Morning. We welcome you to the Altri Full Year 2025 Results Conference Call. During the presentation, all participants will be on a listen-only mode. There will be an opportunity to ask questions after the presentation. If you wish to ask a question during the Q&A session, you may do so by pressing the Star key followed by five on your telephone keypad. If you're experiencing any difficulty in hearing the conference at any time, please make sure you have your headset fully plugged in, or alternatively, please try calling from a different device. I will now hand the conference over to Mr. Rui Cesário, the Head of IR of the Altri Group. Please go ahead, sir.
Good morning. Thank you for joining Altri 2025 Results Conference Call. We'll review our financial performance, market conditions, operational highlights, and outlook, followed by Q&A at the end. To address these topics, we have with us the CEO of Altri, Mr. José Pina, and Mr. Miguel Silva, the Group's CFO. I will now pass the floor to Mr. José Pina.
Good morning. Thank you, Rui, and thank you all for attending Altri's conference call. We're really pleased to host this call with investors and analysts to share Altri's results and our views about the market environment and challenges. If you turn to slide number two, we start with the main highlights of 2025 and some considerations. 2025 was a challenging year for the global pulp sector. Market conditions were marked by excess supply alongside increased uncertainty following tariff announcements from the United States. On the demand side, improved visibility on U.S. tariff conditions and strengthening Asian demand are already translating into a more positive pricing environment in early 2026. On the supply side, we expect the gradual rebalancing of the market as less efficient capacity, namely in the softwood segment, is rationalized.
In 2025, EBITDA reached EUR 94.1 million, down 57% year-on-year with a margin of 13.4%, reflecting a weaker pricing environment and the depreciation of the U.S. dollar. Despite these external pressures, we continue to execute on cost optimization. Cash cost declined for the second consecutive year, reinforcing our operational discipline and strengthening our resilience as market conditions improve. During 2025, we continued to advance our growth and diversification strategy, taking decisive steps beyond our core pulp business. We strengthened our portfolio through two targeted non-organic growth initiatives, the acquisition of a majority stake in AeoniQ, positioning the group in advanced sustainable textile fibers, and the strengthening of our forestry platform in northern Spain through Altri Forestal. In parallel, we remain fully focused on the execution of our industrial projects.
The acetic acid and pulp mill project at Caima is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026, while at Biotec, the gradual migration of BHKP production to dissolving pulp continues with full conversion planned by the end of 2026. These initiatives reinforce our strategic diversification, enhance long-term value creation, and position the group for more resilient and sustainable growth. Moving to slide number three. Global pulp demand closed 2025 on a healthier footing, although with clearly diverging trends across fiber types. While overall demand improved performance, differed markedly between hardwood and softwood markets. China and the broader Asian region were the primary drivers of growth underpinning volumes and supporting market momentum. In contrast, Europe and North America experienced a moderation in demand following a relatively strong performance in 2024.
In slide number four, we want to highlight that a recovery in the final months of the year allowed the dissolving pulp market to close 2025 with positive momentum. Demand improved progressively as the initial negative impact of U.S. tariff implementation on the Asian textile value chain was increasingly absorbed. This normalization supported a more resilient demand environment, setting an increasingly constructive backdrop for dissolving pulp as we move into 2026. In slide number five, inventories at European ports have remained broadly stable since the second half of 2024, staying close to historical averages of around 1.4-1.5 million tons. This level further reduced in January 2026- 1.29 million tons. In slide number six, we talk about pulp prices.
During the full year of 2025, Europe's average BHKP prices declined by 12% in U.S. dollars and -15% in euros. In the fourth quarter 2025, prices were also down year-on-year, but showed the sequential recovery in the last quarter of the year. Prices rebounded quarter-on-quarter with a fixed index ending in December at around $1,100 per ton. In slide seven, dissolving pulp prices closely linked to the textile value chain were pressured through early 2025 due to geopolitical uncertainty. Since the summer, the market has stabilized, and in early 2026 is showing the first signs of recovery as fundamentals improve and demand in key regions begins to normalize. On slide eight, production and sales volumes in 2025 remain broadly in line with 2024 despite a soft demand environment in Europe.
