CEAT Limited (BOM:500878)
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Q2 26/27

Oct 15, 2026

Summary

Q2 revenue hit a record INR 4,762 crore, up 26.2% YoY, while consolidated EBITDA margin fell 403 bps YoY under raw-material inflation. Further Q3 pricing, Camso integration and capacity expansion are key near-term priorities.

Operator

Good evening, everyone. On behalf of ICICI Securities, we would like to welcome you all to CEAT's Q2 FY 2027 earnings conference call. Today we have with us from the management team, Mr. Arnab Banerjee, Managing Director and CEO, and Mr. Kumar Subbiah, Chief Financial Officer. We will start the call with a brief opening remarks from the management team about the quarter gone by, and then we will proceed to the Q&A session. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Kumar, sir.

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

Good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to CEAT's quarter two FY 2027 earnings call. I will be taking you through the business updates for the quarter, and then Kumar shall have his remarks on the financial performance. Post that, we will have the Q&A. I also have Amit Tolani, who heads the OHT division in CEAT along with me. If you have any questions on Camso, he can handle them as well. Moving on, during quarter two, structural consumption tailwinds triggered by last year's GST reforms continued to anchor domestic volumes. On the input side, however, we still continue to face sharp cost inflation. During Q2, further raw material cost increase was around 8%-9% over Q1. This is in addition to about 15% increase in Q1 over March exit prices. Q3 RMC will also be about 3% higher than Q2.

Thus, by December, total increase will be 27% over March exit price. Our gross margins have been stagnant at around 33.6% and behind our comfort zone of 7%-7% more gross margin that we would like to operate with. This, coupled with further raw material price hike expected in Q3, calls for more price hikes in all segments in quarter three. We maintained a tight grip on all cost elements, which resulted in an EBITDA of 10.1% in quarter two. On the demand side, while the near-term structural anchors remain supportive, demand may moderate during Q3 on the back of a higher base of previous year, El Niño effect, and recent repo rate increase. In the near term, we expect replacement demand to be led by two-wheeler segment, where demand is still strong, and more so in rural markets. MHCV growth is expected to be mid-single digits.

In passenger, there is some concern about growth, maybe low single digits. In OEM, demand is still holding strong across categories, which could moderate YoY because of high base effect. Farm production seems to be tapering off due to lower demand post-monsoon deficit. In international business, recovery has been strong on the back of demand revival in Africa and LatAm. Segments that are witnessing good demand are two-wheeler and commercial vehicle. However, freight rates and elongated and unpredictable transit times are a challenge to handle. Sales to Middle East, although improving, still remains impacted. Q2 witnessed robust performance with a strong revenue growth of about 23% YoY on standalone basis and an underlying volume growth of close to 10%. Standalone EBITDA in Q2 stood at INR 461 crores. Growth momentum continued during Q2 over last year, 23% value growth.

Replacement segment grew in mid-teens, while both OEM and IB segments grew in high 20%. Overall growth in CV, four-wheeler, two-wheeler, farm were all in excess of 20% or strong double digits. Replacement growth was led by two-wheeler and commercial categories, while growth in four-wheeler was muted. Salience of premium two-wheeler and four-wheeler grew in replacement. OEM grew handsomely in all categories led by strong demand, and we enhanced our fitment in premium vehicles and EVs in OEMs. Growth in IB was strong across categories in the high 20% and even 30% for some segments. For Camso, business transition is nearly complete. About 85% of the customers have come to CEAT's fold now, with sales being directly made to them. We expect to complete the balance transition by quarter three.

Alongside the customer transition, we have now set up local entities in U.S., Canada, U.K., France, Germany, and Poland, which helps us serve customers in this market locally rather than as an exporter from Sri Lanka. In Q2 2028, we will have control over the entire Camso value chain, right from raw material procurement to end customer servicing, and the project to install upstream equipments in the Sri Lankan plant is running on time. That makes FY 2028 the first year of Camso running entirely on CEAT platform, and we expect the margin benefits of the integration to start showing up. We have gross margin visibility to extent of 50%-55% in Camso. Capacity utilization in the Sri Lankan plant is less than 50%, leaving headroom for growth. Half two volumes in this financial year are expected to grow by 20%+ on half one actual volume base.

