Viva Energy Group Limited (ASX:VEA)
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Sep 17, 2026, 4:10 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: H1 2026

Aug 25, 2026

Summary

Record first half earnings were achieved, driven by strong refining margins, robust commercial and retail growth, and disciplined capital management. Net debt fell to AUD 1.7 billion, and an interim dividend at the top end of policy was declared. Operational resilience was demonstrated despite a refinery fire and ongoing market volatility.

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Scott Wyatt, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah, good morning, and thank you for joining us to discuss our 2026 first half results. With me on the call is Carolyn Pedic, our Chief Financial Officer, Danny Budispira, our EGM of Commercial, Jennifer Gray, our Chief Strategy Officer, and Teresa Rendo, our new Retail CEO. On the call, Carolyn and I will share the group results, while Jen and Teresa will provide more commentary on our retail convenience businesses, and Danny will be available to answer any questions around commercial. As foreshadowed in our quarterly trading update, we have delivered a record earnings this half, supported with strong performances in all of our business units. These results reflect a substantially improved refining margin environment driven by events in the Middle East, but also improving retail sales growth and continuing strength of our commercial businesses.

The improvements in our underlying business are very encouraging, and we expect to be able to continue building on this as we cycle through this extraordinary period. Despite significant volatility, I am very pleased with the way we have managed the significant inventory and supply exposures and maintained capital discipline throughout the period.

The resulting strong cash conversion has strengthened our balance sheet, with net debt reducing from AUD 2.1 billion at the end of 2025 to AUD 1.7 billion at the end of June. In recognition of these results, the board has determined an interim fully franked dividend of AUD 0.0773 per share, representing a 70% payout of C&M and C&I NPAT on a replacement cost basis, which is, of course, at the top end of the company's dividend policy. In line with our policy, the contribution of the E&I business will be assessed at the conclusion of the financial year.

That said, we expect the E&I business to continue performing well through the second half. Notwithstanding these excellent financial results and an improvement in our personal safety performance, it is important to acknowledge that we had a significant process safety incident in April, which resulted in a fire within the gasoline complex. We are fortunate that no one was seriously hurt and that the fire was safely contained by the professional actions of our response teams, but this is indeed a serious incident which we are determined to learn from. As we previously confirmed, the refinery is expected to maintain operations at more than 90% of its normal operating capacity until the unit is repaired or replaced. We are assessing technology solutions and will work with our insurers to determine the best pathway forward over the coming months.

Given this is a long-term investment decision, our approach will also be influenced by the government refining retention policy, which is currently under development, and which I will cover in a little bit more detail later in the presentation. The first half of this year was obviously shaped by the geopolitical events which have caused significant disruption across the global energy markets. While these events have severely tested traditional supply chains, we have worked closely with governments, customers, and our suppliers to maintain production and supply throughout the period, leveraging Viva Energy's integrated supply chain capability. Our trading relationship with Vitol, coupled with our domestic refining capability, provides important diversification of supply, which reduces risk of supply disruption and provides critical earnings protection during periods of high volatility.

Our refining business benefited from higher regional refining margins, and the term supply arrangements with Vitol insulated the company from the extremes of price escalations over the period. Underscoring the importance of domestic refining to the country's energy security framework, the government updated the Fuel Security Services Payment scheme to provide more protection during periods of low regional refining margin and is engaging with us on a new program to retain refining through the next decade. As part of this program, we successfully completed commissioning of the Ultra Low Sulphur Gasoline project at the beginning of the year. Yet again, our commercial business delivered an exceptional performance through a period of significant disruption and volatility. This reflects the diversity of our various businesses within Commercial, the quality of our customer base, and the strength of our infrastructure and supply chains.

Sales volumes lifted to 5.9 billion liters, driven by strong demand across the portfolio, lifting underlying EBITDA to around AUD 250 million for the half. Both C&I and C&M benefited from advantage term supply arrangements that were in place prior to the conflict in the Middle East and which have insulated the business from elevated and volatile prices across the period. After allocating these benefits and other initiatives to manage costs and margin, C&I earnings lifted to AUD 305 million for the half. Notwithstanding the effects of the fire at Geelong Refinery, our E&I business delivered an EBITDA of AUD 354 million for the period, underpinned by exceptionally strong regional refining margins. GRM for the half averaged over $21 per barrel, which is in line with the GRM recorded for July and is expected to remain strong for the remainder of the year.

Operating costs were elevated during the half due to measures taken to stabilize operations and recover from the loss of the alkylation unit. However, we expect these costs to moderate as we adapt to a new operating setup. Before I hand over to Jen and Teresa, let me just touch on the fuel security measures recently announced by the federal government. Collectively, these represent a significant investment in critical energy infrastructure to improve fuel security and support domestic refining, and together offer opportunities for Viva Energy to further strengthen its infrastructure positions.

Right now, we are heavily engaged with government on policy development to provide long-term investment certainty for the refining sector, which we expect to provide more certain returns than provided under the current FSSP framework. Together with the development of government-funded storage, we anticipate these programs can strengthen our refining operations and accelerate the development of our energy hub at Geelong. We expect consultation engagement to materially progress through the remainder of this year. Let me now hand over to Jen to talk about our convenience business.

