Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Technip Energies Full Year 2021 Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please be advised today's conference is being recorded, and if you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I'd now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Phillip Lindsay, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Sarah. Hello to everyone, and welcome to Technip Energies Full Year 2021 Financial Results Presentation. Today on the call, our CEO, Arnaud Pieton, and our CFO, Bruno Vibert, will present our business and financial highlights as well as the outlook. We will also present our ESG roadmap through a short video, and this will be followed by Q&A. Before we start, I would urge you to take note of the disclaimer and forward-looking statements on slide two. I will now pass the call over to Arnaud.
Thank you, Philip, and welcome to our full year 2021 financial results presentation. 2021 was our first year as Technip Energies, and I am extremely proud of the way that our teams have delivered despite testing external environment. This was obviously no ordinary year for any of us. Despite the extreme challenges of the COVID pandemic, Technip Energies pulled off some real accomplishments and made an extremely strong start. Let's start with the highlights. Operationally, our execution was solid throughout, and we achieved notable progress across our portfolio. We drove double-digit revenue growth year-over-year and margins at 6.5%, well ahead of our original guidance. With a book-to-bill of 1.5, we achieved nearly EUR 10 billion of order intake, of which 94% was outside of Russia, notably reinforcing our positions in LNG and ethylene markets.
This led to a near 30% improvement in our backlog to EUR 16.4 billion, equivalent to 2.5 times revenues and providing clear multi-year visibility. Based on the strength of these results, we are very pleased to announce our maiden dividend at EUR 0.45 a share, which is subject to approval at our annual shareholder meeting in May. The dividend reflects our commitment to shareholder distributions and our confidence in our business outlook. Finally, in line with our plans and our promises, today we have published our ESG roadmap and scorecard following an extensive exercise throughout last year. I will return to ESG later in my presentation. Before continuing with the results presentation, let me say a few words regarding the situation in Russia and Ukraine and put our exposure into context. The company is closely monitoring the situation.
The safety of our people and their families is, as always, our first priority. We are providing today a financial framework that provides transparency around contribution from Russia. As of year-end, 23% of our backlog related to projects under construction in Russia. This primarily relates to Arctic LNG 2, which was awarded to us in 2019. In 2020 and 2021, nonetheless, our order intake from Russia has been no more than 6%-8% of total orders, which will naturally lead to diminishing exposure to that geography. In terms of our P&L in 2021, Arctic LNG 2 was at peak volumes, and Russia accounted for around 35% of revenues. However, looking at 2022, the proportion of our estimated revenue from Russia, assuming business continuity, would have lowered to 20% of the aggregated revenues and trend down further in 2023 and beyond.
In an EBIT terms, we expect any potential impact to be even less, as Russia was estimated to contribute only 15% of our EBIT. As Bruno will discuss later on, what this means is that our 2022 EBIT margin should remain broadly in line with 2021, regardless of our exposure to Russia. This is supported by our long experience of managing contracts in difficult and complex environments. We understand the contractual mechanisms and protections which are crucial to mitigate risk and to sustain the performance of the company. Our contracting discipline ensures positive cash and if the situation requires, for example, under suspension or termination situations, we would have the means to demobilize and pay our subcontractors all without negative financial exposure.
We are financially robust with gross cash of EUR 3.8 billion and liquidity of EUR 4.5 billion. As evidenced by the dividends we are proposing today, our capital allocation framework is intact, and we clearly have the capacity and ambition to invest in our strategy. In summary, Technip Energies is far from a pure Russian LNG play. We are global, geographically diverse company with an energy transition strategy. This is more relevant than ever, as the current situation will likely accelerate the energy independence and energy transition agenda, notably in Europe. Turning to our operations. We delivered fourth quarter revenue growth of 10% year-over-year, with an excellent performance from Technology, Products and Services, TPS, as well as continued momentum in projects delivery.
This really represents strong progress despite the challenging environment related to the pandemic, with our operational teams continuing to rise to the challenge. Turning to our commercial highlights. The fourth quarter saw us secure multiple strategically important awards in both TPS and projects delivery, and notably in the domains of carbon capture, sustainable chemistry, and ethylene. In the carbon capture market, our co-investment alongside our partner Shell for the CANSOLV technology have started to yield success. In the U.K., Technip Energies is leading a consortium alongside Shell and GE Gas Power for BP's Net Zero Teesside project, where we are performing a FEED competition for a power station with 2 million ton per annum of carbon capture facility. We are also supporting Shell on other projects in the U.K. and the U.S.
In addition, the Ghasha mega project in the UAE will see us design a carbon capture unit to be integrated into the development. This is yet another example of how traditional industries are also decarbonizing. Turning to sustainable chemistry. Our PMC team has been awarded FEED and early EPC services for GBP 100 million Wastefront recycling plant in the U.K., with a capacity to process 80,000 tons per annum of used tires. We also entered into a strategic partnership with Wastefront to deploy their unique circular model globally. Our proprietary Hummingbird technology continues to enjoy success in the renewable fuels domain, with FEED studies awarded by LanzaJet for two near identical sustainable aviation fuel units in the U.K. and the Netherlands.
