Good afternoon. This is the Chorus Call Conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the d'Amico International Shipping Q2 2022 results. As a reminder, all participants are on listen only mode. After the presentation, there will be a Q&A session. For operator assistance via web call, please press the headset icon on the bottom left side of your screen.
For conference call assistant, please press star and zero on your telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Paolo d'Amico, Chairman and CEO. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining us at our usual call. We'll go straight to business. If you don't mind, I would skip the executive summary because we are going to repeat everything during the presentation and I leave the floor to Carlos for the DIS overview. Carlos.
Thank you, Paolo. Good afternoon to everyone. Yeah, as usual, we start with the fleet overview. This hasn't changed much since our last presentation. We finalized the sale of the High Priority in the quarter. Now instead of 36 vessels, we have 35. We have well 6 LR1s and 6 Handysize. And of course, our core fleet is composed of MRs, which represent 23 vessels.
The 17 are owned, 8 are on bareboat charter and 10 are time charter, of which 1 short-term and the remaining long-term. A young fleet, as you know, and we have mentioned several times, and increasingly an eco-fleet thanks to the important fleet renewal program we undertook, starting in 2012.
Here we show our CapEx commitment and these haven't changed much since last time also. They have been on a declining trend. We only have maintenance CapEx left, but also the maintenance CapEx has been falling. For the second half of 2022, it's only around $3 million and i t stays at around $4 million for the following 2 years.
In terms of bank debt repayments here, the good news is that as you probably saw with our press releases, after having refinanced all the debt maturing in 2022, at the end of last year, beginning of this year, we have now also refinanced almost all the debt maturing in 2023, with the exception of one vessel which loan we're going to be signing most likely around September and drawing down around September this year.
After that, we will only have one vessel to be refinanced in 2024. It's the Cielo di Londra, another one vessel. It means that we will have a very good runway without having to be concerned about refinancings.
In terms of repayments, there is a slight, we have benefit from this trend of falling repayments. The refinancings that we closed this year meant that we drew down slightly more than we reimbursed on some facilities, and therefore that explains also why the repayments increase slightly in 2023, but thereafter they should continue on a falling trend.
Going on to the next page, we show here the purchase options on our lease vessels. As you know, we exercise the purchase option on the High Priority that we then sold and delivered to the new buyers in Q2 this year.
We also have exercised the purchase options on the High Fidelity and High Discovery, which we have refinanced with new leasing arrangements with very similar terms to the previous leasing arrangements in terms of flexibility of exercising the purchase options on these new contracts, but at a substantially lower cost. Through these transactions, we reduced our breakeven significantly on these two vessels. We still have the flexibility to exercise them eventually in a few years time and refinance them with traditional bank debt.
On the remaining 6 options on these vessels, we will monitor them closely and we are very likely to exercise them gradually over the coming quarters to further lower our breakeven and as part of our deleveraging strategy. Going on to the following slide, t his is a new slide we added to our presentation. We previously did not mention these in our presentations because they were all well out of the money.
However, the recent increase in asset prices, coupled with the very strong depreciation of the yen relative to the dollar, meant that two of these options are now in the money. Because only two of these six contracts, we had options which were priced in yen.
Therefore, now the purchase options on these two vessels are around 10% below the estimated market value of the vessels. That means that we, you know, we are likely to exercise these options in the near future, which will allow us to further reduce our breakeven and hold on to these two vessels, which we know are good vessels built at very good shipyards in Japan. You know, we expect that something will happen, most likely in relation to at least one, if not two of these options, which are already in the money in the coming months.
Going on to the following page, we show here our average employment rates on the for the vessels which are fixed through contracts at fixed rates. Mostly time charters, but also one bareboat contract. The blue line shows the blended average of both type of contracts. The good news is that, of course, the average rates are increasing on these contracts as we move forward.