Some logistical constraints temporarily delayed dissolving pulp shipments, but we expect full normalization from the second quarter of 2026 onwards. Going to slide number nine. On a segment level, pulp end use and geographic mix remains broadly in line with 2024, with some increase in Turkey and Middle East. I would now like to pass to Miguel Silva, Altri CFO, who will comment on the main financial highlights.
Thanks, José. In slide 10, throughout 2025, our performance was constrained by a challenging market environment. Lower pulp prices, combined with a weaker U.S. dollar against the euro, placed pressure on both revenues and profitability across the year. However, market fundamentals began to improve towards the end of the period, with a gradual recovery during the fourth quarter of 2025. Going to slide 11. Looking on a full year basis, revenues and EBITDA declined, reflecting the weaker pricing environment and adverse FX dynamics in 2025, especially when compared with the more favorable market conditions seen in 2024. In slide 12, we can see that EBITDA margin remained under pressure in 2025 due to the already mentioned lower prices and the weaker US dollar.
In the fourth quarter, margins began to recover as market conditions and FX stabilized, and we had some positive impact of recurring items that usually occur in the fourth quarter. In slide 13, despite being a challenging year, EBIT and net profit improved in the fourth quarter of 2025, rebounding from the quarterly low recorded in the previous quarter, driven by the recovery in pricing, FX stabilization and ongoing cost efficiency measures. We can move to slide 15, where we highlight that Altri's continuous focus on cost optimization delivered a second consecutive year of cash cost reduction in 2025. On the wood side, average wood costs were slightly lower year on year, supported by a more efficient sourcing mix. On energy, electricity and natural gas, the normalization of Celbi's cogeneration turbine in late March 2025 improved electricity outputs and plant efficiency.
As a result, the energy area delivered a slightly better contribution compared with 2024. Finally, on chemicals, prices continued their downward trend and overall chemical costs in 2025 were marginally below the previous year. These improvements reflect strict cost management across all major inputs, helping to mitigate the impact of a softer market environment. In slide 16, we can see that net debt decreased in the quarter, supported by stronger operational cash flows and the receipt of recurring cash inflows linked to the group's operating activity, which typically occur in the final quarter of the year. Slide 17, we can see the increase in net debt in 2025 reflecting lower EBITDA, higher investment levels linked to our diversification projects, namely the dissolving pulp conversion at Biotek and the acetic acid and furfural at Caima, as well as the acquisitions of AeoniQ and Greenalia.
I'll now pass it back to José Pina .
Thank you, Miguel. If you move to slide number 18. A challenging year for the pulp industry resulted in a modest 6% ROCE for 2025, below our historically double-digit average, which remains a solid 16%. On slide number 19. In 2025, Altri continued to strengthen its leadership in sustainability and responsible operations, earning recognition from several environmental and rating institutions. Altri was included in CDP's 2025 A list, positioning the group amongst the top 4% of companies worldwide in climate-related transparency and performance under the world's leading independent environmental reporting system. The group has successfully issued EUR 50 million in green bonds with a maturity of up to eight years to finance Biotek's strategic conversion project from paper pulp to dissolving pulp.
To mark the 30th anniversary of the EMAS program, the Portuguese Environment Agency, APA, recognized companies with long-standing environmental excellence. Celbi received the Gold Certificate for maintaining EMS certification for 20 years, while Caima was awarded silver for its 15th year commitment, both highlighting our continuous focus on environmental best practice. From slide 20 - 22, we have some highlights on the growth and diversification projects we have underway. The first of these projects to be finalized is the acetic anhydride and furfural production unit at Caima on our bioproduct segment and should start operating during the third quarter of 2026. On slides 23 and 24, we share some of our conclusions and perspectives. First, the global pulp market remained highly volatile through 2025. Year-on-year demand recovery was interrupted by U.S. tariff announcements, which affected global sentiment and slowed purchasing activity, particularly in Asia and China.
