Reliance Worldwide Corporation Limited (ASX:RWC)
Australia flag Australia · Delayed Price · Currency is AUD
4.520
+0.040 (0.89%)
Sep 17, 2026, 4:10 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: H2 2026

Aug 17, 2026

Summary

Entered into a Process Deed with Brookfield for a potential AUD 4.75/share acquisition, while FY 2026 saw adjusted sales growth but lower EBITDA and NPAT due to tariffs and cost inflation. FY 2027 guidance expects sales growth mainly from price increases, with margins stable.

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Heath Sharp, CEO. Please go ahead.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to RWC's Financial Year 2026 Results Call. This is Heath Sharp, and I am joined here in Sydney by Andrew Johnson, our CFO. This morning, we released our full-year results material. Before we turn to the results, I want to deal with our second announcement this morning. Let us start on slide three of our presentation. RWC has entered into a Process Deed with Brookfield Capital Partners on August 17. This relates to Brookfield's unsolicited, non-binding indicative proposal to acquire RWC for AUD 4.75 cash per share.

The proposal follows earlier approaches from Brookfield at AUD 4.15, AUD 4.25, and AUD 4.50 per share, which the board considered insufficient. Following a period of engagement, including providing Brookfield with non-public information over an approximately eight-week period, Brookfield submitted its current AUD 4.75 proposal. The proposal values RWC at an enterprise value of approximately AUD 4.1 billion.

This represents an FY 2026 EV to EBITDA multiple of 12.9x on a pre-AASB 16 basis. This is at the upper end of precedent transactions. The board has assessed the proposal on a fundamental valuation basis, taking into account RWC's strategic position, long-term growth opportunities, and cash generation. The board also considered the FY 2027 outlook, including the execution risk to deliver future earnings growth and the broader macroeconomic and geopolitical environment.

While the board remains confident in RWC's strategy and future prospects, this was weighed against the certainty of value offered by Brookfield's cash proposal. After careful consideration, the board determined that the proposal of AUD 4.75 is attractive and warrants further evaluation. To that end, RWC and Brookfield have entered into a Process Deed to enable Brookfield to complete a four-week period of exclusivity to conduct confirmatory due diligence and work towards a binding offer.

Based on the merits of the proposal, during the exclusivity period, RWC and Brookfield have agreed to work together in good faith towards entering into a scheme implementation deed, a SID, on terms consistent with the proposal. Brookfield has agreed that any formal SID entered into will include a go-shop provision. This will allow RWC to solicit and engage with other potential bidders for a 30-day period from signing the SID. I would note that there is no binding offer today and no certainty that a transaction will proceed.

Shareholders are not being asked to take any action at this time. With that, let me turn to our FY 2026 results on slide four of the presentation. FY 2026 was undoubtedly a demanding year for RWC. We had to manage through weak end markets in the U.S. and U.K., the ever-shifting impacts of U.S. tariffs, and significant cost inflation.

While our results were impacted by those headwinds, we nonetheless delivered strong operating cash flow, and we continued to advance our manufacturing footprint, product pipeline, and service improvement initiatives. In February, we discussed transitioning from copper-based alloys to other materials, and in particular, stainless steel. We made good progress on this major initiative during the period. We launched a broad range of accessory products in stainless steel in the Americas.

The plan to transition from brass to stainless for core products, such as control valves and SharkBite Max, is underway. We expect to be in the market in the first quarter of calendar 2027 with the first of these fittings and valves. Our manufacturing footprint optimization has moved at pace. The new Poland facility ramped up strongly after commencing operations last November. As of June, the facility has over 110 people and is assembling 1.2 million fittings monthly.

In North America, implementation of a new facility in Mexico is progressing well, and we expect it to be operational by the end of calendar 2026. In Asia Pac, we announced a significant restructuring of our manufacturing operations. The largest move is the closure of brass forging and machining operations in Melbourne. We have also announced the closure of additional facilities within Australia. Turning now to slide five and the financial overview for the year. Reported net sales were 0.7% lower than the prior year.

There are several adjustments to reported revenue, which we have called out in the release materials. These relate to tariff refund provisions and changes in the accounting classification for some customer incentives. Adjusting for these, net sales were 3% higher. That also adjusts for the exit from selected Canadian product lines, and it adjusts for the sale of our manufacturing operations in Spain last year.

On the same basis, net sales were 1.5% higher in constant currency. Adjusted EBITDA was AUD 242.1 million. That is 12.8% lower than the PCP. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 18.5%. That compares to 21.1% in the PCP. Operating earnings were adversely impacted by U.S. tariffs, higher copper costs, lower volumes in the Americas and EMEA, and general cost inflation. These impacts were partly offset by price mitigation actions and AUD 10 million of cost savings achieved during the year.

