NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. (ELI:NOS)
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May 4, 2026, 4:35 PM WET
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Earnings Call: Q4 2024

Feb 27, 2025

Speaker 5

Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our full year 2024 results conference call. We have the executive team in the room to answer your questions after our CFO, José Ferreira, will go through a brief presentation, which is on our website, highlighting the main topics of the results. Over to you, José.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Thank you, Marisa. Hi, everyone. Welcome to the call, and thank you for making the time. Today we'll do a brief presentation focusing on three key dimensions, you know, our strategic execution, obviously our performance throughout the year and the quarter, and also some highlights in terms of our cash flow generation and the way we view long-term value creation for our shareholders. So going into the results of the quarter and the year, firstly, I'd like to highlight our very strong market position and sustainable growth, as you've seen throughout our results, not only from the quarter but the overall results of 2024. Also in that sense, an important aspect, which has been our continued increase in revenue market share in the market, which reached 31.5%.

And when looking at the results, just highlighting a couple of data points, you know, growth in revenues for the quarter of 8.1%, in the year 6.2%, EBITDA growth in the quarter 11.6%, and full year 7.1%. And then also, very importantly, in terms of operational cash flow, I would highlight, you know, a growth in the quarter of roughly 43%, and the year 26% to EUR 272 million. We'll go into a bit more details in the next couple of pages. Going into the revenues themselves, as mentioned before, you know, for the quarter, we reached EUR 448 million, a growth of 8.1%, very strong, especially in our telco revenues as well, EUR 430 million in the quarter, with overall growth of 7% year- on- year, 7.2%, and for the full year, 6.23%.

So very strong performance on the revenue side, which, as you know, through our continued operational focus and efficiency capture has delivered very strong margins and EBITDA growth. For the quarter, EUR 182 million, roughly 11.6% growth year on year, with 1.3 percentage points margin expansion. On the telco side specifically, an EBITDA of EUR 170 million, growth of 10.5%. So very strong performance, margin expansions, which are driven in part as well through our very robust CapEx execution. As per, you know, the previous quarters, we continue structural decrease in our CapEx expenditures, which translates, especially if we look at network expansion in particular, a decrease of 12.4%, and accumulated for the full year, 3.9% decrease in overall CapEx.

So altogether, the combination of, you know, CapEx focus, operational efficiencies, which is impacting positively our OpEx structure, we have been able to deliver a very positive performance of operational cash flows up 43% year- on- year. And this, in a way, is driven by our focus in terms of operations, our momentum, and obviously, the way we execute our strategy. Just looking at a couple of operational data points, we continue to expand our next generation networks coverage today at roughly 83% of the households.

And in the previous year, we expanded 300,000 households in terms of our gigabit fixed network. In the 5G, as also mentioned before, you know, coverage and expansion and investment is virtually done. We have coverage today of virtually 100% of the population, with a very strong performance in terms of the sites that we have.

So NOS is the leader, again, in the Portuguese market in terms of 5G capabilities, infrastructure, and obviously, as a consequence, network quality and customer experience. In that regard, as the backdrop for that, our execution is materializing in very strong business and KPI momentum. So we see positive results across all key operating metrics, across all services, and as you see, very robust and healthy net adds throughout all of the service lines that we have in the market. Just a quick note regarding our audiovisuals and cinema business. This quarter was very strong. We had a growth of 21.6% of revenues. Tickets sold year- on- year grew 19.2%. So very strong quarter, which led to an overall performance of 2.8% growth in revenues for the business.

Quite a solid performance, especially in the context of Q2 that had several issues, as you know. Just to wrap up, in terms of financials, without going into too much detail, on the net income side, you know, very strong growth in the quarter of EUR 60.5 million. Overall for the year, EUR 91.3 million. Regarding free cash flow, again, a year with very strong not only due to the operational cash flow but also some extraordinary effects, a growth of roughly EUR 230 million in terms of free cash flow for the year, to EUR 360 million in total, roughly, while still maintaining a very strong and healthy balance sheet that allows us for added strategic flexibility in the future.

