Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome and thank you for joining the ElringKlinger Group full year 2022 analyst conference. At our customer's request, this conference will be recorded. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the presentation by Dr. Stefan Wolf, CEO, and Mr. Thomas Jessulat, CFO, there will be a Q&A session with participants who are present with us here in Frankfurt. I would now like to turn the conference over to Dr. Stefan Wolf, CEO. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thank you very much. Also a warm welcome from me for the ones that are here in presence. Very nice that a couple of people showed up. I always think it's important, you know, to interchange also personally again after this long COVID period, but also, of course, a very warm welcome to everybody that is with us online today. We would just like to inform you about the fiscal year 2022. The figures are gonna be done by Mr. Jesulat, my colleague, our CFO. I will just show you a couple of strategic issues and outlooks with regard to what we are up to in the years to come. Yeah. Strategic overview. First of all, the good news is that the automotive market remains a growing market.
You know, after now in 2022 with 82.4 units that were produced worldwide by car manufacturers, we are walking towards 97 million in 2030. Of course, those are estimations, I think it's pretty realistic. One thing I would like to point out, you see here on this slide, 2019 with 89 million units worldwide, but we had 94 million units in 2018. That means that it takes us until 2028 to reach the volumes that we had before Corona and before the small recession that we had in 2019. Still, things are growing. We are in growing markets, and that's good.
Looking at the transformation in our sector, in the mobility sector, you see here global light vehicles produced battery electric cars and fuel cell electric cars and also hybrid cars, which of course have a combustion engine, which is good for us. In 2030, you saw the 97 million cars units that we see or we expect in 2030. Out of those 97 million cars, 70 million are with new propulsion systems. That means battery electric, fuel cell electric, or hybrid. That shows the growth potential that we have here with our new products that I will explain later. Of course, we are in a transformation process in our industry and also at ElringKlinger. We are in a transformation process.
We still have, of course, our classical business, the gaskets, the heat shields, the plastic housing parts. Of course, we have to manage the demand here in the classical business, and we try to become even a stronger market position with regard to those products that are still going into the combustion engine in the years to come. I think we're gonna be very successful here because I see a further consolidation in that business. A lot of our competitors do not have the focus on the gasketing, do not have the focus on the products that we produce in our classical business so that the capacities from my point of view, are going to be reduced in the future and the demand is still there.
That gives us good opportunities to really earn good money in those classical business units. We also, of course, started already a couple of years ago to develop new products in our classical business units. Special gaskets, also heat shields, plastic housing parts. We have done this transformation and developed parts for applications in battery electric cars and fuel cell electric cars. You see some of those products here. We have it displayed here. They come, as I said, from the classical business units, and we have already parts in serious production from the classical business units that go into electro mobility in electric cars.
Of course, our new business units, we add new technologies that go into the e-mobility sector, and that really gives us a good growth potential in the future. I will show that later. Here you see the classical business. Of course, we have to manage this classical business because if I look at the cylinder head gasket, the demands are going to go down in the future. By the way, the cylinder head gasket is the only product that we have that cannot be used in an electrical car. That is really linked 100% to the combustion engine. But, you know, it's less than 10% of our sales that we make with cylinder head gaskets. We can easily overcompensate that if the demands are going down.
You see here demands are going back. We are going to look into consolidation where it is possible, put demands together. Maybe we have, you know, factories where we just produce then all the cylinder head gaskets and not in five factories, but in one factory, so that we can use synergies with regards to the products that still go into the internal combustion engine. I'm convinced that we that we will build combustion engines in lower numbers, but we will build them until 2050, 2060, maybe even 2070 in this world. ElringKlinger is still supplying those parts because somebody has to supply those parts, and we probably going to be the specialist that still can do it, and that is a position that we work on.
Of course, you see, from our, you know, classical business units, products that go into, for example, here on the left you see an electrical drive unit. We have here elastomer gaskets in there, metal-elastomer gaskets. We have here a battery pack, with a plastic part, also with gaskets. We are working on a housing part made out of metal for a lithium ion battery pack, in the underbody of a car. Every business unit, old business unit, has a lot of potential with regards to those new technologies. Of course, the new technologies, that is very important for us. Here, a fuel cell technology, we started 20 years ago with bipolar plates, and we developed full fuel cell stacks. We have also complete fuel cell systems.