This business is close to being EBITDA positive in half two, and we expect this business to be EPS accretive at consolidated level by FY 2029. We are taking steps to eliminate the mark-to-market losses or gain on the US dollar loan component from CEAT India to OHT Lanka, and we shall keep you informed about the execution of the same by end of next quarter. Continuing our comments on key trends of electrification, international business, premiumization, and digital and AI. On the electrification platform, during Q2, we maintained leadership with 25% share in OEM PCUV electric segment and strengthened the two-wheeler EV share to beyond 30%. International business resiliency in Q2 was approximately 20% on standalone basis, and consolidated business basis it was 24%, which includes Camso turnover, which is fully international. We have a plan to take it to 33% at the total CEAT level in five years.

In quarter two, OHT business delivered its strongest ever quarter, registering strong growth YoY up by about 30% +. This was despite headwinds from elevated ocean freight rates and continued increases in raw material costs, which put pressure on margins. During Q2, we added 21 new off-highway SKUs as well. In the on-road tires business, growth was robust with improving realization. Segments registered mid-20% growth during Q2 on YoY basis. Europe, LatAm, Southeast Asia business growth has been good. However, record freight rate increases and difficulties in container availability continue to be the challenges. Premiumization, Q2 saw multiple launches in two-wheeler and passenger car market with premium offerings in higher rim sizes, in off-roading applications, and in certain niche sizes. CEAT's overall sales volume of premium passenger tires, which we define as 17-in plus rim size tires, registered high growth on YTD basis, mid-30%.

Our two-wheeler premium portfolio comprising of motorcycle steel radials, fabric radial, and tires for 250cc- plus bikes also grew handsomely, registering high mid-teens growth. Digital and AI. At CEAT, we are scaling up AI adoption through a portfolio of top management-led initiatives across key business functions. During the quarter, functions advanced the use of AI and analytics for predictive insights, proactive anomaly identification, process automation, and faster decision-making across sales, finance, manufacturing, supply chain, and other areas. In parallel, our enterprise data lake project is progressing well. Our SAP RISE project also continued to advance as per plan. During Q2, premium tire sales through leads grew by 1.2x, while overall four-wheeler tire sales through leads grew by 36% over the same period last year. Positive sentiment for the brand moved up by 37% YoY. Tariffs by U.S. applicable duty on auto components remain at 25% plus the original 4% tariff.

On-road tires, including truck bus radial and passenger car tires, continue to fall under this category. Off-highway tires are subject to lower 10% global tariff, so OHT tire exports from Sri Lanka also attract the same 10% duty. For tracks, the applicable tariff is 10%. However, the metal component of tracks, which is primarily steel, continues to attract a higher tariff of 25%. Sustainability remains a key driver of innovation, efficiency and long-term value creation at CEAT. We have improved logistics efficiency, reduced inbound transport intensity, and we have successfully deployed LNG-powered trucks for natural rubber transportation. We have also begun working with suppliers to increase adoption of alternative fuel vehicles across our supply chain. Our commitment to sustainable products was recognized with a gold award from the Indian Society for Quality for CIRCL 90, India's most sustainable passenger car tire.

With this, I would like to hand over the call to Kumar for his remarks.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Thank you, Arnab. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining our Q2 FY 2027 earnings call. I will share some more financial data points with you all, post which we can enter the Q&A session. First, our overall financial performance. Our consolidated net revenue for the quarter stood at INR 4,762 crores, which is with a year-on-year growth of about 26.2%. The revenue that we delivered in Q2 is the highest ever. This was aided by a combination of both strong volume and price growth on a year-on-year basis. Approximately, 40% of the growth came through volumes and balance came through positive price and mix. As regards pricing, similar to quarter one, pricing impact was positive across all segments. During Q2, OEM and replacement segments led the upward pricing readjustments. So far, replacement has been receptive of our pricing actions, where demand is still holding strong.

