SFC Energy AG (ETR:F3C)
Germany flag Germany · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
17.30
+0.16 (0.93%)
Apr 28, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q4 2023

Feb 22, 2024

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to our presentation of the unaudited preliminary figures for the full year of 2023. First of all, thanks very much for taking the time this morning. Daniel and myself, we will focus on two main topics. The one is, yeah, looking back onto a successful year 2023, but then also give you a proper outlook and an optimistic outlook here for 2024. As always, we will look into some of the highlights. We will then give you a more detailed presentation on the sales development as well as on the profitability development. Then close out with the guidance for the year, and then naturally open up the floor for your questions as well as comments.

Looking now into, I'd say, 2023 in terms of highlights, I think we are looking at another record year here for SFC Energy in terms of growth on the revenue side, but also growth and improvement on the profitability side. For us, this is a non-divisible pairing and key part of our strategy. Ambitious growth, but still step by step improve profitability. Looking at the past 12 months, I think one can see objectively a significant step up also on the profitability front. 38.6% growth here, up to EUR 118 million of revenue. Yeah, we exceed the forecast of 2023 with this. All of you could witness us being able to move up the guidance throughout the year to the upper end and finally also beyond the upper end, especially for the revenue. And the numbers, I think, reflect this, the numbers presented today.

If we also look into the growth as such, I think the structural part is important. It is not coming from one region. It is not coming from one segment. And by no means we are depending on on a single customer. So, a healthy distribution of growth in our view. If we then look at the end of the year and if we look at the at the, order book at the end of the year, one could say, well, this is just or it was just growing by about 10%. Year-on-year, order intake even decreased here by 1.6% here from EUR 127 million the year before to EUR 125 million approximate figures here. Yes. Still, a, we think starting the year with EUR 80 million backlog is a good thing.

And B, especially in the last quarter of last year, we had significant projects here in negotiations, but we opted not to compromise on pricing because of timing. I guess those are long-term partners. And we definitely see those orders ending up with us and this on a stable pricing and margin basis. EBIT and EBITDA adjusted development, Daniel will give you a good view on this. So let me start here with, I'd say, the structural milestones we have achieved last year. If you look into 2023, we started the year off with four operational, four legal units. We ended the year with eight operational or already partially operational and eight legal units. Means we were expanding and we have been expanding and we are expanding our international global reach out.

Looking at North America, this has been our fastest growing region here in 2023. Also, the largest revenue part, approximately 46% deriving here from North American customers, Canada and the U.S. Overall growth, 43.5% across North America, a significant step. I think, this naturally is also the basis here for us investing there, setting up our own operations for sales and service and also logistics in the U.S. after being strongly present in Canada for more than a decade. The preparation is, I think, well under way. We expect to be ready to go here. Hiring is ongoing as we speak. Also, by end of the quarter, beginning of quarter two, we expect to be operational also in the U.S.

If we look into the split here in North America, yeah, the fastest growing region is the U.S. with, let's say, approximately 100+% of growth, more than 130% to be more specific in the U.S. But also in Canada, still one of our home markets, we see, I'd say, more than 20%, 24% growth. India as a basis for our business, not only for India but also for Asia. I think we were focusing on establishing this throughout the year. We had also, happy for this, some significant also political support, which gave us a lot of recognition in India, especially on our customer base. It is also well recognized that SFC is, let's say, a technology leader in its field. Operation is set up. Production is on its way.

We are delivering first main and large projects out of Gurgaon, the high-tech zone in Delhi, as we speak within this month. A big part of the growth in Asia, which is also almost doubling the business, around 90% of growth is deriving here from our successful entry in the market in India. As said, this serves as a solid foundation for this, let's say, most populous country in the world and therefore a big market, but also as a basis for other parts of Asia. It's not just seen as a basis for the sales. We have started to monitor and look into supply chain opportunities here for the group in India as a sourcing base here across our value chain, which will be another area of where we lay emphasis on, not to neglect the capacity expansion here in Europe.

