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Earnings Call: Q1 2021

May 12, 2021

Operator

[Non-English content]

Dirk Voigtländer
Head of Investor Relations, ProSiebenSat.1

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and let me continue in English, by the way, and welcome to the conference call on the occasion of ProSiebenSat.1 Group's financial results for the first quarter of 2021. As in previous quarters, today's conference call will be hosted by Rainer Beaujean, Chairman of the Executive Board, and Ralf Peter Gierig, Deputy CFO of ProSiebenSat.1. After an introduction by Rainer, Ralf will give an update on the development of the financial figures in the first quarter. Rainer will then provide further details on the operational development and comment on the increase of the financial targets for the full year 2021. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. As always, all relevant reporting documents can be found on our website in the Investor Relations section. With these opening remarks, I now hand over to Rainer.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

Good morning also from my side and welcome to our analyst and investor call on the occasion of our 2021 first quarter results. ProSiebenSat.1 made a good start into the financial year 2021, despite the ongoing pandemic. Our cost measures, our clear focus, and in particular, our diversification strategy have proven right and clearly helped us to minimize or even overcompensate the financial impact of COVID-19 on our business. We are convinced that our strategy, which we have been consistently pursuing since last March, is our big advantage. Our Q1 results have shown again that we are well-positioned, not only in order to overcome the current lockdown challenges, but also in order to realize our sustainable and profitable growth objectives. Besides our successful diversification efforts, growing synergies between our businesses become even more relevant in this context. What are we talking about today?

We will start with a short overview of what shaped our first quarter before covering our group financials. We will then give you an update on our operational and strategic highlights and close this presentation with an outlook regarding our performance in the second quarter as well as the full year. Let's turn to slide number three and jump right into it. Our diversification strategy is our key strength in this COVID-19-shaped environment and enables us to successfully defy the pandemic. First, despite the demanding market environment and subsequent decreasing advertising revenues, we managed to grow our group revenues in Q1 by 1% to EUR 938 million. This was driven by our diversification efforts, especially by the strong underlying Dating performance, as well as the solid growth of our Commerce and Venture segment on an organic basis following the WindStar Medical disposal.

Both segments are thus proving their value for the entire group. Second, as already announced during our full-year 2020 results call in March, the COVID-19 pandemic impacted our advertising business in the Entertainment segment in Q1. We already saw the first signs of a recovery in March and continue to expect a significant improvement in the second quarter. Third, while the revenue decline in our high-margin advertising business also had a negative impact on group-adjusted EBITDA, our Dating and Commerce and Venture segments recorded strong growth rates here. Besides our strict cost discipline, we were thus able to compensate to a large extent for the COVID-19-related declines in the advertising business. Our group-adjusted EBITDA declined by only 9% to EUR 143 million in the first quarter. Furthermore, our EBIT stabilized at EUR 80 million in this demanding market environment.

Overall, we were able to reduce our net debt by EUR 295 million versus the end of the previous year's first quarter. Fourth, we are now approaching our annual general meeting on June 1st. In line with our general dividend policy, we will propose to resolve a dividend of EUR 0.49 per share for the financial year 2020, which equals 50% of our adjusted net income. Fifth, last but not least, following our good performance in Q1 and our expectations for the coming months, we are able to increase our full-year outlook for revenues and adjusted EBITDA. I will provide you with more details on this later. Before we dive into the operational and strategic highlights, our Deputy CFO, Ralf Gierig, will now give you more details on our group financials in this first quarter.

Ralf Peter Gierig
Deputy CFO, ProSiebenSat.1

Thank you, Rainer. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and a warm welcome also from my side. Let me start my part of the presentation with the Q1 revenue overview for the group and our three segments. As you know, our focus is on ensuring that each part of the group contributes to increasing the value of ProSiebenSat.1 with the businesses supporting one another.

As you already know, we have changed our segment reporting at the beginning of full year 2021, and we are from now on reporting our figures based on the three segments: Entertainment, Dating, and Commerce and Ventures. Please be therefore reminded that the Red Arrow Studios portfolio companies, as well as Studio71, are from January 1st on reported in the Entertainment segment. Our Commerce and Ventures segment includes NuCom Group and its portfolio companies, as well as SevenVentures, wetter.com, marktguru, and our minority equity portfolio, which until December 31st of last year were reported in Entertainment. Our Dating segment is unchanged. With this re-segmentation, we aim to make our company more synergistic, diversified, and profitable, generating sustainable growth in all business areas. Now let's talk about our revenues in the first quarter.

