Danone S.A. (EPA:BN)
France flag France · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
61.76
-1.20 (-1.91%)
Sep 10, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Jul 29, 2021

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Danone half year 2021 results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one zero on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Mathilde Rodié, Head of IR and Financial Communication. Please go ahead. Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Good morning, everyone. Mathilde Rodié speaking, Head of Investor Relations at Danone. Thanks for being with us this morning for Danone's half-year results. I am here with Véronique Penchienati-Bosetta, Shane Grant, and Juergen Esser, who will first go through some prepared remarks before taking your questions in a second step. Before we start, I draw your attention to the disclaimer on page two related to forward-looking statements and the definition of financial indicators that we will refer to during the presentation. With that, let me hand over to Véronique, Shane, and Juergen.

Véronique Penchienati-Bosetta
CEO International, Danone

Thank you, Mathilde Rodié. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today on this call. I hope you are all safe and healthy. Together with Shane Grant, I have the privilege to be the interim CEO for Danone since March, and until our new CEO, Antoine de Saint-Affrique, join us mid-September. Today, we will present Danone H1 results. We are proud of what was achieved by the Danone teams across the world during this particular period for the company. First, let me start by thanking all the Danoners for their efforts, commitment, and achievements in this context. Let's review on slide number four the highlights of this first semester. We close a semester of progress and delivery for Danone with an H1 like-for-like growth at +1.6% versus year ago.

After a negative Q1, in line with our delivery agenda per quarter we shared with you back in February, Q2 is back to strong growth at +6.6% like-for-like. Importantly, all our categories are growing in Q2. Even if we benefited from an easier base of comps in some categories like waters, this performance is also the result of effective execution and selective investment on our growth platforms, brands, and channels. We are delivering like-for-like growth on a two-year basis, both on Q2 and on H1 at total company level, and we are gaining share on the brand and growth platforms where we have increased investment. Margin held up well, considering the negative category mix and the accelerated inflation we experienced this semester.

We close H1 at 13.1% margin, thanks to selective pricing, increased productivity, and fixed cost discipline in a context where we strengthen investment and brand support, focusing on our strategic battles. With regards to delivery, we made further progress on portfolio management with the disposal of Vega and of our 9.8% stake in Mengniu. We continue to progress on the other initiative we announced, we will come back to you in due time. Let's look on slide five at our performance by category. First, on the essential dairy and plant-based portfolio. Growth in Q2 was strong, at +4.8% on a like-for-like basis, with a sequential acceleration from Q1 and with all geographies contributing to growth. Plant-based continued to be a bright spot, delivering its 6th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, growing +12% in the quarter.

Dairy as well delivered another positive quarter in Q2, driven by strong performance and share gains on our priority platforms and brands, probiotics with Actimel and Activia, protein with Oikos and YoPRO. Specialized nutrition went back to growth in Q2 at plus 2.8%. Adult nutrition continued to grow high single digit in all geographies, China, Europe, and rest of the world, and represent today around 15% of Specialized nutrition revenues. On Infant nutrition, after a negative Q1, we are back to growth in Q2 on softer comps and despite soft category dynamics. Indeed, lower birth rates started to weigh on category growth in China and Europe. Waters grew plus 19.5% with all regions contributing to growth.

Europe delivered steep double-digit growth with an acceleration of the recovery throughout the quarter, mainly driven by mobility recovery, increased brand support, and strong market share gains. Mizone in China posted its third consecutive quarter of growth. Finally, our businesses in emerging geographies, LATAM and Indonesia, also contributed to growth, yet remaining more impacted by COVID-related restriction. By format, our growth on large formats remains very solid, and we are recovering fast on small formats, which grew steep double digits in the quarter, even if we have not yet recovered our pre-COVID level. Turning to page six, as I just highlighted, the growth of this quarter benefited from some favorable base effects, mainly on water. This semester, performance is also due to efforts on execution and delivery and selective increased investment.

As Shane will detail in a minute, we have focused our efforts on three priorities: grow and strengthen our core business, and roll out successful and lucrative innovation at scale. Be obsessed by execution and focus on strategic channels, and strengthen our investment while remaining choiceful and selective on our growth platforms, brands, and channels. Let me now hand it to Shane, who will share with you some illustration of these drivers.

Shane Grant
CEO North America, Danone

Thank you, Véronique, and good morning. I'm very pleased to be with you today. Moving to slide seven, as Véronique headlined, we are executing against three priority growth drivers. Before speaking to some specific examples, let me provide just some very brief context. First, we have been focused on driving choice selections against our portfolio, both maximizing the relevance and growth of our core business, but also driving innovation at scale, both locally and the accelerated list and reapplication of successful platforms globally. On EDP, we remain focused on the growth platforms of protein, probiotics, and plant-based, which have been the key drivers of the accelerated growth of the business globally, and indeed in our largest markets. Our specialized nutrition actions are centered on science-based renovation and innovation of the current portfolio, both infant and adult, but also opening new growth through nutrition journey extensions.

Our water brands continue to be focused on renovating the core, embedding sustainability into and new relevance into the portfolio, but also innovating with product packages and new business models for new consumers and new occasions. On channel execution, our focus has been to maximize competitiveness and growth against the sustaining e-commerce shift, capturing what is a progressive but uneven away-from-home recovery, and also focusing new emphasis on stepped-up revenue growth management capabilities in core channels. Finally, we are reinvesting in the brands with consumers and shoppers across media and in channels against key growth platforms. On slide eight, let me move now to some specific examples from H1. First, on our EDP business, a major emphasis here on core growth segments and competitiveness. In the U.S., Greek portfolio acceleration led our total yogurt business back to solid growth and winning share in S1.

