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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

Jun 11, 2025

Moderator

Good morning to everybody. We would like to extend a warm welcome to all those attending the presentation of Inditex's Results for the interim three-m onths, 2025. I'm James O'Shaughnessy, Investor Relations. This presentation will be hosted by Inditex's CEO, Óscar García Maceiras, as well as by our new Chief Financial Officer, Andrés Sánchez, and Gorka Garcia-Tapia, Director of Investor Relations. After the presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session starting with the questions received on the phone, followed by those received via the webcast platform. Before we start, we'll take the disclaimer as read. Over to you, Óscar.

Óscar García Maceiras
CEO, Inditex

Good morning and welcome to our first quarter 2025 results presentation. First, I would like to welcome Andrés, who will be heading up the finance function as our CFO. Andrés has been with the company in the finance department for over 15 years. In the first three months of 2025, Inditex has maintained a solid operational performance led by the creativity of our teams and the strong execution of the full integrated business model. This performance was driven by the four key pillars that we have highlighted to you in the past: our strong product offering, a unique customer experience, a keen focus on sustainability, and the talent and commitment of our people. These are the principal factors driving our ability to differentiate ourselves so consistently. Our Spring/ Summer collections have been well received by customers. The sales in the period grew 1.5%. Sales in constant currency increased by 4.2%.

Adjusted for the impact of the leap year, the sales growth was 5.3%. The business model continues to perform effectively, driving stable gross margins supported by disciplined cost management. On the bottom line, net income increased by 1% to EUR 1.3 billion. Our positive performance has continued going into the second quarter. Store and online sales in constant currency between the 1st of May and the 9th of June grew 6%. Our diversified presence in 214 markets with low market penetration permits us to leverage significant global growth opportunities. It has been 50 years since Zara opened its first store in A Coruña, Calle Juan Flórez, a store that has remained open and was recently refurbished. Having reached this relevant milestone, we have complete confidence in our ability to grow our business, mainly because the unique model we operate continues to drive an ever-increasing level of differentiation.

Now, over to Andrés to go over the headline numbers.

Andrés Sánchez Iglesias
CFO, Inditex

Thank you, Oscar. I am very pleased to be here today. As you can see from today's financial release, Inditex produced a sound performance in the interim three months of 2025. Sales over the period grew by 1.5%. We have managed the supply chain actively, which is evidenced in the robust gross margin performance, illustrating well the flexibility of the business model. Likewise, operating expenses have been rigorously managed over the period, and this has resulted in operating expenses only growing by 2.3%. EBITDA, in turn, grew 1% to EUR 2.4 billion. Moving down the P&L, we have also seen further progress on the net income line, with an increase of 1% to EUR 1.3 billion, maintaining a strong level of profitability. We generated a reasonable level of sales growth at + 1.5% to reach EUR 8.3 billion. That's 4.2% in constant currency.

This growth was 5.3% adjusted for the calendar effect of the leap year. Based on current exchange rates, we expect a -3% currency impact on sales for the full year 2025. In the first quarter of 2025, gross profit increased 1.5% to reach EUR 5 billion and clearly illustrates a good execution of the business model over the period. The gross margin reached 60.6%, remarkably stable, once again demonstrating well the flexibility of the business model. Based on current information, we would like to reiterate our gross margin guidance for the year of +/- 50 basis points. As you can clearly see, we continue to exercise rigorous control of operating expenses across all departments and business lines. All expense lines have been tightly controlled and show a favorable evolution. Operating expenses increased 2.3%. This cost efficiency contributed to the strong PVT margin of 20.2%.

Over the first quarter of the year, we experienced a robust operating performance. Inditex's inventory as of the 30th of April was 6% higher. The end-of-period inventory is considered to be of high quality. Now, over to you, Gorka.

Gorka Garcia-Tapia Yturriaga
Director of Investor Relations, Inditex

Thank you, Andrés. Again, welcome on board. Building upon Andrés' comments, I would like to reiterate that we are happy with the performance over the first quarter 2025 and with the execution over the period. The optimization of our store footprint remains in place across all markets, be it new store openings, refurbishments, enlargements, or absorptions. Inditex has continued with the expansion and has opened stores in 26 different markets around the world. All the concepts, including Zara, continue with exciting new openings. In March, for example, Oysho opened its third store in Paris at Madeleine. In April, Bershka opened its first store in Sweden. In May, Massimo Dutti reopened its flagship in London, Oxford Street, with additional floor space and showcasing its new store look. Stradivarius continues its expansion in Germany with plans to open seven new stores throughout this year.

