TVS Motor Company Limited (BOM:532343)
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Q3 22/23

Jan 24, 2023

Speaker 14

Gentlemen, good day, welcome to TVS Motor Company Limited 3Q FY 2023 post result conference call hosted by Batlivala & Karani Securities India Private Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anish Rankawat from Batlivala & Karani Securities India Private Limited. Thank you, over to you, sir.

Anish Rankawat
Equity Research Analyst, Batlivala & Karani Securities India Private Limited

Thanks, Vivian. Good evening, everyone. On behalf of B&K Securities, welcome to 3Q FY 2023 post result conference call of TVS Motor Limited. I also take this opportunity to welcome the senior management team of TVS Motor Limited. We have with us today Mr. K.N. Radhakrishnan, Director and Chief Executive Officer, and Mr. K. Gopalakrishnan, Chief Financial Officer. I will now invite Mr. K.N. Radhakrishnan for the opening remarks to be followed by question and answer session. Over to you, sir.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Good evening, thanks for joining us today. Season's greeting to all of you and your family. Happy New Year, 2023. We are delighted to share company's profit after tax. This is the first time we crossed INR 1,000 crore. For the nine months, it is at INR 1,081 crore. This quarter, company continued to deliver consistent EBITDA margins despite temporary challenges in the international markets. Quarter after quarter, company is significantly growing in the EV sales volume. During Q1 of this financial year, we sold 8,000 numbers and improved it to 16,000 numbers in Q2. Further, we have improved to 29,000. Every quarter, we have been practically doubling. We will continue this momentum in Q4.

Thanks to supply chain and thanks to all our customers, the demand is ahead of supplies. We hope to continue this momentum in Q4. Financial year 2023-2024 will set a tone for the EV transformation. It expanded all India coverage of iQube and exciting new product launches from us. Let me go through the Q3 in detail. On sales during this quarter, the company's operating revenue grew by 15% at INR 6,545 crores as against INR 5,706 crores during last year third quarter. Domestic market, company sold 6 lakh units of ICE as against 5.79 lakhs during last year third quarter. Our domestic sales increased by 4% in line with almost the industry growth.

The international market, and all of you know that we did 29,000 of EV during this quarter. International market, company sold 2.07 lakhs of two-wheelers as against 2.53 lakhs. Our international market volume declined by 18%. Industry decline was 23% during the same time. Total volume was 8.07 lakhs during this quarter as against 8.32 lakhs during last quarter, last year third quarter. Total sales of three-wheelers were at the same level of last year, almost 43,000 numbers. On profit, during this quarter, the company registered an EBITDA of INR 659 crores, grew by 16% as against EBITDA of INR 560 crores, INR 568 crores of Q3 last year.

Company posted an operating EBITDA margin of 10.1% as against 10% during Q3 of last year. Despite the demand challenges in the international market, the company was able to improve the material cost as a percentage of sales this quarter from 76.3% to 75.5%. This was primarily through the product mix optimization, sustained cost reduction and, of course, commodity softening and measured price increases whatever we had taken. We registered a Profit before tax of INR 475 crores as against INR 391 crores of Q3, delivering a growth of 21%. Tax for the quarter is at INR 353 crores at 22% growth over last year's INR 288 crores.

Year to date, company has reported a PBT before exceptional item of INR 1,457 crores as against INR 871 crores of last year, nine months up to December 2021. During the nine months ended 2022, the profit after tax is INR 1,081 crores as against last year's INR 619 crores. The board meeting declared today the dividend, an interim dividend of INR 5 per share, absorbing a sum of INR 238 crores for the financial year 2022-2023. On TVS Credit Services, we are extremely happy that the book size is growing, and it is around INR 20,000 crores now. TVS Credit Services portfolio is well diversified, covering tractors, used vehicles, consumer durables, MSME, besides two-wheelers of TVS. The collections are robust, warranting minimum provisions.

The PBT for this quarter grew by 75%. It is at INR 131 crores as against INR 75 crores of Q3 last year. Profit after tax also grew by 75% at INR 98 crores as against INR 56 crores of Q3 last year. As you know, during this quarter, the company launched TVS Raider SmartXonnect TFT variant with first-in-class features such as TFT display, SmartXonnect, voice assist, Bluetooth connectivity, navigation, ride reports and multiple ride modes. TVS Raider continues to do very well in the market. We also expanded the global footprint by launching the TVS Experience Center in Singapore. The new TVS Experience Center will offer a range of TVS Motor's premium motorcycles, including flagship model, TVS Apache RR 310 for the racing enthusiast and other RTR range of products for the performance seekers.

On EV, we delivered 29,000, resulting in a volume share improvement in quarter-on-quarter, achieving now 14.5% market share in December 2022. We will continue this momentum with further improved ramp-up of production in Q4. Month of 2023, we are focusing on achieving 25,000 numbers with the supply of all supply chain partners. Thanks to all the supply chain partners and most importantly, our customers who have put good faith in our product, and it continues to do extremely well. During this quarter, 10% of the domestic scooters have come from volume has come from electric vehicles. We expect this will further go up in the coming quarter. Our order funnel of EV is close to 30,000 numbers, as of now, as I speak.