Thanks to the Group's good progress in terms of diversification, Group revenues even grew in a quarter where especially advertising revenues have declined as a result of a COVID-19 related lockdown. Still, the business of many of our advertising customers was negatively affected. Nevertheless, Group revenues increased by 1% to EUR 938 million. Please remember that the first quarter last year was largely unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic until mid-March. As expected and indicated in our full year 2020 results conference call in early March, Group advertising revenues declined low double-digit percent by 13% to EUR 472 million. However, as the Group continued to further strengthen its businesses outside of the advertising business, this decline could be more than compensated by all other businesses combined.

Entertainment revenues decreased by 8% to EUR 610 million on a portfolio and currency adjusted basis, i.e., adjusted for the disposal of myLoc and primarily US dollar related currency effect, the decrease amounted to 6%. Segment advertising revenues fell by 14% due to the persistent pandemic restrictions, whereas content revenues increased dynamically by 20% after numerous productions were postponed or stopped due to the pandemic last year. In the Dating business, we recorded very dynamic revenue growth of more than 100%, or EUR 82 million. This development was driven by the first time consolidation of The Meet Group, which grew strongly compared to last year. Although organic revenues of the existing matchmaking business declined by 2%, the pro forma revenue growth of 36% of the combined dating business shows the strong performance of The Meet Group with its live video business as a major revenue driver.

Please also note that when commenting on organic growth, we usually only focus on the already existing businesses, i.e., excluding growth contributions of acquisitions. Given the outstanding growth of the Meet Group, we have decided to show this as an additional information to provide some color regarding the pro forma organic revenue growth, including the growth contributions of the Meet Group in Q1 2021 versus Q1 2020. Please be reminded that we consolidate the Meet Group since September 2020. Revenues of the commerce and ventures segment declined by 8% to EUR 187 million, mainly as a result of the deconsolidation of WindStar Medical. As you might recall, we disposed our 92% stake in early December 2020 at an enterprise value of EUR 280 million.

In the first quarter 2020, WindStar Medical still contributed EUR 32 million, which means that revenues of the commerce and ventures segment would have amounted to EUR 171 million on a like-for-like basis. This being said, on an organic basis, segment revenues grew by 10%, supported by the dynamic growth of the beauty and lifestyle business. The online car rental platform billiger-mietwagen.de, aAround home and the experiences business, developed notably behind prior year's figures as the prior year's quarter was still largely unaffected by COVID-19 pandemic. Please turn to page six. Group adjusted EBITDA only declined by 9%, which can largely be attributed to the lower revenues of the high margin advertising business. However, this could largely be compensated by Content, Dating, and the Commerce and Ventures business, which all achieved a very satisfying earnings development in Q1 2021.

In addition, the implementation of several cost and cash saving measures at the beginning of the crisis had a positive impact on the Group's profitability. Adjusted EBITDA of the entertainment segment declined by 32% to EUR 97 million in Q1 2021. As already mentioned, this development has mainly been the result of lower advertising revenues. In contrast, continued strong growth of the distribution business, driven by solid HD subscriber growth and the positive development of the content business, had a positive impact on the entertainment segment's adjusted EBITDA. Let me now highlight the Dating business, which has become the second largest earnings contributor of the ProSiebenSat.1 Group. Due to the acquisition of The Meet Group in September 2020, adjusted EBITDA more than doubled by EUR 17 million to EUR 33 million. Like the revenue performance, this was also the result of a strongly growing business of The Meet Group.

The adjusted EBITDA of the Commerce and Venture segment also improved significantly in the first quarter of 2021. Due to strict cost management, all businesses within the Commerce and Venture segment, except for our car rental platform billiger-mietwagen.de, improved their earnings contribution. This led to an adjusted EBITDA of EUR 17 million compared to EUR 6 million in the prior year, thus more than compensated the deconsolidation of WindStar Medical. Finally, the reconciliation result, which also includes the holding costs, improved by EUR 4 million to - EUR 4 million in Q1 2021. This can mainly be attributed to the costs related to board changes in the same period last year. Please turn to page seven. Despite a group-adjusted EBITDA below prior year, the EBIT remained unchanged at EUR 80 million. Here, lower reconciling items as well as an improvement in depreciation and amortization had an effect.

