Azul S.A. (BVMF:AZUL3)
Brazil flag Brazil · Delayed Price · Currency is BRL
31.85
+3.80 (13.55%)
Last updated: Apr 30, 2026, 5:00 PM GMT-3
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Investor Day 2024

Dec 3, 2024

David Neeleman
Chairman, Azul

Fuel tax in each of the individual states, and we use our Caravans to be able to lower our fuel costs by $100 million a year. And we just got this amazing team of people that are just, can adapt to challenges as they come up. You know, it's really a testament to what we've built.

Today, we're the only airline in about 90% of our markets. Abhi has all those statistics, and he'll show you. And we fly in 155 cities. Our nearest competitor, I think, serves 55 cities. So we have 100 cities where nobody else has. So we have this amazing sustainable model.

There's a reason why when, you know, LATAM went bankrupt and Gol went bankrupt, where we had the opportunity to, you know, help protect our public shareholders and negotiate with our debt holders, because we had the foundation of our business was so strong. We had one of the most profitable airlines in the world going into COVID.

As we accumulated debt to try and get through COVID and to try and, you know, get through that process, you know, obviously it weighed the company down. But the core company is 70% bigger in terms of revenue, 35% bigger in terms of ASMs than it was going into COVID. And the only challenge we had was generating huge amounts of cash, but had a huge amount of debt that we had accumulated.

We often fantasize about being in the United States during COVID, where the airlines received $53 billion-$57 billion from the U.S. government, of which we didn't receive support from the Brazilian government at that time. You know, to be able to kind of be where we are today, 70% revenue higher than we were going into COVID, to be able to renegotiate with our bondholders and determine a huge chunk of that, and with our leaseholders, to turn a huge amount of that debt into equity to lower our cash flow obligations over the next few years, we are really in a great position today.

I just can't thank enough, you know, John and Abhi and Alexandre, and everyone who works at Azul for helping my dream of making a big difference in Brazil come to reality.

I know our best days are ahead of us. I just want to thank all of you that have been, you know, long-suffering and patient as we've gone through this COVID period. Those of you that are coming in now as shareholders, we won't disappoint you. We have a great management team, and we can really adapt, and we can. We've been through a lot, and we're really good at it. So thanks again, and I'll turn the time over to John.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Thanks, David. You know, we're going to kind of walk through our business plan today, what makes us different, and you know, Abhi's going to spend the bulk of the time speaking with you today. But these are kind of the strengths of our business model. The network that David talked about, 100 cities that only Azul flies to, you know, dominance in the cities that we operate in.

You know, we're going to walk through how we've grown in our hubs and kind of walked away from places that are not profitable, right, and I think that's something that's really key to what we do. We have this flexible, fuel-efficient fleet. You know, if we see demand growing in a market, we can add a larger aircraft. If demand is weaker, we can swap it for a smaller aircraft.

You know, we have, you know, David mentioned it, but we have the best crew members in the world. You know, those same crew members, I remember in COVID, you know, we had 11,716 of them took an unpaid leave of absence in order to ensure that Azul was viable, right? And so that's the type of dedication that you have from even the frontline crew members, at Azul.

There's a lot of opportunities to grow in Brazil. I get a lot of questions on, should we be growing? And we should have that debate today, and we're going to walk you through some of that. And now, you know, finally, we have an optimized capital structure. You know, kind of reminiscing a little bit, you know, David, you know, when David, you know, talked about the founding of Azul, you know, the exchange rate was 1.5 to 1.

I joke. I was tricked into moving to Brazil at that time, right? GDP was growing 8% a year. The exchange rate was 1.5. And, you know, this airline has been tested through the most diverse challenges that anybody could imagine. And you can see, you know, even in 2019, you know, where the exchange rate was, where the average fuel price was, and what our EBITDA was.

And then 2020 was COVID, COVID 2.0, the Ukraine war, which, you know, had a spike in fuel prices, as you can see there, and what happened with the exchange rate, the recovery, and then, you know, the challenges that we had this year, which was all of a sudden, one day to the next, 10% of our network was knocked offline. One day to the next, their currency devalued 15%, right?

You know, how do you survive that? You survive that by having a great core business, a management team that's able to adapt. We've faced some significant challenges. I've never been more excited about our future than where we are today because we have great partners. Some of those partners are in this room with us here today, but our lessors have converted their obligations into equity.

Alexandre will walk you through that, right? Then we did a broader deal with our debt holders, right, where we're converting just over $1 billion of debt into equity, into the business. As part of that, our debt holders said, "Hey, let's do something even more innovative," right? Like, "Let's give a carrot and also the stick to go back to everybody and generate cash in this business," right?

Now, I want you to use us converting our debt into equity as an opportunity to go after all of our partners, OEMs, lessors, to get an incremental $100 million a year in cash flow. And that was the right partnership model, right? When you think about it, when you have a debt holder that's saying, "I'm going to drop in the cap structure, and I'm going to become an equity holder," what they wanted to do is they wanted to ensure that this equity was going to start to run.

They wanted to ensure that this equity was going to be protected. And the best way for that equity to be protected is to address the cash that this business generates.

Through this deal that we've done with our lessors and bondholders, we're really addressing. As we start at Azul, many of you know that Azul generates a lot of EBITDA, right? You know, this year it's going to be $6 billion. Next year, it's $7.4 billion. But it always got eaten up in three main things. It was rent, it was interest expense, and it was CapEx, right? That was where all of our cash was going.

Last year, we renegotiated all of our leases to ensure all of our leases were market leases. This year, we're addressing CapEx and interest expense as we're dropping interest expense by over $100 million a year. We're addressing our CapEx by negotiations with an incremental $100 million a year.

And with that, we delever the business, and we become a much stronger airline as we move forward, as this debt that's on the balance sheet becomes equity. Yes, there's dilution, but the company is much stronger going forward as a result of that. And so even in all of this, and why are our debt holders willing to do this? Because we have a great core business.

And that's what David, you know, continues to talk about. This is only possible. We were only able to avoid a Chapter 11 process because our core business is very strong. You can see in the third quarter, with all of the challenges of the OEMs and Porto Alegre being offline, we had record revenue, record EBITDA, record RASK, and obviously record EBIT as well. So the core business is very, very strong.

As we exit 2024 into 2025, we feel very good about where we are, even with a devalued currency. We're going to walk you through why the business model is so strong going forward. There's two great assets that Azul has. First are our people that David talked a lot about, and the second is our network. This network is powerful.

Over 150 cities. Look at these statistics here. We're the only carrier in 82% of our routes. That's powerful. We're the leader in 91% of our routes. When Azul goes into a city, we go into a city to dominate that city. We want to be the lead carrier in that city. We also have eight international destinations. 1,000 flights a day is what we operate at Azul. Our next closest competitor is around 750 flights a day.

So you can see we are today the largest airline in Brazil by number of airplanes, departures, and cities served, right? This airline didn't exist 15 years ago. And today, we're the largest airline serving all of these various destinations all throughout Brazil. We're going to walk through what makes Azul significantly different: our loyalty program that we have, our high-margin customers, our packaging business, our vacations business that we've built, our cargo business, and Azul Tec Ops.

And so Abhi will walk you through each of these business units and the value that they bring to Azul. But I want to talk about why I'm in Brazil, okay? I obviously am American. I grew up in Connecticut. But after walking the streets of New York, I much prefer the weather in São Paulo. It's 80 degrees Fahrenheit all year round.

I actually spent, Abhi and I were on the beach together for Thanksgiving. Much nicer than being in the cold northeast, but the reason why I'm in Brazil is because Brazil still is a market that has tremendous growth opportunities. Look at where it is compared to Chile. Look at where it is compared to Colombia. Look at where it is compared to Mexico.

Now, Brazil has challenges that we all know, but you cannot talk about the challenges without looking at the tremendous opportunity that Brazil has to grow this market, and so even with these enormous challenges and the high barriers to entry that Brazil has, you know, we see opportunities to grow the Brazilian market, and we've shown this in the past, but I think this is really important to highlight.

Just remember, Azul is the largest airline in Brazil today in terms of departures, in terms of cities served, in terms of aircraft, okay? If we grow Brazil to be where Mexico is or Colombia is, you need three more Azuls. Now, certainly, we're not inviting three more Azuls to start up in Brazil, but I do believe that there's an opportunity to add more aircraft in Brazil, right? And so these are not. We're not thinking that Brazil is going to become like the United States, you know, but look at this is compared to their other Latin American peers. And so there's a lot of growth opportunity in Brazil today.

We could talk about some of the challenges as to why maybe Brazil hasn't grown as much as it should because of the high jet fuel prices and because of, you know, some of the economic challenges that Brazil has faced over the last decade. But Brazil is still a growth opportunity for sure as we move forward. And, you know, as we've mapped this out, you know, Abhi has designed over 200 cities that he believes should have air service in Brazil. You can kind of see where that is today.

We are already in 100 cities that nobody else serves, but there's an incremental 50 cities that Abhi sees where we can add service, with an Azul aircraft over the coming years. You know, I highlighted this, but, you know, this is our most important asset is our people. I talked about what they did during COVID.

I talked about, you know, the unbelievable, you know, teamwork that we have. You know, this airline was the most on-time airline in the world in 2022, the second most on-time airline in 2023. TripAdvisor voted us the best airline in the world. It all starts with our fantastic people. And so, you know, with many of them that are listening today, I want to thank them for all that they've done.

The rest of today, Alexandre is going to walk you through the deal we've done with our bondholders, the financials of Azul, some of our competitive advantage on our cost side, and then Abhi will walk you through the details of our business plan and the competitive advantages that we have as an airline. Alexandre.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Thanks, John. So let me get there. So we're going to explain, you know, we talked about the transaction, already, right? We first announced it. Then we talked about it during our earnings. But we're going to talk about it again because it's very important to understand it. It is complex, right?

But it is complex because, once again, we were able to get, through the support of all of our stakeholders, you know, a comprehensive solution that addresses the challenges that we have been facing in a way that really maximizes value for all shareholders, right? For all stakeholders. We're protecting the equity, right, in a way that nobody in Brazil has been able to because we're the only airline in Brazil that has never filed for Chapter 11. We're very proud of that.

We wouldn't have been able to do it without the strength of the business model and without the support of our stakeholders. We also are raising additional capital. We're also preserving the assets of our lessors, right? Everybody is coming together to really support this really strong business model, right? We're going to go into detail here, but just to kind of give you the overall picture, right?

First, we took a component of the restructuring that we did last year, which was an equity instrument that would fluctuate with the price of the shares, right? As shares went up, we were going to issue less shares. And if share prices went down, we would issue more so that we would give $550 million back to our lessors. Where does that money come from? Some of it came from COVID deferrals.

But most importantly, a lot of that came from rent reductions that our lessors gave to us. Last year, when we had a similar conversation to this with our lessors, there were a lot of people that said, "Oh, lessors are not going to help you. They're going to get the aircraft back," right? If you try to get any concessions from lessors, there is an aircraft shortage in the world.

Your lessors are not going to support you, right? That was the bet that a lot of people had. Not only our lessors supported us, not only did they give us more aircraft as we were negotiating with them, they actually reduced our rent to get to market rates, right? Because we promised them we would pay them back. And that structure, you know, kind of created an overhang.

And the first thing we needed to address to protect the equity and be able to have a currency again was to fix that structure. So the lessors agreed to exchange that $550 million IOU into a fixed number of shares, right? So we know what that number is going to be.

At the same time, we are getting our partners, all of our partners, you know, not only the lessors that had the bonds and the equity, but all the lessors, but also all the OEMs and other suppliers as well to support us and improve our annual cash flow by $100 million, right? We'll talk a little bit more about how we're going to do that. Doing that, we're going to accomplish two things.