So at the close of the year, 1.4 x net financial debt to EBITDA after leases, with roughly EUR 912 million of debt, an average cost of debt that is slightly decreasing, so on average 3.56%, and a very solid liquidity position. Within all of these, with this backdrop and all of these elements in play, the board has approved an ordinary dividend of EUR 0.35 and also an extraordinary dividend of EUR 0.05, which totals EUR 0.40, for the year. So with that, Marisa, I think we can go.

Yep. Over to Q&A.

Q&A? Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. We will begin the Q&A session now. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one one and wait for a name to be announced. If you'd like to cancel your request, please press the star one one again. One moment for the first question. Our first question comes from Roshan Ranjit from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Roshan Ranjit
TMT Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Oh, great morning, everyone. Thanks for the questions. I just got a couple, please. Firstly, you highlight the strong EBITDA performance, and we saw a very good margin expansion this quarter, I guess, as we've seen through the year. You previously highlighted that the benefits of the transformation program had kind of been realized already. So is there a new transformation program ongoing, or is this kind of upside to what you had previously expected? I guess this was the second year of double-digit EBITDA growth.

Can we expect something similar for 2025, please? And secondly, in terms of network expansion, you guys have, you know, obviously put a lot of money into both the fixed and the mobile side. Can I get your thoughts on potential wholesale access, and, you know, really monetizing the network which you've built? You know, we've seen that your, the new entrant is building out quite swiftly. Is there anything which we can see you guys do here in terms of offering access? Thank you.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Hi, Roshan. Thank you for your questions. Maybe breaking it down one by one. In terms of the transformation program, this is something ongoing. So, I'm not sure I understood from your question if you mentioned it was over, but it is not the case. So this has started a while back, for sure. It has already materialized quite significantly, and this is what we see in the numbers in the past, I would say, couple of years. But fundamentally, this is an ongoing effort that will continue to deliver very significant savings, in our view, not only on the CapEx side, as I've discussed as well, but essentially on the OpEx side. So this is our transformation program. I would say, fundamentally focused on capturing efficiencies across the board in terms of our cost structure. Okay?

So on one hand. On the other hand, your question regarding, you know, double-digit growth or not, obviously, as you all know, we are in the context of uncertainty. We are positive about our performance and all the assets that we have in the market, but at this point, we don't have specific visibility and guidance regarding the growth that we expect for the year.

Miguel Almeida
CEO, NOS

Yeah. In terms of offering access to our FTTH network, that is not within our plans. Actually, we don't have any requests to do it, and we'd have no plans to do it with the exception of this exception that we already opened the network to our joint owner. As you know, this is a shared network, so already used by not only us but also another operator, but we don't have any plans to further open the network to third parties.

Roshan Ranjit
TMT Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

That's clear. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. Our next question is from Fernando Cordero from Banco Santander. Please go ahead.

Fernando Cordero
Equity Research Analyst, Banco Santander

Hello. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my two questions. The first one is on the B2B segment performance during the last quarter. And I would like to understand at which extent the performance in that segment is coming mainly from new clients. It's mainly coming from selling products or services to the current clients. Just to understand the drivers. And also, at which extent the recently announced Claranet acquisition would fit in terms of the product offering in the segment. Sorry. And the second question is related with, you have just named it, the uncertainty on 2025. Yes, willing to understand which kind of first impacts in some KPIs, like, for example, churn or, or, for example, gross adds strength, have you experienced from the recent launch of the Digi market?

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Hi, Fernando. Nice to hear from you. Thank you for your questions. On the B2B side, the growth that we've been experiencing, I would say it's a very well-balanced mix of expansion in current clients and new client acquisition. So it's fairly well-balanced. Typically on the new clients, we see, and you see that from our results, some more, if you like, IT projects, new equipment sale, so resale, project, revenues. On our current clients, we tend to focus more on the expansion of recurring revenue base. So overall, fairly well-balanced.

On the Claranet side, as you know, Claranet, we believe it's a very interesting asset. It has an interesting presence in Portugal as well. But fundamentally, in our perspective, will bring us not only more scale into the services that we provide, but also a bit more breadth. Assuming that everything and once we have the approval of the Competition Authority, our expectation is that through Claranet, we'll be able exactly to continue and accelerate the rate of acquiring new clients due to the new capabilities, but also be more profitable in the way we serve these clients due to the scale effects.