We have effected approximately about 12%-13% kind of a price increase, from the beginning of the current financial year till end of September in replacement, and about 14%-15% in OEM segment from the beginning of the financial year until date. We still have some gap to bridge vis-à-vis increase in raw material cost that will be addressed in due course. Coming to operating margins, our consolidated EBITDA for quarter two stood at INR 452 crores, translating to 9.5% of the revenue. It is an expansion of 94 basis points sequentially, and a drop of about 403 basis points versus quarter two of last year. While our standalone margin was about INR 461 crores for the quarter, translating to a margin of 10.14% of revenue during the quarter, an improvement of about 101 basis points QoQ, and a drop of about 356 basis points.

The drop in margin, gross margin versus the previous year of the same period, is mainly on account of increase in raw material costs in the last six months. Our consolidated gross margin for quarter two stood at 34.6% and expanded by about 66 basis points sequentially, helped by other operating income and increase in realization. The drop in margin, as I mentioned, is largely on account of raw material cost versus the last year. Coming to raw materials, during quarter two, crude oil prices continued to remain at elevated levels. While it averaged at lower level in the beginning of the quarter, that is in July, to around $84, $85. But ever since ceasefire deadline expired in mid-August and re-escalation started towards the end of August, the crude has been hovering around $100 per bbl. As we speak, the crude continues to hover around $105.

As we speak, due to increase in crude premium, the crude derivative prices, which go into tires, moved even higher than the movement in crude prices in the quarter two. Natural rubber prices followed a similar trajectory during the quarter, with the international benchmark, that is Singapore Commodity Exchange, starting quarter two at around $2,200 per tonne, but since then moved to around $2,600 level. In line with the movement and following price parity, domestic rubber prices also remained elevated and is priced currently at around INR 285 per kg, which is a 20-year + high and continues to remain strong even in the current market conditions. Recent sharp movement in international natural rubber prices has, in a way, also closed the gap with the local prices. Earlier, the international prices were at a discount to local prices. Today, it is more or less in parity with the local prices.

Coming to rupee, while recent intervention package announced by Reserve Bank of India has pulled back some of the negative sentiment, and hence it remained within a range, leading to a limited impact on our cost during the quarter. Overall, as guided in our quarter one call of our raw material cost for quarter two, the raw material prices surged by about 8%-9% quarter-on-quarter compared to quarter one. Moving into quarter three, the pressure is expected to persist as commodity prices continue to remain high, and it is expected that raw material cost would move in the range of about 3%-3.5% in quarter three over quarter two. We hope and we look forward to finally, West Asia war comes to an end, which should bring the commodity prices back to the normal levels.

Coming to CapEx, we spent about INR 493 crores during the quarter on a standalone operations. That includes approximately about INR 120 crores + in Nagpur plant as part of our capacity increase from 80,000 tires to 100,000 tires a day, and approximately about INR 280 crores in Chennai was towards expansion of our truck bus radial and passenger car tires capacities. Our capacity utilization continues to be high, particularly in two-wheeler and truck and bus categories, and the CapEx that we front-loaded in the first half would help in meeting our demand in the coming quarters. For our overall CapEx, both growth CapEx plus our normal maintenance CapEx, including R&D, we aim to manage that in the range of around INR 1,400 crores as we guided in the earlier quarters.

Coming to working capital, on a standalone basis, our net working capital increased by about INR 74 crores, largely on account of higher inventory arising out of higher scale of operations and higher value of the materials. While working capital moved up by INR 280 crores on a consolidated basis, which includes the inventory in transit for our overseas operations and receivables relating to Camso, as we have started invoicing directly to our customers. On a consolidated basis, our debt stood at INR 3,846 crores, an increase of about INR 604 crores over quarter one. To fund our quarter two CapEx program, we spent most of the money, and we also paid about INR 140 crores of dividend during the quarter.

We wish to inform you that we have got necessary approvals from the authorities to convert about $24 million of US dollar debt provided by CEAT India to CEAT OHT Lanka Limited, and the same is reflected as of end September results. Our debt-to-EBITDA on a consolidated basis stands at a healthy level of about 1.93x, arrived at based on trailing 12 months, which is a marginal increase over quarter one of about 1.58x. Our debt equity ratio continues to remain healthy at about 0.77x, a marginal increase over quarter one level of about 0.65x. Coming to other expenses, our employee cost was marginally higher in quarter two, about INR 14 crores on a standalone basis and about INR 26 crores on a consolidated basis, which includes revision in our salary due to annual cycle revision that starts in the quarter two.