But, more importantly, the contract coverage is falling quite rapidly. For once, we see this as very good news, and it is intentional. We have refrained from extending, renewing some of these time charters as they were terminating because we were very positive on the outlook for the market in the coming quarters and years.
Of course, as we expected, over the course of the last few months, time charter rates have been moving up, so eventually they will arrive at a level which we deem attractive and we will then probably start covering again part of our fleet through such contracts. Over the last few months, our preference was really to stay as close as possible on the spot market.
On the graph below, we see that the rapid increase in the percentage of our fleet, which is Eco, which is expected to continue rising over the coming years. Here we show the evolution of our fleet and also the sensitivity of our fleet to every $1,000 per day and $3,000 per day change in the TC equivalent rate.
For every $1,000 per day change, the TC equivalent rate in the second half of 22, our sensitivity is just lower than $5 million and it's around $11 million in 2023 and 2024. And in terms of costs, the situation is also under control. In the first half of this year, daily operating costs were only slightly higher than in the first half of last year.
An increase of around 2%, which given the inflationary pressures that the economy is facing, most economies worldwide are facing, we believe this is quite a satisfactory result. In terms of G&A, we actually saw a decrease in the first half of this year relative to the first half of last year of almost 3%.
And the currency effects played a big role. In particular, the appreciation of the dollar relative to the euro, since 75% of our G&A expenses are in currencies other than the US dollar, and the large majority of these expenses are in euros. We expect to continue benefiting from that in the second half of this year and 2023, also through forward hedges that we already have in place to cover for this FX exposure.
Here we instead show some key highlights of our balance sheet and in particular the important ratio of net financial position to fleet market value, which since December last year decreased from just over 60% to 52.5%, which is a very healthy ratio. This improvement is mostly attributable to the increase in asset values.
In particular, in the Q2 of this year, only in the Q2 our fleet, the average value of our fleet increased by 9% So, and the, what you would probably also notice is that the cash and cash equivalents hasn't increased much since the end of December and that is surprising given the strong results that we achieved and that we will discuss briefly.
The reason for this is negative working capital movements. In particular, we had an increasing number of vessels which moved from time charter contracts to operating on the spot market. When that happens, you have to, upon redelivery of the vessel at the end of the time charter contracts, buy the bunkers from the charterer.
As you can imagine, bunker prices are very high today, so that tends to be quite a big investment there. Then, after that, you'll then receive your freight income only after discharge. Usual practice in the market is for the freights to be paid around three days after discharge.
What we have experienced recently are some important delays in this with freight being paid one week or 10 days after discharge. And also we have seen a lengthening of the voyages, which we have discussed already in our last call, which is one of the reasons why the market is so strong.
That is of course related to the war in Ukraine and the disruption to the traditional trade flows. Nonetheless, we want to reassure you in this respect that the delayed freight payments are coming in. During July, our cash position has already improved significantly. We expect to end by at almost with a cash position of almost $70 million.
So, much better than the $46 million at the end of June. Here instead the main line items of our P&L and a s you see, we recorded a profit of almost $26 million in the Q2 and of $19 million in the first half and e xcluding non-recurring items, the profit was of $26.5 million in the Q2 and $22.4 million in the first half.
Also important to notice that also within the Q2 , we have experienced an improving trend throughout the quarter. April, we were only marginally profitable. We were much more profitable already in May, and even more profitable in June.
In July, we are trading at around the same levels that we were trading at in June so far. If the markets remain at these levels for the rest of the quarter, our expectation is that Q3 22 could be even stronger than Q2 22. Going forward, here we look at the average daily rates achieved for our vessels operating on the spot and time charter and the blended results.
On Q2, average daily rate on the spot was almost $28,700. Including the TC contracts, the blended rate was almost $23,400. In the first half, the average spot rate was around $21,000, and including the TC contracts almost $18,600. I pass it over to Paolo d'Amico for the market overview.
