Eni S.p.A. (BIT:ENI)
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Apr 27, 2026, 10:45 AM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

Apr 29, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Eni's 2022 first quarter results conference call hosted by Mr. Francesco Gattei, Chief Financial Officer. For the duration of the call, you will be in listen-only mode. However, at the end of the call, you will have the opportunity to ask questions by pressing star and one on your telephone. I am now handing you over to your host to begin today's conference. Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Good afternoon. Welcome to Eni 2022 first quarter conference call. On the back of recovering demand, the energy market began 2022 with a tightening upstream as supply is impacted by a number of years of low investment, yielding sustained inventory draws, and low spare production capacity both in oil and gas. Correspondingly, downstream has been impacted by the effect of rising raw material prices and cost of its energy, albeit refining saw a rapid recovery in margins in March. The impact of the Russia and Ukraine conflict has been to hasten these prevailing dynamics further, adding further strain to an already tight market. The direct effect of the war on energy markets and its wider implication for the global economy means conditions have also been, and continue to be, highly volatile, and the outlook is uncertain.

In the context of the complexity of the current market, Eni was able to both significantly progress its strategy and achieve excellent financial results during the quarter. The first quarter was a particularly active period in Eni's strategic transformation. We have progressed our distinctive approach of unlocking asset growth potential and crystallizing value through new business models. Despite the context of volatility and some uncertainty, we have successfully delivered two IPOs. Since we listed Vår Energi in mid-February, its price increased by almost 45%. In addition, in early March, we efficiently listed NEOA, the first and biggest energy transition-oriented SPAC on the London Stock Exchange. Furthermore, we are just waiting for final authorization to make effective the business combination in Angola with BP, which we hope to obtain during the third quarter.

Ahead of the IPO of Plenitude that is planned for 2022, subject to market condition, we have also announced at our strategy update the incorporation of biorefining and marketing businesses into a sustainable mobility company, and this project is now moving forward. We have also strengthened our partnership in Novamont, the world's leading biochemical company, growing our stake from 25% to 35%. Finally, we completed the sale of 49% of our gas-fired power plants to Sixth Street. Notably, in the context of 2022, thanks to our strategic alliance ecosystem, we have been contributing to establishing alternative gas supply opportunities for Europe. We have also been widening this approach further in, for instance, signing agreement with Mozambique and Benin to jointly develop agro bio-hubs to supply feedstock to our biorefineries while positively benefiting local economies.

Reflecting the continuous successful execution of our strategic path, in March, we accelerated the pace of 2050 net zero by further improving our emission reduction target, and the board has recently authorized up to EUR 3 billion of new sustainable senior bond issuance. Finally, we reconfirm the commitment to shareholder value and returns by enhancing the 2022 distribution policy with increased dividend and share buyback, offering a very attractive 9% combined yield based on current share prices. The strength of Eni's asset portfolio backed the strategic progress in the quarter with another solid set of results, both from the operational and financial point of view. In E&P, production came in line with guidance, despite some unforeseen downtime in Libya and export via CPC from Kazakhstan. During the quarter, we started up the Ndungu field, the third startup in Angola Block 15/06, in just seven months.

With the startup of the FPSO in Mexico, we initiated the first crude oil export project by a foreign company in the country, confirming once again our ability to deliver fast time to market. Exploration activity continues to be asset-led, which maximize value and contributes to the short time to market. In the first three months, we discovered over 170 million barrels of oil equivalent, mainly in Angola, Algeria, Egypt, and the Emirates, putting us on track to meet our planned guidance. It was also a robust quarter for GGP. LNG operation and our flexible portfolio allowed us to manage the volatility of the markets and continue to supply our customers. In Plenitude, we continue to expand our integrated business model. In just one year, we increased by four times our installed renewable capacity and increased our power generation to serve more than 10 million customers.

