Branicks Group AG (ETR:BRNK)
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May 8, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2024

May 16, 2024

Jasmin Dentz
Head of Investor Relations, Branicks Group

Thank you, operator. So also a very warm welcome from my end for our full year results presentation today. Please note that this call will also be webcasted live on our branicks-group.com website, and a replay of the call will be available on our website shortly after the end of the call. Your participation in this call implies your consent with this. Our CEO, Sonja Wärntges, will now give you an overview of our financials, our guidance, and the current market developments. After the presentation, we will be happy to take your questions. Please note that management comments during this call will include forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of risk factors, I encourage you to review the safe harbor statement contained in today's presentation. All documents relating our full year 2023 reporting have been made available on our website.

I now turn the call over to Sonja and her remarks. Sonja, the floor is yours.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Thank you very much. So good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Also from my side, a very warm Welcome to Branicks 2023 Full Year Results Conference Call. Today, as usual, I'm joined by my colleagues from the accounting and investor relations departments. And today, of course, I'll give you a wrap-up of our 2023 full year results and a short summary on what we have achieved in terms of agreements with our financing partners, highlighting that these agreements enable us to focus on our operational strengths and value creation, outlined in a measurable outlook, as well as clear midterm ambitions. You all, before I dig deeper in all of the topics mentioned on slide number slide, let me highlight that after the agreement with our bridge financing partners and the 2024 promissory note holders, management capacity can now even more be focused on our operational business again to reach our goals.

Our operational business is strong, especially our letting performance in our commercial portfolio showed record levels in 2023, and promised to generate predictable, strong cash flows also in the future, while we expect manageable devaluation effects. Our institutional business continues to be a stabilizing factor. Our partners are committed, our assets are valuable, and our platform and know-how have the potential for further successful activities, especially with regards to our new asset class renewables. I will elaborate on this in a moment. But first, I know that many of you are interested in the improvement we achieved in terms of our financial maturities profile. The two points are decisive here. At the end of March, the lenders of the 2024 promissory note loans amounting to sorry, EUR 225 million, voted in favor of the company's plan.

In doing so, the promissory note loans in question were extended to June 30, 2025. On the other hand, we agreed an extension of the bridge financing completed in 2022 for the acquisition of the shares in VIB Vermögen AG, with the lenders until the December 31st, 2024. After repayment of EUR 40 million, end of March 2024, there are EUR 160 million outstanding. The extension has been achieved on almost unchanged conditions. We achieved this agreement also in view of our financial covenants, and of course, we have an ongoing close look on them. We are aiming to reduce our LTV further in 2024, to achieve an even bigger headroom in the midterm. We are also confident to keep our interest cover ratio stable and above the 1.8 threshold.

Given the importance of monitoring our financial covenants, you'll find them also on the next slide, along with the improvements we achieved with regards to our financial maturities profile. In total, the average interest rate for end of December 2023 and end of March 2024, rose from 5% to 7.6%. Nevertheless, as you can see, the total amount of debt due in 2024 could be significantly reduced, also reducing the total interest expenses to be expected in the year 2024. Let me also underline that our focus to deleverage our balance sheet while monitoring our green bond covenants, remains one of the highest priorities. LTV covenants should have peaked in Q1 2024, and will improve due to disposals and the planned redemption of the bridge financing over the course of the year.

The ICR covenant was challenged by bridge costs and low fee income in 2023, with improvement expected in 2024, also due to the planned redemption of the bridge. To sum it up, this slide shows that the agreed achievements significantly improved our maturity profile, and that we are sustainably and sufficiently financed until at least 2026. Having said this, let us now focus on our 2023 results, starting with an overview of our key performance indicators compared to our guidance given in summer last year. As you can see, we have delivered on them. We have reached our GRI and FFO target and are only very slightly behind the transaction target. Let's now have a deeper look at the results of our real estate platform in the full year 2023, shown on slide number slide.

As already mentioned, our letting performance remained strong, and our teams once again performed exceptionally well. The letting performance of the Branicks platform in 2023 rose by 19% year-on-year to a record level of 446,600 sq m . In total, assets under management with EUR 13.2 billion are slightly down by roughly 10%, mostly due to the disposals, which became effective in the course of the year, and the valuation effect of around about 6%. The commercial portfolio saw a decrease from EUR 4.5 billion down to EUR 3.6 billion, the institutional business from EUR 10.2 billion to EUR 9.6 billion.

