I'll now hand the conference over to Mr. Anthony Mellowes, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Thank you very much, and welcome to our first half FY 2026 results for Region Group. My name's Anthony Mellowes. I'm the Chief Executive Officer. Presenting these results with me today is David Salmon, our Chief Financial Officer. Also in the room with me is Erica Rees, our Chief Operating Officer. I'm really pleased with this set of results as we've increased our earnings growth, which is underpinned by some really strong operational results and our fully hedged interest position. Let me take you to slide four, which sets out our first half FY 2026 highlights. Our funds from operations, or FFO, were AUD 0.079 per security, which increased by 3.9% from December 2024. The distribution per security was AUD 0.069 per security, which was the same as our adjusted funds from operations, or AFFO, which increased by 3% from December 2024.
Our statutory net profit after tax of AUD 180 million, including an increase in the fair value of our investment properties. Our assets under management has increased by 3.9% from June 25 to AUD 5.4 billion. Our operational metrics remained resilient. Our comparable MAT growth was 3.1% per annum. Our average annual fixed rent reviews were 4.3% per annum. Our average specialty leasing spreads were 3.4%, and our comparable NOI growth was 3.7%. With respect to capital management, our weighted average cap rate had firmed by 10 basis points to 5.87% since June 25. We've continued the on-market security buyback program. 6.7 million securities have been purchased during the half year at an average price of AUD 2.39 for a consideration of around AUD 16 million. And our NTA per security has increased 3.6% to AUD 2.56 off the back of that valuation growth.
Our weighted average cost of debt of 4.6% per annum, with 100% of debt hedged or fixed for FY 2026 at an average rate of 2.89%. Slide five remains unchanged. Our strategy is to provide defensive resilient cash flows to support secure, growing, and long-term distributions to our security holders. Moving to our operational performance, which starts with our portfolio overview on slide seven, our occupancy has improved to 97.7%, up 20 basis points, with the continued strong weighting towards those nondiscretionary tenants. 45% of our gross rent is attributable to our anchor tenants, and 55% of our gross rent is to specialties and mini-majors with a focus on food, liquor, retail services, pharmacies, and healthcare. We have 87 centers that are owned 100% by Region, which are geographically diversified across Australia. Moving to slide eight, our positive sales momentum continues across our nondiscretionary categories.
Our 3.1% comparable MAT growth is driven by supermarkets at 3.1%, our discount department stores at 3.7%, our mini-majors at 1.7%, nondiscretionary specialties at 3.73%, and our discretionary specialty tenants improved to 3.6%. Our specialty sales productivity is now at AUD 10,265 a square meter. As with the majority of the market, we have excluded tobacco sales, consistent with our June 25 results. Our supermarkets continue to demonstrate resilient growth, as shown on slide nine. We continue to capital partner with our anchor tenants to drive sales growth, with over 53% of supermarkets generating turnover rent. We have 123 anchor tenants contributing 45% of our gross rent, 76 direct-to-boot and e-commerce facilities, 97% of stores have online sales included in the turnover rent calculation, and as I said earlier, there was 3.1% supermarket comparable MAT growth.
The turnover rent generated from 52 anchor tenants with a further 20 anchor tenants within 10% of that turnover rent threshold. Moving to slide 10, over 88% of gross rent is generated from nondiscretionary tenants. Our portfolio occupancy of 97.7% is up from 97.5% as of June 25. Our specialty vacancy has improved to 4.5% as of December 25, compared to 5.4% at June 25. Our portfolio WALE decreased slightly by 0.1 years to 4.8 years. Our average specialty rent increases to AUD 930 per sq m, representing annualized growth of 5% since December 2022. Our average specialty annual rent fixed rents remain strong at 4.3%, and these were applied across 96% of our specialty and kiosk tenants. 79% of expiring tenants were retained, which helps to minimize leasing capital expenditure and downtime. Moving on to slide 11, proactive leasing continues to drive increased leasing spreads across the portfolio.
Our specialty leasing benefited from slightly increasing annual fixed rent reviews and positive leasing spreads. We completed 177 specialty leasing deals with 3.4% average specialty leasing spreads, a positive uplift on prior December periods. A strong performance from new lessees, with an average leasing spread of 7% while renewals were relatively flat. The average annual fixed rent reviews increased from 3.9% in December 2023 up to 4.3% in December 2025. Our leasing incentives on new deals averaged 12.3%, and this is aligned with our 12-month leasing incentive for new tenants. Moving on to our sustainability update on slide 12, we're on track to reach our Net Zero for Scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas emissions by FY 2030 and continue to make a positive impact in the local communities which we serve. We continue to progress towards our sustainability targets, which are spelled out in our annual sustainability report.
