Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Springer Nature Analyst Conference Call Q1 2026. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen-only mode. The floor will be open for questions following the presentation. Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Tom Waldron.
Thank you, Anna. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Springer Nature's Q1 2026 Trading Update Call. I'm Tom Waldron, Head of Investor Relations. Today's presentation will have the following structure. Frank will start with a business update, followed by Alexandra with a review of our Q1 2026 financials before we move on to Q&A. Before handing over, let me briefly remind you, for revenues and adjusted operating profit, we present both reported figures based on actual currency rates and portfolio composition and underlying growth rates, which exclude currency and portfolio effects to ensure a like-for-like comparison. Our financial guidance for 2026 is based on constant currencies and the expected underlying performance of the business, excluding portfolio changes. With that, I will now hand over to Frank.
Thank you, Tom, and again, a warm welcome from my side. Let's start with a brief overview of our first quarter results. We delivered strong results with revenue growing by 6% in underlying terms and AOP increasing by 9%. Our research segment continues to be the main growth driver with strong performance across our journal portfolios, led again by full open access. Finally, we've delivered.
Okay. Anna, we seem to have some noise on the line there.
Finally, we've delivered a strong cash flow performance and reduced leverage. It's only been seven weeks since we reported our full-year results, and since then, there have been no material changes. On the back of the strong first quarter performance, we can confirm our full-year 2026 outlook. Before we get into the details of our Q1 performance, I'd like to share again some examples of research from across our journals. These examples demonstrate the value we create for our communities by making trusted knowledge accessible. First, continuing a series of papers from teams at Google DeepMind was a paper on AlphaGo in Nature in January. This AI system can predict how DNA sequence variations affect a wide range of biological processes, offering potential to help researchers understand the mechanisms of things like genetic disease and cancer.
Secondly, an extraordinary moment of natural history published in Scientific Reports. Researchers documented a sperm whale birth with all 11 members of the group taking part and with some acting like midwives, massaging the newborn calf and helping it to the surface to breathe. Thirdly, from GeroScience, published by Springer, a paper presenting the results of a randomized controlled trial which shows that resistance exercise can slow brain aging. These three papers illustrate the crucial role that we play and the things we stand for: trusted science, real-world impact, and sustainable growth. Let's now move to our financial performance in the first quarter. As you know, the first quarter is typically a smaller quarter, both in terms of revenue and operating profit.
If we look at our three segments, you can see that research is by far the largest, accounting for 80% of Springer Nature group revenue and almost 95% of adjusted operating profit. Let's now move to our different segments, starting with research. Our research segment delivered strong results in the first quarter, with more than 7% underlying revenue growth and more than 8% AOP growth. Our journals portfolio continued to show strong momentum. By the end of March, we completed about 90% (90) of 2026 renewals, and are very much on track for another year of close to 100% renewals. Our article publication growth of 15% continued to outpace the market, which we estimate grew around 6%. We signed 14 new transformative agreements, further accelerating open access across our portfolio.
We successfully launched 19 new journals, 19, including the introduction of Nature Progress, a new OA journal series starting with Nature Progress Oncology and Nature Progress Brain Health. A strong start to what we expect to be a significant addition to our portfolio. Our growth is being supported by the AI strategy we outlined in our full-year presentation in March. New authors are coming to us through our Journal Finder. Our AI tools are helping editors to find the right reviewers faster. Our Transfer Recommender is ensuring that good papers rejected on grounds of scope are retained within our ecosystem. AI tools are helping our teams ensure research integrity across the portfolio. Research underlying AOP growth of 8% reflected operating leverage and cost control. Let's turn to the developments in order two segments, health and education.
As I mentioned earlier, Q1 is a relatively small quarter for both segments. Starting with health, we saw good performance in scientific affairs, services within our international healthcare segment, despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. We also recorded growth in our DACH markets. Revenue in the Netherlands was broadly level with last year, reflecting a strong prior year comparison to Q1 2025. AOP growth benefited from revenue growth and cost containment measures, partly offset by targeted investments in sales capabilities in the DACH region. Turning to Education, we experienced a positive start to the year across the Southern Hemisphere. We delivered strong underlying growth in AOP, driven by more favorable product mix and continued progress in our operational excellence program called Elevate.
Before I hand over to Alexandra, I'd like to pause to review one part of our journals portfolio in a little bit more depth, the Springer journals. Springer can trace its root back to the founding of a bookshop and publishing house in Berlin in 1842 by Julius Springer on his 25th birthday. That business quickly evolved into one of the largest publishers in Germany. We're proud to be the custodian of that legacy, which spans not just the Springer journal portfolio, which I'll talk about today, but also academic books and our Springer Medicine business in Health. By the late 19th century, Springer was focused on academic journal publishing with an initial bias to science and engineering before broadening to medicine later. Springer-flagged journals played a crucial role in codifying disciplines, formalizing the process of peer review, and provided trusted venues for communities in highly specialized fields.