Like for like, the rental income rose by 5.4% for the entire portfolio under management, both in the commercial portfolio with a + of 2.7% and in the institutional business with a + of 6.6%. Rent increases were realized primarily through indexations. As of today, only 3.7% of the total annualized rental income expire in 2024 if lease contracts are not prolonged. Over 70% of annualized rental income has a lease length until 2027 and longer. For larger expiries in 2024 and 2025, we have already proactively started discussions with the tenants. On our next slide, let me highlight the development of our main income stream. As expected, our main income streams look similar to the picture we already gave you during our quarterly conference calls in the course of last year.

On the one hand, there was a strong increase in net rental income, mainly due to the takeover of VIB and the like-for-like growth of our rental contracts. On the other hand, we saw a sharp decline in the real estate management fees due to the challenging transaction market. Therefore, our recurring income on the platform grew by more than 23% and is a very stable base of our income streams. From the total of EUR 50.9 million of real estate management fees, EUR 6 million were generated from transactions. In addition, we generated income from associates of EUR 6.4 million, which is below the previous year result of EUR 18.9 million, and this is mainly due to the sale of a joint venture investment for EUR 10.1 million in the prior year period.

Now let's take a closer look on the development of the FFO year-on-year that were overall in line with our guided expectations. The net rental income saw a strong increase of around EUR 12 million. As previously mentioned, this was due to like-for-like rental growth of our commercial portfolio and the VIB consolidation for the first time for 12 months. Also, the recurring management fees on increase of EUR 8.5 million, but couldn't compensate for the decline in transaction-related fees, which led to a negative effect of -EUR 46.0 million. The net interest result was down by EUR 32.2 million, affected by the VIB consolidation, refinancing activities, as well as the unhedged interest costs for the VIB bridge. Our OpEx of the prior year was significantly improved by EUR 13.2 million.

This was despite the fact that we had one-off admin expenses for IT security and moving our headquarters in Frankfurt. All in all, this resulted in an FFO of EUR 51.9 million for the full year 2023. Ladies and gentlemen, with regards to our strategy and the positioning of Branicks, it is important for me to point out that the transformation of Branicks Group in the direction of generating additional cash flows and value in an extended management universe has already begun. We are convinced that our sound and long year ESG expertise can be monetized way better in a changing real estate environment, where these matters become increasingly important. Branicks already has an excellent reputation in the field of ESG and occupies top positions in ratings such as Morningstar Sustainalytics.

Our properties have been awarded with certificates such as DGNB, LEED, or BREEAM, which demonstrate the highest sustainability standards. We see growing demand from existing and potential tenants who ask for energy efficient real estate, and we offer such, what is already reflected in our increased share of green buildings. Earnings upside in this context, not only comes from our commercial portfolio with regards to further boosting our rental income, but is also a management fee driver in our institutional business, as well as our new asset class, renewables. With more than 10 years of established sustainability expertise, Branicks sets standards in the real estate sector in terms of analytics, consulting, and the development, management, and operation of properties. Decarbonization and ESG criteria are increasingly becoming the focus of investor and user interest, and are an integral part of Branicks corporate strategy and business activities.

The development of an additional asset class, renewables, is therefore a logical step towards broadening Branicks business spectrum. So on slide number 10, we outline our ambitions to strengthen our focus on operational value enhancement and additional earnings potential in the area of sustainability in the commercial portfolio, as well as in our institutional business segment. On the one hand, this includes the consistent further expansion of the green building ratio as the equivalent of ecological assets, which already stood at 43.6% at the end of the last year. In addition, Branicks has started a cooperation with Encavis Asset Management AG in the institutional business segment, to establish an independent renewables asset class. The aim is to develop and offer investment vehicles in the field of solar and wind power plants in Germany and other European countries.

The first fund, with a target volume of EUR 300 million, is being set up for this purpose and will be launched on the market shortly. In the solar sector, in particular, the use of land and buildings within our existing office and logistics asset classes also opens up additional yield potential. We are convinced that our cooperation with Encavis, a specialist in the field of renewable energy, and Branicks, as an expert in investment vehicles and commercial real estate, is an ideal combination to offer investors attractive investment opportunities in this dynamic market, and to further develop Branicks business spectrum in a value-driving manner. Moving now to page 11, you'll see that within our commercial portfolio, our ongoing optimization of the portfolio continued during the reporting year.

