Rexel S.A. (EPA:RXL)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2020

Apr 23, 2020

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Before we start, allow me to wish you and everybody, not to be hurt by this COVID-19 virus, and I wish very good health. Welcome to the presentation of this first quarter 2020 sales. For today, for presentation and Q&A, I am with Laurent Delabarre, our group CFO. No need to tell you that it's a quite exceptional and very unprecedented circumstances. I will start this call explaining how we are adapting to this environment, how do we implement all the measures to both protect our employee and customers, as well as to continue operating, and how all of this is impacting our first quarter performance. Laurent will then detail our sales performance, the cost measures that we have taken, and obviously, all the other aspects of which the focus on liquidity.

I will conclude with a look at the immediate priorities and actions. On the slide about after, you can see that, first of all, in the first days, before the quarter full vision, when on mid-March, we were facing this COVID-19, then the health and safety of our 26,000 employees became a major, very high central priority. Within a few days, we quickly implemented sanitary measures. Even where the confinement and other measures were not decided by the local governments, immediately we choose to operate sanitary and all, for example, distancing in our branches, in our DCs, in the contact with our customers. We immediately around the world implemented social distancing and further measurements. Immediately we took actions everywhere in the centers.

Within a couple of days, we have asked thousands of people to work from home. We have asked people to reorganize their shift in the D.C., not to cross each other, not to come together to each other. The same in the branches, never to touch a customer, never to a customer touching us, because we wanted totally, as much as we could, it's never 100% sure, but the best sanitary way of operating. In doing so, it was quite important because it has been applied across the world, across the board, and we created a crisis committee where all the best practices were available to everyone. Within a week it was done. The U.S. when they saw this in Europe, our U.S. operation, they capitalized on this. They anticipated everything that were coming to Europe.

Including there within 10 days, our total operations, plus the very strong IT infrastructure capability that we had just built before in the two years before, using all the digital interfaces that we had already put in place, we could make one third of group employee working from home, all the calls being taken from home, all the sales force calling the customer and managing teams from home. Having very fundamental elements in the digital transformation, very key to the customer, track and trace of where is my parcel. Self-checkout, driving services, the lockers, and more of these things that we just had developed as the future model had proven to be fundamental way of doing business, continuing with the business for what the business could be and respecting sanitary measures.

I am very proud of this reactivity that we were able to change everything and no disruption and the company was doing extremely well. I would like to express, by the way, all my thanks and gratitude to all our teams for this remarkably reactivity and adaptability. Therefore, thanks to them, Rexel has managed to keep running in the face of a real crisis situation. On the page after, what does it mean? Within a week, everything which was the normal way of doing business, so to speak, everywhere around the world, customer mix changed more than we ever thought it could happen. The channel mix changed. How much traffic went through the web, through the AI, through the counter, through the telephone, and change of habits. The country mix changed. Every single day, third day, we were facing something very different.

Even within the country, the regional mix was absolutely nuts, especially in the U.S., but not just, also in Canada and also in Europe. In the country, the regional mix is quite very contrasted. Product availability, there were some shortage anticipated with the Coronavirus crisis in China before that would impact the supply. Some have materialized, some not, because of the lower demand, but it was also an instability element. On the demand side, the product mix was not what we were used to sell. A big runner of the week before, something that we sell by thousands every week, after sudden became 10 piece in term of sales. Others, where it was only a limited numbers of rather low demand became a runner, a runner as a proportion to the rest. Human resource mix. Who was able to work from home?

Who we had no need for immediately? Who we had to ask to be a reserve shift if something would happen in the D.C., another partial team still at home would come in and take over. While if there would have been somebody with a virus, we'd have to retrench and the entire team with it and go on confinement for two weeks and adjustment that we had to do. Guess what? This is not just a change. All that I'm describing and you see on this slide is changing every single week. The mix is changing every week by how the virus spread, how the government decide on measures, which industry stop, which industry restart, which customer base wants to go back to work, the one stays on confinement, how transportation does affect all of this.

Meaning this is weekly adjustments to a permanently changing and not by 1%, 2%, 3%. It's changing by 20%, 50%. It's big blocks back and forth and coming every day like this. We have developed and I'm very proud that we have been able to serve every single customer for what the demand was for the specialty products he wanted in a very healthy way and in a change also in the way we were obviously serving by the contacts mode. On the page after, in a nutshell, there were changes which were quite strong. On one hand, something became more obvious than ever before.

Electrical distribution became an essential activity in many parts of the country to support the hospitals, obviously, but to support the datacom industry, to support a lot of food and beverage industry that they need to supply, to support the cooling systems of everywhere everybody is going to shop and get their fresh food. To supply so many places where we had to provide products to and through new kind of customer compared to the conventional installers we had because a lot of maintenance people, emergency maintenance, a lot of critical activities, elevators moving up and down, and for which some of their own systems were no longer available as it could have been, and so on and so on. Therefore, we have put in place business continuity plans in all the countries. We, as you could see, number of branch open, only 100, 110.

Yesterday, 95 were closed. The rest is open with normal conditions, less and less. Twice as many with, let's say, readjusted way as pickup points to the minimal. The next thing is the next statistic is that we, as you can see here, within three weeks, just take France, we gained 1,888 new accounts, almost 1,900 within a week on the web, compared to roughly 100 per week in normal times. This is proving that, and I'm pretty sure that a portion of the market is moving to a new way of transacting. Obviously, the Europe digital sales crossed the 30%, and you remember a year ago, I would have told you 25. In these numbers, you have a drop in EDI because large plants, large manufacturing site in EDI, because they stopped EDI, was short-term being reduced.

The pure web has probably grown by something close to 10 points in a couple of weeks compared to the previous year. Sales by phone. Sales by phone obviously exploded just to have an indication. The phone traffic exploded, but the sales also because some of it went to the web, some of it went to the phone, but everything else virtually stopped. We have a very heavily now infrastructure being able to cope with this, and we have a lot of traffic on the web increasing every day and so on. On the next slide, what was also very important was first, as I described before, make sure business continuity, it works, we serve, we are there, we are open, we continue to be, and we will continue to do so everywhere.

On the other side, the demand is low, the mix is not exactly the same, and we had to face something that really we didn't know how long it would last. Therefore, we adjusted our cost, our OpEx, and primarily in two categories. The salaries and benefits we have adjusted, and as you can see from these numbers, it's not a typo. 27% for sales down, 27% for salaries and benefits down in equate. A lot of local management had to take serious action, courageous management decisions, but it's something which we have adjusted. We have been using, obviously, all the support that the different governments made available to us. On top and above, we had to take our own decision, even if it was not done with support of the local government or administrations.

