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Earnings Call: Q1 2018

May 18, 2018

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Sonae Q1 2018 Results Call. Before we begin, I must advise you this call is being recorded today, and all participants are in a listen-only mode. Our presentation will be followed by a question-and-answer session. To ask a question at this time, please press star one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. Should you wish to ask a question throughout the conference, please type into the Q&A panel to the left of your screen. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker, Luís Duarte, Chief Corporate Center Officer. Please go ahead.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Hi, hello. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for attending Sonae's Q1 2018 Results Conference Call and webcast. Together with me, I have Fernando Guedes de Oliveira, the CEO of Sonae Sierra, Rui Almeida, CFO of Sonae Food Retail Division, Miguel Águas, CFO of Worten, Carlos Silva, CFO of Sonae Investment Management, João Dolores, our Central Planning and Management Control Area Manager, and all the IR team of Sonae. First of all, I'd like to mention this fact. Today's call is only about our Q1 results.

I know that some of you might be curious about our announced potential IPO, the one we are studying since our last earnings announcement. As of today, there are no additional news or additional information to the one already provided to the market, so I will not answer any question related to it or make any further announcement related to the IPO. Obviously, when and if we will have additional information on that particular subject, it will be properly communicated to the market. Entering directly into the results, it's another strong quarter of Sonae's performance. We continue following our three key strategic pillars: strengthening and leveraging our key assets and competencies in our core markets, driving international expansion.

Just a quick note on that international expansion: to mention significant partnerships that Sonae Sierra made in Italy, a 50/50 joint venture agreement with Impresa Pizzarotti to develop a new shopping district with a shopping mall and outlet or a retail park in Parma. The third one, which is to diversify business models and investment approach of Sonae, which we've been doing quite significantly over the time. Entering directly into the results, four main notes. The first one, to highlight the very solid evolution of our turnover, 8.7% year-on-year, backed significantly by the contributions that come from mostly Sonae Food Retail Division, Sonae MC, and Worten. A second note on profitability, with underlying EBITDA growing 11% and EBITDA growing 9.5%, both of those figures growing ahead of the sales numbers. A third note on net income before minorities that more than doubled to EUR 21.2 million.

Finally, and also very relevant, the fact that our capital structure continues to maintain and reinforce a very strong profile. We have decreased net debt by EUR 140 million, and our financial leverage stood at 38%, less 2.9 percentage points when compared to the Q1 of last year. Our balance sheet is obviously fully financed. We have a long maturity profile that is currently, as it was on our last announcement to the market, around four years. Entering into each one of the businesses, a glimpse on each one of them with more detail on our retail businesses, starting with food, we believe that we are posting a very solid performance on the Q1 of 2018. It is indeed a very good start of the year, proving once again the resilience of our business there, but also the winning market value proposition that we have.

Once again, we've significantly gained market share. We've grown in absolute terms more than the market, and we've outgrown all our major competitors. In the Q1 , turnover increased by 10%, 5.3% of like-for-like sales growth. Obviously, both these figures are influenced by the calendar effect. You might deduct from these figures if you want to isolate the Easter effect, a number slightly below, south of 3%. We continue to expand our store network. We've opened three Continente Bom Dia stores following the strategy that I've been sharing with you in all our previous announcements. Finally, with good results at the underlying EBITDA margin level, where obviously fueled by the growth in sales, we managed to present 3.7% EBITDA margin, 10 basis points more than the same quarter last year. Actually, even more relevant than that, an absolute number of EUR 34 million.

In absolute terms, a growth of 12.7% when compared with the same figure posted last year. Regarding Worten, again, a very strong set of results, a growth of 9.3 percentage points in our Iberian operation, also a strong growth in like-for-like, 8.8 percentage points, fueled also by the Easter effect impact, which is smaller in Worten than what it is in Continente. Once again, our e-commerce operation continues to grow double-digit and continues to gain market share. Finally, also a positive evolution of the underlying EBITDA to EUR 3.3 million, a 27.5 percentage points year-on-year growth, with an improved margin of 1.4 percentage points. Sonae Sports & Fashion had a tough, challenging quarter, mostly driven by the unusual weather conditions.

