Nexi S.p.A. (BIT:NEXI)
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May 7, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Mar 7, 2023

Operator

Good morning. This is the Chorus Call Conference operator. Welcome, thank you for joining the Nexi full year 2022 financial results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Paolo Bertoluzzo, CEO of Nexi. Please go ahead, sir.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Thank you. Good morning to all of you, and welcome to Nexi's call on results for full year 2022. As usual, I'm here with Bernardo Mingrone, our CFO, Stefania Mantegazza, who leads investor relations, and a few other members of our team who may help in case of need on your questions. As usual, we summarize the key messages and give you a short business update. I will hand over to Bernardo that will cover results more in detail. We will have time, as usual, for your questions. Let me jump on page three with the key messages. Overall, we consider 2022 a year of strong progress for our company, despite a macro environment that has been more challenging than what we would have expected only one year ago.

First of all, we've seen strong volume growth across the year, in particular also in Q4. Despite more difficult comparisons with the previous year, we have seen double-digit volume growth across all geographies. In particular, we have seen a strong growth in SMEs that did grow volumes across the year for about 25%. You know how much SMEs are the core of our strategy, and therefore that's really important. The good news is that when we look at the beginning of this year, 2023, we see an accelerated volume growth with a year to date of about 12%, with a positive evolution across all geographies.

Clearly, it is a little bit helped by an easier comparison in January, given the fact that last year, January was not a completely clean year in terms of openings due to COVID, but still it's a good signal for the new year. Second key message, overall, we had a very solid financial performance despite the macro environment, with strong margin expansion in the year and accelerated cash generation in the year as well. Revenue did grow about 7.1% in the year, with Merchant S ervices and M erchant S olutions growing double digits. EBITDA grew 14.2% with an exceptional 311 basis point EBITDA margin expansion, despite some early signals of inflationary pressures on the cost base.

Last but not least, this is the first time we underline it, if you take the operating cash generation measure, there's EBITDA minus CapEx and minus non-recurring cash items, that item did grow more than 50%. Actually 56%. That's very important as we focus more and more on cash generation. Third key message, we have seen strong progress in creating the European PayTech leader. We did deliver more synergies than what we had planned ourselves, about EUR 110 million, 10% more than our initial target. We did progress a lot on our M&A activities, both in terms of acquisition but also disposals. In the future, we look like this with a mix of both.

The intention here is to continue to focus more and more the company on core strategic growth opportunities. Last but not least, we've announced only last week our entry into Spain. This is a very attractive market through the strategic partnership with Banco Sabadell. Overall, as a combination of all of this, we have delivered our beginning of year ambition for 2022, despite a macro that has been more challenging than what we expected. Let me start by giving you a bit of more flavor on Spain and moving to page four. We're actually very happy for this win, and I'm particularly proud for the fact that we've been chosen, especially for our capabilities and for our people and the work we've done with the bank over the last few months.

Entering to Spain is for us very, very strategic. First of all, the Spanish market is a large market with, by the way, good economy potential with unique structural characteristic, a very significant growth potential. Card penetration is as low as 38%, which is more or less in line with the average of our portfolio. The market is SME dominated with an accelerating e-commerce dynamic. The payment distribution is still dominated by banks. As you can see from these characteristics, it's quite similar to the Italian market. Second, we are very proud of this partnership with Banco Sabadell, which allows us to start in Spain from a strong initial position. It's still a challenger position, but actually a very strong challenger position. Banco Sabadell is a very dynamic Spanish bank located in Barcelona.

They cover the entire Spanish geography, Spanish market with 1,200 branches. They're a second merchant acquirer that always had a special focus on payments. They have 380,000 merchants, generating almost EUR 50 billion of acquiring transaction volumes. And they have a very diversified and attractive portfolio of customers with a strong SME focus. Third key element, as you understood from my words, this market is a market that we believe still has a lot of potential in terms of innovation and digital proposition, but also in terms of commercial innovation, channel innovation, pricing innovation, and so on and so forth, which is exactly where we can leverage our capabilities developed over time on many similar situations.

Last but not least, and this is particularly important to me as CEO of the company, this is a very simple and lean integration and execution in front of us. This is adding zero complexity to everything else we are doing. It's a standalone initiative where we will really be able to inject the best of our products and capabilities to accelerate growth. Let me jump on page five. This page, you may remember it from our Capital Markets Day presentation, is mapping our markets across two dimensions. The, vertically, the car penetration, and therefore how much more growth, structural growth there is in the market, and horizontally, the Nexi market share, and therefore the Nexi position. Here you see Spain jumping onto the map.

As you see very well, we expect Spain to provide both opportunities in terms of market expansion as penetration grows and new innovative propositions come to market, but also in terms of growing market share further. My super summary is always, I always say, is like adding another Italy to the portfolio that we have, given the characteristics and the growth opportunity there. Let me summarize on page six the key elements of the transaction. First of all, we are acquiring, technically, we're acquiring 80% of PayComet. PayComet is a fully owned company by Sabadell that already includes payment activities. Basically, Sabadell will transfer into PayComet all assets associated to merchant acquiring, obviously starting with the contract, and we will buy 80% of these.

You immediately understand why this is a very simple integration because there is a team up and running, there is a company up and running, there's a license up and running, there are processes up and running, and therefore the integration effort will be minimal. We're paying for this EUR 280 million that we'll be paying with available cash with an implied multiple of about 11.5%. The closing is expected in the fourth quarter of the year, subject to the necessary approvals, even if we don't see any issue coming out of that. As always, this acquisition is combined with a long-term distribution agreements for the next 10 years, renewable by another five years plus five years.

Last but not least, as always, we have wanted to align fully our interest and the interest of our partner through a rebate mechanism plus potential earn-outs that are subject to an overachievement of the plan. As a reminder, every single time you see us paying earn-outs, this is very, very good news because normally, the multiple on the earn-outs is much, much lower than the earn-out on the base. Therefore, in case we end up paying these earn-outs, this mean that the implied multiple for the overall asset would be much below, very much below, 10x EBITDA. Let me now jump to volume update as usual on page seven . As I've anticipated, overall double-digit volume growth in the fourth quarter across all geographies.

Here we're representing the growth rate across our market and macro segments versus last year, which is an approach we've taken more recently, given the fact that the benchmarking with 2019 is less and less meaningful, even if, as usual, and probably for the last time, we are actually adding in the appendix also the comparison with 2019 pre-COVID numbers. Let me just comment rapidly. You see here, Italy trending at around 10% for the last quarter, but actually accelerating to about 15% in the new year. This is basically a combination of January and almost for February.