Finally, in project delivery, the Borouge 4 project is a substantial EPC award and a particularly pleasing win, as the strength of our technology offering yielded the strongest life of project economics. In summary, a positive conclusion to a very successful year commercially for Technip Energies. Before handing over to Bruno, I want to say a bit more about our commercial model because it's really at the heart of how we manage the business and what sets us apart. In addition to our well-known selectivity criteria, in the past year, we have added ESG as a key metric. This means that we assess a project's potential to integrate sustainable development and contribute to the Paris goals. We promote decarbonized solution in front-end design and tender phases, and ensure we are mitigating environmental impact. We will scrutinize whether it meets our high compliance and government standards.
Turning now to our ground rules. Being engaged early, meaning FEED, executing the FEED study, gives us the chance to define and optimize a project's scope. This considerably de-risks execution as well as ensuring economic viability. This early engagement is a prerequisite for us when bidding on any large scale EPC with lump sum content. Let me repeat. We will not enter into large EPC projects without it. Beyond early engagement, it's all about discipline in our contractual negotiations. Every contractual framework has to be compliant with our risk management policy and ensure that we are rewarded for the risk we take and protected from risks beyond our control. Supported by our asset-light model, at Technip Energies, there is no such thing as a must-win project. We continue to mitigate risk and exposure throughout the contractual phase, notably in procurement.
When we sign contracts, we also sign back to back with our supply chain to ensure that a very large proportion of our costs are locked in at the point of signature. When it's not possible to do this, we use escalation clauses or go reimbursable. We consistently monitor progress on our portfolios through monthly project management reviews with intense focus on project progress and cash flows. In summary, our disciplined commercial approach reduces risks, ensures quality of backlog, and provides consistency in performance. We're confident this discipline will serve us well as we embark on our energy transition journey and enter new markets. I will now turn the call over to Bruno to discuss our financial performance in more detail.
Thanks, Arnaud, and good afternoon, everyone. Turning to the highlights of our financial performance for 2021. Adjusted revenues grew by 11% year-on-year to EUR 6.7 billion, with strong activity levels overall, including solid growth for Project Delivery and an excellent performance for Technology, Products and Services, where revenues grew by over 20%. Adjusted recurring EBIT was EUR 431 million, equating to a margin of 6.5%. That's a 60 basis point improvement versus 2020, benefiting from strong execution on projects heading towards completion, as well as a higher activity level and a favorable mix in TPS. Bottom line is also very strong, with adjusted net profit 20% higher than the prior year at EUR 251 million.
Adjusted order intake was EUR 9.8 billion, a significant improvement versus the EUR 4.3 billion in 2020, leading to a book-to-bill of 1.5. Net cash at period end was EUR 3.1 billion. In summary, a very robust first year for Technip Energies as an independent company. Turning to our segment reporting and starting with project delivery. With the pandemic continuing to present challenges through the year, which included a patchwork of varying local COVID restrictions as well as constraints around logistics, 2021 was not an easy environment to achieve growth in a project business. All credits to our teams, which helped deliver an impressive 8% growth year-over-year to EUR 5.4 billion, benefiting from significant activity on Arctic LNG 2 and the ramp-up of recently awarded LNG and downstream projects.
This more than offsets lower contributions from downstream projects in a more mature phase. Adjusted EBIT for the segment was EUR 342 million, equating to a margin of 6.4%, quite stable year-over-year. It is worth noting, however, that the 2020 margins excluded COVID costs, whereas in 2021, we absorbed such costs into our recurring EBIT. Therefore, on a like-for-like basis, margins were actually up about 50 basis points. Book-to-bill for the year was strong at 1.6 and benefiting from the substantial award of Borouge in the fourth quarter, as well as Qatar NFE in the first quarter. Backlog ended up 30% year-over-year. Overall, a robust and resilient performance by project delivery. Turning to Technology, Products and Services. TPS closed 2021 very strongly, posting very high fourth quarter revenue growth and double-digit margins.
When combined with the momentum established in the first nine months, the segment delivered full-year revenue growth of 23% to EUR 1.3 billion. Growth was broad-based, benefiting from good demand for engineering and PMC services, sustained process technology activity, including licensing and proprietary equipment, and good activity in Loading Systems, which continues to benefit from a sustained period of strong order intake. EBIT margins improved by over 110 basis points to 9.2%, benefiting from higher activity levels overall and a favorable mix. Thanks to strong revenue and margins, EBIT in absolute terms increased by close to 40%. Encouragingly, TPS orders more than kept pace with the growth in revenues, leading to a backlog growth of 13% to EUR 1.2 billion. Turning to other key performance items across our financial statements, and beginning with the income statement.
Corporate costs of EUR 30 million, substantially lower compared to 2020, owing to a streamlined corporate structure and the achievement of our 20% cost reduction target for SG&A, which we mentioned during the last capital market day in February. At around 30%, the effective tax rate is at the low end of our full year guidance due to favorable earnings mix as well as discrete favorable returns to provisions. Dividend distribution of EUR 0.45 per share. This fulfills our commitment to start a recurring and stable dividend. It also reflects real confidence in our future given our backlog and the rich opportunity set. Looking ahead, our intent is to provide a sustainable dividend for our shareholders. This distribution forms part of a balanced and flexible capital allocation framework, which also includes investment for growth and balance sheet strengthening. Turning to balance sheet.
