Poste Italiane S.p.A. (BIT:PST)
Italy flag Italy · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
22.23
-0.06 (-0.27%)
Apr 27, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q4 2025

Feb 26, 2026

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Good morning, everyone, thank you for joining us today. Over the next hour, we'll be presenting our Full Year 2025 Preliminary Results, as well as our 2026 Strategy Update. As you can see from the agenda on the screen, our CEO, Matteo Del Fante, will kick off with an overview of the main achievements to date, our strategic priorities, and key financial targets for 2026. Our CFO, Camillo Greco, will take the floor to deep dive into the financials. After some closing remarks from our CEO, we will open the Q&A session. For any topics we won't be able to cover today, please do reach out to the investor relations team, and we'll be happy to follow up.

With that, I think we can start, and Matteo, over to you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Good morning, everyone, and a very warm welcome to Poste Italiane 2025 preliminary results and 2026 strategy update. Today, we will be running through our record 2025 results, our 2026 guidance and remuneration policy, as well as our strategic priorities going forward. 2025 has been an exceptional year for Poste Italiane. We deliver the strongest results in our history with record revenues and offices, and 49,000 third-party touchpoints. Overall, we manage 27 million phygital daily interaction with our 46 million clients, 19 million of which are digitally enabled. We are Italy connecting tissue, a platform built on trust, scale, and nationwide proximity, committed to generating value for all stakeholders and delivering consistent financial returns to our shareholders.

Let's move to slide 8, please. In 2025, revenues reached EUR 13.12 billion, and adjusted EBIT rose to EUR 3.24 billion, underscoring the strength of our strategy and flawless execution. Net profit of EUR 2.22 billion comes in at the high end of the updated guidance that we released in July. Shareholder remuneration growth is fully aligned with profitability. With the proposed EUR 1.25 per share for 2025, our dividend has increased at an average annual rate of 15% consistently since 2017. Moving to slide 9. With the obvious sole exception of the COVID year, we have a proven track record of consistently outperforming our initial EBIT guidance. This highlights the strength of our diversified business model and the consistency of our execution.

Let's move to slide 10 on shareholder remuneration. Since 2016, we have returned EUR 9 billion to our shareholders. Over the same period, our market capitalization increased over 3.5x , from approximately EUR 8 billion at the end of 2016, to around EUR 30 billion today. This means that our total shareholder return has materially outperformed Italian market index by 2.5x . With a record net profit of EUR 2.22 billion, dividends for 2025 will amount to EUR 1.6 billion or EUR 1.25 per share. This represent a remarkable 21% average annual growth since 2020.

Moving to slide 11. In 2025, we further strengthen our platform by delivering across all our strategic priorities. We completed the migration to the Super App, the single AI power access point to our entire ecosystem. We acquired a 27% stake of ordinary shares in TIM, and we're working together on initiative designed to unlock tangible industrial synergies.

Finally, we expanded our role in Italy's digital transformation with the acquisition of a 49% stake in PagoPA. We consolidated our position as the number one parcel operator in Italy with record net revenues. In financial services, we reached record investment portfolio revenues at EUR 2.7 billion, while in insurance services, we posted a solid growth in protection, with gross written premium up 21% year-on-year to EUR 1.2 billion. Finally, we have reached a milestone, TIM Energia, powered by Poste Italiane, with very promising early commercial results, reinforcing our confidence in the strong growth opportunities ahead of us.

Let's move to slide 12, please. Let's now look at some KPIs demonstrating the strength of our digital platform, which is the largest in Italy today. In recent year, we have made substantial investment in our digital platform, expanding our footprint and strengthening customer loyalty across all business lines. This platform is at the core of our strategy and remains a key enabler of sustainable growth. We continue to scale our digital infrastructure. Since 2017, we have deployed EUR 6.7 billion in technology, with more than 70% dedicated to transformational projects. We have also strengthened our capabilities with 2,500 IT specialists, enabling us to accelerate the time to market and support the evolution of our business. At the same time, we have moved decisively towards a multi-cloud architecture, with around EUR 200 million in cloud consumption in 2025 alone, and approximately 90% of initiatives being cloud-native. This infrastructure gives us flexibility, resilience, and scalability while reducing cost over time.

Our platform is increasingly AI and data-driven, with more than 4 billion transaction analyzed in 2025, improving customer insights, operational efficiency, and product personalization. Our goal is to fully unlock the platform effect by starting with a simple premise: A satisfied digital client is, for Poste, a lifelong client. Moreover, hybrid clients seamlessly using our digital and physical channels show a cross-selling ratio roughly 2.5x higher than single channel users. Bear in mind that each additional cross-selling points generates a threefold increase in revenues per client.

Moving to slide 13. Our Super App is the core of our omni-channel strategy. We have successfully completed the migration from our legacy apps to a single, unified platform that now serves 16 million users. It has already become the number one Italian app, with 4.2 million daily active users, more than the combined total value of all our previous apps together. The Super App is designed as an AI-driven gateway that strengthens our omni-channel capabilities, boosting digital sales while also increasing post office sales initiated through digital engagement, a dynamic we like to refer to as drive to the post office effect. In fact, in 2025, 44% of our total sales involve a digital contribution. 26% were completed through direct digital channels and 19% through the drive to post office effect.

Overall, this represent a 19% increase year-on-year. The clear success story is in postal savings, where digitally induced inflows accounted for 45% of the total, with a 29% year-on-year increase. In 2025, hybrid or omni-channel buyers generated 35% more sales per customer than offline buyers, and 18% compared to 2024, a clear sign of moving in the right direction. This is only the beginning of our journey, as the Super App is still far from reaching its full potential.

Let's move to slide 14. Sustainability continues to be a key strategic enabler of our long-term value creation. With the Polis Project, we are supporting greater social and territorial cohesion while strengthening our local presence. The project is fully on track, providing public administration services through more than 4,800 offices already transformed. We have the largest eco-friendly fleet in Italy, and continue to invest in energy transition project, with the goal of improving network efficiency and reducing environmental impact while generating cost savings. We're proud to have earned and maintained a solid ESG reputation, as underscored by our inclusion in leading ESG indices, and ratings.

Let's move to slide 15 for a closer look at our people strategy. Our people, as we always say, are the most important asset of the firm, and I would like to thank them for their continued hard work, and dedication, and commitment to Poste Italiane long-term success. Our workforce has consistently evolved since 2017, and eight years, almost nine down the roads, our people, on average, are three years younger. This is clearly a clear sign of the transformation we enable.