Here you see how much high impact consumption is actually accelerating the growth. You see that we continue to see a very solid performance of Italian cards, actually the traffic from foreign cards and therefore visitors to Italy is also contributing more and more to volume growth, coming back gradually to normal levels. In the Nordics, we had a similar pattern, a good fourth quarter accelerating through the quarter from 10% in October to 17% by the end. Actually year to date in the new year, we're about a 21% growth. Again, here, high-impact consumption becoming a big driver.

Last but no least, now Germany in here, I suggest we look at the dotted line, the blue dotted line that is neutralizing the effect of volume reduction that we have imposed ourselves as we decide to give up certain high-volume relationships that were not worth having in terms of value creation. And here you see that throughout the quarter, we're also trending 14% in October and November, 29% in December, and then in the beginning of this year, up to 31%. And again, also here you see high-impact consumption sectors driving the growth. Let me just now jump to page eight and give you a quick update on Merchant S olutions and the key business progress here. I will not go through all of them

Let me just point at a few of them. SMEs, as I've anticipated, 25% volume growth versus last year, were well supported by a strong continued customer base growth that we measure by an increased number of terminals in our base by 200,000 in the full year, mainly driven by Italy, DACH, and Poland. We continue to see a good traction, especially in Italy, of the new to cards propositions that for us is a mobile POS that is very important in a market that is still growing and where the base is still expanding. Here, the very important strategic evolution for us is that we're seeing very, very good traction from digital sales, digital channels, and this is something that we'll be replicating across all markets over time.

Last but not least, we continue to expand very materially our partner base with a specific focus on ISV partnerships, both with market leaders. Here we mention Olivetti in Italy, also with vertical specialists across all geographies. Here you see a few names from wellness, ticketing, and so on and so forth. Coming to e-commerce, e-commerce at 12% growth in the year. We continued customer base growth. Customer base has grown actually about 20% versus the end of previous year, with a stronger focus on the mid-segment that is more and more of a core target for us. Second thing that I would like to mention also here, further expansion of new partnerships, both with web agencies and developers and ISVs.

Here there is clearly a gradual convergence with what we are doing with SMEs. Last but not least, and this is for us quite strategic going forward, continued expansion of our enabled APMs. Here we mention Alipay and WeChat Pay in DACH and the Nordics. This is particularly important also because it's leveraging the mid-layer that we call Nexi Relay that is allowing us basically to build scale across our geographies as we drive innovation while still maintaining a strong local entrenchment, a local customer experience when it comes to front end and scale when it comes to back end. Last but not least, on LAKAs, 15% volume growth, even if here the volume growth is not really our key focus. Our key focus is value growth.

As you will know, you may buy a very large volume contract with very little to no margin, which is not our approach. Here we have a strong pipeline of commercial wins across markets with a specific focus on e-channel, grocery and retails, and vertical solutions in petrol and EV charging. Here we mention the strategic partnership with Eni. It is one of the very largest Italian and European companies. This is already a very good customer, a long-term customer of us, here we're expanding the relationship, both in terms of innovative proposition across the board, but also in terms of geographies.

last but not least, we are more and more rolling out our omni-channel solutions in Germany and Switzerland leveraging on the capabilities that we have developed over time in the Nordics and in Italy. Let me now pose and over to Bernardo for results.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

Thanks, Paolo. Good morning, everyone. We have 12 or so slides with regards to financial performance for 2022 based on the perimeter consistent with the guidance we've given at the beginning of the year. Then I'll end with two slides resetting the baseline for M&A, both one which has been completed or signed and the ones which we announced back at the Capital Markets Day.

Starting on slide 10, a few call-outs here on this slide to try and give you transparency with regards to our performance for the quarter and the year in order to be able to understand the underlying trend, in particular with regards to the fourth quarter, and therefore, to be able to have a good idea as to how we exited 2022 and look into 2023 ahead of Paolo's guidance at the end of the presentation. Revenues grow just north of 7%, as you can see, 7.1%.

We then highlight how if you exclude Ratepay, which as you know, we've been managing on an available-for-sale basis and therefore managed its performance during the year in terms of revenues and growth in line with our ambition to sell the asset and therefore not fueling the growth as in the past. That growth, the top line growth would have been 7.8% if you exclude Ratepay. Also to provide you further insight into our performance if we gross up for scheme fees as other players in the sector do. Top line growth would have been double digit at 10.5%. The fourth quarter was a little softer and slower than the rest of the year, as you know, because of comp reasons compared to 2021 in particular.

We have growth of 4% in the quarter. If you normalize for Ratepay, that's close to 6%. If we look at the revenue growth, gross of scheme fees, that's close to 7%. Moving on to EBITDA, we closed the year with EBITDA growth in the mid-teens at 14.2%. That's more than 300 basis points of margin accretion from 46%-49%. In the fourth quarter, EBITDA grew close to 9%, and we had north of 200 basis points of margin accretion. If you look at slide 11, we have details on performance of Merchant Services, which is more than half of our revenues. As you can see, gross of scheme fees, Merchant Services revenues grew 15.3%.

If we look at them, net of scheme fees is still double-digit in line with the guidance we provided in February last year. If you normalize for Ratepay, as I said, we pick up another almost 2 percentage points in terms of top line growth. In the quarter, consistent with the comments I made for the full year, we had revenues growing 3.3%. Overall, if you exclude scheme fees, that's close to 8%. In general, I think, we can see in terms of volumes, and Paolo mentioned it in his opening remarks, strong continued volume growth across all geographies in the group. We also more importantly see growth in our customer base across business areas within Merchant S ervices.

You see here how we added more than 200,000 POS terminals in the year, we had a 20%+ growth in e-commerce clients. SME transactions, which are the heart of our business, are growing north of 25%. As I said, we should look at fourth quarter performance net of Ratepay, which we're managing ahead of a sale in order not to consume liquidity and create bottom line losses. One other call-out about the fourth quarter, I think I had referenced to it last year, maybe in some of the one-on-ones, due to the performance within the year in terms of volumes in 2021. This is a call out about 2021.

The ultimate cost of scheme fees net of everything which goes on in the year with regards to volume targets, et cetera, and the same with regards to our bank relations in Italy, was effectively calculated towards the end of the year. That's led to a fourth quarter in 2021, which was a little richer in terms of the top line to a normal year. That is also affecting fourth quarter performance in Merchant S ervices, in particular, in particular in Italy. Moving on to Issuing Solutions. We have strong growth in international debit in Italy, and in general in the licensing business model in Italy. This led to close to 5% growth in revenues, 4% in the quarter.