The key focus has been on environmental, progressing with our Net Zero investment during the period, contributing to our solar rollout target of having 25 megawatts installed in construction or design on Region assets by the end of FY 2026. Social, we continue to make a real positive impact in the communities that we operate in and have undertaken a number of community initiatives, including the Uniform Exchange Program at Raymond Terrace in Newcastle. We also continue to sponsor 128 students through The Smith Family Learning for Life Program. With respect to governments, our alignment to the ASRS is on track for our FY 2027 reporting. I'll now hand over to David, who'll talk through our financial performance.
Thanks, Anthony, and good morning, everyone. I'll start on slide 14, where we highlight the key drivers of the movement in our funds from operations, which has had strong earnings growth in the first half of FY 2026, partially offset by an increase in the weighted average cost of debt. Our FFO for the first half of 2026 is AUD 0.079 per security, representing growth of 3.9% from December 2024. There were positive contributions from the comparable portfolio NOI, growing by 3.7%, and the impact of our transactional activities and growth in funds under management. The FFO growth was offset by the previously flagged weighted average cost of debt increase from 4.3% to 4.6% during the period. Moving to slide 15, where we provide further information on our financial result for the half. As mentioned, our funds from operations were AUD 0.079 per security.
Our adjusted funds from operations came in at AUD 0.069 per security, an increase of 3% from December 2024, after additional capital this period from the leasing up of vacancies. Our distribution for the period represented a 100% AFFO payout ratio in line with guidance. Comparable NOI growth was 3.7%, with moderating property expenses as well as specialty annual fixed rent reviews and positive leasing spreads. Four-year comparable NOI growth guidance remains at around 3.3%. Total net operating income has grown by 5.3%, driven by the aforementioned comparable NOI growth, cost reduction phasing from the prior period, lower ECL compared to the Mosaic-impacted prior period, and completed developments NOI, partially offset by net asset disposals. There was strong growth in funds under management income supported by funds management platform expansion during the period.
Corporate expenses were impacted by cost phasing in the prior period, with costs in line with the FY 2025 average over the year. Statutory profit for the period is AUD 180 million, following an increase in the fair value of investment properties. Moving to slide 16. As of December 2025, our total assets under management was AUD 5.4 billion. This is a 3.9% increase from 30 June 2025, with investment property valuation growth and an increase in funds under management. NTA per security is AUD 2.56, has increased by 3.6% from June 2025, driven by a fair value uplift on investment properties. Our balance sheet remains healthy, with gearing of 32.7 at the lower end of our target range. This provides us with the capacity to deploy capital when opportunities arise.
6.7 million securities were purchased during the half year at an average price of AUD 2.39 for a consideration of AUD 16 million as part of an on-market security buyback program. Since the announcement of the buyback program in April 2025, 8.9 million securities have been bought back at an average price of AUD 2.37 for a total consideration of AUD 21 million. Slide 17. Our property valuation movement shows cap rate compression and continued income growth driving the valuation increases. During the period, our portfolio increased by AUD 129 million. The movement was driven by a AUD 92 million fair value increase and AUD 37 million in capital expenditure. Capitalization rates have firmed by 10 basis points since June 2025 to 5.87%, on top of the 10 basis points firming in the second half of FY 2025.
We have 3% fair value increases since June 2025, with approximately 1.7% driven by cap rate compression and the remainder being valuation NOI growth over the six-month period. Onto slide 18, where we talk to our funding. In November 2025, we issued a successful six-year AUD 300 million medium-term note. We saw significant interest from both offshore and Australian debt investors, with a final order book being 3.6x oversubscribed. This strong demand allowed for the transaction to be priced with a favorable borrowing margin of 1.22%. Proceeds from the MTN issuance we use to repay bank debt. We have total debt facilities AUD 1.9 billion, with around AUD 355 million of funding capacity available for us to draw on. We have no debt expiries until FY 2028, and we have strong interest from both new and existing banks to enter into new facilities.
Our weighted average cost of debt increased from 4.3%-4.6% over the first half, and we expect this to decrease slightly to 4.5% for the full year. Moving onto slide 19. Our strong hedging across FY 2026 to FY 2028 provides stability and reduces exposure to near-term interest rate changes. We have high hedging levels, with 100% of debt hedged or fixed in FY 2026 at an average rate of 2.89%. We remain highly hedged in FY 2027 and FY 2028, with 87% and 70% of debt hedged or fixed in those respective years. This mitigates the impacts of any near-term rate increases, which the RBA has now commenced and is expected to continue. Our average hedged fixed rate over the next three years is of around 3%, which is well below forecast market rates. I'll now hand back to Anthony to talk through our value creation opportunities.
Thanks very much, David. Turning onto slide 21. We maintain our disciplined approach to continue to pursue high-quality opportunities that align with our long-term strategy. In January 2026, we settled on the acquisition of Treendale Home and Lifestyle Centre for AUD 53 million at a 6.4% initial yield. It's a large-format retail center strategically located directly opposite our existing center at Treendale Shopping Centre, and this also allows some improved management efficiencies. The center also has a district center and urban zoning, providing the ability to house additional retail, such as additional supermarkets, into the future. We remain the largest owner of convenience-based centers, with a proven transactional track record that allows us the opportunity to continue to consolidate this very fragmented market. Slide 22 highlights the targeted reinvestment and increased development spend to drive earnings and portfolio performance.