In doing so, something we never did in the past, I think we have shown our ability to be really fast adjusting to the level of sales. Salaries and benefits is only a piece of the equation. We also suspended CapEx. We also suspended any process of commitment of certain developments that we have put on hold. We have obviously managed all the rest that are non-salaries and benefits, or PAC, revisiting transportation costs, revisiting the lease costs, revisiting and renegotiating each of these elements systematically one by one, and we continue to do so, not knowing how long it will last. The virus is still going around. Even if there is a de-confinement in certain places, it could come back in three, four, five months.

We are being now fully adjusted in order to be on a cost base adjusted to the sales level and margin level. Obviously, on the page after, you can see how it went, and fast. It's nothing new to you, but this is really our world, how from beginning of March, week 10, where we had a very good start in the quarter. The same-day sales were +6.3%. March, week 11, it's close to zero. First lockdown in Italy, Spain. The week after, -12%, and a lot of countries in Europe is in the lockdown. Week 13, the U.S. entered into the shutting down locally before more generally state lockdowns, states each being different. You see this -27.8% in our sales. A little bit bumpy, one week to -25%, another -30%.

The Easter days playing here a little bit of a role. Therefore, roughly, it's - 27, - 28. This came very fast, and therefore we adjusted at the same speed. On the page after, in Europe, was stronger and this impact was faster, stronger, spreading around, especially in the south than in the north. There are three countries which remain with a different no lockdown approach. Poland is one, or limited. Sweden is one. Obviously, it's a different philosophy and strategy. We got a little bit less impact. Now we see the first countries like I say three countries, I forgot the third. We saw Germany, there was partial lockdown.

Germany was relatively resisting extremely well, and we were happy with the way we have adjusted and we have been doing the business in this contrasted environment by regions, but the north being less affected than the south, and this is true for the rest of Europe. Therefore, the numbers are contrasted. In North America, uneven shutdown measured in the States. I remember, five weeks ago, still being in the States, and we were supposed to have a meeting in Seattle and Portland with all the guys, and which we decided not to. I stopped in Dallas, in our headquarter, and we were running by Visio, and which was the beginning. Obviously, states in the Northeast was heavily impacted, but California also shut down similar to Europe's.

Now there are other side effect to all of this, including the Gulf, which is not just the virus, which is also the oil and gas industry shut down. Everywhere we have an impact, but it came at different moment. Asia Pac, on the page after. Asia Pac we follow carefully. One of the fundamental question, is the curve of Asia Pac representative of our curve that we could see in Europe? We have our doubts because people behave differently. The virus was managed differently. Lockdowns mean really something severe, and when they reopen, then there is a certain restart. On the other hand, what do we see? Our OEM business, where we focus on, is doing great now. It's positive territory.

There is a bit of a catch up, but there is also an internal demand quite strong, because the Chinese companies have also learned that either the virus or something in the supply chain on one hand, they need to be equipped. If people are in lockdown, they try to be less sensitive to people presence. Therefore, immediately after all of this, they go for robotics, automation, OEMs, and this is where we are in. Therefore, we see a nice pickup short term after the crisis. This is to give you, in a nutshell, the sense of what we have done, how we have managed safety, protect the people, and protect the relationship to the customers and to the suppliers in a healthy mode, and protect the company, adjusting the cost, stopping the CapEx, and adjusting to the level of demand.

I will pass to Laurent on the slide after, so that he can comment more details with you, the Q1 2020 sales review, and the COVID-19 environment priorities, and I come back after. Laurent, you could take over.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Thank you very much, Patrick, and good morning to all of you. We start on slide 12, with probably a bit obsolete information and very far away on our Q1 sales, which were EUR 3.2 billion. We are down 3.3% on a same-day basis and -2.7% on a reported basis. Organic same-day sales growth was impacted by a negative copper impact of -0.4%, with copper price down 6% in EUR terms and 9% in U.S. terms. Sales were also impacted by a scope effect, as you know, as Gexpro Services was deconsolidated as from February 23rd. As a reminder, Gexpro Services had annual sales of around $260 million, with slightly higher profitability than the U.S. Its deconsolidation has reduced our indebtedness ratio by 10 basis points.

In the quarter, we benefit from a positive foreign exchange impact of +0.9%, mainly due to the USD. We now anticipate the full year 2020 currency impact to be circa -0.3%, assuming spot rates remain unchanged. If we looked at our performance by region, sales in Europe were down by 1.5%. In North America, they were down by 4.8%, and in Asia Pac, they were down by 8.3%, notably reflecting the strong shutdown in China in February. Moving to slide 13. We take a closer look at our sales performance, breaking it down through February and March, and also looking at more recent trends. As seen on the slide, Rexel had gotten off to a very solid start of the year with sales up 0.9% through February, or up 2% restating from China, which was strongly impacted by COVID-19 in February.

March and April were a different story, and notably the second half of March, as lockdown measures spread. In week 13, started on March 31st, same-day sales were down 27.8%, and in the first 15 days of April, with most of Europe and the U.S. in lockdown, sales were down by 27.7%. By region, Europe was down 37% in the first 15 days of April, while North America shows better resilience, down 21.5%. Asia Pac was down 0.4%, notably to a recent bounce back in China and a very good resilience in Australia. At this stage, we have no visibility on the duration and extent of the crisis, but we are taking all necessary measures to adapt it, as I will detail on the next slide.

Once organized for business continuity in order to achieve as much sales as possible in the context of country confinement measures, we have a first set of action, as shown on slide 14, related to our OpEx, which represent EUR 2.7 billion in full-year 2019. We are actively looking at reducing every cost category and every line. Let me share with you the breakdown of our OpEx by nature. Flexible cost accounts for circa 53%, including in that salaries and benefits for a large majority that became flexible in this unprecedented times, thanks to the various government temporary unemployment measures available, but also to some cut and very strong decrease, as you can imagine, on travel and professional cost. Variable costs represent circa 25% and notably include sales commission, delivery expense, and temps.

Lastly, fixed costs represent 18% of total and include mostly building and occupancy, of which leases classified under depreciation in IFRS 16, as well as IT and network communication costs that are essential to run the company. In order to adjust OpEx to this unprecedented drop in sales, we have taken several drastic action, including reducing by 27% salary and benefits in April through, first, the use of temporary unemployment measure all around Europe. Second, the use of flexibility in North America, including wage reductions, temporary leave, or absence no pay policies. We have also deferred wages increase, for instance, in China, and curtailed travel entertainment costs. Let me add that our CEO and board members will cut their compensation by 20% as from April. Lastly, we are also acting even on fixed costs, for instance, renegotiating leases and rent where possible.