I think it's important to call out based on also what we discussed at our Capital Markets Day and our strategy in Issuing Solutions to win new clients. Here we called out the Commerzbank win, which is an important add in a very strategic geography for us, Germany, with a leadership client like Commerzbank, but also in terms of upselling and cross-selling to our customer base. Here we call out how we are extending our advanced Issuing S olutions to bank customers across Europe. I think another call-out here is about fourth quarter. We had a slight slowdown in project work in Southeastern Europe, which also slightly reduced growth in the fourth quarter compared to the full year.

Moving on to slide 13, we have Digital B anking S olutions, which, you know, contrary to the rest of the business, actually had an acceleration in the fourth quarter. This is driven primarily, I'd say, by projects across geographies. There's no one real call-out here. It's just generalized in an eID in Denmark and across bank customers in Europe. We had more project work than usual in the fourth quarter. Overall, we have growth in the year of just north of 1%. If we look at the geographic breakdown, I think this tells a similar picture to what we described for the group as a whole. We have Italy growing just north of 7%. Same goes for Nordic. We have a slightly lower growth in Southeastern Europe.

If you look at DACH and Poland, these are the, you know, geographies which grow the most if you exclude Ratepay, which as I said, has been managed in terms of its slowdown at 12.5%. If you include Ratepay, that is 6.5%. Moving on to slide 15. I think this is a very important slide where we give you details with regards to how our cost base behaved in a context of strong top-line growth, but also inflationary pressure. We saw how volumes were growing in the mid-teens level, notwithstanding this volume growth, new client addition, and overall increased size of our business. Overall costs increased less than 1% in the year.

If you gross this up for scheme fees, as we did for revenues, clearly that is a higher growth, close to 8%. On a net basis, this is a 1% growth. This is clearly due to a strong and focused effort to keep costs under control, delivery of synergies, but is a strong testament to another claim we made in the Capital Markets Day that our business is one which benefits from strong operating leverage. Strong top-line growth does not necessarily translate into cost growth. Moving on to slide 16, we have CapEx, which are in line with the guidance we provided at the Capital Markets Day, growing to about 16% of revenues in the year. This is a peak year in terms of CapEx.

We see on slide 17 how I expect overall CapEx to trend to just south of 10% of total revenues as revenues grow and as the residual part of transformation integration CapEx gets deployed over the next coming years. Moving on to slide 18, again, more details with regards to our costs below EBITDA. We have close to 50% reduction in transformation and integration costs. This is something we also had guided to. We end up landing overall, if you include other non-recurring items such as earn outs, or M&A-related fees and costs, but also include non-cash items or items which flow through our P&L but are borne there by others.

For instance, the IPO costs, which are sustained by the sponsors that originally bought ICBPI. The overall non-recurring items figure is EUR 245 million. EUR 186 million of this is cash. The rest is non-cash, which is broadly in line with the guidance we gave at the Capital Markets Day. Moving on to slide 19, we now introduce some slides on, let's say, our cash generation. These are new compared to the past. I would say consistent to what we had discussed back in September. We have close to 56% growth in terms of EBITDA less CapEx, less transformation costs or non-recurring cash items at EUR 186 million we saw in the earlier slide.

This translates into 15% growth in terms of our bottom line earnings on a normalized basis, so if you exclude the non-recurring items from the P&L. This is close to EUR 700 million in terms of normalized net profit. We also take a look at cash generation and you remember we gave a EUR 2.8 billion cash generation target for the years 2023, 2024 and 2025 in our Capital Markets Day. If we look at this chart, we can see how we moved from the EUR 1.6 billion of EBITDA to close to EUR 400 million of cash generation in the year.

We break it down between the various items, both on an operating level, so including other than CapEx in our recurring cash items, also the narrow working capital change of EUR 65 million. Then to the right of the operating cash flow, we have cash taxes, interest expense, and other cash items. We have a call out here, about EUR 100 million of cash taxes, which were basically deferred to 2023. They're the competence or that they're on an accrual basis, they would be 2022 cash taxes or taxes, but we're actually going to be paying them in 2023. That's important to know that our ending cash balance benefits from this, and our cash flow for 2023 will be affected by it. Slide 21, net debt.

We closed the year at just south of 3.0x leverage, if you include the synergies we'd announced back at the acquisition date. We are, I forgot to mention this on cost, we're delivering just slightly ahead of target. We closed the year with EUR 110 million cash synergies compared to EUR 100 million we targeted for the year. If you exclude those synergies, it's 3.3 x. If you look on the right, we call out how we're proactively managing our EUR 7 billion odd of gross indebtedness to make sure that we're always in a comfortable position with regards to leverage. Overall, three-quarters of our indebtedness is fixed and only a quarter is variable.

Therefore only the rise in interest rates in the last six or seven months has only partially affected our cost of debt. As you can see, we've moved from between 1.5 and 2 percentage points of cost of overall debt towards, in the autumn of last year, to just north of 2.5% now. Moving on to the last two slides before I hand over for Paolo. You know, overall, I think the year, and we benchmarked it based on the perimeter when we gave the guidance, has been a remarkable year in which we delivered what we were expecting to deliver.

Notwithstanding the fact we gave the guidance before war broke out in Ukraine, before inflation rose to levels which were probably higher than expected, and before the rate cycle rise, which started towards the spring of last year. We now move on to resetting the baseline so that you have the right starting point for benchmarking guidance, which we'll speak to in a second. We've introduced the bottom line EPS normalization as well, because from a bottom line basis, what we're doing doesn't really change anything in that moving Ratepay and DBS to below EBITDA doesn't change their impact on EPS.

What impacts EPS is the M&A activity that we're carrying out in terms of acquiring assets. Moving from the left, you can see the net revenues add approximately EUR 50 million, just north of EUR 50 million of M&A in. This is the acquisition of the BPER book and the acquisition of Intesa's Croatian book. M&A out and AFS is substantially moving the revenues of Ratepay and of eID in Denmark to below EBITDA. We close the Capital Markets Day perimeters. This is called or defined at EUR 3.143 billion. The same impact in terms of EBITDA, we add EUR 40 million of EBITDA from M&A in and move to below EBITDA for 2022, approximately EUR 60 million of EBITDA associated with DBS and Ratepay mostly.

That's DBS, which is the eID business. We close the perimeter at EUR 1.592 billion in terms of EBITDA, which is your new baseline. If you look at the net effect in terms of EPS, and it's important I just focus on M&A out and available-for-sale assets. As you can see, there is no impact on bottom line because whereas both eID and Ratepay are largest contributors to the top line in terms of when you start looking at those, these businesses in terms of the bottom line and net income, they're actually very small and don't change, don't move the needle at all in terms of earnings and bottom line earnings and EPS.

