Thank you, Bella. Hello, everyone, and welcome to Syensqo's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. I'm Sherief Bakar, Head of Investor Relations, and I'm joined today in Brussels by our CEO, Ilham Kadri, and our CFO, Christopher Davis. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded and will be accessible for replay on the Investor Relations section of our website later today at syensqo.com/investors. I'd also like to remind you that during this call, we'll be making forward-looking statements regarding our future business and financial performance that are subject to risks and uncertainties. The slides related to this presentation, along with today's press release, are also available to download from our website. Turning to today's agenda, Ilham will begin with an overview of the quarter. Chris will then go into more details on our financial performance before turning the call back to Ilham, who will discuss our outlook for 2025.
We will then be happy to take your questions. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ilham.
Thank you, Sherief. Good afternoon and good morning to everyone. The first quarter of the year saw us deliver and slightly exceed our outlook in a challenging market environment. Chris will take you through more of the details of our quarter one performance in his usual financial review. I'll then share some thoughts on our unchanged outlook and some context relating to the evolving tariff and global trade dynamics. Turning back to the quarter one highlights, as Chris will demonstrate in his comments, we delivered resilient sales growth with stable pricing despite the headwinds we flagged last quarter in specialty polymers. Our performance was led by composite materials and technology solutions, which on a reported basis both delivered 10% growth with 7% growth in Novecare.
While gross margin was impacted by lower volume in specialty polymers, we saw 160 basis points sequential improvement supported by higher pricing and margin expansion in both materials and performance and care. An underlying EBITDA of EUR 311 million increased by 5% sequentially, with EBITDA margin increasing by approximately 60 basis points to 19.2%. The first quarter of the year also saw us make excellent progress to fully separate our systems and IT infrastructure from Solvay. In early May, we successfully completed a key milestone with the cutover of our ERP systems, which are now fully owned and operated by Syensqo. We also continued to execute our EUR 300 million share buyback program, repurchasing an additional EUR 56 million in the quarter, which took us to approximately 40% of the total program. Taking into account the repurchases in the first six weeks of quarter two, we are almost at 50%.
Turning to our updated segment reporting on slide six. As you would have seen from our press release earlier this week and in our quarter one results, we have updated our segment reporting, creating two new segments to replace the former consumer and resources. By separating the businesses we intend to divest, we now have two segments, materials in one hand and the newly created performance and care. They are both better aligned with our pure play strategy, as well as providing better visibility to the investment community into the profitability of Novecare and technology solutions. Excluding oil and gas and aroma, the underlying EBITDA margin of performance and care was more than 350 basis points higher than the previous consumer and resources segments in 2024 and much closer to its best-in-class peers.
What you see on the left-hand side of the slide is a simpler, higher margin and more focused specialty company with approximately three quarters of its EBITDA generated by the higher margin material segments. Starting with specialty polymers, our largest and highest margin business unit. Composite materials, which is exposed to a broader range of civil and defense customers and programs with strong underlying demand and has increased its EBITDA margin over the last five years from low to double digit to above 20%. Novecare, with its portfolio of surface chemistry, focused on the home and personal care, coatings, and agricultural end markets, and technology solutions, a global leader in specialty mining reagents and technical services, which is our second highest margin business. Now let's turn to our segment highlights for the first quarter. Starting with materials.
As I mentioned earlier, Q1 performance was led by double-digit growth in composite materials, with broad-based growth in both civil and space and defense applications. As expected, our performance in civil aerospace was impacted by these tokenized Boeing following the strike action at the end of last year. On a year-on-year basis, specialty polymers performance saw mixed end market dynamics. As we referenced on last quarter's call, Q1 was impacted by specific headwinds in electronics, where sales were down by approximately 30% year-on-year, primarily due to temporary customer destocking in semiconductors in the first half of the year and to a lesser extent from lower sales in consumer electronics. Growth was led by food and pharma packaging, with stable performance in healthcare. At a materials level, EBITDA margin of 28% reflects the lower volume in specialty polymers and unfavorable mix given the higher growth in composite materials.
Turning to performance and care, where we delivered 8% year-on-year growth. For technology solutions, we continued to see strong underlying demand supported by market share gains. Growth was also supported by an easier year-on-year comparison. For Novecare, growth was driven by agro and to a lesser extent by home and personal care supported by share gains as well, with a slower start to the year in coatings. At segment level, underlying EBITDA margin of around 18% saw healthy sequential increase, up 140 basis points. With that, I'll turn the call over to Chris to go through our financial performance in more detail. Chris.
Thank you, Ilham. Good morning and good afternoon to everyone on the call. As Ilham has referenced, 2025 is a year that has commenced with a great deal of uncertainty. Whilst we did not expect any near-term recovery in demand as we commenced the year, the impact of tariffs, by contrast, has introduced friction and volatility into global markets. Ilham will cover this in the outlook section of her remarks. Despite this, I'm pleased to report that we finished the first quarter of 2025 slightly above expectations. With that in mind, let us turn to slide nine, which summarizes our first quarter financial results. For the quarter, net sales totaled EUR 1.6 billion, in line with the prior comparable period. Volumes were down 1% due primarily to the expected lower demand in our specialty polymers segment.