We are confident of crossing more than 1 lakh EV sale in the domestic market during this financial year. Currently, TVS iQube is available around 200 touchpoints in India. We'll be expanding that with a better availability. As promised, we will be launching a series of new products on EV on different customer segments with a complete portfolio of offering between five to 25 kilowatts in the next 12 to 18 months. As promised, electric three-wheeler will be coming shortly. During the quarter, we entered into a strategic engagement with Amazon India to strengthen electric mobility, electric infrastructure, and connected services. As a part of this collaboration, a fleet of electric two-wheelers and three-wheelers from TVS Motor will be deployed for Amazon's last mile deliveries.

In addition, both the companies will work in tandem to examine EV use cases for various Amazon business groups and its network and logistic requirements. I'm pretty confident that we will leverage this engagement between the companies and collaborate in many areas going forward. On Q4, the rabi crop sowing is up. The trend is better in terms of the MSP. I am very sure that the rural economy will start growing. With the improved availability of semiconductors, we are expecting further improvement in our premium products production. On international market, the external risks have peaked in Q3. We are seeing small improvements in this Q4. We expect a relatively better economic conditions and recovery of major operating geographies for us.

As you know, we are significantly focused on improving the retails in the international market, where our billing has been much lower, primarily to ease out the working capital in many of the international markets, considering the decline in the industry. We are pretty confident that in this quarter you will see much better results than Q3 in Q4 in IB markets. As promised, there will be new product launches from the company, both on ICE and EV space in the coming quarters. As highlighted, despite very high headwinds during Q3, we were able to deliver EBITDA 10.1%. As you know, we have doubled our EV during this quarter.

We are poised to grow ahead of the industry, both in domestic and international markets, with strong portfolios of our brand, starting from Apache, Raider, Jupiter, NTORQ and HLX series and Radeon and TVS King and EV, TVS iQube. We are pretty confident that Q4 you will see very good revenue growth, and this will help us for better operating leverage. The increased premiumization with better supplies of semiconductors are expected during this quarter. Our continued focus on cost reduction will lead a sustained EBITDA improvement in the coming quarters. Thank you.

Speaker 14

Sir, would you like to start the question and answer session?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Yes, please.

Speaker 14

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Participants who wish to ask a question may kindly press star one on your touch-tone telephone. If you wish to withdraw yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Pramod Kumar from UBS. Kindly proceed.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Thanks a lot for the opportunity. Sir, my first question is, sorry, before the question, just want to clarify the EV guidance, what you gave for 4Q, sir? Can you just remind me? I kind of missed that part, the numbers what you shared on the EV volume, for 4Q.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

See, 3Q, we did 29,000.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Yes.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We have been practically doubling, okay. We are looking at a similar kind of a situation in Q4 because we have very good booking, and we are also expanding the touch points in India.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Okay.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

The ramp-up also has been pretty good. So January, February, March, we are, we are setting a target of almost doubling from Q3.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Okay. No, that's good to hear. Thanks a lot, sir. The first question is on the gross margins, right? We have seen gross margins improve. Our raw material sales as a ratio get better by almost 70 basis QOQ. I do understand there's a bit of a headwind from the EV side here. If you can help us understand how much is the commodity benefit which is accrued to the company this year, sir. Or rather, if you can split the gross margin expansion between, say, pricing mix and commodity, if you can help us understand. Mix being negative here because of the EV ramp up. Just help us understand the breakdown there.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

The commodity between Q2 to Q3 is about 0.3.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

0.3, okay.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Yeah. Our material cost reduction also helped. Price increases also helped. All this has helped, you know, EV is positive margin, but it is not at the company level.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Yeah.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Overall, a very clear action plan looking at the cost reduction, higher focus on wherever we were able to appropriately increase the prices. All this has helped us go from 75.5% to 76.2%.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Would you expect commodity benefits to accrue to continue to come in for 4Q and the foreseeable future, given the way the steel price and other pressure, other commodity prices move?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I think commodity is likely to soften only. We are not seeing commodity to go up in Q4.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Okay. That's good to hear. The second question is on the financing arm. Any update there, sir, in terms of as to what will be the timeline there for monetization? Because you did talk about last quarter call that you were in the advanced stage on both EV and even or financing arm and even the EV side. If you can just help us understand a bit more on the of where are we and on that front. Finally for Desikan sir, any update on the cash flow situation for the quarter? How did you perform on the cash flow side? Thank you.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

No, as far as the fundraise is concerned, no decision taken on that. We are still working. We will come back to you as and when we decide on that. With regard to the cash flow, as we have gone back two years back to the cash and carry, and therefore the free cash flow is positive from the operation side.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Any quantification there, or would you like to wait for the full year balance sheet?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

No.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Yeah.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I'll like to come back on the details, Pramod, on that. I can assure you from the operations we have generated, we continue to generate positive cash flows.