We're going to be able to raise even more capital to increase our liquidity level so everybody's comfortable with the liquidity level that Azul has. And we're going to equitize another $807 million. We're going to eliminate another $800 million in debt from the balance sheet on top of the $550 million, which was also debt on our balance sheet, right?

And then, we already got 150 of that 500, but it's a total of 500 million that we're raising in additional cash into the company to increase our liquidity. And so the total result of this, you know, differently from what we did in 2020 when COVID hit and differently from what we did in 2023, those two instances, we essentially bought time, right?

The main benefit of the negotiations that we did in COVID and the negotiations we did in 2023 were buying time, which had its merit, right? Buying time is not just kicking the can down the road. You know, we increase our EBITDA by about BRL 1 billion every year. So we increase our cash flow generation by almost BRL 1 billion every year. So buying time gets us BRL 1 billion better, right? Buying time gets us to, for example, the FNAC line, which is what the government has approved in terms of new capital for Brazilian airlines, right?

You know, buying time gets us a year closer to maybe strategic opportunities. But we're going beyond that. We're not only buying time this time. We are deleveraging, right? Which is what a lot of you, when you talked about Azul, you'd say, "Look, Azul is great.

You have a great business model, great EBITDA generation, but you're a highly levered company." This time around, we're not only getting liquidity. We're also addressing the balance sheet, and significantly we were going to delever organically over time. Now, in a fell swoop, we're decreasing leverage by over a turn and a half, all at once, right? So what are the components of this deal? So first, the $550 million.

This was going to be either dilution or cash. Most likely, it would be cash because of just the amount of shares that would have to be issued. So everybody was worried about this. This was creating a huge concern about Azul's liquidity, and it was creating a huge overhang on the stock.

We were able to address it and getting the lessors to, you know, give up what they had, which was, you know, essentially a claim of $550 million on Azul in exchange for a fixed number of shares, 100 million, you know, Azul for shares. You know, these are the shares that trade that, you know, make up all of our float and all of our equity value, right? So this was a huge, I think, development in our negotiation and a huge, huge sign of support from our lessors.

Again, not only the lessors are not asking for their aircraft back, they're giving us more aircraft, and they're saying, "I'm okay being an investor in Azul," right? Which shows their faith and their reliance in our business model because they're looking at the overall lifetime value of Azul, right?

You know, we spend about $600 million a year in rent, right? So $550 million is roughly a year's worth of rent. But when we're talking about the lessor, the lessor is looking at the next 10 years, the next 15 years, the fact that we're the fastest growing airline in Brazil, right?

Abhi is going to show the exposure that we have to Brazil, right? Brazil is a, you know, country that's growing about 3%, 4% a year, which is, you know, okay. But the Brazil that we serve is the Brazil that grows a lot faster than that, right? So the lessor looks at that and says, "Hey, there's huge potential for business here." So when they look at the overall lifetime value of Azul, they see that this is a business that's worth supporting and betting on, right?

But what's happening to the balance sheet just in terms of lease liabilities? We're eliminating that $550 million in our IOUs to the lessors, which on the balance sheet, because this is a lease liability, it was PV, but this is BRL 2.3 billion of debt that was on our balance sheet, which is essentially disappearing. And at the same time, as part of this comprehensive transaction, we are also addressing a 2030 unsecured note that we have on our balance sheet, right?

So there's another 800 million BRL of debt that comes off the balance sheet through this overall negotiation, right? So huge reduction in liabilities just from the lessors, right? But on top of that, like I said, through conversations with all of our partners, right?

Lessors, OEMs, suppliers, everybody is seeing that, "Hey, this is a company that's going to be almost a turn and a half less levered than before." So that is, you know, they are willing to help us create that company. So this isn't necessarily a concession. Sometimes people ask us, "Hey, but, you know, the lessors have already done so much.

Why are they giving you more concessions?" This is different, right? This is everybody pitching in to create the Azul that we always thought Azul should be, right? A great business model with great EBITDA generation, but where actually some of that cash, you know, stays, you know, sticks around right after we pay leases, after we pay CapEx, after we pay interest. So by doing that, the company gets a lot healthier, and everybody gets to share in the perpetuity of the company.

So we're going to improve our cash flows by about $100 million through contributions, through participation of all of our commercial partners. Some of this is, you know, coming from the lessors, but not only the lessors that held the equity and the debt, right? That was about half a dozen lessors.

But we have another 20 lessors that didn't have, you know, a stake in the, in the equity and the bond who are also helping us, right? They're helping us with, for example, improved delivery conditions, or they're helping us by saying, "Hey, a company that's a turn and a half less levered, you know, maybe I can contribute some of the maintenance reserves that I'm holding towards preserving my asset," right?

You know, they know that we need cash, and they know that their asset, you know, should be, you know, they want the asset to be preserved, and we want to utilize that asset. So some of them are giving maintenance reserve offsets to help us get to that company that is a lot healthier.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Hey, Alexandre, if I could just highlight something as well, you know, there's a global problem with OEMs today, right? None of the engine manufacturers are coming anywhere close to how they should be performing. That's Pratt & Whitney. That's GE. That's Rolls-Royce. And over the last two to three years, what Azul has asked for was payment terms, right? We asked for help from a cash flow perspective.

Now that we're fixing the balance sheet, the majority of this $100 million in incremental cash flow that we'll get over 2025, 2026, and 2027 is going back to those OEMs with our partners, with the bondholders that are now turning into equity holders and saying, "Hey, this engine is not performing to the standard that we signed up for. Therefore, we want to be compensated fairly for it." And so it's not a cash flow discussion on payment terms anymore.

It's actually getting the compensation that Azul deserves for the poor performance of the reliability of the engines. And so that's another big thing that that was not addressed with the lessors in the past, but that's now being addressed. And that's the majority of the $100 million cash flow improvement in 2025, 2026, and 2027. That's why I said this time we're really addressing the CapEx, right? About 85% of our CapEx today is engine CapEx. And so the engine manufacturers and the OEMs have to step up because of the poor performance from an engine perspective.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Yeah, and that's a conversation that was, again, enabled by this overall deal, right? Because if you're dealing with a situation where OEMs have, you know, restricted capacity to manufacture an engine or to overhaul an engine, right? If you go to them and say, "Hey, I want that capacity to come to me," they will do it if you're the horse they want to bet on, right?

And if you're asking for improved terms, you know, to pay for that overhaul at a time when overhaul is at a premium, they're going to do it if they see a lifetime value that is worthwhile, right? So by enabling an Azul that's going to be much healthier financially, you're able to get those concessions from OEMs.

You're able to get that, you know, that spare engine that you want, or you're able to get that overhaul capacity that you want, or you're able to actually get improved terms on the overhaul. And so with that, then comes the cash, right? Because, again, lessors are only going to exchange that on the balance sheet for equity if they feel that the company is going to have enough liquidity, right?

And like we said, you know, everybody was looking for an Azul that has not only less leverage, but also more liquidity. And this is where the capital raise comes from. And so we have up to $500 million that's coming through this transaction. $150 million has already come in, but we have an incremental $350 million to come in, you know, between now and January.

And so, and with that, then comes the significant part of the deleveraging, right? Because we already eliminated $550 million of debt from the lessor equity obligation, but then we can equitize another $807 million, and that's the total that takes us to, you know, a turn and a half reduction in leverage. And this is when the, you know, what needs to happen for the equitization, right? So there are stages, for those of you that read the details on the transaction.

There are essentially kind of four tranches of when that equitization happens, but the majority of it comes, you know, with the. We're working toward to get that, you know, incremental $350 million kind of all at the same time.

But there's a plan to also, now that we have an equity instrument, you know, once we're done with this, we have an equity instrument that is, you know, something we can use again to raise capital, right? We don't go always to the debt side of the balance sheet to try to get liquidity. Now we're able to use equity as well. And with that, you know, we're planning a future capital raise, and that's when the last tranche of the $807 million gets converted.

So with that, what this enables us to do is, again, get us to a company that generates cash reliably, right? Again, another feedback that we would get often, great business model, great strategy, but, you know, you need to generate cash. And it's been hard, right?

Because, like, you know, during the pandemic, right before the pandemic, the real was at 3.90 , and now we're talking about a real that's at 6.00 . So the goalpost has been moving, but we have been getting closer and closer to that cash generation level. In 2025, we can reliably say that we will generate cash, a lot of it because we will be reducing interest payments significantly from a projected $2 billion a year to about $1.2 billion from, you know, just a partial equitization of the 29 and 30 notes, but also from a reduction in the outstanding amount of the lessor notes.

The cash generation is not only going to improve from that, and we'll talk a little bit more about how else we're getting improved cash, right? This is kind of how the debt stack looks like, you know.

So we're. We paid down the 2024 senior notes that matured in October. We have a little bit, you know, that's remaining on the 26s, but you can see here that essentially we're exchanging, and then we're going to be creating a new super priority note with the issuance that we're doing of the $500 million. But that, again, is a reduction of about $2.2 billion in debt, plus the incremental cash that's coming into the company to significantly increase our liquidity position.

So this is what the gross debt looks like after the transaction. This is pro forma based on 3Q24, but again, you can see the significant reduction in leverage. Again, something different from what we did in 2020 and 2023, right? We're not only just raising capital, which is always welcome, but we're also addressing the balance sheet and reducing leverage.

And with that, we're going to go back to the leverage levels that we had essentially in the pandemic, but with a significant difference. This, you know, most of our debt, both the leases and, you know, the financial debt are dollar denominated. That 3.3 was at a time when the dollar was at 3.9, right, to 1. And now we're going to be essentially at the same level in leverage, but with the dollar much higher than that, right? With a real much more devalued.

This is what we've been able to accomplish against, you know, dealing with all the effects of the pandemic without government help, without having to resort to Chapter 11. And when you drill down on that 3.4, only 1.4 is really financial leverage. 2.0 is really the present value of our leases, right?

This is something where when you're comparing across airlines, you have to do it very carefully because Azul has new aircraft and next generation aircraft. That means that I have a lot of months of lease liabilities on my balance sheet, right? IFRS 16 requires you to recognize all the lease contracts that you have already, you know, committed to.

So if I'm an airline that has a, you know, three-year-old aircraft, that means I still have, you know, if you're talking about a 12-year average operating lease, you're going to have nine years of debt on your balance sheet. If I'm a, you know, on the opposite hand, if I'm an airline that has old aircraft, maybe I have an aircraft that's 10 years old, and originally it was a 12-year lease, I only have two years of debt on my balance sheet.

When you're comparing an airline that has a young fleet like we do to an airline that has an old fleet like some of our competitors do, you can. It's not an apples-to-apples comparison, right? When you extract the lease liability from the leverage, you see that our financial leverage is only 1.4, right? Which is significantly better than anything that we've had in the past.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

I think it's also important to highlight that the airline is significantly larger in 2024 than it was in 2019. So we've added aircraft to the fleet since 2019. I think we have, you know, probably a total of 35 aircraft that were added since 2019.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Yeah, so this is a much larger airline as well with a lot more aircraft. And, you know, Abhi is going to show just how much of our capacity comes from next-gen aircraft, which is another competitive advantage, especially in a country where fuel prices are very high, right? Brazil has the highest jet fuel price in the world. So this is a country where a next-generation aircraft makes sense. If there's anywhere in the world that you should be flying next-generation aircraft that has low fuel burn, it's Brazil, right? Because of the high cost of fuel.