Jennifer Gray
Chief Strategy Officer, Viva Energy

Thanks, Scott. I will start with our trading performance on slide 11. The first half results show a material improvement in the Convenience & Mobility with visits increasing to 139 million from 74 million compared to the prior corresponding period. The first part of the bridge normalizes the benefits from five period acquisitions, including Liberty Oil Convenience and the transition to own fuel supply in South Australia, as well as an adjustment that recognizes poor industry trading conditions in 2025. The second part sets out the underlying trading performance with improvements supported by higher fuel sales, stronger retail fuel margins, and an allocation of supply benefits achieved during this period. Total retail fuel volumes increased by around 2%, with diesel the primary driver of this growth. Margins were partially offset by a one-off excise reduction that was passed through to the market in full immediately.

In convenience, petrol sales were lower, reflecting the continued year-on-year decline in tobacco. But importantly, tobacco sales remained stable over a 12-month period, and sales excluding tobacco increased by 1.3%, supported by increased customer visits and a more coordinated promotional activity. These benefits were partially offset by inflationary pressures, including wages and rent, together with other costs such as the year-on-year impact of legacy electricity contracts that expired mid-2025. Overall, the results show that the earnings base is improving. The next phase is to build on the momentum through better retail execution, greater control of the supply chain, and disciplined investment in the network. During the half, we made progress against the five priorities through which we are building a stronger and more scalable retail operating platform. Together, these priorities are designed to improve the customer proposition, strengthen execution, and establish a platform for sustainable earnings growth.

First, under team and customer obsessed, we passed through the full excise reduction promptly, providing customers with relief during a period of elevated fuel prices. We also rolled out Flybuys across OTR, aligning loyalty and customer data across the OTR and Reddy Express networks and addressing a specific pain point for customers at our converted locations. Under retail excellence, we appointed a new retail CEO and have continued to strengthen the broader leadership capability of the business. We also maintain strong retail fuel supply through a period of significant market disruption and demand uncertainty. Our efficient supply chain is progressing to plan. Distribution capability has now been established across the eastern seaboard, and we are on track to exit from the Coles product supply agreement by the end of November.

We've also focused on the curation of our offer, starting with a review of the product range, simplification of our offer, and improving its relevance to customers. We've sourced the first private label products ahead of launch in the second half, initially focused on everyday categories such as milk and water, addressing a key gap in our offer. Finally, under the right network and format, we've adapted the full year 2026 development program to focus capital on highest return opportunities, which I'll cover in more detail on the following slide. Our network strategy is focused on having the right format in the right locations, supported by disciplined returns-led capital allocation. We have adapted the full year 2026 development program in response to evolving market conditions. The program continues to be led by opening new OTR stores paired with conversions where the economics are compelling.

For full year 2026, we expect to deliver 20- 25 new OTR stores, supported by a smaller number of conversions to both OTR and Liberty formats. We're also progressing the conversion of 25- 30 stores to an unattended self-service format. These are predominantly locations where the shop sales do not support continued investment in a fully attended store, but where the fuel site itself remains attractive. We are trialing an unattended format that retains a customer proposition through features such as a small kiosk, vending, and collection capability, while materially lowering the operating costs of the site. Customer acceptance across the three trial locations has been encouraging, with improved fuel sales and site performance, with payback periods aligned with industry norms. We will apply the learnings from these trials as we progress the 2026 conversion program.

Establishing an independent supply chain is a critical enabler for our next phase of convenience growth. Distribution capability is now operational across South Australia, the Northern Territory, Victoria, Tasmania, Queensland and New South Wales. Western Australia remains on track for November, which will allow us to complete the national rollout and exit of the Coles product supply agreement by the end of November 2026. Our integrated supply chain gives us great control over ranging, promotions, forecasting and inventory, and allows us to respond more quickly to customer trends, creating a platform for private label and higher margin growth.

The early operational indicators are encouraging. Store deliveries are reducing and lead times for new products are becoming materially shorter. We expect the more meaningful financial benefits to emerge progressively from 2027 as we optimize operations. It's now my pleasure to hand over to Teresa to take you through the retail earnings growth roadmap.

Teresa Rendo
Retail CEO, Viva Energy

Thanks, Jen. Our efforts over recent periods have really remained focused on both organizing and stabilizing our end-to-end Convenience & Mobility business, including bringing it to self-sufficiency from transitional arrangements. As we look forward, we have a structured roadmap to unlock earnings growth across retail. In half two, our sequencing of near-term execution is broadly focused on progressing initiatives that have already commenced and are in trial, ahead of medium-term scaled benefits that include supply, range, buying, and network through FY 2027. If we look at our work streams, and starting with our team and customer obsessed, we are well progressed in how we organize our team as one Viva Energy Retail team, removing duplication and working consistently, with further unlock to be realized in half two.

Further to this, we have a clear plan to deepen customer engagement through data-led personalization and unlocking those customers that are active within our database, starting with Flybuys. Retail excellence is our second pillar, and we are centered on strengthening leadership, systems, and processes to lift execution, efficiency, and consistency. My initial observations after four weeks is that the uplift that exists in this space and the efficiency gains are both real and measurable. The efficiency of our supply chain is key. As Jen has already shared, our immediate focus is to have a supply chain that we can fully scale from December 2026 and into 2027, where we will unlock synergy from being just in case on our stock to just in time.

Through embedding a new operating model, we will progress increased control of our end-to-end supply and focus that to match demand, so that we carry less safety stock in our stores. Curation of our offer is another key unlock. We are buoyed by our recent quick-win trials that advanced our product range review disciplines, better segment our ranges, expand our private label penetration, and grow where we under-index in category. This will improve productivity per square meter, basket penetration, and overall health of inventory. Lastly is the right network and format. It includes continuing our pipeline of network expansion and format optimization that Jen has shared, but more so ensuring that we better embed the learnings in this space to drive down CapEx and improve performance.

