ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A. (BME:ENC)
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Sep 17, 2026, 1:24 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q2 2026

Jul 22, 2026

Summary

Q2 2026 marked a return to profitability, driven by higher pulp prices, lower cash costs, and a stronger product mix. Strategic initiatives in special pulp and renewables are delivering, with further cost reductions and EBITDA growth targeted through 2028.

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Ence 2Q 2026 results presentation. I'll now hand over to Mr. Ignacio Colmenares, Executive Chairman, and Alfredo Avello, CFO. Gentlemen, please go ahead.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Good morning, good afternoon, welcome to Ence's second quarter 2026 results presentation. Thank you for joining us. I'm Ignacio Colmenares, Chairman and CEO, today I'm joined by our CFO, Alfredo Avello, and our Head of Investor Relations, Inés Álvarez. I'm pleased to report that this quarter shows the results of our key strategic initiatives to reposition our product mix and strengthen competitiveness, with pulp returning to positive net profit and marking an inflection point for the company. In this context, let me briefly remind you of the four main objectives of our strategic plan. One, growth in higher margin special pulp substituting BHKP. Two, local wood and biomass sourcing. Three, cash cost efficiency. Four, EBITDA growth in our renewable platform. All this without losing sight of a key short-term priority, deleveraging.

We should progress significantly in the second half of the year, thanks to stronger cash generation and lower CapEx. Slide four summarizes the second quarter of 2026. Execution is the core theme. During the quarter, we reduced cash costs significantly. We benefited from positive pulp price momentum. Our special pulp volumes continued to grow, and we made further progress in deploying our biomass-backed renewable energy pipeline. Starting with pulp, European gross BHKP prices continued to improve during the quarter. By the end of June, prices had reached approximately $1,410 per tonne. This momentum is expected to continue in the second half of the year. We may see normal seasonal adjustments during the summer slowdown, we do not expect this to change the underlying trend. At the same time, we have delivered a material improvement in costs.

Cash costs stood at EUR 455 per tonne in the second quarter, including an estimated EUR 4 per tonne impact from minor strikes. This is EUR 33 per tonne below the second quarter of 2025 and EUR 67 per tonne below the first quarter of 2026. On a normalized basis, if we exclude the strike impact in the first quarter, the reduction would be EUR 24 per tonne quarter-on-quarter. The product mix also continues to move in the right direction. Special pulp substituting softwood products represented 34% on sales volume in the first half of 2026, compared with 30% in full year 2025. We aim to increase its weight towards 40% in second half and more than 62% by 2028. In our biomass-backed renewable energy platform, the second quarter also showed relevant progress.

Biomass to electricity production reached 254 GWh , impacted by the planned annual maintenance shutdowns following severe flooding incidents in the first quarter. Renewable industrial heating advanced with the start of operations of two projects, covering three boilers. In addition, we have been awarded a landmark project with an estimated annual production above 350 GWh thermal, currently in the final contractual phase. In biomethane, organic development continues to advance, with the first environmental license expected to the second half of 2026. This will be a key milestone to enable construction of our first project. Alongside this, La Galera remains a showcase for no-odor plant. Financially, consolidated EBITDA was EUR 27 million in the quarter, up 16% year-on-year and EUR 26 million above the first quarter. Pulp contributed EUR 23 million, compared with a negative EUR 1 million in the first quarter, and renewable contributed EUR 5 million.

Net profit amounted to EUR 0.5 million, marking a clear inflection point for the company after several quarters affected by market weakness and one-off events. Investments amounted to EUR 33 million in the quarter, including cash out related to the Navia cost reduction and decarbonization project. We reiterate our full year guidance. Cash cost of EUR 468 per tonne, a reduction of EUR 15 per tonne versus 2025. And CapEx of around EUR 120 million, mostly related to projects already committed in 2025 and highly concentrated in the first half of 2026, EUR 82 million already invested. Net debt stood at EUR 493 million at the end of June, including EUR 69 million from lease contracts, according to IFRS 16, with EUR 179 million of cash.

The second half of the year should show a de-leveraging phase supported by better pulp prices, improved competitiveness, and lower growth CapEx after the first-half investment peak. In short, the second quarter confirms the turning point we expected. Higher prices, lower cash costs, a stronger product mix, better EBITDA, and visible progress in renewables. In other words, we are delivering on all our strategic KPIs. Let's now look at cost competitiveness on slide six. Our cash cost trajectory remains on track to meet our full-year guidance of EUR 468 per tonne in 2026.