Toward the end of 2025 and into early 2026, market conditions began to improve, with demand recovery more visibly in the hardwood segment and dissolving pulp also showing the first signs of rebound. Second, BHKP prices in China and Europe reached their early lows Q2 2025. A more sustained recovery only emerged towards the end of 2025 and into early 2026, supported by improving Asian demand. Price increases announced in the Q1 2026 will begin to affect results from the Q2 2026 onwards, reflecting the usual two-month pricing lag. Third, severe storms in early 2026, most notably Storm Kristin, caused damage, production stoppages, and significant logistical disruption across our industrial units.
The closure of the ports at Setúbal and Figueira da Foz, our main logistics hub, for several weeks, as well as disruptions on rail transport, further intensified the operational constraints. Although operations normalized by March, the impact on first quarter 2026 results will be material driven by higher logistics costs, lower production levels, increased energy consumption, and reduced surplus energy generation. Fourth, on the geopolitical front, the immediate impact of the costs of conflict in the Persian Gulf region has been an increase in energy costs, partially offset by our hedging strategy, especially on natural gas. Should the situation persist, inflationary pressures could indirectly raise costs across logistics, chemicals, and wood. In 2026, the group remained firmly focused on cost optimization. Variable costs are expected to rise slightly, reflecting the impact of the early year storms while excluding any potential prolonged effects from the Iran geopolitical situation.
Our diversification program continues to advance as planned. Biotek's full conversion to dissolving pulp remains on track for completion by year-end 2026. Qualification related delays should begin to ease from the second quarter, improving visibility in its financial contribution. At Caima, the renewable acetic acid and furfural recovery project is expected to be completed in late first half of 2026, enabling sales of a new higher value bioproduct from the second half of the year. Number seven, regarding Project Gama in northern Spain, the group continues to await the integrated environmental license before taking a final investment decision. In 2025, the project achieved two important milestones. The receipt of a favorable environmental impact statement, EIA, from the Xunta de Galicia, and the awarding of the STEP label by the EU Climate Agency.
Altri has also strengthened its presence in the region through targeted forestry acquisitions and is pursuing an alternative electrical connection solution to ensure the project maintains its classification as a strategic industrial project. At Caima, a pre-industrial unit for AeoniQ will be installed to support the industrial scale-up of this next generation sustainable fiber. This unit will enable higher production volumes and accelerate customer qualification processes, strengthening our position in the rapidly expanding sustainable textile fiber segment. To conclude, 2025 was undeniably a challenging year for our sector, shaped by the uncertainty created by tariff announcements, geopolitics, and the evolution of the U.S. dollar. As we enter 2026, we're facing some unexpected events, including the severe storms I referenced before in Portugal and the geopolitical tensions of the Gulf region. Even so, industry fundamentals appear more solid today.
Demand has strengthened over recent months, and pricing trends remain on a positive trend. As we have highlighted, the first quarter will reflect the temporary impact of the storms, namely on logistics, production, and energy. However, we expect operations to normalize in the second quarter and profitability to exceed the levels reported in the fourth quarter of 2025. Despite short-term volatility, our strategy remains unchanged and focused on operational excellence, cost discipline, and the execution of our diversification projects. We remain confident in Altri's ability to deliver sustainable value creation. Thank you for your attention, and we look forward to your questions.
Ladies and gentlemen, the Q&A session starts now. As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press Star followed by five on your telephone keypad. Our first question comes from Manuel Lorente from Santander. Now your line is open.
Yes. Hello. Good morning. Probably my first question is regarding the extremely supportive cash flow trend in this whole quarter. Whether you can give us an indication of what has been the main reason behind this positive performance, and more or less whether you can give us an indication of what we should expect for this year. Thank you.
Thank you, Manuel. Basically, I think with the continuation of a lot of our efforts, fourth quarter, there were a few additional reasons. One was we did not have any campaign for dissolving pulp. As you know, dissolving pulp usually has a somewhat higher cash costs because of the specific consumption of fiber. But nevertheless, it was very positive on all fronts. We ran very efficient operations. Usually, you have a few items that sometimes need fixing, such as some of the remuneration tariffs for energy. But those are on a yearly basis, they end up basically evening out. Even though the impact may be reflected more on the fourth quarter.
