Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. A warm welcome to our conference call on Bilfinger's third quarter results 2022. My name is Bettina Schneider, and I will lead you through this call. First of all, I'd like to inform you that all participants are in a listen-only mode, and that the conference call is being recorded. With me here in the room in Mannheim are our CEO, Thomas Schulz, and our CFO, Matti Jäkel. After their presentation, you will have the opportunity to pose your questions via phone or via chat in the webcast. With this, I would like to hand over to Thomas.
Thank you, Bettina. Hello, everybody. Nice greetings here out of the headquarters Mannheim, Germany. Let me start with the key highlights for quarter three. We had a very good order intake. We are 19% organically up in the order intake. We are 11% organically up in the revenue. The quarter reflects quite a good success for our business in all areas. EBITDA margin on a slight move to prior year, like for like, 3.4%, roughly similar, and the cash flow better than last year in the comparison like for like. What are the main drivers for us? It's the big demand all over for more efficiency and more sustainability from our customers. On the operational side, we confirm the outlook from 2022. On top of it, we informed you in quarter two regarding a strategy update.
We will have a Capital Markets Day on February the fourteenth next year to give you significant more details on that, and then it's about the future of our company. If we then look in the last bullet, what we have, it's the efficiency program, and I will come quite in detail during the presentation on that program and the meaning. Before we go into the figures, one slide about safety. Safety is, for us, unbelievably important. We run for zero accidents. We run for the best safety environment what we can create for us, for our colleagues and subcontractors. You see that we are, since 2020, a little bit on the wrong path, but all the measures are taken to counteract it.
We are safety leading in the industries, and it's a door opener for a lot of companies and a lot of societies where we act in. Now to the figures. You see here on the upper left part the orders received. We start this time with quarter one 2021 to show you the whole development over more than one year, how our order intake developed. You see that we have, since beginning of 2021, quite a good run. 22% growth from quarter three last year to this quarter is quite a significant improvement. 60% of that is framework and service work, 40% projects. To highlight here is our good development of the order backlog, which is quite the highest for a very long time. If we then look down to the revenue, it's a 14% growth.
Here, the same from quarter one 2021, coming from EUR 833 million to EUR 1.075 billion is a very good development. All the orders we received and all the areas what we have show orders received big increase. Same in revenue. We would like to highlight here biopharma and energy transition and transformation, which developed quite well. Year to date, 35% of our business is out of what we define as projects and frame and service contracts. With that into the market development. For us, continued positive demand in all areas, in all industries, for all the competencies what we can offer, despite all the well-known challenges in the global economy. For us, the market development is positive and will be positive. If we look into the chemical and petrochemical business, roughly 30% of our revenue, year to date.
For us, from a trend, sideways. What are the long-term developments? What are the long-term drivers? Efficiency, sustainability, energy cost reduction, to have a flexibility where resource raw material is coming from, to have flexibility on skilled workers and to look into capacity expansion, especially North America and Middle East, and deterioration more in Europe. If we then look into the current situation, we see a clear increase of demand, ongoing increase for combined industrial services, and that in, especially into energy transition, as well as efficiency improvement of existing or new plants, new technologies, as well as always a sustainability impact in a positive way. From a regional point of view, we see actually the world relatively stable in the area where we operate, Germany, more weak. Our positioning, we have asset maintenance, industrial projects, and plant turnaround, so we cover the whole scope in that industry.
78% of the business in chemical and petrochem comes out of Europe, 15% out of North America and Middle East, and 7% out of technology. You see which kind of potential we have here to go more into other areas than we have only in Europe, where we have quite a significant positive position. On the right side, it's about the energy. Roughly 15% of the revenue this year. Our trend is definitely upwards. The long-term drivers for that industry is, of course, CO2 reduction, sustainability, and here, too, efficiency improvement. Of course, on top of it, to get independent from one source like Russia, from one energy deliverer like gas. To fragment, to be more independent and of course, government subsidies.