So this is, you know, for your models, but to kind of show you the breakdown of all the changes in our cap structure, you know, what debt is getting eliminated, you know, the new debt that's coming in, and how we get to that leverage reduction of down to kind of 3.4 that we showed you before, right?

And, you know, if you kind of increase the lessor liability, you get to the turn and a half that we've been talking about. And this is really where what changes, right? So not only we are getting back to a leverage level that everybody was comfortable with, right? Pre-pandemic, I think everybody was saying, look, Azul is an airline with high growth, right?

So, having, you know, being in the low to mid-threes is acceptable, is reasonable, especially when most of that leverage is coming from aircraft leases, which is your, you know, revenue-generating asset. But now we're also, you know, reliably going to be generating free cash flow, right?

So when you look again, you know, very high levels of EBITDA generation, but all that money was going to pay for rent, CapEx, and interest, but with the reduced level of rent that we negotiated last year and the reduced level of CapEx and interest that we're negotiating this year, you know, we're starting the year expecting to generate more than BRL 1 billion of cash. And we've never had that expectation before.

When we finished our restructuring last year, because we essentially just raised capital, we reduced rent as well, but we were essentially aiming for a break-even year in terms of cash flow, right? That was our projection for 2024 when the year started. And then Porto Alegre happened and the OEM issues happened and then the real devalued. So we went from break-even, you know, to needing to raise cash. This is different now, right?

So our starting point is a lot stronger, is a lot healthier to begin with, right? We're going to be facing challenges, right? Brazil is never a dull place. So we know that there's going to be challenges still, but we're starting from a much stronger position than we ever started before. And obviously we need to do our work to be as efficient as we possibly can, right?

One thing that we're also doing now that we're done with all of these negotiations with our partners and raising capital is turning all of our focus into the company and all the opportunities that we have to become even more efficient, right?

Because, yeah, so, you know, our EBITDA margins is already kind of best in class, but it doesn't mean that we can just rest on our laurels and just accept the cost structure as it is, right? We need to look at every opportunity that we have within the company to be more efficient. We've been able to do that already. Since the pandemic to today, for example, when you look at the capacity that we generate, you know, per crew member, we have had an increase of over 10%, right?

Some of it comes from upgaging, which is why we're so excited about the fleet transformation that is ongoing, and Abhi is going to talk about that as well. We're also, we're looking at technology, we're looking at processes, right? We're looking at, you know, just management in general to make sure that we're removing as much cash and increasing our productivity everywhere we can, and we're going to talk a little bit about the Elevate plan that we announced, I think a couple of quarters ago and how that's going, right?

We're also making sure that the aircraft we have is flying as much as we can, right? So we are significantly reducing ground time to make sure that these assets are in the air, which is where they generate revenue, right?

So we went into each fleet type and through a lot of, you know, redesigning of processes and some investment in technology. You know, we are significantly reducing the amount of ground time across our whole fleet, and that just generates free capacity, right? These are aircraft that we're already paying for. We're paying for the rent. We're paying for the, you know, for the maintenance, and so we can generate a lot more capacity by just reducing the ground time in the fleet.

With that, we got to a situation that was never, you know, part of the business plan, right? Because we have a diversified fleet. That's part of our strategy. The reason that we can fly to three times as many destinations as our competitor is because we have a diversified fleet. And obviously with diversified fleet comes some complexity, right?

You lose a little bit of economies of scale. We should have the highest unit cost in Brazil, right? Also because our average aircraft size is smaller than our competitors. Obviously, the bigger the aircraft, the lower the cost per seat, right? If your average aircraft size is bigger than your competitor, your unit cost is going to be higher just even if you're just as efficient as they are.

We're so much more efficient than our competitors that today we have the lowest unit cost in the region, even with a lower aircraft size, and we even with the additional complexity that having a diversified fleet brings, right? This is a huge source of competitive advantage.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

This is, go back a slide, Alexandre. This is something that we did during the pandemic. We did not have the lowest unit cost in Brazil in 2019. We didn't, but now we do, right? I think that's a great thing that we've been able to do as an airline is, and a lot of people said, "Oh, well, you have the lowest unit cost because you have more next-gen fleet."

That's why we also showed it on an ex-fuel basis here, right? Obviously, if you have a next-gen fleet, it's easier to have lower fuel burn on a relative basis if you're flying head-to-head against a CEO or an NG when you have a NEO, right? But we actually do it not only on absolute CASK, but also on CASK ex-fuel.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

This is another way to look at this, right? Because we do not compete with a large narrow body. Like if our competitors are flying an A320 or a 737, we do not compete with them in that market with an ATR or an Embraer, right? Normally the ATRs and the Embraers fly in the Azul exclusive markets, which are usually a little less dense than the, you know, high-density routes in Brazil. So when we compete with a competitor, 737 or A320, we compete with our A320 NEO.

So when you look at our blended CASK, you're seeing this dotted line here and you're seeing how it compares to the industry aircraft. But we know what our unit cost on the A320 and the A321 is, which is even lower, right? So when we're competing head-to-head, we have a huge cost advantage against the other players in the industry. But we don't really compete that much head-to-head.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

When we do.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

When we do, yeah, we do it. But that's important. We cherry pick, right? There are markets that we just don't go into, or we go into it and we see that the market is not that profitable. It doesn't earn the returns that we're thinking of, and you know, there's a better use for that asset elsewhere. That's fine. We let our competitors, you know, own that market.

We're not going to enter a market just because we want to be there. We're going to enter that market if it's profitable, right? If it has enough demand for three players to make money consistently. Otherwise, we're happy not being part of that market, right? That's great opportunity, like for, you know, strategic deals in the future. But in terms of operation, we're happy cherry picking and flying only in the markets where we can make money, right?

We still have a lot of our capacity coming from old generation Embraers. You're going to see more details into that. As we exchange that capacity into E2, that unit cost advantage is going to become even stronger, right? Because we get reductions, you know, between 26%-34% per seat when you move from an E1 into a next-generation aircraft.

And like I said, it's not enough just to have the fleet transformation. We're just looking at every piece of their organization, every part to make sure. I mean, we've seen what it feels like to be struggling because of the pandemic, because of no government help, right? We've seen the importance of generating cash. That is something that has really been, I think, you know, incorporated by the whole organization. And so we're looking at every part of the organization to really change our mindset, right?

And make sure that we are doing only the things that make sense, right? Only the things that are valued by the customer and making sure that the customer is paying for those things that we are offering, right? So for example, you know, like Wi-Fi, we didn't charge for Wi-Fi, but maybe that was something that was sustainable when the real was at three to one.

It's a dollar-denominated technology, dollar-denominated service with a real at six to one, you know, and this is something that the customer appreciates and values. Yeah, then we need to figure out a way to monetize it, right? Be it through our loyalty program, be it through fees, right? But it's something that has to earn its right to exist, right? Fuel is by far our biggest expense.

Again, in Brazil, we pay the highest cost per gallon of jet fuel in, you know, any relevant country in the world. Any kind of efficiency that we can get in fuel burn, you know, has a huge return. We are looking and the whole organization is together looking at every opportunity and just adding a, you know, we spent a lot of the last kind of four years just trying to make the company survive, trying to deal with the balance sheet, trying to deal with, you know, the pandemic.

Now we have the ability to pursue all of these different opportunities here. With that, what we are really excited about is that we are resuming just this natural trend in EBITDA expansions that we have had since the beginning of Azul that was only interrupted by the pandemic, right?

We kind of stopped in 2019 at BRL 3.6 billion, but we exited the pandemic with BRL 5.2 billion and we are guiding to BRL 7.4 billion of EBITDA in 2025. So, you know, if you just eliminate exactly, we're only, the only reason why we have the balance sheet that we have or, you know, that we had, right, that we now restructured is because of that hole that was created from those kind of three years of, you know, subpar EBITDA generation and no government help.

But now, you know, we can see that the business model has been preserved and even enhanced and our EBITDA generation just continues to be even stronger going forward.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Thanks, Alexandre. Can you guys hear me? So I just want to clarify one thing that John said. It is true we went to the beach, but our families were there as well. So in case compliance, ethics, anyone is listening, I just want to make sure. It was. John is my boss. I do report to him. But I'm really excited to talk to you guys today about the business itself and the strategy.

You know, John. Alexandre talked about the heavy stuff about the restructuring, but there's just so many exciting things that we're doing on the business side, on the strategy side that are really setting us up to have long-term advantages. Everything we do is to create or to build or to extend our advantages, whether it's the network, whether it's the fleet, whether it's our business units, whether it's the cost, whether it's the upgauging.

All of these things contribute to what makes Azul strong and stronger, and especially now given the challenges with currency. Everybody's asking, currency is at six. What are you going to do? What are you going to do? Well, we got to use all of the tools in our toolbox to be able to make sure that we continue on the path that we're on.

And it starts, of course, with the network, right? We do have the broadest network in Brazil by design. We've designed it this way. We combine the network with the fleet so that it's very similar to the U.S., the right aircraft for the right market at the right time. Our competitors, on the other hand, have a very concentrated network, which is why they have more than 80%, 85% overlap with each other.

While we are the exact opposite, 80% of the routes that we fly, we have no competition. So our revenue generation capabilities are very much in our own hands, which is why we are now 69% higher in terms of revenue now versus 2019. Half of that is capacity. We've grown the most through the pandemic, not because we set a target of growing the most, but because we use our fleet flexibility and our network as a strength. And half of that is from unit revenue expansion.

Average fares have gone up as we've grown. Unit revenue has gone up as we've grown, and it stayed there, and it's going to stay there. And it's because of the breadth of the network, the connectivity that we provide. I'll give you an example. The month of October was one of the largest in the history of Azul.

We had about 2.7-2.8 million customers. We transported, we flew them to 8,000 different combinations of origins and destinations. Many of them have less than one passenger a day, two passengers a day, 10 passengers a day. But this is demand that we access that our competitors don't. And that's a result that we can capture this revenue and grow in a very, very sustainable way. John said that we were responsible for the majority of the industry growth over the last 15 years.

That is true. About 60% of the Brazilian market growth is because of Azul, but we do it with high fares. We actually have the highest fares in Brazil. And so we've grown the market through the network, through service. And that gives us the base for our competitive advantage. It starts with our hub in São Paulo, which is Campinas.

There's a great photo of David staring at the screen. You remember this, David? And there was nobody around you, and there were no flights. And David's like, "This is ours." And it scared everybody. But it actually worked out. And now we have 170 departures in Campinas, 60% connecting. It's our southern, south São Paulo market. Very, very strong. Our international base is there as well.

And obviously, we have 98% market share. It's the largest single airline hub in South America and very, very strong in terms of local demand and very strong in connecting the south of Brazil to the Midwest and the north. We've also significantly grown our mid-continent hub. Think of this in the U.S. as an Atlanta or a Dallas or a Houston. This is Belo Horizonte. It's Brazil's third largest city. It's our mid-continent hub where we have now 140 departures a day.

Very, very strong for us. Slow to come back from the pandemic, but really accelerating the last one year, and this is a market that we had competition. I'll show you how the overlap has evolved. If you remember back when we went public in 2017, 70%, 70% of the markets that we flew had competition, did not have competition. Now it's 82%.

As we have grown and as Alexandre talked about the next generation fleet, we've actually gotten less and less competition the bigger that we've gotten. Belo Horizonte is a great example of this, and Recife. Recife is our west coast hub. Think of it as San Francisco or Los Angeles or Seattle. It's our northeast hub. Each of these hubs do a different thing.

Their job is not to steal traffic from each other, but their job is to bring new traffic into our network, right? So very geographical, the northeast hub. FOC connects every capital city in the northeast of the country. The mid-continent hub connects all the different small cities around the center and the southern hub, which is São Paulo, connects the south of Brazil.

