GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:G1A)
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May 7, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Pre-Close Call

Apr 4, 2025

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the GEA Group IG pre-close call, first quarter 2025 conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be the question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you need to press star one one on your telephone keypad. You will then hear an automatic message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw a question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to our first speaker today, Oliver Luckenbach, Head of IR. Please go ahead.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, thank you very much, Nadia, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and also a warm welcome to our Q1 2025 pre-close call. With me on the call are my deputy, Rebecca, and Eduard. As today's call will contain forward-looking statements, it will be conducted according to our disclaimer. I will not read the disclaimer, but please be aware of the cautionary language that is included in our safe harbor statement, which is part of our presentations you can find on the internet. We will now address nine topics, which we also discussed during recent conferences and roadshows, and afterwards, you will have some time to ask questions. First of all, we confirm our group guidance for fiscal year 2025, which is an organic sales growth between 1% and 4%, an EBITDA margin before restructuring expenses between 15.6% and 16.0%, and a return on capital employed between 30% and 35%.

Topic number two, customer industries. In food, we see continued activity. On the beverage side, the pipeline seems to be on a similar level compared to 2024. Dairy processing continues to look promising. Dairy farming, on the one side, milk price is under pressure in China, and there is a weak environment in Japan. On the other side, there are attractive milk prices in Europe and the US, so overall, we expect that this business will improve during the course of 2025. On the side of heating and refrigeration technologies, the pipeline shows good development, so the typical food and beverage-related applications remain attractive industries we serve with our decarbonization solutions. Order intake, topic number three. In general, we expect that 2025 will be another good year for GEA.

The pipeline continues to look promising, and we also see that customers are coming back to negotiate large orders, but we can't pinpoint the specific quarter when orders will be signed. From that perspective, the number of large orders in Q4 last year was higher than expected, so it's better to look at GEA's order intake on a rolling last 12-month view. With an order intake of EUR 1.6 billion, Q4 2024 was a very strong quarter. That's not the new normal, and please do also keep in mind that Q1 2024 was a decent quarter with close to EUR 1.4 billion in order intake. That gets me to topic number four, sales. Due to the composition of our order backlog at year-end 2024, with more large orders, sales generation is likely to be slower at the beginning of the year and will accelerate towards the second half.

Organic sales growth in Q1 is expected to be closer to the lower end of our range of 1%-4%. Topic number five, EBITDA margin before restructuring expenses. Our EBITDA margin guidance clearly indicates that we also want to make progress with regards to our profitability in 2025. Therefore, you can expect that we already want to show some progress in the first quarter of this year, and just to remind you, the EBITDA margin before restructuring expenses in Q1 last year was 14.5%. That's it from my side, and I will now pass over to my colleague, Rebecca.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Thanks, Oliver. Hello, everybody. Let me continue with topic number six, what to keep in mind for the cash flow. Just as a reminder, with regards to Capex, we stated that we do expect Capex of around EUR 235 million for the full year 2025. With regards to net working capital to sales, our new ambition level of our Mission 30 has started with the fiscal year 2025. Our new target corridor is 7%-9% instead of 8%-10%. Due to seasonality, there has always been a sequential uptick in net working capital in Q1 from the Q4 levels. We do not expect that it will be different in 2025. Q1 net working capital ratio will most likely be higher than the 6% reported for the fourth quarter. What else to know?

At the end of February, we had the repayment of our borrower's note loan of EUR 100 million, so we have no more financial debt left. Topic number seven, restructuring expenses. As there have been a lot of questions on this topic on the day of the Q4 release and also after the publication, we would like to repeat the statements we made in order to make it really crystal clear to everyone. First of all, with our Mission 26, we indicated that we will have EUR 130 million-EUR 150 million of restructuring expenses between fiscal year 2023 and fiscal year 2026. In fiscal year 2023, we booked EUR 60.5 million. In fiscal year 2024, we booked EUR 61 million. In total, more than EUR 120 million have already been booked.

In the Q4 analyst call, our CFO has indicated that we will most likely slightly exceed the upper end of the range, but not significantly, due to the unforeseen war in Ukraine, which had resulted in a need to restructure our operations in Russia. We clearly promised that from 1st of January 2027 onwards, we will no longer adjust our EBITDA for restructuring charges. That means the remaining restructuring charges will be booked in 2025 and 2026, with the higher share expected for the year 2025. Topic number eight, share buyback program. I will give you an update as of last week, Friday, 28th of March. We executed in the meantime EUR 376 million, so 94% of our EUR 400 million share buyback program. In number of shares, that means we bought back 9.1 million shares, which is 5.27% of our shares outstanding.