Store and online sales continue to be sound, and the overall performance has been pretty good. One of our main priorities continues to be to focus on maximizing our commercial differentiation. In the strategy section, we will cover numerous initiatives we have carried out in the period. With all that in mind, back to you, Oscar.

Óscar García Maceiras
CEO, Inditex

Thank you, Gorka. We keep on strengthening these strategic pillars of our fully integrated business model. As always, our first priority remains to continually increase the appeal of our fashion proposition. Creativity, innovation, design, and quality are what drive the success of our collections. We have a clear and strong commitment to this, thanks to our 700 designers and our prototype teams. Every day, they manage a meticulous design process that attends to any small detail of our garments and collections while striving to provide quality fashion to more and more customers around the world. The focus on an ever more enhanced customer experience comes as a result of the continuous process of upgrading stores with strong architectural features and with highly curated internal spaces. As we mentioned before, our first Zara store opened here in A Coruña 50 years ago and has remained open ever since.

Thanks to our unique integrated store and online model, our teams have been able to take advantage of the remarkable growth opportunities we see across all channels, concepts, and markets. We keep on executing new openings, enlargements, and refurbishments of stores in the best locations, expanding our concepts to new cities and new territories and the launch of new services that enhance the customer's shopping experience. The Zara Nanjing Xinjiekou store, which opened in March, is an example of our full integrated model. It incorporates all the latest technologies from sorters, self-checkouts, click-and-collect, and the Zac affé concept. The full implementation of the new soft-tag technology at Zara is now complete. This is the basis for us to continue deepening the digitalization of stores and their integration with online platforms in the coming years. Currently, the technology is being rolled out in Bershka and Pull & Bear.

Zara.com has commenced offering travel mode to clients in the U.K., Italy, and Japan. This will be available soon in Spain, France, and Turkey. Thanks to this functionality, traveling clients can receive their online purchases wherever they are staying and access travel tips in cities like London, Rome, and Tokyo. At Inditex, we believe in the importance of continuing to offer opportunities to everyone. In April 2025, we launch a new program in partnership with the Asian University for Women to support the academic training of women textile factory workers in Bangladesh through the financing of 50 five-year scholarships. The for&from for the Integration of People with Disabilities has continued its expansion. After the recent opening in 2025 of a new store in Mexico City, in the second half of this year, we plan to open new for&from stores in Lisbon and Porto.

With these openings, the program will be in four markets with 17 stores. We operate in 214 markets, with low share in what continues to be a highly fragmented sector, and as I have previously mentioned, we see strong growth opportunities. In the current year, we are planning investments that will scale our capabilities, obtain efficiencies, and increase our competitive differentiation. The growth of annual gross space in the period 2025-2026 is expected to be around 5%. Over this same time period, we expect space contribution to sales to be positive in conjunction with a strong evolution of online sales. For 2025, we estimate ordinary capital expenditure of approximately EUR 1.8 billion. We continue to focus the ordinary capital expenditure on our global store base, the online platform, and the rollout of technology programs aimed at enhancing the level of integration.

The logistics expansion plan we have already set out is on track. As already announced for the financial year 2024, the board of directors will propose at the annual general meeting a dividend increase of 9% to EUR 1.68 per share. The dividend will be made up of two equal payments. On the 2nd of May 2025, Inditex made a payment of EUR 0.84 per share. The remainder, EUR 0.84 per share, will be payable on the 3rd of November 2025. Mr. José Arnau will leave the board of directors once his tenure expires on the 15th of July 2025. Inditex would like to thank him for his important contribution during his many years at the group. The board will propose the appointment of Mr. Roberto Cibeira, CEO of Ponte Gadea, as Proprietary Director. I would like to finish with a comment on our current performance.

Spring Summer Collections continue to be very well received by our customers. Store and online sales in constant currency increased 6% between the 1st of May and the 9th of June 2025 versus the same period in 2024. Thank you all for attending this results presentation. That concludes our presentation for today. We will be happy to answer any questions you may have.

Moderator

The telephone Q&A session starts now. If you would like to ask a question, please press star five on your telephone keypad. If you wish to withdraw your question, please press star five again. We request that you limit yourself to only one question per turn so we can maximize the number of participants in the session. If you have further queries, you may press star five again after the next person's question has been addressed. Please ensure your phone is not on mute. The first question goes to Richard Chamberlain from RBC. Go ahead, Richard.