In the downstream, where the high cost of feedstock and utilities impacted by around EUR 400 million versus last year, we were able to record a significant improvement in R&M, which achieved a positive result. Chemicals, on the other side, remained negatively impacted by a challenging scenario. These results confirm the quality of our business. Adjusted EBIT of EUR 5.2 billion is four times higher than last year, resulting in an adjusted net profit of EUR 3.3 billion. Our cash flow from operation of EUR 5.6 billion against CapEx of EUR 1.6 billion yields to an organic free cash flow of EUR 4 billion. That covers almost entirely our annual distribution policy. Despite funding high working capital requirement this quarter, we have also progressed on the net debt side, with leverage falling to 0.18.

Let's now move to natural resources in more detail. Upstream EBIT in the first quarter 2022 was EUR 4.4 billion, driven by our focus on high-value activities and flat cost management and capturing the prevailing market scenario. On production, we confirm 2022 at around 1.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, with a contribution from new startup such as Area 1 Full Field Offshore Mexico, Ndungu in Angola, and Coral Sul FLNG in Mozambique, plus the ramp-up of Berkine in Algeria, more than offsetting production decline and lower entitlement due to the Vår IPO. We expect second quarter production in the range of 1.61-1.62 million barrels per day, mainly impacted by seasonal maintenance before the ramp-up of new production in the second half of the year. GGP recorded EUR 0.9 billion of adjusted EBIT.

International LNG activities contributed 40% to results. The recovery in gas demand led to an increase of 9% in volume sold in Italy and 4% in Europe. Careful optimization of our supply portfolio helped us to manage price volatility. Considering the performance already achieved and the expected evolution of the market and assuming no significant disruption on gas supply from Russia, we expect an annual adjusted EBIT of EUR 1.2 billion, a 30% increase to our original guidance. The current crisis has prompted a renewed effort to strengthen energy security. We are actively pursuing alternative and additional supply opportunities for Europe and specifically Italy, leveraging our global upstream portfolio and a strategic partnership with producing countries. In the short term, 2022, 2023, we will rely on pipeline additional volume from Algeria and Libya.

We also expect to import additional LNG from Egypt, thanks to raising the maximum utilization rate, Nigeria, Qatar, and potentially Angola within existing regasification capacity available in Italy. In the medium term, we expect both gas imports via pipeline from North Africa to contribute with additional volumes. This mainly takes into account the recently signed agreement with SONATRACH. Other LNG sources from our portfolio may also be activated. These include Congo, where we have recently signed an MoU which provides for the acceleration of certain upstream development with a corresponding increase of LNG production. In Congo, we are employing a modular and accelerated development approach. This is consistent with our fast time to market, capital light strategy, and well suited to current conditions. Now let's move to energy evolution.

We confirm that we are on track with Plenitude IPO progress, having filed the registration document with Italian market authority, and we expect to float Plenitude in 2022, subject to market conditions. Plenitude distinctive business model proved resilient even in the current market condition, where high power and gas prices and volatility generated some unhedged volume exposure and softer performance in retail. This was partially compensated by higher renewable profitability. We are therefore able to reconfirm full year EBITDA guidance of over EUR 0.6 billion. In the quarter, R&M experienced some sequential improvement, mainly benefiting from a remarkable rebound of the refining margin during March, reflecting a tight market for refined product, especially diesel. We have continued to focus on optimizing our activity and mitigate the high cost of energy.

As a result, we were able to report a positive EBIT of EUR 70 million compared to about EUR 200 million loss in the first quarter 2021. On chemicals, Versalis suffered a weak quarter due to a strong increase in oil-based feedstock cost and utilities expenses. Downstream pro forma EBITDA 2022 is now expected positive, previously negative, driven by the improved outlook on refining macro and action of asset optimization and efficiency initiatives. Finally, our cash balance was further enhanced notwithstanding the seasonal and price-linked absorption of working capital that impacted by EUR 2 billion. The underlying cash flow from operations before working capital was EUR 5.6 billion, more than three times CapEx and resulting in organic free cash flow of around EUR 4 billion.

For the year, we are revising up our guidance for CFFO to EUR 16 billion at $90 per barrel, around EUR 1 billion more than our previous estimate. CapEx in the quarter was EUR 1.6 billion and full year is expected at EUR 8 billion, confirming the original guidance at the same exchange rate. Capital discipline through cycle is a critical component of our strategy. For this year, we expect a competitive cash neutrality for CapEx and floor dividend of around $46 per barrel, in line with the plan average of $45. Even with the working capital build and after portfolio activity in this quarter, we have also reduced our net debt, which now stand at 18% leverage. Low gearing confirm financial resilience and offer strategic flexibility.

