Embraer S.A. (BVMF:EMBJ3)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Mar 10, 2023

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the audio conference from Embraer's financial results for the fourth quarter of 2022 and full year of 2022. Thank you for standing by. We remind that Eve's result will be discussed on Eve's teleconference. Additionally, the numbers in this presentation contain non- GAAP financial information to facilitate investors to reconcile Eve's financial information in GAAP standards to Embraer's IFRS. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. Later, we'll conduct a question and answer section and instructions to participate will be given at that time. Should you require assistance during the conference, please use the Q&A button on the platform. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded and webcasted at ri.embraer.com.br. This conference call includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or circumstances which have not occurred.

Embraer has based these forward-looking statements largely on its current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends affecting the business and its future financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including among other things, general economic conditions, political and business conditions in Brazil and in other markets where the company is present. The words believes, may, will, estimates, continues, anticipates, intends, expects, and similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Embraer undertakes no obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements because of new information, future events or other factors. In light of those risks and uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed on this conference call might not occur. The company actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements.

It's important to mention that all numbers are presented in U.S. dollar as it is our functional currency. Participants on today's conference call are Francisco Gomes Neto, President and CEO. Antonio Carlos Garcia, Chief Financial Officer. Leonardo Shinohara, Director of Investor Relations. In the Q&A session, we will also participate, Arjan Meijer, Commercial Aviation CEO, Michael Amalfitano, Executive Aviation CEO, and Johann Bordais, Services and Support CEO. I would like now to turn the conference over to Francisco, who will proceed with the first remarks. Please go ahead, sir.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our fourth quarter in 2022 full year results conference call. 2022 will be remembered for overcoming several challenges worldwide, such as the Ukraine war, the rising of global inflation and supply chain constraints. Despite that, we managed the strategic plan to deliver our goals, which was only possible due to teamwork, focus and discipline. Another main factor in succeeding our plan was the continued focus on business efficiency, which demanded several mitigation measures throughout the year. In 2022, aircraft delivery grew 12.7% and reached the mark of 159 commercial and executive aircraft. We also increased revenue to $4.5 billion. Adjusted EBIT and EBITDA margins exceeded the guidance given to the market, reaching 6% and 10%. The free cash flow generation grew well above estimates.

The total backlog returned to the pre-pandemic level, reaching $17.5 billion. The executive aviation presented an outstanding performance in 2022. In commercial aviation, we had several campaigns underway. Later on, I will talk more about the 2022 highlights of each business unit. On the next slide, we will see some important steps in our journey towards a more sustainable aviation. The Energia program was consolidated with two concept aircraft models for 19 to 30 seats with hybrid electric and hydrogen electric propulsion. Together with Pratt & Whitney, we have successfully tested an E195-E2 using 100% sustainable aviation fuel. As part of the reducing emission goals in our operations, we anticipate the use of 100% renewable energy in Brazil by 2024.

We signed an agreement with Raízen from the Shell and Cosan group to assess the production of sustainable aviation fuels in Brazil, which may contribute to lower emissions across the sector. In the social pillar, we are increasing the hiring of underrepresented groups in our entry-level programs, as well as the number of women in senior leadership as part of our goals. We were honored to receive the Great Place To Work certification in several countries where we operate. For us, it is an important recognition to celebrate. On the next slide, we will see some highlights of last year's business units. In commercial aviation, we delivered 57 aircraft, 19% above the previous year. The delivery of the first E195-E2 jets to Canadian Porter Airlines marked the beginning of the E2 operation in North America.

Porter has also placed a new order for 20 jets in addition to the existing third firm orders. Another important sale was the 20 E2 jets to Azorra, a U.S. leasing company. In addition, the Chinese Civil Aviation Authority granted certification for our E190-E2, opening doors for the E2 family in the relevant Chinese market. Business Aviation presented excellent results for another year with a 102 aircraft delivery, a strong demand in the entire product portfolio, and a sustainable sales level. The Phenom 300 became the world's best-selling light jet for the 11th consecutive year. In defense, the geopolitical scenario continues to influence several countries to invest in renewing their armed forces capabilities. The selection of the C-390 Millennium as the only aircraft that meets the requirements of the Ministry of Defence of the Netherlands was our year's highlight with a five C-390 acquisition forecast.

