REA Group Limited (ASX:REA)
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May 13, 2026, 4:14 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2026

May 7, 2026

Operator

Be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Alice Bennett, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Alice Bennett
Head of Investor Relations, REA Group

Good morning and welcome, everyone. My name's Alice Bennett, Head of Investor Relations, and I'd like to thank you for joining us to discuss REA Group's results for the third q uarter ending 31st of March 2026. Before we commence, I'd like to acknowledge the traditional owners of country throughout Australia and recognize the continuing connection to lands, waters, and communities. We pay our respect to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander cultures and to elders past, present, and emerging. This morning, you'll firstly hear from our CEO, Cam McIntyre, who will provide a brief business update. Andrew Cramer, REA CFO, will talk to the financial highlights for the quarter. Following this, we'll be happy to take your questions. Just as a reminder before we get started, our quarterly numbers are top-line results only, so we'll be restricted in the amount of details we can provide.

With that, I will pass it to Cam to get us started.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Thanks, Alice. Welcome everyone. REA has delivered an excellent third quarter result underpinned by double-digit revenue growth across our Australian business and strong double-digit yield growth in our core residential business. Looking at our results from core operations for the quarter, excluding M&A, which as a reminder, it strips out the impact of sale of PropTiger, the shutdown of Housing Edge, and the acquisition of iGUIDE. Revenue was AUD 398 million, an increase of 11%, and EBITDA, excluding associates, was AUD 220 million, an increase of 16%. Strong underlying fundamentals continued to support the property market and supply kept pace with buyer demand. While global events and interest rate increases impacted broader economic sentiment, listing activity in Sydney and Melbourne was strong, and nationally, listings were slightly up on prior year.

In this balanced market, more Australians visited our platform than ever before, and our customers continued to turn to our market-leading products and services to ensure best results for their vendors. In relation to our audience, we reached a new quarterly record in Q3 of 12.9 million visitors on average each month. Just under half these visitors used our platform exclusively. This means access to a large number of potential buyers, sellers, and renters is exclusive to REA customers. Our immersive experiences ensure Australians continually return to our platform, and we achieved a new quarterly record of 150 million average monthly visits. The value of our audience extends beyond scale, though, and it ties into the deep engagement of our consumers. In Q3, properties tracked by their owners reached the milestone of five million, an increase of 16% on prior year.

Seller leads increased 28% year-on-year, and we delivered an average of 2.6 million buyer inquiries to our customers each month. Our consumer strategy is centered on delivering a personalized and immersive membership experience. Members are much more likely to perform a high-value action, which amplifies the value delivered to our customers. Our active membership base continues to grow, increasing 19% on the prior year. In the quarter, we launched our new evolution of AI property search. Our new conversational search experience is now live to 50% of our web audience and 10% of our iOS app members. This intelligent search experience encourages consumers to take high-value actions, such as sharing a listing or submitting an inquiry.

Conversational search is going to continue evolving as we expand the number of topics covered, and that in turn will support a more detailed, curated, AI-powered companion experience for our consumers. It's also gonna uncover valuable intent data for our customers. Property buyers are increasingly seeking more immersive and informative search experiences, and we officially launched iGUIDE in Australia in March here. iGUIDE uses AI to identify property features and produces immersive 3D virtual tours, precise floor plans, and reliable property measurement data. It's the market leader in Canada, and we're pleased with the early uptake in Australia. We're working closely with the industry on this, and several large photography networks have signed up already. There are now more than 100 iGUIDE specialty cameras in market, which is ahead of our own expectations, and we're seeing the strong momentum continue.

Supporting our visualization strategy is the social media style feed in our Video Discovery Hub on the app home screen is deeply engaging our consumers. The new hub achieved a 22% growth in average monthly video viewers in Q3. In relation to our customers and some highlights here, we saw record Premiere+ penetration, which underpinned double-digit yield growth in our residential business. We also achieved record Audience Maximiser penetration. We continue to roll out the next generation of AI-powered tools and services for our customers, as well as offering education, support, and training. As part of our broader Advantage AI program, we are also pleased to announce a customer hack day initiative that will take place in September.

These hack days are core to our innovative culture that we have as a business, and for the first time, customers will submit ideas and work alongside our tech team with the aim of turning customer and industry-focused ideas into prototypes and working solutions in a matter of days. During the quarter, we also launched a new AI-powered vendor campaign summary in our self-serve platform, Ignite, generating key campaign insights into our vendor-ready narrative within Ignite's vendor report. This is supporting agents in the clear communication of their campaign performance while reducing the manual reporting effort that's required.

