Aegean Airlines S.A. (ATH:AEGN)
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Apr 24, 2026, 5:10 PM EET
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Earnings Call: H2 2025

Mar 12, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. I'm Konstantinos, your Chorus Call operator. call operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Aegean Airlines conference call to present and discuss the full year 2025 financial results. All participants will be in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. The presentation will be followed by a question and answer session. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on your telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Eftichios Vassilakis, Chairman of the board of directors. Mr. Vassilakis, you may now proceed.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Yes. Good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to our annual results call. It's been another very positive year for AEGEAN, and normally would be in a great mood right now presenting these results and the proposed dividend to the market. Obviously, our mood is mitigated or adversely impacted by what's going on in the Middle East, which is now two weeks old and where all of us, of course, are dependent in terms of both activity and cost structure by what happens there.

Nevertheless, I will go through some comments confirming issues we have discussed in the past with regards to 2025, and we'll give you also some limited input on certain things that are going on for 2026 that will affect us going forward in regards of what we're planning to do. Starting again from 2025, the company registered a EUR 1.86 billion revenue, a 5% increase relative to the year before, which actually goes pretty much in line with the increase of the number of passengers, which is just about 6% as well, to 17.3 million. And a 5% increase also in ASKs, which means that our RASK for the year remained roughly constant, and so did our load factor.

Our results were improved by four percent in terms of EBITDA, reaching EUR 421 million. Seventeen percent in terms of pre-tax profit, reaching EUR 192 million. Fourteen percent in terms of the net profit, after taxes, at EUR 147 million-EUR 148 million altogether. As I said earlier on, another strong year for the company with very balanced growth in terms of the domestic and internati onal, presenting an equal amount of increase in terms of passenger traffic, 6% on both of those areas. A successful year behind us, despite two elements that were negative for the year and two elements that were positive for the year balancing each other out.

The two elements that were negative were basically the first year of implementation of the 2% SAF mandatory intake, which added costs, regulatory costs to our operation. Of course, the gradual abolition of the grandfathering of the ETS of the CO2 allowances, which dropped another 25% in 2025, going down to a quarter of what we had, like four years ago, and therefore bringing another EUR 20 million in terms of costs. The regulatory costs between those two increased by EUR 43 million, circa EUR 43 million for the year. Those were the two negative effects. Another negative effe ct would have been the

was the continuation of having significant air traffic related issues in our country, which contribute into building our disruption costs, whether it is in compensation or whether it is in actually additional fuel burns or overnight stays in hotels for passengers. Those were the elements that weighed negatively on the cost structure. On the positive, of course, we had a better fuel rate for last year by about 10%, which however translates to a benefit that is a little bit lower by about 20% than the regulatory cost increase that we had. Also, a lower dollar, an improvement in the euro, which actually provides some valuation effects, which differentiates to a great degree between 2025 and 2024, where we had the reverse effect.

If we adjust, if you like, for these different results, I consider the results of 2025 equivalent in terms of operating quality to those of 2024, neither better nor worse, even though the after-tax result is better. However, both years were of course impacted by the GTF issue, the grounding of the aircraft that we have, the new aircraft that we have because of mandatory checks on the engines. In that aspect, again, 2025 was burdened by a higher amount of aircraft grounded. There were on average 10 aircraft grounded on average in 2025 versus 8 aircraft grounded on the average for 2024.

The end of 2025 is essentially the peak of the disruption and the cost coming from this area with around 13 or 14 aircraft grounded at the end of the year and decreasing from now on with several actions being taken by the company and with some partial support from Pratt & Whitney. The result once again quite positive. Of course, this is supported also by how Greece has continued to develop in its incoming traffic and the spending of Greeks also for travel.

In both areas we have continued to see improving numbers, the strength of the Greek economy contributing to Greeks being able to travel more frequently and the continued attractiveness of the country bringing in some additional tourism every year, albeit at lower rates of increase relative to the years before. Here we're continuing to see something which we'd expect to continue in the future. Again, a rather more pronounced increase in the visitation in winter in terms of percentages rather than in the summer. There, part of the reason is seasonal extension, and part of the reason is the capacity of Greek airports and Greek ATC in the peak doesn't allow for very much more from different sources.

That's kind of a negative positive in the sense that it steers the growth to take place in the winter, which especially as our A321neo aircraft fleet increases and recovers, is gonna help us both with utilization costs. In a nutshell, that's the outlook. That's not the outlook, that's the actual condition of the year. We ended the year with EUR 955 million of cash and cash equivalents. We had an additional over EUR 155 million.