On slide 15, we take a closer look at our key priority, cash generation. As Patrick said, we are tracking cash on a daily basis. We are doing this through a bottom-up modeling over the next three months, with country providing us on a weekly basis, a rolling estimate from top line to bottom line evolution and trade working capital broken down between inventory, receivable and payable. country management teams are monitoring receivables closely and are managing payable tightly. We should also benefit from deferrals on social tax in most countries, and CapEx will be lower as well as we put most project on hold. I would add that we don't expect significant restructuring costs from the OpEx measure I described before.

As mentioned earlier, we are also proposing to our shareholders to suspend the payment of the 2019 dividends, which would represent a cash saving of EUR 145 million and further protect liquidity. Concerning our debt covenant, I remind you that our covenant on our senior credit agreement is calculated twice a year in June and December. At December 2019, our debt to EBITDA ratio, post the disposal of Gexpro Services, stood at 2.37 x. The covenant set a limit at 3.5 x with three spikes authorized, one between 3.75x and 3.9x, and 2x between 3.5x and 3.75 x. Let me conclude on slide 16 with our liquidity picture, which shows that we have no short-term issues. As of March 31st, we have EUR 1.13 billion of liquidity, including the available cash and the EUR 3 million in undrawn facility on our senior credit agreement.

In addition, and if needed, we have a EUR 200 million overdraft facility with our pool of banks and also have access to EUR 500 million in addition liquidity that could be set up with core banks without requesting any waivers. The chart shows that we have no short-term maturity on our banks, with no significant repayment before 2024, following the 2017 and March 2019 refinancings. As shown, half of our financing is supported by receivable securitization. We have different programs in eight countries with term and conditions through 2020 and 2022. As you know, for every program, we have to reload the securitization covenants every month with the new receivables. With a lower level of activity, this source of short-term financing will be reduced, but we have sufficient liquidity available to cover for that. With this, let me hand over to Patrick for his concluding remarks.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Thank you, Laurent. The one thing, the takeaways of this for the time being, there's one thing we are absolutely sure of, which is on page 18, that it was so right to have invested in this digital transformation. The level 1 was to get these data layers, this data structure, so that we could immediately understand what was going on day by day everywhere in a global and local way by using Power BI, customer behaviors through the CRMs and so on. Even more today, we continue to try to get, for example, the daily pulse, how is the market moving by product category, by segments, detecting if there is something that would be one day, three days, or something, to be able to catch up with everything that is happening on the way down as much as on the way up.

The more these data layers is being structured, and now it's the vast majority of country who is already structuring in such a way, it is obvious that we will continue to roll out systematically everywhere. Based on this, the transactional web and EDI platform and the function, whether it's an email, EDI, digital customer invoicing, track and trace, and more that we have in a standardized way so that everybody, every country in Europe which has done its data structure using this transactional standard tool can really get to a much faster digital adoption that the conditions are just making it happen faster than ever before. It's for us just a question of rollout. It's not a question of development. It's not a question of infrastructure. It's not a question of what to be done.

It was a question of adoption by obviously our people, but adoption by our customers. Customers now, when they are forced to, they adopt much faster. This may create a point of no return, by the way, in this industry, which to me is great. Obviously all the predictive work that we have put. In full fairness, they are more valid than ever before. I'm so glad that this is really It exists. It can be rolled out. There is major developments being now firmed up, and I'm extremely happy for that because the NBO, for example, next best offer. What is the right assortment for new categories of customers? Which customer is likely to churn? How much will be due to his own financial risk, for example.

We may probably detect in advance some people who, without waiting for them to have difficulty, would start to buy less or different, kind of a different pattern and kind of thing. All of these modules from data structure, through transaction, through predictive, face new usage, put it this way, but confirm that it was the right thing to do. By the way, the infrastructure supporting is really strong because we got peaks in demand, peaks in people going to the web to find if it's available, not available, if it's open, not open, under which condition can I get it, transacting like this, calling the phone, but the phone going to the web and to the EDI. All our infrastructure has resisted perfectly, and I'm thankful to the IT people. Update on our 2020 priorities and actions for the rest on the page 19.

I will not surprise you in telling you that first preserve the health and safety of our employees and the customer and the relationship between the two. No good health, no good business. Therefore, we protect as much as we can, both customers and employees. Ensure business and process continuity. If we need to lock down something, we sanitize, we clean, and we create a condition for continuity a week after, two weeks after, a day after, that there's never something that we stop definitively. Obviously, we will focus on liquidity as key performance indicator. If there is one thing which is really, it was an element of our evolution, it becomes an element of running a company at different levels. Liquidity become a focus throughout such a phase because cash is king. Protect the company, focus on OpEx. We did.

People know what it means, and we will focus on OpEx when it will restart, but because it could go down again. The digital vision that we may share one day require this OpEx ups and downs flexibility and cash management. Roll out of all our digital capabilities systematically because it's just now a way of life. It's obvious that we have suspended, and you know this already, our guidance. On March 25th, we suspended the guidance for 2020, and there is no way today that I could tell you what the rest of the year would be because I don't know and nobody knows. The board of directors have decided for the AGM not to propose the payment of a dividend in respect of the 2019 dividend at the next general assembly, which is now postponed to June 25th.

With all of this, I think we can open the session for the question. I think the communication is working. We are all in remote locations and not together as usual. Therefore, there may be slight delays between your question and the answer.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. If you'd like to cancel that request, you can press the hash key. That's star one to ask a question and the hash key to cancel. Your first question today comes from the line of Lucie Carrier from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Lucie Carrier
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my question. First of all, a big thank you on all of the disclosure you are providing today around current trading and so on. We haven't seen that at many other companies. This is extremely helpful. I have three question. I will go one at a time. The first one, both of you have been at the company for a long time, and I was hoping you could give us maybe a bit more colors, maybe a couple of example on how you manage cash generation and collection, in a downturn environment, as you were already, of course, in the company in 2009. Also, maybe can you contextualize why you think that your current cash balance of about EUR 1.1 billion, is sufficient in this turmoil?