Net income increased by 77% to EUR 66 million, primarily reflecting an improved financial result, which was supported by valuation effects in our minority equity and PE fund portfolio. Adjusted net income, on the other hand, fell by 37% to EUR 37 million, mainly reflecting the decline of the group's adjusted EBITDA, as well as an increase of minority interest on an adjusted basis. Let me now draw your attention to the adjusted operating free cash flow, an important KPI which we introduced from financial year 2021. This metric is defined as operating free cash flow before interest in taxes. It is calculated from adjusted EBITDA, adjusted for cash-neutral expenses and income, and reduced by capital expenditure and changes in working capital. Since 2021, adjusted operating free cash flow has replaced free cash flow before M&A as the group's relevant cash flow performance indicator.

The adjusted operating free cash flow increased from EUR 19 million in Q1 2020 to EUR 82 million in Q1 2021. This positive development was largely due to timing effects related to program CapEx and improved working capital. In terms of free cash flow, we recorded an improvement by EUR 25 million to - EUR 25 million, despite a meaningful increase in cash interest payments due to the prepayment of the EUR 600 million notes, as well as an increase in cash taxes resulting from a better earnings development at the end of last year. Let us now have a look how this translated into change in net debt on page eight. At the end of the first quarter 2021, the group's net debt amounted to EUR 1,999 million.

This means an only slight increase compared to year-end 2020, and a meaningful reduction by EUR 295 million compared to the end of Q1 last year.

The net debt reduction has been a result of cash generated from our operating businesses. It also reflects the group's M&A activity over the past 12 months, especially the acquisition of The Meet Group and the disposals of WindStar Medical and myLoc. As already mentioned in our full year 2020 results call, the group made use of a three-month early redemption call according to the terms and conditions of the notes, and prepaid the EUR 600 million senior note outstanding at nominal value already on January 15, 2021. As a result, the group's gross debt position could be reduced by EUR 600 million from EUR 3.2 billion to currently about EUR 2.6 billion. With this, I hand back to Rainer.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

Thank you, Ralf. Our financial results in this quarter are underlying again, to which extent ProSiebenSat.1 benefits from the strategy we are pursuing. Thanks to our clear synergistic group setup and focus, we are strengthening the profitability of our company, enhancing the value of the entire group, and last but not least, passing the macroeconomic challenges in a more robust and successful way than pure media players. With this strategic focus on diversification, ProSiebenSat.1 is thus so much more than a pure media company. This is exactly what distinguishes us from the European pure players who still need to define their growth path. In this context, let's take a look at the entire strategic picture on page number 10. As you all know, with our segments, Entertainment, Dating, and Commerce and Ventures, we now have a very synergistic group structure for ProSiebenSat.1.

We systematically and synergistically connect these businesses so that they support each other. In short, our foundation for value creation has been laid. Within our entertainment segment, we are fully concentrating on producing relevant local and live content, which we distribute across all platforms. With this platform-independent approach, we are matching the changing consumer preference. This will help us to grow our revenues and earnings in the long term, as will the synergies which we are leveraging within the segment. Our Dating segment fuels our diversification. Here, we focus on building an ecosystem of matchmaking, dating, and social entertainment, leveraging synergies within the ParshipMeet Group companies, as well as with our entertainment business. In Commerce and Ventures, we bundle our entire investment portfolio of digital companies, hence our growth businesses, which we promote by using our unique media power and advertising expertise.

Part of all this is an active portfolio management across the entire Group, which contains both acquisitions and disposals once the contribution of a business to increase ProSiebenSat.1 Group value becomes limited. To sum it up, we are able to drive ProSiebenSat.1 forward by our own power. Let's now take a closer look at our three segments and see how they develop. Slide number 11 shows the overall development of TV advertising revenues in Germany in Q1 2021 compared to the non-COVID-influenced Q1 2019. In total, the TV ad market is in good shape despite the challenging macroeconomic situation. As this graph highlights, the decline is mainly driven by only three industries, which are clearly impacted by COVID-19-related lockdown measures, whereas the other industries combined are at their respective 2019 level in gross advertising revenue terms.