Reported NPAT was AUD 6.3 million. That is net of AUD 103.3 million, post-tax of one-off charges. Those charges relate principally to the Asia- Pacific restructuring. Adjusted NPAT was AUD 125.1 million. That is 15.3% lower than the PCP. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.165 . The RWC board has determined not to declare or pay a final distribution for FY 2026. This follows receipt of the Brookfield proposal.

Under the proposal, the offer price is reduced by the cash amount of any dividends paid or payable. That applies to dividends after the date of the proposal, including any final dividend declared for FY 2026. We undertook two on-market share buybacks during the year. In total, we repurchased 25.5 million shares at a total cost of AUD 85.7 million.

The second buyback has not been completed and is now suspended following receipt of the proposal. The board will reassess paying a dividend and resuming the on-market share buyback if the proposal does not proceed. I will now hand over to Andrew to take you through the results in more detail.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Thank you, Heath, and good morning, everyone. Moving to slide six. FY 2026 was a challenging year from an earnings perspective, but the business remained operationally disciplined. The key financial themes were tariff-related margin pressure, softer markets in the U.S. and U.K., input cost inflation, and that is essentially copper, and the benefits of strong cost and cash discipline. As Heath referenced, underlying group sales were 1.5% higher versus the reported reduction of 0.7%, and 3% higher before adjusting for currency movements.

We delivered AUD 10 million in cost reduction initiatives during the year, partly offsetting the external pressure on earnings. Importantly, the actions we are taking on sourcing, pricing, manufacturing footprint, and operating efficiency are building momentum and will support improved performance over time. On the adjustments, FY 2026 included one-off items principally related to the APAC manufacturing restructuring, as well as the closure of distribution centers in Sydney and Perth.

We have set these out in the supplementary financial information. Adjusted group EBITDA margin was 18.5%, lower than the 21.1% in the PCP. I will discuss the reasons for the movement in each of the regional sections. Second half adjusted group EBITDA margin was 19.8% versus 17.3% in the first half, with the improvement driven by the Americas. Turning now to slide seven and the Americas segment. Reported sales were 4% lower than the PCP.

Adjusting for the tariff rebate provision, the reclassification of customer incentive payments, and the exit from selected low-margin Canadian product lines, underlying American sales were 1.4% higher than the PCP. New product initiatives and tariff-related price increases helped offset weaker U.S. residential remodeling and new construction markets, as well as around AUD 10 million of customer inventory reductions that we saw and we spoke about in the first half.

Channel inventories were broadly normalized by the fourth quarter. In FY 2026, a change in accounting for customer incentive arrangements impacted reported sales but had no impact on earnings. To briefly explain the reclassification, most customer sales incentives are treated as a deduction from gross sales. However, we have historically had some incentives which have been expensed through SG&A. The change we have made classifies sales incentives in the same way as a deduction from gross sales. Note that we have not adjusted prior period sales or SG&A.

Americas sales performance was stronger in the second half, consistent with our guidance. Underlying sales were 8.3% higher, partly driven by price increases as the benefits of tariff related price rises flowed through to results. Adjusted EBITDA was AUD 161.4 million, 11.5% lower than the PCP, with the adjusted EBITDA margin reducing to 19.6% from 21.2%.

Earnings were significantly impacted by U.S. tariffs as well as higher input costs, including copper. The tariff cost impact was at the lower end of our guidance range of AUD 25 million-AUD 30 million. We also recorded a net tariff refund benefit of AUD 4.2 million as part of operating earnings. This was the difference between what we received in tariff refunds and a provision that was established for potential tariff rebates to customers. Second half adjusted EBITDA margin was 22.2%, compared with 16.9% in the first half.

The uplift was partly due to the tariff refund, as mentioned earlier, and also driven by price increases and cost outs. Operationally, we are on track to commence activities at our new facility in Mexico by the end of calendar year 2026. As a reminder, this new facility will augment current manufacturing operations in Alabama.

It will be focused on lower-volume , manually assembled products that complement our high-volume , high-technology U.S. manufacturing capability. Moving to APAC on slide eight. APAC sales were 5% higher in local currency. Sales growth was driven by broad-based growth in both RWC and Holman product categories. Intercompany sales were 7.4% higher due to stronger volumes ahead of the planned closure of APAC's brass manufacturing operations in Melbourne. APAC adjusted EBITDA was AUD 21.1 million in local currency, 26.7% lower than the PCP, with margin down 290 basis points to 6.6%.