Moreover, we announced the partnership with L3Harris to develop an agile tanker, a tactical aerial refueling option to meet the United States Air Force needs. Our service and support business continues to evolve positively. In commercial aviation, growth was based on pool program contract renewals, as well as new clients. In business aviation, new clients in the executive care program. The service and support backlog grew 8% compared to 2021. Finally, in 2022, we took an important step to consolidate our operations in the urban air mobility segment, a great business opportunity in the coming years. We completed the Eve spin-off by listing the company on the New York Stock Exchange, ending the year with potential orders for over 2,700 vehicles valued at $8.3 billion.

Now, I hand it over to Antonio to give further details on the financial results and return at the end. Thank you.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

Thanks, Francisco. Good morning, everyone. 2022 was a great year for us. The entire Embraer one team worked very hard all the way to the last minute of December to successfully overcome many external challenges we faced during the year. As our results, I'm proud to share our 2022 financial results with you today. Deliveries. We increased the number of aircraft delivered by 12.7% compared with 2021, even with significant supply chain constraints. It's important to note that Q4 deliveries were concentrated around 50% of all deliveries in 2022 with an abnormal seasonality. Embraer delivered eight jets in the fourth quarter, of which 30 commercial jets and 50 executive jets. Thereof, 33 light jets and 17 midsize jets.

In 2022, we produced 61 commercial jets but delivered 57 with four jets postponed to January 2023. We slightly missed the guidance. For executive aviation, we delivered 102 jets, reaching the guidance. Deliveries are gaining traction, and we are optimistic on our 2023 deliveries guidance. Firm order backlog ended fourth quarter 2022 at $17.5 billion. $500 million more versus Q4 2021. This is one of the highest quarter backlogs since the beginning of the pandemic or $800 million more versus Q4 2019, driven by solid sales activities in executive aviation and service and support. Net revenues reached around $2 billion in the quarter.

44% of the whole year revenue. Approximately $700 million compared to Q4 2021, most driven by higher revenues in Commercial, Executive Jets and Services & Support, partially offset by lower revenues in Defense & Security. Revenues reached $4.5 billion in the year, approximately $343 million more compared to 2021, or a growth of 8%, delivering the guidance with revenue well-balanced by business unit. Moving to adjusted EBIT and EBITDA, but before that, I want to report on gross margin. Q4 2022 reported consolidated gross margin of 19.1%, higher than 15% reported in Q4 2021, due to volume mix 2%, enterprise efficiencies 1.6%, and one-time actions 0.4%.

In Q4 2022, adjusted EBIT were $166 million, yielding adjusted EBITDA margin of 8.3% or 400 basis points above Q4 2021, even with some negative impacts from provision and SG&A expenses. In Q4 2022, adjusted EBITDA were $228 million, yielding adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.5% or 323 basis points above Q4 2021. For the year, in 2022, reported consolidated gross margin of 20.1%, higher than 15.7% reported in 2021, due to volume increase 1%, enterprise efficiency 2%, one-time effects 1.4%. In 2022, adjusted EBIT were $270 million, yielding adjusted EBIT margin of 6% or 200 basis point above 2021, even with some negative impacts from provisions and SG&A -2% and surpassing our guidance.

In 2022, adjusted EBITDA was $459 million, yielding adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.1% or 147 basis points above 2021, also surpassing our guidance. SG&A and investments. SG&A rose 18%, driven by higher sales campaign and market activities compared to 2021, a year still impacted by COVID, as well commercial concessions and inflation. Investments. In 2022, Embraer invested a total of $176 million in product development and research, mainly in product development, for example, E2 family, P2F, executive aviation, and turboprop products. We invested $66 million CapEx, mainly for service and support expansion. Free cash flow without Eve in Q4 2022 was positive in $584 million, due to a strong concentration of delivery during this quarter.

Free cash flow without Eve in 2022 was positive in $540 million, due to the outstanding results and sales performance from executive aviation and very strict control over working capital. Adjusted net results in Q4 2022 was a profit of $43 million or 2.2% of adjusted net profit margin. Adjusted net results in 2022 was a profit of $39 million or 0.8% of adjusted net profit margin, trending positive from enterprise efficiency and less interest expenses. Liquidity. In the top left of the chart, we finished the quarter with a net debt without Eve of $950 million or $457 million less than 2021.