Pramod Kumar
Executive Director, UBS

Thanks a lot, sir. That's all right. I'll come back in the queue. Thank you.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Most importantly, TVS ES has done extremely well. I think I highlighted the performance of TVS ES. I think it is very well run. Overall, the PBT has been extremely good and book size is growing. It is almost now INR 20,000 crores, and their portfolio is also very well diversified.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Chandramouli Muthiah from Goldman Sachs. Kindly proceed.

Chandramouli Muthiah
Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good evening, thank you for taking my questions. First question is on the ASP improvement quarter-on-quarter. Seems like there's been a 5% QoQ increase in ASP from about INR 71,000 to about INR 74,000 this quarter. Maybe higher than what most analysts were estimating. Just trying to understand what are the drivers of the higher ASP QoQ, just in terms of quantification of price hikes, maybe the EV mix, domestic versus export, et cetera.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

The primary reason is there is a price increase. Also the product mix. Thanks to better supplies of semiconductor, we were able to deliver Apache, we were able to deliver Raider, almost to the demand, while there were some challenges in terms of Apache in the month of September. Overall, we were able to do much better than Q2. That is one reason. Second, as you know, we have done better in terms of the EV. EV, you know, it's a significantly higher priced. From almost INR 16,000, it has gone to almost INR 30,000. Overall, these are the two important reasons.

Chandramouli Muthiah
Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Got it. That's helpful. Just as a follow-up, if you could just quantify how much price hike you've taken in 3Q, that'd be really helpful. Just also on the Ronin numbers, we don't see that in the CM data yet. If you could qualify, sorry, quantify sort of what are the Ronin numbers this quarter, and if they're being reported as part of Apache or as part of some other product at this point.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Ronin is doing extremely well. It is already come to now, close to 3,000 per month, and it will slowly and steadily grow because this is a brand which is getting built. I think it is a good thing. In Q4 also it will do much, much better. That is a broad indication on Ronin. On the price increase for the quarter Q3, just give me a minute. We have taken about 0.7% price increase.

Chandramouli Muthiah
Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Got it. That's very helpful, sir. My second question is on the FAME 2 subsidies. Potentially maybe eight to 10 months out, maybe the industry runs out of FAME 2 subsidies from the government. Just trying to understand how you're thinking about strategy in terms of would you maybe take a bit of margin hit if the subsidies were not to be extended, or would you be looking to pass on price hikes in case the subsidies are not being extended?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I think I have highlighted it in my last call also. I think that what is most important and what is delighting for us is the customer acceptance of TVS iQube. I think you need to have a very good product and customer acceptance has to be pretty good. When the customer acceptance is good and the volume goes up, please understand, the volume can help us to look at the cost. Okay, what government has supported us is to have the initial benefit to all the people, and it is the government to decide what the decisions on the FAME and other benefits what the customer or the government is doing. As far as we are concerned, I think we have to focus on the customer pull, and making sure that we delight the customer.

That is exactly what we are trying to do. For going forward, volumes will go up. Once we get the volumes up, I am very confident that over a period of time, there will be transformation in cell prices, cell costs, cell chemistry, other costs. Once the top line comes, every other line we can improve. That is the way we look at it.

Chandramouli Muthiah
Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

That's helpful, sir. Thank you. Just lastly, a couple of housekeeping questions. Just trying to understand what is the export revenue and the spares revenue, please.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

You have to give me a minute. Export revenue is about INR 1,770 crores. Spare parts is about INR 683 crores.

Chandramouli Muthiah
Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Thank you very much, sir, and all the best.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Thank you. Thank you.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kumar Rakesh from BNP Paribas. Kindly proceed.

Kumar Rakesh
Associate Director, BNP Paribas

Hi. Thank you, team, for taking my question. Good evening. My first question was around EV target, which we have set for the fourth quarter of we're doubling and reaching close to 25,000 monthly run rate. Can you help us understand that, how this would be driven? Will this be largely driven by supply side easing and network expansion? Or we should be expecting some model launches and entry into more price points that also leading into higher volume?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We have already set three variants of iQube that will come. Plus, we want to also expand the network. Equally, we don't want to. Because today the booking is more than 25,000. I think we have to cut down, you know, make it available for most of the consumers. According to me, the biggest important thing is to get the supply chain aligned to deliver this 25,000, because this is the first time we are doing. The supply chain is also supporting us. It's a combination of, let me put it, this is an integrated effort. The first thing I would like to thank the customers for the demand and the faith they have put on iQube. That is excellent.

I think now we have to look at, keeping the networks ready, keeping the variants ready, and also the supply chain in an integrated way, both the company, the plant integration, as well as the supply chain integration and delivering that.