Operating margins were negatively impacted by higher raw material and freight cost and lower manufactured volumes, partly offset by price increases and cost reduction measures. Stepping back from the financial performance aspect, it is useful to look at the broader context around the changes in APAC. The business is really undergoing a significant transformation.

From metals manufacturing to supply Americas to a business very much focused on its home market. This change is impacting short-term earnings performance. The future APAC business model will be focused on product and brand stewardship, driving further product penetration, revenue growth with our channel partners, and operational excellence around sourcing and fulfillment. Turning to EMEA on slide nine.

EMEA reported net sales were 3.4% lower in local currency. External sales were 0.8% lower after adjusting for the sale of our manufacturing operations in Spain in FY 2025. U.K. external sales were down 3.6%, with U.K. plumbing and heating sales down 4.7%, while specialty and other product sales were 5.4% higher. Continental Europe performed well, with external sales 6.8% higher after adjusting for the sale of Spain. Germany, France, and Italy all recorded sales growth, supported by product launches across an expanded distribution network.

Adjusted EBITDA was 11.3% lower than PCP. Second half EBITDA margin was flat on the first half, and we had previously guided to higher operating margin in the second half. The U.K. service improvement program impacted margins, and the Poland ramp-up led to a short-term increase in cost in the second half. The ramp-up has gone well, and as Heath mentioned, we have achieved a record output of 1.2 million fittings per month. We expect the lower cost base of the new Poland facility to support earnings growth in FY 2027.

On slide 10, you can see that cash generated from operations was AUD 263.4 million, and operating cash flow conversion was rather strong at 108.8% of adjusted EBITDA. This strong result was partly due to the receipt of the U.S. tariff refund late in the financial year.

As a result of this strong cash flow performance, we were able to repay AUD 88.2 million in borrowings during the year, and our leverage at year-end was 1.11x compared to 1.3x in the PCP. On slide 11, we have again demonstrated our tight management of working capital. Inventories were slightly higher than the PCP despite significant input cost inflation, particularly copper. Total net working capital was AUD 35 million lower than the PCP.

We continue to be very disciplined with capital expenditure while continuing to fund critical strategic projects, including Poland, Mexico, new product development, and manufacturing optimization. With that, let me now hand you back to Heath.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Andrew. On slide 12, we have set out our guidance for FY 2027. This covers the full year. For FY 2027, we do not expect an improvement in economic conditions in our major end markets. As we referenced in our results materials, global geopolitical uncertainty is likely to be a headwind, so too are higher commodity inflation and interest rate pressures. America's external sales are expected to be up by mid- to- high single-digit percentage points, driven by new product revenue and pricing actions. We expect EBITDA margin to be broadly consistent with FY 2026.

That is despite the significant rise in input costs, most notably copper. Price increases to offset cost inflation will assist us with this. We expect a net impact from U.S. tariffs to be $5 million-$7 million in FY 2027. That is consistent with our previous guidance.

Asia-Pacific external sales are expected to be up by mid-single-digit percentage points. Total sales are expected to be lower than the PCP due to the reduction in intercompany revenues of approximately AUD 50 million. This follows the closure of metals manufacturing in Australia. We expect EBITDA margin to be broadly consistent with FY 2026, despite the decline in intercompany revenues. EMEA external sales are expected to be up by mid-single-digit percentage points.

EBITDA margin improvement is expected through a combination of pricing actions and ongoing cost reductions. At a group level, we expect consolidated sales to be up by mid- to- high single-digit percentage points relative to FY 2026. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be broadly consistent with FY 2026. We are targeting further cost reductions to deliver approximately AUD 10 million-AUD 12 million in savings for the full year. I will pause there and open the call to questions. We will take questions first from those on the conference call line, then Phil King will read any questions received via the webcast.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question via the phones, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star then two. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. The first question comes from Ramoun Lazar from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Ramoun Lazar
Analyst, Jefferies

Good morning, Heath and team. Just one for you, Heath, around the bid announced this morning. I was just wondering, just the thinking around engaging with Brookfield at those prices. Given the significant changes in the manufacturing network that the team has put into place over the last 12 months following the trade changes, the transition to stainless steel and the housing cycle, while bouncing around the bottom, not getting worse. Is there a structural change in the earnings power of this business going forward?