Amongst the examples from today's journal portfolio on the right side of this slide, you'll see Mathematische Annalen , a journal that launched in 1868 and was edited in the 1920s by Albert Einstein and David Hilbert , amongst others. Today, the portfolio of Springer journals has more than 2,000 titles and includes both owned and society journals. Our society partnerships include some prestigious titles that add to the weight of the portfolio and make an important contribution to our communities. The examples from the portfolio on the right-hand slide include Electrochemical Energy Reviews , which is a society journal, and The Astronomy and Astrophysics Review. Both of these journals have impact factors which put them in the top 1% of indexed journals.
Our publishing and editorial teams lead the engagement with our communities of editors, peer reviewers, and researchers across these journals, bringing their deep domain knowledge and extensive networks. We serve a large community with around 120,000 editorial board members across the Springer portfolio. Our high levels of customer satisfaction speak both to the great job that our teams do and to the ability of our tools and platforms to remove friction from the publishing process. Springer has always been at the forefront of technology and was actually the first publisher to digitize its entire back catalogue. It was also an open access pioneer, leading the OA transition over the last 20 years.
Springer signed the industry's first transformative agreement in the Netherlands in 2015. And today, Springer portfolio has more than 80 TAs, 80 A zero, and those are driving global OA adoption. The Springer portfolio today includes more than 340 full open access journals, with more launched each year. In addition to those launches, we also flip between 10-20 journals from hybrid to full open access annually. The Springer journals are a key part of our portfolio and driver of current and future growth. We're the proud owner of the Springer imprint and the legacy of quality and innovation for which it stands. With that, I'll hand over to Alexandra for the financial update.
Thank you, Frank. I'll now walk you through our key financials for Q1 2026 in more detail. It was a strong performance. Reported revenue for the group reached EUR 451 million, with adjusted operating profit of EUR 107 million, which includes actual currency movements and small impact from scope. We delivered strong underlying growth, with revenue increasing by 6% and adjusted operating profit rising by 9%. Our underlying AOP margin improved by 53 basis points, slightly ahead of our full year guidance of around 30 basis points. Free cash flow improved by EUR 46 million, reaching a total of EUR 204 million. This reflects strong operational delivery supported by favorable phasing impacts.
Our leverage is down significantly year-over-year, supported by favorable cash flow phasing, and now stands at 1.5x net debt to EBITDA at the lower end of our 1.5x-2x target range. The next slide provides further insights into our segments, covering both reported as well as underlying revenue and adjusted operating profit growth. This slide summarizes our performance in detail as usual, and Frank has already covered the key drivers here. FX has an impact on the reported numbers. All of our teams have executed well against their plans, and we've delivered a good top and bottom line performance for our group. Turning to cash. I'm pleased to report that our cash generation in Q1 2026 was very strong.
We performed well in operational terms, also saw some phasing benefits, as I have already said. Free cash flow rose by EUR 46 million to more than EUR 204 million, supported by improved operating performance and lower interest payments. With Q1 free cash flow, also we are benefiting from positive phasing impacts in tax, investments, and interest. Lower interest and fee payments reflected both lower average debt levels and interest rates and the timing benefits from the 2025 Schuldscheindarlehen , which defers a portion of cash interest into later quarters. Strong Q1 cash generation, including favorable timing effects, supported continued deleveraging as we ended the quarter at 1.5x net debt to EBITDA. Following a strong start to the year and the ongoing business momentum, we feel confident in reiterating our full year 2026 guidance.
We expect underlying growth in revenues of 5%-6%, with underlying improvement in AOP margin of around 30 basis points. With that, I'll hand back to Frank, who will close today's presentation.
Thank you, Alexandra. We're proud to have delivered a strong performance in the first three months of 2026. The first quarter clearly demonstrates the strength of our business, both in terms of financial performance and strategic execution. Research is the key driver of that momentum, powered by our leadership in open access and our commitment to embracing AI across the portfolio. This gives us confidence as we look ahead. Our 2026 outlook is confirmed, and we're well-positioned to continue to grow sustainably and responsibly as we outperform the industry. With that, I'll hand back to Tom for Q&A.
Thank you. We'll now move to Q&A. As a reminder, we ask that each analyst limit themselves to just two questions initially. If you do have additional questions, we'll be happy to come back to you at the end. With that, I'll hand back to the operator, Anna.