With gross debt largely unchanged on prior quarter, strong free cash flow has enabled our net cash balance to grow to EUR 3.1 billion. Net cash is now greater than the net contract liabilities, which itself is stable to slightly down from the previous quarter. Let's dive now further into cash flows. 2021 is a very strong year, with free cash flow reaching EUR 943 million. Three main factors at play. Firstly, a consistently strong underlying level of cash flow generation through the year as we executed across our portfolio. Secondly, a significant working capital inflow of EUR 626 million relating to customer advances for recent awards and key milestone achievements on other large projects, as well as project related working capital variations.
Finally, capital expenditure of EUR 50 million, where key items of spend included IT infrastructure to support growth and other investments supporting our energy transition strategy. With overall free cash flow equivalent to about 95% of our operating cash flow, this clearly illustrates, yet again, the asset light nature of our business model. Excluding working capital movements, cash conversion from EBIT is also very high, above 75% for the full year. Over the long term, we expect to be able to deliver a consistently high free cash conversion net of working capital in a 70+% range. Below free cash flow, there is nothing incrementally material to what we disclosed in our Q3 report, and we end the period with nearly EUR 3.8 billion of cash and cash equivalents.
Turning now to our financial framework for 2022, where we are providing a very transparent view of projected contributions in relation to revenue and EBIT from Russia. Given our backlog at the inception of the year, as well as a diverse commercial opportunity set, we were well positioned to build on from the momentum established in 2021. For revenues, excluding the contribution of Russian projects currently in execution and which will be impacted by the ongoing crisis, we are projecting a range of EUR 5 billion-EUR 5.5 billion, a step up from the 2021 levels, as shown earlier by Arnaud, notably due to the ramp-up of projects awarded during the year 2021. At the start of the year, we were projecting approximately EUR 1.4 billion for projects currently in execution in Russia, most notably Arctic LNG 2.
About 20% of the aggregate amount and a clear reduction versus 2021, demonstrating the rapid diversification of our portfolio. In terms of margins for activities excluding Russian projects in execution, we see a margin of at least 6.5%, which clearly sets some continuity versus a solid 2021 performance and a 60+ basis points minimum increase versus the 2020 performance. Some moving parts to consider here. First, we expect to sustain momentum and our strategic growth focus in Technology, Products and Services, a segment that is accretive to a group margins as shown by the 9%+ full year 2021 profitability. Second, we continue to benefit from our SG&A cost base reduction and lean cost structure.
Third, on the product side, while good execution will provide benefits from projects maturing and moving towards completion, we will also have a proportion of our revenues from earlier phase projects such as Qatar NFE, Coral Sul, and obviously Borouge 4. The final factor is Yamal, where we expect the last remaining portion of the contract liability to unwind in 2022. We do not see any specific exposure arising from the current situation. On top of this projection, the estimated EBIT contributions from projects currently in execution in Russia is below EUR 70 million. This is approximately 50% of the aggregated expected EBIT, down from a 20% share in 2021.
This reduction is largely due to the declining revenue contribution as Arctic LNG 2 revenues peaked in 2021 and will decline significantly in 2022, with the trend continuing in 2023 and beyond. To conclude on tax, the trend is lower than we originally anticipated for 2021, and we expect an effective tax rate on an adjusted basis of 28%-32%. We believe we can sustain the effective tax rate on a similar range for the medium term. I will now pass it back to Arnaud for the outlook and ESG.
Thanks, Bruno. Our business outlook and guidance are further supported by an improving macro outlook, where we see a strengthening across the majority of our markets. While there is geopolitical uncertainty in the near term, our markets are rapidly evolving, driven by several major global factors.
Growth in energy demand with an increasing need for low carbon and carbon-free energies. Our traditional customers transforming and becoming active players in the energy transition. New clients and new business models are emerging, and political and economic agendas are accelerating towards a carbon neutral economy. Our core business remains strong and increasingly requires innovation to decarbonize. Beyond traditional markets, a very different future lies ahead with massive electrification and ever-increasing momentum around circularity, clean fuels, and carbon-free solutions. This positive backdrop is translating into an exciting pipeline of opportunities for 2022 and 2023. In total, we are tracking more than EUR 60 billion of prospects outside of Russia. This includes a substantial pipeline of conventional market projects, the majority of which have a decarbonization element.
The LNG opportunity set remains significant, and we believe we are aligned with prospects of high quality with strong economic foundations across many geographies. Furthermore, we fully expect this opportunity set to grow as the current crisis will likely accelerate the energy independence and energy transition agenda. The world's climate ambitions are having great influence on our business. In 2021, we were awarded over 150 contracts of various sizes across the energy transition domain, up 45% year-over-year. While most of these are in study phase, many prospects are maturing, and we currently see a two-year energy transition related commercial pipeline, excluding LNG and excluding Russia, of EUR 8 billion. Further, we should see an inflection in energy transition FIDs in 2022 and an acceleration in 2023.
