Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. (BVMF:USIM5)
Brazil flag Brazil · Delayed Price · Currency is BRL
7.38
-0.27 (-3.53%)
Sep 11, 2026, 5:05 PM GMT-3
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q4 2018

Feb 15, 2019

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for waiting. Welcome to the Usiminas conference call with the results of the year and that of the fourth quarter of 2018. At this moment, participants are connected on listen-only mode. Subsequently, we will entertain a Q&A session, where further instructions for participation will be given. Should you need help from an operator during the conference call, dial star zero. Please remember that this conference call is being recorded. This presentation is followed by slide and is being simultaneously transmitted via internet at www.usiminas.com/ri. You can also obtain a copy of the company's release. Participants who are listening in English may also pose questions directly to the speakers.

Before proceeding, we would like to clarify that forward-looking statements made during the conference call regarding the company's business prospects as well as projections, operation, and financial targets regarding the growth potential are based on the management's future expectation of the company. These expectations highly depend on the performance of the steel sector, the country's economic situation, and the situation of international markets, and are therefore subject to changes.

With us today, we have Usiminas executive board, Mr. Sérgio Leite, Chairman, Alberto Ono, VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Tulio Chipoletti, Technology, and Takahiro Mori, Corporate Planning VP, Kohei Kimura, Technology and Quality VP, Miguel Homes, Commercial VP, Carlos Rezzonico, Executive Director of Mineração Usiminas, Ascanio Merigo, Executive Director of Soluções Usiminas, Heitor Takaki, Executive Director of Usiminas Mecânica, Bruno Paulino, General Manager of the Legal Department, Júlio César de Arroyo, General Manager of Controllership, and Leonardo Karam, Investor Relations Manager.

Initially, Mr. Sérgio Leite will make his initial remarks. Mr. Alberto Ono will present the results for the year and the fourth quarter of 2018. Then our officers will be available to answer the questions raised. Now I give the floor to Mr. Sérgio Leite.

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Good afternoon to each one of you. Thank you very much for participating in our conference call for the earnings results of the fourth quarter of 2018. I address to highlight that 2018 represents for the company the end of a cycle. A very important cycle in the history of the company that was to revitalize the company. We had 2.5 years as of the second semester of 2016, and these were very special periods. In 2016, our focus was to guarantee the survival of the company.

We had very bad results during the first semester of 2016, and then we focused to reassure the survival of the company. In 2017, we concentrated our energy in building our results, and in 2018, our focus was the consolidation of our results that were reached in 2017. We end this cycle presenting ever-growing results in EBITDA throughout 2016, 2017, 2018. In 2018, in terms of EBITDA reported by the company, we are presenting to the market a total that has been the best in the past 10 years of the history of Usiminas since 2009, and our operational EBITDA of 2018 is 15% above the one of 2017. We're also presenting currently the quarterly results, a bit weaker, but we will mention this throughout our conference call. We are embarking in 2019 very reassured with our country's prospect, prepared to face the challenges.

Our focus currently is for the company to have a long-lasting result through sustainability in the economic sphere, social sphere, environmental sphere. We revitalized our company and we are working strongly. Today, we are talking about 19 professionals in the five companies of Usiminas, focusing on the sustainability and pursuing more and more to build the future and the present of Usiminas. We have an encouraged team, a prepared team to face these challenges within a positive scenario for the growth of Brazilian economy. I will give the floor to Alberto Ono, our VP of Finance, that will comment on the results of 2018 and the fourth quarter.

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

I thank all of you for participating in this conference call. Let us go to slide number two. We start with our yearly results, and then I will show the results of the fourth quarter of 2018.

When we talk about the figures and the results of 2018, steel unit sales, they grew 4%. A 6% in the domestic market. The total of the year was 4.2 million tons. Iron ore sales, here we have a significant growth, 76%, mainly. The increase of over threefold in sales is due to our exports. As we have already mentioned, of course, we made the best about the recovery of prices, and we have improved in this area. The consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased 23%. When we compare 2017 and 2018, there are events that are not recurring events, and during the next slide, I will show this in detail. Anyhow, the margin was around 20% between two years. In 2018, with an EBITDA of almost BRL 2.7 billion net profit, and a significant increase, BRL 829 million in 2018. A very important growth.