Our two strategic asset classes, logistics and office, now account for 79% of the market value of the commercial portfolio, up from 73% at the end of last year. The EPRA vacancy rate was slightly up year-on-year, mainly because of disposals, and finally, our yields remained at a high level. Compared to former years, our key performance indicators remained very solid, what we lay out on page 12. We all know that 2022 was a record year, but still with regards to our long-term performance, we can state a growing balance sheet portfolio that leads to a very robust annualized rental income and a high square meter prices. Our long-term efforts and achievements regarding letting activities lead to a reduction trend regarding vacancy rates and a solid level of yield. In this context, let me focus on VIB for a moment.

VIB showed a very strong performance in 2023, achieving upper ends of this forecast with a gross rental income of EUR 86.9 million, funds from operations of EUR 72.6 million, and a consolidated net income of EUR 130.8 million. VIB's vacancy rate remains with 2.1% at a very low level, and they are forecasting it to remain in the low single-digit percentage range. While they are expecting FFO before taxes and minorities in 2024 to be between EUR 66 million and EUR 72 million. VIB continues to pursue their strategic focus on the logistics and light industrial sector, as well as on their profitable and liquidity-rich second business area, institutional business, that they built up within one year.

We, on Branicks level, also see further opportunities arise from the expansion of our third-party business for institutional investors to VIB. Our 69% stake of VIB therefore remains a core asset for our future success. Another core element, of course, remains our institutional business. The split up of assets under management in this segment on page 14 also demonstrates our focus on the asset classes, office and logistics. Our investment partner basis here continues to be well-balanced without any dependencies from single mandates. Branicks currently manages 33 vehicles for a total of 171 institutional investors. The strategic and operative setup that I have presented to you during the last minutes, is the right setup for the expected market environment.

With regard to the office rental market, JLL has an optimistic view and sees a continued high demand in prime space that is becoming increasingly difficult to find due to a declining new construction pipeline. Existing shortage of logistics space may lead to users switching to surrounding areas, causing these rents to rise. In this context, Colliers predicts logistics rents to rise due to low vacancy rates, continued limited supply, and an overall decline in number of new construction projects. As I have mentioned before, we see a growing importance of sustainability topics in both asset classes. Also, uncertainties remain, and the market continues to pose challenges. We expect an overall gradual recovery as of second half 2024, also with regards to the transaction environment.

Improvement of the transaction market from H2 2024 onwards is also one of the core assumptions outlined in our business and restructuring plan 2026, that was confirmed by an independent business review. It foresees a clear, solid bottom-up asset by asset transaction plan, with external asset disposals above EUR 1 billion until 2026. An increasing source of income will reside from management fees from the institutional business. In line with our performance 2024 action plan, OpEx shall be reduced by 5%, while vacancy rates and WALTs remain relatively stable. In line with our maturity profile, as presented to you at the beginning of the call, interest expenses are expected to be substantially reduced from 2025 onwards. Together with negative valuation effects to fall, the stabilization of earnings position and an improvement of our loan to value below 50% in 2025, the interest cover ratio will increase over time.

From 2025 onwards, we expect an increase of funds from operations, as well as a return to net profit in 2026. In view of our expectations for the current business year, we expect gross rental income in the range from EUR 160 million to EUR 175 million. Real estate management fees between EUR 40 million and EUR 50 million. FFO 1 after minorities and before taxes of EUR 40 million to EUR 55 million. Acquisitions of EUR 150 million to EUR 300 million, whereas we expect all of them in our institutional business. And last but not least, disposals of EUR 650 million to EUR 900 million, whereas EUR 500 million to EUR 600 million in our commercial portfolio, and EUR 150 million to EUR 300 million in our institutional business.

Beyond 2024, our midterm ambition is to transform Branicks Group towards a profitable ESG focus and value-generating asset expert, and sustainably strengthen cash flows and financial position. Our ambitions are clear. We want to substantially improve our earnings and cash flows, and return to net profit and positive net cash flows in 2026. We have a clear midterm ambition to further reduce our debt, what will go along with improving the respective KPIs. Today, I'm concluding my presentation with some key takeaways. We are sustainably and sufficiently financed until at least 2026. We see strong value and earnings potential within our business activities. We enhance our business model with a stronger focus on renewables. We have independently confirmed business plans, which targets a very substantial debt reduction until 2026.