The objective is to reduce cash costs by EUR 30 per tonne between 2026 and 2027. This is being achieved through the efficiency and competitiveness plan at the Navia and the Navia efficiency and decarbonization project. The second quarter shows that this plan is already delivering. Cash costs fell to EUR 455 per tonne, which is EUR 24 per tonne below normalized first quarter cash costs and EUR 22 per tonne below the fourth quarter of 2025.

It was achieved despite inflationary pressure in logistics and chemicals due to the Iran conflict, and despite minor strikes related to the corrective dismissal procedures in both mills. The efficiency and competitiveness plan has generated annualized savings captured or already in process of EUR 8 million in the first half of 2026. This includes the impact of process re-engineering and digital and AI-enabled optimizations, but not yet the savings from headcount measures, nor from the investments in Navia that should start to contribute to cash cost reduction in the second half of the year. On the latter, the Navia efficiency and decarbonization investments have now been completed. These investments should contribute around EUR 8 per tonne on cash cost savings on an annualized basis. Therefore, our message on costs is unchanged and even stronger than three months ago.

The 2026 guidance remains, the initiatives are in execution, and the company enters in the second half with a more competitive cost base. Slide seven looks at the pulp market. The second quarter consolidated the positive pricing momentum in Europe. Gross BHKP prices increased by 10% during the quarter and by 28% year-to-date, reaching approximately $1,410 per tonne by the end of June. This improvement is not only a short-term price movement. It is supported by several market fundamentals. First, logistics disruptions have led to a clear decoupling between Europe and China. Europe has faced delayed unlimited shipments of paper, stronger-than-expected paper operating rates, and local inventories that remain low compared with 2025. This gives pulp producers additional room to sustain strong prices.

Second, imported wood chip prices in China have risen, in 2026, tightening the market and potentially supporting a near-term recovery in pulp demand and prices after a period of flat performance. Third, the structural standard fiber-to-fiber substitution trend continues. Over the last five years, global pulp demand increased by around four million tonnes, while hardwood pulp increased by around six million tonnes, and softwood pulp declined by around two million tonnes. As a result, relevant softwood shutdowns are taking place. These closures should help rebalance the market and support the relative strength of hardwood pulp. Taking all this together, even if we see normal seasonal softness during the summer, we expect the market momentum in Europe to remain favorable in the second half of 2026. Moving to slide eight.

Our product strategy continued to progress as a key differentiator. Special pulp accounted for 34% of sales volume in the first half of 2026, compared with 30% in full year 2025. We expect to increase its weight to close to 40% in second half and to exceed 62% by 2028. This mix improvement is central to our equity story. These products are designed to substitute higher cost softwood in multiple applications, and they deliver an average incremental EBITDA margin of around EUR 36 per ton versus standard BHKP. Ence Advanced is our broad range of BHKP substitute pulps with different attributes, higher strength, unbleached pulp, low porosity, and softness, suitable for hygiene, decor, packaging, and other applications. Our 2028 target is 500,000 tons with an incremental margin above EUR 30 per ton versus standard BHKP. Ence Fluff is the other flagship strategic product.

Ence is the sole European producer of fluff pulp based on eucalyptus wood competing with softwood. The 2028 target is 125,000 tons with an incremental margin above EUR 60 per ton. During the quarter, we successfully completed a three-homologation process and are currently working with 15 customers in the industrial testing phase. The key point is that our special pulp is not merely a premium label. Customers choose these products for the performance benefits. It's not a filler, but a pure substitute of softwood that does not require any transformation at the client's production process. They broaden our competitive positioning, improve margins, and reduce our exposure to standard BHKP pricing. Slide nine explains why the product strategy and the cost strategy must be viewed together. By 2028, more than 62% of our sales will come from products that compete from BHKP.

In this competitive scenario, Ence is positioned as the lowest cost player. In other words, we are not only lowering the cost of producing pulp, we are also changing what we sell and who we compete against. That is the most important strategic point. This repositioning strengthens Ence in two ways. It improves resilience in down cycles because our relative cost position is stronger, and it increases operating leverage in up cycles because the product mix carries structurally higher margins. Moving now to the renewable platform. Slide 10 focuses on renewable industrial heating. Our 2030 target is to supply two TWh of renewable thermal energy and to contribute around EUR 30 million to EBITDA, with target ROCE above 11%. The platform is scaling progressively. We have 11 projects under negotiation, of which five are under advanced negotiations.