Maybe if you can shed some light there, particularly given the share price was above that bid not that long ago, and it looks like the worst is behind you, given all those changes that the team's worked hard to put in place.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Ramoun, thanks for your question. Look, I would say that the board assessed the proposal on the basis of fundamental valuation. We've taken into account our strategic position, all of our long-term growth plans and cash generation. I think it's fair to say the board considered the outlook for FY 2027 and the near-term operating environment, which is clearly quite different to six months, 12 months ago, as well as the execution risk to deliver on the future earnings growth. All of that, of course, in the context of the broader macroeconomic and geopolitical environment.

Weighing all of that up against the certainty of a cash proposal. In that light, the board considers the proposal to be credible and attractive, and so in the best interests of shareholders to undertake further due diligence work towards a binding offer.

Ramoun Lazar
Analyst, Jefferies

Right. Okay. T here's nothing structurally different that you see with the business and the earnings power against what you've previously talked to the market about. You had an investor day not that long ago here in Sydney talking about the various businesses and the earnings power of those businesses. Has something changed in terms of getting back to that kind of run rate of earnings across the business? Or is it just about this near-term volatility and uncertainty?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

I think there's no structural change for our business. I think we've weighed up all aspects of the environment we're in, taking into account all of our plans, whether it be stainless steel, Poland, Mexico, ongoing footprint. We worked, as you would expect, all of that into our model and all of that pointed to us, or the board, considering it appropriate to engage at AUD 4.75.

Ramoun Lazar
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, I'll leave it there. Thanks.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Ramoun.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Sam Seow from Citi. Please go ahead.

Sam Seow
Analyst, Citi

Morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Look, I just really wanted to follow on from Ramoun there. You had the four bids in eight weeks, but still, I guess, a lack of a recommendation. I just wanted to ask, to what you're allowed to say, how you're thinking about the valuation, where we are in the cycle, and if there's a view on normalized earnings or normalized margins and just high level what that might look like.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

C ouple of points in there, Sam. First of all, we are not holding a binding offer today and shareholders are not being asked to take action. What we have announced is the Process Deed, not a bid. As I said to Ramoun's question, the board believes the process announced is appropriate given the attractiveness of the proposal and the increases in proposed value over a few bumps over the last few months, and the go-shop mechanism that we have announced.

All that being considered, taking into account the outlook, and acknowledging that it is quite a different world right now to 12 months, two years, three years ago, that is what has led us to the announcement today.

Sam Seow
Analyst, Citi

Got it. That is helpful. Then maybe on the outlook, I guess, clearly conditions are not expected to improve, but sales growth across most of your regions are looking quite healthy or expected to look quite healthy. Maybe if you could just give us some color on what is driving that and maybe the rough split between price and, I guess, share gains or bottom-up initiatives. Thanks.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Yeah. Thanks, Sam. I think most of that uplift in revenue that you see in FY 2027, based on the guidance that we have given, most of that is going to be price. I am not going to give you the split between price and what volume we would see based on our initiatives and NPD. T o the extent that we have volume, it would be based on those two factors. We really do not see a significant change in the macros in any of our regions through the course of FY 2027.

Sam Seow
Analyst, Citi

Thanks, guys. That is helpful.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Brook Campbell-Crawford from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Brook Campbell-Crawford
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Hey. Good evening. Thanks for taking my questions. Heath, just first for you, I guess while you and the board were considering this offer, did you step back and consider alternative options to unlock value for shareholders, accelerate performance, things around the portfolio that you could do to try and deliver a better outcome for shareholders over a period of time?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Brook, thanks for the question. I think it is fair to say that the consideration undertaken by the board was quite exhaustive. Considering the proposal that we had received, a number of other inbounds and specifically to your question, yes, we considered all manner of alternatives directly under our control as a standalone business. All of that was considered in forming the view.

Brook Campbell-Crawford
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Okay, thanks. Just around the due diligence, can you just provide a bit of color around the extent of due diligence already provided to Brookfield? Are they looking for a huge amount more information or are they largely completed their process, and it is a bit more down to formalities now? I guess second question, it might be in the release, so apologies if it is, but do you have an estimated time to closure if this progresses with Brookfield? What time would it close and shareholders get their funds? Thanks.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Brook. What I would say is over the last seven, eight, nine weeks, we have been engaged with Brookfield in discussions primarily dealing with the, if you like, the commercial aspects of the business and our positioning and relative strengths and focuses and so on. On the basis of those discussions, Brookfield made their latest proposal, which is the one that we have presented today.

The process now is a short four-week process that is confirmatory in nature to go through all of the normal things you go through in a due diligence wrap-up process. That is the first element. Timing. We have essentially started today that four-week DD process. During that four-week period, we will work together with Brookfield with the aim of developing a SID along largely the same terms as the proposal.

