapEx we're spending and adjust it for that sort of life. There's some aspiration down there for magnetite. Magnetite can be a 30-, 40- or 50-year business, and it's a greener deal.

But I'd look, if I had to guess, I'd say that we're gonna be out of the Yilgarn, and we'll get a landing in the next couple of months on the fact that I really don't want to spend too much more sustaining capital on that place. The North is a little different. Out at Iron Valley, one of those, they're high cost at the moment because when we're moving dirt on the government roads, we're spending about AUD 0.10 per ton per kilometer. So, you know, you're getting up around AUD 30 a ton to get that in, whereas, you know, down at Onslow, 5.5. Once we get access onto the rail and we got the Cape carrier berth, the all of those numbers change. So they're good long-term deposit.

We get 200 million tons in those small deposits sitting out there. And then we've got hundreds of millions of tons in other. So once I go on rail, I mean, but look, if something happened with the pricing, I'd turn them off. But and the sustaining capital we're spending out there, there's one out there that's more than likely gonna get shut off at the end of this year anyway. So we're focused on that. We've got the worst case scenario that Mark's presented, but we are looking at trimming that. You got anything to add to that, Mark?

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

Morning, Ralph. The other piece I would say is that the, yeah, we've got a view that the iron ore price has got a bit of a floor under it. We don't subscribe to the consensus $80 sort of perspective. We've seen that tested over the course of this year. We see every day, every month, how difficult it's becoming to operate in that space. The OpEx through the industry has gone up significantly. I don't think the consensus figures are giving that sufficient credit. So we do have a different view on iron ore pricing, and that then drives a perhaps a slightly different way of thinking about what those mine lives could be. However, and this is the point I was trying to make earlier, we've got the flexibility to be able to pivot.

So if we're wrong on that, we can move quickly to cap our exposure, right?

Speaker 15

Have you improved your rate this year or you're producing lump price?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, we have. Look up in the Yilgarn—out in the Yilgarn, over the last sort of 12 or 14 months, we've sort of gone back to producing lump. We have improved the quality of the ore down there. We're getting good branding out in the market, and we're also out there, we've—we're running marketing out of Singapore, and we are getting sort of different brands now up in China, getting much more focused on the end users. So there's a lot of improvement in that area, and they've done a lot of stuff, too, around the shipping. So we're incrementally—we've got inflationary pressure, but we've also got some smart people who have done some really good stuff.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

You'll see in the balance sheet that the inventory numbers grown a bit over the year. Not all of that's lithium, part of that's iron ore. It's given us that extra flexibility, particularly in the south, to be able to manage the product better and drive better realizations.

Paul Young
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Morning, Chris. Morning, Mark. It's Paul Young from Goldman Sachs. Chris, you mentioned at the beginning that this year is really a transitional year. You're investing heavily for growth. And I look at the, that's reflected in the lithium unit cost guidance, which is remaining elevated. Can I just zone in a little bit on Mount Marion and the unit costs there? You got production up 30%, in FY 2024. Unit costs aren't really coming down. I presume that's, as you said, because you're expensing the high strip, and you're aiming to get to sub AUD 500/ton for both assets, which would be a great outcome. But just wanna get some color on Mount Marion. How long will the cost stay elevated? Will it be into FY 2025, Mark?

Just trying to get some color about the 30% increase in production, yet unit costs aren't really coming down.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, Paul, I mean, where to start? I mean, it's, it's complicated, but these pits, we've just recently made a lot of changes to the plant because we've got multiple kinds of feed coming out of the pit now, unexpectedly. So we've changed the plant. The recoveries now is substantially better with the new plant that we brought online or the changes to it. So those costs are already starting to come down. But the main cost, I mean, and I'm gonna say it's probably about AUD 500 a ton to move the mountain. So we operated at Mount Marion around about AUD 400 a ton when we went back a few years ago. We're probably gonna go back to around... it won't go back to AUD 400, but it'll certainly be sub AUD 500.

I expect that that would happen the time we get around about November, December. So, you know, it's getting there. Look, I get results, daily results out of every plant, and I mean, just looking at what Mount Marion's done over the last couple of weeks, it's really, really great. It's almost got double the lithium units coming out of it now compared to the older plant. And I shouldn't say the old plant, but it was that configuration that we had. So just to explain a bit more, these plants, I mean, we're running a whole range of them. The core of Wodgina is flotation, dense media cyclone down around Mount Marion. But then added to that, we've got ore sorting going in there. Now, we've got some flotation.

