Nemetschek SE (ETR:NEM)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2023

Oct 26, 2023

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Earnings Call of Nemetschek Group. At our customer's request, this conference will be recorded. As a reminder, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. May I now hand you over to Stefanie Zimmermann, VP Investor Relations, who will lead you through this conference. Please go ahead.

Stefanie Zimmermann
SVP of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications, Nemetschek SE

Thank you, operator, and hello everyone, and a big welcome. Thanks for joining our Earnings Call today to discuss the results for the Q3 , 2023 with us. With me today are our CEO, Yves Padrines, and our CFO, Louise Öfverström. Today's call is being recorded. A replay of the call will be available at our website after the call. Additionally, you will find the report, the presentation, and the press release on our investor relations website as well. But now, let's get started. I would like to turn over to our CEO, Yves.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Thank you, Stefanie. Welcome to our Q3 of 2023 Earnings Call. You have probably all seen our pre-release on Monday evening with the main headlines of our Q3 results and/or increased guidance for the fiscal year 2023. We, therefore, have prepared a short slide deck containing additional information with regard to our Q3 , as well as the results for the first nine months of the year, that our Chief Financial Officer, Louise Öfverström, and I would like to briefly walk you through so that we have sufficient time for your questions afterwards. As usual, I would like to begin the presentation with our key messages on page number 3. Q3 2023 was a successful quarter with a return to double-digit growth and combined with a very high profitability.

However, I also want to highlight here that in addition to the strong operating performance, the high growth in the Q3 was also supported by some catch-up effect coming from Q2, as well as from one-time effects in the design and build segments. It also means that we expect that our Q4 growth and profitability will be below the levels we saw in Q3. If we look at our performance year to date, we had strong achievement in the first nine months of the year, in particular in the current challenging environment, with a currency-adjusted revenue growth of +7.1% and an EBITDA margin at 29.8%. We were able to deliver an attractive top-line growth, combined with a high profitability, while transitioning our business to a subscription and SaaS-centric business model.

Therefore, following the strong and even better than expected first 9 months of the year, we have decided to raise the guidance for the current fiscal year 2023. This means, in particular, that we now expect a currency-adjusted revenue growth in the range of +6%-8% compared to the previous 4%-6%. In addition, we are now also targeting to achieve the upper end of our previously communicated EBITDA margin range of 28%-30%. The remainder of our 2023 guidance, such as ARR growth of above 25% and a recurring revenue share above 75%, as well as our midterm ambitions for fiscal year 2024 and fiscal year 2025, are fully confirmed and unchanged.

However, let me emphasize here that our updated guidance does not take into account any material deterioration in economic conditions as we see them today, nor does it reflect a possible escalation of the crisis in the Middle East or the war in Ukraine of any potential related adverse impacts on our business. What enabled us to achieve this impressive growth, even during economically challenging periods, is Nemetschek Group's highly resilient business model, which is based on a high share of recurring revenues or innovative solutions, as well as a well-diversified geographical exposure. In addition, we enjoy a multitude of long-term structural growth drivers, such as the low degree of digitalization in construction, regulation, and the ever-increasing need for green buildings. As you know that the construction industry represents 40% of the global CO2 emissions.

Now, coming to the financial review of the Q3 , as well as the first nine months of the year, 2023. As usual, we will begin with a short summary of the last quarter on page 4. In sum, I think the overview shows how very successful Q3 is also reflected across all our main KPIs. The main contributor to our high growth in Q3 was once again the recurring part of our business, which is represented by our annual recurring revenue KPI that increased by 25.4% on a constant currency basis to now EUR 664 million. The strong increase in ARR underpins once again the good further growth potential for our business in the next twelve months.

Looking at the different components of the ARR growth, it becomes clear that in line with our strategy, our subscription and SaaS revenues were the main drivers, with a plus of more than 48% on an FX-adjusted basis. Our reported revenue for the months from July to September increased by 8.4% to EUR 220 million. Adjusted for the substantial FX headwind of almost 420 basis points that we faced in Q3, our constant currencies growth was even at 12.6%. In addition to the good operational performance, as well as a higher pricing component, this strong growth is partly also attributable to catch-up effects stemmed from Q2, as well as one-off effects in the design and build segments. For instance, the last time sale of perpetual licenses of existing customers at Bluebeam.

The overall proportional EBITDA growth to EUR 71 million corresponds to a very strong margin of 32.5%. Our strong margin in Q3 is a function of the high growth, a highly operating leverage, as well as a focus on our cost base. Looking at the bottom line, our earnings per share increased by 16% to EUR 0.39 per share. Adjusted for PPA charges, earnings per share even reached EUR 0.44. I'm delighted to announce that in the Q3 , we also successfully completed the reshaping and strengthening of Nemetschek's executive team for the company's next period of growth.

For this purpose, a new executive leadership team, which can be seen on page 5, has been formed to be even more agile and powerful on future topics like artificial intelligence and other key strategic focus areas, such as customer-centric solution offerings and the internationalization of our business. Apart from Louise and myself, the executive leadership team includes the Chief Division Officer of the group strategic segments. Allow me to briefly introduce them and briefly touch on the complementary expertise, skills, and experience that each of them brings to the team. So first, César Flores Rodríguez, who you know, joined a little bit over a year ago. He is now in charge since July of the planning and design division, and is also continuing to head our digital twin business units, which represents an important cross-sectional functions in the Nemetschek Group.

César has more than 23 years of experience in industrial software and cloud space, especially in solutions for the AECO industry. He was co-founder and managing director of Conject, the then leading common data environment for the construction industry in Europe, which he successfully sold in a trade sale to Aconex, now part of Oracle, where he became COO, EMEA. Then we have two new executives who joined earlier in September. Usman Shuja joined Nemetschek as the Chief Divisional Officer of the Build and Construct Division, and also served as CEO of Bluebeam. Most recently, Usman led Honeywell's Connected Building, one of Honeywell's largest software business, as vice president and general manager. He originally joined Honeywell as chief commercial officer for Honeywell Connected Enterprises, where he was responsible for organic and inorganic growth for the company entire Softport- software portfolio.