However, employee cost as a percentage of revenue has declined in quarter two versus quarter one, a trend that we have been witnessing for the last four quarters. Our consolidated other expenses was about 18.2%, a 39 basis points improvement in quarter one. This at a time we are seeing unprecedented increase in freight and other indirect costs. Despite broad inflationary pressures extending beyond just direct input costs, we continue to strictly manage them efficiently. Our depreciation at a consolidated level remained in line with quarter one, and our finance cost was INR 87 crores versus INR 146 crores in the previous quarter. The drop is mainly on account of the fact that in quarter one, we had certain amounts of foreign currency-related costs that was part of it, which we did not have in quarter two.

Overall, our consolidated profit after tax for the quarter stood at about INR 112 crores compared to about INR 186 crores during the same quarter of last year, and INR 4 crores in the previous quarter. Thank you once again, you all. With that, we can now open the floor for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. We will take our first question from the line of Raghun andhan NL from Nuvama Research. Please go ahead.

Raghunandhan NL
Analyst, Nuvama Research

Thank you, sir, for the opportunity. Good to see the margin improvement on QoQ given challenging times. My first question was on the replacement demand outlook for H2. If you can talk about how do you see TBR, PCR and two-wheeler demand for H2 in replacement, and also whether the dealer inventory levels would be around normal levels or on the higher side.

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

Yeah. Replacement demand for H2, I think commercial vehicle tires could be growing at about mid-single digit. Passenger, as I said, is growing at low single digit, and two-wheeler is growing in double digits, especially in rural and overall also in double digit. And farm could be low growth over last year in second half. This is the outlook for replacement. Dealer inventory, because there is a continuous price hike, so even at the customer level, the offtake is uniformly good. People have stocked up and sold, and the consumption has been good over last four quarters, if you see post GST. If the dealer inventory would have built up, it would have shown up by now. So we don't think the dealer inventory is particularly high despite the price hikes.

Raghunandhan NL
Analyst, Nuvama Research

Noted, sir. Thank you for that. My second question was on the price hike. Given that approximately replacement, you might need 17%-18% price hike to fully pass on the impact, how do you see replacement price hike plan for Q3 and Q4? Also in the export market, how much has been the price hike so far and any plans of taking a hike there going forward?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

We have a gap, as you can see in the margin situation of gross margin is 33.5%, 33.6% in the first half. Our normal comfort zone is around 41%, 42%. So there is a 7%, 8% gap in gross margin as we have just finished first half. So that gap needs to be covered. Plus, there is a price increase in raw material expected in Q3 over Q2 to the extent of 3%. That needs to be covered as well. So there will be continuous price hikes in quarter three in replacement, and we will go country by country, category by category in international markets to seek opportunity of price hikes. It will be frequent but in low doses. Quarter two end also saw a very low dose price hike and through October we are announcing further price hikes. So this is going to continue for some more time.

Definitely in quarter three. Quarter four is too far away at this point of time to comment, but we need and we shall do price hikes through quarter three.

Raghunandhan NL
Analyst, Nuvama Research

Noted, sir. My third question was on Camso. On Camso, your previous commentary was that the transition on the value chain should happen by end of FY 2027 and customer transition also should complete. Just wanted to understand whether is it on track, is there some delay in that transition, and how do you see the revenue and the margin trajectory ahead? Because our understanding was at $10 million per month revenue trajectory and then a further increase post the transition. Also if you can talk about EBITDA, how do you see the trajectory?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

First, the project and the customer transition. Customer transition, as I mentioned, is about 85% complete and by and large it will be completed in quarter three. It is more or less on track. The other transition is on the upstream side of the plant in Sri Lanka where we have to set up upstream equipment. We did say that it will be by end of this financial year. It may spill over to quarter one of next year. In a substantive manner, there is no significant delay and by quarter one we should be able to ramp up our complete value chain in the plant. That answers the transition question.