In 2026, we expect four projects to reach commercial operation and one additional project to reach ready to build. This means that we should end 2026 with five projects in operation, compared with only one at year end 2025. The most relevant milestone in the quarter was a landmark project awarded in May with Moeve, currently in the final contractual phase. Magnon has partnered with Moeve to replace fossil fuel boilers at its Huelva refinery with biomass boilers. The project is sizable, with expected annual production above 350 GWh thermal, representing more than 17% of our 2030 target. This is our first major credential in the oil and gas industry. It shows that biomass-based heat is a credible solution for industrial decarbonization, especially in processes that are difficult to electrify and where customers want to reduce exposure to fossil fuel volatility and CO2 costs. Continuing with Slide 11.

Our biomethane platform continues to advance steadily. Our target is to produce more than one terawatt of biomethane by 2030 and to contribute more than EUR 60 million to EBITDA, with a target ROCE of above 11%. The pipeline is still outstanding. We have 41 plants where grid connection, feedstock, locations, and feasibility studies have been completed. Of these, 28 plants are already in the permitting phase, and we expect eight environmental licenses in 2026, 2027 period. We also continue to assess inorganic opportunities selectively, pursuing only projects that meet our industrial criteria and returns threshold. Slide 12 illustrates the maturity of the biomethane pipeline. The full pipeline has an estimated potential capacity of around 4 TW , which is four times our current 2030 target of 1 TWh . This gives us significant optionality.

We currently have one operational plant, 28 projects in advanced permitting, and a broader pipeline at different stages of maturity. The advanced projects have already made material progress. Land options are signed or well advanced. Gas grid connection is secured. Other analyses have been completed, and feedstock availability is more than three times planned needs across the pipeline. This is important because biomethane is a permitting-intensive business. The quality of the pipeline is therefore not only measured by the number of projects, but by the maturity of land, grid feedstock, and environmental work. On these dimensions, our pipeline is well-positioned. The next relevant milestone is the first wave of environmental authorizations. Once obtained, they will allow us to move from development to construction while maintaining strict discipline on returns and leverage. I will now ask Alfredo to summarize our financial position and cash flow evolution. Thank you. Alfredo.

Alfredo Avello
CFO, Ence

Thank you, Ignacio. Good morning and good afternoon to everybody on the call. I will now walk you through the financial results for the second quarter of 2026, focusing on the P&L, cash flow evolution, financial position, and sustainability highlights before handing back to Ignacio for the closing remarks and the Q&A session. Let me start on slide 14 with an overview of our financial results. As Ignacio has explained, the second quarter marks a clear inflection point. While prices in Europe continue to rise, cash cost reduction program has started to show tangible results, and the Navia efficiency and decarbonization project was completed during the quarter. At the same time, part of the price improvement is still flowing through the P&L with the usual lag, and the renewables business was affected by a concentration of annual maintenance shutdowns in the biomass electricity business.

In the pulp business, revenues reached EUR 156 million, compared with EUR 146 million in 2Q 2025. While in the renewables platforms, revenues basically remain flat, mainly reflecting lower production from plant maintenance shutdowns. At EBITDA level, the improvement is much clearer. Group EBITDA reached EUR 27 million in the quarter, up 16% year-on-year, and EUR 26 million above the first quarter of 2026. In the pulp business, EBITDA was EUR 23 million, up 13% year-on-year. It is worth mentioning in this comparison that the second quarter of last year included EUR 10 million of energy savings certificates, the so-called CAEs. Compared with the EUR -1 million EBITDA recorded in Q1 2026, the recovery is significant. It reflects higher pulp prices and lower cash cost of EUR 455 per ton, supported by the efficiency and competitiveness plan.

As mentioned by our Chairman, the analyzed savings from AI initiatives and process reengineering captured in the first half of the year amount to EUR 8 million. The benefits from the Navia efficiency and the decarbonization investment and the headcount measures have yet to be reflected in the lower cash costs. At the bottom line, net profit returns to positive figures. The key message is that the company is moving in the right direction, with operational recovery already visible at the EBITDA level and expected to accelerate as higher pulp prices, lower cash costs, and new projects contribute more fully in the second half. Turning to slide 15, free cash flow for the quarter shows a temporary peak in working capital and the final phase of several growth and efficiency investments, including the Navia efficiency and decarbonization project.

Let me walk you through the main components of the cash flow bridge. Starting from EUR 27 million of EBITDA, we had EUR 6 million of maintenance CapEx and EUR 10 million of net interest payments. Working capital absorbed EUR 11 million in the quarter, mainly reflecting the higher prices momentum and the inventory build-up, reflecting also the increase in deliveries to our clients. In addition, strategic growth and efficiency investments, most of which were initiated in previous years, required EUR 27 million cash outflow. Investment intensity will be much lower in the second half. At the same time as the Navia project, the renewable industrial heating projects and the improved pulp price environment will begin to contribute more visibly to EBITDA and cash generation during the third quarter. Therefore, although the quarter still shows cash consumption, the direction is consistent with our 2026 message.