If I was to summarize on where we've been and where we're going, the clear message is that F 2026 is about completing the retail foundation platform, while F 2027 will convert that platform into better execution, improved customer outcomes, and sustained growth. We recognize that much of this work is still in delivery. Our focus is on disciplined execution and clear measurement of all benefits underpinned with a robust retail scorecard. I will now hand over to Carolyn to discuss our financial performance.

Carolyn Pedic
CFO, Viva Energy

Great. Thanks, Teresa. I will start on slide 17. Group EBITDA on a replacement cost basis was AUD 774 million. That compares with AUD 305 million in the prior corresponding period, with all three business segments delivering strong earnings growth. NPAT, on a replacement cost basis, increased to AUD 371 million, despite higher depreciation associated with the commissioning of the Ultra Low Sulphur Gasoline unit and other recently completed investments. Importantly, the strong earnings performance also drove underlying free cash flow of AUD 449 million, reducing net debt to AUD 1.7 billion at 30 June. On slide 18, you can see that operating free cash flow was AUD 604 million. This strong cash conversion was an important contributor to the significant reduction in net debt during the half.

Given we report on a pre-IFRS 16 basis, EBITDA continues to remain a good proxy for underlying operating cash generation, with underlying operating free cash flow closely tracking EBITDA. Net CapEx was AUD 123 million in this first half. Most FY 2026 CapEx is weighted towards the second half and relates to new retail stores, store conversions, and other scheduled project activity across the business. While expenditure is weighted towards the second half, our approach remains disciplined and focused on attractive returns. Today, we reaffirm FY 2026 CapEx guidance of AUD 350 million- AUD 400 million, which remains materially below FY 2025. As you can see on the next slide, net debt closed the first half at AUD 1.7 billion, down more than AUD 350 million during the period.

This contributed to gearing of 1.5x total net debt to EBITDA, and that compares with approximately 3x at FY 2025. Elevated first half earnings have supported this outcome, and our focus remains firmly on managing leverage at around 2x through the cycle. At 30 June, we have had a really strong liquidity position, supported by substantial undrawn committed facilities and cash on hand, providing significant financial flexibility. Moving to slide 21, this sets out our capital management framework, which remains unchanged. It also sets out the priorities we communicated in the FY 2025 results. The first half saw disciplined investment and strong cash generation, supported by a material improvement in the balance sheet. Against that backdrop, the board determined an interim dividend at the top of the policy.

On slide 22, this shows our progress against both capital management priorities we set out, and those were set out in February. The FY 2026 CapEx guidance remains AUD 350 million- AUD 400 million, again, materially below FY 2025. We improved convenience inventory management in retail, and we reduced inventory levels by approximately AUD 300 million during the half. In retail, the supply chain rollout remains on track, and we have reworked the network development plan to focus on capital on the highest return opportunities. Discussions with the federal government on FSSP phase two to address the refinery's earnings profile are progressing. Our surplus land review continues, with previously identified sales opportunities being considered alongside the federal government's recent fuel security announcements, including the proposed Minimum Stockholding Obligation and Sovereign Fuel Reserve initiatives.

And finally, gearing has significantly improved as it has benefited from very strong first half earnings and favorable cash flow. Our focus again remains on maintaining this bridge at approximately 2x through the cycle . On slide 23, we can see that the board has determined an interim fully franked dividend of AUD 0.0773 per share. This represents a 70% payout ratio of replacement cost impact from the Convenience & Mobility and Commercial & Industrial segments, and is at the top end of the company's dividend policy range of 50%-70%.

Consistent with our dividend policy, the Energy & Infrastructure segment is assessed on a full year basis. So the dividend outcome reflects a strong performance in the first half and the material improvement in the balance sheet. The dividend will be paid on the 30th of September 2026 to shareholders on the register at the 7th of September 2026. Our Dividend Reinvestment Plan remains active and is not underwritten. Eligible shareholders can reinvest their dividends into shares at a 1.5% discount. I will hand back to Scott to provide an update on the outlook.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Thanks, Carolyn. Let me close the presentation by just making a few comments about the outlook for the business through the remainder of the year. As mentioned earlier, we enter the second half with a stronger balance sheet and a clear focus on disciplined execution. While international markets remain volatile, we expect this to benefit our refining and commercial businesses with the continued strength in regional refining margins and our fuel supply arrangements. We are setting ourselves up to optimize production and work around the alkylation unit while we assess long-term options to replace this capability. In the interim, we expect to be able to maintain production above 90% of our normal capacity and maximize the opportunity of the strong refining and margin environment that we see. Our commercial business continues to perform well and typically excels in the volatile market conditions that currently persist.

The team are very focused on achieving our long-term aspirations to organically grow this business and have made further progress on this agenda despite the current environment. The retail business has delivered a strong headline performance, and I am pleased with the progress we are making to restore growth after a challenging couple of years. It is really exciting to have Teresa join us, and she is already making a very positive impact after a short time in the role. I expect us to move quickly from here to build momentum now that we have largely completed the integration of our various retail businesses. We will, of course, have much more to share at our Investor Day in Sydney on the 9th of November, where we will provide our deeper update on strategy and medium-term priorities. But for now, let me open up to your questions.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two, and if you are on a speaker phone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question comes from Mark Wiseman from Macquarie Group. Please go ahead.

