Klöckner & Co SE (ETR:KCO)
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Apr 30, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q4 2025

Mar 11, 2026

Fabian Joseph
Head of Investor Relations, Klöckner & Co

Hello, everyone. This is Fabian Joseph from Investor Relations. Also, on behalf of my entire team, I wish you all a very warm welcome to our Full Year 2025 Conference Call. With me today are our CEO, Guido Kerkhoff, our CFO, Dr. Oliver Falk, and our CEO Americas, John Ganem. They will guide you through the presentation, and afterwards, we're happy to take your questions. In order to ask a question, you have to press the live Q&A button, and we will open your line. With that, I'd like to hand over to you, Guido.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Yeah. Thanks, Fabian, and welcome to our Full Year 2025 Conference Call. Before I dive into the highlights of the past financial year 2025, let me start with a brief and important update regarding the voluntary public takeover offer by Worthington Steel. As announced by Worthington Steel yesterday, the company has decided to adjust the terms of its offer. Specifically, Worthington Steel has lowered the minimum acceptance threshold to 57.5% and extended the offer period to March 26, 2026. We understand this step and consider it a logical and common procedure for further increasing transaction security. The total number of shares currently secured by Worthington Steel, including acceptance and some direct holdings, standing at 56.92% as of yesterday. The transaction is now very close to reaching this new threshold.

Please always keep in mind that the management shares, which account for around 4.5%, will be tendered, but due to the quiet period, they can only be tendered from now on. I want to emphasize that this technical adjustment does not change the compelling strategic rationale for the business combination or the attractiveness of the offered price of EUR 11 in cash per Klöckner & Co share. Therefore, our management board and supervisory board of Klöckner & Co SE will perform a detailed review of the amended offer document and update their joint response statement in a timely manner. Both remain convinced that the offer by Worthington Steel is in the best interest of the company and its stakeholders. All shareholders who have not yet tendered their shares now have time until March 26th, 2026, 24 hours, local time in Frankfurt am Main to do so.

I will now begin with the financial highlights of the year. We have delivered a solid performance for the full year 2025, despite tariff and trade-related uncertainties. Also, Forex effects have negatively impacted our results. Despite the aforementioned difficult environment, we were able to grow our shipments on group level slightly to 4.528 tons. The slightly negative development in the Kloeckner Metals Europe segment was overcompensated by the continued strong performance of Kloeckner Metals Americas, driven by further market share gains. Sales came in at EUR 6.4 billion, slight decrease year-over-year in both segments as well as on group level, largely price related. This development was a result of lower average price level over the year compared to the previous year, as well as negative Forex effects.

We achieved a considerable increase in gross profit despite the volatile steel price development in full year 2025. Gross profit in the previous year been heavily impacted by windfall losses caused by the substantial steel price correction over the course of 2024, an effect that did not repeat itself in 2025. The gross profit margin also improved considerably compared to the previous year. EBITDA before material special effects came in at EUR 171 million, a considerable increase year- over- year and a result within our guidance range. For the fourth consecutive year, and as we guided, we achieved a positive operating cash flow. Full year 2025, operating cash flow came in at EUR 110 million.

Consequently, and also positively affected by the proceeds from the 8 distribution sites in the U.S., we were able to considerably reduce our net financial debt year-over-year, reaching the lowest net financial debt level since Q2 2023. We will propose to the annual general meeting to pay a dividend payment of EUR 0.20 per share. This would be the fifth consecutive dividend to our shareholders, demonstrating that we are a steady and consistent dividend player throughout the cycle. Let's now have a look at our performance in Q4 2025 by segment. Our segment Kloeckner Metals Americas, shipments increased slightly year-over-year, Q4 2025, continuing the positive trend seen throughout the previous quarters of the full year 2025. Therefore, volume was the highest we've ever achieved in a fourth quarter, which underscores the success of our North American growth strategy.

However, due to the lower average price level year-over-year, sales in Q4 came in slightly below the previous year's quarter, further impacted by adverse Forex effects. Prices remained volatile after the temporary peaks in Q2 2025. EBITDA before material special effects came in at EUR 19 million in Q4. In our segment Kloeckner Metals Europe, shipments increased slightly, while sales remains constant compared to the previous year's quarter. EBITDA before material special effects of segment Kloeckner Metals Europe was approximately break even, which is a considerable improvement compared to the last year's quarter and a constant development consistent to last quarter. This demonstrates that our consistent optimization efforts are continuing to pay off. In the recent month, we made important steps in our company development in the region DACH and North America. On January 15th, we announced the intended divestment of the Becker Group in Germany.

