REN - Redes Energéticas Nacionais, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:RENE)
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May 13, 2026, 4:35 PM WET
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Earnings Call: H2 2024

Mar 6, 2025

Madalena Garrido
Head of Investor Relations, REN

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for attending REN's 2024 Results Conference Call. We have today with us our Executive Committee, Rodrigo Costa, our CEO, Gonçalo Morais Soares, our CFO, and João Conceição, our COO. Rodrigo will start with his opening remarks, and then Gonçalo and João will guide you through the main operational and financial highlights of the year. We will then open up for Q&A, where we will take any questions. Thank you.

Rodrigo Costa
CEO, REN

Thank you, Madalena. Good morning, all. We had a, as you know, we had a good set of results. Yesterday, I was reading my notes from the same period last year, and I thought about delivering the same comments. It was a good template. A year ago, we mentioned the word "elections" a few times, the wars, and the need to make progress on the licensing front. Today, we have the same concerns and challenges, and if we go back another year to 2023, we had almost the same concern, plus a very serious drought. One year before, we had all that plus COVID, and I think the future will keep being very challenging. On the positive side, we can share a bit of good news regarding CESE.

We will go through that during the presentation and the Q&A, plus the fact that 2024 was a good year. As always, some setbacks, but plenty of successful infrastructure developments and usual service, high quality, and efficiency. We are very resilient and focused on the operational front and on financial management also, and we remain cautiously optimistic also, as always. We'll be able to keep moving and delivering on multiple fronts. We don't have many doubts on that.

Both in Portugal and Chile, we achieved good operational and financial results, and we keep moving on our energy transition journey, where we see plenty of projects that will keep us very busy in the coming years. The energy transition is a catalyst for our internal transformation, creating opportunities for our teams, as well as attracting new talent to the company, and also that is very positive. Also, we made very good progress on the ESG front, and we will also share the results, and you will easily be able to see that. Before we take your questions, we'll go through the presentation, sharing with you all the main events and results. Gonçalo.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

Thank you, Rodrigo. Good morning to you all, and welcome to our results presentation. We think that we have a very good set of results that we are delivering and even outperforming versus the business plan that we presented last year. You see, our EBITDA at EUR 506 million is coming down around 1.5%. This was clearly expected and even slightly better than expected, given some pressure both on the domestic front and also through it due to core OPEX, also on the international front, given some non-recurrence that we had last year. On net income, you saw strong performance to EUR 162.5 million, a growth of slightly above 2%.

This is an evolution despite higher financial costs or lower financial results, which were expected, but was mainly driven by positive tax impacts. There are two stories here. One is related to CESE, to the special levy, and the other two some other tax impacts. I will go through this with a little bit more of detail as these are materials in the account. As you see, the net debt is also coming down around 1.4%. This is mostly driven by tariff deviations, but this number, the 1.4%, is excluding those. So even without this, net debt is coming down.

And this is in the context, as you see, of a strong increase in CAPEX. So CAPEX, almost EUR 370 million last year, an increase above 20%. So clearly delivering what we said, mostly, and as we also have focused on the business plan, mostly coming from the electricity sector and flowing through RAB, as you saw, also transfers to RAB. Outpacing in terms of growth, the growth of CAPEX and growing around 33%. Let me now give the floor to João that will go through the operational messages that we have. João?

João Conceição
COO, REN

Thanks, Gonçalo. Good morning to you all. On the following slide, you have an overview of the key message from the operational side. One of the most important of it is the fact that we keep increasing the renewables share in the total consumption of Portugal. We finished 2024 with a level of 70%, which is almost 10% above what we did the previous year. In terms of consumption, there was a slight increase in the electricity consumption and the flip point on the natural gas consumption, but I will go through that.

In terms of quality of service, we kept the high levels of quality of service within our grids. At the same time, we keep reinforcing our sustainability commitment, and the most evident ones are the improvements on scope one and scope two, together with scope three emissions targets. Regulation highlights, besides the fact that what you have in the slide. I would highlight the fact that we got the decision from the European Union regarding our CESE application for grants related to the studies of the new hydrogen infrastructure.