Thank you, Carlos. Here is our usual slide that tells the trend on asset value of the MR and on the time charter and spot rates. You can see the improvement and the fact that we are not far away from where we were in 2006, but we still have some room to go. The Ukrainian war and the trade flows, it did two things.
Number one, the Russian crude and products had to travel more because with basically Europe not buying or trying to avoid to buy any more of the crude and the products from Russia, even if they're still buying something. The Russians are forced to sell it to the countries who are remaining and these countries are China and India.
They have to carry these products by far for a longer distance than before. This is absorbing a certain number of ships, even if we are talking mostly of Russian and Chinese ships because not all the independents like us are trading with Russian counterparts, w e avoid that. In the meantime, Europe has to buy its own crude and its products far away.
We are buying mostly from the Middle East and the United States. Sorry. This element is also increasing the ton mile and so it's creating more and more demand for tankers. On the supply side, the International Energy Agency is expecting an increase of supply from the non-OPEC countries, excluding, of course, Russia.
We, as you know, Biden released the part of a strategic reserve in the United States. A good part of these reserves are gone for export, and they didn't stay in the States. Going ahead, the COVID is still with us, but is not effective. Is not as negative as it used to be in the beginning, thanks to vaccination.
The only country who is suffering, I would say, heavily from COVID today is China. The rest of the world is, let's say, business as usual. The demand, oil demand is increasing. The market is still very strong and the refining throughputs are, let's say, at maximum levels. We have a little bit of a, n ot a little bit.
We have a bottleneck here because a lot of refining capacity before COVID and during COVID has been shut down. New refining is coming in but is not matching the reduction, or let's say, on a timely basis. China is not using the full capacity of their refinery because they claim that they are consuming less due to COVID and they are not increasing the use of their own refineries.
We have a bottleneck in the refining system. This tells us also that the demand keeps being very strong. I would say the demand, as you remember in the past calls, we always said that the fundamentals were there. Of course, the Ukrainian war accelerated the system. The inventories, product inventories are very low.
We are under the 5-year average. Even if we have a little bit of a slowdown at certain point in the market, we have the restocking effect, which should increase the demand anyhow. The vehicles, they hit the road again. We are still in a very strong driving season in U.S. and in Europe. Of course, U.S. is driving more gasoline demand.
Europe is driving more diesel demand. Jet fuel is rising. We have a cap on the jet fuel due to more operational problems than real lack of demand. Because as you know, we have a total chaos in the European skies and this is limiting the number of flights which they could fly today. We have also a lot of strikes going on.
The long-term demand is there and the participation of refined products, a share of it, to the total oil seaborne trade is, it increased a lot over the last decades. The change in the refinery landscape is basically most of it happening far away from the consuming markets. It means this is a stronger demand effect on tankers.
On our tankers or product carriers. The U.S. shale oil is coming back slowly because it's mostly in the hands of private companies, but it's coming back and it will be the share of it of the future increase of oil production will be mostly out of U.S. Talking about demolition, we have a lot of say forces pushing a possible increase of demolition of ships.
Next year, we have two indexes coming out to rate our ships in, on the emissions that they emit and then th is is going to create one, of course, a reduction of speed, which of course creates a reduction of supply. Second, a lot of older ships will be non-economic to run and I think they will go for a scrap yard.
The pool of demolition candidates is growing. The yellow line are the 15-year-old ships. 15 years is a commercial limit, is not a technical one, but is a commercial limit, where the first-class oil companies, they do not charter ships anymore. 20 years, of course, are the ages where you start thinking of scrapping your fleet, your ship.
Of course, the demolition grew a lot recently because due to COVID, all the shipyards were closed. We are restarting, and we have quite a number of ships in the backlog to scrap. New building orders are highly limited, I would say close to nil. This is due, number one, the fact that shipyards are full up to 2025, and this is mostly due to container vessels and LNG carriers, which have been filling the yards everywhere.