Q2 performance was highlighted by the restage of Oikos, double-digit growth on Oikos Black, the launch of new Oikos Pro and Core ranges, and the continued scaling of the core Two Good brand. Globally, we have seen continuous performance of the probiotic platform with sustained Actimel growth up mid-teens in Q2 and gaining share, and from Activia, that has seen sequential acceleration and gain share in key markets across Europe and in North America. Double-digit plant-based growth was sustained with core beverage renovations driving share gains for Alpro in Europe, including in oats. Plant-based adjacency acceleration in North America, and stepped up global expansion led by LATAM and Russia. On infant nutrition, which remains challenged by birth rate globally, we remain focused on capturing competitive and valorized growth opportunities. In Europe, we did so with Aptamil Organic, which was launched in France and rolled out across Europe this semester.

In Indonesia, we leveraged our SGM brand with the renovation of the Pro-gress Maxx range, growing strong double digits in S1. On waters, we are advancing relevance and renovation of our core. On evian, we made further steps to differentiate through sustainability with messaging that supports landmark commitments made by evian on climate. This mandate extends into package strategy with the launch of the nude and six-liter innovations in 100% rPET and the rollout of evian (re)new. Importantly, these innovations are also targeted to address the growing commercial opportunity for in-home water occasions. We also continue to position the portfolio against the expanding water opportunity with the launch of Mizone+ and Sparkling and flavored with Volvic launches under kids and functional segments. Now let's move to H2 and slide nine, focusing here specifically on the plant-based opportunity, three areas of continued focus. First, core plant-based beverage growth and competitiveness.

Here, we will drive differentiation of our core. In the U.S., we are investing behind new almond Milk of the Land brand and product differentiation communication, innovation that blurs the taste and texture experience of almond versus oats with almond extra creamy. We're also executing a full restage of the oat range under the Silk master brand and with a superior product. We will grow the core with sustained focus on key occasions. For example, Alpro will continue to target the coffee occasion with the refreshed barista range. Finally, we will step up growth in new geographies. Second, beyond the core of today, plant-based 2.0. The current landscape in beverage is based on an ingredient analog, almond, oat, soy. The opportunity we see is really to challenge that convention. We know that in key plant-based markets like the U.S., 60% of consumers are not in the category.

We know the barriers, primarily product taste and product texture. We will launch against this opportunity new dairy-like technology. Under Silk, Nextmilk, under So Delicious, Wondermilk, and under Alpro, This Is Not M*lk. We know from consumer testing we can match or better traditional dairy milk preference, recruiting new plant-based users, and we intend to launch these platforms with scale later in H2. Third, we will further accelerate on four plant-based adjacent priority: yogurt, ice cream, cheese, and creamers, representing approximately 1/3 of our plant-based revenues today. These segments are some of the fastest-growing. They have emerging scale, and in some segments, similar or larger addressable markets versus milk. With Silk, Alpro, So Delicious, and now Follow Your Heart, we have the leadership positions for continued scale and acceleration here. Next, to slide 10.

Beyond the focus on categories, we've also placed significant emphasis on the quality of our channel and commercial execution. While our home consumption remained resilient across all geographies, with continued growth of our EDP and water businesses in retail, we are accelerating in e-commerce, which grew at approximately 20% off last year's high base. Sales in e-commerce grew by 40% in EDP, results and evidence just how sticky the shift to online has proven to be in this segment. We grew market share globally in e-commerce in S1, winning in key markets and categories, especially in EDP, where all geographies are gaining online competitiveness. In most platforms, our digital share is equal or higher than our offline share. We consider this an important advantage to drive sustained growth. We are seeing progressive recovery of away-from-home channels.

We saw a 60% growth on European waters small format in Q2 and a 65% growth in away from home in North America across all categories. Third, we have and are stepping up our revenue growth management focus. In the current inflationary environment and going into 2022, this capability we know will be even more central to our business and our teams. We are diversifying package and price architectures on Actimel in Europe, for example. We've created relevant brand entry and uptrade formats supporting growth, household penetration, and share. We're scaling price and mix growth opportunities. In yogurt in the U.S., for example, accelerating large format segments while optimizing price and portfolio bundling opportunities on singles. Finally, leveraging differentiation for price leadership. With Horizon Organic in the U.S., for example, actioning unique climate commitments to realize the brand's preference and pricing potential, improving profitability.

Turning to slide seven, as we said earlier, Q2 growth benefited from the focus on our strategic priorities. The combination of our portfolio strategies, a clear commitment to execution, also disciplined reinvestments translating into market share gains. In February, when we released our full-year results, we committed to reinvesting to support our brands and fuel growth. We have done this with a focus on the segments of most opportunity and reinvestment in H1 and more specifically in Q2. We saw that investment driving growth and competitiveness. For example, investments against the core EDP engines of protein, probiotics, and plant-based delivered 8% growth in H1 2021. We also saw responsiveness in key segments in adult nutrition and on waters.

We see this impact specifically on market share momentum for many of our key brands in key markets like Oikos in the U.S., Alpro in Europe, YoPRO, Actimel, Activia in key global markets, and both evian and Volvic. We intend to drive continued targeted reinvestment for growth and competitiveness. With that, let me hand now back to Véronique for the conclusion of our introduction.

Véronique Penchienati-Bosetta
CEO International, Danone

Thank you, Shane. Moving on to slide 12, as I already mentioned, we observed since the beginning of the year a broad-based acceleration of inflation, reaching levels we have not seen for many years. In H1, inflation reached almost 7%, mostly driven by milk and milk ingredients, but also packaging and logistics, and had an overall negative impact of approximately 420 bps on our margin this semester. Against these exceptional headwinds, we managed to deliver record high productivity during the period with a positive contribution to margin of approximately 320 bps. This was notably achieved through step-up productivity and new efficiency stream, such as the SKU rationalization program. For instance, we already cut company SKU by 15% at the end of H1 or Design to Superior Value project.