That's the first question on how you manage inventory, and why EUR 1.1 billion is enough from your standpoint here.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

The management of inventory and the cash collection are two elements to the same question. Management of inventory first, it's very different from the previous recession, because we were in a rather quite booming mode last year, the year before, organic sales, organic growth. Remember, EUR 1 billion growth over the last three years, and we were gaining market share, and we were just accelerating. Obviously, when you do this. Oh, do you hear me? Somebody say my mic would be out? No, I think it's okay.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

No, it's okay.

Lucie Carrier
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

We hear you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Okay. Obviously, we got a lot of inventories just proportionally to our sales growth, and we continue to do because we had a good start at the beginning of the year. It stopped overnight. It stopped overnight. Lucie, I will tell you one thing, I never saw that in my life. -70% the next day. You look at your inventory, you say, "Jesus, I have far too many now. What can I do?" Then the next day, people are asking for products for which we have low inventory. Not needed to replenish immediately, but low inventory. In that moment, we face a new situation which probably will become more like the previous one, but in the coming months even more on the longer term. Never forget, the previous crisis, the big shock was in August.

The economy went down, gradually speaking, over the 12 months after, and we were rolling our inventory down. It was not going from booming to - 70%, neither -30% around the world. It was -5 and another -5 and a -8 . Our business, it was like 12 months of an erosion, 12 months to adapt, 12 months of not replenishing in time, and 12 months of collecting the money from the customers, less every day, but not a big drop. Okay? This time, obviously, we say I could have sure words, I will be frank with you. Brutal rules. The minimum on the item that we sell is two sold for one replenished. Sometime it's three times sold for one replenished, and sometime it's five times sold for one replenished.

Depending on how the demand and the pickup will come, to get the inventory down is really making sure, and we are adjusting by week. All our tools that will be very operational here, all our tools couldn't face this. All our tools of yesterday are replenishment tools, calculating on long series and so on. Here, we had to provide within a few days, within a few weeks, the adjustments to everyday sales. We are doing it. Yes, the inventory has to go down because they are too high today for what we need. They will go down. That's one piece of the equation. The other piece is to collect the cash. Collect the cash from everybody we need it. Meaning, cash from money that we are collecting gradually over time, like always, whether it's former rebates to be collected, or whether it's from suppliers.

Some were coming from customers that were owing us some money for this or that. Get it done within a week or two. This money is due to us. We own it, get it. Cash in. I made this cash-in program on everything. Plus, now comes the second phase, which will last probably to the end of this year. Every day, every week, make sure that every customer, we don't get an overdue. If there is an overdue, for which reason? Is it a day? Is it two days? Everything which is a sign of fragility and non-liquidity. Here we change our total policy. Here we decided to tell all our customers, the problem is not between you and us. We are on the same side of the table. We have to find the liquidity so that you can pay me because I need to pay my suppliers.

In the previous crisis, I was running the business in a country. I remember customers coming and saying, "Could you extend my payment term?" They come with the same question today. The people who have seen the movie once, they know if you extend, the bill is only too high at the end. A few times it can work. Most of the time it's only a higher bill because at the end, the first to ask are already in difficult time. Therefore, we try to help them finding their own solutions. We don't give up on the payment terms. We don't give up on making sure we are being paid. There will be accidents. There will be a few accidents. I cannot imagine that a world like this will not create small or big accidents.

That the first to ask is normally paid and, the one very prudent, is getting out in a safe mode. Just to give you an operational dimension to it. I don't know if Laurent would like to add something to it.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Yeah. Maybe on the receivable, just to say that, as you pointed out, we want to stay very close to our customer on one side to help them to continue their business. On the other side, for example, what we did in France, we issued to them all the kind of government aid they can use because, for the smallest, they have not the access or the ability to get easily the list of all the aid in terms of default of charges, in terms of co-negotiation. We issue very quickly a small kit helped by consultant in order for them also to manage their liquidity. That is the kind of agile things we have done. Of course, when we talk liquidity, we talk also EBITDA, and this is the action we have taken, especially on salaries and benefits, to make sure we can adjust very quickly.

Lucie Carrier
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. My second question, I guess, is around the OpEx reduction, which you're putting in place. It seems to me it is much faster than what we had seen in 2009, and obviously, the situation has deteriorated much faster. When you think about the sensitivity of your earnings, and I don't mean to ask any specific numbers here, but do you think that proportionally, versus whichever decline that might come out this year in terms of the business, do you think your bottom line will be more resilient than what it was in 2009?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

The one thing I know, we have acted much faster, very radically. We were helped by all the measures provided by the governments, probably more than in 2008, 2009. The total management was really acting fast. Now, there were a couple of days where, yes, we were 20 hours on S&P, 20 hours per day, from Asia to the other end of the U.S. In the last years, we have built a good collective common sense of what to do, how to act, and just by making phone calls, just by making sessions, just by coming back the next day. Within a couple of days, yes, we have reacted much ever faster. There was one thing which I heard that the financial market was telling me all the time, "You are not a flexible company.

You are not reactive fast." Well, I think we are showing you we are much more flexible, and we are much more reactive to anything than I would have imagined. Yes, we do. If now to the question of the resilience of the bottom line, there are two pieces in this. This is how much the market will come back and could go down again. I have now the second phase, which is some markets are coming back. How to protect the EBITDA when it goes up again. Protect the EBITDA when it goes down, this is cutting the cost and all these elements that we have done. Some will last longer. Some, there would be an impatience by some people, by some managers, by some situation, "I need to go back," and then, no.

We will be very prudent in how to reallocate resources and costly resources only if the up is not bumpy that the week after it goes down the other way around. No. We will adjust. We have a formula. That's something I've shared with all my managers already. That's something we will follow every week. Yes, the EBITDA is something to be made more solid, resilient, for whatever the market can give us in volume.

Lucie Carrier
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

We are very fast in the confinement period. We see that the de-confinement will be even more difficult. The adaptation to cost to the quality of the top line, as pointed out by Patrick, will be very key. The issue we have today is that our most profitable country, that's the one that experienced the biggest shutdown. The question is the pattern of the recovery, what kind of letter would it be, a V, a U, a W, a L, I don't know what. That's why it's very difficult to compare to 2009, where it was gradual from Q4 2008 to every quarter in 2009. At that time, there was a lot of restructuring. There was more than EUR 150 million restructuring that have been implemented. As you know, we already discussed it.