In Germany, we have doubled our capacity here out of Brunnthal Munich. In Romania, we are setting up our largest manufacturing location in Cluj, next door to the existing one. We have already started to do assembly for EFOY fuel cells besides our traditional electronic products there. We expect to be up and running with, let's say, the new facility opening also in Q2. By the way, approximately 1,000 units, EFOY core units, were already assembled in Cluj in the last couple of months of 2023. U.K., another step of expansion. The transfer of IP, know-how, and equipment from our long-term partner, Johnson Matthey, is completed. Construction is going on, and we expect to be able to commence production of membrane electrode assembly units in the second quarter. There is significant cost naturally related to all this expansion. Daniel will go into this.

But also on the MEA side, on the membrane side, we are cognizant of the fact that we have an impact on our material cost here, at least, let's say, for the short-term view. First two years, we expect an increase of pricing also for our current product offering. In the long run, we are convinced this is a competitive advantage and also the most significant cost reduction potential we have there on the material front, as those are the most expensive parts we are using. So, looking at, let's say, also the residual growth here, if we talk about regions, I mentioned Asia, I mentioned North America. Well, if we look here to the European part of the business, also here, we have a consistent growth there. As said, we have been growing here throughout the past 12, now 14 months in all relevant areas.

Also, the European business is growing country by country differently, but between 20%-30% of overall growth. So substantial two-digit growth there too. We look at end markets, yeah, significant, or biggest impact again from industrial applications with, let's say, two-thirds growth means 66+% of growth. On a relative basis, public security also saw a growth push naturally at a lower level in absolute terms. But the public security business with, let's say, the geopolitical environment changing, comes at least from an SFC perspective to a very welcome and positive renaissance here, being a profitable and strong growing part of the business. On end consumer markets, this is the only area where we saw a decline in unit sales. We naturally see an end consumer hesitance here. The overall economic environment, interest levels, inflation having an impact naturally on high-priced consumer goods.

With this, I think, we have a good view of the regional distribution and the development of the sales, on the segment level. Daniel will also give you a view of the two different segments and their development. If we now look into, I think, the macro view to round this up here and to summarize it, I think it is obvious. And if you also look at it from a European and German perspective, we are seeing a, let's say, for an insider like us, maybe non-surprising time span here that it takes to move to a hydrogen economy. I think, especially on the political end or within the political framework, some, I would say, short-term expectations had to be corrected.

It simply takes a time to, let's say, adopt new technologies to get energy transition implemented. And that's what we are seeing in the environment. First of all, projects taking longer, public households maybe are not available at the time needed or to the extent originally anticipated. We see this in Germany in a very recent way. So subsidies at least are postponed. And this naturally poses challenges to players in the industry. But what is not changing, I think, is the long-term view and the social consensus that we need to decarbonize not only the energy generation and the energy infrastructure, but our overall environment. And the products and the technology SFC is delivering and supplying is paying into this.

I think what we see here is that with our established product offering, with a leading industrially mature product offering and the competitive edge out of this and established market access, we have all the chances to benefit overproportionately here from a more difficult and a more challenging environment. More so, what we are seeing is also opportunities of market consolidation. We have the firm conviction or plan here to make use of those opportunities based on, I would say, a stable financial position and in a being in a stable financial condition. I think all of this together with our plan to further grow on a profitable way here also sets us apart from especially a big portion of the peer group.

With this and with this still optimistic view here, despite some macro changes and macro factors that are impacting the industry, I would like to hand over to Daniel to lead you through some of the key numbers.

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining our call. I think there's little surprise to the numbers. You saw the ad hoc that we had published, not too long ago. So I believe, the numbers that we published to you today are not of a huge surprise. Nevertheless, let's give you some color on the developments on those numbers to the extent we can. Remember, they are not audited yet. There are still some audit procedures ongoing, but we are pretty much there. I think Peter mentioned it. It's been a very successful year for us in terms of revenue as well as in terms of profitability.

You've seen the revenue growth. We hit EUR 118.0 million, 38.6% a little bit above what we, you know, initially also in expected. What were the key drivers, especially in the fourth quarter. We saw some largest orders coming in in the fourth quarter, which really, and we were able to deliver and roll them out, but that really helped on the revenue development. If we look at the segmentation on our revenue between the Clean Energy segment, the segment where we, you know, have all our fuel cell business in, as well as the Clean Power Management business, as the name says, that's where the power management activities are in. We see that both segments showed significant growth. Still, the Clean Power Management segment grew a little bit faster or higher than Clean Energy, obviously starting from a lower basis from last year.