This proves that TV advertising by and large remains structurally unaffected, and the market holds good catch-up potential. Once the sectors services, automotive, as well as tourism pick up again, we will also see a noticeable upward trend within our ad revenues. On slide number 12, we are seeing how this current market development translated into our entertainment advertising revenue. While in Q1, the pandemic led to a decline in our entertainment segment advertising revenues of -16% in the German-speaking region, we saw first signs of recovery starting in March, leading to a substantial increase of about 40% in April compared to the previous year. In other words, our strong April performance already nearly compensated for the decline in the first quarter, and we even foresee a stronger increase in May, both in absolute terms as well as percentage-wise.

These very strong catch-up effects are coming from the food, pharma, as well as the automotive industries in particular, and we are very optimistic that this recovery will further continue and positively influence our second quarter. Slide 13 gives a summary of our operational achievements in the entertainment segment. Q1 proved in a great way how we align our content according to the maxim: local, live, relevant. Our light show such as "The Voice Kids" or "Germany's Next Top Model" by Heidi Klum, were able to increase their individual market shares and to raise our overall prime time viewing time by 1% compared to Q1 2020. We launched successful new shows such as "Stealing the Show." We are more and more focusing on sports.

This year, we already aired the UEFA Under 21 Championship games, and we are currently broadcasting the Formula E races, which not only attracted new target groups, especially the younger ones, but also new advertising customers. We made important steps with regards to advertising technology that will become more and more relevant in the future. On the one hand, our teams are introducing the license-based total video product solution CFlight. CFlight offers new principles and high-quality standards for cross-media campaigns and makes the different media qualities of TV and digital for the first time directly comparable. This technology has been a desire of our customers for a long time. On the other hand, with our new waterfall targeting, we are making ourselves less dependent on browser cookies. This three-step model is based on sociodemographic targeting criteria and combines concrete registration data with added predictions.

Here, we are using for the first time the data which we collected via our in-house registration world 7Pass, in order to improve our advertising product using the higher quality data. It's very successfully. Since its launch in January, the in-target rate has already increased by 40%. Last but not least, our unique content offerings are driving our distribution business. Our revenues in this business area grew by 8% in the first quarter. On to slide number 14. Since January, our content production and global sales business of Red Arrow Studios forms an integral part of our entertainment segment.

When creating our own content, we are thus benefiting from significant synergies. Best example is our hit social experience format, "Married at First Sight." The format has been created by our subsidiary, Snowman Productions, in Denmark, distributed by Red Arrow Studios International to 30 TV markets worldwide, and produced by our own production unit, Redseven Entertainment, for the German market. We air the show successfully on Sat.1. The seventh season last autumn, even for the first time in primetime, and of course, also on the webpages of Sat.1 and our streaming platform, Joyn. This example underlines how important it was to unite our production business under one roof within the entertainment sector. We are working hard to fully leverage the synergy potential in this segment. Now on to our Dating segment and ParshipMeet Group on slide 15, which we consider our key driver for diversification and future growth.

As you all know, The Meet Group's expertise in live video streaming was one of our key reasons for the transaction. Live video streaming is seamlessly linking our Dating with our Entertainment business in a very synergistic and value-creating manner. Here, we are providing social entertainment and live formats to engage the audience on our dating platforms and are constantly integrating innovative new live games. While many people do not wish to pay for a subscription, they are willing to spend money on virtual gifts. To give you a feeling for the underlying potential, users spent more than one billion minutes per month in The Meet Group's video streams and played 250,000 dating games every day. This gamifying approach is a powerful engine driving monetization. Already now, live video streaming accounts for more than one-third of our Dating revenue, and the trend continues.

Another important aspect going forward, by providing the technology behind our live video streaming solution, vPaaS, is evolving into a lucrative business and is already implemented with major players within the dating industry. We are hereby developing a business with major revenue potential. Let's move to slide number 16. Next to Dating, our Commerce and Ventures segment is also benefiting from synergies with our Entertainment business. The online beauty shop, Flaconi, for example, grew its revenues by 69% in the first quarter 2021. Amorelie increased its revenues by 16%, supported by a convincing Valentine's campaign on our channels. These growing businesses help to compensate for the COVID-19 related impacts, we also laid the foundation for a post-lockdown recovery of those assets related to tourism and leisure.