Selectivity will be just as important in these new energy markets with opportunities in both TPS and project delivery, allowing for meaningful backlog additions in the next years. In summary, a very positive outlook across the majority of our markets. Our ambition is really to sustain our leadership in our core businesses and to be a leader in the new markets. Turning now to ESG. At Technip Energies, we believe our role goes beyond business. Our purpose is to break boundaries together to engineer a sustainable future. We believe that to overcome the challenges the world is facing, we need to work more closely together. Thanks to our people, technologies, strong legacy, and capabilities, we can help transform the energy world. We can foster a sustainable industry ecosystem. Really, we can unleash talent to resolve complex challenges.
Our ESG journey has had active participation of our people and external stakeholders. Coming together with a shared sense of responsibility to design a robust and ambitious ESG roadmap, Together by T.EN. Together by T.EN is driven by four strategic pillars, drive solutions for the climate, enable people to thrive, lead responsibly, and collaborate to impact. With these four pillars, we aim to translate the priorities of today into tangible actions for a better tomorrow. We will now play a short animation that illustrates our ESG priorities, targets, and strategy in more detail.
Global issues are increasingly complex, and the detrimental consequences are irreversible and exponential. In the current scenario, global cooperation and collaboration is more vital than ever. At Technip Energies, our purpose is to break boundaries together to engineer a sustainable future. We want to use our abilities to unleash talent, to resolve complexity, to overcome challenges, and to foster a sustainable ecosystem for industry and the planet. In 2021, we started a new journey. We engaged with our people and external stakeholders to better understand our ecosystem and determine what matters most.
This extensive process has led to the delivery of an ambitious and robust environmental, social, and governance roadmap, which is part of our shared DNA, and it is how we contribute to the Sustainable Development Goals. Today, we are proud to introduce Together by T.EN, our ESG pledge for a sustainable future. Our first pillar is focused on driving solutions for the climate. To ensure robust and transparent climate actions, we are committed to the Science Based Targets initiative.
We will reduce our Scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas emissions by 30% by 2025 to get to net zero by 2030, in line with the Paris Agreement. In 2022, we will measure our full Scope 3 emissions in order to define the actions to be taken in our value chain. Our second ambition is to accelerate innovation and digitalization. We will increase our R&D focus on the energy transition, and we will use digitalization to help our clients make carbon-conscious choices. We will establish technology pathways for our clients to achieve their net zero ambitions. We will also enhance circularity and protect biodiversity by building a sustainable by design offering while improving our environmental performance. Our second pillar is enabling people to thrive. Our top priority is to foster an inclusive culture.
We are taking concrete actions to advance our inclusion and action journey and increase diversity, targeting 25% of women in leadership positions by 2025. We are also aiming to reach 50% of women in our graduate intake to ensure future fair representation.
We safeguard our people and reinforce well-being by adhering to the highest standards everywhere we operate. Our safety will be enriched by the behavior-based safety program. We give employees a voice to assess the key drivers of engagement through a global survey, and we create a strong sense of belonging by providing a set of global core benefits. We aim to attract and grow talents by creating unique opportunities and giving our teams the right tools. We will continue to invest in innovative learning methods, and we will launch an energy transition international graduate program by 2023. Finally, we will train all our employees in our ESG roadmap. We lead responsibly. We integrate ESG into our business strategy by incorporating ESG criteria into tendering activity and investment processes. We prioritize opportunities with a low carbon agenda and high energy efficiency.
We strengthen ESG accountability and transparency by ensuring that all levels of our organization meet our ESG targets. We're strengthening the ESG skills on the board of directors, where we aim to have 40% of women by 2024, and 25% of our compensation incentives will be based on major ESG metrics. We foster integrity and have zero tolerance for corruption. We are committed to abandoning the use of commercial intermediaries, and we are improving our anti-bribery and anti-corruption training program and a speak out culture. We collaborate to impact. We aim to join forces and bridge expertise across industries by engaging our ecosystem to unlock innovative opportunities. We incubate and develop technologies, we scale up breakthrough technologies, and we work with international R&D institutions.
With our partners, we are working towards a sustainable supply chain that will foster best practice in human rights, safety, climate, and the environment. ESG will be fully integrated into our qualification process, and our ESG councils will be our innovation think tank. The protection of human rights is an essential business principle, and we want to ensure that our projects have a human rights management system. We are supporting the development of local communities by encouraging our employees to volunteer in community development programs and local initiatives. By 2025, we aim to reach 30,000 volunteering hours every year. Finally, this is our ESG scorecard. It translates our commitments into action and measures our ESG performance. Together, we can overcome any challenge. We are Technip Energies. We break boundaries together to engineer a sustainable future.
ESG for Technip Energies is about acknowledging our responsibility to create value and positively impact our clients, our people, and our stakeholders, which in turn contributes to our company's long-term sustainable success. Our ESG scorecard, a summary of which is presented here, is how we translate our commitments into actions and the way we measure our ESG performance. The scorecard encapsulates targets across our ESG pillars, with most targets centered on 2025. Picking out a few, we are committed to cutting emissions at scale with robust reduction targets aligned with deep to the Paris Agreement. We will commit to a Science-Based Target in 2022, targeting a 30% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2025 and net zero by 2030.