With regards to fuel cell technology, but also battery technology, our strategy is to have complete systems, but also to have components. For example, we supply stacks, fuel cell stacks, and you see a fuel cell unit right here. This box, this silver box, that's a fuel cell unit. We complete systems and fuel cell stacks and also components like bipolar plates. If, for example, the cast of customers develop their own fuel cell system, then they need those components. The same, of course, with a battery technology. We started more than 10 years ago with cell connector system, cell contacting system for lithium ion battery. That was the BMW i3, one of the first pure electrical cars that we had on the market here in Germany.
We did the cell connecting system, we of course, developed this technology further on so that we are also able to supply complete systems, battery systems, battery modules. The same in the drivetrain technology, electric drivetrain systems, that we also supply right now in serious production. For those applications, the rotor stator or disc carrier is provided by the business unit Metal Sealing Systems & Drivetrain Components. You also see those products here on this table from my point of view on the right. Those are those products that we supply already in serious production into electrical car applications. One thing that is very important for us, there is a program on the EU level, a funding program for R&D and for the development of new technologies.
It's called IPCEI, Important Project of Common Interest in the EU, in Europe. We got here IPCEI funding in a volume of EUR 33.8 million in that, we get that until the end of 2026 in different installments. This is for battery housing, for battery cell house design. We managed to do this design. Compared, you see on the left, the state-of-the-art, and on the right, you see our design. We were able to decrease the material required for those components by about 25%. That also, of course, lowers the CO₂ footprint by about 40%. A very innovative project. We're not the only ones in this IPCEI project.
There's a lot of other companies, the idea of the EU, it's also sponsored by the Federal Republic of Germany and also by the state where the company is located. That means for us, Baden-Württemberg. it's a co-funding state, federal level and also EU. the idea is to bring companies together that develop a complete battery system. Here in this case, battery system, so that we have, you know, that we secure to have all that here in Europe with European companies. that this does not go abroad to China or to the U.S. or whatever. that's the idea of this project. We are in that, and we are happy to get those EUR 33.8 million for that highly innovative product.
Yeah, here you see the broad product portfolio that we have for future technologies. On the left, you see internal combustion engine parts like gaskets and shieldings. We try to improve here our technology to help that we see less fuel consumption in internal combustion engines, which works pretty well. Also, our lightweighting components, like one back here, that you see here in the back. A dashboard that helps to reduce weight in the car because a lot of times we substitute metal by plastic. Those plastic parts also of course, lower weight, reduces the fuel consumption in combustion engines, and that reduces CO₂ emissions. Then, of course, our fuel cell technology, the battery technology, and the drivetrain technology, that is a zero CO₂ emission because that is, of course, pure electrical driving.
Here we have very good products and very good solutions on hand that are well respected and accepted by the customer. Of course, we have the clear goal to become CO₂ neutral in the company group, in the ElringKlinger Group by 2030. We have a lot of things that we do. We install, you know, we use green energy. We wanna be worldwide on green energy until 2030. We are already since 2021 on green energy in Germany. Here, as I said, we wanna be set up the production to be CO₂ neutral by 2030. That means we have to decrease that by 2.5% every year.
By the way, also for a lot of investors, it's in the meanwhile, very important to have this, let's say, sustainability issue and to have this CO₂ emission reduction issue so that they invest, because that is one of the criteria that they sometimes have, that the company has to work on that, on that thing. Also, it's also important with regard to the customers, because in a lot of projects, new projects we get from the customers, before we quote on business, we get a questionnaire that we have to fill out, and they wanna see, you know, what are you doing with regard to sustainability? What are you doing with regard to reduction of CO₂ emissions?
That's why we have a strong focus on that, because sometimes that decides if you can quote for a project or if you cannot quote for a project. It's also not only the capital market and the investors, but also our customers that have a clear focus on that topic. That is why this is for us so important, and we're working on that really intensively. Yeah. We have installed a new department for digitalization. We want to make this company as digital as possible. That means digital business platforms. We have our business model will be adapted to this digitalization issue. And of course, we are trying to educate our people so that they become also, you know, people that are designated and dedicated to digitalization.
