LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne (EPA:MC)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

Apr 12, 2023

Chris Hollis
Director of Financial Communications, LVMH

Hello. I'm Chris Hollis, Director of Financial Communications at LVMH, and with me is Jean-Jacques Guiony, our Chief Financial Officer. Thank you for joining us for this webcast. We have some remarks to make about LVMH's revenue for the first quarter of 2023, and after these remarks, Jean-Jacques and I will be happy to take your questions. As a reminder, certain information to be discussed on today's call is forward-looking and is subject to important risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For these, I refer you to the safe harbor statement included in our press release and on slide two of our presentation. Turning now to our announcement. Hopefully, you've all had the chance to read our release, which was issued a short while ago in both French and English.

As always, the release is available on LVMH's website, www.lvmh.com, as are the slides that we are using to guide us today. On slide three, you'll see the group is off to an excellent start to the year with organic growth up 17% with, yep, sorry. Apologies for that. In line with last year against the backdrop of a challenging economic climate. All business groups recorded double-digit organic growth, revenue growth, with the exception of wines and spirits, which still delivered growth, most notably in the champagnes and wines businesses I'll discuss in a few moments. On a geographic basis, the group delivered strong revenue growth in Europe and Japan. In the U.S., revenue was good but softer, while in Asia, revenue growth is improving rapidly as pandemic restrictions have eased.

Looking at the business groups, we once again saw strong progress in fashion and leather goods driven by Louis Vuitton and Christian Dior, as well as Celine, Loewe, Loro Piana, RIMOWA, and Berluti, reflecting the deep heritage at each of these, of the Maisons and the innovation our teams have brought to them. The watches and jewelry business also continues to perform well, with particular strength at both Tiffany and BVLGARI, reflecting a great deal of excitement and energy at both Maisons. It is off to a good start in the perfumes and cosmetics group, driven by both iconic products and well-received launches in the perfumes and makeup businesses. Lastly, Sephora saw strong growth, while DFS is seeing gradual recovery with the growing return of international travel.

On slide four, you'll see the revenue grow, rose to EUR 21 billion compared to EUR 18 billion in the year-ago first quarter, representing a 17% increase on both an organic and reported basis. Revenue continues to be well-balanced on a geographic basis and in line with the breakdown in the year-ago period. In the first quarter, 36% of revenue was generated in Asia, excluding Japan, which itself was a source of 7% of revenue. 23% of revenue came from the U.S., while Europe contributed 14%, excluding France, which contributed 7%, and 13% of sales come from other markets. Looking at the progression of organic revenue by region, this is now slide six, Europe and Japan remained strong with 24% and 34% increases respectively year-over-year.

The U.S. business had a more uneven performance due to the softer trend I mentioned, but still delivered an 8% year-over-year gain. Finally, again, as I mentioned earlier, we are seeing a rapid improvement in revenue in Asia with a 14% increase in Q1 of this year compared to the year-ago period fueled by Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. Drilling down now on revenue by business group, we'll begin as always with the Wines and Spirits and on slide nine. In the fourth quarter of 2023, revenue in the Wines and Spirits business group reached EUR 1.69 billion, a 3% increase on both an organic and reported basis from EUR 1.63 billion the first quarter of 2022. Breaking this down, organic revenue from the Champagne and Wines business increased by 14%.

After taking into account a 2% negative currency impact and a 1% positive structural impact relating essentially to the first consolidation of Joseph Phelps, reported revenue rose 13% to EUR 796 million for the champagnes and wines. Organic revenue from cognac and spirits was down 5% and after taking into account the positive 1% currency impact was EUR 899 million compared to EUR 932 million in the year-ago quarter. To provide the context of these figures, revenue gains in the champagnes and wines business were driven by both positive price effects and continued growth in all regions.

It was a busy period across the business with efforts designed to continue this strong momentum, including the launch of a new Lady Gaga campaign for Dom Pérignon, the start of construction of the new Nicolas Ruinart pavilion in its home of Reims, where this iconic champagne business was started nearly 300 years ago. It will include a visitor center, a showroom, and a boutique. The continued international development of Château d'Esclans, the recent strategic partnership with the famed Château Minuty, including the acquisition of a major stake, and Chandon's new Garden Spritz, an exceptional mix of sparkling wine and a unique bitters recipe being very well-received, contributing to Chandon's good performance. Finally, Q1 includes the first quarter of revenue from Joseph Phelps Vineyards, which has been consolidated in the group's results since December of last year.

Moving on to cognac and spirits, the softer economic environment in the U.S. and high inventory levels led to a decrease in volumes. We're seeing a gradual recovery in China as the effects of COVID subside. Within the business, there was a good deal of excitement around the collaboration between Hennessy X.O and the Dior Men and Fendi artistic director Kim Jones, featuring a collectible sneaker, a couture decanter, and as you'll see on the right-hand side, the right photograph on the slide here, a cognac bottle. In addition, a new Hennessy Paradis space was inaugurated at La Samaritaine in Paris, and I encourage you to visit. Finally, in this group, there was an ongoing solid revenue growth at both Belvedere Vodka and Glenmorangie Whiskies. We'll take a look at the very strong 1st quarter for fashion and leather goods.

On slide 12, you'll see the revenue in this business group rose 18% on an organic basis, including a small 1% negative currency impact. Reported revenue reached EUR 10.7 billion compared to the EUR 9.1 billion in the year-ago first quarter. It's due to rounding, reported revenue also reflected an 18% increase. Growth in the fashion and leather goods business was broad-based with strong performance across Maisons. I'll begin, as always, with the ever-iconic Louis Vuitton, where its ongoing growth is fueled by the exceptional creativity of Nicolas Ghesquière, whose shows continue to be extremely well-received. The Maison also made the very exciting announcement that Pharrell Williams has joined as the new men's creative director and will show his first collection in June during Paris Men's Fashion Week.

The highlights, I expect you've also noticed, the immensely successful collaboration between Louis Vuitton and incomparable Japanese artist, Yayoi Kusama. On the topic of art, if you're here in Paris and or coming soon, I encourage you to visit fantastic LV Dream Exhibition focused on the Maison's artistic collaborations over its 160-year history. Lastly, with respect to Louis Vuitton, the Maison continues to expand its product offering across all categories. Now, moving on to Christian Dior Couture. The year is off to a very successful start on this Maison as well with the ongoing strong growth of the ready-to-wear collections from the exceptional designers, Maria Grazia Chiuri and Kim Jones. The Maison led a spectacular show in Mumbai for its Fall 2023 collection as a tribute to Indian textile traditions and the art of embroidery.