Before joining Honeywell, Usman was founding member of the AI unicorn SparkCognition in the U.S. Usman worked also at the Boston Consulting Group, IBM, and Dell. Then the other new executive is Marc Nezet. Marc has two hats. First, he is our Group Chief Strategy Officer for the group, including M&A, venture investment, and strategic partnership. And additionally, he's also in charge of the Operate and Manage division as Chief Divisional Officer, taking over from César Flores Rodríguez. Marc joined the company from Schneider Electric Group, where he spent more than 23 years in various senior management and strategy positions, including Senior Vice President, Energy Management, Software Transformation. In this role, he managed five major strategic acquisitions, which positioned Schneider Electric among the leading software players in buildings and infrastructure across engineering, construction, and operation.

Most recently, he held the position as Senior Vice President for the Industrial Cloud Platform Ecosystem of AVEVA Group. And last but not least, on the Media and Entertainment, Entertainment Division, we have David McGavran, who is the CEO of Maxon, and Dave has decades of experience in the media and entertainment industry, and joined Nemetschek from Adobe, where he worked for more than 20 years and held several senior management positions. He helped establish Maxon as a leading player in the industry and significantly accelerated the brand growth in recent years. Dave is a subscription native and as Nemetschek's first major brand, led Maxon through a highly successful transition to a subscription-based business model....

Before Louise will dive deeper into our financial results of Q3, as well as the first 9 months of the year, I would like to use this opportunity to give you an overview on page 6, of the progress we have also made in each of our five defined strategic focus areas. Our clear number one priority in the last months, continue to be on journey to a subscription and SaaS-centric business model, and it will continue for the next few months and quarters to be our priority number one. As Louise will present to you in a few minutes, we once again made good progress in this focus area in our 2 biggest segments: design, as well as build, where our brand build, Bluebeam, had a very successful Q3 .

The resulting over proportional growth of our subscription and SaaS revenues translated into a new record high share of our recurring revenue, with now 75%. While Nemetschek will certainly not be immune in the event of a global recession, our current operational performance shows how resilient our business has become in the recent years. One of the main reasons for this, apart from the higher share of recurring revenues, is a well-diversified portfolio across different end markets and regions. One goal of our go-to-market initiatives is to make Nemetschek even more resilient by focusing on the further internationalization of our business, in order to become less dependent on a single market or region. In addition, with Nemetschek's operational expansion along the entire life cycle of a building, the group has also become less dependent on a single customer group or segment.

An important pillar of success here at Nemetschek, is that what we strive not only to be leaders in our respective industry, but also to offer the most innovative solutions on the market. With the launch of dTwin, we have once again demonstrated the innovative strength of the Nemetschek Group. This new digital twin solutions is an horizontal open platform that delivers data-driven insights and help customers to efficiently manage facilities and buildings from design to operations. It is the first solution in the industry that fuses all data sources of a building in one overarching view. It combines all the historical data of a building, from the design phase, construction phase, up to delivering the keys to people operating, managing, owning buildings, with a combination of live data with sensors and IoT.

In the Q3 , we also introduced new and highly innovative releases of several of our major brands, namely GRAPHISOFT, with Archicad 27, new releases at ALLPLAN, Vectorworks, and also Maxon. Lastly, in addition to the ongoing development of new cloud features across all of our brands, we have continued to work on several artificial intelligence initiatives that will be introduced in the coming quarters. As you know, in addition to our traditional M&A activities, Nemetschek has invested and will continue to invest in highly innovative startups. In addition to our own internal R&D capabilities, these startups will not only help us to stay at the forefront of the latest technological developments, but also have the potential to disrupt our entire industry. In order to leverage this value potential, we combine the competencies of our startup investments with those of our own brands.

For instance, through a technical integration, as in the case of Imerso with Solibri, or through core cross-selling, as in the case of Reconstruct and ALLPLAN, for example. Last but not least, in the area of business enablement, we continue to make progress in the further harmonization, as well as the continued buildup of our organization, which is important to ensure that we will be able to make the most of our tremendous growth opportunities going forward as well. A key initiative in this area is, therefore, our continuous effort to further enhance our operational excellence. With that, I would like to hand over to Louise, who will walk you through our financial highlights of the first nine months of the year.

Louise Öfverström
CFO, Nemetschek SE

Yes, thank you, and welcome also from my side to our Earnings Call for the Q3 of 2023. As usual, I would like to begin with taking a brief look at the key financial highlights of the first 9 months of our financial year, 2023, which can be seen on page 7. All in all, I think it's really fair to say that we have had a very successful first three quarters of the year, with a strong and profitable growth. This is especially true considering our ongoing transition to a subscription and SaaS-centric business model and the associated short-term accounting impact on our financial results.

Well, starting with our accumulated revenue year to date as of September, which grew by 5.5% to EUR 663.2 million, driven in particular by a very strong performance in the Q3 , as you've seen. If we adjust for the FX headwind that we had of some 160 basis points in the first nine months, mainly stemming from a weaker US dollar, our growth even reached 7.1%. In line with our strategy, the main contributor to our growth was once again, the recurring part of our business, which is represented by our annual recurring revenue KPI, that increased by 20.6% and even 25.4% on an FX adjusted basis to EUR 664 million.

But this strong growth in the ARR shows the continued very good growth outlook for our business in the upcoming 12 months, despite the still challenging environment for the European construction industry in particular. As one would expect as well, the key driver of this strong increase in the ARR were our subscription and SaaS annual recurring revenues, which sustained an impressive growth of 48.6% on a currency adjusted basis to EUR 310 million. The slight decline that you can see in the EBITDA of 6.4% on a reported and only 2.2% on an FX adjusted basis, must again be seen in the context of our ongoing transition and the change revenue recognition pattern that is going into consideration with that for our subscription and SaaS offerings.

