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Earnings Call: H1 2025

Jul 23, 2025

Operator

Good evening, this is the Chorus Call c onference operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the Moncler Group First Half 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing Star N0 on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Elena Mariani, Group Strategic Planning and Investor Relations Director. Please go ahead, madam.

Elena Mariani
Strategic Planning and Head of Investor Relations, Moncler

Good evening, everybody, and thank you for joining our call today on Moncler Group's first half 2025 financial results. As usual, let me introduce you to the speakers of today's call. Besides myself, you have Luciano Santel, Chief Corporate and Supply Officer; Roberto Eggs, Chief Business Strategy and Global Market Officer; and Gino Fisanotti, Moncler Chief Brand Officer. Before starting, I need to remind you that this presentation may contain certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information. Any forward-looking statements are based on group current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause results to differ, even materially, from those expressed in or implied by these statements, many of which are beyond the ability of the group to control or estimate.

Let me also highlight that, given the nature of our business, interim results can be influenced by seasonal effects and therefore cannot be taken as a proxy for full-year trends or results. Finally, I remind you that the press has been invited to participate in this conference in a listen-only mode. Before handing it over to Gino, let me just present the key highlights of today's results on page four. Group revenues in the first half of the year were EUR 1.226 billion, up 1% at constant FX, with the Moncler brand up 1% and the Stone Island brand down 1%. The group also reached an EBIT of EUR 225 million, with a margin of 18.3%. Net result was EUR 153.5 million, and our net cash position at the end of June was EUR 981 million compared to EUR 846 million in June 2024.

Let me now hand it over to Gino for the key highlights of the Moncler brand in the second quarter. Gino, over to you.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

Thank you, Elena, and hello to everyone. Good afternoon. For the Moncler brand, I will say there was another busy quarter for the brand, and I will say we keep a strong focus on our key strategic priorities: Moncler Collection, Moncler Genius, and Moncler Grenoble. Within this, just a few highlights and a few words on what happened in the second quarter of the year. I will say the first comment is a Moncler first, a first-ever. Participation of the brand in the New York City Met Gala, and this was in collaboration with Edward Enninful, who is part of our Genius and a collection that is coming later this year. We have been able to participate there, and of course, this created a new kind of, I would say, a new moment for the brand and a strong brand awareness and impact across the board.

When we talk about Genius, we have two deliveries during this quarter. One at the beginning of the quarter in April, with the launch of the Moncler Genius by Mercedes-Benz, designed by Nigo. This was launched in New York City at the only brand hub that Mercedes-Benz hosts in the world in Manhattan, and this collection was extremely well received. The performance was really good, not only in Asia but globally. Less than 20 days ago, we had the opportunity to present and to launch the very first ready-to-wear collection designed by Donald Glover. This was another important milestone for the brand on the back of what we presented at the end of last year in China. As probably you will be able to see, even Donald Glover took part of this campaign itself, which is another first as well for us.

This was another important launch for the brand this quarter. I will say that probably the next two executions are connected by one thing, which is start or keep building our foundation towards our summer business and our summer opportunity, I will say. The first one is around Moncler Collection, and the second one was the second delivery of Moncler Grenoble coming in mid-May this year. This has to do with the idea, as we mentioned before, to keep building a foundation towards our, I would say, not future but immediate future about keep building a strong resonance as a brand and becoming an all-year-round brand when it comes about the seasonality of Moncler. Last but not least, we went to New York at the beginning of June, where we were able to present our Fall/Winter 2025 lineup on footwear to some selected press and, of course, key personalities.

I think there was the first time we introduced some new styles, some of them coming from the Genius collection, and then a new family called the Altive, an Altive boot, which is a new product that will be coming later in September this year. A brand new style called the Trailgrip Low Profile was the one that gets probably the biggest amount of coverage and impact from the people attending that, something that will come later this year as well. With that, a very quick overview of another busy quarter, and I will let Roberto now talk a bit about the busy quarter of Stone Island.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Grazie, Gino. Let me drive you through. Good afternoon to everybody. Let me drive you through some of the initiatives that we want to highlight regarding the Stone Island brand. The first one is our presence during Milano Design Week as part of the ongoing sound music platform that the brand has introduced. The Studio One, which is an immersive sonic experience. The project involves a week-long cultural program encompassing a series of live music sessions, DJ sets, and conversations that have been having great success. The second initiative is in the context of Chapter Three, what we call our branded campaign, Community as a Form of Research. We had the opportunity to feature Gene Gallagher wearing a Tela Resinata black-collar jacket. Tela Resinata takes inspiration from the resin-treated Tela version of the first Stone Island collection.

So, really something that is coming back to the very origin of the brand. The third initiative was the introduction of the Autumn/Winter 2025/2026 collection with Raw Beauty, a project that continues the brand's ongoing commitment to material research and innovation. And the campaign was featuring Carmelo Anthony. The last, by coincidence, the last also initiative for Stone Island was also regarding footwear, and it was the Stone Island New Balance collaboration that continues. This, for the first time since the beginning of this long-term partnership, the collaboration extended into the New Balance Numeric skateboarding line with the Numeric 2702, something that was expected by the fans of both brands. If we move to page seven, we'll drive you through the results of Moncler by geographies. H1 2025, the Moncler brand revenues reached EUR 1.39 billion, which is a +1% versus H1 2024 at constant FX rates.