Secondly, today we have a problem to understand the future fuels for our ships. The technology, even if it's there are various type of technology there, but we still do not know which is going to be the most common one, the most manageable, I would say, one in the future.
Ship owners are reluctant to order new vessels due to this technology limit. On top of that, the newbuilding prices are by far more expensive than the secondhand ones, of course, on a parity. You have a lot of secondhand activity, but none on the new, not on the newbuilding one. All this is creating a very low growth, close to nil. Maybe in 2023, we think of a net fleet growth which is not even touching 1% when the demand will be by far higher. Saying that, I leave it to Carlos for the NAV evolution.
Thank you, Paolo. Yeah, so, as usual, we also cover this slide here where we show the NAV evolution. It did increase quite a bit since the end of the year. We are above $400 million now, $420 million. It's important to highlight here that we slightly changed the methodology with which we calculate our NAV.
In the past, the impact of the net working capital on the NAV calculation was not that significant, so we decided to leave it out. However, for the reasons that I previously mentioned, it became much more important in this year, and in particular at the end of the Q2 , where we ended with $54 million in net working capital.
An increase of $33 million relative to December 21. That is the reason also why our cash and cash equivalents, as we saw before, did not increase by more. We felt that it was important to take that into account in our calculations. I would like also to stress that the calculations here, however, are not taking into account, for example, the vessels which are TC in, but which are in the money. The value of those options are not being taken into account in our NAV calculation here.
But nonetheless, yeah, we saw this important improvement in the overall NAV and of course also in the NAV per share, which is now $0.34 per share, which means that we are still trading at a very big discount to NAV despite the very strong share price performance that we experienced this year. We are still at around 40% discount to NAV.
Even more positive is the outlook going forward because of course, with the cash generation that we expect in Q3 and in the rest of this year, and the trend of increasing asset values, which we expect to continue, we expect this NAV to continue rising throughout the course of 2022.
We hope that as investors gain more conviction on the sustainability of the recovery, this discount will fall as it has already in the past. We still see quite a lot of upside to our share price despite the very strong share price performance already recorded year to date. That's it, I would say, in terms of presentation so w e pass it over to you for the Q&A.
Excuse me. This is the Chorus Call Conference operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. To enter the queue for questions, please click on the Q&A icon on the left side of your screen and then press the Raise Your Hand button. Please do not mute your microphone locally and then when prompted, make sure you turn on your webcam in the pop-up window. If you are on the phone instead, please press star and one on your keypad. The first question is from Daniele Alibrandi of Stifel. Please go ahead.
Hello, gentlemen t hanks for taking my questions. Today I have a few, so if you don't mind, I'll proceed step by step. So the first one is on spot rates. In July, MR rates have been comfortably above $30,000, which is above the already very strong average of Q2.
We all know that Q3 is historically a low seasonal quarter. What are your expectation for rates for the remainder of the year? Do you expect a deceleration in Q3 and the re-acceleration in Q4, or the other way around? Just to understand what are your expectation on this front. This is my first question.
Yeah. Daniele, thanks for the question. Look, what we can say is that Q3 has started off on a very strong note. You're very right to point out that it is usually a softer quarter, especially September tends to be a bit softer because the market is generally affected by the maintenance of refineries before the winter season in that month. The very strong start to July, which already involves fixtures which go well into August, means that we have quite high expectations for a very strong Q3 that should be higher than stronger than Q2.
What we can tell you is that on the spot days fixed for our vessels in Q3, we are well above $30,000 per day. That is including the Handys, the MRs, and the other ones. The spot days fixed are well above $30,000 per day.
Okay. Thank you. You just mentioned the Handysize vessel spot rate. When I look at the Clarksons data, I noted that there was an improvement since the beginning of the year and they reached basically a level of $50-70 Ks above MR in some cases.