Well, nevertheless, thanks to our very high profitability in Q3, which was the function of the high growth, as Yves mentioned, a healthy operating leverage, as well as a focus on our cost base, we were even able to reach the upper end of our guidance range of 28%-30%, with 29.8%, and we expect to be at the upper end of our guidance also for the full fiscal year. On the right-hand side of the slide, you will also see our continued high cash generation, with a cash conversion of 99%, as well as the superb quality of our balance sheet. If we move forward to page 8, you'll find an overview of the developments of our 4 segments.

Let us start on the left side with our design segment, which recorded an exceptionally strong Q3 , with a reported growth of 11.8% and even 14.5% on an FX adjusted basis. In addition to the favorable operating performance, the higher growth was partly also driven by catch-up effects from the Q2 , and the design segment also benefited from one-time effects in the form of stronger than planned license sales in the Q3 , since one of the larger design brands in our portfolio intensified its transition to a more recurring business model by ending the standalone sales of its perpetual licenses in September.

Driven by a favorable operational leverage, the EBITDA margin expanded substantially to 32.4% in Q3, and after the first 9 months of 2023, the total revenues amounted to almost EUR 312 million, a +9%, while the segment recorded a margin of 27.5 percentage points. In our build segment, we also recorded a very strong Q3 . The reported revenue grew by 4.5% and even 10.9% at constant currency, and was driven both by a continued good customer demand, important in our transition to the subscription, but also especially in the important U.S. market that is our strongest home market here, and by the last time buy of perpetual licenses for existing customers at Bluebeam.

In sum, our Q3 clearly shows that we have passed through to the subscription move to Bluebeam very successfully, and therefore expect continued good growth in the Q4 as well. The cumulative nine-month revenue of EUR 202 million was essentially flat compared to last year, while the margin contracted to 35.9% due to the aforementioned impact of the changed revenue recognition pattern for our subscription and SaaS offerings, and as expected. In the media segment, we were able to continue the growth dynamics we saw in Q2, +13.6% on an FX adjusted basis in the Q3 , as well, despite the adverse impact of the ongoing strikes in the film and TV industry in Hollywood.

For the first nine months, our reported revenues increased by 8.5%, while underlying subscription growth continued to be over 20%. In addition to this, the segment's profitability, with an above group average margin of 37.1%, continued to be on a high level. So last but not least, our smallest segment, Manage, reported revenues of EUR 32 million after the first nine months of the year, a growth of 7.4% at constant currencies, and the continued investment that we made into future growth opportunities weighted on the segment's profitability, as Yves was already highlighting at the beginning. And we have reached an important milestone with the launch of our dTwin solution, an open and data-driven cloud-based digital twin platform.

So coming to page 9, and as you all know, one of our main strategic objectives, I would say the key strategic objectives, and always an important discussion point in this earnings calls, is the topic of recurring revenues, and in particular, the development of our subscription and SaaS business. And as mentioned previously as well, we are very pleased with the development of our subscription and SaaS revenues in Q3, as well as also during the first nine months of the 2023 fiscal year. Starting on the right hand of this slide, with one of our most important operational KPIs, I mentioned it before, our annual recurring revenues or short ARR. The ARR grew, as said, over proportionately, with 25.4% on a currency adjusted basis to EUR 664 million....

As a reminder here, according to our definition, the ARR includes all of our different recurring revenue streams, so that's both subscription and SaaS, as well as maintenance contract as well. That means if we would have excluded the maintenance contract, the ARR growth of almost 50% at constant currency would have been even substantially higher. In line with our strategy, our license revenue continued to decline in Q3, albeit at a lower rate, given the stronger than anticipated license business in our design segment, as I mentioned before. Nevertheless, with the ongoing, very successful transitions of Bluebeam and in the design brands, Frilo, SCIA, and Vectorworks, this revenue category accounted for only EUR 44 million at the end of the quarter, and as said, perfectly in line with our strategy.

On the left-hand side, you can see the results of the high growth in the recurring part and the corresponding shift in the composition of our revenue base. The share of our subscription and SaaS revenue increases at more than 800 basis points year-over-year to now 33% of the total portfolio. Combined with our maintenance contracts, the entire recurring part of our business now even accounts for 75% of our total revenues. Both figures mark new record highs for the Nemetschek Group. So in summary, I therefore believe that we have taken a big step forward in the last 9 months on our way to a subscription and SaaS-centric business model. The benefits of this transition are clear. So let me just mention a few. With this, we are able to address completely new customer groups.

We increase the customer lifetime value, we tap into new pro and cross-selling opportunities, and ultimately, we have a more resilient and better predictable revenue stream. The first result of this development have already become visible in the Q3 , as you have seen in the figures, but they will become even more evident in the upcoming years, as indicated by our midterm ambitions. Let's move forward to page 10. Here we provide a more comprehensive overview of our most important P&L items. We have already addressed our revenue development in detail previously. However, going further down in the P&L, you'll notice that, and as outlined in our, in our last earnings calls as well, we have ensured that our OpEx base increase at a reasonable rate only.

For example, if we take a closer look at the largest component of our overall cost base, that is our personnel cost, you will see that after a very strong growth of 13.5% in the Q1 , we managed to limit the increase just to 4.5% in Q3, through a greater efficiency and also our various ongoing operational excellence initiatives. So in the first nine months of the year, the increase amounted to only 9.1%, even despite a slight increase in our headcount and the generally strong wage inflation we are seeing in very many industries and countries in our portfolio. So we have already discussed the main reasons for the year and year decline in our EBITDA, namely the short-term accounting impact due to our transition to a subscription and SaaS-based business model and in line with our strategy.