Q2 revenues were down 2% year-on-year, mainly due to a sequential slowdown in the D2C channel, reflecting challenging macroeconomic conditions globally. Asia, which includes for us Asia Pacific, Japan, and Korea, was flat in Q2 year-on-year, decelerating versus Q1, mostly due to a soft touristic flow, mainly in Japan. Korea slightly improved sequentially, supported by stronger tourism, while China and the rest of Asia held up versus the previous quarter. EMEA revenues were down 8% in Q2 year-on-year, mainly due to a slowdown in tourist flows across the region. Just as a reminder, Q2 and Q3 are the quarters with the highest penetration of tourism, usually in Europe. The Americas was up 5% in Q2 year-on-year, accelerating versus Q1, mainly thanks to sequential improvement registered in the D2C channel. On page eight, we can look at the Moncler revenues by channel.

The D2C revenue rose for Moncler to EUR 883.2 million in H1, which is a +2% versus H1 2024. Comp sales were at -4% in H1. In Q2, D2C revenues were down 1% year-on-year due to challenging macroeconomic environment affecting consumer confidence and a deceleration in touristic flows, particularly affecting EMEA and Japan, while revenues in the Americas accelerated sequentially. Wholesale revenues reached EUR 155.8 million in H1, down 6% versus 2024. In Q2, revenues of this channel declined by 6% as planned, mainly due to ongoing efforts to upgrade the quality of the distribution network of our wholesale distribution. On page nine, the revenues by geography for Stone Island. H1 Stone Island revenues reached EUR 186.7 million, which is a minus 1% versus 2024. Q2 revenues were up 6% year-on-year, with the D2C channel maintaining solid growth and Wholesale channel improving versus Q1.

Asia, which includes Asia Pacific, Japan, and Korea alike for Moncler, was up 13% year-on-year, mainly driven by the continued solid performance of China and Japan. EMEA revenues were up 5% in Q2, thanks to the sequential improvement of the Wholesale channel in the largest region. The Americas was down 11% in Q2. On page 10, the Stone Island revenues by channel, Stone Island D2C revenues rose to EUR 99.1 million, which is a plus 8% versus 2024. In Q2, revenues of this channel were up 3%, marking a deceleration from the previous quarter amid a generally more challenging global operating environment. Asia outperformed the other region. Wholesale revenues reached EUR 87.6 million, which is a minus 9% versus H1 2024. In Q2, revenues of this channel showed substantial improvements due to different deliveries timing versus Q1. We were able to grow 9% on this channel.

Finally, on page 11, regarding the evolution of the Moncler and the Stone Island network, we had three net openings for Moncler: one in Philadelphia, King of Prussia, in the U.S., one in Oceania, with the opening of our second store in Westfield, a flagship store that was opened at the end of May, and a conversion, Chongqing Airport, from wholesaling to retail, but that took place at the very end of June. Regarding Stone Island, one net opening. We have started the restructuring of our distribution in Korea, with two closures, one in Seoul, Galleria, and the other one in Busan, with Lotte. We had three net openings, three additional openings. Euro Street, Hangzhou in China, El Corte Inglés in Puerto Banús, and the opening of Barcelona.

If you look at page 12, you see the opening of South Coast Plaza, which is a store that was already existing that we relocated and we expanded. We now have a flagship store in South Coast Plaza, a store that has been performing very well since the launch at the end of May. On page 13, you see the flagship I was referring to, with 300 sq m that we have in Sydney, within the Westfield department store just in front of Chanel. Finally, for Stone Island, on page 14, the store that we just recently opened in Hangzhou. Luciano, the floor is yours.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Okay, thank you, Roberto. Good afternoon, everybody, and thank you for attending our call today. We are now at page 15, where we report, as usual, our profit and loss for the period. That shows an operating margin of 18.3%, behind the 21% we reported last year, but less than it seems if we consider the higher marketing spending, 9.6%, versus the 8% we spent last year, but still in line with the 7% we plan to spend for the year-end like last year, and the extraordinary income we reported last year for EUR 7.5 million related to an insurance refund. All in all, fairly well, not much lower than last year. Other numbers of the slide are quite self-explanatory, so I will not give you any comment, but of course, I'm very happy to answer any question you may have on the other numbers.

Let's move now to page 16, where we report the CapEx. CapEx for the period that are higher than last year, still equally distributed between distribution investments and infrastructure. Higher than last year because of anticipation of some projects, but also because we are spending this year a significant amount of money in the new corporate headquarters. For this reason, we expect for the year-end an incidence of our CapEx closer to 7% than the higher than the 6% we reported last year and the year before. For 2026, we expect to go back to 6%. Next page, net working capital, 9%, slightly higher than last year, but still a healthy working capital, very good, very strong control, and very efficient inventory management, nothing to add.

Next page, page 18, net financial position. That shows a net cash position of EUR 981 million after a dividend distribution of EUR 345 million, still better, significantly better than last year. Balance sheet, page 19, nothing to comment. Page 20, cash flow statement. Just a reminder of the comment we report in the slide. Free cash flow is EUR 15 million behind last year, but we spent this year EUR 70 million in June for taxes that last year, due to a different holiday timing, was spent July 1st. All the other numbers are quite explanatory. Again, ready and happy to answer any question, but now we are done with the presentation and ready to answer your questions. Thank you.

Elena Mariani
Strategic Planning and Head of Investor Relations, Moncler

Yes, we will now hand it over to the operator for your questions. I kindly ask you to stick to a maximum of two questions per person, if possible, to give all participants the opportunity to ask a question. Operator, you can now open the Q&A session. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This is the Chorus Call c onference operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press Star and One on their touchstone telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press Star and Two. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. Anyone who has a question may press Star and One at this time. We will pause for a moment as participants are joining the queue. First question is from Anne-Laure Bismuth, HSBC. Please go ahead.