So from the minus 1%, we're losing a lot of product out of that, and because the ore body's changed. The other thing we're gonna do down at Mount Marion is on the next month, I think we'll probably make a decision to go underground, and then in the October quarter, we'll probably award a contract to go underground. It's about, I'm just guessing, I think it's something like about AUD 35 million for us to poke a drive underground so we can start accessing that ore down under the pit. So, I mean, we'll be open pit mining down there for the next 20 or 30 years. But just to have another ore source so that we can get that blend going into the plant, is gonna make a big difference as well.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

Morning, Paul. I'll just add to that, Chris. In terms of Marion, we, we saw the strip getting above 20 through FY 2023 at times, and, and whilst a lot of that gets capitalized... It still carries additional cost in the operations through overhead and so on at site, with all the level of activity that we've been managing there, the number of trucks and people and so on. As Chris said, by the end of this calendar year, we're expecting to see cleaner feed through the through the plant more consistently. I think you'll see that the costs have a bit of a trail on that, but certainly in the second half, we expect them to come down.

Lachlan Shaw
Co-Head of Mining Research, UBS

Great. Morning. Thanks very much. Lachlan Shaw from UBS. Just moving to Wodgina. Look, it's great to see that the pre-strip is well and truly underway there. You've got the pathway through to getting Train 3 up and running sustainably. But I guess sort of two questions. So can you just give us a little more insight around that pre-strip, and I guess, how we should think about timing and the mine plan coming into getting full feed in front of the three trains? And then just on the recoveries, you know, Chris, you spoke on your introductory remarks about the recoveries, that you're doing work to start to try and sort of lift that towards that 70%-80% level.

Can you give us more color in terms of what that work looks like and the critical path perhaps ahead?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, sure. Look, I mean, if you think about generally full feed for two trains by December this year, but in saying that, I mean, don't be surprised if we do better than that, but I'm seeing some really good days starting to come through consistently now. But for a budget purpose, start from December, full feed with full fresh feed, and then a ramp up on Train 3 is... It's a very conservative approach, but, no, I'd expect by March, April next year, it'll be full blast, but allow out till June, and you'll be pretty safe. Recoveries. Any plant out there that's recovering up around 65% is sort of really at the top of its game, none of them are doing any better than that.

For us to get to somewhere around 80%, that's an aim, and we're working through the uni, and we've got a little team of excellence that we've put together. We're actually talking at the moment to some of the other hard rock producers in WA, and we're talking about pooling all of that information and working closely together to see if we can, the ore bodies are all so different, and partially to help and partially to share information. But to get that, I wouldn't be counting on getting to 80% recovery in the next couple of years. It's a way off. No one's ever done it, but it is doable, and we're looking at a whole range of different ways of getting there.

It's not conventional, so the plants we're using now would sort of half become obsoleted for if we can make this system we're looking at work.

Matthew Frydman
Senior Research Analyst, MST Marquee

Morning, Chris and Mark. It's Matt Frydman from MST. Chris, you said that your lithium strategy, you, you make it up as you go along. I'm guessing that was at least mostly tongue-in-cheek. But I guess putting aside the debate over whether or not there's a sustainable margin in actually converting spodumene, can you talk through, I guess, the logic of where Min has a competitive advantage in building a lithium converter in Southeast Asia? You talked extensively about, I guess, the returns that Min's been able to generate over the years through scale, through in-house expertise. How do those factors apply to a converter in Southeast Asia?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Well, if you wanted to build one, say, in Vietnam, and Vietnam is one of the countries we're studying, you can basically go and get the whole plant manufactured in China, drive it over the fence and build it for about... Now, I'll throw some numbers out there, but for about AUD 300 million, you can build 50,000 tons, in China or beside China. If we're gonna build exactly that same plant, we would still do the same. We'd go and manufacture it in China, chuck it on a boat, bring it out here, and by the time we do all the things we do, it's probably about AUD 1 billion. So that's the capital difference.

Once you got the plant operating, if you're operating in China, I'm gonna go, it's probably in terms of, just in terms of tax, taxes, VAT, corporate tax, all of those taxes, I'm going to go it's 10% more expensive than in Australia. The operating costs between there and here aren't that much different. I know that sounds crazy, but it's not. I mean, I'd rather operate a plant in China in terms of cost per atom, but it's just getting it built. So if we can... we're looking for middle ground. So if we can go and get 50,000 tons of sulfate or phosphate on the ground here, where we got a product that we can ship anywhere in the world and finish it off in Europe or in North America, it's got shelf life, it's got endless shelf life.

But if we could get something built for sort of AUD 500 million or AUD 600 million, that would work for us. Because having it here, you got full control over it. It's 100% Australian-made. I mean, and that's what they want at the end of the game. We have had offers, as I said earlier, they're willing to build hydroxide plants in Germany and the UK, and they've offered us free carry in the plants. So if we were to go down that path, we still wanna own the product. They'll only be toll treating it for us, and we'd have some ownership of the plant. And when it comes out the back end, we'll have a deal with the OEMs.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

Morning, Matt. One thing I'd add, you shouldn't assume that we'd be doing the erection and the affixing in different parts of South, Southeast Asia. Doesn't mean we couldn't bring skills to bear, though, to help manage that process effectively.

