Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Larsen & Toubro Limited Q3 FY'24 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode. There will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during this conference, please signal an operator by pressing star and then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. P. Ramakrishnan, Head, Investor Relations from Larsen & Toubro Limited. Thank you. Over to you, sir.
Thank you, Darwin. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. A very warm welcome to all of you into the Q3 FY'24 Earnings Call of Larsen & Toubro. The earnings presentation was uploaded on the stock exchange and in our website around 6:35 P.M. today evening. As usual, instead of going through the entire presentation, I will walk you through the key highlights for the quarter in the next half an hour or so, post which, we will take questions- answers.
Before I begin the overview, the usual disclaimer: the presentation, which we have uploaded on the stock exchange and our website today, including the discussions that we will be having in this call, contains or may contain certain forward-looking statements concerning our business prospects and profitability, which are subject to several risks and uncertainties, and the actual results could materially differ from those in such forward-looking statements. In contrast to global trends, the Indian economy in Q3 FY '24 has continued to present a picture of resilience and momentum. The investment activity remains healthy on the back of continuing public CapEx.
Consumption spends have received some boost from the festival season in Q3, better capacity utilization in the manufacturing sector, strong real estate demand, healthy credit momentum, higher tax collections, and an acceptable level of inflation, all are aiding the growth prospects of the Indian economy. The fundamentals of the Indian economy remain solid, with healthier corporate and bank balance sheets. Fiscal consolidation is on course, external balances remaining manageable, and forex reserves providing cushion against any possible external shocks. These factors, combined with consumer and business optimism, create congenial conditions for the sustained growth of the Indian economy going forward as well.
Before I get into details of the financial performance parameters, I would like to share some important highlights for the quarter. We are happy to report that our nine-month order inflows at a group level for FY '24, at INR 2.31 trillion, has already crossed the full year, the last full year FY '23 levels, largely on the back of large order wins in infrastructure revolving around renewable EPC and associated utilities in the Middle East, urban mobility packages in India, as well as onshore and offshore international wins in Hydrocarbon business.
Secondly, India's longest sea bridge, connecting the Indian city of Mumbai with the satellite city of Navi Mumbai and named the Atal Bihari Vajpayee Trans Harbour Link, or Atal Setu, was inaugurated on the twelfth of January, 2024. Our company was one of the major EPC contractors involved in this prestigious project. On January 22, 2024, the Honorable Prime Minister of India led the consecration ceremony of the Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Mandir in Ayodhya. We are pleased to inform you that this temple is also being constructed by Larsen & Toubro.
Our Hydrocarbon business has performed exceptionally well during the year. The nine-month order inflow for this business at INR 582 billion is a record high. Consequently, the order book for this business has expanded to INR 1.07 trillion as on December '23. Coming to the IT and technology services portfolio, the voluntary attrition in both our listed entities, LTIMindtree and LTTS, has reduced both on sequential and YoY basis. Our financial services business has achieved the highest ever quarterly retail disbursements of INR 149 billion, and the retail portfolio today is at 91% of the overall book, which stands at INR 818 billion.
Hyderabad Metro received financial support of INR 150 crore from the government of Telangana during Q3. The cumulative amount received under this facility till December '23 stands at INR 900 crore. Some other important highlights during the quarter are: we manufactured the first electrolyser of 1 MW in the Hazira factory on December 13, 2023. On the green energy side, L&T Electrolysers Limited emerged as a successful bidder with an allotted capacity of 63 MW under the Tranche-I of the PLI scheme for electrolyser manufacturing, launched by the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy.
The data center at Panvel, a pilot project by L&T, has gone live with a capacity of 1.4 MW in the Mumbai region. Furthermore, there is an upcoming data center closer to commissioning of almost 12 MW in Chennai, expected to be completed in Q4 FY '24. As mentioned in our previous conversations, L&T plans to have an aggregate capacity of around 60 MW in the data center domain over the next couple of years. Finally, we incorporated a wholly-owned subsidiary, L&T Semiconductor Technologies Limited, on November 29, 2023.
Over time, this company will be engaged in the business of fabless semiconductor chip design and product ownership. I will now cover the various financial performance parameters for Q3 FY '24. This quarter was a quarter of robust performance across the various financial parameters. Our group order inflows, revenues, and recurring PAT is up by 25%, 19%, and 20% respectively, over the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Our NWC to revenue is at 16.6% in Q3 FY '24, registering a sequential improvement of 10 basis points and 240 basis points on a YoY basis.
Moving on to the individual performance parameters, our group order inflows for Q3 FY '24 at INR 760 billion, registered a YoY growth of 25%. Within that, our Projects and Manufacturing businesses secured order inflows of INR 602 billion for Q3, growing by 32% over the corresponding period of the previous year. Our Q3 FY '24 order inflows in this Projects and Manufacturing portfolio are mainly from infrastructure and hydrocarbon segments.
During the current quarter, the share of international orders in the Projects and Manufacturing portfolio was at 67%, vis-a-vis 12% in Q3 of last year. During the quarter, orders were received across various spectrum of businesses, like offshore vertical of hydrocarbon, renewable EPC, water utilities, airports, health, residential spaces, power transmission, as well as Ferrous Metals. Moving on to the prospects pipeline, we have a total order prospect pipeline of INR 6.27 trillion for the near term, vis-a-vis INR 4.87 trillion at the same time in the last year. This represents an increase of 29% on a YoY basis. The increase is largely due to the sharp improvement in the hydrocarbon prospect pipeline.
I'll give you the broad breakup of the overall prospects pipeline of INR 6.27 trillion, which is as follows: infrastructure has a share of INR 4.1 trillion. The same was INR 3.88 trillion as of December '23. Hydrocarbon, INR 1.7 trillion as at December '24, vis-a-vis INR 0.61 trillion as of December '23. Power business has an order prospects of INR 0.3 trillion as of December '24, as against INR 0.20 trillion last year. Heavy Engineering- Defence in aggregate has an order prospects of INR 0.16 trillion, which is almost at the same level that we witnessed as of December '23. Moving on to order book.
Our order book is at INR 4.7 trillion as on December '23, which is up by 22% when compared to December 2022. As our Projects and Manufacturing business is largely India-centric, 61% of our order book is domestic and 39% international. Of the international order book of INR 1.84 trillion, around 92% is from Middle East and the balance and 2% from Africa. The remaining 6% constitute from various countries, including Southeast Asia. It is evident that the GCC CapEx in both infra and hydrocarbon is on an upswing, largely led by the Saudi Vision 2030.