We want to be in the near future a digital intelligent company. As I said, we are working on that. You see here we have a broad spectrum of systems and components. The above you see fuel cell stack, a battery pack, and EDU and electric drivetrain unit. On the lower picture, you see the components like bipolar plates or cell contacting systems. That's our strategy. We have systems, but we also supply components. A couple of orders that we got over the last years with regard to e-mobility. Since 2021, we produced an electric drivetrain unit for a high-end sports car model that is produced in the U.K. This is a real nice project. It's a niche project.
Of course, it's not a high number, but highly profitable. We have also an order for an European all-electric sports car model, mass market production, that is fuel cell business. We manufacture that in the in Dettingen, in our headquarter. We have an order for prototypes for battery systems. I'm pretty sure that we get this also for serious production. You might all have read that and seen that. There's a Swiss German manufacturer by the name of Piëch, son of Ferdinand Piëch, the famous Ferdinand Piëch from Volkswagen. He designed a new real fancy sports car, which is driven with battery electric, and we do this battery system supplied prototypes already, and I'm pretty sure we go into serious production.
A very good success is we have just received an order for cell contacting systems in 2021 already. This is a mid triple digit million EUR range. Contract runs nine years. It's a global manufacturer of battery systems. They just built a factory in Germany. We supply in Germany, and the end customer is a premium OEM here in Germany. We are in the ramp-up phase, and this is gonna start the latest in the second half of 2023. real nice order. We have quite a lot of prototype orders, a lot of development contracts for fuel cell applications, be it in, you know, the commercial aviation.
We have this joint venture with Airbus since 2020, where we de-develop a fuel cell system for a passenger plane. We have a lot of maritime applications in boats or ships or, and also, intralogistic vehicles where we do fuel cells. That's quite nice. We have right now a capability of up to 10,000 stacks per year in our factory in Dettingen, which of course will be amended, the capacity, once we have the orders on hand. Very nice new order that we just received a week or 10 days ago is we have received the order for the series production for metallic bipolar plates for a fuel cell system of an international car manufacturer.
It's gonna be sales in five years in the mid triple digit million range, about EUR 500 million-EUR 550 million in five years. They develop and design right now their own fuel cell system, but they buy the bipolar plates that you need for a fuel cell stack. They buy that from a supplier, the supplier is ElringKlinger. It was quite a lot of work, but we convinced them that our technology is the best. By the way, in this, in this business, you have to convince by innovation and by technology. If you do not convince by innovation and technology, you do not get the order. Here, I think at the beginning, we were six or seven suppliers that they were talking to, and they finally decided for us because they said you have the best technology in those bipolar plates.
Other orders that we have on hand, cockpit cross-car beam that's, you know, behind the dashboard. It's in global OEM. A nice order. The production starts in 2023. We have structural plastic components, something like you see back there on the table, that is also for a global OEM. We have for an American OEM, we have a front-end module, which is also made out of plastic, reduction of weight. We have a metal-elastomer gaskets also for a global OEM that also goes into a pure battery electrical car. Again, an example that, you know, our classical products are also used in those new applications in pure electrical cars.
We see with our systems and also, of course, with our components, based on the orders that we have on hand that I just showed you, we see a strong sales growth for the group. This is expected both by systems but also a lot by components. Those components are really, they really are like that. You have to see, you know, this global OEM that just gave us the order, sales production meets 3 million sales. You know, it would be just too expensive for them to produce the bipolar plates by themselves. It's basically the same story that we have with the cylinder gaskets. No OEM produces cylinder gaskets for their internal combustion engine because the numbers are so low that they have no scale effects.
They could not utilize a full line, you know, a stamping press and mounting equipment just for their own demand. Of course, you know, if Daimler would start to produce cylinder gaskets, no other car manufacturer will buy from them cylinder gaskets. That's why suppliers are doing that. With the bipolar plates, it's the same story. They could never utilize a line, which is pretty expensive. You need a 1,500, 1,600 ton press to stamp those bipolar plates. They could never operate that economically. That's why they get those parts from suppliers. We are here leading in bipolar plates. Our technology is worldwide the best for bipolar plates. That's what they tell us and why we get those orders. We have a vision, very ambitious, very ambitious.