The table shows the first half FY 2026 actual and FY 2026 forecast indicative spend on our capital deployment program. In the first half of FY 2026, we spent AUD 32 million, and for the full year FY 2026, we expect to spend around AUD 65 million. This forecast has increased by roughly AUD 15 million, which is mainly driven by development projects relating to center expansions across North Orange in New South Wales, Newcastle MarketTown in Newcastle, and Greenbank in southwest Brisbane. Moving onto slide 23 for funds management. Our Metro Fund continues to be a platform for growth with two new acquisitions. Metro Fund settled on the acquisition of Dalyellup Shopping Centre in Western Australia for AUD 36 million in November 2025, growing our funds under management by 5.7% from June 2025 to AUD 752 million.
Metro Fund also exchanged on the acquisition of three additional strata properties valued at AUD 89 million at West Village in Brisbane in Queensland, which is driving further growth through these strategic acquisitions. Two of these strata properties have already settled in January 2026, and the remainder strata is due to settle by June 2026. David will now talk through our AFFO growth target.
Moving to slide 25. To sustainably drive our medium to longer-term earnings growth, we are focused on generating comparable NOI growth of at least 3%. Through our value creation initiatives, we aim to add another 1% to our growth rate. Our work in the capital management space to increase our hedging has mitigated some of the short to medium-term earnings volatility generated from interest rates, with the longer-term impact dependent on market movements. Based on all this, we are targeting medium to longer-term growth in our FFO and AFFO with 3%-4% per annum. Our results for the half year have aligned with this growth target, notwithstanding the flagged impact of interest costs. I'll now pass it over to Anthony, who will talk to our key priorities and outlook.
Thanks again, David. Slide 26 steps through our key priorities and outlook. We believe the nondiscretionary retail will continue to be resilient, and we'll generate comp NOI growth through our strong leasing, increased fixed rent reviews, and continued proactive expense management. Our balance sheet is supported with growing valuations, which provides us with the opportunity to develop some of our centers, also to be disciplined with our acquisitions and disposals, and explore additional funds management opportunities. We're maintaining a proactive approach to capital management, including where prudent, asset recycling, on-market security buyback, and interest rate hedging.
Assuming no significant change in market conditions, our FY 2026 earnings guidance has been upgraded to be FFO of AUD 0.16 per security, up from AUD 0.159 per security, a growth of 3.2% on FY 2025, and AFFO of AUD 0.141 per security, up from prior guidance of AUD 0.14 per security, a growth of 2.9% from FY 2025. This marks my final results presentation over the past 14 years. It's been a real privilege to lead the group through a period of significant progress and growth. I'm really delighted to welcome Greg Chubb as our next CEO and Managing Director, effective the 9th of March. I'm really confident the company will continue to build on this really strong foundation. Thanks very much, and over to questions.
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you would like to cancel your request, please press star two. If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question today comes from Howard Penny from Citi. Please go ahead.
Thank you very much. Just the first question on just to talk through how you're firstly seeing the sort of upgraded guidance drivers. What really drove the increased guidance in this period?
Hi, Howard. It's David here. Yeah, look, largely the upgrade in the guidance from the 14 cents to the 14.1 cents was largely off the back of some of the transactional activity. As we flagged, we bought Treendale Home and Lifestyle Centre, the circa AUD 50 million. Obviously, that's at a yield of over 6% compared to our funding costs. That's an upgrade in net earnings. And we also expanded the funds management platform through the acquisition of those three properties we flagged at West Village, which has the we have a 20% interest in that fund, so we have earnings accretion there plus four. So we get acquisition and funds management fees as well, which go into the mix. What we are doing for the 4-year guidance is we are holding our comp NOI growth of 3.3% guidance that we'd flagged at the start of the year.
We haven't changed that at this stage.
Thank you. And just my second question on the Treendale acquisition. Could you just take us through why this was a great acquisition for Region? And then just the second question on that. Can we expect potentially more acquisitions in the next sort of 12-18 months similar to this?
Thanks. Howard and Anthony here. Look, this center, if you look on Google Maps at Treendale, it is directly across the road. There's a lot of retail in that space, and it just makes a lot of sense for us to own it. It's really very integrated with the whole precinct, and so we are the natural owner of that. It's no real difference to we bought a large-format center in Ballarat. Again, it's basically physically linked to our existing shopping center, and there's no real difference. So it's strategically owning that, and it's at the price that we could buy it for. We continue to remain really disciplined looking at opportunities. There's a lot of groups out there that are still offering very tight yields on assets, which is great because we own and manage over 100 of them.