Speaker 16

... Morning, Chris. Morning, Mark. Kaan from RBC. Two questions really on iron ore. So firstly, with Onslow, could you just confirm that, there'll be no further spend for the remaining CapEx in FY 2025? And also, pardon me. And also, with iron ore costs, just wondering, the write-down for the iron ore assets, was that really around the product strategy of better grade? Thanks.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

No, that was the writedown. That was our auditors decided to write it down. They figured out they knew the price better than we did, and it's just the rules that we got to operate by. If we're an ASX 100 company, we probably wouldn't have done it. The thing that really annoyed me is that we didn't even get a tax deduction for it. It's a total nothing. Didn't cost any cash, but we didn't get any value. What was the other part of your question? Are you asking me if I'm gonna overrun the budget on CapEx?

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

No, I think-

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Is that what I-

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

I think the,

Speaker 16

CapEx.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

The answer is there's a little bit of CapEx that drifts into FY 25. FY 25, but not much.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah. So they've got some of the couple of things that will happen. So at the mine site, in around June, we'll be still loading the road trains with front-end loaders. And this is part of the supply chain thing. It's one of the big contract manufacturers we've used for 20 years, and they let us know a few weeks ago, they kind of got the timing wrong on our truck loader. So we'll be loading the road trains with front-end loaders. It's about a AUD 0.50/ton cost. So that will be getting installed, and then there'll be non-process infrastructure, sheds and bits. So, you know, there might be, say, AUD 100 million to spend, something that's not a heap of beans. It used to be a lot, but it's not anymore.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

Just in terms of the audit and the impairment, the financials set out the key assumptions that we took in reaching the decision to impair. You'll see in there, average price was about $91. So essentially, we get a landing on the price curve, and then we draw up a life of mine plan for that price curve. That, in this case, shortens life, particularly with the higher costs, which drives the impai rment.

Glyn Lawcock
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Hi, Chris, Mark, it's Glyn Lawcock with Barrenjoey. I know it's 18 months away, you said, before you start committing capital to South West Creek, but just a couple of questions around that. One, just the progress you're having on how it will evolve. You know, we talked about this, I think, 12+ months ago. You've probably best to tie it up with the existing Roy Hill berths. You'll get better capacity, better capital intensity. So just wondering how talks are going between you... I assume Gina's happy to do it.

I wonder how the government's talks are going. Then secondly, any thoughts you can share around the capital intensity of South West Creek, or is it too early? Thanks.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Okay, where do we start with that? Look, Gina is certainly very happy. I mean, we, we're kind of committed to wanting to do it. We've got till December 31 to get to FID with the government, and it, it's simply that, we get to FID. We've got work to do, and between the things that concern me, the change of the, the Indigenous, what would we call it? The, the new rules that they brought into play that went from August to the end of Sept- end, sorry, July to... and August. They're now gone. They were a significant concern. We had some serious issues happening around our sites very, very quickly. So I wanted to understand how that was gonna impact.

We've got to make sure that we've got a spare line, that we've got to run out to one of the mines, and all of those are impacted by Native Title . It's sort of in a no man's land at the moment. Everyone's too scared to do anything, particularly government departments. So, we're still trying to get our feet on the ground. That is probably the single biggest issue that we've got. And then beyond that, we're doing all the normal stuff you do around making sure that we've nailed down what the capital costs are. The extent, I wouldn't want to guess on the spend at the moment. I mean, we're just building the transhipping berth down at Onslow. Gone extremely well.

I mean, we've got it done for a bit less than we expected, got the dredging done for a bit less. I mean, that's the project's going well. So that experience is, we're gonna translate that up to Berth 3 . I mean, there's been a lot of berths built in that inner harbor in Port Hedland, so there's no science to it. We know the ground conditions, but we think we can shave some significant capital off where we thought we were at. But I think by the time we get, look, maybe to the AGM, I might be able to have some. I just don't have the information. And sometimes my guesses get a bit wild.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

We might just check the virtual world. Moderator, could you just see if there are any questions online, please?

Operator

Thank you, James. For those attending virtually, if you've not yet submitted your text question or joined the live audio queue, please do so now. To ask a live audio question, press the Request to Speak button at the bottom of the broadcast window and follow the on-screen prompts. If you have any issues asking a question via the web, a backup phone line is available. Dial-in details can be found on the Request to Speak page or on the Home tab under Asking Audio Questions. I will introduce each caller by name and ask you to go ahead. You will then hear a beep indicating your microphone is live. Our first online question today comes from Robert Stein from CLSA. Robert, please go ahead after the beep.

Robert Stein
Research Analyst, CLSA

Thanks, thanks for the opportunity. A question on optionality, which you talked about in the presentation, and this isn't a critique of the balance sheet, more trying to understand the options that you have available. The infrastructure asset. In terms of any potential infrastructure sell downs or capital recycling, investing that project with an infrastructure partner, what are the main sort of toll gates that you would expect to hit, but when to crystallize that opportunity?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

What are the what?

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

I think, hi, Robert. I think the question was... Sorry, it was a little bit muffled, but I think the question was, as we think about infrastructure recycling in the balance sheet, particularly with Onslow, what are the key gating items we consider in terms of whether we go down that path or not?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

It's just a money thing.