Last but not least, 2024 will be a transition year to return to operational strength and value creation. Having said that, I would like to hand over to the moderator for your questions. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press nine and star on your phone. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press nine and star a second time. Now, please press nine and star to register your question. First question comes from André Remke, Baader Bank.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Yeah, good morning, Sonja, and thanks very much for the presentation. A couple of questions from my side, please. Starting with your mentioned disposal plan until 2026 of roughly EUR 1 billion, which segment will be affected most? Will it be the office space or logistics? Because you stated that there is a bottom-up, asset-by-asset plan. Do you prefer direct sales, or could we, is there a chance that we see, as in the past, that you're putting some assets into funds, or is there still no real appetite on that? This is the first question, please.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Good morning, André. Thanks for your question. I have said that we have a very detailed asset-by-asset plan for 2024, and we have a overall plan until 2026. And I think you can imagine that the plan is very clear for the next 9-12 months. But we have a overall plan where not each asset is in place, so to say, for 2025 and 2026, having a picture of what we want to sell, but not a clear asset plan. And the segment we are talking about is all the three segments. So, retail as a focus, as we have said, we see us as a partner for logistics and office. So, we want to sell the retail portfolio, so to say.

And on the other hand, logistics segment is very interesting for external investors. As I have said, the market is very interesting, but also the logistics need, so to say, is very high. So, on the one hand, logistics, on the other hand, office. But, logistics is a very common market, so to say. Office is a very special market. So we have also office assets in the sales process at the moment, but these are very special assets, one by one, with very, very special buyers, so to say. So the segments are all three of our cooperating segments.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

So there is no maturity that you... At the moment, the values of the office as well as the logistics is almost the same. So, will it be only the same for the years to come, or is there an overweight in that you put more logistics assets on the market? Just as a rough indication.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

I, as you can imagine, logistics, we have, we have bought the logistics assets, so to say, via buying VIB on the peak of the market. So with our purchase price allocation, we have high values for these logistics assets in our balance sheet. On the other hand, we see the office market as a very special market asset. I think at the end of the day, if you look on our valuation, the devaluation, so to say, in the commercial portfolio was 6.8%, and it was nearly the same in the logistics as in the office asset class, so to say.

And therefore, it depends more on the asset itself and the potential buyers who have, and that's also a clear statement from my side, you have to find a special buyer for the special asset. So as we have done with the Kaufhof Asset in Chemnitz, and we have sold it with a profit, so to say, nobody had thought of. And at the end of the day, we are searching for such special buyers in our office asset class. For the logistics asset class, there is a more common interest from a lot of potential buyers, and we more or less have to select between the potential buyers there.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Okay, thank you. And in the last call, you said that you also think about JVs as a kind of option. Is it a structure off the table, or is it still under review?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

No, for the joint venture, this is more the renewables new asset class, where we are digging in at the moment. I don't think that we will focus on that in our real estate asset class, so to say. But for new asset classes, as we have mentioned last week in our communication, we have a special knowledge here, very deep special knowledge, but I think it makes sense to start this business with a partner so that we get the real focus on here, and that we can start the business from day one on. And so we have realized this in the last month, but this is only for the renewables asset class and not on our normal real estate segment, so to say.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Okay. Referring to my question, whether you prefer direct sales or put it into funds, for at least the asset-by-asset plan for this year, say, all will be direct sales, right?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

At the moment, it is with investors who have really high quotas of real estate in their portfolios. It's definitely difficult to launch new funds on a really interesting basis for us. So at the end of the day, what is a good idea is to sell maybe a fund to another fund from one investor to another investor by selling the shares of the fund. Yeah. But not to bring our commercial portfolio or part of the commercial portfolio into a new fund.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Okay, yeah, understood. Then another question you mentioned that the earnings from the ESG expertise will, how you mentioned it, surpass earnings contributions from traditional real estate management. You already elaborated a bit on that. Will there be a kind of KPI or how could we or you measure these exposure? Or is it more meant as a general strategy to focus even more on ESG?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Yeah, this compares to the big numbers we have, maybe from a recurring income stream from our institutional business. It's a low number compared to this, but it's definitely an interesting number. And what we have seen is that the part of ESG we have done so far, in addition for free, so to say, yeah, not really for free, but for a very low low price. And what we have seen is that we have a very educated and interested ESG department here established, and this is a very interesting market. And so we have built up, so to say, a new asset management philosophy, where we say we are doing the asset management as we have done in the past.