Anne-Laure Bismuth
Director and Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Yes, hi. Good evening. I will stick to the two questions. The first one is on the performance by nationality. Would it be possible to give us some granularity about the performance by main nationality for the Moncler brand in Q2? My second question is about the performance in Japan. Asia Pacific was softer due to weak performance in Japan. Would it be possible to give us the exact performance in Japan for the Moncler brand in Q2? Thank you very much.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Anne-Laure. Roberto speaking. Happy to answer your first question regarding the performance by nationality. As I explained, when talking about the Moncler performance per region, we have seen a positive performance for the U.S. Our cluster on the Americas was positive. It was mainly a local consumption that we have had. With the Americans, much less Americans coming to Europe, still present, but not as much as the year before. Regarding the Asian, let's say, performance, the performance of the Chinese was positive in China, with a cluster that was flattish. Much less consumption of Chinese in Europe, especially in Japan. Koreans were below the average performance of the nationalities, and the locals in Europe were flattish.

What has been the main driver of the D2C performance during the quarter is the lack or the decrease that we have seen in tourism, mainly from Koreans and Chinese, and to a lesser extent, Americans also, a little bit less present in Europe. Regarding the performance in Asia, the performance of Korea was helped by a return of some tourism from China. You know that this decreased a lot in the past year. We have seen a small recovery of Chinese, so they were positive on the Korean market, while they were negative in Japan, mainly due to currency evolution. That was, in a way, we have seen the yen going up, the renminbi going down. The price gap that was existing till the end of 2024 was not relevant enough to push Chinese to come and buy luxury goods, at least not Moncler, during the quarter.

Anne-Laure Bismuth
Director and Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Thank you very much for that. Yeah, we have seen some competitors have started to report some numbers, and we have seen, for instance, not on the same business, but Japan being down in the mid-teens. [crosstalk]

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

You know that usually we don't report the figures for Japan separately. Just take it as a negative figure, mainly driven by negative South Asian and Chinese. That decrease in Japan.

Anne-Laure Bismuth
Director and Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Thank you.

Elena Mariani
Strategic Planning and Head of Investor Relations, Moncler

Maybe one thing that we can say that is helpful is that the other parts of Asia were not negative. It was the only country in Asia that was negative, Japan.

Operator

Next question is from Chiara Battistini, J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

Chiara Battistini
ED, Head of European Luxury and Sporting Goods Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Hello. Hi. Thank you for taking my questions. My first question is on the Americas acceleration. I was wondering if you could share a bit more on what the drivers were behind that. Do you think there was sort of anticipation of spend ahead of price increases, repatriation from the tourists are not in Europe or less in Europe? Anything else? Possibly also your company's brand-specific initiatives you're implementing in Americas. The second question on the OpEx. In the first half, they were very well contained, both on the G&A and selling costs. I was wondering if there is any timing that we should be keeping in mind or anything else. Why they were so well contained. Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Chiara. Regarding the U.S., the performance was mainly driven for us by the D2C channel. The performance of the Wholesale channel was positive, but much less than the D2C. It is probably linked to also part of the transformation that we have initiated, as you know, regarding our hybrid system with Nordstrom, but also ongoing soft corners that we have been putting in place also with the other partners, with Saks Global. Also, better fluidity in the deliveries thanks to the agreement that we have reached with Saks that has been helping, as well as the performance on the online Saks and the performance of our store on Fifth Avenue. To tell you that if this was driven by an anticipation of buying linked to the tariffs, honestly, I cannot tell you.

We have seen probably the region where we have seen the best traffic and conversion within our network during the Q2.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Hi, Chiara. About your second question, of course. Cost control is part of our strategy, Chiara. As we see that business trend is not great, we tend to adjust as much as we can our infrastructure expenses. Of course, you may see that selling are higher than last year because we included selling the cost to operate at the stores. There is a component of fixed cost in the stores that is very difficult to decrease. On G&A, I think, I mean, we did a good, a decent job, but of course, it is still something that we have to continue to control very carefully. I mean, nothing special, nothing special to highlight.

Anne-Laure Bismuth
Director and Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Yes.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

One thing to hear, one thing to add to Roberto's answer on top, I think you mentioned if there were any specific initiatives. I think if you take a look, especially on the first half, there were multiple things that were U.S.-oriented on top of what we have done at the regional level, which is the pre-spring summer campaign was a New York-based story. We have the Met Gala. We have Donald Glover just launching L.A., and we have some other things. Again, was some intentions to go there. Of course, I will keep building on Roberto's answer, but when he's talking about initiatives, we have been having some specific actions related mainly to New York and some things in L.A.. Again, just to answer that back to you, but I will keep that on the back of what Roberto just mentioned to you.

Chiara Battistini
ED, Head of European Luxury and Sporting Goods Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Absolutely. You saw a return on those investments specific to the U.S.?

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

I will go back to what Roberto said. Again, it's hard to say, but you ask us specifically, there were some initiatives. The answer is yes, and that's why I was naming a few. I think, again, for us, again, to what Roberto said, we cannot apply this to people buying before or prices or things like that. Of course, the U.S. market is something that we are putting certain efforts. I think the combination of different things is what is making the brand. The results we're seeing. I will say, I wanted to answer back to your question, but I will build, was more building on Roberto's initial answer.