Slide 23 gives you the same details broken down per business unit, I won't dwell on this too much. I would hand over the floor to Paolo just summarizing what our performance in terms of top line, EBITDA and margin expansion, bottom line would have been based on new perimeters. The 7.1% top line growth would have been 8%. The 14.2% EBITDA growth would have been 15.3%, and the close to 15% EPS growth would have been 18%. Paolo?

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Thank you, Bernardo. Let me now close with guidance for the new year and closing remarks. Basically, I've decided to confirm the guidance that we gave you at Capital Markets Day, therefore, 2023 is perfectly in line with the longer-term targets that we did share with you back in September. Net revenues, we expect them to grow at least 7%, with Merchant S ervices again in the double digit space. EBITDA, we expect to grow it at least 10% in the double digit space. We expect to generate an additional EUR 600 million of cash with a very strong growth compared to 2022 and 2021 even more so.

Net leverage will go down at 2.9 x the EBITDA, 2.6x including run-rate synergies. This is the pre-Sabadell acquisition that we expect to close by the end of the year. If you include Sabadell, you should add another 0.1x. Last but not least, we expect to grow normalized EPS by at least 10%. Let me clarify the fact that our internal plans are actually higher than these 7% and 10% on revenues and EBITDA growth. The simple way to look at it is to consider them at basically the lower end of, you know, a range.

Normally, we would have given a range of about 2 percentage points this year, given the macro uncertainties, is we prefer not to get into the range discussion, but we still want to give you what we consider to be a floor for the year. Let me now close again, reminding you on page 26, our key messages overall, a year of strong progress, solid double-digit volume growth across all geographies and good start of 2023. Very solid financial performance despite the unexpected macro complexities in 2022, with very strong exceptional margin expansion in the year and very strong cash generation acceleration in the year, and strong progress in creating the European PayTech leader with the add of Spain that we have announced last week and we will complete by year-end.

Overall, we have delivered our ambition for 2022, and we enter with confidence in 2023 with a guidance that basically, you know, looks at an year where we expect to at least confirm the performance that we had in 2022. Let me stop there and open to your questions.

Operator

This is the Chorus Call Conference Operator. We will now begin the question- and- answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and two. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. We will pause for a moment while participants are joining the queue. The first question is from Justin Forsythe from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Justin Forsythe
Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thanks very much. Congrats on the Sabadell acquisition. I have a couple of questions here, one relating to that acquisition. I guess you talked a little bit about that being a simple integration. Can you just talk a little bit to synergy expectations, whether there are any on the cost side? Then on the revenue side, I mean, is there anything incremental that Nexi can offer the existing Sabadell merchants within that book? Also on that, you know, can you talk to structural differences in the Spanish market? Take rates appear to be much lower and EBITDA margins appear to be much higher. Then I guess, you know, can you talk a little bit about the impact of Ratepay?

I mean, it seemed like that was a significant drag and on an ex-Ratepay basis, merchant, you know, appeared to be a little bit stronger. Was there also a noticeable impact on transaction values as well in the DACH region related to that? Just any more color you can give on the year-to-date progression of transaction values. It seems like you obviously had a better performance on an acceleration basis year-over-year, obviously an easy comp in January. Can you talk about that on a first 2019 basis between January and February? Thank you very much.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Justin. Thank you for the questions. Let me take the first on Spain and the last one on volumes, and I will hand over to Bernardo to cover Ratepay. First of all, the synergies that we expect to have on costs are fairly limited. You clearly have spaces like, I don't know, terminals, purchasing price and a few other topics. Actually, where we expect to see most of the synergies actually on the revenue side and the top line. Here, the clear conviction we have, and we share with the bank, is that this market is somehow a little bit behind the other European markets in terms of product innovation, commercial innovation, channels, and so on and so forth.

We expect this to change, and we plan to make this change happen to our benefit here. Our expectation are based very, very clearly on our experience. I think this is the seventh book we are doing.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

Yeah.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Over the last four or five years, therefore, you know, we have a high degree of confidence on our plans. On the structural differences, EBITDA margin actually, is a little bit misleading to look at the EBITDA margin because it is EBITDA margin of a book, you know? Normally the EBITDA margins of a book tend to be fairly high. I don't believe that's necessarily the big difference. You're right, instead, when you talk about merchant fees. In Spain, this is a market issue. It's not a Sabadell issue.

In Spain, fees tend to be lower than in other places, for a few reasons, including some regulatory reasons, and most importantly, for the fact that, being the business fully integrated with bank business so far, you know, banks did have the tendency, especially in certain cases, to cross-subsidize into and basically discount payments to the favor other banking products. We believe, as we have seen in other markets, that as you have a clearer focus on the merchant acquiring business as your specialists like us that enter the space. This actually will enable a more rational pricing approach and therefore may support a more favorable pricing in the market going forward. Again, we consider this to be a clear opportunity for us.

On volumes, it's a little bit too early to also qualify too much February, also because February itself in the very beginning had some benefits from an easier comp with last year. What we have seen so far is broadly in line with our expectations. Again, it is a bit softer maybe than the 17% average, but it's still pretty positive. Bernardo?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

Yeah. Ratepay is, if you work the numbers in terms of the normalization, you will see that on a year-on-year basis, revenues, top line revenues, actually decreased. As I said, this is a voluntary decrease or voluntary management of Ratepay, given that funding is a scarce resource. More importantly, you know, these are businesses, especially in rising rate environments, which are capable of creating huge bottom line losses as some other BNPL players, who announce results have shown. We were careful to make sure that Ratepay didn't book a loss for 2022 in terms of its bottom line. We are, as I said, preparing it for exit.

Overall, in absolute terms, as I said, if you work the numbers in terms of normalization, you'll see we're missing approximately EUR 20 million of revenues from the top line in 2022 compared to 2021 for Ratepay. This came as a decision back in the summer last year when we were preparing for the Capital Markets Day that we would dispose of the asset and therefore manage the second half of the year based on that. We also had some other effects which we knew of in terms of Ratepay's journey emancipating itself from its original parent company, the Otto Group, which also, you know, affect the performance. That was, I'd say, always planned back from the time of the acquisition of Ratepay.

Justin Forsythe
Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Got it. I guess one quick follow-up, Bernardo, on the Ratepay thing. Would you say the majority of the impact was concentrated in Q4? I guess Q4, probably higher usage of BNPL historically because of the holiday season. Is that a fair way to look at it?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

I would say so, yes. Just to be sure, I mean, we started preparing for the fourth quarter in the third quarter . You would have had it spread over the second half, I would say.