I guess this is because these average numbers include some routes from the Black Sea and the Baltics, which are above $100 Ks. Clearly, if you don't trade those markets, your levels are clearly lower. I was curious to hear which kind of spot rates you saw in Q2 for Handysize vessel, and what level are you seeing now?
We saw a lot of volatility on the Handysize vessels. I mean, we saw rates that during a few weeks were well above $50,000 per day and then w e saw rates come down to mid-teen levels so t here is a lot of volatility in that market. We are seeing that some of these Handysize vessels are now also being fixed on longer voyages.
We recently fixed one of our Handysize vessels on a transatlantic voyage, which is not that common. They are, because of the very tight market for the MRs, they are now also performing voyages which would typically be performed by the MRs.
Generally speaking, what we are seeing, you know, not referring only to the Handysize vessels, but also to the other vessel segments, is that there is a lot of volatility in different regions and y ou can see rates drop to low 20s usually. I mean, mid-teens we only saw on Handysize, but not on the MRs really. Then we can see the rates go up to $50,000 or more within a few days. I mean, the market moves very, very fast. There is a lot of trading activity whereby the vessels are chartered and with a lot of options for discharge.
And the traders sometimes slow down and they wait for the right window to open before selling the cargo and sending it to its final destination. That creates further inefficiencies, and it means also that when you're going to fix a vessel, you don't know which vessels are going to be open where until the very last minute. This uncertainty on the fleet which is available for fixture plays in our favor very much because then the charterers sometimes have a program that they have to respect, and they need to send some cargo out.
If you happen to have a vessel open with a where you can guarantee a firm date ETA, then you can get a very attractive rates. We fixed, y eah, we also saw on some short voyages fixtures of $100,000 per day on some of our vessels.
Okay. Very, very helpful. Maybe another one before giving the floor to others, and then maybe I jump in again. Question would be on the capital allocation. Basically how the cash that you are producing will be used going forward?
Will you prioritize the increase of the ship that's owned, like you maybe mentioned before, reduce the leverage or there is space for return cash to shareholder? I mean, the last time you paid a dividend, if I remember correct, it was 2015 or 16. Your net debt to fleet market value was around 50% s o we are close to that level. What should we expect on this front?
Yeah. Our priority is still to continue deleveraging, as we mentioned several times. As I went through the presentation, I touched upon the vessels which are currently leased, where we have purchase options and the vessels which are time chartered in.
Those could be potential uses of funds going forward, which will help us lower our break even and be more competitive going forward also after this up cycle ends. Of course, we will also look eventually at other uses for our cash, which might entail also dividends. But, our priority is still to continue the deleveraging process.
Okay. Thank you. Maybe I'll jump in later.
The next question is from Matteo Bonizzoni of Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead. Excuse me, Mr. Bonizzoni, your line is open. The next question is from Andrea Bonfà of Banca Akros.
Hello, good afternoon to everybody. My question is related more to from a macroeconomic perspective, in the sense that, you were in a, let's say, weak, freight rate environment in the first quarter of this year until, let's say, the Ukrainian war.
The dramatic shift in your, freight rate, according to your opinion, is that more related to the, to the, let's say geopolitical event or to an, a sharp increase in demand? If that is the second case, we all see the increase in jet fuel and so, and so on, so forth. How much that demand increased sequentially from the second quarter, versus the first one? Thank you very much.
Sorry, can you repeat the question? Because we are receiving, w e have a very bad line.
No, no, sorry. The question is more from, let's say, a macroeconomic nature in the sense that your first quarter was still in depressed environment with freight rates, and then you had a dramatic shift in the value of freight rates from March onward or something like that. Was it that related to the geopolitical war, specifically the Ukrainian War, or was more related to the sharp increase in demand for refined or non-refined products? And if that's the case, how much of this demand has increased sequentially, Q-Q2 versus Q-Q1?