As you know, we had a very strong winter, and the fact that Easter is on the Q1 also has a negative impact when compared to the performance of Easter with the performance of Easter of last year. Nevertheless, the combination of effect led us to post a growth of 1.5 percentage points, which, according to all our sources of information, is pretty much in line with the fashion market or the fashion markets where we operate, and even shows some market share gains in our most significant internationalized brands, Salsa and Zippy. Underlying EBITDA amounted to EUR 2 million, a 5% growth when compared to last year, and an improvement in EBITDA margin from 2.3% last year to 2.4% this year. Now, a clarification note on Sports Zone.

As you know, as of the end of January, we've merged our operations with JD Iberian Operations, including all their JD operations, Sprinter operations. We will, as of next quarter, start to present the full results of ISRG consolidated through the equity method. As there is a calendar mismatch between the way we report and the way that JD reports, we will be consolidating in our next quarter, the quarter of February, March, and April, which is a reporting quarter of JD in the U.K. Regarding Sonae RP, very stable. We continue to have a gross book value of above EUR 1.27 billion, American billion euros, a net book value of EUR 908 million, slight increase in turnover, also a slight increase at the underlying EBITDA level.

We didn't post any sell and lease-back transactions during the Q1 , but there is still an interesting appetite for the real estate assets of Sonae RP, so we might announce more or some operations here since our freehold is still very comfortable and aligned with our strategic guidance. Also, a note on financial services, which continues to post a very positive momentum. Turnover has grown more than 29%. EBITDA has also grown significantly, and the number of customers of our flagship product, the credit card Universo, is now 637,000, or was at the end of the quarter, a growth of 182,000 customers when compared with the Q1 of 2017, showing that we continue to have a significant traction in customer acquisition in the Portuguese markets. Sonae Sierra, very positive figures.

I've already mentioned the important partnership that further reinforces Sonae Sierra development activity, but also a mention to the strong operational indicators. Global occupancy rate stood at 95.6%, and tenant sales grew 5.7% in Europe and 4.8% in Brazil if we consider those figures in local currency, which is a quite significant and very positive result for Sonae Sierra. NOS has also posted already its results on May the 10th, as you probably are all aware of. Again, a very solid set of results from NOS, growth in operating revenues, significant growth in EBITDA, also significant growth, even bigger than EBITDA. EBITDA has grown 3%. EBITDA minus CapEx has grown 5%, and net results increased 3%. All in all, a very solid set of results in our telecom participation. Sonae Investment Management, that as you know, manages a quite broad portfolio of tech-based and cybersecurity companies.

An overall note to state that turnover increased 1% to EUR 33 million. Underlying EBITDA margin also grew to 2.9%. A very positive note for S21sec, which is our cybersecurity company based predominantly in Spain, but serving customers globally, but mostly in Spain, Portugal, and Latin America, which has posted a 14% year-on-year growth and is approaching break-even at the EBITDA level, a quite significant achievement for a cybersecurity company in Europe. I would like now to conclude by reinforcing that our perception is that Sonae is posting a very solid start of the year. We are very pleased with the results, and we are quite confident on the following quarters. Having said that, thank you again for being on our CONF call and webcast, and I will open now to questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star while not on your telephone keypad. If you wish to cancel your request, press the hash key. Okay. We have a question from José Rito. Your line is open.

José Rito
Analyst

Yes. Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. Just a clarification on the Easter effect. I think that for the full retail, you mentioned that it was 3%, just to confirm this. Also, if you are noticing any signs that customers have been trading up, this will be my first question. The second question related to the margin uplift in food in Q1, how sustainable do you see this, and also what should contribute the most for the margin evolution in the coming quarters? Should it be the gross margin, fixed cost dilution, maturing selling area? What should be the driver if you see this margin uplift as sustainable? My last question on Worten. Worten is maintaining a very good sales momentum. Is this performance similar both in Portugal and in Spain? If you could give some highlights on this.

If the physical stores are facing any signs of cannibalization from online, I would assume this is more relevant in Portugal. Also, on this business, when do you expect positive EBITDA less CapEx figures? Thank you.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Thank you, José. In regarding your first question, I said it's slightly south of 3%. It's always a very difficult figure to compute, but it's slightly south of 3%. As a matter of fact, we are not seeing trading up. The market continues to be very, very competitive, very aggressive in terms of promotional intensity. There is not really trading up. Regarding the margin uplift in food, I think that it deserves a longer explanation. Starting with, it's obvious that having such a positive performance in terms of sales in a company that is very driven by efficiency, when we have bigger sales, obviously, we tend to have better performance at the EBITDA level. There is obviously a contrary effect to that, which is the aggressiveness of the market. We still face a very tough competitive environment.