Prepaid delivery payments to Airbus for upcoming aircraft. That number was increased from the year before because some orders we did the year before that. Actually today, as we also wrote on the release, we actually repaid the first bond that we issued back in 2019, pre-COVID, of EUR 200 million. It was a seven-year bond issued at the time and the first publicly listed bond the company has issued. It has now been repaid as of today, and we'd like to also thank the public for participating in that.

As you know, last summer we issued another bond for EUR 250 million and we of course intend to continue being part of the capital markets because we believe that's a very positive plus for the company. In terms of what we were expecting to see from AEGEAN in 2026, we had guided in previous discussions, and I believe our investor relations department must have been more granular on that, to an expected growth for the company for 2026 that would range between 6% and 8%, centered both in Athens, out of Athens, but also out of our regional bases in Crete, Thessaloniki and Larnaca.

This is how we started and this is how our network has been published, and this is the direction that the network has moved for the first two months of the year. Of course, within the last 12 days and looking forward, we do have now a significant level of uncertainty with regards to our network. That has to do with the Middle East. Middle Eastern destinations that we don't fly to today are actually seven in different countries in the Middle East. In Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Saudi, Iraq and UAE. These destinations and these routes represent roughly at peak between seven and 11. At peak, they reach seven flights a day from Athens, seven rotations a day from Athens, plus another three to four from our other regional bases.

All these together constitute roundabout 4.5%-5% of our seats and about 6.2%-6.5% of our ASKs. As one can imagine, if one takes these away, then we are looking at a year that in terms of activity would be flat. This is how the activity is shaping these days when we don't fly them. How long these destinations will not be flown, of course, is not known because that depends on what happens in the Middle East and the war that's has erupted down there. In terms of a couple of other important elements that I think we should highlight, looking forward, one is fleet.

In terms of fleet, the overall number of aircraft that we have committed with Airbus directly or through lessors has stayed constant at 60 aircraft, 60 neos, out of which 38 have been delivered to date. From these aircraft, however, we had counted, as we had announced last year, two A321 XLRs that we were going to get from another airline that wished to cancel them. With those aircraft, there has been a problem in terms of some certification issues in the seats. The deadline to receive them was pushed back by around seven to eight months.

That created a situation where the arrival of these aircraft basically by the end of the summer and a year later in autumn would have made them rather redundant for us because they were meant to accelerate our entry in longer distance markets like India mainly. Therefore, because we have already aircraft LRs of our own order coming in early 2027, we took the decision around two and a half weeks ago to walk out of that contract where we had, of course, the right to do so due to the extreme delay that had been experienced where the other contracting party had the liability. These two aircraft have been canceled. They are no longer going to be received.

On the other hand, we have replaced the overall capacity with two regular A321neos coming from another opportunity available toward the end of the year to keep the number of aircraft on the neo fleet steady. We're looking at converting two more of our regular order A321s into A321LRs so that the subfleet of A321LR is able to fly longer distances and also have a very different product specification for the company to remain at six, as it would've been if we had indeed received the A321XLRs. Again, I don't want to confuse you with too much information with that. The bottom line out of all this is we remain committed with 60 neos.

Out of the 60 neos, 39 will be of the higher derivative, the A321neo, the larger derivative, A321neo. There will continue to be six aircraft in total within those that will be able to fly longer distances. They will be A321LRs, and those will be also configured in a different way in the cabin with 178 seats and 16 sleeper seats. Actually, the removal of the A321XLR from the mix has one plus and one minus. The plus is that we will have a homogeneous subfleet of six aircraft as opposed to two subfleets, which would have made things a little bit more confusing. On the other hand, we pushed back our launch to the Indian market effectively by one year between the delay and the arrival of the new air craft.

That's the fleet issue. This year, we will receive actually seven A321s. All the aircraft that we're receiving from now on are all A321s. There are no A320s coming into the fleet. Obviously, this is the more efficient size derivative of the A320 family. The significant delta this year relative to last year is that while there will be, at the peak, the same number of aircraft grounded as last year, 10 expected in July, August to be grounded with 10 also last year, due to the number of aircraft received and certain other actions with regards to leased engines, we will have 33 instead of 26 neos flying. But even more importantly, we will have 22 out of 12 A321neos flying.