Robert Stein
Research Analyst, CLSA

That's right. Yeah.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

It is. It's simply... Look, we can bring in partners, minor partners, that'll put in capital to have that, you know, 30-, 40-, 50-year annuity stream. And we can take the capital and go recycle it and do 20-25% return. And there appears to be a fair old number of them out there that wanna do it.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question today comes from Ben Lyons, from Jarden. Ben, please go ahead after the beep.

Ben Lyons
Director of Equity Research, Jarden

Good morning, everyone. Temptation to ask the balance sheet question, of course, Chris, but I'll resist the temptation and, and go instead to the upstream lithium part of the business. Just note that you spent over AUD 200 million on listed investments during the year, and that preceded the recent acquisition of a substantial stake in Delta Lithium. So if I think you can elaborate on your strategy here. Obviously, Mount Ida is proximal to Mount Marion, but the grade that'll be coming out of that deposit looks way lower than the sort of 1.5 that you're getting out of Marion. So what, what's your strategy with Delta Lithium, and if you can elaborate on your broader investment strategy? Thank you.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, Ben, thanks for staying away from the balance sheet. Good to hear from you. Look, I have got a very clear strategy on what we're doing down in that whole region. Obviously, with Delta, we liked the dirt, particularly up in the Gascoyne and Murchison region. But we have also got a strategy on what we're doing with the land down in that whole region around Mount Marion. I can't really share it at the moment, because if I do, I'm just sharing it with our competitors, and they're gonna try and copy me. But I promise that within the next couple of weeks, we'll be able to shine a light on it.

Maybe even sooner than that, we'll be coming out with some announcements, maybe towards the end of this week. But I'm just not in a position to be able to do it right now. But it will. I promise it will make sense and, well, mainly make sense.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions online at this time, so I'll hand back to the room.

Kate McCutcheon
Director of Equity Research, Citi

Hi, good morning, Mark and Chris. Kate McCutcheon at Citi. We haven't had a question on gas yet, so let me go there. I just wanted to clarify your earlier questions. Are you saying that without some kind of assurance for export of 200-250 terajoules a day, you would not look to do gas, or you would purely look to do a smaller plant just for your internal needs? And then secondly, given gas is somewhat of a different ballgame, just your conviction and tools that you're using to ensure comfort on developing a gas project.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, sure. Of course. To go build out 250-350 TJs of gas a day production, we're probably getting out there AUD 1.5 billion-AUD 2 billion. If we're exporting it for LNG, there's a fairly known price. We can go out and lock away a price. In WA, in the domestic gas plant, you can't. So what we've got out there is, we've got the multinationals, that I call them, trying to screw over the juniors. That's us. So their expectation is that they're really pushing the government to have the gas producers in WA put as much gas in the market as they can, so they can get the price from, say, AUD 10 down to AUD 3 or 4.

If that happens, I mean, we have no security in being able to put that sort of capital in. So if we're running on exporting, then we've got absolute surety of supply, and we can do more. So WA gets more gas out of us if they give us surety in the investment. So if I can't get that, I'm gonna build about a 50-TJ a day plant, and that means that there's probably 30 for MinRes and 20 for the local market. And it'll still give a return, but it'll seriously save us a lot of spend on our, on our, fuel. If they go the other way, I can probably pump at least 100 TJs into the local market for a long, long time. So it's really simple, but I have the security to spend the cash.

What was the other part of your question?

Kate McCutcheon
Director of Equity Research, Citi

Confident or the tools you're gonna use with that different kind of thing.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Oh, do I know how to build a gas plant?

Kate McCutcheon
Director of Equity Research, Citi

Okay.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

It's easy. Okay, so I cut my teeth on gas back in the early days, so I spent quite a bit of time up in Carnarvon. I was up there with Woodside on the development of that. How else can I give you confidence? It's not uncommon, these sort of plants we're talking about. And if we really get stuck, we do what we always do, we just Google it, and we figure it out. Pretty much.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

It's actually ChatGPT these days, but anyway, I think the other piece which is happening now is that we're partnering with the right organizations to help through the design phase and as we think about moving in towards delivery and then pre-commissioning and commissioning, so.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

We've got a Canadian petrochemical company on board that we've engaged. Engineering.

Rahul Anand
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi again, Rahul, and Morgan Stanley again. Look, I wanted to come back with a second on Wodgina. You have a slide there, slide 26, where you've talked about Train 4, 5, and 6 in the future. And yeah, thanks for the estimates around the train-related CapEx. Now, I think everyone in this room appreciates the fact that, you know, there's a lot that goes into developing the mine and infrastructure required to feed these plants. So can you give us a bit of an indication as to how much development would be required in terms of the mine, the extra infrastructure that you require to feed that Train 4, over and above that CapEx that you're talking about on that slide?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Okay, so when we designed the existing plant, it was designed with four trains. Most of the civil work has happened for train four, so we've got the bed that we're gonna lie it in. What we want to do is we want to get five and six underway, and the approvals as well, and we're gonna start prepping the ground for five and six. But there's not a lot. I mean, all of the non-process infrastructure's in place, like the power station's there, the water's there. It was all really designed. I mean, if I owned 100% of it, I probably would have had train four coming online about now. So my intention was to build it a lot quicker.