As an illustration, it's worth mentioning the job done on the Oikos restaging in the U.S. that allowed Danone North America to reinvest in the superiority of the Oikos recipe, adding more fruits and texture, while saving on other non-differentiating items. We also offset part of the inflation through pricing, particularly in some of our emerging markets in Latin America or Russia. We gradually passed more price during the semester, leveraging the power of our brands and protecting our competitive position with all categories contributing. For total company, net pricing had a positive effect of approximately 110 bps on margin this semester. All in all, while our mitigation plans allow to offset inflation we have been facing, our recurring operating margin reached 13.1% in H1.

The decrease versus last year mainly results from negative category mix, notably in Q1, while we managed to strengthen our investment on our brands with discipline during the semester. Last but not least, on page 13, the first half of 2021 was marked by further progress in the Local First reorganization that is going according to plan. As you know, Local First is the organizational framework needed to reconnect Danone with profitable growth. At country level, becoming one entity across categories will increase our ability to impact and win locally, keeping our category expertise, but also capturing growth opportunities across categories, benefiting in each country from synergies and scale on distribution, go-to-market, logistic, e-commerce, and data and digital acceleration, and taking decision closest to our consumer and customers. This new organizational backbone will also unlock resources to reinvest in margin and in growth.

The implementation is notably complete in North America, where it went live on April 1st under the name of Transform to Win. In Europe, we crossed a major milestone as we are finalizing the social consultation. Our objective is to pivot countries and zone as of October. Overall, we are well on track and can confirm the EUR 700 million growth saving target for 2023. Importantly, we managed to achieve this milestone while maintaining the team's primary focus on business delivery and execution. Let me now turn to page 14 to close this introduction. We enter the 2nd half of the year more determined and more focused than ever. We have four priorities.

First, I just mentioned Local First, we will be implementing the project in most countries the second half of the year, which is a key step for us. Everything is in place to ensure smooth implementation and business continuity. Second, our people. In a moment where the company is transforming and entering into a new cycle, managing the energy and engagement of our people is our utmost priority. Third, excellence in execution. Behind this lies the quality of our delivery all across the value chain, from product development and renovation to manufacturing and operation, all the way down to the store. It's only with the top quality of execution that we can maintain our share momentum and a high level of efficiency and productivity. This brings me to our fourth priority, which is about brand support and reinvestment.

In the second half of the year, we plan to keep the momentum and incrementally support our key battles. All the executive committee is clear that it is with the combination of these four levers that we will deliver on our objective for the year, back to profitable growth in H2 and margin broadly in line with last year on full year. Let me now turn to Juergen for the financial section of our prepared remarks.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Thank you, Véronique. Thank you, Shane. Good morning to all of you. I hope you are all safe and well. Let me start the financial review with our net sales bridge on slide number 16. After four consecutive quarters of decline driven by COVID-related headwinds, we are delighted to confirm our return to net sales growth in the second quarter of this year. Like-for-like revenues grew by +6.6%, driven by +1.8% positive contribution from volume and +4.7% from value. As mentioned by Véronique, the pricing dimension of value was positive in the quarter, which is a good testimony of the effectiveness of our selective pricing. Important also that mix was up in the quarter. I will come back to that later.

Outside of the like-for-like, scope had a +0.7% positive effect, resulting from the integration of Harmless Harvest as of January 1st, as well as from the integration of Follow Your Heart, two very exciting, fast-growing plant-based businesses in the U.S. that will allow us to further accelerate in that space. Finally, currency and others, that had a negative impact of -3.6%, mostly driven by a -4% headwind from currency effects, reflecting the depreciation of the U.S. dollar and of several emerging currencies against the EUR. All in all, reported growth stood at +3.6% for the quarter, bringing our quarterly net sales to roughly EUR 6.2 billion, up from EUR 6 billion last year. Let's go a bit deeper into the performance by division, I will start on next page 17, with Specialized Nutrition. Specialized Nutrition closed the first semester with revenues down -2.6% on a like-for-like basis.

The overall volume decline in the first semester was partially offset by selective pricing, but most importantly by a positive product mix due to continued outperformance of our pediatric specialties and premium ranges. Margin reached 22.9%, declining as expected this semester by -351 bps. This decline resulted from the strongly negative country mix, especially in the first quarter, but also from the lower volumes combined with inflationary pressure, which was partially offset by before-mentioned price and product mix effects. Important to underline that after a strongly negative first quarter, this division went back to growth in Q2 at +2.8% on a like-for-like basis. Going a little bit into the segments. The adult nutrition portfolio delivered high single-digit growth, with all geographies contributing positively. Both oral and tube feeding platforms continue to grow.

With infant nutrition, this business delivered low single-digit growth on softer bases of comparison with contrasted growth patterns. On one side, Europe, which grew high single digits driven by pediatric specialties and benefiting here indeed from a very favorable base of comparison from last Q2. While on the other side in China, the performance was again polarized. First, domestic labels posted slightly positive growth in this quarter, despite a very high base of comparison. Important to note that this channel closed the semester with positive growth up around mid-single digits. E-commerce platforms for international labels grew very fast this quarter, capturing an important part of the demand informal channels cannot address in that particular moment. Indirect cross-border channels, which include the Daigou's friends and family and the Hong Kong platform, continue to be under pressure, still heavily impacted by travel bans.

This quarter again, they declined in the 45% to -60% range, which they delivered since Q3 last year. Overall, important to note that market shares of Aptamil, our star brand, remained resilient in both domestic and international channels. We notably posted an excellent performance during the Chinese 18th of June Shopping Festival, with Aptamil ranking as the number one brand in the IMF category. Finally, our platforms in the rest of the world delivered another solid quarter of growth. Looking at the category and, without any surprise, we can observe that lower birth rates start to weigh on the category growth in Europe as well as in China. In this context, and with the very soft base of comparison in mind, we expect the second half of the year to balance the negative performance of the first semester.