On the one hand, for our own portfolio, on the other hand, for the institutional investors, and on the third hand, and I think this is new for also for investors who are not invested in our institutional business, so as a real asset management service. And saying this and talking this about this with investors, they ask us for some ideas for new work. So what can we offer them? How new work works, how the offices should look like, and so on. And so we have this as a second part in our asset management concept, integrated. And the third part was the ESG part as a special service in our asset and property management concept, where we look at the assets, where we say: What can we do?

On the one hand, the normal ESG things, yeah, but on the other hand, a real concept, establishing by our own employees, followed by a clear restructuring of this asset, so that we not only say we can do this, but also elaborate on what we have said. Yeah. And this is asset and property management concept, asset, as we have done in the past, is one part of it. And, yeah, advisor.

Jasmin Dentz
Head of Investor Relations, Branicks Group

Enlargement.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Enlargement by the two files. The one is new work and the second is ESG. Because we have a very good track record on this, as you see, we have increased our own green building ratio in the meanwhile to over 40%. So that means that nearly half of the assets we have in place are green buildings. I think this is a track record where we can look at and where we can say, "Okay, this is also for new investors or existing investors, a very interesting case to create value on the assets in a very challenging market." That's the concept here, our new asset and property management concept.

And therefore, where we have a clear price indication and we have the first investors who are interested in and with whom we work on this. And so I think it's a good management concept and we'll get additional income streams out of this.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Okay, excellent. Then the last question, after your refinancing activities, did you already receive any reaction by S&P? Or what are your expectation based on the current CC C rating with a negative outlook?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Yeah, we are in, in steady contact with S&P, but at the end of the day, S&P has a, as you can imagine, a total different look on what's happening. And I think they... It's my impression, they looked at our plan, and they said: "Okay, it's interesting." And as a consultant who has done the independent business review and also the court and the SSDs, they looked and said, "Okay, that sounds good." Yeah. "But at the end of the day, we only increase the rating if we have a clear result out of this and not only a plan." Yeah.

So I think, they have understood the plan, and, they got it, yeah, and we are confident, so to say, I think that's the right word, but they only will increase or change the, the rating if we have got the result out of our plan, not on the plan basis.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Okay, I think it's fair enough. What is your risk for your business and restructuring plan, if the transaction market will not improve in the second half as you expect, and maybe remain probably at a muted level for a longer while? Is there a bear scenario also included?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

We have a plan, as you can imagine, a plan, and we have included our ideas there, and I think these are very solid ideas and not fake, so to say. But on the other hand, you have to focus on one plan, and that's what we are doing, yeah. On the other hand, as you know, I'm also the CFO of the company, so we create alternatives in our access, so to say, and we are following these alternatives as options, so to say. But as said, we are focusing on our plan. We have agreed with our financing partners on the one hand, and with the consultants on the other hand.

So, having done these contracts, we can focus on this, but also my colleagues focused on that in the last month, so that we are not beginning now. We have begun all these things much earlier than in the past, in the end of last year. So we are not in an early stage of doing this plan or executing this plan. We are in a very good stage, although we have only April now. And on the other hand, as said, we have additional options. We are preparing additional options so that we are not, that we are independent and not only dependent on one or two possible transactions.

André Remke
Director of Equity Research, Baader Bank

Excellent. Okay, thank you very much, Sonja. That's from my side.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Thank you, Andre.

Operator

Due to the limitation, in order to give everybody the chance to pose questions, limit your questions please to two or three. The next questions come from Mr. Markus Schmitt, ODDO BHF.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yes, thanks for taking the questions. I've also a couple. So first of all, could you please provide what the unrestricted cash on hand is as of today, the remaining debt maturities as of today for 2024? I guess, there are some movements in terms of bank debt already since end December. That would be helpful for the beginning.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Good morning, Markus. As you can imagine, we are not in the Q1 call here. At the end of the day, we had the cash on hand last year. As you can see in the report, we have some restrictions there. There were 181, if I have the right number in my head. And we have paid back nearly 130 of these restricted cash we had on the balance sheet end of last year. And we have paid, as also said in the presentation, EUR 50 million of the bridge loan back, so that we have only EUR 160 million in place there. Then you can take later on about what we have paid back, and that's the cash on hand we have now. In addition, we have got the leases, so to say, but that's rather about the numbers, yeah.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. You broke up a little bit at the beginning on my side. Could you repeat maybe the first two indicators? That would be helpful.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

One, the first two indicators?