Look, if you take this overview and go basically to the last page, page 16, and you'll see Q1 2021, the daily time charter equivalent spot is $9,900 t his is Q1 last year. If you take the Q1 this year, it's gone up to $12,800. Now, what I want to say with this, that the Q1 2022 was not yet affected by Ukraine so i t's not the war.
This is proving you see a $3,000 per day increase is only due to strong fundamentals who are coming in. Then, of course, the war came in and mixed up the whole thing, but we were prepared for by far better performance we see here on The Fleet. Of course, the war exaggerated the thing, and this demand is due mostly for dislocation of the origin of the cargoes, because they are far away, and we need more ships to serve the same quantity. I don't know if that is answering to your question.
Yeah, yes. Yes.
Yeah. It's
Thank you very much.
Yeah, I mean, just to add on to what Paolo said, I mean, the fundamentals were very strong, and it is a bit of both. I mean, if you see, we are benefiting for sure from, you know, all the increase in demand, which is related to the reduction in the of the COVID lockdowns, the reopening of the economies.
And already last year we saw a big increase in the use of fuels for driving. And this year, the most important, let's say, factor driving the market instead is jet fuel. And as Paolo mentioned, there are some bottlenecks there, because otherwise the demand would have been even higher.
There are logistical problems in airports because of a lack of pilots. Otherwise we feel that this demand would have been even higher and t hat is demand that we are going to continue benefiting from an increase in demand in jet fuel also in the coming years, quite a strong increase .
Of course, the higher oil price is impacting a bit demand for driving, but otherwise demand for driving would have been even higher than what we are experiencing. Generally speaking, we are seeing a high increase in demand, and a very high increase also in refining throughputs. This is very important for the market.
This is a trend which is actually going to continue in the second half of this year. I mean, we are going to continue seeing an increase, quite a sharp increase in refining throughputs and in oil demand, despite the microeconomic headwinds and the high oil price. And so that could further provide further support to our market, especially in Q4, maybe.
Of course, that goes without saying that Ukrainian war also played an important role, as Paolo was saying, because of the increase in the sailing distances. I believe that Clarksons was estimating that the demand increase this year, volume-wise, is going to be of around 7%.
The demand increase this year on a ton mile basis, so taking into account the, also the average distances sailed, is around 13%-14%. I mean, there is an ongoing positive ton mile effect because of this location of refineries, but a lot of this difference this year in particular is related to the Ukrainian war. You could probably say that, you know, this 6% additional demand increase that difference between the ton mile and the volume demand increase is a large part can be attributed to the Ukrainian war.
Thank you very much, v ery useful.
Mm.
The next question is from Massimo Bonisoli of Equita. Please go ahead.
Hello, good afternoon. I have two question. The first, I'm curious to hear your opinion on the proposal to put a cap on Russian crudes and refining products, allowing traders maybe to buy Russian products on the market. Is that feasible in your opinion, and may it reduce the ton mile effect on the market? The second question, if you can, better explain the new regulation measuring the emission per vessel on page 29.
I pick up the first one. I mean, I am not convinced that the cap on oil will work. I'm convinced that the cap on gas will work because gas has a more rigid need of infrastructure. I mean, you cannot move gas the same way you are moving oil.
Of course, you can move it, but the Russians are not that equipped. Instead, you can move oil in a more easy way. Let's put it this way. I think that the Russians, they will cheat a little bit on this story of a cap on the oil price. How much is going to affect us, but it's affecting us already because most of the fleet is avoiding Russian trade.
The more we go to the end of the year when the new sanctions on the insurance side will come in. As you know, the new sanctions are saying that if you load Russian oil or Russian product, you cannot be insured in Europe, which means you cannot be insured at all because all the insurance, most of the insurance and the reinsurance industry is sitting in Europe.
At that point, certainly, those barrels, they have to go on different type of ships. I'm thinking about the fleet, which Iranian and Venezuelan have been using the last years to move oil around. At this point, they will serve also the Russians. Our market, I don't think will be too much affected by this. The second one as well.