Wanna reach 3 million sales in 2030. We had EUR 1.8 billion in the fiscal year 2022. A lot of that strong growth, of course, is coming from fuel cell battery technology and drivetrain, but also structural lightweighting also will contribute to this growth. We will have an under proportional growth by the parts for the combustion engine, but still we will earn a lot of money because of this consolidation that I just described before that we see in those old technologies. Sustainability, I said it before, we understand this as one of our key priorities, based on investors, but also based on the customers that are very much focused on that.
One thing I would like to mention, we have this aftermarket business, Mr. Jessulat will show that later, around about EUR 250 million last year in sales. We are the leading company with regards to aftermarket parts for combustion engines. The brand Elring. It's only Elring, the brand of the aftermarket, is the Cadillac in the world. Everybody wants to have Elring parts because they say, well, those are the originals. They supply it to the OEs, we get those parts that go to the OE. We get that in the free aftermarket. That's why this is running really well. We have around about EBIT margins of about 20% in the aftermarket, so really good.
Of course, our engineered plastics subsidiary, based in Bietigheim here in Germany, but also with activities in China and in the U.S., that is a Teflon business. That's about 40% automotive. The rest is general industry, but also medical industry, which is highly profitable. You know, medical industry is much easier than automotive. Yeah. I have to say that. It's much easier to deal with the customers. The prices are better, the margins are better. This is also a good growth story that we have here in the engineered plastics business, and that contributes quite a bit also to the margin in the Group. Yeah, you see the product transformation here is really ongoing.
If we look the current sales split on the left side above this little picture, you see in 2022, we had about 80% of our sales were related to the internal combustion engine, and 20% were non-internal combustion engine business. If I look at the new orders that we have on hand, and here, of course, this bipolar plate order from this international car manufacturer is included. A new order from 2021 until February 2023, we have in those new orders, 75% are non-internal combustion engine, and only 25% are internal combustion engine.
You see the change, you see this transformation also on this next slide. Little slide, sales projection, you see how those new things, our new technologies are really ramping up until 2030, so that I'm convinced based on this picture and based on, you know, what's behind this, what you see here, that our vision and our ambitious vision to reach 3 million in 2030, seems to be not unrealistic. Yeah, that's from my side. I would propose that Mr. Jessulat shows the figures, then I give you an outlook of the markets and what we expect for 2023. After that, we go into the question answers.
Dr. Wolf, thank you very much. As we can see here on this slide, ElringKlinger had an order intake in 2022 in the amount of EUR 1.874 billion. We came to order backlog towards end of December 2022 of EUR 1.462 billion, which represents a 5% increase over the previous year. Starting with EUR 1.6 billion in sales for 2021, we had in particular organic growth in the amount of EUR 120 million, we had also foreign exchange effects in the amount of EUR 54 million, that in total, we came up at almost EUR 1.8 billion in sales, which represents an increase of 10.7% to the previous year.
As we can see here, we could expand revenues across the major segments and also across the different business units of ElringKlinger. If we go through this, we see lightweighting, we could increase from EUR 500 million-EUR 575 million. Lightweighting is one strategic column for us in terms of further growth. We have seen over the past couple of years a good growth, and we will see also further potential here in the, we have to say, meanwhile, largest business unit of ours. In the BU Metal Sealing Systems & Drivetrain Components, the same, we could increase sales from EUR 448 million-EUR 497 million.
In the Metal Forming & Assembly Technology, we could increase from EUR 269 million to EUR 293 million. e-mobility declined a little bit based on some interactions in supply in one of the plants where we supply a drive system, from EUR 59 million to EUR 42 million. Aftermarket is the business unit that has really a specific demand situation. As Dr. Wolf pointed out, we could increase from EUR 250 million to EUR 251 million in sales in 2022. We could increase sales in engineered plastics from EUR 125 million to EUR 133 million.
When we look at the global distribution of sales, we see that, starting from Germany in 2012, the share of business in Germany declined from 30% to 20% to the expense of North America, where we could increase from 18% to 26%. The rest of Europe stayed fairly the same. When we look at the diversified customer base of ElringKlinger, we see that essentially, we do not have a very significant exposure to individual customers. We see, for example, in North America, for North American OEMs, 8% to the maximum and 9% for German OEMs.