Remember, in last year, we did have in this segment, where we have a lot of electronic components that are needed in the manufacturing, we suffered severely from the supply chain issues. So it's a little bit of a catch-up on the last year revenues. But, you know, looking at both segments, again, strong growth, strong demand, good market environment for the products, as well as the target markets for both segments. Looking at the profitability of last year, EBITDA and EBIT adjusted, again, these numbers are preliminary. We also, you know, above what we initially thought, we're hitting, you know, then, EUR 15.1 million of an EBITDA adjusted. What are the key reasons that the fourth quarter went a little bit better than we anticipated? First of all, it's a very favorable product mix in the fourth quarter that we've seen.

Remember, we are shipping to some extent certain purchase order in lots. And there was a big lot of certain products with a nice margin that we were able to ship in the fourth quarter, which then impacted positively the gross margin and subsequently then also the EBITDA margin. Also, you know, we saw a little bit more, what we would call, you know, operational leverage. And we see that operational leverage on the functional cost is kicking in, also a bit more favorable than we anticipated. And that in spite of the fact, and I know some of you will already have made the math, I looked at the margin of the fourth quarter itself. We did give to our employees in the fourth quarter a special bonus for the performance this year. Also had to do with a tax holiday.

So that was something we decided in the last weeks of December, given the performance of the group, of the company, also from all of our employees, we decided to give them a special bonus, which initially we didn't have in our planning. EBIT, adjusted, we're looking at EUR 9.7 million. So that's 3 times what we have made in 2022. Very very attractive in terms of a margin, 8.2%, also much higher from what we've seen in 2022. It's basically a continuation of what we've seen in the first three quarters. You know, it's revenue, it's the size, it's operational margin, it's an attractive gross margin that we're looking at, you know, good price structure, also on that side.

So it basically what we've seen in the first three quarters has continued in the fourth quarter, and that led to what we believe, you know, a very good margin profile for last year. Looking at the prognosis, and what are we, you know, moving into the next year, we are very positive when it comes to the market environment. We see, and Peter mentioned it, that demand for our solution for our products is still very high in spite of a challenging, you know, our economic environment. But being in the energy transition sector, you know, we do benefit from a couple of trends or mega trends, however you want to put it. And that really helps us in growth. And we do not see any reason to be pessimistic about our growth perspectives.

So, when we look at our prognosis for the revenue, we're looking at a growth of approximately 20%-30% to this year's revenue, going EUR 141.7 million up to EUR 153.3 million. I think Peter explained, you know, the key drivers, as well as the order backlog and the entire market environment—what we think this is achievable. If we look at our EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, remember we cannot plan the adjustments. We're looking at EUR 17.5 million and EUR 22 million, up to EUR 22.4 million. Why we believe we can, you know, at least more or less maintain the margin profile that we're having this year. What we will see is, or what we expect to see is a little bit of a higher cost level. We are starting off with our MEA production at the beginning of next quarter, potentially also at the end of this quarter.

We mentioned that before in some calls. We expect higher cost for the MEA that we produce ourselves than for the one that we bought previously. It has to do a little bit also with the size of our operation. Obviously, you know, ramping up our MEA production is a little bit smaller. We may not benefit from operational leverage as our supplier did. Also, I mentioned it before the moment or at the beginning of each process, you know, you don't have the yields yet at maximum. So this all will lead to a little bit of a higher expense, so we expect that. Secondly, also still ramping up our activities in the U.S. We also expect there a little bit of higher expense, or ramp up or startup cost, however you want to call it. This will really have an impact, or potentially, on our margin.

Then, last but not least, if you look at our EBIT adjusted, we're looking at EUR 9.8 million-EUR 14.7 million. So we have looking at a little bit of a higher depreciation than from what we had in the past. And this year, it has to do with the IFRS 16 accounting, new premises that we have rented, not only in the U.K. and the U.S. Remember, we also, you know, bringing Romania online. Also, the asset base has increased, equipping those activities, India, last year, you know, was only in the financials for a little bit less than six months. So all these activities will be in our numbers for the full year, which leads to a little bit of a higher depreciation. This is the outlook. So overall, we are optimistic.

