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Earnings Call: Q3 2023

Nov 16, 2023

Operator

Welcome to Sonae's Nine-Month 2023 Results Conference all. During the presentation, hosted by Mr. João Dolores, Sonae's CFO, all participants will be on a listen-only mode. There will be an opportunity for Q&A at the end of the presentation. If you wish to ask a question during the Q&A session, you may do so by pressing the star key followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you're experiencing any difficulty in listening to the conference at any time, please make sure you have your headset fully plugged in, or alternatively, please try calling from a different device. I now hand the conference over to Mr. João Dolores. Please go ahead, sir.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Hi, everyone. Good afternoon, and Welcome to Sonae's Results Conference Call for the first 9- months of 2023. Besides myself and the investor relations team, we have on the call Christian Weiss from Bright Pixel, Fernando Silva from MC, Luís Mota Duarte from Sierra, and Paulo Simões from Worten. As you know, the third quarter of the year continued to be marked by a challenging macroeconomic environment and persistent geopolitical tensions. Nevertheless, the Portuguese economy continued to be quite resilient, the inflation rate remained high, although in a downward trend, both in the Eurozone and in Portugal. Despite some financial pressure on companies and households, the labor market remains quite resilient, with the unemployment rate decreasing even further and closing the quarter at 6.1%, the lowest level in the past two decades.

The Portuguese economy continued to grow, although at a lower pace, but still reaching 1.9% growth, significantly above the EU average of 0.1%. As you know, a significant part of our activity and underlying value creation is related with portfolio management. In 2023, we have executed a number of important milestones in terms of capital allocation. During the first half of the year, we acquired the remaining 10% stake in Sierra at a 10% discount to NAV, and now hold 100% of the company. Universo reached an agreement with Bankinter Consumer Finance to create a leading consumer credit operator in Portugal. Completion is awaiting regulatory approval from the Bank of Portugal, but we expect it to close the transaction before the year end.

MC reached an agreement for the combination of Arenal and Druni in Spain, resulting in the leading health, wellness and beauty player in Iberia, with completion expected also in the coming weeks after the approval of the Spanish competition authority. Bright Pixel, our corporate venturing arm, made six new minority investments and currently has over 40 companies in its portfolio, including three unicorn companies. In Q3, Sonaecom acquired Sonae's direct stake in NOS, 11.3% stake in the company for EUR 213 million, reaching 37.37% of the total share capital in the company. Already in October, we concluded the sale of our stake in ISRG, resulting in EUR 300 million of cash proceeds and a capital gain of EUR 168 million that will impact Q4 results.

Within our portfolio management activity, we launched Sparkfood, our investment platform dedicated to innovative companies in the food tech space, with a focus on the development of sustainable and healthy solutions. It's a space we have been analyzing over the past few years, having made our first investment back in 2021, and recently we have committed more capital to widen the portfolio to a few additional exciting companies. Sparkfood is exploring investments in two main business platforms: the alternatives platform, which aims to be a European supplier of next-generation alternatives to animal proteins, namely plant-based foods. And also the ingredients platform, whose goal is to be a global provider of natural ingredients for health and wellness, food systems, and animal nutrition.

In parallel and directly linked to these two platforms, Sparkfood launched Ventures, an area dedicated to invest in scale-ups that will fuel innovation in both core platforms across different areas. By the end of the first nine months of 2023, Sparkfood portfolio included 5 investments and more than EUR 110 million of capital invested. Two investments in the alternatives platform, one in the ingredients platform, and two in the ventures side of the business unit. So regarding operational performance of our businesses in Q3, and starting with retail, I would like to point out that during the first nine months of 2023, MC had a very positive operational and financial performance in a quite challenging macroeconomic and competitive environment. Top line grew 9.6% year-over-year in Q3, with a like-for-like of 8.7%.

This was fueled by both grocery and non-grocery formats, as the company surpassed EUR 4.8 billion in sales in the first nine months of the year, with a total growth of 12% and 10.4% like-for-like increase. This enabled MC to retain its leadership position in the food retail market in Portugal, and Continente had another positive quarter on the back of very effective decisions regarding assortment, pricing and promotions, underpinned by a unique customer data set. At the same time, we continued to ensure a state-of-the-art store network through targeted refurbishments and new openings. In the first nine months of the year, MC opened six proximity stores and two large supermarkets in the country.