We recently also started a pilot rollout in a new chat capability in Ignite called Campaign Assist, and this is exclusive to Premiere+ feature, and it combines consumer intent and automated evaluation model data to provide customers with strategic recommendations to boost the performance of a listing. In recent weeks, we launched the AI-powered PropTrack Buyer Impact Model, which provides our customers with clear evidence of a direct link between a property sale and a realestate.com.au campaign. The new probability-based model assessed more than 1.3 million Australian properties sold over a 22-month period and analyzed more than 10 billion consumer data points. The data highlights that realestate.com.au attracts and engages the buyer for nine in 10 homes listed on the platform that go on to sell.

The combination of data scale, depth of audience engagement and a new AI capability underpin the model. It was independently reviewed and validated by Deloitte. Delivering on our commitment to more choice, flexibility and value for our customers, we've introduced new packaged options and a suite of features as part of the FY 2027 contract rollout. From July, the Video Discovery Hub will be increasingly valuable for customers with Premiere+ property walkthrough videos set to feature on the prominent carousel. Highlighting the value in video, we know that serious buyers are almost 9x more likely to watch video content than other users. Listings with vertical video generating more views and more inquiries. Our commercial and new home businesses achieved double-digit revenue growth with record penetration of Elite Plus for our commercial customers and a pleasing improvement in the new homes market.

Looking at financial services and momentum continues here. Business saw exceptional growth in submission volumes, a strong increase in settlements and an increase in the loan book. Showing the strength in the market and the value in our investment in Mortgage Choice, innovation and brand average submissions per day in February were the highest Mortgage Choice has ever seen. As we flagged previously, Housing.com is REA India's strategic priority. The app-first strategy continues to support Housing.com's leadership in app downloads in India, with more than 50% of downloads sitting with our platform. As I wrap up, I'd like to share a few comments on market conditions as we look ahead. After an extended period where demand exceeded supply, the Australian property markets become more balanced, and we're moving into a period of more normalized levels of buyer demand.

The rebalance in the market likely reflects some uncertainty around global events, expected further interest rate rises and potential government tax policy changes. The momentum behind price growth is anticipated to moderate, and we may see the time to sell lengthens a little as vendors readjust price expectations to meet buyers. As a business, we're incredibly well-positioned in this more balanced market with agents and their vendors seeking to reach the largest and most engaged audience of property seekers and to differentiate their listings. We're focused on continuing to drive innovation, and our teams are embracing the capability and exciting opportunities presented by AI. Coupled with healthy underlying fundamentals supporting the market and strength in our market position, we're well-placed to deliver further growth for the remainder of FY 2026. With that, I'd like to welcome you, Andrew, and hand over to you.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Thank you, Cam. Good morning, everyone. Can I first say thank you to you all for the warm welcome you've given me. I'm less than three months into this role, but I can genuinely say I'm excited by the growth pipeline in front of us and by the quality of the team around me. REA has delivered an excellent Q3, driven by double-digit revenue growth across the residential, commercial, new homes and financial services businesses. Excluding the impact of M&A, group revenue for the third quarter increased 11% to AUD 398 million. Operating expenses increased 5% to AUD 178 million. Group EBITDA increased 16% to AUD 220 million. Including the impact of M&A, revenue and EBITDA increased 6% and 11% respectively.

Let me now take you through how each of our businesses performed for the quarter, starting with residential. Our residential business delivered its strongest quarter of the fiscal year, with revenue growth of 12%, driven by double-digit yield growth and modest growth in listings. National new buyer listings were up 1% for the quarter, with the recent outperformance of Sydney up 4% and Melbourne up 7% continuing. Pleasingly, Q3 buy yield was up 14%. Buy yield was driven by a 7% average Premiere+ price rise, a strong contribution from add-ons, mainly from Audience Maximiser, but also from Luxe, an increase in subscription revenues, growth in overall depth in Premiere+ penetration, and finally, geographical mix, which boosted yield by 1% in the quarter. This reflects the comparative strength of the Sydney and Melbourne listings markets.

The strong performance in the month of March also resulted in a 2% deferral of revenue into Q4, reflecting higher listings in the latter part of March compared to last year. Our rent business saw continued revenue growth, driven by a 6% average price rise and increased depth penetration, which was partly offset by a 2% decline in listings. Encouragingly, we also saw double-digit revenue growth for our commercial and new homes businesses. Commercial revenue benefited from an average 7% price rise, increased depth penetration, and higher listings. While new homes revenue benefited from a 6% increase in project profile volumes, higher yield, and higher growth in display revenues. Financial services momentum continued during the quarter with double-digit revenue growth. Revenue from the mortgages business benefited from settlements growth of 21% and increased productivity across our broker network.