The decision was taken in the beginning of this year, so we got about EUR 6 million for studies for this new interconnection with Spain, as well as the retrofitting of our internal grid, natural gas grid, to be 100% hydrogen ready. This represents a commitment from the EU versus our project by giving us 50% of the total budget of these studies. This is also applicable to the whole corridor from Portugal, Spain, France, to Germany.

Also, in this regulation highlights, I would reinforce the fact that we just finished the public consultation that the regulator did for our investment plan on electricity, our investment plan from 2025 to 2034. As you may know, this is an important plan that envisages something like 1.7 billion EUR in investments on electricity grids for the next 10 years. Moving to slide seven, so you have a little bit more detail on the operational indicators. Again, the 7.2% of renewables integration.

This is mainly driven by an important increase in the hydro production. We went from 23% in 2023 to 28% last year, a slight increase also in wind and solar. Altogether, we managed to increase the 10% of renewable sources versus 2023. In terms of consumption, we saw the national consumption slightly increase, 1.3%. If you could do the correction for these working days and the temperature, this is even a little bit above this 2% increase, which it's a trend that we are expecting to be kept through 2025 and not considering the expected sharp increase on consumption related to new industrial sites and data centers that we are envisaging to be connected to our grid.

The flip point of that is the natural gas consumption, which decreased mainly driven by a big drop on the electricity generated. The more renewables means less need for gas for electricity generation, and this is something that is reflected by this almost 20% decrease on natural gas consumption. In terms of quality of service on the electricity side, we improved the average interruption time, and we kept the high level of combined availability rates. These are the important indicators that the regulator follows in our IMDT incentive.

Whereas in the natural gas, no big news. We kept the 100% availability rate in the transmission grid and high levels of response on the distribution grid. And with that, Gonçalo, it's back to you. Thank you, João. So I'll jump to slide eight, which is the main financial highlights. And so let's go to slide number nine with the EBITDA. So here, what you see is pressure on the assets in OPEX, which is expected.

We had some non-recurrence in 2023. We had the new gas regulation that not only you saw rates coming down because of markets, but also you had new gas regulation with less costs being accepted. You had less of that impact of electricity that we had last year in the terminal. So we knew that last year we had, I'd say, some also unusually high contributions to EBITDA here. And that's what is being corrected on a year-on-year. There is nothing, I would say, out of the expected.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

In the other revenues, there is an increase because we also had a lot of extra costs last year that were some of them non-recurrent, some costs that we incurred that were non-recurrent. But we also have this year some higher OPEX because as we increase CAPEX, we are increasing our OPEX. In terms of OPEX, this is mainly driven by high personnel costs, and I'll go through it because the rest is actually coming down around 2% versus last year. Internationally, it's mostly because of that big positive non-recurrent impact that we had last year. We also had some small exchange rate impacts.

Sometimes they're one million positive, sometimes they're one million negative. This year, they were slightly negative. So that's why it kind of also contributes to this negative trend. But I'll go through it. So in slide 10, in terms of RoR evolution, it's what you already know. So in terms of electricity, a slight decrease given RoR evolution in the market, in gas. Not only that, but also the review of regulation pushed RoR a little bit down, and that had impacts on our remuneration. Going to CAPEX on slide 11, I think that here there is good news.

So you are clearly seeing that we are delivering on the plan that we presented to you last year. You are already seeing the start of the solar agreements as we have told you. So in terms of EBITDA, we have close to EUR 7 million in EBITDA that relates already to solar agreements, fully in line with what we expected. Yes, we still have challenges with licensing and things like this, but the operating teams are delivering, and that is good news.

This is mostly focused on electricity. Most of the CapEx was focused in electricity. We had a very large project, Alentejo Axis, that was concluded this year, and that was a very important project to be concluded this year. So I think that this is mostly electricity in green. We are also doing other things in gas. We are, as João said, doing small investments relating to hydrogen and launching in the hydrogen and adapting the infrastructure, but this is mostly driven by electricity. Looking forward, just making a small mention, we also expect strong CapEx this year. So we expect that there is some growth in CapEx this year in line with our business plan.