Tier one and other customers were essentially very distributed and developed in a very good way over the years. When we come to the cost inflation here and the walk from the operating EBIT in 2021 to 2022, we see that we had in 2021, the divestment of the Austrian subsidiary, so we have to deduct it by EUR 11 million. We have had an increase in the raw material cost of EUR 11 million that went against sales growth. We have to say, the organic, let's say, operating leverage in this period.
When we walk through this, it's very important to understand that the EUR 11 million here in terms of raw materials have an early increase in 2022 relative to a compensation from the customers that happened a little bit later in the year. That means is this EUR 11 million really lasting when we go into 2023? Yes, we have to say to some extent, but not in full. This is important when we see we do the work from 22 to 23, which of the components here are really the lasting components. EUR 11 million from raw materials is, you know, a fraction of that will be also a burden for 2023.
What we see here, with the additional energy and logistics costs, then we see that. You know, this is a cost type that was hitting the ElringKlinger Group pretty hard in 2022. This is a topic that still needs to be negotiated with customers going forward. We have seen on the other side also that energy costs and logistics costs also went down to some extent. When we look into 2023 coming out of 2022, then really, you know, energy and logistics costs is more, you know, what I'm concerned about relative to material costs. When we look really, you know, at the cost increases from an incremental point of view.
HR-related items, this is essentially restructuring at a site in Germany, where we are in the process of closing one plant location here in Germany. We had to record some costs in 2022 in regard to that. Ramp-up costs, the EUR 11 million here for 2022, this is a start-up cost, you know, in several plants. The one plant is in Texas. It's a new plant for lightweighting. We have also in Germany a new plant also for lightweighting business that is gonna be starting up in the period between 2023 and 2024. This is, in my opinion, for some further extent, it will be a burden, but this is going out essentially with the growth that we will see here mainly in the lightweight business.
We came here with this work to the operating EBIT of EUR 61 million, and we see that overall we had impairments on assets and immaterial assets in the amount of EUR 103 million, which brings us to the reported EBIT here of 2022 in the amount of minus EUR 42 million. The EBITDA development you see here on the left side, EBITDA is important for us in order to being able to generate cash and to be able to invest in the new technologies. We see here that at EUR 174 million burdens by the items that I have explained, we are a little bit below the previous years, but significantly below 2021.
As we will have to streamline the group going forward, certainly in regard to the strategic mission of ElringKlinger, we decided to report starting from 2023 an adjusted EBIT, and I go through this. We are starting with the reported EBIT, and we add or subtract the amortization of intangible assets from purchase price allocation as we have done in the past. We will exclude also in the adjusted EBIT changes in the scope of consolidation and impairment on goodwill as well as impairment on assets, write-ups, gains, losses from the disposal of entities, restructuring-related expenses, and other that may not be so obvious at this point, but which could occur.
This is pretty much in line with the usual reporting of the adjusted EBIT. Again, for 2022, this is not included. 2022 is gonna be reported here as the comparable period to the 2023 reporting that we will do, which we have initiated beginning of 2023. Just for you to know. When we look at the earnings situation here, we see on the left side, based on the impairment I was talking about -EUR 56 million in EBIT relative to EUR 101 million last year. Earnings per share comes up to -EUR 0.41.
Dividend payment as a policy in regard to continuation here, in regard to a dividend policy, we decided together with the supervisory board for a proposal of a dividend of EUR 0.15 for the period 2022. If we come to the other financial KPIs here, investments CapEx is fairly in line 2022 with 2021. It's still a very disciplined approach that we follow because again, we have to prepare for future investments in the new business years that we have just seen before. Working capital, we came up with 25.3% from the amount a little bit higher, from the percentage relative to sales is in line essentially with previous year. The main driver is here inventory.
Within inventory, the main driver is by 50% approximately price, and then to some extent foreign exchange and to some extent really, you know, quantities in terms of material, more quantities that we have on the balance sheet. Here, of course, this is for us an important topic because we think we can improve here. I say we target more a level of 20% going forward and try to achieve that step by step. 2022 has been a pretty difficult year because we have seen those effects and also of course, limitations in the supply chain.
On the right side as a result, mainly of that and as a result of the burdens that we have seen, we have a free cash flow, EUR 15 million for 2022, which compares with EUR 72 million for 2021. Yeah. We have, as ElringKlinger gone through a path of consolidation when we look at our debt situation here. Net debt at the end of 2022 comes up to EUR 364 million. The net debt to EBITDA as a financial KPI is 2.1 at the end of the year.