Eni will update its 2022 buyback scenario assessment in July for establishing the upside to the EUR 1.1 billion buyback. The extra buyback will be equivalent to 30% of the incremental free cash flow in the event that the oil price exceed $90 per barrel on a yearly basis. That concludes my prepared remarks. I, along with Eni top management now welcome your questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. As a reminder, please press star and one for questions. The first question comes from Michele Della Vigna of Goldman Sachs.

Michele Della Vigna
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Thank you so much for the presentation. I had two questions. The first one really is around your fast track and dual exploration strategy, which clearly ideally suits Europe's need for security of supply at the moment, and we've seen the announcement, Algeria, Egypt, Congo, Angola, et cetera. I was wondering if you add up all of these incremental opportunities together, what extra volumes can you get within the next one to three years? Staying on fast tracking, you are going to do one of the first fast tracking of floating LNG in Congo. I was wondering from that, how much could be transferred potentially to Mozambique, where you will start up your development later in the year, but the whole onshore project has been indefinitely delayed because of security concerns.

Could this become the new way in which the gas resources there can be developed with a higher return and quicker time to market? Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Thank you, Michele. A very fast reply on the second question. I will leave it for more description to Guido Brusco for the other question. On floating LNG, the concept, as you well understood, is a concept that is trying to create a completely new approach, a new model for LNG that will help substantially to reduce the cycle of LNG project with less size, less capital upfront, shorter time to market, short contract obligations. Making the LNG model more similar to an oil model, more, let's say, market-based and less, let's say, committing in terms of long-term delivery. This is a concept that we are, let's say, applying to Congo, but clearly has a lot of opportunities for users.

Currently, you have identified Mozambique as an alternative to security issue, but there will be other opportunity that could emerge. Now I leave it to Guido for more detail on all the question.

Guido Brusco
COO of Global Natural Resources, Eni

Okay. Thank you. Thank you, Francesco, and thank you for the question. Clearly in our plan, we have already projects and activity to deliver more than 450,000 barrel of gas in 2025. Given this current scenario, we've been able to unlock projects to deliver and to mobilize 14 TCF of additional gas resources in Congo, in Egypt, in Algeria. Okay. It's this one. Sorry, there's a problem with the microphone. Can you hear me now? This project are in Congo, but also, given our infrastructure-led exploration, we have also opportunity in Egypt, in Algeria.

This may add to our production profile in 2025 about 50,000 barrel. In terms of equity CapEx in the four-year plan, thanks to the configuration of our project, we expect that less than a 5% increase, which is well within our flexibility.

Of our CapEx upstream overall. Going to Mozambique, as you know, the operator is, while monitoring the security situation, still looking to opportunities to optimize the concept, leveraging on synergies with the area, with Area 1. On the other hand, we are looking at opportunities to implement development offshore fast-track modular, like in Congo. We will come back on those. We are already engaging partners and other stakeholders. Thank you.

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Irene Himona of Société Générale. Please go ahead.

Irene Himona
Managing Director and Sector Head of Oil & Gas, Societe Generale

Thank you. Good afternoon, and congratulations on a strong quarter. I had two questions, please. Firstly, your Q1 interest expense, EUR 339 million, is materially higher than in the previous two quarters. This is despite your declining leverage. I wonder if you can help us understand this very sharp increase. Secondly, an update on Kazakhstan, please. What is your current production level? And is there a disruption to flows, particularly through the Russian pipeline, given the weather damage reported recently? Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Yes. I reply to the first related to the interest. The increase that you see is mainly related to the change in interest rates, that is clearly impacting the yields. The other effect is related to foreign exchange effect. Those are the two main drivers for the increase that you see. There are some, let's say, one-off effects that are less relevant. About the Kazakhstan production, I hand back the floor to Guido.

Guido Brusco
COO of Global Natural Resources, Eni

Our production in Kazakhstan is above 160,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We indeed had some disruption on the export line, CPC. It happened in mid-April. Now in the last couple of days, this has been recovered, and we are back in full production.