A first-half investment peak, followed by a second-half de-leveraging phase, supported by stronger operating cash flow and lower growth CapEx requirements. Moving now to our financial position on slide 16. At group level, net debt stood at EUR 493 million at the end of June, with EUR 179 million of cash. This increase, compared with December 2025, is mostly explained by the first half investment peak and the temporary working capital cash outflows already described. The pulp business financing structure remains covenant-free. This is important point, which will give us the flexibility to manage the cycle and execute the de-leveraging objective without covenant pressure. Debt maturities remain well-spread, and our funding sources remain diversified between banks and institutional investors, including the MARF bond issued earlier this year. In addition, we have an undrawn revolving credit facility of EUR 130 million.

In the renewables platform, the financial structure also remains long-dated and diversified. We also maintain available liquidity lines, including fully available EUR 20 million RCF. From here, the priorities are clear. Protect liquidity, maintain capital allocation discipline, and reduce net debt as the second half cash flow recovery materializes. Before handing back to Ignacio, let me briefly cover slide 17, which highlights our main sustainability achievements during the second quarter. At Ence, sustainability is not a standalone topic. It is fully integrated into the way we operate. It strengthens our cost competitiveness, supports customer preference, improves access to fiber and biomass, and reinforces our license to operate. Starting with safe and eco-efficient operation, the group's cumulative lost time injury frequency rate in the second quarter stood at 3.32, the best result across our entire historical series. Other performance also remained strong.

Navia recorded only two other minutes, maintaining excellent performance levels, while Pontevedra reduced by 60% the minutes of other recorded in first half of 2025. Moving to byproducts and ecosystem services, we obtained nine new approvals for specialty pulps under our portfolio, and we have submitted the application for the approval of our fluff pulp under the Nordic Swan and EU eco-labeling schemes. We continue to make progress in forestry byproducts by one new eucalyptus clone planned for 2026 and approximately 4,400 hectares of forest sinks registered for voluntary carbon markets. On responsible supply chain, approximately 86% of the land we manage and 82% of the wood we source are certified, and 100% of our sites are assured system certified for sustainable biomass.

We have also expanded our ESG and compliance risk assessment to more than 1,400 value change entities, and we are developing and deploying tools to comply with the EU deforestation regulation ahead of its entry into force. On positive social impact, women represent 25% of total employees and 31% of managerial positions. Internal promotion accounted for 78% of job openings, and Ence obtained the Top Employer 2026 certification. Finally, on governance, the external audit of our criminal compliance management system and the UNE 19601 has been completed, confirming appropriate implementation and operation of the control mechanisms.

In addition, the independent review for anti-bribery management system under ISO 37001 confirmed the robustness and effective operation of the system. These achievements reinforce our leading ESG profile, and more importantly, they translate into tangible business advantages. Safer operations, lower resource intensity, a strong commercial proposition in the special pulp, a more resilient local supply chain. With this, let me hand the floor back to our Executive Chairman for the closing remarks and the Q&A session.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you, Alfredo. I would like now to turn to slide 19, which sets out our 2026 outlook and closing remarks before we proceed to the Q&A session. We are focused on execution. The first results of our priority initiatives are now visible, and they are paving the way to the accomplishment of our 2028 goals in pulp and 2030 targets in renewables. I will highlight five key messages. First, the pulp market momentum in Europe remains positive. Normal summer seasonality may occur, but it should not alter the underlying trend. Standard fiber to fiber substitution, low European inventories, logistics disruptions, higher woodchip costs in China, and solid capacity closures all support a favorable market environment. Second, the cost reduction program is delivering. Cash cost was EUR 455 per ton in the second quarter. A reduction of EUR 24 per ton versus normalized first quarter cash cost.

The efficiency and competitiveness plan has captured or put in process annualized savings of EUR 8 million. The Navia efficiency and decarbonization project has been completed. We confirm our 2026 cash cost guidance of EUR 468 per ton, supported in the second half by the initial contribution from the Navia investments and headcount measures. Third, our product mix upgrade continues. Special pulp represented 34% of our sales in the first half of 2026, and we target to increase its weight to close to 40% in second half 2026. By 2028, more than 62% of our sales should come from BSKP substitute products, supporting an incremental EBITDA margin of around EUR 36 per ton versus standard BHKP and positioning Ence as a highly competitive player in the BSKP segment in Europe. Fourth, the renewable platform is developing.