We continue to be really disciplined about ensuring that they meet our long-term hurdle rates. I still believe we will continue to buy assets and find them and work them through. I think there's some great opportunities out there, but we're going to remain really disciplined. That's not just on acquisitions. It's also on disposals as well. We still have some, not that many, assets that are really tight yields with not huge growth, but there's a strong appetite from privates out there for those smaller dollar-value assets, of which we've still got a few there to go. It's really just remaining disciplined to meet our long-term hurdles.
Maybe just one final question from me. It's good to see the joint venture starting to get more active. What's changed in that in terms of whether partner and Region are getting more active? What's changed in the expectations at the moment?
Look, I think it's fair to say when interest rates really jumped up very quickly, the hurdle rates were increased. As interest rates have stabilised, and they certainly have stabilised, notwithstanding they've just gone up a bit recently, they're still relatively stable compared to the increases that we were looking at. And I think that's the major driver. And we find really good opportunities that, again, the assets at West Village, there's strategic reasons for owning the additional strata to control everything in that particular asset. But also, the likes of Dalyellup met the hurdle rates that we needed. So yeah. But I'd say it's the volatility in interest rates, or less volatility in interest rates, has been the key driver.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Andrew Dodds from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Oh, good morning, guys. Thank you for taking my questions. Just firstly, I'd just be interested to hear how retail trading conditions have trended throughout January and February. It's positive to see that they held out throughout the period, but certainly just keen to hear how they've trended since the sort of the outlook for rates has sort of evolved over the past couple of weeks.
Yeah. Look, it's Anthony here. We haven't got the actual figures. It's a little bit too early, so it's only the Anthony Mellowes anecdotal. It's not based on any real data because we just don't have it yet. It's continued to be. I don't expect it to be all that different from December, November, I think, January because it goes on like for like against January last year. I think it'll be fairly much the same because we do have that high focus on nondiscretionary, which really doesn't move around a lot. I mean, I've said for the last 13 years, we get excited when it moves from 3%-4%, and we get a bit worried when it goes from 3%-2% because it's always around the 3%. So I expect much the same.
Okay. Great. And then on the buyback, AUD 100 million, it looks like it's just over 20% complete now. You've been buying back stock sort of between 240 and 225. So I mean, with the stock sort of trading within this range now, do you expect that the buyback will recommence once the blackout period ends? And just to follow on, it'd be good to understand just what guidance assumes in terms of completion of the buyback in the second half too. Thank you.
Yeah. Hi. It's David. Yeah. Well, maybe just answer the last bit. Yeah. We haven't assumed any further buyback in our guidance for FY 2026. In terms of whether we intend to continue the buyback look, I mean, obviously, when we announced the buyback, we were trading much lower. We also had raised a fair bit of capital through some asset sales, and we were looking to redeploy that capital. We've obviously deployed that capital a bit into the buyback, about 20%. But we've also acquired Treendale for circa AUD 50 million recently, as we've just talked about. So the merits of the buyback are still there in terms of where we're trading relative to NTA and where our implied distribution yield sits at. So the merits of the buyback are still there.
I guess it's probably the appetite to do as much buyback has probably lessened because we've been deploying capital into some other opportunities. So I won't say a hard no or a hard yes, but it'll depend on where trading goes. But to the extent that we have other opportunities arise, we might decide to deploy that capital into those opportunities. Also, if we were to sell some assets that might come about, that obviously gives us some surplus capital to consider in that context as well.
All right. Thank you. And then just finally, just on the MTN issue, the borrowing margin you got of, what, 122 basis points is clearly very favorable. Can I ask just what the sort of weighted average margin is across the group and how much of an earnings benefit this has provided?
Yeah. Our weighted average margin across groups is around 1.5%. That's our forecast for the year, I should say. So obviously, this is circa 1.2% is obviously has brought that down a little bit. It was 1.6, I think, percent pre-that. Look, we see there's definitely opportunities in the compressing borrowing margin market that we find ourselves in. I mean, look, you can do the math. AUD 300 million at 30 basis points and the annualized benefit there, that's coming through a bit in FY 2025, but also that'll annualize. Sorry, a bit in FY 2026, and that'll annualize. And FY 2027 as well.
Okay. Thank you very much, and congratulations, Anthony.
Thank you.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Solomon Zhang from UBS. Please go ahead. Pardon me, Solomon. Your line is now live.
Can you hear me okay?
No, I can't hear you, Simon.
Oh, okay.
Solomon.
Solomon?
Thank you. We'll move on. Your next question comes from Daniel Lees from Jarden. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys. Just a question on costs. It looks like your property expenses are down. Corporate expenses up a little bit. Maybe just if you could talk through the key drivers here and how do you want us to think about costs going forward?
Yeah. It's David here. Yeah. Obviously, in the second half of last year, we have done a number of cost initiatives to manage our gross costs. You're seeing some of that come through this half. There was a bit of phasing of the cost benefits last year between first and second half. So what we've done is for our comp NOI growth at 3.7%, we're saying that comparable cost growth was around 1.4%. What I'd also say that the property expense reduction cost has also been impacted by asset disposals that we had in the prior period as well.