And even if there are, in any given year in 2025, 2026, or 2027, some delays, which may be possible because some constructions are a little bit more challenging than others, what we are seeing is that there are also signs of higher for longer CAPEX. So as João said, there are these new high consumption areas or zones, namely the one in Sines where we also already got the approval for CAPEX last year of EUR 500 million. All of this was not in our initial business plan CAPEX. So although there is, as I said, potential for, in a single year, a little bit of delay, which you cannot control, what we see is actually a positive development in terms of investment as we go along.

So we will keep monitoring and give you feedback on this. In terms of RAB returns on slide 12, I'd say that we went through this, so mostly strong negative RoR evolutions on the gas assets. What you see there also is a positive evolution on electricity given the asset base evolution. We think that as CAPEX keeps going up and as we reinforce transfers to RAB, you will continue to see a positive impact here on the RAB returns of electricity.

In terms of OPEX on slide 13, as I said, these were mostly driven by personnel costs. We are increasing people to support the CAPEX deployment. We still had to increase a little bit salaries given the high inflation that we had in previous years, so this was kind of trending in terms of increases of salaries, so that kind of still reflected in 2024. Bear in mind that at the same time, the awards are increasing.

Part of these costs are capitalized because they are dedicated to investment activity. There is an increase here, but there is also an increase. The net increase is actually not as large in terms of OPEX. We should start to see it in 2025 or 2026, a kind of slowdown in the evolution of this cost, but we are still seeing a strong evolution in terms of investment, and so we have to reinforce our people. The other costs are coming down, namely maintenance costs. Consultation costs came down.

I think here is where we tried also to compensate and accommodate costs given the increase that we have in personnel. In Chile, Chile is continuing its growth trajectory, but 2024 was a little bit affected by some non-recurring when we compared to 2023. As I said, we had that EUR four million positive impact in 2023. We had this EUR 1.3 million impact in exchange rate impact from one year to the other. It kind of impacts, but under that and after you look at that, I think things are going okay.

In terms of our electricity side, we just won some months ago four new auctions in Chile, so four new constructions in terms of greenfield. I think this is exactly what we are aiming to do. We are concluding also, and we concluded in early 2025, one of the constructions had been delayed, and the other one should be concluded in the next month or so. We are also kind of catching up on some of the things that were delayed.

We expect to kind of regain the growth momentum, and we are continuing to be happy to promote growth on the electricity side in Chile, as you know, while maintaining this smaller business unit, meaning our group, as we dedicate most of our capital to Portugal. In electricity and gas, there is some decrease, but this is because we are coming from record years in 2022 and 2023.

But again, it's also performing well, and I'd say even above plan. Let's now go below EBITDA to slide number 15. In terms of financial results, and I'll come back to that a little bit later, but it's coming down. In terms of costs, they are clearly stabilizing at a lower value than we have in the business plan, and this is given the fact that rates also inverted versus what we had expected.

As we had said before, we had guided you that we should go up to around 3%. We have now stabilized this year. We had 2.75%. We think this is where we are going to stay moving onwards, so if nothing changes in the rates now, we should be between 2.7 to 75 around that, which is clearly below what we had in the business plan. Bear in mind that this was achieved while increasing maturity to about five years, so we had maturity around four years. We reinforced the resilience here. We increased maturity to around five years. And at the same time, we were able to maintain costs a little bit below what we had expected. Now let's talk about taxes because we have two good news here.

And so I want to spend some time even to, I'd say, preempt some of the questions that you could naturally have. So first, on the special levy, Rodrigo already mentioned. So last year, we won three court cases, all of them related in gas, two in Portgás and one in one of the other concessions. And these have allowed us to recuperate EUR 5.6 million. The news that the court decisions were final came, I'd say, later in the year.

So there is no more appeals, nothing else to be done here. So we are certain that we are going to get this money. There is now a normal process of communication between the court and the tax authorities. This is normal. There is no delay that we can see. So it's the normal procedure that is ongoing. And we are now expecting to receive the money.