So each one has a very specific task. Each one has a different mix of aircraft. As of now, they all have some international as well because the markets have grown. In each one of them, we've added significant capacity since 2019. This is where we've invested in our growth. Our growth has not been in competitors' markets because our hubs, our markets are big enough for our own growth, and this is where we have better margins.

This is where we have better unit revenues and better performance. And so this is where our growth has been. This is where our growth will be. I remember back in 2017, 2019, people were saying, "Well, as you grow, you will face more competition." Actually, the opposite has happened. As we've grown, we face less competition because of the next-gen fleet and because we've invested so heavily into our own hubs. And the last example is Guarulhos.

If many of you fly to São Paulo, you most likely will fly into this airport. It's the international airport, which is highly contested between Gol and LATAM. And in the peak, we had 50 departures a day pre-pandemic. Now we're down to 20, 25, right? And this is, we're leaving this market for Gol and LATAM. As Alexandre said, we're going to fly where it makes sense.

We're going to fly where it's profitable. So this is a clear example, and this is public. You can go online. You can check the schedule data, how we've focused our growth into where we are strong and not where we're not. And this is actually a good sign of industry discipline overall. LATAM, for example, used to fly at our hub in Campinas. They don't today.

So each airline in Brazil is focusing where they are strong. And this is a really positive evolution of the entire industry. The industry is not trying to kill each other. The industry is not trying to put one out of business or grab market share because it's fun. The industry really is trying to do what makes sense for each, right? And this is an indication of us doing what we think is good for us.

There are many examples of our colleagues at Gol, LATAM doing the same as well. Overall, we see a very disciplined industry. I have for the last couple of years, and I think that's going to go forward. We grow where the country is growing, right? When we first started Azul in 2008, São Paulo to Rio did not need more capacity. São Paulo to Brasília, the capital, did not need more capacity.

Just like New York to Boston doesn't need more capacity or New York to LA. For example, our version of Chicago to Miami had no nonstop service. Today it does because of Azul. We've invested our growth where the country is growing. If you think about the Midwest, that's where the agribusiness is growing. Azul is by far the largest airline in this region.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Hey, Abhi, if I could just tell a quick story. There are four Tiffany jewelry stores inside of one square mile in São Paulo, okay? And I was there, no, there's four. And I walked into the Tiffany store and said, "Who in the hell is buying jewelry at Tiffany's in São Paulo?" Because it's 3x what you could buy it in New York.

So I called the manager over and said, "I just want to know who your customer is." And, you know, I thought, "Hey, somebody cheated on his wife last weekend. Maybe he's in here, you know, rushing in to get something." But he said, "It's the Midwesterners of Brazil that come in. We are their Miami," right? And so what Abhi's talking about is this agro business, right?

When you talk about the real being 6-to-1, those are the customers that come into São Paulo on the weekends and are going to Tiffany's and buying jewelry, you know, at the Tiffany store. It kind of flipped my mind a little bit to understand the dynamics of who is in Brazil and who our customers are and who we're after.

So when Abhi talks about we grow in these regions, this is the bread basket of the world, right? You know, the largest protein producer in the world is in Brazil. The largest soybean producers are in Brazil. All of these places are where Azul is very, very strong. That network that we have 100 cities that only we serve is the strength of what Azul does.

And those high-value customers fly us on a regular basis into São Paulo for the weekends and stay at some of the top hotels. And, you know, so much so that there's four Tiffany stores in one sq mi in Brazil.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Yeah, thanks, John. And also the north of Brazil, a lot of infrastructure, a lot of mining, a lot of industry in the northeast, fabrics, technology as well. So we really have focused our network growth away from the classical São Paulo, Rio, Brasília triangle, right? And as a result, we have less competition. We use our fleet flexibility. I'll talk about that in a bit.

And how really matching up the right market, the right size, bringing a lot of connectivity into our network. So it's a different network by design, and we've extended that advantage over the last 15 years. Our international network is also evolving. We actually just started Paraguay yesterday. We had Paris last year. And this is an evolving network, obviously, with wide-body aircraft. It takes a little bit longer to grow internationally long-haul.

We are much more of a believer in international long-haul than, for example, we are in Latin America. I think Latin America is well served, doesn't need that much more service. But we do see great opportunity on the long-haul side. So we have a really great selection of destinations for Brazilian customers. These are very, very relevant Brazilian destinations. South Florida, obviously. We are the largest airline that brings Brazilians to South Florida, especially Orlando and Fort Lauderdale.

I'll talk about Disney, for example, and Universal, how strong our partnership is. On the European side, we have Lisbon, great relevance to Brazil, and Paris as well. We're always looking for other opportunities. But a great side effect of this, in addition to these markets doing really well the last couple of years, we all know how strong international has come back post-pandemic, especially international long-haul.

Europe, especially, has come back so strong. This gives us the ability to get revenues outside of Brazil, right? So we've significantly grown year on year, what we call point of sale ex-Brazil or point of sale outside Brazil. And we do this with distribution systems. And our growth in ex-Brazil sales in dollars or euros has come through direct connections, which are much more cost-efficient, not coming through the regular GDSs.

So we're very happy with how the international network is growing and how we're able to capture revenue outside of Brazil in US dollars, in euros, to help offset some of these costs. We have a great network of partners as well from United, from JetBlue, from Copa, from TAP, from Air Europa. We serve them in Brazil, Air Canada as well. And they also serve us with our long-haul network in the US and Europe.

Obviously, we have the GOL Gold s hare, which we can talk about as well. We're happy with this network. It's always growing. We have some great partners lined up for next year. We are relevant to partners flying into Brazil. TAP, for example, we serve them in eight cities, 10 cities around Brazil. United, Copa, we serve them in Rio, in São Paulo, in other cities as well. We are a very relevant partner for their connectivity in Brazil. For us, for our long-haul fleet, our long-haul markets, it's equally important for us to have that connectivity in the U.S. and in Europe as well. Transitioning from the network to the fleet.

I'm going to try and connect all of these stories because they're all relevant to the end, which is how do we build a really resilient business that continues to add to its advantages. And of course, the network is the base, but the network only works with this fleet. And this fleet is diverse for a low-cost airline. As Alexandre said, this does produce some complexity in terms of maintenance, in terms of training, in terms of pilots. But it allows us access to demand that would otherwise be impossible. It allows us to have the network that we do.

And all of these work hand in hand. You cannot have a flight to Paris if you don't have ATRs connecting you to small cities and bringing that demand. You cannot have A321s if you don't have Caravans and Embraers, right?

As David said, we started with the E1s because we wanted to play the trip cost game. And then we migrated small, then big, then very big. And we've kind of explored every single segment of the market. But this fleet really works hand in hand with the network to deliver the revenue that we have. And it's all about the right aircraft at the right market at the right time.

And I remember post-pandemic, we had some markets in the north of Brazil that we had no idea what the demand would be. Is demand coming back? Is it not coming back? So we actually started with the Cessna Caravan. And now that same market flies double daily A321s from nine seats to 214 seats. And that gives us the ability to always be testing demand, always be optimizing the network for what demand is.

And so we're always changing the aircraft on the market time of day. Some other examples, the downtown airport in São Paulo, Congonhas. It's a high-yield corporate market. But there are times of days and days of weeks that you don't need a large aircraft. Tuesday afternoons, Wednesday afternoons, you're flying because of corporate schedules.

So instead of having only one option in your fleet, you can put an E-Jet, which is what we do, right? And so you can keep the same revenue, but you can have 40% less cost. And so we play all the time with low cost per trip versus low cost per seat. If it's a longer, thinner market, as we call it, then you want to have a low trip cost, which is you want to spend the least amount of absolute money possible to bring that demand.

But if you have a very dense market with lots and lots of customers, a lot of traffic, then you want to have a low cost per seat. So you want to spend the least possible you can per seat to drive that traffic through your network. This kind of flexibility is in the U.S., it's very common. You are not flying to Bozeman, Montana on the same airplane that you are to Los Angeles, right?

But in Brazil, this hasn't been done still. It's still only Azul. And as a result, we have 150 cities. As a result, we went from 18% market share in 2019 to 32% right now. As a result, we have the largest corporate revenue in the country. And this is an example of how we allocate this capacity. So there are two interesting data points here.

One is comparing pre-pandemic to now, how our percentage of capacity is represented by the next-gen fleet. So across the board, we have more next-gen aircraft. The first phase of our fleet transformation was the A320s and A321s. And we have 57 of these aircraft. The next phase of this is going to be the E2s, which I'll talk about next, right? So we are significantly more represented in terms of next-gen capacity than any airline in Brazil, for sure, and I suspect the region.

In addition, how do we allocate this capacity? As Alexandre said, we allocate the most efficient capacity in the most competitive markets, right? So when you compare us to our competition, you're not comparing our blended unit cost. You're comparing their unit cost with our most efficient unit cost. So that allows us to compete very, very efficiently where we do.

And where we are the only carrier, the main carrier, which is where we dominate in terms of frequencies or departures or destinations. And metro competitive is where we have an airport in one city and a different airport in the same city, right? So we allocate our capacity over time.

These will all become equal. But we are allocating the most efficient aircraft in the right places to make sure we're the best competitor we can be in. And that's what this shows. So let's talk about the E2. We're very, very excited about the E2. We have 24 E2s now. We're expecting with Embraer to be by the end of next year up to 40 E2s, right? So we really are re-accelerating our E2 deliveries.

I'll show you that we are soon going to be in a position where we have more E2 departures than we have E1 departures, which is a really important milestone for us in terms of the next stage of our fleet transformation. A very, very efficient aircraft in terms of fuel burn, in terms of ownership, in terms of maintenance, really able to fly longer, thinner routes that you would not be able to do with an E1, E2 long or a 320. The aircraft is too big.

So you're able to explore so many new markets and a great customer experience, two-by-two seating, no middle seat, individual IFE, Wi-Fi, all those kinds of things. So a great aircraft that's really going to drive the next stage of earnings growth and fleet transformation at Azul. A reminder of the economics. The aircraft is very, very efficient.

18 extra seats on lower absolute trip cost. So you actually spend less total money to get 18 more seats and more cargo space. So we actually don't even have to sell the seats. Obviously, we will and we do, but you don't even have to because the aircraft is more efficient. In addition, it flies more hours in the day because you can access more markets. You can fly more on weekends.

You can fly more at night. And that allows us to have longer stage lengths, longer higher utilization, makes the aircraft very, very efficient. As you can see here, utilizations are increasing E2 versus E1. You can access different markets. You can access longer markets.

The aircraft spends less time on the ground, more time flying, and really opens up a whole new world of markets that were not just previously unserved by us, but were unserved by anybody because nobody has this aircraft and nobody could put this aircraft into operation. So this is what's really, really exciting as we look ahead. So far, Azul, we've had more E1 departures than E2s.

And that's going to flip next year. That's going to flip next year. And the E2s have roughly double the EBITDA per departure than the E1. That's because you have more revenue-generating capabilities on much lower cost, not cost per seat, but cost per trip as well. And so this is going to be very, very, and again, we only have 24 of these right now. We're going to be at 40 by the end of next year.

So that makes 25 powerful, makes 26 even more powerful. And we're re-accelerating our E2 deliveries with Embraer. So we're very, very excited about this. This is a transition point in the next stage of our fleet transformation. And this is going to be a really big driver. It is a big driver. It's going to be a big driver as we go forward in our margins and our EBITDA generation.