The Maison introduced the new Lady 95.22 in honor of the initial introduction of this iconic bag in 1995 and the year of its reinterpretation. Now I'll go through some highlights at the other Maisons. Growth at Celine continues to be driven by the enduring strong appeal of Hedi Slimane's creations, as well as the Maison's tight control of both its image and distribution. At Loewe, J.W. Anderson shows continue to generate excitement, as has Maison's collaboration with Studio Ghibli, and Loewe's new Paseo bag is quite sought after. At Fendi, the Maison continues to selectively expand its store network with its first flagship boutique opening in South Korea and its largest ever store in Japan in Tokyo at Omotesando. Loro Piana has seen strong performance in its ready-to-wear and shoe collections, and its new Bale bag has been well-received.

Marc Jacobs is performing well with strong momentum in the U.S. RIMOWA entered into a new partnership with German Football Association, DFB, while Berluti successfully launched its golf capsule and introduced its new sought-after Lorenzo Drive Loafer. We'll now turn to performance in the perfumes and cosmetics business group. Slide 15, you'll see revenue in this division reached EUR 2.1 billion in the first quarter of 2023, reflecting 10% organic growth and a 1% positive currency effect. That's growing 11% compared to the first quarter of last year. Overall, the perfumes and cosmetics division saw strong growth, reflecting the ongoing success of the selective distribution policy across the Maisons. At Parfums Christian Dior, the Maison continued its momentum in key markets, particularly in the U.S. and Europe.

Sauvage maintained its position as the leader in fragrances globally, while iconic perfumes J'Adore and Miss Dior also enjoyed continued success. La Collection Privée, the beloved refined scents from Christian Dior, welcomed new additions from Francis Kurkdjian. On the makeup side, the new refillable lipstick, Dior Addict, saw great success among customers, and the skincare lines, Prestige and Capture Totale, remain favorites in the premium skincare segment. Guerlain saw strong momentum from its sought-after perfumes, Aqua Allegoria and L'Art et la Matière, and rolled out its new Terracotta Le Teint liquid foundation in Europe. Other successful product launches this quarter included the new Givenchy Gentleman Society perfume, as well as Benefit's new pore care collection, which is now available worldwide. Fresh continued the rollout of its new serum Tea Elixir, which focuses on protecting the skin from stressors.

At Christian Dior, the year started off quite well with solid performance in the U.S. and the success of its new perfume, 724. Acqua di Parma released a new Colonia limited edition designed by Samuel Ross, and saw continued strength in its home collection. Officine Universelle Buly benefited from last year's expansion of its store footprint, in particular across Japan. Fenty Beauty progressed nicely along following Rihanna's performance at the Super Bowl, where she touched up her makeup mid-act, bringing even greater visibility to the successful brand. Now on to watches and jewelry. Slide 18. Revenue in watches and jewelry rose EUR 2.6 billion in the first quarter of 2023 from EUR 2.3 billion in the first quarter of last year.

This translates to an 11% increase on both an organic and reported basis year-over-year. Jewelry made strong progress at the start of the year, and watches introduced exciting innovation for which our Maisons are known. To provide some highlights, this year began well at Tiffany with the international rollout of the Lock collection and the great success of the iconic T line, while high jewelry enjoyed record performance. In brick-and-mortar, the brand opened up a series of new concept stores and very excitingly announced the reopening of its famed Fifth Avenue landmark location in New York City, which is planned for late April. BVLGARI also showed strong momentum in Q1. The Maison's beloved Serpenti line celebrated its 75th anniversary with an exhibition at the Museum of Contemporary Art Shanghai.

The high jewelry collection, Eden, The Garden of Wonders, was highly successful. Now over to watches. Tag Heuer celebrated the 60th anniversary of its Carrera Chronograph, while Hublot continued its partnership with Takashi Murakami, releasing a fourth collaboration with the artist. This included the creation of 12 unique pieces exclusively available to owners of an all black and sapphire rainbow NFT. Chaumet launched the Echo Culture Awards program, which aims to support women who are committed to passing down culture that creates social links and diversifies audiences. Fred created a new line of reversible Pretty Woman bracelets featuring its signature heart within a heart in carnelian stone, while Zenith released its pre-designed Pilot collection at the Watches and Wonders event in Geneva. We'll close out the business group review, as we always do, with selective retailing.

Organic revenue in selective retailing grew by 28% compared to the year ago period, first quarter, I mean. After taking into account a 2% positive currency impact, reported revenue grew 30% to reach nearly EUR 4 billion. Slide 22, you'll see some details. Sephora's performance was strong this quarter, while DFS benefited from a recovery in travel, especially in Asian markets. Sephora continued its excellent momentum with revenue and market share growth across North America, Europe, and the Middle East. The stores saw a recovery in traffic and good performances across all categories, especially makeup. Finally, the first Sephora store in the U.K., which opened in Q1 in Westfield, London, enjoyed an excellent start.

As we said, revenue at DFS rebounded after the reopening of the China borders, although it still remains below 2019 levels. There was a progressive return of tourists to Hong Kong and Macau, and the first concession opened in China in Chongqing Jiangbei Airport. Lastly, Le Bon Marché continued its creative animations with the exhibit Sangam by Subodh Gupta, the Sketch Aquarium, and the immersive theater, Au Bonheur des Dames. These are the latest in the store's tradition of featuring major contemporary artists to delight visitors. In summary, this first quarter set a strong foundation for the group to take advantage of a gradual return of travel while continuing to stay vigilant in the face of macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.

Our business groups all contributed to revenue growth in Q1, marking a strong start to the year and positioning us well to continue gaining market share. Our online and omni-channel developments continue their strong momentum, focused on delivering exceptional experiences. Taken together, these strengths reflect our Maison's ongoing focus on offering innovative and high-quality products to our customers, a continued selective approach to investments, in particular in expanding store networks, as well as overall cost management and agility. Our first quarter revenue reflect our continued leadership in the luxury goods sector, and we're excited for the rest of the year ahead. With that, thank you, and we will Take any questions you might have. Now, Rudolf will announce the name of the participant invited to ask a question.

Operator

Thank you. Chris will now start the question and answer session. As usual, if you want to ask a question, please use the raise hand function of your application. The first question comes from Louise Singlehurst from Goldman Sachs.

Chris Hollis
Director of Financial Communications, LVMH

Can't hear you. The microphone is still switched off. There, that's it.

Louise Singlehurst
Head of European Fashion & Luxury Goods, Goldman Sachs

Ah.

Chris Hollis
Director of Financial Communications, LVMH

Yeah.

Louise Singlehurst
Head of European Fashion & Luxury Goods, Goldman Sachs

I've been unmuted. Thank you so much, thank you for taking the question. I wonder, I know there's gonna be lots of questions by region, I wondered if I could ask a broader question, please, Jean-Jacques, in terms of really the store densities across LV. I mean, it's incredible in terms of the growth that we've seen, certainly over the past two or three years, I wondered if you could help us understand what's happening with the store densities and also where you see probably the most constraints, also the most opportunities. I presume there's lots to go, obviously, with the reopening of China.