Rahul Anand
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Was that the pre-strip slide for the mining slide?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

We're doing all that now. So once we get the top off the mountain, it... We're there. So, you know, we, we don't have a repeat of this. I mean, this is a once off.

Rahul Anand
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Got it. And then, if you want to think about train five and six, is there any sort of estimate you want to provide today, or probably tomorrow?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

No. Look, it's largely gonna be in line with what we're doing around four. It's not gonna be a whole lot of difference. I mean, we're kind of expecting this inflation to start backing off a little bit. I mean, the costs have been going up for, well, probably about three years now. I really judge that on our Big Mac is the Caterpillar parts. I mean, they come through fairly regularly at the moment, and they're starting to back off a little bit. I don't think... Look, there's gonna be, for five and six, there'll be a bit of non-process infrastructure, but, I mean, we've pretty much got everything. I mean, the camp will grow, of course, but not a whole lot. You don't need a whole lot of people to run these trains.

I am definitely gonna spend money on the camp. We're turning all of our camps right across the business into resorts. So just to give you a few scary numbers on that, the typical camp, 250-man camp, is about AUD 50 million-AUD 55 million we can get them built for. These resorts, we're building about AUD 140 million. That's the difference. Why do we do that? Because we need to add 3,000-4,000 more people over the next 18 months to two years. We need good quality people. The other thing we need to do is we need to get these, we need to change the way we're doing it. Building these camps doesn't work anymore because we're getting mental health issues.

We've got a lot of blokes that get into the wet mess, and they, they become inappropriate with their behavior, so we're trying to turn them into communities. Our big focus is getting a lot more women into our workforce. They're high quality. The women that we've got now, they're better dump truck drivers. They're better at a whole lot of different things. But it's an untapped workforce, and we've got to move forward and get women much more involved in our business. To do that, we've got to have an environment where they're safe and they're... To do that, I want to have couples, so every room will be capable. It'll have a queen-size bed, and it's got a kitchenette, big screen TV, lounge, barbecue on the balcony, laundry, beautiful ensuite.

I've got about four of them sitting in our car park at in Perth. So if, if anyone's over there, they're welcome to have a look. But it's like, literally like going into the Cable Beach Resort. Olympic pool, anything on the coast. So the one I'm building in Onslow right now, it's gonna have a daycare for 70 kids because I wanna be able to hire the local mums, and they need somewhere safe to put the kids. We're really changing the way we're doing things. We're trying to really create communities. I'm building houses in Onslow. I've got 10 underway right now, and I'm gonna keep building houses and get people residential because, I mean, how do I pay for all that? If I've got a... I'll have a high-quality workforce.

We've got them lining up, wanting to come and work for us because of the conditions that we're putting them in, unheard of in the mining industry. And they trust us to be able to deliver that. So I'll get another. I mean, this is a, on day one, it's a 20 million ton project. I'm at 35 on this thing now, and when I go 35-40, I'm just gonna squeeze the assets and we'll get there. It's cheap, what I'm doing. Don't go and write all that. Just behave with your pen.

Matthew Frydman
Senior Research Analyst, MST Marquee

Morning. Matt Frydman from MST again. While we're talking about Onslow, clear that there's gonna be no CapEx overrun, but on OpEx per ton, I don't think that's been updated since you FID'd the project. Despite a backdrop of cost inflation in the industry, you know, including some cost inflation that's led to that impairment at your other iron ore assets. So I guess the question is, is $40 a ton still the right number? You know, what's gone up since that FID, and where have you been able to save in other areas to get back to that $40 a ton? And also, is $40 a ton the number at 35 million tons per annum, or is it the number at 50 million tons per annum? Or, yeah, what's the flex in between?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

No, there is no sliding doors or windows and mirrors here, I can tell you. The forty dollars is still the number. I mean, it's the number at 35 million ton run rate, and it's probably the number at 30. I mean, when we give you those sort of numbers, no secret, we build a little bit of fat in there just to make sure we don't look silly. But, yeah, it will have change at 35 million ton run rate. When we get to go from 35 to 40, we've got a few things. So I've got to chuck in another lay-by berth for the transshippers. So that means that I'll have a transshipper parked in a lay-by berth, and when the loaded transshipper moves out, it'll slide straight in behind.

So, I mean, I've probably got to spend, I'm thinking maybe I might have to throw another AUD 50 or 60 million at the thing to go there, but that I also need that to go from 40-50 million tons. The other thing to remember, too, is that forty dollars a ton has got my little incremental mining services charges sitting in there, and we make a smidge of each one of those. And we've never made that public, how much those margins are, and we're not going to this time.