We will also report our Scope 3 emissions from 2023 and allocate 100% of our R&D spend to our energy transition strategy. As part of our diversity priorities, we are targeting 25% of women in leadership positions by 2025. This is broadly in line with the female population of our company, which will grow as we continue to onboard and retain 50% of women in our yearly graduate intake. We aim to reinforce accountability through implementing ESG-linked compensation for the board of directors, CEO, executive committee, and all eligible employees. This way, we ensure that ESG matters are overseen at all levels of our organization. Really, with this presentation, we have summarized our ESG roadmap, but we have also published an extensive and detailed ESG slide pack that can be found on our website.
In summary, with our 2021 full year results, we delivered strong year-over-year growth in revenues, margins, and free cash flows, an excellent performance in a testing environment, and fully supportive of our first dividend. With the delivery of our roadmap, we have integrated ESG into our strategy and our business strategy and will ensure that all future investments are fully aligned to our energy transition domains. In spite of geopolitical uncertainty, we are delivering confident and transparent guidance for 2022, which demonstrates the robustness of our business model. We believe the current crisis will likely accelerate the energy transition and energy independence agenda, and we are ready to capitalize on this. With that, let's open the line for questions.
Thank you. We'll now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone keypad. If you want to cancel that request, you can press the hash key. We do ask callers to limit themselves to two questions each, please. Once again, that's star and one for questions. First question today comes from the line of James Thompson from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Great. Thank you very much. Good afternoon, gents. Thanks very much for the presentation. Obviously, I just wanted to ask really around Russia, you know, I really appreciate the guidance that we've got for 2022 and beyond. I just wondered, you know, could you maybe just update us really on where you're at with Arctic LNG 2? Are you expecting to sort of call force majeure in the coming weeks? Could you maybe sort of talk to us around the process there?
Then also, you know, Bruno, just in terms of the NCL associated with Arctic LNG 2 and sort of what the costs might be to you know, effectively unwind that project in terms of the amount of activity you're gonna be doing in the next couple of months. Just some further color, if you can give it to us around that project and the status, et cetera, in this obviously very, very tricky time.
Yes, James. James, thank you for question. I will start and hand over to Bruno. Obviously, you know, Russia, Ukraine, and the whole situation around Ukraine created, as you may imagine, I would say, immediate mobilization of the team here, including of course the executive committee on a daily basis. We activated our crisis management team to monitor the situation. Primarily focusing as you know on the safety of our people and their families. We basically spent some time establishing processes and protocols in order to ensure we have mapped everyone and we had every evacuation option as necessary, and if necessary going forward.
This is really now behind us, and I'm happy to report this is secure. Now, in terms of the update on Russia and Arctic LNG 2, in particular, I shall start by, you know, reminding everyone of the current, I would say, status of the project. Arctic LNG 2 is composed of three mega trains, you know, three GBSs. The modules are fabricated mostly in China. All the modules for the first GBS, i.e. the first train, have been delivered to Russia and are being integrated onto GBS 1 .
I would say most everything that is needed in terms of the big modules is in Russia and actually on GBS 1 or being integrated on GBS 1. The question is obviously about what's coming next, and we are absolutely still assessing the situation, which as you may imagine is very fluid in terms of the dos and don'ts, the operational dos and don'ts. It's a process that is ongoing. We are in daily contact with our partners and our clients. It is too early for me to say and for us to say with, you know, precisely what is going to be the future of the project and how it can progress, if it can progress.
As you may imagine, we are being impeded by the circumstances around this act of war that is taking place in Ukraine. We are assessing to see how we can work with it or not. This is done you know openly with the client which is facing the same challenges as we are. It's a dialogue that we are having with them at the moment. We'll probably provide more clarity around that in you know the coming weeks or next time we speak. It's very fluid and it's keeping the project team busy at the moment together with the client.
All parties have to come together in order to assess what can, what cannot be done in the current circumstances. You know, my answer will be a bit long, but I think it's important that I state it. You know, as an experienced EPC contractor, obviously, our contracts include the protections required to address all scenarios, including protection against sanctions and/or, you know, force majeure provisions.
The most important at the moment is that we continue the dialogue with the client and we engage with them. You know, just as we expect from our customers, we comply with all provisions of the contract, and we will enforce our rights as appropriate in the circumstances and in the manner that are most, you know, protective and advantageous for Technip Energies. This is where we are at the moment. We are, you know, it's a constant engagement with the teams on site, the logistics team and the client. Bruno?
Yes. Thanks, Arnaud. Hey, James.
Hi.
Maybe take a step back, as you know, and we've said, always said it, we operate with a positive cash flow. It's part of our strategy, our efficiencies, and part of the risk mitigation. Obviously, you know, this is the case for Arctic LNG 2, not an exception. The project is cash flow positive, very cash flow positive. That means we have cash on our balance sheet offset by an NCL, as you suggest. Very important also, almost the entire cash is outside Russia, in solid banks, fully accessible to us. Cash availability, not a problem. Cash not at risk. To go back to your question on how this unfolds on the balance sheet, well, sorry for that maybe today, but not a single answer or set timing.