Secondly, I wondered, following on from that, if we look at the components of growth, is it fair to assume a little bit more is coming from price mix in the equation if we think about pricing and volume going forward? Is that sustainable? Is that becoming a little bit more of the overall growth driver going forward? Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Louise. Your question on store density, you're absolutely right. I mean, we've been increasing the business, particularly at Vuitton, in a fairly large way over the past three years without really increasing the number of square meters or store density. I mean, sales density has improved quite significantly. The largest improvement was in China, where we had the largest store and the lowest sales density prior to the pandemic. In some way, I mean, it happened in the right place as we were able to absorb a much higher level of sales without having to invest heavily into stores. We are talking now about the mainlanders traveling again.

Certainly, they will start as we see with Macau, Hong Kong, and the neighboring countries, such as Korea and probably Japan in the near future. We have no particular worries as to our ability to absorb this additional business in those countries, particularly with regards to Hong Kong and Macau, which have been under severe pressure over the past few years. Korea will be maybe a bit more complicated, but we'll manage. We are not particularly worried. Any influx of mainlanders into Europe is probably a little bit far-fetched as we speak. We see some additional clients from mainland China today in Europe, but most of them are not group based.

They are mostly individual travelers, they are pretty easy to absorb in our existing network. This is not something we worry too much about for the next quarters. Maybe in two, three years' time, we'll have to take decisions which obviously we will anticipate, short-term, we are not particularly worried. With regards to the composition of growth, I assume that your question, Louise, was about Vuitton. Well, we don't get into many details as our competitors don't, so it's reasonably sensitive in terms of information. What I would say is that the price component is not much, much bigger than what it used to be in 2022 and 2021. There is some price component, obviously, as we passed on some price increases last year, progressively.

The bulk of the growth, the majority of the growth still comes from mix, as we've been doing over the last 15 years, and it's within that, yeah, that way. A little bit of volume growth as well that help deliver some numbers that we don't disclose, but as I always say, never very far from the divisions average.

Operator

The next question comes from Antoine Belge from BNP Paribas Exane.

Antoine Belge
Luxury Goods Analyst and Senior Equity Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Yes. Hello, can you hear me?

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Yes.

Antoine Belge
Luxury Goods Analyst and Senior Equity Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Yes. Good evening to all of you. 3 questions. First of all, since we were on the topic of China, specifically for fashion and leather, is it possible to maybe quantify the growth maybe around 20%? How has been the phasing, you know, month after month, not so much just on the trends, but maybe more the, you know, the behavior of the Chinese consumer within the, you know, within the quarter. Point number 2 is about the U.S.

In the press release and also Chris' prepared remark, it seemed that you are talking about the normalization in U.S., if my numbers are correct, 8% seems to be actually a bit better than in Q4, at least at the group level. you know, specifically on Fashion and Leather, have you seen any normalization as they call it? Point number 3 is actually more on cognac. I think is it possible to have a sense of what's happening in the U.S. market? I understand maybe the consumer buying $37, you know, cognac is a bit more or less resilient. Also we've heard about maybe a shift into tequila.

Is it something that you've noticed too? With regards to the Chinese situation, maybe is it more just a destocking by one quarter, since I guess the end demand must have picked up there? Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Antoine, for your 3 questions. The first question on China, you know that we don't disclose specific numbers for mainland China. The growth for Fashion and Leather was double digits in the first half, in the first quarter, sorry, of the year. I will not really answer into details on the sequence January, February, March. Not that easy to read as always with Chinese New Year, not always being at the same time in the year. All in all, I mean, we registered some pretty nice pickup in China, which bodes well for the rest of the year.

We definitely see a normalization of this market with people returning to our stores, with the internet business picking up. We are really back to where we were prior to the complicated period of 2022. We are extremely hopeful and should benefit from a strong push from mainland China in 2023. Certainly in Fashion and Leather, but probably as well in Jewelry. Some other categories will take a little bit of time to recover. Cosmetic remains a little bit under pressure in mainland China. I'll discuss later on cognac, as you have a question, a specific question on that.

Overall, we are extremely optimistic, and we think that the numbers that we have seen in Q1 bodes well for the rest of the year. With regards to the U.S., you're absolutely right. I mean, we have 8% growth, which is more or less in line with what we had in Q4. Q4 was 7%, it's roughly the same numbers. A significant part of this growth comes from the selective distribution business, and namely, Sephora, which is doing extremely well. For the rest, we have, the business is slowing down a little bit. It's slowing down due to a bigger and bigger share of the business taking place outside the U.S., also due to the fact that local business seems to be slowing down.

Nothing to write home about, but nevertheless, what we've seen both in Jewelry and in Fashion and Leather is a little bit of a slowdown throughout the quarter. It's difficult to draw any perspective for the rest of the year. We don't really know what will happen. For the time being, it's perfectly manageable, and we still keep a good level of business. The cosmetic business is doing well. The champagne business is doing all right, but the cognac business is under a little bit of pressure. That leads me to your third question, Antoine.

If I try to summarize a little bit the situation with cognac in the U.S., we definitely have a severe slowdown in demand. It's been going on for quite a while. We have inventories with our distributors at their maximum level, we cannot offset slowdown in end demand with picking up the level of stocks. Obviously, we are suffering a little bit there. We know that the cognac market is cyclical in the U.S. It's not the first time we see that. Obviously, when the business goes down, everybody asks about substitution products. Is the mood for brown spirit over and people turning to other things? It happened before. We've heard about vodka, now it's tequila. I've seen that many times.

I'm not worried at all. I mean, Hennessy remains, if not the first, probably amongst the most prominent brands in the United States. We are absolutely confident that they will recover when demand picks up again. We are not worried at all. The situation in China is at the same time worse in terms of numbers, probably will not last very long. We have excess inventories due to the situation of the market at the time of Chinese New Year. We had loaded a little bit our clients ahead of Chinese New Year, which basically didn't happen. It's a large part of the business altogether in China.

There was a little bit of sell in and no sell out at all during Chinese New Year. Obviously, we have excess inventories that we have to absorb. It will take 3, 4 months, I think. After that, we'll benefit from demand already picking up. We don't see that. I mean, the sell out is picking up, but we won't see that into sell in before, as I said, 3 or 4 months.

Operator

The next question comes from Edouard Aubin from Morgan Stanley. Edward.

Edouard Aubin
Head of European Luxury Brands Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah. Hi, Jean-Jacques. Hi, Chris and Rodolphe. Just sorry to follow up on China, Jean-Jacques. Based on consumer reports and press reports, it looks like the consumer spending in China seems to have been a little bit weaker than expected. The rebound seemed to have been a little bit weaker than anticipated by the market. It doesn't seem to be the case clearly with luxury looking at the numbers you've just reported. Do you have a view as to why there is a divergence which seems to be continuing between, you know, the outperformance of luxury? You just, you know, flagged, you know, cosmetics maybe not rebounding as well. Would be curious to have your view on that.