That SID will include the 30-day go-shop mechanism that we have set out in the materials. That 30 days starts at the point of signing a SID, if that occurs, and they are the main near-term milestones in the process.

Brook Campbell-Crawford
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Okay, thank you.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Brook.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Peter Steyn, from Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Peter Steyn
Analyst, Macquarie

Hi, Heath and Andrew. Thanks for your time. Andrew, if I may, could you help just bridge how you have accounted for what you got refund-wise, the net AUD 4.2 million, and then the guidance for FY 2027 from a margin perspective in Americas at flat? I guess I am kind of coming back to some of the questions that have been posed before, but just curious more specifically how you go about getting your margins back to where they were before. Because that has been the ongoing intent to effectively reset those margins to pre-tariff levels. J ust curious when that happens and how it happens.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Thanks, Peter. I think to your first question, we did recognize a net tariff benefit of AUD 4.2 million, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks. That is the net number. Obviously, there was a gross refund amount, and then there was a reduction of that, which was essentially a provision that was an offset to sales. T hat is a provision that we put on the books. F irst of all, it was a conservative accounting position, as you would expect from the accounting team at RWC.

S econdly, it will provide, I believe, a provision that will be useful over the course of FY 2027 as we discuss not only pricing, but also customer investments and strategic initiatives. I am not going to give you the two pieces, but obviously we have disclosed that there is a AUD 4.2 million net tariff benefit there.

In terms of the Americas guidance for FY 2027, we have said broadly consistent or flat. I think there are a couple of big moving parts there. The first one that you would more likely come to would be the reduction in the tariff cost benefit.

We have said that we were at the lower end of our range in 2026, so 25%- 30%. Back that down by the tariff refund, and so you are in that low 20s range. We expect that to go to 5%- 7% in FY 2027. R oughly a AUD 15 million tariff benefit year-on-year. I think the next thing we need to talk about, however, is inflation. As you guys know, copper has really made a run through the second half of FY 2026.

We do expect that the year-on-year increase in the LME for our books would be roughly AUD 3,000 per ton. As we have said in the past, our sensitivity is AUD 900,000 per AUD 100 movement, so that is a significant impact. Partially offsetting that, of course, would be price and cost outs. There is a lot of moving pieces, a lot of things to execute on, and I think the team has done a good job to get us back to consistent or essentially flat year-on-year.

I will say that given the amount of inflation that we are covering with price, there is a dilution impact to margins that you do not see. Some of the other actions that we are taking are offsetting that, but that kind of furthers the headwinds that we are facing from a margin perspective in Americas.

Peter Steyn
Analyst, Macquarie

Gotcha. T he rebuilding of margins is going to be a multi-year process. Is that the read on that then, Andrew?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

For sure, Peter. I think that we are working on Mexico. We will see some benefits from the metals closure and moving to stainless steel, but we will be well into FY 2028 before those really come through on the P&L.

Peter Steyn
Analyst, Macquarie

Perfect. Thanks, Andrew. Heath, all the best. Good luck for the next month.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Peter.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Harry Saunders from E&P. Please go ahead.

Harry Saunders
Analyst, E&P

Good morning, gents. Thanks for taking my questions. Firstly, just on copper, can you talk us through any potential price increase to cover that in the interim with the transition to stainless steel? Then how we should think about the earnings upside in 2028 and 2029 as you transition away from copper, please.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Harry, we do have quite a bit of price coming through in FY 2027 to cover copper. You can see that in the revenue guide that we've stated. I don't want to talk too much about FY 2028 given the time and distance between now and then. I will mention that we do expect to see savings related to the move to stainless steel, and as we've called out in the past, we expect that to be roughly $9 million , but that'll be FY 2028.

Harry Saunders
Analyst, E&P

Is that saving assuming you sort of offset any copper movements on a go-forward basis?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Yes.

Harry Saunders
Analyst, E&P

Understood. Just wondering more broadly if you could bridge 2027 to last year. I appreciate you helpfully provided us with the net tariff benefit of AUD 15 million. T he other benefits, could you just talk us through those, non-repeats of one-off costs, perhaps, and destocking or manufacturing changes. Maybe you could just give us the building blocks. That would be helpful. Thanks.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Sure. From FY 2025 to FY 2026, and I'll talk about the consolidated numbers. Look, typically there's two themes that we have to talk about. There's net tariff costs, which as I mentioned earlier, there's a couple of pieces in that, and when I talk about net tariff cost, that's going to be inclusive of the tariff refund benefit. The net tariff cost roughly AUD 21 million. Copper through our P&L in FY 2026, we saw roughly AUD 1,000 per ton increase.