Of course, here also we wanna improve, we wanna stay below two, and there's a little bit of way to go, not only from a indebtedness of the company, but in particular of course, in regard to the quality of earnings. We have seen here a level that is more and more possible, of course, for ElringKlinger to do investments also with that type of financing, which is again crucial to make the next steps in terms of our further industrialization. When we see here on the left side, the maturities of our debt, then we see in 2023 there is no repayment that is gonna be due.
In 2024 we have roughly EUR 100 million, we have pretty much a calm situation regard to refinancing in the times of these that we see today. The next significant amount is our syndicated loan that is gonna be due in 2026 and afterwards the last portion of the Schuldschein of 10 years that we have done a couple of years ago. Equity ratio comes up to 43.8%, which is pretty much within the limits that we have. 40%-50% is our targets.
When we look at the performance of the business, we see in the OE segment here, of course, the impairment is an impairment here in terms of goodwill and also in terms of assets on the OE segment side. Therefore, we have based on the EUR 1 billion fall here in sales -7.9% in 2022. We see on the other side in the aftermarket here, EUR 251 million with EUR 20 million of EBIT. Also Engineered Plastics, EUR 133 million sales and EUR 14.9 million. Those elements give ElringKlinger a pretty good internal cash flow in order to be able to finance CapEx and also to pay down debt to some extent.
When we look at the other segment here, it's not really playing a significant role anymore, so I'll go over that. When we look at that and see what's on the financial agenda of ElringKlinger for this year and also the years to come, then it's essentially the preparation and the execution of further growth in our top line. This is very important that we get orders on board in the strategic fields of e-mobility and lightweight, and that we align the group structure with this strategy. This is, on the one side, of course, consolidation of efforts and on the expansive side in terms of growing the other business units to really balance this way relative to the development of demand in ICE technology versus the new technologies.
On the next side, we'll continue to be very disciplined in terms of cost and CapEx in order to really improve earnings quality over the next couple of periods. We will also continue to address the high cost items that we still have in some areas with our customers. This is something that we have done significantly in the year 2022, I think was a good success. This will be continued also in 2023. Yeah. Like Dr. Wolf said, pushing digitization. Here we aim at the digitization of our factories.
We see here the digital and seamless factory from an information flow and also from a material flow, that there's a lot of potential for ElringKlinger that we can get out of this process. We also have to be careful that we not overdo digitization in terms of a cost perspective. This is also an item that needs to be in line with the general activity. On the right side, this is something that we said already.
Here focus on working capital management in particular, the new business that we brought that on with parameters that drive us towards the 20% working capital of sales and to free further cash flows out of this position, so that we can reduce debt furthermore and also to shorten the balance sheet to the extent possible. Yeah, that's from my side. Thank you very much. I hand back to Dr. Wolf.
Thank you, Mr. Jessulat. Let's look at markets and outlook. What we see for 2023, the economic environment, of course, remains challenging. The global GDP expectations for 2023 are, let's say, modest. We thought last year, middle of 2022, all the experts said in 2023 we're gonna have a big recession here in Europe and also in Germany. They expected GDP to go down by around about 4%-4.5%. Now, the German government expects -0.3%, -0.4% in GDP. That means stagnation. Overall, we see that inflation is a problem.
We see that, of course, the increase of interest rates of several central banks, that is gonna be a problem. We also expect a modest growth for the GDP in 2023. We still have a lot of uncertainties. The war between Ukraine and Russia is still not over. We do not know when it's gonna be over. We also have other areas in this world where we see geopolitical uncertainties. The cost for raw material has gone down, but it's still on a very high level. Energy is on a very high level, especially here in Germany. Of course, transportation costs are also high. They are all three costs are way above 2018, 2019, so that really burdens the company.
The supply chain situation is a little bit better with regard to semiconductors. It seems to be better than it was in 2021 and 2022, but still it is not as it was before. It's still very vulnerable, the situation with regard to supply chain. Uncertainties, so we have to be careful, and that's also why Mr. Jessulat said that we are very much looking on costs and, you know, try to save costs and reduce costs to be here on the safe side. The global growth in manufacturing, car manufacturing, we expect 15.1% in North America after 14.3% in 2022, but still way above the 16.3% in 2019.