The second thing is, if you look at the fashion leather goods division, you know, in the past you've told us that, you know, Vuitton was a bit below, Dior was a bit above, the divisions average. If you could comment, 'cause you talk about an excellent performance at Vuitton in Q1. Just wanted to have a bit of clarification on that. Lastly, during the last call you indicated that, you know, you had maybe a bit over-invested in the fashion leather goods in terms of ANP, and you anticipated a moderation of spend. Did you achieve these good figures, you know, in Q1 with ANP spend moderating on that? Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Edward. Well, as far as the consumer spending in China is concerned, I find it hard to discuss outside luxury. What we see in luxury sounds as a pretty solid rebound, and if we look over 2 years, the growth for fashion leather in Q1 is above 20%. That's really a good sign of what's going on. As I said, I mean, we are extremely optimistic for the rest of the year. We are not talking about frantic or excess optimism and growth in China. We are talking about normalization at a fairly high level. Why is it better than other consumer sectors? Frankly, I'm not in a position to comment.

I can just testify what we do, and frankly, it's doing well without excess. We are pretty confident, as I said. Your question about the growth of the various component of our fashion and leather division, well, it's exactly as usual. Vuitton a little bit below, but really a notch below. Dior a bit above, and the others a little bit in different places, but not so far from the average. We have a sort of tight group around the 18% organic growth number that we released. With regards to ANP, I mean, you know, our policy not to answer questions on P&L when we discuss revenues.

You'll see that when we discuss full first half performance at the end of July.

Operator

The next question comes from Zuzanna Pusz from UBS.

Zuzanna Pusz
Managing Director and Head of European Luxury Goods, UBS

Can you hear me?

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Yes, we can.

Chris Hollis
Director of Financial Communications, LVMH

Yes, we can, Zuzanna.

Zuzanna Pusz
Managing Director and Head of European Luxury Goods, UBS

Perfect. Thank you for taking my questions. I have three. The first one will be maybe a little bit boring, but would you be able to maybe discuss the performance for fashion leather goods or Vuitton, whatever is easier, by nationality? Specifically, I think last quarter you mentioned that the American cluster was still growing double digit globally. It would be interesting to hear specifically how the American cluster has performed in Q1. Secondly, on watches and jewelry, would you be able to maybe comment specifically how jewelry has grown versus watches? I think you mentioned in your remarks that you were very positive on jewelry, and you didn't mention watches.

I'm just you know, curious if you're seeing maybe the watch market cooling down or is it specific to China because of the business being more wholesale driven. Any comments on that would be interesting. Finally, I think you're reopening now in Q2 the flagship landmark boutique for Tiffany. Would you be able to remind us what % of sales it contributed to the brand globally? I think if I remember correctly, it was quite meaningful, so it would be just interesting to know how much help we could get from that in the coming quarters. Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Zuzanna. Fashion leather by nationalities, obviously, China leads the charge with a very high number for most brands, in most cases exceeding 30%, with a comparison base which is muted, pretty tough in the first part of the quarter, much easier after the 15th of March. For what it's worth, we have pretty high numbers there, which are exceeding the growth we have in China due to the fact that the offshore business, the touristic business, is growing faster than the domestic one, but both of them are growing very significantly. As far as American is concerned, this is why I mentioned the slowdown.

We have altogether the American cluster is flattish, unlike what it was in Q4, even taking into account the business we do in Europe, which is quite significant now. With Europeans, we have mixed numbers, but most of the nationalities in Europe are growing double digit, mostly the French, the Brits and the Italians, so we cannot complain about the business we do in Europe, as we can see from the very strong numbers that we have posted for Europe as a whole. Your second question is about watches and jewelry and commenting a bit the situation in watches.

In the numbers we reported, jewelry is doing a bit better than than watches. Reading the watch market is not as easy as reading the jewelry market. Jewelry is retail, so we know almost live what's going on. Jewelry is. Watch is obviously more complicated to read. As far as we are concerned, you know that China is not a big market for us, so what we observe in China is not necessarily relevant or necessarily a good proxy for the rest of the industry. All in all, I mean, it's a bit contrasted, but we have a high single-digit numbers in our, in most of our jewelry brands. We are pretty satisfied with the business in Q1.

Finally, Tiffany and the flagship, I think it's a number that the previous management used to give. If I remember correctly, if it was around $400 million or something like that, so close to 10% of sales. Don't get carried away. I mean, I don't think we will increase the business by 10% just by clicking our fingers and reopening the store on Fifth Avenue. This being said, it should have a positive impact, not only in terms of numbers, it should add up because this store will be absolutely stunning and will add up to the business as it should, and will have a much larger contribution than the temporary store that we've been operating for the last 3 years.

It's also very important in terms of marketing and branding because it's a testimony of what we are doing with the brand. It's probably the most emblematic luxury store in the world. I don't have to remind you all the story around this store. Obviously we did things according to the status of the store, and we expect to see you at some point there, and hopefully you'll be stunned as well as we are.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Erwan Rambourg from HSBC.

Erwan Rambourg
Global Head of Consumer & Retail Research, HSBC

Yeah. Good evening, gentlemen. Can't wait to see that store. 3 maybe follow-ups. First of all, on Chinese consumption, you're basically mentioning, I believe that offshore spending, so outside of mainland China, is outperforming onshore spending. Do you think that will go on this year? To your previous comment about the capacity that your stores have to welcome more people, will you not reach a point of tension? I'm thinking Hong Kong, Macau, particularly Thailand. Are there areas in the world where you're a bit underdeveloped in terms of store units? Secondly, if we look at price arbitrage, I don't know if you can give us an idea of where you believe you stand on average in terms of pricing in Shanghai relative to continental Europe.

I think you rightly said, Jean-Jacques, a while ago that what FX can do, it can undo, and it's undone quite a bit. We've gone from a euro dollar at 0.95 to 1.10 today. Despite that, I suspect the gap is still pretty wide. Do you need to address it? Are you comfortable with the gap and, you know, how can you address it potentially without alienating the local European consumer? Thirdly, and lastly, I'm just wondering if you could share priorities for beauty, for fragrance and cosmetics. You made a very high-profile hire from L'Oréal about a year ago who was running hospitality. Now he's also running beauty.