But I'd say that we want it and we should have accounted. That's why we put it in the account. So I think this is good news to see this materializing for the first time. Bear in mind that we have not still accounted for the interest, as we will receive interest on this, as we want to be certain of the amount that should be in the accounts. But this is not, I'd say, material. It's a positive impact, but it's not going to be material. So it's the first time that we are seeing this. It's positive. It's clearly more positive on the gas side.

We are kind of holding on the electricity. Let's see what happens in 2025 and 2026 as the court cases move and continue to move up in the constitutional court. But I think clearly this shows a positive trend. Let's now talk on the other tax impact. So this is a tax measure relating to the capitalization of companies. This was created in the budget for 2023, was repeated in the budget for 2024, and is now in the budget for 2025.

So this is a measure that was in the budget of two different governments for three different years and is now on its third different year. Last year, the impact was around EUR 20 million. Given the changes in the budget of 2024, the impact this year was close to EUR 36 million. So it was an increase versus what we had in 2023. This year, and I said, and last year, we were still not very sure of how repeating this was. And so 2023 was mostly positioned as a non-recurrent.

But what we are seeing, and I think you did not have in any of your models, this 2024 impact. And furthermore, I think that we can say that for 2025, there is a basic certainty that this will exist. And given outside opinions that we also collected, we feel that there is a very high probability that in 2026 and 2027, we will still have some impacts that will be coming from this. So we are looking at three more years of impacts, let's say, of around EUR 30 million per year. We don't know the exact number. But so this is material.

I think that these four years, if you look at them, account for almost an impact of EUR 120 million. So this is material, and I think it's good news. We never have absolute certainty, but we are, I'd say, confident given these outside opinions also that this is what is going to happen. After that period, we don't know when we'd like to be conservative in the way that we approach this.

So we don't know if anything happens after 2027. So moving to slide number 16 in terms of net profit. So this is kind of the summary. You see some pressure on the EBITDA side. You see the increase in financial costs that were expected already, but this was compensated by both the recuperation of the levy and by this impact in terms of income tax. In slide 17, net debt, you can see that here we are also delivering.

This was something that we said in the business plan, and perhaps it was not clear, or some people thought it was difficult to deliver, but we are increasing financial resilience while increasing investment that we are doing in CapEx. So you are seeing net debt coming down. This was mostly driven by the reduction in tariff deviations, which is good news. So it is coming to this stabilizing to a level. In 2025, it will look so that is the normal level without those larger deviations from REN Trading.

But even if you exclude that, it came down 1% in a year where we increased CapEx more than 20. Of course, that's looking forward as this impact of tariff deviations has stabilized. As we maintain high CapEx, it's normal that net debt, as we had said, may go up a little bit. But bear in mind that a lot of CAPEX is driven by also by the solar agreements, which we have a different, I'd say, cash flow profile. But overall, we think that metrics are not going to be impacted, even we perhaps think that they will be impacted positively.

Again, repeating maturity going up around 5.2%, liquidity going up to EUR 1.6 billion, clearly above the two-year commitment of liquidity that we have or refinancing. So again, delivering on increasing financial stability and resilience on the court. In terms of looking at the strategic plan, just as a reminder on slide 19, the things that we proposed to you in terms of strategic plan, both in terms of sustainability, of enabling the energy transition and investment, on delivering profitable growth in terms of metrics and business indicators, I think we are delivering. And you can see that on slide 20.

You look at EBITDA, and we are delivering on what we told you. You look at net profits, even recurrent net profits, we are delivering. And on regular net profits, we are clearly over delivering. On net debt, we are again delivering on the low end of that interval that we told you. On CAPEX, we are also delivering on what we told you in terms of interval. So I think that we are delivering on all of the metrics that were required.

Just taking a minute to talk about most of the ESG commitments that we had on slide 22. João already went over a bit this, but just to tell you that the commitments that we had, namely on the environment and on emissions, we are clearly doing very good progress here. We have a commitment to reduce Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 60% by 2030.