The average price paid is EUR 41.56, so well below yesterday's closing price of EUR 55.10. The program ends in April 2025, and keep in mind that the shares will be canceled. Last but not least, topic number nine, additional financial information, just for some housekeeping. Depreciation amortization, we do expect for the year 2025, EUR 210 million. The financial result is expected with minus EUR 30 million. For Q1, the weighted average number of shares used to calculate basic and diluted earnings per share is 164.1 million. The tax rate for 2025 is expected to be 29% for the P&L, and the cash tax rate is, however, expected to remain on a similar level as in previous years, so 24%-25%. We are open up the Q&A for any questions you may have.

Nadia, can you please take care of it?

Operator

Thank you so much. Dear participants, as a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, you need to press *11 on your telephone keypad and wait for a name to be announced. To withdraw a question, please press *11 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A rosters. This will take a few moments. Now we are going to take our first question. The question comes to the line of Sven Weier from UBS. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Sven Weier
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Good afternoon. Thanks for doing the call and taking my questions. First one is on the demand environment. Probably know it's early days, but wondering if you already have a sense on how these announced tariffs would be hitting your clients specifically, whether you think that has an influence on their decision-making. I also want to make sure I understood your qualification on the order guides, because obviously we all understand that EUR 1.6 billion is a very high benchmark, but did you also say that even EUR 1.4 billion is a high benchmark for Q1? I'll follow up with another one. Thank you.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, thank you very much, Sven. Let me start with the second question with order intake. What I said, what we said is that the EUR 1.6 billion was quite a high number given the seven large orders we booked in the fourth quarter of last year. We said that our pipeline continues to look quite promising, but as we also discussed in the past, it's always hard then to finally pick the quarter when the order will finally be signed. Alluding to the first quarter of last year, we were just mentioning that it was also a decent quarter, not a very high quarter or outstanding quarter, but also a decent quarter. That is actually the message we want to give here at this stage. Yeah, very obvious question regarding tariffs, especially today, looking at the development in the stock markets, now the second day in a row.

Let's put the numbers into a place here, what we also said recently. The US in general accounts for around 18% of our total sales. Around 99% of the procurement for the US is done in the United States. However, as we also communicated in the past, there are also some imports, and that is around 30% of sales. What we have in our contract in general, we will now look into this in more detail, is that we have the ability to pass on tariffs to our customers. That is the status quo.

However, for sure in this entire topic, because it just came up yesterday, we need to look a little bit more into the details, but I'm quite sure that we will give you here a further update then with the announcement of our Q1 figures.

Sven Weier
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

On the tariff side, I mean, I also meant that what does it do to the investment behavior of your clients? I mean, do you think this just confuses them more in the wait or making decisions, or do you feel you are a bit more insulated on their decision-making from that?

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, maybe I share a personal opinion here, because as you can imagine, we do not have these insights. I think everybody's a little bit puzzled what is going on with the tariffs in the United States. I think it was expected to a certain extent that there might be some tariffs, but I think the entire world was surprised that more or less every country is faced now here with very high tariffs. That is something we need to digest. What we have also shared in the past, and for sure we will also look into this now in more detail again, that from our point of view, there are not a lot of, let's say, real competitors in the United States to GEA.

We have a certain outstanding position here, but that is, as you can imagine, every management will now push the organization again to come up with maybe some more detailed numbers here, some more detailed insights. As you know, in general, we have leading market positions. It is not a nice development, but it is also no disaster from our point of view.

Sven Weier
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Thanks for that, Oliver. Just a follow-up on what you said previously, because I'm not sure I understood that. Because on the one hand, you say 90% of local sales are procured locally, but then you say 30% of sales are imported. What's the difference there? Sorry if I am slow to understand this.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, maybe I jump just in here, Sven. From the 18% of the sales we generate in the U.S., roughly one-third is generated with products which are imported from outside of the U.S., mainly actually from Europe to the United States. One-third. This one-third could be impacted then by tariffs. What the 90% is referring to is really the procurement. If we source things for projects, etc., in the States, then actually 90% of that is locally sourced.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Okay. Understood. Thank you, Rebecca. I'll come back later with another one. Thank you.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Okay.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Thank you, Sven.