Richard Chamberlain
Head of European Consumer Discretionary and Equity Research, RBC

Thank you, James. Morning, everybody. Question for me, please, on the gross margin. It was very stable in the first quarter, but I wondered how you're feeling about it for the first half. Often we see the impact on gross margin from a slightly softer period of trading in the sort of quarter after rather than the current period. Are you expecting some impact on gross margin in the second quarter? Are you expecting sort of earlier summer sale activity this year in key markets? Thank you.

Gorka Garcia-Tapia Yturriaga
Director of Investor Relations, Inditex

Thank you, Richard. I mean, with regards to gross margin, I think you can appreciate that over the last few years, and despite significant impacts in the supply chain or even in the currency markets, our gross margin has remained remarkably stable. This is related to the consistency, of course, of how we're executing our unique business model. I think in the presentation, we've talked about what we see the gross margin for the full year as being stable, which for us means +/- 50 basis points. I think that would be a reasonable expectation, at least with all of the current available information that we have. I hope that helps, Richard. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from Geoff Lowery from Redburn. Go ahead, Jeff.

Geoff Lowery
Managing Director and Retail & Sporting Goods Analyst, Redburn

Yeah, good morning, team. Just one question, really. I'm thinking about the multi-year investments in logistics and in your platform generally. Do you think we're most likely to see those benefits in the sales line or in cost efficiency once they are fully landed? Thank you.

Óscar García Maceiras
CEO, Inditex

Thank you, Geoff. In 2024, we launched a two-year logistic expansion plan that, as I have mentioned during the presentation, remains on track. One of the main projects, our distribution center for Zara in Zaragoza II, is starting its operations this summer. There are other projects, including new distribution centers for Bershka and Tempe, or relevant upgrades in our existing distribution center. As we explained when launching the plan, the rationale behind this plan is to be in a position to continue providing our customers with high-quality fashion, regardless of channel, formats, and geography, and taking advantage of all the growth opportunities that we continue to see everywhere. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from Warwick O'Kynes from BNP Exxon. Go ahead, Warwick.

Warwick O'Kynes
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Thanks, morning, everyone. I was wondering if you could talk a bit about the shoe category, particularly at Zara. How many accessory corners do you have in stores? Just sort of fitting in with Geoff's question, how does the shoe category fit in with the Tempe logistics expansion program that you just mentioned?

Gorka Garcia-Tapia Yturriaga
Director of Investor Relations, Inditex

Hi. Yeah, I mean, I think we've talked about in the past that we have in some of the new store looks, for example, some corners dedicated to the shoe category. I think that that's been performing quite well. With regards to the logistics plan, I think Oscar was just mentioning before that within that logistics plan that we have some of the new distribution centers. He mentioned one specifically for Tempe. I just also add the fact that even in our existing logistics centers, for example, over the last few years, they've suffered a lot of upgrades, and that's helped to increase the automization. They all, for example, have silo systems for hanging and folding garments, for example.

Moderator

Thank you, Gorka. The next question comes from James Grzinic from Jefferies. Go ahead, James.

James Grzinic
Head of Luxury and Retail Research, Jefferies

Yes, morning. Thank you. Just a quick one, really. Can you give us some sense of the productivity savings that you're seeing in the more recent Zara openings or refreshed stores now that soft-tag or RFID is fully enabled, please?

Gorka Garcia-Tapia Yturriaga
Director of Investor Relations, Inditex

Yeah, I think it's a great question. I mean, with regards to soft-tags, as you know, for example, in Zara, it's completely rolled out. This year, we're progressing through with Bershka and Pull & Bear. I think that the focus of the soft-tags is very much in line with what we're thinking with regards to improving the customer experience. Of course, this is related to self-checkouts, to click-and-collect, and also sorters. I think that we're really seeing that coming through with regards to, for example, the take-up of self-checkouts at some more relevant stores. To give you maybe some color, at group level, the percentage of sales processed at self-checkouts almost doubled during the year last year and reached more than 90% of total transactions in some of our more relevant stores.

I hope that helps you to give a sense of how we're progressing with that.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from Georgina Johanan from JP Morgan. Go ahead, Georgina.

Georgina Johanan
Head of European General Retail Equity Research, JPMorgan

Hi, thank you for taking my question. Just with regards to the U.S. and the situation there with tariffs, and very much appreciate that, of course, it's a single-digit percentage, or we estimate a single-digit percentage of group sales and so on. Not necessarily material at a group level, but just thinking about the profitability of your U.S. business. Presumably, you are incurring tariffs there already. Can you just talk about some of the potential mitigations that you're considering and sort of just a bit more color on your strategy there would be really helpful in light of the environment, please? Thank you.