Irene Himona
Managing Director and Sector Head of Oil & Gas, Societe Generale

Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question is from Massimo Bonisoli of Equita. Please go ahead.

Massimo Bonisoli
Financial Analyst, Equita

Good afternoon. Three very quick question. One on the SERM refining margin, if you can provide an indication for the average in April. The second on the net working capital, if you can provide also some guidance on the remaining effect over the rest of the year. The third on Novamont, on the strategy on Novamont, following the increase in the stake of the company, if you are considering any strategic decision there or even IPO.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Yes. Thank you, Massimo. About SERM, clearly, we are seeing a completely different trend versus the last and the past month. Particularly SERM was negative practically for the entire 2020, 2021. From March, actually, from the middle of March, we saw a progressive increase in the SERM in this quarter. So far, starting from April, the average is around 14, more than $14 per barrel. The current last figures are between $18-$20 per barrel. The SERM clearly is materially impacted by the diesel spread that you see in the market.

In terms of working capital, you have seen that there is an increase and absorption of working capital in the first quarter. This is normal. It's a seasonal trend that you see in all first quarters of the year that is amplified by the price scenario that we are seeing. The trade receivables amount. This is clearly reversed during the year. We have an additional element that will impact the working capital during the year. That is the derivatives. In fact, if you remember last year at the end, in the last quarter, there was a positive result from the cascade of derivatives, in particular of power.

This is almost EUR 1 billion during this year, but we have clearly planned with this well in advance. You will see in the coming quarter a return, a reduction of this working capital effect. The amount we are expecting is something in the range of EUR 2 billion of negative impact on the working capital because of this effect of derivatives that I referred to before. About Novamont, I would like the question to Adriano Alfani. Clearly, our move from 25% to 35% is an opportunity to reinforce the partnership. I will leave him some additional color on this new.

Speaker 7

This agreement starts with the intention to make a strong foothold in the plastics sector, combining a traditional portfolio that Versalis has today.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Based, of course, on polyethylene and styrene's market and technology, and also with the technology that Novamont has in terms of bioplastics, so that they've developed over the last 20+ years in terms of green chemistry. The two companies now that have a different governance and also a different participation in terms of Versalis and Novamont, have been discussing in order to strengthen partnership and enhance the value creation by joint effort in the market. Of course, this leaves open for any possible solution in the future.

Massimo Bonisoli
Financial Analyst, Equita

Very clear. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question is from Biraj Borkhataria of RBC. Please go ahead.

Biraj Borkhataria
Head of European Energy Research, RBC Capital Markets

Hi there. Thanks for taking my question. The first one's on the you had a very strong gas trading result in Q1. Obviously you raised the guidance for 2022. I was wondering if you could give a little bit of color on 2023, given the expectation, obviously in your slideshow as well, the incremental volumes that will come through into that organization going forward. The second question is on the low carbon side. You know, what we've seen from Eni and in terms of policy is an acceleration of various parts of energy. It looks like there'll be more opportunities in low carbon than maybe previously anticipated as particularly in Europe, the continent looks to accelerate the transition.

Should we expect Eni looking to accelerate in low carbon as well as on the kind of short cycle gas front, given such strong free cash flow and a manageable debt profile at this point? Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Okay. I leave now to Cristian Signoretto for the first question, then I will come back for the second.

Cristian Signoretto
Director of Global Gas and LNG Portfolio, Eni

Hello. Thanks for your question. On the LNG trading business, let's say this quarter has been clearly sustained for two reasons. On the one end, we had an increase of LNG availability vis-a-vis last year. Clearly also the price environment was actually very prone for optimization and let's say value capturing. If I have to project this into the future, I would tell you that clearly we have a trajectory of increasing LNG portfolio in the coming years. Clearly this will you know provide further opportunities for you know increasing the volume available for sales and for optimization.