As we've said, that gets you close to AUD 9 million to AUD 10 million of just copper inflation that we've had to deal with. As you look through the rest of the moving pieces, you're going to find the volume was slightly down. We obviously have wage inflation like we do every year.

We did see some unfavorability related to factory performance, and that is specifically in the APAC as we have gone through the metals closure and the ramp-down of that production. We have also talked about some investments in customer service deliveries in the U.K. as well as the Poland ramp-up, which caused some slight factory underperformance in FY 2026. Now, those things are offset by roughly AUD 10 million in cost savings that we have been able to bring to the bottom line.

Those are the big moving pieces, and it is essentially, you will hear this a lot in our Q&A. The big moving pieces are tariff costs, copper inflation, and then what we have been able to do in terms of self-help with the cost outs.

Harry Saunders
Analyst, E&P

Got it. Are you able to perhaps quantify those one-off kind of impacts, the APAC factory performance and U.K. and Poland impacts there as well?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Harry, I am not going to go into specifics on those. We are not talking huge numbers. We are talking low single-digit millions.

Harry Saunders
Analyst, E&P

Okay, thanks. Just one more follow-on from Sam's question earlier. Can you just give a sense of the upside in the earnings base from macro recovery and also operationally?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

We are not anticipating significant macro recovery in FY 2027. From a macro perspective, that would just be very minimal. Some of the upsides that we have mentioned, as you see in our earnings guide, we do see a lot of price coming through in FY 2027, and we have called out cost savings between AUD 10 million and AUD 12 million. Those are some big moving pieces, and I have talked about the tariff reversal. What is between those savings or unfavorability is a lot of inflation. We are talking not just copper, we are talking resins, freight, and of course, wages. Those are the things I would call out.

Harry Saunders
Analyst, E&P

All right. Thank you.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Harry.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Lee Power from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Lee Power
Analyst, JPMorgan

Morning, guys. Thanks for the call. Just on, Andrew, on your comments around the stainless upside, I am surprised it is not looking a lot more attractive now. You have got copper well above AUD 14,000 a ton. You are like a first mover. I would have thought everything would have probably looked more positive around the stainless rollout. Can you just maybe help me understand what else has changed there?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Well, I do not think anything has changed. Look, we are talking about FY 2028, and certainly a lot could change between now and then. We have talked about AUD 9 million in savings, and that is a number that we will stick to. Obviously, there is risk associated with achieving that AUD 9 million. If we do better, I think there will be some puts and takes obviously, but AUD 9 million is the benefit that we see sitting here today.

Lee Power
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Thanks for that. Then just the rollout piece. How quickly do you get this out there? I would have assumed likewise. The pressure on copper is clearly enormous on you at the moment. I am assuming it is the same for everyone else. How quickly can you actually get this product rolled out through the channel? Then maybe is anyone else doing something similar when you look across your peers who are not in stainless currently?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Look, I think there are two streams here. I think, to some extent, releasing new products and new additions to our range, doing that in stainless and/or non-copper-based alloys is now business as usual. Our U.S. team, during the course of the last six months, have launched a couple of hundred items in stainless steel. Particularly across appliance connectors and so on. That is now just a matter of course to use stainless as the material for new products. That is rolling on quite nicely.

As I said, a couple of hundred components and they have got line of sight to an additional 300 odd SKUs. Well underway. The second stream, though, is more the one that Andrew was referring to there, which is the transition of existing products to stainless steel.

The big volume items there in terms of copper consumption are the control valves, the safety valves, and SharkBite Max. As you would imagine, we are moving at pace on those items, but also aware of the significance of those items in terms of quality and performance. That underpins our brand and our reputation in the market. W e are being very thorough there.

The first of those products on the larger-sized SharkBite items and some of the safety valves will be launched into the market at the start of next calendar year. That is, to my mind, quite rapid for our industry, but also prudent given the nature of the product, where they are used, and how they underpin our brand and reputation in the marketplace.

Lee Power
Analyst, JPMorgan

Excellent. Thank you. That is a good follow-up. Thanks.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Lee.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Keith Chau from MST Marquee. Please go ahead.