The breakdown of the domestic order book of INR 2.86 trillion, which I said is 61% of the overall order book, is as follows: central government, 12%; state government, 31%; PSU or state-owned enterprises, 35%; and private sector, 22%. Approximately around 18% of our total order book of INR 4.7 trillion is funded by bilateral and multilateral funding agencies. Again, 92% of the total order book is coming from infrastructure and energy. You may refer to the presentation slides for further details. During the quarter ended December '23, Q3 FY '24, we have deleted orders of close to INR 27 billion from the order book. As of December '23, our slow-moving orders is well less than 1% of the total order book.
Coming to revenues, our group revenues for Q3 FY '24 at INR 551 billion registered a YoY growth of 19%. International revenues constituted 44% of the revenues during the quarter. The strong execution in the Projects and Manufacturing portfolio drove the overall group revenues for the quarter. In the Projects and Manufacturing business portfolio, our revenues for Q3 FY '24 were at INR 393 billion, registering a YoY growth of 26%. Moving on to EBITDA, our group level EBITDA margin without other income for Q3 FY '24 is 10.4%, a drop of fifty basis points over Q3 of the previous year. This drop of fifty basis points is mainly due to job mix and cost pressures in the legacy EPC projects of the Projects and Manufacturing portfolio.
The detailed breakup of the EBITDA margin, business-wise, is also given in the annexures to the earnings presentation. You would have noticed that the EBITDA margin in the Projects and Manufacturing businesses for Q3 FY '24 is at 7.6%, vis-a-vis 8.5% in Q3 FY '23. On a sequential basis, the EBITDA margin in the Projects and Manufacturing business for Q3 FY '24 improved by 20 basis points, up from 7.4 that we printed for Q2 of the current financial year. I will cover the details a little later when I talk about the performance of each of the segments.
Our recurring PAT for Q3 FY '24, at INR 29 billion, is up 20% over Q3 of the last year. The robust PAT growth is reflective of the strong execution momentum and the lower tax expense. The group performance P&L construct, along with reasons for major variances under the respective functional heads, is provided in the earnings presentation. Coming to working capital, our NWC- to- sales ratio has improved from 19% in December 2022 to 16.6% in December '23, an improvement of 240 basis points.
The NWC to sales ratio was 16.7 in the previous quarter ended September 2023. Our group level collections, excluding financial services for Q3 FY '24, is INR 494 billion, vis-a-vis INR 434 billion in Q3 FY '23, representing an increase of 14% on a YoY basis. The improvement in gross working capital is on the back of improved customer collections, and which is also, in a way, manifest in the overall improvement in the NWC to sales ratio. Finally, the trailing twelve-month ROE for Q3 FY '24 is 15.2%, vis-a-vis 12.4% in Q3 FY '23, an improvement of 280 basis points.
The improved profitability with every passing quarter, along with the return of capital to shareholders in the form of first buyback that we did in the month of September, is contributing to this improvement. As stated in the past, the focus of the group during this period, the strat plan period ending FY 2026, will be on cash generation, divestments from non-core assets, CapEx and investments in existing and newer businesses, and finally, returning surplus cash to shareholders at regular intervals in order to create value over a period of time.
Very briefly, I will now comment on the performance of each of the business segment before we give our final comments on our outlook for the medium term. We'll start with Infrastructure segment. On order inflows, this segment secured orders of INR 432 billion for Q3 FY '24, vis-a-vis INR 325 billion in Q3 FY '23, representing a growth of 33% over the corresponding quarter of the previous year. During the current quarter, the orders were largely received in the renewable EPC, water utilities, airports, health, residential, premises, power transmission, as well as ferrous metals. Our order prospects pipeline in infra is around INR 4.1 trillion, vis-a-vis INR 3.889 trillion during the same time last year, representing an increase of around 5%.
The infra prospects pipeline of INR 4.1 trillion comprises of domestic prospects of INR 3.22 trillion and international prospects of INR 0.88 trillion. The sub-segment breakup of total order prospects in infra would be as follows: Transportation Infra leads at 28%, and then we have Minerals and Metals at 17%, Buildings and Factories at 19%, Water at 16%, Power Transmission Distribution at 4%, Heavy Civil Infra at 16%, adding that aggregates to 100. The order book of this segment is at INR 3.18 trillion as of December '23. The Book-to- Bill for infra is around 3 years.
The Q3 revenues at INR 278 billion registered a strong growth of 27% over the comparable quarter of the previous year, largely aided by the strong execution progress across multiple jobs and across all the sub-segments. Our EBITDA margin in this segment for Q3 FY '24 is at 5.5%, vis-à-vis 7% in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The margin for the quarter is a function of job mix and the legacy jobs tapering off. The working capital intensity has substantially improved during the same period, resulting in stable return ratios for this segment over a period of time. Moving on to the next segment, which is Energy Projects, which comprises hydrocarbon and power.
The receipt of mega order in the Middle East enabled the boosting of hydrocarbon order book, whereas Power business benefited from the receipt of a FGD order. We have a strong order prospects pipeline of INR 2.01 trillion for this energy segment, comprising of Hydrocarbon prospects of INR 1.7 trillion and Power prospects of INR 0.3 trillion. The order book for this energy segment is at INR 1.13 trillion as of December '23, with the hydrocarbon order book at INR 1.07 trillion and power at INR 54 billion.
The Q3 FY '24 revenues at INR 79 billion registered a healthy growth of 24%, mainly driven by the pickup in the execution ramp-up of international projects of the Hydrocarbon business, whereas lower business in the power, lower revenues in the Power business is largely reflective of a depleting order book. The energy segment margin in Q3 FY '24 is at 9.7%, vis-a-vis 8.7% in Q3 FY '23. The hydrocarbon margin in Q3 is in line with the previous year, whereas favorable customer claim enabled the improvement in EBITDA margin for power. We will now move on to the Hi-Tech Manufacturing segment that Defence Engineering and Heavy Engineering businesses.
A receipt of multiple orders contributed to the order inflow in the Defence business, whereas we witnessed order deferrals in the Heavy Engineering segment during the quarter. Our order prospects pipeline for this segment is INR 163 billion. The order book for this segment is INR 258 billion as of December '23. The strong momentum continues in Defence, whereas Heavy Engineering revenue growth is impacted by a little subdued progress in nuclear jobs. The Defence margin is reflective of job mix, whereas customer claims enabled the Heavy Engineering margin movement.
In- on this segment, I would like to repeat, Defence Engineering business does not manufacture any explosives nor ammunition of any kind, including cluster ammunitions or anti-personnel landmines, or nuclear weapons, or components for any of such munitions. The business also does not customize any delivery systems for such munitions. Moving on to the next segment, that is Information Technology and Technology Services, where we have the two listed entities, LTIMindtree and LTTS.
The revenues for this segment at INR 112 billion in Q3 FY '24 registered a modest growth of 5%, largely in line with the subdued global macro conditions impacting IT spends. Despite ongoing macro concerns, the deal pipeline for this segment is healthy, with good visibility across all offerings. Improved utilizations drive the margin improvement in LTIMindtree, whereas LTTS margins are largely in line with that of the previous year.