I think it's an indication of what we have been doing and all of the work that the company continues to pursue in terms of optimization its operations. I think if you look at 2026 in terms of our cash costs, considering the first quarter with the impact of the storms, and some of the geopolitical uncertainty, particularly around energy costs, it's likely that we'll see a slight increase for the full year, but it will still be somewhat in the low single digits. That would be our expectation. Thank you, Manuel.
The next question comes from Luis de Toledo Heras from Oddo BHF. Now your line is open.
Yeah. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one refers to the tariff. I mean, I don't know if you could explain the final outcome. Obviously, the U.S. market is not really an important market, but it might activate some other export markets. The news that I've looked, I don't know if you have a complete exemption, a partial exemption. If you could elaborate on that front, it would be great. I don't know if you want me to pose the other two questions. In that case, I mean, the second one would be referring to the depreciation level. I think it's slightly lower than the last years. I don't know if there's any reason on that front. My last question refers to the AeoniQ acquisition.
I've seen that the goodwill increases in the second half by around EUR 20 million. You mentioned that CapEx this year would be more inclined towards the EUR 70 million range. Specifically, I thought you were mentioning an initial investment on AeoniQ of EUR 10 million. I don't know if you could elaborate more details on the AeoniQ acquisition and its consolidation in the group. Thanks.
Sorry, Luis. Could you just repeat the first question, please?
Okay. It's regarding the U.S. tariffs. When you mentioned that the things have cleared, I don't know if you could elaborate there. If there's been a total exemption of wood, hardwood pulp to the U.S. I know it's not a significant market for you, but it might activate other markets which have different treatment in tariffs and so on. I don't know if you could give a brief outlook on the tariff equation.
Yeah. Thank you, Luis. Regarding your question on the U.S. tariffs, I think these have now normalized, but at least there's some greater clarity concerning some of the agreements that have been made. What still remains unclear is going to be the impact of the U.S. Supreme Court decision regarding the tariffs, and ultimately what the final level will be. That, I think we'll have to wait and see. I would say the anxiety related to all of the volatility associated with U.S. tariffs at this point has been somewhat mitigated also by actions in different regions of the globe which have been actively pursuing diversification of the markets.
We don't see, at least in the short, medium term, a significant disruption unless obviously, something changes which you can never, fully exclude. If I understood you correctly, there was a second question around the depreciation level probably related to the U.S. dollar. Maybe Miguel will give you that.
If I heard correctly, this is your question. I think it was about lower depreciation that we have in 2025, and that is very easy to explain. We have an important investment.
Correct.
That and the depreciation in 2025, that's why there is a significant decrease in depreciation in 2025 compared with 2024.
Yeah. Regarding your AeoniQ question. The acquisition, we did not disclose at the time specific terms on the acquisition. The acquisition was a combination of a share purchase plus a capital increase. That's what you see reflected particularly on the goodwill related to that transaction. Regarding the investment that we have for this year, we currently our best estimate is in the range of EUR 50 million-60 million excluding subsidies. That includes the conclusion of the large project that we have underway, plus as well this initial market pilot line that we have also ongoing. Thank you, Luis.
The next question comes from Bruno Bessa from CaixaBank BPI. Now your line is open.
Yes. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking our questions. The first one, if you could provide a bit of color on the sentiment coming out of this week opening event in Shanghai. What is your overall sentiment of the industry? And if you are seeing any kind of concern or demand slowdown caused by the conflict in Iran. The second question, you already provided some visibility on the CapEx for this year. Just trying to understand if you still expect net debt to go down this year despite the still relatively low both prices and relatively higher CapEx when compared to mid-cycle numbers. The third one, more of a general one.
I saw that there was a relevant information of the fair value of biological assets, this year. If you could please explain the reason behind.