We shut down more than 230 branches, mostly in the U.S., and we said, and Patrick said it clear now that we will not close any branches, especially in the U.S. We will adjust at least, but not our footprint. Really, the ingredients are very different. What is important is to be proactive, try to be agile, and we believe that all the tools through digital and the KPI we can get on a weekly basis are helping us to monitor the country with all the community of CEO, CFOs.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

There is one thing that I would like to add. We will not get the salaries and benefits or other elements, transportation and so on. We will not let it go up by the top line. I will let it go up by the gross margin because I don't know what the prices will be in the coming environment in the coming months. Therefore, I will let it only happen as a proportion of the gross margin generated. A new way of managing. That's the only way in distribution. You make so much, you can spend so much, not the other way around, not the top line only.

Lucie Carrier
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Very clear. Then maybe my last question, just more on the current trends in the business, if I may. Which verticals are currently most impacted in your French, U.K., and North American business? Out of this vertical, whether this is residential, non-resi, industrial, and so on, any disproportional impact on profitability we should think of or not necessarily?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

The one thing which has stopped very fast everywhere is all the projects, the big sites. Whether it's the high-rise or whether it's in Las Vegas or whether it's in Paris. All the projects, they stopped overnight. The volume drop is mainly due to this and on top and above in the industry, the automotive industry, it was already tough on them before, and they were already on a lower level of activity, and they stopped their factories. Whether it was in Germany, in France, in wherever they were factory, they stopped. Right now we have in the U.S., the oil and gas industry totally stopped. When the big construction site and the major industry stopped, yet the pharma continuing, food and beverage doing fine. We have to reallocate to the most, there is nothing to upset.

The change is so fast that at the same way, I have a little bit of difficulty to tell you really how it will look like. What I can tell you is, if the German automotive industry starts to rebuild cars, it will take a lot of sub-industries to already come along with. By the way, independently from this, in Germany, we were able, for example, to regain on the commercial side, more and even if I decided not to be a strategic player in the commercial building and the residential building because we were there, we never stopped because of the continuity. We had, by far, not a bad performance. It's a local situation, but it will be contrasted with. There is not a single week where the mix is the same.

I have difficulty to give you a clear answer, Lucie, because really, it's not a vertical for long. Oil and gas, yes, as a vertical is impacted. The car industry was impacted. All the OEMs, building machines, machine tools, robots was heavily impacted, but they were impacted partially by the COVID-19 not providing the parts for them to assemble, and then by local situation where they couldn't bring the manpower to build them. Maybe now they will be impacted by a lower demand, globally speaking. It's also something we watch carefully. How much will restart? Because it will tell us what would be the driver of the growth and what would be low in demand. Because we are getting prepared for lower demand.

Lucie Carrier
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Thank you very much. Best wishes of health for you and your family. Take care.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Andre Kukhnin from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Andre Kukhnin
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Good morning. Thanks so much for taking my questions. I hope you all are well. In terms of the mix, can I ask about the product mix that you mentioned at the beginning of your presentation, where you talked about some winners becoming losers and some of the smaller kind of products becoming runners. Could you give more color and detail on what kind of product categories they are that are losing and winning, and what are the margin implications from that?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Well, I can tell you that, for example, when we look at the mix, everything which was related to maintenance, meaning engines, drives, motors, and that need in certain place to be rolling 24 hours per day. The maintenance of this has increased. Everything which is drives and so on, process controls, automation of these elements too. The industry of demand became for technical products, became over proportional to a panel driller installation demand, for power cut or power management systems. Normally, for example, these industrial drives and so on, which has a certain percentage in our business, the percentage tripled or four times higher, and whereby the rest stopped. We saw also people who never asked for, because they were just electricians doing normal maintenance work.

For certain customers, and at a sudden, they were doing other job site, other plants, other sites, and they needed different products. What we saw is that the correlation between two world, the world of water and electricity, the world of heating and cooling and electricity, the world of air management system and electricity, whether it's to push, to extract, to rotate, to whatever, it's always a need for electricity and the electrical demand in such sub-aggregated products versus such applications, became over proportional to a pure normal installation of panel builders or even the cable. The cable in the building, cables are irrelevant from the copper price. Cable was totally no longer by far in the normal proportion.

Within the cables, you have the one which are absolutely fundamental to provide more needs, which is a certain type of, it's not the one to connect to the electrical providers. These are the one to provide to data centers, the one to maintain data centers with electrical stuff, and cooling systems, certain size, certain type of cables.

Andre Kukhnin
Analyst, Credit Suisse

That's very useful, Patrick. Thank you. The margin implications from that, are there any for you?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

There is obviously in the mix of countries, some. It's more the fact that the highest margin country were brutally the most impacted by the stop that created a margin mix. There is no major impact from the product mix, so to speak.

Andre Kukhnin
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you. One quick question I had was on logistics costs. Are you passing this through to the customers, or do we need to worry about that?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

What we found in this exercise that we were not passing enough to the customers. Allow me to say that I should not laugh.

Andre Kukhnin
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Right.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

It's always a surprise that you think you do and you don't do systematically. We have first cut the cost down by not doing all the same exactly. There is not enough volume for having certain transportation tool systematically every day. We do every two days to replenish the branch locally without hurting the customer service. That's one element. The second one, we had specific tools that were normally specifically charged to the customer. It was no longer the case. It will be, or it is now systematically done.

Andre Kukhnin
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you. Lastly, in this experience, in the last literally few weeks, and those numbers that you gave for development across regions, do you see yourself performing in line with the markets, with end demand? Is there evidence of you taking share because of being quicker, being more digital?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

It's hard to say because some people have closed, then we gain shares. When they reopen, how would we be the behavior of the customer? At the same time, I think everybody will have to be prudent on the ability to pay. Customers will have to manage their own liquidity over the next 18 months. There is a first wave of adjustments, and there is a second wave. If I would have to gain market share at the cost of having issues with customer not paying well, I would not do this. Therefore, the longer terms, I think, I hope, because all these efforts should have a payback sometime down the road in term of market share gains, but the quality of the customer base will be key in the next 18 months.

If you allow me to say, I expect bankruptcies, I expect contraction, I expect less of our existing customer in 12 months-18 months from now.

Andre Kukhnin
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Very clear. Thank you very much for your time.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Martin Wilkie from Citi. Please go ahead.

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

Thank you. It's Martin from Citi. Just a question on your cost base. You've given a nice summary of flexible and variable costs and so forth. The first one, just to clarify in salaries and benefits, when you mention that's down 27% in April, does that include the sales commission part of it, or is that just the benefit of using government schemes for short-term working and things like that? That was the first question. Just more generally, when you think of these variable costs, are these really variable with sales? Just how we should think about how the cost base develops as we see the sales decline kick in and accelerate into Q2. Thank you.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Maybe I will take this one.