Obviously, I've been telling for those that are following us, I've been telling all of you that Sonae was managing its operations in a way that we thought we were reaching an equilibrium point at our EBITDA level, which we believe we did reach. Please bear in mind that this quarter, we only opened three stores, and you know that the opening of stores tends to have a slightly negative contribution to our EBITDA margin. Compared to other quarters where we opened seven or eight stores, having only opened three stores, that has a slightly less negative effect. When we approach such a stability point, as I've been humbly mentioning to the market over the last three, four quarters, this quarter, yes, we did have, because of all these effects, a positive notch in our EBITDA margin.

We are not overly confident that we will actually—I think that if you want to infer something from what I've been saying, we are prudent on EBITDA margin. We still guide the market by saying we believe we are at a stability point, but we might be influenced in a given quarter or other by positive factors like we were this quarter. Now, I will hand it over to Miguel Águas, who will answer your question on Worten.

Miguel Águas
CFO, Worten

Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for your questions. Regarding the question on performance being similar or not similar in Portugal and Spain, we had strong like-for-like performance in both markets. It was a bit higher in Portugal than in Spain, but in both cases, we actually grew above markets. We have like-for-likes above the market performance in both Portugal and Spain. As for your question on cannibalization in physical stores, and your question was mostly targeting Portugal, we monitor this closely. Right now, what we experience is actually the opposite. We have online driving traffic to stores, and we are gaining share both in physical stores and within the e-commerce channel as well. In Portugal, we are gaining share in both channels.

It is obvious that this entails change and evolution in our store portfolio in terms of some of its characteristics, but overall, so far, what the online has been doing in Portugal is driving more traffic to the stores and enabling also the range to be expanded with products that we do not need to have physically available in the stores. As for your last question on EBITDA minus CapEx, we are not going to have a forecast here shared with you. We do not have that forward-looking perspective here in the call.

José Rito
Analyst

Thank you very much. On this Worten issue and the penetration of online, you are still seeing quite positive like-for-like at your store network, so you do not see, let's say, over the next two to three years, need to shut down stores in Portugal. That should not be an issue.

Miguel Águas
CFO, Worten

Presently, we do not see that as being a likely scenario. We do have plans to adapt our store portfolio. We are having, as a normal day-to-day business, some adjustments in some stores. In some of the largest stores, we have done some area reductions that have helped us to increase significantly sales per square meter. Again, our like-for-like figures are very healthy in Portugal, even if you account only for physical sales. They are above market, and this is coupled with a performance that within e-commerce is very strong as well. No signs of important cannibalization as of now.

José Rito
Analyst

Okay. Thank you. Just on a follow-up on the trading up in the market, we have been seeing retailers enlarging the basket and having more healthy products, and actually, Sonae has opened recently a supermarket more focused on organic products. Isn't this a sign of trading up?

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Yeah. When I mentioned trading up, I was using the pure definition of trading up, which is a consumer within the same precise range of products buying a product at a premium price. Obviously, I was not mentioning an effect that you just described, which is the fact that consumers are more responsive to trends that might end up in acquisition of more expensive products. Actually, we do see an important trend on healthy, on the consumption of healthy foods. As I've already mentioned, I suppose in this call, we are now by far the largest player in Portugal on distribution of bio and healthy nutrition. It is indeed a category that is growing significantly above the growth that we posted for the total food retail division.

That happens, but I was not mentioning that as a trade-up, but also on the side of that as a response of consumers to new trends in consumption.

José Rito
Analyst

Okay. Understood. The penetration of these products is still quite small, right?

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Penetration is quite small. Yeah. It's quite small, and it doesn't have a significant impact in our total sales. It is true that the category of healthy and nutritional products is growing above our total sales.

José Rito
Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Philippe Rosa. Your line is open.

Philippe Rosa Rosa
Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon, everyone. Three questions for me as well, if I may. The first one on MC, just trying to understand a little bit this very positive like-for-like. Of course, there is this Easter effect. Excluding the Easter effect, could you just give us an idea of what has been the split between basket inflation and the number of tickets? Just trying to have an update, do you think that this expansion into proximity that you have been doing, is this allowing you to have more consumers, to have more consumers that are consumers of the Continente, the Continente brand? Do you think that you are basically increasing the share of the wallet of the consumers that you already have before? That would be my first question. My second question relates to your comments regarding Sonae RP.