Obviously, a lot will depend on the sequence, the timing, the chain of events. Many different potential scenarios can arise from this, let's say dynamic situation which was described by Arnaud. At the end of the day, if we were to go to termination, what will be required would be, you know, to close out POs or to transfer POs, to close out or to transfer subcontracts and so on. As this is done, yes, you would suppose that this will mean some cash out, some cash disbursements, and at the same time there will be a decrease in advances and working capital. Reduction in gross cash, but net of the advances on the other side of the balance sheet are quite neutral, so no exposure there.
Okay. That's very helpful. As you say, you know, it's a situation that's obviously developing as we speak. If I could just sort of move away to the rest of the business. Obviously, we would have expected some orders in Russia in 2022 and 2023, and you kind of gave us an idea there. Could you maybe just key us into, you know, what's sort of on the plate in the first half of 2022? You know, obviously it's an improving backdrop and, you know, your clients might be looking to move forward with projects elsewhere. Maybe just help us understand whether you could actually replace that potential order intake this year.
I think I'm not going to concentrate too much on the first half. I'm going to concentrate on the pipeline. As you know, those projects are, you know, they take a long time to negotiate, and then they come, and they can come in one lump. It's, you know, whether they happen, you know, within the Q2 or within the Q4 or just, you know, on early January the following year, it doesn't matter too much for us. This is why we're not totally obsessed by the quarterly order intake. In terms of providing color for what is available out there.
First of all, you know, I think that the current situation is just going to accelerate an LNG cycle. We have more than several other LNG projects out there. You would be aware of where we are active, and in Qatar as well as other countries. There's additional LNG capacity that is coming. We can clearly see, I would say, a high level of motivation by some of our customers to, I would say, be active in the conversion of those prospects into projects. It's happening in areas like Qatar, but not only, certainly North America as well.
We're quite confident in the rich nature of the pipeline around LNG. Notably also because there is LNG is probably more flexible than gas in the pipeline. It is you know very evident now. Therefore, the advantages of LNG are playing today even more than ever. What is very interesting about LNG is that the prospects we are seeing are about mega trends, but also mid-size developments, and all electrified for most of them in the future. That's obviously very interesting because it tackles LNG as an energy source, but also certainly supporting our you know strategic positioning and energy transition agenda.
The future LNG infrastructure will be electrified and will be zero carbon. There is also an acceleration around the things like ethylene, which is a, you know, GDP growth base product and prospects. After a very slow and low, you know, COVID period in terms of order intake around the ethylene, we clearly see an acceleration in 2022 and 2023. That is certainly on our agenda. Like I indicated, you know, in the year, there is I would say an energy transition agenda that is accelerating or content that is accelerating. Still not totally the size of mega LNG projects, but it's becoming now very meaningful in sizes.
That's around carbon capture, in particular, CCS projects, and I've listed a few. Really, of course, there's a part of the pipeline, you know, will be amputated by what could have happened in Russia around LNG in particular. There's more than enough for us to concentrate on. We anyway would not have pursued everything we have in the pipeline. You know, it would have been part of our selectivity criteria. There's more than enough for some strong building blocks in the future in terms of order intake.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you. As a reminder, it's star one to ask a question, and it's a limit of two questions per person, please. The next is from the line of Bertrand Hodee from Kepler. Please go ahead.
Hi, thank you for taking my question. Two, if I may. The first one, can you provide a bit more color on Arctic 2 in terms of cash and associated net contract liabilities for the contract on your balance sheet at the end of 2021? How many people from Technip Energies are involved currently in the project Arctic 2? In case of, I would say, termination, would you be able to put them rapidly on other projects. That is my first question.
That's two questions in one question. Thanks, Bertrand. I will start I mean, answering the people question, then hand over to Bruno for the cash and NCL at the end of 2021. I mean, I can want. I can dedicate it. Not sure you'll like the answer, but all right, more seriously, we currently have a bit less than 700 people in Russia. Russia for us is obviously Arctic LNG 2 as a project, but we also have two permanent offices, one in Moscow and one in St. Petersburg.
Those people are active on, you know, Russian LNG projects, but like any engineering office we have around the world, they're active on projects or international projects, so they serve beyond Russian projects. That's basically the Technip Energies population we have. In terms of the population we have on the project, staff working on the project, not all in Russia, but between Paris and China and Russia, we have around 400 people on Arctic LNG 2 project. Obviously, we have a lot more contracted, but they are, I would say, less of a concern when it comes to reallocating them or reallocating resources to other projects.
As you may imagine, reallocating 400 or 450 staff personnel from the Arctic LNG 2 project onto other opportunities is almost a gymnastics that we are used to doing, I would say, maybe not on a quarterly basis, but certainly twice a year as our projects, you know, complete and we demobilize. It's a regular exercise that we are conducting in the company. I'm very happy to report that, I mean, we have plenty to do that can keep those 400+ people busy, including in LNG prospects and other ventures which are actually beyond LNG and the traditional market. There is absolutely no anxiety around our ability to, if necessary, to you know use those people and relocate them into opportunities that would represent more of a future for Technip Energies. Bruno?
Thanks, Arnaud. Hello, Bertrand. On, you know, more color for cash, obviously, you know, large projects such as Arctic are very fluid and, you know, from week to week or from month to month, this can change. Obviously, you know, I won't give you a exact figure amount, very fluid. As it will change as we continue the project in the following days, in the following weeks. What I can say, of course, is the project is cash flow positive, very solidly cash flow positive. And as you know, it's commensurate basically with our operations, is what our commitment also to the supply chain, to the subcontractors. Yes, do we have a large amount of cash on our balance sheet? Yes.