We also have today a much higher level of education, as you can see. Women are a driving force within the organization, representing 53%, more than 50% of the population, and holding 46% of middle and senior management position. HR cost per FTE is up double digit since 2017, and will grow more for the agreements that we have with the stakeholders, underscoring our commitment to reward our people for their exceptional contribution. As the AI accelerates investment in training and reskilling has become essential, our insourcing program has enabled us to reskill 2,000 employee in the past five years, delivering around EUR 40 million in run rate cost savings, while preserving employment levels.

Finally, let me highlight that Poste Italiane has been certified as a top employer for the seventh consecutive year, an award that recognizes excellence in HR policies, focusing on employee well-being, inclusion, training, and development.

Let's move now to our key strategic priorities from slide 17. These are the initiatives that will be at the center of our new multi-year plan that will be released before year-end. AI will be a key growth accelerator of our strategic plan, helping us serve customer better, grow revenues, and reduce cost in a sustainable way. AI powers the personalization of our Super App, boosting digital sales and generating drive to post office effect, and at the same time, is able to provide smart sales recommendation to our financial advisors in post offices. It is also reshaping our logistic network.

Predictive models now support planning, warehouse management, and routing of our 1 million, over 1 million parcel every single day. This means fewer kilometers driven, faster deliveries, lower operating cost and a tangible reduction in CO₂ emission. In customer services, the implementation of AI tools has brought our cost to serve down by 30% compared to 2020, and we expect to see around EUR 30 million additional savings on a run rate basis over the next four years. In IT alone, the use of AI for requirements gathering and new product development will massively reduce time to delivery of new products and solutions. Thanks to AI, we will optimize external professional services and maintenance, generating EUR 1 million recurring cost savings over the next four years. Importantly, AI is also empowering our people.

Tool such as Copilot are helping teams to work faster and smarter. Thanks to higher employee productivity, we have reduced 2026 corporate center new hirings by 15% compared to the average of the past four years. To make AI truly scalable across our digital operations, we must create a digital brain for the entire organization by digitalizing all corporate knowledge and implementing an agentic AI framework, supported by our robust and efficient hybrid cloud infrastructure. In summary, AI is elevating Poste Italiane, unlocking the new revenues opportunity, enabling smarter and more efficient operation, empowering the next chapter of our growth.

Let's move to slide 18. Let me give you a brief progress update on our strategic initiative with TIM. We have now launched around 10 work streams designed to unlock synergies. With these projects are work in process, and we will take time to mature. The direction is very clear. The foundations are solid, and early results are encouraging. In the meantime, our initial EUR 1.3 billion cash investment has more than doubled in value. It is a powerful sign of market confidence in TIM transformation and the new long-term industrial rationale. Let me briefly walk you through some of the key initiatives already underway. The migration of Poste Italiane to TIM Mobile Infrastructure is undergoing and will generate around EUR 25 million annual rate, cost saving for Poste.

TIM Energia, powered by Poste Italiane, has seen a strong initial customer response. We have also launched our consumer and SME protection insurance products across TIM retail stores and online, with encouraging early traction. In parallel, we are progressing towards the insourcing of selected TIM services, a move that could generate up to EUR 100 million additional revenues for Poste Italiane, while also advancing several work stream on joint procurement in cost savings opportunities. Through the JV with TIM Enterprise, we aim to create a national champion with best-in-class capability across cloud, sovereign cloud, AI, open source, IoT, and cybersecurity.

In parallel, we are also in discussion to acquire a 20% stake in Polo Strategico Nazionale, where TIM already owns 45%. Polo Strategico Nazionale or PSN, is a national strategic asset whose key mission is to create an innovative, secure, and sustainable cloud infrastructure for all Italian public administrations, central and local. This is without question, a multi-year journey. Benefits will materialize progressively as project reach maturity and the execution steps are completed. We're building a partnership designed not for quick wins, but for durable, long-term, and sustainable value creation for the two groups.

Let's move to slide 19. We take always pride in operating the largest network in the country, serving 1 million customer every day in communities all over Italy, a number that has remained stable even as our digital channels continue to grow. Today, thanks to recent legislative and regulatory development, our post offices are finally being recognized as a fully-fledged market network. The 2026 Budget Law has extended the universal service obligation to 2036, allowing us to leverage on third-party networks to provide the service, freeing our post offices to focus on higher value services.

As a result of the 2024 amendments to the 1990 antitrust law, we have no residual obligation to grant access to our network to competitors' products. Finally, relevant Italian and E.U. authorities have confirmed that our USO compensation is not linked to post office and network cost. The implementation of the new commercial service model is progressing as planned. This transformation is strengthening the way we serve our clients by improving the quality of our coverage and deepening the relationship we build with them every day. For our premium and affluent segments, we reach a 69% specialized coverage today, and we're heading towards our 80% target in 2027, one year ahead of plan.

A key enabler of this transformation will be the post office network reconfiguration towards a more efficient hub-and-spoke model, expected to be in place in 2027. This change will deliver better network governance, stronger engagement from small and medium offices and more options for our clients. Poste is a unique network, by far the largest in Italy, able to provide the broadest distribution and service capabilities.

Let's move to slide 20, please. Let me now discuss briefly what will be a key pillar of our new multi-year plan we will announce by year-end. We have launched a small group reorganization process to create a new financial hub, a strategic step that will further strengthen our client-centric approach and platform effect. We're bringing together our payment business with our broader financial services activities to unlock cross-selling opportunities, harnessing growth and potential of Postepay clients.

Over the past decade, the number of Postepay cards has grown at an impressive 7% compound annual rate, with IBAN backed Postepay Evolution cards reaching 11 million at the end of last year. This reorganization will be a key step towards maximizing and extracting the value of our client base, enhancing, selling, cross-selling by better addressing our clients every day and long-term needs. The new setup will ensure stronger network engagement on our key strategic priorities, and significantly improve time to market. Capital optimization will generate additional revenues for the group already in the short term. This integration is also a driver of efficiency.

By streamlining group functions and capturing scale and scope advantages, we expect to deliver cost synergies, effectively redeploying 25% of current Postepay and BancoPosta emerging employees to support anticipated growth of the overall group. The reorganization is expected to be completed by the beginning of 2027, subject to regulatory approval from Bank of Italy. More to come on this with our new plan, please stay tuned.

Let's move to slide 22. Let's briefly look at the key drivers of our 2026 guidance by business unit, starting from Mail and Parcel. In Mail, we will continue to use repricing to mitigate the volume decline. Going forward, the new USO service will enable efficiencies, thanks to more relaxed level of service requirements, such as the elimination of the J+1 deliveries. Through our participation in PagoPA, we will ensure a seamless integration of physical and digital public administration notifications.

Moving to Parcel, we will reinforce our leadership, leveraging our unique asset, such as the unmatched PUDO network and long-standing customer relationships. The internal courier network will be 80% completed in 2026, generating efficiencies and operating leverage through parcel insourcing, expected to reach 50%.