I would not like to take too much time on this segment, as both the companies in the segment are listed entities, and the detailed fact sheets are already available in the public domain. We move on to L&T Finance Holdings, which is forming part of our Financial Services segment. Here again, L&T Finance Holdings is a listed subsidiary, and the detailed results are already available in the public domain. During the quarter, L&T Finance Holdings had a merger of L&T Finance Limited, L&T Infra Credit Limited, and L&T Mutual Fund Trustee Limited with itself, and that got concluded.
This merger will lead it to the creation of a simplified single lending entity and is expected to create internal synergy, superior governance, and unlock new revenues for growth. The Q3 of the current year revolved largely around a strong retail disbursement, which was possibly highest ever in a quarter, lower credit costs, better asset quality, and a rundown of the wholesale book. The balance sheet is strong on the back of an adequate provision coverage ratio, and inbuilt macro-prudential buffers are already there. Financial services achieved 91% retailization of its loan book in December '23, well ahead of its Lakshya 2026 targets.
The retail book growth, asset quality, and the return on assets are highly satisfactory. Finally, sufficient capital in the balance sheet is available to pursue growth in the medium term. In a way, the stage is set for this business to truly achieve Fintech at scale. Moving on to the concessions portfolio, that what we call as the Development Project segment. This segment includes the Power Development business comprising of Nabha Power and also has Hyderabad Metro. Once again, I would like to mention that the profit consolidation of L&T IDPL, which is the holding company for largely a road, concessions portfolio, at a PAT level, has been discontinued from Q4 of the last financial year, p ost signing of definitive agreement for sale of our entire stake.
The investment in the joint venture, L&T IDPL, therefore, is classified as held for sale in the group balance sheet. The majority of revenues in the Development Project segment is contributed by Nabha Power. And in the case of Hyderabad Metro, the improved ridership enabled revenue growth, and Nabha revenue was helped by higher PLFs. I'd like to give you some statistics on the Hyderabad Metro operation. The average metro ridership has improved from 3.94 lakh passengers a day in Q3 of the previous year, to 4.44 lakh passengers per day in the Q3 of FY '24.
Our average ridership in the previous quarter of the current year was 4.62 lakh passengers a day, higher compared to the current quarter, primarily due to the long holidays, or the vacation, for Q3, and also a free bus ride entitlement to females under the new Mahalakshmi scheme of the state government from December '23 onwards. The higher segment margin in Q3 of FY '24 is primarily due to improved metro ridership and consolidation of Nabha profits.
The metro at an EPC level, we consolidated a loss of INR 2.54 billion in Q3 FY '24, vis-à-vis a loss of INR 3.32 billion in Q3 of the previous financial year. For nine months, FY '24, we consolidated loss of INR 3.49 billion, against a loss of INR 9.86 billion in the nine months of the previous financial year. Moving on to the last segment, which is others. This segment comprises the Realty business, Industrial Valves manufacturing, Construction Equipment, Mining Machinery, Rubber Processing Machinery, and a residual part of our Smart World & C ommunication business.
The Q3 revenue growth of 12% over the corresponding quarter of the previous year is mainly contributed by a higher percentage of handing over of residential flats in the Realty business. The margin improvement in the segment is once again, primarily contributed by the Realty business. Coming to the last part of my presentation, which is the outlook. As I said earlier, the Indian economy is demonstrating resilience and is expected to grow by a healthy 7% in FY '24.
The country's robust economic trajectory is supported by resilient growth in the public spends by government, improved demand conditions, robust balance sheets of banks and corporates, introduction of production-linked incentives, and as well as high business confidence, which is also attracting investments from the private sector. On the flip side, we are yet to see a significant private sector participation around owning greenfield concessions in a major way.
Also, with general elections around the corner, expected to be scheduled anytime between April and May 2024, it is quite possible that the public CapEx could witness a temporary slowdown. The global economy remains volatile, with continuing military engagement in Europe and West Asia that is disrupting supply chain and global trade movements. The U.S. economy has been resilient so far, but the U.K. and European economies are weak, and the concern around China still persists. Despite these, concerns or developments, the good news for our projects business is that Middle East, particularly Saudi Arabia, continues to pursue its investment plans across multiple sectors.
In this backdrop, the company possesses the necessary capability and flexibility to continuously rebalance its approach and strategy to benefit from the dynamic business environment. The company is focused on tapping emerging opportunities both in India and overseas, with driven by its proven competence in the domains of engineering, manufacturing, construction, project management, and services for the profitable execution of its large order book. As it has always been, the company continues to remain committed to creating sustainable long-term returns for its shareholders. I'll now comment on our guidance for FY '24 before taking Q&A. On order inflows and revenue, we have performed exceptionally well, both in terms of growth in order inflows and revenue in the nine-month period.
In October, post the Q2 FY '24 earnings call, we had indicated that we would be outperforming on the order inflow guidance for FY '24 at the higher range of the band, which was 12%. And with respect to revenue, we also commented that possibly we will outperform 15% above, which is again, the higher end of the band that we had given for revenue at the start of the year. This is the nine months order inflows that we have seen and the robust order prospects. We are now revising our order inflow guidance to 20%+ for the full year. And for revenue, we believe that we should be looking to achieving growth in high-teens.
It is difficult to pinpoint a specific range of growth possiblity o n order inflows, especially in a pre-election period, amplified by continuing international geopolitical volatility. Therefore, we are constrained to give the order inflow guidance a little open-ended in terms of saying that we should be landing at 20%+ order inflow for the full year FY '24. Since we are already sitting on a large order book, our execution should carry on at a healthy clip, provided we are able to keep the capital intensity under check.
Here again, as you all know, as a matter of discipline, we are never in the past pursued faster execution at the cost of compromising the working capital situation. We are therefore reasonably sure of achieving revenue growth in the high-teens for the full year FY '24. On margin, our progress on the nine-month margins in the projects and the manufacturing portfolio has been along expected lines. A combination of low margin legacy jobs and newer jobs being in the ramp-up stage has depressed margin in the 9-month period.
However, it does appear at this juncture that the multiple new jobs which are in the ramp-up stage may not be able to cross the valuation threshold for recognizing margin by the end of FY '24, which means it could lead to some sort of a postponement of margin recognition of these jobs into next year. Therefore, we are fine-tuning our margin guidance in the Projects and Manufacturing portfolio from the earlier 8.59% band to a band of anywhere between 8.25%-8.5% for the full year. I would like to reiterate once again that the slip-up in margin, if any, in this portfolio, is more than made up by volume growth and improved working capital intensity, resulting in superior return on investment, by the end of the year.