Chiara Battistini
ED, Head of European Luxury and Sporting Goods Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question is from Oriana Cardani in Intesa Sanpaolo. Please go ahead.

Oriana Cardani
Equity Analyst of Branded Goods, Intesa Sanpaolo

Yes, good evening. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one is about current rate. Can you give us an update on the July's retail performance with some details on what's happening for each nationality? The second question concerns the evolution of the gross margin. Do you expect gross margin expansion in the second half of the year to be more or less similar to that of the first quarter or the first half? Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Oriana. I think on the current trading, I will be quite short. What we see currently, it's a trend that is still weak. You need to bear in mind that Q2 and Q3 are the quarters that are the most exposed to tourism, especially for Europe, for Japan, and to a lesser extent, also to Hong Kong and to Korea. Clearly, this is one of the things that we need to bear in mind. We need to bear in mind also that the situation remains quite volatile. We see differences in traffic from day to day and from week to week. Also, the fact that when you look at our global performance, bear in mind that in this case, the mix has been playing in our favor in a lot of cases, but in this case, maybe a little bit less.

You know that we have a larger good weight of our business in Europe, and Japan is also a relevant area for us. These are areas that are today very dependent on tourism. This is clearly also something that is playing a little bit against the strength of Moncler in those regions, while we continue to perform in China, and you have seen the result in Q2 of the Americas.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Okay. Oriana, second question about the gross margin. Gross margin, as you know, gross margin growth is normally in this first half of the year, but also historically, the growth is totally mostly driven by the channel mix. This has been the case in this period we reported today. As we expect the DTC business to grow more than the wholesale business also in the second half of the year, we do expect potential and expected gross margin growth also for the year-end. How much is something I can't answer because I don't know. This is the mechanic of our business model. Again, the channel mix is the real driver. Of course, in the past, the increase of gross margin was much higher because the expansion of the DTC business was much more important. Right now, with the 85% and more of DTC business, the increase is more moderate, but still is totally due to this fact.

Oriana Cardani
Equity Analyst of Branded Goods, Intesa Sanpaolo

Understood. Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question is from Susy Tibaldi, UBS. Please go ahead.

Susy Tibaldi
Executive Director, UBS Group

Hi, good evening. Two questions. The first one, can you give us an update on your store opening plans, not just this year, but also next year? If the industry trends remain softer, is this something that you would also be revising? Secondly, if we think about the profitability for full year, I know, Luciano, you always talk about trying to protect the 29% EBIT margin. Of course, we are in a situation with negative like-for-like, which you haven't really experienced too much in the past. Is this still a level? Is this still the aim to protect this level? If so, what are the levers that you can work on? Obviously, your selling costs are also going up. Interesting to hear your view on profitability for the full year. Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Susy. I take the first question regarding the store opening plan. As you know, we give as a reference always this number of projects that we have that are usually around 13-15 projects. We have also more and more, like the example I was giving on Westfield, sometimes relocation expansion also is what we have had in South Coast Plaza. This is playing a more and more relevant role also to realign some of the old stores that we have to the new product offer that we have, to the largest presence of some new categories like the knitwear. We need to have more space to expose those products. The plan for 2025 is not going to change. It's in place. As usual, we have more or less two-thirds, 60% of our openings that are taking place between, let's say, August and December.

We always like to start with a presence of the fall-winter that is richer to try to attract for the first time new customers into our store. For the plan, 2025 is already there. Regarding 2026, the plan is not completely finalized. We have some flexibility in terms of, also, in case things will not get better, to postpone some of the openings. For the moment, we are working on a plan that is similar to the one we have had in this past year. This is the driver. We are going to address it when finalizing our budget 2026. Usually around the months of October and November, we'll get a much clearer visibility. The plan is still there. The main openings are going to be, and we remain convinced that this is a good thing to do for the brand and the presence in the U.S. of our stores in New York that should be opening in Q1 2026. This is the plan. Obviously, we have the flexibility to adjust it more towards the end of the year depending on the situation.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Susy, about the profitability, I mean, your statement is correct. Of course, as we said several times in the past. In order to maintain or to protect the same operating profitability, we need to report a mid-single-digit positive comp. Of course, the question is a correct question, considering that at the end of June, we report a -4% comp. Difficult to predict what the second half of the year will be, of course. I mean, we don't know what it will be. I just remind you that last year, the third quarter was negative for our business, but then Q4 was fairly positive. Difficult to predict and to elaborate what may be the second half of the year. However, of course, should the negative comp continue, of course, this will have an impact on our profitability.

Of course, you can believe that we are putting in place all the actions we can to take strictly under control our expenses. Honestly, we are not obsessed with the 29%-30% EBIT. That, of course, is our ambition. It's something we aim to achieve. Again, we will do whatever is possible to protect, let me say, a healthy profitability. Difficult now to say how much may be because, again, we don't know anything about the next six months. Thank you, Susy.

Susy Tibaldi
Executive Director, UBS Group

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Next question is from Thomas Chauvet, Citi. Please go ahead.

Thomas Chauvet
MD, Head of Luxury Goods Equity Research and Global Pod Head of Consumer Discretionary, Citigroup

Good evening. My first question on Moncler brand DTC, which was down 1% in Q2, that suggests around mid-single-digit LFL decline, maybe a little bit more than that. Could you comment on the LFL drivers, particularly pricing, mix and volumes, and whether you saw some growth differences by price points, is knitwear or footwear becoming a bit more resilient in this environment to the affordable price points? Which category are typically more exposed also to tourism, given you had a big tourist shift away from Japan and Europe? Secondly, on Grenoble. You hosted a spectacular show in Courchevel last March. What are the key Grenoble initiatives you have to capitalize on this momentum for a successful autumn-winter season?