I will talk more about the drivers of sales by each business segment in a later slide. As I have previously mentioned, we remain committed to defending our gross margins as this reflects our value proposition and how we manage both our sales and cost of goods sold. In this respect, our gross margin at 32% continues to reflect our specialty value proposition and improved by 160 basis points on a sequential basis, driven by strong volumes and pricing within composite materials and generally a better pricing environment in the first quarter. Whilst the individual mix of products within each of the segments can impact the margins in any single quarter, the important message is the trend and our ability to defend pricing and maintain cost discipline over the period, regardless of the impact of volumes. At EUR 311 million, underlying EBITDA for the first quarter is slightly above expectations.
Turning to operating performance by segment on slide 10. As Ilham mentioned, and aligned with the announcement to divest both the aroma and oil and gas businesses, we have created a new segment named Other Solutions, so as to provide a better picture of the true underlying performance of our performance and care segment. Within our specialty polymers business, sales revenue reduced by 11% compared to the prior comparable period, primarily due to the expected lower volumes in electronics and to a lesser extent in automotive. As Ilham referenced, and as we saw in the fourth quarter of last year, the lower volumes in electronics primarily relates to sales to certain semiconductor customers who have delayed new fab construction projects. This has resulted in an extended period of destocking in the value chain, which we continue to expect will impact our growth in the first half of the year.
In addition, year-on-year volumes were also impacted by the design change we referenced last quarter in consumer electronics. On the plus side, volumes improved in packaging applications on the back of strong demand across all markets in the quarter. Net pricing in specialty polymers remained broadly flat, with modest declines in the automotive and battery applications. Revenue from composite materials continued its strong improvement, totaling EUR 317 million, a 10% increase compared to the prior period. Despite the expected impact on sales to Boeing, increased sales to other commercial aviation programs and space and defense applications drove a strong performance in the quarter. Sales to commercial aviation improved by 9% compared to the prior comparable period, and sales to space and defense improved by 14%, resulting in our EBITDA margin in composite materials exceeding 20%.
This demonstrates the strong value proposition of our range of products and our exposure to a mix of customers and programs within both civil aviation and defense applications. The net result in our materials segment is EBITDA of EUR 254 million in the quarter and a strong EBITDA margin of 28%. NovaCare delivered sales of EUR 371 million, and technology solutions sales were EUR 169 million, a year-on-year increase of 7% and 10% respectively. Within NovaCare, agro sales increased 19%, representing the third consecutive quarter of strong year-on-year growth. Whilst we have seen a shift of product mix to lower margin products in the agro market, stronger demand and a return to a more balanced level has driven the improvement in sales in the quarter.
Home and personal care sales increased 11%, driven by share gains in targeted businesses across Asia, increased demand for premium products from key customers in Europe, and a rebound in the North American sales via distributors. Technology solutions benefited from new business and customer wins and a higher reagent consumption in copper mining. The net result is that performance and care delivered an EBITDA of EUR 96 million in the quarter and an EBITDA margin of 18%. Within the other solutions segment, EBITDA improved to EUR 17 million on the back of positive net pricing and lower fixed costs. The net effect of what I have just described is reflected on slide 11. As mentioned on the previous slide, all businesses, with the exception of specialty polymers and to a lesser extent aroma, experienced improved volumes compared to the prior comparable period.
The lower volumes in specialty polymers, more specifically electronics and automotive, is the single largest driver at a Syensqo Group level of the year-on-year decline in EBITDA when compared to the first quarter of 2024. Absent the lower volumes in electronics and automotive, specialty polymers volumes were flat year-on-year basis, reflecting the shorter-term headwinds in electronics and slower overall industry growth in automotive. This was partially offset by savings in fixed costs and flat year-on-year net pricing, as well as the improved performance from composite business, as already described. The net result is a decline in EBITDA of EUR 60 million in the materials segment compared to the first quarter of 2024. In performance and care, the strong sales from technology solutions and NovaCare was offset by higher input costs, most notably oleochemicals, as well as an unfavorable mix in NovaCare.
This resulted in a year-on-year EBITDA decline of EUR 1 million in the first quarter of 2025. Other solutions improved by EUR 5 million compared to the prior period as a result of savings in fixed costs in the aroma business. Whilst we will no longer report net pricing, I am pleased to say that at a Syensqo group level, net pricing in the quarter was marginally positive. The net result is EBITDA of EUR 311 million for the first quarter of the year. Turning to capital expenditure, our total capital expenditure for the quarter was EUR 176 million. This remains in line with our expectations, with higher planned maintenance and safety spend in the first quarter, as well as spend on IT infrastructure as we separate from Solvay.