So we fly about 80 routes with the aircraft today, but we've mapped out another double at least. None of these routes today have the ability to be served by our competition. Either the route is too thin, which means not enough traffic, not enough demand. And so the aircraft that they have is just too big.

Or the route you want to fly at night, you want to fly at weekends, and the E1 is not as efficient as you need it to be. And the E2 really provides that sweet spot. So a lot of growth to be coming with the E2s in our hubs, in our network, very, very efficient. And again, lower cost per trip. So you actually spend less money making the same departure, and you have 18 more seats to be able to sell. It's very, very powerful for our growth going forward.

And as we talk about our growth, we have grown over the last several years. Probably we've been impacted by the OEMs as well. John talked about the engines. You know, we have had issues with GE, with Rolls-Royce, with Pratt & Whitney. We are working with them. So that has impacted our growth for this year.

We had delays in A330s, our wide bodies for this year. That's finally this quarter. Now we are growing. If you saw our first three quarters this year, we grew about 3%-4%. But as you look now at the fourth quarter, that number is going to jump up, right? So we are finally again being able to grow. And that's very, very exciting because there's a lot of benefits that's going to come. How are we allocating this growth? This is a question that I get all the time.

And our growth is in our markets. Our network now is so big and so broad that we have many areas to grow that do not affect the competition. So I showed you Guarulhos, right? The GRU, the International Airport in São Paulo, where we've reduced capacity. So that's in this gray bar here.

We've actually reduced capacity in some competitive markets. Where have we added capacity? In between our hubs. We call it widening the pipes and as you widen the pipes between your hubs, you're able to generate more demand, carry more connecting traffic in your network, which makes everything else stronger as well. We've added a ton of capacity in our hubs as well.

I showed you the three hubs, Campinas, Belo Horizonte, and Recife, all up 20%, 30%, 60% in some cases. Very, very strong for us and in these three categories, really, there is no airport-to-airport competition, right? This is not where the competition is. This is within our own network and new routes and destinations like Paris, for example, right, so really very, very disciplined growth, discipline in our own network where we're able to get the best results.

And so as you can see, our overlap is very, very small, right? Again, it's a different network by design. We've designed it this way, and we've grown it this way. We've maintained it this way. And so, you know, more than 80% of our routes with the only carrier and more than 90% of the routes, either we have the most departures or the most seats, depending on the market, right? So that's what we consider to be a leadership position in the route.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Abhi, if I can just add, sometimes when you're talking to a kind of U.S.-based audience, it's good to highlight this, right? You know, because growth in the U.S. seems to be like a four-letter word. You know, in Brazil, when you look at the industry growth, you really have to eliminate the Azul growth, right?

Because like Abhi demonstrated, the growth that we are doing is not in the competitive markets. It's not where Gol and LATAM fly. It's in our hubs that we, you know, have nobody competing with us. And it's in the Azul markets, right? So that growth is purely coming from the fact that these markets are very immature. You know, we're just starting to serve.

Like Abhi said, sometimes they start with nine seats a day and go up to 400 seats a day in no time, right? That growth is not, you know, a zero-sum game, right? It's because those markets are exclusive and they allow us to grow. So when you look at overall, you know, capacity growth in Brazil, you have to really eliminate that growth from the overall capacity. And when you look at it, you know, the Brazilian industry is essentially flat, right?

We'll probably continue to grow much less than the potential could be because of all the OEM issues, right? Because there is a shortage of aircraft, because there is a shortage of engines. We can expect this rational behavior to continue for a very long time.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Thanks, Alexandre. In addition to our growth, we've delivered the revenue as well, right? I remember post-pandemic, people talking about pent-up demand. The demand is going to come, but then it's going to go away. The demand has stayed, right? We are now 66% larger in terms of revenues than we were before. Our unit revenue is up 32% than it was before. It stayed. It's not pent-up demand. It's consistent demand. This is as we are 35% larger. Putting all the pieces together, you have the network, which has strong competitive advantages.

You have the flexible fleet, which is the right aircraft at the right place at the right time. You have the E2s coming, driving the second step of our fleet transformation into next-gen capacity. You have the fact that we've been able to produce consistently higher, significantly higher unit revenues. So unit revenues, you can think of it as average fare.

That's fine. We think of it as unit revenue because it's not just passengers. It's the business units, which we'll talk about next, that are a significant driver of our unit revenues as well. So putting all of these pieces together, you get a sense that how resilient and how many competitive advantages that we have, not just now, but for the future as well. So we've been able to grow and increase average fares and increase unit revenues. And that's a trend that's continuing.

One of the key strategic things that we've done over the last several years to drive that unit revenue expansion is diversify our revenue base, right, and this is all driven by our business units, which I'll get to next, but we used to be 87% dependent on the passenger business, which is we just need higher fares, higher fares, higher fares if something were to happen. Now we're down to 78%, and that's because of things like ancillaries. It's because of our vacations business, our loyalty business, our logistics business, and all the other business units that we have.

This has been a strategic decision that we've made to diversify the business so that we have multiple levers to pull, that we are not just dependent on one thing, that we're able to use many different aspects, all built on the strength of the network and the fleet to consistently drive unit revenue.

When you look at 2025, 2026, you could say, well, do you need average fares to go up forever? We will always maximize revenue, always, regardless of currency, fuel, whatever it is. We will always maximize revenue. We have so many other tools at our disposal that our peers don't have, that in the region do not exist, that drive unit revenue expansion.

The fact that we're up 32% in unit revenue is because of average fares, yes, but it's also because our business units, our ancillaries, have grown so much faster than the business as well. And that's a key source of growth going forward. I'll turn this part over to Alexandre because this is a really interesting study on how we've been able to keep up with the inflation that comes from currency, comes up from fuel, and some that we're not giving back anytime soon.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Thanks, Abhi. So, you know, obviously we have a currency exposure, right? You know, we essentially sell to Brazilians who earn in reais. And we have rent that's dollarized, fuel prices dollarized, you know, parts, you know, insurance, right? I always like to remind our broker who's here that, you know, he's a big part of our dollar problem.

But what is the problem, right? Let's break it down. Let's look at it kind of mathematically, right? If you have a devaluation of the real against the dollar of 5%, to be break even, to be indifferent on a cash basis, right, to generate the same amount of cash, we need fares to increase 3%, right? We're not talking just about operating expense. We're talking about rent. We're talking about interest.

We're talking about everything, right? So 5% devaluation, we need a 3% increase in fares. When you look over the long run since we started Azul, you know, since the famous, you know, time when we decided that, you know, going into Brazil with the real of 150 to 1 was a good idea, the real has devalued on average by about 6% a year, right? That's the CAGR over these 15, 16 years is 6%.

With 6%, you would need roughly, call it 4% increase in fares to be indifferent. And our fare CAGR has been 8%, right? So we were able to fare increase fares a lot more than was necessary to offset the currency devaluation, right? And this is very important because a lot of it comes from our exclusive network, right? The fact that we fly alone in so many of these markets.

A lot of this comes from the fact that, look, you know, air travel in Brazil is an imported service, right? There's just no two ways about it. The exposure that we have is the exposure that everybody has, right? And so we need to have these fare increases, but we're able to increase fares a lot more than that.

And that's why we've been able to expand, you know, EBITDA, and we've been able to get closer and closer to cash generation. And now next year, you know, going for an actual, you know, a very positive, you know, increase in cash. And if you, the problem is, so why is currency a problem, right? The problem is that it's not perfectly indexed.

It's not that like the real devalues 5% today and Azul is able to increase fares across the board 3% tomorrow, right? It happens over time, you know, but it does happen. It happens and it happens very consistently. And sometimes, like you look at the recent past, when you had fuel prices going down, normally you would see fares going down as well.

You've seen that, you know, in a lot of markets in the world that as fuel prices have come down over the last couple of years, fares have come down also. In Brazil, fares have continued to go up because the market needs higher fares to earn, you know, a reasonable return on our invested capital. That applies to us. That applies to Gol. That applies to LATAM. One question we often get is how much is too much, right? Is the Brazilian market going to continue, you know, accepting these fare increases? Given like what John said about who flies in Brazil and where Azul flies in Brazil, you know, we believe so.

I think the recent past, or, you know, since the pandemic, or, you know, actually since the beginning of Azul, we have demonstrated that the Brazilian market absorbs those fare increases because we are an imported service. That's the cost. Those are table stakes, right? That is the cost of producing an airline seat in Brazil, right? Who flies in Brazil? It's essentially the wealthiest 15 million Brazilians.

You know, they're the guys that are going to, you know, the Tiffany stores. They're the guys that can, you know, when vacation time comes around, fares may be higher this year than they were last year, but they're not, these people are doing well, right? These people have good jobs because unemployment is at a historical minimum in Brazil. These people have their savings usually in government bonds, which are earning inflation plus 6%, right?

In Brazil, you can get 6% real interest with no, you know, default risk, essentially, right? So these are guys, these are investors. These are people that feel wealthy, high investor confidence, high consumer confidence, high employment. And that's why you're seeing this strength in demand and this resilience to fares and our ability to pass through cost increases to fares over time, right? It doesn't happen day to day. It doesn't happen immediately, but it does happen and it happens very reliably.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Yeah. Thanks, Alexandre. And this latest bump up in currency, right? The industry is already reacting. So we just had Black Friday last week, but before that, we had hit record high booked average fares, right? So the industry has already started to react to what's happened the last couple of weeks. And that's a very good sign. The industry should react.

It's going to continue to react. We are heading into our peak summer. As Alexandre said, there is a booking curve. It does take time to catch up from booked revenue to flown revenue. But as you can see here, the history is very, very reliable. And we're very confident that thanks to our advantages, we can absolutely keep up this trend. And as I said, a key part of this is our business unit. So I'll go through the biggest three in some detail because they are so important to our strategy.

Our loyalty program, first of all, has just passed 18 million members. So we're very, very happy about a very active number of monthly users, great diversification in terms of how members are using their points, how they're accruing their points, and how they're using their points.

And remember, I talked about diversifying our overall revenue base. So that strategic decision we've also made within each of the business units. So each business unit itself is also diversifying how it does business and its revenue base. And I'll explain why in a second. So as I mentioned, 18 million members, a gross billings ex-airline, really very, very strong.

The loyalty program is more relevant than ever. Our doubling in capacity in São Paulo's downtown airport significantly helping this. Our credit card, which is very, very strong. We believe the largest airline co-branded card in Brazil. I'll talk about that. Very relevant to this. Our international network adding places like Paris also very, very relevant to growing our loyalty base and keeping these members really, really loyal to us.

We also have a great recurring revenue program called the Club Azul, which is where customers pay, members pay a monthly fee. What's great about it is that 68% of them are not just paying every month, but they've signed up for the annual subscription. Even though we hit the credit card every single month, they've actually signed up for the whole year.

It's not like in three months they can then cancel. We have a really reliable revenue stream coming from our recurring revenue service, which has seen very, very strong growth this year. We think a lot of potential going forward. Our credit card, right? This is the second largest, but between the club and the credit card, they're about equal in terms of monthly revenues, both very reliable and both recurring.

Our credit card is very, very strong in Brazil, and it's a very high-end premium credit card. So more than 60% of our base is in the Infinity or the Platinum, right? Which is a very protected, high-spending client base. And I'll talk about premium demand in a second, but we're starting to build a competitive advantage around premium customers and premium demand.

And our credit card is the gateway for us to be able to access this market. Our credit card is very relevant in Brazil. And if you add up the yearly spend of our card members in their lives, grocery stores, restaurants, travel, it's roughly equal to 0.5% the GDP of Brazil is on our credit card itself. I know Delta has a similar stat here in the US.