Our car rental company, billiger-mietwagen.de, for instance, raised its stock of camping vehicles by more than half. Regiondo, our booking software company, which is part of Jochen Schweizer mydays Group, gained more than 400 new partners that now offer their free time activities using our booking system. In other words, once the current lockdown is history, we are ready to speed up at the fastest possible pace. Slide number 17 summarizes the strategy behind the segment. In Commerce and Ventures, we unite all forms of investment offerings, from seed financing and media for revenues or equity deals to our majority and strategic investments. We support these companies with our advertising expertise and the strength of our digital and TV reach, and at the same time, we can gain insights into new markets and business models without high entrepreneurial risk.

In general, our investment companies focus on business segments from e-commerce and food tech to digital entertainment, e-health and wellbeing, as well as data, IoT, and Insurtech. All of them have in common a promising growth potential, a strong online presence, and a high TV affinity. We are actively developing this portfolio. For instance, we just recently invested or increased our investment in Wellster Healthtech Group , Sanity Group, and Xplora, and are now building up these brands with our media reach. Let us continue with our financial outlook regarding our performance in the second quarter and the full year. ProSiebenSat.1 Group anticipates a significantly more positive development in the second quarter than in the previous year's quarter, despite the ongoing lockdown measures.

We continue to expect advertising revenues to recover strongly in the second quarter, also due to the heavily impacted previous year's quarter in the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as also to continued positive development in the Entertainment segment outside the advertising business and in the segments Dating as well as Commerce and Venture. As we expect this positive trend to be continued, we have decided to increase our target ranges for revenues and adjusted EBITDA in full year 2021 compared to the outlook published in the 2020 Annual Report on March 4th, 2021. In total, we are now targeting for full year 2021, without further portfolio changes, revenues of EUR 4.25 billion at the lower end, and revenues of EUR 4.45 billion at the upper end of the target range after a previous year figure, adjusted for currency and portfolio effect of EUR 4.05 billion.

In financial year 2021, Group revenues growth will thus be in a range between 5% and 10% compared to the previous year. Based on the revenue assumptions above, for the full year of 2021, we now anticipate a Group adjusted EBITDA, without further portfolio changes, of EUR 750 million at the lower end and EUR 800 million at the upper end of our target range after a previous year figure, adjusted for currency and portfolio effect of EUR 708 million. This increase of our revenues and adjusted EBITDA target ranges also has a positive effect on all the Group's other most important financial performance indicators. Let me remind you, if our assumption at the higher end for the German TV advertising market, this 4%, is too conservative, we remain with our rule of thumb.

Every increase of another 1% of the TV advertising market means on top sales of EUR 20 million as well as on top adjusted EBITDA numbers of the same amount. I hope we could show you today we have managed to actively transform ProSiebenSat.1 over the last year and are seeing the first results now. We are much more focused on our core topics in our local markets. We are creating value, and we are much more resilient thanks to our new group setup. We are concentrating on leveraging synergies within and between our segments, and we are raising our profitability step by step, which will become even more visible within the course of this year.

With our strategic focus on diversification and digital businesses, we are not oriented towards pure TV broadcasters, will continue to drive forward our digital business model spanning from Studio71 to our commerce assets and ParshipMeet Group. ProSiebenSat.1 is so much more than a pure media company, we are very satisfied with the path we have chosen and the progress we are making. We are convinced that this is the right way for ProSiebenSat.1's future, we will continue to consistently execute this strategy. Thank you very much for your attention. We are now looking forward to your questions.

Operator

If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your phone keypad. If you are using speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off. Again, press star one to ask a question. We'll now take the first question from Julien Roch from Barclays.

Julien Roch
Managing Director, Barclays

Yes, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one is, what was the year-on-year decline of smart advertising in Q1, either percentage or the absolute amount? It was EUR 39 million last year, I believe in Q1. Second question, on advertising, you said April up 40%. What was it versus 2019? You say, May more optimistic. What does it mean, up 50%, up 60%? Again, how much was this 2019? That's my second question. The third one, dating, 2% organic and 36% pro forma. If I do the difference between organic and pro forma, there's some overlap, but it gives you a good indication. It looks like Meet Group was up about 80%, which seems quite a lot. Is there some M&A, from Meet in the 36% pro forma?

Is the 36% pro forma entirely organic, looking at both ParshipMeet on an organic basis and Meet on an organic basis? Those are my three questions. Thank you.