This is more than double of what we had in 2017. Our next slide. Here we are showing the evolution of our consolidated EBITDA of the past three years. As Sérgio already mentioned, since 2016, we have had significant recovery of our results. Here regarding the year 2018 of BRL 2.7 billion. Here we have BRL 401 million in EBITDA. Here we have to highlight some points. Here we have tax credits, PIS/COFINS , expenses ICMS , something that has happening for some time. We recognize as BRL 418 million in credits receivable from Eletrobras. The effect on the EBITDA is BRL 186 million. When we see the EBITDAs of 2017 and 2018 without these non-recurring effects that you can see in the chart, therefore we see that the EBIT of 2018 is BRL 2.3 billion. What does this mean? This means that there was a growth of 50% against 2017.

That was approximately BRL 2 billion. When we go to our next slide, this is a summary slide. Here we have the results of our steel units. We also have a significant growth of 2018 against 2017. Here, non-recurring effects regarding steel units. I will show you during our quarterly slides because this is where they are concentrated mostly. Our next slide. Here we have the EBITDA of the Mineração Usiminas, BRL 203 million. It is slower than 2017. This is due to the non-recurring effects because of the Sudeste Port. Here, if we would disregard this, we would have an increase of 41%. When we go to our next slide, here we have Soluções Usiminas, and here we have a record EBITDA, the best EBITDA, BRL 118 million. This is the highest EBITDA that we have had on a yearly basis.

At last, we have Usiminas Mecânica, where the EBITDA is still negative BRL 21 million, and this is a result of the situation of capital goods market that is still suffering because there has been a lack of investment. This is something that we had in 2018 and 2017. When we see our quarterly results that are the main indicators, here we have steel unit sales. In volume, we had a drop of 7% vis-à-vis the third quarter. In the case of the domestic market, there was a 9% drop. Iron ore sales, there was also a drop, especially when we see exports. This is a result of what we had in our steel unit, but we will talk about this later on.

Regarding the adjusted EBITDA, there was an increase of 18%, strongly driven by the non-recurring effect that I will describe in the next slide. Our net profit of the quarter was BRL 401 million. In our next slide, we are showing you the non-recurring effects that impacted the fourth quarter. Once again, we have the tax credits, PIS/COFINS , and amnesty of ICMS. These are the main effects. Also, credits receivable from Eletrobras. When we go to our next slide, we will talk about our volumes in our steel unit. Although we have seen a drop of 9% in the domestic market when we compare it to the third quarter, we have to remember that the third quarter of 2018 was impacted by the strike of the truck drivers. We received the impact on the second quarter, and there was a strong recovery during the third quarter.

When we compare the volume of the fourth quarter of 2017 and 2018, they are equal. Here, we see the variation of the quarter. We have to remember that the past quarter received an accrued impact in volume because of the strike. Our next slide. Here we have the adjusted EBITDA and margin, and we can see the non-recurring effects. Here we see the operational effects and results. Here, in addition to volume variation, there is an increase on the variable cost, especially in iron ore and coal that were very important during the fourth quarter. There was a drop of fixed costs because of a scheduled shutdown, especially in the Furnace 3 in Ipatinga. What we can see here is a normal seasonal effect of the market. The fourth quarter is generally weaker, and this was also part of our scheduled shutdown. Fixed cost also.

Iron ore sales. Here we have the drop from the third quarter to the fourth quarter of 2018 in steel sales. In iron ore sale, this is why we stopped the high furnace. This is why the domestic market, the sales were also affected by Mineração Usiminas, and in exports, we also had a drop during the last quarter. Going to our next slide, the adjusted EBITDA in Mineração Usiminas. Here, there is a non-recurring effect during the fourth quarter of around BRL 38 million. That is a provision for non-recovery of ICMS. This is a non-recurring effect, and we believe that this will not happen from here on. Our next slide. Here we have Soluções Usiminas, and during the fourth quarter, it was impacted by low volume. That is something seasonal. There was increase of variable cost. The average price increased a bit. Usiminas Mecânica.

Here you can see a negative EBITDA of around BRL 22 million. Here we also have the non-recurring effects of tax credits, PIS/COFINS, that we also observed in Usiminas Mecânica. Now other financial indicators. Working capital. We believe that we had an almost 15% increase of working capital of BRL 4 billion. This is BRL 4 billion. This is due to the tax credit PIS/COFINS and IRPJ/CSLL, but we also had effects in our stocks. The financial cost, prices, raw material, and intermediary stocks and finished products. As we can see on the next slide, by and large, the financial cost was offset by a reduction of 15% of physics. This is for finished products in process, and slab. At the end of the year, we had an inventory that was very similar to that of the fourth quarter of 2017.