In line with our liability management strategy, we reduced gross debt around $824 million compared to 2021, with a significant reduction net financial expenses on cash flow, $35 million savings in 2022. It's important to highlight that our net debt-EBITDA ratio decreased from 3.9x in 2021 to 2.1x in 2022. This is a 1.8x decline in just one year. The company ended 2022 with a strong liquidity of $3.1 billion, including revolving credit facility, due to the outstanding free cash flow and working capital management. On the debt side, we reprofiled $300 million of debts from 2024 to 2027, and the maturities of our debts give us a comfortable situation on amortization until 2024.

We continue to work on increasing duration and improving the financial metrics, at the same time monitoring for a market window to reprofile our 2025 and future maturities. Rating. It's important to highlight that Moody's affirmed in February 2023 Embraer's rating at Ba2 and raised the outlook for all ratings from negative to stable. Standard & Poor's upgrade in February 2023 from BB to BB+ on solid cash flow. We are one notch below the investment grade level and hope to get back the IG level soon. Moving to 2023 guidance. I will now guide you through our outlook for 2023, start with deliveries. For commercial aviation, we forecast 65-70 aircrafts, still limited by supply chain constraints. An increase of at least 14% than delivery in 2022.

For executive aviation, we forecast 120-130 jets, an increase of at least 18% more jets than delivery in 2022. For revenues, between $5.2 billion-$5.7 billion, at least $700 million increase or double-digit growth of around 15% compared what was achieved in 2022. For EBIT, adjusted EBIT margin of 6.4%-7.4%. EBITDA margin from 10%-11%. In regards to free cash flow, we, with the substantial revenue growth, we do have some challenges on working capital. Free cash flow guidance is $150 million or better. As the year progress, we will keep you up to date accordingly. The same we did in the last years. With that, I conclude my presentation and hand it back to Francisco for his final remarks. Thank you very much.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Thank you, Antonio. In my closing remarks, I'd like to comment on this and following years. First of all, the 2022 financial results show that we are making consistent progress in our journey of shifting the company towards a sustainable growth. As we have said since in 2020, the 2021 and 2022 years would be dedicated to the business recovery after two simultaneous crisis, the pandemic and the end of the Boeing deal. The focus will be on growth from 2023. We can now state we have fulfilled what was promised. The business turnaround was completed in 2022, and we are ready to start a new growth phase, capturing the company's full potential in the coming years. We still face supply chain challenges this year, but we are optimistic about the company's future in terms of revenue growth and profitability.

Regarding revenue growth, several ongoing sales campaigns are progressing very well in commercial, business aviation, and defense area. The aircraft slots on the production line for deliveries in 2023 and 2024 are practically filled for commercial aviation and executive jets. The service area will continue to grow, generating better margins, and we are confident in the improvement of defense results. The organizational changes announced at the beginning of the year with the creation of new vice presidencies for global procurement and strategy and innovation also play a relevant role in accelerating growth. We will give even more focus to the procurement area, directly impacting efficiency and value generation. In the case of innovation, we will strengthen the integration of these projects in our long-term strategy, opening new growth opportunities.

For this reason, adding our recognized execution capacity to ongoing sales campaigns and innovation projects, we are very confident in Embraer's sustainable growth. Finally, my thanks to the Embraer team, which overcame all of last year's challenges with outstanding commitment and dedication, always focusing on quality and safety. Thanks for the support of our customers and partners and our shareholders for their trust in our company.

Operator

Thank you. We'll now start the question and answer section. We'll ask who are interest in making questions at any time press star nine in your phone or press raise hand on Zoom's platform. When your name's announced, press star six on your phone or activate your microphone on Zoom's platform. To give everyone a chance to participate, we request to ask just one question per call. Wait while we pull for questions. Our first question comes from Ronald Epstein from Bank of America. Please, Mr. Ronald, your microphone is open.

Ronald Epstein
Managing Director of Equity Research, Bank of America

Yes. Can you hear me okay?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Yes, we can, Ron. Go ahead.