In terms of CapEx phasing for the year, we expect the first quarter to be the highest quarter in terms of capital expenditure spend, and this remains within our envelope of EUR 600 million for the year, which is more than 10% lower than our spend in 2024. Included within the EUR 176 million is growth capital expenditure of EUR 90 million related to the spend on the PVDF facility in Tavaux, France, investments in technology solutions in Welland, Canada, and Gelon expansion in Spinetta in Italy. Over the coming years, and as capacity is filled, these projects are expected to contribute more than EUR 100 million of incremental EBITDA. As you will have seen in a separate release today, we have secured more than EUR 150 million of PVDF contracts in the first quarter, which will be serviced by the Tivaux site in the future, a first step towards achieving this target.
As a reminder, 2025 is expected to be a peak year of investments, driven by a significant reduction in both the spend on the Tavaux site and the transition to a separate digital and IT infrastructure from Solvay. Our focus going forward is therefore on leveraging our existing capacities that we have today to meet future volume growth. This requires no additional capital expenditure. We will also focus on investing in smaller and faster organic growth opportunities where the market exists and where we are at capacity, thereby accelerating our strategy. Finally, we will maintain our investment-grade credit rating and reward shareholders in line with sustainable cash generation. As with the decision to defer the spend on the North American PVDF facility, we will continue to evaluate all capital expenditure and only invest when we are comfortable that the market exists and that the returns are acceptable.
In this respect, we will remain responsible custodians of cash. Moving to our operating cash flows on slide 13. The generation of strong operating cash flows remains a key focus for the business. In the first quarter of 2025, operating cash flows were EUR 176 million. Based on the last 12 months, this results in a cash conversion of 80%. Free cash flow to shareholders for the quarter was EUR 37 million. We continue to target free cash flow of EUR 400 million for the full year in 2025. It is important to note that 2025 remains a year of transition from a cash perspective. With the separation from Solvay in late 2023, there remain separation costs to be incurred so that Syensqo can operate as an independent company.
As we head into 2026, the situation will improve significantly, with reduced spend on separation and a finalization of growth capital being spent on the Tavaux site. Together, these account for EUR 200 million-EUR 250 million of cash outflow in 2025 that will not repeat in 2026 and beyond. Turning to our financial position, I am pleased to report that we continue to have a strong balance sheet, with our net debt remaining at EUR 1.9 billion, a gearing ratio of 22%, and a leverage ratio of 1.4x. We continue to have low levels of gearing and a balanced debt maturity profile. We have strong levels of liquidity available, as demonstrated by the EUR 1.7 billion of undrawn committed bank facilities and a further EUR 600 million of cash and cash equivalents and other financial instruments on hand as of the 31st of March 2025.
With that, I'll now hand you back to Ilham. Thank you.
Thank you, Chris. Looking into the balance of the year, I think it's clear that everyone's crystal ball is pretty cloudy. In what was already an uncertain demand environment, the evolving and unpredictable tariff and global trade dynamics, as we have seen in the last few days, has made it even more challenging for global companies to operate and look too far ahead with clarity. Indeed, in the process of preparing our materials for today's call, we've had to adapt to these ever-changing situations. For Syensqo, we believe that the combination of our balanced regional footprint and mitigation actions positions us to see a limited direct impact from tariffs. However, the broader consequences on end demand and the global economy remain unknown.
As we navigate this evolving period of uncertainty, our focus remains on executing on initiatives that we can control to help mitigate potential shorter-term headwinds and ensure we are taking action to support our longer-term growth and value creation potential. Turning to full-year outlook on slide 16. The high-level takeaway is that based on the assumptions we shared at the end of February, our 2025 outlook is unchanged. Our quarter one performance was slightly better than expected, and we continue to expect a stronger second half of the year than the first, supported by a number of more Syensqo specific drivers. Turning to tariffs. At a high level, we believe the broader impact of the recent announcement has resulted in increased uncertainty, reduced visibility, and increased operating costs, conditions that are fundamentally at odds with the interests of shareholders seeking steady long-term value creation.
For Syensqo, we believe our global manufacturing footprint and proximity to customers, coupled with the mitigation actions we are taking, should serve us well as we adapt and manage our direct exposures. Mitigation measures already implemented include tariff surcharges, refining our supply chain exposures, redirecting capacity to serve local and regional customers less affected by the higher tariffs, and taking actions to further localize production and increase our flexibility, for example, using our compounding capabilities in China to qualify more volumes. While the external factors related to tariffs, including the impact on foreign exchange rates, are out of control, we will double down on actions that we can, including the acceleration of our restructuring and cost-saving initiatives to both offset the inflationary impact on costs during the year and deliver more than EUR 200 million of run rate savings by the end of 2026.