Here, thinking about our cash position and indebtedness. Our debt is stable, around BRL 5.9 billion of gross debt, and our cash position also is around BRL 5.7 billion. We would like to remind you in our press release that we expect to have an advanced amortization during the first quarter of 2020, BRL 340 million of our debt regarding our cash position. We will have an advanced amortization. CapEx. During the last quarter, we had strong CapEx due to the scheduled shutdowns, BRL 240 million and BRL 178 million in steel. We ended the year with a CapEx very close to the guidance that we had given. That was around BRL 460 million. Here we bring our presentation to an end, and we are at your disposal to answer questions.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we will initiate our Q&A session now.

In order to pose a question, please press star one. To withdraw your question from the list, please press star two. We would like to remind you that this conference call is only for investors and market analysts, and questions from journalists should be sent to the press department of Usiminas through telephone 3134998918 or in the following email, imprensa@usiminas.com. We are waiting now for the questions to come in. Our first question from Thiago Ojea , Goldman Sachs.

Thiago Ojea
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good afternoon to everyone. Thank you for answering my question. My first question is regarding volumes. We saw that in 2018, the total volume of Usiminas grew 6%, and that of the market increased 11%, according to the Instituto Aço Brasil data. I believe there was a loss of market share here. Why did this happen? Any line of specific products? Could you elaborate on this? What about prices?

I imagine that now you have ended all the negotiations with the automobile industry, excluding the Japanese that will increase this afterwards. You know what the average number of negotiation is, if you believe that there is space to reassure or to increase the price in the short term.

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Good afternoon. Regarding volume, there was an increase in sales. We are talking about 6%, and the market increased around 10%. There is a part where we do not participate. In 2018, we imported some products for oil and gas projects, and Usiminas did not have capacity of production. These products impacted the consumption, but not in terms of sales volume. We received recovered products, and we have a long-term relationship with sectors, especially industrial and the automobile industry. We want to continue growing in the market and maintain our share in the Brazilian market.

But perhaps there are things that we will prioritize. We have businesses that we want a long-term relationship that will give us more sustainability. Regarding the price, we have a new contract with the automobile industry, and there was a price increase of 75%, and negotiation with other companies will take place next week. Now the parity. Today, we are observing a strong increase in iron ore, and this will impact the international prices, which will result in the increase of local prices. Our parity target is in a range between 7% and 10% against the international price. So yes, we do have wiggle space to increase, and this may take place next week.

Thiago Ojea
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Could I follow up? So you believe that the loss of volume was due to specific imports? Could you elaborate specifically in the fourth quarter, there was a drop of EG, Electro-Galvanized ?

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Yes.

This was driven by exports and something very specific, and we are giving more attention to special industrial end products.

Thiago Ojea
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you.

Operator

Next question from Leonardo Correa, BTG Pactual.

Leonardo Correa
Analyst, BTG Pactual

Afternoon to everyone. Thank you to everyone. Now my question regarding costs. Perhaps this has been one of the variables of the quarter. We see copper increased over 7% per ton. Do you know why copper increased, and was there— Oh, the COGS. No, your COGS, I'm sorry. Now, the catching up. We have coal prices that are still high, and another slab that now is around $30. I would like to know about this balance and your prediction of cost from here on. How will this take place during the first quarter and during 2019? What is your expectation regarding cost? This would help us to understand the pressure that are antagonic pressures.

Now, along these lines, I would like to understand if you could break out the economic situation of Cubatão now with hot coils and slabs. Your strategy to improve the results of Cubatão. Two, generally throughout the quarters, you help us to understand the prospects for the future in terms of results. So what do you think about the evolution in terms of volume, price, and cost? How much carryover would we have for the first quarter, vis-à-vis what type of cost do you expect for this first quarter? Just to verify what Thiago just mentioned, if I understood correctly, you're talking about an inflation in steel in the global market, and you would consider an increase in the domestic market. Or no? Or for the time being, there is no space to increase the prices in the domestic market.

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Leonardo, when we talk about costs, regarding our expectations for the first quarter, they are of reduction. This will depend on the evolution of iron ore during the first quarter. So within what we can see, or in terms of inventory, we imagine something around 4% drop in our costs. As I already explained, we have the reduction of fixed costs. That was something important in the fourth quarter, and now during the first quarter will no longer be significant. Now regarding Cubatão. It is a unit where we will always assess, and we will match the cost of buying slabs, vis-à-vis the price of the sale of the products. We have been able to do this in a normal and favorable way. We believe that we will have a pace of 100,000 to 120,000 tons, and with a positive result for the company. Now, regarding our slabs.