Given the high profile of the individual, I'm wondering if, you know, you will just use him to shake up the existing portfolio, if you have views on optimization or M&A or, dreams of, maybe a bigger contribution from that part of the business. Thank you so much.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Erwan. Maybe I was not too clear on the first point, which is onshore, offshore with mainlanders. What is offshore is growing faster than onshore, but in terms of contribution, I mean, it's 1 to 4 or 1 to 5. Roughly speaking, the offshore business last year was about 15% of the global mainlanders cluster, and it's now 20%, so it grows at a fast rate. This being said, in terms of contribution, it has nothing to do with the type of growth we get into with the mainlanders inside mainland China. Your question is about areas where we could feel underdeveloped or we would need to adapt some existing capacity.

First of all, that's a good problem to have, and that's a problem we've been dealing with for the last 25 years, so we know how to do that. You mentioned Thailand, probably not. I mean, we have had an ancient and pretty significant presence in Thailand and particularly in Bangkok over the last years. Vuitton, for instance, has, I think, three or four stores in Bangkok, most of them being pretty large, so they can accommodate a larger amount of touristic flows. We are not too worried. It's not something that we expect to be too disruptive, whether in Thailand or elsewhere. We are pretty relaxed with this issue.

Obviously, if there are pockets of areas where we feel constrained, we'll mention that in future, but I don't think it will happen too much. With regards to pr, currency gaps and whether there is need so for action, as you said, I mean, currencies can undo what happened. We've seen particularly with regards to China, the price premium of mainland China products compared to Europe has been reduced in a significant way over the last few quarters, I would say. It's now at a point where it's not a big issue. Obviously, we have a little bit of a question mark with Hong Kong.

Hong Kong is gaining in importance as the mainlanders start to travel again, the Hong Kong dollar being paid with the U.S. dollar and the U.S. dollar being stronger against the renminbi. This makes the price gap between the two areas a little bit less interesting than it used to be. We'll see what happens there. We'll have the same question with regards to Japan as well. For the time being, I mean, we don't intend to take particular action around that. I mean, the flows even in Asia today are still starting, and we want to wait and see before we decide what to do about it.

Your third question about beauty, is the nomination of Stephan announcing a big shakeup in the division. Well, maybe not. In any way, it's hard to comment that type of thing in an earnings and revenue call. With regards to the portfolio, we are pretty satisfied with the portfolio we have. Our strategy is usually to make the best of our brands and not get rid of them and buy some others. We have a great portfolio. Some brands are doing well. Some brands have been suffering a bit in the pandemic, and they need to recover. We are working on that, and that's priority number one, two, and three for Stephan in the next few quarters.

Operator

The next question comes from Ashley Wallace from Bank of America.

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much, Chris, and good evening, Jean-Jacques, and Chris. I have three questions, please. My first one is just around one of the hot topics on social media at the moment, which is around this idea of quiet luxury. I was wondering how you think this trend will potentially impact your fashion and leather brands. My second question.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Sorry.

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Is on perfume.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Ashley, I missed your first question. What is the hot topic?

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Quiet luxury.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Quiet luxury.

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Like basically quiet, yeah.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Okay.

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Basically like this idea of like understated, no logo.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Okay.

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

L uxury.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Okay.

Ashley Wallace
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Something that really has become quite popular over the last couple of weeks in social media, potentially playing out in terms of brand momentum. The second question I have is on the perfume and cosmetics division. I was just wondering how much of the 10% growth in Q1 was driven by the strong rebound in Asia travel retail and Hainan specifically. I guess my understanding was that there was still somewhat high level of inventory in the channel in beauty, at the timing of the restocking would be more Q2. My question really is, did you benefit in Q1 already from this, or is it something that's still to come? The third question is on selective retailing, given the very strong top-line momentum, which is benefiting from the return of Asia travel retail.

How should we think about the margin of this division in 2023, especially, in light of DFS, which if I'm not mistaken, was loss-making last year?

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Ashley. quiet luxury. A new name for something that we have heard already a few times in the past. 15 years ago, the logo or even the signature of handbags was dead. People were just looking for bags that were unsigned and no logo. You know what happened afterwards. Needless to say that this is not the trend that we've seen in the following 15 years. It comes and go. I mean, that's a kind of the kind of thing we get from time to time. Well, if people want quiet luxury product, there are some brands within the group or even some items that we sell that are much more discreet in terms of signatures than others.

We try to accommodate the taste of all our customers. Frankly, we think that's fine. I mean, if customers want unsigned product, they should get them. If they want signed products, and frankly, it's a vast majority, that's fine as well. We, we don't know whether this will be a good trend or not in the coming quarters, but in any event, we are ready to offer clients product that will suit their needs. As far as perfume and cosmetic is concerned, and your question about Asia travel retail, and the bulk of the growth, more than the bulk of the growth, actually more than 100% of the growth we get comes from, mostly, Europe and the U.S.

In Asia, including travel retail, we have not rebounded yet. As you know, we commented that many times. We have a fairly restricted, restrictive attitude vis-à-vis Asian travel retail. There is nothing wrong with Asian travel retail as long as the clients are real clients and not Daigou. The bulk of the Asian travel retail, even today, and particularly in Hainan that you alluded to, remains Daigou. We are extremely cautious. We think this parallel business could destroy any brand in the long run, and we are extremely conscious to avoid this type of business. No such thing as rebound in Asian travel retail so far. Well, selective distribution margins, the main impact in 2023 should be that DFS is returning to breakeven.

We had a really difficult year last year with Hong Kong being on a standstill and Macau being closed almost from June onwards, so half of the year. It was a terrible year for DFS. As attribute to the quality of the management, they took this as an opportunity to reduce the cost base. They were loss-making last year, but they limited the loss as much as they could in a very efficient way. Obviously, they will benefit from this year, and we expect them to recover to breakeven, maybe a bit more. I mean, breakeven would already be a fantastic achievement for the management team.

Operator

The next question comes from Thomas Chauvet from Citi.

Thomas Chauvet
Managing Director and Head of Luxury Goods Equity Research, Citi

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I have 3, please. The first one on pricing, Jean-Jacques, back in January around the full year results, I recall you said in a media interview that the industry perhaps needed to mark a pause in terms of pricing. Can you perhaps comment on what does that mean for Vuitton, Dior, and your key brand this year, particularly as you passed on some prices in the 1st quarter? Any idea of how much you think the industry can pass on pricing for the rest of the year, if any? Secondly, coming back to the U.S., growth at +8% and the components of that growth, if I understood correctly, the American cluster for the fashion leather was flat.

You experienced a severe slowdown in cognac. What drove the +8%? Is that the other 3 division by difference? I guess perfumes, watches, jewelry, and Sephora. Finally, Japan had an extraordinary growth in Q1. We know it's still a very important market for this industry. It's been historically steady, but also volatile. Do you feel this is, you know, a shift in consumer behavior in Japan, in the economy outlook? Or are you seeing just a massive influx of Korean tourists? Can you explain about, you know, what you see in Japan at the moment? Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Thomas. On pricing, what I meant when we discussed that already in, at the end of last year, is that, after a general price increase in 2022, I mean, it was difficult to conceive that we would do it again with the same magnitude in 2023, which is probably not going to happen. Doesn't mean that from time to time there could be some tactical price increases. We discussed a little bit price gaps due to currencies. It is something that could happen. Global and significant price increases, I don't think so. I don't comment future price increases. I just give you the global philosophy, but it doesn't change.