On working capital, since we have been able to preserve balance sheet gains in the nine months so far, we are revising the earlier guidance of a band of 16%-18% to in and around the same levels that we achieved for December '23, which was at 16.6%. One can expect, given the fact that Q4 is a busy quarter and also, you know, various other international and domestic events lined up, we can expect that this 16.6% can go up by ±30 basis points on either side. With that, I conclude, ladies and gentlemen. I tried to give you an overall summary of our performance. We can get into Q&A.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Mohit Kumar from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.
Good evening, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. My first question is rather a clarification. Is the mega order announced today for the renewables from Middle East part of the order inflow of the current quarter?
Yes, please. We got the client consent a while ago, and that's why we had to disclose it. This has been factored in Q3.
Understood, sir. My, my first question is, a large part of order inflow has come from the Middle East, especially in nine months, and I think Aramco would be a substantial part of our order book. We understand that today Aramco has decided to cap the CapEx for Hydrocarbons, given the directive from the government to maintain the production at 12 mbpd instead of 13 mbpd. Is it possible to give some color on the same and quantify if any impact profit it has on our current order book and order inflow prospects?
So, as far as order book is concerned, whatever orders that we have secured from all the clients, I don't think there is any sort of a headway in terms of the progress of those jobs, because these are all, contracts that we have secured under customer-approved projects. Okay? So going forward, there could be developments, but we will have to evaluate and, see accordingly.
Understood. My second question is, there's an inordinate delay in the conversion of domestic prospect to order inflow. Do you think the thickness of domestic order inflow conversion to sustain till election, do you expect this to improve post the election? That's the key question.
Okay, Mohit, actually, when we started the year, when we gave a guidance of 10%-12%, that two factors into account. One was that we also communicated that the second part of the financial year could witness a subdued domestic tendering and award activity, given the fact that the country will face up for elections in early calendar '24. This was already covered, and that was one of the reasons that we started off the year with a 10%-12% band.
But, as things would have happened, I think the last two to three quarters, we have been, I would say, favorably, supported by a good tendering award momentum insofar as Middle East is concerned, and more specific, Saudi. And here again, it's a mix of orders. It's not necessarily in Hydrocarbons, although Hydrocarbons has taken a larger pie, but it is equally important for us to say that the Middle East orders constituted outside of Hydrocarbons, also some amounts of orders coming in from you know, the power transmission and solar kind of practices.
Understood. Thank you, sir. Best of luck. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sumit Kishore from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.
Thanks for the opportunity. My first question is regarding the equity investment of INR 27.7 billion in Hyderabad Metro that you have announced. Could you speak about the rationale, and does this accelerate the process of getting a strategic investor on board?
So, Sumit, you're referring to the announcement that happened today?
Yes.
Okay. So as you are aware, I think one of the most important challenges we have in the Hyderabad Metro, given the fact that the company has a very high leverage. So what we have decided that some part of the finance, we have to reduce the interest cost for the metro. So whatever has been given in the form of additional cash support, no? For the last two years, some part of that is getting converted into equity. So it is not-
Okay.
Cash infusion, it is just a conversion of the L&T cash support, which was given in the form of intercorporate deposit, is getting converted into equity, so as to reduce the financial burden of the metro operations.
Okay, so there is no fresh cash infusion which is happening, right?
No.
Okay. And, in terms of the timeline for getting a strategic investor into Hyderabad Metro, that remains unchanged, maybe the next couple of years is where you would be looking to?
Yeah. At this juncture, we are evaluating, but it's premature for us to comment on any transaction happening. So we will keep the markets informed as and when we have any third-party investor taking up a stake.
Sure. Also, in terms of the CapEx allocation for the new growth areas, what is it that you are sort of building in for the next two, three years for data centers, electrolysers, semiconductors, and any other such areas? Thanks.
So in terms of, our committed investment to make up the electrolyser manufacturing factory will be in the range of INR 500-600 crores, number one. On data centers, I had indicated that the plan is to ramp up to almost, 660 MW capacity, which means in and around INR 2,000-odd crores. Today, our data center capitalization has been around INR 645 crores. Another INR 1,400 crores will get capitalized as we set up the additional data center units.
As far as, the third part, semiconductor is concerned, the board has approved an initial, equity outlay of almost close to $100 million, which is around INR 800-odd crores, for meeting the immediate requirements of setting up the business. That's the initial investment. So as the business, you know, progresses, I think subsequent investments will be subject to revisiting how the strategy to get into the business will happen.
So $100 million will be within a year timeframe?
No, it will be around possibly 2 years or so.
Okay. Just finally on the core business...
Okay, good that you asked that question. In case we are also planning to look at some inorganic routes to ramp up talent and, you know, so it is quite possible that some part of that INR 100 million could go into backfill acquisitions also.
Sorry, it could go into...?
Some part of this INR 100 million equity will be used to acquire design companies as well.
Okay. Okay. So just one brief clarification, you know, in terms of the core margin, guidance, which has been diluted a bit, does the uptick in margins, you know, in subsequent quarters, so do the things fall in line in terms of the legacy projects getting completed, maybe by Q4 end, you know, the projects entering the, margin recognition threshold, commodity prices have come off, so related margin improvement, which should happen. So all these things, do they come together in first half of FY 25, or is this going to get delayed further?
Okay, Sumit, when we started the year and we gave an initial guidance, we also had communicated clearly that the margin will be dependent on how fast we are closing out the legacy projects and how fast we ramp up on the newer orders that we secured in 2021, sorry, '22- 23, and possibly the latter part of '21-22 . Unfortunately, whereas we are ahead in terms of completing at a faster pace the legacy projects, some of the newer orders that we expected to achieve the margin recognition threshold in Q3 and Q4, that is Q3, the quarter that we just now went by, and also Q4, that looks to be getting postponed into next year.
We do believe that, and it is witnessed in the way of the results also, 7.4, 7.4, Q1, Q2 margins, we are improved by 20 basis points. I guess you will see a sequential improvement in the margin trajectory of the P&M portfolio over the next 4-5 quarters. It would be very difficult at this juncture to pinpoint that the structural improvement in margins, whether it will happen in first half or second half. I guess, we may have to wait until May, when we close the books for March 2024, and have the budgeting exercise by then for the business would have got completed, to clearly tell you where exactly the improvement in margins will happen from which point of time.
Sure. So the expectation is, it gets better from here. Thank you so much.
Yes.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi, P.R.. Congratulations on a decent quarter. So, my first question is on the claims. So, we have been saying that we have been filing for claims post-COVID. So, if you can help us understand how much would have got settled or realized during this quarter?