Miguel Almeida
CEO, NOS

On the market context, I think I didn't fully get the question, but I think the question was around market dynamics in recent times given the new competitive context. I would say a few things. First of all, it's still a little bit early days to have a final view on the dynamics of the market. We had no surprises on that front. What we expected is more or less what is happening. We are comfortable with the evolution in terms of our push, both in our main brand and also on the digital brand.

The main consequence, the only thing I believe we can say at this stage is that the mix between customer acquisitions on the main brand and customer acquisitions on the alternative, the digital brand WOO, the mix changed somehow with the digital brand increasing its weight within the relaunch that was made last quarter. So the mix is a little bit different, but in terms of within each of the brands, we don't see major impact or significant material impacts until now.

Fernando Cordero
Equity Research Analyst, Banco Santander

Okay. Very clear. Just a follow-up on Claranet. It is clear that it's still waiting for the approval of the regulator. But do you have any sense in kind of synergies that you can get from Claranet? And, not only thinking on OpEx synergies, but also on how complementary is the customer base of Claranet versus your customer base in B2B?

Miguel Almeida
CEO, NOS

We expect it. We don't have, of course, at this stage. We're still waiting for the Competition Authority's approval, so we don't have detailed information. But our expectation is that there's a lot of complement coming from Claranet's customer base, in terms of the names of the customers. Of course, a lot of complement in terms of the services, the products provided to the customers. So we see significant potential on both sides, both on the telecom side, on the Claranet side, significant potential to extract commercial synergies and cross-selling that will ensure that one plus one in this case is more than two.

Fernando Cordero
Equity Research Analyst, Banco Santander

Okay. Very clear. Many thanks.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. Our next question comes from the line of João Pinto from JB Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

João Pinto
Director of Equity Research, JB Capital Markets

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Three questions, if I may. The first one is on margin into 2025. Can you tell us if you still see material efficiency gains potential for 2025? And what level of top-line growth would you need to reach a stable margin in 2025? The second one, I don't know if you can, but on Claranet, can you give us, can you guide us through the business economics? What is the expected top-line growth here and the normalized EBITDA margin? And that's all. Thank you.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Maybe I'll start with the Claranet question. I think it would be better to give some additional color once the operation is concluded. So likely, hopefully, I mean, next call, we'll be in a position to give further details on the operation and on the operation of Claranet and the economics and all those questions. We will be better positioned than to answer all the questions. At this stage, I think it's better if we wait to have this additional detail. But from our side, of course, we want to be fully open, and but I would rather do that once we have access to all the details and we have access to Claranet, which we don't have today as we wait for the Competition Authority approval.

On the first question, around efficiency, clearly, the answer is yes. We see still a lot of room for efficiency gains in 2025, not only in 2025, but going forward. But for sure, in 2025, of course, the plans are more specific, and we are in the process of implementing those plans, and we are very optimistic in terms of efficiency gains for this year.

João Pinto
Director of Equity Research, JB Capital Markets

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. One moment for the next questions. Next question comes from Luigi Minerva from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Luigi Minerva
Senior Equity Analyst, HSBC

Yes. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. It's on shareholder remuneration. I was wondering if you can help us with a kind of framework to think about shareholder remuneration more over the medium term. So for instance, you know, as long as your leverage ratio is at 2x , would the board be willing to distribute all free cash flow to shareholders? And I appreciate that, segmenting the dividend for this year between the ordinary and the special, essentially the message is that we shouldn't take the EUR 0.40 as the basis for next year. But still, I guess, if you can help us with a more medium-term framework, it can be helpful. Thank you.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Yeah. I think we'll have to say what we usually say. We don't have a dividend policy, as we, as you know, but we have a practice, and that practice has been, I think, consistent over time. We don't see we are very comfortable with the leverage. We have actually with the 2x leverage that you mentioned, that is the reference number for us. And we are very comfortable in distributing all the cash flow that remains, within that balance context. That has been the practice in the past and most likely will be in the future, but we don't give any guidance. You can expect from us more or less what you can expect is consistency.

Luigi Minerva
Senior Equity Analyst, HSBC

Okay. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. Our next question comes from the line of António Celadas from AS Independent Research. Please go ahead.