I mean, we think that we have done what we had to do last year to reflect inflationary pressure in most of our product lines. This year we'll be more cautious when it comes to price increases, and it will be done mostly on a tactical basis rather than on a global basis to reflect inflation pressure. Your second question about the U.S., to be frank, you made the answer yourself. I mean, it doesn't come really from cognac or from fashion and leather, it comes mostly from the other divisions. Sephora did well, did well too. We are pretty happy with that, and this enables us to show a number which is pretty close to what it was in Q4.

In Japan, well, that's a interesting question. The answer is less easy, to be frank. What we see in Japan is 2 things: a little bit of growth coming from tourists, which is quite new. I mean, we've seen that a little bit at the end of last year. Compared to Q1 last year, it's quite new, so it has a little bit of contribution. We are talking about a growth of 34% in Q1, so it's not the only explanation. The other explanation is the domestic customer, who is still doing shopping a lot and generating a significant growth. Explanations are always difficult to provide.

We have a seems to be the Japanese customer, consumer is very confident about the economy, about the global situation, about inflation, as inflation strikes way less in Japan than it does elsewhere, and is therefore pretty confident and buying and is active in terms of shopping. I'm conscious that this is not a very deep and thorough explanation, but that's all we can give you at this point in time. As I sometimes say, I'd rather have good numbers that I cannot really explain than the other way around. We really enjoy these exceptional numbers, which are a great tribute to the quality of the business that our people are doing in Japan.

Operator

The next question comes from Oliver Chen from Cowen.

Oliver Chen
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Cowen

Hi, Jean-Jacques and Chris, great results. On China specifically, what do you see happening with Hainan, as well as, your thoughts more generally with the rebound on inventory positioning and how you're positioning by region in this volatile atmosphere? Second question on the Louis Vuitton brand. Pharrell Williams was an exciting announcement. Just would love your thoughts more generally on key priorities and what you see happening perhaps with Mix or the cultural movements in the brand. You've been very innovative. And then third on Tiffany. Bridal industry-wide has been facing a tough comparison. It's negative. I was wondering on Tiffany, how are you balancing margin expansion relative to revenue growth? Also, the lock's gotten a lot of attention.

Just what does that mean in terms of how you're thinking about the brand and the Generation Z appeal? I'm wearing the Tiffany Nike stuff too. Lastly, you touched on this a lot, the U.S. trends, and your expression of softer, are you extrapolating that? Do you expect it to turn negative and/or continue to be fairly volatile? We are seeing a pretty promotional luxury environment with an aspirational customer that's under pressure. Thanks a lot.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Oliver. Your first question is about Hainan and how we feel about it and what could happen there. We can only listen to what is being announced. We understand that there will be two phases in Hainan. The first one is the one we are in with only duty-free concessions, six of them, if I'm not mistaken, that currently mostly concentrate on perfumes, cosmetic, spirits and tobacco. This business is mostly dominated by China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation and other operators. It's an important business for some cosmetic brands. We are extremely cautious with regards to this business due to the Daigou phenomenon that I discussed a little bit before.

That's all we have to say about this phase. The second phase, which is supposed to come in a few years, will be a tax-free country. It's not a country, it's a region, but a tax-free region comparable maybe to Hong Kong, where there will be no such thing as taxes, which obviously will level the playing field. There are a lot of shopping mall projects and a lot of things are currently being under construction. We understand that the travel flow into Hainan is about 40-50 million a year, so it's significant, and that the market could become very significant.

We definitely look at the market for the second phase, not for what the market is today because we are not so much interested in being into this Daigou frenzy. The second phase of the market, we should see this market becoming a normalized, a normal market, I would say. Particularly exciting because there will be price difference with China, and we will be there, but we will be there in a normal way. I mean, we'll have our stores, we'll have our people, we'll decide upon our assortment and prices. It is at the same time a little bit far-fetched because it doesn't happen tomorrow, but it's something that could be extremely interesting in the medium term.

Oliver Chen
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Cowen

LV.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

LV.

Oliver Chen
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Cowen

Pharrell Williams.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Pharrell Williams, yeah. What are the key priorities for LV? Well, I think the nomination of Pharrell is actually telling you something about the blurring of boundaries between distribution, marketing, and product strategies. Each strategy we design at Vuitton and elsewhere, I mean, this is true for most of our brands, there is no such thing now as a pure product, pure distribution or pure marketing strategy. The three of them mix. Obviously, Pharrell has been nominated to spearhead this effort of being global. There will be some marketing component in the creation. There will be some distribution component in the product strategies, we try to mix all that.

The marketing effort and the branding effort that we are developing at Vuitton and elsewhere is much more global and encompass the various areas of the marketing mix. This is the priority to promote the brand, to enhance the branding of Vuitton and the other brands through appropriate marketing, distribution, and product strategies, the three being quite entrenched. Your question about Tiffany and I think it was about bridal, right? And the competition about bridal. Am I right?

Oliver Chen
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Cowen

Margin expansion compared to.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Oh, yeah. The question about margin expansion and revenue, in my view, is sorry, Oliver Chen, is not the right way to really set it. Basically, what happens in luxury is that we design strategies that will boost revenues. For a while, the margin don't move, and when revenues starts to develop, we get a boost in margins. We've seen that at BVLGARI. We've seen that at Vuitton, at Dior. Look at Dior. I mean, for decades, the margins of Dior were pretty lackluster. With the development of the brand in the last 6, 7 years, we've seen an explosion of the margins.

Hopefully, the same will happen at Tiffany. We'll develop the revenue through product innovation, through store expansion and renovation. At some point, the strategy will kick in in terms of margins, and we'll see a margin improvement. It's exactly what happened at BVLGARI, and we try to replicate exactly the same thing at Tiffany. With regards to the U.S. trend for the future, I mean, as you know, our visibility in our business is as good as yesterday's sales, so it's always very difficult to assess what's going on. What we try to do is to be as transparent as possible on what happened so far, what will happen next.

I mean, everybody, as you fully remember, in September, everybody was expecting 2023 to be a horrendous year for luxury in the U.S. It doesn't happen. I mean, it's not as good as it used to be, but how come could it stay that 20% growth per annum? It's normalizing, but it's not bad either. It's very difficult to make any prediction. Interest rates are rising in the U.S., maybe taking its toll on consumer spending. Difficult to say. Interest rates rise will probably come to an end, if I read the markets correctly, sometimes in the rest of the year. May have a positive impact, nobody knows.