Prior to this, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of all strategic options. This will enable Becker to participate in an industry consolidation in Europe under new ownership, allowing us to place a sharper focus on higher value-added products and services. Becker delivered an improved performance in January and February this year, reflecting the solid foundation we've built together and demonstrating that the business is well-positioned to accelerate its growth even further under new ownership. In Switzerland, we completed the acquisition of Locher Bewehrungen to further strengthen our regional footprint. This step has enabled us to achieve efficiency gains by leveraging the asset base in the existing network. Acquisition was closed on December 25, and the integration process has already been completed. We continue to expand our production and processing footprint across North America with targeted investments that strengthen our higher value-added and service center business.

These investments ensure that we can meet growing customer demand with expanded production and processing capabilities. As you know, we're constructing a new aluminum flat roll processing facility in Columbus, Mississippi, directly located at Aluminum Dynamics new production site. During the fourth quarter, we reached a milestone by breaking ground on the construction site. Building completion is planned for late Q4 2026, with equipment startup expected in Q2 2027. By adding a dedicated cutting-edge aluminum processing facility, we can make the most of the NMM acquisition and accelerate our automotive growth in North America. In Paton, Iowa, we started a new heavy fabrication operation after agreeing to lease the former Bauer Built manufacturing site. By bringing the entire Bauer Built team into Klöckner, preserving their long-standing expertise, and ensuring a seamless transition, the site significantly expands our heavy fabrication capability, including welding, assembly, and complex finishing services.

With this operation, we can better support agricultural and industrial customers who rely on advanced fabrication and large-scale production capacity. In Querétaro, Mexico, we're installing a new coil-fed Schuler laser blanking line to meet rising demand for aluminum blanking, especially from automotive customers. This line is being installed at our new facility and scheduled for commissioning in the second quarter of 2026. Technology delivers superior consistency and cut quality compared to traditional blanking methods. Customer inquiries from automotive OEMs in Mexico are already increasing as the startup approaches. By following these steps, we've generated around 44% of our sales with HVAP when considering our group excluding the eight distribution sites in the U.S. that we sold. This business is responsible for the majority of our EBITDA, which clearly proves that we're on the right track with our strategy.

Going forward, we will capitalize even more on our strong presence in North America and the DACH region and press ahead with our group strategy. With that, over to you, Oliver, for further financial insights.

Oliver Falk
CFO, Klöckner & Co

Yes. Thank you. As Guido stated, the market environment continued to remain challenging in 2025, with a volatile steel price development following the U.S. tariff announcement in February. Despite these steel price volatilities, coupled with the ongoing challenging macroeconomic environment, we achieved an EBITDA before material special effects of EUR 21 million in quarter four 2025 and EUR 171 million in full year 2025. They reside within our guidance range. In addition, we delivered a significantly positive operating cash flow for the fourth year in a row. Solid results taking into account the macroeconomic environment we operated in. Although steel prices remain volatile, we are seeing an upward trend in the U.S. and Europe right now. This trend was already visible in quarter four 2025, as well as in the first two months of Q1 2026, based on higher expected demand.

We are confident to translate the positive pricing trend into strong operating results in Q1 2026 and beyond. In addition, we continue to leverage our digitalization and automation initiatives. The number of digital quotes increased by around 13% year- over- year in full year 2025. Therefore, we continue to release salespeople from manual work related to quotes. Let's take a look at the development of our shipments, sales, gross profit, and gross profit margin for Q4 2025. Shipments increased slightly year- over- year, driven by a strong performance of both segments. Sales decreased slightly year- over- year due to the overall average price level and unfavorable FX effects despite the positive shipment development and came in at EUR 1.5 billion in Q4 2025.

Gross profit came in at EUR 272 million in Q4 2025 after EUR 261 million in Q4 2024, a considerable increase year-over-year. Gross profit margin also increased by 17.6% to 18.6% year-over-year. We will now focus on the EBITDA development in the fourth quarter and in the full year 2025. In Q4 2025, EBITDA before material special effects came in at EUR 21 million. In the fourth quarter, we recorded positive price and volume effects, adding up to a total of EUR 19 million year-over-year. OpEx in Q4 2025 were in total EUR 26 million higher year-over-year. In addition, we experienced negative year-over-year FX effects of EUR 3 million in Q4 2025.