Ralf Peter Gierig
Deputy CFO, ProSiebenSat.1

Hi, Julien. I will be taking the first one. Ralf speaking here. I think your first question was related to digital and smart advertising. This grew double-digitally in the first quarter. Yeah. Nice double digit.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

Let me start with the last one. In the Parship Meet segment, The Meet Group is up 80%. There is no further M&A included in that. If you look on the pro forma number and have in mind organic and pro forma is different, the growth is 36% for The Meet Group. Which also supports the clear idea what we did last year when we bought them, that especially the social entertainment piece, video content and so on, and especially also the synergistic approach, which we further will work out during this year, to the entertainment business is a very good reason why this is really value creating for us in that situation. Vice versa for the matchmaking business in that, for sure this was not growing a lot.

Please have in mind, especially in the German market, the situation that our lockdown still is the case in the first quarter. If you want to do serious matchmaking, you have to meet people and this wasn't possible in Q1. It's getting better and better. Germany is ramping up pretty fast and we are very optimistic that when this is happening, that we also will see better numbers in that situation too. Let me talk about the advertising performance. Right, April was up 40%. By the way, at least what we learned also from several analysts talking to RTL, I think that's a number which is pretty similar to that what we also seen from them. For May, I clearly have to say it looks very good currently. There we are a little bit more optimistic what we have heard than RTL.

I would say we are clearly somewhere around above 60% currently compared to last year. That means that we are also above in May 2019. That's similar to the situations which you have seen, for instance, from ITV in the U.K. market, which are a little bit earlier in their lockdown measurements, and getting back to normal. We expect a similar situation for Germany, and we see advertisers to come back currently. I clearly have to say TV is really strong overall. ProSieben Sat.1 a little bit stronger than the other in the market due to the change of our program due to the situation. We have to see how this will work out at the end of the year. We are currently very optimistic that we have done a lot of things right here. That's it, I would say.

Julien Roch
Managing Director, Barclays

Okay. Yep.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

Thanks.

Julien Roch
Managing Director, Barclays

Very good. Thank you very much.

Operator

All right. Our next question comes from Annick Maas from Exane BNP Paribas.

Annick Maas
Vice President and Media Equity Research Analyst, Exane BNP Paribas

Good morning. My first question is on Flaconi. I understand this asset is not up for sale anymore. Can you maybe give us the thought process behind that decision? Is it a delayed sale? Is it no sale at all? Why is that? Staying on Flaconi, maybe if you could give us an indication on Q2 trends as well. Following on to Julien's question, just around dating and Q2 trends. I guess I understand that trends should improve as markets open. Maybe could you give us an indication of how eHarmony and ParshipMeet have developed in Q1 and what do you expect at this stage for Q2? I guess comps are not getting easier, so would we expect more declines or, how are you thinking about those two subdivisions? Thank you.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

We start with the second one. For sure, the dating business is getting better in Q2 when the market will open. That's also our assumption. Matchmaking means, eHarmony as well as, for sure, ElitePartner as well as ParshipMeet brand. On the other side, we have tough comps then for social entertainment of The Meet Group from last year because the growth directly went into it. Currently, we don't see their decline. We have to see how this will develop. I think, we can discuss it further on when we have finished the second quarter because we have to see, especially in Germany, how the lockdown measures works. What we have learned in the U.S. is that there is a reluctance of getting the second shot. We won't have that situation in Germany because Germans are very disciplined.

Even if you're a little bit late, everybody has already their second date in their calendar of those who's got the first shot. That will happen. I think Germany will ramp up pretty fast when it gets to getting more medicine in. I can tell you from the region I live, that's now going to the local doctors and that's ramping up really fast. I'm very optimistic that the situation will change. We have to see that in North Rhine-Westphalia, which is the biggest part in Germany from the population. Vacation starts at the 5th of July. Up to this point, we will see, in my opinion, how the situation is. I'm very optimistic for North Rhine-Westphalia that nearly everybody gets the possibility to get their first shot and that would mean a major change.

We are already discussing in Germany if the school kids above the 12 years will get their vaccination, the first vaccination in our summer vacation. It's getting up, it's getting better. Yes, we were behind. That is what you can see in Q1, but very optimistic that this will change. That would mean especially for matchmaking and all this kind of stuff, that we then also should have a better ground, that people will meet again. Flaconi, we never said that we have a process running. I know that there are a lot of speculations. It's like always, if somebody reached out to us, and we clearly said that especially beauty and lifestyle is an area where there could be a possibility that we are in a certain time of period, not anymore the best owner.