Kumar Rakesh
Associate Director, BNP Paribas

Great, thanks. That's very helpful. My second question was around the investment that we have done in this quarter in TVS Credit and the Singapore subsidiary. Can you just give us some sense on how these two subsidiaries are doing in terms of, say, TVS Credit? Last year, its credit cost had increased, how it is going on the credit cost side. The Singapore subsidiary has been reporting losses for last several years. What's the path to improving the financials of that investment?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

TVS Credit, I already highlighted to you, it is doing extremely well, and this quarter also done extremely well. As a year as a whole also is going to deliver excellent results. TVS Credit, just a minute, give me. The investment what we have made in this quarter on TVS Credit,

Chandramouli Muthiah
Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

INR 150 crores.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

INR 150 crores. Sorry. INR 150 crores. Okay? We will definitely continue to invest because this is something which is doing extremely well for us. The other investment on Singapore, as you know, these are all investments which will definitely start yielding significant results in the future. Okay? That is where we are. We are not really, you know, worried about the losses, whatever it is making today, because we see huge potential from these investments in the future.

Kumar Rakesh
Associate Director, BNP Paribas

These investments in Singapore entity would be going into the startups and different investments which we have made?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Yes. Yes.

Kumar Rakesh
Associate Director, BNP Paribas

Understood. Okay. Thank you. I'll fall back in the queue.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Gunjan Prithyani from Bank of America. Kindly proceed.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Yeah, hi. Thanks team for taking my questions. Just a quick follow-up before I get to my questions. This INR 90 crore investment that you mentioned in the Singapore entity, is this pertaining to Norton or is it some other investments altogether?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

It's not relating to Norton. One is on the startups, we have also acquired some assets relating to the technology, which will be vetted during this quarter through a German subsidiary. This is that's one of the reasons. These are all part of electric and electric subsystems.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. The loss that we have between console minus standalone of about, I think, INR 50 crore this quarter, this is largely explained by Norton and the Singapore entity, right? Because, I mean, credit business is, of course, you know, you mentioned the numbers are looking good. You know, do we expect this sort of run rate of INR 50 crore loss to continue on the subsidiaries?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We can't give you a guidance. All that what we can do is these are all investments which are going to definitely yield results. Because these are investments in e-cycles. These are investments in super premium products. Definitely with the product launches and the market becoming better, we are pretty confident that we have invested in the right segment, right business, and we will start delivering good performance and returns in the future.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Got it. Okay. Moving to my questions, I think, the one thing which has been, you know, which has been widely spoken about in the press is this whole, you know, tightening of regulations on the EV side. One is the subsidies being, you know, withdrawn or not being given to few OEMs and the battery standards being tightened. Could you just help us as to where the iQube stands? Are we getting the subsidies or these are being accrued and, you know, once it is validated, we'll get? On the battery standard, does it mean any cost, meaningful cost impact for the iQube?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We are all these new standards we are adhering as a company and we proactively work on these areas. On subsidy, I already highlighted that we want the customers to get delighted, and iQube is doing exactly that. We have launched three variants, and these three variants are doing extremely well in the market and we want now to leverage the supply chain and also the network to ramp it up to next higher level. That is exactly the focus. Of course, once we start ramping up and giving it, we would like to also enter into international markets. There is a series of product launches which we have planned in the next.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Mm.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

four to six quarters. All that will come because iQube is only in one segment, and iQube has got three variants now. There are many more product launches planned in the, in the, in the next four to six quarters.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Sir, I'm just asking about currently because, you know, I know FAME 2 will anyways, you know, finish F 2024 end. At this juncture, are we getting the subsidies or we are not getting?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We are.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Okay. All right. The second question is on the demand outlook on the domestic business. Now, you know, you did sound optimistic on the rural side, if I just go back to December quarter, we had a pretty strong October and, you know, the festive season. When we look at the trends towards the end of the quarter, it just seemed very weak. If you could give us some color as to what, you know, why the market was so weak and how are we seeing on the ground, you know, the sentiment, from, you know, from... You know, just trying to gauge how should we think about the outlook because it's been very patchy. We see good, you know, festive and then sudden collapse in the demand.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

See, the Diwali and Puja are two important festivals in Q3. This year, all happened between October and practically it got ended by the first week of November.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Mm.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Okay? Maximum sales happened during that period. You know, the domestic market looks at the auspicious dates and then terrace and all that happen. This we have seen not only this year, every year. Many years what happens is the Diwali and Diwali comes end of November. You will see a better November and a better October. This year everything happened together. November and December is always slow-

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Mm.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

from the point of view of the market, and every year we have seen that. What is most important is when you, when you look at the overall market sentiment and the rural, I think we are able to see slowly things picking up, okay. With now the improved availability of the semiconductors. Now you know, with BS- VI and OBD II, the electronic components and semiconductors are there in every vehicle and the proportion is very high. Any kind of disruption also affects the supply. I am confident that Q4 you will see improvement, January, February, March, okay.