Material special effects mainly consisted of gains related to the divestment of our eight distribution sites in the U.S., partly offset by restructuring costs coming to a net total of EUR 30 million for quarter four 2025. For the full year 2025, EBITDA before material special effects amounted to EUR 171 million. Over the year, we benefited from a positive volume effect of EUR 19 million and a positive price effect of EUR 89 million. The results of full year 2024 were burdened by windfall losses related to steel price corrections that did not occur in 2025. OpEx increased by EUR 65 million year-over-year. Further, we recorded negative FX effects of EUR 7 million, mainly resulting from U.S. translation.

Lastly, material special effects came in negative at EUR 20 million, with the non-Q4 impact primarily driven by the deconsolidation of our Brazilian entity and restructuring costs. We are now coming to cash flow and net debt development. In the full year 2025, reported EBITDA was EUR 152 million. Further, we had a net working capital release of EUR 63 million. Taking into consideration interest, tax payment, and other items totaling EUR 106 million, our cash flow from operating activities came in positive at EUR 110 million in full year 2025. Including net CapEx of EUR 5 million, free cash flow was positive at EUR 105 million for the full year 2025. This also includes the proceeds of EUR 96 million from the divestment of eight U.S. distribution sites. Let's have a look at our net financial debt.

Negative effects were visible for leasing and dividends. Leasing totaled an amount of EUR 71 million and are mainly related to the execution of our strategic projects, such as our on-campus partnership with Nucor in Brandenburg, Kentucky. Dividends, of course, EUR 20 million related to the dividend we paid to our shareholders in full year 2025. Positive effects of EUR 57 million were visible for FX and other, including effects from divestments. Accordingly, our net financial debt decreased considerably year over year to EUR 709 million , after EUR 780 million at the end of the previous year. This is the lowest level of net financial debt since quarter two 2023. We will now focus on the group's financing. We continue to possess a diversified financing structure.

With credit facility of approximately EUR 1.3 billion, excluding leasing, we are very solidly positioned, including contractual terms and financial covenants. Overall, we maintain a total financial headroom of around EUR 0.8 billion. Net debt came in at EUR 709 million for full year 2025, a considerable decrease year-over-year. As mentioned beforehand, the lowest level since Q2 2023. Further, leverage came down considerably and will continue to do so as we execute our strategy. I now hand over to John Ganem to have a closer look at our end markets in North America.

John Ganem
CEO Americas, Klöckner & Co

Thank you, Oliver. After a fairly challenging demand environment in 2025, we now expect a decent recovery in 2026, with North American steel demand increasing by 1%-2% compared to the prior year. Of course, there remains significant uncertainty related to the current conflict in the Middle East and continued unpredictable trade policy that can impact the outlook. Also critical for North America will be a positive outcome to the USMCA review, which is now underway. This would provide more clarity for all participants within the metal supply chain and may help start many investments that are currently on hold, giving a potential boost to steel demand starting at some point in the second half of 2026.

Now looking at the expected development in specific market segments, construction activity is expected to recover, with total building starts expected to improve between 1.5% and 2% in 2026. This is after both residential and non-residential square footage contracted by approximately 3% in 2025. Lower mortgage rates could provide further upside on residential. Non-building and infrastructure investments should continue to grow in 2026, albeit more moderately than they did last year, which saw these segments surge by more than 15%. Data centers as well as power and utilities should continue to lead the way for the next several years. Manufacturing activity, as indicated by the ISM Manufacturing Index, has expanded during the first two months of 2026.

This is a very positive development, considering this index indicated contraction for almost all of 2025. In line with this indication, after two consecutive years of negative growth, we now expect overall new orders for industrial and off-highway equipment to increase between 2% - 3% in 2026, with some variation depending on the specific segment. I would also note that current forecasts from critical large OEM customers are indicating even stronger growth rates heading into the second quarter of 2026. Trade policy clarity and lower interest rates could help these key steel-consuming segments regain even more positive momentum as the year develops. Turning to transportation, the automotive segment has been the most impacted by changing trade policy as well as the removal of EV tax credits. This resulted in auto production declining by approximately 1% in 2025.

