Fuchs SE (ETR:FPE3)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2022

Oct 28, 2022

Operator

Welcome to the analyst conference call for Fuchs Petrolub SE. At our customer's request, this conference is being recorded. As a reminder, all participants will be in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there'll be an opportunity for analysts of Fuchs to ask questions. If any participant has difficulty hearing the conference, please press the star key followed by zero on your telephone keypad for operator assistance. May I now hand over to Lutz Ackermann, who will take you through the presentation.

Lutz Ackermann
Head of Investor Relations, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. This is Lutz Ackermann speaking. On behalf of Fuchs Petrolub, I wish you a very warm welcome to today's conference call on the nine-month figures. All the relevant documents have been uploaded at 7:00 A.M. this morning, and you can find them on the IR section of our homepage. With me on the call today is Dagmar Steinert, CFO of Fuchs Petrolub. As always, Dagmar will run you through the presentation, which is then followed by a Q&A session. Having said that, I would like to hand over to Dagmar. Dagmar, please go ahead.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you, Lutz, and ladies and gentlemen, a warm welcome from my side. I would like to start with our highlights of the first nine months 2022, and we report a strong third quarter. Despite the continued strong headwinds from higher raw materials and inflation of other costs, we achieved with EUR 100 million a strong EBIT in the third quarter 2022. For the first nine months, our group sales reached EUR 2.5 billion, and that's 19% above last year. EBIT came in at EUR 280 million. That's on previous year's level. Overall, the market environment remains challenging, and there are not really indications of improvement from the markets in the short term. We face increasing inflation, bottlenecks in our supply chains, and of course, we see sharp increase in energy prices, particularly in Europe.

China continues with a zero-COVID strategy, and overall, the global crisis situation remains a factor of uncertainty. Nevertheless, we remain optimistic about the last month of 2022 and confirm our earnings forecast and increase the sales forecast due to inflation. On the next chart, number three, you see as always our quarterly sales development, and that reflects our sales price increases, what we've managed, what we've done, yeah, the last two years. If you just look at the third quarter year-on-year, sales are up EUR 184 million or 20%. If we adjust that for currency effects, it's still up by 13%.

On the next chart, looking at our EBIT development quarter by quarter, you can see that with the third quarter, with an EBIT of EUR 100 million, we are quite close to our record quarter, which was the fourth quarter 2020, and even close to the earnings of the first quarter 2021. What you can see as well is that we had a strong first half last year and a little bit weaker second half year. In the running year, we can see the impact of our sales price adjustments, where we made a big step forward. With that, I would like to turn to chart number five, our group sales. Our group sales are price and currency driven up and that's up by 19%. All our regions show a mainly price-driven organic growth.

Of course, China is in a difficult market environment, and as a result of the continued zero-COVID strategy, we see there a noticeable business decline. During the course of the year, we increased our organic growth. Just to remind you, in the first quarter, our organic growth was 12%, in the second quarter it was 11%, and in the third quarter it was 19%. Of course, we have an increasing tailwind from positive currency effects. Now I would like to turn to chart number six, our earnings summary. After nine months, our gross profit is up 9% or EUR 63 million. This increase is, compared to sales, under-proportional as we see there the sharp rise in raw material prices, and that results as well in a lower gross margin.

The gross margin is down by 3.1 percentage points to 31.4%. Looking at the other function costs, they are up by 13% or EUR 61 million. Personnel, price, freight, and energy, that just to mention a few, go up significantly. Thanks to a very good third quarter, we achieved the earnings level of the previous year with an EBIT of EUR 280 million. CapEx is slightly lower, and the net operating working capital, significant higher. On that, I will co-comment later. Coming now to the region, starting with Europe, Middle East, and Africa. There our sales are up 18% and that's mainly price driven. The majority of companies show a double-digit growth rate. Above average is South Africa, Great Britain, and Sweden.

We have positive currency effects out of Great Britain, South Africa, and Russia, and these offset negative effects from Poland and Sweden. Looking at the earnings, our EBIT is lower, 6% year-on-year, and that's due to a decline in earnings, mainly in Germany and Southern Europe. Coming to the region Asia-Pacific. In Asia-Pacific, our sales are up 11% and that's mainly driven by currency effects. Of course, we have the sharp decline in China, which is the biggest supporter of the region and they are affected by the difficult economic environment and the, I already named it, zero-COVID strategy. On the other hand, we see organic growth in India, Southeast Asia, and Australia. We have positive currency effects, and they increased over the course of the year.