This will be driven by China, where we will continue to expand the adult nutrition portfolio, but where we do also expect positive growth contribution from our IMF business. Let's now turn to slide 18 and our essential dairy and plant-based division. Our EDP business closed the semester with revenues up +3.2% on a like-for-like basis. Recurring operating margin was broadly stable at 9.1%. The division delivered strong productivity in the semester, allowing it to manage the accelerating milk inflation while keeping investment focus on our priority platforms, which once again drove growth for the division. Zooming into the second quarter, EDP sequentially accelerated from Q1, growing revenues at +4.8% on a like-for-like basis. The essential dairy part of the EDP portfolio delivered another quarter of growth in Q2 in the low to mid-single digit range.

While we are happy to report that our plant-based portfolio posted its sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, growing at +12% this quarter. Looking at geographies, Europe and NORAM delivered another quarter of solid growth around +4%, both of them delivering their respective second successive record sales quarter. In Europe, three elements worth mentioning. Alpro, that registered another quarter of steep double-digit growth with global market share gains, notably in oat-based beverages. Second, probiotics that registered solid growth benefiting from the growing health and immunity trend. Third, the protein segment that became the third largest contributor to growth within EDP in Europe, with a continued stellar performance of the YoPRO brands.

Switching to North America, I would like to highlight the performance of our dairy range, here, especially the return back to growth of the U.S. yogurt business, thanks to a strong performance in the Greek and probiotic segment. In plant-based, the yogurt and creamer segments sustained their strong growth and market share momentum with continued strong performance of the Silk and So Delicious brands. After the sustained and accelerated growth of last year, our beverages segment was penalized this quarter by some short-term supply challenges. We remain confident on this segment's competitiveness and growth perspectives, having notably in mind the initiatives planned for the remainder of the year. The rest of the world delivered strong growth amid easier bases of comparison in Latin America and Africa, while CIS performance remains soft in a challenging macroeconomic and sanitary environment.

Looking at the rest of the year, we expect EDP to maintain its growth momentum driven by Europe and North America, while other markets shall progressively recover. Let's now conclude our category review with the Waters division on slide number 19. Waters closed this semester with revenues up +4.5% on a like-for-like basis, driven by the progressive recovery in volumes as well as positive country and product mix. Those top-line dynamics supported the expansion of the recurring operating margin to 8.5%, up +219 bps versus last year. The team did a great job in driving strong levels of productivity while benefiting from an effective cost hedging for a larger part of its plastic packaging sourcing for year 2021, allowing us to reinvest in Q2 ahead of the season.

The net sales recovery started in the second quarter, with revenues growing 19.5% on a like-for-like basis, with all regions contributing to growth. Overall, the division benefited from very soft bases of comparison across geographies. That means revenues of the Waters division are well recovering, but at the same moment, are also still significantly behind 2019 levels. Zooming into the different geos, Europe delivered steep double-digit growth on the back of recovering mobility, with strong contributions from Germany and the U.K., where away-from-home channels reopened first. Worth nothing our market share performance with our key European markets like France, U.K., Germany, and Poland gaining market shares versus last year. In China, Mizone closed its third consecutive quarter of positive growth. The brand delivered low double-digit growth in Q2 and continued to gain market share as it enters now the peak consumption season.

Finally, Indonesia and Latin America delivered steep double-digit growth in the quarter on a lower base of last year. Unfortunately, mobility started to decrease here again recently as both platforms remain heavily exposed to COVID infections with low vaccination rates. Looking at the rest of the year, based on what we know today, we expect continued growth in the second semester for Waters, yet performance will be contrasted by geography. Let's now move on to the margin bridge on slide 20. H1 recurring operating margins stood at 13.1%, down -86 bps versus last year. This margin decline mostly resulted from the decrease of margin from operations that is down -61 bps. Several elements impacted our margin from operations this semester. First, as expected, the strongly negative category and country mix.

You will remember that our first quarter this year was still heavily impacted by COVID-related headwinds, with declining net sales at -3.3% in total and -7.7% in specialized nutrition, our most profitable category. As a consequence, total volume and mix had a combined negative effect of approximately -70 basis points on this semester's margins. Second element important to mention is the accelerated inflation resulting into an almost -420 basis points headwind on our margin. In this context, our mitigation plans delivered a combined effect of +430 basis points, mostly driven by productivity and pricing, while the partial reversal of COVID-related costs also contributed. You also see a negative impact of -16 basis points coming from the investments box. Despite the high inflationary environment, we strengthened the investments into our strategic brand betters, such as into plant-based probiotics and protein, as well as into our Waters Division since mobility started to recover in Q2.

Finally, one word about items outside of the like-for-like. Scope and currency had a combined effect of -4 bps this semester. In particular, Scope had a negative effect of -16 bps, reflecting the integration of Harmless Harvest and Follow Your Heart, as well as the acquisition of our IMF manufacturing facility in China last year. Let's now move on to the next slide 21, with the EPS bridge. The current EPS reached €1.53, down -9.3% from last year, driven by the combined effect of three factors. First, the pressure on our operational performance that had a -4.2% negative impact. Second, in line with what we observed since mid-year 2020, currencies continued to have a negative impact on our earnings in H1 by -3.7%. Third and lastly, Scope had a negative effect of -3.1%, mostly resulting from the exit of Yakult and Mengniu from the perimeter.