Let's move to financial services on slide 23. In financial services, the focus will be on increasing net inflows of customer assets and cross-selling. From a product perspective, we will continue to introduce a new solution to attract additional liquidity across savings and investment products, and add a market-leading player as a new partner for salary-backed loans. Our financial advisors will be empowered by AI-driven front-end tools that provide smart sales suggestions, guiding them towards the next best action for each client. They will also leverage a Super App powerful drive to post office effect, to enhance client engagement and conversion.

Moving to slide 24 and turning to insurance, we're seeing a positive and supporting environment in the life segment, with steady growth of client assets. Net inflows are recovering across the sector, and improved portfolio returns are giving additional support to the business. We remain focused on our life insurance business to attract fresh liquidity. Protection, where we have doubled our market share in the past four years, will continue to serve as a key growth engine for the group. We see substantial untapped potential within the existing client base and across the Italian market, which we aim to capture through our omnichannel platform. In addition, third-party networks will provide a meaningful contribution to the growth of the business.

Let's move to slide 25. Ahead of the creation of the new financial hub, Postepay services will continue to generate revenue and profitability growth for the group in 2026. In payment, we confirm our above-market growth, driven by e-commerce leadership, and enhanced customer experience. In telco, we expect the stability of customer base and revenues, while the transition to TIM Mobile infrastructure will deliver cost savings already in 2026. Finally, energy growth will be further boosted by the TIM partnership. We are confident to reach 1.4 million contracts by the end of the year.

Let's move to the key financial targets, starting from slide 26. We expect organic revenues to continue to grow steadily, reaching EUR 13.5 billion in 2026, with a positive contribution from all segments and increasing exposure to growing businesses. The growth trajectory will continue into 2026, with an adjusted guidance of more than EUR 3.3 billion and net profit excluding equity accounting of the TIM's stake at EUR 2.3 billion. We will update this guidance and provide visibility beyond 2026 in our multi-year strategic plan before year-end. We are further reinforcing our dividend policy, committing to a payout greater than 70%, applied to the net profit, excluding the TIM's stake, to which we will add the dividends received from TIM on a cash-for-cash basis.

We expect to receive approximately EUR 100 million in cash dividends from TIM in 2027, in addition to stake accretion from the recently announced TIM share buyback of up to EUR 400 million. With Poste Italiane has the largest long-term strategic shareholder, TIM governance has been stabilized, unlocking long-term strategic priorities and paving the way for future earnings and shareholder remuneration growth in the firm.

Let's move to slide 27. Let's look at what underpins our full confidence in by a diversified dividend stream from our subsidiaries, with a solid coverage ratio of around 1.7x in 2025 and 2026. The group cash generation remains strong, with the net financial position improving on an underlying basis, factoring in competitive shareholder remuneration and continued investment in business growth. At the end of 2026, Poste Vita Solvency II will land at a solid 290% Solvency II ratio on a pro forma expected basis. This includes the EUR 500 million additional remittance to be accrued in 2026.

Our leverage remains low, with around EUR 4 billion of untapped debt capacity and growing EBIT. Distributable reserves at the parent company level projected around EUR 4.4 billion by the end of 2026, a EUR 1 billion improvement from EUR 3.4 billion level at the end of 2025.

Thank you now, and over to Camillo for a deep dive into the financials.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Matteo. Good morning, everyone. I, too, am pleased to report that Poste Italiane delivered an excellent set of results in both the fourth quarter and full year 2025. These were the strongest Q4 and full year results ever reported by the group in terms of revenues, EBIT, and net profit. Focusing on the full year, revenues came at EUR 13.1 billion, up 4% year-over-year. Adjusted EBIT at EUR 3.2 billion, net profit at EUR 2.2 billion, both up 10%. In Q4, we posted a record group revenues of EUR 3.5 billion, up 4% year-over-year. Adjusted EBIT reached EUR 729 million, while net profit increased to EUR 447 million, both up 7%.

On slide 30, you can see how our profitability growth continues to be supported by sound top-line progression and cost discipline. Looking ahead, we are guiding for 2026 revenues to reach EUR 13.5 billion, with adjusted EBIT higher than EUR 3.3 billion, and net profit, excluding the impact of the TIM stake, up to EUR 2.3 billion. Our healthy profitability, visibility on cash flows and capital generation give us the confidence to commit to a payout ratio for 2026 higher than 70%, while going forward, we see upside from TIM dividends. In the next slides, we look at 2026 guidance for all our businesses. In 2025, mail parcel and distribution revenues are up 3% to EUR 3.95 billion, with parcel delivering a strong growth across all customer segments.

Mail revenues were in line with guidance and supported by favorable business mix and repricing measures. We expect this trend to continue to 2026. Mail revenues will be supported by repricing actions, partially offsetting structural volume decline. Parcel and logistics revenues are poised to reach mail revenue in 2026, driven by sustained parcel growth across all customer segments and contract and healthcare logistic revenues up more than 20% year-on-year. Overall, we are looking at EUR 4.1 billion external revenues for 2026, while EBIT is expected to be at around EUR 0.1 billion. In financial services, revenues grew 4% to EUR 6.7 billion in 2025, mostly on the back of strong investment portfolio revenues, up 4% to EUR 2.7 billion.

For 2026, we expect the top line at around EUR 6.8 billion, with investment portfolio revenues remaining resilient in a normalized interest rate environment. Our active portfolio management component is already secured for the whole year, and the gross unrealized capital gains, currently amounting to over EUR 2.5 billion, give us ample flexibility to achieve our targets. Postal saving fees will remain stable, benefiting from a renewed product offering and strong commercial focus. Our consumer loans business will continue to be supported by the strength of our multi-year multi-partner partnership model. Finally, higher assets under management will drive higher fees. We have a strong visibility on 2026 investment portfolio revenues and absolute confidence in achieving at least the same revenues as 2025, only with a marginally higher active portfolio management component, which has already been secured.

Our rate sensitivity remains broadly unchanged versus last year. A 100 basis point downward parallel shift of the swap curve would lower fiscal year 2026 NII yield by circa 20 basis points, less than EUR 200 million, while generating EUR 1.9 billion additional gross unrealized capital gains. Insurance service revenues reached over EUR 1.8 billion in 2025, up a remarkable 11% year-on-year, driven by both life and protection. Life investment and pension technical reserves reached EUR 170 billion in 2025, up from EUR 165 billion. We expect our insurance assets to further grow in 2026, and our margins to improve, leading to life revenues of EUR 1.7 billion.