Our EBIT is 5% below previous year figures, and that's due to the lower contribution from China. On the other hand, we see earnings growth in India, Southeast Asia, and Australia. On the next chart in our region, North and South America, we have the strongest sales growth. Sales are up 40% year-on-year, and that's a strong organic growth, of course, positive currency effect as well. Our organic growth in North America is overall in the region price driven, but we see in North America as well really pleasing business growth. With that, significant sales growth, our EBIT is up 28%, partially currency driven. Of course, we see some quite some currency effects as well. With that, I would like to come to chart number 10, our net operating working capital.

If you look at the, yeah, pure numbers, our net operating working capital in absolute numbers amounts to EUR 965 million at the end of the third quarter. Compared with December 2020, we nearly doubled our net operating working capital. During that period of time, on the other hand, raw material prices increased by roughly 70% and our sales prices more than 40%. These significant increases in raw material costs and which are offset by our sales price increases, that of course drive the increase of net operating working capital. That explains this strong increase.

On the next chart, number 11, our net liquidity bridge 2022, there you can see that the massive increase in net operating working capital explains our free cash flow before acquisition, which amounted to -EUR 31 million after nine months of the year. That's the most important figure. If you go a little bit deeper into it, on page number 12, there we have a bridge from the deviation of our free cash flow before acquisition of the last year, the nine months 2021, to the number today. As you can see, the earnings after tax are more or less unchanged, previous year's levels.

We have a little bit a plus out of our depreciation amortization of the CapEx, and we have EUR 88 million higher tied up capital net operating working capital compared to previous year. Of course, that's something where we are working on the remaining months this year to bring that number down. Overall, page number 13, it's still a very uncertain environment and there are high uncertainties regarding the business development. On the one hand, we have this war in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia. We see further increases in raw material prices. We have a significant cost inflation.

There is an impact on potential reduction of gas supply and, on the other hand, looking to Asia, China's zero-COVID strategy, which is still ongoing, even as there are now signs that they might open up, slightly again. Of course, last but not least, we have a very tight supply chain situation and, ongoing difficulties with, the availability of raw materials. Looking a bit, deeper into raw material price development on chart number 14, you see our graphs, as you know it from the previous earnings call presentation. As you can see, group one prices are slightly softer. Anyhow, if you look at group two prices, they remain firm and, they are based on, healthy demand, and there is like limited to no capacity extension foreseen.

There's still a price difference between Asia and the rest of the world and overall we expect our basket of raw material prices there to some will be flat or slightly increase. With that, I come to my last chart, our outlook for the full year, which reflects the uncertain environment. We are confident regarding the remaining months of the year, and we confirm our earnings figure. We expect our EBIT unchanged to be on pre-prior year's level therefore on the lower end of the range of EUR 360 million-EUR 390 million. On sales, we increase our expectations due to the inflation. We see there a number above EUR 3.3 billion.

All the other, yeah, expectations regarding book value added and free cash flow remain unchanged. With that, the floor is yours, and I'm happy to take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please dial zero one on your telephone keypads now. Once your name is announced, you can ask your question. If you find your question is answered before it's your turn to speak, you can dial zero two to cancel. If you're using speaker equipment today, please lift the handset before making your selection. One moment please for the first question. Our first question comes from the line of Martin Roediger at Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Martin Roediger
Senior Equity Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Hello, good day. This is Martin Roediger from Kepler Cheuvreux. I have three questions, and I would like to ask them one by one. The first is on chart 14 about the raw materials. Thanks for that. Can you please talk about the dynamics between the regions Europe, U.S., and Asia? Is the energy cost item the main reason or the only reason for the high level in Europe? Besides the base oil prices you show, can you also talk about the additive prices and their evolution?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Right, Martin, thank you for your question. Regarding the different raw material price development in the regions, of course, in Europe, it's harder due to high energy costs and the difficulties within the supply. But anyhow, as we just show here graphs for base oils, I would just like to remind you that additives make up roughly 50% plus of our total raw material cost or basket. Therefore, their prices are tending to be higher, but there are no graphs or charts available.