Okay. Thank you. Thank you, Bruno. So on the first, your first question regarding Shanghai sentiment, I think overall, at least what we have experienced is actually I would classify as a positive sentiment. The market has seen some tightening. I think out of Shanghai, at least from some of the discussions that have taken place, the likelihood of further price increases, I would say, is high given the tightening of the current supply-demand balance. There's a number of scheduled turnarounds in the second quarter that will clearly impact it. Overall, I would say there is somewhat of a positive sentiment that came out of Shanghai.
Concerning demand flow from impact in terms of Iran, I would say the key, let's call it concern at this point is really related to logistics. The flow of logistics obviously is becoming longer. The return container flow is potentially reduced. We should see not only an increase in terms of some of the logistics costs between Asia and Europe, but also potentially some specific disruptions at given times just out of prudence in terms of ensuring that there is some regular flow of transshipment. I would say at least at this point that could potentially impact some of the exports from China, although they have been reduced.
On the whole, I would say that's the only uncertainty, at least in terms of logistics flows that we see at this point, apart from an increase in energy costs, which also impacts, as you know, logistics. On the CapEx for this year, as I've mentioned, our estimate at this point is EUR 50 million-60 million excluding subsidies. In terms of net debt, we're looking at being somewhat at the same level as we finished the year. It really depends on the optimization of some of our CapEx investments, but I would say the current level is probably where we're going to be focusing on. Regarding the biological assets, maybe Miguel would like to comment.
There was a change in biological asset valuation.
Yeah. As it happens. Sorry, because I was not listening to the question, but there is the same work that we do every year in order for the valuation of the biological assets and a reflection of that value that we do every year. No major difference regarding the previous year. Okay. Thank you very much.
Thank you very much.
Thank you.
The next question comes from Stefano Maina from JB Capital. Now your line is open.
Good morning. Thank you for explaining your results and for taking our questions. The question I have relates to mainly the outlook for 2026. We are seeing an improvement in demand and an optimistic sentiment from what you're saying. The question that I have is more related to what, in your opinion, is gonna be driving a potential upside in prices. From my understanding, the majority of this upside is coming from the supply side, a constraint in supply. I just wanted to know what's your view on that. Apart from that, if you think that considering that from my knowledge, the situation in Indonesia with the revocation of the permits has been kind of improving, what are your expectations on that side? Thank you very much.
Thank you, Stefano. I would say in terms of the outlook for 2026, clearly we see at least some improvement in sentiment. You don't have, apart from actually some integrated capacity in China, you don't have really anything that's new capacity coming onto the market this year. There's been a delay as well related to some of the projects in Indonesia. Into 2027, a major capacity introduction I think will be somewhat muted as well. Effectively, when you look at not just the short term, but the medium term, the next 12, 24 months, primarily constraints in supply, given that there continues to be a positive trend in terms of the development of demand, will clearly tighten the supply to demand ratio.
I think in Indonesia, the cancellation of a number of forestry licenses referred has been a factor at least impacting some of the sentiment in the industry. If you look at where the fiber sourcing is gonna come from specifically for some of the new capacity in Indonesia and also in China, given that levels of fiber supply have not changed dramatically, at least in the last six to 12 months. We've seen already an increase in fiber prices in China. There aren't many additional sources of fiber in the region. Vietnam being obviously the key market to that. But all of those movements will likely constrain somewhat at least the availability of raw materials. That in turn will, I think, reinforce a positive sentiment.
Even though we're seeing a number of factors potentially impacting at least in the short term, I would say the maintenance stoppages that have been planned will clearly support that trend. We have I would say somewhat positive sentiment at this moment. We see that in the order flow from customers not just on paper pulp, but also on dissolving pulp, where we have seen also an upward strengthening of prices in the near term. We're also seeing an improvement in sentiment as well from a demand perspective in particular information. Overall, I would say those would be the key elements of this. Thank you.
Wonderful. Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, please be reminded that in order to be able to ask a question, you must press the star key followed by five on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from António Seladas from AS Independent Research. Now your line is open.
Sorry. Good morning. Thank you for the question. I have two questions. The first one is related with volumes. In the fourth quarter were probably well slightly below my expectations, so I don't know. Taking consideration that production was okay, maybe you can explain why volumes. Taking consideration that prices increased, maybe you can explain a little bit more why volumes were on weak side. First question. Second question is related with 2026. You already provided some color on it. Maybe you can also talk about volumes, taking consideration, but that Biotek is now under the transition period, so should we be worried about volumes or not?