Protection gross written premia grow 21% year-on-year to EUR 1.2 billion, and we see this trend continue also in 2026, where we are targeting EUR 1.3 billion and a further improved combined ratio at 83% or less. This will lead to protection revenues contributing by more than 10% to total insurance revenues. Finally, we anticipate a resilient profitability, supported by positive top-line trends and a slightly lower free capital returns due to the additional remittance to the parent's company. Solvency II ratio at 3% or 4% remains solid and well above the managerial ambition.

In line with what we have announced last year, and thanks to the strong capital buffer, the Solvency ratio embeds the second EUR 500 million tranche of additional remittance to be paid by Poste Vita to the parent company this year, on top of 100% of net profit and the repayment of the EUR 250 million Tier 2 loan done in October 2025. Impressively, over the 2024-2026 period, the total cash remitted by Poste Vita to the parent company will amount to EUR 5 billion, EUR 600 million more than what was originally planned. The performance of the situation, embedding the final EUR 400 million additional remittance tranche to be accrued at the end of 2026, is at around 290%.

2025 saw a 5% revenue growth for Postepay services, up to EUR 1.7 billion, with strong adjusted EBIT up 11%. In 2026, we are looking at revenues of EUR 1.8 billion, with payment revenues sustained by organic growth in transactional value at 7% and total number of transactions up 8%. The energy business will continue to grow in 2026, supported by an enlarged customer base, as well as the contribution from the TIM distribution. We can confirm solid EBIT growth also in 2026. In 2025, we continued to work on our people transformation, driving higher productivity with the value added per FTE reaching EUR 90,000. In 2026, we will further renew our workforce and will focus on our hiring efforts on expanding business activities, leading to 120,000 FTEs by year end.

In 2025, total HR cost came in at EUR 5.73 billion, driven by higher salaries as per the 2024-2027 labor agreement, and a variable component linked to commercial targets. Productivity improving trends are confirmed, with ordinary HR cost on revenues down to 39%. 2026 HR costs are expected at EUR 5.9 billion. Total non-HR costs for 2025 are EUR 4.71 billion, with variable cost trends reflecting higher business volumes. We expect these trends to continue also in 2026, with non-HR costs landing at EUR 5 billion. Variable costs on variable revenues are anticipated to improve to 60%. Let me remark that over the 2024-2026 period, we have achieved EUR 900 million of cumulative cost savings thanks to around 50 different cost reduction initiatives across insourcing, cloud optimization, process automation, energy efficiency, and contracts renegotiation.

As always, our focus on cost discipline remains rather sharp. Protecting our bottom line remains a top priority for the group. At the same time, we continue to increase our CapEx in key areas of development to support the business transformation. In 2026, we expect EUR 1.1 billion CapEx, excluding Polis, with the lion's share of investments in the hybrid cloud transformation and IT platform, coupled with the logistics evolution. All the above investments are at budget and subject to approval of the investment committee, which has a specific return threshold for each project.

That's all from me. Over to Matteo for some closing remarks.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Camillo, and thank you all again for joining us today. Our strategic execution is accelerating. Momentum continues to build. We delivered record results again in 2025, with adjusted EBIT of EUR 3.2 billion and net profit of EUR 2.2 billion, at the upper end of our upgraded guidance. Performance was strong across all businesses, driven by solid commercial progress, discipline, cost management, and healthy investment returns. On the back of these results, we're proposing a full year 2025 dividend per share of EUR 1.25, up 16% year-on-year and corresponding to a 73% payout ratio. This is a clear confirmation of our commitment to delivering sustainable and attractive shareholder return. The EUR 0.85 per share balance will be paid in June this year.

Our leadership in digital, supported by continued investment in AI and data, remains central to our long-term strategy and enable us to innovate continuously to anticipate and meet our client ever-evolving needs. The reorganization bringing together our payments and financial services business is underway. The new financial hub will strengthen client centricity, accelerate time to market, optimize capital, and boost cross-selling, efficiency, and growth, maximizing the value of our platform for sustainable value creation. All of this is supported by our unmatched network, now fully operating at market, with the unparalleled distribution and service capabilities. We continue working closely with TIM to unlock long-term synergies. As TIM largest strategic shareholder, we have helped stabilize governance and unlock strategic value, supporting future value creation and sustainable remuneration for TIM shareholders.

Looking ahead, our 2026 guidance points to an adjusted EBIT higher than EUR 3.3 billion and net profit of EUR 2.3 billion, excluding the TIM stake. We have reinforced our dividend policy going forward, committing to a payout ratio greater than 70%, applied to our net profit, excluding the TIM stake. To this, we will add the dividend received from TIM on a cash-for-cash basis. We remain fully confident in our long-term strategic trajectory, which we will outline in detail in our next multi-year plan by year-end. Please, let me say a few final words in Italian. [Foreign language]

Thank you. Over to Giuseppe for the Q&A session.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Matteo. We'll take your questions now. You can ask a question directly via the audio line or through the webcast platform. Please, if I can ask you to speak clearly into the microphone and limit yourself to two questions. Again, for any topics we won't be able to fully cover today, the IR team and I will be available to follow up. The first question we have today is from Gianluca Farina at Mediobanca. Go ahead, Gianluca.

Gianluca Farina
Senior Quantitative Analyst, Mediobanca

Yes. Hi, good afternoon, everyone. The first one is on page 32, on financial services. I was wondering if you can remind us why EUR 130 million higher revenues is not translating into higher EBIT? The second question is on the EUR 832 million negative operating variances in the CSM in Q4. I think there is a footnote explaining different cash flows, lapses, claims. Again, I thought lapses were improving, so why you got negative operating variances in the quarter? The third is on postal savings, postal products. There is a tremendous improvement in net new money there in Q3 and Q4. This allowed you to reach EUR 1.8 billion.

If I recall properly, you had an upper end of the range at EUR 1.9 billion , assuming certain level of cross flows. Given the results reported in Q3 and Q4, what is needed to get there to the EUR 1.9 billion, assuming this performance is maintained in 2026? If I may, last one, would you ever consider investing in data centers together with TIM? Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Gianluca. I'll start with the final one. We will not invest directly from our balance sheet in data center with TIM, but we are aware that TIM is looking at doing those investment on the real estate side with specialized funds that are focusing on the specific asset class. On financial services, I will ask Camillo, and then--

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

On financial services, it has to do with our infra group relationships and the additional cost of selling the product due to the distribution. It has to do with infra group arrangements.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Okay. on the operating variance--

Giuseppe Lasco
General Manager, Poste Italiane

On the operating variance, Gianluca, as we discussed previously, the higher lapses we had in 2025 were, for half of it, pretty much self-induced by the activity of the network that worked on a client portfolio to rebalance those portfolios. As we anticipate to continue this activity to a lesser extent, also in the next two years, we increased our lapse assumption on the existing portfolio, especially for the next two years, effectively taking upfront the impact of higher self-induced lapses, with the benefit of the new production that will only come when it materializes in 2026 and 2027.