Mark Wiseman
Analyst, Macquarie Group

Hi. Good day, Scott and team. Thanks for the update here. Obviously, we have seen a strong set of results, but quite a large divergence between Ampol's and Viva's, and part of that goes back to the supply chain models that you each run. You understand Vitol created the entity and brings a lot of value to the relationship in terms of sourcing and security of supply. But I just wonder if you could talk us through as you come up to this renewal with Vitol in 2028, what levers are available to you, to reduce the dependence on Vitol and start to stand up your own supply chain and enjoy some of those benefits over time, and how long could that take?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. Thanks, Mark. Obviously, the relationship with Vitol has been in place for what will be 10 years in 2028. It is the model that was set up at the creation of Viva Energy. And look, it has performed well over that time. And I think, look, even in the half that we have just had, you can see it has delivered significant value. If you look at the contribution from our term supply agreements in the first half across, which has been allocated to both retail and commercial, it is about AUD 110 million of value that has been created over that time, and that is obviously without us running our own trading operations in Singapore.

So it does provide important support, which is mostly particularly valuable during periods of high volatility like we have just been through. That was the case during the early days of the Ukraine crisis as well. But look, as you point out, the agreement comes up for renewal in 2028. It is an option that Vitol have, but it is an option that we will sit down and formally review with them ahead of that time. It has been in place for a long time, and it has continued to evolve over that time in terms of how we work together as well.

So we will certainly take the opportunity to explore how renewal might look and what we would want from that with them over the next year. So that is a bit in front of us, Mark, but certainly eruption in mind. But it comes from a point of view of it has been a very strong, good relationship that we have had. And as I have just said, delivered important value during critical periods.

Mark Wiseman
Analyst, Macquarie Group

Okay. Thanks, Scott. Cheers.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Tom Allen from UBS. Please go ahead.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Hey, Tom.

Operator

Pardon me, Tom. Your line is now live.

Tom Allen
Analyst, UBS

Good morning, Scott, Carolyn, and the broader team. Apologies about that.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

It is all right.

Tom Allen
Analyst, UBS

I would just like to understand, if I can, just more on the economics that you are targeting on the unattended offer. I think Jen's comments on the call were that the payback periods are aligned with industry norms. Are we right to assume about AUD 300,000 in CapEx and AUD 350,000 in incremental EBITDA per site in the way that we apply our modeling for this opportunity going forward?

Jennifer Gray
Chief Strategy Officer, Viva Energy

I think that would be a fair assumption, yes.

Tom Allen
Analyst, UBS

Easy. Play on. Okay. In C&I, we have seen some growth in petrol and diesel on PCP. Should we expect more growth here, just as large fuel users who may have historically sought to save a few cents per liter on fuel costs by accessing regional and spot markets now potentially look to lock away a more reliable source of long-term supply with a fuel supplier like Viva Energy? I just ask because C&I has been a real strength for the business. I would like to understand if there is more growth that could come through here.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Thanks, Tom. I will hand that to Danny.

Danny Budispira
EGM of Commercial, Viva Energy

Yeah, that might well be the case. Obviously, as you do, we see some very different behaviors from one segment to the other. Certainly, there will be some more growth available, in particular in aviation, where business has been significantly disrupted in the first half. How people are going to play and what kind of contracting arrangement they will look for, in the future is a bit of a question mark at the moment. The market is stabilized. It is not very clear who is going to play how in the near future. But overall, the business is still growing, and the fundamentals of our business definitely look very strong.

Certainly, this period of volatile environment is benefiting us, and encourages a number of people who would normally transact a bit more transactionally to look at their business from a more strategic lens, and certainly prefer to deal with us in those circumstances. That is probably the reason why, as Scott was mentioning, a higher cost environment, it is usually beneficial to commercial, because we are not encouraging people to play transactionally. Does that answer your question?

Tom Allen
Analyst, UBS

It does. Thank you. If I could just sneak one more. Scott, you've shared some color on the release today on the opportunities for Viva arising from the government's AUD 14.8 billion fuel security reforms. Just on refining retention, how should we frame the scope of outcomes here? Is it more likely that we see another adjustment to the FSSP support level, or perhaps is it more likely a commonwealth subsidy on the growth investment like we saw for the Ultra Low Sulphur Gasoline project? Similarly, how should we scope the funding requirements for Viva to support building or supporting the Australian Fuel Security Reserve and meeting the new MSO obligations?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. Thanks, Tom. There's a few questions in that one. The FSSP, the current scheme has obviously It's been a milestone program, really. I think back in 2021, it was set up to provide the support that's necessary for us to continue refining, and as we've covered before, it unfortunately hasn't kept up with the cost of doing business in Australia. There's been periods where it hasn't provided the level of support that are really needed to maintain positive cash in that part of the business. So it was particularly pleasing to see the federal government update that at the beginning of this year, and I think that helps set us up to navigate the next few years until the end of that agreement in 2030.

A new arrangement, which we're currently in discussions with, takes us well beyond 2030 into the next decade, potentially, through to the end of the decade. It's a way in the future. It goes for a considerable period of time. So I don't think the current FSSP really provides a framework that's going to be robust enough over that period and provide a necessary return on capital through what will be a pretty uncertain time for refining.

I think it'll have to be a variation on FSSP that also provides a component that delivers that capital return, to allow us to make that sort of commitment, move forward with confidence, from an investment perspective, and ensure that whatever investments we make in refining is going to stand up relative to other investment opportunities that we have across the rest of the business, because those are the choices that we have. So that's at a high level, the broad framework that we would be looking for, and that is how we're engaging with government at this point in time. Obviously, now we've got also government fuel storage being likely to be built and then lifting in MSOs. Now, they're two different programs. The government storage program will obviously be a program that's funded by government.