Frankly, I find it extremely difficult to answer your question.

Operator

The next question comes from Rogerio Fujimori from Stifel.

Rogerio Fujimori
Managing Director and Specialist for European Luxury Goods, Stifel

Um.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Hi.

Rogerio Fujimori
Managing Director and Specialist for European Luxury Goods, Stifel

Hi, Jean-Jacques and Rod. I have 2 questions. I have 1 follow-up on jewelry, 1 about Korea, and 1 about perfumes and cosmetics. On jewelry, I think in the presentation you flagged the high-end jewelry as a bright spot and an exceptional quarter for both Tiffany and BVLGARI. Anything to call out in terms of performance for Bijou at Tiffany in the U.S. and the core collections for BVLGARI and Tiffany across the main clusters, the U.S., Chinese and European? My second question about Korean clusters, it has become obviously relatively large for the industry in the last 3 years. Any thoughts on what's going on in Korea and Koreans buying abroad? The third on perfumes and cosmetics is just as a follow-up on category trends.

I think, on your comments about Sephora, you mentioned that makeup is standing out. Any, any change in terms of fragrance versus makeup versus, skincare? Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Your first question on high jewelry, I must say that Q1 is not the biggest quarter for high jewelry. It's a fairly seasonal business. High jewelry is doing all right in the first quarter of the year, but it's not a big contributor. I find it hard to comment further. Q2 is a much more relevant quarter with a lot of events taking place around the world. As far as we can see so far this year, the positive trend that we have experienced both at BVLGARI and Tiffany, doesn't seem to be getting any worse. It should remain a, you know, a view key contributor to the growth of the business going forward.

Well, Korea, you said it. I mean, it's becoming an important market. It's at the same time a hub for some Chinese tourists. It's a big market in itself, and we have Koreans shopping abroad. It's one of the most complex market in the world in this respect, as we have to accommodate the three dimensions of this market. It's been going well through the pandemic, less volatile than the Chinese market for instance. We'll have to control Daigou because we know that there is a tendency for Daigous to shop in Korea, which is closer to home than some other markets.

This can be done with pricing, as we discussed a little bit before. We'll see how the market develops in coming quarters. For the time being, we are pretty satisfied with the Korean market, with the business we do with the locals, the business we do with the Korean tourists, and we manage to control the Daigou business in a fairly correct way. Perfume, cosmetic and the category, yes, makeup is doing well, but fragrance is doing even better, and the skincare business is flattish. The bulk of the growth comes from fragrance and makeup.

This has been going on for a while, I mean, probably due to the fact that we have less growth in Asia, particularly China and Asian travel retail than we have elsewhere, and the bulk of the growth coming from Europe and the U.S. This creates some bias toward in favor of fragrances and makeup.

Operator

We have a question from Luca Solca from Bernstein.

Luca Solca
Managing Director for Luxury Goods, Bernstein

Yes, good evening. Maybe, a slightly different question on eyewear. You've been in-housing eyewear for a few years. I understand that there was an element of experimentation in this decision. I wonder, looking back, what you think about this has gone and how important you believe that this category could become for the group, if it's going to be material or not? A second question on capacity and inventory availability, especially looking at leather goods. I understand you've been overseeing a very important growth in the most recent 30 years or so, but I seem to remember that one of your smaller competitors in Paris provides a number about capacity growth each year.

I wonder if you could give us that figure for leather goods and your increasing capacity as you face very strong growth from consumer demand as the numbers in the first quarter testify. Thirdly, we understand that demand in the U.S. is showing no clear trend with lower-end products at Hennessy having an issue and at the same time Sephora doing very well indeed. I wonder if you look at Hennessy and the most recent hiccups we've seen there, for example, the inventory availability issue or the price increase decision last year, how much of the current performance, which is slightly disappointing, has been self-inflicted, and how much of it depends on the market?

Are you confident that any issues in decision-making and in the company are now streamlined and on the good track? Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Luca. Your first question on eyewear, we internalized eyewear progressively for some brands, mostly Fendi and Dior to start with. I must say that with regards to these two brands, the results are quite interesting and very positive in many ways. First of all, in terms of quality, we have improved the average quality of our products, which is always something very important to do. We are very pleased with that. In terms of distribution, we control much more and much better who do we sell our product through.

Most of our most of eyewear is sold through third-party distributors. We don't want to end up with 20,000 doors and finding your eyewear everywhere in the world. This has to be controlled, and obviously we do it in a much better way through our own organization. Certainly, they are important incorporated marketing budget into the eyewear P&L that positively contributes to the global marketing effort of the brand. The fact that we control this budget ourselves enable us obviously to direct them and to control them in a much better way. This happens to be a profitable business.

Obviously, the start in 2019 and 2020 was a little bit loss-making, as it is normal for any startup when integrating a business. Now we are turning a very nice profitability. We'll move on, and we'll continue to integrate one after the other all our brands, probably remove the remaining licenses and develop from there. We have a strong base. The only constraint that we constraint that we have is to find land to build factories and to find people to work to work in there. Otherwise, I mean, from a pure product and management viewpoint, we have a great team, and they have really given us the proof that they can develop the business much further.

We'll try to do so. On capacity, well, the capacity question is something that is being raised from time to time. The last time was probably 2015 or 2016 when we had a little bit of shortages in terms of capacity. It's not the case now. I mean, we can accommodate the current growth, which as I said, is mostly mixed based, which is less of an issue from a capacity viewpoint than volume-based growth, as I explained many times. We can accommodate the current growth without having to make very significant and urgent investment.

If we have to make it, and certainly at some point we'll have to make it, we'll plan them in advance, and we'll do them as we've, as we'll, we've always done. I mean, there is always the ability to enlarge existing atelier, to double the size of a, of an existing atelier. When we buy a land to build an atelier, we always think about making a second one at the same place. There are a large number of solutions that we can develop to accommodate the good problem of excess demand that we cannot, that we maybe couldn't meet without further investment. We'll do it. I think it's a good problem to have, and we've handled that many times in the past, and I'm not worried about that.

Your third question about Hennessy and price elasticity is a very valid one. We had a lot of, as I said before, a lot of inflationary pressure at Hennessy in particular due to the price of glass, energy, et cetera. We had to pass on very serious price increases last year, which were probably a bit difficult to absorb by some clients, hence a little bit of negative reaction on volumes. That's. You're right. I mean, that probably happened. It takes a little bit of time to be swallowed. That's why we are extremely cautious when it comes to further price increase.

VS in the U.S. will not be subject to any price increase this year. It's certainly the right thing to do. At the same time, we also have to invest behind the brand in terms of marketing. There is always a tendency when you have a high demand and shortage in availability of product as it happened in the second half of 2020 and 2021, to reduce marketing budget. Not only our marketing budget, but our distributors' marketing budget. They are not going to invest behind the brand when they know that they will be selling the bottles anyway. After a while, this has a tendency of putting the brands behind some others that are more active in terms of marketing.