You said that you might do some—you maintain the same message—there might be the opportunity due to the strong demand to do some more deals. I believe that you ended the Q1 with 47% of ownership. How low could you go tactically in order to take advantage of this strong demand in the market? My third question relates to fashion. Okay. It seems like the only weak spot. I do not know if you could update us on what are the measures being taken by Sonae, apart from, of course, Salsa, which we do not have detailed data, but it seems that it continues a bright spot. What are the measures that you would take to the legacy of MO and Zippy in order to improve the performance and the contribution to the consolidated results of Sonae? Thank you very much.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Hi. Hello, Philippe. Thank you very much for your question. Actually, the second one on Continente, it's really tough to answer. I think that we are witnessing both effects: a slight increase on basket, but also some customers that are coming more frequently to our stores because it's indeed—we don't have in the areas where we are, we tend to serve basically the vast majority of the population, at least on an irregular basis, because consumers in Portugal tend to shop in almost all the different brands that they have available in their catchment areas. Regarding like-for-like, as I've already said, you have a like-for-like growth of 5.3%. You have to deduct from there slightly south of 3%, as I said. And our basket inflation, and that we have more precise figures, is around 0.7 percentage points.

If you deduct that, you will see still a very positive number in like-for-like, especially when considering the fact that we are the one retailer that is having more square meters, and we are having those square meters in a surgical manner, as I have explained over the last couple of comments to the market. Having said that, I believe also that what you are witnessing and we are witnessing is a strength of the measures we took two years ago to strengthen our value proposition. We are continuing to be seen by the Portuguese customers as the retailer with the lowest prices, with the best variety, and also with the best owned brand products. We are improving now and trying to be better at fresh, where we still do not lead the market in terms of quality perception.

We are very close to that, and we will continue to invest on that particular area. All in all, the strength of our value proposal in terms of food is very much shown in these figures. Regarding Sonae RP, we have always said to the market that our intention is to remain on a figure that is broadly close to 50%. To achieve that broad figure, we will continue to use RP as our investment brand. The new stores that we are opening, a significant part of those stores will be owned and invested by Sonae RP.

In order to keep the figure broadly at 50% and in anticipation of more investment that we have planned in Sonae RP, and bearing in mind that the market is showing some strong appetite for some of our current real estate assets, we might sell at good prices now and then keep investing in more stores. There is not really a tactical guidance that I can give you. We still have a broad long-term guidance of keeping our freehold close to 50%, but that has to be achieved with selling at good prices, making good capital gains, profiting from good market moments, and then having a steady investment flow in new Sonae MC stores. Finally, regarding fashion, indeed it's true, Salsa continues to perform quite well. We have three other brands, Losan, MO, and Zippy.

The three of them, I'd say they are not in need of any more measures than the ones we've took in the past. They are improving slowly their performance in terms of sales. Handybitta, we were now hit by a tough quarter, which probably will also translate into a tough half. We are very confident that overall, 2018, if you look at the final figures, will be a very positive year, and you will see the full impact of the measures that were taken already last year and continue to be taken this year. They are mostly around optimization of the store network, optimization of the product, optimization of logistics. All in all, we are very confident that we will end up the year with quite positive results also in that side of our retail portfolio.

Philippe Rosa Rosa
Analyst

Thank you very much, Luis. Very helpful.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

You're welcome. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Tim Attenborough. Your line is open.

Tim Attenborough
Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon, Luis, and well done on the numbers. Most of my questions are answered, but just a few sort of follow-ups, if I may. On the weather impacts at MC, and I'm really thinking in the context of what Dia was saying about proximity stores in March suffering. I mean, were you seeing a significant like-for-like difference, big stores versus small stores, parking versus non-parking? Is that any trend you saw? Second thing is there's quite a significant new space contribution in the Q1 at MC. What should we be thinking in terms of new space for the full year? I think you were clear on the food margin, and congratulations on the first positive food margin evolution. I think it was since Q2 2013, so I've been waiting a long time for that, so well done.

You were clearly saying it would be prudent to measure stability, to forecast stability there, keep it forecast flat. Are the levels of promotional intensity easing off here? Is the market becoming a little bit more rational? I do appreciate Q1. Obviously, you've got to balance out Easter versus weather versus new space costs. That's it. One last one. Just on Worten, is Spain heading back into profit now? Is it no longer such a drag as it was? I'll leave it at that for now. Thank you.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

I think you've ended, Tim. Thank you very much for your questions and for your comments. I'm probably going to disappoint you, but in our network of stores, we don't see big differences between small versus big stores. Actually, if we had to make a full disclosure, it's actually the opposite. We are seeing better like-for-likes in proximity stores when compared to the big ones. Maybe our locations are, since we are having our locations based on a very robust methodology, maybe our locations are better picked, but we are seeing really a very good performance of our smaller stores. It's really driven by that good performance and good evolution of like-for-likes on those that are already having like-for-likes, that we are adding more stores. I'd like to mention that we keep saying what we said last year and the year before.