It's fair to say that the cost growth looking forward, our target is to manage cost growth in that 3%-3.5% growth range as well as our revenue line for that matter, which we think sets us up well for that 3%-3.5% comp NOI growth that we talk about.
Corporate costs?
Great.
Yeah. Sorry. Corporate costs. Look, again, there's a little bit of phasing and lumpiness in last year's split between first and second half. But our corporate costs for this half, noting that the corporate costs in terms of the dollars are a lot smaller compared to comp NOI. But our corporate costs of AUD 7.4 million and a half is more in line with the half average from the full year last year, which was about AUD 15.2 million for the year, about AUD 7.6 million for the half. So I think you'll see it more in line with that in the second half going forward.
Great. Thanks. And then on deployment opportunities, obviously, 10-year bond rates and rates generally have shifted higher. Are you seeing that flush out any acquisition opportunities from maybe the net worth and syndicators?
I think it's still just a little bit early to be saying that at the moment. There was an asset in Tamworth that sold at a very tight 5.1%, I think, recently to a private. There's still DD happening of deals that were agreed in sort of December that they're going through their DD. So I think it's just a little bit early to be making that judgment at the moment. What I would say is at our results at June, I've said I think overall cap rates will compress to December of about 10-15 basis points, which is what happened. And if conditions continue, I'd expect sort of maybe another 10 basis points to June 2026. Conditions have changed. I don't expect cap rates to continue to compress from December 2025 to June 2026. I think they'll stay fairly flat.
Okay. That makes sense. Just a final one from me, if I could. On the capital deployment program on slide 22, the AUD 65 million, what's your estimate yield on cost for that program?
Look, generally speaking, we're targeting a 6%+ yield on our capital deployment. Obviously, you've got a bit of variation depending on the nature of the projects. But as a rule of thumb, we target that.
There's timing issues.
Oh, there's obviously timing issues in terms of the phasing of the projects coming online and also sometimes you have a bit of downtime while you're developing sites as well.
Okay. Thanks very much.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Simon Chan from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Hello, Anthony. Hello, David. Hey, guys. I'm sure there's a reason for this, but your 5.3% NOI growth. I know, David, you talked about cost savings at the property expenses line. But can you explain to me why gross rental income didn't move at all?
Look, the primary reason that didn't move is the impact of the disposals. They have come out. So that's the primary reason. The comp growth after adjusting for the disposals was about 3% growth.
Comp growth at the gross property income line was about 3%?
Yeah. Comp growth. Correct.
Okay. Fair enough. Hey, the 7% leasing spreads for new leases, that's pretty impressive. Can you kind of give me some color on the composition there? Were there still some old Mosaic boxes that you leased up at massive leasing spreads? I'm just trying to work out what the underlying leasing spread would have been without some of those extraordinary good boxes.
Look, maybe just to preface it, with the Mosaic sites here, there are vacant sites that we're trying to lease. But at the same time, we see them just as another vacancy we're trying to fill. So we're trying not to differentiate between all the different sites. Obviously, there were some good deals this half, and it's been quite low. Sometimes you're talking half numbers. The stats can be very sensitive to a few big deals. Maybe if I could put it this way, if you excluded the top few deals, yeah, you'd be closer to that sort of 4%-5% leasing spread range. And conversely, if you excluded the bottom few worst deals on the renewals, they'd be up around 2%-3% higher as well. So you know what I mean? You do get some outliers that can skew things either way.
But at the end of the day, look, there is an element of Mosaic that's gone into those numbers. Yes.
Great. What were those bottom few deals in renewals that dragged it down to pretty much flat? Were they a special type of retailer, or was it a specific retailer?
Yeah. There were three deals that hurt us in that renewals. Two were banks, and we wanted to keep those banks because they wanted to leave. One was a pharmacy who, as you know, pharmacies retain the basically pharmacy license, and if they move, you can't just easily replace a pharmacy. They were the three deals: two banks and a pharmacy.
Great. Great. And just one last one. I noticed you guys kicked off on Metro Fund 3. Can I assume it's with the same capital partner as Metro 1 and Metro 2?
Yes.
Great. Thanks very much, guys, and good innings, Mellowes. Well done.
Thanks, Matt.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Murray Connellan from Moelis Australia . Please go ahead.
Hi. Good morning, Anthony and team. I just wanted to quickly drill into the Mosaic Brands space, if you wouldn't mind. Would you be able to contextualize for us the amount of vacancies that still remain there, the amount of income that you've assumed going into the second half, and I guess the drag of those vacant sites, relatively speaking, in FY 2026 guidance overall?
Yeah. It's David.
While David's looking at it, I'll just say, Murray, Mosaic's gone, and they're just now a vacancy for us. But David will run through some numbers. And we are getting better rents on the Mosaic groups. It is heading pretty close to what we suggested when Mosaic went broke a number of what was it? 18 months ago, whatever. But Dave, run through.