Is it in line with, let's say a usual contract of this nature? Yes. That will be totally in line with some other commitment if we needed to enter some close out. Obviously today, the project is still going on, so there are still cash in, there are still disbursement. It's a topic which is on a constant monitoring, as other things.
Thank you. I forgot to congratulate you on your very strong Q4 and also for the transparency on your Russia exposure, as well as the very comprehensive 2022 guidance without Russia. My second question relates to LNG opportunities in the U.S. In the past, you've refrained from taking U.S. LNG liquefaction contract, and in my opinion, you were right to do so given the inherent construction risk in the U.S. But are you in discussion or early involvement with potential U.S. LNG project to be sanctioned this year or next year? And are you confident that the U.S. LNG promoters will go to the modularity and to the modular concept that was, for example, very successful on Yamal?
Bertrand, thank you for the question, and I think there's almost the answer in your question. There is, so yes, it would be a short answer. Yes, we are engaged with you know, developers of mid-scale LNG in the U.S., in North America. As we engage with them, I want to reassure everyone on the call, we are engaging with those developers on only the basis that we would be delivering a solution that is modular. We are not engaging with LNG developers who are not interested to accept our modular and fully electrified LNG solution. That's. Yes, we engage, but we engage with a single product. It's a modular one, and it's an electrified one.
The advantage of the modularization, and you're right to ask the question about whether it's going to be accepted there, but there is an interest, and this is why we are engaging. It's only on the basis of modularization. First of all, the modules are a lot smaller because we're talking small scale or mid scale LNG versus, you know, large scale trains in other areas of the world.
By modularizing, you're basically shrinking, I would say, the construction costs by local contractors and reducing the scope to, you know, I would say civil work and interconnections and things like that that are probably a lot less risky than stick building LNG trains in along the Gulf Coast of the U.S. Again, for us, we are doing it because we are basically it's modular. It's a single product, modular and electrified. It's no lump sum construction risk, so we are finding a partner which is ready to take, you know, lump sum construction scope, and is ready to do so because the scope is much smaller, as explained, because it's basically mostly civil work and interconnection.
Even for that partner, I would say the risk profile is much lower, and it becomes acceptable for him to accept a back-to-back lump sum. Those are the conditions under which we are engaging with a few LNG developers in the U.S.
Many thanks.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Øystein Vaagen from Fearnley Securities. Please go ahead.
Hi, thank you. I just have a quick question on the 2023 backlog, which is now at roughly EUR 4.4 billion. You've previously been quite forward-leaning on order intake expectations for 2022. My question is if you can give some color or if you expect a lot of that order intake to have a large 2023 portion of work included in it.
Thanks, Øystein, for the question. Typically, as you know, when we secure projects, I mean, if I take project delivery, first of all, projects within project delivery, if they are signed in 2022, as you know, considering the nature of the project, there will be a gradual ramp up, and depending on when they are signed in 2022, they will have an impact on 2023 revenue, but certainly not the full breadth of an impact. You know, the peak of revenue for projects signed in 2022 will occur in 2024 and 2025. There will be maybe somewhat of a you know lower contribution to revenue in 2023.
That's a fact of life when it comes to project delivery. Beyond project delivery, there's also TPS, so Technology, Products and Services, for which we are also expecting growth in 2023 versus 2022. TPS has a much shorter book-to-bill, if I may say, and therefore, it will contribute positively to the revenue level we will see in 2023. That's what I would say. Again, I will repeat what I said a bit earlier. Some of the projects are large in nature. What matters to us is not so much whether they are signed in November 2022 versus January 2023. It's that they are signed in the right conditions.
It's okay if they are, you know, delayed by two, three months and, you know, they are signed and secured in 2023 versus 2022. That is not absolutely an obsession. Yeah, so that's how I would characterize the dynamic at the moment.
Perfect. Thank you. Just one last clarification is, just on Yamal. Could you just clarify if Yamal is outside the guided EBIT impact from Russia, and also that most cash share is already on your books and that there is no more Russia activity, if I'm correct?
Yeah, Øystein, I can take this one. So Yamal, the cash is on our balance sheet. No further invoicing to be made on that. No one on site. It's you know, totally the end of the warranty period. That's why for us, we do not consider Yamal to be in any risk given the current evolution and the current crisis. That's why we haven't excluded Yamal from the pro-projects you know, from the rest of the portfolio. Yamal is not included in the pro-Russian projects in execution because we consider that it's done from this respect.
Understood. Perfect. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sasikanth Chilukuru from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. I had two related ones, please. The first was regarding the balance sheet strength. Your net cash position improved quarter-over-quarter, and now you're in a net cash position even after taking into account the net contract liabilities. In this context, I was just wondering what you think is the right level of net debt or net cash position for Technip Energies. Related to this, if you can give us any guidance or color on your expectations of working capital, excluding Russia, of course, in 2022.