Important to note the positive contribution from financing at +1.7%, reflecting the continued decrease of our net debt, something I will come back to later in a few minutes. Our reported EPS stood at EUR 1.63, up 5.1% from last year, with positive contribution from non-recurring items. I here suggest we move to the next slide, I think it's slide 22, yes, to detail those impacts. Non-recurring items have been mostly impacted by two major operations: a EUR 700 million charge that is mostly reflecting the first part of the investment we have made into our Local First project. On the other side, a very positive flow resulting from the disposal of our stake in Mengniu. As you remember, the gross proceeds of this operation reached around EUR 1.6 billion, based on the book value of around EUR 850 million.

The Mengniu operation allows us to end this first half of the year with a positive non-recurring net income of some EUR 70 million, and therefore, to bring our reported EPS to positive territory at EUR 1.63, up 5.1% versus last year. Let's now move on to the next page 23, focusing on our capital allocation. Free cash flow reached EUR 1 billion in H1 2021, up almost EUR 100 million from prior year, implying a cash conversion rate of 8.5%, up 90 basis points versus H1 2020. Working capital remained well negative at -2.9% and is improving 50 basis points versus prior year. Our net debt stood at EUR 11.1 billion, down around EUR 800 million from end of 2020, in line with our commitment to sustainably deleverage our balance sheet.

Worth noting the successful EUR 1 billion bond issue we launched in May this year with a 4.5-year maturity and a zero percent coupon. That will enable us to further enhance our funding flexibility, extend the maturity of our debt and optimize its cost. Finally, we confirmed the launch of a share buyback program as a result of the disposal of our stake in Mengniu. We expect to buy back up to EUR 800 million worth of shares during the second half of year 2021. We are confident that with this decision, which is consistent with our disciplined capital allocation, we are offering an attractive shareholder return while maintaining the necessary flexibility for our new CEO arriving in September. Moving now to page 24, a quick review of our most recent ESG achievements.

This first half of the year demonstrated once again that our integrated approach to ESG is relevant and that it creates value for all stakeholders. Starting with what we said, Danone has been recognized by the Access to Nutrition Index as the company with the healthiest portfolio in the food and beverage space. Second, we have also made progress on our climate actions. Our Brazilian site, Poços de Caldas, now benefits from a triple certification in carbon neutrality, water circularity, and waste management. Finally, with our ecosystem, as we did also join the third Livelihoods Carbon Fund. Last but not least, we are very proud that S&P is announcing today that Danone has been granted a leading ESG score, putting us among the most prepared companies to take advantage of long-term trends in the food and beverage industry.

Let's finish our financial review by turning to page 25 with the outlook. As Véronique and Shane mentioned, our priorities remain clear. Quality and excellence of execution, people engagement, brand support, and investment, as well as seamless local search reorganization. We will remain laser focused on achieving them. From a macro perspective, the second half of the year will be shaped by two elements. The first one will be the evolution of the pandemic, and what appears to be a nonlinear reopening across geographies. The second driver is the inflation that is expected to further accelerate in the second semester versus the first semester. Inflation, as Véronique mentioned, reached almost -7% in H1, and we expect it to further accelerate in the second half of the year by another 1-2 extra percentage points.

These elements do not change the way we look at the second half of the year. We expect to return to profitable growth in H2, driven by the overall positive momentum of our categories, a positive geographical mix, and a more balanced category mix. In this high inflationary context, we will further step up productivity levels and selectively use pricing. In any case, we do not want to use inflation as an excuse to cut strategic investments, so you will continue to see us investing behind our strategic bets. All in all, we expect a full year margin broadly in line with that of year 2020. That concludes my prepared remarks, and I now hand it over to Mathilde to launch the Q&A session.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Thank you very much. Now we're ready to open the Q&A, and I would kindly ask you to limit yourself to one question in order to give a chance to everyone to raise a question in the time we have. First question coming from Warren Ackerman from Barclays.

Warren Ackerman
Analyst, Barclays

Good morning, Shane, Véronique, Juergen. It's Warren here at Barclays. My question is around the plant-based growth. It's one for Shane, actually. 12% growth in the quarter. Shane, can you break that out between Europe and the U.S., and maybe can you be a bit more specific on your plans to address your underweight position in oat? That's obviously been a big question since the Oatly IPO. Why Greek yogurt, which has been problematic for quite a long time, is suddenly back into growth. It's obviously quite encouraging. I'd just be interested to get your take on the plant-based growth. I can just sneak in a follow-up just for Juergen, just on the financials. Can you just say something around the A&P spend, Juergen? Where has that gone in the first half? How much should we expect in the second half?

The same thing on cost savings. How much cost savings in the first half, and what should we expect in the second half? You're saying stepping up, but can you be specific in terms of EUR millions on that? Thank you.

Shane Grant
CEO North America, Danone

Good morning, Warren. Let me take the first two of those three questions. Look, firstly, maybe to comment on our plant-based business. Clearly that's a business which is very much a focus for us, a key driver of the growth algorithm of the business. I'm sure you'll recall in 2020 it had accelerated growth, around 15%, slightly higher than that in North America, but very good global performance. You saw in the results, plus 12 in Q2 and a plus 12 in S1. I'd point you to really three big drivers of that. One, in the beverage space, specifically Alpro, in Europe, winning share, and also winning share in oats. Sustained very good performance of the business in beverage in Europe. Secondly, a step up in what we refer to as plant-based adjacencies in North America.

Globally, around a third of the business and slightly more than that in North America. By that, I'm referring to our yogurt, creamers, frozen business. Very good performance of that component of the business. Thirdly, strong performance and acceleration in some of the geographic expansion markets, specifically LATAM and Russia. With respect to your question on oat, certainly core beverage competitiveness is certainly central to the strategy. We headlined a little bit on this in the presentation. Specifically on oat, we have just commenced the full restage of that business with really a few components. One, the conversion of the business from Oat Yeah! to Silk. Second, a full product reformulation with what we know from consumers is the best-tasting performing product in the market, some range architecture adjustment, and dedicated marketing and communication plus customer plans.