The average size of our seat capacity per flight and our fuel efficiency will be significantly improved. Of course, especially within an environment like the one we're looking at now, on a relative basis to performance to other airlines, this is very important. Now, looking at our hedging, because I'm sure you would all like to know something about that. The company is 60% hedged from now until the end of the year, assuming the budgeted network, which encompasses all the destinations, including the seven that are not, that now not flown. Without the activity at those destinations, so long as we don't have the activity to those destinations, however long that might last, that takes us to 65% or 66% of actual fuel needs hedged.

Basically, while this is going on, roughly a third of our activity is not covered by attractive fuel hedges. In terms of what we have seen, in terms of initial reaction, in terms of our booking flow since the beginning of the war, I'd like to say that it's been rather similar to what happened four years ago, when Russia invaded Ukraine. There has been a reduction of flow around about 8%-10% relative to the weeks before. We see it beginning to normalize, but of course, it really will depend on what will happen in the next few days.

Now, keep in mind that of course, we have now also taken out of our network, for the few forward weeks, that part of the Middle East, therefore, it's natural to have some shortfall, but there is also a holdback from people concerned about, you know, travel in general, during this time. This is not at a very high level, but 8%-10% is not insignificant, and therefore we have to report this. Obviously, quite some people will wait to see how this evolves or, you know, whether it will become either to be resolved or whether it will become part of the quote-unquote, people's routine like the war in Russia and Ukraine has become.

The cycle, the initial cycle, I think in terms of reactions by people typically lasts two to three weeks. I think by the end of the month, we'll have a better feel about what the customer reaction is, especially as we get closer to Easter, and the summer period. One more note with regards to the fleet. We, as I said, have seven aircraft to be received this year. Five or six of those will be financed by sale and lease-backs or leases. One or two will be financed by JOLCOs or finance leases. We are well progressed in covering the agreements for all that. The AEGEAN continues to be very attractive in terms of lessors and financial capacity suppliers in general.

We are very happy with the evolution of the offers and the cost we are receiving from that side. Having said that, just one more comment to make with regards to something that's a little bit longer term and slower moving, but where there have been some developments. As you know, we have been operating for the last two and half years our MRO facility, our new MRO facility. We do see a gradual evolution of its activity. We know it's going to be slow because it depends on the numbers of people that we train and include within that. It is performing reasonably well, and it's nice to report that already two subsidiaries of two of the three largest airline groups in Europe are already our customers in that MRO.

Also in the effort to develop what we have referred to as the maintenance support ecosystem, we have made an investment in a small Greek company that has a significant history in providing services to airlines in our area. It's called APELLA. They have around 15 million of annual revenue. We bought a 45%, sorry, stake in the company early in the year. The owner and manager of the company will stay in place, and the idea is to develop the synergies between the activity that they have, which is supporting basically wheels and brakes for commercial aircraft. They do some also work for foreign, as subcontractors of major suppliers to the Greek Air Force. Both those areas are quite interesting.

The synergies and the depth of what we're trying to develop are gradually moving forward. We are hopeful that with the years that come, we will indeed develop a significant facility with significant capacity to serve in different areas that were actually underrepresented and underdeveloped in our country. In a nutshell, that's what I wanted to say. I left the reference to the dividend for the end. It's obviously there. We will increase the dividend. We will propose to the AGM that will take place in April to increase the dividend to EUR 0.90 per share. This is a significant increase from last year. It's consistent with our payout policy.

It's the same amount of the net after tax than the previous number for last year. It's another year where AEGEAN will be able to return a good number to its shareholders. I believe that overall payout is EUR 80 million, will be EUR 81 million- EUR 82 million if this is approved by the AGM. That's where we are. Obviously, many of you will need to contact our investor relations department over the next weeks to get updates of how the situation is evolving. In many ways, of course, the situation is visible to everybody. When things as regards to the cost of fuel and what's happening in the Middle East, you don't need a brief from us.

The way that it reflects back to us and how we'll make adjustments, whether it will be adjustments in fuel surcharges, whether it'll be further adjustments to the network, how we might redirect some of the capacity and what our overall outlook for the year will be, are all things that will be shaped over the next two, three months. I do not believe that we will have immediate answers in the weeks to come. I would like to say that I am hopeful that this will be resolved in a week or so, but I don't really believe that. I think AEGEAN will have to, as usual, be conservative and flexible.