Renewable industrial heating should end the year with five projects in operation, compared with only one at year-end 2025. The landmark Moeve project represents more than 350 GWh thermal per year. In biomethane, the first environmental license is expected in the second half of 2026. These milestones confirm the depth and quality of the biomass-backed renewable platform, which is on track to almost triple EBITDA by 2030. Fifth, the financial profile should improve in the second half. The quarter already shows a clear operational inflection, with consolidated EBITDA of EUR 27 million and a positive net profit. With good pulp prices, a more competitive cost base, and lower investment intensity after the first half CapEx peak, the second half should show cash flow generation and de-leveraging. Putting all of this together, our strategy remains consistent and disciplined.

On pulp, we aim to increase sales of special pulp substituting BSKP, to strengthen local wood and biomass supply, and to reduce cash costs. As a result, the year 2028 should give us an incremental EBITDA margin per ton of EUR 52 per ton versus 2025 figures. On renewables, the plan is to triple our renewable platform EBITDA while protecting the balance sheet and maintaining capital allocation discipline. Thank you. We now invite your questions.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the Q&A session starts now. If you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. You will have the opportunity to ask all the questions that you may have. We kindly ask you to ask only one question at a time to our speakers, instead of asking multiple questions at the beginning. Thank you. We'll just compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from Maks Mishyn from JB Capital. Please go ahead.

Maks Mishyn
Analyst, JB Capital

Hello. Good afternoon. Thank you very much for the presentation and taking our questions. I have two questions. I'll start with the first one on the pulp business. Thanks for discussing the improvement in revenue per ton and cash cost per ton in 2026 and 2027. I was wondering if you could give us more color on profitability and guide us on the overall improvement in cash EBITDA per ton you expect in 2026 and 2027, like a bridge up until 2028. Thank you.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yes. Thank you very much, Maks. I suppose you mean cash cost bridge, not cash bridge. Okay.

Maks Mishyn
Analyst, JB Capital

EBITDA per ton, if possible, like 2026, 2027, 2028.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Okay. Well, as I have mentioned, we have three strategic pillars, and they will allow us to improve our EBITDA per ton by approximately EUR 52 per ton, as I mentioned, by 2028 versus 2025. 52. First, our product mix transformation. The substitution of standard BHKP with special pulp products and long fiber pulp substitutes, together with the 125,000 tons fluff production. By 2028, these special pulp products will represent over 62% of total sales, and they will deliver an incremental margin versus standard BHKP sales of EUR 36 per ton. Of which at least EUR 22 per ton are not yet reflected in our P&L. If we compare 2028 versus 2025, it will be EUR 36 per ton by the better products we are developing, competing with BSKP. Out of these 36, 22 are not yet reflected in our P&L.

Second, our efficiency and competitiveness plant will contribute an additional EUR 22 per ton between 2026 and 2027. We are not yet working on cost reduction in 2028. Finally, investment in Navia, the wood yard, and replacement of fuel gas with pulverized biomass, both projects have already started, adding a further EUR 8 per ton starting third quarter 2026. Altogether, will increase the pathway EBITDA by EUR 52 per ton in 2028 versus 2025.

Maks Mishyn
Analyst, JB Capital

Thank you very much. The second question is on biomethane plants. You now expect the first legal permit to come in the second half. What makes you more confident? Do you think the recent proposal on phasing in of biogas capacity in Spain can help accelerating the licensing process? If you could just remind us how long it can take between the license and the commissioning of a biomethane plant, please. Thank you.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yeah. Thank you very much. I would like to insist in our unique business model, which is based on the transformation of local agricultural biomass and livestock manure into a biofertilizer and biomethane with multiple benefits and without disturbing the local communities. No-odor plants. La Galera is our showcase. That's very important for the permitting and the development of our sites. We already have a portfolio of 41 biofertilizer and biomethane projects, out of which 28 projects are already in permitting phase, three more than a quarter ago, which already have land and feasibility studies. The pipeline is highly mature. We expect to get around one environmental license in 2026, by the end of the year, seven more in 2027, an additional seven in 2028.

As we mentioned before, we plan to build the plants with EPC contracts using non-recourse project financing backed by long-term PPAs, like we did in La Galera. The typical construction period is 21 months, including full ramp-up. For your information, the initially estimated CapEx is approximately EUR 0.35 million per gigawatt hour. It was, in the last quarter, EUR 0.4 million, with an estimated average production between 80 GWh and 100 GWh per plant. The target return on the capital employed is over 12%.

Maks Mishyn
Analyst, JB Capital

Thank you very much

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

I would like to insist that despite our initial goal is to generate over 1 TW per year and to contribute over EUR 60 million to EBITDA by 2030, we are developing a platform which could reach over 4 TW per year. Regarding your question, we positively view the recent news on MITECO's push for minimum biomethane quotas before 2035, which will help foster the development of our pipeline.