We are very conscious of that, we shall be investing behind the brand much more because it needs to be done. Again, I mean, I'm not worried at all with the U.S. situation for Hennessy, which is the largest spirit brand by value in the world. We are very confident that the brand will continue to be extremely performing well and be profitable. There are a few issues to be fixed in the U.S., time will enable us to absorb the price increase, at the same time, we'll be reinvesting into marketing, everything should get better within some quarters. We'll not have a great year in 2023. Don't take me wrong.

I mean, it takes a little bit of time to do that, but I'm fully confident that the Hennessy team will be able to manage that.

Operator

Well, it's getting late. We have three remaining questions. I suppose all the important ones have been asked at this stage, but, maybe we can take these last three question if you limit yourself with one question, please. The next question will come from Carole Madjo from Barclays.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Carole, we don't hear you.

Carole Madjo
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Hi, team.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Yes, we can.

Carole Madjo
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Can you hear me now?

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Yep.

Chris Hollis
Director of Financial Communications, LVMH

Yeah.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Yes, we can.

Carole Madjo
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Hi, good evening. This is Carole Madjo. Yes, 2 questions for me if I can. First one, to come back on the Chinese market. I think you mentioned earlier on the call that there was some pressure in cosmetics in China. Just to clarify, is it just linked to this, you know, gray market Daigou business, which is of course adding the pressure, or could we think that the middle-class consumer in China is still performing a bit less strongly than the, you know, higher end consumers who maybe tend to buy a bit more fashion and leather goods product categories? That's the first question. The very quick second question I had was on Louis Vuitton.

Of course, you mentioned that you have hired Pharrell Williams in the menswear segment over the past few months. Can you remind us about the structure of the womenswear designing team? Of course, Mr. Ghesquière has been here for, I think, around 10 years now. How should we think about, you know, is there any element of disruption you want to add to the way he operates? Are there any communication between menswear and womenswear, or are you fully happy with the structure? Should we expect any more collaboration, as you, of course, have been doing lately on the leather goods categories? Just to kind of update on how we can think about the womenswear segment could be interesting. Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you, Carole. On the Chinese perfume cosmetic market, we've been saying the same thing for quite a long period of time. The market is being heavily disrupted by the parallel business, the gray market, or whichever way you call it, the Daigou gray market parallel, that is creating an enormous pressure, discount pressure on the market. When you try to preserve the value of the brand not to discount, obviously, you're at a disadvantage vis-à-vis the competition. I don't think the Chinese, the mainland Chinese customer by itself is in any way showing some signs of weakness, and not particularly today with the recovery that we see there.

The market is heavily disrupted by the discounts, and particularly on the best sellers that have been introduced during the pandemic period through the duty-free segment. It's something that we don't see clearly where the market is going. It will take a while to normalize. As far as we are concerned, I mean, we'll never play the game of discounts because we know it would be destroying the brand. When you have a brand like Dior, I mean, obviously, it would be a very bad idea to discount the Dior perfume and cosmetic brand, given the size and the importance of the Dior couture business altogether in mainland China. We'll be very strict. We have been and will be very strict on that.

With regards to the organization of the ready-to-wear business and the creation within Vuitton, we are extremely happy with the way it works. There are a lot of contacts and collaboration between men and women. I cannot really elaborate because it's a question of how the business is being organized, don't expect major changes in the way the business is being managed in the future.

Operator

The next question come from Natasha Brilliant from Credit Suisse.

Natasha Brilliant
Head of EMEA Luxury Goods, Credit Suisse

Hello. Thank you for taking my questions. Just want to ask one on capital allocation. I mean, the usual question, there's not a lot of things available and of size to buy, despite some press articles associating you with some competitors. In the absence of any large scale M&A, could you see in the medium-term scope to increase the buyback and shareholder returns?

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Listen, if you look at the global numbers, I mean, the big chunk of the excess capital, I mean, whichever way you call it, free cash flow or, goes to the dividend. We have been increasing the dividend very steadily and very significantly over the last years. I think on average, over the last 30 years, we've been increasing the dividend by 11% per annum, so that absorb a big chunk of the cash flow. Even if we don't do sizable acquisitions because for lack of compelling opportunities or available opportunities, as we speak, we do some acquisitions bolt on. I mean, we've been doing a few things, as you've noticed, in wine and spirit. We always do some acquisitions.

They also do consume or absorb a little bit of the excess cash flow, the debt has the potential to go down. We have a share buyback program, which has been set at EUR 1.5 billion for this year. It was the same amount last year. We think we are fine with that level for the time being. If the cash flow increases and we have to revisit that question, another good problem to have. We'll think about it, for the time being, we don't think it is necessary.

Operator

The last question comes from Liwei Hou from CICC.

Liwei Hou
Executive Director and Analyst, CICC

Thank you very much, Jean-Jacques , Chris, and Rodolphe for taking my question. I have one question with two small parts, if you don't mind. The first part is, if we look at the spending by Chinese cluster in the first quarter of 2023, when compared to first quarter of 2019, what will be the growth for Chinese, and how has that performed compared to other nationalities? That's the first part. If you could please share some comments on that. The second part is, if we take a time machine back to four months ago, I assume most of us would be more optimistic about Chinese rebound and growth rates. Compared to the reality, apparently there's some gap in there.

Apart from the acceleration of offshore spending by Chinese, what are the other main reasons that led to this gap between expectation and reality? Thank you very much.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Maybe expectations were too optimistic, so I cannot comment on that end of the comparison. As far as we are concerned, I mean, 4 months ago, we really thought that with the release of all these zero COVID measures, we were off for something like 6 months chaos in China for the normalization of the sanitary and the pandemic situation. It happened to be much, much shorter than that, and it was a pleasing surprise. It's a little bit counterintuitive now to really be disappointed by China. If we compare where the situation today, where we were 5 months ago, it's much, much, much better.

As far as we are concerned, I mean, the situation in mainland China is an excellent surprise compared to what we thought it could be only 4, 5 months ago. With regards to the Chinese cluster versus 2019, I don't have very precise numbers in mind, but I think we are all together between 40% and 50% I guess, higher than what we were in 2019. Obviously, where the business takes place is entirely different from what it was in 2019. But we've been growing the business very steadily ever since. Rodolphe, is that it?

Operator

Yes, that's it.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

That's it.

Operator

Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Thank you. Thank you so much for attending the call. As I mentioned, I look forward to discussing with you all the P&L numbers at the end of July as we always do. Thank you, and have a great evening.

Liwei Hou
Executive Director and Analyst, CICC

Thank you.

Jean-Jacques Guiony
CFO, LVMH

Bye.

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