Yeah. Just to give a bit of context, obviously, and we have flagged this in the past, there would be a bit more leasing capital this year to help lease up those Mosaic sites. We had about AUD 1.2 million in leasing capital on those sites for the first half, and we're forecasting roughly about double that for the full year of FY 2026 to about AUD 2.5 million. Look, in terms of how much of the Mosaic portfolio have we dealt with, we've got about 85% either leased or casually let where it's earning some sort of income. Obviously, we're looking to fully lease everything, but there is a little bit of a drag.
In terms of dollars on the NOI line, there still will be a bit of drag for the full year because obviously, we've got the new rents kicking in offset by the loss rent coming out. There still will be a little bit of a drag, maybe AUD 0.5 million or so for the full year depending on how we go in the second half on things. But yeah, like I said, the primary impact on AFFO for the year will be that leasing capital. And that leasing capital is part of the first half higher leasing capital that we talked about earlier.
Would it be fair to say then that that space is assumed to be, I guess, mostly 90% productive going into 2H26 or for 2H26 on average?
Look, we're certainly banking on having most of it in there. There might be a few delays in terms of start dates and things like that. But obviously, when we come out with our guidance at year-end for FY 2027, we'll be able to give a bit more color on that. But like Anthony said, we're trying not to think about Mosaic as one big thing. At the end of the day, we're trying to fill up all our vacant sites, and this is just one part of it.
Got it. Thanks very much. And Anthony, congrats on your last set of results. All the best for the next phase.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Richard Jones from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Hey, Anthony, just interested in your broader views on retail markets. Obviously, you've been around a while, and we've seen a heap of demand come through in the past 6-12 months. Obviously, Charter Hall have raised a lot of money and deployed in a relatively short timeframe. So just interested in where you see transaction markets in light of a bit of a shift in where rates are going as well.
Yeah. Look, people get quite excited by institutions buying. The privates for 20, 30, 40 years have been the most active buyer and seller in this particular sector. And they will continue to be the most active buyer and seller, I think, for some time. The issue is you just get institutions coming in, and everyone thinks that's really interesting. But the bottom line is there's always buyers and sellers. You can go back as many years as you like, and there's roughly 40-50 sort of transactions a year, which is roughly one a week. And that's just what happens in this particular space. The difference is you've got institutions looking at the moment. But I think the buyers will still be there. The sellers will still be there. And it's a really good sector.
Roughly 50% of your income comes from really high-quality tenants like Woolies and Coles. The other 50% of the income comes from pretty well nondiscretionary retail: coffee shops, pharmacies, whatever you want. It's a pretty good, solid returning asset that's very consistent. And I think that's what people like. Now, with rates going up, yes, it will have a bit more pressure on people's buying ability, but I don't think it's going to move it all that much. People don't necessarily buy assets. They buy them for a lot of cash often. So lending isn't always a consideration because they're privates buying.
Got it. Yep. No, thank you, Anthony. And just on your funds management business, can you just clarify what the rough return hurdle is for that deployment and how much you've got in committed not-spent capacity?
Look, I'm not going to tell you a return because that's up to our partner. But I think it's fair to say it's market returns for these types of assets. Now, they have a slightly lower cost of capital, and so maybe it's slightly better to buy in different times, but that can move. But look, we originally started our joint venture with them, our partnership with them for a AUD 750 million sort of stake. We're sort of at that now. We're at over AUD 800 million. And I think we all want to continue. We've started with Metro 1. We've got Metro 2. We've got Metro 3. We're over the AUD 750 million. And I think they like that particular partner likes this type of sector, and they have capacity to purchase in this sector.
I think where it ends, I think it comes down to the opportunities that are presented to them.
Thanks, Anthony.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Callum Bramah from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Morning, Anthony and David. I just wondered, can you just clarify a little bit of the drivers of the expectation of comp growth to slow over the full year? Because you've still got, as you said a couple of times, 3.3% as your guide relative to, I think, 3.7% delivered in the first half.
Yeah. Hi, Callum and David. Yeah. Look, I think the simple answer there is the first half has benefited more from some of those moderating costs that we implemented in the second half of last year. And so that's also the reason why the second half is a little bit lower to get to that 3.3% for the full year.
Okay. That's in the property expenses is what you're talking about?
Yeah. Property expenses. That's right. Yeah.
Okay. And just going or maybe a follow-up also on the lease incentives comments that you've made. So clearly, there was the step up in the first half, and I think based on the comments around Mosaic, that continues into the second half. But should we anticipate that you step back down in fiscal 2027? So I think at the moment, you'd be running at something in the order of AUD 15 million per annum in lease incentives. So would it come back down closer to the AUD 12 million as we go forward as those have disappeared out of the portfolio?