Revenue from the PropTrack data business was driven by growth in customer data contracts, including the agreement we have with key customer Ray White. Moving now to our international businesses. In the U.S., Move delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, up 10% in Q3. Revenue at Move was driven by higher sales of the premium Real Pro Select offering and revenue growth in new homes, seller, and rentals. Staying in North America, iGUIDE, which we consolidated on the 1st of October 2025, generated revenue of AUD 5 million during the quarter. iGUIDE's local currency revenue increased 26% in Q3. Meanwhile, REA India's Housing.com saw local currency revenue decline by 3% in the quarter, reflecting continued yield pressure in a competitive market. Turning now to operating expenses. Group core costs increased 1% or by 5% if you strip out the impact of M&A.

In Australia, operating expense growth was 9%. COGS were a material driver of this growth, reflecting Audience Maximiser more than doubling in penetration versus the prior corresponding quarter. Excluding COGS, Australian operating expense growth was 6%. Marketing was the largest driver of cost growth in the quarter. As is often the case, the phasing of our marketing campaigns can result in lumpiness from quarter-to-quarter. Growth in Q3 fiscal 2026 reflected the new Australian Open sponsorship and consumer brand campaign, which was not in the prior corresponding period. Favorability in workforce costs offset the investment in technology driven by data, AI, and video. In India, Housing.com's operating costs were down 1% on a constant currency basis, reflecting the strategic reset and the simplified structure of that business. Before I turn to the outlook, I just wanted to touch on REA's on-market share buyback program.

The program was launched in February, reflecting the confidence we have in the long-term outlook for our business, the strong balance sheet position of the company, and our disciplined approach to capital management. So far, we've bought back a little under AUD 76 million of the planned AUD 200 million buyback at average prices below AUD 160 per share. While we've been in blackout since the 1st of April, we look forward to being back in the market from next week. Moving now to our fiscal 2026 guidance. We expect buy yield to grow 13% for the full year. Our expectations for listings are unchanged. We're predicting a 1%-3% decline for fiscal 2026. April listing volumes were up 19% year-on-year, with Melbourne increasing 20% and Sydney up 25%.

This strong April performance partly reflects the easier comps that we will be cycling as we move through Q4 and into Q1 of next year. The group expects positive operating jaws in fiscal 2026 for both Australia and the group. Our expectations for operating cost growth have improved, with low to mid-single digit growth now anticipated for the group, down from mid-single digits previously. For Australia, we expect mid to high single digit cost growth, down from high single digits previously. Our guidance for India is unchanged, and associate contributions are expected to marginally improve from fiscal 2025 levels. We are incredibly pleased with the performance we've delivered this quarter, and we're excited about the future of our business. As I touched upon at the top of the call, it has been a privilege to join a company in such a strong position with such a high-quality team.

As a team, we remain focused on driving consumer engagement, driving increased value to our customers, and driving growth across our portfolio of assets. As CFO, I will ensure we continue to invest to drive that future growth while managing costs and capital prudently. Thank you, operator. We will now take any questions.

Operator

Thank you. Our first question is gonna come from the line of Eric Choi with Barrenjoey.

Eric Choi
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Good morning, everyone. I might pick on you today, Andrew, if that's all right, just for a couple of numerical questions. Just on the first one, I was wondering if we could talk about the FY 2027 yield, and specifically, if you could confirm the quantum of the price increase. Also, I'm interested, given Sydney and Melbourne are quite elevated right now, if those geographies were to normalize back to historic levels, theoretically, what that geo mix drag would be. Ultimately, I'm just trying to put all those pieces together, and I'll make my own guesses on Luxe and everything else to try and figure out if you guys can deliver double-digit yield in 2027, even if there was a geo mix drag.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Thanks, Eric, and thanks for picking on me first. The answer to your question on price, our fiscal 2027 price increase is approximately 8%, so at that lower end of the 8%-10% range you'd noted in an earlier note. Geo mix is a really tough one. You'd know as well as me it's a really tough one to predict. I mean, the last couple of years we've been a beneficiary of it. It's been +1 this year, about the same last year. You know, back in fiscal 2023, it was -5%. It has been elevated as a result of higher listings in Melbourne and Sydney.

We, y ou know, we won't get into whether it's gonna be a drag, on, you know, fiscal 2027, at this stage because the elevation of Melbourne and Sydney continues as you saw in the April numbers.