Operator

Thank you. Dear participants, as a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone keypad and wait for a name to be announced. Just give us a moment. Now we have again Sven Weier on the line. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Sven Weier
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Okay. Yeah, sorry.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah.

Operator

Sven, go ahead.

Sven Weier
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Yeah, just a very quick one, because I was on the EBITDA margin comment you made. Could you just kindly repeat that? Q1 EBITDA margin.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah. First of all, we said that the guidance we have given for the full year, the corridor I talked about at the beginning, you know, of 15.6%-16.0%, that clearly indicates that we also want to make progress here with the profitability in the entire fiscal year 2025. Therefore, normally, because it is a little bit more back-end loaded, usually also at the beginning of the year, we want to show a good start. That is actually also what you can expect for the Q1 of this year. You can expect improvement over prior year. The prior year number, which I gave you, was 14.5% we achieved in Q1 2024. We also want to show here some profitability improvement already in the first quarter.

Sven Weier
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Sounds good. Understood. Have a nice weekend.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Thank you.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. The question comes to the line of Sebastian Growe from BNP Paribas Exane. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Sebastian Growe
Senior Equity Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Yeah, hi Rebecca, hi Oliver, hi everybody. Just one question. I had the same impulse and idea as Sven had around the EBITDA margin. Apparently, you were quite helpful around specifying a bit more detail on what we could expect from quarter one when it comes to the revenue recognition with the lower end of the provided range being seen as more likely by you. Apparently, we have a 20-60 basis points increase in the margin target for the year. Could you also be equally specific or at least sort of directionally specific as to how to think about quarter one? Again, there were many things that look, I think, at this property sale. You had then also the issues in SFT with the logistics provider change, etc. I think it could just help us a bit to think around the margin quality then.

That would be helpful, thank you.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, at this point in time, at the end of the day, that is the announcement, the message we want to give here that we are really having a lot of confidence that we will already improve our margin in the first quarter. We had a kind of wash, as you mentioned, in SFT in the first quarter of last year. On the one side, we had this gain from the sale of real estate in the United States. You add that was around very low double digits. At the same time, this was eaten up, so to speak, from the delay in service business that was delayed from the first quarter to the second party to the third quarter. It is a zero-sum game here at the end of the day.

Other than that, so far, there are no, let's say, funnies, so to speak, aware to us at this point in time. From that perspective, you can, as I said, expect here also a very decent quarter in terms of margin improvement.

Sebastian Growe
Senior Equity Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Yeah, understood. The last question, knowledge that it's really, really early days with the tariffs and what it could do then also to sort of safety cushion in terms of inventories, etc. I don't know if it's too early to ask the question, but nonetheless, I will. Would you be prepared for being sort of playing it more safely if you want? From the working capital and with that inventory perspective going forward, in order to kind of get rid of potential supply chain disruptions, which all at equal might well happen after the latest happenings and events?

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

It's really a very good question. There's no doubt about it. It's really a little bit too early. You can be assured that especially GEA, as soon as we have heard it yesterday morning, we are looking into this. In order to be able to give you also a good answer to that question, we need to check the facts with our colleagues, especially in the United States, and then to see what might this change in the general supply chain and so on and so forth. It's really too early at this point in time, as I said, but surely we will answer that question then in four weeks' time.

Sebastian Growe
Senior Equity Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Great. We will hear a bit here. Thank you, then in four weeks' time. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

Bye. Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. The question comes to the line of Adrian Pehl from Oddo BHF. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah, hi, it's Adrian here. Thanks for taking my questions, actually. I have still a few open. I'm trying to rephrase a little bit the question on the underlying demand that has somehow been asked. The point is, when I've got you correct, Q4 was obviously quite strong in order intake, and Q1 is seeing somewhat slower levels than that, obviously. I was wondering, first of all, is that kind of a normal seasonal pattern that you see, or is it just a steeper decline of the order activity? Having said this for the rest of the year, I mean, obviously, some clients, I don't know if they really anticipated their contract signings in Q4, although we have been speaking about that this was a bit delayed last year. I guess they would have expected tariffs to come somehow.