However, you might have also noticed that our earnings per share decreased slightly over proportionally by 10.8%, and the reason for this development can be found in our financial results. While our interest income increased sharply by EUR 2 million year-on-year, as one would expect in these times, given today's high interest rates and also our net cash position, our financial results nevertheless declined from EUR 5 million in 2022 to just EUR 600,000 this year. An explanation for this decline can be found when looking at our other financial income, which benefited strongly from a positive FX effect in 2022. So the resulting delta of almost EUR 6 million compared to the previous year is the sole and also non-operational reason for this decline in this position.

Looking at our cash flow generation, after the first three quarters of the year, you'll notice that despite the decline in earnings, we still managed to grow our free cash flow substantially by 18% year-on-year. This increase was driven by a slight reduction in CapEx compared to last year, as well as by a strong improvement in working capital due to an increase in our recurring revenues. This, once again, does not only underpin the high quality of our earnings, something Nemetschek is and will be standing for, but also shows one of the many, very many benefits of our strategic number one priority, the transition to a subscription and SaaS-centric business model. Lastly, we once again improve the quality of our balance sheet.

Represented in an important metrics such as the equity ratio, which is now at almost 60%, and a net cash position of EUR 223 million. Combined with our strong cash flow generation, this provides us not only with a high degree of safety, but also substantial financial firepower, should value accretive M&A opportunities come up in the coming months and quarters. So with that, I think that's a good wrap-up, and I'll hand it back to you, Yves.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Thank you, Louise. To conclude our presentation, I would like to turn to our updated outlook for the current fiscal year, 2023, as well as our ambitions for the subsequent years, 2024 and 2025 on page 12. So, as a result of our very strong operational growth in the first 9 months of the year, our successful subscription and SaaS transitions in the design, and especially in the build segment with Bluebeam … as well as a highly resilient business model based on the high share of recurring revenues and the well-diversified product portfolio and geographical exposure, we've decided to increase our guidance for the financial year 2023 after the Q3 .

In particular, this means that from today's perspective and based on the current portfolio, we increase our revenue guidance for 2023 and now expect a growth at constant currency of 6%-8% versus 4%-6% previously. Furthermore, we expect the EBITDA margin to be at the upper end of the previously communicated range of 28%-30%. With regard to the remaining part of our 2023 guidance, expected ARR growth of 25%, as well as a targeted share of recurring revenue above 75%, are very well on track to also reach these targets, and therefore, we confirm both of them. However, again, let me emphasize here that the guidance is based on the assumption that the global macroeconomic and sector-specific conditions will not deteriorate significantly in 2023.

Furthermore, no additional potential negative effects from the current developments in the Middle East conflict and the ongoing war in Ukraine are reflected in such outlook. Looking at the bigger picture, we can clearly see that all of our long-term structural growth drivers, such as the very low degree of digitalization in construction, increasing BIM regulation, and the need for more energy efficient and environmental-friendly construction, are intact and offer substantial growth potential in the coming years and decades. We are convinced that our strong market position, our new executive team, and a great overall talent across all our brands and the group, as well as our innovative products and close customer relationships, will further support this growth. Consequently, we also fully confirm our long-term ambitions.

For 2024, we already expect our growth to return to the low double-digit percentage range, while the EBITDA margin will be slightly above 30%. Due to the significantly over proportional increase in subscription and SaaS revenues, we expect that the recurring part of our business will represent around 85% of Nemetschek's total revenue. Following the successful transition of the majority of our business to subscription and SaaS models by 2025, we expect a further acceleration of growth to a range that is at least in the mid-teens, so significantly above the market. And with that, I would like to thank you all for your attention, and we are now happy to take your questions. So operator, please back to you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question for our speakers, please press star one one on your telephone keypad to enter the queue, and please wait for your name to be announced. Once again, that is star one one on your telephone keypad to register for a question. There will be a brief pause while questions are being registered. Our first question comes from the line of George Webb from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

George Webb
Executive Director, Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Hi, afternoon, Yves and Louise. I'll kick off with a couple of shorter-term guidance questions, please. Firstly, on the revised growth guidance of 6%-8%, you've kept that 2-point corridor going into Q4, which implies a pretty wide range, if I have my math right, somewhere between kind of 3% and 10% growth in the Q4 . Can you add a little bit more clarity on how you see the underlying growth rates developing as you go into Q4? Perhaps touch on how Q3 started versus how it ended on an underlying basis, and therefore, which, you know, what side of that range is perhaps more likely. And then secondly, you've maintained your 2024 growth target despite the higher base now for 2023, and noting that some of those effects were one-offs.

Do you feel you had enough buffer in that 2024 double-digit growth target that you didn't need to revise it lower? And how stretching is that target now? Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Sure. Thanks, George. So first of all, if you look at Q4 and already, you know, a few weeks in now, we still see a strong momentum. Of course, there is, we do not see any big significant changes in the market regarding demand, so it is not much better than what we anticipated, but it's also not lower than what we anticipated, so far in October. Of course, as you know, Q4 for us, especially with some of our brands, there is always at least a hockey stick in December. But overall, if you look at, you know, some of our biggest divisions, clearly, we see that we are going to be aligned with what we expect. So clearly, the foundations, especially at Bluebeam, is the fact that the user growth is still quite strong.

As you can see in terms of figures, Q2 was extremely so strong, but also Q3, more than expected in terms of user growth, which means new sales, new customers, additional users, also for existing customers... We see that it's still the case, that the momentum is still strong for Bluebeam already, also in October. On the design brands, clearly, we have launched now also new releases of some of our large brands, especially if you look at Archicad 27, where we got excellent feedback from the market, and it is seen as the best release of Archicad ever. So clearly, very, very strong feedback and positive feedback from customers and potentially new customers, too. So let's see how that evolve.