Justin Forsythe
Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question is from Sandeep Deshpande from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Sandeep Deshpande
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks for letting me on. My question is, firstly, back again to Ratepay. What exactly are you doing at Ratepay, which is bringing down the growth rate at Ratepay at this point? Then secondly, when we look at the second quarter of 2022, when the comps were most difficult for you, your growth was much stronger. Can we talk about what has changed from the second quarter of 20 22 to the fourth quarter of 2022 in terms of the growth? Is it mainly Ratepay where you've changed things from the second quarter of 2022, or is it that the market itself has changed very significantly from the second quarter of 2022? Thank you.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

Sandeep, I'll tell you about the Ratepay, but, so what was the last point you made about the second quarter of 2022? Marketing, did you say?

Sandeep Deshpande
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

No, the dynamics across the year are different quarters.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

In terms of Ratepay, as you can imagine, I mean, this is essentially a consumer finance business where you're lending money and, you know, the way you grow depends on how you price the money you're lending. It's, I would say, pretty easy to manage the top line growth also in terms of acquiring new customers. Your eagerness to grow new customers needs to be matched by your willingness to fund these customers at competitive rates. As I said, we are not in the business of losing money on the bottom line basis, so we manage the business according to that, starting from, I would say, just before the summer of last year.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Sandeep, hi, this is Paolo. Yeah, coming to your second question, hopefully I got it. I think there is again, mainly an issue of comps. If you look at the second quarter, I mean, the quarterly performance across the year, compared with 2019, which is something that we always do, or we've always done over the last couple of years for very obvious reasons. The reality is that the fourth quarter looks very much similar to the second one.

Actually, if you look at total revenues with or without Ratepay, let me look at them without Ratepay, we may be probably being a 1 percentage point softer that I would attribute to a little bit of macro, but EBITDA actually, no, was actually much stronger in the last quarter than the second quarter. I think it goes back to what happened over time.

Sandeep Deshpande
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from James Goodman from Barclays. Please go ahead.

James Goodman
Managing Director, Barclays

Yeah, morning. Thank you. First question, just on the growth acceleration that's planned in both 2023 and in the midterm targets from the around 6% growth that you had in Q4, excluding Ratepay. I think it'd be helpful if you could just take us through where you think the main step-ups in growth are coming from, especially given it sounds like you're internally targeting more of a sort of range above the 7% this year. Given the implied double digit growth that's required beyond 2023, is that still mainly coming from the DACH business? Perhaps you could just help us with a few of the key drivers of that acceleration. Second question, just on the CapEx trajectory.

I think the ordinary CapEx was a bit higher than anticipated this year, if I'm not mistaken. Why was that? What's the explicit CapEx expectation for next year as we think about the components of your excess cash generation target that you've given us? Thank you.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, James. Thank you for your two questions. Let me take the first one. I will hand over to Bernardo for the second one. On your first point, let me be explicit in saying that actually for 2023, we remain cautious given the macro uncertainties. Not the guidance we're giving you is broadly in line with the performance of last year. We don't expect to see a material acceleration in the new year. We may be surprised if macro helps. That's more or less the outlook that we see at the moment. As far as the following years, what will drive the acceleration goes back to what we discussed back in September at Capital Markets Day.

Basically, let me mention three specific elements that will drive that acceleration. First of all, a further acceleration in the underlying German business and DACH more broadly. Number two, an acceleration in the commerce business with a strong focus in the mid-segment across all our geographies. Third, an acceleration in the I ssuing S olutions business on the back of basically two things, the fact that, you know, over time, we will not be affected any longer by some material discounts that were given by Nets as they did renegotiate in the past, you know, the original contracts, and we already start seeing some benefit of that.

Plus, most importantly, the strategic evolution of our propositions, not just in the Nordics, but across the board towards the more advanced digital issuing and payment-as-a-service type of products. Those are the key elements. Bernardo?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

Can I just clarify, James, going back to just to put some numbers to Paolo's answer. If you look at the full year for 2022 based on a perimeter which is being, let's say, performant for Capital Markets Day, so the, the guidance that we are giving to you now, that we grew 8% in 2022 full year, and we're guiding to 7% as a floor, so there's no growth, which is the floor, right? At least 7%, so there's no growth implicit in that guidance. If we look at the fourth quarter, the exit rate of this year, and you normalize not only for Ratepay, which, we're moving to below, the top line, as you know, doesn't have any impact on the bottom line. We've discussed that.

If you normalize for Ratepay and also for that year-on-year effect in the fourth quarter of scheme fees, et cetera, which I mentioned earlier, that growth in the fourth quarter is absolutely in line with the full year guidance for 2023. Just to be clear on that. With regards to CapEx, as I said, we peaked and we plan to have peaked in CapEx for 2022. Next year, we start our descent towards that below 10% level by 2025. And I can give you just I'd say add to that we expect overall CapEx on absolute terms to be lower in 2023 than in 2022. Not much lower, I would say, but lower.

James Goodman
Managing Director, Barclays

Okay. That's helpful. Thank you. I think it was the scheme fee weighting perhaps that I was missing. Just one very quick clarification, if I could. Just on the press around UniCredit potentially spinning out some aspects of their payments business. Just wanted to make sure that would be, you know, have no implications from your perspective or on Nexi long-term processing arrangement with the bank.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

James, let me take this up. UniCredit is a very important customer for Nexi. We have a long-standing relationship and also a contract that extends this relationship to 2036. That's basically now the base of the relationship. As you have read or the rumors are saying that the bank is now continuously reconsidering their payment strategy, and I think this is very typical of most of the large banks. We are having conversations with other banks also outside of Italy on the evolution of their payment strategy. Obviously, we are happy to be part of those conversations, but again, the base of the relationship is a very long-term contract that is in place as we speak.

James Goodman
Managing Director, Barclays

Very clear. Thank you. Appreciate it.

Operator

The next question is from Hannes Leitner from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Hannes Leitner
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Yes. Good morning. Thank you for letting me on. I've also a couple of questions. Given that you put now Ratepay and the Nets DBS business is available for sale, maybe you can remind us or what is your expectations on the timeline, the Capital Markets Day couple of months back. In terms of cash generation, I think you raised EUR 900 million new debt facility. Can you remind us there about the interest payment you have, and what is your expectation of any upcoming refinancing in terms of pricing? The last one is just on headcount. You indicated that you are ramping up your own sales force. Maybe you can give us there an update about the headcount evolution and that increase in sales, direct sales force. Thank you.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Hannes. Let me maybe comment on the last one, and then I will hand over to Bernardo for the first couple. Yes, you're right. We are continuously actually investing in our business and exactly in the direction of what I mentioned before, and therefore now strengthening and growing faster in Germany, accelerating in e-commerce, and in advanced digital issuing, but also more in general, now strengthening our go-to market across most of the geographies also in terms of direct channels and go-to market. We are last year, we've optimized our investments given the macro uncertainties. You may remember at this call last year that we talked about investing part of the synergies.