As we are having the customers in our hand, we are looking at a volume ramp-up of about 20% odd definitely in second half of this financial year vis-a-vis first half actual volume delivered in this financial year. We are seeing 20% possibility of volume growth and there will be further growth in FY 2028 and FY 2029. Of course, the plant has capacity to meet that demand. EBITDA-wise, we should approach EBITDA neutrality and positivity in the second half of this financial year, which will improve further in FY 2028.

Raghunandhan NL
Analyst, Nuvama Research

Noted, sir. Thank you for the thoughts. I will fall back to the queue.

Operator

Thank you. We will take our next question from the line of Siddhartha Bera from Nomura. Please go ahead.

Siddhartha Bera
Analyst, Nomura

Yeah. Thanks for the opportunity, sir. First question is on the volumes. You mentioned close to 10% volume growth at an overall level in quarter two. What will be the replacement and exports volume growth in the quarter?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

In quarter two, YoY, yeah, you are right about close to 10% volume growth overall we had. Replacement will be lower, at a lower single digit in terms of volume growth. Export and OEM will be lower double digits in terms of volume growth. It will average out at about close to 10%.

Siddhartha Bera
Analyst, Nomura

Got it. I think in last quarter, we did see slightly better replacement growth in the last quarter. Have you seen some moderation in the replacement growth also given the price hikes which we have been doing? Is that also something which is sort of impacting demand? Second question on the export side, sir, also, you mentioned that we haven't passed on the entire cost. When export demand is good, what will be the catalyst or why the price pass on is a bit slower there?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

First on replacement. We had a production bottleneck in a couple of categories in this quarter. It was a slight internal issue which led to some of the volume being lower. Nothing to do with demand. Overall there is a little bit seasonality in quarter two. Q uarter two on quarter two growth is decent, but quarter two on quarter one , if you see, the demand does come down after the summer months. There was nothing extraordinary about that. There's no slowdown in the market barring the seasonal adjustment in replacement and a minor glitch in our own production capacity in the month of July, August. That explains replacement. In international business, yes, the price transmission has been slow, and we still have to transmit more prices in international market. There what happens is that we go selectively country- by-c ountry.

The competitive situation in each country is different. Globally from the top rank European players to Chinese brands, everybody is there and we are a value brand. We are placed at about 15%-25% below the top European brands. In that competitive scenario, it is sometimes difficult to go for price hike at the same time in all countries. That's why on an average, the transmission is lower than in domestic market. Having said that, the gross margin as well as at an EBITDA level, international business is still margin accretive over domestic market.

Siddhartha Bera
Analyst, Nomura

Got it, sir. Sir, last question on the working capital side. We did see a lot of drag in the first half of this year. Incrementally as we go ahead for the full-year, do you think this will sort of see some more pressure from first half given the commodity scenario, or do you expect some normalization in areas where probably we have been more conservative? Some thoughts if you can help.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

No, the standalone results, basically, when the commodity prices impact the raw material cost, raw material as well as finished goods value goes up quarter-on-quarter. That had some impact. Normally it gets compensated in the form of equivalent amount of value payables. If there is a match in terms of number of days of credit versus number of days of inventory that you hold. In the quarter ended 30th September, we did have impact on account of value being higher and raw material inventory was little higher than June and March. We had to keep little extra inventory, particularly the imported ones, due to increase in transit time and to ensure that all our factories run efficiently without loss of production due to raw materials.

That had little bit of a role with respect to about INR 70- odd crores of increase in working capital in quarter two versus quarter one. Overall, I think our working capital, we are around positive side of about INR 270 crores as of end September on a standalone basis. Largely we were operating closer to zero or negative till recently and the increase in working capital is on account of one of the reasons being cost of materials have gone and average holding of inventory, both raw material and finished goods being little higher than the average period of the payable that had some role to play.

Second, in terms of composition of our revenue is also changing. When you have an increasing share of international business, the receivable d ays in our books also move up because the money gets collected after the inventory reaches, and there is a little bit of a transit time. There is no inefficiency or anything like that there, but it is more about the change in model.