The way the consultation paper has been framed, it will be looking to industry to provide services to both build storage and store product on behalf of government over a long-term commitment. I think that is potentially attractive for us, particularly around our refining business to further strengthen that business, provide additional storage, does provide economic benefits to the refinery. Potentially, with government funding, I think a potentially attractive investment proposition. MSOs is ultimately a cost on industry to fund, obviously reflects the size of the business that we have. That is a little bit more challenging to navigate in the sense that it is an additional cost. We would need to see good commercial benefits from building that storage to support the business that we have, and a pathway to recovering that cost from the market.

I think that is necessary to work through and better understand and look at the opportunities that we have around the country where we can actually make good use of any funding that might be available to support the development of storage to meet the MSO obligations. That, I think, will be something that will come out of the consultation process that has just been kicked off, which we will obviously participate in and watch closely.

Tom Allen
Analyst, UBS

Thanks, Scott. Appreciate that detail.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Adam Martin, from E&P. Please go ahead.

Adam Martin
Analyst, E&P

Yeah, morning, Scott, Jen, Teresa, Carolyn, Danny. Just first question just on retail fuel margins in July, August. They are quite low. Getting some industry feedback that Viva's trialing different things around pricing. Can you perhaps talk through that? Does that relate to that allocated supply benefit as well in C&M, please?

Jennifer Gray
Chief Strategy Officer, Viva Energy

Yeah. I think the interesting thing when you look across July and August fuel margins is to remember that we actually had an excise revaluation across both July and August. If you are comparing AIP data to retail board prices, that won't be reflected in that data. I think it would also be fair to say that we saw, after a period of quite constrained demand through March and April, certainly plenty of product in the market, and that naturally played out across retail forecourts.

From our perspective, we continue to offer a competitive price for our customers, and we continue to do that, thinking about the segments we are operating in. So, we are very fortunate to have a low-cost channel to market through our Liberty Oil Convenience offer and a best-in-class loyalty and docket redemption offer through our Shell OTR Reddy Express offer. That is how we think about our pricing strategies for fuel across the network we operate.

Adam Martin
Analyst, E&P

Okay. Thanks. That is good color. Just on refining, Scott, just thinking about costs and insurance and that post. Are there any costs that we should think about next 12 months that are outside insurance or any differences in the way you are going to run the refinery? Just trying to think about OpEx or maintenance CapEx, that sort of stuff, please.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

No, not really. I think, look, obviously in the aftermath of the incident and managing this lower production through that period as we brought production back online, we did incur additional costs, both in terms of managing the incident and managing a pretty inefficient production period through that first half. That has been reflected in the higher OpEx in the first half. We have done a lot of work to stabilize operations and get comfortable running the plant in a different mode than what we would traditionally do.

We obviously need to do that for the long term as we work through the replacement of the unit. So there is still a little bit more to do to really settle that down, but we are well advanced, and I expect to get to pretty optimal production mode through the course of the next month or two. I think the main impact as to refining is really what we have called out and the way to think about it is that production will be somewhat less than 100%. But if you work on that sort of guidance, that sort of covers all of the factors that go into running in the mode that we will be running in for an extended period of time.

Adam Martin
Analyst, E&P

Okay. Thank you. That is all for me.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Rob Koh from MS. Please go ahead.

Rob Koh
Analyst, MS

Yes, good morning. Can I ask about the refinery, if you could give us any steer on how we should be thinking about insurance recovery? Looking at the financials, looks like the impairments and disposals is around AUD 20 million-AUD 25 million. Is that the right number we should be thinking?

Carolyn Pedic
CFO, Viva Energy

Thanks, Rob. The number that you're looking at, that's just a historical written down value of the assets that were damaged in the fire. That's not instructive when thinking about a replacement of a unit which, as Scott shared, we're working through the details on. That should be viewed separately.

Rob Koh
Analyst, MS

Yeah. Okay. Thinking about the eventual replacement of alkylation unit and the other government policies, can you talk to any ability to increase capacity or increase production of diesel or even incorporation of renewable diesel into the mix?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. We're certainly, Rob, certainly looking at what's the right technology solution to move forward with the replacement of the alkylation capability that we had. Certainly an opportunity to look at new technologies and also with a mindset of what's the right production that will serve us well into the next decade, when obviously demands are going to be reshaped, particularly probably a decline in gasoline demand over that period. So it's been a work in progress, but certainly very much on our mind about the selection of the technology. As you probably know, we've been working on projects to process biogenic feedstocks and produce lower carbon fuels through our refineries.

Geelong, those projects remain really very interesting to us, and I think with the right policy settings around particularly demand-side policies for lower carbon fuels, they're projects that I think can be commercially sensible for us to progress. That is quite independent from the work we need to do around the alkylation unit. But I think if we're going to run the refinery through the end of 2040, having capacity to produce lower carbon fuels is a sensible and attractive set of projects for us to be looking at.