The current situation is a significant increase in green energy investments, which, for example, is electrification of industrial assets, the revival of nuclear and of course, all new technologies, what you can imagine about hydrogen, carbon capture, and we are all in that. It doesn't matter if it's battery production, it doesn't matter if it's commercial heating, cooling, hydrogen, carbon capture storage. We are with our competence all over and contribute already today in a big, big amount to these kind of new technologies, as well as what we call brownfield, existing infrastructure to improve inefficiency, always with a sustainability note on it. 55% of that revenue comes out of Europe, 8% out of international, and 37% out of technology. Here you see another growth potential for our company. If we then look into oil and gas, revival of oil and gas, our trend is definitely up.
It makes roughly 20% of the revenue. Long-term development. Look into the profit of the big companies in oil and gas. Record high profit levels. Investment is back on the list. It's an under-invested industry, but in the investments, it's not only to revitalize existing infrastructure, it is actually to make it more green, more sustainable, more efficient, and on top of it, to use new technology, new ways of doing energy in existing infrastructure. For us, the current situation is that we get a significant improvement in investment levels into our books. Based on that, the customers are actually very eager. We've reduced own planning departments, engineering departments to talk with suppliers, with companies, with partners like us to help them. On top of that, of course, the hydrogen, the carbon capture is here a big business too. We do asset integrity management. We do new technology.
We do technology on existing plants like revamping and so on, which is very attractive for the customers to order from us. 84% comes out of Europe, 9% out of international, and 7% out of technology. When you compare this 84% with the world map where oil and gas is coming from, then you see which kind of potential we have in the Bilfinger Group. On the right side, pharma and biopharma makes roughly 5% of the revenue year to date. Trend definitely up. Here we talk about demographic development. We have more people on Earth. More people move from the third to the second, from the second to the first. With that movement, you utilize significant more pharma and biopharma products. That drives growth.
On top of it, we have de-globalization, which means a lot of areas would like to have the production in their country or minimum in their area so that they can influence it. That's out of the corona experience. If we then look into the current situation, we have movements, investments, demands all over with quite a big customer group, partly new customer group out of the last few years. It's a very profitable business. We are with our life cycle services, with our engineering to prefabrication construction, maintenance business, very well-positioned. 40% comes out of E&M Europe. Technology with 60% and nil out of international, which is a sign in itself. Out of that, when we talk about that, it's about innovation, what we offer. It's competence combined with innovation. Today, a short example of that, the so-called combined digital inspection service.
We combine existing technology, put it together, offer it as a service package with a special digital product on top of it to our customers, and here we are able to reduce cost up to 80%. We improve safety by having people not operating on the site, operating actually over a screen and a joystick to make a digital twin, and putting that immediately into the planning of the customer or in our own resource to help clients to see failure and downtimes coming, which is predictive maintenance. We are well-positioned in that area too. Out of that innovation, we have to look into what are we doing with the company, where are we going? Of course, you can imagine that we saw the reaction yesterday and today in the market, and we know that we have to give you some more information.
Let me start with the strategy update. You saw in the overall market analysis which kind of business we do today and what we can cover more. Of course, with our goal, with our vision to be the number one in efficiency and sustainability improvement as an industrial service provider, we look very much into these areas where we have competence, where we are profitable, where we have customer contacts, and we would like to have that over all segments and all regions where we work in. This is a self-propelled growth and profit growth and cash growth, what we see. Through standardization of business models, through standardization of products and the way how we act with customers. That we will explain and show you very detailed on the fourteenth of February 2023 on the Capital Markets Day. We did, of course, quite a lot of things.
Before too, it's a further development. One part, what we would like to highlight here is a couple of months ago, we have a new management structure, the so-called Group Executive Management, which contains all the important central functions and business functions in one team, how we guide the company. This increased significantly the efficiency and collaboration, and brings top management closer to the front line, closer to the customer. On top of it, we have an efficiency program. All that we do to be and to succeed where we are partly in some areas and some industry to be the number one for efficiency and sustainability improvement for our clients. Now to the efficiency program. The efficiency program is something what we place as a step change to enable the company to be agile and lean in the administrative functions.
