Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Schaeffler Group Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Sörgen, the Chorus Call operator. I would like to remind you that all participants will be in a listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. You can register for questions at any time by pressing star and the one on your telephone. For operator assistance, please press star and zero. The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Heiko Eber, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm very happy to welcome you to today's call on the financial results Q3 2025. The press release, the following presentation, and our interim statement have been published today at 8:00 A.M. CET on our Investor Relations webpage. For sure, after the meeting, we will provide the recording and the transcript of this webcast. As a quick reminder, please note that all figures for 2024 are pro forma figures unless they are marked separately as reported figures, and the mentioned pro forma figures 2024 and related information are unaudited. As always, Klaus Rosenfeld, our CEO, and Christophe Hannequin, our CFO, have joined the conference call to guide you through the key information in our presentation. Of course, afterwards, both gentlemen will be available for our Q&A session. Now, without further ado, let me hand over to our CEO.
Thank you, Heiko. Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to our Q3 call. You all have the presentation in front of you that we distributed this morning. You also saw the three press releases we published. I will start immediately on page number four with the summary. Good performance in a soft market environment is the headline. You see sales growth of +1.3% in Q3. I will go into a little bit more detail there. Gross margin at 20.3%. Please read the footnote. This is the gross margin excluding an extraordinary one-off loss of EUR 100 million due to the depreciation of SAP licenses. It is a comparable number to the 19.1% in Q3 previous year. You see a quarter-over-quarter improvement there. EBIT margin at 4.5%, nearly a percentage point better than Q3 2024. Also sequentially clearly pointing in the right direction.
Positive development in free cash flow. EUR 175 million in Q3 really points also in the right direction. Also led us to upgrade our free cash flow guidance, as you saw in the last days. EPS is negative, in particular due to the one-off restructuring, but also due to the depreciation of SAP licenses. On an adjusted basis, it is positive. Now, with this, let me quickly go through the business performance. You see on page six the usual breakdown of where's the growth coming from. We can basically say that except for the slanted development in Powertrain & Chassis overall, all divisions and regions contributed here. Europe is a little weaker than we would like to see it, with -1.6%. Also driven by Powertrain & Chassis. You see some of the unusual developments. Strong growth, Asia-Pacific is the same trend that we explained last time.
It has to do with the shift of an important project from China to South Korea. America with 18.4% in E-Mobility, it is new contracts that are now starting to perform. Vehicle Lifetime Solutions with 2.3%. Weaker than in the previous quarters. We always said this two-digit growth is not going to continue. With strong growth in America, also in the two other regions, Europe here again is the reason why this was not as strong as before. Bearings & Industrial Solutions with 2.2%, I think, is in line with market. A trend from our point of view that should not surprise anyone. With 1.3%, at least the Q3 was a gross quarter despite all this turbulent environment.
Page seven then gives you more detail in our OEM business, auto Powertrain. That is what we promised to give you, the breakdown by Powertrain type, both for the outperformance number and also for order intake and book to bill. What you see is a continuation of the trend that we showed you for the first six months. Nine months, +13% outperformance in BAV shows that we are well on track there. HAV is, for these nine months, still below market. The same with ICE. The number has come down a little bit. Key for going forward is not what we are printing today, but the order intake and the book to bill. There you see that BAV and HAV are more or less on the same level with 1.8 times. Let me stay here. As we outlined also during our Capital Markets Day, we have a significant order book.
Our key priority is to deliver that order book. We appreciate new projects, but only if they make sense and also drive our profitability. E-Mobility, next page, page eight. As you probably expected, sales growth on the positive side, 4.7%, clearly driven by Americas and Asia-Pacific. Order intake in that quarter was EUR 1.2 billion, slightly below the second quarter, but still on track. That also leads to a book to bill in Q3 of 0.9. What really counts here is, from my point of view, the full nine months. What is on the positive side here is the continuous improvement of the gross profit margin, 3+ percentage points in Q3. This also excludes the impact from the SAP licenses that for E-Mobility would have been EUR 24 million. You see two examples for new projects.
With the development that we see here, we feel good that we are on track to deliver what we promised for the midterm. Powertrain & Chassis, slightly sales decline. Gross margin continues to be strong and further improvement, 1.2 percentage points. Good order intake, but clearly with a book to bill that is below one. As we always said, you need to, at the end of the day, look at these two divisions somehow together, in particular when you think about the Powertrain business. Our idea that this hedges each other is clearly paying off. Vehicle Lifetime Solutions, I already said it. Lower growth compared to previous quarters, in line with market, and gross profit margin further improving. We always said it's not going to grow every quarter by 10%, but I'm really proud to say that our gross profit margin stays at a very high and satisfactory level.