Eric Choi
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Good one. That's helpful. Just one more convoluted one for you. Sorry, Andrew. Like, if I just take a step back and look at this result, Australia was really good probably, and obviously your cost guidance is really good, and then India top line may be a little bit softer versus what we're expecting. I'm just trying to piece together the fourth quarter outlook versus first, third quarter, and I think it's still really good for Australia, maybe just dragged down by India. Just on the math, can I just check I'm not missing any of the key swinging factors, Q4 versus Q3? Then there's probably three. Listings growth, I think you're guiding for that to improve from 1% to, say, 3%-4% based on the midpoint of your guidance.

I don't know if you mentioned deferrals, but maybe deferrals were a drag in 3Q, maybe 200 basis points, so that could be an improvement as well. Maybe the offset is that buy yield stepping down 1-2 percentage points in the fourth quarter. If you add up those three things, it still suggests residential revenue growth is potentially 4% better in the fourth quarter versus third quarter, and maybe your group revenue growth could be 3 percentage points or more better. But I'm just wondering if I'm missing any key pieces there.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Thanks, Eric. You're really missing anything, and your math is pretty good. If I go backwards up your list, on buy yield, it does step down in the fourth quarter, and that's just a result of us lapping a really successful value and packaging rollout this time last year. For the benefit of those who don't know, we're in market from about six weeks ago, and to the extent people take up the offers at that time, you know, the clock starts ticking earlier than 1 July, and we had the benefit last year of Audience Maximiser, which doubled in penetration. We had Luxe, and we had subscription price increases. That means it's just a comp issue with that stepping down in the fourth quarter. Deferrals, you're correct on that. It was 2%, in the third quarter.

That was really driven by a big uptick in listings in the latter part of March. We think probably because of the timing of Easter that brought campaigns forward. We've seen a strong April, would expect that deferral to be there again in April. When we think about listings guidance for May or June, it's uncertain. I think your math is not incorrect, but at the same time, you know, what we're seeing in May is slower than what we saw in April. There's uncertainty around policy changes at a, you know, federal government level. There's interest rate uncertainty. At this stage, you know, May and June are relatively less certain than obviously what we've delivered to date.

Eric Choi
Analyst, Barrenjoey

It's helpful. I'll circle back. Thanks very much, Andrew.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Thank you. Thanks, Eric.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question will come from the line of Entcho Raykovski with E&P. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Entcho Raykovski
Analyst, E&P

Morning, Cam. Morning, Andrew. My first question, I was hoping to drill into the lowered OpEx guidance. Are you able to talk about what the key drivers have been behind that lower OpEx guidance? I mean, is it efficiencies as a result of the rollout of AI tools internally? I'm very conscious that that's something that a lot of people are focused on right now. How does that lower OpEx guidance feed into your expectations for OpEx into FY 2027? In particular, do you see scope to deliver wider operating jaws? I might wait for the second one after you answer this one.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

That's another one for me, Entcho, so thank you, mate.

Entcho Raykovski
Analyst, E&P

Yeah, we're peppering you today, Andrew.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Yeah. You're welcome. As you sort of entered the second half, we felt the market was a little bit more volatile. We really wanted to control the controllables. You know, the thing that we can control most at that point in the fiscal year is cost. We'd just characterize it as a general tightening across the business, the sort of things that you can do without much time to go in the fiscal year. I mean, AI is something that we're adopting across, you know, the whole business. The uptake has been very positive. We are seeing efficiencies, you know, in pockets and you know, as a collective, we're the beneficiaries of those efficiencies.

I mean, the question for us, and something as a leadership team, Cam and I are thinking about, you know, with our broader ELT is, you know, that benefit gives us flexibility. Do we go faster? Do we drop it, you know, to the, to the bottom line? At this stage, we're prioritizing going faster, putting more product to market and moving more quickly. As that relates to jaws, I mean, it certainly gives us optionality as we go forward. I mean, the thing that we have to remind ourselves is that there's an investment required to go faster. There's a technology investment. There's a token cost, which, you know, at this stage, we don't think we're probably at a run rate cost of tokens.

I think they're probably being subsidized, and so we're just careful not to become, you know, too aggressive in chasing efficiency at this point in short.

Entcho Raykovski
Analyst, E&P

Okay, cool. Thanks, Andrew. Then, also I've got a yield question on FY 2027. In addition to that 8% price increase or circa 8% price increase you've just spoken about, what are the key new features that you expect to add to yield growth? I mean, is it primarily the Luxe bundle? You've obviously got some additional video features as well. And sort of what sort of take-up do you need of, let's say if it is the Luxe bundle, what sort of take-up do you need for it to make a meaningful difference?