It will unlock resources, it will make us significantly faster in decision, and optimizing and simplifying structures and processes. On top of it, we have in that program an investment in education and training. Let me tell or explain a little bit what it actually means. It means that we look into the facilities to reduce rental facilities, to combine smaller facilities in one, and to optimize the whole facility management part, what we have in the group worldwide. There's a big improvement of cost possible. On top of it, the spend, the cost spend, what we have out of the administrative structures and our doing has to get reduced quite significantly. Why can we do that all? Because we digitalize more, we standardize more, we optimize more, and we have a clear focus on a strategy to make us the number one in efficiency and sustainability.
On top of it, of course, the simplification of administrative structures. That means less management levels, bigger teams, more flat in the hierarchy. All that has a potential of EUR 55 million. That potential of EUR 55 million, we decided to put 1/4 of it, roughly EUR 12 million, EUR 13 million into training and education, and EUR 42 million to the bottom line for the cost of EUR 60 million. Why are we doing that with education and training? It is important to understand that Bilfinger is a people business, and to attract people and to develop the competence and the quality towards the customer, you have to invest in education and training. We did that before. We will go on to do that, but now more strategic long-term and fixed as a clear investment into the future.
EUR 12 million, EUR 13 million of that will go each year into training and education to make that happen. If we then look further, of course, such a program with a return on investment below two years will have a positive cash effect and a positive profit effect throughout the time to come. You take one step to do it and to finalize it, and not choosing the way to split such an activity over three or four years because you will then not see the result coming to the bottom line. You will see the result on the bottom line, and you will see how many people we have to reduce, how many facilities we have to take out, and how we restructure.
We will be unbelievably transparent, and for that, we inform you that we will have a virtual lunch meeting on the twelfth of December, and you will get the invitations over Bettina's department to inform you very transparent about that. This is a program which will happen, and I'm used to that what we announce that it will happen. I guarantee you that. Out of that, why are we doing that with the strategy, with the efficiency program? Fairly simple. The business potential what Bilfinger has is largely untapped in growth, in profit, in cash. That is what we do. We focus on that where we are good, and we will do that all over where we want to do it. Of course, we promised you to have at least 5% EBITDA in 2024.
That means we see, of course, an upside after that. To achieve that, you have to prove it, you have to make it happen. Of course, you target what you have at first, what you have in your hands, and that is to simplify and to optimize your own business. That means structures and activities. With that, I would like to give to Matti, our CFO.
Thank you very much, Thomas. Good afternoon from my side. Let me give you a bit of a flavor on a good successful quarter three in 2022. As Thomas said, the orders grew by 19% organically, the revenue 11%, which makes already for a very healthy backlog for the next year, 2023. The EBITDA for the quarter was EUR 37 million compared to EUR 54 million in the prior year quarter, which had EUR 19 million in real estate disposals in there and EUR 3 million special items. On a like-for-like comparison, this quarter we achieved an EBITDA margin of 3.4%, and we're on the prior year level. Net profit of EUR 22 million for the quarter compared to EUR 41 million. Again, last year's quarter three was impacted by those positive one-offs.
The gross profit grew to EUR 114 million in this quarter compared to EUR 106 million. The gross profit margin was 10.6%, slightly lower than the 11.3% last year. SG&A expenses, and Thomas referred to the efficiency program, were EUR 78 million this year and quite a bit higher than the EUR 71 million last year. While the percentage of 7.3% looks like an improvement over last year's 7.6%, the absolute numbers are not going in the right direction, and this underpins the necessity for the efficiency program. EBITDA, I said before, 3.4% and compared to last year on a same level when you eliminate the one-off effects. We also see improvements in working capital year-over-year.