We have done it, but only partially last year given the market uncertainties, and it is also supporting this amazing 311 basis point margin expansion. Now, a part of those investments will continue this year, and we plan to increase, I don't remember the exact number but in a substantial way, our front end of the business in the market, especially on those areas. Let me repeat it again. In general, DACH and go-to-market in DACH, I would say e-commerce go-to-market across all geographies and SME go-to-market and new channels across all geographies. Bernardo, first and second.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

We have the two assets which we bucketed available- for- sale. I think we are further ahead in the process with eID, which has raised quite an amount of interest, you know, from a very broad range of potential buyers. I would say that is something which is well on track, and we expect to be successful in our disposal process in the coming months. Ratepay is a little more complicated because of the overall funding environment, which I mentioned earlier. I think We're managing the business so as to make sure that it is broadly neutral from a bottom line perspective for us, and at the same time, you know, managing, you know, the business so that it's ready to be sold.

I would say timing on that is a little longer given given the market it operates in and the current overall environment. Importantly, you should, you know, take note of what I said. This is not burning a hole in our pocket. It's actually being managed in line with what I was mentioning earlier with regards to our with regards to our funding needs and abilities. With regards to funding, you also asked about the EUR 900 million loan facility. As you remember, we announced this back at the time of the Capital Markets Day, and the spread we obtained was I think It was absolutely in line with the IPO facilities. I failed to remember the actual number. I think it was 1 5/8.

We subsequently swapped it to maintain the fixed variable rate mix in our funding portfolio. When we swapped it on a five -year basis, I think the all-in cost was just around or just shy of 5 percentage points. If you look at where our bonds are trading today, I would say the five -year money costs us in the region of 5.5%. Any new funding on a five-year basis would be at that level. Clearly, funding going forward, you know, a lot of our debt is legacy debt from the acquisitions by the sponsors of Nets and Nexi.

Going forward, we are hugely cash generative, and over time, I think our need to refinance through capital markets will be substantially lower than what it was in the past.

Hannes Leitner
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

You're welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Antonin Baudry from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Antonin Baudry
Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Good morning, Paolo and Bernardo, thank you to take my question. Two questions, if I may. The first one, would it possible to update us on the integration of platforms of the group? It can be acquiring platforms, on processing platforms. Where are you in this journey? My second one is about your M&A strategy. Would it possible to give us more color about opportunities of M&As in Europe, which geographies, on the capacity you have with your current level of debt to self-finance M&A? Thank you.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Antonin, and thank you for both questions. Let me try to take them. On platform consolidation, basically, in our plan every year, we shut down platforms and data centers and so on and so forth. This year, I mean, last year, we did actually consolidate five data centers and a couple of processing platforms. We expect in the new year to basically, you know, do it in reverse and therefore consolidate another couple of data centers and about five to seven processing platforms.

This is an ongoing work, this is the reason why now, in the new year, you know, we expect to see a good contribution of the technology area on our cost synergies. On M&A, listen, as we said in the past, our key focus remains in the Merchant S ervices business, and in particular, in either merchant book acquisitions either to consolidate in geographies where we are already present or to enter into new geographies when they are very attractive. This is exactly the case of Spain.

The second area of potential investment for us is the one of capabilities, products, technologies, especially, I would say, in the e-commerce space, and maybe to a second level, software integration space. Again, if you look at our pipeline, it's a very focused pipeline. And it's a very focused pipeline of small to medium-size type of deals that doesn't create any specific pressure on our funding abilities. Perfectly compatible with the plans that we did share with you at the Capital Markets Day.

Antonin Baudry
Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Thank you. Maybe a quick word on the evolution of the competition you see. Do you see major change in the evolution of competition in the geographies you cover?

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

No. I mean, I would say no major changes. Always a combination of more global specialized competitors that come on specific segments with global platforms that are obviously good to serve global customers, but very often struggle to be able to adapt to the local environment, and that's where we win, being more entrenched and being much more local. Very local competitors that normally are a bit more price-aggressive and struggle to deliver the same type of proposition that we can deliver to our customers.

Antonin Baudry
Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Thank you very much, Paolo.

Operator

The next question is from Sébastien Sztabowicz from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Sébastien Sztabowicz
Head of IT Hardware & Semis Sector Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. You mentioned some initial discussions with some potential banking partners. Where do you see these kind of discussions happening right now? Is there any specific geographies where you see more discussions with some potential banking partners? The second one is on the transformation CapEx for 2023. Where do you see transformation CapEx trending in 2023? Do you believe you will remain in your CapEx range for the ongoing CapEx for 2023? Basically, a little bit more clarity on the CapEx will be well appreciated. The last one is on the ISV strategy. You mentioned a partnership with Olivetti right now. Could you comment a little bit on the strategy there and the progress you made in the different geographies like Italy, Nordics, and Germany? Thank you.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Sébastien, this is Paolo. Let me try to take the first and the last, and I will hand over to Bernardo for the second then. These banking partners, unfortunately, I have to give you a short answer in the sense that I cannot tell you which are the geographies that we're having conversations with. Again, it's really, really focused. We don't follow all possible options that are around and so on and so forth. It's really, really a handful of conversations that are happening. Again, the way you have to think about it is attractive markets where we're already present, where consolidation can happen, and new, very attractive markets.

Again, if you think about Europe, there are not that many where we're not present that can be considered highly attractive. Let me just add the fact that we are having conversations not only with banking partners, but also with specialized companies that have specific capabilities that are interesting for us and that may be in the current environment are struggling a little bit more than in the past. This is clearly a good opportunity for us. On the ISV partnerships, let me go back to what I think Roberto Sertori presented at the Capital Markets Day.

By the way, we may be having an update on some verticals over the next months to give you some more flavor and color on the progress there. In general, we are going for two type of partnerships here. One is with the market leaders that are covering multiple segments, and that's very much the case with Italy, where basically the top four or five market leaders go across the different segments and all together, you know, cover 40%-50% of the market. Here we already partner with most of them. Very specialized ones that are very, very vertical. I think in my page before you, I gave some very specific example like wellness.

You don't have only the hospitality, the restaurants, and all of that, but you start to see micro segments emerging. For us here, on both cases, the partnerships are a combination of combining propositions, but most importantly, going to market together with our products and services. On CapEx, Bernardo?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

Yeah, we gave you the planned spend. It was EUR 173 million this year on transformation CapEx. We plan to spend a further EUR 130 million over the next couple of years. Most of it, I would say, is next year. That EUR 173 million will probably be around EUR 100 million in 2023 of transformation CapEx and the residual amount in 2024, and potentially a final tail in 2025. EUR 130 million is the number, and we don't expect that to go up unless obviously there's huge transformation M&A, which we don't expect.