Yeah. Look, I mean, obviously, our higher leasing incentives this half is some of the Mosaic, but obviously, it was due to a number of new tenants in general as well as Mosaic. Look, in terms of where I think we're guiding towards around AUD 13.8 million for the full year on the leasing side. Yeah. Primary phase, you won't have as many Mosaic tenancies to fill, but it's part of a broader environment where it depends on how many other new tenants we might get in. Obviously, our retention rates help mitigate some of that exposure. And look, you've got to remember that the cost of fit-outs and things like that is not going backwards. So as well as trying to keep those new leasing incentives on new tenants to around that 12-month mark, you do have cost pressures.
I won't say you can just draw a line in the sand and say, "Whatever it was this year, we'll go backwards by AUD X million." It'll be part of a broader environment where you have to consider costs of doing fit-outs and also how many new tenancies you expect to put into the portfolio.
Okay. And maybe just two other ones. So just on Treendale, I think the guide is for an initial yield of 6.37%. Just in relation to the commentary that sort of implies there's some sort of synergies between properties across the street, does the 6.37% include that benefit and therefore maybe the I assume maybe the cap you bought it on is lower, and you've got a benefit through property management?
Look, that's exactly right. Look, it's not massive dollars, but there's a little bit there for us, and that's what we're going to be focusing on to maximize that. But we're not talking it's going to move it from a 6.3%-8% yield. But yeah, there is efficiencies there for us.
Yeah. Fantastic. And then just maybe if you can also just talk so cost of debt into the second half would be, I guess, around 4.4%. Is that fair? And then it just trends up, does it, with your hedge book a little bit into fiscal 2027?
Yeah. We're guiding towards 4.5% for the full year. So I don't have a split of the second half, but yeah, it would be a implies it's slightly lower than given the first half was 4.6%. And in terms of your question about the hedge book, yeah, look, we've always had high hedging. Obviously, what's embedded into our hedge position is we have some callables, and we have a collar as well. Inherently, if you're working out your percentage hedge and your rate, you have to make an assumption around what is going to be coming to effect based on the interest rate environment. So we're assuming that both those callables are called and also that the collar will be enacted from when it kicks in in the future. So that's the main thing that's driven our sort of movement in the hedge book since six months ago.
One last one. Sorry to finish it maybe on a negative. Just looking at the comparable MAT growth for sort of discount for variety or apparel, are there any tenants that you're particularly concerned about?
No. In the past, we have been concerned about sort of Mosaic and that type of thing. Look, you've got The Reject Shop that have been taken over by an enormous discount retailer from Canada doing a tremendous job. They want to expand, so they're looking really positive. So a lot of chemists in there. Chemists are doing well. So we don't have any portfolio of tenants that we're sitting there going, "We've got a big watch on them," like we have had in the past. There will be some that will come up. That's just natural. But there's nothing there at the present in those many majors.
All right. Thank you very much. Thanks a lot, and congratulations, Anthony, on your successful tenure as CEO of the Group.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Ben Brayshaw from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.
Good morning. I just had a quick question on the guidance for NLI growth that Callum's chatted earlier. Could you just clarify the driver around the lower NLI growth implied for the full year and the second half? You mentioned property expenses. So will property expense growth be up in the second half?
Yeah. I mean, essentially, yeah, the first half benefited more from those cost savings initiatives, which kicked in in the second half of last year. And for the full-year guidance, yeah, it is slightly lower because we will effectively have higher property expense growth in the second half compared to the first half, noting what I said before, the first half only having comparable growth of 1.4%, which is obviously lower than the run rate we would be envisaging going forward.
Great. Thanks for the clarification.
Thank you. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question comes from Solomon Zhang from UBS. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Apologies for the tech issue earlier. Morning to David and Anthony. Two questions from me. So maybe for David first. You mentioned earlier that there was some balance sheet capacity to deploy potentially on acquisitions. But I guess you looked through gearing and sitting around 35%, and I can't really recall you sitting above that mark for very long. Should we read this as increased appetite to lift gearing, or is this more a reflection of revalues unlocking deployment capacity?
Yeah. Look, in terms of that look through gearing, I think we calculated it to be a little bit lower than that, but I think sort of in the 34s. But we still have what we say is capacity to debt fund some acquisitions if we wanted to go down that path, noting that there's also the opportunity to maybe recycle some capital from other asset disposals if we wanted to do so as well. Look, I guess at the end of the day, we look at through the lens of, "Do we have confidence in our gearing position through the valuation cycle?" Yes, we do at the moment. We want to protect our credit rating. We're not going to do anything that's going to threaten that.
We're comfortably in our credit rating at the moment, and we would like to continue to do so, and we expect to do so. And obviously, like I said earlier, the security buyback is an option, but I'd say that's been mitigated to some extent where we've deployed capital into other opportunities like Treendale.
Makes sense. So you'd be comfortable sitting in the upper half of your target range, the 30s-40s?
I'd say going into the upper end of that's probably a bit stronger language. Maybe around the mid-30s is probably more about how we view it as a potential scenario, noting that there might be reasons why that comes down, like I said, through asset sales. So it might be more of a capital recycling situation like you've seen over the last few years.