I'm really wondering how strong is the replacement need or new project need for them, actually, in light of the expectations that higher tariffs are coming? Do they just sit and wait there, or what's your feeling around it? Having said this, you're guiding us still for the second half to be better. Maybe you could say a few words on the visibility, in particular, also when you were referring to dairy farming, which looks quite soft, actually, at the moment, and also in your guidance. I have some housekeeping follow-ups.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, let me start, and then Rebecca will also give you some insights. If you look at the over the last couple of quarters, you will always see that we have seen a very strong, let's say, base business, orders up to 1 million, up to 5 billion, depending on the quarter. That was relatively stable. Every quarter is an outstanding quarter in terms of order intake. It very often depends on the number of large orders we are having. If it's only one, two, or three large orders, then it's a more normal quarter. If there are seven large orders, as we have seen in Q4, then it's at EUR 1.6 billion. There is nothing wrong, let's say, with the underlying business, which is very stable since a couple of quarters already.

You know how far or how strong we push also our service business. That is also very solid, a very reliable business. There are also no indications available to us as of today that it is slowing also. The ground business, the base business of GEA is fantastic. It is doing, showing a very good performance.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

I think what is important to add here is, I mean, as you asked about also the visibility, I think therefore we have to distinguish what we are talking about, order intake, and are we talking about sales? Order intake, I think this was already explained now by Oliver. In terms of sales generation, what is our visibility here? I mean, we guide for 1%-4% organic sales growth. I mean, this is also based on what we are seeing in the pipeline. It is based on the order backlog. For sure, I mean, if you look at the order backlog, which was at the end of last year at EUR 3.1 billion, EUR 2.6 billion out of that for, let's say, sales execution within 2025, and the remainder actually for 2026.

The order backlog actually had, in terms of its composition, a higher share of larger orders. That is why we were referring to that; therefore, the phasing of the sales generation will be slower in the first half and will accelerate towards the second half because of the composition of the order backlog of this higher share of larger orders. With regards to your specific question on farm technologies, and I think that is an important one, with regards to farm technologies, we are guiding for sales. Again, this is sales and not order intake, as we do not guide on order intake. Sales we guide for a decline of 6%-12% in 2025. Why do we guide for this decline? Because of the order backlog at the end of 2024. The order backlog in farm technologies was at the end of 2024 down by almost 40%.

Therefore, it's obviously a tougher environment then for the sales generation. Because if you look at the 2024 development for farm technologies, they were already suffering in terms of order intake, but sales generation was still pretty strong. That's why, because they were basically eating up, if you want to call it that way, the order backlog. That's the explanation for farm technologies for the sales generation. For the order intake side on farm technologies, that's exactly what Oliver early stated. It was also the message which we gave at our Q4 results that there has been a bit of a mixed picture in the sense that milk prices in Europe and the US are actually good. In China, it's tougher. In Japan, it's tougher. In general, we do see that the business actually will improve during the course of 2025.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Can you remind us in China and Japan, how much is that on average? Just very roughly.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Honestly, I don't have the data yet.

We're just checking.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Housekeeping one, as you were repaying the final debt, so to say. The financial result was characterized by, let's call it, high other expenses, partially related to your pension program, as far as I understood. Could you share some details on how we think of it? Should we think of it in Q1?

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, I mean, the higher interest result, which we guide for 2025, so the minus EUR 30 million, and it was already also higher than, sorry, in 2024, is basically the result or has strongly correlation with the strong performance of our share price in 2024. Because part of what is also in the interest result is actually part of the long-term incentive of the executive board, which has to do, which is linked to the share price development. Second, also the share buyback program. Don't ask me about the details, but from an accounting perspective, we have to make some, I think it's like interest stuff, which we have to book in our interest result with regards to the share buyback program, because we are owning or we are owning currently the shares. Therefore, they have to make some, this has an impact on the interest result.

The high share price performance actually was leading to this higher result.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Right. This is obviously then also a topic for Q1, I guess. It should be higher than the run rate over the rest of the year, or?

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Don't have any specific indications.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

We'll get to it.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yes, it's quite early.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Just to farm tech, Adrian here. Asia in total is in the low, very low double digits in terms of sales. Asia in total, for sure, China plays an important part here, just to give you an indication here.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Right. Two final ones very quickly. Forgive me if I missed that, but did you say something on phasing of the CapEx, of the EUR 235 million throughout the year and with respect to Q1?

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

With regards to CapEx, I mean, looking at the experience from last year, maybe, I mean, in 2024, if you look at the CapEx phasing, it was more back-end loaded. My best guess is that it also will be more back-end loaded. That's my personal best guess now.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. And then very lastly, as you were mentioning, Oliver, the service business, how should we think of that actually sequentially? I mean, year over year should be up, I guess, since it continues to grow. Is there something you can share with us on a sequential basis and the overall share of service business? Has that been growing?