Maks Mishyn
Analyst, JB Capital

Thanks very much. Very clear.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Álvaro Bernal from Alantra Equities. Please go ahead.

Álvaro Bernal
Analyst, Alantra Equities

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. I have one, if I may. It is regarding the cash cost guidance you have given for H2, EUR 455 per ton. At the same time, you are going to see improvements or contribution from the Navia efficiency and decarbonization kicking in in H2. It is the same cash cost as in Q2, and I want to know what doesn't make you be slightly more positive towards H2?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yeah. Thank you very much, Álvaro. The efficiency and competitiveness plan, together with Navia cost reduction and decarbonization initiative, should enable to reduce cash costs by EUR 30 per ton, as we have said, between 2026 and 2027, EUR 15 per ton in 2026, and the remaining in 2027. I would like to insist that in the first half of the year, we have already captured 8 million in annualized savings, without including any impact from the collective dismissal program and Navia efficiency and decarbonization investments. Yeah. 50% of the people who are leaving the company in 2026 left at the end of the second quarter, and the Navia efficiency and decarbonization project is just starting. We estimate a cash cost in the range of EUR 450-EUR 460 in the second half of the year.

Álvaro Bernal
Analyst, Alantra Equities

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Again, if you would like to ask a question, you may press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Luis de Toledo from ODDO. Please go ahead.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question, and congratulations on the good results of the quarter. I have only one question. It's regarding the negotiations regarding this landmark project in thermal heating. I don't know if you could elaborate on the details, if you're negotiating just the price or the operating conditions, considering that it's a very large customer. Is the operating model the one you were planning when you introduced the business model for this area? Thanks.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Could I ask you to repeat what is the name of the project you're mentioning?

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

No, the landmark Moeve project. The Moeve project.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Moeve project.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Yeah. You have announced the project, although it has not been signed officially, but I assume you give a lot of credibility of signing it really soon. I was wondering if, depending on details on the negotiation, if you can elaborate why is it taking longer, or if it's just the price or the operating model, considering that the customer, it's a large industrial customer, and if you could provide any additional details and potentially on the contribution of this important contract.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yeah.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Thanks.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you for your question, Luis. Unfortunately, we are just now on the conceptual phase of the project, and I cannot give you more information.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Understood.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

It has been announced, not by us or by Moeve, it has been announced by the Andalusian government.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Okay.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Where we have a confidentiality agreement, and I cannot disclose more information.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Okay. On the operating model as it is, it's towards the targets, the production targets, is not materially different from the other contracts with the smaller industrial clients?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

No, no. It will be very similar.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Okay.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Things we change a lot is the size of the project.

Luis de Toledo
Analyst, ODDO

Okay. Thank you very much.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you, Luis.

Operator

Next question comes from Cole Hathorn from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Good afternoon. Two from my side. Just the first one is simple, just trying to understand the total CapEx costs. Just an updated number for the year, just so we can help with our models, for both pulp and energy, just kind of a total CapEx number. If you can provide anything for 2027, that would be helpful. I understand that may change if you commission new projects. On views on pulp. You sound a lot more optimistic on the European net price differential versus China, and I am just wondering, how do you see that playing out going forward? You talked about differences between logistics costs.

Historically, I always thought it was fair to have, let's say, a $30 to $50 a ton net difference between European and Chinese prices, just considering timing lags, contract differences, and logistics. I am just wondering, do you see that range kind of expanding into the future? What gives you confidence that the European spot or net prices will be above the Chinese levels? Thank you.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yeah. Thank you very much for your questions. I will start by answering the first question. As we have mentioned, we plan to invest EUR 120 million in the full year. We have already invested EUR 82 million. As you know, we have invested EUR 67 in pulp. We still need to invest EUR 7 million more on the second half of the year, and the total amount will be EUR 64 million. What is important to point out is that in pulp, the investment is EUR 67 already done, EUR 3 million more in the coming quarter. In renewables, we have invested EUR 15 million. We still need to invest EUR 31 million on the second half of the year.

The total amount will reach EUR 46 million. Regarding your second question, well, I would like to point out that the dynamics of the market in China and in Europe or the States are absolutely different. We are still talking about a commodity. Commodities tend to have similar prices on different markets, but the dynamics are absolutely different. The number of customers in Europe is different to the number of customers in China. It's very concentrated. The main big customers in China are not only paper makers, but they are also, today, pulp makers. In Europe, our customers only make paper. We don't sell pulp. Nor us to nor my competitors to the integrated pulp mills. The dynamics of the market are different.