The impact on the P&L of this is not negative. I mean, the P&L is resilient because the effect of higher lapses is a lower liability duration, and therefore, a higher percentage release to the P&L, with the CSM staying stable after release.

Gianluca Farina
Senior Quantitative Analyst, Mediobanca

Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

On parcel, I think, you know--

Gianluca Farina
Senior Quantitative Analyst, Mediobanca

There was a point, it was on parcel or postal savings?

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Postal savings. [crosstalk]

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Postal savings.

Gianluca Farina
Senior Quantitative Analyst, Mediobanca

Postal savings, yes.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

What do we get? What do we need to get to EUR 1.9 billion?

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Well, I mean, the first thing I would say to sort of frame the conversation is that last year we made EUR 1.75 billion on postal savings. This year at EUR 80 million more, because we are at EUR 1.805 billion, and we are above budget. I think that we should sort of, first of all, take note of the fact that 2025 has been an exceptional year with respect to postal saving performance. To also the extent we had positive net inflows, EUR 600 million in the last quarter of the year. Having said that, you know, we are getting into a next leg of that relationship. We are clearly doing what we are supposed to do.

At some point there will be a conversation about how further up the performance can improve. As far as 2026 is concerned, we have a budget, another EUR 1.8 billion, which I remind everyone is [17511849]. There is space to go possibly above also what we did this year, but this year we did make EUR 80 million more than the year before.

Gianluca Farina
Senior Quantitative Analyst, Mediobanca

Do you see net inflows in postal savings in 2026 overall?

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

In postal savings, in 2026, we won't see a net inflows. I think that, historically, what we have done is we have tried to sort of compensate for net outflows with accrued interest on the remaining portfolio, and I think this is a strategy we see also for next year. This year we had net outflows of EUR 5 billion compared to EUR 6 billion in 2024. We had a net positive performance of EUR 1 billion.

Gianluca Farina
Senior Quantitative Analyst, Mediobanca

Brilliant. Thank you very much.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Thank you.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Gianluca. The next question is from Sofie Peterzens at Goldman. Please, Sophie, go ahead.

Sofie Peterzens
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks a lot for taking my question. The first question would be around the new payments and financial services hub. How should we think about the impact on your telco subsidiary, and how should we also think about your stake in TIM, kind of, longer term, now that you have kind of a home product subsidiary or hub left, do you plan to expand into other products?

My second question would be around your Solvency II ratio, which is exceptionally strong. You still have a 290% Solvency II ratio, which includes the EUR 500 million of additional remittances in 2026. How should we think about the Solvency II ratio going forward, given that it gets closer to 200%? Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Sofie . That's a good question on the financial hub, because technically today, both our energy and our telecom business are sitting on the Postepay, which is merging with BancoPosta. As a result of this merger, we will hold the energy business and the TLC business at the parent company, at the holding level. Which means that it would be basically distribution agreement with the network from, you know, from external third party or, you know, directly from our Poste Energia or PosteMobile specifically.

With relation to our new shareholder position of TIM, we are clearly working at potentially having some of the TIM products hosted in our networks, but that's, you know, work in progress, and at this point in time, we cannot, you know, comment more specifically on this. Solvency II ratio at 290, I will leave it to the CFO.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

We are obviously, as you have seen, also in the presentation, always figuring out ways to make our capital structure more efficient. You know, I did say it in the script, I'll repeat it, we did get out of the insurance business EUR 1.9 billion this year, between repayment of intragroup debt, dividend, extraordinary dividend, which totals in the period 2024-2026, should total to EUR 5 billion. We are clearly, hence, looking into what's next. That's really still going to be part of a capital markets session, which will happen later in the year as the CEO already mentioned, it's clearly something that we are very focused on.

Sofie Peterzens
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Sofie . The next question is from Farooq Hanif, J.P. Morgan. Go ahead, Farooq.

Farooq Hanif
Head of Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Hi, everybody. Thanks very much. Just firstly, on your AI initiatives, when you talk about the EUR 100 million annual cost savings, is that going to be like a big cost to achieve, or is that already in your CapEx? Will you get that down to the bottom line? You know, should we expect EBIT to benefit by some proportion of the EUR 100 million? My second question is on the TIM benefits. You've very kindly given us the, you know, the EUR 100 million kind of revenues and the cost savings, but you mentioned kind of energy and insurance. I mean, from your initial kind of work into this, what are you seeing here as the potential and the timeline of sort of delivering that?

I mean, I get that you will talk about this later, but just to get a sense for now, for our forecast. Maybe if I can just slip in a very, a quick third one, apologies. Your deposits in Q4 in financial services were really quite negative. Just wondering whether we can read anything, any trends here and what you expect going forward in net inflows? Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Farooq. On the first question on AI initiative, we mentioned EUR 100 million of cost reduction within four years, which means, you know, being cautious, I'm sure it will be before four years, and will be certainly, you know, a reduction of our cost base by EUR 100 million. If you look at page 17, we mention specifically AI for new product development and requirements gathering, is a product we call Storyteller, that will save us a lot of money and a lot of time in the multi-thousand product that we generate for internal purposes from our IT department. I think that's a cautious estimate both in terms of time and impact on our cost base.

Which, Farooq , doesn't mean that, you know, we'll have EUR 100 million better EBIT, because maybe we'll reinvest it again in transforming our company. You know, on the current cost basis, we will have that saving. On TIM, giving you a feel, is some we will see certainly in 2026, and it will be around energy, around insurance, for consumer, and preliminary insurance for SMEs. I believe that will take more time to see the full impact of, you know, getting the two networks together. Historically, TIM is the SME and public administration, and the corporate commercial company of choice in Italy, the same way Poste is the commercial company of choice on the consumer.

You're talking, you know, historically, the two best commercial platforms across client bases. You're talking at this point of a lot of products that are in-house within, you know, the, call it, Poste slash TIM framework. The exercise now is to get this broader platform at work, and that's why, you know, we're spending a lot of time on industrial. These are more, you know, revenues, work stream that we're working on, there is also a lot of cost savings that will come down the road. You know, some of the 10 work stream mentioned in the presentation are also focusing on cost savings.

More, I think, this year on our, new plan, presentation. On deposit, I think there is a specific--

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Yes, on liquidity in our bank accounts, I think the first good news is that, if you look at the beginning of the year, we had EUR 84 billion of liquidity between retail, public administration, and enterprise, and at the end of the year, we have EUR 87 billion. The liquidity, which is the stickiest of all, which is the one of the retail deposits, has gone up. We had a specific PA account, which has taken away some liquidity at the year-end. That's typically the part of the liquidity in which we earn less because it's more volatile throughout the year. We have ended up the year actually above where we planned to be in terms of budget, and we see no trend that could affect the trajectory at this point.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Already, beginning of 2026, in the first few weeks, we have seen a significant reversal, there is some seasonality related to public administration, deposits.