Sébastien Sztabowicz
Head of IT Hardware & Semis Sector Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

For the ongoing CapEx, where do you see the ongoing CapEx team, the target range?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

We gave, I think, and when I answered James, I think I referred to the fact that next year we will spend less in total than we spent this year, not much less. As a percentage of revenues, with revenues growing, obviously that percentage comes down. I gave you an indication of transformation CapEx. The rest will be ordinary CapEx and terminals.

Sébastien Sztabowicz
Head of IT Hardware & Semis Sector Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

You're welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Mohammed Moawalla from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Mohammed Moawalla
Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great. Thank you. Hi, Paolo. Hey, Bernardo. A couple of questions from me. Firstly, can you just confirm in your kind of above 7% revenue growth guidance, are you still expecting Merchant Services revenue to grow double digit? Secondly, can you talk us through the shape of growth? I know Q1 has some relatively easier comps, given what you're seeing year to date, how should we think of that growth evolution? Beyond the macro, is there anything else that's sort of driving maybe perhaps some of that caution in the top line growth guidance you've given? Thank you very much.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Mo. Two simple, I think, answers. The first one is a simple yes. We expect to see double-digit growth again for the Merchant S ervices business, with a special contribution from e-commerce and DACH, but actually with nice growth across all geographies. To the second question, your guess is obviously right. When you look at the shape for the year, at least, what we were able to plan for now, basically is assuming a slightly better performance in Q1, based on easier comp in January and more or less consistent performance in the other three quarters.

To be honest with you, we have not done specific assumptions around macro evolution throughout the year because, I think, we don't want to compete with central banks and people that are better than us doing those expectations. We have taken basically an approach to the year, which is based on the recent estimates, around that is broadly in line with what we saw on the back of Capital Markets Day expectations.

Mohammed Moawalla
Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Can I just maybe one for Bernardo. You had the kind of EUR 100 million of deferred tax benefit in 2022. How should we think of the sort of EUR 600 million? Is that sort of EUR 500 million on underlying basis, or can you kind of absorb that EUR 100 million sort of deferred tax headwind and still generate in excess of that for 2023?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

You should think of it as we have EUR 100 million more of cash in our opening balance. We will generate EUR 600 million of cash during the course of 2023. EUR 100 million of that will pay the tax liability. Money is fungible, so either you can take it from wherever you want. We said we generated EUR 400 million in 2022, and we'll generate EUR 600 million in 2023. You should look at it as either, you know, that EUR 400 million is actually EUR 300 million, and we double that amount to EUR 600 million, or the EUR 400 million goes to EUR 500 million. I mean, ultimately, the EUR 100 million, you can take it from one end or the other, but the cash generation from the business in 2023 is EUR 600 million.

Mohammed Moawalla
Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Thank you very much.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Thank you, Mo.

Operator

The next question is from Aditya Buddhavarapu from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Aditya Buddhavarapu
VP of European Software, IT Services & Payments Equity Research, Bank of America

Great. Thanks so much for taking my question. Most of them are already done. Just quickly on 2023, can you just talk about the priorities for the use of cash between deleveraging M&A cash returns? It's something that you touched upon at the CMD last year. Second, can you also elaborate on the scope for maybe some more disposals in any part of the group? Finally, just on again, in 2023 for the outlook, you had some impact from exiting some of those riskier contracts or riskier merchants in Germany. You had some impact from price renegotiation in the Nordics. Can you maybe give us the number on what is the impact from those in 2022 and, you know, what do you expect for 2023 on those things?

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Aditya. Use of cash. Let me go back to what we said back in September. Again, we have three ways-- there are three ways we look at it. The criteria ultimately is EPS accretion and value for our shareholders. You have the M&A option, and we discussed it before. Again, a very focused pipeline of small to medium-sized situations. Second, paying back debt, but I want to underline the fact that in 2023, we have no debt to be repaid. Obviously, we'll continue to optimize our debt profile as based on market evolution, but we have no debt to be repaid.

Third option remains giving back cash to our shareholders through buybacks or dividends or extraordinary dividends or whatever is the most appropriate at the moment. Therefore, as you think about 2023, you should have in mind the first and the third of these options. Again, the criteria will continue to be shareholder value creation, and EPS is going to be the key KPI for us. As far as disposals are concerned, as you've understood from Bernardo, we are busy working on Ratepay and Yapily, but we continuously re-look at our portfolio to make sure that it's optimal for us in terms of strategy and growth profile going forward.

Honestly, also, that we are the best owners of the specific assets, and we can really create the best possible value out of them. We will continuously review it. Those two are not the only things that we are looking at. Last but not least, riskier contracts. Your memory is right. In the year, we have been affected by the two components that you have mentioned. I think, in the new year, there is a little bit more on those contract renewals, discounts that you were mentioning for the Nordics. Actually, some of it has been, quote-unquote, postponed from 2022, so it has been affecting 2022 less than expected.

There'll be some impact in 2023, while I think on the cleanup of high volume, riskier contracts that we were not liking, I think most of the work is behind our shoulders.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

That was impacting more volume, I would say, right?

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

It was impacting more volume than revenues, yes.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

I mean, overall, I think in terms, just to give it a size, I mean, we're talking about significantly less than 1% of total revenues in terms of what we're talking about here.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Absolutely.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

For 2022.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Yeah. Said that, we will continue to remain focused. Again, I think this is really, really important because we look at volumes as a proxy of performance. I understand why, obviously. Ultimately, that's not the way we look at our business with that. We don't go for volumes. We go for profitable revenues, and by the way, with low complexity.

Aditya Buddhavarapu
VP of European Software, IT Services & Payments Equity Research, Bank of America

Great. That's very clear. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Gianmarco Bonacina from Equita. Please go ahead.

Gianmarco Bonacina
Deputy Head of Research, Equita

Yes. Good morning. A couple of questions, please. The first one is about the synergies. If you can tell us what you have embedded in your 2023 outlook in terms of synergies, both maybe gross and net on the top line and on cost. The second one is more on the commercial momentum. Clearly, you discussed about the fact that you reshaped a little bit some of the merchant base. Do you expect to have a stronger growth in terms of net merchant in 2023? How is your pipeline already on this front? Thank you.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Hi, Gianmarco. Good morning. Let me take the second and hand over to Bernardo for the first. Listen, we obviously are working to maintain a strong commercial momentum. I think we've been consistently adding that amount of customers on a rolling basis if you look, if you go back to last year or so. Take into consideration the fact that we'll be focusing more and more on the mid-segment. Therefore again, customer numbers or number of terminals are not necessarily the perfect API, but it's more the revenue contribution of them.