ALLPLAN also launched, as you know, a new release, Vectorworks, too. So here on the design side, as you know, also, Vectorworks is planning to launch a subscription-only offering starting in January 2024. So we see also that there are some last time buy of perpetual license, which came already the last couple of quarters, because that's something that, you know, especially the distributors and resellers that we have, didn't put that as a last quarter, last month type of things, but they are really having that across the year. And therefore, if you look at 2024, yes, of course, the comparable is now higher than what we expected.

So of course, there is kind of a stretch, but we are still highly confident that we will be able to manage double-digit growth. But yes, it will be, I said, in the low double-digit growth, so 10% plus type of growth. And this is mainly coming from Bluebeam, which is going now to be, you know, in full subscription mode. We benefit from subscription move from 2023, so we are expecting to be in the mid-teens revenue growth for build in general, which is mainly coming from Bluebeam, as you know. Then, in design, in 2024, we are not expecting that the market will get much better in general in terms of conditions, but we are also not expecting that it will get much worse.

So for the moment, in design, we are forecasting that for 2024, we should be, you know, in a range between the mid- to maximum high-single digits. And then in media, especially now with, you know, these few months now, ongoing strikes in Hollywood, clearly this has an impact for the overall media industry, as you know, especially in the US, and we see more low double-digit type of growth in media for 2024. So if you combine all of that, we are still confident in our guidance of +10% revenue growth, and also +30% EBITDA margin for 2024, George.

George Webb
Executive Director, Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

That's, that's super helpful. Can I just ask, on the Bluebeam side of things, when you've referenced strong user growth, if I remember thinking back, you've already got a very strong share of the large enterprise contractor market in the U.S., and some of the growth more recently had been driven by the SMB chains, perhaps taking up the product. Is that still the case, that it's SMB and international-

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Oh, yeah, clearly. I mean, you know, the growth, of course, is also coming internationally, but internationally, we can do much, much, much, much more at Bluebeam. But what is interesting is that the growth is very big in North America and in U.S. I mean, for both type of customers, a large one, but of course, the SMB sector is so, so low in term of digital penetration. And Bluebeam is almost becoming a verb now in the construction industry in the U.S. So we hope that this is continuing in the right direction, but so far, so good.

George Webb
Executive Director, Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please, while we take our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Sven Merkt from Barclays. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Sven Merkt
VP, Equity Research, Barclays

Great. Good afternoon, and thank you for taking my questions. This year, you have significantly improved the monetization of your products. You have increased prices, pricing, bundled products, made maintenance mandatory for some products. Can you comment, please, on the opportunity you see to further improve monetization next year? Will it become more difficult, or you see sufficient other levers you can still pull? And then secondly, you mentioned earlier that you expect to be slightly over 30% on the margin next year. So is my interpretation right, that you plan to meaningfully step up, hiring and investments, next year? And then, finally, just one question on Bluebeam. Can you, give us the license revenue still generated from that product over the last 12 months, and that is still needs to migrate over the coming year? Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Okay. So regarding, first of all, your first question on monetization. So, as you know, most of our brands, and also in the culture of, of the company for many, many years, we didn't do so much price increase. So yes, we have done slightly some, especially, this year, but we still have room, to still continue, on, on the pricing, adjustment in general. Then in terms of bundling and packaging, especially cross-brand, on the cross-selling side, we have not done anything yet. So here on the monetization, it's stage zero. We still have everything to do, and we have, therefore, huge opportunities on the cross-selling, repackaging of the different products, cross-brand, going after larger type of accounts, medium-size plus, enterprise, and, and license, enterprise license agreement, ELA type of things, which have not done yet.

We have not done anything around that for the moment. So in term of monetization, just on the packaging and price adjustments, we see still a lot, a lot of opportunities for quite some time. And then in addition to that, again, internationalization. I mean, the level of digitalization is super low. So first of all, you know, on term of penetration, in term of users and new customers, even in the region that we are present at the moment, it will continue to grow significantly. And then geographically, again, 50% of our revenue is in Europe, very small in Middle East and Africa, and here we see huge opportunities in the Middle East.

I mean, we were, again, this week, some of our team in Riyadh, where, you know, where we have some presence also with some of our products, with some big projects like NEOM The Line, for example. But we also see that in North America, yes, we are strong, but if you look at Latin America, you know, we can still do a lot of things where our presence is very small. And then in APAC, again, yes, we are more in PAC than A. So Australia and New Zealand, we are okay. Japan, we are good. Singapore, we are small, and almost our presence in the rest of Asia, especially in India, is not significant, and you will see that we are going to invest much more in this area.

So that's for the monetization topic. So price adjustments, packaging, cross-selling, and of course, internationalization. Then the second topic, on the EBITDA, clearly here, I mean, yes, of course, you know, we want to invest. We are not here to just milk our business. We are here for the long term. We have a very strong growth strategy. We have many initiatives that we are currently looking at on the innovation front, on new products, on new solutions. You will see that we are going to innovate and release some new solutions which are based on generative AI and artificial intelligence, generative design solution within the coming months and quarters. But in addition to that, you know, we also need investments on the go-to-market, on the internationalization part, you know, to invest also in key account management, enterprise selling.

But of course, when we say enhancing business enablement, yes, it is to harmonize our processes, et cetera, but we need also to invest in terms of IT, on the common tools, CRM, ERP, et cetera, et cetera. So there is clearly a level of investment that we continue to be there and deal with.

Louise Öfverström
CFO, Nemetschek SE

Yeah, and I think in general, just to that, you should continue to expect attractive profitability and margins from Nemetschek as you're used to, and to say it's also part of our guidance. But it was saying, we have a vast array of investment opportunities, so we should invest because the value creation of the Nemetschek business model is clearly in the growth. We have so much growth that we can generate a lot of value. However, also, in order to fund that, we are also having a lot of synergies within the group as we are growing and as we are harmonizing, et cetera.