So, Parikshit, as I think when we talked about that in our margin guidance when we provided, we had excluded, you know, many large claims because they are at various levels of discussions with the customer and all. In a normal course of business, there are always, when jobs get completed, it's no job is ever saying that, you know, you will not have a claim or there'll not be no extra, claim by L&T on the customer or vice versa. So those things are happening. At this juncture, what are major claims that we are pursuing, some of them have yet to, you know, come favorably in L&T's.
Okay. But as a full year, as a nine-month as a whole, how much claims would have been recognized in the nine months of FY '24?
Oh, that, at aggregate level will be in the range of maybe around what? You can say around INR 200 crore-INR 300 crore, but that has got its part, and as I said, no, when I talked about the claims we have excluded, these are claims where are for specific projects which are large and which is at various levels of discussions with the customers. You're not talking of the normal claims that happen on a normal project execution. So there is nothing for me to draw your attention back, how much of claims which are unusually large, you know, has been factored in the nine-month results of the current year.
Okay. Okay, so my second question is on, you just said that your legacy project, the execution is better than expected, and your new projects, you are, getting little longer or elongated to reach the margin threshold. So are there any challenges on the ground, which you are facing that, you're not been able to, improve the execution there, though you have upped your guidance to high-teens now on the revenue growth, but still, I mean, are you struggling or facing challenges on ramp-up of the new, new project wins?
No, let me tell you that, there are no specific challenges that I need to put it across as far as the execution of new projects are concerned. Typically, when a project is awarded, it usually goes through, almost an average six months kind of engineering phase, and then you have the procurement phase, and at the same time, when the procurement starts, the site mobilization also happens.
So this is typically, I would say, that the new project execution has been possibly what we thought the project execution covering the crossing the margin recognition threshold in Q3 and Q4, is getting postponed to next year. So it's not something which is we will not be able to, in case there is execution delay, whether it lead it to a slippage of time. No, it is not that way. It's more to do with the ramp-up and not having estimated that we will get into margin recognition threshold either in Q3 or Q4. That part has got postponed. Nothing otherwise substantial change.
Okay. Just on the legacy order book, when we talk about legacy order book, that we've been talking some quarters now. So, how do we quantify, how do we see that these legacy projects will get executed, handed over, completed? So, what would be the duration of the legacy order book in terms of execution now, and what would be the quantum of the legacy order books?
So let me put it the other way, I'll respond it. At INR 4.7 trillion order book that we have is largely today a major part of that order book comprises of projects that we have secured in 2021, 2022 later part and 2022, 2023, including the current nine months also. So we are, I can say, completing the legacy part of the order book, that orders that we secured prior to 2021 and maybe the first six months of 2022, given the fact that the average execution is across all these projects have been in and around that 24-28 months. So I would say that today, order book what we have, the legacy part of our order book is fast depleting, and hopefully from next year onwards, you should be seeing an improved execution of the current orders.
Is it right to believe that by first quarter of FY 2025, the legacy projects will largely be done with, and we see a higher share coming in from new or better margin projects in the mix?
I'll put it that way, that the share of revenues for next year would be largely coming from the newer orders.
Okay. And this is the last question, if I may, on the real estate business. So if you can help us with some numbers there in terms of nine months, what would be the pre-sales from this business?
In terms of nine months, the revenue of the Realty business is INR 1,900 crore.
What about the pre-sales number? Total value of the sales done, sales booking of the...
Okay, so I will tell you that the order inflow that L&T Realty has had for the nine months is almost INR 2,100 crore, and for the quarter it was around INR 525 crore.
Okay. Okay, sir. Thank you, and wish you the best.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya Bhartia from Investec. Please go ahead.
Hi, good evening, sir. So just wanted to understand once again what is really happening on the domestic order inflow side? Not only in this quarter, but pretty much in the last three quarters, it has been quite weak, while you've been kind of commenting that overall CapEx numbers are looking good, which is what we are seeing otherwise as well. So why is it that L&T is being not winning orders?
So, I don't think there is anything specific to talking about the share of domestic orders and all, but let me give you some statistics, okay? So, Q3 of the current year, our core Projects and Manufacturing order inflows was around INR 60,167 crore, okay? As against Q3 of the previous year, which was almost INR 46,000 crore. So there has been increase of 32%. Now, the only point, as you rightly mentioned, the composition of that INR 60,167 crores of core order inflows, the domestic is around INR 19,000 or INR 20,000, so to say, and the balance INR 40,000 is coming from international. The same composition of domestic in the previous year of the order inflow of INR 46,000 crore, the share of domestic was INR 40,000, and balance INR 6,000 crore was international.
So definitely, there has been, I would say, a little, I would say subdued domestic ordering. But as I responded to a previous question, when we gave the order inflow guidance at the start of the year of 10%-12%, it was factored that the domestic order momentum could see a little amount of slippage because of the election year and all. So whatever we have seen in the first six months, I think that has been more than, more than our own estimates. But what has enabled us to demonstrate order inflow growth is the, as I talked about, the resurgence of order inflows from the Middle East.
So, what you're trying to highlight is that overall economy level ordering itself would have been, and it's not as if L&T has lost some orders to competition or the smaller guys have become more active. Pretty much economy level ordering itself would have come down.
Let me put it the other way. For many of the orders where we have bid for larger orders, I think we have had a good conversion rate of when we have submitted it. There's nothing for us to point out at this juncture that we are losing out significant amount of domestic ordering opportunities to competition.
Understood. Same thing, sir, if we look at the revenues as well, on the domestic side, revenue growth has been roughly, I think, 6% odd, for the core entity level, at the core entity level. So that also has been a bit muted. Anything that we should be reading over there?
No, it is in line with our own internal estimates. For example, the total Projects and Manufacturing revenue for Q3 of current year was almost INR 39,000 crore, 25% increase, as compared to around INR 31,000 crore of the Q3 of the previous year. The share of domestic was almost INR 25,383 crore as a part of that INR 39,305 crore. So it constitutes a major portion, but the growth in domestic vis-à-vis the domestic portion of the previous quarter, the Q3 of the previous year, has been a little subdued.
Sure. And last thing from my side, sir, there have been some media articles about some land monetization at Hyderabad Metro project. If you could share some insights about what's happening on that front.
So this was already done in Q2. I think, we have already did the- t here was a part parcel of real estate monetization that we did in Hyderabad Metro in the previous quarter.
But sir, there was something about three malls being put on, put in a REIT or something.
Ah, okay. So I am talking about what we did in the previous quarter. What you are looking at in the media is, at this stage, I would say it will be speculative.
Understood, sir. Sure. Thanks.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nitin Arora from Axis Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.
Hi, P.R.. Thank you for taking my question. Sorry, I might be repeating the same question, but generally, the backlog has grown very significantly. You're a INR 4.7 trillion backlog company now. Generally, I'm not asking you a very quarter-specific question, when the margin will improve or, you know. Generally, on first on taking a new order intake, you know, what is the thought process of the group? Is it the backlog itself has become too huge and you might go slow next year?