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Your mail's pretty good, Entcho. The Luxe is really the major thing that will be additive in fiscal 2027. I mean, this year we were the beneficiaries of a subscription price increase, that's not repeating into fiscal 2027. I mean, AMAX will continue to increase in penetration, but, you know, this year we benefited from it almost doubling or thereabout in penetration, that's not gonna repeat into the next fiscal year.

Entcho Raykovski
Analyst, E&P

Okay. Sorry. Maybe if I can follow up with the very last one related to that.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Yeah, no problem.

Entcho Raykovski
Analyst, E&P

Can you give us any sense for where Luxe penetration is sitting now and where it could get to? I mean, you probably can't provide us specifics, but any sort of very broad figures.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

I mean, what I would say, Entcho, is the rollout has gone, you know, very well through the last six or eight weeks. The team, you know, is on track for the task that we've set them, which is really pleasing. We've got a really fantastic sales team, and they've done a great job in market, you know, educating customers as to the benefits of Luxe. We feel good about where it sits, but we're not gonna get into, you know, the exact penetration or what our expectations of that penetration is either.

Entcho Raykovski
Analyst, E&P

No. Okay. Got it. Thank you.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question will come from the line of Sriharsh Singh with Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Sriharsh Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey. Hey, Cam. Hey, Andrew.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

We just lost you there, Sriharsh.

Operator

Sriharsh.

Sriharsh Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, sorry for that. Apologies. A couple of questions from my side, probably a little bit more strategic and long term. One, there is a little bit of investor concerns around the rise of off-portal transactions, given the rise of fellow lends. My question to you is: Are you seeing any unusual increase in off-portal transactions in recent months? How do you think about monetizing more of those in the future? Any plans around that or any commentary would be super useful. Second question is around India, given and would love your first thoughts on that business. In a sense that obviously there's a significant value creation opportunity in the long run if the business succeeds.

In that context, in that long-term context, are you okay with the current level of losses around AUD 35 million-AUD 40 million, to achieve that long-term optionality? Do you plan for a quicker break even of that business? Thank you.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Thanks, Sriharsh. I'll take both of those this time around. I'll start with the second one first. I guess with India, yeah, we all understand the size of the market and, you know, the potential of the TAM that exists in India. I think, you know, as a business, we're probably not happy with where the business is at in terms of its profitability. It's gone through a hell of a lot of change in the last, you know, 12 months or so with new management team, with the exit of PropTiger and Housing Edge. There's been quite a bit of a reset inside the business as well.

Look, I mean, the team is doing a good job in terms of thinking about, you know, bringing new product to market, whether that be through AI-based conversational search and so on like we have. This all takes time. In terms of acceleration of the EBITDA losses and trying to reach profitability quicker, clearly, you know, that would be something we'd like to see. You know, it's a question of the market's ability for us to move that quickly. I think, you know, as a business, we're moving as quickly as we possibly can, but it's not always gonna go the way we want it to in the timeframe that we want it to go in.

The other part of your question was just in relation to what we're seeing with the pre-market type activity.

We're not seeing any activity that's outside of historical norms. We all know that in markets where, you know, there's tighter supply, you tend to see a little bit more activity. In markets where there's, you know, less or more supply, you tend to see a little bit less activity. We're still seeing, you know, behaviors within those normal ranges. I guess as far as we go as a business, you know, we're always looking at, you know, innovation and ways in which we can meet the expectations of vendors and deliver them, you know, the biggest possible audience and generate them the maximum possible outcome along with our customers.

Yeah, I wouldn't say that we're not thinking about things, but at the moment, behaviors seem to be within the normal realms of activity.

Sriharsh Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

Awesome. Thank you. That's super clear.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question will come from the line of Siraj Ahmed with Citigroup. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Siraj Ahmed
Analyst, Citigroup

Morning, Cam. Morning, Andrew. Cam, maybe one for you to start off with. Just in terms of that rollout of conversational search, I would thought it's a bit slower than expected, only 50% of web audience and 10% of iOS. Anything holding you back there? More importantly, are you seeing different user behaviors, I mean, maybe more research being done through the REA portal? Just keen to understand if there's any change in behavior. I have a second question, but I'll ask that after. Thanks.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Yeah, no worries. Thanks for the question. Look, we're really happy with the way our conversational search is rolling out. You know, we're doing it in a thoughtful manner to ensure that we're maximizing the experience of our consumers. I'd say the way we sort of think about search is we're trying to move from utility-based search to more of a companion-based search experience for our consumers. You know, I think, you know, what we're seeing as we continue to roll this out, you gotta think we're trying to evolve 30 years of learned search behavior and, you know, this sort of stuff takes time.