Thanks, Sasikanth. Obviously it's gonna be a bit of a potentially volatile year in terms of working capital, depending on Arctic, as I was saying earlier to James. In terms of cash, you know, cash is associated to the project's evolution.
Today, you know, as I was saying, we are very comfortable with the cash position of Arctic, just as we are, you know, very comfortable with the cash position on the positive cash flow of any other project. Here we are positive, and that's why Arnaud was mentioning earlier that we have the full confidence to deploy our strategy to continue to invest, increase R&D, make acquisitions just as we've had for X1 Wind , including offshore wind or Hy2gen over the last couple of weeks. We have the ability to do that, have the ability to pay dividends. That's why we're, let's say, very comfortable with this level of cash, which gives us this flexibility, plus of course it's associated and basically secures our risk on the project.
Now, in terms of cash flow for next year, well, obviously, you know, setting aside Arctic, which I've kind of discussed, we would see a more stable and neutral cash flow for the rest of the portfolio versus 2021, which was quite positive. Here, I think within the projects more later stage, mid-cycle or early stage, and of course we don't control the FID timing, we will expect to have a much more, let's say, neutral cash flow impact on a year, on a full year basis. That means also, of course, we continue with the fact that excluding working capital variances, the net conversion of the EBIT to net cash will still be very positive.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mick Pickup from Barclays. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, everybody. Couple of questions if I may. Firstly, thank you for talking about how your contracts are protected against price inflation. Obviously there seems to be inflation across the whole market. Can you just talk to how your clients are thinking about that at the moment? Are you worried that project bids, when they do go in, might be too high for your clients, or is there an urgency for your clients to accelerate at the moment?
Yeah, Mick, thanks for the question. It depends on the clients we're talking to. Those with whom, sorry, we have I would say ongoing ventures you know. It is likely you have to imagine that we have through the ongoing ventures, sorry, probably options at secure price for some of the equipment. If we were to go into a subsequent phase with them, what we would have to do is simply activate and trigger the options that we've got through the supply chain at fixed prices. That's one example.
For the customers with whom we don't necessarily have, I would say, an ongoing project or of similar nature, and we go greenfield, we are being absolutely transparent with them with regard to where the cost growth is coming from. You know, it's by playing this transparency that we are able to find other solutions, either by, I would say, enlarging the approved vendor list and finding out, I mean, alternatives, sorry, sources of supplies. It's really through being transparent that we are addressing the situation. There's really no panic. It's a conversation. That's, I would say, the beauty of, I would say, our early engagement principle. It's giving us an opportunity to find solutions together.
For now, I haven't seen, we haven't seen a project which would have gone back into onto a shelf just, I mean, simply because of inflation reasons. The conversations are, okay, how do we go about that? What do we do? What solution, what solutions do we find? Very often we can find solutions between the design basis that maybe is a bit rich, and ways we can we can actually help them lower the CapEx and their OpEx altogether so. Let's not forget as well that inflation is not happening across the board. It's it is indeed there is some, but we have areas on material, et cetera, where there's a bit of a reflux.
Okay. Can I ask secondly about hydrogen conversations? Clearly you've got a very strong position when it comes to potential blue hydrogen projects. With the way gas prices have gone for the last six months, I assume those conversations aren't what they are. What are the conversations on hydrogen at the moment?
The conversations we're having on hydrogen at the moment, on blue hydrogen, they remain. I mean, the several prospects we've got in the pipeline around blue hydrogen, those remain active. They are obviously taking place with those customers who have, I would say, reservoirs compatible with CO2 sequestration. With those who have gas and reservoirs compatible with CO2 sequestration, the conversation are pursuing, progressing, and we haven't seen any decline or a reduction of pace in the conversation, simply or just because of, you know, the gas price that is very high and therefore they would be tempted to reallocate gas to, I mean, something else than blue hydrogen.
At this stage it's not the case. The conversations are pursuing with those with gas reserves and suitable reservoirs. Notably in Northern Europe, there are still a strong motivation and appetite for this solution, while working on green hydrogen as well. That's our experience at the moment, Mick.
Okay. Thank you very much. Cheers.
Thank you. The last question today is from the line of Jamie Franklin from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys. Well done on 2021 results, thank you for taking my questions.
Thank you.
Most of my questions have been answered, but just the one. I appreciate that you can't provide a specific value for Arctic 2, but can you update us on approximately how much of the EUR 3.8 billion cash is JV cash year-end, and how much is unrestricted?
Yeah, Jamie. Of course, all the cash, even in joint venture is not restricted. I mean, you don't have liens or restrictions associated to that. Of course, it's associated to the project, just as it would be for most of the other projects, it was in a specific entity. In terms of, you know, exact split, I won't give you this, but yes, the project cash in joint venture, where we have the largest project, is significant in the terms. It's not, you know, it's not minor within the total pool. The full amount of cash, accessible through cash flows, through cash pool and so on, you know, is again also very significant.
I think, you know, both are significant in this respect and really give us the opportunity to have this cash management and this flexibility that we can have from a day-to-day perspective operating.
Okay, understood. Thank you.
Thank you. That was the last question, so I'll now hand back to the speakers.
That concludes today's call. For any follow-up questions, please contact the IR team. Thank you and goodbye.
Thank you. That does conclude the conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.