Last year, we had net trade assets of EUR 500 million, this year EUR 473 million. This was helped by advanced payments from the very good order intake in some of the projects. Free cash flow EUR 69 million on the same level as last year of EUR 72 million. Again, if you compare the EUR 31 million or eliminate the EUR 31 million in real estate disposal of last year, it was a nice improvement over last year's quarter. A bit more flavor on the segments. E&M Europe, orders received again, nice organic growth, 13% on the order intake side. Book-to-bill ratio of almost 1.0. Healthy backlog of EUR 1.8 billion for this segment. Revenue 6% increase, EUR 676 million compared to EUR 633 million in the prior quarter.
A bit down from the second quarter. Obviously, we had a very successful turnaround season in the second quarter, so this is all as we would have expected it. Profitability in the third quarter, 5.4%, EUR 37 million for our largest segment, Europe. A bit of an uptick over last year, where we had EUR 33 million and 5.2%. The revenue split, in terms of the work type that we have, 75% is with frame and service contracts. A very strong recurring base in E&M Europe. 25% of the revenue is within projects. In terms of the industry end customer split, 35% is chemical and petrochemical, 25% oil and gas, 10% in the energy sector, 5% is in pharma and biopharma.
What Thomas elaborated before, you can see quite a bit of potential here as well. E&M International. A significant growth on the order intake side, from EUR 160 million last year to EUR 223 million this year. There is a bit of a help with the exchange rate, but +74% organically demonstrates that the right decisions were taken in the past and the shift from pure construction projects to more frame and service work is working quite well. Revenue also grew by 40%, roughly from EUR 141 million to EUR 218 million. You can see the progression of revenue if you look at the bottom left corner from EUR 110 million to EUR 218 million.
That's almost 100% over that period of the quarter seven quarters. On the profitability side, the EBITDA was slightly negative in Q3. However, better than last year. We're working our way out of the projects that were acquired in the prior periods. We expect a solid quarter four in the international business. The split by revenue frame and service contract 65% versus 35% on the project has improved over the period. The revenue split by end customer, 25% is in chemical and petrochemical, 10% oil and gas, 5% in energy, and as Thomas said earlier, there's not yet work in pharma, biopharma, life sciences. The other end customer 60%.
As you well know, we have a large framework contracts with Procter & Gamble, so we're in the consumer goods business and also with our Centennial, we do quite a bit of government business in the United States. There's plenty of room to grow on our core end markets. Technologies order intake quite interesting from pharma and biopharma in the life sciences arena from EUR 170 million last quarter to EUR 187 million this year. A 10% organic growth. Book-to-bill 1.23, which makes for a good growth going forward. Revenue increased from EUR 141 million, 8% to EUR 153 million this quarter. Profitability almost on the same level as last year, with 4.0%.
Revenue split here, as you would expect, very much on projects, 95%, but we also have one or the other service and frame contracts in the technology segment. The revenue split by end customer is really reflects the overall Bilfinger portfolio between chemical, oil and gas, energy, and obviously the largest part here with pharma and biopharma. In summary, I would say a good and solid quarter three. However, the focus continues to be on margin progression and cash generation, as Thomas said, looking at the strategy going forward. With that, back to you, Thomas.
Thank you very much, Matti. The operational outlook for 2022 is confirmed. We will deliver a significant increase in the revenue, and we will deliver operating a significant increase in the EBITDA, but impacted by the item Ukraine-Russia war, which was already communicated in quarter one and by the efficiency program, now in the quarter four. Free cash flow will be at prior levels. To combine and to sum it up, orders very good, 19% up organic. Revenue 11% up. EBITDA as a side move in like-for-like comparison. Cash flow slightly or better than quarter 2021 quarter three. Drivers are efficiency and sustainability. The operational outlook confirmed. The Capital Markets Day on the fourteenth of February to show which kind of further development of strategy we have with profitable, sustainable growth markets and competencies.
On top of it, the efficiency program to improve our cost base in the, especially the SG&A with the G&A as a clear focus. With that, I would like to give to Bettina regarding the Q&A.
Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, you can now pose your questions via chat in the webcast or alternatively via phone by pressing star and one on your keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star and two on your phone. We start with the phone line. First question comes from Michael Kuhn, Deutsche Bank. The line is open.
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. A few questions from my side and maybe starting with the efficiency program and the provision. I think you told us about your motivation there. But looking at your medium-term target of more than 5% margin, would you say that implementing that program was necessary to surpass the 5% margin, or would that rather add extra potential of mathematically around one percentage point? How should we think about that in the medium-term context?
Yeah. What I can say is, when you see that you are with a higher revenue, still on a similar level than the year before with a significantly lower revenue, then of course you know that you have to do something on the EBITDA. We announced that we want to be at least 5% from 2024 or in 2024, and we will achieve that. Then you do, of course, that's what you influence yourself, especially in the combination to look what we do with the strategy. It was necessary more than it is extra.
All right. Also in the context of profitability, obviously the gross margin was down in the quarter, although you obviously want to improve in that area as well. Is that still a reflection of some contracts not being structured as they should be, or is that more a function of rising inflation currently?
I would say it's a bit of both. Inflation does play a role. We have the ability to pass on inflation costs to our customers via our contracts that do have escalation clauses. However, it depends really on the way the individual contract is structured and written. There are time lags between experiencing the cost increase and our ability to then pass this on via better pricing or increased pricing. That's one element in here. The other element clearly is that we do have one or the other contract in our books that has not progressed as well as we would have liked to see it, to put it this way.
Okay, Michael. Yeah.
Sorry.
Please, go ahead.
Not proceeding in the sense of this would be contracts you would like to renegotiate or rather get rid of?
No, these are contracts that we'll complete, yeah, this year. They just did not progress on the performance side as well as we would have liked to see it. This is mostly in those areas that we do not want to continue as a service and as a contract forum.
Okay, understood. One more also on the medium term perspective. Obviously, in your targets, there is also an element of M&A included. Do you see opportunities in the markets currently, or is it rather difficult?
We see, of course, opportunities in the market, and we are definitely attractive. We get quite a lot of offers to look into. Not only that, we figure that out through our front line, through our sales organization, our sales. Actually, the market for M&A opportunities is looking good. We communicated that before, that we are looking predominantly into organic growth, but where we see that we have not the time or the competence or customer contact, of course, we are open for M&A. It has to deliver a shareholder return.
Understood. Thank you much.
Thank you.
Thank you, Michael. Next question comes from Gregor Kuglitsch, UBS. The line is open.
Hi, good afternoon. Can I come back to the efficiency program? I'm looking here, I think your sort of annualized SG&A cost is, I think, EUR 300 million or thereabout. Your cost saving program, I think, is nearly 20% of that. I guess I wondered, I mean, that sounds a very large number, unless I'm missing something or you're doing something in the cost of goods sold. I mean, what are you actually cutting out? Because I guess where I'm coming from here is I look back the last eight years or something like that, and you sort of, you know, obviously, I appreciate you're not running the business. There was a restructuring round virtually every year, so it's surprising to see that there's still this much fat left in the organization.
Maybe the sort of second question to that, I mean, you talked about digitalization, automation. Have these things already happened or will these things that you need to do in the future in order to ensure that that cost takeout is actually a sustainable thing to do? The third question, and you sort of started talking about some contracts that weren't perhaps going that well. Is there sort of a chunk of revenues that we need to think about taking out of the equation as a consequence of that? Or do you think you can grow the business, let's say, in organic terms over the next few years, all in? Thank you.
First, of course, I have to say it like that. If you look into it, I'm in since the beginning of March, and Matti took over since the middle of the year, roughly, the CFO position. When you look into that, what you can optimize in a company which is always the job of a management, then you don't look back and say, "How many of the programs did I do?" You look into that, where are we? Where do we have to go? That is what we did. When we then look into the area, what we see, and I'm now specific on the SG&A cost at first, a lot happened in the past, but more to come. The more to come is through simplification and further digitalization. A lot was invested.