What I can tell you in advance is that the purchase of slabs for this quarter has already been made. We have already hired these volumes. Any variation in terms of slab prices will affect more the second quarter and even the third quarter than the volumes that we have scheduled for the first quarter. This is why we are thinking about 4% of cost reduction vis-à-vis the fourth quarter. Now, prices, volume. For volume, we see a stable market. The last forecast was a growth of approximately 6% in the total consumption of steel for 2019. Now, regarding the price for the first quarter. After celebrating the contracts with the auto industry and other industries, the price that we see is 4% or 5% for the first quarter. In the future, there is still space in the domestic market to readjust prices.

This is because of what we are observing right now.

Leonardo Correa
Analyst, BTG Pactual

Okay. I would just like to confirm something. Today, you said that you see a premium between 7% and 10%. Today, with the hot coil that is $510 per ton at the exchange rate, what is the premium level that you see?

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

The last quarter, we are within the range that was established by us. With the new adjustment now, we can increase 5% or 10%. This is for new negotiations that will affect the second semester of 2019.

Operator

Next question, Thiago Lofiego, Bradesco BBI.

Thiago Lofiego
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Good afternoon. First question regarding your CapEx. How many CapEx will you have in 2019? If you can talk about if you're considering the decommissioning of one of your areas, and how much this will cost. What about the credits of Eletrobras and also the tax credits from PIS/COFINS.

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Thiago, I'm going to try to answer your first and third question, then our Director, Carlos Rezzonico, will talk about dams. Regarding CapEx, we still do not have a figure because we're still analyzing this internally, so unfortunately, we don't have this figure. Of course, it will be higher than that of 2018, but we still don't have an accurate figure. There is an expectation of growth. Now regarding the credits from Eletrobras, the expectation is to be able to monetize this during 2019.

Thiago Lofiego
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

What the date is?

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

This will depend on the legal agreements, but our expectation is to resolve this during 2019. Regarding the tax credit of PIS/COFINS fiscal credits, we are using already these credits, and we started doing this during the fourth quarter of 2018, and we continue using this. We will use this throughout 2019.

The expectation here is to use these credits in 2.5 years. The normal pace, the monthly pace, is BRL 30 million on a monthly basis.

Thiago Lofiego
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Thank you. Regarding Eletrobras, is there any risk of maintaining this in your cash position? Will you have a discount in energy?

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

As far as we're concerned, the collection system exists, so the execution is in cash. Okay. Now about our dams.

Carlos Rezzonico
Executive Director of Mineração Usiminas, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Good afternoon, Thiago. Regarding our dam, we have two dams that are in conditions to be decommissioned. One of them is being analyzed. We've already done 20%, but we can say that it's under the decommissioning process. Now, the other dam or reservoir, we have a plan to decommission it. But we have to discuss this together with the agency based on the new resolutions that are expected for next month. We have 180 days to define this new decommissioning plan.

We see no problems with these two reservoirs, and we will do whatever the authorities are requiring.

Thiago Lofiego
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question, Caio Ribeiro, Credit Suisse.

Caio Ribeiro
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Good afternoon, and thank you for taking my question. The first question is regarding Mineração Usiminas. Could you tell us what are the agreements of the sale of these assets, or if something has changed due to the tragedy in Brumadinho? Will you have an expansion in galvanized products? Is this still something that you are considering? When will you make a decision regarding this investment?

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

The Mineração Usiminas analysis is underway. Although the impact that the mining industry had from Brumadinho, we believe that this is an asset, and this is a long-term perspective. Everything has already been considered, and the process continues as usual.

Regarding the new line of galvanized products, we have made progress in the study. The expectation is, I don't know if during the first semester, but up to the third quarter of this year, I believe that we will have a clear decision. This will happen throughout the year, and during this year, we will make a final decision regarding this project that is already in the advanced stage of analysis.

Caio Ribeiro
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question, Marcos Assumpção, Itaú BBA.

Marcos Assumpção
Analyst, Itaú BBA

Good morning. First question, regarding the mining business. If there is space of increasing the price of iron ore in the short term, because this is at a high level right now. If this is possible, and when will you have an increase in capacity? Another question. If the investment of BRL 140 million for dry stacking is for what type of capacity?

After this investment, will you stop using reservoirs? When you were talking about cost reduction during the first quarter of 2019, is this a CPP per ton or it is COGS per ton?