We should all appreciate and be peaceful and little bit, you know, careful that the prices which I have highlighted last 12 quarters with all these regulation and changes, the prices have gone up by almost 40%. The income has not gone up by 40%. We have to be little bit, little bit be patient with No lockdowns. When I say no lockdowns, I think the current COVID situations in China, other parts of Asia is little worrisome, but so far we are positive that the vaccination drive and the other, you know, areas, we are not feeling that you will see any more lockdowns in India, but we have to be cautious.

Overall, these changes are going to help India and Indian investments in the infrastructure have gone up substantially. The rural, especially the agriculture economy is looking good. The MSPs are increasing. The self-employed group is slowly started earning money. They have started investing in looking at two-wheelers. All these are going to help going forward. I think we have to be little patient in terms of the recovery. I am positive because what we have to look at is quarter-on-quarter, how are we likely to see? I'm positive. I always believe in keeping lean stocks with the dealers and which we have continued to do.

We always keep that lean stocks, and we are, you know, cash and carry even in the domestic market. We are pretty confident.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, got it. Just last question, if I can pitch in, is on the scooter side, you know, you clearly mentioned 10% of the market is now EVs, and we'll continue to see this moving up. I'm just trying to understand, you know, the customer profile who's looking at electric scooter. You know, is this like completely, you know, new set of customers who probably was looking at even bikes and is now starting to look at e-scooter because there's a lot more excitement, it is more future ready? Is that sort of customer base you're seeing that, you know, they compare it with bikes as well? Is it fair to assume that the shift that you're seeing towards e-scooters is more coming from 125cc scooters rather than the lower cc ones?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

These are too early analysis we can do because whatever we have seen is, we are present in almost many key cities and the observation is all about urban. What we see is, initially set of customers who are techie and they want this to be taken as a major change. Going forward, when we start supplying, you know, the 25,000 month after month for about six months, 10 months, we can do this analysis and really find out where are they coming from, you know, what type of shift is happening in the industry. Okay? Today, they want to experience new technology. They want to experience, you know, connected. They want to look at the experience of EV.

Analysis and coming to inferences using the current data may not be, in my opinion, logical. We have to give some more time.

Gunjan Prithyani
Senior Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Okay. Got it. Thank you so much.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Thank you.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nitin Arora from Axis Mutual Fund. Kindly proceed.

Nitin Arora
Fund Manager of Equities and Analyst, Axis Mutual Fund

Hi. Sorry, my question has been answered. Thank you.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kapil Singh from Nomura. Kindly proceed.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Hi, good evening, sir. Could you talk about geography-wise exports outlook, how is it looking like? Also, because you mentioned that there is some inventory correction you have undertaken, if you could help us get an idea of how much inventory corrections you have undertaken or what is steady state run rate that you are seeing currently on export volumes.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

See, when I say inventory correction, we always believe in a lean inventory even in international. When the industry is coming down beyond our planned numbers, we have to correct the dispatches. Retails, as I said, are much ahead of our dispatch.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Mm-hmm.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

See, explain, if I look at it, in Q3, the industry declined by almost 23% and we declined by almost 18%. From the market share point of view, we are pretty doing very well. The major reason we see is, there is an inflationary trend in Africa, and we have seen that some portion of it, coming from most of the African markets, primarily because of what you have seen because of the war and the depreciation in the currency, local currency, and also affecting little bit of disposable income. Now, this Q3 was little challenging, so we made sure that whatever working capital improvement we do, we also help our distributors to do that. Equally, customer gets the fresh vehicle.

That is exactly what we have done. I don't want to give you exact guidance on how much we have reduced stock, etc. , because we always believe in the transit time plus about 30-35 days of stock. Depending upon the season, we decide. Okay? We are seeing that slowly this is easing out. Okay? The predominant market is Africa. Of course, we have seen markets like Bangladesh having some challenges. Okay? All of you know about Sri Lanka not yet opened up. Okay? We have seen Nepal going through some challenges. Okay? Overall, there is a bit of industry decline primarily because of macroeconomic factors. I am seeing some changes. Slow improvement is seen in Q4, expected to see in Q4.

Progressively going up next year, you will see a better and better numbers.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Maybe you can, if you can tell us the inventory correction phase, is it over or we still need to do that in coming months?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Inventory, it is not an inventory correction. That's why I said. See, when you expect certain industry performance and vis-a-vis your stock levels, it is a constant journey. Okay?