The health and wellness and beauty banners maintained their strong growth profiles, both in Portugal and Spain, as we look forward to partnering with Druni and scale this business in Iberia. Regarding profitability, the top line performance, together with the decrease in energy costs and the ongoing operational efficiency measures, enabled MC to offset the pressure of trading down movements and price investment initiatives, leading underlying EBITDA to reach EUR 179 million in Q3, an increase of EUR 21 million year-on-year, or 14%, with a margin of 10.2%, and a total of EUR 458 million in the first nine months of the year, representing a margin of 9.5%.

CapEx stood at almost EUR 200 million in the first nine months of the year, but still, the company was able to generate EUR 113 million in free cash flow, an increase of 11% versus 2022. Moving on to Worten. Worten also had a positive quarter, being able to outperform the market and reinforce its leadership position in Portugal with market share gains both offline and online. In Q3, the company posted a 2.5% year-on-year growth to EUR 323 million, and 5.2% in the first 9 months of the year, reaching EUR 880 million.

If we include marketplace sales, total GMV reached EUR 923 million year to date, a 6.5% increase versus 2022, with new categories in the marketplace showing a much stronger growth rate.

Operator

I'm sorry, Mr. Dolores line has disconnected. Please stand by for a moment while we reconnect. Thank you, everyone. Mr. Dolores , please continue.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Hi, everyone. Apologies for this. I'm not sure where the line, where the connection broke off, but I will try to resume my presentation. I believe the connection broke at the end of Worten's presentation. So, I was just saying at the end that this is naturally a critical period of the year for Worten with the Black Friday and Christmas seasons, which will be very important for the company, and so, but we remain confident that Worten will show another strong display at the end of this year. Moving on to Sierra. The company maintains its growth momentum with another strong quarter across the board. In the European shopping center portfolio, tenant sales reached double digits like-for-like growth compared to both last year and the pre-pandemic period.

This was fueled by an increase in footfall and also higher occupancy rates, which rose by 0.5% percentage points to 98%. The services activity also continued to be a significant driver of operational performance, with double-digit EBITDA growth. Significant milestones in the quarter included the clearance from the Competition Authority to manage CTT's real estate portfolio, with closing expected in Q4. Progress on several real estate vehicles, commercialization of the prime mixed-use asset, República 5, in Lisbon, the acceleration of construction works on the third office tower of Colombo, and the expansion of property management contracts across Europe. So good progress on a number of strategic levers for the company in the quarter.

Net results increased 21% year-on-year to EUR 54 million in the first 9 months of the year, on the back of a strong direct result evolution... and NAV increased EUR 74 million since the beginning of the year, having surpassed EUR 1 billion. On the technology and telecoms side, as you know, NOS published its nine-month results a couple of weeks ago and delivered a strong operational and financial performance. During Q3, turnover increased 7% year-on-year to just over EUR 400 million and reached around EUR 1.2 billion in the first 9 months of the year, with very positive performances from both the telco and cinema exhibition activities.

In terms of profitability, EBITDA also maintained a positive trend in the quarter, a 13% year-on-year increase to EUR 200 million, reaching EUR 553 million at the end of the first nine months, at 10.6% growth rates versus 2022, benefiting from the top line growth, coupled with a good evolution in margin of 2.2 percentage points to 46.7%. Regarding our corporate venturing arm, Bright Pixel continued to explore new opportunities to expand its active portfolio, which already includes more than 40 companies around the globe and reinforce some of its existing investments. These investments led to a slight increase in both NAV and cash invested in the active portfolio to EUR 332 million in the case of NAV and EUR 167 million regarding cash invested.

Despite the current global pressure on valuations for tech companies, Bright Pixel's portfolio continues to show a strong resilience, as we do not expect significant changes in our total portfolio valuation in coming quarters. On a consolidated view, Sonae maintained a strong top line growth in Q3, as total sales grew 8% year-on-year in the quarter, surpassing EUR 6 billion in the first nine months of the year, mainly fueled by the performance of MC, which continued to be impacted by a strong inflationary context, although we already saw a stabilization of volumes in the quarter. In terms of profitability, consolidated underlying EBITDA increased 13% year-on-year to EUR 205 million in Q3, and reached EUR 506 million in total in year-to-date terms, with a margin of 8.4%, 22 basis points above last year.