Gorka Garcia-Tapia Yturriaga
Director of Investor Relations, Inditex

Great. Sure. I think with regards to tariffs, let me just first set out by saying that the current environment, as you can probably imagine, is difficult to predict. We are continuously monitoring the situation. I mean, I would highlight, for example, the fact that we feel we have three tools at our disposal that help us weather changes in tariff regimes. I think the first one would be the fact that we have such a global presence, and therefore we have a lot of experience over the last few decades with regards to managing changes in tariff regimes. I think you correctly pointed out, we are highly diversified, not only in sales, but also from the sourcing side of our business. I think that sets us up in a very good position.

I think you know our business model quite well, but it is quite flexible, and we have sort of that focus on proximity sourcing. I think all of that with regards to the U.S. really helps us out. In any case, I'd say that we see growth opportunities globally, not just in one market. We look around in all of the geographies to try to understand where it is that we should be growing. We're doing everything on a project-by-project basis. For example, in the U.S., I think in the presentation, we talked about the relocation of our flagship in L.A. to The Grove, and you saw an image there. We also have, for example, a new store in Boston, CambridgeSide. I think we're continuing with our business as normal, thanks to the unique business model that we have.

Moderator

The next question comes from Sreedhar Mahamkali from UBS. Please go ahead.

Sreedhar Mahamkali
Managing Director, UBS

Thank you, good morning. Thank you for taking my question. Just really noting the point that Zaragoza too becomes live in the summer. Does that change anything in terms of the depreciation cost as you go live, or any other fixed cost to keep in mind as we sort of model the cost base rest of the year, please, and into next year?

Gorka Garcia-Tapia Yturriaga
Director of Investor Relations, Inditex

Great. Yeah, no. I think with regards to the DNA line, first, let me just also mention that you have to consider that we have, for example, the right-of-use assets that are there. Those are, of course, impacted by the length of the contracts of the rental agreements we have that take into account things such as break clauses and interest rate components. That is a variable component there. I think for 2025, for your models, I think it's difficult to give some guidance for depreciation for the full year. With regards to, for example, the new CapEx program, a couple of things that I can perhaps help to guide you a little bit. The first is consider that we have a lot of work in progress still, and you have to consider that that balance has not yet begun to be depreciated, and we'll see that coming through.

In any case, the CapEx program is focused on logistics centers. Of course, those have a longer useful life than stores, for example. You have to factor that into your calculations. Additionally, the reason we always say that it's difficult to give you guidance on this is because we have the DNA related to stores, which is impacted, of course, by the ongoing store optimization program. That's difficult to give you some guidance on. Thank you.

Moderator

The next question comes from Matthew Clements from Barclays. Go ahead, Matthew.

Matthew Clements
Equity Research AVP of Food Retail and General Retail, Barclays

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Please, could you comment on recent reports regarding the European expansion of your Lefties banner, please?

Óscar García Maceiras
CEO, Inditex

Thanks for the question. Lefties was founded more than 25 years ago within Zara and covers three main segments: women, men, and kids wear. It operates the same fully integrated business model with physical stores and online as the rest of the Inditex concepts, with very similar focus on providing customers with the most up-to-date fashion at prices that are affordable, relying on the same standards of quality and design, and with the same group commitments to sustainability. Lefties currently operates in 18 countries, but primarily focused on our heritage markets of Spain and Portugal, and to a lesser extent in Mexico. It's true that more recently, and given the very positive feedback that we are getting from clients, we are testing Lefties in new markets.

Moderator

Thank you, Oscar. We're going to move over to the webcast questions now. We've had a question today on the growth opportunities of the younger concepts like Stradivarius or Bershka.

Óscar García Maceiras
CEO, Inditex

Thanks for the question. In fact, all of our concepts keep on identifying very good opportunities, thanks to our fully integrated model that fosters our capacity of spotting the willingness of customers for having our physical stores in their markets, in their cities. As mentioned, Bershka has recently opened its first stores in India and Sweden. Stradivarius, for instance, continues with a very strong growth profile in Germany, with plans to open this year seven stores in the country after only entering the market with physical stores in 2023. Or another example is Oysho. Its treasure proposition is available in stores in Germany and will be in the Netherlands for the first time this year. Of course, in all of these markets, Zara has been operating for many years already and continues to be extremely active with new projects.

Moderator

Thank you, Oscar. That concludes the webcast questions for today.

Óscar García Maceiras
CEO, Inditex

Thank you to all of those participating in the presentation today. For any additional questions you may have, feel free to get in touch with the Investor Relations Department. We look forward to welcoming you back in September for the first half 2025 results.

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