Lachlan Shaw
Co-Head of Mining Research, UBS

Lachlan Shaw, UBS. Once more, thanks again, Chris and Mark, for the second question. So just another, following on from the last question on Onslow, going to 40-50 million tons. Can you talk to... Is that within current approved, resource reserve mine plan, and specifically around Native Title , getting the mine plan into and, and approved to allow that expansion? Thank you.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, so the 35-40 million tons sits well within all our approvals that we've got. So it's all in the Ken's Bore region. To go out to 50 million tons, we're hitting 170 Ks further east, so there's another joint venture-owned asset out there. It sits at about 61% Fe, so we wanna bring that into the mix. And obviously, we blend that through. We're gonna blend that through at about 4-to-1, and it really sort of, it almost puts a six in front of everything we're selling, so that makes it pretty attractive. But then, of course, when we do that, I've got another piece of road to build, and I'm really getting to love these roads. I wanna- I don't wanna build anything near the coast anymore.

Lachlan Shaw
Co-Head of Mining Research, UBS

Um, Chris-

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

I think. Sorry, Lachlan, just one point on that. It's an interesting question because you, you're highlighting the optionality that sits in the business, right? But also, the other piece is the, the planning and the approvals is far more complex today than it was 12 months ago or 18 months ago. And so there's a huge amount of effort going into the business to make sure we're trying to anticipate where we're gonna need to be 5, 10 years down the track and make sure we get in front of it now. That's it. It's a live conversation every day.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

I think, too, just to highlight on these approvals, so, the federal government absolutely bent over backwards to help us get this project going. Eleven months is a kind of a record, and the state government were just all over it. They have people specifically appointed to make sure that we can get them done as efficiently as we possibly can. The other thing that did happen as well, it's probably not overly public, is when we hit the North West Highway, heading towards Onslow, for about 17 Ks from there into Onslow, the Main Roads , first time they've ever done it, they give out the easement on the top side of the road, so we can put our haul road down the main road's easement, which just give us a direct line straight into town. Everything was approved.

Those opportunities now, I mean, they're incredibly happy with it. They actually charge us a rent for it, but, they're happy with the outcome on that because what we're doing is we're getting big trucks off the highway, and they love that. So if we can dual carriage those right of ways, it's one of the ways we'll be moving forward.

Mitch Ryan
Analyst, Jefferies

Chris and Mark, thank you very much for the question. Mitch Ryan from Jefferies. You started to talk to within the mining services, some of the, your, your, the growth opportunities with inside Queensland. I just wondering if you can talk to the size and scope and timing of those opportunities?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

They're working on them now. I mean, I think it'll happen within the next six months. They look real, I mean, and most of these sort of opportunities, we do it by negotiation. I mean, we're a little bit like McDonald's. I mean, we charge the same amount for our crushing. It doesn't matter if it's good or bad times. We're well known that we flatline on what our charges are. The same with these big trucks that we're building. I mean, they're attracting a lot of attention. We've got, I think we've got about something like 25 of them out there on long-term work now, which we never expected.

We actually went in for one of our clients who had a major breakdown on, on one of their, big conveyors, overland conveyors, and I think within about 72 hours, we're moving 20,000 ton a shift, which is, you know, unheard of. But, I mean, those are the sorts of things that we can do now. So look, I, I think between now and Christmas, it'll evolve, and we'll probably have some news for the time we get to Christmas. But some of them, they're slow to react, but these are, are long-term, sticky-type contracts. But, but it'll happen quickly.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

And Mitch, I'd add, add to that, and we've talked about it, and I'm sounding a bit like a broken record, that the challenges that the larger players are facing in terms of their operations, they don't have the agility that they need to be able to pivot at short notice. There aren't that many alternatives for them. We've got great relationships, we've got the safety track record, which is important to get on the site in the first place. And as Chris said earlier, we're establishing a very strong track record with particularly these large jumbo haulage solutions, which the clients love because it gives them all sorts of options to be able to rethink the way they operate, which they didn't have a year or two years ago.

James Bruce
Head of Investor Relations, Mineral Resources

Operator, could we please go back to the lines and just see if there are any other questions, please?

Operator

Thank you very much. The next online question comes from Anthony Kavanagh, from Chester Asset Management. Anthony, please go ahead after the beep.

Anthony Kavanagh
Portfolio Manager, Chester Asset Management

Good day, Chris. Good day, Mark. Just a point of clarification on the Onslow infrastructure arrangement that you've got with the AUD 7.74 tolling charge. So 12 months ago, you stated that it's a real price subject to inflation. That comment was obviously stated to June 2023, and we've had a fair bit of inflation since then. I just wanted to clarify, at 7.74 when, I guess, production starts and not 7.74 to June 2023. That's the first question. And, and the follow-up is just that if you're going to 50 million tons, I presume that the incremental 15 or 20 million tons on top of the original project is also subject to the same charge?