Total EBITDA stood at EUR 581 million, 7%... Hello?

Operator

Yes, we can hear you.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

You can hear me? Okay, I was getting indications that the call had dropped again. So I was mentioning that total EBITDA stood at EUR 581 million, a 7% increase year-on-year, with a positive contribution from equity consolidated businesses, namely Sierra, which partially offset the fact that there were no significant transactions in the period and therefore no significant capital gains. This positive operational performance was, however, more than offset by increased depreciations following our investment efforts in the expansion and digitization of our businesses, higher funding costs given the increase in interest rates, and also higher tax expenses, leading direct results to drop to EUR 167 million in the first 9 months of the year.

Indirect results also reduced this year, mostly due to lower valuation gains in Bright Pixel minority stakes and to lower evaluations of Sierra shopping centers when compared to last year. All in all, net results group shares stood at EUR 135 million in the first nine months of 2023. In the last 12 months, Sonae generated EUR 206 million of free cash flow before dividends paid. This solid free cash flow generation results from the strong operational performances of our main businesses, which I mentioned before, coupled with our portfolio management activity and the dividends received from our investments.

At the end of the day, consolidated net debt declines once again to EUR 982 million after dividends paid to our shareholders and partners, at which totals EUR 161 million in the period. The group's capital structure remains solid, with a low leverage level, significant liquidity available, and a stable debt maturity profile, which stands above four years. At the end of September, our holding LTV decreased even further to 6.6%, and at the sub-holding level, leverage metrics remained well within our defined thresholds. MC maintained a solid capital structure with a net financial debt of EUR 509 million, and a ratio of total net debt to EBITDA of 2.8 times below last year's level.

NOS presented a net financial debt to EBITDA as a ratio of 1.9 times, in line with last year's figure, and at Sierra, gross LTV reduced significantly to 38.5% versus 42% last year. Last but not least, Sonae's NAV, based on market references, amounted to EUR 4.4 billion at the end of the first nine months of 2023, 4% above the June level, mainly fueled by MC, both in terms of operational performance and also market multiples. Going forward, we remain confident that our portfolio of companies will continue to play to win in their respective markets, and that we will maintain a solid growth level and create superior economic and social value. Thank you. You can now open the question, the session to Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star key on your telephone keypad, followed by one. Please press star one to pose your question. To withdraw your question for any reason, you may press star two. You will be advised when to ask your question. Our first question comes from João Pinto of JB Capital. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. I have four, if I may. The first two on Sonae MC. The first one, if you could update us on CapEx plans, how many store openings do you expect for this year and for 2024? And if you intend to accelerate the refurbishments, given that the second largest player is accelerating on this front. The second question also on Sonae MC. As inflation decelerates, are you seeing signs of lower trading down pressures? And are you seeing any material changes in terms of competitive environment? My third question on Sparkfood. Do you intend to continue to grow this division through M&A? And what's the level of CapEx that you intend to allocate to this division?

Finally, on NOS, following yesterday's news on EuroBic, is there any update on the availability of Isabel dos Santos' stake on the company? Many thanks.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Thank you, João. Maybe I'll start, and I'll, I'll take the Sparkf ood and NOS questions, and then I'll hand it over to Fernando to take the MC questions. So on Spark Food, yes, the idea is to continue to grow this business unit through M&A. As I mentioned before, we have made already a number of investments. I would say each of them relatively small, given the size of the group. But we have a strong ambition to grow and invest in this space, which we believe is a space that has a lot to do with our mission and with the capabilities that we have. And we see good opportunities to continue to grow in these segments.

In terms of the amount of capital that we plan to allocate to this new business unit, we don't have a specific guidance to provide you with. It really depends on the opportunities that might arise. What I can tell you is that we have a dedicated team, a small, dedicated team looking at opportunities in the space. And I wouldn't be surprised if in the next 12 months, we would see at least the same level of capital that we have invested up until now, invested in further opportunities. Regarding NOS. Well, I mean, I don't know exactly the terms of the transaction that was announced yesterday.