Looking at the price development of the base oil, of course, that's something which we are able to show, which is available, but that's just a portion of our raw material basket and group one base oils are overall for the group, maybe between 20% and 25% in our raw material basket. For us, if you look at our development of raw material prices, it's not only based on or in the majority based on the group one development. Regarding the availability of raw materials, it's still difficult worldwide. We have worldwide shortages, and yeah, pricing, of course, is a bit different due to local availability, local demand, and of course, currency exchange rate.

Martin Roediger
Senior Equity Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you. The second question is about inflation of salaries and wages. In the U.S., unemployment rates are rather low, which means salaries are rising, and you may have eventually a higher fluctuation rate there. In Germany, there is now a new agreement with the IG BCE union, with 6.5% higher salaries split over two years. Also, in other countries, salaries are rising. Among those things, what is the biggest headache for you and how you think you can compensate for these higher costs?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, the biggest headache is how much we have to increase our sales prices to adjust for these inflation costs. Yes, you are absolutely right. In North America, we see close to full employment. We have a higher fluctuation. Of course, if you look into our numbers, the first nine months, 2022 compared with previous year, we already see, looking at personnel expenses, they are up 10%-11%. That doesn't reflect all the wage increases, of course, which we have 1st of January. In Germany, there, with the unions, there's agreement. It's for two years. Each year, wages go up by 3.25%, and there are one-time payment of EUR 1,500 each year.

That, regarding the inflation rate, seems to be quite reasonable. Today, I can't give you an indication about the whole figure for the group. What we expect, as a wages and salary increase, we are close to finish our budget.

Martin Roediger
Senior Equity Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thanks. The third question is regarding your guidance for free cash flow before acquisitions, which is significantly below the EUR 220 million level. Based on what you expect for earnings in this year and net working capital release in Q4 due to seasonal patterns, what is your best guess for free cash flow this year? I recall that you mentioned last time a figure of around EUR 110, EUR 120, EUR 130 million. Is that still the case?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, we report a negative free cash flow before acquisitions after nine months due to these ongoing inflation. That's more than we expected. Therefore, on the sales side, we increased our expectations for the full year. On the other hand, of course, that means that there will be some more impact on net operating working capital. Of course, by the end, the absolute number usually is a bit less. Now with the negative free cash flow, it will be definitely positive by year-end, but I can't give you today an indication about the number.

Martin Roediger
Senior Equity Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Markus Mayer at Baader Bank. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Markus Mayer
Head of Chemical Sector Coverage and Head of Research, Baader Bank

Yeah, good afternoon. I have three questions from my side as well, starting with, I also will ask one as Martin did. First of all, I'm interested in the business environment in October. We've had different kind of indications, which other companies they see a significant slowing of the business environment, other not. Your order book is only three is not that long, but maybe you can shed some light on how October was so far.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Would comment more on the third quarter than just on October because you always have like a better month and then a month which is not as good and then a better month again. The view on the third quarter is more reasonable than just looking at one single month. Let me start with the region Asia Pacific. As already mentioned, of course, China is difficult. There we've seen yeah a little bit weaker demand from the automotive business. On the other hand, our like specialty business and for instance, wind had a really nice solid development. Australia has a really strong demand in mining and agriculture.

In mining, for instance, that's a positive effect out of the Ukraine-Russia crisis due to the sanctions because there is supply from Russia missing. Agriculture is doing really well due to the weather. On the other hand, what is challenging there is still logistics, which is not such an easy situation. Looking at the U.S., where we had a really strong performance there. Overall, our demand is fine; it's working. I mean, it's already mentioned. What is more a concern is the inflation and the tight labor market. Coming to Europe, there we see a slightly lower demand in Germany from the automotive industry as well in Germany. We have still solid demand for our specialty business.

Southern Europe is a bit weaker as well, and Eastern Europe is a little bit stronger. Of course in Europe we have quite an impact due to strongly rising energy costs. Looking at steel or agriculture in Europe, their demand is still intact. I hope that answers your question.

Markus Mayer
Head of Chemical Sector Coverage and Head of Research, Baader Bank

Yeah, yeah, to some extent. To summarize, would it be fair to say that so far the demand trend we have seen in Q3 has not significantly changed so far in Q4? Is this fair?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. Yeah, that's fair.