What we're doing is, as we roll out, we're looking at the insights and the data that we're generating and clearly we can see better perspectives around intent. There's greater connectivity to our financial services products and so on. You know, the I guess the insights that we're able to pass on to our customers is enhanced as well through the whole process. We're doing all of that. At the same time, you know, we're looking at the data that's inside the conversational search and continue to build on that. What that does ultimately, I think, is it creates different opportunities for us as a business as we go on. I think, yeah, I'm really excited about it. Are we moving quickly enough? I think we're moving quickly.

Certainly, as you can see from our audience and engagement stats, you know, everything's heading very, very nicely in the right direction. We wanna do it in a, as I said, in a thoughtful way.

Siraj Ahmed
Analyst, Citigroup

Cam, just following up. That's interesting. You're saying you're actually seeing greater sort of lead potential into mortgages and stuff like that based on the search?

Conversational search?

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Okay, interesting. All right.

Siraj Ahmed
Analyst, Citigroup

Second one, just maybe one for Andrew, just on numbers. In terms of the negative one to negative three-year listing volume for the full year, and you said May has been a bit weaker. I mean, given April is up 19%, I think for negative full year midpoint, I think May and June must be flat. What are you seeing in May? Are you a bit concerned in terms of outlook? Thanks.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

I wouldn't characterize it as concern, Siraj. What we saw in March was a pull forward of listings due to Easter. We kinda think April probably benefited from a pull forward of listings due to the broader market volatility. Often uncertainty leads vendors to bring their campaigns forward and get into market sooner due to the uncertainty in the future. What we're seeing in May is it's not at the pace of April. That's for sure. I think, you know, as we roll into the back end of May, we'll have a better sense of May and obviously, you know, June too. At this stage, it's sort of too early to be more definitive in our guidance for May and June.

Siraj Ahmed
Analyst, Citigroup

Got it. Just being clear, May is not down year-over-year, it's just not as strong as April, right?

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

That's exactly right. Well, sorry, also we're a week or two.

Siraj Ahmed
Analyst, Citigroup

Yeah, no, that's what I'm saying. Yeah.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Into the month. I, we get these details every day, and I love 2:00 every day 'cause I get the new listings numbers. What I've learned in the short three months I've been here is things do swing very, very quickly. That's where May sits a week in. You know, we'll see where it ends up.

Siraj Ahmed
Analyst, Citigroup

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question is gonna come from the line of Lucy Huang with UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Lucy Huang
Analyst, UBS

Thanks, Cameron and Andrew . I've also got two questions. Just to follow up on the conversational search, like are you able to quantify so far, you know, what is the impact that you're seeing on leads? Are you seeing like a multiplier effect that you're being able to deliver to vendors at this point, or any kind of qualitative assessment on the quality of the leads? I guess over time, you talked about opportunities with conversational search, like, you know, any thoughts on whether monetization models could change or could be additive over time?

Just my second question is on AI costs. Just wondering if you can give us a bit of color as to what proportion of the cost base is currently constituting. I think the expectations are LLM token costs will increase over time. Any thoughts or strategies you're implementing right now to over time keep a lid on that cost pressure? Thank you.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Thanks. I'm happy to take all three. Look, in terms of tech costs, and I'll start at the bottom. Clearly there's a reshaping of our cost base over time, and tech does become a slightly bigger part of our cost base over time. With tokens, you know, Andrew mentioned tokens being subsidized. You know, I wouldn't say tokens are a material part of our cost base at the moment, but, you know, we will manage our token costs over time.

I'm not expecting to see any significant change in the immediate short term there, but it'll just be managed as we continue to become more an AI-prime business and as we continue to change the way in which we're bringing product to market through AI. Around that conversational search, you asked about that, and just in terms of monetization, can we monetize in different ways using conversational search? It's early days on that. Ultimately, you know, our ambition as a business is to, you know, try and help vendors, you know, get the outcomes that they're trying to get, and our customers' agents, you know, clearly try to get properties to market faster for them.

You know, if our search experience through conversational search can help facilitate that, then that's obviously a good thing for REA. That's there's somewhat of a focus around that. In terms of quality of leads, you know, I would say, our lead quality is exceptional in any case, and you can see by the numbers in the deck or in the release in the ASX, just the sort of numbers that we're generating. Clearly though, over time, what we'd love to see is, you know, more insight, more intent data that we're getting from search that helps, you know, qualify where, you know, potential seller leads and buyer leads are in their journey.