To cut a long story short, our endeavor is to get the working capital back to closer to the zero level or zero to INR 100 crore level in the next one to two quarters time in a normal and stable environment. But if there is going to be any change, if there is going to be any fluctuation in the transit time, particularly on the cross-border side, we may end up holding little higher level of inventory to provide supply security to the other factories.

When it comes to consolidated, I think structurally there will be some element of working capital as we start taking over customer servicing from Camso Michelin to ourselves, because that stock get produced in Sri Lanka but it gets sold in other parts of the world. So there is a transit time. There is also a receivable period. So these two, there will be some amount of working capital which will then work consolidated. We are trying to assess that impact of it. Maybe in the subsequent quarters, we will be able to provide little more color on it.

Siddhartha Bera
Analyst, Nomura

Understood, sir. Thanks a lot. I will come back in the queue.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Rishi Vora from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Yeah. Thank you for the opportunity. My first question is just on the competitive dynamics on. I know we have talked about 12%-13% price hikes. How has the peer set pricing been? Has the industry taken similar quantum of price increases?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

In replacement, yes. The price increase have been similar, but there could be a time lag by one week, two weeks here and there. The quantum may be a quarter percent, half percent higher or lower, but directionally similar.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Okay. So at least in your opinion, the ability to take further price increase is not going to be difficult as industry thus far has been disciplined on that front.

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

I cannot predict, but we need price increase, and we will go for price increase is what I can say.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Understood. Just on the quarter, how much of the price increase have actually flown through, and what will come through in the third quarter? How should we think about that?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

See, in the total revenue growth, minus volume growth can be taken as a price growth. That price growth will have some element of mix impact, but that is one good way of understanding the price growth.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

So it is roughly or almost 8% price QoQ ASP increase would have happened. So I think that is similar.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Yeah. True—

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Sequentially—

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Yeah, go ahead.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Sequentially the ASP increase then beyond mix will depend on the price hikes, which we will be taking from October onwards, right? There is nothing lagging in terms of price pass-through. That will happen from 2Q, is how we should read it?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

No, there is some lag. OEM, there is a lag of three months.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Okay.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

In replacement also, there is a little bit of a lag. I think Arnab in his opening remarks or one of the questions he mentioned about 6%-7% of the gap versus our normal levels of margin of about 40%, 41%. That is the gap to be bridged.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

No, that I understand. But from a 3Q level, is not something where we will be able to, let us say, see any benefit coming through from under recoveries in 2Q is what I was trying to understand.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

There is some lag in quarter two. I think it is better to assume there will be a three months kind of a lag is there overall basis. Whatever happened in quarter one, we were able to recover it in quarter two with some kind of a lag. So similar lag you can expect it what happened in quarter two in terms of recovery at rupees per kg level, and anything beyond that translates to gross margin percentage improvement.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Okay. So in your assessment, should third quarter gross margin be stable versus 2Q, if there is a 3% commodity inflation which you have guided for?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

I think we will wait till the price increase happens because that price increase assumptions that we have made, we would like it to happen.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Okay.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Therefore, it should be closer to the current levels, okay? But I think more clarity will come once we execute our pricing plans appropriately.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Understood. Just last question on the CV replacement demand. Despite whatever 12%-13% price increase we have taken, we are not seeing any challenges on the demand side because you are still guiding for a mid-single digit growth on an elevated base. The industry, all the fleet operators, we are not seeing any demand slow down over there. Obviously, beyond the base effect.

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

Yeah, base effect will come in. That is a significant thing because last year, Q3, Q4 just took off, as you know. Current going rate is about mid-single digits, as I said. So we expect that to continue. Even if there is moderation, it will not go to zero or negative. There is buoyancy in the market, in construction, in mining, and in general goods movement, in replacement I am saying.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Understood. On a blended basis, you do expect replacement to grow by mid-single digit, right? In terms of volumes. In second half, like on a blended basis.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Yes, more or less. Yes.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Understood.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

You are right.

Rishi Vora
Analyst, Kotak Securities

Thank you so much. I will get back with you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Mihir Vora from Equirus. Please go ahead.