Markus Mayer
Head of Chemical Sector Coverage and Head of Research, Baader Bank

Okay. Also from the price level, if I did the math correctly, then we had 20% price effect year-over-year in the third quarter. Here the price level is also looks like that this has not yet changed really into Q4. Basically with this high price level, we're also going in the fourth quarter. Is this also correct?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah, that's correct. Well done.

Markus Mayer
Head of Chemical Sector Coverage and Head of Research, Baader Bank

Sorry.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well done. Yeah. Your calculation.

Markus Mayer
Head of Chemical Sector Coverage and Head of Research, Baader Bank

Not that complicated. The last question. I've seen that your inventory went up 42% year-over-year, which is in line with the trend we've seen in the quarters before. Given this high inventory level, which maybe was triggered by the higher prices in particular, do you see a risk of inventory devaluation in the fourth quarter? What are you doing in the fourth quarter to mitigate these risks?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, of course, there's always a risk if prices are very volatile that you might have to write off some inventories, especially on the raw material side. Of course, we have programs in place to reduce our inventories and they will work by year-end. Of course, looking at our finished products, our people have to bring them down. Looking at the raw materials, of course, there will remain some effect due to these difficult supply chain because it's better to have some raw materials in stock where we know we need it in the first quarter next year, instead of not taking it and then having a shortage again.

There will be some, compared with normal years, some little bit higher inventory. On the other hand, there are lots of programs in place to reduce our inventories.

Markus Mayer
Head of Chemical Sector Coverage and Head of Research, Baader Bank

Okay. Thank you so much. As I guess this was the last call as CFO at Fuchs. Good luck in your new position.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Riya Kotecha at Bank of America. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I have a couple, please, and I'll take them one by one. My first one is how should we think about the run rate of earnings going forward? Now you delivered a strong third quarter EBIT of about EUR 100 million. Simplistically, if you annualize that's about sort of EUR 400 million already. Now of course, the fourth quarter is gonna be seasonally weaker, and you might have some weakness or softness on the volume side. Presumably your price increases should be relatively sticky. Then you seem to have capacity ramping up, and perhaps you get some relief on the raw materials into the first half of 2023. I'm just wondering about your thoughts in sort of sustaining this earnings momentum going forward.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, talking about the run rate, I can't give you any statement about 2023 by now. That will be done as usual when we publish our annual report. Looking at our high inventory and the question of how raw material prices develop. Of course, if raw material prices come down, it's good for our margin. On the other hand, you face write-offs and it's a difficult environment. I mean, as I said before, I'm confident that we bring down our inventories by year-end. That of course will help us.

Our fourth quarter is usually weaker and, I mean, what you see looking at the quarterly sales development is the strong, yeah, sales price adjustments we managed and of course there's more to come.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay, thanks. My second question is, you mentioned that you have some pleasing business growth in North America. Can you please give some more color about this? It sounds like you're winning some new business here. Am I right in estimating that you achieved double-digit volume growth in this division for the third quarter?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, in North America, we had a weaker period in the previous year. Therefore, of course, the increase of sales by 40% is great. That looks maybe a little bit more positive than it actually is. We have our core business, and Nye is making really good progress and we have a good development of business in both areas, in automotive and industrial business, specialties as well. It's across all industries, everything, and there's nothing really outstanding. North America comprise of course Mexico and Canada, and Mexico's developing very good. There the same applies what I said to North America as a whole. It's across all industries, automotive and industrial. That's...

Yeah, looking at that region, it's a nice development this year.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay. I have another question about China. Can you please speak to us a bit on the path to recovery? I wanna look at what auto OEMs say and some other chemical companies. They actually speak positively on this end market. I'm just wondering why it's different for you. Is it to do with sort of your mix in autos? Do you have a higher exposure to the aftermarket car versus the OEM sales?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

In China, we have in general a higher exposure to automotive lubricants compared with industrial lubricants or specialties. That's a little bit smaller portion of our business. I mean, we've seen a weaker demand from the automotive side, and I suppose it's aftermarket as well as the OEM business.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