The same situation in Europe, 2019, we had 19.5 million units. Now we are heading towards 16.1 million units in 2023. You see here on this picture that's, from my point of view, a very important information. The only big market or big area that generated growth from 2019 until 2023, what is expected, is China from 24.7 million to 26.6 million. It also shows, if you look at the figures down there, with 89 million in 2019 and now 85.1 million units in 2023, that out of those 85.1 million units, China is responsible for 26.6 million.
That shows the importance and the dominance of this market in the car industry and in the supplier industry. This is the most important market for us. That's also why ElringKlinger has a very strong focus on China, of course, other Asian countries, also Europe and North America, of course. I think this picture shows very, very clearly what's happening in our industry. China becomes stronger and stronger. They are basically dominating the car and the supplier market. That's pretty clear. Our goals, as you know, sales always, we wanna generate organic growth substantially above market level. I'm pretty sure that we will achieve that in 2023. We expect approximately 5% EBIT margin on group level.
The operating free cash flow, of course, positive. We wanna, of course, be better than in 2022. We're gonna increase free cash flow with regard to, you know, we compare in 2022, that was EUR 14.8 million. We wanna increase that, of course. The return on capital employed, we expect up 7%-8%. Net debt to EBITDA, the rate, as Jesulat talked about that already, we want that to be below two. We wanna further improve our networking capital here, especially with materials, but also with parts that we buy for our aftermarket kits. There we still have potential to become a little bit better here.
We are going to spend not more than 5%-7% of group revenues in CapEx, but this year we are very reluctant with regard to CapEx. Could be less this year in 2023. R&D costs 5%-6% of group revenue and equity ratio between 40%-50% of total assets. We always reach that. This year, July 1st, I'm 26 years with ElringKlinger in the company, and we've never been under 40% in those 26 years. I expect that to stay here. We were at 42.8%-43.8% in 2022. Those are our goals. If you look at the overall view on ElringKlinger, we have a clear focus on technology.
If you have innovations, if you are leading in technology in our industry, especially with regard to those new propulsion systems like battery, electric cars, fuel cell, electrical cars, also lightweight, all that, everything we do, you have to be number one technologically, then you are successful. That is why we have such a strong focus on technology, and we wanna be always the innovator in our industry. Of course, we still have a clear view and also focus on the internal combustion engine business that still exists. You know, we have good possibilities here to earn good money because there is a further consolidation going on in that business, and nobody is really investing in business for the internal combustion engine.
We do it in a very, let's say, intelligent way, not that, no, not too much, but keep us on a very high technical standard so that we are better than our competitors. Of course, we have our new product portfolio that the transform product portfolio also a strong focus on that. I talked about sustainability before, important for investors, but also important for customers. That's a key priority for us in the Group, to focus on sustainability. That's not only CO₂ reduction, that's much more than only CO ₂ reduction as part of, CO₂ reduction as part of sustainability. That's much more, what we are up to, here. We have our key financial performance indicators. We always work on that, and we sharpen them. We, really, look into that. Sometimes we have new ones.
We basically lead the company group on those facts, on those financial key financial performance indicators. Everybody knows that in all the business units and the corporate units, and they act with regard to that. Of course, we wanna grow profitably by those systems, as I described, but also with components in the new business units and new business areas. You know, far from my side here, the financial calendar, we are here in Frankfurt today, March 28th, with the full figures for 2022. We have Q1, May ninth, 2023. We have our annual general meeting on May 16th, 2023. We decided to do it again in a digital format, so no presence.
You know, the legislator opened the possibility also after Corona to do it in a digital format. That's what we do. We decided for that. We have August, third Q2 figures, and November seven, Q3 figures. That's the financial calendar. Yeah. Far from my side. Thank you very much. Mr. Jessulat and me, we are more than happy to take your questions.
Can you hear me okay or no? This is working. Christoph Schlienkamp, Deutsche Bank. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one will be on the margin guidance and the bridge to 23. Mr. Jesulat, you already elaborated a bit on that raw mats probably are not the same headwind, we can expect potentially that being neutral or a slight positive. Energy and wages, should we expect a similar sized headwind as in 22, or should it be smaller? Could it potentially be even flat? Just on the HR cost of EUR 11 million, I expect that to be completely gone in 23, right? If we build the bridge, that should be a net positive into 23. The second building block of the questions, the outperformance in 23 over production.