Advancing our mitigation plans and actions to try and reduce potential direct cost impact in the coming quarters, as well as completing our full separation from Solvay by the end of the year at the latest, which will also allow us to drive more efficiencies. Finally, a few words on quarter two. The evolving tariff dynamics have made it even more challenging to provide a specific outlook for quarter two, as the entire value chain is now adapting to the news from earlier this week and the trade relations between the U.S. and China. Nevertheless, what we can say at this stage is that we expect quarter two to show sequential improvements in EBITDA. Starting in quarter two and for the balance of the year, we should also start to see greater benefits from cost savings.
Combined with the easing of headwinds in the first half in electronics and aerospace, this will also help to support a higher net sales and EBITDA in the second half of the year than the first, consistent with the full-year outlook we provided in February. In closing, the first quarter saw us deliver on our outlook. While we continue to operate in these uncertain times, our focus remains on what we can control, accelerating how we can become more efficient, hunting for new growth opportunities to drive more profitable volumes, and how we can unlock value. With that, we are ready for your questions. Thank you, and back to you, Sherief.
Thank you, Ilham. We'll now move to the Q&A session. Bella, can we please have our first question?
At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We do request for today's session that you please limit to one question and one follow-up. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Matthew Yates with Bank of America. Your line is now open. Go ahead.
Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Maybe it is principally for Chris. If I understand correctly, you're reiterating the EUR 200 million cost-saving plan, but are now trying to accelerate the realization of that. Can you just be a bit more specific as to what the latest thinking is on the actual contribution in 2025 itself, and maybe contextualize that with whatever the original sort of budget was when you gave the guidance?
Then as a sort of related follow-up, within your commentary on Novecare, you're talking about both fixed and variable cost inflation, and that weighed on the margins. When we think about the overall cost base of the group in 2025, what do you think the net change is, given those two dynamics of the restructuring versus the underlying inflation that you're seeing? Thank you.
Thank you, Matthew. I'll start with the cost, and then you take, Chris, the other one. Yeah, indeed, Matthew, you remember we have been targeting over EUR 200 million run rate cost savings by the end of 2026, which equates more or less to offsetting roughly three years of fixed cost inflation in two years, right? This is what we've been working with the team since last year.
We continue to expect cost savings, for the reasons you know, to be phased towards the second half of the year, aligned with our full-year outlook. Nothing changed there. In the first quarter of 2025, actually, the cost saving offset the fixed and variable cost inflation in line with the expectation and what we told you earlier in the year. You have seen it probably in the press release, we are accelerating cost actions. I mean, this team, and for those who followed us for the past six years, we are not wasting a good crisis. We have announced that we will have 200 additional full-time equivalent reductions on top of the 300-350 announced in November 2024. Obviously, this is going to start with the social dialogue, and it is going to impact next year. Next one, Chris?
Yeah, let me take it.
Matthew, apologies if I do not fully understand the question. At a group level, as I indicated in my call or in my speech, net pricing was marginally up. If you look at it specifically around performance and care specific to Novecare, given the impact of oleochemicals, they had a bit of margin squeeze in the quarter. When I look at the fixed costs across the group, it is marginally up. The bulk of that sits in our composite materials business as we put extra resources on board to increase the output and the efficiencies, given the very, very strong demand environment that we have in composite materials. The rest, where there are fixed cost increases, is not material to talk about.
Thank you both.
Your next question comes from the line of Laurent Favre with BNP . Please go ahead. Mr. Favre with BNP, your line is now unmuted. You may begin. Mr. Favre, your line might be on mute. Your next question comes from—oh, okay.
Sorry.
You may begin.
Apologies. Apologies. Two questions, please. The first one is on the rearm interim billion plan in Europe. I was wondering if you could talk about what are the key relevant areas of this plan that could impact your business in composites over the next, let's say, three years, and if you could help us dimensionalize the outside. The second question, maybe for Chris, is on specific guidance on corporate costs. If you could talk about, as the ERP integration is now done, how we should think about corporate costs for the rest of this year, but also as we go into the clean 2026 year. Thank you.
Yeah. I'll start maybe, Chris.
Yes, Laurent, the potential for higher defense spending, specifically in Europe, but frankly, not only in Europe, I just came back from India, is the same, represents a major growth opportunity for composite materials. On Europe, as you mentioned, is driven by the ReArm Europe plan. There is a broad political consensus, and the EU and European defense budgets are increasing sharply, with over EUR 800 million in new spending expected by 2030. Obviously, we have a good resume. We have a good resume as a company in the U.S., in Korea, with the fighter jets there. As I told you, we see other opportunities in India. Too early to get into specifics. Obviously, the budgets have to be approved by a member of state and allocate to specific programs. It is clearly a tailwind, right, over the coming years, post 2025, 2026.
Cannot comment on specific programs, but we are sitting in all those rooms, right, from Brussels to member states and the main countries, right, who are now building up the value chain and broader range of future, yeah, fighter jets and defense materials. Stay tuned.