Obviously, there's an election year, so order might become slow itself. But is there more appetite of taking this order? I'm not trying to gauge on guidance for next year, but you're already growing at 20%. So on that 20, do you like to grow still in double digits, or it's rather a team wants to execute more and go slow and get back the profitability back? Just a little structural question here.
Okay, so Nitin, I will answer to your last question. I think, L&T's focus has been to ensure that whatever bids we submit, we have protected margins. Any sort of risk that are envisaged is getting factored while we are bidding for all these projects, number one. Number two, in terms of whether we are going forward, considering the fact that our order book is close to almost maybe by March 2024, we should be even touching INR 5 lakh crore.
Would we be changing our, I would say, bidding mechanism? I don't think it is right for us to say that way. The reason is that the entire Projects and Manufacturing business is dependent on various sectors, changing from a Transportation Infra to metro, or a Heavy Civil Infrastructure, or Buildings and Factories. So we have segments catering to virtually any sector where there is a project opportunity. So it all depends for each of the businesses or subsegments that we have in Infrastructure or in Hydrocarbons.
Like, in Hydrocarbons we have an offshore and onshore vertical. Depending on capacity, what we have, we will be addressing opportunities, which means in some of the segments where we have not had significant amount of order intake, we will use and possibly bid very competitively for order opportunities that come. And in some of the segments where we have a healthy order backlog, I think we will have a situation where we will try to obviously start looking at larger and cherry-picking opportunities.
Got it. Okay. Okay. And, you know, you yourself said that large amount of new orders will come in execution next year. But in terms of execution, do you see a challenge? Because, generally, first six months being an election year, labor shortages, everything gets drilled into issue when it comes to execution. Or, you have large amount of international backlog as well, so execution would not be a challenge. How one should look, the growth for L&T for next year, I mean, given few challenges on execution as well?
Nitin, at this juncture, I can only comment on the fact that we have a robust order backlog as of December, and expected to remain robust as of March 2024 also. One thing is that the domestic execution activity could be a little subdued in Q1, considering that would be an elections quarter, post that there is a new government that will come in. So Q1 could be subdued. At this juncture, it's very difficult to comment upon whether the Q2 execution thereafter will become completely normalized. I think it's not correct. But as you rightly mentioned, what we see some amount of uncertainty, given the fact that there is general elections in the country, I don't see any such, I would say, risk emanating from the other alternate geography of jobs that we are doing in Middle East.
Got it. Thank you, P.R., and all the best to the team.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Renu Baid from IIFL Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thank you for the opportunity. I have two questions. First, just what we're trying to understand on the margin side, while for the next few quarters, you did give an indicative. But, broadly speaking, initially or earlier, you typically mentioned that, you know, once the backlog improves and the existing orders are done, probably in few quarters we should be inching towards double-digit margins.
Given the fact that a fair share of recent this year inflow have come from international Hydrocarbons, which typically tends to carry high single-digit margins, will that also have an implication on our targets to get back to double-digit margins in the next couple of years? Because execution on these projects will then ramp up in margin destination thresholds, and that may impair the overall blended margins for the core P&M business for us.
So, Renu, I can only comment upon what we see the near-term perspective, because as you may be aware that many of the jobs are fixed price contracts. Hopefully, if the contract gets executed on time, the margins that we bid and the margins that we reported could be substantially in the favorable side, higher. Okay? So we anyway run that risk. But as we see it today, I think on a quarter-on-quarter basis, I think we should be looking at improvement in margins in the Projects and Manufacturing portfolio. Now, in terms of getting into, I would say, double-digit margin, I think it is a sort of a question of time.
But I wish to reiterate here that the jobs that we have secured in the recent past, which is forming part, a major part of the order backlog, are all jobs where there has been no compromise on our as-bid margin, with a clear focus on improving profitability, and also at the same time, you know, ensuring that we have favorable payment terms. So that actually has been the practice of the process that has been followed. Now, how these jobs will shape up in terms of execution, progress, and completion is a question of time. On a near-term basis, I think we can comment to say that L&T will demonstrate a sequential improvement of margins over the next four, five quarters.
Sure, but if we look over a medium-term perspective, so ultimately, let me put across my question in this format: Do you perceive the current change in the backlog which you've had in the current year, will that have an implication on your margin profiles over the medium term as these projects come for execution? And also, the revised net working capital guidance- that also probably factors a shade of improvement coming in from the favorable backlog and the advances that you have from these international market and geographies?
So let me put it, I did mention in my the answer that I gave to your first question, that many of the recent jobs that we have secured are all fixed price contracts. It is up to us if we are able to manage the execution within the targeted timelines, the actual margins could be favorably more or could be more than the as- bid margins. Now, obviously, it is premature for us to comment at this juncture because the jobs that we have secured over the last four or five quarters, they are all getting into the startup phase.
So hopefully, I think since we have factored all known risk while we have priced these orders, hopefully, I think. And since many of the international orders are strictly speaking, not the kind of tendered orders that we witness in India, so the embedded margins should be in our favor going forward. But it all depends on execution progress in line with the contractual commitments.
Got it. And just a bookkeeping question, on the order backlog exposure to Middle East today, can you just highlight what is the total backlog exposure to Middle East and in specific to Saudi?
The total order backlog that we have is at INR 4.7 trillion, okay? Out of that, the international order book is INR 1.84 trillion, okay? Out of 4.7. 92% of that is from Middle East, and eighty percent of the 92% of 1.84 is from Saudi.
Got it. Got it. Thanks much, P.R., and best wishes. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Priyankar Biswas from BNP Paribas Exane. Please go ahead.
Thanks, P.R., for taking my question. My first question is with regards to Middle East. Just a clarification question. It was reported in the media that L&T is well-placed on a multi-billion Safaniya oil projects order. Can you just confirm if this is already included in this quarter or this is something yet to be finalized? That's the first one.
What is included in which? Included in what? In order prospects?
No. I mean, in the current quarter order inflows.
No, I mean, without getting an order, how can I show it in order inflow?
Okay. Furthermore, if you can just give me some certain data points, like, what would be the fixed price share of contracts today out of the overall order book? Also I think it was also highlighted during last quarter, probably, that around INR 6 billion was the solar EPC order book that is there. So given that the solar module prices have fallen so much, so shouldn't we be seeing some sort of a margin uptick in the very near term?
Okay. So two things. As far as some of the solar orders that we had secured, when the module prices were very high, at that point of time, many of the orders had clear pass-through variations to the customer. So which means favorable and adverse movement in, around, in input prices on these orders is to the account of the customer. So it is unlikely that favorable movements in solar modules will flow into margins. That's the first point. And the second point- I'm sorry, what was the other question, please?
The fixed price share of the order.