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

So, Anthony, it's Mark Wilson here. The answer is that it was AUD 7.74 when the contracts were signed, so it's been esca lating since. So it, you know, rough, rough estimate is AUD 8.8 dollars or thereabouts now, maybe just a tad over.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

8.23.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

8:23, there you go.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

It's very roughly.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

Estimate. In terms of the usage, we've struck an agreement for effectively mine gate to ship for the existing development at Ken's Bore and its surrounds. So anything that we do beyond that, going forward into the future, we'll rethink. I mean, that infrastructure, this is one of the points we've been trying to help people understand. That infrastructure that we've developed or are developing is very strategic in its nature, in a region with billions of tons of stranded assets. So we will look to use that infrastructure to release value and optimize that value for MinRes shareholders.

Operator

Our next online question comes from Robert Stein, CLSA. Robert, please go ahead after the beep.

Robert Stein
Research Analyst, CLSA

Hi, sorry, just another question from me. You announced to the market a couple of weeks ago, the Binding Solutions investment. I was just wondering, what's the thinking around that investment? Is it to use it to increase the VIU of your Onslow product by potentially aggregating a lump product? Or is it merely a long-term option on your potential magnetite production that you have down South?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah, all of the above. So going forward, I mean, there's just a great range of opportunities. It's basically just using binders, cold pressing with binders. The product that's been produced is probably 2.5 times harder than it needs to be. But our aim is, I mean, the initial focus was on magnetite. There's literally hundreds of millions of tons of low-grade ore lying around the Pilbara, that if you ground it up a little bit and you get some of the gangue out of it, you're going to upgrade it into the sixes. But then you need to be of, environmentally, you want to be able to bind it. lithium goes out of our sites, I mean, it's ground down to bug dust, and it goes out with about 12%-13% moisture.

If we bind it, it'll go out with zero moisture, and it'll be a high-quality product feed. We're doing a lot of scientific work and lab work around a number of the tailings dams around Australia, and again, those are micro-size. But, there's a whole range of different products in those dams, and we've had some very, very good success on being able to get the separation we need. But again, to make that product saleable or shiploadable, you've got to be able to get it into a form where you can handle it without causing any environmental issues. So there's endless opportunity for it, and we come across this product, and we're quite astounded at how the quality of what they're doing.

Our aim with that is we're gonna build a fairly large demo plant down south of Perth in Kwinana, and then start putting a range of products through it. We'd like to be able to get it to a point where we can send some of the stuff over to the mills in China and even Japan and Korea.

Operator

There are no further questions online at this time.

Speaker 16

Good day, Chris. Mark, Kaan from RBC again. Just a quick one, maybe to build on that. Just you talked about tailings processing. Maybe if you can expand on that, if that's mainly around customers' tailings or the tailings from your own operations. Thanks.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

No, most of it's customers or opportunities that are sitting out there. There's a number of them, and they're literally spread around Australia, and there's a whole lot of different types of metals from, you know, alumina and copper, and if you have a look at what's actually contained in those tailings dams, I mean, you have a look in our own tailings dams. We got from the old days when Sons of Gwalia were running Wodgina, extracting tantalum. They put 100% of the lithium in the tailings dam, so we got 22 million tons out there, grading 1.1. So you know, that's better than, almost better than Core Lithium's got. So all we need to do... And the work's done, it's ground, so all we need to do is figure out how to extract it.

But we won't be doing it through the existing plant because we're putting head grade in. I mean, I was looking the other day, we're putting in 1.8, 1.7%. We're putting into Wodgina, and, you know, we're sucking out 2,000 ton a day. So I mean, it needs to be a special plant for it. And there's a couple of other processes that we're actually looking at. One with a little company called Lithium Australia. So we've invested fairly heavily, about AUD 4.5 million into this process so far, and we're just building a little pilot plant. But if that works, it'll be, it'll be a bonanza. So that'll be. We'll do. One day, we'll do something separate up at Wodgina, and we'll, we'll process those tails.

But we're also putting other tails in there now. And, you know, we're probably averaging, like, 0.8% head grade going to the tail stand. So one day we'll go back and get all those as well, but it's just how many things we can do at once.

Paul Young
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Chris and Mark, follow-up question, Paul here from Goldman Sachs. Covered most of the ground, but just wanna talk about mining services volumes, with respect to-

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Yeah.

Paul Young
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Just trying to work out why we're only seeing a 10% increase in volumes in 2024, and where you've signed 6-year contracts, you've renewed 4. You're probably getting some volumes from Ashburton in the June quarter of next year, 'cause the project's on track. I know that—and also, you mentioned some of these crushes. NextG en's, you know, of course, a 15 million ton per annum plant. So, just try to square away, you know, why the 10% increase, or maybe you can talk about what the exit run rate might be in the June half next year, please.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

They're not gonna happen instantly, Paul. They take a little bit of time. So a couple of them, there's 2 contracts that we got early in the year. One's 15, one's 10, so it adds another 25. They're working on getting those plants built at the moment, and then, generally, we'll always have 1 or 2 sitting in the yard. If we've got them in the yard, it's about 90-120 days, we've got them on site, and we're doing 15 million ton. So it's probably gonna take, I'm gonna go 6-9 months before you really see some of that evolve. Some of those are also the big jumbo trucks, so, we've actually, we're building them about as quick as we can. So right now, I mean, we're building prime movers. We're building all of those trailers.