On the other hand, I mean, we believe that the LNG and gas market is going to stay tight for quite a while, given the current situation and the current geopolitical stress. I would expect also that, you know, clearly a tightening scenario will clearly benefit also that line of business.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

About the opportunity that clearly are growing in terms of transition and low carbon opportunity. You have seen that we have presented in the last Capital Markets Day an improved and a quite, let's say, aggressive pace towards decarbonizing our activities. We have also added to this trajectory, to this plan also the tools that we are implementing. These tools are made of business model, business opportunity, new financial solutions referring clearly not only to Plenitude but to the new, let's say sustainable mobility company. The SPAC that is another element that we are adding to capture technology and opportunity to improve and to add additional option to this evolution.

In this quarter, for example, we have invested in the CFS, and so in the nuclear fusion, maintaining our leadership position in that venture. As we were referring before on Novamont, we are increasing our exposure to biochemicals. Eni is already well committed, and we will continue to exploit in the most, let's say, diversified way, all the different segments and business that are emerging, including, for example, also the CCS. That is an additional, let's say, business line that where Eni is on the front page. I think that I agree with you. There will be in this market scenario, emerging opportunity, and we'll have also the capability to speed up in many of the different fronts.

Biraj Borkhataria
Head of European Energy Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Oswald Clint of Bernstein. Please go ahead.

Oswald Clint
Senior Research Analyst and Head of the European Oil and Gas, Bernstein

Yes. Thank you, everyone. Just back on the global gas business, and if we could just focus on the pipeline part of the business and the trading around that piece into Europe, into Italy. Could you know, just tell us a little bit more about what you're up to in the quarter in terms of logistics and optimizing time spreads, please? I mean, I'm really trying to get, was this a kinda all-time best performance from the team there? As you said, the market's gonna stay tight. You're bringing some more gas into the portfolio. You know, could we think about this level of performance being sustained here? Then secondly, you talked about the refining margin as well, but there is energy utility cost headwinds against that.

I know you're taking some steps to alleviate that, but could you flesh those out a little bit, please? Just tell us what exactly you're doing to alleviate those pressures, and could we see some of those taking effect through the rest of 2022, please? Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Thank you, Oswald. I will leave the second question to Giuseppe "Pino" Ricci, that is connected by phone, and then come back to Cristian.

Cristian Signoretto
Director of Global Gas and LNG Portfolio, Eni

Yes. Thanks for the question. Sorry.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Pino, if you could, answer about the.

Giuseppe Ricci
COO of Energy Evolution, Eni

I start.

I start immediately, Francesco. About the refining margin, of course, these are affected for the high utilities cost. In our system, starting from the fourth quarter of last year, we implemented a lot of initiative to reduce the methane consumption in the refineries. Replacing the methane consumption with other fuels, like LPG and other lightends. Recently we also put in service a plant gasification of bitumen to produce syngas, that replace methane in our power station.

Also we modify all of the configuration of the plant in order to minimize the use of steam reformer for hydrogen production that are very high consumer of methane. In this way, we are able to reduce the methane consumption by 70%. Two-thirds of the extra cost of utilities are neutralized. This means that our margin gain of this effect, in the last month, March, we recover all the losses because of the low margin of January and February. Now in April, we are in a much better condition.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Okay, now I'll leave back to Cristian.

Cristian Signoretto
Director of Global Gas and LNG Portfolio, Eni

On the gas result for this quarter. First of all, clearly, you know, the market has been very, you know, volatile and clearly with the flexibilities and optionalities in our contracts, we took advantage of surely the time spread. We anticipated many of the flexibility that we had in our contracts this quarter because of the wild, let's say, price movements and but also on the geographical spread. You probably have seen that there are spreads between the markets in Europe which are unseen because of the situation of the market. Clearly this, you know, this is basically, you know, this explain at least 30% of the exceptional result of the activity in the first quarter.

Going ahead, well, on the one end, as I explained, some of the flexibilities we have already optimized, so we have less to be able to monetize in the following months. As you know, I mean, our business is a bit cyclical in the sense that, you know, there are quarters in which we can be, you know, we can outperform the market, but also then quarters in which we are borrowing a bit in order to make that extra performance. The volatility of the quarters is such that we project EUR 1.2 billion results by the end of the year.

which means that there will be, you know, some quarters in which we're going to be weak, but then let's say probably the last quarter, which is a winter quarter, we'll be able to achieve that target. On the other hand, clearly, while, again, while the market movements and opportunities will be there to be captured if there are the opportunities. One thing I want to stress is that clearly this target is assuming, as Francesco was saying, a steady flow and no disruption from Russia.