We feel very confident in the oat plans going forward. It's certainly a key segment for us globally and in North America. With respect to your second question on yogurt, as you noted, Warren, we're certainly very pleased with the progress of the yogurt performance in North America. It remains the biggest part of the business in North America. In terms of the acceleration of our North America business, it was certainly a place for us to start and focus on. I would say our actions in Greek specifically have really centered around, first and foremost, a restage of the Oikos brand. Good acceleration in core Oikos Black, the launch of Oikos Pro, and really just in the last few weeks, a brand new core range. That together with continued focus on Two Good has really seen that segment for yogurt really accelerate.

We're now winning share in Greek and winning share in yogurt overall. There's been a number of other components to the yogurt strategy in North America, but that's a specific reference to Greek and we're obviously very, very pleased with the progress. I think with respect to your A&P question, I'll hand it probably to Juergen.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Yeah, good morning, Warren.

Warren Ackerman
Analyst, Barclays

Morning, Juergen.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Morning. On the A&P part, what we said at the end of Q2 is that we are going to start reinvesting behind our brands, and this is indeed what we did, and this is what you saw in the EBIT bridge, where you saw minus 16 basis points coming from investments, and here we talk mostly about A&P. What we did is that we really focused our A&P reinvestment behind our strategic bets, and Shane was talking about most of them, plant-based protein, probiotics. Let me also be clear that we started to reinvest into waters, especially in Europe and in China, behind Mizone in the second quarter. Moving forward, you will see that we will continue on this reinvestment journey, especially on what I said for EDP.

In waters, we will stay agile or depending on, we will see on mobility, but we are very clear that Mizone, we want to now capture the opportunity of the season and same for Europe. For other emerging markets in waters, we will need to see how COVID situation is going to evolve. When it comes to cost savings, you are right. First, inflation was heavy in the first semester, Véronique said it, almost 7%. In front of that, we put a productivity which reached almost 5%, which was a record high, and this was thanks to the organization we launched end of last year, which was this cost category, D2D, Design to Delivery organization. Moving forward, what we say is that we see inflation picking up by one to two percentage points in the second semester versus the first semester.

At the same moment, we have also very solid plans in place to also step up productivity in the second semester versus the first semester. On top of that, and this is important, we also expect the first savings from Local First kicking in in the second semester, and we'll continue to benefit from lower cost of COVID-related costs.

Warren Ackerman
Analyst, Barclays

Okay. Very helpful. Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Next question coming from Bruno Monteyne from Bernstein.

Bruno Monteyne
Analyst, Bernstein

Good morning, everybody. My first question is about how you have all the productivity savings offsetting the cost inflation, which is remarkably strong. At the beginning of the year, you wouldn't have known about the size of cost inflation coming through. Given your ability to offset it, are you really arguing that your margin would have been at least 300 basis points better if it hadn't been for this kind of cost inflation? I'm just trying to see if you have all that cost savings. What did that say about the initial margin? The second of all is you're referring to price increases that you've been able to put through to offset some of that inflation. Could you comment on whether those price increases are in line with the rest of your market? Does it keep your relative price position the same?

Do you worry if at some point that might make private label more attractive in the second half and put some competitive pressure? Thank you.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Good morning, Bruno. On your first point, you're right to say that the inflation we experienced in the first semester was higher than what we expected at the beginning of the year. You're absolutely right on that. At the same moment, we need also to say that the productivity we achieved to deliver in S1 was also higher than what we expected at the beginning of the year because we made much faster progress on a number of programs, which include, Véronique was saying, that we were able to reduce our SKUs by around 15% at the end of H1. You remember that we were talking about minus 20% by the end of the full year.

In fact, we made much faster progress, and that helped to a very large extent to offset each other, and which is the reason why we were able to sustain our level of reinvestment as we were planning it when we were talking three months ago and deliver the margin, which makes us confident to deliver also the full year margin as we have been guiding to. When we talk about pricing initiatives, look, we have been very selective in our pricing initiatives. When you look at the way inflation is hitting us, it's not the same in all the geographies.

We are more exposed to inflation in markets like Russia, Brazil, Mexico, where we have also more frequent, I would say, ability to increase prices, and this is what we did in line with the market. In North America and Europe, the pressure from inflation is not at all the same. Here we have been extremely careful with pricing initiatives, let's say promo management, in order to make sure that we protect our competitiveness and take benefit of the reinvestments.

Véronique Penchienati-Bosetta
CEO International, Danone

Maybe to add on that, because we have a rather solid process to monitor price increase, as Juergen was saying, it's not only about price increase, but it's as well as about promo management, revenue growth management. We have a full process in place to monitor competitive price positioning, identify by channel, by SKU, by brand, where we can pass price or reduce promo, implement the price increase, or create as well more valued additional SKU, implement it, and of course track the impact on the volume and the competitiveness. That's really the way we are doing it. That's why we call it selective pricing opportunities.

Bruno Monteyne
Analyst, Bernstein

Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Thank you, Bruno. Next question from Celine Pannuti from JPMorgan.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Good morning, everyone. My question would be around specialized nutrition and specifically China. Thank you for giving some of the moving parts there. As we look into the second half, how should we look at the Daigou channel or the families and friends altogether? Are we going to still see this channel declining, or do you think that there is a bit of a baseline? Following on that, could you talk about what is you feel the outlook for the overall regulatory environment in China regarding the category? Are you sensing that there could be some changes? Finally, again on this, the margin has been lowered in this category. Do you feel that now your margin in China is at a healthy level?