So to get up, we're heading up by the end of next year to about 200 of those big jumbo triples. I think they're about AUD 1.25 million a hit. Prime movers get assembled in Melbourne, and all the rest are built in Perth. We're busy. We've got a lot happening.

Paul Young
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks. And just lastly, Chris, the Brazilian opportunity that you mentioned six months ago, is that still there?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

I've walked away from it. I mean, they, they dearly wanted us to go there. It's just we've got so much opportunity sitting here right now. I mean, getting the equipment is the issue. So if I had've went down to, to Vale , I would've had to turn down some of the local jobs to do that. And, I mean, I like what I'm doing. When I can get at a site and back in a day, I mean, we've got total control over it. When we're down there, and I, I got to admit, I did get a little bit nervous. I haven't been in South America before, and, I've had a few friends over the last 25 years that have been down there and kind of come back, a little scorched. So I'd not quite...

I mean, if I wasn't as busy here, I would have given it a shot because they're very good people, no doubt about that, and they'd be a great client to work with. But, I just don't have the horsepower at the moment.

Mark Wilson
CFO, Mineral Resources

I know that there will be some that find that hard to believe, right? Because it always feels like there's so many different things happening, but we do say no quite a lot. Yeah, that's a really good example because it's a great client. They knew we could bring real value to them. We knew we could bring real value to them. But at the end of the day, even though the margins were gonna be strong, the risk return wasn't right.

Operator

We'll take our last question. Kate McCutcheon .

Kate McCutcheon
Director of Equity Research, Citi

Perfect. Thank you, Mark and Chris. Question on the tolling strategy at Mount Marion. If you can ink a tolling contract for less than $6,000/ton today, what's the rationale for not tolling product today? Are the margins not there with the chemicals, or you can get a better spodumene price and comments there? And then secondly, customer appetite to take the lower grade product from Mount Marion. Any color on what you're seeing there?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

No, look, it's just math. So you need about 8 ton of spod to make a ton of hydroxide. And if you can sell them that for around about $3,500 a ton, and then the end product is about $30,000 a ton, it's just not worth going there. So what happens is the hydroxide price has come off way quicker than the spod price. There's always a bit of demand for strong demand for spod because they've got all these converter plants in China they're forever chasing product for. So it's just that one come off quicker than the other. It'll turn around. When it turns around, I mean, we're tolling in China now.

With all our Wodgina and the dirt that goes over there, none of it has ever gone to an Albemarle plant. It's always gone to toll treaters and managed by Albemarle. And if you think about it, there's probably—there's 800,000 tons that should be getting tolled at Kwinana with Tianqi and down at Kemerton with Albemarle, and those plants haven't come online, so they've got the dirt for them all coming out of Greenbushes. There's 800,000 tons heading out there that should be in Perth, getting toll treated. So, eventually, one day, certainly, the Albemarle plant is starting to work pretty well. That, that'll come out of China, and it'll free up those converters. But there's converters out there now with lots of capacity.

Kate McCutcheon
Director of Equity Research, Citi

Appetite for customers to take the 3% portion of the Mount Marion concentrate?

Lots of happy buyers?

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Plenty, plenty. Ganfeng love it. I mean, Ganfeng are a great converter. I mean, you can literally give them gravel off the side of the road, and they'll turn it into hydroxide. They're good converters. But they know how to deal with it. It's basically doing what you do with iron ore. You have a whole range of different products from around the world, and you blend it. And if you can get that blending right, I mean, that's how they make an extra kicker out of it. But it's good coarse grain material. All we're doing to do that, we're just going further down. Normally, that would go to tails, and we're just going further down and scavenging that and making a product out of it that... And we get pretty good money for it.

I think we're done. I think James is gonna wind us up, are you?

Operator

Yep. All done.

Chris Ellison
Managing Director, Mineral Resources

Okay. Well, I appreciate you all coming. Thanks very much. We are gonna do better on making sure that we don't tell you we're gonna do one thing and then not produce. So, we're certainly... Look, I just want to reiterate again, with, with our balance sheet, we know what we're doing. We have a plan. We've got plenty of capital sitting out there we can get. I am not going to issue shares. I've never issued shares. I'm not watering our shareholders down. It's not their responsibility to fund our growth. As a management team, we will do that, and we're not gonna go out and raise money off your shareholders.

But we have, right now, we have got three separate opportunities that's gonna bring capital in this calendar year, and I've got another couple that'll bring it in in the second half of this financial year. When you read about it, you'll be happy. I'm gonna have my problem, and I guarantee you, I'll get to the end of June next year, and you'll go, "What are you doing with all that cash? You want to pay a special dividend?" Thanks, everyone, for coming, and we'll keep doing what we always do.

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