Ronald Epstein
Managing Director of Equity Research, Bank of America

Great. Great. Thank you. maybe just a couple quick questions. How should we think about Embraer in the Chinese market? Typically, right, aircraft don't get certified in a market unless deliveries are imminent. how should we think about that?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

I, since we have Arjan here with us, Arjan, can you jump in and answer this, Ron's question?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Absolutely, Francisco. Thank you, Ron, for the question. I think the great news in 2022 was that the E190-E2 was certified. We're currently in the process to add the E195-E2 to that. We strongly believe that the E190 and the E195 combination in China is a very strong addition to the local portfolio of the ARJ21, which falls slightly below our segment, and the C919, which is the narrow body that the Chinese industry with COMAC will bring to the market. It's a gap where there are no Chinese products. The E190 has a incredible performance and is very useful for the higher level airports in Tibetan Plateau.

The E195-E2 obviously is a great complement to the narrow-body aircraft in China. We believe a great vehicle to help the Chinese connect the many airports that are being created in China that need a very efficient aircraft. We're very bullish about the Chinese market, and we're working with airlines and our team. We have a team in Beijing at the moment to see if we can get campaigns over the line.

Ronald Epstein
Managing Director of Equity Research, Bank of America

Got it. If I could follow on to that question, given all the tension right now between the U.S. and China and kind of what that means for Boeing, has that been an opportunity for you guys? I mean, I don't know how you can answer that, but if you could give it a shot.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Well, obviously with our segment, we are in a lower segment of the narrow bodies than Boeing. We do believe that with the Brazilian product, we add a very interesting alternative to the Chinese airlines. I think the moment is key. China wants to really connect the country and the domestic market. I think getting an aircraft that can complement either a MAX or a neo, and obviously on the short term will be more neos. The E195-E2 is able to deliver economics that are very close on a per seat basis to an A320. We believe that independent of what's happening to Boeing, it is a great addition to that market.

Ronald Epstein
Managing Director of Equity Research, Bank of America

Great. Thank you. Then maybe just one last one on commercial. How should we think about new product development in commercial, right? I mean, the turboprop was halted, if that's right. Where, where to, where to now? I mean, Embraer has always been very innovative when it comes to new products, how should we think about that?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Yeah, that's a great question, Ron. The turboprop is on a slowdown at the moment. We have not disbanded the project, if you will, but we need to have more in-depth conversations with the system suppliers. That's definitely a product where we believe there could be a market. On the slightly longer term, the Energia platform is really something that we're spending a lot of time on. We had our first airline advisory board at the end of 2022 to really understand what the feasibility is of smaller aircraft with a much more sustainable footprint than the bigger aircraft. There's a lot of focus on the long-term sustainability agenda and the roadmap I have for commercial aviation.

We believe the E2 has a great footprint in terms of CO2. We're working on getting that aircraft also 100% SAF. The turboprop will still be existing technology, but more efficient than anything out there, more seats, and also 100% SAF capable. Then below that, the Energia platform, which is, of course, further out. There's a lot of work to be done. It's still concepts, but we're looking very closely at that part of the market as well. Maybe using the opportunity, Ron, while I have the microphone, there was a comment on the introduction about 20 aircraft order by U.S. Leasing.

That deal was announced early 2022, was part of the 2021 backlog. We had 60 aircraft in our order book. It did include the 20 Porters, the 20 aircraft from the lease company were in the 2021 order book, just to be precise. Thank you.

Ronald Epstein
Managing Director of Equity Research, Bank of America

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our, our next question comes from Louis Raffetto from Wolfe Research. Please, Mr. Louis, your microphone is open.

Louis Raffetto
Equity Research Analyst, Wolfe Research

Thank you very much. Can you guys hear me?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Yes, we can, Louis.

Louis Raffetto
Equity Research Analyst, Wolfe Research

Maybe just to follow up on Ron's question, I guess. You know, you mentioned your, you know, active campaign, so, you know, any additional color you can give. I think you guys are expecting, you know, a stronger book-to-bill in 2022 than what you kind of wound up with. Just where, how do you see this year playing out?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Want me to continue on that one, Francisco?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Yes, go ahead. Maybe Michael can complement you as well from the executive side.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Executive side. Yeah. No, very quickly, obviously, we can't comment on individual campaigns. What I can say is that, as Francisco noted on his opening speech, we see a lot of appetite for the segments. I think, pre-crisis we were in the uncertainty with the Boeing deal. During the crisis, obviously the market was very slow. Now post-crisis, we see a different market ahead. We see a lot of interest from airlines in being risk-averse, looking at different ways to do business. There's a lot of appetite in the smaller segments. You may have seen the announcement of an LOI from Scoot in Asia, that's one of the information that's out there. That's great news for the E2 program.