Oswald Clint
Senior Research Analyst and Head of the European Oil and Gas, Bernstein

Thank you. Thank you all.

Operator

The next question is from Henri Patricot of UBS. Please go ahead.

Henri Patricot
Executive Director of Equity Research of Oil and Gas Sector, UBS

Yes, everyone, thank you for the update. Two questions, please. The first one just on your gas business and the gas supply coming from Russia. Can you give us an update on where you are in terms of the new payment mechanism? What are your expectations here? What would be the impact for Eni if there was an interruption of gas supply to Italy for one reason or another? Then second one, just a quick follow-up on refining, just to get a sense of the margin capture in second quarter. Should we expect to see higher utilization from, I think it was 70% in the first quarter? Or do you have some more maintenance for the rest of the year? Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Okay. I will reply to the first, and then I come back to Pino. About the mechanism of payment, what we can say that we are clearly continuing to analyze the situation and that we are in strict coordination with the authorities, with the European and the Italian government. You know that, clearly what we are going to pay, clearly we will pay the gas delivered in compliance, strict compliance with the contract terms. Following the international sanctions. We will respect clearly all these rules. The currency of the contract is euro, and we have continued to receive invoices accrued in euro. We have not opened a ruble account. That is what we can say now.

I leave now to Pino for the utilization rate and refining performance. Thanks, Francesco. In the third quarter, our utilization rate was about 70%. But just in March, we started to increase the capacity of the plant in oil refining system. In second quarter, we expect to have the maximum utilization, maximum possible utilization, gaining the momentum of high margin. We have moved all the maintenance shutdown in order in the next the second part of the year in order to avoid any shutdown in second quarter. This is the same in Italy, Europe, and ADNOC in United.

Henri Patricot
Executive Director of Equity Research of Oil and Gas Sector, UBS

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Alessandro Pozzi of Mediobanca. Please go ahead.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

Hi there. I have a few questions. The first one, tax rate, it's been very low this quarter. Clearly, the impact of higher oil prices is a positive factor. I was wondering if you can give us a bit more color on what are the moving parts and what should we assume for the rest of the year? Also maybe if you can quantify the impact of Libya. I believe that when you have really high spot prices in Italy, that helps also in lowering the tax rate. The second one is on exploration. Always been your forte.

I was wondering what are the next maybe one or two key high impact wells that you're planning to drill over the next few quarters? Lastly, I think if I look at the Plenitude, the retail gas sales, you clearly managed to make a big improvement in the power sales, the number of clients. In terms of retail gas sales, I think it's down 3% year-on-year. I was wondering whether they're just purely the impact of demand elasticity given the higher prices.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Thank you, Alessandro. Now I leave it to Luca Bertelli for the answer related to the exploration, then to Stefano Goberti for Plenitude, and then I will come back for the tax rate.

Luca Bertelli
Chief Exploration Officer, Eni

Okay. For what concern important wells that we are going to to drill in the remaining part of the year, we will have further activity in Egypt, further activity in Angola. We will have a well in offshore Mozambique. Finally, also, we'll be coming back to drilling on Baleine discovery. We already start to drill first development well this year. Finally, also other wells in Angola, new field Ndungu.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

Which one you think is the most important one of those, the ones to watch out?

Luca Bertelli
Chief Exploration Officer, Eni

The most important one. I will not say what, but I don't know what's the most important one, so.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

All right.

Luca Bertelli
Chief Exploration Officer, Eni

You know, our work is a lot of risk associated, so I would say that altogether is a good package of wealth that will provide the results that we expect for a year.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

All right. Fair enough. Thank you.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Stefano, please.

Stefano Goberti
CEO, Plenitude

Okay. Thank you, Alessandro. On Plenitude itself, the results were a little bit softer this quarter compared to last quarter because of the volume effect, mainly linked to the fact that we to our retail clients sell at fixed prices, and when we become short at the end of the period, we need to rebuy the commodity in order to serve their consumption. In the first quarter, the weather was particularly against us because it was colder than the forecast. This is the effect on the economic result. In terms of volume, in Plenitude, we did not record a specific trend in reduction of consumption, but maybe the other way because of the weather condition.