So it's definitely not a cost reduction program within the Nemetschek Group, but we have economies of scale, etc., that we use to reinvest into those areas where we can continue to fund our own growth, so to say. So that's also an effect that we balance carefully.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Yeah. And then for your last question on Bluebeam, so the transition continue to be successful and according to plan. So we are very pleased with that. And we have now transitioned more than 40% of the Bluebeam customers to subscription, which is very successful.

Sven Merkt
VP, Equity Research, Barclays

Okay, that's very clear. Can you quantify all the, the license that was still generated from Bluebeam over the last several months? So we just have a sense what still needs to be migrated there.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

We are not communicating on that, no.

Sven Merkt
VP, Equity Research, Barclays

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please, for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Nicolas David from ODDO BHF. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Nicolas David
Senior Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yes, good afternoon, Yves and Louise. Thank you for taking my question. I have three, actually two first are on Bluebeam. The first one is, are you confident to generate a positive growth at Bluebeam level or good level, let's say, if it's easier for you to comment that? So are you comfortable to reach a positive growth in Q4 on this segment. Thanks to the fact that you are probably reaching the inflection point of the move to subscription, and despite the fact that you had some very high exceptional license in Q3, that may cut you from some potential subscription deals in Q4.

By the way, could you give us a sense of the amount of exceptional license you signed up for Bluebeam in Q3? And my second question is also on Bluebeam. Could you give us an update on the client's behavior regarding the move to subscription, notably in terms of ASP? And now the evolution of ASP in the recent months and also now that you are also transitioning the installed base, did you see a different behavior from existing client regarding this transition? And maybe did you suffer a bit from higher attrition on this installed base? And my last question is more on the media and entertainment segment.

Could you elaborate a little bit on the generative AI strategy for the segment? Do you plan to make, partner, or buy, and when do you think you will come on the market with interesting new features regarding that? Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Sure. And merci, Nicolas. So, first of all, on Bluebeam. So yes, for this quarter, we are expecting a positive revenue growth, so we will be back to positive growth at Bluebeam. As you know, now, it will be over one year that we have done the push to subscription. And so far, you know, we see again some very good traction there. Regarding client behavior, I mean, as you know, the most popular package that we have is the Core one, which is our mid-tier package, and also Complete. So the majority of new users and subscription customers are really going to the mid and high tiers package. Basics is also here, mainly for Web store.

So if you look at Web store, e-commerce selling, it is mainly coming from basic, which is also positive because as it is Web store, we don't have any intermediate commission for resellers or whatsoever. And that's why, you know, we still have this very nice mix, which is quite high in term of of average price compared to what we had with the perpetual license. So on media and entertainment, clearly, I mean, generative design is making a lot of noise there. As already mentioned, this is something that we are looking very, very seriously. So we are currently working with some startups for to see how we can potentially do a partnership.

It is true that it's really depending on the type of solutions that we're talking about. If it is mainly on 3D animation, generative AI has less impact, but definitely when you talk about rendering, et cetera, we see some very nice opportunities of innovation, and we are currently working on it.

Nicolas David
Senior Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Thank you. Any estimate of the Q3 exceptional license you may record? You may have recorded? Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

So, at Bluebeam, you mean the-

Nicolas David
Senior Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah, Bluebeam specifically, yeah.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Yeah, Bluebeam. So there has been a big push from also our channels to go very, very pushy. So some of our distributors were pushy until last time buy of a perpetual license, which was much higher than what we expected and also what they expected so far. So of course, then you may say, "Yes, part of it could be a little bit also some pull forward from Q4 to Q3," which is a little bit the case. But when we see the first few weeks of October, again on Bluebeam, I mean, the demand is still strong and it is still according to plan.

Nicolas David
Senior Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay, understood. And congrats for those very strong results.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please, while we take our next question. Our next question does come from the line of Knut Woller from Baader Bank. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Knut Woller
Financial Analyst, Baader Bank

Yeah, thank you. Three questions. The first one, just looking at your German market, growth accelerated by 2 percentage points versus the first half. Was this growth acceleration driven by the exceptional impact you highlighted for the design segment? Then just secondly, looking at your end markets, you've highlighted that your guidance increases based on the assumption that there won't be any deterioration in the environment. Can you just give us an update here on what you're seeing in residential, which seems to suffer currently, and how infrastructure and other products or segments are leveling that off?

And then lastly, on Digital Twin and the launch here, can you share with us some insight already in how this launch went, and what kind of expectations do you have for Digital Twin, and in which timeframe you believe that you can harvest this opportunity? Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Sure. First of all, regarding Germany, yes, you're right. The growth part of the growth was clearly due also from this one-time effect on perpetual license, especially in the design segment, but also, you know, Bluebeam partially. And then interestingly also, across the brands. Even if you, I mean, you're German, so you also know, Knut, that when you open the newspaper over the last few months in Germany, you have the tendency to read a lot of things which are highly negative around the construction industry. But the fact is that the demand is still there for more digitalization and software. Yes, of course, there is hesitation in the market, you know?

No doubt that design and planning is impacted since last year with the slowdown in the economy and the slowdown in construction, especially in residential. The residential market is definitely deeply impacted for now few quarters, and this is not only in Germany, but in Europe and even in the U.S. and globally. This is something that we see everywhere. We are not expecting that the first half of 2024 will be much better. It could be that residential market might be slightly better by the end of next year, but for the moment, you know, our expectation is that 2024 will be similar level and not much better in residential than in 2023. Nevertheless, clearly, infrastructure, there is some nice growth.

It is true that infrastructure is not the biggest part of our business and revenue, but as you know, we have few solutions which are linked to infrastructure. Even Bluebeam has a lot of infrastructure customers. Solibri has infrastructure customers. Of course, ALLPLAN with all our transportation solutions around ALLPLAN, with ALLPLAN Bridge, Allplan Road, et cetera. And also on the pure engineering side, some of our products are also used in infrastructure. Now, renovation, on the other hand, if you look at the building side, that the demand is still there. Again, since the beginning of the year, there has been a lot of renovation projects, especially in Europe, due to the energy crisis. Then, your last question, Knut, regarding our digital twin solution called dTwin.