Thank you very much. Dear ladies and gentlemen, The first question is from George Webb, MS. Please, over to you. The floor is yours.
Hi. Afternoon, Frank and Alexandra. I hope you're both well. yeah, I'll stick to the two questions. Maybe firstly, on Nature Progress, you kinda flagged it as the new fully open access series. How do you see that series fitting alongside the existing Nature titles? And how will you manage the positioning and the managed script flow between Nature Progress and the rest of that Nature Portfolio? Secondly, just on the free cash flow, good Q1, some seasonality in there. Is there any kinda guidance or framework you could give us with regards to the full- year outcome there? Thank you.
Yeah, George, thank you very much for your questions. All well here. Of course, very happy with the results on the first quarter. I will take the first question on Nature Progress, and then Alexandra will come back on free cash flow. If we look at Nature Progress, it's essentially a new series that we have launched. If you look at our, let's say, our whole portfolio with, let's say, the Nature flagship journal sitting at the top, then essentially you have the, which is essentially a portfolio of about, you know, close to 60, more than 60 journals. Essentially you have Nature Communications sitting below it, and you have the communications journals and Scientific Reports.
We felt there was actually a gap between, let's say, the Nature-branded journals and Nature Communications, and that's where actually Nature Progress fits in. Essentially it fills gaps in our, let's say, portfolio in terms of being able to cascade across the different, the different levels of impact factor. If you keep in mind that we basically reject close to 95% of the submissions we get, you can imagine that actually the chances of cannibalization across the portfolio are pretty limited. We've done quite extensive analysis to look at where rejected articles that we don't publish end up with our competitors, and we felt that actually Nature Progress, in that sense, fills a gap. That's the reason why we have launched the Nature Progress series.
Okay. Frank, happy to take the second question. Hello, George. Talking about free cash flow, we had a strong business performance in our first quarter. Looking here in particular at free cash flow, you always know that Q1 and Q4 tend to be our strongest quarters. This year we had even a stronger Q1 as normal, and this is partially driven by the phasing of interest payments, and I just alluded to that. Looking for free cash flow for the full- year, I would generally see free cash flow increasing or exceeding the AOP growth. I thought that's the kind of general trend I could confirm.
Yeah. Just, George, because I realized I probably said it the wrong way around. Nature Progress is actually sitting between Nature Communications and Scientific Reports because that's where we have the gap.
Got it. That's clear. Thank you both.
Yes. Okay. Cool.
Thank you very much. The next question is from James Tate, Goldman Sachs. Please, over to you.
Good afternoon, Frank and Alexandra. It's James from Goldman. I've also got two questions, please. I guess, firstly, you mentioned the quite strong 15% year-on-year growth in articles published. Could you add any more color on what you're seeing on article submission trends through the first quarter? Have you seen the continued momentum at around the 30% level from last year, or have you seen some softening? Secondly, on some of the AI initiatives, you mentioned a number of AI assists and checks on papers are growing strongly. Are you starting to see the time it takes to peer review articles come down? Are there any data points that you can help, that help quantify the efficiency savings from AI more generally? Thank you.
Well, thank you, James. We'll take both questions. If you look at the publication growth in the first quarter, and keep in mind, it's only a quarter, right? It's three months and, you know, it also depends how Chinese New Year will fall, how many working days we have, et cetera. I think it's always a bit, you know, don't look too precise at, let's say, quarterly performance. Basically what we have seen is indeed 15% publication growth, quite significantly ahead of the market and also a little bit higher than last year, where we had 12. If you look at the submission growth across the portfolio, it's pretty much in line with what we saw last year, around 30%.
In full open access, of course, it came down a little bit from last year, but that's also because it's on a higher base. Now the full open access portfolio is of course, significantly larger. Your other question around the AI assists and checks. Yes, essentially, we're expanding the number of articles that will be able to benefit from our AI assist and checks as more journals and submissions are going through our Snapp infrastructure, because that's where we basically built on most of the AI tools that we have. We expect that, you know, to see quite a significant increase this year. Year-to-date, we had about 25% increase of article submissions that benefited from those AI checks and tools.
If you look at the turnaround time, I think it's still relatively flat, over the last, let's say two to three years. That essentially has to do with the fact that we see quite a lot of additional submissions which drives workload. I think it's fair to say that if we wouldn't have these tools, we probably would see a significant increase in the, in turnaround time. At the moment, our AI tools and services help us to maintain the turnaround time where it currently sits.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you very much. Next is Bernd Klanten from Barclays. Please go ahead.
Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. I'm just jumping in for Nick Dempsey today. Two questions from our side as well, please. The National Science Foundation funding body has removed its board, and some have worried that a large proposed cut in its funding could follow. How likely is it that the big funding bodies could see a cut to their 27 funding and that this could impact U.S. university funding? That's my first question. Second question, you already spoke about Nature Progress and said it's unlikely to, for us to expect cannibalization. Do you expect to already see a noticeable impact on growth in the research division in 2027? Thank you very much.
Thank you. Thank you very much for both questions. Maybe to start with the latter one. Typically, you see that new journal launches don't have a material impact on our results in the short-t erm. Basically, these are investments for longer term growth. That's especially true for new journals that we launch in our full open access portfolio and in the Springer portfolio. If you look at the Nature Portfolio, it tends to be a little bit quicker. I would say that in 2026 and in 2027, I would not expect the material impact of the Nature Progress series on our revenues. I think it's gonna be more three to five years before we see an additional significant impact. Of course, we're also planning to launch more journals on the Nature Progress series.
We started with two, and we have plans to launch more. Now, coming back to your other question around the NSF. Just to put things in perspective, of course, the NSF is the National Science Foundation. It's just one of many U.S. funders. The largest, of course, being the NIH, which I think we've talked about in the past as well. And again, to put things in perspective, as we said before, if you look at the U.S., it's about a quarter of our total revenues, accounts for about 12% of our total articles and about a half of those, so about 6% of our total articles are the result of federally funded research in the U.S. I think it's fair to say that we do see continued pressure on research and development funding in the U.S.
I think we saw that last year. To be honest, if you look at what it meant for 2026, we didn't see a significant impact. We had good progress on our renewals, and we also had good, let's say continued good growth in our submissions. I think that's what we've seen so far. I think it's a bit early to tell whether these type of developments will have an impact. But yeah, I can only say that if we look at what happened last year and the impact it has on our business, then I think we're confident to, if we look forward in what we will be able to achieve in our guidance for this year.
Great. Thank you very much.
Thanks a lot. Next question is from Steve Liechti, Deutsche Bank. Over to you, Mr. Liechti. Mr. Liechti, can you hear us? Please check if you're muted.
Yeah, I can hear you. Can you hear me?
Yes, we can. Hello.
Okay, cool. Thanks. Two questions. Just on the margin, you did 53 basis points increase constant currency in the first quarter. Your target is 30 for the full year. Can you just talk us through the sort of puts and takes, sort of that take you from the first quarter number, which is good, you know, to the full year number overall? That's the first question. The second question, just picking up what you just said in the U.S., I might have misunderstood what you said, but are you saying there's been any difference in terms of article submissions in the U.S. or maybe in terms of renewals in the year- to- date?
Obviously, we spoke about it a bit, you know, seven, eight weeks ago, but I don't know if I misunderstood you, but it sounded as though you were just hedging slightly in terms of what you're saying on the U.S.
Yeah. Maybe I will ask Alexandra to answer your first question, but immediately to clarify on the second one. We have not seen a material impact on our renewals or submissions from the U.S. Sorry if I was not clear about that.
Great. Thank you. Yeah.
Okay. I take the first question, Steve. With regards to the margin, yes, we are very pleased to see an improvement of 53 basis points in the first quarter. What most probably also have noted, with research, we have been spot on with 30 basis points of margin extension. I think what we always have seen in the health and the education business, there is a bit more volatility. You also see there are small numbers. Yes, it's nice to see that they also have contributed to the margin expansion. As you also said, it's the first quarter and we have to see. With research, we are really spot on. I think that's the kind of perspective that I can also give you for the full year.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you very much also from my side. The next question is from Conor O'Shea, Kepler Cheuvreux. Over to you.
Yes, thank you. Thank you for taking my questions. My two questions. First question in terms of your market share gains in terms of published articles. You mentioned the press release 15% growth versus 6% for the market. I understand that you see all the large publishers taking market share. I'm just wondering, who are they taking share from? Is it from pure play open access platforms, or does it go further than that? If you could just remind us what the market share is of the top four publishers in just the premium end, only to see how much scope there is for such market share gains to continue in the future.
The second question, just in terms of the forex headwind, obviously related to the timing of contract renewals and 2024 and so on. In the research business, for the second quarter and the full- year 2026 as current rates stand, can you give us an indication of what the headwind could be compared with Q1? Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you, Conor. I will take the first question first, Alexandra will come back on the FX question. If you look at our industry, I think it's fair to say that the larger publishers have been able to grow faster than the market on average. I think it's, you know, if you were to estimate where, let's say, the top five are today, it's probably around 65%. Now, if you look at where share gains are coming from, also in our case, we're not, you know, it's not that we are not gaining share from only smaller publishers or society publishers or benefiting from our article growth. We're also taking share from our competitors. I mean, we're growing faster than them.