Again, we expect to see these continuing into an environment that as expected will become more competitive going forward, again, as expected. Bernardo, on synergies?

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

On synergies, I think, you know, you often ask us about integration. Integration is well on track. Actually, it's completed from a corporate standpoint, and we are delivering, as Paolo was saying, on our IT strategies and synergy strategies. We gave you one final time, say an update on 2022, EUR 110 million. The target was EUR 100 million. On Capital Markets Day, we said we would generate north of EUR 420 million of overall cash synergy in the planned period, and we remain committed to it. We won't be giving detailed disclosure with regards to synergies going forward. I think we've increased the level of guidance to cash and bottom line EPS, and synergies ultimately feed that.

What is a synergy becomes incredibly difficult to, you know, to map, especially on revenues, but also on costs once you're an integrated group. I think if we were able to, or if we wanted to, we could, but I think it's more detail than necessary. You have the bottom-line guidance, the cash guidance. That is also fed by synergies going forward.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Yeah. As we have integrated the company now fully into one organization, honestly, we continue to track it internally because we want to make sure we deliver what we deliver, but honestly, giving you numbers would be a little bit not serious because there are so many estimates into it that doesn't make any sense. Again, they're fully embedded in the long-term guidance. They're fully embedded in the current guidance for next year, for this year.

Gianmarco Bonacina
Deputy Head of Research, Equita

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Simonetta Chiriotti from Mediobanca. Please go ahead.

Simonetta Chiriotti
Equity Research Analyst, Mediobanca

Hello, good morning. A couple of quick questions. The first is on the technical table on fees with Italian government that, according to the press, started yesterday. If you could give us an update on what you expect from these conversations. The second, if you could provide us the underlying trend in Southern Europe that in the last quarter of the year was a bit weaker than in previous quarters. Thank you.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Simonetta, good morning, and thank you for both questions. I'll let Bernardo comment on the underlying trend. On the government initiative, as you said, the government will call the table to convene at some point in March. The table has to basically close and come to a conclusion by the end of March, and we are happy it's gonna be a focused process and a short process. As you can imagine, across the ecosystem, there are ongoing conversations based on what we see and how we see those conversations evolving.

Basically, we believe that it will be fairly possible to come to a conclusion that basically meets the government objectives while at the same time having no material impact on our P&L. Take into consideration the fact that there's always that here the government is looking at measures to support small merchants on small transactions, and Nexi has been four years ago, I think, now the first one to go to market with some specific solutions for that. We are well equipped, and we are already now moving in that direction.

Bernardo Mingrone
CFO, Nexi

In terms of Southeastern Europe, I think, it's important to note that it's not really about volumes there. As we called out, it's more related to project work. I would mention three things, I'd say, affecting performance, not only in the fourth quarter but for the full year. Southeastern Europe, one, I think we called out back at the time of the breakout of war in Ukraine. We lost a client, which was a subsidiary of Russian Bank. One of the geographies in that accounted for EUR 2 million of revenues for the year.

I would call out two other things. One is, I would say generalized project work for the multiple banks. We're, you know, present in many geographies across Southeastern Europe, and this is pretty fragmented across the board, and there's no real reason for just a slowdown, which as is, you know, given the size of the division, we're not talking about huge amounts of money. The final one is we had a delay, you know, with regards to DCC -related revenues. We had, I would say, supply side events which basically caused a slowdown in the growth in that business in the area and the supply of POS terminals in those geographies. They're all very fragmented, no one single trend, and it's not about volumes.

Simonetta Chiriotti
Equity Research Analyst, Mediobanca

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Alexandre Faure from BNP Paribas Exane. Please go ahead.

Alexandre Faure
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Hi. Good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for letting me on. I had a question on I ssuing S olutions, and I think Bernardo, you sort of touched on a slowdown in project work. I don't know if that relates more to DBS or to Issuing S olutions, but I guess more broadly, I'm curious if you've seen any macro impact in I ssuing S olutions affecting project work. I think on the Q4 earnings call, Paolo, you also mentioned one very large new customer who was moving as fast as they could in doing new work with you. I'm wondering if it's still ongoing at the moment.

My second question is on UniCredit. You mentioned that very long-term agreement with them. I suppose there's a breakup clause in that contract. I'm wondering if the penalty attached to that clause might be, you know, in the triple digit million of euros or more double digit. Just give us a sense there, would be helpful. Thank you very much.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Good morning, Alexandre. listen, on the I ssuing S olutions, you're right, actually, the lower project work is actually happening in I ssuing S olutions. On the other hand, in DBS, we had more than expected and more than last year project work. As you can see from this, there is not a trend here. These are specific situations that combined make a difference. Never forget that when you start looking at the quarterly numbers, a million or two make a huge difference in terms of percentages. We don't see any specific worrying trend on Issuing Solutions and simply and not even an exciting trend in DBS. So, no new news, just a quarterly effect.

On your second one, to be honest with you, I don't remember exactly what I was referring to back, but let me try to reconstruct it. In any case, we are doing, we are having conversations with many, many, many customers in terms of doing more work for them, in particular banks. I would say with every single bank that we serve today, we are having conversations for doing more products, doing more value-added services for them, for example, on CVM and so on and so forth. This goes for corporates as well.

Eni is a good example of a bank, sorry, of a corporate that is probably our largest corporate customer across the group that is keen to expand the relationship with us across more products and services and more geographies. There is not one case. If we're referring to instead new customers, definitely I would have in mind the Commerzbank. That has been, I would say a long process as it normally happens in these cases, that is something that we are very happy with. On the UniCredit contract, there is no breakup clause.

Alexandre Faure
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Got it. Thank you very much.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Thank you, Alexandre.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press star and one on your telephone. Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone. Mr. Bertoluzzo, there are no more questions registered at this time.

Paolo Bertoluzzo
CEO, Nexi

Thank you. Thank you to all of you for attending. We planned to close it by 9:00 A.M. to let you go to market, but we missed the target by 15 minutes, 15-18 minutes. Again, thank you for attending. The key message, strong progress in 2022, looking forward to 2023, pretty much in line with more progress, more growth for the business, more cash generation for the business in line with the acceleration that we're seeing last year. We will be on the road over the next few weeks in the U.K., then potentially in the U.S. Hopefully we'll meet many of you then. In the meantime, please come back to us with any questions on the details of our presentations and our disclosure.

Thank you very much. Have a good day. Bye.

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