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

No, let's say there are no, I would not expect huge developments from a quarter to a quarter. It's more steady growth. At least that is what we have seen over the last couple of not only quarters, but even years. I think we closed last year with 38% share in total. For the full year, but in Q4, it was already 39%. It's growing. I would not expect any huge deviations here from quarter to quarter. It's more some kind of a steady growth we are seeing, at least we have no other indication so far.

Adrian Pehl
Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

All right. Thank you.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

You're welcome, Adrian.

Operator

Thank you. Now we are going to take our next question. The question comes to the line of Max Yates from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. Hey, good afternoon. Just my first question is just around price rises. Have you, on your new orders or your services, put through any price rises year to date? That is the first question.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah. In general, as you know, central we are giving targets to our different divisions, and the divisions then break it down to the individual units and legal entities. Let's say price increases are done on a very local, very local basis in general, as a rule of thumb. That is what we have also mentioned in our full year. A call showed this chart also that we intend to, whatever we see, at least in terms of own, let's say, wage increases, we want to pass it on. Wherever possible, it's always depending on the specific application, on the specific market, has to do with the competition in the local market.

In the past couple of years, if you follow the development of our gross margin, you have seen a very steady improvement of our gross margin showing or indicating that we are on the right track here with our price increases. For this year, that's a clear expectation from the top management to the divisions, to the regions, to each and every legal entity to further increase also gross margin, in other words, to improve prices. Yeah.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Just a quick couple of follow-ups. You mentioned 30% of what you sell in the US is imported from outside, mostly Europe. How does it work on existing contracts where you've taken an order, but you may deliver it at the point in which tariffs are in place? Are there measures in the contracts to pass that on to the customer? Is it kind of does the customer just have to pay it as they accept the product and it crosses the border? How does that actually work in practice, and who bears the responsibility?

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah. Fair question, Max. I am aware of the fact that we added additional language to our contracts already in the last couple of weeks to prepare for potential tariffs. Is that 100% coverage? I cannot guarantee you that. I know that we already worked on that, on adding pass-through clauses to our contracts. In addition, it depends then on the, how is it called, Incoterms, which we have agreed with the customer. I mean, our US team now, or our teams now, have to check exactly on the current contracts which Incoterms have been agreed with the customer, whether the pass-through clauses were already integrated in the contracts. That is actually a review process which is currently happening.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Just the third one is around FX. Obviously, sorry, I know it's a little bit late on the call, so apologies if you've mentioned this.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

No problem. Go ahead.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

FX has moved, obviously, most likely against you given the dollar. Could you give us an update of what you think the sort of sales and EBIT impact is, or EBITDA impact is for this year based on current FX rates?

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

As you know, and also here, especially if you have seen it, regarding U.S. dollar euro, a couple of weeks, months ago, we were close to parity. Now, the last figure I've seen, it's now 1.10. I haven't checked the last 10 minutes. Normally, we would not expect a significant impact in Q1, if then maybe rather on the positive side. For the full year, we really now have to see how the U.S. dollar is developing. At least for Q1, I wouldn't expect any major impact here.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Understood. Just in terms of thinking about the competitive landscape, because obviously, if tariffs come in place, you're importing some of what you sell in the U.S., who do you describe as your kind of biggest competitor, particularly in the stuff that you import into the U.S.? Is it a local competitor that produces locally, or are you more competing against larger international players who maybe have a sort of similar manufacturer setup to your own? I guess what I'm trying to understand is, if you put up prices by 20%, are you going to be at a competitive disadvantage against your main competitor in the U.S.?

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Very fair question, honestly, Max. I mean, if I think about our competitors, I think many actually have quite a, let's say, similar production footprint than we have, so quite Europe-focused. I mean, there are players in the U.S. like JBT and also SPX Flow in the United States. Honestly, I'm not an expert on what they exactly produce in the U.S., whether this is exactly then the equipment which we would export from Europe to the U.S. I can't answer that question really to a perfect degree.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

That is when, as I've mentioned earlier, I'm not sure if you already joined that meeting then or not, but that is exactly what we are doing right now to get a much better understanding here. In general, our view is, but again, we need to double-check this, that there are no very major competitors in the U.S. which can deliver the same kind of, let's say, quality, resilience of products, and so on and so forth. Again, this is the first answer we can give here. That is the reason why the team, especially in the U.S., is currently working on this, as Rebecca said.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Two very quick final ones. Just on the balance sheet, obviously, you're in a very strong net cash position. Can you just remind us how you think about your balance sheet position? Are you kind of proactively looking for M&A? Is there a sort of leverage position at which you would consider kind of further share buybacks, or is the kind of net cash position somewhere or a level that is kind of desirable in the current environment? Can you just sort of remind us exactly how you think about the balance sheet here?