Keith Chau
Analyst, MST Marquee

Good morning, Heath and Andrew. Maybe just a quick follow-up on Lee's question on stainless. Heath, instead of thinking about it as stainless steel-driven earnings upside, the shift to stainless steel, is it more about matching product economics? S afer control and safety valves and SharkBite Max. Is it more about matching those product economics to a, say, AUD 10,000 copper price by shifting to stainless steel? P erhaps defending against product economics eroding. Is that a better way to think about it? Or is there genuine upside in shifting to stainless steel relative to a AUD 10,000 copper price?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

You are going to hate this, but I think it is both. I think the initial thinking was that more conservative, how can we backstop the cost of our product to $12,000, $12,500 a ton for copper? That was sort of the initial drive. I think as we have gotten into it, though, we do see a competitive advantage for us in the stainless-steel products. It is regarded generally as a superior material yielding a superior product, which I think is in keeping with who we are, what we do, the brands that we have. Being able to frame the product as an improved superior product, I think is helpful.

Then, look, over time we will continue, as we always have, to seek ongoing processing improvements, continuous improvement to chip away at that cost basis. I think that is independent of the material we use. I think, though, moving to stainless as the new material perhaps gives us a little more scope than brass. It is going to be an incremental ongoing process, I think, Keith. Ultimately it leaves us, I think, with a really good product range and an offering to the marketplace that is in keeping with what we have created here.

Keith Chau
Analyst, MST Marquee

Okay, thanks, Heath. Certainly, don't hate that answer. I think that is a good response. Thank you. Secondly, under your go-shop provisions, to the extent that you can provide us some color, just trying to understand what it would take to progress discussions with another party. Is it simply a lift in the offer price and is there a certain range of magnitude of lift that would be required to progress something else? Or are there other key terms that RWC is looking for under that go-shop provision or the process of running through that go-shop provision?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

What probably worth doing is just talking briefly about the process over the next couple of stages. As you know, we are not holding a binding offer today, so there is, in our view, no recommendation to make, and we are not asking anyone to take any action. We have, though, begun a four-week exclusivity period in order for Brookfield to undertake confirmatory due diligence. During that four-week period, it is exclusive and everything that that entails. No shop, no talk, no DD with others.

During that four-week period, we will aim to prepare, in conjunction with Brookfield, a SID along largely the same lines as the proposal. That SID will include the go-shop mechanism. Once a SID is signed, that begins a 30-day go-shop process or mechanism. During those 30 days, we are able to receive and able to solicit interest from other parties.

Should another offer emerge that is superior to the AUD 4.75, then we are able to continue to work with that party and develop that proposal through or beyond the go-shop period, if we have received a superior offer during the 30-day period. We can extend that period to the extent which is necessary to fulfill our statutory and fiduciary obligations and then develop that and see where that lands. As you would expect, Brookfield has a matching right or will have a matching right as part of any SID that is signed.

Keith Chau
Analyst, MST Marquee

Okay. Thanks, Heath. Just for clarity, when you go into that process, are you simply looking for a lift in the total offer price? Or are there going to be considerations around whether you might receive a bid in part cash, part shares? What is the trade-off there? Or is that something you will just go through with the board if a bid does come to fruition or alternate bid?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Yeah, look, I guess I would say the potential certainty of an all-cash offer is part of why we have taken the action that we have today and engaged or in the Process Deed at AUD 4.75. In the event there is a competing offer, then we simply will need to consider it on its merits. I do not want to preempt what is or is not appropriate at this point in time.

Keith Chau
Analyst, MST Marquee

Yeah, that's fair. Just going back to Ramoun's question earlier on, I guess, I think we're all sitting here looking at this bid going, "Okay, well, the share price has been as high as AUD 6 previously, the bid's at AUD 4.75. Clearly, the world's changed."

As you look at the business, and this is maybe we're just requiring a broad comment here, but has the earnings power of the group, do you think perhaps deteriorated in the last five years? If so, is that principally driven by cost inflationary pressures? I do not know if you can answer that in a very broad way, Heath, but maybe some views on maybe some reference points over the last five years might be an easier way to answer that question.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Sure. Look, it's even hard to pick a point in time over the last five years as the reference. It's been quite a period, and the world today feels different generally to how it felt five years ago. I guess all I can do to elaborate on the process we went through is we considered all of the things we're working on.

Whether it be stainless steel, Mexico, Poland, ongoing footprint activities in all of our regions around the world, the new product initiatives, the stainless steel, our view of what the market will do in the coming years as best as we're able to factor all that in to develop our own valuation. I think it's fair to say that on that basis, we thought it was appropriate to engage with Brookfield in this manner at AUD 4.75.

Keith Chau
Analyst, MST Marquee

Okay. Thanks for the color, Heath. I appreciate it. Thanks, Andrew.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Keith.