Bearings & Industrial Solutions, also here, we decided to improve our guidance a bit. The 5%-7% was after a further improved third quarter, a little bit outdated. We moved it up to 6.6%-8%. We feel good that the business is further improving due to the various self-help measures, but also due to growth in particular in aerospace, but also in construction, agriculture, machinery, two-wheelers, and the new emerging area of medical equipment. Let's wait for the fourth quarter and see where we end up there. Capital allocation, page number 12. We continue our course here. Capital allocation schemes are known to you. We are very disciplined here. You see the reinvestment rate at 0.5 times for the whole year, for the whole business. Excuse me. That clearly means we are releasing capital at the moment. That is important. Bring the SVA number back on track.
We are now slightly below previous quarter, EUR 12.3 billion. We will manage capital tightly. Let me also say this does not mean that we have restricted any type of growth because there is enough cash flow available to fund the projects that we are seeing. As you know, we are restrictive and want to bring SVA back to where it should be. Last page from my side before I hand over to Christoph. Short follow-up on the top three priorities that I explained during the capital markets day. First is delivery of our order book. Again, we have seen a prominent SOP of electric drive products for a Chinese OEM. Again, an interesting player who is a pure play on the new energy vehicles.
Several other SOPs, one in Europe for a premium European OEM and another one again for a European OEM and a Chinese OEM in chassis, wheelwheel steering. Happy to say that the delivery of the order book is on track. The size is big and challenging, but we are learning. We are moving forward, and we are seeing good results from these three examples. Synergies is also on track. You remember what we said during the capital markets day. We have more or less finalized our program that we call program Forwards. Here is more detail on the plant in Steinhagen. That was already in the numbers that we showed you. We will finish production year 2026. The portfolio we consolidated into another plant headground production is outlined and at the moment negotiated with Workers' Council.
I can tell you that this cooperation with employee representatives has always been an asset. It is painful for everybody, but it is the right track to it is the right step to streamline, in particular, our German operations. Last but not least. You saw the press release. We promised to streamline the business portfolio and reallocate capital. We said during the capital markets day there are 10 portfolio elements in the pipeline. This is now a first example. We have yesterday or this morning closed the contract with a Chinese specialist in turbocharger technology that acquires our turbocharger business in China. It is a business that we inherited through Vitesco. It made EUR 100 million and is at the moment in a structural decline. It makes a lot of sense to get rid of this. The agreement is signed.
Please understand we are not disclosing more details, but it is a proof point of our promise to streamline. With that, I hand over to Christophe for the financial performance.
Thank you, Klaus. Good morning, everyone. After looking at the division look, let us take a step back and look at things at group level. Starting with sales, we deliver a strong quarter of growth once you adjust for foreign exchange. That growth, I am happy to report, is profitable, as you can see on the gross profit evolution on the right side. EUR 119 million worth of volume effect. That is further proof point to the roadmap that we drew during the CMD. If you look at that EUR 119 million, close to half of it is driven by E-Mob. So we are growing, and we are growing profitably. The rest comes from the other divisions.
We are also improving our cost structure or our operational performance. That is the EUR 111 million that you see here. E-Mobility, again, displaying some improvements, about EUR 20 million worth of improvement linked with E-Mob. The bulk of the improvement actually comes from Bearings & Industrial, close to EUR 90 million quarter over quarter, demonstrating that the measures, both structural and in terms of operational performance, are paying off and are improving our gross profit and thereby our bottom line. A little bit of what I would call background noise on the next column with a mixture of inventory evaluation, customer claims, and a little bit of a restatement issue, to be 100% transparent. In the EUR 109 million. Foreign exchange, EUR 45 million, reflects the evolution year-over-year and our exposure to the different markets. All in all, from 19.1% to 20.3%.