Finally, on wood prices, wood prices have been coming down your average figures, so at least take in consideration the accounts that we do on our spreadsheets. Nevertheless, they are still higher than the levels before 2022. My question is, should we expect wood prices to continue to adjust, or do you think that current prices are okay? Thank you very much.
António, may I ask if you could repeat your second question, please?
The second question was on volumes. Volumes sold for 2026, taking into consideration that Biotek is under this transition period that could impact volumes. If it's fair to expect volumes in 2026 at least similar to 2025?
Okay. Thank you. Well, first of all, in terms of from the volume perspective, volumes at a production level, 2025 versus 2024 was in line with actually with a slight increase. You could see that production in particular on the dissolving pulp. Paper pulp was flat, dissolving pulp was an increase, which was a reflection of the campaigns we have, particularly for qualification products. In terms of sales, it was a slight decrease. A lot of that, again, you have, in particular when you look at Biotek, which is where you would have seen the biggest change, we did not have any production of in dissolving Biotek in Q4.
Primarily, we've been focusing on ensuring that we have a good level of inventory for all of the qualification processes taking place. I would say through these months and this period of qualification, I would ask you not to overly focus on production levels, particularly when it comes to dissolving, because they're gonna be very differing from quarter on quarter until we have the full qualification done by the end of this year. Regarding wood prices, we've seen a stability in terms of wood prices last year. There was actually some improvement, but a lot of it came from the sourcing mix.
We reduced some of our imports outside of the region, and that obviously had a positive effect, positive impact in our wood prices. This year so far from energy, which I've mentioned, we don't expect to see significant change in terms of wood pricing on most sources. There may be a slight increase given the current inflationary pressures particularly associated with energy. When you look at somewhat of an impact which we're still assessing in terms of the domestic market, domestic sourcing market, first quarter, there was clearly a reduction in terms of supply, particularly from the center region of the country.
There are additional costs associated with the harvesting and the processing of wood because we have to get into certain forestry areas which are difficult to access, which have roads which are blocked. A lot of that work is ongoing. That should normalize anyway going forward beyond the first quarter. Clearly those will potentially pressure upwards somewhat wood prices. For the whole year and given that we don't expect any significant increase in terms of exports from beyond Iberia, I would say wood prices will remain relatively contained with I guess the potential impact of energy, as I've said, which could possibly put some inflationary pressures on fiber. Thank you, António.
Okay. Thank you very much.
There are no further questions from the conference call. We'll start now with the written questions. The first question comes from Toto Florio, and the question is: Despite these results, does Altri continue to distribute dividends? Thank you. The next question is: Will there be dividends? Thank you.
Thank you for the question. Regarding dividends, as you, I'm sure are, aware, we do not have a dividend policy. Nevertheless, we have historically maintained a relatively stable and healthy shareholder remuneration. If you look over the last five years in a range of 5%-6% yield, I would say that decision will be made in the coming couple of months, but we continue to be and will remain very focused on shareholder remuneration. Although I can't comment specifically on dividends until we have proposals to our AGM in May, but as I said, that's something that we remain very focused on. Thank you.
I'm reading the last question from the written area of questions, and it's regarding the hedging energy policy in place for 2026 in Altri. I'll pass it to Mr. Miguel Silva, who will answer the question.
Yes. I think the question is mostly around gas. As we do every year, yes, we usually do some hedging for the gas prices, and this year is not different from another. We have at a fixed price more or less 60% of our consumption. We just have 40% of our consumption roughly in the open market. We have a fixed price of slightly higher than EUR 30 for megawatt hour for around 60% of our consumption.
I'll pass to the operator.
There are no further questions, so we'll hand over the session to Mr. José Soares de Pina, Altri's CEO. Thank you.
Well, thank you very much for attending our results conference call. We'll remain focused for the coming quarters, ensuring that we continue to deliver and looking forward to our next call in May. Thank you very much.