Well, of course, we are at the beginning. I mean, we are now launching our first version of the product, which is our MVP. We are showing it in different trade shows, so we are presenting it. We presented it in New York, we presented it in London, and we are going to present it in November, also in Asia, with a big event in Hong Kong. And also myself, I'm going to be there, not only in Hong Kong, but also to present it to a few company and also the authority of Singapore and the government there. And our goal is to now test it, you know, with a handful of customer, like pilot customer, within the next few months and quarters.

Do not expect, you know, big revenue coming from dTwin next year. I mean, next year for us is really to shape the product, target it, price it properly, and also do these pilots in a proper way in different segments so that we can have a good product for a bigger bang commercial launch, probably toward the end of 2024, to start generating some revenue in 2025.

Knut Woller
Financial Analyst, Baader Bank

Great. Thank you very much, Yves.

Operator

Thank you. And one moment, please, while we take our next question. And our next question does come from the line of Deepshikha Agarwal from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Deepshikha Agarwal
VP, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. This is more on EBITDA margins, as in, like, because now you're alluding to the high, like, the top end of the guidance in 2023, and you've still reiterated the guidance for FY 2024 being, like, above 30%. So how should we think about, like, the cost development in 2023, like, in the Q4 , as well as, like, 2024, if possible, given all these initiatives on innovation and international, like, you know, entry into a lot of new markets, and basically that would involve some investments?

Louise Öfverström
CFO, Nemetschek SE

Yeah. Thank you for the very good question. And I think I alluded a little bit to that before. Let me reiterate that. Of course, we are continuously investing into our already now also into our business model, and as we alluded to AI initiatives, the digital twin, but also internally in structures, et cetera, in order to enable the growth in order to build that layer. But we also, while doing so, where we have to reinvest in some areas, we also draw upon the synergies that we have, the economies of scales. Because it's not only that we as a group have reached a certain size now, also all our brands have reached a certain size.

As we go into more combined solutions, et cetera, we have a lot to benefit from each other, and the Nemetschek Group has never done that in the past. So we have good potential there. So that's why it's a balance by the reinvesting, as you're alluding to, absolutely, but we can self-fund that by the efficiencies that we have in our operational excellence. So you should continue to see the investments, so that should also drive the growth, and that's what we're doing continuously. But you shouldn't see an enormous overlay, so to say. That's why we've also reiterated that for next year as well. And of course, the additional growth that we are seeing is adding on that operational leverage as well.

We continue to be very, very cautious on our spending to make sure that we have a high effectiveness in our spend. I hope that helped a little bit.

Deepshikha Agarwal
VP, Goldman Sachs

Yep. Thank you so much. That's helpful.

Louise Öfverström
CFO, Nemetschek SE

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please, whilst we take our next question.... Our next question comes from the line of Nay Soe Naing from Berenberg. Please go ahead. Your line is now open for your question.

Nay Soe Naing
Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for my questions. Actually, most of my questions have already been answered, so I've just got one more, hopefully a quick one. I think, Louise, you mentioned earlier alluding towards the fact that you're now sitting on a very strong balance sheet position and, you know, enough firepower for any potential M&A as well. So if you could maybe share the types of opportunities or targets that you are looking at and potentially pursue, in which segments of the business that the potential target will be in, and also the size of the potential targets as well. That'll be really helpful. Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Thanks, Nay. Clearly on the M&A front, I mean, as mentioned in previous calls, we are really scouting different types of opportunities and targets. First of all, targets and companies which can help us to complement our offerings, so really to go and complement what we can do. Here, clearly on the build and construct segment, there are some opportunities. They are also in operate and manage, a little bit in media, and then slightly also in design. Clearly, build and construct is one of the segments where we see more opportunities to complement what we do. Overall, there are also some opportunities that we are looking at when we need to make some decision on the technology front, buy versus make.

And here, there could be also some M&A activities that we may do, regarding mainly technology buy. And then we are also looking still and scouting at a more adjacent solution that, but still in AECO, than what we currently have, in general, so. And then in term of size, again, it's different type of size. If it is just technology buy, it could be small, or then to complement our offering, medium size, but we are also looking at larger size. So, you know, we are scouting the overall spectrum.

Nay Soe Naing
Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

That's very helpful. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, it is star one one on your telephone keypad to register for a question. Our next question comes from the line of Balajee Tirupati from Citi. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Balajee Tirupati
Analyst, European Software & IT Services Equity Research, Citi

Hi. Thank you. Balajee Tirupati from Citi. Congratulations on good set of numbers. Two questions from my side, if I may. Firstly, in terms of monetization, if I may have a follow-up. While the group is going through subscription transition at varied rates across different brands, do you expect to be more proactive to improve maintenance attach rate across brands which are still early in the transition? And second question would be, on the subscription transition design segment, would it be possible to share where you are at present and the target going forward? And while you are transitioning brands like Vectorworks, are you also adding additional features like you have done in Bluebeam in design segment to incentivize subscription transition? Thank you.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Sure. So let me start with your last questions on design. So clearly, the design brands, as you know, they have different solutions, different target customers, and each of them have their own plan on the move to subscription. If you look at Vectorworks, they've decided to really push for subscription only. And now what they are going to plan for next year is, yes, to add new functionalities in their subscription package than what you would have in the past with perpetual license. If you look at GRAPHISOFT and APLAN, so GRAPHISOFT, you know, also in their subscription package, what they are trying to do now is to combine more BIMcloud, which is a different additional offering than Archicad. And therefore, here also, it is going to...