Could you just update us? What's the share of Grenoble as of H1? As you're getting scale, is it becoming a nicely profitable business now, or is there just no major gross margin difference with the other collections? Is there any specificity now on Grenoble given the scale advantage you're getting? Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

I start with the answer if you want then to give some additional information, Luciano. Feel free, -- Thomas. Good evening on. The effect of the price mix volumes that we have seen during the quarter. As you know, we do not comment comp sales by quarter. You can bear in mind that in terms of space contribution, we give a guidance for the year that is between 4%-5%. Usually, you have a little bit bigger effect in the second half than the first one, but bear this in mind as an indication. Pricing also this year, we increased mid-single-digit the pricing. We are going to be probably more conservative for 2026. It is still to be seen with the evolution of the currencies, but probably a lower level for 2026.

In terms of mix, we have seen some slight positive elements linked to the fact that our high clients, the higher spenders, they have shown a better resilience. There is a very small mix effect. As you can guess, linked to the comp sales that were announced for the first half of the year, the minus 4%, we have had impact on the volumes. Basically, what we see is, with few exceptions, is a decrease in, if I took also some of the metrics that we have in the retail and that obviously we are monitoring, is a decrease in the traffic. We recover part of this decrease in traffic with a better conversion, and we have usually this positive impact linked with the price increase I was just talking about before. The metrics outside of the traffic, and this is both for Moncler and Stone Island, are positive.

This gives us confidence on the fact that we have the right product, and this is well accepted by the consumer. We have a more qualified, let's say, traffic in our stores. There is clearly, and I think this is this macroeconomical environment that is influencing both a decrease in the tourism, but also a decrease in the traffic overall.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

Thomas, Gino here. Regarding Grenoble, I think a few things. I think you mentioned, of course, what happened in March in Courchevel. What I can share with you is definitely Grenoble is our fastest growing dimension of the brand right now. Of course, on the back of what we did in March, I just mentioned at the very beginning the second delivery on spring-summer. That is the first time that we have two deliveries coming spring-summer. Then, of course, fall-winter is a very important season for us. We have multiple deliveries, including the part of the show we did in Courchevel that came in December. Of course, the marketing campaign that comes with that. Then, of course, this will be the build-up and the runway to a very special spring-summer 2026 as well for Grenoble. That is where I can share a bit of what is coming on the back of what you have seen in March.

Thomas Chauvet
MD, Head of Luxury Goods Equity Research and Global Pod Head of Consumer Discretionary, Citigroup

Thank you.

Operator

Next question is from Luca Solca, Bernstein. Please go ahead.

Luca Solca
MD of Luxury Goods, AB Bernstein

Yes, good evening. My first question is about pricing and assortment. Do you feel that you currently have the right setup when it comes to the price pyramid for Moncler primarily? We've seen some of the brands in the soft luxury space suffer from having increased prices too much. I seem to understand that for 2026, you're thinking about increasing prices less than you did this year. Do you have the right entry price product? Do you think you have the right tools in a way to continue to attract consumers and that this volume setback is merely connected to external factors, to the broader macroeconomic picture?

My second question is about the peak trading season looking forward. This year, I understand you're not going to have the Genius event. I wonder what you have on your schedule to try and offset the very significant, say, positive impact that the Genius event in Shanghai had last year and to, again, sustain performance in the all-important peak trading season. Thank you very much.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Luca. It's Roberto speaking. On the pricing, as you know, because you are very familiar with the brand, you know that we have been increasing prices over these past three years to a much lesser extent than the peers of the industry. The idea was always to protect our margin and just reflect the increase we have had in terms of raw material costs, production costs, and logistic. That was reflected in the end consumer price. Clearly, the pricing today for consumers is a concern. I think we need to pay even more attention on this. I think we have had the chance over these past five years to develop a credibility on the knitwear that has been something that has become a new access to the brand before having most of the clients entering through the knitwear, upgrading themselves into the outerwear.

We have maintained an access price with an interesting offer that has all the codes of Moncler, being the material we use, the fact that we are using down, and the fact also that probably knitwear today is even more of a transitional product. This is also another factor that is helping. We have always been paying specific attention, and we know how difficult it is to develop a very interesting, attractive offer at the entry price level. This is one of the obsessions of Mr. Ruffini when he's looking at the collection. It's always challenging the designer, the team, to develop an interesting access.

This being said, I think that we have, as a brand, a tremendous potential to go up also in the assortment on the most sophisticated part of the assortment, what we call internally the Edit Collection, that is part of the main collection that has been, together with what Gino was saying on Grenoble, the part of the collection that has had the largest success in these past couple of years. This is encouraging us to continue to develop that part of the collection.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

Luca, Gino here, good to hear from you. I think, again, I will probably repeat a bit of what Roberto said. I think there's two aspects of your question. One was more regarding the assortment. I think Roberto mentioned knitwear. I will mention on top of knitwear a lot of the lightweight solution of our outerwear that have been proven to be very successful for us as well. Of course, there are other classifications like cat and sewn, et cetera., that keep growing. Definitely, if you look at how the assortment and the tools, to use your word, that we have been using, especially for the past two years, I would say are very different from what we were three or four years ago. That will keep progressing. I think in terms of pricing, I think a bit of what Roberto said, I think there's almost two parts of that conversation. One is the important aspect of protecting the entry price.