So INR 4.7 trillion order book that we have, so roughly around 42%-43% of the order book is fixed price contracts now. So this is evident because we have been always maintaining a one-third fixed price contracts and two-thirds contracts that have variable, so to say, linked to indices and all. But because of some of the orders that we have been securing in the recent past, so the share of fixed price contracts has actually gone up. So you can take it around 42%-43% of the order book is fixed price contracts.
So just one more question that I have. So since the related party debt that was there in Hyderabad Metro has now been converted to an equity, so on a reported basis, would there be... What is the savings in interest costs that we should see going forward? So from a loss stabilization point of view, I'm trying to see it from that respect.
See, the total amount of debt conversion to equity has been in the range of INR 3,000-odd crore, okay? And if you take around 8% as the interest cost, the savings for the year will be INR 240 crore in the metro books.
Okay. Thanks, P.R.. That's all from my side.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pulkit Patni from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
P.R., thanks for taking my question. Just one question, and a lot of people have asked you questions on Middle East exposure. But as a company, today, we are almost 40% order backlog exposed to international. And while obviously you would have done all the risk assessment, but you know, geopolitics is pretty uncertain right now. So is there an upper threshold beyond which we would not increase our exposure to international, or we are okay taking this number even to, say, 45- 50%, if that's where the opportunity is? Any thoughts on how we should look at our international exposure, say, over the next 24 months?
So Pulkit, I think in the next two, three quarters. The order prospects from India and Middle East would be equally significant, not necessarily in terms of value, but in terms of proportion, okay? And we are mindful of the fact that when we are working for projects outside India, we establish or we ensure that our relationship with the client, the financing for the project, and the terms of payment and all other conditions are in line with our own risk framework process. Now, given the fact that in the last one year there has been a spate of orders coming from Middle East, we are also ramping up of our resources organization out there.
So many of the senior people for very large projects have got already relocated. So we have now contract management teams actually stationed out locally, and we are also improving the demography of the workforce out there to have people out, you know, who can understand the local nuances so that it will enable us to sense if there are any implications or developments going forward, and to take any sort of preemptive action.
A choice of the sector, which means what is the sector relevant to that country? Who is the sponsoring agency? Who is the awarding customer? I think all of these things are playing a big role while we address the upcoming opportunities or the past opportunities, and equally, a favorable set of opportunities that are emanating out from this part of the world. It is not only restricted to Saudi, I would say. I think we are looking at, and we have recently also, today itself, we announced a press release.
This was a job in UAE. So we are. We also secured a large petrochemical hydrocarbon projects in the country of Qatar. So we look at the project sponsor, the customer, the project, how important it is for the customer, so that we are reasonably sure that it is appropriately funded and we get our payments on time. It is all with the backdrop that we will do our project execution in time as well, to which I responded that we have increased the scale of leadership for all the jobs in the Middle East itself.
Sure. My second question, and sort of connected to the first one, is on our combination of margin and working capital. For the last nine odd months, we've been saying that while our margins are weak, working capital sort of takes care of it, and as a result of it, our cash margins have been pretty similar to what we had originally thought. Now, as you look at next year, as these international jobs come in, would that thought process continue, that while our working capital will be low, even if our margins remain in the current range, we should be net okay? Or are we saying that margins will also improve and working capital also, because international will become a bigger part of execution, can also get better from here?
Pulkit, I did respond to, I think, Renu's question, that many of the jobs that we have in the Middle East are fixed price contracts. I wish to reiterate that timely completion of jobs is very essential. If you complete it on time, your margins will be definitely in line with the bid out margins, which I explained that how we have been following the bidding process.
We have not pursued volume on the sake of sacrificing profitability, but the project execution, which is the part of our, I mean, core EPC business, hopefully, if that happens on time, we could see an improvement of working capital or working capital in and around the same levels, because 16%-17% is quite favorable as compared to 23%-24%, that we were reporting three years back. Even at the current working capital, an improvement in margins is definitely the objective, and hopefully it should happen.
Okay. Very helpful. Thank you, P.R..
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rahul Gajare from Haitong. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi, P.R.. Thanks for the opportunity. Now, some of my questions have been answered, you know, with respect to Middle East and all, but I want to stick to, you know, the margin part of the question. Given that we have a high exposure on Middle East, which, you know, are fixed price contracts, you have also indicated that a lot of margin booking will actually slip into FY 2025. Now, can you talk about what are the levers that you will have, you know, to see improvement in margin, you know, when you compare to the other players in the industry? Does faster execution get you better margin? Is that something which happens, or your margins will be fixed irrespective of whether you do it in time or whether you do it faster?
So obviously, I'll put it this way, Rahul: If you are able to do a timely execution, because when we bid for a project, obviously we factor buffers, contingencies and all, right? To take care of cost overruns and time overruns. Now, if you are able to complete the project on time, then the buffers that are related to time overruns get released. And similarly, when it relates to, if you are able to.
And since it's a fixed price contract, as part of the risk mitigation mechanism, we also follow that wherever possible, at the time of bid submission itself, major critical parts of, you know, equipment that we need to procure, they are also usually hedged on a back-to-back with the identified vendor. Timeliness of execution will ensure release of buffers on the time contingency part, and any cost saving because of commodity prices, you know, easing off from what we had assumed, will also enable us to improve. It will work either way.
Okay, fair enough. The second question I have, want to understand is, what is the capacity utilization of your BTG plants right now? You know, given fairly high potential of new thermal plants, in India, I'm wondering why is L&T not going, you know, more fast on the thermal power ordering. Especially, you know, I would think the margins in that particular order should be better than that, that you would be getting in the international geographies. So your comment on this entire Power related business would be helpful.
So, Rahul, I think over the last 2-3 years, the Power EPC business has been supported by award of FGD opportunities, which are the ones which we are executing currently. There has been certain, I would say, some amount of coal-based EPC awarding that is happening. But we are taking each bid in its independent way, and if the terms of the contract are favorable to what L&T thinks are terms which we will enable us to improve or have better margins at the same point of time, having a exposure to working capital, which is optimum. Until such time happens, I think we will carefully evaluate all the bids that are coming up in the EPC side of the coal-based power plants in the country.
Although there is a revival, I think there has been awarding of almost 27 GW of awarding has happened or expected to happen or under execution. And I think there is a target to possibly take 80 GW by the end of 8, 2030. So some amount of coal-based orderings are going to happen, but each of these opportunities will be addressed on a standalone basis in terms of whether the terms are favorable to us from a contractor's perspective.
What is the utilization of the plant right now?
Right at this juncture, I think it would- given the fact that the order book is depleting, so we are operating maybe around 30%. But some part of the facility would be also now getting converted to making other equipment for other sectors.
Okay. Typically, if to break even, what is the kind of utilization that you need for these power BTG plants?