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah, you said, for the, let's say, pro forma cash calculation. The first two numbers I did not hear. I just got the EUR 50 million or EUR 40 million bridge repayments, but the first two numbers, the line broke up, so I could not hear it fully.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Okay. So we had restricted cash on the balance sheet at the end of last-

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

... year of 130. We have paid back now in the meanwhile, and we have paid back the EUR 40 million of the bridge loan, so in addition, around about EUR 170 million.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay, 170. Okay. Thank you. Then, coming to the covenants. You said the covenants have peaked now in Q1, so, can you tell what the ICR was in Q1? And, in addition, when I analyze the Q4 2023, EBITDA takes the interest rates mentioned on slide four, then I got hardly to the 1.8 times threshold. So could you explain again how you want to stay above that level, with obviously some headroom, which is needed? And, part of this question would also be, I think the EUR 164.5 million EBITDA is a reported number, not adjusted. And if so, what are your EBITDA adjustments assumed for 2024? Because you said you will have some OpEx reductions, so I think you will have maybe a higher non-recurring number in terms of costs in 2024 compared to 2023. So this would be helpful to understand.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Thank you for the questions, but once again, this is the 2023 call-

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

... not Q1 call 2024. And therefore, you can expect the ICR on a little bit higher level for Q1 2024 than 1.8. So I can say this, and, sorry for that, but, we have not-

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Mm-hmm

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

But all your, for the next question, could you repeat step-by-step so that you can-

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah, yeah, sure. I think you had a EBITDA number for the full year of 164.5. And my question is, I think that is a reported number, not an adjusted EBITDA number. Yeah, because the ICR is applicable to adjusted EBITDA. And my question is also, what are the assumed EBITDA adjustments for 2024? Because you said you want to improve your cost base, so there will probably be a severance payments or whatsoever. So the non-recurring items as part of this calculation will likely go up in 2024 compared to 2023. My math would be whatever. If you confirm that the EUR 164.5 million is a reported EBITDA number, and to going or starting then from Q4, I need to add some adjustments to the figure to get to the EBITDA level, which is relevant for the ICR calculation. That is the logic.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

I think for the deeper calculation, you should call us after-

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

The call here to get the calculation and the things you need to. For overall statement, I, as I said in the presentation, we see the 1.8 as the floor, so to say, and we expect to accrue the number, and as that, we think that is also the case in Q1. I think for your calculation, it makes sense to call us later, that we do it.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Then one final question for me, please. This is in terms of the valuation. I mean, it's... I was a little bit surprised that you had actually a mild valuation effect at -6.8%. I see many other CRE owners which were at 14, 15, 16%, during last year as a whole. So maybe could you explain in this context, what your average or weighted cap and discount rates you applied? I think you provide only ranges in the annual report, so the weighted average would be helpful.

The second part of the question is: given that the transaction market is still very weak, and interest rates remain on high levels, why do you believe really that the negative valuation effect will be even lower in 2024 compared to 2023? I mean, the average current year recognized in 2023 was only 0.4%, according to your notes in the annual report. I know your rental growth is good, and logistics is a demanded asset class, I think. But it's a little bit unclear for me where you gain the hope from that negative valuation effects will be even lower in 2023 compared to 2024.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

I cannot analyze our competitors at the end of the day-

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Sure.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

But what I knew from the portfolios when we have looked at this, and some of them were total portfolios, where we bought a part of it and our competitors bought a part of it. So I know some of the portfolios. So the first thing is, as you know, we are having.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

We are balancing at cost in our balance sheet, so we are not focused on the valuation, or we were not focused on the valuation in the last year. So we didn't drive the valuations up, so to say, as I have always said. So we talked with the evaluators because we have a very big portfolio at the end of the day with EUR 40 million. So sometimes we have more numbers than they have. So we are discussing with them, but we haven't driven them. And so I think the values are on a comparable level. Second, our portfolio is a very granular portfolio, and it is not a high-end portfolio. So it has steady cash flows with good rents and so on, and we are working on this in a very good manner.