I think Roberto mentioned how important it is for us. Again, we know many times that we are the access point to even some customers into luxury. That is why for us it is very important. On the other side, I think for us is to continue our pushing for product elevation and better product. When we talk about better product, normally people talk just about quality, but I think now with Grenoble in the mix and a few other things, I think there is not only quality, but it is about performance, it is about innovation, and it is about pushing creative concepts that is something that has been making Moncler, Moncler over the years. That is just to round the answer between Roberto and myself regarding pricing and assortment. Regarding your second comment, Luca, on the second half, of course, as always, I would love to share more, but I am not able. We are very confident on what we have in our hands. The tools we have in our hand for the second half, of course, we have, I mentioned just now, of course, we have a strong Grenoble season coming our way. I think we have something that hopefully we will be able to disclose later that we strongly believe is very connected to the brand and very connected to our core business.

If you are a bit patient, very early next week, we will announce something regarding an event within the next few months. Again, with all that in hand, without saying much, Luca, I want to share with you the confidence that we strongly believe we have the right tools to keep building on the brand and building that demand that we all want to have.

Luca Solca
MD of Luxury Goods, AB Bernstein

Fantastic. Thank you, Roberto and Gino. Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question is from Louise Singlehurst , Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Louise Singlehurst
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good evening, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. Just two small ones for me, please. Just on the going back to the cluster comment with the European being flattish. Presumably, just trying to think about the weighting of the tourism versus the domestic in Q2 in the region. You're looking at kind of 1/3, 2/3, I guess, or kind of 60%-40%. I think, Roberto, you're talking about Q3, just being mindful of the tourism element. Is Q2 the biggest quarter in terms of tourist weighting? I'm just trying to think about the impact going into the next quarter. My second question, just on any inventory for spring-summer that's not sold, if you could just talk to us about how much is carryover or how that exits. Obviously, it shouldn't be hugely significant, but in terms of just understanding, marrying with that gross margin comment too. Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Louise. Roberto speaking. Take the first question regarding Europe and the touristic floor. Yes, we confirm Q2 and Q3 are usually the quarters with the highest dependence on the tourists, more than 50% of the sales in Europe, much less in Q4. That is the quarter where the locals are coming back. Basically, they start already in September, sneaking into our stores, looking at the collection, and then usually they come back buying between October and December. We are used to have locals coming at the end of the year, and they usually come not only one time like the tourists, but they come two to three times to look at the collection before buying. This is part of the usual way we work, and we are less dependent on tourism.

Between the second and the third quarter, there is no material difference in terms of weight of tourists in Europe. This has been the case with the exception, obviously, of the COVID time. This has always been the case. These are the quarters where they're coming. They are first discovering the collection in Europe and then buying either in Europe or back when they are home. This is the touristic floor that has been mainly impacted, the tourism coming from Korea, from China, and from the Americas.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Hi, Louise. Your second question about inventory. The inventory. Excess of inventory associated with the low sales of the second quarter, honestly. It's not a big issue. It's not material at all. Nothing we are worried about. Something important to highlight, because the total number of inventory we report in the net working capital slide shows an increase that is not due to the increase of finished goods, but to an investment, a strategic investment we decided to make in some core, some strategic raw materials where there is quite important volatility. For this reason, time by time, sometimes we decided to invest for the following years. Again, very good raw materials, long-term raw materials. Nothing we are worried about.

Louise Singlehurst
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Very clear. Thank you.

Operator

Next question is from Edouard Aubin, Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Edouard Aubin
Managing Director, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, good evening. My first question, Roberto, on Stone Island, as you mentioned during the presentation, your DTC was up only 3% in Q2, which I think is the first time you printed a single-digit growth since you acquired the company. I know it's just one quarter, but what's your analysis of the situation in terms of is it the issue with the collection, the location where you recently opened, and also related to that, if you had now some divergence in terms of profitability between retail and wholesale there at Stone Island? That's question number one. Sorry, Luciano, to come back on the margin for the year, but one of the things your peers have flagged is the issue that FX could have on their margin for the full year. The euro and the Romanian currency have appreciated versus the yuan and the USD.

Is that an issue for you? Just to follow up on the EBIT margin, I know it's totally hypothetical, but should you print a flat like-for-like for the year, could you keep a margin between 29%-30%? I know there are many different moving parts, but just curious about the sensitivity analysis on your margin. Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Edouard. Thank you for the question on Stone Island. I was expecting to have at least a couple of questions on Stone, so we're happy to answer. We are happy about the momentum that we have with the Stone Island brand. We have seen the initiatives. I think the campaign we're running is also something that is working extremely well. The repositioning of the sub-collection with Marina, Stellina, Ghost, with a specific target audience, is also starting to pay off. Yes, we have seen a sequential decrease in the D2C, but bear in mind that we are not benefiting at all this quarter from space contribution. We have been closing some of the stores, restructuring our distribution in Korea, and that is starting to deliver good results.

I think we were probably over-distributed in Korea, so we have a plan to refocus on key location and expanding the visibility of the brand, and we start seeing good results. Japan has also continued to perform, but to a lesser extent. We are a little bit less exposed than Moncler with Stone Island on tourism, even if this has been also part of the growing factor that we have seen in Japan, and the performance in Asia remains strong. We have another weight of Europe. If we compare the D2C business of Moncler with the D2C business on Stone Island, the share of Europe is, let's say, a much larger share than in Moncler. The slowdown that we see in tourism in Europe has also been impacting partially the D2C performance of Stone Island.