By this year, given a lot of measures and the evolution of renewables, we are already at -57%. So we are clearly doing good progress. In the year itself, it came down almost 22%. Scope 3 also coming down 9% in 2024 and reducing already 28% versus 2021 when our objective is to reduce it to 30%. So there's strong commitment. You can see the detail of that on slide 23. You have a lot of metrics there that you can see that we are delivering on them. And if you have any other questions, please reach out.

What you can also see, and that is the result on slide 24, is that this is having impacts on the ratings that we have in terms of ESG. Namely, the last one that we received and was very good news was the CDP. We have an A, and this was early this year, so in February. So this is clearly an increase. In S&P, we also improved in December the rating that we have. In sustainability, we also improved in June last year.

In MSCI, we are already at the top. So we did not improve, but we are there. In ISS ESG, we are on our way and on a journey to improve, but we are clearly delivering again on the business plan and executing also on the ESG side. So as closing remarks on Slide 26, so good results in 2024. I think that there's some news that have a positive impact on the stock. We are delivering clearly on the business plan and fulfilling what we told you. And not only that, we announced this also yesterday. In terms of dividends, I think there's a bit of good news here.

As last year, we had told you what we had promised was to have an increasing 2% dividend policy starting in the 2025 dividend. So the 2024 would still be the same as the 2023. But yesterday, on the board, the board decided to present to the General Assembly an anticipation of that and already increased the 2024 dividend by 2%. So that kind of shows the commitment of the board to the shareholders, and it kind of shows also the confidence that we have on the business plan and on delivering the business plan. So thank you very much for listening, and we now open the floor to any questions that you may have.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, please press star one and one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. Once again, please press star one and one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. Thank you. We are now going to proceed with our first question. The questions come from the line of Flora Trindade from CaixaBank. Please ask a question.

Flora Trindade
Analyst, CaixaBank

Hello. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I have three if I may. The first one is on this extraordinary tax incentive. Can you provide a bit more granularity on exactly how this incentive works? If I understood correctly, you're talking about a total of EUR 120 million potential cash impact from this incentive. So just wondering if you can just guide us a bit on exactly how this works?

Then secondly, on the decision, do you believe that this increases the probability of reverting at least what you have paid for gas? What's your expectation for 2025? Should you pay the same amount, or should this be reduced at some point? And then finally, on the electricity regulation, are you holding negotiations with the regulator? Do you have any central scenario? Is it just an update of the parameters, or can we also see some change in the methodology? Thank you very much.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

Okay. So on the tax incentive, so as I said, this is related to the capitalization of companies in Portugal. So this was created for the budget of 2023 and 2022. Okay? The value I gave you, so what I was telling you is that we have an impact of EUR 36 million this year. Okay?

We are expecting to be able to maintain an impact of around EUR 30 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027. So if you add these four up, that's the EUR 120 million that I was giving you. Okay? But what you should expect is this. The impact that we have this year was EUR 36 million, and you can put in your model, as we have, I'd say, a high level of confidence, a value of around EUR 30 million for the next three years.

After that, there is still a possibility of something, but we are uncertain and would rather be conservative than tell you that there is still something else coming. So I would say that this is where we are confident. On the sales, there is no expectation that we have, but I think that Rodrigo may comment on that.

Rodrigo Costa
CEO, REN

Yeah. On the sales, we cannot anticipate other decisions. We had these three decisions that Gonçalo mentioned. We decided that the impact of those decisions should be booked in our P&L. That's what we did. We discussed this, of course, with our external auditors. But we don't do any predictions for the future because we need more resolutions.

For sure, it's a very positive decision that we got. It shows that our work with our lawyers is working. On the first years, we did not get any positive decisions, but after 2019, of course, we have a good expectation. But this is for the future. In terms of also, you didn't ask, but in terms of electricity, we are still waiting for decisions from the court, and we will see how it goes. On the last one, we don't comment on the process of the regulation revision. It's a process.