Farooq Hanif
Head of Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Very, very kind. Thank you so much. Thank you.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Farooq. next question is from, Antonio Gianfrancesco at Intermonte. Go ahead, Antonio, please.

Antonio Gianfrancesco
Equity Research Analyst, Intermonte

Yeah, good morning. Thank you for taking my question. Two from my side, please. First one is on dividend policy, because the dividend policy was supported by additional remittance from Poste Vita in the period 2024-2026. Growth has been very strong, but looking beyond 2026, can we consider the year-on-year growth seen over the last four years to be a valid indication also for the future? In this sense, what should be considered as the drivers that could replace the current additional remittance of EUR 500 million per year from insurance division?

Second one is on payment slips because we have seen recently that the National Social Security System has stopped sending payment slips for domestic workers, in accelerating the transition to fully digital payments. Taking into account these, how should we view the structural decline in revenues from payment slips in general? Do you expect this decline to be more accelerated in the future? Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Okay, thank you for your question, Antonio. The dividend policy is totally independent from the remittances. We pay the 73% this year of our net profits. That page 27 showing our coverage ratio is also only, sorry, reassuring investors that there is ample scope to support from a cash standpoint, because we're showing that both in 2025, and we expect in 2026, the underlying cash generation by the company is positive, in the range of EUR 600 million-EUR 700 million. Two, on a capital strength, because of the level of capitalization of Solvency II of Poste Vita. On a leverage, lack of leverage basis, because we have around EUR 4 billion of untapped debt capacity.

Finally, as the CFO mentioned on page 27, we also have 4.4 distributable reserves. We have the cash, we have the profit, we have the distributable reserves. We can pay the dividend, no matter what, you know, we will have an extra dividend from Poste Vita. The second question on payments. I leave it to the--

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Yes. With regards to payments, it is fair to say that this year we recorded a 3% top line growth compared to a healthier level in the past. However, as mentioned in previous quarterly updates, this lower level was expected, as this year we have a step to absorb, which is the equivalence between the cost of an instant payment with a normal payment. Our assessment is that within the P&L of payments, this change of loads which has affected the entire market, had a cost in the neighborhood of EUR 30 million. If we look at only card payments, so excluding instant payments, which are part of the subset of payments, that growth for the year was actually at 6%.

In other words, if you take away instant payments, the growth of the division was at 6%, which is a level more consistent with the past. If we go forward, we see what we are expecting for 2026, what you will see, Antonio, is that, you know, we put it in the slides, which are commented by the CEO, which is that, you know, we expect transaction value in euro terms to increase 5%, 2026 versus 2025.

As far as Postepay, we expect to continue to outperform the market with an increase of 8%, of overall transactions in numbers, and 7%, in euro terms, which will translate, in, for the first time of the group, exceeding EUR 100 billion of transaction on our cards, vis-a-vis the EUR 95 billion, of around EUR 95 billion of this year. We are positive on the division going forward, and this is on a stand-alone basis, without taking into account the possible additional opportunities identified with the aggregation with the financial services.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Yeah, and sorry, let me just add. I think that we should look at payments more and more in the context of our platform as a tool to increase our cross-selling. We today gave the 19.4 million digital clients, of which 16 million are Super App clients. Okay? These 16 million Super App clients have 4.2 million daily average users, is by far the largest Italian app number of daily users. Out of the 16 million, there are 14 million digital payment wallet, which means that our Super App now for 14 out of 16 million clients is used as a payment tool.

Now that the client is inside the firm, has a payment client, the game becomes in selling other products, and that's the rationale behind the Financial Hub aggregation. We gave the number that every extra product we managed to sell, we have a multiple of 3x the revenues. If I go from 1.5 cross-selling index to a 2.5 cross-selling index, because I've sold 1 extra product to a client, the value of that 1 extra point is 3x the value of the previous client before the additional point. That's the game today. The game is cross-selling, upselling, within the platform, across products, across channels.

Antonio Gianfrancesco
Equity Research Analyst, Intermonte

Very clear. Thank you, and, if I can, just a brief follow-up on slide 19, on the USO, in the USO compensation, because it is no longer linked to the cost of postal network, postal offices. How structurally transformative is this change for your distribution model? I mean, should we view it primarily as a potential lever for cost efficiency, with, for example, a more selective network positioning?

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

I think it's more, you know, first of all, we are a company which is owned 65% by the state that has a universal service obligation related to mail, and had 13,000 offices that were somehow related to the universal service obligation. We always use the network as a market network for all the products we already distribute, but there was a thin legal link to a public domain of the network. What is very important is that from now, that network is purely a market network.

You know, honestly, as a shareholder, obviously, given the value of this network, I should assign a lot of value to the fact that today it is a fully-fledged market network, which doesn't mean that we will change our strategy. We remain present in all small offices and small cities. We push ahead with our Polis Project. We will have just our hands free to do it in the most easy way with this concept of drive to the post office.

I think, you know, it was very remarkable, we didn't mention it today, the fact that in 2025, the traffic, the number of people that enter post offices, in 2025, is stable versus 2024. In a world that is becoming more and more digital, and in the previous years, this was a negative 2%, 3%, 4%.

We stabilize, we have more people, and those people, as we have shown in my presentation, are coming to the post office, thanks also to the warming up, we call it, done by the digital contacts that we do for, you know, our clients by our call centers, and you will see in the presentation, we will deliver this year, increasingly by the third-party network, the 49,000 third-party network that will also support our drive to post office targets.

Antonio Gianfrancesco
Equity Research Analyst, Intermonte

Okay. Thank you.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Antonio. Let's move to the next question from Daniel Wilson at Morgan Stanley. Go ahead, Daniel.

Daniel Wilson
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi. Morning, guys. Thank you very much for taking my questions. Some broader ones today. On the EBIT guidance for 2026, the greater than EUR 3.3 billion, I'm just wondering, what are the main levers in your head when thinking about whether EBIT could land at EUR 3.3 billion, EUR 3.4 billion , et cetera? What are the main levers you think could move up within that range? Beyond that as well, slightly related, Poste has had an expanding EBIT margin as a staple of its business for, like, the past several years. It feels like that might be slowing down a little bit over the next year or two.