We have built the capacity to adjust, and make sure that whatever happens in the short term does not compromise our ability to serve our customers. It doesn't compromise our ability to develop in the future, and that while short-term results might be affected, what remains mostly relevant is how competitive we are and how the efforts that we are gradually unfolding to develop the capacity and the skills of our people and our company continue to evolve even within patches of instability that, unfortunately for all of us, have become rather more frequent in the last few years. Thank you for attending our call.

I'm happy to answer whatever questions you have, so long as they're not really about outlook, because I think all of us have about the same information on that to the degree that it is relevant to what is happening in the Middle East. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star followed by one on their telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, then you may press star and two. Please use your headset when asking your question for better quality. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. One moment for the first question, please. The first question comes from the line of Natalia Svyriadi with Eurobank Equities. Please go ahead.

Natalia Svyriadi
Equity Analyst, Eurobank Equities

Yes, good afternoon. Congratulations on the results, and I hope you keep up the good work. I have two questions. One is regarding your investment in Volotea, how has this been evolving? If you could give us some insights on this investment, and if you went through on investing further there. Also, I wanted one clarification on the fleet deliveries, the seven aircraft we're expecting this year. Are they all coming before summer? How has the owned versus leased mix evolved, okay, before the newer aircraft come in probably. These two questions for me. Thank you.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Thank you. I'll start from the second part, which is the fleet, 'cause it's faster to answer it. The seven aircraft out of the seven, five come before the summer and two after the summer. It's March, April, May for the five and I believe effectively September, October or October, November for the last two. The last two are the ones which again come from another airline's cancellation, diversion, release, call it whatever you wanna call it. As I said, out of the seven, five or six will be leases and one or two will be funded with JOLCOs or finance leases. Where does that take the mix, Stella for owned and

Stella Dimaraki
Deputy CFO, AEGEAN

18%.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

It's 18% according to Mrs. Dimaraki. If she's wrong, you can blame her. It's 18% and 82%. Sounds pretty specific to me. Yeah. That's that part. In terms of Volotea. Volotea, we have invested EUR 31 million in 2024, EUR 6 million in 2025 in a small top-up. Basically, let me explain what's different from the initial plan. The initial plan was that there would be a total capital increase around EUR 90 million- EUR 95 million by the different shareholders, of which we would have taken roughly 55% in two tranches. One, which occurred when we started in 2024, and another one in 2025. Basically, what happened is the first part happened as planned.

We had an opportunity to buy some additional shares from a shareholder that wanted to sell, so we bought at a lower valuation. That's how the EUR 26 million became EUR 31 million in 2024. The shareholders of the company last year decided the company did not require cash-wise the initial injection that had been budgeted, the EUR 45 million. Only a 10 million increase took place in the summer of 2025, out of which we took EUR 6 million. With this second participation, our total participation reached EUR 37 million in terms of investment, and our holding of the company reached 20%.

There is an active discussion close to conclusion right now for another tranche of EUR 16 million, where we are likely to undertake EUR 10 million, and that's our expectation for investment to Volotea this year. The company continues to improve its EBITDA every year. However, it also continues to have, on a net basis, a negative result due to the high financial burden that it has from the past. I would say it still has significant challenges going forward. On the other hand, it is the case that it hasn't required the amounts that were initially budgeted as a whole, which means that they are managing their cash needs and their performance in a rather positive way with a difficult start, of course, which was the weakness of the company even before we entered it.

The good thing, I think, for Volotea is that their activity is centered in basically France, Italy, and Spain, and of course, they don't have any activity towards the Middle East, so there is no demand-related or rather operational challenge related effect from what's happening in the Middle East. The challenge for any low-cost company like Volotea, of course, is whether the necessary increases of fares, whether done through surcharges, fuel surcharges or just simple increase of fares that will be needed to cover the delta in fuel costs. What will be the elasticity? Will it be high? Will it be low?

At least what's good for them is that they operate in a part of the market that's probably going to benefit a little bit from the, I will say, reduction of options for Europeans, in terms of going towards the Middle East, towards potentially, Muslim countries, and, also the higher difficulty of crossing over to Asia. I think a mixed bag in terms of what this means for them. For us, a potential investment of up an additional EUR 10 million this year. And overall, as I said, an improving EBITDA performance year on year 2023 to 2024 to 2025, but still, a bottom line that's negative in the company.

We have not yet, as a whole, as shareholders, invested, even including the EUR 10 that we expect to invest this year, the amount that we had initially budgeted in that direction.