The reassuring factor that we have is that all the metrics we are measuring, apart from the negative traffic that we have seen in some of the region, all the parameters that we see in terms of conversion, average selling price, unit per transaction are going up, including the sales density, even if it's something that so far we have not started to disclose, but it's going in the right direction, and all these metrics are improving.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Hi, Edouard. I'm on your first question on the impact of FX on our operating margins. As you know, as I think I'm sure you know, we have a hedging policy, very strict hedging policy that protects our margins from any volatility of FX. This has been the case for 2025. We don't expect any material impact coming from FX for this year. Next year is another story. For next year, of course, we have already implemented our pricing strategy and hedging activity for the first half of the year. The second half of the year, that is, of course, driven by the whole winter season 2026, is still open. Will be defined together with Roberto over the next month. I can tell you that will not be an easy job because, of course, on one side, to protect the margin from deterioration of currencies, we need to increase prices.

On the other hand, of course, we need to be very careful in the different markets, whether or not, and to which extent, we can increase prices without impacting the demand. I mean, this is part of our job, but next year will be more critical than in the past. Talking about your second question. As you know, we said, and we reiterate that in order to protect our 29%-30% margin, we need a mid-single-digit like-for-like, positive like-for-like. I mean, we run a lot of sensitivities, Edouard, every day. I mean, to make the long story short, under the assumption of flat like-for-like, we see an impact on our profitability that I cannot quantify, but honestly, not particularly important. Still in healthy, as I said, in healthy profitability. I mean, any numbers would be totally inappropriate, Edouard. Thank you.

Edouard Aubin
Managing Director, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Thank you, Luciano.

Operator

Next question is from Chris Gao. CLSA, please go ahead.

Chris Gao
Research Analyst, CLSA Limited

Thank you. Good evening, Chris Gao from CLSA. Thanks for taking my question. I have two. First one, very quick one. How much of the tourist demand in Japan is from Chinese in first half of 2025? Please just like to quickly confirm that. Also, in terms of current trading, how should we assess the Chinese tourist demand and the U.S. tourist demand trends in third quarter? Just wondering if the third quarter to date trend is also similar versus that of 2Q, or if there are any changes in trends of the tourist demands. The second question is regarding the new consumer recruitment. For China market's positive growth in 2Q and also Americas' acceleration, just wondering how much is from new consumers' recruitment, and also we're wondering if there is any consumer profile shift for these new consumers recruited versus during the pandemic or in the previous up cycle. Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Thank you for your question. I don't know if I will be able to answer too because you are asking some of the details that we are usually not disclosing. Just one element maybe to give you a better readability of the result of Japan. That Japan, before COVID, had a share of roughly 10% tourism and 90% of local business, even sometimes even 90% to 93%. Clearly, in these past couple of years, like most of the brands, we have seen tourists from Southeast Asia and tourists from China coming to Japan. It was the less expensive region in terms of brand positioning, in terms of product positioning, price positioning, but it was also a strong attraction of the country culturally, and I think that this is going to continue.

At the time, we have had, and we disclosed this, between 5%-7% price difference between the region, and this is unfortunately not there anymore. We are going to start rebuilding a small price gap in case there is a resurgence of tourism willing to buy into Japan for the next fall-winter season. The share of tourism in Q1 was roughly 30%, 25%-30%. We don't disclose the share of the different nationalities for Japan, but bear in mind that it was between 25%-30% compared to the 10% before COVID. Currently, much lower. To be seen how this is going to evolve over time.

On your second part of the question, between new customer and existing customer, clearly, what you do as a brand and as a retailer, when you start seeing that there is a decrease in the footfall, in the source, you leverage the power that you have been developing in terms of connection with your existing customer. Clearly, all the opportunities that we have seen in terms of launch of Genius, also the launch of Grenoble, and all the different deliveries that we have with Moncler Collezioni are opportunities to leverage on the existing ones. Clearly, this is the profile we have been activating, and this is why we have shown a resilience.

Even if we don't like to see negative figures in the D2C, but this is what has been helping the performance in Q1 and Q2, is the fact that we have now a strong loyalty level of our customer and a great connection with our consumers.

Operator

Next question is from Charles-Louis Scotti, Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Charles-Louis Scotti
Head of Luxury Goods Equity Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Good evening. Thank you for taking my two questions. The first one is a follow-up on volumes. I understand you have flexibility to adjust the production up and down, but I would be interested to understand your expectation for H2 production volumes. The visibility is obviously very low, but basically, what base case are you currently planning around? The second question on the wholesale business. It seems that wholesalers' difficulties are worsening, particularly in the U.S. In this context, do you confirm your guidance for a decline in wholesale revenue for both brands, or could it be eventually revised onwards? Thank you.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Okay, Charles , thank you. Thank you for your question about our production flexibility. You're right. We have some flexibility in production, and that allows us to adjust our production in case the demand is stronger than what we originally planned. Of course, right now the first indications are not in this direction, but we have opportunity to launch in production, make launches in production also in September and beginning of October. It is something that we monitor, of course, on a weekly basis, and this is something I can't answer right now because, of course, we don't know anything about next weeks. In any event, yes, you're right. I mean, we tend to plan more prudently and then to react in season if the demand is higher than what we expect.

Right now, we have still time to evaluate and to monitor the trend and eventually to make additional launches in production in the following two months.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Roberto speaking. Let me take the answer on the question regarding wholesale, and I would like to answer for both Stone Island and for Moncler. For Moncler, we stick to the guidance that was given at the beginning of the year, which is a wholesale that should be medium-high single digits, so in line with the performance that we have had in 2024. This is mainly due to a reduction of those that we are planning because not completely in line with the brand positioning that we have today, and also partially driven by the fact that we are pushing our D2C more and more. We are also very careful in these moments of high uncertainty not to overpush on wholesale with the risk to see discounted product. As you know, we do not discount Moncler product in season.