Laurent, let me take your next question about the corporate costs. I think you know corporate costs last year was around EUR 220 million. This year, we expect it to be approximately EUR 200 million. Now, what you need to bear in mind, albeit that we transitioned the systems in the last week or so, we've had an element of duplication of costs because we still run on the TSA from Solvay up to a certain point. We are in Hypercare with them today in a parallel process, and then we switch over to our systems as we continue to go forward.
Yes, the costs will be lower relative to last year. I think the biggest impact you'll see is as we start going into 2026.
On that point, a more normal corporate cost for next year could be EUR 150 million, EUR 160 million, something like that?
Yeah, at this stage, we haven't given any guidance on 2026 costs, but we will come out with something during the course of the year.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Martin Radiger with Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.
Hello, Ilham. Hello, Chris. My one question is about the shift of the oil and gas and the aroma performance business into the separate segment. Chris, you said that the purpose for the new segment reporting was to show how profitable your core business, i.e., performance and care, is.
Why did you not put both non-core activities into discontinued operations, or will that happen once you have concrete negotiations with a bidder? My follow-up question regarding these two disposal candidates is, given the fact that the profitability of these activities is rather low and you do not earn your cost of capital, would you be willing to accept a negative enterprise value in case you find a buyer? Thank you.
Yeah, Martin, let me take the first one about discontinued operations, one of my favorite subjects here. I do think you pretty much answered the question yourself. We announced in the last quarter that we had made a strategic decision to divest of the oil and gas and aroma businesses. Frankly, these businesses do remain attractive businesses, but in the hands of the right owner because we have obviously got a number of opportunities to look at.
We have, in the meantime, separated them into other solution segments so that our investors can really fully appreciate the quality of both Novecare and technology solutions. I think that has come out in a lot of the comments that we've had. You're right. The reporting of businesses as discontinued operations is really subject to strict accounting rules and criteria, not least of which is how close you are or have signed an agreement that is binding. That is regulated under IFRS 5, as you'll appreciate. Now, the biggest difference between the way we've treated it as an other segment versus discontinued operation is nothing more than the stopping of depreciations once you classify it as discontinued. I'll stop there and then hand over to Ilham for the next question.
Yeah, Martin, I acknowledge that probably the oil and gas specifically was not the best acquisition this company has made. You remember, Martin, when I joined the company, I made an impairment short after my arrival, if my memory is right, probably quarter three 2019. It was at that time falling knife, and with COVID, it did not help improving the macros in general. We halted conversation because I heard it when I was on the roadshows that the process was that open. It is not true. We halted conversation with third parties due to the split as a tax-free spin-off required in many jurisdictions to freeze the perimeter. Now we are where we are. We have two businesses which are not cash drains. The macros are specifically improving for aroma. The U.S. imposed duties on synthetic vanillin and other natural vanillin of 213% effectively make Chinese imports of vanillin prohibitive.
This is already effective since early this year, January 2025. I expect the EU, although I hope it's not a strategy, to reinforce anti-dumping duties of around 100% plus, but bear with me, probably between now and summertime. This will have long-term positive impacts on the aroma. Yeah, the carve-out is being proceeded on the aroma side. Oil and gas is ready. Obviously, it's too early to talk about our conversation with potential bidders. Back to you, Sherief.
For that question, Mr. Kepler, your next question comes from the line of Mr. Peter Clark from Bernstein. Please go ahead.
Yes, good afternoon, everyone. I just want to confirm that you said the composite margin has gone above 20% on EBITDA.
The reason I'm asking that is, obviously, when it came in with Sytec 10 years ago or so, it was sort of just around the 20%, just above on the aerospace side. Obviously, had trouble, ERP problems, etc. It started recovering. It got back to a new peak, we thought. There was COVID. You ripped out a ton of cost and then started recovering again. I'm really surprised. Is it just a quarterly thing, or is it very volatile in there? I'm surprised it was so low, just going above 20%. The follow-up with that, obviously, is looking forward. Clearly, good momentum there, great visibility in terms of the business. You speak about India, etc. Just wondering about the F-35 in there. Obviously, there's a bit of an uncertainty building on that. It hasn't happened yet, apart from maybe one country.
That was a very profitable, and it is a very profitable plane for you. Just any comments you might want on that? Thank you.
Yeah, thanks, Peter. I'll take it. Yeah, I mean, the composite material, again, when I joined the company, and you may remember the Cytec times I mean, it was not at that level of profitability. One of the objectives I have had, specifically during COVID times, we have been restructuring the composite material, including, actually, was the first plant closures ever happening in the history of Solvay at that time, right, where we removed some of the inefficient assets at lower return than the cost of capital. With the COVID, it helped us to not lose market share. We also divested the industrial part, which was very low margin.