I wanted to know how you see the EBIT margin expansion evolving beyond the next year, over the next two, three years or so, and what are the key levers in that? Kind of finally, it's kind of been asked in different ways today. If we look back to regarding Poste Vita and the solvency ratio there, if we look back to 2023 or end of 2023, when you announced this, EUR 500 million additional remittance, we're kind of back at the same solvency ratio we were when you announced that policy. I'm wondering, to what extent do you think that policy can be extended from here? As in, could you continue doing additional remittances from Poste Vita for longer than you'd previously stated?

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Okay, I'll I will start with this last question and then let the EBIT upside space to the CFO. I think it's a very simple logic we are applying to all the companies in the group. Capital to run their business, not more than that. It's as simple as that. When we see that there is a space, as we saw in 2023, we will intervene, and this applies to all the companies in the group.

In terms of the operating margin, to be entirely honest, Daniel, it might be at the percentage level, if you're talking, but what we're trying to do is to grow, you know, the euro EBIT margin, and keep the pace we had in the last few years. Whether this will come, will keep coming from, you know, a mix of higher revenues and lower cost, and what kind of mix we will have going forward, I think is a bit premature. Overall, I don't feel that, you know, going into the new plan that we will present this year, I really don't feel that the company has lost momentum.

I think we tried today to give you the feel that everything we invested on in the digital space in the last nine years is finally paying off very well. You know, when you have the products, you have the digital presence, you have the trust, sorry, you have the physical presence, you have the trust. If you're blending this with a strong digital evolution and transformation of your relationship with clients, I think you have today, with what is happening in technology and the tools that we are starting to use to manage the space, I think there is a lot of upside.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Can I go ahead? So elaborate on what the CEO just said, Daniel . I mean, we would talk for hours about top-line growth, but I think that the key single element that I would point to in terms of incremental, incrementally positive performance for the group is the ability to continue to cross-sell, and that's why we refer to this index, that one cross-selling point equates to 3x revenues per client. If that materializes in, also in a small part in 2026, that will have a pent-up effect throughout the P&L of the group. That is on revenues. CEO is more equipped to talk about that.

As far as costs instead are concerned, which I certainly do manage with care, you know, we do believe that we have put forward, as an example, in our fixed costs, some impact of inflation. I'm referring to slide 39 of the presentation. You know, we have, we have the non-HR cost. Overall, they are going to around EUR 5 billion. We don't say exactly what's that number, we have the part in blue that is grown by EUR 110 million, and then we have also variable costs, which are related to business, which are also growing. We certainly want to be more efficient there on both sets of costs, i.e., driving more our machine in a more efficient way.

If you look at HR costs, there, too, we have an important step upwards, which has to do with the new, with the new, I should say, the new leg of the 2024, 2027 contract came into place. There, too, we have some margin for maneuver in terms of on terms of how we manage mainly new individuals joining joining the firm. What you can see on slide 37, that we plan to hire 5,000 new FTEs throughout the year. Obviously, depending on our performance, we might accelerate or not that number. We have at least two sort of macro categories of layers on the cost side, which we can activate to ensure that we get where we want to be at the minimum.

Daniel Wilson
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you very much.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Okay, thank you, Daniel. next question is from Elena Perini, Banca IMI. Go ahead, Elena.

Elena Perini
Analyst, Banca IMI

Yes, thank you for taking my questions. The first one is about your Contractual Service Margin release, which was above my expectations. What can we expect for next year and going forward? Should the trend be maintained, or could revert in the future? The second question is about some press articles coming out in the first part of the year about a fee on the SPID. Can you elaborate a bit on the potential contribution coming from such an initiative? Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, Elena. I will let Giuseppe answer the first question, and then I will pass it on to Camillo for SPID. Please, Giuseppe.

Giuseppe Lasco
General Manager, Poste Italiane

Yes, sure. Elena, the reason why the percentage of the CSM released to the P&L has gone up is what we were discussing earlier, i.e., the revised assumption on lapse rate. If you assume higher lapses on your existing portfolio, the duration of the liabilities of your portfolio goes down, and therefore, you release more through your P&L every year. As I said earlier, you know, the other side of the coin is higher new production related to these lapses, and therefore, a stable CSM as a result. For 2026, we expect our numbers, our budget includes a coverage unit that is pretty much in line with what we reported in 2025.

Going forward, it will depend on how we're going to revise the lapse assumption at the end of next year, but it's too early to say.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

With regards to--

Elena Perini
Analyst, Banca IMI

Okay, thank you.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

With regards to SPID, first thing I'd like to remind everyone is that not everyone pays SPID, which was in a source of great, you know, discussion. Whoever is an Italian resident abroad, minors, or individuals over 75 year old, are excluded from the fee. The fee materializes upon a year passing from the existing contract, so it doesn't run from the 1st of January, but depending on when in 2026 your contract expired, you will be asked to pay a fee, provided you want to renew the service.

This, in other words, means that for 2026, we do expect a contribution from SPID for around EUR 25 million, which should double up at EBIT level in 2027, as at that point, the impact will be for 12 months.

Elena Perini
Analyst, Banca IMI

Thank you very much. Just a follow-up, if I may, on the insurance business. As regards the protection, it seems that your production for this year was especially in some segments, more concentrated in the first part of the year. Can we expect it to be the same for next year, or is something going to change? Thank you.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Please, Camillo, or--

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

No, yeah, no, Elena, I think you might be referring to the fact that, if you compare the, you know, the full year growth to the growth we reported in Q4, clearly in Q4, it looks like we have a slower growth. The reason for that is a seasonality in some areas of our protection business. For example, the collective policies, the collective corporate policies. Last year, Poste Assicura booked an important contract in Q4, and therefore, you know, you have a higher Q4 base. That's why the growth rate, Q4-- on Q4 seems lower. It's only a matter of seasonality in the booking, mainly of the corporate welfare business.

Elena Perini
Analyst, Banca IMI

Okay, thank you.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Okay. Grazie, Elena. The next question is from Michael Huttner, Berenberg. Go ahead, Michael.

Michael Huttner
Insurance Analyst, Berenberg

Fantastic. Can-- Sorry. Thank you. Sorry about this. Can you hear me? Yes.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Perfectly. Yes, we can.

Michael Huttner
Insurance Analyst, Berenberg

Thank you. I had two questions, and they're really, really simple. Can you remind me of the split of net investment, margin between the capital gains and the recurring? You did say it, but I wasn't quick enough to write it down. The other thing is I noticed the parcel volume growth accelerated in Q4, a little bit above hopes. Can you give us a little bit more of a feel for how far we are in the growth trajectory of this business, where you've invested a huge amount? Thank you.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Please, yes. With respect to the question on AI, we do report what we call portfolio return, and this year the return was EUR 2.7 billion with a very marginal contribution from active portfolio management. It was basically 99% in AI. As we expect next year, the net yield on the portfolio to go down by 10 basis points, from 3% to 2.9%, we do expect a marginally higher contribution from active portfolio management, which we have estimated at 0.2%. The amount that we quote has already been secured as we speak today, as we have completed forward sales on bonds.