We are very, very careful in not pushing too much our wholesale partners and giving them the right amount of product to be able to have a healthy sell-through in their own business. Regarding Stone Island, the situation is a little bit different. As you have seen, there have been a lot of differences in the result of wholesale when you compare Q1 and Q2. Q2 was a kind of catch-up of some late deliveries that we have had, a little bit too late deliveries that we have had in the first quarter of the year regarding wholesale. We said at the beginning of the year that the way we were seeing the market was H1 that was probably not as good as the second half of the year.

We expect an improvement of the wholesale business that we have with Stone Island that is still a very significant part of the business. We see an improvement of the performance towards the second half of the year, in the second half of the year. Again, do not have a look at this performance per quarter, but look more at the performance of Stone Island during the full H2. That should be an improvement versus H1.

Charles-Louis Scotti
Head of Luxury Goods Equity Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question is from James Grzinic, Jefferies. Please go ahead.

James Grzinic
Head of Luxury and Retail Research, Jefferies

Oh, good evening. Actually, my questions were asked, but I was just, I guess, for the purpose of clarity, ask a follow-up around pricing and price recovery. Just to be clear, you have not done anything incremental in recent weeks following either tariffs or FX dynamics. In essence, you're looking to be doing less in pricing in 2026 versus 2025, despite the fact that the ask on gross margin are obviously greater next year compared to this year. Just to clarify that.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

Okay. For 2025. We implemented very, very slight price increases for the second half of this year because the first half, of course, was not impacted at all. The second half, only in not a material way, but in any event, we increased slightly prices to offset the additional tariffs. The same we did for the first half of next year, of 2026. As I said before, for the second half of the year, for the full winter season of 2026, this is something that we have not decided, and it is still under evaluation. We normally finalize our pricing strategy for the full winter 2026 by October, more or less. It's still early, of course, so we will see, we will monitor the FX trend, and depending on which level will be the currencies that we do business, we will make a decision. No significant price increase this year and no significant in the first half of next year.

James Grzinic
Head of Luxury and Retail Research, Jefferies

Sorry, Thierry. Thank you, Luciano.

Luciano Santel
Executive Director and Chief Corporate & Supply Officer, Moncler

You're welcome.

Operator

Next question is from Paola Carboni, EQUITA. Please go ahead.

Paola Carboni
Senior Equity Research Analyst, EQUITA

Yes, hello. Hi. Good afternoon, everybody. I have two questions. The first one is about Genius. And the evolution we might expect for this. Four months, let's say, if you can share with us any thought or at least the timing when we might be aware of any different approach, let's say, to the marketing for the Moncler brand. And the second, instead, on Stone Island, as you pointed out, you have mostly finalized your store-opening plan for Moncler for 2026. I was wondering if you can share something as well for Stone Island for next year. Thank you.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

Hello. Thank you for the questions again. Unfortunately, on Genius, I would have to be very short because, again, we will have to be patient. You will have to be with me at the right time. We will come and communicate. Of course, this is a very confidential project that involves other parts, so we are not able to share much more than that, but definitely, as always, every time we come back with Genius, there is an evolution to it. The only thing I will ask on this one is be a bit patient, but at the right time, we will be sharing this with you guys.

Paola Carboni
Senior Equity Research Analyst, EQUITA

Okay. Just to sorry. [crosstalk]

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

Paola, regarding.

Paola Carboni
Senior Equity Research Analyst, EQUITA

Sorry, just to clarify on the Genius point, what you were anticipating you're going to announce in the next few days is not going to be already the alternative to Genius, let's say. I have understood it.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

We will let you know next week. [crosstalk]

Paola Carboni
Senior Equity Research Analyst, EQUITA

In the event, per se. Okay.

Gino Fisanotti
Chief Brand Officer, Moncler

Be patient with me, but I promise that you will know next week for sure, and then more as we move forward. Just, unfortunately, sometimes the timing of the call is not aligned with other things, and that's why we cannot disclose in advance something that we will put out there. Be patient. Thank you. Sorry for that.

Paola Carboni
Senior Equity Research Analyst, EQUITA

Thank you.

Roberto Eggs
Chief Business Strategy, Global Market Officer, and and Executive Director, Moncler

Good evening, Paola. Roberto speaking. Paola, regarding Stone Island, I don't know if your question was related to the retail network, but clearly, what we're going to do is continue the elevation of the current network. Don't expect, again, for 2026 meaningful space contribution. There will be some openings, but very, very targeted, and still an elevation of the current network, requalification, finding the right positioning in the network, especially in department store, and working on the metrics regarding retail excellence to elevate all the components that have been making Moncler successful to replicate this within Stone Island.

Paola Carboni
Senior Equity Research Analyst, EQUITA

Very clear. Thank you very much.

Elena Mariani
Strategic Planning and Head of Investor Relations, Moncler

Okay. Thank you very much to everyone for participating in this call. Let me just give you a quick reminder of the next release. Our Q3 2025 results will be released on October 28 after market close, and our quiet period will start on September 29. Thank you again, and for any follow-ups, feel free to contact myself or Gaia anytime. Thank you and have a great evening. We wish you a wonderful rest of the week. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. The conference is now over. You may disconnect your telephones.

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