We are convinced that we can maintain our margin profile to some extent, potentially also expand our margin profile. There are some moving parts in the forecast at this time, mostly internationalization that we're looking at. And of course, ramping up the MEA production, which, you know, could have an impact on our margin, our gross margin. But we mentioned that before. And, you know, we're not talking about huge, but it could have an impact. So thank you very much. And with that, I'll return it to Peter.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Thank you. So, think quick summary here. We are expecting another record year, and we are working for another record year in terms of revenue and earnings. The revenue drivers continuously are improving out of two elements. Our customers are not depending on subsidies.

We have been, I think, developing this over 10-15 years. So even a slowdown in the macro environment is not impacting this. And B, the competitive landscape, is, at the end also, an advantage for us as we are one of the few ones with the established market access and industrially proven products out there. Order book. Give us a couple of weeks. We see a very dynamic start here into the year. It's a good basis. We are accelerating here and we have a healthy pipeline. Some key projects are due for decision making. As mentioned before, we didn't want to rush it. I think we are in, let's say, a finalization stage. And, with this all, I think this is justifying our optimism despite an economic environment that especially in parts also of Europe is not that positive.

We are not depending on one region only, not one industry only, and one customer only. So we are as a business very resilient here. Looking at market consolidation, we really expect some opportunities out of this angle. With this, I'm happy to conclude our part here in terms of presentation. Hand back to Moritz and looking forward to get your question and comments.

Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star followed by one on their touch tone telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star followed by two. Participants are requested to use only handsets while asking questions.

Anyone who has a question may press star followed by one at this time. One moment for the first question, please. And the first question comes from Thijs Berkelder from ODDO BHF. Please go ahead.

Thijs Berkelder
Senior Equity Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah. Good morning, gentlemen. Congratulations. So it's just a strong Q4 performance. A couple of questions on first the 2024 outlook. You're guiding for top line growth of 20%-30%, but really made clear it's primarily driven by the, let's say, the fuel cell business. How should I look at that? Roughly, is it 40%, fuel cells, zero, rest or more like 30% versus 20%, on a divisional basis? Second question is on the one-off bonus payments in Q4. Can you tell us the amount and can you tell us whether you've reserved such a similar bonus payment in your 2024 forecast as well?

And for now, the final question is on the order backlog. Can you maybe update us on where the order backlog is at this moment, more or less?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Yes. Good morning, Thijs. Thank you very much. Yeah. Outlook, as always, is an organic growth outlook. And one could say, well, you started similar than you started last year with, let's say, a 20%-30% frame. And to a certain extent, it is similar. But then if we look into the segments, yeah, we expect a faster growth here out of the clean energy part because this year we saw some impact, let's say, from some, let's say, delays and holdups in the year before, especially from the supply chain here on the clean power side with naturally a stable environment of growth there.

So we rather look at, let's say, a 25% and 15% division here between the two segments. Regionally, again, we see some differences. So, but overall, yeah, the power electronics part traditionally is more in a 10%-15% range. And on the fuel cell side, I think 20%-30% is not unusual. And that's why I think that's, again, the pattern that was there pre-COVID and supply chain factors impacting the clean power side. Talking about the backlog, our auditors barely let us publish the preliminary numbers for last year. So they would be really somewhat, I think at least surprised if I now release the current backlog as for the moment.

But if you give us another 4 or 5 weeks' time, I think when publishing the audited figures, we have, I think, a good update also on the backlog. But as to a qualitative statement here, as mentioned, we did not push for a year-end closing for some significant orders here in a double-digit EUR million range on purpose because usually if you push on closing, you have to compromise somewhere and pretty often then on the pricing or on the financial front. So we did not push for this. But still, we expect this to come in. And if we look into, we are today on the 22nd of February. We have a very active and healthy pipeline. Expect us to close some significant orders here within the next couple of weeks. The bigger ones we will anyhow put out there.

If you bear with us a couple of weeks to come out with, let's say, quantitative statements on the current backlog, this would help us also. But as you can feel optimistic as such, but I think justified optimism based on facts. And with the bonus question, I may hand over to Daniel.