We plan to add around 20 stores per year at these types of stores. We still think that there is ample room for that type of controlled expansion on stores that will be around 800 to 1,000 sq m. At the same time, whenever we remodel a big upper market, and we did that last year and will continue to do that this year, we tend to swipe a part of the bigger store. Because, as you know, our biggest stores, they are predominantly big food stores with more variety. Regarding the levels of promotional intensity, no, there is no more rationality in the market. We are also very happy with the results we are posting because we are able to post those results in a very intense and very competitive market. We have prepared ourselves over the last two years to face this level of promotional intensity.

The market is indeed very rational. We do not see any player becoming more rational. Actually, quite the opposite. We are seeing some signs of more irrationality. We are even afraid that posting such positive results is showing that we are winning significantly in terms of gross market share and comparable profitability vis-à-vis all the other players in the Portuguese market. We might even provoke more irrationality from some more emotional players. That is life. I think we are very well prepared. Our operations are very robust, and we are showing a very strong and resilient food business. Even in a very intense promotional market, I believe that we are able to sustain our markets, as I have been saying, over the last two years. Thank you very much, Tim. Oh, regarding Worten, I will hand it over to Miguel.

Miguel Águas
CFO, Worten

The structural factors behind Spain are still in a positive trend. We have had in the Q1 most of the improvement that we have at the consolidated level was coming from Portugal. In Spain, this was a quarter where we invested, actually, significantly for a quarter in a major change. We actually have just completed a change in the warehouse, in all the distribution center infrastructure. That introduced some one-off costs in the Q1 , and therefore we did not have that same improvement as we did in Portugal. Again, the structural drivers behind our belief that we will bring it back to profitability are still in place.

Tim Attenborough
Analyst

Sorry, just repeat that last bit. When did you say you would be back to profitability?

Miguel Águas
CFO, Worten

No, no, I did not say a timing. As we have never been reporting a timing. Again, focusing on the Iberian operation as a whole, we have been meeting the targets that Sonae has set, and this is what we are delivering, what we are focusing on delivering.

Tim Attenborough
Analyst

Okay. It was worth a try. Thank you. Thank you, Luis, for the clear answers. Okay. Thanks.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Your last question comes from José Martín Suarez. You're live.

José Martín Suarez
Analyst

Hi there. Hope everyone's well. I'll be very quick. I have two questions. One is, we're already in May, and I was wondering if you could share with us a little bit of what's happened in April and in May on a like-for-like perspective. I mean, you clearly have had very good numbers across all fronts, the three fronts. I was wondering if you could lift the veil a little bit about these two months. The second question is, and I keep asking this all the time, are you on track to reach break-even in your online sales this year? Thank you.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

First, yeah, I do not think that you should expect we are not witnessing nor an improvement nor a deterioration of performance in this quarter when compared to the Q1 . Things are pretty much following the same trends in terms of like-for-like if you discount all the effects that I have mentioned, namely the calendar effects. We are still heading for a positive like-for-like ahead of inflation as we did in the Q1 . Regarding online operations, they are very different. Just to give you a glimpse of our three most relevant operations, starting with Worten. Worten is better followed, completely integrated on the entire operation. As Miguel has just said, we look at Worten as a single entity. It is an Iberian operation, and e-commerce is part of that operation. We do not follow e-commerce separately from that. We are mostly focusing on the entire business.

On operations, we have a very strong and very profitable and growing very fast online operation. It is already very, very profitable. In the food business, we are very close to break-even. It might be this year, it might be next year, but we are already very, very close to break-even. In food, we do consider online as an independent channel, and we fully allocate all the costs to the online food business.

José Martín Suarez
Analyst

It's very clear. Have a great weekend. Thank you.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Thank you. You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions. Please continue.

Luís Reis
Chief Corporate Center Officer, Sonae

Okay. Thank you once again for attending and for all your questions. Hope to see you again on our half-year results, if not before. See you guys.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude your conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.

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