Rob Koh
Analyst, MS

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Gordon Ramsay from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Gordon Ramsay
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you for delivering a solid result today. Scott, just following up on your comment on guidance on the refinery production volumes. I'm just trying to get my head around why you're not at 100%, assuming just the alkylation unit was damaged and you can import alkylate and blend. Am I missing something?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

No, I think it's a proxy, Gordon, for a range of impacts from losing the alkylation unit. I think the main impact is that we. The alkylation unit processes gas, and particularly LPG, and turns that into alkylate, which is used in high-octane fuels such as premium fuels and avgas. We therefore have a surplus of LPG at the current time that we need to manage, and that does have knock-on impacts to optimal production across the plant. There's projects that we're working on at the moment to allow us to manage that gas balance better than we otherwise will be, and set us up to be able to do that over the long term. I think we get closer and closer to 100% as we get the capacity installed. But obviously, we lose the margin associated with produce that we gain from producing alkylate, producing high-octane fuels.

That's not a production impact necessarily per se, but the guides we've given is a proxy for all the different effects that come from running the refinery without the alkylation unit. So it's a simple measure, Gordon. It's one that we'll reassess as we get clearer on the long-term impairments to what extent that there are any, and then if we need to update guidance because we've got a clear review, we will. But for now, that's the best guidance we can give.

Gordon Ramsay
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks, Scott. Then just moving on to the portfolio review. You said you were evaluating surplus land sale opportunities. Is that mainly retail sites or does it include other assets?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

No, the retail sites are all leasehold. So we certainly manage that portfolio of assets, but more as a leasehold decision. As leases come up, do we want to renew and how do we develop those sites? So that's less of a divestment opportunity. So it's mostly land associated with our operating facilities around terminals and the refining business, the surplus land that we are unlikely to use. As Carolyn said, we're just reevaluating that at the current time to understand what land we might need for any storage opportunities that we wish to pursue. So I think that's obviously a new consideration that we just need to take into account. But otherwise, yeah, there is certainly surplus land around our major facilities, particularly that is highly valuable and not necessary to support our long-term business.

Gordon Ramsay
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Any feel for the value of that in round figures? Is it material?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

It's material, but it's early days. We're still working through what we would look to sell over what time frame and what value. I think that's one for another update, Gordon.

Gordon Ramsay
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Just lastly, I'm just following the question on the Vitol supply arrangement expiring in 2028. Where do you sit at the moment with the Shell naming rights? Is there a time frame on that? Can you just explain the mechanics? Is it the option on their side or yours or both?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Shell branding.

Jennifer Gray
Chief Strategy Officer, Viva Energy

FBL.

Sorry. The Shell brands license agreement is due to expire in 2029. That optionality would be through a mutual agreement.

Gordon Ramsay
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Got it. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Uwan Minogue from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Uwan Minogue
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Good morning, team. Congratulations on the result. Can you just talk us through what refining margins you have been seeing through August so far and whether you have seen any reduction in crude premiums and hence an improvement in margins?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. I think, look, obviously the July result reflects market, also reflects the performance of the site through that period about the alkylation unit, and also reflects the crude premiums that were in place through that time. You might recall that we previously talked about experiencing higher crude premiums in quarter three as we started purchasing for those which was at the early part of quarter two. Crude premiums were certainly elevated through the course of the early part of quarter three, and that's obviously reflected in those results as well. Now, that's all moderated quite a bit since that point in time, the pressure on crude premiums has reduced. We are getting, obviously, better at optimizing and running the plant around the alkylation as well. Some of those effects will reduce as we go forward.

Uwan Minogue
Analyst, Barrenjoey

Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Michael Simotas from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Michael Simotas
Analyst, Jefferies

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. First one from me is, I just want to understand the convenience retail earnings bridge that you have outlined on slide 11. Two questions I have on that. The first one is that fuel margin normalization bucket of AUD 31 million to normalize the first half 2025 number. Can you just talk us through that? Then I just want to understand, the allocated supply benefits and whether the result would have been effectively AUD 56 million worse, if not for that Vitol agreement giving you a fortuitous position on your term supply. Because if we adjust for that, the first half underlying performance would have been down quite significantly on the second half of 2025.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah, sure, Michael. Maybe I can just try and address that. The first part of that bridge, which you touched on, is to recognize that the first half last year was obviously a disappointing period of time from a performance point of view, and particularly around the returns that we were generating from fuels during that period in the first quarter. So we've normalized that to give it more apples-for-apples comparison, but also brought back the impact, the volume that would have been, so the margin that we would have generated had we owned Liberty business throughout that particular period, and also the margin uplift associated with the transition from BP supply to Viva's supply over that period. Again, just to build an apples-for-apples starting point for first half. So that's what's in the AUD 31 million.

You're right, there's obviously a benefit that's been allocated to both the commercial business and the retail business from the supply benefits that we've incurred from the. We've captured from the term supply arrangements. We don't have a business unit that covers supply, so we typically allocate that to the business units, which is what we've done in this case. So roughly half has gone to retail and half to commercial. That was obviously material during the first half, given that the term agreement had been struck prior to the Middle East. On one level that is unlike, you could argue that's unlikely to repeat going forward. That said, we still have term supply arrangements in place. We're still operating in a period of high volatility, and we expect that term agreement to still provide some benefit moving forward.

The other one-off in there, which I would call out, which won't repeat, is the excise reduction that occurred. We passed that on in full. So that's obviously a significant cost to the business, which obviously is a one-off and doesn't repeat. So if you want to look at those two things as being unlikely to repeat, you need to add them both together. So does that make sense?

Michael Simotas
Analyst, Jefferies

Yeah. Or we could add the AUD 53 million of fuel margin and the fuel excise together, because first quarter margins were very strong in the market run.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. I hear that, too. Yeah, July/August has been softer. Although we obviously had some reverse benefit from excise going back up to the revaluation of stock that we would have been holding at that time as well.