You know, that obviously gives us the opportunity to help them with their experience, but also support our agents. I think lead quality is good today. It will get better with conversational search. Cost around tech, that will continue to reshape and evolve along with the rest of our cost base. I think that probably answers all three.

Lucy Huang
Analyst, UBS

Thanks again. Sorry, can I just have one follow-up on the quality of leads? Like, do you think agents are sophisticated enough on the buyer lead side, to know which, you know, whether REA is delivering improving quality? 'Cause I guess feedback we get is agents just want all leads, even if they're not high intent. Do you think they're sophisticated enough to understand the difference and then therefore this presents further monetization opportunities down the track for REA?

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Yeah. I don't see leads as a source of monetization. In terms of the agent experience and how do we get better quality leads to agents, I think, you know, in terms of the technology that we're looking at at the moment and what's available with artificial intelligence, the ability that we have to pre-qualify buyers using technology before they reach the agent and to provide agents with some insight before they pick up the phone to talk to the potential buyer, I think, you know, all those insights are highly valuable. What they do is they mean that the agent can work on, you know, other parts of their day that are gonna deliver them consequential benefit.

I think for us, quality of lead is probably in those realms as well, would be how we think about it.

Lucy Huang
Analyst, UBS

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Bob Chen with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Bob Chen
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hey, good morning, guys. A couple of questions from me. Just one, you sort of referenced it a little bit earlier. We've got a little bit of uncertainty with the federal budget coming through next week with potential CGT and negative gearing changes. Have you guys modeled anything internally to look at how this might impact listings, both on maybe a near-term basis, where you see a bit of pull forward, versus maybe a more medium-term basis, where you could see maybe a reduction in volumes?

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Thanks for the question, Bob. Great question. I think, you know, if we knew exactly what the federal government was gonna do with both CGT and negative gearing, you know, what was being grandfathered, what wasn't being grandfathered, I think it'd give us a better idea. At the moment, I think, you know, it's too early to tell, we just need to see the detail of the federal budget to come down before we can sort of start to shape what that looks like post that. Yeah, ultimately for us, you know, any change that brings volume forward is not a bad thing. It's a good thing for us. Also, we're conscious of anything that negatively or positively impacts the new supply of property as well.

I think, yeah, like I said, too early to tell, but we'll know pretty soon.

Bob Chen
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yep. Okay, perfect. I think earlier in the call you sort of mentioned pretty good adoption rates of iGUIDE. Can you give us a little bit more in terms of early adoption stats of iGUIDE across Australia and what the opportunity might look like longer term for that business?

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Yeah, sure. Look, as we said, we're very happy with how iGUIDE's going. It's only been in market since March. You know, there's over 100 iGUIDEs that are now in market, you know, working hard and delivering great outcomes for agents and vendors. In terms of the product itself, we're very happy with how the product's performing. The scope of market opportunity is large. You know, there's probably between 1,000-2,000 photographers for us to be working with and there's a lot of scope for further growth. I guess, you know, it will take some time. You know, we've got a team focused on it.

We're doing a lot in terms of client education, and bringing them up to speed. We know that, you know, property buyers, as you saw, in the release, you know, they love this sort of content and will engage heavily with it. You know, the more we can get into market, and the sooner we can get into market, I think the better.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question is gonna come from the line of Tom Beadle with Jarden. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Tom Beadle
Analyst, Jarden

Thank you, guys. Thanks for the opportunity. Just a couple of questions on yield. The first one's just a quick clarification on the yield for Q4. I mean, obviously, the step down given the tougher comps, well understood, but are you assuming any reversal of the revenue deferrals in your guidance? Firstly, just a quick one.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

No. Hey, Tom. How are you? Nice to be connected again. No, our forecast doesn't forecast any deferral into the fourth quarter. You will have known, I've just seen your note that's come across the desk. There was a 2% deferral in Q3 that'll land into Q4. We're not currently forecasting a further deferral from Q4 into the following fiscal year.

Tom Beadle
Analyst, Jarden

Gotcha. Then just on the next year's yield, probably a follow-up on Eric's question in a way, but just, can you just give us a feel for what you're seeing from agents on their contracts for next year? Like, are you seeing any changes in the mix of tiers and/or add-ons that they're signing up for that can help give us a feel for, I guess, what those factors can sort of add to your yield?

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Yeah. It's a fair question. Great question, Tom . At the same time, it's pretty early in the rollout, so we're sort of six or seven weeks into the rollout. We've seen good uptake. We've seen increased penetration of Premiere+ . Luxe has done well and so has Audience Maximiser. I think that our customers are really interested and, you know, like the video add-ons that have been rolled out at the moment and will, you know, will kick in from the 1st of July. It's probably too early to give you much more guidance around, you know, the breakup of yield for fiscal 2027.