Currently, when you see our growth rates, perhaps we are a very good owner, with 68% growth. Honestly, you can see the synergies. Main reason, by the way, was, and we tested it the first time that we made Flaconi the main sponsor of Germany's Next Top Model via Heidi Klum. That's clearly one of the push we get out of that and for lots of advertisers who are also listening to our calls. A good sample of how strong TV can be, and now we have to see how this will develop on further. We are not ruling out that, if the right one comes along with the right price, that we could discuss. Currently that's not the case. That's the reason why we keep on moving and let the company grow.

Annick Maas
Vice President and Media Equity Research Analyst, Exane BNP Paribas

That's great. How should we think about the growth rate for Flaconi in Q2, given now the comps are really going to be super tough and there's no Heidi Klum in Q2?

Ralf Peter Gierig
Deputy CFO, ProSiebenSat.1

Annick, I will take this question. You should expect from Flaconi in Q2, again, solid double-digit growth percentage-wise. Maybe not as strong as Q1. Very good growth.

Annick Maas
Vice President and Media Equity Research Analyst, Exane BNP Paribas

Thank you.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

Yeah, we're not speculating on that because it's too early. Again, what we haven't seen is a decline. People learned that e-commerce is an important factor. People figured out it's working. We have the pandemic currently, is still there in Germany especially, that's the reason why we are not expecting a major change. That's the good thing about the April numbers already, because in April, in Germany, there is a lockdown. It's still existing. In the Bavaria region where we live, up to yesterday night at least, you're not allowed to be out of house beyond 10:00 in the evening. You have to do click and collect.

At the end of the day, the situation hasn't changed a lot, and therefore, especially the numbers for May are very convincing for the TV advertising because it shows how people have built up trust in these kind of advertising, and that gives me a positive momentum, and now we have to see how this will develop going on further. Yeah, we are very happy with that, what we've reached up to now.

Annick Maas
Vice President and Media Equity Research Analyst, Exane BNP Paribas

Super. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Conor O'Shea from Kepler Cheuvreux.

Conor O'Shea
Head of Media Sector Research and Senior Equity Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes, good morning, everybody, and thanks for taking my questions. Three questions from me as well. First, Rainer, I wonder if you could just remind us on the month-on-month declines in Q2 last year, April, May, June, just so we get a sense of that. Whether you think this year's strength in May has a little bit of avoidance of the Euro 2021 on public stations in June and July. Is there perhaps an impact on that, on your market share, a temporary boost? Secondly, can you just update us on the impact on TV viewing, linear and otherwise, in the first quarter, with the lockdowns? Final question, just in terms of what you're thinking about full-year programming costs.

After a longer lockdown than expected in Q1 and a softer ad market in Q1, are you sort of rethinking a little bit your full-year programming costs and that maybe you might have made some temporary savings during the lockdowns that will not necessarily cycle back in later in the year?

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

Let me start with the last two questions, and let's talk a little bit about TV viewing. What we have learned during the first quarter is due to the pandemic situation, that especially news were very successful. That's the reason why the ARD, ZDF were very successful. We were stronger than RTL, so we gained market share here. You can see all of that our strategy to be more relevant, more local, getting news in-sourced is totally right. Especially the young people are very interested in that, and you could see that also that several of the politicians who want to be chancellor in Germany now coming to ProSiebenSat.1 to present themselves because here at ProSiebenSat.1 , they reach the young target groups. This is a very strong and good positioning of our TV channels, and that's very successful.

We had the situation, especially with news and all the others, that people were informing themselves via TV. With all the fake news in the internet and so on, also is one of the main reasons for that, for sure. We all learned that. That doesn't mean for us that we have to increase our programming costs above that what we have already announced. We set in our guidance at the year-end, and that's not changing, that we will spend approximately EUR 1 billion, that we have the opportunity to have a variance in that of approximately EUR 50 million. The EUR 50 million is that what we can discuss, the rest not. At the end, because the year is planned. Month-to-month decline in Q2 2020. Let me remind you a little bit. I think on average, it was -40%.

We had in April, and I take it all off my head, is approximately -36%. May was -41%, and June was approximately -33% because it was already getting better a little bit. May is a very important month. It's a big month. At the end, this is relevant for the European Championship, honestly. This is like, I think when, and I can say personally, I'm really a soccer fan, but if I have the opportunity to go in a restaurant and to eat with my family and meet some friends, I think besides seeing Germany, I'm not watching so many games in June. After more than 15 months at home, I would be happy to go out. I'm happy that I don't have the rights. We will see if I'm right or wrong.