Michael Simotas
Analyst, Jefferies

Yeah.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

We are edging to a seasonally stronger period in the back end of the year in retail. And typically, that has been our strongest period for retail fuel margins as well. So I would not give up on that yet. I would more look at the supply benefits and the excise as being elements of that bridge that are less likely to repeat going forward.

Michael Simotas
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. So all told with that, I guess when we saw the quarterly update a couple of weeks ago, the market was quite pleased with Convenience & Mobility retail outcomes because it looked like you have bounced off the bottom, h as the convenience retail business bottomed now and we should expect it to grow from here or is there still work to do?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah, look, I think it's definitely a turning point, Michael. I think a lot we've done the last two years has been very heavily focused on integrating the businesses, standing up ERPs and supply chains, and a very distracting time for the business during a period that was also, from a macro perspective, heavily impacted by cost of living pressures and tobacco sales declined. It hasn't been the easiest environment to operate a retail business, and particularly for us, given the transitions we're going through. Now we're at a point where really that is now largely all behind us. ERP is in place and stabilized, supply chain still W.A. to get done, but we're pretty much done on that.

Tobacco, we've certainly reached the bottom, and we start to cycle out of that now in July, so should see therefore convenience sales in aggregate, both including tobacco, moving forward from here and starting to deliver year-on-year growth. I think a lot of momentum that's been built or I think focus has been built by Jen and her time in the role, and now with Teresa Rendo coming on board, I think we're genuinely got time and capacity now to focus on the things that impact customers and drive sales growth going forward. So, genuinely, I believe it's a turning point where we are. I think there's still a lot to do, no doubt about it, but the lot to do is all driven by opportunities and significant value that we can see that we can add to the retail business. Teresa, you've been with us-

Teresa Rendo
Retail CEO, Viva Energy

Four weeks

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

...four weeks now, so maybe you could add your reflections.

Teresa Rendo
Retail CEO, Viva Energy

I think you've summed that up really well, Scott. What I would say, Michael, is it has been a period from what I can see of absolute stabilization and ownership about end-to-end retail business. There is certainly a lot of unlock that exists in just being good retailers, which is all about discipline and retail scorecards. We can see that down to site level, and we certainly have a number of initiatives that are now kicked off and well underway, that should deliver to the bottom line and should deliver growth.

Michael Simotas
Analyst, Jefferies

All of that makes sense. Can I just ask one quickly on refining as well, just following on from Gordon's question. Being pretty clear on volume and utilization. Looks like in July you've left some margin on the table as well. Can you work towards adjusting product slates to get margins to where they would've otherwise been and just have the volume impact or is there likely to be an ongoing margin drag as well?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

No, look, Michael, there's always a danger in printing one month's refining margin numbers anyway, as you know. I think the comparison with Ampol will always be different. Different refineries operate different crude sets and different premiums through a period. So there's a bit of a, as you can see, our history, that moves around quite a bit. So, as I said before, I acknowledge that we've got a period where crude premiums were elevated, operating wasn't perfect. We're getting better at that, and that will definitely improve going forward.

The refining margin environment remains very strong. So I think my view is that that's going to be with us for quite some time. There's a long tail to the situation in the Middle East and the region. Refining margins will benefit from that. And in July, I think despite the challenge we've had with the alkylation unit, it's a good place to really make good benefit from that environment and deliver another really strong result in the second half. I think that's still a very exciting business to be in at this point in time. And we think we've got the ability to still generate good returns.

Michael Simotas
Analyst, Jefferies

Yep. I agree. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Craig Woolford from MST Marquee. Please go ahead.

Craig Woolford
Analyst, MST Marquee

Good morning, Scott, Carolyn, and team. I just wanted to first question on the convenience business. Just try to understand, there was a comment on one of the slides about reducing the CapEx for the OTR conversions. What elements have been reduced, and is there any update on the performance of the converted OTR sites?

Teresa Rendo
Retail CEO, Viva Energy

I think maybe if I can talk to the reduction of capital. I think we have become much cleverer at understanding which pieces of the OTR offer resonate and how we can achieve that in conversion of a Coles Express. And where the sites we originally did, we have turned every site into the most perfect OTR it could be. There are some aspects of those conversions that are costly, and probably not hugely value accretive. An excellent example of that would be, the inclusion of an internal toilet is very important. The location of that internal toilet is probably less important. So thinking about how we can be really disciplined in how we convert a Reddy into an OTR has been something we have put a lot of focus on this year.

So making sure that we can deliver the same OTR look, feel, and offer to our customers, but in a very cost-effective way. So a lot of time and effort has gone into that. I think when we think about the performance of the conversions, we have learned a lot over the 12- 18 months that those conversions have been operating, and we understand really now where that offer resonates. And I think it might be a good opportunity, Teresa has been with us for four weeks, to let her talk about how she is viewing that offer. So Craig, and I am just a simple retailer and shopkeeper, by the way. But when I look at the results of these conversions, they are quite mixed.

And to Jen's point, we have put in very quickly a process, that is a more robust framework that matches brand to site and the communities we serve. In the very simplest of terms, though, as we look at their performance, there is a real opportunity for segmentation of our portfolio, which is that match piece. But there is also a lot of work that we can do in better consideration of how we serve within the box. And what is really pleasing is for even the sites that are not quite to where we expect them, the issue is not with the site, it is with the range and the service. So, if I can just use an example. OTR has twice as many SKUs as Reddy. So in a metro location where we might have majors around us, it means that we have a lot of unproductive SKUs.