To be quite frank, I don't think you can extract any insights from that at this point in time to the situation in NOS. From what we understand, the stakes or the participations that Isabel dos Santos holds and that's ultimately own the stake in NOS continue to be seized. But we will obviously monitor the situation closely. As you know, we are quite comfortable with the economic exposure and with the position that we have in the company up until now, and we don't feel that there will be any significant changes in the near future regarding that. But now I will hand it over to Fernando to cover the MC questions.

Speaker 5

Hello. Hello, good afternoon. First of all, on expansion, so as you mentioned, we are actually accelerating the expansion plan for especially on our Bom Dia format, the proximity format. As of the end of Q3, we have opened eight grocery stores. As of today, we have already opened 13 stores, and our plan is to open around 10 more until the end of the year. So we are gonna end up the year with the expansion in our proximity format above our initial guidance of openings. For 2024, our goal is to maintain more or less the same level of openings we have seen in the past.

Again, mainly anchored around the Bom Dia format, and so probably around 15-20 stores, and obviously, if we can accelerate even further, we will- we'll do it. In terms of refurbishment, as you mentioned, and as you have seen in the, in the numbers, we have accelerated this year a little bit the refurbishment of our store network. Obviously, mainly focused on our larger formats and especially Meu Super, as our Bom Dia format has is more recent. And our plan is to keep more or less the same level for the upcoming years in terms of refurbishment of the store network in this, in this, in Meu Super and in Continente hypermarkets.

On the second question around inflation and the and the trading down, as João mentioned, in Q3, we have seen the volumes more or less flat, so obviously a positive trend versus, especially the first quarter in the beginning of the year. In terms of trading down, we are seeing more or less the same trend, so there is still a little bit of trading down, but to a lower extent compared to the first two quarters of the year. And so we are positive on that, although we still see some pressure on trading down. And the private label share on our sales has more or less remained flat over the last few months, but obviously there is a little bit of seasonality on private label as well.

Around the competitive tension, is it true that competitive tension keeps high? As we, as you probably know and have felt, we have continued to invest in price in a very competitive market, with a lot of players investing more and more in price. Very strong campaigns as well, and promotions in the market in some players. In terms of expansion plan, as you also know, there has been an acceleration of expansion plan of many players, and so we are feeling a very competitive market in Q3, obviously also already in Q4. But as João mentioned in the beginning of the call, we have consolidated our market share, and we remain positive in this very high competitive market.

Speaker 6

... That's very clear. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from António Seladas of AS Research. Please go ahead.

António Seladas
Founder, AS Independent Research

Hi, good afternoon. I have two questions related with the, with the Sparkfood. Namely, you can provide some color on the, on the gross figures and the performance. And, just to understand if the philosophy of the investment is similar to Bright Pixel, so, minority stakes or not, or just to consolidate and, and to keep the stakes for, for many, many years? And, regarding Sonae MC, if you, if you can provide some color on, regarding costs, namely energy and staff costs for, for 2024, please. Thank you very much.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Very good. Thank you, António, for your questions. I will take the Sparkfood questions first, and then again, I will hand it over to Fernando. So on the performance of Gosh. Gosh, as you know, is our first investment in this space already a couple of years ago, and the company has been performing well. We in the last 2 years, we went through a significant transformation in the company, replacing part of the management team and then reviewing the strategy of the company. The last few months have been quite positive. The company has been able to outgrow the market, gain market share in the British plant-based food market and gaining listings, new listings in new supermarket chains.

Currently today it is present in all major, practically all major supermarket chains and also in a number of food services providers, in the country. So the company is growing well and gaining market share, in the UK market. As for the philosophy of Sparkfood, the idea is not exactly to have the same philosophy as Bright Pixel, because Bright Pixel focuses primarily on venture capital type investments, and so the idea is always to invest with a view to an exit. In our case, in the case of Sparkfood, in this case, it's not exactly the same thing.

We do have a ventures arm that I explained before, where the philosophy is similar, and so it's also a corporate venturing activity in a number of innovative areas around the food production system. And there, the idea is mostly the same as in Bright Pixel, so invest minority stakes, help these companies to grow, and then eventually help them with a path to be a part of a new ownership going forward, and so making an exit and making significant returns out of those exits.