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

We will increase our production in 2019. It is in our plan. The budget has been presented to be approved during the month of February. Nevertheless, we were expecting a significant increase in our production. This increase of price. We cannot reduce time here, but we believe that we will have a good return from this increase of production. Regarding the dry stacking. The investment is for a plant of dry residue deposits, so we do not need to use reservoirs. Today, we have one active reservoir. That is the reservoir Samambaia, that was built by Usiminas.

It is a reservoir with high safety and we will use it until the compact project, that is more or less in five years. Therefore, you asked about volumes, and as I was mentioning, they are being presented in our budget, and as of the month of March, we will be able to tell you what these volumes are. Regarding the impact of the cost reductions of the first quarter. This is for COGS and CPP.

Marcos Assumpção
Analyst, Itaú BBA

Just to follow up in mining, how long would it take you to increase this capacity? Would it be quick? The increase of your capacity.

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Just to verify and to see how this can affect the supply of iron ore in Brazil. The increase of capacity evolves throughout the year, till Samambaia plant is commissioned.

We need a license from Leste Mine that we are not using because we do not have a license. Therefore, I would say that as of April, we would see an increase in volume.

Marcos Assumpção
Analyst, Itaú BBA

Thank you very much. Just one last question. Alberto, if you could help me out. When you see the retrofit of the Furnace 3 in Ipatinga, this will create a working capital to buy slabs or production of slabs. When can this impact Usiminas' working capital?

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Well, it will impact, but I believe it will be close to the year of the shutdown. That will be 2020. We are not going to accumulate a lot of slabs for a long period of time. It does not make sense. So the impact on working capital will be important during the year of the shutdown, and that we believe will be around 2021.

Marcos Assumpção
Analyst, Itaú BBA

Thank you very much.

Operator

Question, Gustavo Allevato, Santander Bank.

Gustavo Allevato
Analyst, Santander Bank

Good afternoon. I have three questions. The first one, we see a drop of production of cars this year, 10%, and if you see some sector in the short term from another sector that can offset the drop in the automobile industry. What about COGS? Is it concentrated in a customer? What about the production of iron ore of 2019? What kind of range do you expect this year?

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

The auto industry had better production, mainly in January and December, due to exports to Argentina. We have had the highest sales in January, and we calculate that the auto industry will grow better than the first quarter, but I believe that from here on, it will start growing until the end of the year. Regarding PDD, it was a specific customer that went through legal, financial reorganization.

So it was one customer of doubtful liquidation or provisions for doubtful account. Regarding volume, as I mentioned, the budget has not been approved yet. But we are presenting a plan to overtake the 8 million tons.

Operator

Next question, Antônio Heluany , Bank of America.

Antônio Heluany
Analyst, Bank of America

Good afternoon. My first question is to Sérgio regarding the export tariffs. I saw news talking about the meeting of Vale with Paulo Guedes and team. Could you give us an update of what this debate was like and what can we expect? Alberto, the follow-up regarding cost, especially when we talk about slabs. The price of slabs has dropped since the third quarter in average. So according to the size of your inventory and the final price, will we have a drop when we consider $430?

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Antonio, regarding our meeting with Minister Paulo Guedes, our board met with the minister in the end of January in Brasilia, and here we discussed a number of points, and we set forth our view regarding the economy, the international business, Brazilian business, and we also spoke about better liberal positioning in terms of international trade. We told him that we were in favor of liberalism and international trade relations, provided there is a balance in trade relationships. This balance does not exist in Brazil in its trade relationships with the main partners, and I would like to highlight China. That would be the main partner. Our conclusion here in this meeting was going toward more liberalism in international trade will be done gradually with the transformation industry and after the government corrects the asymmetries in terms of taxes and other asymmetries. The meeting was very positive.

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Now, regarding the cost of the slabs. You are right regarding the first quarter. The cost of the slabs were dropping, and this is included within our expectations of production cost and products sold. Now, the second quarter, what can I say? It is difficult to state this because we are still going to contract, and then we can see that, for example, the hot coil price is reacting and there is a difference in iron ore prices. This will also affect the steel. So right now we cannot say that what we saw during the first quarter will happen during the second quarter.

Antônio Heluany
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you very much, Alberto and Sérgio.

Operator

Next question, Carlos de Alba, Morgan Stanley.

Carlos de Alba
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

[Non-English content ] Thank you very much. I have a question about iron ore production.