What we see currently is that especially beverage advertisers come back to us, because they are preparing themselves also. Everybody has the hope that in the summer months, people can sit outside, eat, and drink, which I'm also looking forward to. At the end of the day, we will see. I don't think that we will have a huge decline in that in June. We will see. I believe that in the summer vacations, when people then have the opportunity to go out, that we will see that. That normally July, August, September are always summer months, which is from a performance point of view, always our weakest quarter. Therefore, we are not expecting that this will have a huge influence.

Most decisive will be again the fourth quarter, because that's normally in a normal year, 40% last year, fourth quarter, if you remember that, was very strong, and we have to see if we can repeat that. That's the reason why we stay conservative in the entertainment business. Even having provided you with our rule of thumb, which is that every percentage point above the upper end of the 4% market as well as our growth, will create EUR 20 million more in our revenues and EUR 20 million more on our profitability. If some analysts are right, that this could be 5% or 6% for sure, that will increase our guidance again. We will know that better when we discuss the next time after Q2.

Conor O'Shea
Head of Media Sector Research and Senior Equity Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. Very clear. Thank you. Thank you, Rainer.

Operator

Again, if you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one. Our next question comes from Nizla Naizer from Deutsche Bank.

Nizla Naizer
Director within the Equity Research division, Deutsche Bank

Great. Thank you. I have two questions from my end, actually three. The first one is on the ParshipMeet Group and the social video streaming that seems to be doing really well. Could you remind us again how you monetize this particular business? Also, how do you monetize it when you do share the technology with other parties? Some color there would be great. Secondly, you mentioned that focusing more on sport would be important going forward. Would that come up with a step-up in investments from your end, or is that already baked into the programming spend that you've targeted for this year? Some color on how you're thinking even beyond 2021 would be great. My last question is on Flaconi.

Could you remind us again about the profitability profile of Flaconi at the moment, where they are geographically, and are you planning to take it to more markets in the near future? Thank you.

Rainer Beaujean
Chairman of the Executive Board, ProSiebenSat.1

First of all, sports is already included in our guidance. You know that we will start with several games of the Bundesliga. We have the Super Cup, we have the opening of the Bundesliga, and we also have then in 2022, the relegation games between first and second league. We have the start of the rematch, the 19th day of the first Bundesliga as well as the second Bundesliga, and then we have another two games. Overall events, that's all priced in, that's all included in our guidance for the investment, same for Formula E and all the other stuff. That's all there. The PMG, by the way, you have in our presentation, there is a QR code in the presentation where you can easily figure out how the monetization and the product looks like. Perhaps that's very helpful to give you a feeling.

It's most of the case in the social entertainment area, gifting. Means that you have the possibility, for instance, to book a limousine for your most loved, or most interested in. That's at the end of the day, how it works. I think QR code is great and that's how it works. I don't want to be too precise. As I said, you know that we are planning, or GA is planning to sell their stakes at the beginning of next year. When it comes closer, for sure, we also will then give more guidance on how that works. Beginning means, beginning next year is the current timeline, as we already announced in the past. I've also seen rumors you were asking for that we can do that faster. That's not our timeline.

Our timeline stays based on the numbers of 2021, 2020, and 2019, that we perform the IPO beginning of next year. Profitability profile of Flaconi. Yeah, we are break-even, a little bit above. What we do currently is we let the company grow, because we want to take market share from all the others. Regional wise, it's a platform business. That means, we are in different countries, for sure, most successful in Germany. That's the majority, we also are in other countries based on the platform. We also discussed in the past that we increased our inventory. Well, what is it? The inventory storage possibilities to huge amount because we believe that there is huge growth going on further, and as we said before, we can see that also double-digit growth as I was mentioning before, is happening already in Q2. It's Poland, Austria.

It's all small currently, but the platform is developing, and we are going into these countries.

Nizla Naizer
Director within the Equity Research division, Deutsche Bank

Great. Thank you.

Dirk Voigtländer
Head of Investor Relations, ProSiebenSat.1

Ladies and gentlemen, this was the last question for today's call. As always, my colleagues in the investor relations team and myself will be available for any follow-up questions shortly. Thank you and goodbye.