Do you feel that there is more investment that needs to be made in order to maintain what has been a rather good market share performance in mainland? Thank you.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Good morning, Celine. Maybe I start with the margin, and then I will let Véronique talk through the other moving parts. You saw that we closed the first semester in terms of margin just below 23%. I think it's important that we put that a little bit into perspective. When you get back to last year, you have seen we had a first semester with a very strong margin profile, above 23%, mainly due to the fact that China was really over-performing. We ended into a second semester last year, where we had a much lower margin in the division because of China's issues with the cross-border constraints. This year, we will have a very, I would say, opposite evolution. You saw that we had a tough Q1 and overall first S1 in specialized nutrition, which was down, and China particularly down.

However, we were able to deliver a margin close to 23% by continuing to invest behind our strategic battle, which is in China, the Aptamil brand. Aptamil brand shows an impressive resilience in the market. Now we will be entering into a second semester, where the division will be overall in growth and China will be growing faster than the division. Indeed, we can be confident that we will see margin progression in the second semester versus the first semester.

Véronique Penchienati-Bosetta
CEO International, Danone

Maybe to comment on the dynamics by channel in the China market on infant nutrition. As Juergen was saying, definitely first, we have a sustained growth in domestic channel, which is very important in S1, where our Aptamil brand continue to gain market shares through strong performance in mom and baby stores and e-commerce. As well, as Juergen mentioned it again in the last June 18 shopping festival, where Aptamil was ranked number one brand in the IMF category. That's the big part of the business. On the continuous decrease in indirect China, we saw the Daigou's friend and family. They continue to be severely impacted by travel bans and border closure with Europe, Hong Kong, and ANZ. Honestly, it's very difficult to know when it will be back to normal.

Importantly, this channel, you may remember that used to account for a big part of our business back in 2016, but today it's less than 30% of the business. In parallel, we push as well to accelerate the development of all the cross-border e-commerce, which represent today more than 20% as well of our revenue and where we are growing fast in Q2. That's just to explain the dynamic there per channel. Maybe to comment on the regulation. The regulation clearly is evolving and will continue to do so, and it's positive because first, from product regulation point of view, we believe that at the end, it will be the players that have the ability to deliver science-based offering that will continue and will have a sustainable business in China.

As well, there has been several communication as well about authority taking action to shift on birth rate.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Which can be positive as well for the category, because we know that right now, the birth rate weigh on the dynamics of the market in China.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Sorry. The next question coming from Jon Cox from Kepler.

Jon Cox
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Congratulations on the very reassuring set of figures there. I've got, well, I'm going to pretend it's one question, but I'll do what my colleagues are doing and bung in a few others. One more of a broader strategic one, just on this concept you're talking about beyond milk, which you're going to launch in the second half in the U.S. I want to give us a bit more detail on that. You said taste profiles are better than traditional milk. What is the scale of the launch? I guess you would launch, if it's okay, then into Europe and elsewhere. Maybe you can talk about that or what you can commercially given, I guess, it's somewhat sensitive. Then the second part of the one question is really on the other operating costs. We saw EUR 700 million in the first half of the year.

What should we expect for the full year? I seem to remember all in, it was like EUR 1.1 billion or so, the programs. It seems quite a lot already in H1. Can you just confirm what the costs will be from the Local First? Also you mentioned you said there's EUR 700 million savings all on track. I just wonder if you can just confirm the other EUR 300 million, because I think the program in total was about EUR 1 billion originally. Anything detail you can provide there would be much appreciated. Thanks very much.

Shane Grant
CEO North America, Danone

Hi, Jon, this is Shane. Let me maybe take the first question on plant-based. Maybe to step a bit broader back, and then I'll speak specifically about the opportunity on the dairy-like. I think certainly as we headlined in the presentation, our competitiveness in core plant-based beverage is really important for the growth of the business. Maybe if I use the U.S. as an example, and then I'll talk specifically about dairy-like, maybe pan-Europe and North America. I think our beverage acceleration strategy has really got multiple components. One is maximizing the relevance of our big master brands, and I would say Silk, obviously in the U.S., making sure that's modern and relevant. We're really driving actions to scale that up. You've seen probably already some of the new Milk of the Land campaign work.

You should expect further work in terms of packaging and overall modernization of the brand to come in 2022. The second is obviously Almond, which is obviously the biggest segment of plant-based beverage. It's the entry point for consumers and really the drive there is differentiation. We continue to stay very assertive on providing points of differentiation in that segment. You should expect more on that to come, certainly in the U.S., later this year and into 2022. We've spoken about the third pillar, which is about competitiveness in Oat. The fourth component is really Soy, which we've had, I think, very successful repositioning of that segment into very much a nutrition space, both from a messaging and an innovation perspective. Lastly, maybe to comment, Jon, on the dairy-like.

Look, the fundamental strategic underpinning of that is while we might consider plant-based beverage to be very developed, there's still 60% of users that are not in the category. As the leader of the category, that's really an opportunity we see to really step up the growth of the segment overall and our opportunity to really lead it. We are going to attack that, certainly in North America. You see a 2-brand strategy to do that, specifically Wondermilk in the natural channel under So Delicious and into a more mainstream audience, Nextmilk with Silk. It'll be a channel-specific play, but the underlying product technology is really a plant-based entry point versus just an ingredient-specific entry point.

That allows us to access that big 60% of the user base that are not in play in plant-based today, but also because it is taste first, allows us, we think, to make inroads, for example, in segments like Oat, which we know is the underlying consumer motivation for the consumption of that segment. We do intend to launch it at scale, certainly in North America. It will happen very much at the end of the year, and we think it'll have big impact going into 2022. That hopefully gives you a little bit of context on how we're thinking about that platform. Maybe I'll hand to Juergen Esser for the second component.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Good morning, Jon. Just a few comments on the non-recurring one. Of course, you're right. We posted EUR 700 million of charge in the first semester. 80% of that is linked to Local First. The rest is linked to the transformation of our operations. When we announced Local First, we said that this program will have a total cost of EUR 1.4 billion, and we are confirming this. We believe that the phasing will look like that we will post around EUR 1 billion into this year, 2021, and the remainder of EUR 400 million in 2022. You will see EUR 1 billion linked to Local First this year, and you will probably see some cost related to continued transformation of our operations footprint.