António Seladas
Founder, AS Independent Research

Hi. Good afternoon. Yes. Three questions. So the first one is still we in the B2B business, so that you are performing quite well. And apparently, you have been gaining market share, I would say, and traction. So my question is, should we see this kind of revenues growing double-digit in 2025, or do you think that there were some specific reasons on the fourth quarter and should we see a slowdown? So that's the first question.

Second question is related with your non-recurring gains. I don't know if you can because they have been in the recent past. So should we assume that they are over for now, or you can expect more non-recurring gains related with the excess fees paid in the past? Finally, on CapEx, sorry, on CapEx figures for 2025, you can provide a figure or a guidance? Thank you very much.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Thank you for your questions, so on the B2B side, yes, we're very happy about our performance. As we've mentioned before, obviously, this is an area in which we've been doubling down and investing significantly, and obviously, the Claranet acquisition is part of that strategy, so I would say that we expect this performance to continue and double-digit growth to persist, so this would be our, this is our expectation.

On the non-recurring gains, obviously, I would say there's significant uncertainty regarding that. Within the whole process, we still have pending legal action that has not materialized yet, but we don't have, you know, a certain visibility about it. So we cannot provide you any more specific information regarding what is going to happen in 2025, although we do have still outstanding legal action regarding that topic.

Finally, on the CapEx side, what you can expect for 2025 is a continued decrease of the CapEx levels that we have in place today. So this is, as we mentioned before, CapEx is a very strong focus in terms of execution. We are at the tail end of 5G and FTTH rollouts, and we will continue to focus on CapEx reduction and OpEx reduction as well, as mentioned before.

António Seladas
Founder, AS Independent Research

Okay. Thank you very much, and congratulations for the figures.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. Our next question comes from the line of Ajay Soni from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

Ajay Soni
Equity Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi there. Thanks for taking my questions. My first one is just around the comment you made around more digital acquisitions. So are you seeing a step up in maybe customers spinning down to your second brand as a form of a retention offer? And then just taking that information, doesn't that imply that you're gonna get a softer ARPU growth in 2025?

You know, you've got more digital brand acquisitions, no price rises, in 2025. So that's my first question. My second one was just kind of a follow-up to a CapEx one that was just asked. You know, obviously, you are coming towards the end of your rollout. I think it was about a EUR 10 million- EUR 15 million step down from 2023. So can we expect that again going forward? And then my last one just on shareholder remuneration. Are you guys able to do a buyback? And, and what was your decision in going for a special dividend as opposed to a buyback? Thank you.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Thank you for your questions, Ajay. So on the first one, there was a bit of a breakup on the line, but I'll try to answer and, you know, let me know if you need a follow-up. As Miguel mentioned before, we have seen an uptick in our WOO brand for several reasons. But obviously, with the Digi entrance, the market is also more aware and paying attention to it. An important aspect is that, you know, we separate. These are two brands. NOS is a premium brand with premium assets and service. WOO is a digital brand. We don't do retention with the WOO brand. So each brand has its own autonomous operating model and the way they manage the base and the clients, I would say, is fairly separate.

So in that sense, you should not expect us moving clients from the NOS to the WOO brand as a retention tool. Absolutely. But naturally, with more awareness to digital and the market expansion in a way, we expect our mix to change throughout time and to have more weight, obviously, of WOO compared to the past. So that on the first question.

Miguel Almeida
CEO, NOS

Can I add just one thing? Just an additional comment on that. The unit economics on the main brand, on the digital brand, the WOO brands, are quite different. So you have to take that also into consideration. As the weight of the digital brand has increased, unit economics have declined because we are talking about unit economics that are fairly different between the services provided by one brand and the other.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Thanks, Miguel. Coming back to your CapEx question, as I mentioned before, we expect for 2025 our CapEx level to decrease. As you know, we don't provide specific guidance on the exact levels that we will reach, but you know, the level of reduction would be in line with previous years in terms of what we believe is the sustainable pace to decrease CapEx. Finally, on the buybacks, I would say that obviously this is this policy, as per dividends, is a board decision. Having said that, we don't have any specific plans or intentions to go through a buyback program at this point in time.