China is difficult. It's a difficult situation with the zero-COVID strategy and all these like partial lockdowns which appear.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Yeah. Yeah. No, I get that. Say for example, Volkswagen and even, you know, BASF a couple of days ago, mentioning that sort of volume growth or the rebound has been quite sharp in terms of new production. Is it more on sort of securing key raw materials that you're not able to fulfill those volumes, or is it sort of just broad-based demand weakness? Just trying to understand why there's a dichotomy in the business.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. Well, it's. I mean, there are months or weeks when China seems to pick up again, and then it's like cut due to lockdowns again. Of course, we compare ourselves this year with a very strong development of the last two or three years in China, where they always had double-digit growth rates.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Right. Okay, thanks. Just a quick follow-up question. Did you mention that you expect to implement further price increases? To that point, sort of how far along do you think we are in terms of putting all the price increases through? Like, are we sort of 75% of the way there or closer to 90%? Thanks.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, if you look at our performance, as our, you know, increase in sales is price-driven.

Operator

Apologies. She seems to be having a technical issue. Bear with me one moment.

Lutz Ackermann
Head of Investor Relations, Fuchs Petrolub

Can you hear us? Sorry.

Operator

Yes, we can hear you now.

Lutz Ackermann
Head of Investor Relations, Fuchs Petrolub

We may continue now. Okay. Hopefully we're back now.

Operator

Yeah, we're hearing you.

Lutz Ackermann
Head of Investor Relations, Fuchs Petrolub

Okay. We can continue now. Okay.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay. I'm not sure. Did you get my last answer, or do I have to repeat?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Sorry. If you don't mind repeating, please.

Lutz Ackermann
Head of Investor Relations, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. Maybe you can repeat the question once again. Sorry, we just dropped off. Maybe you can repeat the last question, then we can answer, yeah.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Yeah. Yeah, sure. It was about price increases. I said, was I right in hearing that you still are gonna implement more price increases? To that point, sort of how far along are we? Are we sort of 75% of the way there or more like 90% in terms of that coming through? Thanks.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, I just said, if you look at our sales growth, which is price driven and currency, and that means, on the other hand, that our volume is not growing. With that reporting an EBIT on previous year's figure or level means we manage in absolute numbers to cover all increases in prices we faced. Of course, we have to increase our prices again and more because on 1st of January, a lot of other function costs will increase, personnel costs, more or less everything. To cover that, we have to act now. That's why I said there will be more price increases, and we already are across all countries, across all regions, out with the announcements.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you very much. Dagmar, all the best for the new role. Thanks.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sebastian Bray at Berenberg. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Sebastian Bray
Head of Chemicals Research, Berenberg

Hello. Good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. I'd have two, please. The first is on the working capital. The receivables balance has been going up at Fuchs for a while now, and I'm wondering, are you cutting your customers some slack in Q3 and Q2 of this year, or is this all raw materials related? Should we effectively be thinking about getting this money back in 2023, or are you focusing a little more on growth in the balance between growth and cash flow? My second question is on the progress in the electric vehicle market since we start. Okay. Sorry. I'm just gonna wait for that helicopter to go, and then I'll continue. The second question is on the growth in the electric vehicle market at Fuchs, in particular EV related sales.

Since you gave the update at the Capital Markets Day in June, has Fuchs actually signed any genuinely new contracts with electric vehicle makers or battery makers? Not so much the magnitude, but the existence. The third one is on operating leverage. By the end of the year, you're going to be a EUR 3.3 billion sales company, roughly. A one percentage point increase in volume gives you EUR 33 million of sales. How much EBIT would that give you? Historically, Fuchs has talked about a 15% margin on new business, but I imagine given that the utilization is low, it could be a bit higher, maybe, let's say, 25-ish% drop through. Is that right? Thank you.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, Sebastian, I will start with your first question, the working capital and the development of our receivables, yes, which increased. That's just normal course of business, nothing special. Of course, we are working on improving our free cash flow, and that means not only to bring inventories down, but anyhow it's always a question of mix because different customers have different terms and we don't see there any risk. The progress in the electric vehicle market, I mean, what we are able to tell you what we already did. Regarding, for instance, batteries is that we acquired the share of E-Lyte that's making progress. We are ramping up the production in Kaiserslautern to be able to scale that.