We can do more with what was invested, and of course, we will go on to invest in the normal line. The last part in that, if you look into an administrative structure in a company, you are not only looking into the group and administrative costs. You look overall. Facilities, what we have. Rental, what we pay. Costs, what we have external. Maybe with consultants or other suppliers, what we can do on our own. Of course, you look into the kind of services you have internally. Is that still necessary for what we have in the strategy and in the future growth? With that, to the future growth.
If you look into that, what we announced in the quarter three and what you see year to date, I think it's clear that we have a lot of self-propelled growth potentials. To focus on that, you have to let other things go. Is it big? No, it is not big. Small here, small there. Small business takes a lot of attention and a lot of administrative functions to cover it up. That is what we will let go. That's part of the strategy where we will give more information. Whatever is not related with efficiency improvement on the customer and sustainability improvement will be not part of our business in the future. Not that we don't like it, but you can't be focused on everything because then you are not focused at all. There we see significant improvement what we have.
Look only in the oil and gas sustainable demand and how much business we do in Europe, which is definitely not the biggest supplier in that area, versus other areas we work, like Middle East or North America. From that point of view, we see the mid to long-term growth, sustainable, profitable growth future of our company really positive. The efficiency program helps us to get leaner, agile and less cost, more cash, more profit, and having the money to reinvest into education and training, which is communicated and discussed and debated in all areas in the world that we have not enough competent people. We will do as Bilfinger a step ahead of the others to do more. With that, we are more attractive for existing colleagues and more attractive for future colleagues.
Thank you very much. Thank you.
Thank you, Gregor. Next one is John Campbell, Bank of America. John, line is open.
Thank you, Bettina. One question I had related to your 2022 free cash flow guidance. If I understand properly, I think it's EUR 115 million for the full year of 2022, and if I look nine months year-to-date, it's +EUR 12 million. I'm asking kind of how much visibility do you have on this sort of expected inflow for Q4? Perhaps could you maybe describe some of the larger amounts? Thank you.
Well, the guidance for 2022 is and remains that we will be on a similar level as last year. If you look at the Q4 performance of last year, which was very strong, we have right now the same potential as in last year. For the free cash flow, I think we're very well placed to meet the guidance.
Thank you. I have one further question if I could. I noticed that in the technology segment, the reported EBITDA margin picked up to 4%. I think it was 2.3% in Q2. Sort of how should we think about this going forward? Do you have any visibility on whether that's sustainable or will it continue to be volatile?
I would think that the profitability in the fourth quarter would mirror Q3, quarter three, right? I don't expect to see the same jump as from quarter two to quarter three.
Okay. Thank you.
Okay. Thank you very much, John. Next one comes from Christoph Dolleschal, HSBC. Line is open.
Thanks, Bettina. Hi, three questions if I may. The first one is on, again, basically follow up on, like, the cost distribution of the program, because of the benefits of the program, because SG&A, we talked about that. I know you don't wanna be too specific yet in terms of personnel in there, but could you probably tell us how much of a percentage of your workforce is in admin functions, or how many people are within admin functions? That's the first one. The second one, of the EUR 42 million roughly that you then expect to hit the bottom line, I mean, how much of that do you really think is gonna hit the bottom line, i.e., not being eaten up by inflation, other items, that are probably currently not on the block?
How much of that will really, really filter through? Thirdly, on E&M International, on the last call, you said you would be more picky when it comes to orders to enhance margins. Now, the revenue and the orders are massively up, but the result is still negative. Could you probably explain where we are in this whole process of lifting margins in E&M International and the pickiness of dealing with the orders? Thanks.
I think, let me start at the end of your question line regarding the E&M International. Yes, you are right, we have a significant improvement in the top line, and the profitability improved over the last few quarters and years, but it's still not there where we would like to have it. For this year, we said that it will be on a break even, and that is what we see, what we will achieve. When we look into it has more to do that we have to take more business and more orders in the area where we have the high competence and the sustainable profitable growth, as we show, for example, in E&M Europe. That transformation that we work more in that customer group, in that competence area is ongoing.