We really see new airlines interested, but we also see a golden moment ahead of us for current E-Jet operators looking at replacement aircraft. Bullish about the future, but hopefully we can share more information later.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Michael, do you want to add something from your side?

Michael Amalfitano
Executive Aviation and CEO, Embraer

Thank you so much, Francisco, and thank you again for the question, Luis. Market and executive aviation is extremely strong, very robust. We have book-to-bill in excess of two to one. We have market interest from all of our customers across all four product sectors, most specifically obviously with the Phenom 300E and the Praetor 600 capturing significant market share growth as we look ahead into that backlog. We are currently selling positions in first and second quarter 2025 across the sector with the aircraft for 2023 and 2024 completely sold out. The market remains very robust in terms of demand. Obviously, we are managing all the characteristics that you heard from Francisco and Antonio regarding our challenges on the supply side, and we're looking forward to maintain pricing.

We are looking forward to a continued robust earnings cash generation for the corporation.

Louis Raffetto
Equity Research Analyst, Wolfe Research

All right. Great. Maybe just to kind of follow up on what you guys, you just said there, this is for both of you. Was engine availability an issue for you as you look to the 2023 guidance for, you know, going on any of the deliveries?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

For commercial aviation, engines is certainly part of the supply chain challenges ahead of us. It is included in our in our guides.

Michael Amalfitano
Executive Aviation and CEO, Embraer

Yeah. Luis, on our end, obviously we're facing the same supply challenges that the entire industry is facing across aerospace. We don't believe that we're gonna be adversely impacted any more or less than anyone else in the sector. However, we have phenomenal relationships engaged with our supply chain, especially with the ship set providers, so that we don't see any major disruptions for 2023 or beyond as we continue to manage through those relationships.

Louis Raffetto
Equity Research Analyst, Wolfe Research

Thank you very much.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Very good.

Operator

Our next question comes via phone. The number ends in 6273. Sir, you may press star six to enable your microphone and identify yourself with name and company before asking your question. The telephone number that ends in 6073, you can start your microphone pressing star six.

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, guys. Can you hear me? It's Noah Poponak.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Yes. Go ahead.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

We can hear.

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hello? Okay, great. Do you expect book-to-bill above one or below one in commercial and executive in 2023?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Thank you. Arjan, Michael, you can answer this as well.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

What I'll say about the book-to-bill for 2023 is that on the U.S. markets, on the E-Jet 175 E1, we still see some challenges on the pilot shortage. I think that market will be less strong than what we've seen in the previous number of years. On the E2, I just elaborated on that. We're very bullish about the opportunities, and we hope to have a good performance there on 2023. On average, I'd say around book-to-bill or better. Hopefully that's where we end up, but it's a bit early to say.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Michael?

Michael Amalfitano
Executive Aviation and CEO, Embraer

Yes, Noah. Hey, Michael here.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Yes.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Just to follow up on the executive aviation side. As I mentioned, in 2022, our book-to-bill was consistently in excess of two to one. In 2023, obviously we'll see some slight reduction as the marketplace continues to calm to more normal levels. However, our demand for our products across the sector remains very strong, so we anticipate that we will be at the high end of any historical book-to-bill averages for the industry.

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks, guys. On the pilot shortage piece at commercial, do you view that as cyclical, temporary? You know, there's a pilot shortage now, but, you know, we'll get more pilots. Maybe you get some scope relief at some point. Should we be now thinking of that as structural to your business, where it's really hard to get scope change, and because there's a pilot shortage across the board, formerly regional pilots are all moving to mainline, and then the carriers order, you know, large, narrow-body Boeing and Airbus aircraft and just kind of move on from your segment of the market, and therefore it's a little bit more locked in?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Yeah, I'll thank you. I'll try to be short on that answer, but it's a complex area. What I would say is that a change in scope has proven to be very difficult over the last couple of years, so we don't really expect a change to happen. What is important is the connectivity in the United States. There is a lot of airports that will struggle to handle the bigger narrow bodies. We do see a continuing interest from the majors in the segment. We do believe there is a cyclical trend here. It will not be solved on a short term. It will probably take one or two more years to restabilize.