Again, this is corrected to neutralize the SAP license and not pollute the reading. If I go to the bottom line and now look at EBIT, this is even clearer. One full point worth of improvement from 3.5% - 4.5% of EBITDA year-over-year. You find, again, on the right side, the strong gross profit improvement, excluding foreign exchange. The very controlled approach to R&D. Some negative impact on SG&A, which is mostly driven by integration impacts. And foreign exchange, you can actually see here that the foreign exchange impact is lower at EBIT level than it is at gross profit level, thereby showing that the group has a little bit of an internal hedge, even though the impact is still negative. Again, this drives a strong quarter at 4.5%. If we spend a little bit of time on each division.
E-Mobility, as I mentioned, growing by almost 5%, improving its profitability by over two percentage points, growing across all divisions, and doing so in many regions, double digit in North America, and some strong growth as well in China. Again, the roadmap that we have announced for the after quarter, we are delivering on it. On the Powertrain & Chassis side, comment is one that you will hear, I guess, quite often from me in the next few quarters. It is all about balancing some slightly negative impact on the top line. There we see a slight decline. It was expected. It is linked to the phase-out business. It is being balanced by an absolute laser-like focus on cost structure and restructuring to ensure that we protect margins and that we deliver the bottom line. In this quarter, the unit actually does more than that.
You can see the improvement is over 1.25 EBIT year-over-year. Also interesting to see that some business divisions are still in positive territory. Engine and transmission systems at 3.4%. When you look at the details, this is actually also driven by China, which is encouraging in terms of balancing our exposure. Vehicle and Lifetime Solution on the next slide. Growing, still growing, slightly less than what you had seen in the past, but the environment is a little bit different. Nevertheless, delivering a solid 2.3% worth of growth, 1.3 percentage points worth of improvement in terms of EBIT. Again, the interesting part there is where is the growth happening? It is happening outside of the traditional geographies for VLS. Strong growth in the Americas, which is still very much a conquest territory for us.
It is also happening, if I look at it in terms of business division, outside of the core repair and maintenance solution business division, but in the specialty business and the platform business. Resistance in, I guess, the home turf for VLS while the unit grows in terms of geography or in terms of product offering to the customer. Pricing also on the favorable side, driving some of the EBIT improvements quarter over quarter or year-over-year. Bearings and industrial. I go back to my initial comment. Some growth. Very double-digit growth in aerospace bearings, plus 20%. Even more interesting in my mind, positive growth in automotive bearings in the complicated automotive context. The division is still growing in that sector by 2%.
Combining this growth with the very, very strong work done in terms of, A, restructuring, and, B, focus on operational performance delivers an improvement of 1.4 percentage points in terms of EBIT, almost at 8%. You can see the 7.9% there for Q3 2025. This all translates into positive evolution of our free cash flow generation year-over-year. You see almost a little bit more than EUR 500 million worth of improvement from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025. I draw your attention on the bridge on the right side.
In echo to what Klaus said before, to the EUR 244 million linked with CapEx, which is essentially us managing our CapEx spending to match it as close as possible to the need and the actual ramp-ups of the different programs that are going through SOP, trying not to be too far ahead of the curve, not behind either, in order not to put our customers at risk. Some really, really fine steering there in terms of pacing the spending, and then also some steering in terms of focusing the spending where we create value. On what will be the last slide for me, our usual slide on debt profile. You can see the leverage ratio peaking in 2025 during Q2 at 2.4 and now slightly improving in 2025. On the right side, our usual maturity profile.
You can see that the 2025 topic is taken care of at this point through the bond issue earlier this year. Also happy to report that the RCF facilities have been all extended as per our contracts all the way to the end of 2030, which is an interesting check in the box to have. When you look at 2026 and 2027, you can see that this is all quite manageable given the current conditions of the bond markets either this year or early next year. At this point, I will hand back over to Klaus to conclude on the guidance.
Christoph, thank you very much. Thank you. I will be brief. You have seen that page. It's just to repeat the basic logic. We increase guidance and free cash flow and also for Bearings & Industrial Solutions. You know the numbers.
Let me finish with one more page on the other announcement we made today next to our numbers and also the little transaction in China selling turbocharger business. We announced this morning a corporation agreement with Neura. Neura is, as most of you probably have heard, a leading German high-tech company active in the humanoid space. They do not only do humanoids, but other things as well. And we have agreed a partnership with them that will allow us to supply innovative actuation technology to them, which are, as you all know, key components for humanoid robots. Neura and their founder, David Reger, are well known to the capital markets. It's the European player from our point of view. We're very proud of this agreement. Second, that's already digested, I think. Last week, October 29th, you heard about the U.K.-based robotics innovation company called Humanoid.