Jon Cox
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thanks very much.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Okay, thank you. The next question is coming from Guillaume Delmas from UBS.

Guillaume Delmas
Analyst, UBS

Good morning, all. My one question is on infant nutrition. When you talked this morning about lower birth rates starting to affect category growth in Europe and China, what do you mean by starting? Did you mean it's just the beginning and we could see some deterioration from here from a category growth standpoint as stage 2 and the stage 3 segments are soon going to be affected by these lower birth rates? Secondly, in that context of lower volume category growth, would you expect this weakness to prompt a heightened level of competition? Often lower volume growths come hand-in-hand with an increased level of promotional activities. Thank you.

Véronique Penchienati-Bosetta
CEO International, Danone

Okay. I will take the question and answer the question. What is important is that overall on this market, the birth rate, as you know, has an impact on what we call the baby pool, which is the overall number of babies, and then the impact on the different stages, stage 1, stage 3, stage 4. If I take, for instance, and I will zoom, I will take the example of the Chinese market. For instance, year-to-date, despite the fact that the overall newborn were down last year, for instance, the market year-to-date in China is still positive in value. It is positive with different dynamics and with different drivers. First, the baby pool, that is down, that is doable very clearly as a consequence of the birth rate. Yet, the per capita consumption is increasing, which is a combination both on penetration but as well journey extension.

We are talking about the stage 4 and all that continue to drive the growth of the Chinese market. The last thing, which is about price and valorization on science-based innovation that the moms are looking for. Year-to-date, the market is positive. The way we see it for the rest of the year is that most probably a slowdown of the growth of the market, as we have seen, by the way, over the past months because the market as well was slowing down, still positive, but slowing down. Still an increase in per capita consumption, and we believe that the valorization will continue on the Chinese market. I would say that overall the dynamics of the market in Europe as well, on some of the category, we see the category on infant nutrition down overall as consequence of the birth rate.

What is important as well to understand is that even on the declining category, you have pocket of growth, you have segment that specifically enter baby's nutritional need, like pediatric specialties, like allergy, that are growing even sometimes double digits. A specific offer as well, like organic, that are growing. All the innovation and renovation that was presented in the presentation is really tackled to capture this growth in the market.

Guillaume Delmas
Analyst, UBS

Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Thank you, Guillaume. Now next question coming from David Hayes from Societe Generale.

David Hayes
Analyst, Societe Generale

Thanks, Mathilde. Good morning, all. I'm going to be a good boy in the class and just do the one question as well. I'm going to go for the semantics question if I can on the margin guidance. I guess using this term broadly around last year, I guess the term broadly could be anything from, let's say 13%-15%. Can you give us a bit of a definition as to what you mean by that? I guess tying back some of the answers earlier. Clearly, with input costs going up, pricing uncertain, we've seen some of your peers, as you know, cut their guidance. Is it fair to say that within that range that you were talking about back in April, there is a little bit less optimism and that you might be toward the lower end of a range of 13%-15%, if that was the broad definition? Thank you so much.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Yeah. Good morning, David. I see you have a very broad definition of broadly.

David Hayes
Analyst, Societe Generale

I was going to go 12 to 16, but I tried.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

I would not stretch it that far. Look, to be more serious, we are very clear that we confirm the margin guidance as we said it at the beginning of the year. Because of all the uncertainties we see and the volatility of the market, especially from a COVID standpoint, we are refraining from being more specific than what we have said earlier. However, in the end, when you look at the moving parts, and this is true for our net sales dynamics, this is true for the inflation, and the productivity we are delivering, we do not look in a different way today at the full year than we have been looking at it six months ago. So far, when I say today our full year margin broadly in line with that of 2020 is exactly the same meaning than six months ago.

We are traveling within a context which has a lot of uncertainties, but I think the team does a great job in navigating that with a high level of precision.

David Hayes
Analyst, Societe Generale

That's great. Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

I think we're going to take the last question from Martin Deboo from Jefferies.

Martin Deboo
Analyst, Jefferies

Good morning, everybody. Just quick one on the flow of margins in H2, which I know has come up a lot, but I want to be crystal clear. Are you giving any firm guidance on what you expect your commodity inflation to be for the full year? Secondly, I just want to re-clarify what you said to Celine on China. I think you said you expected China infant margins to be higher in H2 than H1, but what are you saying on specialized nutrition margins generally? Do you expect them to be higher in H2 than H1, or similar, or lower? That's it.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Good morning, Martin. Look, what we are saying on inflation, almost 7% H1. We see one to two percentage points more in H2. I think we will end up in this corridor because we have now relatively good visibility on many aspects, including on milk. Transport is probably an element which could continue to be very volatile, and especially in the U.S., where we have seen, especially in the second quarter, quite a steep increase in demand. I think we have relatively good visibility on that point. When it comes to specialized nutrition, yeah, I was talking about the total division, and yes, we are indeed expecting the H2 margin to be higher than the H1 margin for the reasons I mentioned. The first one, because we will be back to growth with the division in the second semester, and China will be over-contributing to that growth.

Martin Deboo
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, very clear. Thank you very much.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Okay. I think this is ending our call for today. Thank you, everyone, for attending. We remain available, the IR team, obviously, if you have any further questions during the day.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Perfect. Thank you very much, guys.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Thank you, everyone.

Juergen Esser
Chief Financial of Technology and Data Officer, Danone

Have a good day.

Speaker 13

Thank you.

Mathilde Rodié
Head of IR and Financial Communication, Danone

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, speakers. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect. Speakers, please stand by.