With respect to the second question, which is, what to expect going forward on Parcel, we continue to be very optimistic with that business. To the extent that we think that next year, the amount of revenues generated in Mail is going to be equivalent to the one in Parcel, which is expected to continue to grow. Specifically, we do assume that the overall Parcel division should grow around 10% year-on-year, in revenue terms.

Michael Huttner
Insurance Analyst, Berenberg

Fantastic. May I just ask a little question?

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Yeah.

Michael Huttner
Insurance Analyst, Berenberg

that I didn't understand? You invested 20% alongside TIM in something. what was it? It was, a business, which is the strategic business--

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Yes, in Polo Strategico Nazionale, it's finanziario.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

PSN, yes, Michael. This was a NextGenerationEU initiative from the European Commission. Basically is a company that is in charge of signing contracts with public administration, both the central public administration or local public administration, to support their digital transformation. The shareholder, the key shareholder of this company is TIM. This company, the moment that they sign the contract with, let's say, the Ministry of Health, just to make one simple example, the company has no technical capabilities.

It's a sort of a quasi shell company, turns to TIM and say, "Please, allow the Ministry of Health to move from on-prem data center to cloud data centers." Given one of the shareholder is a financial shareholder, is Cassa Depositi e Prestiti, which is our shareholder, we are going to buy the stake from Cassa Depositi e Prestiti. You know, the capital is, you know, a few million units, euros, so it's a small investment, but that would help us support TIM in the ongoing process of moving the Italian public administration into cloud. The third shareholder of this company, which is focusing on mainly in cybersecurity aspect of the process, is Leonardo.

Michael Huttner
Insurance Analyst, Berenberg

Thank you very much.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Okay. Okay, thank you, Michael. We now have a few questions from our webcast platform. The first question I'm going to read is from [audio distortion] Manish Kumar Jain at Citi. Manish is asking, "Given the fact that we reached 1 million clients in energy, what's the trajectory we see going forward in terms of customer growth?" Secondly, he's asking, "How do we measure the Super App contribution to cross-selling?" I think we already discussed, maybe you want to clarify.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Okay, we are ahead of plan on the Energy. 2026 started very well. Is a product that, to our surprise, has more than 50% of new clients of the, you know, on our contract, a new contract we sell. Which is kind of a surprise for us because we have a lot of clients, and to think that there is one new product that is bringing client that we didn't have before is a very, very positive because it means that is a product that is really, you know, welcome and liked by clients. Telecom Italia, launching TIM Energia in their offices, has started very well.

The product has been really appreciated by their network, and volumes are interesting, and that allows us to say that we are targeting the 1.4 million clients before year-end. The second question was.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

How do we measure the Super App contribution to increase cross-selling?

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

I f you go to page 13, we have the, on the top, right-hand side of the chart, you have this hybrid or platform buyers percentages. Let me explain how we measure it to answer your question, Manish. Basically, if you try to measure the value of the Super App contribution on all clients, you are, in our opinion, not getting the right picture, because you need to focus on clients that have actually bought a product. We measure, you know, all the clients that bought products from Poste in 2025.

We said, "Let's do two different group." The one that have only bought it through a offline, purely physical experience, is group one. The second group is the one that either bought it digital or it was a drive to post office situation. They had a warm up online, and then they went to the post office. You have two groups within the buyers of products. You look at the numbers, and you see that the ratio of cross-selling of the digital clients to the offline clients is 35% higher. Is 1.35, which means that we're selling 35% more products to the digital clients than to the physical one.

That 35%, if you stay on the previous page, tells you that I'm increasing significantly my revenues, because every point is 3x extra revenues. The second thing we measured, that 18%, it's again in page 13, upper right-hand side, is those clients that have bought digital or have been warm up digital, how much do they grew year-over-year? They grew 13%, which means that the one that are only physical, decrease by, you know, a different percentage.

If the total amount of clients that are coming to our offices is stable, but the one at digital are increasing, and the one that are only physical, they are decreasing, it means that we are in the right direction for educating our clients in leveraging on the Super App. That's a clear message that is coming through this analysis.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Okay. The next question from, the webcast platform that I will read is from Paola Sabbione at Barclays. Paola is asking if we see any meaningful competition from Revolut. The second question she's asking is, whether we believe that AI will, over time, help us reduce variable costs in the parcel business?

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Well, I can start with this one.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

I don't think so.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

I don't think so, significantly. On the first question, thank you for your question, Paola, of Revolut, certainly, yes, they reach a significant amount of clients in Italy. They are, you know, gaining market share, yes, we see them, no doubt.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Okay.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

We're also learning from them.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

The next question we have from the online platform is again, Farooq from J.P. Morgan, who wants to ask a follow-up question. Farooq is asking, "Given that we have done a lot of M&A, I clearly have financial flexibility, what part is gonna M&A play in our new strategy, the next leg of our story?

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

I don't want to create expectations, you know, our style. Certainly, we are in a very strong capital position and cash generating position and overall, relatively cautious dividend policy position. We certainly have ammunitions to grow inorganically. I think that the area where we should focus, and we will focus, is the logistic space. Reality is that, in the last nine years, we managed not only to become a player of the logistic arena in Italy. Farooq, you remember in the data of six, of nine years ago, we were number 6 in Italy.

you know, there was, at the time it was BRT, the top market share, there was DHL, there was UPS, there was FedEx, and there was GLS, and then there was Poste with DA. We were number six. Today, in the ranking, we are number one, out of the six. We have the strongest momentum of the lot, we are in a position of strength in logistics that probably we have never experienced. That's when, you know, you might want to, you know, try to consider. It's Italy, mainly, nothing that we have, you know, obviously we always monitor opportunity, but nothing that we have seen at the moment.

We know the space very well, so nothing that you should expect to see anyway over the next, let's say, six months. Nothing in the cards.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

We have one last question from Vincenzo Montalto at Basswood Capital. Vincenzo is asking if the creation of the new financial hub will also generate capital optimization, you know, for financial services. Camillo, please.

Camillo Greco
CFO, Poste Italiane

Yes, it will. We are assessing as we speak what's going to be the exact level, and that's something we will disclose with the market in the capital markets. That is something which will benefit the P&L as of 2027.

Giuseppe Esposito
Head of Investor Relations, Poste Italiane

Okay, we have no further questions, so thank you very much for joining us today.

Matteo Del Fante
CEO, Poste Italiane

Thank you, everybody. Thank you for your time and your attention to Poste.

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