Keith Chau
Analyst, MST Marquee

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Daniel Sykes from Jarden. Please go ahead.

Daniel Sykes
Analyst, Jarden

Hi, Andrew. Thanks for taking my question. I was just wondering if you could just flesh out a bit of those comments around the resin impacts. Just if you could help us understand, I guess, how that impacted top line and also below the line, across the segments in FY 2026. W hat you would expect in FY 2027, whether some of those are rolling off as well. Thanks.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Yeah. We really did see after the start of the Ukraine War, I think we started to see pretty significant resin inflation, specifically in our APAC region. A lot of that goes into inventory towards the end of the year, and then will push into FY 2027 as an impact. I t will be significant. If you look on balance, the inflation that we will see related to resin, freight, and wages and everything else is really coming close to what we are going to see on the copper side running through the business. I t is significant.

Daniel Sykes
Analyst, Jarden

Thanks. Are you able to give us an idea of how much that impacted the top line as well in terms of how much you are able to push through those costs in the second half particular?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Look, I think we mobilized pricing in all regions, probably multiple rounds, certainly in APAC and EMEA. I am not going to call out specifically what those pricing actions were and the financial impact, but I will say that the majority of that top-line increase that you will see was price-driven.

Daniel Sykes
Analyst, Jarden

Okay, great. Thanks, guys. Appreciate the questions.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Nathan Reilly from UBS. Please go ahead.

Nathan Reilly
Analyst, UBS

Good morning, gents. First question, I am just curious to get a bit of an understanding in terms of the level of shareholder engagement you have had through this process, as you have been receiving the offers from Brookfield. I am also just conscious in terms of maybe how that has influenced your decision to put a pause or not declare that final dividend.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Look, during the course of this week, we will undertake engagement with our shareholders. That is really the plan for today and the next few days.

Nathan Reilly
Analyst, UBS

Okay. No worries. Also, just in terms of maybe from a historical perspective, just the level of engagement you have seen from other, I guess what I would consider to be more traditional trade players, plumbing manufacturers, building materials manufacturers, just in terms of showing interest in the operations in the business.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

You mean in the context of providing competing bids in the process?

Nathan Reilly
Analyst, UBS

Just in terms of how you have got the go-shop option available to you. Just trying to get a sense of whether you have had a high level or moderate level of inbound interest indicative otherwise informal.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Look, I would say that. First of all, the proposal from Brookfield was unsolicited, but over the course of a few months, we have gone through a process which has yielded increasing value proposals over three bumps. We have received multiple other inbounds over the last several months and held discussions with interested parties. None of those have progressed to the same level of engagement. We have received nothing in writing there.

Nonetheless, we thought it was in the best interest of shareholders to establish a process that provides a mechanism for anyone who does see value beyond AUD 4.75 to participate, which is what we have announced today as part of that process Nate .

Nathan Reilly
Analyst, UBS

Great. Thanks for that color. Final question, just in terms of the strategy to take copper out of your products. We have heard, Andrew, just in terms of the impact in terms of what you would expect current copper price inflation to mean in terms of EBIT impact. O nce you get through that process of fully implementing those changes from a stainless-steel transition point of view, where do you expect that level of earnings sensitivity to ultimately end up when that process is fully completed?

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Look, I think we will still have some exposure to copper, certainly. For example, we sell the electrical cords as part of the appliance connector business. There is a significant amount of copper in that. I t is really hard to say where that sensitivity will land. We have not finalized those calculations.

Nathan Reilly
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Thanks, gents.

Andrew Johnson
CFO, RWC

Thanks.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, mate.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is a follow-up from Sam Seow from Citi. Please go ahead.

Sam Seow
Analyst, Citi

Morning, guys. Thanks for letting me have a quick follow-up. I just wanted to pick up on your previous comments there where you said you'd look to enter into a SID on terms consistent with the proposal. I just wanted to clarify, is there any, I guess, other terms not price-related with the proposal, or do you just mean price?

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

As I've said a couple of times, Sam, we have no binding offer at this point in time. We will work over the next four weeks with Brookfield in a process that ideally turns an indicative proposal into a binding proposal along the same lines as the proposal. Really nothing else to add to that.

Sam Seow
Analyst, Citi

Okay. Thank you.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Thanks, Sam. I think we have time for one more question if there is one.

Operator

No. At this time, we are showing no further questions.

Heath Sharp
CEO, RWC

Very good. With that, I will thank everyone for their time on the call today. Enjoy the rest of your day. Thank you.