It is bringing additional functionality. You will see that we are also going to announce soon more new functionalities on the design front with all our brands, which are going to be mainly linked to a subscription package than if it is only on perpetual license. So perpetual license, as you know, for ALLPLAN and GRAPHISOFT will be still around. We're not planning for the moment to do a stop of this perpetual license. Nevertheless, the subscription product and package will be more interesting in term of feature set for all the brands in design. So that's the first thing. Then on the monetization side, not sure I understand completely your questions, but we are currently in design in the meetings of of a subscription sharing subscription.

Overall, recurring share in design is around 75%. So this is where we stand today.

Balajee Tirupati
Analyst, European Software & IT Services Equity Research, Citi

If I may clarify the question on the monetization part. My question was: Do you see potential for making maintenance attached with license purchases mandatory in multiple brands going forward?

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

So, as an example, ALLPLAN, they announced that you won't be able to buy any perpetual license of ALLPLAN without SSA attached. So, SSA maintenance is mandatory for any perpetual license buy from ALLPLAN starting since October first of this year, as an example. Then, you know, ALLPLAN, they have a good plan also now to start migrating some of their maintenance and SSA customer to subscriptions. Like also what Bluebeam is currently doing, which is to really start migrating their subscription, their SSA maintenance customer to subscription. So-

Louise Öfverström
CFO, Nemetschek SE

Yeah, and as you can see by the share that Yves was just mentioning too, in the design segment, we are around 75% of recurring share in, in that segment, and that shows us that we have been very successful also in attaching maintenance contracts to our perpetual. That's part of the, of the business model, and that's also why we are moving to subscription and SaaS-based business model. We are also, at the same time, to say, where we are not still on a subscription, we are of course, working very, very strongly with a recurring, model, and that's why you see such a high share there already.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

I mean, again, in design, the attach rate, Balaji, is over 80%.

Balajee Tirupati
Analyst, European Software & IT Services Equity Research, Citi

Really helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And one moment, please, for our next question. And our next question does come from the line of Victor Cheng from Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Victor Cheng
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. Hi, Yves and Louise. Congrats on the solid quarter. Couple, if I may. I think, first of all, just looking at the one-off effects you talked about in this quarter, especially in design. Are you talking about Vectorworks specifically? And given that they're migrating... Well, they're only pushing for subscription sale for the remaining 50% of the market next year. Should we expect again, some one-off Q4 perpetual license sale in design? And on other design brands, any change in, you know, price increases or, you know, accelerating subscription push that we should expect? And I have two follow-up questions.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Sure. So thanks, Victor. So first of all, regarding the one-off on design, we are not expecting any special additional new one-offs in Q4. As I said before, if you look at Vectorworks, the one-time buy of perpetual license in their indirect markets, excluding Japan, is not really going to have a big, huge impact on Q4. This is not what we are sourcing, because, again, they started to do that since the beginning of the year. So obviously, there will be, as always in December, we are expecting a small hike there. But then ALLPLAN is one of the brands who decided on October first to only have perpetual license attached with maintenance.

So maintenance is mandatory, and this is why ALLPLAN had a strong boost of last time buy of a perpetual license only in September, which we are not going to have any longer in Q4. In Q4, of course, we will not have any more this big huge boost that we had of perpetual license for Bluebeam because it's not there anymore the option. So there is no big price increase coming up on January first or this type of things which are going to boost any perpetual license one-off type of effect in Q4. No.

Victor Cheng
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Very clear. Then, if I think about Bluebeam, where does the maintenance ending for Bluebeam customers that have just purchased last perpetual licenses? So I guess, how long can they hold on to before being moved to subscription? And then my last question is, you know, when I think about the end customers, maybe particularly in design in Germany, I think you have previously talked about, you know, there are long, fat tail of small customers with maybe 1 to 2, 3 seats per firm. Think about these companies, and when you talk about the hesitation in design segment, is the hesitation more about, you know, not renewing this year and holding on to old licenses for longer, or are they reducing seats? Kind of what's causing kind of the slowness in design?

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Sure. So, regarding Bluebeam maintenance, so clearly, people who have maintenance, they can keep it. But we are going to—we are influencing them strongly to move to subscription. So there is a big push on the move to subscription there. And what they have is that if you're a maintenance customer of Bluebeam, you have kind of a special price when you move to subscription, because the only thing that we do is that you keep your maintenance price. We do a 10% increase on a yearly basis until you reach the market price of subscription. So that's the plan on how Bluebeam is planning to migrate their SSA customer to subscription.

Of course, why you would like to move to subscription as a customer, that you would like to have all the additional nice features that you can get on subscription that you will not get anymore, because with just maintenance, that's not going to happen. So that's on the Bluebeam maintenance topic. If you look at design and this long tail of customers, so why there is a hesitation and why we, how we, we define this type of hesitation. You know, the growth of design, especially with architecture firms, is mainly coming from the fact that we get new customers. That's the big thing.

So customers who are still using 2D or 2.5D, you know, who are SketchUp and AutoCAD type of customers, who want now to have a 3D modeling and BIM solution to have an annotation tool which is more advanced. That's the first thing. Then, it is add-on of new users, and as there is less projects for some of these architecture firms, well, they don't need to hire new architects or and therefore, there is no new need of new user seats. But in terms of churn rate, I mean, as it is still heavy perpetual license, as you know, design, we do not see any big churn because the churn would be mainly only on the maintenance side, and here on maintenance, you know, it's very low. I mean, it's below 5%.

Victor Cheng
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Got it. Super clear. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. As a final reminder, if you would like to register for any questions, it is star one one on your telephone keypads. As we have no more questions registered, I hand the conference back to our speakers.

Stefanie Zimmermann
SVP of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications, Nemetschek SE

Perfect. Thanks, everyone, for attending. If you have any follow-up question, please do not hesitate to contact us. So Patrick or myself, thank you once again for dialing in, and have a nice day.

Yves Padrines
CEO, Nemetschek SE

Thank you very much, everyone. Bye-bye.

Stefanie Zimmermann
SVP of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications, Nemetschek SE

Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

This now concludes our conference. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect.

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