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

Yes.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

You had the 27% is a full blended reduction, including the sales commission. A great chunk of it is really all the temporary unemployment measures we have grasped across Europe, plus the flexibility in North America.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

In the U.S., people are highly commissioned, so to speak. For example, the sales, we didn't put any sales rep in the U.S. in furlough or in unemployment or whatever. No. They make their living out of their commission. The minimum is really low. Therefore, we kept them all, and we say, "Now let's go in order to catch the most you can." This is commission are going down. Obviously, there is less margin because they are commission on margin. Yes, if there is less, they gain less. If they can make it, we let them make it because our own results are depending upon that. Commissions in Europe are far lower, and therefore, only based on commission, we would never by far would have reached anything of these adjustments.

I cannot tell you more on Q2 because I will tell you, Q2, it's like three months, and three months it's 13 weeks. It will be 13 mix of everything.

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

Okay.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

When I look at myself, yesterday we had our board. If I could have told our board what would be Q2, I would have done it. We have hypothesis. It will be 13 weeks of a mix of different countries, different customer, different configurations. Within a week, we have a difficulty to identify if the week after would be of the same or not and how. I was talking not too long ago to somebody, a general from an army, and he say, "It is like the fog for the army." He's so right. This is the fog of the army.

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

That's helpful. Thank you.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Martin, you had another question, no?

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

The second question was more around how we see those costs coming back. I'm guessing if it's commission related, then simply as sales pick up. You've mentioned things like deferral of wage increases. Presumably then, as hopefully the world improves in a few months, does that mean that these costs come back at a quicker pace?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

No

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

just to check, in government schemes around the world, in all those cases, does that cost go to those governments for a period, or does it ever come back to you with a liability? Do you ever have to pay the government back in any of these countries?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

We have many situations differently. I can give you a little bit more color. There are countries, and France just took yesterday that measure, where you could individualize the partial unemployment scheme, meaning we can call back one person without calling back the equivalent category. That is to facilitate people to go back to work and avoid the staircase in the OpEx. They decided to have this. It's new, it's yesterday, it's first time. Obviously I was waiting for. By the way, we used every channel we could as an employer to contribute to this. I'm happy to have it because we don't have a staircase effect. In certain countries like Germany, if you are not below 30%, you cannot call for partial unemployment, Kurzarbeit. Obviously we have to use other mechanism.

We also have to remember that we were short of people and we were using temps over time and other things. It was costly. Therefore, if we have to bring back, there could be a little bit of a staircase approach here and there, but not everywhere, which is a good thing. The second thing is, some people will never come back. They were temps from interim management systems. As long as we are not at the right level, they will not come back. To even give you more color, because the question is very valid. To the difference of the past, the people that will come back and the cost, let's pick cost. It's only a proportion of additional increase in gross margin generated over a period of time stable enough so that I can say now this level is reached.

It's not by one day, it's not by two days. If during half of a month I see an improvement in gross margin generation, a portion, only a portion of it would allow an increase in S&B or a resource to come back from the different places where they are today. Not everybody will be happy. Not everybody will be satisfied. We may have some internal difficulty to choose. We may have maybe a very slow, long process for some people to come back. It's all dependent upon if there is enough market and enough margin. It's something we never did. It's something we decided to do. It's something Laurent and his team, myself and the CEOs, we manage daily.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

The partial unemployment, we never have to give back the money and there are very strict rules for which you apply for it. When the government is saying, "Okay, you can do it," you get the subsidies. Of course, the S&B are coming back when you stop the measure, as said by Patrick.

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

Okay. That's it. Thank you very much.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

For example, in the U.S., I took measure for 133 days because I expect certain people that could last that long. If we need that, we'll come back earlier. For some of the systems on furlough, we have applied for 183 days in certain states.

Martin Wilkie
Analyst, Citi

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Andreas Willi from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Andreas Willi
Analyst, JPMorgan

Good morning. Thanks for your time. I have a question to follow up on these government support measures. In terms of your ability to combine receiving government money while also continue to do or accelerate doing some of the normal restructuring, how does that influence basically your decision whether to take some of these measures up and what are some of the strings attached if you go for some of these schemes in terms of your ability to cut costs more structurally? Given your earlier comments about that obviously we're going to have some more lasting impacts on business activity beyond the shutdowns. That's my first question.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

It is obvious that we need to count on ourselves first, and we need to act for ourselves first. It came so rapidly that you take all this support, whether partial unemployment subsidies, not subsidies, partial unemployment. It's more on S&B that we use them. Okay? You may do a little bit of tax deferral here and there, but it's only a deferral, we have to pay at the end. It's more the cash profile. On the structural cost, it's obvious that should the market not come back to what it was before, the transformation of the company on top and above going digital, the structural changes in the mix of profile that we need, mix of the amount of people by job descriptions or by job profile will change, and it's obvious that it is changing today.

If your question is, do we have structural changes at the end of the tunnel? Yes. They are the one that the market is imposing on us to be a long-lasting company, just a digital trend that's just telephone. It can go also to certain model concept. Would a branch remain what it was? Not. Would a branch be more, I don't know, in the middle of a city, probably a locker situation and the manning would be different? Yes. These kind of changes, I cannot tell you how much, how fast that will be, but it's there. We thought of it before, and by the way, you remember, you saw it in Paris with certain developments we made around the digital and the lockers and the approach, that this is just accelerating incredibly.

For example, I can tell you that in June, what we announced in October, we will make live, which is a personalized digital homepage. In doing so, everybody will interface in his own for what he is. It means there will be less people looking for specifics from them outside of the web. In doing so, yes, we accelerate certain changes. At the end of the day, because I don't know exactly, at the end of the day, the profile of the company in the mix of resources, in the mix by country, within the country, and in the global structure of the P&L will be different.

Andreas Willi
Analyst, JPMorgan

You don't think that participating in wage support in a country like France will make it harder for you to continue to pursue this transition?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

It happens that France was one of the most, if not the most efficient country. We already were doing this gradually. We have not asked for anything which is blocking us. There are conditions we know that if you use something, then you cannot do for one month or two at the end, but it's one month or two a quarter. If you remember the old times were asking for French support, you cannot lay off anybody for a year or two years. This, I would not cross that bridge.

Andreas Willi
Analyst, JPMorgan

I know-

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

If this would come, I would not. I want to keep the flexibility for the future.