But we have not the big portfolio, and we have not bought the assets over the last year with factors of 30 or something like this. And therefore, I think, it's only a part of some of the competitors' evaluation number we have here. In addition, we have good contracts, and that's what I said. So if you look on the indexation, we have a lot of indexation in the last year, and we have worked on our floor, so to say, this is the lettings and so on. And even if some of the investors say: "We are not interested in your communications about lettings," I think it's the sense of our business, and it's very interesting to see what we are doing here.

Yeah, and we have done our homework here, and so you can see that we have driven the lettings and also by indexations where we have good contracts here in place. Yeah. And saying this, this is the opposite, so to say, of the increase of the interest rates the evaluators here have here. But at the end of the day, we have established a department only for evaluation because we think it's the right time to look on this and to analyze what's coming up, what the contracts are, and so on, and working exactly on this point in our asset and property management. And I think this is the effect of this. Yeah. And if you look on our annualized rents, they have even grown in total portfolio, compared to last year, and this is the major point of our evaluation basis.

And for the WACC, my colleague can answer the question. I hand over to him.

Speaker 8

Yeah, but you asked about the discount rate and the average one, and this is hard to say, because as Sonja just said, it's a very granular portfolio, and valuation is asset-by-asset basis. So I just can repeat what we said in the annual report, that it's between 3.7% and 7.5%, really depending on asset-by-asset basis. So, and I also think that an average wouldn't make any sense because it would just say all the assets would be the same, and that's not true. And therefore, yeah, that's what we can tell you.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay, I would also say range doesn't also really make sense from my perspective then, because it's very difficult to compare this then to valuation regimes of other companies. But putting that aside, could you just explain what's the like-for-like fair value change was at market values? Because that is part of your LTV calculator. I think you step from German GAAP to IFRS or to fair value consideration. So what is the like-for-like fair value decline under market values in 2023?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

6.8% in the commercial portfolio and 6% in the overall portfolio.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

But that is still very, a very low number, I would say, compared to what my... What other players did in the market. Is it not fair? Is it not a fair opinion?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Thank you for the compliment. We are working on it. Yeah.

Markus Schmitt
Fixed Income Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay, then you've obviously done a good job in the year. Okay. Then, it's all done for me. Thank you very much.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is coming from Mr. Stefan Scharff, SRC Research.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Question is slide 11. Looking at your vacancy level, you mentioned that it was up year-over-year, due to some disposals. How was development on a like-for-like level? And what is your expectation here for your rents and for the development in office market, in general?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Good morning, Stefan. I haven't got the first part of the question. Can you please repeat it? It's a very bad line here.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Okay. The first part of the question was that you mentioned that your vacancy was up a little bit due to the disposals. And what was your rental level if you make it on a like-for-like?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Yeah. The rental level, like-for-like, was 5.4%. And the first answer, a moment. Oh, 0.6.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Okay. And on the slide two, you stated that you have a well-filled transaction pipeline. Can you give us more color here? You did a bit about the funds business, but what may we expect to come in the next month to give a further relief for your capital?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Yeah, as said, sorry for talking not in details here, because we are in a very narrow market here, and we want not to talk about things we haven't done. So at the end of the day, as said, our disposal plan remains on the three segments. We have different yeah, market conditions, so to say. So on logistics, we have a lot of interest. In the office side, we are in discussions and processes with special buyers. And also for the retail, we have—we are in a process here, and so it's all the three segments on different processes with different buyers. But it's yeah, it's not a special one, so to say.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Okay. And regarding your Performance 2024 Action Plan, you, you mentioned some cost reductions. Can you give us a bit more color here? What kind of cost reductions is possible and what to what extent this could help for your profit and loss in this year and also for 2025 and 2026?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Oh, definitely. It, it's according to our performance 2024 plan we have communicated last year. And as you can imagine, it's the OpEx what we want to reduce, and so we had a very deep look on all our costs. Yeah. So we have the administrative costs reduced. And at the end of the day, we also have a look on our employees and our strategy, but therefore, we have reorganized our operating departments, not mostly driven by cost reduction, but more driven by efficiency and responsibility. We have done a lot of work so far, but as you can imagine, this needs a little time to be seen in the calculations of the profit and loss.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Mm.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