Our regulator, they just did a very interesting event where they basically invited. It was a public event a few weeks ago. They invited several stakeholders. We were there. We were talking there. The idea was to provide feedback before their decisions. And I think it was the first time they did this type of event. It was quite positive. They got a lot of feedback. And now they are working. As you can expect, we will not make any comment on our work. This is a long process, and they are the ones who can comment, not us.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

So to remind you on the timings of the regulation this year, because those are the typical timings. So the first version will come out in mid-October. Okay? So that's the first time that any information will be made public. And the final one will come out in mid-December. So most of the engagements will be before summer, but you will not have any news from us before those dates that I told you. Okay? Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We are now going to proceed with our next question. And the questions come from the line of Fernando Garcia from RBC. Please ask your question.

Fernando Garcia
Director, RBC

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Let me say something on the Constitutional Court ruling and as well as about the remuneration from 2026 in electricity. So starting with the extraordinary tax, my understanding is that you are doing an appeal for each business and year. So can you clarify these rulings, what year they refer to? And then I am correct to think that the rationale of these rulings can apply for the remaining years.

I am thinking that, for example, if this ruling applies to 2029, what will be the potential amounts that you have paid until 2024 in gas? Related as well to the extraordinary tax, do you think? I understand your position of not commenting about the Constitutional Court decision, but can you share your views about if the rationale of the ruling can you use that as well in electricity, particularly since from 2019?

About the last question on the tax, can we link this gas favorable ruling with the increase in dividend that you are having already in 2024 of 2%? And asking here as well if there are more favorable rulings going forward, if that could have an implication in your dividend guidance. Final one is about your remuneration in electricity from 2026. There can you share your expectations about returns for next year?

At least you can share with us if you think that this remuneration should be aligned with any improvement happening in Spain. If the remuneration is fair, what you have, if that could mean an increase in the level of investment that you have in the future. Thank you.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

Thank you, Fernando, for your question. Relating to the CESE, the special levy. The rulings that we have were relating to 2019 and 2021. Portgás, 2019 and 2021, and one in the company in one of the concessions called Armazenagem in 2019. Okay? Those are the ones that you got. Okay? As we said last year, in terms of read across, the only thing that we find is that there was a shift in the court's opinion starting in 2019 relating to gas. That is the only thing that we can see.

So that is why we are, I'd say, from 2019 onwards, a little bit more positive on what we can expect from the rulings. On the electricity side, we didn't have any rulings yet, so we are waiting. We don't know exactly what they will say. Okay? The gas that is paid in the special tax, the gas. The tax that is paid in special levy for gas assets is around EUR 10 million per year. Okay? So you have still 2020, part of 2021, 2022, 2023. So there is a lot of money there. I can give you the precise amount later, but so it's more or less EUR 10 million a year, and we only recuperated part of what they had in 2019 and 2021. Okay? So on the gas, I think that was what you wanted to hear. Yeah.

Just to comment, I think, on the dividend, what we announced is what we announced. We never do any type of forecast or prediction in terms of dividend other than the one we did last year, as Gonçalo mentioned, which is a steady increase per year. And this is all we can share at the moment. This is all we have to do. And somehow this answers also to your second question about what we will be doing if this situation with sales will keep going. As we said, we have positive expectations on the sales side, to be honest, on the gas side and on electricity side. But the key decision also comes from the government.

When they develop the next budget, we will see how they will decide. Our intention is to keep the process on the courts on both sides, electricity and gas. But to be honest, we need more decisions, and then we will act according to those decisions. In terms of the regulation, what can we expect? Again, I already answered. We do not make any comments on the process.

We made public our comments to the regulation, to the future, the importance of having a fair remuneration that allows us to invest. We need to make sure that future regulation takes into account the needs for innovation, the needs to make sure we have the proper investments done every year in the network. We have multiple challenges that also the regulators need to address, and this is not just about Portugal and Spain. This is about every country. This is the feedback we gave them. I'm sure they will work.

They will listen to a few of the things. Some others, they will decide by their own. But at the moment, this is the process, and we have to respect that regulators are the ones who will let us know their decisions.

Thank you, Fernando.

Operator

We are now going to proceed with our next question, and the questions come from the line of Ignacio Doménech from JB Capital Markets. Please ask your question.