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

So first of all, 10,000 followers. When it comes to the bonus payments, we're looking at a little bit above EUR 200,000 across the group. Why did we do it? Again, you know, we looked at the performance that we had this year, also the effort that all our colleagues put in getting these results in and our products out. And there was also still this year a certain tax benefit attached to such bonuses paid to the employees. That's why we decided to do it, yeah. Yeah.

Thijs Berkelder
Senior Equity Analyst, ODDO BHF

No, well deserved. So, thank you for the answers.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

The next question comes from Karsten von Blumenthal from First Berlin Equity Research. Please go ahead.

Karsten von Blumenthal
Equity Analyst, First Berlin Equity Research

Good morning, Peter. Good morning, Daniel. In the last years, you had a quite strong gross margin. What do you expect in 2024? Do you expect a further increase in gross margins? You mentioned that, on the one hand, on the cost side, you expect a higher cost, but you hope to pass them on. So, on a ballpark basis, what do you think could happen in 2024?

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

Hey, good morning, Karsten. Thank you. So when it comes to the gross margin, it's a very similar development, so to speak, as the EBITDA margin.

So our expectation for the gross margin, and it's not something that, you know, we just came up with in the last two weeks. It's basically really if we look at a long-term guidance, and it's in line with a long-term guidance. We do aim and we do expect that we see a decent opportunity to increase our gross margin in the next 12 months, right? And it could however be, right, that we also see a very slight contraction. So this is the range that we're looking. It's a little bit like the range of the adjusted EBITDA and the adjusted EBIT. At the lower end, we may see a slight contraction. It's really driven by how quickly we can ramp up the MEA production, how smooth it will ramp up and we will have the yields. Again, we're not expecting huge impact.

We're not expecting any huge troubles, right? You know, there may be one or the other delay there. Again, long answer to a short question, you know? On the upper hand, we're obviously seeing expansion of the gross margin. At the lower end, we're seeing a slight contraction of the gross margin.

Karsten von Blumenthal
Equity Analyst, First Berlin Equity Research

All right. Thanks for that, Daniel. Peter, you mentioned the geopolitical political development. Do you believe that the public security business will have a larger share in your product mix in 2024 compared to last year?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Good morning, Karsten. Thanks for being with us. Yeah, overall, I think if you look at the business there, naturally, we see consistent increase in funding here across different geographies. We had naturally a significant impact out of our Indian business here last year.

There will be, let's say, significant shipments still to India out, let's say, of the ongoing businesses there. We see first orders in again from the Middle East. We are seeing, let's say, also, the German part of the business picking up. And I'm talking not strictly just or solely about defense customers. We are talking here about also first responders, police, border protection. And one can see that there is, let's say, funding increased. And even in the U.S., we see first projects resurrecting that were silent for years. And naturally, we are looking into this now as a growth opportunity. So yes, it takes a larger part of the overall mix. And naturally, therefore, also has an impact then finally on profitability development.

As Daniel said, on the upper end of the range, naturally, there's also a bigger part, or it's a bigger impact not just from the, let's say, material cost side, but then also from the mix part on the upper end.

Karsten von Blumenthal
Equity Analyst, First Berlin Equity Research

Great, Peter. Thanks for that. Question regarding your hydrogen business. Peter, you mentioned that, we see it everywhere. It takes longer than expected. I mean, on your capital markets day, you have, for the first time shown your, 50 kW, fuel cell, hydrogen fuel cell you want to bring to the market, I think in Q4 this year. So, all in all, how do you see your hydrogen business, this year?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Well, overall, I think, we have been applying a cautious approach here and, all, let's say, the growth realized and also the growth projected is, let's say, not just based on hydrogen or even then subsidized projects. As said, what we have in there is really independent of public funding at this point in time. Development projects like the 50 kW then going up to 200 kW here, for existing customers, but also new customers like data centers and larger industrial backup power, fully on track, fully on time. I think the limiting factor, if so, is on the people's level, means hiring additional experts, additional expertise and talent here is what is with us as one of the key challenges.

Then on the market side, yeah, I think it is the pace that we have seen now, I think, is the realistic pace. And, we will here, I would say, grow with the market, but, looking at the offering and the competitive landscape on the hydrogen side, this is where we expect a consolidation, especially on the stationary part of the business, which is our core business. And for others, it might not be core business anymore.