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Understood.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We keep looking at it, and we keep looking at it, what is the retail required. Exactly like what we do in even in India. You look at the inventory. If the industry does as per plan, then fine. If the industry doesn't do as per plan, you have to correct it according to the industry decline. This is a constant journey.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Understood. Second question is on mopeds. You know, we have seen a sort of a, you know, very low numbers, maybe, you know, I think closer to 15-year low kind of numbers going on currently. Is this industry in a structural decline or, you know, how are you thinking about it?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

First, I want to tell you that two-wheeler industry itself is 10 years back number. Okay? Because you made a comment about moped, being the lowest number. Overall, please understand the industry is trying to come back. Now, coming back to moped is slow. Equally, the entry-level motorcycles are slow. Actually, moped is doing better than the entry-level motorcycles. Okay? There is a problem in the affordability of the entry-level products, primarily because slowly now the agriculture is starting to do well. The worries about COVID is slowly going away. Self-employed has started earning money. Please understand, everybody has increased prices by 40%. The cost has gone up by 40%. Now, the income has not gone up by 40%.

That is exactly the reason I think we should all show a little bit more patience, because India has got, while the infrastructure has improved, India has got still long, long way to go on the public transportation. Two-wheeler is the only way. I am pretty confident that if we give some more time, I think, things will change. Because we are coming out of this two-year lockdown and huge challenges on these cost increases, okay? Allowing little bit more patience will help us. You will see everything will come back, because two-wheelers are here to stay.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Okay, sir. If you could just give us a comment on the EV fundraise as well. You know, we've been hearing about it, and you've also talked about, you know, that we are very close to doing that deal. You know, it's been almost, I guess, a year or more than that since we've been hearing about that from you. What exactly are the factors that are, you know, leading to this delay?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We never said that we are close to finalization. Never we have said. We were only, we are only evaluating various options. That's all we commented, and it still continues.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

I am sorry. The line was not very clear. Could you repeat that?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

The point highlighted was, we never said that we are close to closing the deal. We said we are evaluating various options, and we will let you know once we are close to the finalization stage. That is what we have said. Okay? That status continues, and once we are closer to the finalization, we will let you know.

Kapil Singh
Research Analyst, Nomura

Okay, sir. Thank you, and all the best.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jinesh Gandhi from Motilal Oswal. Kindly proceed.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Hi, sir. Can you first give details about the USD INR realization in the quarter and operating other income?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Tell me what exactly you want.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Dollar realization.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Dollar. One second. Dollar realization during this quarter is about $80.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay. Okay. Operating other income?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Other operating income is about, INR 90 crores.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

INR 90 crores. Okay. Second question pertains to the export part. You indicated, we declined about 18% on wholesale basis in third quarter. Any indication on how did our retails perform in 3Q? Just to understand, how is the trend, are we seeing retail decline getting arrested in 3Q and now we are seeing some recovery? Is that the way to look at?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Our retails are much ahead of our dispatches because we believe in keeping the right stock. We look at the industry-

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Sure. I understand. I understand that.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Exact number country by country, I can't give you. I can give you.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Sure, overall retail.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

... saying that the retails have been much higher than the dispatch.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay. retails have grown in 3Q? Can you confirm that?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Retails are better than our dispatch.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Better than dispatch. Okay. Third question pertains to the finance penetration. Are we seeing further increase in finance penetration from where we were, say, six months back? You know, are we seeing financing enabling some bit of absorption of sticker shock?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Finance penetration, slightly better primarily because I think, you know, season always, people tend to use it, more effectively. It has gone up vis-a-vis, last year Q3.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay. Where are we currently?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We are around 60%.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

60%. Okay. That's fairly healthy. Last year, I believe, was about 53%, 54%.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

54%, 55% last year.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay. Okay. Great. Lastly, just can talk about PT Indonesia, how it has been doing. Is the recovery trend continuing there?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Yeah, yeah. PT is doing very well in terms of both in terms of the profits. The EBITDA, just give me a minute. We registered a PBT of almost $2 million against last year's $0.5 million in Q3.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay. Okay. Now EBITDA, half a million in 3Q. Got it.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

EBITDA is about, EBITDA, just a minute. EBITDA is about, INR 5.8 million. Sorry.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

You're asking well, for the quarter, right?

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Yes.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

It is about two point.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

For the quarter.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

INR 2.6 million. Last year was about INR 1 million.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Okay. Okay. Lastly, can you clarify this 200 touchpoints which we have for EVs represent how many city coverage we have? How many cities do we still-

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Actually about 110. 100, 110. Around 110.

Jinesh Gandhi
Deputy Head of Research and Auto Analyst-Institutional Equities,, Motilal Oswal

Got it. Got it. great, sir. Thanks, and all the best.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Thank you. Thank you.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Hitesh from CLSA. Can you proceed?

Hitesh Dewangan
Head of Technology Operations, CLSA

Yeah. Thank you, sir, for taking my question. Sir, I just wanted to understand more of this realization increase, because if we factor in the price increase, also the shift in electric volumes from 1.6% of sales volumes in 2023 to 3.5% in 3Q 2023, I believe we can explain only 2%, and by export will be another half a percent or 0.6%. You know, this 6% QOQ, if you can please, you know, tell us how is that you... Because in the mix also, Patra has gone down, if you look at on a QOQ basis. Just want to understand what has actually happened on the realization front.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Realization, I explained to you, I think EV volumes are much higher and price increases we have taken. Last year to this year, if you compare, the price increases are much higher because there were commodity price increases between last year's Q3 to this year's Q3, almost 3.7%. Last year if you are comparing Q3 to Q3. Okay?