Do you believe that there is a problem in the drop of volume in the short term because of the tragedy in Brumadinho? Do you believe that Mineração Usiminas will continue operating with no problems in the short term? Now, in terms of mining, you have spoken to the government, and do you know if they will ask for a shutdown or if they will, for example, assess a reservoir? So I would like to understand if you have spoken to the agencies and the government to know if you will have to shut down one of your reservoirs. In terms of steel, I would like to know if you have a bottleneck, and where do you have this problem?

If you could elaborate on this, and how can you increase your capacity to produce more volumes and to meet high-quality galvanized products for the auto industry and for other products that are not of great added value but will give you a positive EBITDA. Now, Sérgio, could you mention specifically, how do you believe the government is going to deal with imports? Do you believe that this is a decision that will happen in the short term, or do you believe that this will be analyzed in a longer period of time? Because I am receiving these type of questions from the investors.

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Carlos. Now, regarding your first question. Mineração Usiminas has not been impacted by the events in Vale. So simply what we see here, the issuance of licenses is slower, not only for reservoirs, but all types of licenses. So Mineração Usiminas has not been impacted by these events.

We have spoken with the community. We have reassured them. We have showed that our reservoirs are safe, and for the time being, they are feeling reassured. Now, regarding the future of the reservoirs, I would like to remind you that we only have one reservoir that is a downstream reservoir, and we do not know what the new resolutions are going to be. We know that at the end of the month, the commission that was appointed to study the new foundations will inform the new requirements and the new conditions for the issuance of licenses. For the time being, we are waiting for these new recommendations. Neither the Secretariat of Environment or any other agency from the state knows what the new requirements are going to be. But we believe that this will not impact our operation.

Tulio Chipoletti
Industrial VP, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

This is Tulio speaking.

If I understood correctly, you asked about our production capacity and finished goods and if we have a bottleneck in our production. When we talk about cold-rolled steel and hot-rolled steel, we have a high production. This is cold and hot-rolled steels, so finished goods of cold-rolled and hot-rolled steels, we have available products. The HDG works full capacity, about 1 million tons a year, and this is why we mentioned this is why we're under the study to install a third line for galvanized products. So, we are not talking about increase of capacity that will substitute a new line, but we are working to increase to withdraw some bottlenecks from the galvanized line to increase production. But this does not resolve the problem of a new line for the future.

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Carlos. Now, regarding the PEC reduction, that was one of the points that we spoke about with our minister. Here we had a number of advisors from the Ministry, and I would like to highlight two secretaries, Carlos da Costa and Marcos Troyjo. In this meeting, through Instituto Aço Brasil, we initiated conversation with the structure of the Ministry of Economy, especially about this point. Now, PEC, this includes Mercosur. It's a common external tariff. These negotiations of future values have to be conducted together with the government of Argentina mainly. Our expectation is that in the short term, there will be no drop in the PEC. That may take place in the middle long term. The minister's view is that this will be gradual, negotiable, and after correcting asymmetries in international trade.

Carlos de Alba
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. I would like to clarify the production capacity.

Why not sell more hot-rolled steel or cold-rolled steel? Why? Because your product isn't what the market is demanding, or because you have fiercer competition in these two products? That would be cold-rolled, hot-rolled steels.

Sérgio Leite
CEO, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

In 2018, there was a growth in the market. What we mentioned at the beginning of the call was that last year we had imports of Heavy plate that no Brazilian industry had the ability to deliver. What we already mentioned before, but for our market, for this market, we see that there is capacity, we have competitiveness, and although the competition is strong, we have all the conditions to deal with the market.

Operator

Next question, Luiz Otavio, Meta Asset Management .

Luiz Otavio
Analyst, Meta Asset Management

Good afternoon. Could you talk about the cost during the first quarter? I would like to understand in terms of sale, what are the volume sales?

I would like to understand the adjusted EBITDA, it includes the non-recurring effects. Don't you believe that you should show this adjusted EBITDA without these recurring effects? Because this would be more aligned with what other companies are doing.

Alberto Ono
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais

Regarding sales, it's important to understand that 2018 started with a strong demand, and then this growth forecast started slowing down. The forecast for this year is a bit different. We will have a semester a bit slower in terms of growth and a more accelerated growth during the second semester of the year. We still have a forecast of a 6% growth of the year. The first semester, we have a stable market vis-a-vis the first semester of last year. Now, regarding your question, the adjusted EBITDA. We analyzed a number of situations. We were close to our SEC requirements. The EBITDA, there are a number of concepts.

We chose one concept that is part of our earnings result announcement. We followed the CVM criteria here.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as we have no further questions, we bring our conference call to an end. Should you have any questions, the investor relations team is at your disposal. Thank you very much and have a very good afternoon.