Got it. Maybe a question for Anthony. Just looking at slide 11, just on your renewal spreads, they were basically flat. And I know you called out the bank and the pharmacy spreads that were a bit lower, but can you just discuss the dispersion of your spreads?
Well, I think we did. Basically, if you take out the top number of new leases, it comes from 7 down to sort of 4-ish. And if you take out the bottom three of the 80-odd renewals, it comes up to sort of 3%. So they're all sort of sitting in around the vast majority by number is sitting in around there. And I think you're going to see a skew where in the second half, there's going to be more renewals than new leases. And I think you'll see the average spread lift from flat to positive 2 to 3s, 4s, where it has been sort of sitting in the past. We have been very focused on increasing our average annual fixed rent reviews, and that has moved from sort of 3.7% to 4.3% over the last number of years.
That is a lot more important because it applies to 80% of the tenants every year versus leasing spreads only apply to 20% of the tenants each year. So maybe we have been a bit focused on increasing getting those 5% average annual fixed rent reviews through, and we've been successful at that. So I'm really comfortable where things are at. Like I said, smaller numbers do get skewed by a couple of deals, as David said earlier.
Thanks. What were the re-leasing spreads in the bank and pharma?
What was that?
Could you quantify the actual re-leasing spreads, the percentage numbers on those bank deals?
No.
Thanks. That's it from me.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Claire McHugh from Green Street. Please go ahead.
Oh, hi, guys. Just a quick one regarding capital allocation. Appreciate you're evaluating buybacks and acquisitions. But on the acquisition front, what unlevered IRR hurdle are you targeting, and how has this changed in light of recent increases in long-term real rates?
Look, I mean, if you look at our weighted average cost of capital, it's sort of around that 8-ish% sort of range depending on what you want to assume for long-term funding rates, which has obviously been moving a lot recently. Yeah. So for us, it's a combination of initial yield and growth opportunities. Obviously, in the past, we talked about wanting to buy assets with a 6% yield and growth and obviously sell at tighter yields with less growth. So I think a lot of that thinking is carrying forward. What I will say, sometimes we will acquire sites more for strategic reasons. It's not always just a purely a yield discussion, but obviously, we like to do both.
Look, in that context, when deploying capital, obviously, you've got a security buyback where we're sort of trading at north of a 6% yield and an implied growth as well. So you've got to consider all deployment of capital opportunities. But as Anthony said earlier, we're trying to be very disciplined around our capital decision-making.
Okay. Thanks. That's helpful. I mean, just looking at the recent deals, it would seem that Treendale looks like you're on an unlevered basis. You're probably going to hit sort of 8.5%. Is it fair to say that sort of that sort of return in excess of 8.5% or 8% on an unlevered basis is reasonable, or do you have to accept?
Yeah. We wouldn't have done it otherwise.
Yeah. Obviously, the yield was good. That was a tick. There was also, obviously, a strategic purchase, like Anthony said, being across the road from our center. We see there's further opportunities in the asset in terms of overall management efficiency, also the leasing opportunities that will come with the site as well.
There is growth out of those centers, so.
Yeah. That's right.
Thanks, guys. That's helpful.
Thank you.
Thank you. Your next question comes from Connor Eldridge from Bell Potter Securities. Please go ahead.
Morning, Anthony, David. Thanks for your time this morning. Just looking at the full-year FFO guidance bridge from the FY 2025 Prezo, you'd flagged about AUD 0.002 per share of incremental income from transactions. It looks like that full contribution has effectively been already realized in the first half. So I guess just to be clear, should we assume that current guidance is effectively assuming no incremental contribution from transactions in the second half, i.e., there's potential upside there?
Our upgrade of guidance has factored in all the transactions and funds management initiatives that we've announced. So that's all been factored into the new guidance.
We haven't factored in any others?
Correct. So we haven't factored in any further capital initiatives either through funds management or on balance sheet acquisitions or disposals. And we haven't factored in any security buyback as well.
Right. Okay. Thanks. Just one more from me. Just on the tenant retention number, it has now dropped below 80%. Can you just help me understand how much of that, I guess, is intentional churn, upgrading the tenancy mix and whatnot versus how much of that is actually tenant-driven?
Mate, I think it's dropped from what was it, 81%, or something to 79%. It's still roughly 80%. So it's just the mix that's sort of come in that.
But Connor, just to your last point, I would say that look, there is some intentional churn on our behalf in that number that we're trying to get the most out of the assets. So the reality is if we excluded those, it'd be into the 80%. So yeah, that is a factor, but we just reported it as it is, as a fact, so.
Yeah. That's clear. Thanks for your time, guys.
Thank you.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Mellowes for any closing remarks.
All right. Well, look, thank you all. And I think that was one of my longest one at 58 minutes. So thanks very much, and look forward to speaking to you all, all the investors, as we speak to you, and the analysts all this afternoon. But thanks very much. It's been great fun since December 2012. So thank you very much, and I'll speak to you all shortly.