Hitesh Dewangan
Head of Technology Operations, CLSA

No, sir. I'm comparing QOQ. Yeah, I'm comparing QOQ.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I'm saying Q3, you said Q3 to last year Q3 to this year Q3. If you look at last year Q3 to this year Q3, there is almost close to 4% increase in the commodity increase. Mostly we have passed it on.

Hitesh Dewangan
Head of Technology Operations, CLSA

Yeah. No, sir, I was talking about QoQ because there's a 6% QoQ increase and I can only explain maybe 3%. Within the portfolio, basically, is there premiumization within the portfolio also which is helping this on a QoQ?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

It is. It is. If you look at the proportion of Apache is much better. The Raider is much better. Jupiter 125 is much better. NTORQ is much better. Okay. This trend will continue. You know, I already highlighted about entry level. Entry level, because the rural is a bit slow, entry level is slow. That is for, you know, because of the industry issues. I think what we need to look at is how do we improve overall numbers and overall this one, so that you will get not only the gross margin improvement, but you will also get a much higher amortized fixed cost.

Hitesh Dewangan
Head of Technology Operations, CLSA

Yeah. sir, for my another question is on EV volume. did I hear it right that you sold 29,000 in this quarter and you're doubling that in the fourth quarter from 29,000?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Our plan is to look at how do we double it.

Hitesh Dewangan
Head of Technology Operations, CLSA

In one quarter's time or a period of time?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

In one quarter's time.

Hitesh Dewangan
Head of Technology Operations, CLSA

Okay. Okay. Thank you, sir. Thank you very much.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Amyn Pirani from JPMorgan. Kindly proceed.

Amyn Pirani
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Yes. Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. Some EV. The first question is on the EV launches that you talked about. So, can you give us some color as to when you're thinking of these launches, would it continue to be fixed battery, or are you also looking at removable battery and battery swapping kind of products? Since you mentioned 5-25 kilowatt hour, does it mean that we will only be getting into more premium EV two-wheelers? Because, you know, the smaller two-wheeler on the EV side, you know, have a smaller battery pack.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Closer to launch you will get more information. I can promise you one thing. We will come up with products which delight the customer. Okay? We focus on the customer usage and the type of partnerships we are now trying to build up. We will, we will be for the customer, and we will be designing and developing products for the customer. Closer to launch, I can give you all the details, whatever you asked.

Amyn Pirani
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Okay, okay. That's helpful. Secondly, on the, you know, on the EV entity that you were planning to form, you know, in anticipation of a potential, you know, capital infusion externally. My question is that, say, you know, even if this capital infusion, you know, happens now or later, would you still be transferring the business to that entity or that is only, you know, predetermined on some kind of a capital infusion happening?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I think these are all strategies and those are all discussions which are going on. I think once we close it, we will share more details with you.

Amyn Pirani
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Okay, sir. Okay. Thank you, sir. I'll come back in the queue.

Speaker 14

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Raghun andhan N L from Emkay Global. Kindly proceed.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Thank you, sir, for the opportunity. Sir, on the EV side, we are seeing a strong acceptance, and that is leading to better volumes. You alluded in your remarks that EVs are profitable. Just wanted to understand, at what level of volumes would the margin gap notably narrow with that of ICE? I mean, I'm alluding to the fact that as the scale increases, localization work happens and PLI benefits come in, margins should keep improving. Your thoughts on that.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Absolutely. I want to only borrow whatever you said because the volume is the key. For the volume to happen, I think customer should like the product and there should be pull, and we are extremely thankful to all our customers of our iQube and the variants, whatever we have launched and the opening booking what we have. I think what is most important is we want to ramp up and deliver this to these customers. Already you have seen three variants mean three price points. With new products into new segments, there will be different price points.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Mm.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I think that is one. Second, the volume when it goes up, you will have scale and you will be able to better look at better, you know, scale benefits and platforms. Also going forward, I'm very sure that new technologies will come on the cell, new chemistries will come. I think overall. We will have an opportunity to use these EV products in the international market as well. Today, we are not able to get into the international market primarily because we are not able to deliver to the domestic market in the booking. The moment you are able to get into the international market, you can also look at what kind of appropriate pricing you can do in this product.