I think the composite material, and that's the good news, have been really closing the gap in terms of EBITDA margin compared to some formidable competitors there. I am very proud of the team, proud of what they have been doing. Now we are working on our efficiency. The best is yet to come, I believe, because we are automating our manufacturing assets. You have seen it even with the Boeing strike and the stocking happening and impacting quarter one, quarter two, composite material is growing double digits in civil and defense. On the F-35, yeah, I mean, this is a nice program. We like it. While I cannot comment on a specific program, the defense is poised to grow. I remind you that civil aviation represents approximately 60% of composite material. Space and defense represents 36%.
In quarter one of this year, this sector grew 9% and 14%, respectively, with EBITDA margin now exceeding 20%. Yeah, and as we announced at the end of last year or early this year, I do not remember, we are looking at smaller projects within composite materials that increase capacity incrementally with strong returns, given the sector is likely to remain robust with a very solid order book. With all what you have heard from recent U.S. administration visit to the Middle East, from the civil aviation, the 210 aircraft from Boeing, and the 140-plus billion in defense. All of these are good tailwinds for our composite materials on top of what I said already on the European defense growing budget. Back to you.
For that question, Mr. Clark, your next question comes from the line of Tristan Lamutt with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Hi, thanks for taking my questions. The first is on kind of phasing. I know you alluded earlier in your comments, but just looking to understand what drives the step-up through the rest of the year. I understand the cost savings impact did not really hit Q1 that much. Boeing strike is kind of front-end weighted, some of the stockings may be kind of ending now. You gave an EUR 80 million sales impact. I guess that does not explain the step-up through the year in total. I am just wondering if you could give a little bit more color on that sequential improvement and the second half weighting. Thanks.
Yeah, thank you, Tristan. Listen, we expect quarter two EBITDA, as we said, and Chris said it, to sequentially be higher. Now, given all the uncertainty and evolving dynamics around tariff, it is obviously difficult to be precise at this point.
We expect sequential improvements in specialty polymers, obviously. Example, automotive as well, which will also help mix versus Q1. We also expect to see greater benefits from the cost savings, obviously, when you prepare for any restructuring. As you know, Tristan, you have a social dialogue, you have implementation, and now we are in that wave one implementation. This is going to hit the second half. All these cost savings are more balanced towards the second half, and we told you that. For the full year, we continue to expect again a stronger H2. It is driven by three things. One, the absence of impact of the Boeing strike in H2, which we expect will be a headwind of around EUR 20 million in H1. Two, the end of the stocking in semicon, we told you that, which we can see in our order book, by the way.
It was Q1, Q2, and should be around EUR 40 million tailwind to the second half versus the first. It's not wishful thinking. We talk to our customers, and this is going to happen. Three, the phasing of the cost saving we talked about, which are balanced towards the second half. Yeah, that's it. Anything to add, Chris?
No, I think you hit the nail on the head.
Thank you. Back to you.
Thank you for that question, Mr. Lamutt. Your next question comes from the line of Mr. Tom Wrigglesworth with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Thanks for the opportunity to ask questions. Kind of following on and thinking about 2026 free cash flow generation, can we identify the kind of buckets or maybe the headwinds that you're experiencing in 2025 that won't reoccur in 2026?
I'm not looking for guidance on the kind of the cycle, more of the moving parts as you see them that will help support, improve free cash flow generation in 2026. Thank you.
Yeah, Tom, thanks very much for that question. I mean, I was quite clear that what we're not going to do is necessarily give full guidance on 2026 at this stage. What I'd like to try and help and frame for you in the discussion, in 2025, this is expected to be a peak year of investments, particularly from a capital expenditure perspective. We are expecting a significant reduction in both the spend on the Tavaux site and the transition to a separate digital and IT infrastructure from Solvay. That's obviously been a fair amount that's built into our capital expenditure for this year.
In terms of the other free cash flow drivers, we expect lower restructuring costs versus 2025, albeit if there's opportunities to make savings in the future, those are things we will always consider. Outside of free cash flow, we obviously also expect significant reduction in the separation costs. As part of the 2024 year-end results, we announced that in 2025, there would be approximately EUR 150 million-EUR 200 million in separation costs in 2025, and these will not repeat as we go into 2026. I think putting all of this together, we expect to see higher free cash flow in 2026 and lower one-off cash payments outside of this.
Thanks, Mr. Rigglesworth. Your next question comes from the line of Shetan Udishi with JP Morgan. Please go ahead. Yeah, hi. Thanks for taking my question.
The first question was, I heard you say that your net pricing was positive in the quarter. If I'm not mistaken, I think this is the first time it's turned positive since the second half of 2023. As you think about the rest of the year, do you think you've turned the corner now on net pricing, that gradual unwind of peak pricing? Is that behind us? You can still see that coming through in the next few quarters, may not be a clear trend yet. Anything there would be appreciated. The second question was, and sorry if this is a bit straight, but on one hand, you are saying that the visibility is low and hence you can't guide to second quarter. Then, Ilham, I heard you say that on second half, you have pretty strong visibility because of order book.