Out of that, when we look ahead with the big business potential, what we see in North America, not only based on the green investments, what US is doing, especially based on that, what customers, international customers demanding from us, that we give them the same good work as we do in Europe, we see quite a positive development of that part of our business. We look to the EUR 42 million on the bottom line. What I can promise you is you will follow us. You can track us. We will show you how much cost per quarter, how much bottom-line improvement out of the efficiency program will be there. You will see how many facilities we shut down or combine, and that's always the sad part of such program. Of course, we have to let people go. That's part of it.
Because we have too much service, we have too much structure. That report will come, and then you can see that the EUR 42 million will come down. The inflation and other things out of the business, we have it all to deal with it. That has nothing to do with the efficiency program. That is what we have to deal with it, with or without the efficiency program. We have to give you the transparency, and as we saw today in the reaction, the comfort that if we decide something, that it happens.
Of course, when you ask about the admin function and how big we are, the thing, without going too much into detail, what we don't report out of our own business structure, I can tell you for that business what we see ahead of us and the strategy to streamline our efficiency and sustainability, combined with the good improvement in internal digitalization, we will have a reduced workforce in the admin function. It's one part of the EUR 55 million. As sad as it is.
Okay, thank you.
Thank you, Christoph. If you have a question, please press star one on your keypad or write the question in the chat. There's another question from Gregor Kuglitsch. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Maybe a follow-up then on sort of the path towards your 5%. I mean, I appreciate you're not guiding for next year, but is it? I think previously we're talking, it should be relatively linear in terms of the profit evolution. I don't know if that still holds. Similarly, the cash flow generation, I guess, will drop next year with the restructuring costs, and maybe some working capital build. Maybe some early thoughts on that would be helpful. Thank you.
You know that we are not guiding in the third quarter announcement for next year. Of course, we will have a negative cash impact based on the program. That's clear. When we look into the business, you see that in our order book, you see that in the development of the order intake, you see that what we say regarding how the market function and that we actually, no matter if it goes up or down, we always have something to do that it actually looks good for us. We don't see next year as a disaster year at all. We are actually quite positive on the year 2023.
On top of it, with the efficiency program, when you look into that, yes, it will bring us one percentage point EBITA closer to the 5%, and we will see and inform you how we see that split over the year, how that will come to the bottom line. You have normally at the beginning of the program, which is intended to have the major work and major activity finalized at the end of quarter one, of course, at the beginning, more cost and activity, and towards the end of the year, you go to what you call the run rate out of the year 2023, that we are clean in 2024. Again, that is the right way to go to have minimum 5% EBITA from 2024 on, if not more.
Thank you.
All right. So far there are no further questions. Last seconds if you still have one. Okay. I think we're fine. We're all set. There are no further questions and if later on, please contact the IR team.
Christina.
Sorry. Yeah. Sorry. Christoph, you have another question. Please go ahead.
Yeah, just one more, because you said the Capital Markets Day is gonna be on the 14th of February, 2023, but then you also said there is gonna be a meeting on the 12th December. Did I get that right?
Yep. We will make a so-called lunch meeting, where we will inform you more granular about the efficiency program because the information level, what we can send out, what we could send out yesterday and today, you have to know, and you have to be aware, of course, all the respective premiums and functions in such a process have to be invited and part of it. That's the way how it works in Germany. Of course, we are completely compliant in that and follow that. Then on the twelfth of December, we can give significant more detailed information that you can track us and see that we will deliver.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you.
Wonderful. Okay. I guess. Yeah, we now conclude this conference call, and as I said, please give us a call if there are further questions in the next days. Thank you very much for participating, and hopefully see you all in person or virtually latest in December or and/or to our Capital Markets Day. Have a good day. Thank you and bye-bye.