We have done one very quick trial in a site locally to us that we can visit quite often, where we have reduced over 800 SKUs in that site, and it has increased sales by double digit. Early days, let me say. What is really pleasing, you should be quite buoyed from, is the opportunity sits in the box, not in its structure. There are some real quick wins to be gathered up and to be rolled out in our learnings across what we have converted to date, but more broadly to our entire network. I am very encouraged by what I see and the opportunities that sit before us.

Craig Woolford
Analyst, MST Marquee

Yeah, definitely looking forward to hearing more in November. Just one other question. If I am looking at the slide that has got the breakdown on the refinery business and the performance, the operating costs increased quite significantly from 1H 2025 to 1H 2026. Just trying to get a sense of how much of that is true cost increases and how much relates to the fire.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

This is the pinch to the back is non-refining.

Craig Woolford
Analyst, MST Marquee

Yeah. The operating costs, excluding energy costs, went from AUD 145.9 to-

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

It's dollars per barrel.

Craig Woolford
Analyst, MST Marquee

Yeah, that's right. Obviously, production was up a bit and up about 10%, 12% in cost per barrel.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. As I've called out, we acknowledge there's definitely some elevated costs in the first half driven by the impact of the fire. Outside of that, apart from just production, which was still pretty solid through the period, our cost has been pretty in line. To the extent there's a cost increase there, it's really just the fire-related, which, as I said before, should normalize going forward soon.

Craig Woolford
Analyst, MST Marquee

Yeah. Perfect. Thanks, Scott.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Scott Ryall, from Rimor Equity Research. Please go ahead.

Scott Ryall
Analyst, Rimor Equity Research

Hi. Thank you very much. Hey, Scott, you've given a good amount of detail on the refining process already. Can you just clarify for me, and apologies if I've missed it earlier, what's the timing that you're expecting in terms of the next wave of refining into the next decade, the agreement with government?

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Look, our expectation is that it will be-- see the refining retention program materially progress before the end of the year. Whilst that's not that far away now, that would be still our objective and certainly the pace at which we're working at with government. It wasn't my expectation that it would be finalized or put into legislation by the end of the year. That would always carry through to next year, but I expect to have a pretty clear view about where it's heading with some certainty by then. It's important that we do because we've obviously got decisions to make around the replacement of the alkylation unit. That's going to be a multi-year program to replace.

We can't really move forward with that decision without the knowledge about what happens beyond the end of the decade, because obviously, if we kick off the replacement of the alkylation unit next year, we'll be getting pretty close to the end of this decade before it's finished, and obviously, you want to have a runway to get a return on that decision. So it all comes together for us over the next six months. It's an important period to land.

Scott Ryall
Analyst, Rimor Equity Research

Okay.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Fortunately, I think it's a very important decision for government as well. I think that we're aligned on the need and the benefit of retaining refining capacity both for the country and for our business. It's really the basis on what's the economic basis in which that outcome can be achieved.

Scott Ryall
Analyst, Rimor Equity Research

Okay, great. Then my second one is just for Danny, if that's all right. I just wonder, in the last six months, with all the different impacts and challenges that you've no doubt faced in running your business, has there been any volumes or products that you have not been able to 100% fulfill for customers? Connected to that, do you see any opportunity to step into perhaps some adjacent supply chains that you might not have played in, but for the disruption that we've seen in global supply chains in some of these petrochemical products? Can you just talk to how you're seeing the environment for opportunity going forward as well?

Danny Budispira
EGM of Commercial, Viva Energy

Okay. Maybe to the first part of your question. We take a lot of pride on how we have demonstrated the robustness of our supply chain, and no customers had to suffer from any shortage of products during the crisis. There was certainly a lot of tension because the crisis happened at the beginning of the seeding season, so it has been quite difficult in Australia. But at the end, we have demonstrated again the robustness of our supply chain. Whether there would be opportunity, and that comes back to the question earlier about the quality of the relation and the value of our relation with Vitol. A number of mitigation plans have been put in place at any point in time to make sure our customers receive the product they needed. We had weekly or biweekly communication with our top customers.

Actually, I want to take that opportunity to thank all our customers for their outstanding collaboration during that crisis. Do we need further sources of supply for the future, or are there any other opportunities related to the crisis? I don't think so. Nevertheless, we are still looking at any opportunity for connecting segments of, you mentioned petrochemical. We continue to develop our strategies for our specialties, and if any opportunity comes to us, we'll certainly consider that. Whether there would be a massive change because of this crisis, I don't think so. We've said for a number of years we are a bit of business, and we are bit of agents through diversification, and we'll continue to operate that way.

Scott Ryall
Analyst, Rimor Equity Research

Okay, great. Thank you. That's all I had.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Scott Wyatt for any closing remarks.

Scott Wyatt
CEO, Viva Energy

Yeah. Look, thanks again for joining us this morning to discuss our first half results. As I mentioned earlier, I am very proud of the way we've responded to the Middle East crisis to maintain supply through what's been a very uncertain period, and at the same time, deliver an exceptional set of results. We go into the second half a stronger balance sheet and have some good momentum in all parts of our business. I expect commercial and refining to continue to perform well and for our retail business to return to growth as we embed the foundational work that we've now completed, and Teresa brings a sharp retail focus to the business. We'll have a lot more to share with you in November at our investor day and look forward to seeing you all there. Thanks again.

Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.