Maybe you are referring to the overall portfolio, Eni portfolio gas in your question.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

Okay. Yeah.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

In terms of tax rate, you know that clearly we have already guided in the past with a 45% tax rate in a $70-$80 world. Now, clearly we are above that. The composition of that results has clearly impact the tax rate. As soon as the price of oil and gas is growing, you have benefit by the positive contribution of countries with lower tax rate in the E&P businesses. Also the benefit of the contribution of a GGP is helping to reduce the tax rate and also the results of affiliate.

As a sort of guidance rule of thumb for the year in the current price environment, around $100 per barrel, $95-$100 per barrel, I will confirm something in the range of 40%. The comment related to Libyan gas, I would say more than that is the benefit of upstream results, in even clearly in Italy, in the current price environment is helping to have a contributor, a positive contribution also from that business. This clearly is another of the factors that reduce the tax rate.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

Okay. Thank you very much. Maybe just a follow-up on the payment mechanism to Russia. When is the deadline for the next payment for the April gas delivery?

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

You know that you pay within the following month, so the April delivery is paid during May.

Alessandro Pozzi
EU Defence and Oil and Gas Analyst, Mediobanca

Sometime in May. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The last question is from Bertrand Hodée of Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Bertrand Hodée
Head of Oil and Gas Research Team, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes. Hello, everyone. I have one question left. Francesco, can you quantify the risk in terms of financial terms, if gas from gas supply were to stop for any reason? Have you already committed to sell some of this gas to third parties on a forward basis? In short, will you be able to call for force majeure, and under what condition? If there is a risk of mismatch between your alternative source of supply and your already committed selling gas price?

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

It is a complicated question. I think that, you know that, there are a lot of different options, alternatives, and flexibility in our portfolio. We were referring before to the new routes or additional volumes that we added during the past month. Clearly there is also LNG that could be, let's say, captured through the market opportunity. Therefore, clearly it is too difficult now to give you an answer because there will be many components that have to be matched. Generally speaking, if there are special or extreme conditions, there are contractual protections, and a general legal coverage that could be called in terms of force majeure.

In that case of extreme condition, you could have also that level of protection. I would say that there are different tools that could be activated in different scenarios.

Bertrand Hodée
Head of Oil and Gas Research Team, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you. Can I ask, just a follow-up? Are you still selling, let's say, longer than one month ahead, your expected supply from Gazprom? Or have you completely stopped selling on a forward basis, volumes that could eventually disappear?

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

I think this is commercially sensitive information that I prefer not to disclose.

Bertrand Hodée
Head of Oil and Gas Research Team, Kepler Cheuvreux

Fair enough. Thank you.

Operator

We have another question that has joined. It's from Alastair Syme of Citi. Please go ahead.

Alastair Syme
Managing Director, Citi

Thanks very much. Thanks, Francesco. Can I just ask on the accounting treatment that you've put into Saipem? Just a little bit unclear of what's gone through this quarter and what's still to come for the remainder of the year in terms of the, you know, the recapitalization.

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

We had considered the contribution to Saipem. You know, that we have, let's say, financial support in terms of future increase of capital. You will see in our portfolio M&A activity. It is practically the share of Eni, the contribution of Eni of the EUR 1.5 billion, that was the first step, is already included in that amount of portfolio net portfolio activity.

Alastair Syme
Managing Director, Citi

Is there something for the future underwriting that has to go on the balance sheet as well? Would that come later in the-

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

We have already included the provision for the additional increase of capital.

Alastair Syme
Managing Director, Citi

Right. Okay. Thanks very much.

Operator

Gentlemen, there are no more questions at this time. Would you like to make any closing remarks?

Francesco Gattei
CFO, Eni

Thank you. Thank you to all for the question. I think that the quarter was confirming the strategic path and the effectiveness of our execution. Clearly. We will thank you, and we remain in contact. For any additional question, there is our Investor Relations team with Jon Rigby, that you know very well, as new head for answering all your questions. Thank you very much.

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