Also something where we are active. We completed a proof of concept phase with them with what is called the pre-alpha robots, also a specific design, and we're now moving into a second phase. This is just to show you two examples that will help us to grow into that new ecosystem. We will continue to report on this. It's clearly an attractive growth opportunity where Schaeffler is very well positioned to conquer significant space as a technology provider and a supplier of choice. I'll leave it here. Last page is then the financial calendar. We are going on roadshow, separating West Coast and East Coast next week, and then there are the usual conference before year-end. We also look forward to seeing some of you then in the new year in Frankfurt, New York, and elsewhere.
March 3 is our earnings release, and I am confident that we will bring the year to a successful close despite all the challenges that we have around us. With that, back to you, Eva. Thank you.
Operator, we would be ready for the first question, please.
Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and then one on their telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Questioners on the phone are requested to disable the loudspeaker mode and eventually turn off the volume from the webcast while asking a question. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time.
We have the first question coming from Horst Schneider from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Yes, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I would ask them one by one, please. The first one relates to this ongoing underperformance in automotive, which is driven by the phase-out of some of the Vitesco business. Can you maybe say how would the business have grown without these phase-out effects and how long these phase-out effects still continue? Just try to get a feeling how long this drags down, basically, the outperformance. Thank you.
Horst, thank you for the question. I'm not 100% sure what you're referring to when you say outperformance. I mean, E-Mobility grew by 4.7%. Powertrain & Chassis is, as I showed on page six, more flattish. Yes, we are a selling business, as I said, but that's a new thing.
Maybe you can repeat or give a little bit more color once you're easier.
Sorry, Klaus, I'm referring to slide seven, which is the year-to-date perspective, to be honest. Maybe the effect is already over. Yeah?
Okay. Are you saying the—ah, okay. Now I understand it. It's seven where you're saying ICE is below what market growth is. I mean, this is, from my point of view, a situation that clearly comes from a phase-out of certain things. I mean, this is a market growth for the whole ICE Powertrain portfolio, and it's a function of how present are you with what kind of customer. As you know, we are strong in dampener technology. We are strong in the sort of old classical Schaeffler technologies, but there's also business here from Vitesco that drives this to some extent, but I don't have more detail at the moment.
Yeah. Okay.
No worries. The next question refers more short-term, maybe if you can shed some light on the outlook for the fourth quarter. I know you have got your full year guidance in place. That looks also fine. I just remember Q4 can be sometimes a tricky quarter, right, because unforeseen things can happen, as we experienced last year in industrial. Maybe it's also difficult for you to answer this question, but what trends do you see now in the fourth quarter?
I would assume that E-Mobility grows margin because the reimbursements come in. The highest share of that happens in Q4. Powertrain & Chassis, I was surprised about the good margin in the third quarter. Is that something that continues also in the fourth quarter in that trend? Am I right to assume that industrial usually is a weaker quarter in quarter four? Thank you.
I would phrase it like this: Q4 is typically a weaker quarter than the previous quarters because December is not as vibrant as before. Your description for E-Mobility, I think, is pretty spot on. I think that they will further grow and further improve because that's the trend. Powertrain & Chassis, I just spoke with Matthias this morning in our preparation, and he said the call-offs are stable. That's a positive sign. He also clearly said that China is developing better than expected, which is also something on the positive. When you look at tariffs, I think it's also fair to assume—you're mentioning reimbursements on the E-Mobility side, classical situation, more Vitesco-driven, but there is a synchronization benefit on the tariff side. We always said this, that will also support a little bit. I think Powertrain & Chassis and E-Mobility will also benefit a little bit from this.
Industrial is clearly a little bit of a question mark. If we wouldn't be confident that this quarter continues in the right direction, we wouldn't have raised guidance. The 6-8 is not a big move upwards, but what we see so far is, with all the headwinds that are existing in that business, it is looking like a solid fourth quarter, let's put it this way. Aftermarket is clearly something where I would expect that we don't get back to two-digit growth numbers, but also there, the underlying fundamentals are continuing strong. Let's see what October brings, and then we know more, but I would be honestly optimistic that the fourth quarter is okay.
That's great. Thank you. The last one that I have is specifically for next year and all of that,
that's clearly something that—there are some unknowns and there are some uncertainties.
No, that's great.