We have a similar stat in Brazil, which is 0.5% of the GDP of Brazil is spent on our credit card in the lives of our cardholders. So very high-end, and you can see how the 60% increase in spend year over year.

So we're very, very happy, and this is sort of the beginning of building together this advantage with premium demand and premium travelers, so a large increase in number of platinum and infinity card members, which has the highest yielding card members, and how much they've spent in growth continues to far exceed any other metric, and if you look at Itaú's, our partner, if you listen to their earnings call, you will hear the CEO specifically talk about the Azul partnership and how they have reduced their co-branded portfolio.

They are reducing their breadth in their portfolio and focusing on a specific number of partnerships. And he specifically mentions Azul as part of one of their strategic initiatives. And Itaú, you know, is the largest bank in Brazil. So we're very happy with how the card is doing. And together with this premium demand base, we are putting together products and services that cater to this premium demand.

So whether it's upsell in terms of ancillaries, whether it's our business class on our international long haul, or it's premium markets, markets like flying to the winter ski season in Argentina for six weeks in July, whether it's flying to Curaçao in the Caribbean or Paris, these kinds of, or Montevideo for the summer beach season for rich Brazilians.

So we really have a selection of premium markets that cater to this type of demand, which is very resilient and is bringing loyalty and a layer of demand that we can count on every single month, so it's recurring club revenue, very reliable, recurring credit card revenue, which is very reliable, and these credit card members use the card to buy tickets on Azul, which again is growing every single year and gives us a base of demand, a premium demand, which is a competitive advantage to what our competitors have, so we're really building up this premium market.

Noronha is another great example. If you've been to Brazil, it's an island off the northeast coast, very premium, very remote, but also caters exactly to this type of customer.

We have lots of great airline partnerships for the loyalty program, whether it's Copa, TAP, Turkish, United, Emirates, Air Canada, many more in the pipeline, so what's important about these business units is that there are ways for them to grow outside of the airline, right?

The airline itself is going to be able to grow at some percentage, 10%, 12%, 15% a year, but the airline is not going to grow 30% a year, but we want these businesses to grow much faster, so having this flexibility, having the range of partners, whether it's travel, whether it's retail, allows a diversification on how customers earn points and most importantly, how they redeem their points, and every time they redeem points, there's a margin on top of that that we keep.

So if we have a loyalty member that's redeeming their points on Emirates, on Air Europa, on KLM, on Air France, on any one of these partners, there's a margin that we can get that does not depend on an Azul seat. And so we're finding sources of growth away from Azul. And a key part of this for loyalty members is air travel. And we have a great, huge list of partners. In fact, one of our largest redeemed markets is Lisbon to Madrid, which we don't even serve.

Azul doesn't even serve that market. But it's inside Europe. A lot of customers travel and they use our partner network to do that. And so what's happening is if you look on the left side, what used to be about 80% of redemptions dependent on Azul now is only 65%, right? So this, what does this mean?

Less Azul seats, more ways for this business to grow that don't depend on Azul seats so they can grow faster, and if you look to the right, if you break this down, a big part of this is the next business that I'll talk about, which is our vacations business.

That's where David started his entire career, and with our marriage of our loyalty and our vacations business has given another outlet for customers to use their points in addition to hotels, in addition to retail, in addition to traveling on our partners, so there's diversity in our overall revenue base, but each business unit is also diversifying that allows it to grow much faster than the airline, and that's why they will contribute more unit revenue going forward because you don't need seats for that, right?

Redeeming on a partner airline, redeeming on a hotel, you don't need seats, but each one contributes a little bit of unit revenue. And so as these businesses grow, our unit revenues grow as well. Our vacations business that David inspired us to many years ago is now the second largest vacations business in Brazil after CVC. It's grown incredibly over the last several years, 74% compared to last year.

And we have a whole range of products and services from not just vacation packages, hotel, cars, air, which is Azul, but cruises. We are the largest seller of Disney in Latin America, in South America. We're the largest seller of Universal in South America, theme parks, insurance, all these different products that people need to complete their vacation. And we give people reasons to travel. Obviously, we have Orlando.

Obviously, we have Disney and the theme parks, but we have special initiatives for concerts, for marathons, for different events around the country, and that drives, John talks about this a lot, give people a reason to travel, and combining these experiences with our vacations business, we just had Madonna came to Brazil. That was a big opportunity to do vacations.

Paul McCartney was in Brazil. We have special tickets just for that experience, and so this is giving people reasons to travel. We do have a network of physical stores for our vacations business. The ticket is very high. You're talking about a family for seven days, right? It's a high-value ticket, so customers want to have that physical interaction. These are all partners, right?

This isn't Azul, but we have a network of exclusive entrepreneurs that invest in these stores, and we give them the content for them to sell and to market. So in addition to obviously selling, these are marketing touchpoints. These are retail touchpoints that are present all over Brazil, and you combine this with our logistics network, which is very, very broad. We really are reaching all over Brazil. We also have a dedicated network for our vacations business.

Corporate demand, as you would imagine, on weekends drops off significantly, and so we have a network just on weekends that caters to our vacations business. 20% of our capacity on weekends is dedicated to this, 7% overall, right, and this provides aircraft utilization, and this provides ways for these customers who maybe normally would not travel Azul to enter into our universe.

From then, they do the loyalty program, the credit card, the club, all the different products that we have. So a really strong growing business that brings new demand and new customers into our universe. We have a great partnership with Disney. As I said, we are the largest seller of Disney in South America. We by far bring the most Brazilians to Orlando.

We have a special fleet of five aircraft dedicated to the main Disney five characters, which these characters never get out, right? So this is very, very rare. And there is no other fleet like this in the world. So we're very, very proud of this. And we actually just launched the fifth one, Goofy, a couple of months ago. There's a little bit of orange in the front. We kind of debated that, but in the end, it is Goofy.

It is what it is. Universal as well. We are the largest seller of Universal tickets in South America, so obviously, with our Orlando network, we're very, very relevant, and we like this, right? We want to give people a reason to travel, and finally, almost finally, our logistics business. This is, I would say, our oldest business unit.

Vacations, loyalty has been on for a long time, but vacations really has grown significantly. Logistics had a boom during the pandemic, has now leveled off, but still a big part of our revenue. We are the largest belly air logistics provider in Brazil by far, 34% market share. We have a network of 320 stores, locations around the country. Again, they're partners, they're representatives who use their, they invest their money, and we provide the content, we provide the volume, and we reach 94% of the population of Brazil.

So a very, very unique model. And this is not your traditional cargo model where we just ship cargo. This is logistics. I'll talk about that in a second. We manage the risk in the logistics business with about 80% shipped via the belly of a regular scheduled flight. So very high margin, right? The airplane is going anyway. You already have the crew, you already have the fuel, you already have the passengers.

You're adding some incremental weight, which is very small, but you're getting a lot of incremental revenue. So very high margin on the belly. And as we've grown the aircraft size with the 320s, 321s, and now the E2s, we are giving ourselves a lot of extra belly space for which to take advantage.

You will see significant growth in Azul Cargo next couple of years as we're getting larger and increasing our average aircraft size. We also balance out the 20% with dedicated freighters, right? We like this 80-20 balance. We think it's optimal in terms of maintaining high margins for this business. We recently got two A321s. We have two 737s that are at the end of their life.

Our two A321s will start flying in February of next year. Significantly higher capacity. Most importantly, our Boeing 737s can fly four hours a day because of reliability. The A321s can fly 11 hours a day because they're new aircraft, very reliable, and have total synergies with our crew, our operations, because we already fly the A321 aircraft.

This is where we are all over Brazil from a logistics sort business.

These partners, they deliver for us, they handle for us, they drive revenue for us. They do middle mile, they do last mile, they do first mile. So it really is an end-to-end value proposition that nobody in Brazil has. Very few airlines around the world have this type of, you see, Delta is starting to do this a little bit. Air Canada is starting to do this a little bit. And we've had benchmarking calls. They wanted to understand from us how we do it.

But it's not common for an airline to have a logistics value chain. FedEx has one, sure, but airlines don't. Airlines do cargo. But you're starting to see this a little bit. IndiGo in India is starting to do this as well. But we are the pioneer in building this end-to-end value chain.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Yeah, Abhi, just to highlight, it's third party, right?

So it's not necessarily a Azul investment in these 300 stores. It's a franchisee model where they invest their capital to be an Azul representative in these cities.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Absolutely.

David Neeleman
Chairman, Azul

FedEx does the same thing. FedEx Ground .

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Yeah. We also serve the international market. And in fact, international over the last couple of months has really come back strong. It had a boom in the pandemic thanks to constrained capacity, leveled off, and now has grown again end of this year, end of this year. So obviously, we use our capacity to Europe. Zara is a huge customer for us. Volvo is a huge customer for us. Fiat is a big customer of ours. And so a lot of different traffic from Europe to Brazil and north-south to the U.S.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Hey, Abhi, I'd like to highlight, if you eat a mango in the south of France, it came out on an Azul aircraft. If you eat sushi in Miami this weekend, it came out on an Azul aircraft, right? So that's just how broad it is of what we do, and we literally, we take food out and bring stuff in, like from Zara and auto parts and the like, but it's a very, very broad cargo network that we have. Yep.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

We deliver everywhere, right, and we're actually very, very proud of this. There are regions, some of the great photos here. This animal rescue operation, top left.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

It's a manatee, Abhi. I know you can't say it, but it's a manatee.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

I'm not really sure it's a manatee, but okay, but it's either an Azul cargo delivery or it's like four days by boat, right?

And that's true of logistics. It's also true of the passenger business. Amazon did a press release. You can go back and look it up where we jointly did a press release on starting deliveries with Amazon.com in the northeast of Brazil, northwest of Brazil, actually, in this Amazon region, right? And we're very proud of this. Obviously, it's part of our business. It's a key part of our business, but it really does change people's lives that live here. And this is what I mean by the end-to-end chain, right?

So if you are an Amazon Marketplace customer in Brazil and you go online and you buy, we will come, by we I mean one of our partners, exclusive to Azul Cargo, will come to your house or your apartment to pick up the package and take it all the way to the buyer's location, right?

It's not just Azul. It's not just cargo like you see at the airports. It's first mile, it's middle mile, it's last mile. And all along the way, we track it with our system and our performance guarantees, right? And so this is very, very unique. This does not exist in many places around the world for an airline. As David said, for FedEx, yes, this is what they do.

But for an airline to have this kind of a value chain from first mile to last mile, and we add value along the way, right? So every step of the way, we're adding value for the customer, and we're adding value to ourselves. And this is where we actually generate the high margins for the logistics program. And in the middle mile, which is the air, 80% is a regularly scheduled flight, right? So very, very high margin.

Thanks to our network, our broad network, we're able to access so much of the country and deliver this result. Amazon.com is our largest Azul Cargo customer. We are their largest air transport customer in Brazil. It's been a great partnership over the last couple of years. They've done some airplanes with us as well. So it's been two years now.

We've transported millions of packages, and we're going to keep growing with them, looking at dedicated aircraft as well, growing the brand association. So we've done Amazon Prime activations. And so if you remember, we had Mercado Livre in the past, and now we've transitioned over to Amazon, and I think it's worked out great. We've helped them grow significantly in Brazil. As you know, the faster you deliver, the more people buy on you. We've helped them grow significantly, and they've helped Azul Cargo grow as well.

So very, very happy with this partnership. Almost at the end here, we are also part of our other business units. We also have an Azul media platform, which is where we sell media access. We do about 30, 32, 34 million passengers a year. Very qualified customers, right? High yield, high spending. And so we have a media platform where we do what we call LogoJets.