It will be around 50% or so.
Okay. Fair enough. Thanks, thanks, P.R., and all the best.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya Mongia from Kotak. Please go ahead.
Thanks for the opportunity, and hi, P.R.. I had two questions from my side. The first question is related to assessing what is the share of your backlog that comes in from Saudi Aramco? And if you could give some more color on today's development and how you see through it from the perspective of incremental growth coming from the customer.
So, Aditya, I think it will not be appropriate for me to address a specific query with respect to any exposure on specific customer. So I just wanted to tell our exposure to, to Saudi Arabia is in the range of INR 1.34 trillion, which is the 80% of the 92% of our international order book. But I don't want to comment on specific customers. It will be inappropriate. Secondly, why we have given our guidance for the full year on order inflows that we expect to cross 20%? Factors, whatever information that is available to us at today's point of time. So I will put it that way.
Understood. The second question, P.R., was more generic on margins. As in, margins have been volatile in the past. Wanted to get a sense of what are the key learnings from the perspective of L&T? And in that context, going higher on fixed price contracts as a share of backlog, is this something that is counterintuitive?
So, let me put it like this, Aditya. I think it's not correct for to say that margins have been volatile. I did mention about the fact is that we have had some amount of margin depression, especially in the Infrastructure segment, given the fact for a whole lot of reasons that I have explained in the previous calls also. Okay? But one thing it is important for us to equally say, yes, it's a function of maybe competitive intensity while we bid for those projects, backed up by COVID-led delays, then increase in the commodity cost, for which we did not have a pass-through, and some important claims, that, we were pursuing and is not getting crystallized.
So I don't think it will be right for us to say it has been volatile. Yes, it has been a little subdued, but, now that the legacy jobs have got completed and we have a, a more or less recently refreshed order book from the orders that we have secured from later part of 2021, 2022 and 2022, 2023, I reiterate once more that one could see a sequential, improvement at, in margins. When I say sequential, means I'm talking of Yo Y sequential. It's, it's not like Q1 over Q4, but definitely an improvement in margins over the next 6-7 quarters.
Thanks, P.R.. Just a last question from my side. As in, you already had an ROE of 15.4, at margins that are there today, and you said that double-digit margins are a kind of a matter of time. As in, at those kinds of margins, the ROEs would be, let's say, north of 18, 19, 20%. In the kind of business that you operate, is it something that can be sustained for a period of time?
You are referring to margins or you are referring to capital intensity?
What I'm saying is that current margins, your ROE is about 15 odd percent, is what you said in your opening remarks.
Yeah. Some part of the improvement in ROE will be attributed to increase in margins. If today we are in a margin trajectory, so to say, 8.5, and obviously a 1% improvement over a period of time will ensure ROE improvement almost of maybe 1, 1.5%, but subject to the fact that we are able to keep the working capital in and around the 18% level.
Understood. Thanks a lot, P.R., for those remarks. Those are my questions. Thank you, and all the very best.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Amit Mahawar from UBS. Please go ahead.
Good evening, P.R.. I just have one question, and apologies if it sounds repetitive, but seems that in a post-COVID era, we've started taking note of risk of time delays, which impact the cost, vis-a-vis the inflationary impact on business. So that is leading us to take a lot of contracts in Middle East as a lead contractor, a lot of new kind of contracts also.
Because the, you know, conventional thinking of share of Middle East versus share of India, or you know, lower margin Middle East versus higher margin in India, are we heading towards a directional strategy of choosing, you know, inflationary risk of executing large Middle East or Indian project, vis-a-vis time delays, which has been more harmful to us in last one to two years? I just wanted to understand if the understanding is correct?
Let me tell you, Amit, I think both points are equally important. We cannot say we will have preference of one over the other. I think as an EPC contracting business, as possibly we are one of those very few EPC contracting organizations, where despite the ups and downs of the underlying investment spend for which we get the contract, and despite taking a plethora of contracts across geography and across domains, I think we have been able to keep a higher volatile margin sector to a more predictable margin sector. And it's primarily because of the mix of jobs, mix of geography, mix of clients, everything put together. On top of it, our relentless focus on timely execution.
I think that has only helped us to ensure that, we are able to at least bring some amount of, stability in an otherwise volatile, EPC contracting sector from a margin perspective. I think the one thing that we would like to acknowledge or recognize is that over the last three years, there has been a relentless focus that while we grow the business in terms of size and scale, we also focus on the working capital intensity.
And that has, in a way, that intensity has helped us, and that is going right up to the business unit and the project level, that we do projects or we complete projects, or we progress on projects only to the extent of money is coming on time. In case customers are not in a position to make payments on time, such of these projects would see some amount of delays, but with appropriate contractual commitment conditions, so that later on we don't have any adverse surprise.
Understood. I mean, maybe I can conclude this statement saying, you know, big margins is the realized margins, and L&T has started becoming more focused on the realized margins. Thank you, P.R.. Second and quick question is, within the core business, how will the construct change with respect to the revenue composition, vis-a-vis say, historically, we used to have EPC versus manufacturing business, which used to give us a good blend of core profitability.
Three to five years from now, not today, do you think we are moving towards a band where the core margins will head north, just beyond the core, you know, cyclical margins, including EPC, to a much better margin with a blend of, manufacturing, high value added versus EPC margin, and any mix of revenue you would want to give over a 5-year? Thank you.
So actually, this is a Q3 call, Amit, and you're asking me a strategic question, but I will attempt to answer that. I think it would be better that we cover that during a yearly strat call. But, yes, the—As I see it, I guess from a portfolio where we have Projects, Manufacturing, and Services, today, structurally, services will be 25% of top line and 75% top line coming from Projects and Manufacturing. Within that, the Projects part takes a lion's share because the Manufacturing comprises largely Heavy Engineering and Defence, which are, of course, from an EBITDA perspective, more profitable.
But I would like to reiterate that, it's not correct to say that we will focus on Projects and Manufacturing as it has always been. I don't think there will be a change in strategy, so to say. The only thing is, we will target as our order book grows, I think we are becoming more and more competent to address large opportunities, which means where the competitive intensity will be, more reasonable, and hopefully better tendering terms, even for India projects, should enable us to inch up on the profitability scale without expanding the balance sheet.
Helpful, P.R.. Can I sneak in one last one-line question? In the current order book, do you have any risk of cancellation of any large Middle Eastern contract at this stage? That's it. Thank you.
No.
Okay. Okay. Okay. Thank you, P.R., and good luck to the entire team. Good luck.
Thank you, Amit.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as our last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. P. Ramakrishnan for closing comments. Over to you, sir.
Thanks everyone for attending this call. It was my pleasure to interact with all of you. Good luck and wishing you all the very best. Thank you.
Thank you. On behalf of Larsen & Toubro Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.