Ignacio Doménech
Analyst, JB Capital

Hello. Good morning. Thank you for the presentation, and thank you for taking my questions. The first question is coming back to the tax incentives. Okay? I would like to understand if you sound quite optimistic with the possibility of recovering or having this impact, EUR 30 million impact until 2027. So I just want to understand, given the political uncertainty in Portugal, how feasible it is that this impact could be repeated in 2026 and 2027.

I understand that the budget was approved last year, so there's no risk to 2025, but just to understand if there was a change in the government, if this is something that there is consensus between political parties, or we could see some risk, okay, to these tax incentives, and my second question is related with the regulatory review. I think João mentioned a 1.7 investment plan until 2034, which is quite challenging and substantial, so I would like to get your view on what do you think is an adequate or a fair remuneration in order to ensure that the company will actually reinforce and invest on the Portuguese network until this year. Thank you.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

Thank you, Natchez, so relating to the tax incentive in your question, so first comment, one, this was created by the previous government and was repeated by the current government.

You can see that this is a measure that has gone through different politics and governments. There is some stability in it, and it has been present in three different budgets. That's the first comment I would make. The second one relates to the fact that even despite those changes, this relates to certain rights that, when given the tax law in Portugal, guarantees the people that pay taxes a certain stability in how these laws are applied.

That gives you some rights in terms of tax law in Portugal. These are the two things that give us some expectation in terms of getting that money. We were aided by outside counselors also on this. We reviewed those opinions. This is not something that we only decided and analyzed on our own. Okay? On the regulatory review, João, you want to add something or?

João Conceição
COO, REN

No, just to mention that we are following what's happening in other regulatory models, namely the Spanish one. We are aware that this investment plan that we have in electricity is an ambitious one. Bear in mind that a significant part of it is related to projects that derive directly from options that are made by the national energy policy. So we are considering all this into the equation. And of course, the fair remuneration, it's a critical variable to account when we take the decisions to go ahead with these projects.

Fernando Garcia
Director, RBC

Just to add on that, and this is repeating a little bit what we told you on the business plan. I mean, there was a clear increase in cost of capital in the past years since we last had the new electricity remuneration. I think that it is on the back of that that both in Spain and here, companies are arguing that, "Look, we need a fair remuneration given this increasing cost of capital." That's all. That's all we are asking. We are not asking anything more than that. Okay? Thank you.

Ignacio Doménech
Analyst, JB Capital

Thank you very much. Thanks.

Operator

As a final reminder to ask a question, please press star one and one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. We are now going to proceed with our next question. And the questions come from Alessandro De Vito from Mediobanca. Please ask your question.

Alessandro Di Vito
Equity Research Analyst, Mediobanca

Hi. Good morning, all. Yes. Thanks for taking my question. I have a remaining question on CapEx because you mentioned before during the presentation that you believe that this level of CapEx is sustainable for the next years. So I want to have a confirmation on this. And I also wanted to ask if you could provide a level of investment for gas transmission and distribution in 2025 and 2026, and maybe if you believe that there could be some potential upside maybe from hydrogen or from other factors. Thank you.

Gonçalo Morais Soares
CFO, REN

So I mean, we don't give specific guidance for any given year on any given CapEx. You have that range of CapEx that you have on the business plan of 350-450. As we always signal to you that we are expecting in 2025 an increase in CapEx versus 2024, which is in line with the trend that we are seeing.

As João's team starts to implement the solar agreement, namely, which will come this year, next year, and 2027, you'll see that increase of CapEx going up. In any given year, as I said, some construction might be delayed, but that's not really the point for you. So what you'll see is a trending upwards CapEx moving up that interval that we told you. Okay?

We also see signals, as João said, that there's other CapEx that may be sustaining this as those high consumption zones. So I'm not going to give you specific guidance on anything specific, but this is what you will see: increasing CapEx this year again versus 2025, and then 2026 maintaining, and 2027 high levels of CapEx moving forward. Okay? Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions at this time. I will now hand back to you for any closing remarks. Thank you.

Madalena Garrido
Head of Investor Relations, REN

Thank you very much to all on the line. As per usual, we'll remain available to answer any additional questions you may have. And thank you, and have a good day.

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