I think that's definitely the result of, let's say. If you actually look at it, there's, like, four different components of article growth. The first is kind of organic article growth. That's by the service we provide, the quality of our portfolio, the marketing we do, the networks of our editors and our publishing staff. That's the kind of organic growth that we have, which is, to be honest, actually accounting for most of the growth that we have seen over the past couple of years. The second, of course, is launching new journals. As I have explained before, those don't, let's say, contribute to growth in the short to medium- term. The third driver of growth is actually societies. Acquiring new societies, making them part of our portfolio.
If it works from, let's say, both an economic and portfolio perspective. Do certain societies allow us to create a more rounded offering in certain segments of the market or geography. Last but not least, of course, acquisitions. There's still If you think about it, there's more than, I think, 25,000 to 30,000 journals in the world. Yeah, there's still quite a lot of opportunity for small fill-in acquisitions. Those will be the different growth drivers of article growth that we have. Maybe with that, hand over to-
Thank you. Yeah. I'll take the foreign exchange question. Yeah, Conor, I would say your question is primarily around the impact on research and renewal and also then how the U.S. dollar has been, I would say, progressing last year and what to expect for this year. The kind of full- year guidance we had provided to you when we released the full year earnings results, this is unchanged. I think this morning the U.S. dollar was still in the same ballpark, nothing has changed for the full- year. With regards to quarters and also the renewal, U.S. dollar exchange rate that you can assume, we have been benefiting in 2025 from the strong U.S. dollar we have seen in Q4 2024 as well as in the first quarter.
We have been hovering with the renewal rate somewhere around 107. I would say in March, April time, U.S. dollar has started to weaken, and this is also something that you will see then as an impact for this year. I think this is not a kind of metric behind, this year's renewal rate has been drastically up. We are seeing this somewhere around 115. This really then has the biggest impact for us in terms of FX in the first quarter. As I just said, the dollar was weakening then in the second quarter last year. To give you the also kind of data point last year, FX rate for U.S. dollar was in Q2 something around 113, close to the average of the year.
Q1 was at 105. Taking all of that together, I would say yes, you will see the impact of U.S. dollar across the year, when not really U.S. dollar is, I would say, dramatically improving. The impact on a quarterly base will lessen over time, and also already Q2 will be less impacted than Q1. Still, you see the strong impact of our subscription and TA business with the more favored re-renewal rates last year.
Okay, great. Many thanks.
Thank you very much. The next question is from Konrad Zomer, ABN AMRO-ODDO BHF . Please go ahead.
Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one is on free cash flow. You showed us a EUR 20 million positive swing in your free cash flow from lower interest payments, and part of that is related to phasing, and the other part is related to the Schuldschein or the promissory notes. Can you give us that breakdown, please, as to what percentage of that EUR 20 million is due to phasing, so which might reverse in Q2? My second question is on your full open access journals. You gave us the 15% overall growth in articles published, but can you also give us the year-on-year growth rate for your full open access journals, please?
Start with that?
Yeah. Yeah. Why don't you start with the?
Okay
Interest one, and then I'll take the full open access one.
Okay. Yeah. Konrad, happy to answer your interest payment question. Yes, we have a EUR 20 million improvement provided in Q1 versus last year. The phasing factor is driven by the promise or by the Schuldschein borrowing because they have different payment terms. We pay those interests in May and November, so that's shifting the first portion, then let's say, to the second quarter, and that's around EUR 10 million in total. The second is related then to lower interest, that's a combination of the repayment that we have done last year. We have seen lower base rates and also lower margins. The EUR 10 million are roughly split 1/2 between the lower debt and then also the lower interest rates.
Okay. Thank you, Alexandra. Konrad Zomer, on your question around the full open access growth. Yes, in the presentation, we mentioned that we did overall growth of about 15% versus market growth of 6%. The 15%, of course, is a bit up from 2025 when we had 12%. If you look at our full open access portfolio, it's around 20% against what we estimate to be a market growth about 10%. About twice as high as the market growth, of course, a substantially bigger base compared to last year.
All right. That's clear. Thank you.
Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, at the moment, no further questions in the queue. Last call, please press nine star now if you wish to state your question. All right. There seem no more questions to be incoming. I hand back the floor to you.
Thank you. Thanks everyone for the call today. We'll speak to you next time.