For 2026, current forecasts indicate flat to slightly lower production in North America, with Mexico recovering slightly and the U.S. potentially contracting modestly. On the defense shipbuilding front, activity remains positive, and Klöckner's current defense programs are set to grow strongly with multiple large program commitments recently awarded. We also continue working closely with key mill partners to position ourselves strategically to support and benefit from what is expected to be a significant increase in defense shipbuilding investments over the next decade. Demand from appliance, HVAC, and electrical, which are all key segments for KMC Americas, were flat to down in 2025 as many companies worked to reduce inventories and rebalance supply chains, especially over the second half of the year.

The situation for 2026 is now expected to be fairly stable, with production at key OEM customers normalizing at more consistent levels by the second quarter. Improving conditions in residential construction could provide some additional momentum in the second half of the year as well. Energy continued to be the strongest steel-consuming segment in 2025, and this trend should continue in the current year. Power transmission growth will remain extremely strong in 2026, increasing by over 15% year-over-year after achieving a similar result in 2025. Modernizing and expanding the North American transmission infrastructure is imperative in order to support the significant forecasted increase in demand for electricity across North America. This is especially critical for data center investments.

While renewable growth rates have come under pressure due to recent changes in government policy, we are still expecting modest growth again in 2026 of between 1% - 2%. With that, I'll quickly summarize the North American outlook as follows. While risks and uncertainty remain, we are firmly optimistic when it comes to both steel demand and market price fundamentals in 2026. Market cycles are setting up somewhat more favorably than the past two years, and as previously mentioned, a positive outcome on the USMCA review would provide some much-needed clarity and further upside potential for North American steel demand. With that, I turn it back over to Guido to provide an update on Europe.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Thank you, John. In total, we expect real steel demand in Europe to increase by 1%-2% in 2026 compared to the previous year. However, it's too early to assess the economic consequences of the escalating war in Iran. Disruptions to trade and surging energy prices could add to global uncertainty with adverse effects to our key customer industries. Coming now to our sectors, starting with the construction industry. Overall, we expect the construction industry to have a slightly positive development in 2026. Activity in the sector will be supported by elevated infrastructure spending, while structural drivers such as pent-up demand also remain in place. Let's continue with manufacturing machinery and mechanical engineering. Mechanical engineering is expected to grow slightly in 2026, also supported by increased German infrastructure and defense spending.

However, capacity limits, labor shortages, trade policy uncertainties, and rising Asian competition will prevent a faster recovery. In the defense sector, we're seeing a surge in demand that considerably outpaces previous years' demand growth. We continue to benefit and capitalize from our active positioning in the sector on leveraging our capabilities and also our financial strength, providing a clear advantage over smaller competitors. Transportation. Let's first focus on automotive. The industry association expects a slight increase in 2026, though absolute volumes will remain far below 2019 levels. Demand is expected to remain on rather low levels for as long as there is no significant improvement in the broader economic outlook, including global trade and consumer sentiment. Now, shipbuilding. While the commercial segment in shipbuilding could face increased pressure due to economic uncertainty, we're well positioned in the grey ship sector to benefit from upcoming demand.

Household and commercial appliances segment with marginal impact on our European business. It's expected to develop on a constant level in 2026, as the E.U.-U.S. trade deal is expected to reduce uncertainty marginally. However, customer demand remains rather subdued and will restrain activity in the sector. Energy industry. The energy industry is expected to grow slightly, supported by ongoing electrification of transport and heating, which will provide structural support to electricity demand over the medium to the long term. Let's now come to the financial outlook for the first quarter of this year and the full year 2026. As John and I pointed out, we expect the macroeconomic environment to remain challenging, especially in Europe. For the current quarter, we expect a considerable increase of shipments and sales, each quarter-over-quarter.

EBITDA before material special effects in Q1 is expected to come in between EUR 20 million -E UR 60 million. For the full year 2026, we forecast shipments and sales to develop on a constant level year over year. As you know, we closed the divestment of eight U.S. distribution sites the end of last year. We're therefore forecasting a constant development for the full year 2026 without these locations. Consequently, sales are also expected to come in at a constant level. In total, we expect a strong EBITDA before material special effects in the full year 2026 and a considerable increase year- over- year. Moreover, we also expect operating cash flow to come in significantly positive above full year 2025 figures. We're now happy to answer your questions.

Fabian Joseph
Head of Investor Relations, Klöckner & Co

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, you have to press the live Q&A button, and we will then open your line. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press the live Q&A button. Yes, the first question comes from Boris Bourdet, Kepler Cheuvreux.