I think that's an important and big step into this overall electric market. Regarding electric vehicle market or e-mobility in general, I'm not aware that we signed a new bigger contract. Of course, that's something which is for us a medium long-term strategy and not a quick win. Of course, it's definitely a big new opportunity. Our margin for new business, the 50% EBIT margin you referred to, which we very strict to, but where we said we don't know when we'll be there again due to inflation. First, we have to overcome that. We work on improving our margin and every additional volume, every additional business. Of course, you have some variable costs for that.

With our structure and everything, we are fine. For every additional business, you have, of course, additional variable costs. We don't really need to increase significantly our fixed costs, and therefore, a significant portion of profit from additional business will show up.

Operator

Sorry, Sebastian, I had to mute your line. There was a bit of background noise in it. If you had any response, I've just unmuted you now.

Sebastian Bray
Head of Chemicals Research, Berenberg

I was just gonna say, well, sorry about the background noise. Dagmar, all the best to your new role. Thank you for taking my question.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you. Thank you, Sebastian.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Stott at UBS. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Yeah, good morning. Thanks for taking my two questions. Firstly, just on the energy package that the German government has put forward, and I know it's not signed off yet. On the assumption it is, would Fuchs be taking those subsidized energy rates or not? There's some discussion, obviously, that if you do as a company, you may have to hold back on other things, for example, dividends. That's the first question. Secondly, would-

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

May I answer your first question quickly?

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Sure, sure. Go ahead.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Makes it easier. Well, as we have like only roughly 1% of sales as energy costs within the whole group, we don't get or we won't get any benefits from the government, either in Europe or in Germany, for increasing energy costs. Therefore, there will be no issue regarding anything else.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Okay. You just won't apply for the subsidies?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. It's not worthwhile doing it. I mean, if you look at our energy costs, that's hardly nothing compared with other industries.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Yeah. No, no, I understand that. At the same time.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

I think we even won't.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

You're protected for energy.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Be able to get them.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

I'm guessing you're thinking about the, yeah, the flip side of this, which is what you might have to change from a capital allocation standpoint. Is that right?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

I think, I'm not sure. I'm not aware about the rules of the package, but we don't intend to apply for. I'm not even sure if we would be able to apply because we don't pay high energy costs.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Yeah. Okay, I got it. Thank you very much, Dagmar.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Okay.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Second question was on pricing, the 21% that you're booking in Q3. I mean, how much of that is negotiated prices and how much of it is surcharge, if any? I'm just trying to think of what you retain as you go forward and as and when raw material costs come down.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, what we benefit from the adjustment of our selling prices, that's all negotiated, what you see in our figures, and that's sustainable.

Andrew Stott
Managing Director, UBS

Okay. Perfectly clear. Also best wishes for your next move.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Schaefer at ODDO BHF. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Michael Schaefer
Senior Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah, thanks for taking my two questions. I'll ask them one by one. I'd like to come back on Q3 reporting and looking at the various regions. It strikes me basically that Europe has been the only region which we're not showing EBIT margin improvement sequentially. I wonder whether you can talk us through the key challenges you have there in Europe, whether this is the slowest region to pass on prices or higher costs, and how we should think of, let's say, just the kind of acceleration which you nevertheless have shown in terms of organic sales growth in the region, and how this basically should evolve heading into 2023. This would be my first question.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you, Michael, for your question. Looking at Europe, of course, is for us the most complex region with the highest numbers of countries and therefore companies as well. We see a different development. We see a like weaker Germany and Southern Europe development and little bit more solid development in Eastern Europe. That's just regional differences due to the market environment. Of course, I mean, Europe with its high energy prices, with the Ukraine and Russia conflict, with the sanctions and everything, had the highest impact compared with other regions what they faced as a result of this conflict. That makes it somehow a bit. I wouldn't say difficult, it's just challenging.

Of course we increase our prices. We are on a really good way. We see, as I mentioned, regarding our specialty business, a solid business and even increasing demand, automotive aftermarket, that's something which is somehow weaker in Europe.