I strongly believe that the pulp cycle remains in place. European BHKP gross price stands at EUR 410. We have a positive view, and it's based on three pillars. First, BHKP demand remains resilient, and our focus is on Europe. The demand in Europe is good. It's not extraordinarily high, but it's good.

It's better than it was one year ago or two years ago. Proof of that is that European port inventories are below their historical average while consumption is holding up. Our European clients are placing larger orders as logistics disruptions originated by the Middle East conflict penalize paper imports from Asia. On top of that, fiber-to-fiber substitution keeps adding roughly 1 million tons of structural BHKP demand every year. Second, China demand is also strong, growing, and one thing which is very important and everybody has to keep in mind, is that they will keep importing the same volume of pulp than today. The constraint on new local capacity is wood availability. Just for your information, the price of the wood today in China, despite a recent decline on the last month, is 17% higher than one year ago.

The chip imports to China are today 21% higher in price than one year ago. New mills will mostly integrated and will cover China's demand growth. Pulp imports into China will remain stable. Those imports are already 3% year- on- year higher than one year ago, according to Chinese custom data. The recent price adjustment in China of $10 has been minor. It's $10. It was two weeks ago, and it was flat last week, and prices today are stable. Third, on the supply side, the market is rebalancing.

On top of this fiber-to-fiber, BHKP capacity is being converted into fluff, Suzano, Ence, and to dissolving pulp grades, Bracell, Altri, lowering BHKP supply. In parallel, loss-making BHKP capacity is being closed. Therefore, we see no pressure in the market today besides the seasonal summer slowdown. There is, no doubt, a summer slowdown. It may affect $10, $15 of prices, but we don't see any change on how the market is for now and for the rest of the year.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. That's helpful. Maybe just to add to your response, there's going to be a differEnce in logistics costs from even the LatAm players shipping to China versus Europe. Would you mind just giving us a rough estimate of how much more expensive it is to ship to Europe and then the inland volumes? I think it's just useful context to have.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yeah. We can call you, and we can put that on the website because I don't have the information now.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

No problem. We can revisit that. The one follow-up was 2027 CapEx. You were very clear on the 2026 numbers. Is there any kind of initial range you can provide for 2027 as you're doing your initial planning for CapEx?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

No, there is only a criteria. An important criteria is we have to reduce CapEx because we want to de-leverage. We're going to de-leverage on the second half of the year, but we need to de-leverage more, and on absolute terms and related to EBITDA. For sure, the CapEx of 2027 is going to be lower than 2026. Now we have just started on the budget, and I cannot give you a figure. I think till the end of the year, I will not be able to give you a figure.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

If I can, there's EUR 123 million grant from the European Climate, Infrastructure and Environment Executive Agency. Would you mind just giving a bit of background of how far along is that project into planning and what would you need to do to release that grant?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

You are talking about the e-methanol project in Huelva?

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Yes, with Iberdrola. Yes.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Well, again, I have to answer you the same question I answered to Luis de Toledo. Unfortunately, I have an NDA signed with Iberdrola, and I cannot give you more information.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

I understand. Thank you.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Manuel Lorente from Santander. Please go ahead.

Manuel Lorente
Analyst, Santander

Hi. Good afternoon. My first question is probably a follow-up on the cash cost indications. Assuming the EUR 455 for the second half of the year, you have a similar number for the full year 2027. I would like to understand the different moving parts. To my way of thinking, I should expect that the last tail of the competitiveness and efficiency plan to kick in, plus some extra savings from Pontevedra's efficiency plan, that will probably move a little bit south, the expected cash cost guidance. What are you expecting in other categories to, let's say, achieve a similar cash cost that in the second half of the year, or is this just the mix effect from increasing the weight of the specialist products?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

I cannot give you a lot of new information. Our plan is to reduce EUR 15 per ton this year compared to 2025, and further EUR 15 per ton next year. I can, again, explain you the EUR 30 per ton, how it is split between the efficiency projects and the Navia efficiency project. We think that this year we are going to be on the range I have already mentioned, and we do see EUR 15 further improvement next year. I cannot give you more details.

Manuel Lorente
Analyst, Santander

I see. Okay. Those are full year with full year, but we already have walked a significant part of that improvement in the first half.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

That is full year to full year. I prefer to be prudent and to deliver than to be bullish.

Manuel Lorente
Analyst, Santander

Okay. Let's try to ask in a different way. Does the, let's say, increasing way of specialist products imply a higher cash cost than the traditional-

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

No.