We do believe that there's a lot of focus on getting that issue resolved. We're seeing both the majors and the regionals spending money and time on increasing the amount of pilots to be trained. What we also see is that a lot of pilots are still caught up in the training system because of the COVID scenario. We're still in the tunnel when it comes to pilot training, but we do believe that we will come out and come to a more stabilized scenario in the period ahead of us.

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, great. Is it possible to quantify, just lastly, expenses in 2022 that do not repeat in 2023, whether that's related to turboprop investment or, legal or otherwise?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Antonio, maybe you can get this one.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

You're on mute.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

You are on mute. Still on mute. He's asking about the expenses with related to the turboprop. I think Antonio's having problem with the audio. Maybe, Arjan, maybe you can come with this.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

So-

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

answer, right?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Yeah, on the turboprop, obviously we've put the program.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

I'm back.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Oh, sorry. Go ahead, Antonio.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Okay. Go ahead, Antonio.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

I would say around, if I take the turboprop and less legal cost, I would say something like 1% EBITDA margin comparison-

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

One margin.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

... to 22. Which is more or less-

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

... give us some good visibility, more upside than downside trend for the EBITDA margin.

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, great. Okay.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

Yeah.

Noah Poponak
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks so much.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

Thank you.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Thank you.

Operator

Question. Our next question comes via phone from the number ended with 1339, and you have to press star six to activate your microphone, sir.

Speaker 12

Hello, can you hear me?

Leonardo Shinohara
Director of Investor Relations, Embraer

Yes, yes, we can.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Yeah. Hello, Gary.

Speaker 12

Okay. Thank you so much. Hello, guys. Maybe a follow-up on pricing. At one point, you know, the issue was a lot of your commercial deliveries were E175s to major U.S. airlines with very tight pricing. Comment if you could on, you know, what's left to go of E175s, what's the pricing there, and also the pricing on the E2. In the business jet, in the executive sector, I think everybody has been talking about stronger pricing, but more recently, some of the U.S. producers have been talking about inflation catching up so that pricing just offsets inflation. Do you still have any net price gains to go in the business jet area? Thank you.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

Let's start with Arjan.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Yeah. Arjan, microphone. Yes.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Yeah. I'll start on the commercial aviation side. On the 175 E1, we have, we've really tried to get to keep the pricing discipline over the last couple of years, and I think we've been fairly successful on that. There are, of course, some deals from a few years ago, that are still causing some pricing pressure on the 175 E1. Let's not forget that the price increase in the market is, needs to find its way into the pricing of aircraft as well. We're doing our best to keep that to a minimum, but that needs to be recovered as well.

On the E2, of course, we want to be very sensitive on the pricing. I think we're successful there. Also we are very aware that we need to bring the E2 into the market and build our market share. We believe we have a chance to do that now. It's finding that balance going forward.

Antonio Carlos Garcia
CFO, Embraer

on the executive aviation

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Antonio

Michael Amalfitano
Executive Aviation and CEO, Embraer

... side of the business, we have raised prices on all four product segments. This has been provided to the market, for 2023. It's important to note that our goal remains to be delivering the ultimate experience in business aviation. In order to do that, you have to also deliver superior value to your customers. We're gonna continue to push price as long as we can continue to maintain market share and growth to service the demand and customer commitments that we have in the industry.

Speaker 12

Great. If I might ask one follow-up to Arjan's question about China. You know, you mentioned that the E190 and E195 are a good fit versus, you know, the products that China is buying. What about the A220? It would look like, is that a direct competitor, and to what extent is that a major threat to your sales in China?

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

At the moment when the A220 gets certified, for sure we will compete in maybe a share of the market. The E2 and the A220 are slightly different aircraft in the market. I believe, as I described earlier, with the combination of the hold and high performance of the 190, the cost performance of the E195-E2, which is really stellar, but also the gap to the narrowbodies. We see that the 195 respects a bigger gap to the narrowbody segment, which allows the airlines to play the value difference between those aircraft, even more with the E2 family, than with the A220 family. We believe for China it's a very attractive combination of aircraft. Of course, there will always be market where we will see competition.