Michael Schaefer
Senior Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Thanks for this. My second and the last question would be on China. Again, coming back to what you elaborated earlier on, that China is, let's say, preparing, you know, for, or let's say is easing pressure and some signs of improvements. Can you just provide us some more evidence there, what you're seeing, how things are progressing sequentially? I mean, Q2 obviously has been the disaster quarter. Q3 looked better from what you reported there. What are you seeing there heading into the fourth quarter of things turning to the better?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, it's just what we hear from our people in China. For instance, now they approved Western vaccination, but I'm not sure if they are really going to use it. I mean, it's very difficult for a big country like China who stick to a zero-COVID strategy for two years, and then somehow to open up again. It seems to getting better. I mean, the, like, days of quarantine are shortened, if you want to go there. It seems to somehow open up a little bit. That's what our people tell us.

Michael Schaefer
Senior Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Appreciate it. Thank you very much. Also from my end, all the best for your future career. Thank you very much.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Lars Vom Cleff of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Lars Vom Cleff
Director of Small and Mid Cap Research, Deutsche Bank

Thank you very much. Good afternoon. Two quick questions, if I may. Looking at the 14% organic sales growth for the first nine months, would you be able to split that into the price and the volume effect? I mean, we understood that it's the majority is a price effect, but was volume still positive or maybe even negative?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, volume is negative, and we don't report our volume figures because we believe it would be misleading without explanation if you compare volume figures over some periods of time because the, like, overall lubricant market volume figures is flat or shrinking since decades. Year-on-year, the first nine months, our volume is slightly down in yeah, lower single-digit percentage.

Lars Vom Cleff
Director of Small and Mid Cap Research, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Perfect. Understood. Your financial result in the third quarter was. It seems interest expense have rose compared to earlier quarters. I assume this is mainly triggered by your higher short-term debt, which you need to fund the net working capital, or is there any specific reason for the increase?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

No, there's no specific reason for the increase. Yes, you are right. We had to take a little bit more net debt on our balance sheet to finance the net operating working capital. Looking at our financial position, even if our net debt, now it's net debt and not net cash anymore, is yeah, EUR 100 million, our equity ratio is over 70%, and we can see growth.

Lars Vom Cleff
Director of Small and Mid Cap Research, Deutsche Bank

No, absolutely not. Don't worry. It was only data from my model.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. Okay.

Lars Vom Cleff
Director of Small and Mid Cap Research, Deutsche Bank

That covers my questions. Finally, also from my side, many thanks for your cooperation and support so far, and all the best for your restart at Rheinmetall.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Thanks, Lars.

Operator

Thank you. We have one final question in the queue. That's from the line of Riya Kotecha at Bank of America. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Hi, I had a follow-up question on the E-Lyte JV. I saw a press release about a month ago on the production ramp-up, saying that you will produce several thousand tons of electrolyte this year and then ramp up sales and that for 2023. I'm just wondering, is that going to auto OEMs or maybe the battery industry in terms of EVs, or is it more, say, energy storage? To that point, does it give you an indication of what the pricing or the margins can be relative to your sort of autos lubricants business today? Thanks.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

Well, that is done for like, all, yeah, high-tech batteries that need to be charged or recharged very, very fast. That means you have a lot of applications. It's not only electric cars, it's everywhere where you need or where you have the need that a battery is very fast recharged. Looking at the expected margins out of their business, they are very nice.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay, thank you. It's the last one, if I could squeeze it in. I know you have about a 28%- 27% stake, and you can build this up to either say 51% JV or acquire 100% of the company. Is there sort of a timeline on this that you need to make this decision by?

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

There's a timeline on it. It's between two-three years, something like that. It's midterm. Because first, of course, we want to develop commercialize the business and we already, like, agreed on the mechanism of pricing. It's then up to us how we decide if we want to increase our share and to fully consolidate that company or not.

Riya Kotecha
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you very much.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

We have all options.

Operator

Thank you. As there are no further questions in the queue at this time, I'll hand the floor back to our speakers for the closing comments.

Lutz Ackermann
Head of Investor Relations, Fuchs Petrolub

Yeah. I think with this we have come to the end of today's conference call, so thank you very much for your participation. If there's anything we can do for you after this call or over the next days, just give me a call and we will come back to you. Thank you and bye-bye.

Dagmar Steinert
CFO, Fuchs Petrolub

I would like to say, thank you as well to all of you. As I'm not retiring, I hope we will meet again on one or the other conference, and I wish you all the best. Thank you. Goodbye.

Operator

Thank you. Thank you for your attendance, ladies and gentlemen. This call has now been concluded. You may disconnect.

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