That's Amazon Prime up there, Prime Day, whether it's a TV on board, Wi-Fi, our magazines, sampling on board. United launched something similar, a Kinective that they call it this year. We've had this for a couple of years. And really something that's growing and brands are loving having their brand associated with ours. Azul is a very, very relevant consumer brand in Brazil. And so we have Coca-Cola, as you can see here.

We have Amazon, Sky TV, tons of different brands doing activations with us. And finally, Azul Tec Ops, our MRO business, as you know, MRO capacity all over the world, very, very restricted. And having our own hangar, having the capability to do all our heavy checks, landing gears, different types of events, maintenance in-house, significant savings.

And we also have external customers like the Air Force, like the French presidential airplane was there as well. And so growth in this space is inevitable. This capacity is constrained the world over. And so we're really able to build up this capacity and build up this business. It's our newest business unit in terms of generating revenue, but we're very, very excited about its potential going forward. And with that, John, to finish.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Yeah, just finally, I think it's really important.

As I was talking, I think I was having a conversation with Savi and talking through the structure that we did. It is a comprehensive final fix to the balance sheet, right, and so it's done. Now we could look forward, and I think as we talk today, why did we focus so much on Abhi's part of the presentation? It's because it's back to being Azul how it was in 2019. That's where we are. We're no longer focused on the balance sheet because the cash is coming in. We now have the new partnership, which is $100 million in reduced interest expense a year, $100 million in incremental cash flow outside of just a great growing business, and as we enter into 2025, it's the first time when E2 departures pass E1 departures. As Abhi said, it's double the EBITDA production of the E2 versus the E1.

And then the business units that we spent a lot of time on today kind of drive the additional margin expansion as we go forward. 2024 was a challenging year, right? As I said earlier, going into a year, we were very optimistic, but we had our currency devalued 20%, and we had 10% of our network knocked offline. In hindsight, it was probably a blessing for us because we went through a comprehensive fix with the bondholders. We've really right-sized the balance sheet as we look forward now, brought in new capital into the business, and now we have a company that's very, very strong going into 2025 and beyond. And so we feel very good about where we are. We are very confident in the guidance that we've projected of 7.4. We showed you the devaluation of the currency. Yes, it's at 6.605. But it's interesting.

People focus on that, but we wanted to highlight to you our ability to pass through, right? And we've proven over time that our average fare has increased faster than the devaluation of the currency. Don't forget that GDP in Brazil was projected to be 2% this year, then 3%, and now it's going to be 4%. Unemployment in Brazil is at record low levels that never have ever been seen before in Brazil. And a lot of the Brazilian economy does really, really well when the exchange rate is weaker, right? All of that Midwest of Brazil that depends so heavily on exports is really our true customer base. And so we're very excited about where we are. We're excited to be talking about Core Azul again and all of the great things that are happening.

And as Alexandre said, we're glad to not be managing the balance sheet anymore and managing the business again, managing the business opportunities because we still see a lot of growth in our business units, a lot of growth in how we deploy capital going forward. But with that, we're here to answer any of the questions that any of you may have. I'm sure there's some coming in online, Thaís, but we also have some microphones here. So any questions for the four of us?

Can you talk about some of the initiatives the government could do to improve the structural profitability of the industry? And my second question is, are there any assets or businesses that you feel you could m onetize?

Yeah, so let me. I've met with President Lula on a couple of occasions. The airline association is now united. Azul re-entered the airline association.

We have meetings with. There's really three main things in Brazil today, and the good news is that these are already in our cost structure, and we have zero upside going forward from any of these three, okay, and so the first is we have the highest jet fuel prices in the world, as Alexandre mentioned. We have a meeting with the president of Petrobras on December 9th. The three presidents of the Brazilian airlines will be with them, facilitated by the government, helping set that up to kind of understand why that is the case and how we can potentially grow the Brazilian market if we had jet fuel prices that were lower. The second is the high litigation that exists in Brazil today. We're working closely with the Supreme Court on setting precedents because there's legal claims that have just exploded in Brazil today.

It's cost the industry about BRL 1.3 billion across the three airlines. And so we're working jointly on that to kind of set precedents so that you can't sue for moral damages for a delayed flight, right? Especially if it's not the airline's fault. You know how it exists today? If the flight is delayed two, three hours because of an airport closure, somebody can sue us. And it's actually the lawyers that are suing. It's actually not even the customers. They actually buy the claims. And so that needs to end. And so I'm very optimistic that that can change as well. And the third is access to capital, right? And so there is a line now approved. It's law at the Brazilian government, a FNAC line that will give access to capital on an annual basis to the airlines.

And so we're working jointly with the Brazilian government to get that line in place. We're hopeful that it comes online probably in the first quarter of 2025. And we've been working very closely with them on that. What I will tell you is I mentioned earlier, we are the only airline to not file for Chapter 11 in Brazil's history, not just in recent times, in the history of Brazil. And so that was a discussion that I had with President Lula and said, "Look, there are some structural differences in Brazil that need to change in order to grow the market, in order to get Brazil to fly like Colombia flies, like Mexico flies, like Chile flies." And so we can make this a win-win if we address these structural issues on fuel prices.

If we address these litigation claims, we can get fares at a more reasonable level to grow the pie in Brazil. And so for the first time in my 16 years in Brazil, I've seen a government that's very open to listening and working collaboratively. They want us to grow. They want us to continue to buy Brazilian-made aircraft. And so they are listening to u s. And so I think that's a good thing. I'm not putting it in my forecast. I just want to be clear, but I will say that the three airlines are extremely united in this agenda, and we talk about it on a weekly basis together.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Yeah, so to clarify, BRL 1.3 billion, right, of claims across the industry. And like John said, the BRL 7.4 billion includes no assumption for any of that improving, but we are confident that the upside exists.

And we think it makes sense even for Petrobras because today, Petrobras is maximizing the cost of a gallon of jet fuel. I don't think they're maximizing their profitability because we do consume less jet fuel because the cost is so high, right? It doesn't make any logical sense for Brazil to have the most expensive jet fuel in the world. We're not the most, we're not the wealthiest country in the world. So why is, unless you want aviation to be only accessible by the elite, jet fuel should not be the most expensive in the world. And then in terms of monetization, I think we demonstrated, I think other airlines had monetized their loyalty program by spinning them off, right? But then they saw that it was very inefficient.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

I think in Brazil, both of our competitors spun off their loyalty programs and benefited the Brazilian IRS tremendously, right? Because their loyalty programs were profitable with no NOLs, right? With no tax credits. And so all that profitability from the loyalty program, 35% of that went to the government. Then they regretted that and kind of brought those programs back in. We never did that. And then I think through the pandemic, you saw some airlines using their loyalty programs to raise capital, right, with a lower cost of capital, which we did last year. And then this year, we did it with cargo, right? And when we first started offering cargo as an asset to raise capital at a lower cost than we would raise on an unsecured basis, I think a lot of people were skeptical.

I said, "Hey, I get loyalty, but I don't get cargo." And then, in the end, we saw a lot of competition for capital to be provided to Azul using cargo as collateral. So, I think that's an efficient way to monetize the programs. We don't believe in spinning them off, in selling them. I think they're highly synergistic to our program. They all benefit from the network. They all benefit from the fleet. They all benefit from the customer experience. So, I think it makes sense together. But we are demonstrating that we are able to raise capital using just the cash flows and essentially the IP of those assets. And we're selling some older aircraft that we own and are on the balance sheet today. And so you'll see us do that type of stuff.

But any major business unit, no. Just the TAP bonds.

W hen do the TAP bonds mature?

2026.

How much is that?

It's about $165 million today.

Thank you.

Hey, Savi's at the Raymond James. Abhi, could you talk about with the real going, I know John, you mentioned this, like the real going higher, you have shown over time the ability to recoup that. Has there been kind of a greater urgency in kind of what you've seen in the industry today, or is it kind of similar? And is that, is it a six-month kind of process, or how long does it take to pass that through?

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Yeah, there's definitely more urgency. Just the last couple of weeks, we've seen fares significantly go up. I think there's urgency for the industry overall.

And also, it's not just the fact that you take a fare increase, but the discipline to keep the fare increase as well and not roll everything back in promotions and things like that. Black Friday, for example, everybody's sales were significantly less aggressive than they were last year, right? So our average fare yesterday on Cyber Monday was higher than a normal day without any Cyber Monday sales. So yes, absolutely, there's more urgency. I think everybody's feeling the urgency. And I think the industry is doing everything it can. We catch up, I think, a little bit in one quarter, a little bit next quarter, a little bit over the next quarter. So what we are selling now, we're going to see it in one Q, a little bit in January, more in February and March. But I'm very confident that the industry is doing everything it can.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Hey, Savi, I think one other kind of important point. When the real went from 5 to 5.50, it was in the weakest quarter of the year, and then Porto Alegre was taken offline, right? And so it took us a little bit of time to put Porto Alegre back on the map. That happened in the fourth quarter. And so those two factors, the fact that now we have 100% of our network we're selling into one of the strongest quarters of the year allows us to get that pricing power. Exactly. I think we use that six months as a rule of thumb. But what John said is very imp

ortant, right? I think a huge devaluation in our weakest sales quarter at the same time that 10% of your capacity comes offline, it's very difficult, right? It makes it that much harder for us to pass through.

Now that demand is strong and we're actually into a good period in terms of seasonal sales, I think gives us more, I think, confidence that those fare increases will stick, right? So on average, we use six months, but I think the seasonality is a big determinant on how successful we'll be and how quickly that could happen. Savi, we talk a lot about the impact on the business from the exchange rate going up and up and up. Our average fares are less than $100 a segment. So it's not like we're trying to peddle $500 fares or we have anything near. I mean, last week, Breeze booked a $135 average fare. And these guys, we're still under $100. We really do have a long ways to go.

It's not like it's a hopeless situation when you add 3% on to $90 or 4% or 5% on to $90 or $95. The base is really low. And obviously, people make less in Brazil. But our labor costs are a fraction of what they are. So there's some offsets for the high price of fuel, but still so many millions and millions of people that are making a lot of money from the farmers and all that. The largest BMW dealership kind of in the world is out in Cuiabá, where everybody drives a BMW. So there's tons of money in Brazil, and the fares are still really low.

Good points. That's super helpful. And if I might just ask one last question. I appreciated all the kind of diversified revenue streams that you've highlighted here.

I feel like every year you have a little bit more that you talk about. Some years, obviously, you're excited about one more than the other. Could you give a little bit more color on the kind of the magnitudes of these and where you could see it going? I know it might take different timelines, but.

Yeah. Yeah. You can already see as of now, they are 22% of our revenue, right, of our unit revenue. Looking ahead for next year, I see a lot of growth in cargo because of the freighters, right? We have two A321s that can both fly 11 hours a day, take 27 tons each. Combine that with our Amazon partnership, so there's going to be a lot of growth on a percentage basis on Azul Cargo.

And second, I see a lot of growth in our vacations business next year still. Our international capacity next year is up much more than our domestic capacity because we have four A330s that came in this year by the end of this year. So we're finally back to our full Orlando schedule. We had pulled down a lot this year. And so next year, I think cargo and vacations will grow more. I think loyalty grew a lot this year in 2024. So I think it's going to be more steady state next year. So you're absolutely right. In terms of ebbs and flows, cargo was gangbusters in pandemic. It leveled off. Loyalty was super strong before that. Vacations is super strong now. So they each kind of have their moments, which is actually perfect. That's exactly what we want.