The last question that I would have refers to E-Mobility because Valero talked about negotiations with OEMs to get reimbursement on some contracts where the volume expectations have not been met. Do you see the same? Could that be a driver going forward that we have not yet in our forecast? Thank you.
For sure. I mean, if you have contracts where volume assumptions are massively undercut, then you seek compensation. That's a normal part of our business. That's nothing that we do not factor in. That's normal course of business from my point of view. It depends a little bit on the current situation, but you all know that there is—in the U.S., things have changed more dramatically because of also the regulatory environment and the decisions that President Trump has taken. In the other countries, that's not the case.
For the U.S., you clearly have a little bit of a shift in terms of how important E-Mobility is going forward.
All right. Thank you.
You're welcome.
The next question comes from Vanessa Jeffriess from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Morning. I'm just wondering if you could please speak a bit more about the E-Mobility book to bill. I know you said to look at a nine-month basis, but with those customer postponements, are you seeing any exacerbation in those over the last few weeks? This was very difficult to hear.
Madam, can you please repeat this? I don't know where this is coming from, but if you could speak a little slower, that would be good for us. Excuse me. Sorry.
Just with the E-Mobility book to bill and the customer postponements, I was wondering if you're seeing more postponements over the last couple of weeks, if that's exacerbating throughout the quarter?
No. I think we have seen what, in particular, the big U.S. customers did, but there is no increasing trend of people giving back business. That's not the case. Many adjustments are part of our normal course of business. I wouldn't—Christophe, maybe you have more insight. I don't know anything that points to a bigger trend towards the year-end where we lose contracts or where volume goes back.
Usually, our business tells us that the customer decisions are not always synced up with our communication deadlines. To have some volatility quarter over quarter during the year, it's not unusual. As Klaus said, no underlying strong trend that we can detect on this.
Okay. Thanks.
And then just on BNIS, just to be a bit more specific on what you said before, I know you said there might be some headwinds in the fourth quarter, but it seems in your new 6%-8% range, it would be pretty difficult for you to get down to 6%. I'm just wondering your thinking around that and if there's anything specific in terms of headwinds.
I would call it a cautious approach. You have seen that the last two quarters were all pointing in the right direction and above seven. You saw what happened in Q4 2024. We are certainly positive. To increase it even further would have not been, from my point of view, responsible.
Okay. Thank you.
You're welcome.
The next question comes from Ross MacDonald from Citi. Please go ahead. Yes. Thanks, Klaus and Christophe. It's Ross from Citi.
My first question, Klaus, you mentioned Nexperia briefly in answering Horst's question. Can you maybe summarize where we stand on that issue as of today? I'm aware there's been some news over the weekend around potential exemptions. How do you see that situation playing out from here? Is it effectively resolved from your vantage point? Thank you.
It's definitely not resolved yet, but I can say for Schaeffler, so far, we have been not really been forced to stop any customer. I can praise the agility of our teams here, the risk management work when this came in, and we're clearly benefiting here from the strong experience and the insight that the Vitesco colleagues brought here to the table. Again, we have so far managed through this. Knock on wood.
It's different than the crisis that we saw some years ago because it's driven by this specific and certainly unusual Nexperia situation. It's like before, a little bit of a race for where do you get a second source, how much do you have as inventory, which customer is asking for what. You need clear rules internally how you allocate what you have, and you need to be very quick to open up new purchasing channels. So far, that has worked well, but again, we are managing through that shortage like any other supplier as well. I do hope that we get out of this with not too much trouble. So far, that's okay, but we manage it on a day-by-day, week-by-week basis.
Thanks, Klaus. My next question.
You need to look at that a little bit in a broader context.
They agreed that certain export control restrictions will be relaxed, but the Nexperia situation is a little bit unusual. You can't just simply apply this on Nexperia here because you have the insolvency situation in the Netherlands. You have the Chinese reaction to this. That's a specific situation that we need to handle separately. The agreement between the two presidents is clearly pointing in the right direction, and our hope is that this relaxes other situations as well.
Very clear. Thank you very much. My next question is two questions, really, but the first one on the human rights, and obviously, very nice to see continued momentum for that business. A lot of investors are asking around the volume implications, let's say, for 2026, 2027 on the back of these partnerships.