Yeah, no. The second one, Well, we mentioned on that page 2 indicators which are going to be introduced, which measure the efficiency of ships, the EEXI and the CII. The EEXI, so it stands for the Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index, and the CII stands for the Carbon Intensity Indicator. The first is an index which measure the vessel from a technical standpoint from how it is built. If it is a vessel which is efficient from a construction perspective, it has no relation to how the vessel is operated.
A young Eco vessel would score very well in terms of its Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index, while older vessels which are built with old technology specifications will achieve a bad score in this respect. The fact that we have mostly Eco-fleet means that we are not too concerned about this particular indicator.
The second indicator is a bit more challenging because it relates to how you operate your vessel, and it links the CO2 emissions of the vessel during the year to the deadweight ton of the vessel and the distance which the vessel has sailed.
It is not a perfect indicator because, for example, vessels when they sail in ballast, they emit less, but it is of course very inefficient because if you spend more days sailing in ballast, you are not transporting cargo during that time, and therefore you are emitting CO2 without providing a benefit of the cargo transportation.
According to this index, if you spend more days sailing in ballast, you probably would have a better indicator because you would have lower CO2 emissions since your vessel is lighter when it is in ballast, and therefore it will emit less for any given speed at which it is sailing.
It is an indicator which is used and will be used to measure the efficiency of vessels, and the vessels which fall in the lowest two categories, D and E, for 3 consecutive years, will have to take corrective actions to move to a higher category. That means that those corrective actions might mean derating the engine of a vessel. For example, so that it can go at it limits the power at which the engine can function, and therefore also the CO₂ emissions of the vessel.
It should affect us only very marginally, because from our forecasts that we have made based on the past trading patterns of our vessels, we have only a few vessels which could be at risk of eventually falling into one of these lower categories.
If you look at it from a market perspective, it could actually be a positive because it might lead to some of the older vessels sailing at slightly lower speeds to be able to avoid falling in these lower categories. That, of course, will reduce the productivity of the fleet. It also might encourage further demolition of vessels, of older vessels. These are going to be coming into force next year.
What could be more disruptive for the sector instead is the European Union Emissions Trading System, which was also supposed to come into force next year, but which has been delayed, and it's now going to come into force apparently starting in 2024.
But we still don't know how that will come into force because initially the initial plan was for there to be a phase in, where in the first year you were supposed to surrender allowances equivalent to only 20% of the emissions that you generated, and then with an increasing percentage surrendered every year. Right now there is talk of already from the first year having to surrender 100% of the allowances.
That of course would have a significant impact on the net earnings of the older vessels, which once again could be positive for the sector beca et use it could encourage the demolition of older vessels and by doing so make a market which is already expected to be very tight because of the very low deliveries over the next 2 years even tight.
Very clear. If I may squeeze in a very quick one. Let's say in your NAV calculation, the working capital per vessel is about EUR 3 million or $3 million if I calculate it correctly per ship on a per-ship basis.
On a ship operating on the spot market?
Yes.
Yes, I would say that is maybe, well, that maybe is not a bad estimate. Maybe slightly less. Yes, it could be at around those levels because of the very high.
Thank you very much.
Yeah.
The next question is from Matteo Bonizzoni of Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead. Excuse me, Mr. Bonizzoni, we cannot hear you from your line. The next question is from Daniele Alibrandi of Stifel.
Yes. Maybe just a follow-up. You mentioned before that you were refraining to renew some expiring TC contracts to benefit from the strong spot market, i s that right? If so, how many ships we are talking about? I mean, is there a possibility for you to moving 100% of your fleet into the spot market like some of your peers did? Is that a possibility?
I think we are increasing the share of the fleet exposed to the spot. At certain point, and I think with that certain point should start around the next fall, we will start rebuilding our account because the rates on the time charter are following up the spot rates. Of course, they will be lower anyhow, but we start securing the cash flow and in way to secure our future. I mean, I don't think we will end up with 100% of our fleet on the spot. Certainly, we are going to increase it a lot.