And therefore, we have done-

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Mm.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

- most of the work already, but we will see it then in 2024 and also in 2025, because it takes some time to get this established and then to get the results out of it. But it's at the OpEx. It's one time cost, it's one time effect. So as I mentioned, we had IT security costs, because we have to increase that to get not hacked and so on. We will have not-

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Mm. Uh.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

... we have reduced, but we don't see them in full in 2023, but more in 2024.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Okay, I see. The last question about the new asset class, the renewable energies, and the plan for the fund, the EUR 300 million fund to come soon. What could this mean for your P&L? What profit contribution this could mean for 2024 or let's say for 2025 and 2026?

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Yeah, that's difficult to say. So therefore, I have read in the morning that we have a big range for our FFO. So that's totally right, because as you can imagine, if you have such a year and you have a new asset class, it's not clear to say when do we launch this and we get the profit out of this. But, it's, I think the fee arrangements are nearly the same we have in our normal funds, so to say. So, we think we have a good pipeline there, we have a good partner there. We have. We see a lot of interest in the market from the investors there.

So, we will get the fund in place in the first half of the year, and then we will get the investment in the second half of the year. But it depends a little bit, when and how fast it could drive. So we think that will be a low number, and also we have the low number of fees in our calculation for this year. So it will be around about EUR 1.5-2 million out of this new asset class. But the interesting thing is to get this established, to get the trust of the investors here for this asset class, and to start with the new asset class in this year. So it will not be the big number in 2024.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Mm-hmm.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

But we expect it to grow in 2025 onward.

Stefan Scharff
Managing Partner, SRC Research

Okay, I see. Thank you very much.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Thank you, Stefan.

Operator

The next question is coming from Ingo Hillen, MMI GmbH.

Ingo Hillen
Managing Director, MMI GmbH

Hi, good morning. Thank you. Yeah, about the presentation, I think first interest would be a little bit more color. I think that was asked before already, about the sales. I understand that there is a, I think, a lot of interest in logistics. And yeah, anything more to this, maybe for the first half year or for the first half of 2024 would be helpful. And a complete different story, or why didn't you think, obviously, of not paying a dividend or not having paying a dividend of 4 EBITDA, you know, get some cash into Branicks and then pay your debt? Thank you.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

So good morning, Ingo, and thank you for the question. As said, I cannot say really more here. So as I have said, we are in the processes for the disposals, for the disposal plan. As also said, we have started these processes end of last year, so we are in a very good stage here. But on the other hand, it takes a lot of time to get all these assets in the process, tech DD and so on, and find the right investor.

What's one of the biggest, things at the moment is to get the right investor in place, because, some of them are interested, but at the end of the day, transaction security is one of our major points, and so therefore we need a bit, little bit more time to get the right investor, here in place, and that we are confident that we can make the transaction with him. So this takes a little bit time, but at the end of the day, I think at the end of Q1, Q2, we will see here the first results. Unfortunately, I cannot say more at the moment on our sales processes. And, the second question was, do you remember?

Ingo Hillen
Managing Director, MMI GmbH

Dividend.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Okay, the dividend. As you know, VIB is a listed company and they take their own decisions, so I cannot tell them to pay a dividend and use it for paying back my liabilities. So, yeah, that's all, the only thing I can-

Ingo Hillen
Managing Director, MMI GmbH

I mean... Sorry, a second question. I know that VIB is a listed company, and I know that any shareholder, even if he owns only one share, is entitled to make his own dividend proposal, and if a 69% shareholder makes a dividend proposal, it will go through if he votes in favor of his own proposal. So this is not really, yeah, a good answer for me.

Sonja Wärntges
CEO, Branicks Group

Okay, then I have no good answer. But at the end of the day, that's the way it is.

Ingo Hillen
Managing Director, MMI GmbH

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Thank you for your questions. I will now hand back for the closing to Jasmin Dentz.

Jasmin Dentz
Head of Investor Relations, Branicks Group

All right. Thank you, operator. Thanks for everybody joining our call today. This concludes our call, and thank you a lot for joining us. And our next event in the financial calendar, as you know, is our Q1 results on Monday, sixteenth. And we are looking forward to joining you there and also in the time in between. Stay healthy and let's talk soon. Bye. Thank you.

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