But the other two platforms, the two ones that I mentioned originally, so alternatives and ingredients, the objective, the target, is much more to invest with either a controlling stake or with an influential stake in companies that might be significant outcomes for us in years to come, and so not necessarily with a view to exit. Fernando, do you want to take the MC questions? Okay.

Speaker 5

Sure. Hello again. So in terms of energy costs, just a little bit of background maybe on this year. So, as you saw, Q3 2023, we have seen a material decrease, more than half of decreasing on the energy costs versus 2022 by the summer. The Q3 2022 was extremely high, so we have obviously seen a material decrease in this quarter. Next quarter, we won't have the same kind of leverage in the sense that the energy costs of last year in Q4 were more or less aligned with what we are seeing for Q4 2023. For 2024, as you know, there has been a change in terms of access tariffs for the energy.

So we know that the access tariffs are gonna be around EUR 20 per megawatt versus zero value of this year. So we are seeing an increase in access tariffs, and we are also seeing an increase in the expected spot prices. There is obviously a lot of volatility and still uncertainty around energy costs, but I think it's fair to say that the energy costs in 2024 are gonna be significantly higher for us compared to 2023. On the staff costs, we are also expecting a relevant increase in terms of the costs.

When we look at 2024, we are obviously gonna see the inflation as we discussed in the past, food inflation going down to more normal levels, I would say. And obviously some pressure on the cost side in these two items that you mentioned, staff costs and energy, which are clearly gonna be above food inflation. And so we are quite polite, and mainly on these two lines that you mentioned, staff cost and energy, which are clearly gonna go above the top line growth driven by inflation.

António Seladas
Founder, AS Independent Research

Okay. Just a follow-up question on Sparkfood. Are we going to see or are we going to release well, some kind of financial information in the coming quarters or next year, regarding this business unit or not?

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

We expect to give progressively more information on this. I mean, it's still a relatively small area within the group, but as we expect to scale the activity, we expect to provide more information. We are quite optimistic around this. It's more. To us, it's more a valuation play than a typical retail play, where you're mostly focused on revenues and operational margins. And so this is a very some, and in some cases, we are talking about segments which are really innovative and just now starting to emerge with high growth rates. But we will for sure provide more information on the different segments as we go along.

But we feel quite optimistic that we, we can play a role in this in the growth of sustainable and healthy solutions in terms of food production and consumption in in the next few years. That we see a lot of opportunities to pursue, buy, and build opportunities in the sector. And we currently have a an active pipeline with several opportunities that are being currently explored by the team. But yes, we will we, we'll be providing more information in the future about this.

António Seladas
Founder, AS Independent Research

Okay. So just to clarify, I think that you mentioned 30% is the... 30% of the current investment is what we expect for the next 12 months. Did I understand well?

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

No, no, no. What I said is I, we are not committing to any capital allocation, obviously, because it depends on the opportunities that come up. And we have been very, very thorough in our analysis of any potential investment opportunities, and so we will always be careful when allocating capital. But, I wouldn't be surprised if we were to allocate in the next 12 months, at least the same level of capital invested that we have allocated up until now, which is roughly about EUR 100 million.

António Seladas
Founder, AS Independent Research

Okay. Thank you very much. Thank you.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Thank you. Sorry.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question on today's call, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from Guilherme Sampaio, of Caixa Bank. Please go ahead.

Guilherme Sampaio
Equity Research Analyst, CaixaBank BPI

Hello. Guilherme Sampaio from Caixa Bank BPI. Good morning. Good afternoon. So just one for me. On, if you could provide a bit more color on the rationale for the margin increase that we've seen in MC, in the recent quarters, and the decision not to reinvest even more in prices. Thanks.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Okay.

Speaker 5

Hi, Guilherme. Thank you.

João Dolores
Board Member and CFO, Sonae

Go ahead, Fernando.

Speaker 5

Hi, Guilherme. Thank you very much. Thank you very much for the question. Just in terms of margin, as you know, we don't disclose the breakdown of the margin. What I can tell you is the... We have done-

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