Okay. Maybe just a very quick technical question for you, Carlos. You basically exercised the purchase option on two of your lease vessels, which are now under your ownership. Can you please give us an idea more or less how much would be the impact on the direct operating cost line and, on the other side, the benefit in terms of the lower charges? This should help us to model our.
I can be more precise, m aybe we can talk later. I don't have the exact figures here. Daniele, but it's, yeah, I mean, we are talking about reductions in the bareboat rates of around $1,000 per day. On one, it's less, on one of the deals the reduction is less important, but the other one is a bit more. It depends on the amortization profile, let's say, of the deals. In terms of costs of funds, for the new deals, they are at around. It varies as to when you assume you're going to be exercising the purchase options.
It is between 5% and 5.4%, depending on when the options are exercised all in. So, it's very competitive, as I was saying, because if you look at where the swap rates today are for such long periods, it implies a margin. If this debt was linked to the US dollar LIBOR, it would imply a margin of around 220 basis points, which is very competitive with bank financing for deals which, however, are at a higher LTV.
The reason we have such good pricing on these deals is that they were negotiated at the beginning of the year before the increase in the forward interest rates. Yeah.
I see. Sorry, really, the really last one. Did I got it right that the cash absorption from the working capital will be reabsorbed in Q2? How should we think about the level for the full year? Thank you.
The working capital, we don't expect any major deterioration going forward, I think. I'm not sure we can expect this to be reabsorbed, because if we expect markets to stay strong and the trading patterns to continue being the same, we think that it is most likely we are going to.
We also have actually more vessels which are going to be moving into the spot market, most likely over the coming quarters. It is unlikely that we will experience an improvement in the working capital before the end of the year. We might experience a further small deterioration or a flat dynamic, I would say.
Okay. Thank you very much and good luck for the remainder of the year.
As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press Q&A on the left bar and raise your hand or press star and one on your telephone. Once again, if you wish to register for question, please press Q&A on the left bar and raise your hand or press star and one on your telephone. For any further question, please press Q&A on the left bar and raise your hand or star one on your telephone. The next question is from Matteo Bonizzoni of Kepler. Please go ahead.
Buongiorno, mi sentite?
Sì.
Okay. Mi sono connesso col telefono, mi dispiace per prima. Allora, una domanda è riguardo la vostra strategia sulla copertura. Dalla presentazione emerge che le coperture sul 2023 e 2024 sono, direi, in questa congiuntura fortunatamente molto basse. Volevo sapere se ci potevate dare un'indicazione sulla vostra strategia di copertura in relazione anche a questa forza di mercato, quindi come intendete sfruttarla per i prossimi mesi, trimestri. La seconda domanda che volevo fare è, c'è stata recentemente una intervista a un vostro executive a riguardo di un maggior coinvolgimento del gruppo sul business dell'LNG. Mi sembrava di capire che eventualmente non coinvolgerebbe la società quotata. Potevate dare un po' di colore su questo aspetto? Grazie.
We start from the last one. The LNG project is not in DIS. Is on the private side of the company. So it will not affect because our idea is to keep DIS involved in the clean products trade and not mix it up, at least not for the moment, w e have our ships.
As far as the coverage, that is voluntarily done because we are of course exposing more and more ships to a spot market because of course the spot market is paying by far better. As I said, next fall, we will restart thinking about our coverage and recreating our coverage, of course, at very much higher level. I think at the next quarter call, the situation will be slightly different.
Okay, thank you.
Thank you.
Gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time. I'll turn the call back to you for your closing remarks.
Thank you very much. Thank you to everybody. Finally, we had by far nicer meeting this time, and I hope the next will be even better so, t hank you very much and let's see each other. I mean, in theory, but let's listen each other at the next quarter. Thank you.
Thank you.