I'm just trying to tie those two things together. If you have such good visibility on the second half, why not on the second quarter? Last question, sorry to squeeze one more in. Your specialty polymers volumes are down 10%, I think, roughly year on year. I mean, maybe you can just help us break it down into how much of that is the business that you lost with, I think, Apple or whoever, and then the semicond stocking. Why is semicond stocking just a factor or phenomenon for Syensqo? When I look at some of your competitors, they're all seeing pretty good growth in electronics and semicon included. Why is that de-stocking so much a factor for Syensqo and something that we do not see elsewhere? Thank you.
Chetan, I'll start with the net pricing.
One other thing that we did over the course of 2024 is demonstrate quarter to quarter a consistent maintenance of our net pricing. You will recollect that of the 97, a significant portion was Aroma and Oil and Gas, and the bulk of the majority was Novecare, which was more than offset in volumes. We always said as we went into 2025, we were going to continue to defend our pricing, and we are comfortable where you look at our gross margin that we've done that. Now, the only reason I chose to give you some numbers around net pricing is to continue to give you that comfort that we are maintaining net pricing over the period and that we will continue to defend going forward.
Yeah. On quarter two, Chetan, I'm sure you can appreciate, and you are covering most of our peers and customers.
Visibility is challenging given the evolving macro dynamics. Frankly, this is a time where we manage business on a 90-day basis. You wake up one morning and you have one type of tariffs, and the other day, another one. I mean, in the middle of the quarter, tariffs have changed drastically between the U.S. and China, as you know. Some customers were on wait-and-see mode, and then they start calling. Let's not go there. I think we are focusing on what we control, accelerating cost savings. We expect that following news from earlier in the week will now likely go through a period of more changes. We are adapting our value chain, not only to mitigate the short-term tariff-wise, but actually structurally, we're looking at what can be positive for us, right?
As I said, we are redirecting, for example, some of our production from the U.S. to India, for example, as some of our customers in electronics are moving from China to India. While not importing from the U.S., we may actually import from India or Japan for some of our products, our JV with Sumitomo to China. Anyway, those are things which can structurally make a difference, short and longer term, right? Nevertheless, I think we wanted to give you a bit of view in quarter two. That is why we told you we expect to see higher sequential EBITDA than quarter one for the balance of the year, a stronger H2 versus H1. I have given you the three pillars: the absence of Boeing strike, the de-stocking in semiconductors, and the visibility. I did not say the order book is visible.
I said that in the semicons and the fab, the largest customers who were de-stocking in H1 told us they will buy in H2, and that's the visibility we have. The last pillar is cost savings. There was a last question. Specialty polymers. Specialty polymers. Yeah, I mean, electronics, I mean, without electronics and automotive, I think you said it, right, Chris, in your comments, the volumes were flat year on year, and that's really positive on the specialty polymer side. On electronics, and first of all, on electronics, we have not mentioned any specific customers, so let me put it straight in the record. Electronics represents around 75% of the year-on-year decline in revenues, and that's a lower size to semicons due to de-stocking, as I mentioned. The balance is due to the design change, and we alerted you, so that's happened.
Looking ahead again, the de-stocking on semiconductors will get to an end in this first half of the year, and we will see much stronger H2, and we know it from our customers. If you look at some peers, I think you mentioned them, you will find different product mix, Chetan, customer or regional exposure. It is not apple to apple or difficult to comment on their performance, and we are more focused on how to serve the customers and will drive this forward. Thank you.
Thank you for that question, Mr. Udishi. Your next question comes from the line of Alex Duarte with Barclays. You may begin.
Hello. Good afternoon, and thank you for taking my questions. One for Chris and one for Ilham, I think, if that's okay. Chris, you talked about EUR 200 million-EUR 250 million year-on-year respite from spending, principally in CapEx rather than OpEx.
I'd just push that number a little bit because your CapEx this year is about EUR 600 million. You include IFRS 16 lease payments within that, which are roughly EUR 80 million, so that's EUR 520 million of sort of hardcore CapEx. If you take EUR 200 million off that, you're left with sort of EUR 300 million and a bit of CapEx with your DNA at sort of EUR 500 million. I just want to check that that's what you mean because the CapEx number looks very low if I take EUR 200 million to EUR 250 million off. Ilya, maybe for you, let's say you sell these two assets, Aroma and Oil and Gas, tomorrow for X. What do you plan to do with the cash? Because you're returning capital at the moment, you're arguably underlevered.
Is the plan then to reinvest this into something which you think is a better long-term, more interesting investment than what those companies represented? That'd be really interesting.