Karsten von Blumenthal
Equity Analyst, First Berlin Equity Research

Great, Peter. Thank you very much for giving this view on the hydrogen business. Last question from my side. Could you give us an insight into the main risks you see for 2024? You have given a pretty complete forecast. And you mentioned already one risk that is obviously staff, but perhaps you could add one or two more.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

I think if you summarize also, let's say, both our statements here, naturally, the buildup here and the expansion of our overall coporate and operational structure here from 4 to 8 operational units, ramping up production, in a few, entities here from Germany to Romania, but then also naturally for the membrane part in the U.K. as well as starting up the team here in the U.S. This is a main focus. There is naturally risk associated with it. As such, I think we have adapted to it. We have adjusted our corporate structure here where we have functional responsibilities now across the group where we are separating here, business development projects and startup projects from the day-to-day business, which is also important to keep ourselves as well as all our team focused here.

We have hired more than 130 people last year. We have also lost approximately 30 people here from natural unwanted, but also wanted, fluctuation. We are still looking at 100 postings that throughout the year are relevant to make sure we get the growth completed. Well, and then on the structural side, we have decided for a uniform ERP platform. We are expanding the usage here of SAP, which has been our ERP platform already in the Netherlands and Romania. We are now rolling this out to all the other locations. As I think all of you will know from experience or recognize, this is a major undertaking, but it is a must for, let's say, enabling the growth, having a uniform database and making sure we can, let's say, run and steer the business going forward.

So if you summarize this, yeah, expanding internationally, making sure we get the right number of heads, pairs of shoulders, pairs of hands in, but then also making sure we keep track of improving our systems with SAP and IT infrastructure as such. So it's, I think, a set of luxury problems because it's associated to growth. And this is how we look at it and work on it on a daily basis.

Karsten von Blumenthal
Equity Analyst, First Berlin Equity Research

Great. Thanks for taking my questions, Peter and Daniel.

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

Thank you.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Thank you, Karsten.

Operator

And the next question comes from Malte Schaumann from Warburg Research. Please go ahead.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Yep. Good morning, guys. First question is on, yeah, maybe Japan. I mean, that's the only area that had not, obviously, developed as maybe hoped for.

So what would be the milestones you want to achieve this year to maybe then exit the year in a better position to really address the opportunities in that region?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Malte. Good morning, Peter. You're talking about which area? We had an exclusive question?

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Japan. Japan.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Or at least myself. Maybe it's my age. I don't know.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Toyota Tsusho Corporation for the Asia.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Yeah. We mentioned it also in our last call. And if we look at the overall Asia development, naturally, the success in India outbalances, I'd say, some other areas. If you look at Japan, we are really happy and we are executing with Toyota on this plan.

As previously also announced, we had an impact throughout the pandemic time where we could not travel to the region here, neither the Toyota guys nor us. We have, let's say, a delay of 18-24 months in this program, compared to what we agreed upon pre-COVID. We have, I'd say, a quarterly management review on this. The next one is upcoming here in mid-March, so in three weeks. We are looking at this now country by country. And naturally, we need to also assess where we are progressing according to plan and what we have to adjust here. In some areas like Singapore, we are independent of Toyota. In Indonesia, we are independent of Toyota, and we are progressing independently with Toyota.

I think there's no doubt about Japan and some of the core regions. All the other part is really subject to now a diligent judgment of progress. Are we back on this growth plan that we had before COVID? And then we can say in some areas, yes, and in some areas, no. And based on this, we will sit down and make the judgment together with our partners.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Yep. Okay. That's yeah. Then on hydrogen, maybe follow up to Karsten's question. Maybe you can share volume, maybe order volume, potential revenue volume. Is there anything you can talk about for what your, maybe, quantitative targets for this year are?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Yeah, still. We see naturally a major part here on the mature methanol part of the product offering. And I think, let's say, our overall 90-10 ratio continues here.