Boris Bourdet
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Hi.

Fabian Joseph
Head of Investor Relations, Klöckner & Co

Boris, your line is open now.

Boris Bourdet
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes. Hi, can you hear me?

Fabian Joseph
Head of Investor Relations, Klöckner & Co

Yes, we can hear you.

Boris Bourdet
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Perfect. Well, thank you for the presentation, and thank you for taking my question. The question would be, maybe the first one on Iran. I've noticed that you consider it a bit early to assess, but I would be interested in getting your thoughts on the potential impacts on your clients and on your side, if any. That would be the first question. Then regarding the outlook, you're building an outlook with volumes and sales pretty flat. I was wondering how much of that is linked to the deconsolidation of your distribution sites, and what would be the underlying assumption? Regarding prices, obviously, U.S. prices have been moving up quite substantially as well as the European prices. What could we expect as a positive.

We've seen that prices have been a positive contributor, a tailwind of EUR 89 million in 2025 vs 2024. What would be the bridge on current prices for 2026? Maybe last one on Europe. You elaborated on your expectations, but do you see early signs of rebound in demand with the CBAM and the coming new TRQ? Thank you.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Yeah. Well, let me start with Iran. As you know, we're largely supplying, and I will start with the direct effects for us, locally. Therefore, our direct impact that our supply chains will be affected, we don't foresee anything there. We can continue, and I think within the steel supply chain overall for our suppliers, we don't foresee anything. Whether there will be any impact on our clients remains to be seen, and I think it's rather a question of how long the conflict will remain and the Strait of Hormuz will be closed. If not, and oil prices will recover, and customer demand will not that much be affected, you know, that would be the ideal case. If it takes longer and uncertainties prevail, that could impact us.

So far, we don't see it, and directly there will be nominal impact. Outlook, the flat, the eight sites, I mean, it was distribution business, therefore that was the eight sites, that was quite some revenue and some shipments that were affected. That's why in total, indeed, our guidance clearly is an increase that will rather be above the 1%-2% you see that we see in the markets. Our current performance we see in January and February proves that. That doesn't look too bad. The prices in the E.U. and in the U.S. lately as well are supportive of all that development and the increase in the demand that we see.

Now, how the second half will turn out, John has talked about USMCA. We have the Iran conflict. You know, it's all a bit too early to really say how the second half will look like. That remains to be seen. Otherwise, underlying, I think we're more positive than we have been a quarter or two ago. What we see is order intake and development of the business is organically better than last year, structurally.

John Ganem
CEO Americas, Klöckner & Co

The projects which we are ramping up right now in the U.S., like Brandenburg.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Exactly.

John Ganem
CEO Americas, Klöckner & Co

Mexico, they are all contributing.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Will support that.

John Ganem
CEO Americas, Klöckner & Co

Yeah.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

They will be supporting. CBAM, and as you rightly mentioned, these things will help that especially here in Europe, we have continued support from that side, that this might continue, and we might have seen the trough now and see an increasing recovery. Not coming back to 2019 levels, but still recovery.

John Ganem
CEO Americas, Klöckner & Co

I would only add on the pricing front, you know, with the divestment of the distribution sites, our portfolio is much more contractual in nature than it was previously. I think that somewhat it doesn't eliminate exposure to market price volatility, but it certainly mitigates it to a fair degree. I think the current pricing environment is quite positive for our contract business into the second quarter and likely into the third quarter.

Boris Bourdet
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. May I ask another one? I don't know whether there are other people in the queue or not. Otherwise I will.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Good. Go ahead.

Boris Bourdet
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Just looking at the consensus, because you provide guidance for the quantitative guidance in terms of you expect to consider the bulk growth, which in your vocabulary means more than 5%, so that's a lot of options open. Consensus is currently at 233. Are you comfortable with that level? I think that would have to stay there.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

If we were not, we would have to stay then.

Boris Bourdet
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. Fair enough. Thank you.

Fabian Joseph
Head of Investor Relations, Klöckner & Co

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press the live Q&A button, and we will then open your line. There seems to be no further question at this time, so I hand back to Guido for some final remarks.

Guido Kerkhoff
CEO, Klöckner & Co

Yeah. Thank you very much. If there are additional questions that will come up, just don't hesitate to contact Fabian and his team. We're available for that. Thank you very much, and talk to you next time. Thank you.

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