I'm not sure if you can give any soft guidance on what we should expect in terms of growth for that startup from here. Ross, it's one of the most relevant questions in that ecosystem, how many humanoid robots will be produced in 2020, 2030, or 2035. You have different projections. Again, we are a supplier in this situation. We think about this as a business where we can show our industrialization strengths. So the number or the volume per robot—sorry, the volume of robots—is critical here. As critical as our content per robot. Don't forget there are different types of robots. This is not only one design, but there are several designs. When you talk to different players and take David Reger, for example, who is clearly one of the most prominent ones, he normally says 5 million.
That's a larger number than what we are expecting at the moment. It's good to be cautious here, but it's also good to know what you do when this really takes off quicker. We are at the beginning. It's not that we can show you already numerous volume contracts, but the interest in this and also the interest in Schaeffler as one prominent player who is able to scale. Is definitely increasing, and that's shown by this contract. I'm not in a position to give you an accurate prediction of what will come. That's the nature of the game. What I can say is we will and want to be prepared for the next year and the year thereafter. I think we'll see more clearly in the next 12 - 24 months.
I can also say we are looking at this from the three main regions, both U.S., China, and Neura is the top European player. Christophe and myself will be in China end of November, also to look at our humanoid factory that we're building there, not to produce humanoids, but to employ humanoids and see how they can help us in production. This whole ecosystem is emerging. It's a very interesting play for us, and we will stay on top of the development. I'm not in the position to give you now an accurate number of how much robots you will see in 2030. We are cautious but are prepared for a steeper ramp-up.
Thanks very much. I actually have two more questions, but I promised to keep these very brief. The first one, actually, from an investor, just thinking about the U.S. business for Vehicle Lifetime Solutions.
We've seen a bankruptcy in that space with First Brands recently. Do you see that as an opportunity for Schaeffler to potentially gain some market share in the aftermarket tactically? My second question for Christophe on the free cash flow, just a housekeeping question. There is a significant benefit in the third quarter from the other bucket, a positive EUR 91 million contribution. Could you maybe just give us some breakdown of what's driving that? How much is one-off in nature versus potentially carrying forward into the coming quarters?
Thank you. I will agree from the first one. I mean, First Brands is an unfortunate situation, but it doesn't really affect us. I mean, your question was more on M&A type of growth, I would assume. The focus here is clearly on organic growth. Jens is at the moment in Las Vegas for the APEX show.
There's significant potential, and as you said, in broadening our spectrum. You saw—I didn't comment on this in the deck—also the Nox center. That's a great example for portfolio extension and tackling the truck and bus part. I would not think about our growth predominantly being external growth but internal growth. That doesn't mean that we're not looking at opportunities if they are there, but we will be very careful. On the cash side, I wish there was an easy answer to this one. It is a very long list of plus and minuses centering around restructuring for one end, incentive payments, payroll taxes, its leasing liabilities. Again, I struggle to give you a summary answer. Happy to get into details offline after if. You wish to, but there's no real one topic that we would point to. If we had to pick one, and maybe around the pensions side.
But even that, it's only tackling one part of your answer. For your question.
Thanks, Christophe. I mean, maybe it would be interesting just to understand if potentially on the restructuring costs you've sort of guided us to whether those are coming in below expectations and therefore you're able to write back some of that free cash flow if that's an element of this or whether it's really just a big commingled list of pluses and minuses, as you said.
We're not signaling restructuring costs lower than the expected. What you do have is some timing issues quarter over quarter. I mean, restructuring cash flows, it's as much of a lot as it is a science. We do have some movements quarter over quarter from one year into another potentially, but no signal so far that there would be less cash outflows related to restructuring.
Got it.
Thank you very much. Very clear.
You're welcome.
The next question comes from Michael Punzet from DZ Bank. Please go ahead.
Yes, Michael Punzet. Good morning. I have one question on your special items. Maybe you can explain in a bit more detail what you have booked in Q3, especially with regard to the impairments, and maybe you can give us any kind of guidance on what we should expect for the full year. I think it's on the SAP. The main one in Q3, again, it's the fact that we are moving from an on-premise solution to SAP to a cloud-based solution. We're not able to apply the same accounting treatment that we would have in the past. We have EUR 204 million being written off for that topic alone, and that's flowing through the adjustment line.