What is naturally having an impact on the hydrogen side is higher ASPs. But we also had to make sure we get the production capacity here up and running. And this is also something where now Romania and subsequently also India will help us to accommodate some of the largest systems assembly, which we only can do with, let's say, the constraints we have here in Germany. But I think going forward, especially now for the next 12 months, still 90% of the growth is driven on the methanol product offering.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Would you expect that to materially change next year so that hydrogen will then really kick off?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Well, I think this is at the end, again, where we are exposed to an environment. I think our own expectations are pretty realistic here for the next 12 months on an assumption, but also project basis. Beyond this, this naturally depends also on what impact do we see here, then for some of the segments there that are really also depending on subsidies and then depending on what do we see here, especially in governments in place by that time, talking about Germany, Europe, but also then talking about the U.S. And therefore, I think all beyond the 12-month period for the time being is, yeah, assumption-based.

If you look into our five-year plan, yeah, as before, we expect a pickup there out of units, but then also out of simply higher ASPs. On the shorter end of the timeline, again, we do expect some market consolidation and want to play an active role in this.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Do you, on that consolidation topic, have you already seen players exiting the market, so already leading to a relatively better competitive situation because there's few competition?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Well, so far, to our knowledge, we have not seen somebody going out there. But yeah, being in this industry for quite some time, naturally, there's quite some active, I'd say, communication ongoing in the sector.

Especially, talking about, let's say, the overall, I'd say, competitiveness, not just from a product, maturity perspective, but also, I'd say, from the overall, financial viability of individual players, we definitely expect concentration to happen for the stationary part of the market.

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

I think, good morning, Malte. I think, I mean, you're reading the news as we are reading the news also. And of course, you know, maybe we have one or the other information. But I mean, from a point of view, if you look at ourselves, and that's what we do in most of the time, is, you know, that we have a very healthy balance sheet, at least we believe that. Look at the nine months balance sheet. We believe that we're very well positioned.

If you look at their earnings, our earnings profile and the growth profile that we've shown also in the last year, I think we're very well positioned. So of course, we observe the market. We see what's happening. We are very confident and looking very confident in the future.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Yep. Okay. Sounds good. My last question is on margins, profitability. I mean, you mentioned some headwind at cost level. Despite that, you aim for more or less stable margin at gross margin level, gross profit level, and even slightly increasing EBITDA margin. I think we're just positive. So you mentioned that one thing is that you further want to raise prices. Is that already through? Have no negotiations with customers already ended, or is that process that, yeah, will then be applied during the year during the course of the year?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

There is, let's say, naturally, all what we have implemented here, what to an extent is now materializing and will still materialize also in Q1. And on, let's say, some significant projects, we are simply in the process also of calibrating the price level. Still, we also have to see that there is, well, I think we were able to realize price increases across the board here in the last 12, 15 months, three times, fully implemented. We are not intending to have, let's say, another step like this across the board. This is now really on project basis.

Malte Schaumann
Analyst, Warburg Research

Yeah. Okay. Good. Okay. Thanks.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Thank you, Malte.

Operator

And the next question comes from Lukas Spang from Tigris Capital GmbH. Please go ahead.

Lukas Spang
Small Caps Investor, Tigris Capital GmbH

Yes. Hi. Good morning, gentlemen.

First of all, I would like to come back to the revenue guidance topic and your explanations about order intake and pipeline. So, would you still expect these orders you are talking about and negotiate with your customers, still to come in in Q1 or more in Q2? And if so, more than in Q2, should we, in terms of the revenue development this year, more expect a second-half loaded revenue increase?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Good morning, Lukas. Thanks for the question, Peter. Well, if we talk backlog, you will see, I would say, almost an even distribution here between the two quarters if we talk about those projects. These are we are talking here about long-term partners. We know about their demand. They know about, let's say, also our capacity ramp-up.

So it's not just that we delayed here the one or the other decision not to be in a need here as maybe in previous times to compromise on pricing and come up with, let's say, a year-end rebate to call it like this. The other thing is also we are in a ramp-up phase, and the demand we are seeing right now for the first two quarters is, let's say, in some product areas also, beyond the current capacity. So we are ramping up capacity here. And if we look into, let's say, the start of the year and the first half of the year, we will see, I would say, a significant or a good start here. So we would not expect a back-ended loaded revenue profile.

I would rather see it almost the other way around.