Andreas Willi
Analyst, JPMorgan

On cash flow, you talked earlier about the working capital situation. In 2009, the percentage of sales came down for working capital, not just basically a working capital inflow because of sales fell. Do you think you can reduce the percentage of sales this year? I appreciate that may be difficult to estimate given the volatility of markets, and we don't know where we are by the end of the year. Conceptually, from a working capital level, do you think you can also reduce the percentage of sales this year?

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

There is 2 timelines. The first one is June, based on the speed of the decrease. It is clear that the inflow of cash you have seen in H1 2009 will not materialize that way in H1 this year. This year, because of what we discussed on the inventory, we will probably as a recurring year, have a negative free cash flow before interest and tax opposite to 2009. On a full year basis, depending on the profile of the sales recovery, we will be able to activate more structural changes and get back to a very good inflow. That's the plan we have, but again, it's very dependent on the recovery profile and on the profile of the sales pattern.

Andreas Willi
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you very much.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Fundamentally, we will go for it. Yes. The speed is a matter of the market, but fundamentally, you are right. We will go for it.

Andreas Willi
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Alfred Glaser from ODDO. Please go ahead.

Alfred Glaser
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yes, good morning. I was wondering on two things. The first one is the good numbers that you actually published in Scandinavia and also in Germany, even at the beginning of April. Could you give us some more explanations of how you achieved growing sales in these two regions? My second question is on the recovery outlook once the lockdown fades away. What is your current view on how much could sales actually rebound, or at which speed, especially if you consider the experience you had in China so far?

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Well, Germany. Each country, you mentioned Nordics. Nordics is only Sweden because lockdown in Finland was there. Lockdown in Norway happened. Even if Norway lockdown didn't materialize too heavily, that is a small market. It's Sweden and Germany. Germany, you remember that we had a major restructuring in Germany. We concentrated on fewer branches. We got the inventory regrouped on a few places, and we increased our service level to the max. Because we really became flexible in Germany, we could serve what was needed by the people where we were, in the cities where we are, in the regions where we are. Except a few branches which really suffered from heavy industry impacting down, like Braunschweig, where it's due to Volkswagen, and Volkswagen is not doing fine, then the rest is down. When it restart, it rebounds.

Globally speaking, this is just the proof of the validity of what we have done in the restructuring of the year before, at the time where others were trying to see where to cut and shave. We are already lean, we are getting even leaner in term of OpEx. We have good teams, good management. They were eager to hit. For them, the painful cut down was the year before. Therefore, they captured the market that they could, and they obviously here, they probably gained local market shares. That I'm sure of. I'm sure because their reach became highly efficient, and it's good news for the future. The pragmatism of the German way of doing has helped also because certain regions with low coronavirus, things were maintained open as much as they could, the north, especially, but also certain places.

Yes, that's close to the border of the Swiss border and the Austrian border. This is where the virus hit the most. Even in Munich, for example, we got good numbers. Because we gained market share locally. In Sweden, it is probably the fact that things have been delayed very long before any decision made to go for confinement. Plus a little bit of natural social distancing in the northern part of Europe. People live less together and compared to where in Italy, in Spain, or in France, things have been exploding very fast and creating the wave. This is the only explanation I could give you. I don't have better facts.

We watch carefully, that is also the fact that in Germany, the industry and commercial building or the technical buildings where we focused on, but where we remained open, if people needed the rest of the products, we could make them available. Therefore, we participated to local construction, residential construction, more than we thought ourselves and better than the previous years.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Maybe I could add on Scandinavia. In Norway, we gain some customer, and the utility, in a moment where we had quite a mild winter, so utility had a very good performance. This segment was quite positive and help us in Scandinavia.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

I'm sorry, I should have noted the second part of your question was.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Yes, the recovery outlook.

Alfred Glaser
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah, based on what you've seen in China too, what is your current view on possible scenarios?

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Maybe on China. Yeah, go ahead.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

I cannot ignore the China that given what we are in China, it's not China. We are in the OEM and a lot of integration and a lot of intelligence. It's almost like an integrator and a distributor. That's what we are. Because we have restricted our operation there, the mix is beneficial to us. The customer we serve are the good customers compared, for example, panel builders are down, but we don't serve panel builders. We serve really OEMs. We are in a segment that came back fast, and therefore, I'm not sure the profile of China would repeat. I'm more looking at, what I say, U shape to go down, boom. You collapse from the top of the cliff, boom. We see the bottoming up.

Where it is today, we have been for those two weeks, three weeks. Now we start to watch which country, and I watch carefully Austria, the confinement. Some of the German sales on Germany deconfinement, because even if we were good, are we going to be much faster, even better based on this? To try to see what could happen in major countries like France and the rest. It's really, I expect, a long staircase. Hopefully, not a second confinement in the next 18 months to come. It's not to be excluded. I'm not a scientist. I'm reading all the studies made by all kind of top advisors. Some do not exclude bumpy road until 2022. I have to make sure the company is prepared to take the best of what can be done in such an environment if it comes.

It will be very pragmatic short-term. The fundamental thing is digital will last, adjustment is part of our daily life, and serving the customers to the best of the service within the cost maintenance, keeping the cost in order to privilege margin and the adjust it to our margins.

Alfred Glaser
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Thank you very much for these explanations.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, if anybody does like to ask a question, it's star and one on your keypad. The next question is from the line of Pierre Bosset from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Pierre Bosset
Analyst, HSBC

Yes, good morning to all. Just a follow-up question on the recovery outlook. If we look at last crisis in 2009, one of the disappointments has been the fact that Rexel has lost some market share compared to Sonepar, because Sonepar was in a better position to capture the growth. This time it's different. Is it fair to say that your digital offering will put you much stronger position than the competition, and any change in behavior will help you to gain market share? If you can comment a little bit on that. Thank you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

It is true that the strategy is different. It is true that, for example, closing 200 and more branches in the U.S. is not on my agenda today. Even in an up and down environment, there are other ways to adjust cost than leaving the floor to others to get the network. It does not mean the network cannot be improved. Square footage reduction, different service level, and the barriers, for example, the health constraints, will probably accelerate this transformation. I will not leave the floor to anybody else. The cost adjustments, it's the reverse side to this choice. I have to be flexible on the OpEx, on many other stuff, on the transformation, and I need to faster on anything that fits the customer to the easiest of how they want to be served.