Tom Beadle
Analyst, Jarden

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Thanks, Tom.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question is gonna come from the line of Roger Samuel with Jefferies Australia. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Roger Samuel
Analyst, Jefferies

Well, hi, morning all. I've got two questions as well. First one, just on your free cash flow. It's only up 2% versus EBITDA, which is up 12%. Is there anything in the quarter that we should be aware of? Maybe, some sort of, lumpy CapEx or, some one-off tax payments?

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Great question, Roger. And I like that you've picked that up. No, there's nothing lumpy, no, nothing to do with CapEx specifically. It's just, the timing of working capital movement. You will have seen that free cash flow has been outpacing EBITDA. You know, it didn't in Q3 due to that working capital movement, but it'll it should well do so, you know, for the full year.

Roger Samuel
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. Got it. Thanks. Second question, just on iGUIDE. You mentioned it, you know, as one of the key features in for FY 2027, is video. Just wondering how different is iGUIDE from your competitive products, such as Matterport? We understand that you outsource the photographers, and will that impact your margin as well going forward?

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

No. In terms of function, I mean, they're pretty similar. Technology's probably a little slightly different, but in terms of function, they're pretty similar. In terms of time to deliver an iGUIDE, you know, from what I hear, is a little bit quicker, but fairly similar.

In terms of margin impact, clearly, our approach to this is to partner with the entire industry and to work with the industry. We know that agents and photographers have a very strong and often long-term partnership. We wanna get the great product that iGUIDE is into the hands of those that are working for our agents. It's the way we're approaching it's incremental source of revenue for us. It's based on a per iGUIDE execution. Margin impact. It will have a margin impact. It has a labor cost associated with it as well. It's all upside.

Roger Samuel
Analyst, Jefferies

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Fraser McLeish with MST Marquee. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Fraser McLeish
Analyst, MST Marquee

Great. Thanks. Just a quick one, Cam. Slightly related to the last question, I guess. Just is there any sort of substantial changes that you're seeing on the ground from, you know, Domain, CoStar that are worth mentioning? I'm thinking things like big step up in marketing or sales investment or anything like that that's maybe changing the landscape a little bit. Thanks.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

No, thanks, Fras. Great question. Look, I mean, the short answer is no. I mean, if you look at our audience engagement data, you can see we're going from record to record. Very happy in terms of, you know, our own performance. Marketing-wise, you know, we're continuing to invest heavily in marketing and seeing great outcomes for our investment that we're making there. Overall, I would say haven't seen or noticed any material change in competitive landscape.

Fraser McLeish
Analyst, MST Marquee

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our last question is going to come from the line of Eric Choi with Barrenjoey. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Eric Choi
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Oh, hey, thanks. Just because I people just asking about the cost. I was wondering if I could have a second stab at it and, like, you've obviously opened up the Australian jaws to low single digit to mid single digit now, maybe in FY 2026 on kind of mid single digit to high single digit AUD cost growth. Just thinking about that going into next year, like, the AU revenue growth is probably unlikely to accelerate, just because you're doing 13, 14 buy yield this year. To the extent that you kinda wanna maintain that level of jaws or even slightly under, it sort of suggests mid single digit to high single digit AU cost growth is our kind of baseline cost growth for FY 2027.

I wonder if that logic is okay.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

Eric, appreciate the question, thank you. It's probably just a little bit early for us to be guiding on cost growth for, you know, fiscal 2027. What we would say is we feel, you know, very comfortable with the levers we have, that, you know, give us flexibility in our cost base, whether that be, you know, our ability to use our offshore centers in Manila and Cyber City, you know, the benefits of AI that gives us flexibility to manage cost. There has been a lot of focus on cost on this call, I guess you would expect that given we lowered cost guidance.

What we wanna make sure everyone is really clear on, that we'll continue to invest in the business to drive the top line 'cause that's really the most important thing that we can do. Of course, we'll continue to manage, you know, jaws in a prudent way.

Eric Choi
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Sorry to badger you, Andrew. Very helpful. Thank you.

Andrew Cramer
CFO, REA Group

No, no. I appreciate it. For everyone's benefit, it's Eric Choi as well, 'cause I think you were misintroduced there, mate.

Eric Choi
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Thanks, Andrew.

Operator

Thank you. I would like to now hand the conference back over to Cameron McIntyre for closing remarks.

Cameron McIntyre
CEO, REA Group

Thank you very much. Thanks everyone for joining the call this morning and look forward to catching up with you over the coming days, weeks. Thank you very much.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.

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