Lukas Spang
Small Caps Investor, Tigris Capital GmbH

Okay. And the time frame for the ramp-up of these 2 new sites, what is your plan there?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

As said before, at the end, in England, yeah, we have at the end construction on its way, equipment transferred, equipment being shipped. We are there, let's say, on a weekly basis. I personally will be there end of next week to also simply see where we are. We are hiring experienced experts here out of the membrane space. Ramping up in Q2 or even end of Q1, I think, is the very realistic timeline. And then it takes us, let's say, 6-8 weeks to get it calibrated.

In the second part of Q2, we are really expecting to get product out of the line that can be used. Romania, slightly different. We started up the production line for the fuel cells already in the current premises. So we are talking here about finalizing construction. Here, as always with construction work, don't expect it all to be on time. But at least we have already, let's say, the whole building is fully there. Electricians are in to talk practical terms here and, to shift here part of the production as of April to the new premises, I think, is a very realistic part. We have extended the lease in the current workspace in the current factory. So we have a transition period of 6, even in a worst case, 9 months if we need the additional capacity.

So there are assumptions we feel are very realistic and rather conservative.

Lukas Spang
Small Caps Investor, Tigris Capital GmbH

Sure. Last question about capex. What is your capex budget for this year?

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

Again, t o put it this way. The capex for this year will be a little bit higher—what we've seen in the last year. Mostly it has to do with the build-out for the sites. As you know, in terms of really equipment, PP&E, we don't have a lot there. But the largest portion we always have is building out the sites. And then we will also invest into IT this year, which will be a larger portion of our capex.

So if you look at a number, and you will understand I will not give you a precise number, but, you know, it will be in the two-digit million zone, yeah, that's where we will be at. You know, anything slightly above EUR 10 million or so. Again, but this is a special year for us, you know, with a yeah, let's call it one-time investments that we planned. And that's really the build-out of the sites as well as significant investment in IT infrastruct

Lukas Spang
Small Caps Investor, Tigris Capital GmbH

ure. Okay. Thanks.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Thank you.

Operator

And the next question comes from Thomas Junghanns from Berenberg. Please go ahead.

Thomas Junghanns
Senior Associate Equity Research, Berenberg

Yeah. Good morning, gentlemen. I have two quick questions. The first one is just like to your EBITDA. Can you break down the adjusted EBITDA margin or adjusted EBITDA in absolute terms by Clean Energy and Clean Power Management?

The second question is with regard to the planned cooperation. Was not also are there any news with respect to this planned coperation?

Daniel Saxena
CFO, SFC Energy

Good morning, Thomas. Getting to your first question, apologies, yes, we can. But obviously, these are apologies, these are the preliminary numbers. So if you bear with us a little bit, and then. Sure. Then we will have the split. Again, don't expect any surprises, one or the other way. And sorry, I didn't catch the second question. Are there any news with respect to the coperation you planned with Nel ASA?

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Yes. Thomas, good morning. Peter. Good morning.

If you look at the, let's say, combination of electrolysis as well as fuel cells, where we do traditional electrification, I think we are assessing and integrating as we speak different models of electrolysis here with our product series. Some of them are already, let's say, working in the field. Some of it, like, let's say, also our higher power system are, let's say, here in the R&D part. We had to realize that we need to look at the full spectrum of available products and platforms and technologies. So we have widened this to, let's say, other platforms without publishing this in a broad sense. So it is and it, let's say, it was never, let's say, an exclusive activity.

Thomas Junghanns
Senior Associate Equity Research, Berenberg

Perfect.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Combining the availability and the generation of green hydrogen also with the re-electrification, long-term, strategically, I think, is still a good and attractive offering for some of our customer groups.

Thomas Junghanns
Senior Associate Equity Research, Berenberg

Okay. Perfect. Thank you a lot.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Thank you, Thomas.

Operator

So there are no further questions at this time. So I hand back to Dr. Peter Podesser for any closing remarks.

Peter Podesser
CEO, SFC Energy

Yeah. With this, thanks very much for spending those 62 minutes with us. We try to close it out here so that some of you can hop onto their next call here. As always, do not hesitate to reach out to us here, Susan, Daniel, myself, for bilateral discussions and more detailed questions. Overall, yeah, stay with us.

We are looking, with, I would say, again, justified optimism to be here, let's say, in 12-month time and again report on a year with, again, higher profits and improved profitability. This is what we work for here for the next, call it, 10-month period, but then also going further. Thank you very much. Goodbye.

Powered by