Manuel Lorente
Analyst, Santander

No?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

No. Maybe EUR 2, EUR 3 per ton, no more. When we are talking about EUR 36 per ton of extra margin, it is absolutely the better price, less the larger cash cost. It is not material. When we will be producing 120,000 tons fluff, yes, it will change, because the cost of fluff is between EUR 30 and EUR 40 per ton higher. More EUR 30 than EUR 40, we are just starting now. With the other special products, this year they are going to be between 350,000 and 400,000 tons, and it is going to be 500,000 tons in 2028. There is a very similar cash cost. We have been working a lot on that on the last three years, and now we can offer to our customers these products, and they have a similar cost to the standard BSKP we already produce.

Manuel Lorente
Analyst, Santander

Okay, great. One question on the demand side. You mentioned that demand in Europe has been, to some extent, supportive. I have been told that a significant part of that positive performance is related to the unexpected bounce back on the printing and writing segment. Can you give us an indication of what is happening on that category? This is just a pure recovery from very low levels, there has been any shift on the supply-demand balance on that side?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Yeah. Unfortunately, I cannot give you a lot of information because, as you know, we are not a significant player in this segment of the market. We sell more in the tissue market and in specialties market. In printing and writing, we are selling less than 8% of what we produce. We haven't noticed anything. I think that what all our customers are noticing in Europe is that there is less imports of paper from Asia, therefore they are working better than last year.

Manuel Lorente
Analyst, Santander

Okay, great. Thank you.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Álvaro Bernal from Alantra Equities. Please go ahead.

Álvaro Bernal
Analyst, Alantra Equities

Hi. Thank you for taking another question from me. It's just going back to the industrial heating platform. We're seeing a decent ramp-up in the amount of projects, I would ask if you can shed a bit more light on the dynamics of how this is working, if it's because the fact of installing and giving a credential on previous projects can even accelerate the platform above your current expectations. Is this a possibility or not? I'm saying this given the Moeve project could be a clear catalyst as to amplifying this business. Is this a reality or not, basically?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

No. I don't think so. I think that the fact that we are going to have five projects working at the end of this year, the fact that our two main competitors are going to have one or two projects working also at the end of the year. Well, in all the meetings of the industry, of the paper industry, of the food and beverage industry, of the chemical industry, they talk about these projects and the fact that projects are already working are more important. That's the potential new project with Moeve. I think it's more important. Another thing who is supporting the pipeline, well, is the uncertainty on the gas price.

Nobody knows when Olmos is going to be open, but the fact is that the prices of the gas are high now for the full year and at these crazy prices of the gas, and with prices of this CO2 today close to EUR 80 per ton, well, it is cheaper to buy steam produced with biomass.

Álvaro Bernal
Analyst, Alantra Equities

Would you say you're seeing an acceleration in the demand for these services?

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Well, not acceleration. No, I'm not negative, but I am realistic. The two previous years, the accelerators have been the PERTEs. I don't know if we are going to have more PERTEs on the future. I think that the uncertainty on the gas and the fact that the projects are already working and the customers are happy, are going to balance the fact that there is no more PERTEs for the time being. Maybe there are going to be other supports, but today, no more PERTEs.

I think we will continue growing at the pace we have been growing till now. Well, once we will sign the project of Moeve, well, it will have a good repercussion in medias and in all industry. Today already, when you go to any meeting of the paper industry, as I mentioned before, the chemical industry, the food and beverage industry, they are talking about these projects already.

Álvaro Bernal
Analyst, Alantra Equities

Okay. Understood. Thank you.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Bruno Bessa from CaixaBank BPI. Please go ahead.

Bruno Bessa
Analyst, CaixaBank BPI

Yes. Good afternoon. Just a quick question from my side and focusing on the targeted EBITDA per ton improvement for 2028. You mentioned EUR 52 per ton against 2025. Just trying to understand here, what are the building blocks behind this, particularly in terms of net selling prices and in terms of volume sold, if you could share that information. Thank you very much.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

This EUR 52 per ton is the operative margin of EBITDA. It comes from better prices and better costs. This EUR 52 is very simple, EUR 36 is because the product mix and the balance is on costs. EUR 22 is the efficiency and competitiveness plan, and EUR 8 is the two projects in Navia who have just started now. EUR 36, it's a product mix, and yes, the product mix, it's mainly prices. In the case, as I mentioned just recently, we have here specialties, special pulp, substituting BSKP, and we have fluff, and fluff has a different margin and higher margin. That's the EUR 52.

Bruno Bessa
Analyst, CaixaBank BPI

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. Presenters, please continue.

Ignacio Colmenares
Executive Chairman, Ence

Thank you. Gentlemen, if there is no further questions, I hope to meet you in three months' time with better results. Thank you very much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.