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah, sure. That was also a topic at the Capital Markets Day. That is also a clear view we're having on this, using our net cash flows. First of all, it's on CapEx. On the one side, you know that we will last year, we spent a little bit more than 4% of sales on CapEx. This will go down to 2.5-3% over the next couple of years. We clearly indicated that we want to increase our dividend a little bit stronger compared to the past, really striving for the 50% payout ratio in terms of net profit. Priority number three is M&A. We are still looking at this worldwide. If there's an interesting target available, we would like to also not only grow organically, but also via acquisitions. Last but not least, there's a share buyback.

As Rebecca mentioned at the beginning, we are in the last days, hours of our current share buyback. It will conclude in a couple of days, I would say. We will look into this share buyback again. There are clear priorities we have set here. As you know, we have done now two share buybacks in a total volume of EUR 700 million. That is nothing we exclude anymore. We did not do it for a couple of years in between, but now we have done two. This is something we will look into more detail in the coming future.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Understood. Just very final clarification. Sorry. This was because I was late. What did you say about the financial result, the EUR 30 million guidance? Did that change?

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

No, it hasn't changed.

Max Yates
Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It hasn't changed. Okay. Understood. Thank you very much for the time. Appreciate it.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

You're welcome, Max. Bye-bye.

Operator

Thank you. Now we are going to take our last question for today. Just give us a moment. The question comes to the line of Uma Samlin from Bank of America. Your line is open. Please ask the question. My apologies.

Uma Samlin
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Hi. Good afternoon, Oliver and Rebecca. Thank you for taking my question. The first one is I'm just following up with Max's question on the orders that you have from the U.S. in terms of tariffs. You mentioned that you have put the tariff clause in the past few weeks, but what about the orders before? I guess a lot of the, especially for the project, more project-based businesses, that it's usually longer duration. How do you deal with the increasing tariffs? How should we think about that going forward for the orders in your backlog in the U.S.? That's my first one. The second one is on your phasing of your sales. You mentioned that will be more back-loaded. How should we think about the phasing? How should we think about throughout the mix in terms of OE and sales in Q1? Thank you.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yeah. Let me maybe start with your second question. We have given for the full year an organic sales growth guidance of 1-4%. In my opening remarks, I mentioned that we will start at the lower end of this range into 2025 due to the reasons Rebecca also explained has to do with the order backlog. It is the same number compared to end of 2023, but the mix is different because we have much more large orders in there compared to last year. That is the reason why from today's point of view, we would expect organic sales growth development to be a little bit more back-end loaded and not front-end loaded.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

With regards to tariffs, I mean, I can actually only repeat what I stated earlier that, I mean, yes, we added this language. I can't exactly tell you when we exactly started to actually include that into the contract. That's nothing I'm aware of that I know exactly the timing of it. Regarding the backlog or the orders which are on the backlog now for longer and which definitely will not fall under this period of, let's say, adding this additional language to the contract, there we need to check the Incoterms, as I said, agreed with the customer. Who is paying the duties? In general, what we have is contract exceptions mentioned, for example, for additional price hikes, etc. This is something which the US team is currently doing. They are reviewing now the existing contracts exactly to actually answer your question.

Uma Samlin
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

All right. Thank you very much.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

You're welcome, Uma.

Operator

Thank you. Dear Speaker, there are no further questions for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to you, Speaker Oliver Luckenbach, for any closing remarks.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yes. Thank you very much, Nadia. First of all, thank you very much for participating in our today's pre-close call. Also, thank you very much for the questions, also to take home here and there, as we have mentioned during the call. With the end of this call, just to remind you, we start our quiet period. I am already very much looking forward, for sure, to talking to you all again on the 8th of May, the day of the release of our Q1 numbers. With that, all the best from the entire Investor Relations team here. Stay healthy and have a good time. Bye-bye.

Rebecca Weigl
Deputy Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Enjoy the sunny weekend.

Oliver Luckenbach
Head of Investor Relations, GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

Yes. Hopefully.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a nice day.

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