We want to be able to lean on these different businesses at different times to really make us more resilient, so for next year, I would say it's cargo and vacations. What's the goal for your business? As high as possible. I mean, what I don't want to be dependent on is just you just need higher fares and higher fares. Again, we will always maximize revenue. We always will, but I don't want that cloud hanging over our head because these businesses can grow without Azul. You don't need an Azul seat for these businesses to provide unit revenue to Azul. That's the beauty of this, and that's sort of the secret sauce here, so the more they can grow outside Azul, you can keep growing unit revenue and not occupy an Azul seat, and that's the power.

Thanks.

Oh, next. Oh, hey, thanks. Good afternoon. Great presentation.

Two questions. Going back to the point of sale, non-Brazil, so U.S. dollar, euro, I think you said it was up 46%. Where are you today as a percentage of reais on a revenue basis versus non-reais? And as I think about some of your growth businesses, I saw that you have some third-party MRO business. I'm not sure if that's priced in dollars. I know cargo business historically internationally is priced in dollars. Where are we today, not on a unit revenue basis, but on a true revenue split? And where do we think we're over the next couple of years? That's my first.

Yeah. So you're right. MRO is priced in dollars, which is great. So I would say today, if you combine the passengers and all these other ancillaries, we're probably at 90-10, right? Which is better than what it was.

But I still think we significantly underachieve. I consider Azul a Brazilian airline that flies internationally. I don't consider us yet an international airline. I consider LATAM an international airline. I consider United Airlines. So there's still a lot of progress that we have to make, especially in our B2C channels to sell internationally. Our loyalty program needs to be a lot easier to be able to get international customers. So there's a lot of work that we have to do in terms of product, in terms of technology, in terms of messaging, and sort of our posture overall to be more of an international airline. We're a really great Brazilian airline that flies to great Brazilian international destinations. But I wouldn't consider us yet an international airline. And I think when we get there, I think that number can double.

Great. And then just my second question.

I always sort of think that when I look at loyalty in the U.S. versus loyalty in other parts of the world, Brazil, for example, we look at exclusivity there between the credit card programs and their banks. And it seems like it's always been so much more fragmented down here where you do business with multiple banks. Through your presentation, you did talk about the fact that Itaú was reducing, I guess, the number of co-brand programs, number one. Number two, it seemed like that you guys were getting closer with them. Are we on a path, I guess, as the Brazilian market evolves?

I think we didn't talk about it in any of the presentations, but there's been enough headlines out there about we see markets around the world consolidating, that there's a real interesting opportunity where if you're a credit card company or a bank, I should say, you want to tie up with one or two of those maybe three remaining carriers in a certain marketplace. Do we see an opportunity there to extract more value from loyalty?

Yeah, that's a great question. I used to always joke that loyalty in Brazil was the opposite of loyalty because there really was no loyalty at all. Anybody could transfer to anybody.

It was more of a channel.

Abhi Shah
President, Azul

Right. Which still is the case, but you definitely are seeing alignment. Like us and Itaú, for example, are very, very close and focusing.

Now, the generic Itaú credit card that's not co-branded, you can still transfer points to any program, right? And so that's part of their product offering as well.

Do I see that going away anytime soon?

I don't see it going away, but I certainly see a better alignment between partners, right? So for example, when Madonna coming to Brazil was still kind of a secret, Itaú called John and said, "I want you guys to be our partner on that special event," right? So I think things are lining up in that sense. You do have better conditions when you transfer to the partner than when you don't. It could be a deflator. It could be a minimum account balance. So you do see those kinds of things happening. But I don't see it going away. I do see strengthening of partnerships.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

I also think, Mike, that the strength of the airline gives it leverage with a lot of these banking partners as well. And as we were in COVID in the last couple of years, they would take advantage of it. "Hey, do you want to do a pre-purchase at a discounted rate?" And as we look forward into 2025 and beyond with a new balance sheet, that leverage kind of shifts back to us, right? And I think that our network is very, very powerful. And so there's an opportunity to expand margins using our loyalty program on a go-forward basis when we're not having to ask for cash in advance from these guys.

Great. Thanks. And by the way, I'll keep it on the down low that you're a huge Madonna fan.

Any other questions?

Hi, good afternoon.

Can you talk about potential consolidation within the airline industry in Brazil? There's been talk about that and obviously the chart of the lack of complementarity of some of the airlines. Not good in the room. Did you notice that chart?

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

No, it's no secret. I think we've been public about that there are conversations that are happening. Nothing to announce today, but I think it's a natural progression for the Brazilian market. I think we believe strongly in consolidation. We always have. We've made a couple of runs at it with LATAM in the past. We've obviously been in conversation with Gol and with Abra. I think at the right time, we'll talk more broadly about that. Today is about Azul and what we've done to kind of fix our balance sheet and going forward.

I think the need to do it is less now, but to get the greatest shareholder return, consolidation is the best way to do that because there's significant synergies in consolidation, and we know that, and so we continue to look at it. We continue to have conversations, and at the right time, we'll make announcements to the market if some

thing evolves beyond that. Obviously, it was important for us to fix ourself before we get serious about that. We had to do that to be in the best possible position if there was some kind of merger. I think that was really critical, important that we had to come out from a position of strength.

Talking about Gol, Victor Mizusaki from Bradesco is asking if you can comment about the performance of our codeshare agreement with Gol.

Yeah. The codeshare is doing well.

In terms of revenue, we're pretty happy with it. We have not grown it yet because we are balancing kind of the discussions that we're having with Abra, as we've talked about, and the timing of the two events. But the codeshare is in place. It's working really well. Customers are using it. The systems are doing well. So more to come on both topics. Savi.

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

Hey, Alexandre, more of a question for you. So as kind of John mentioned, this is a complete addressing of the balance sheet here. But one of the kind of feedback we get from investors is, again, the complexity, the uncertainty about the dilution. So how do you see that? It seems like we should get a lot of color on what that is come first quarter.

But what could you do more to kind of provide a little bit more clarity to investors as to kind of what's coming down the road? And how do you kind of envision presenting the portion that's not converted yet versus that still needs to kind of be diluted over the next kind of 12 months or so?

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Yeah. So I think a lot of what we're talking about here is what we can do, right? I think how do you get to the fair value of an Azul share, right? You kind of start with EV. You subtract net debt. You divide it by the number of shares, right? Very roughly speaking. I think we have everything here but the number of shares. And the number of shares is going to be determined by the market, right? So we're doing everything we can to support the equity.

Again, being the only airline in the history of Brazil that hasn't filed for Chapter 11, right? The equity has been wiped out or will be wiped out in other situations. And here we're doing everything we can to protect the equity by increasing the value of the enterprise, right? Through everything that we talked about, high growth, high margin, and then making sure that that margin translates into cash by minimizing the amount of net debt so that we have a very high equity value left over. And the final number that we need to figure out is the number of shares. And I think it's going to be based on market price. So it's really the market that's going to determine what that number ultimately will be.

But I think everything that we can do in terms of maximizing enterprise value, minimizing debt to make sure we maximize equity value is what we're talking about here and why we're so excited about this, right? And eliminating sort of noise that could be present elsewhere, like the equity structure with the lessors, and demonstrating also the sustainability of this business, right? We've demonstrated over and over again that we can generate a lot of EBITDA and that our partners will support us, right? We've had multiple instances where our partners came to demonstrate that support, right? And add their commitment to Azul, right? But I think a lot of it is actually getting the message out there that we couldn't be more excited about the enterprise value and the equity value of the company. And that should translate into a high price per share.

If you look at it this way, what we're doing with the balance sheet will increase the value of the company. Now, obviously, someone's getting something for that, and that's what you're talking about, the dilution, but the way I do the math, and I'm one of the large shareholders, obviously, is that even if the stock price stayed the same as it is today and that debt converted into equity and it was diluted, the value of that percentage of the company is going to be worth a lot more, so if the stock goes up from here, it's even going to be better, so we're trying to get the word out as to, "This is really a great company," and certainly, those that are converting into equity want the shares to go up, our interests are aligned.

I think, to me, it's a great entry point because you can't really lose because the value of the company is going to be higher because of the fixing of the balance sheet. The cash on the balance sheet is going to be higher. So the dilution will happen. At today's price, it's still a great deal. But if the stock were to go up, it would even be a better deal because they have a higher percentage of the company. And there's also the $100 million of incremental cash flow a year plus the $100 million reduction in interest expense, right? So there's a lot of good things. And then what happens next, right? I think that that's what we're looking at. Dilutive? Absolutely is dilutive. But we fixed the balance sheet once and for all with this.

I think that's a great testament to what we've done as a management team and what our partners have done. We see how much leakage we've seen from other kind of companies. That value still exists inside of Azul today. There was no leakage to others. Now we've covered the two elephants in the room.

I have some questions from Dan McKenzie from Seaport about CapEx by year through 2027 and gross debt in dollars targets in 2025, 2026, and 2027. Outside of aircraft, what investments we need to make over the coming years? Either airport or IT and what would need to be financed and if we would need to finance these investments.

Yeah. We provided for the first time a very granular look at free cash flow generation, right, for 2025.

I think what Dan's asking is, how does that look going forward, right? I haven't provided guidance on that. But speaking about it conceptually, I think when we talk to the market, everybody expects EBITDA to grow further, right? It's not going to stop at 7.4. What is fair to say is that EBITDA growth will be higher than growth in the outflows, right? Is the fleet going to increase for us to continue increasing EBITDA? Yes. But it's not going to increase more than cash inflows, right? Same thing with CapEx. And interest, actually, hopefully, we will reduce it even further, right? Because as we continue to generate cash, we'll be able to pay down debt. We'll be able to reduce our leverage.

So out of those three big components of cash outflows, rent, CapEx, and interest, rent and CapEx will increase, but they will increase much less than EBITDA. And interest should stay flat to down, right? So the BRL 1.1 billion of cash generation that we guided to should be an even better number going forward, right? In terms of, and there are a lot of initiatives that we're pursuing, like all of the things that we talked about with the OEMs and the lessors, we're finding some very creative ways to finance that CapEx, right? Because we all want to preserve the value of the asset. And we're doing things like parting out E1s that we hadn't done before that helps us to reduce CapEx, right? There's the famous GE engine overhaul line that we've talked about. We only started drawing on it at the end of 2024, right?

John Rodgerson
CEO, Azul

And we haven't even drawn the full $200 million that we can draw. And we expect that to be a kind of permanent kind of revolver, if you will, right, of $200 million of capacity that's going to be available to us permanently going forward so that we can perform maintenance overhauls in Brazil, right? So there are a lot of new initiatives that we haven't pursued before. They're coming online now to help to keep that CapEx number down. I think one other thing, Dan, I think is really important is about 85% of our CapEx is engine CapEx. And it is a strategic advantage today that Azul has all of its engines under PBH agreements. Think about that for a second. Our Rolls-Royce engines on our widebodies, our A320 engines, our E1 engines, and our E2 engines. So it is a known deal.

That is not the case for many airlines worldwide. And many airlines worldwide would kill to have an engine deal like we have right now. And I think that that's a competitive advantage as we roll forward. And our CapEx is known because we know how much we're going to pay by the hour, and we've locked in the rate on a go-forward basis. And most airlines worldwide cannot get anywhere close to those deals right now. And I think that that's a significant advantage that we have. And they're not giving them anymore. I've had calls from several CEOs around the world saying, "Can you talk to Pratt or can you talk to GE and help us get an engine deal?" They're not giving it. They're not giving them any new ones.

The ones they signed with us, they would love to tear them up and start over again, but that's not going to happen.

Th ank you. Any other questions? No? I think we're done.

Alexandre Malfitani
VP and Finance, Azul

Yeah. Great. Thanks, everybody. Thank you.

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