Thanks. Alex, thanks very much for that. I'll take the first one on your CapEx reconciliation, and then Ilham will take the second part around the divestment. Yeah, so what I said is the two big non-repeats that are EUR 200 million-EUR 250 million are made up of the separation costs. I think, as you know, we noted as part of our year-end, we indicated separation costs was roughly EUR 150 million-EUR 200 million, and that's not included as part of the CapEx. If you then know it's somewhere between EUR 200 million-EUR 250 million, you can calculate how much roughly is what we spend on Tavaux in 2025, which will not repeat going forward.
It is not quite a EUR 200 million reduction, if that makes sense. What we will do going forward is, yes, our CapEx will be lower, certainly not EUR 200 million lower. We will look at the smaller growth opportunities that prevail.
Yeah. That is it. I think it is part of my answer, right? I think the focus will be on what drives value. We have optionalities. First of all, I would like us to really focus on a strict discipline, rigorous capital allocation with our organic projects. You have seen us delaying projects with courage last year when there is no market demand or delayed market demand. We focus on smaller and faster projects that are closer to home, leverage existing products and solutions to meet the needs of our existing customers. This is lower risk. That is what we do.
Even on sustainment CapEx, believe it or not, we are zero-based redesigning all our maintenance and sustainment CapEx as we speak. A full review of our 62 manufacturing sites has happened site by site, which allows us to do more with less and with digitalization as well. GenAI is helping us as well to be even better efficient in the way we do our maintenance. The rest, I think we have been disciplined in M&A. So far, the company did not have a great track record for the past six years. We did only bolt-on acquisitions. I think there is much focus now on stabilizing the company, separating from Solvay, which is important to us, getting into up and running to start hunting structurally in the next years. That is the focus as we speak. Back to you. And Mr.
Stewart, your last question comes from the line of Aaron Serasieri with Berenberg. Please go ahead.
Hello. Thanks for squeezing me in. I have two questions. The first one is actually a clarification. When I look at your 2025 outlook that you stated in your full year 2024 results, you mentioned that you were expecting specialty polymers net sales to be approximately flat versus 2024. Just wanted to understand if this is still the case today. My second question is again on materials, in fact. I was wondering if I think about composite business, which is seeing an increasing margin, at a certain time, volume seen auto should come back in specialty polymers. I was wondering, what is the level of profitability, Ilham, that would make you unhappy in the future for materials?
Is this still a 30% above margin, or do you think that you would be happy with high 20s? Thank you.
You'd like to take the first one?
Yeah. I mean, just listen, we remain very happy with the materials business, and we've consistently kept the margins at these levels over a period of time. I think what you've seen in composite materials equally, as Ilham has indicated over the last five years, she's done a lot to improve the performance of this business to get it to the levels. I'm not quite sure personally where the question's going.
I think the composite materials, as I said, the team did a really good job in closing the gap in terms of margins, right, and really ensured that we can flawlessly execute against the open order book, the healthy one we have.
You have seen us doing it again through COVID, restructuring our assets, the organization. Now it is about bringing more productivity alive through digitalization and getting products out of the gate. Obviously, we are not the only one in this value chain. The margin will become obviously bigger, right? Obviously, you need more people to build those materials. There are temporary fixed costs you need. Frankly, we get into a level which closed the gap against a formidable competitor. I think my wave one of reaching the happy land has gotten there in composite. The next one, we need some digitalization and automation, which we are working on, and it will take a bit of time. On the specialty polymers, our problem has never been really the margins after we did value pricing.
I think many of you have been following us on the value pricing, which touched mainly the specialty polymers side. We have seen stickiness of it, and I hope that everybody now has a conviction that we capture what we could and we are retaining it. The thing with specialty polymers is the volumes, right? You all know it. Without the electronics and the automotive heaven, we see stabilization. Going forward, the message is the hunting and the hunting and the hunting. That is why we have deployed GenAI, CyGro, we call it. This is the sales body. It is in automotive, actually, and in specialty polymer first to really double down on the sales organization. Even the tariffs, which are touching specialty polymers' product import to China, are an opportunity for us to review the whole infrastructure of the product flow for specialty polymers.
I think the best is yet to come. A transition year here with few headwinds here and there, but very happy the way the DNA and the culture is changing in specialty polymers to be able to now focus on the volume growth and profitable volume growth.
Aaron, if I can just add to Ilham's comments, in specialty polymers, I do not recollect us giving guidance on the revenue for the year, but what we did indicate to the market is that there would be some headwinds. Now, more specifically, specialty polymers' electronic sales declined by about 30% in the quarter. Within this, an expected 25% was from the design change in consumer electronics. As we go through the course of the year and as we expect the improvement in the semicond sales, sequentially, the revenue will increase over the quarter of the year.
Over this year, relative to last year, you should see a modest decline on revenue out of specialty polymers, but it is driven by the headwinds that we previously indicated, and sequentially, it will improve. Hopefully, that helps.
Thank you for all your questions. That concludes our Q&A session. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Bakr for the closing remarks.
Thank you, everyone, for your participation and great questions. As usual, the investor relations team will be here to answer any remaining questions, and have a great day. Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.