Mihir Vora
Analyst, Equirus

Yeah. Thank you for taking my question. My question was around the CapEx guideline. Like first half, we've seen largely we have spent around INR 800- odd crores, and this largely was into the standalone business. Now, what I'm trying to understand here is that going ahead in the second half, what would be the proportion of CapEx which would also go into Camso? Because we have been talking about the upstream and downstream equipment addition there. So can you quantify the number in terms of CapEx, which will be required for Camso here?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Okay, let me check. Camso, I think in the transition part, Arnab mentioned about upstream being readiness by quarter one. So our expected CapEx cash flow during the year is in the range of INR 100 crores- INR 150 crores from upstream point of view. That is going to be the addition over and above standalone CapEx.

Mihir Vora
Analyst, Equirus

Okay. So I think standalone is INR 1,400 plus the INR 150 or including INR 150?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

No, 1,400 plus INR 150 levels would be the range.

Mihir Vora
Analyst, Equirus

Okay. All right. Sir, just one clarification here. Additionally, we also have some part of acquisition payment which is left to be done for Camso. When do we incur that? Maybe in next year, second half?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

No, that will happen in August 2028. Three-year period is when—By 31st August 2028, that three-year period would have got over. Around that time is when we have to make that $44 million payment.

Mihir Vora
Analyst, Equirus

All right, sir. Lastly, sir, onto the debt front. We have seen debt going up around INR 600- odd crores in the first half. What would be the comfortable range where we would not be much concerned in terms of debt? Like any sort of targets where we will be comfortable in debt, like say INR 4,000 crores, INR 4,400 crores kind of levels which we see going ahead?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

See, we never had any absolute debt as a target. We always operated on debt-to-EBITDA or debt equity. Leverage ratios used to be the guiding principle with respect to the debt. A little bit of front-loading of CapEx happened in the first half of the year, and more so in quarter two, to ensure readiness of our two-wheeler expansion in Chennai and truck and bus radial expansion, the two-wheeler expansion in Nagpur and truck and bus radial expansion in Chennai. In the quarter that went by, we also paid about INR 140 crores of dividend. That also in a way contributed overall in terms of utilizing the operating cash flow that was generated in quarter two. In a tight scenario like this, 2.1x kind of a debt-to-EBITDA could be taken as a guiding principle.

In the past, we used to say we wouldn't like to cross three. That threshold, we brought it down. Around 2.1x level during the current year is the level at which we would like to operate.

Mihir Vora
Analyst, Equirus

All right, sir. That's all from my side. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Ankur Poddar from Svan Investments. Please go ahead.

Ankur Poddar
Analyst, Svan Investments

Hi, sir. My question is regarding our Camso. Could you just throw some light on the revenue recognition of Camso for the quarter? As last quarter, you had mentioned that we have reached a revenue run rate of $10 million per month. How is the revenue ramping up currently, and how much of it are we recognizing? Is there a gap between the run rate which you have mentioned versus what we are recognizing in our books?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

Yeah, Amit, you can.

Amit Tolani
Chief Executive of CEAT Specialty, CEAT

Yeah. The revenue to the end customer stands at around $10 million per month. As informed by Arnab, we have taken over 85% of those customers in our fold by the end of September, and we expect to have the remaining customers with us in the third quarter at the end of November. The revenue to the end customer is clicking at $10 million, and sequentially, as we acquire these customers, that kind of revenue will be seen on our statements as well.

Ankur Poddar
Analyst, Svan Investments

Understood. Overall, how do we see this ramping up over the next couple of quarters? Overall $10 million, do we see this ramping up to around? Our overall capacity is closer to $150 million- $200 million per annum. By when do we see you hitting that?

Amit Tolani
Chief Executive of CEAT Specialty, CEAT

Sequentially, you will keep seeing the increase in volumes. As we mentioned in the call earlier, between H1 and H2, you will see a 20%-25% increase in volumes.

Ankur Poddar
Analyst, Svan Investments

Okay. All right. Got it. That is all from my side. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Vijay Pandey from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Hi, sir. Thank you for taking my question. In the price increases, just wanted to understand when we had taken the price increases, and in Q2 at what period of time? You can please quantify and with the month that will be helpful.