Natalia Svyriadi
Equity Analyst, Eurobank Equities

Okay, great. That was very helpful. Thank you very much.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Jakub Caithaml with WOOD & Company. Please go ahead.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, WOOD & Company

Hi. Thanks very much for the presentation and the overview. Brief from my side, please, on hedges, could you share a little bit more color on how the coverage is spread throughout the year? A second question, are you already seeing any signs of your competitors redeploying the capacity that they were using in the Middle East elsewhere in their network? If so, how are they going about it? Has there been any impact so far on the routes and the markets that you fly? Third, and maybe partly related to this, could you share what is your current expectation on summer capacity growth on routes to and from Greece? Thank you.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

You mean overall, capacity market growth?

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, WOOD & Company

Yes, that's correct.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Okay. All right. I'll try to answer to the degree that I can. I think it's too early to say, you know, what are people redeploying capacity in because airlines have not yet, let's say, what's the right word? Fully digested, or decided, or estimated in a decent enough way, how long this would last, and therefore whether they are, you know, just, discontinuing operations to the Middle East for a couple of weeks or whether they're doing it for the whole summer period, being the two extremes. The up till now, redeployments that we have seen have been relatively limited.

Although in the last couple of days, we have started to see, for instance, some airlines saying, you know, "Well, we have taken out Israel from our summer program." It's still quite early. I think two, three weeks down the line, the changes from initial planning to the market will have taken more shape. Now, as far as what is affected in our markets, other than the parts that we don't fly, there is a higher effect with regards to traffic to and from Cyprus due to proximity and some of the discussions about the U.K. base there and whatnot.

I would say that's probably higher than the 10% that I gave you overall. There will be a higher number than that, the apparent shortfall in bookings or traffic. We are, of course, quite eager to see that go away. I think I'm hopeful that that will go away regardless of the duration of the war, because I think people will soon realize that the whether it continues or not, the damage is going to be significant, but probably more localized around the Middle East area or the Gulf area, I would say more precisely. What else did you ask for? Sorry, 'cause I

Operator

Hedging.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Sorry.

Operator

Hedging.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Hedging. Hedging is pretty much flat around the year. We don't have 80% in the first month and, you know, in the first quarter and then 60% and then 40%. If there is a little bit of a higher hedging percentage in the summer months, where you might have in Q3, 3%-4% higher than the rest. Otherwise, it's pretty much flat at 60% around the year. The way it works is, as I said, 60%, if you think about it in what was budgeted as activity, 65%, 66%, if you think that we're not gonna be flying, the activity now not being flown will continue not being flown and not being replaced. That's pretty flat around the year, no big deviations about that.

Did I miss something else?

Operator

No.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, WOOD & Company

Thanks very much. This is super helpful. I really appreciate it. Maybe on the summer capacity growth.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

On the market.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, WOOD & Company

keeping in mind the uncertainty.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Sorry. On the market, we had seen something that looked like more or less on the Greek market, 6% in Q2, and I think 3%-4% in Q3 was the overall market expectation. You know, I don't know how that will change. I don't expect it to increase. I would not expect significant redirection to our country, but that's just a guess.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, WOOD & Company

Thank you.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Vassilakis for any closing comments. Thank you.

Eftichios Vassilakis
Chairman, AEGEAN

Thank you overall. Thank you all for attending. Happy that we have another successful year behind us. We know that the start of this one will be more adventurous, and I hope that soon we'll be able to be more specific about, you know, things quieting down, even though, as we all know, it's not certain at all. I hope that this year will be. I'm certain that this year we'll be able to adjust in a way that will be at least as efficient as our competitors and probably more. How that will translate forward will, of course, depend on the world around us as well. Thank you.

What I wanna say is that AEGEAN will definitely not pull back on any of its plans or capacities under development because of this. Our longer-term, medium-term direction remains the same. We will continue to try to be an airline that offers in short-haul something a little bit more than the others. We will continue to develop our MRO capacity, and we will continue to seek to fly to somewhat longer destinations and to offer, as of next year, a product with a part of our sub-fleet that will be addressing the gradual shift of the market back to premium, which we think is both relevant for our company and actually very close to our hearts in terms of what we want to present as an image to our customers.

Thank you, and we'll catch up during the next call. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now concluded, and you may disconnect your telephone. Thank you for calling and have a good afternoon.

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