The other ones are the usual ones that we have had from the previous quarters related to the merger of the two companies and the restructuring that come with it. The big ticket item this month or this quarter, it's SAP. It's driven by the fact that we're moving into the cloud and that we have to give up the utilization rates that we were assuming so far. That triggers this. It's a little bit of an awkward situation that was heavily discussed with auditors, but it's not a classical impairment in the sense that you have an asset that doesn't function anymore or that doesn't produce value. We are changing here the way we are treating it because we are moving from on-premise, what we had so far, into the cloud. This was heavily discussed with our auditors.
We are not the only group out there that's facing the situation. I'll just say the accounting standard there is a very conservative approach to the topic. Okay. What should we expect for Q4 or the full year in the overall figure for the special items or one-offs? SAP. There will be a little bit of it just to close that topic. At the very impacting October, but we are talking single or single-digit or low double-digit amounts. That is done for the rest of the year. For the other topics, again, the usual suspects that you find in every quarter since the merger and the announcement of restructuring programs.
Thank you. As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press star and one on your telephone. We have a follow-up question coming from Horst Schneider from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Yes. Thank you.
I have got follow-up questions. The first one is related to defense business. We saw this week that the first German auto supplier says he wants to get into drone production. I just want to get an update where you stand on that, if that could be something for you as well, and maybe you can talk about the outlook of your defense business maybe in that context. The second one is a follow-up on the humanoid business. I know you cannot share a lot of details, but could you maybe say, given the order intakes that you got so far, where you see the main business potential for you? Is it more in the U.S., or is it more in China, or is it all over the world, and you cannot say? Thank you.
Let me take the last one.
As I said, we want to play in all the three regions that you mentioned. There is a jury out there who comes with the first volume contract, and you clearly need to define what that is. It is at the moment not clear what is happening there. We see the U.S. there with the prominent names probably as the leaders because there it is more concentrated on one prominent company, while in China, there are many, many players at the moment where it is a little bit more difficult to distinguish who are the ones that we need to should bank on. Neura is, I think, the most prominent player here. At the end of the day, Horst, this is all depending on the end customer demand, and I can only say this Amazon announcement that was also well received.
We need more of these kinds of players to articulate their needs, and that will then flow through the humanoid OEM and also through the supply chain. I personally think that the U.S. will drive that first phase and will then see significant competition between U.S. and China. When you go to the five-year plan, it is obvious that the industrial automation in China is key to the next five years in China. There is massive support there. On the short term, my view is that we need to watch out for what is happening in the U.S. They will drive it. Yesterday, when David was here with us, also in the board meeting, he gave us a little bit more insight, and it looks that the next one or two years will be decisive in who is going to be ahead.
Maybe it's a little bit of a statement that is more diplomatic, but we need to see how it unfolds. In terms of defense, let me quickly put that in perspective. We have said at the Capital Markets Day phase one that the basic decision that we want to play in defense or play more in defense is taken also with our shareholders from the family side. We are now in phase two. Phase two has three main deliverables. The one is a more articulated product, sales, and also industrialization strategy. Without saying too much detail, we are today in a situation where we are looking at the key opportunities for us. For sure, flying objects, let me call it like this, are super interesting because there is scale in that area, and there's product that is needed. In particular, when you think about high-performing electric motors.
That's also where the fact that we are automotive and aerospace helps us. There is opportunity in everything that are vehicles for us. There is opportunity also in some of the high-energy weapons. There's also opportunity when you think about spare parts and repair solutions. So we're looking at focused areas with dedicated customers. We have a lot of calls, a lot of demands, a lot of people that are coming, "Can you help us with your supply chain experience?" Also from the startup side, but we are at the moment still in that selection phase. The second phase will last probably until Q1 2026. What is key then? If you want to really turn this into a solid business, you need a structure. You need a legal entity. You need to have the right certification qualification, in particular if you want to play at scale.
And that's a second key element that we are working on. All good in that second phase. More to come when we are finished with this phase and have decided where do we really want to play in terms of product and application.
That's interesting. Thank you.
T hank you.
There are no more questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Heiko Eber for any closing remarks.
Thank you very much. With this, we would like to close today's call. Thanks to our speakers. Thanks to everyone dialing in for your questions, your interest, and of course, thanks to the team for the preparation. As always, if there are additional questions, please reach out to our IR team. I would already like to draw your attention and block your calendars for January for the CES.
The formal invitation to visit us at our booth in Las Vegas will be sent out shortly. But I guess you have it on the radar anyhow. Thank you very much. Have a good rest of your day and talk to you soon.
Bye-bye. Thank you, John.
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