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Okay. Cumulatively, look, the price increases happened throughout quarter two , as it happened in quarter one. Approximately, the impact of price increase in quarter two was around 8%. Okay. That was the quantum of price growth that happened in quarter two. But price increases happened at different points in time. Cumulatively, from 1st of April till date, at an organization consolidated level, about 13% has been our price increase between 1st of April and 30th of September.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Okay. So, how much price would it be probably in August or September?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Okay. See, July month, we heard about in the OEM segment, the price increase was about approximately 12% - 13%. In the replacement, it started off from beginning of July. I think about out of the 8%, 5.5% kind of increase happened in July, and balance happened in August and September.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Okay. And sir, the $44 million payment for Camso. So that will be done in September 2027 or September 2028?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Yeah, end of August 2028. Cutoff date, we took over the business on 1st of September, so maybe end of August is when we have to effect that payment into 2028.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Okay. Sir, one more thing. When we subtract the Camso minus the standalone, the other income is negative and interest is also -90 for this quarter. Can you help us understand the dynamics in play? What is impacting that, and how should we look into it?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Consolidated other income, we received about INR 20- odd crores of dividend from our joint venture entity in Sri Lanka, that is CEAT Kelani. Because CEAT standalone receives that dividend, it is part of that. In the consolidation, it gets eliminated. The second question is on the finance cost, I think you are referring to. In the quarter one, had a one-off kind of a foreign fluctuation-related cost that wasn't there in quarter two, and that was the reason why there's a drop there.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Going forward, how should we see the finance cost?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Finance cost, as a debt level, it will move in line with the debt levels. Therefore, if you were to take quarter two as a reference number, 5%-8% kind of a movement in debt level is possible between quarter two and in the subsequent quarters, and finance costs will also move in line with that.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Okay. And sir, currently, is it fair to assume that our monthly realized run rate for Camso will be around $10 million?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

At a customer billing level, yes. It will progressively grow because, as we said, we have taken control of the customers to the extent of 85% already, which will go to 100% in Q3. So you can say that customer billing price, $10 million, is the base rate. The growth will come on top of that.

Vijay Pandey
Analyst, Axis Capital

Okay. Okay, sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star and one on your phone now. We will take our next question from the line of Yash Agarwal from Nirmal Bang. Please go ahead.

Yash Agarwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang

Hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity. I just wanted to know what is our revenue share in EV, in OEM, in both two-wheeler and PV, and what is our market share in 17-in tires?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

The share of business in four-wheeler is about 25%, and in two-wheeler, it is in excess of 30% in OEM, in EV. And in premium tires, the revenue share will be close to 25%, 24%-25%.

Yash Agarwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang

Okay. And sir, what is our mix in terms of domestic and natural rubber procurement, and has it changed post the reduction in discount between the international and domestic prices?

Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT

Now, approximately 2/3 of our rubber is imported and 1/3 is locally purchased. This number has not changed recently on account of parity in the international prices versus local.

Yash Agarwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang

Also, sir, we have taken price hikes to offset the raw material inflation. But as compared to peers, are we taking aggressive price hikes or we are in line with what other peers are taking in the industry?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

In replacement, it is more or less, there could be a lag of couple of weeks here and there, but it is more, as I said, directionally in line with how competition is behaving.

Yash Agarwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang

Okay. And sir, one last question on Camso. Post the complete integration from 2028, can we expect margins around 12%-13% what we guided before?

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

I mentioned in half two, we expect to be moving into EBITDA neutrality to EBITDA positive, half two of this financial year. At EBITDA level, margin should be improving from that in FY 2028.

Yash Agarwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang

Okay, sir. That's it from my side. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as the last question for today. I now hand the conference over to management for closing comments. Over to you.

Arnab Banerjee
Managing Director and CEO, CEAT

Okay. Thank you very much. At the end of first half of FY 2027, and in advance, I wish all of you and your family a happy festive season going into quarter three, and see you in January 2027 next. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Thank you, all the members of the management. On behalf of ICICI Securities Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.