The real question, which we will investigate even more today, and we are watching carefully, is how much customers, the new ones coming to this web and how much they would behave after. Are they stay like this? It definitely, Rexel should no longer be seen as a brick-and-mortar player, but a real hybrid digital, not like a pure player, because we have the network to create, collect, and create the services. The network become a service network to serve the customer trading digitally and/or by telephone. It's likely to be something of that kind. So far it was digitalizing a physical brick-and-mortar. It's becoming a digital interface company with a network to do service to the various 27 different segments of customers that we do serve.

It's a big change that we are there, and I'm so glad that we have done the investments before, for the last years.

Pierre Bosset
Analyst, HSBC

Okay. If I may ask one or two follow-up question. Is it fair to say that in term of digital offering, you are well ahead of the Sonepar and obviously largely ahead of any smaller competitor? Secondly, do you have any color on what happened to Amazon in your business during those confinement periods? Do they have a surge in their activity, or do you have any color on that? Thank you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

I would not comment on Amazon. I don't know. Probably a little bit later, we will see more. We will have the time to look into what they have done or not. I don't think this has been a major change. We would have seen it. I don't want to comment not being fact-based, okay. Allow me that. Joker, I cannot. On the others, I know one thing. It's different. In the U.S., the small guys, if you have less than 500 employee, you have all support by the U.S. government, meaning the very small guys are just not moving. They continue. Because government is paying for their-- if you are below 1,000 employee. For the above, it's much more critical. For the above, it's really tough, and it depends on the region. There will be probably different regional medium-sized distributor who will not be able to make it.

That I would not be surprised. There will be a consolidation, whether it's at the end of this year or early next year. Definitely, it's on the agenda. To take conventional, and back to the question, people say: Would you benefit from? I will go for anything which is not partially or a candidate for good digitalization. It's not just market share for the sake of, if I would have to restructure and at the end of the day to get what, a little bit of market share locally without having spend the money in the digital and too much in the buying of probably a half-broken business. The sorting out in all of this will not change the criteria, but we have to watch carefully.

There will be many more to watch than in the last two or three years, and the values will not be the same. Definitely not. In Europe, the consolidation, I don't think will change a lot. This is probably our chance that the pure players will not gain as much as they thought they could because we really demonstrated the digital capabilities and the service capability. Marketplace is today, and we are testing. You can place an order on a marketplace. They give you delivery without reliable dates and a 10-lines order in five steps by different people who are not operating and without managing their transportation. A lot of people have tried, and some of them came to us because they knew we could be next day, you have it in front of the door and you can go to your job site.

Especially when people cannot travel so much so because they are constrained, they don't want to lose time not having the goods. The pure marketplace today suffers the inefficiencies of their logistics, and their own supply because they rely on third parties, and not all third parties are efficient.

Pierre Bosset
Analyst, HSBC

Okay. Maybe, sorry, a very last question. You mentioned the U.S. There is a merger currently taking place between WESCO and Anixter. Do you have any view on that? Do you think that because of the current circumstances, there will be maybe some opportunities for M&A from this new merged group? Thank you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

What we observed, it was already financially quite heavy at the time when it was done.

Pierre Bosset
Analyst, HSBC

Yeah.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

I prefer to be in my shoes than being the boss of the new entity. That's the only thing I would tell you. Really, yes, we look at this, but nothing will be immediate. It might not be an easy situation for them. That's all.

Pierre Bosset
Analyst, HSBC

Okay. Thank you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

By the way, they are supplied. WESCO is a major distributor of certain suppliers who are now suffering in the U.S. more than we do the lack of products because Mexico cannot produce. The U.S. today has not seen everything. The fact that U.S. suppliers are producing a lot in Mexico, it really depend on the shutdown of factories in Mexico due to the virus, and they have far less measures to protect high-density plants and manufacturing site. Everybody is sitting next to each other. It's more like in the 50s, 60s configurations. It start to be visible at major U.S. suppliers that they are lacking products that are supposed to come from there. There is a shortage coming on certain banner.

We are lucky to have four banners regrouped in regions, so that if need be, we serve with a different supplier, what is disrupted from another one. I know that some of my competitors are suffering, not just of the low demand, but they will suffer even more when it picks up if the Mexico shortages gets confirmed. The turmoil in the U.S. market is not finished.

Pierre Bosset
Analyst, HSBC

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Andrea Scatozza from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Andrea Scatozza
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning, everybody, and thanks for taking my question. I have actually two. The first one is on the securitization of receivables. How big will the reduction be in the second quarter? What is your ideal target given the sales drop? My second one is on rebates. Can you please help us understand the dynamic on rebates with the current volume drop and how it does compare versus 2009? Thank you.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

I will take the first one maybe on the securitization. Of course, it depends on the quality of the top line month after month because we are, as explained, selling the receivable at the end of the month.

If we look at the trading that we have currently, and assuming we don't know, I think it could improve with the deconfinement process. If you stay on - 30 for all Q2, what you are losing in receivable is a bit less than EUR 400 million. That's why we say that we are quite comfortable on the liquidity part. On one side, you lose the top line drop. On the other side, you are a bit helped because we have a slight delay in customer payments that we try to offset, but you can sell longer those receivables to the conduit. That is helping us to some extent.

Andrea Scatozza
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, thank you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

On the rebates, there are the pure volume-related rebates, which we obviously compute automatically with the demand. They are not calculated every day. It's collective throughout the year. We are unable to simulate what would be the rest of the year. For the time, we take prudence without making 100% cap. At the same time, there are other elements in the rebate, the marketing rebate scheme, the market share gains sometimes. Every supplier has, with us, a different scheme, which they have the same with our competitors, so that the best you are, if you are one of the best in each of these criteria, you could maintain some of the rebates or most of the rebates. The pure conditional volume related will also be adjusted by the relative performance compared to others. We take a prudent stance on it.

Andrea Scatozza
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

You can easily imagine most of these are good questions, which require a view on Q2. It's already difficult. Balance of the year, I don't want to make bets today.

Andrea Scatozza
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, understood. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and one on your keypad, it's the hash key to cancel. That's star one for any further questions. There are no other questions coming through, so I'll hand the conference back to you.

Patrick Bérard
CEO, Rexel

Well, before we close this, I would like first to thank you. I would like to wish you to stay in good health also for you and your relatives. I would like to continue to tell you which Rexel is now a more digital company and very flexible company, which adjusts fast to any situation. If I achieve one target with this company, my personal target, it is one of the most valuable that I want to get done. Thank you, and we will talk to you again with a better view on Q2 because it will be behind us at the next time. Okay. Bye-bye. Thank you.

Laurent Delabarre
CFO, Rexel

Bye-bye. Thank you.