Overall, it will be a strategy of volume, growth, premiumization, varianting, supply chain benefit, cell cost and the chemistry benefits, and scale. International market. This will be the overall strategy. How each one is going to play, of course, we are working out internally, how is it going to play and how is it going to work out. I think as we progress every quarter, I'll update you. We are in the right direction. From negative contribution, we have come to positive contribution. The customer acceptance is extremely good. That is very positive. We are able to come with the three variants. Now we want to launch our new product.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Got it, sir. Just a clarification here. Excluding battery, what would be the localization level?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Localization level are pretty good. Even in this one, we make the battery management system. Only cell is what we are getting it from outside. Otherwise, entire battery management system is ours.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Got it, sir. My second question was on OBD transition. Some of your peers have started launching products, which are OBD II compliant. How do you see the, you know, change happening, for TVS over the next two months?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We have also started and, we have started supplies. Well ahead of the time, we will be available with OBD to comply the vehicles in the market.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

price change will be approximately INR 1,500?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We will see. We will see how much is the cost increase, and we will take the decision appropriately.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Got it, sir. Because we are getting the benefit of this relates to export market, because we are getting the benefit of USD, INR movement. Any steps we are taking to, you know, help demand recovery in exports? Any pass-through of benefits in export markets?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

See, these, see, market by market, you have to understand, we have excellent product range in the international market. As you know, we believe in exciting the customers with excellent range, excellent attractive quality features. That is what we always believe in. That is what is going to help this market. Of course, we will invest in marketing. We will invest in, you're looking at which countries there is retail finance availability. This is the time where we have to support the dealer and the distributor with the right level of, you know, inventory. That's where you have to constantly look at and recalibrate. I'm pretty confident these kind of headwinds we have seen in the past also.

These headwinds, we are very confident that we will be able to get over and, you will see the numbers, growing.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Got it, sir. To Desikan, sir, would you have the net debt number? Which if you have, is it possible to share?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

What is the question?

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Can you share the net debt number, sir?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Net debt. Net debt is around INR 1,200 crores.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

This would be, as of December for the standalone business.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Yeah. As of December 2022 for the standalone, it's around INR 1,200 crores.

Raghunandan N. L.
Research Analyst, Emkay Global

Thank you, sir. Thank you so much. I'll come back in the queue.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Can we take the last question, please?

Speaker 14

Sure, sir. The last question will be from the line of Pramod Amte from InCred Capital. Kindly proceed.

Pramod Amthe
Equities Research, InCred Capital

Yeah, thanks for taking my question. This is with regard to the one of the follow-up for the FAME incentive. EV industry is talking about 100 plus days of receivables. What are your receivables on the FAME incentive side?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

See, this, first of all, we are getting FAME incentive. We are extremely thankful to the government. Okay. In my opinion, I think we have to focus on ramping up and giving it to the customers. I think, I'm very sure that, this will be we will be securing it from the government.

Pramod Amthe
Equities Research, InCred Capital

You mean you don't have any receivables from government?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We will be secure. There will be some receivables. This is a journey because every month when we are trying to increase from 10,000 to 12,000 to 15,000 to 20,000, it will keep growing. There will be cycles of, you know, we will get it from the government. What is most important at this point of time is to look at how we are generating more and more demand and supply into the market, and we are able to see government honoring their commitments.

Pramod Amthe
Equities Research, InCred Capital

The reason to ask the question is, if this prolongs, even if you also in the same basket of 100+ days, do you see the industry moving to a phenomenon where the incentive will be directly credited to the consumer instead of companies taking it on the balance sheet?

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

I wanted to only commit one thing. The government is supporting, and we are very happy the way it is done. Okay? What is most important is for us to grow the business and, you know, month after month, this is like a revolving benefit which comes to the company.

Pramod Amthe
Equities Research, InCred Capital

The second one is with regard to the AIS norms for battery. If I heard you right, you comply. It's good to hear that you are ahead of the industry on that. Considering that some of the entry-level two-wheelers are supposed to take a big jump into these new norms, in that context, do you see an opportunity for you to launch a product at the entry-level scooters and hence grab this opportunity similar to one of your competitor, Ola, has done there? Or you feel that superior technology-

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

First of all, I don't look at. I don't look at competition at all. Competition is only a reference. I always look at customer, customer. We have a very clear product pipeline plan based on the customer segments and opportunities where we are. Closer to launch, we will share with you what are our plans.

Pramod Amthe
Equities Research, InCred Capital

Sure. Thanks a lot.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Speaker 14

I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

K. N. Radhakrishnan
Director and CEO, TVS Motor Company

We look at the most important is, we are extremely happy and thankful to the EV customers, and we are confident that this quarter we will be able to ramp up, and we will be able to double our volumes, whatever we have seen in Q3. What is most important for us is we are seeing the retails becoming better and better in the international market. However, we will very closely monitor because it may require some time to recover in Q4, but we are positive. The direction is positive. We are in the domestic market and the international market with a kind of range of products, what we have, we are very confident that we will do much better than the industry.

The robust revenue growth, better and better premiumization, better mix, the cost reduction initiative, and the positive improvement in overall, you know, the fixed cost. We are definitely confident of leading a sustained EBITDA improvement in Q4. Thank you. Thank you very much.

Speaker 14

Thank you. On behalf of Batlivala & Karani Securities India Private Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.

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