Ajay Soni
Equity Analyst, JPMorgan

That's very helpful. I could just have one follow-up on the unit economics. So you said they're very different. I mean, could you quantify that for us a little bit? I'm assuming you're talking about the EBITDA margin from each brand. So any color on that would be very helpful. Thank you.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Yeah, I understand. I provoked the curiosity, so I understand, fully understand it, but we are rather not give specific numbers, which in terms of initial customer acquisition CapEx, they are very different in terms of commercial costs. They are very different, significantly different in terms of equipment costs, which are not the same. And once we have the customer in terms of operation costs, again, quite different. The digital brand is much more automated in terms of customer service, for example. So you have very different unit economics, but I'd rather not specify the exact numbers.

Ajay Soni
Equity Analyst, JPMorgan

That's very helpful. Thanks for your answers.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. Our next question comes from the line of Jose Antonio Suarez Roig from CaixaBank. Please go ahead.

Jose Antonio Suarez Roig
Investment Banking, Equity Research Associate, CaixaBank

Hi. Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I have two, if I may. So you've been mentioning that, of course, you're not providing, like, guidance evolution for 2025, but I was wondering if you could provide some proxy on how could be the evolution of. I know it's too early, but did you have any proxy on how should we see the evolution of revenues or the EBITDA after leases in 2025? For example, low single digit, mid-single digit, something that could help us a little bit to see how should we foresee the 2025, even knowing that it's a little bit early, but anything you could provide would be very helpful.

On the second question, I was wondering, because you distributed an extraordinary dividend around EUR 26 million, which was much below the cash you had from the Cellnex towers, which was EUR 57.3 million. Why were you so prudent in this extraordinary dividend, having such a robust balance sheet? I was wondering what is the rationale behind that. Are you, like, staying rational to see how competition will go forward? A little bit more information on why the dividend, the extraordinary dividend, was smaller than, significantly smaller than, the cash in from the Cellnex towers. Thank you.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Hi, Jose Antonio . Thank you for your questions. On the first one, not wanting to disappoint, but as you know, we don't provide specific guidance on the metrics that you asked, even within the single or high or double-digit range. So in that sense, we won't be able to give you any additional specific information. On the second aspect, regarding your question, and Miguel, in a way, already answered beforehand. We are committed to strong balance sheets, sustainability, and long-term value creation. And in that sense, the way we structured shareholder remuneration was indexed in a way to the free cash flow generation that you mentioned. So in our minds, on one hand, the consistency that Miguel mentioned in terms of ordinary dividend was an important factor.

On the other hand, obviously provide to the shareholders some extraordinary remuneration regarding the towers. And then the third driver was precisely the Claranet acquisition that we've been discussing. So when we add up the three elements, you will see that it essentially is the free cash flow generation that we've had for the year. So that has been the driver of the decision and the way we structured those two components that you mentioned.

Jose Antonio Suarez Roig
Investment Banking, Equity Research Associate, CaixaBank

Yeah. Could I go with a follow-up, please, on this topic? If I may, regarding what you've been mentioning that you want to have a like a sustainable dividend policy going forward, now that Claranet would be in your portfolio, should we assume that the dividend evolution going forward should also be positively impacted by this contribution Claranet should have from a net income perspective so that the payout ratio should more or less stabilize and as you increase the net income, the payout should be increasing going forward on Claranet, right? So that should be an assumption that is rational, right?

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Yes, I would say that is a fair assumption. As Miguel also mentioned in one of the previous questions, we expect, if everything goes according to expected timelines, in the next quarter to be able to provide more transparency and more color on, you know, the structure, the potential synergies that we expect, etc. So in that sense, it will give you a better understanding of the potential. Having said that, obviously, Claranet, within the context of the overall business, has, I would say, a relative weight that might not be substantial in terms of what we are discussing.

Jose Antonio Suarez Roig
Investment Banking, Equity Research Associate, CaixaBank

Yeah. Yeah. But from the synergy part, that can be from cost side, it could also boost the net profit coming from B2B.

José Koch Ferreira
CFO, NOS

Absolutely. Within the context of robust balance sheet, net income, and free cash flow generation, these are the three variables that, in general and the practice that we is to be guided by those three elements.

Jose Antonio Suarez Roig
Investment Banking, Equity Research Associate, CaixaBank

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you for the questions. We have no further question from the line. I'd like to call back to the management. Please continue.

Okay. Thank you, everybody, for listening into the call and for your interest. As usual, the team is available for any follow-up. In the meantime, look forward to speaking next quarter.

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