We're confident that the E2 has a good place there.

Speaker 12

Terrific. Thank you very much.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

You're welcome.

Michael Amalfitano
Executive Aviation and CEO, Embraer

Thanks, Guy.

Leonardo Shinohara
Director of Investor Relations, Embraer

Our next question comes from Victor Mizusaki from Bradesco BBI. Mr. Victor, your microphone is open.

Victor Mizusaki
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Hi, congrats for the 4Q numbers. I have one question here. In the conference call in Portuguese, you gave some details about the discussions in India. Apparently, you mentioned about a potential order of like 40 to eight KC-390s. My question here is, when do you expect this, I mean, let's say, to be confirmed, if this is something that can happen this year? If you can also comment if there is something else related to commercial aviation. Thank you.

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Okay. Victor, thanks for the question. Francisco speaking. I mean, it's, it's tough to predict, but the information we have is that this process can last a couple of years.

Victor Mizusaki
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Okay. Francisco, this is only about defense or maybe if, maybe you have a firm, let's say, if the negotiation evolves, that maybe this can also be extended to commercial aviation?

Francisco Gomes Neto
President and CEO, Embraer

Well, this process, the RFI, I mean, Request For Information, RFI, is basically for the C-390s, from 40-80 units. We have been in contact with India for other opportunities. Maybe Arjan can talk a little bit more about the opportunity we have in India. Yes, as we will need a partnership there for the military aircraft, this might be combined with commercial as well. Arjan, feel free to add some more information here. You are on mute, Arjan.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Yeah, that's not very helpful. Thank you, Francisco. Yes, we see. Well, like China, we see a great application for the E190 to E195 also in India. The previous E-Jet family struggled to get to the right cost level vis-à-vis the much bigger narrowbodies. We're always talking to the engine customers. We believe that there's a great market to complement also that in narrowbodies and, yeah, if there is a way to combine it with partnerships, then that could be a potential combination. It will be a somewhat longer term outcome.

Victor Mizusaki
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Josh Milberg from Morgan Stanley. Please, Mr. Josh, your microphone is open.

Josh Milberg
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you very much. Good morning, everyone.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Morning, Josh.

Josh Milberg
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Very good morning to you guys and appreciate your comments. You guys have covered a lot of ground, but I had a few additional follow-ups on the commercial side and the demand outlook there. One is just, you mentioned the number of campaigns underway, and I wanted to ask if you could give a rough idea of the total number of potential aircraft sales contemplated in those campaigns. With respect to China, I wanted to ask you guys if you could comment on how broad that opportunity is in terms of.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

For sure.

Josh Milberg
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

the number of airlines for which the E2 could make sense. Then just finally, on the E1 side, I know you have that pilot issue in the U.S. In the past, you've talked about the replacement opportunity being some 500 aircraft in the next 10 years as a function of aircraft aging, and I just wanted to see if you're still seeing the market that way.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Thank you, Josh. That's a triple-layer question. Let me start with the E2 campaigns. We're having a big number of discussions. Some are more advanced, some are less advanced, but I think if you add it up, you're talking about several triple-digit number of E2. There's a good number of opportunities out there that we're talking about at the moment. On China, it's a little bit early. Let's not forget that the aircraft is only certified at the end of next year, and China is just opening up.

As I said, we have a big local team in China that is talking to all the airlines, so we hopefully can specify it a little bit sooner, but I think it's too early today. On the E1s, that opportunity that you're talking about 500 aircraft, we still see that ahead of us. Obviously, the airlines will be a little bit reluctant at the moment to add aircraft if they can't bring the pilots in. We believe, as soon as they see that going to a better place, then that opportunity will come back. We believe the 175 E1, short term will have to wait for the opportunities.

Longer term, we definitely believe there's a lot of regional capacity to be replaced or added.

Josh Milberg
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Appreciate that great color. Have a nice day, everyone.

Arjan Meijer
Commercial Aviation CEO, Embraer

Thank you, Josh.

Leonardo Shinohara
Director of Investor Relations, Embraer

This does conclude today's question and answer session and the Embraer's audio conference. Thank you very much for your participation, and have a wonderful day.

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