Historically, you have achieved 500 basis points plus. Is the substantial outperformance pointing to the same range or should it be even higher? Could you elaborate on the start of productions which are driving that, so the projects which are coming up, and should those be a margin positive because they are mix positive or not? Thank you.
Yeah. Thank you for your question. Like I said during the presentation, I mean, if we look at the EBIT bridge, we would have to take into account that the material costs
As a net effect in 2022 is really, you know, having an early impact in 22 from a cost side and a late compensation that was not stretching over the full year. The compensations that we negotiated with the customers have a lasting impact to a very large extent. Really high double-digit %. Most of it, what we have negotiated, is really lasting in terms of sustainable improvement here. Yeah. We have to say, you know, on the other side, during those negotiations, we changed the structure of our customer contracts to a large extent. In the past, we had floating prices, mostly for LME type of things, in a different way, somewhere between 10% and 50%.
Now we are in all important commodities to us. You know, for indexed, you know, cost types, we have to say, we are in a high double-digit percentage amount. So it's 80% roughly in terms of what we have now as a floating price relative to index. Raw material is, you know, in some segments for 2023 is giving me a little bit of headache. In particular, when I look at chemicals, yeah, and when I look at rubber type of material. Yeah. That is giving us still some concerns. Plastic remains on a high level, but we don't think that plastic is gonna be going up furthermore.
There is gonna be an impact from material between, from a cumulative basis from 21 to 23, yes, but it's a low double-digit figure, I think. No? When we look at energy and logistics costs, then we see logistics cost has come down in some areas, but in some areas it stayed high. This is a burden that we still have that is gonna be negotiated as further cost types with our customers also in 2023. When we look at energy costs, we all know that gas prices have come down, which is, of course, the manufacturing costs for some of the commodities used by us, but also, you know, our internal processing costs.
Energy is really more of a concern here, and this is also a type that needs to be negotiated, no? HR related items is a 22 item, for the topics on hand. This is not gonna be lasting. Ramp-up cost is maybe another important item to talk about because we have several plans in the starting phase. Those plans are, you know, from a production perspective, running at idle right now, but they go into the revenue cycle, you know, in 2023 into 2024. There is a portion of that that will stay. There is also a lot of products, in particular lightweight, but also e-mobility that go into the revenue cycle this year.
We see at least a portion of that gone for 2023, but it's mostly gone in 2024. No? Also, of course, as we realize more revenues in the in the business units that we ramp up, of course, we will generate more contribution margin. Which is, in my opinion, at the end, 2024 going forward is more than those EUR 11 million. Is a really significant double-digit amount where we'll see some improvement by, you know, those products going into revenue cycle. Yeah. The second point, labor cost is, we have had an expectation for 2023.
You know, the agreement did not come to that expectation. Still starting from 1st of June, we will have those increases, and we'll also have the second part of the inflation component that is going to be paid out. That is certainly an impact that will hit us in 2023 for sure. That is also going to be part of the package that would need to be negotiated in 23 with the customers. On the, on the third point, a part of that, I explained already, the outperformance drivers is really revenue cycle related to new products. This is the main driver for losses going out of the group and for getting more contribution margin in there. No?
For example, on the cell contacting systems here, we are right now preparing for the ramp-up in Q3, and in Q4, we are gonna be in a revenue cycle for that. As part of that is in 2023, most of that is gonna be a very steep incline, is gonna be in 2024. It's a little bit of mix, but there is some cost effects that we think we will have in this year. This is also the reason why we are on a lower end of what we have seen here on the earnings quality level in 2001. We are a little bit below the 6% that we have seen.
If you say, "Okay, this is a lasting, for 2023, a lasting lower double-digit amount," it's essentially based on those items that I just described. Yeah.
Michael Punzet. I have two questions with regard to the development in the fourth quarter. First one is on the financial results. This was extremely negative. Maybe you can elaborate what's the reason for that. Also the engineered plastic business posted only a margin of 6.7% after the first nine months you have all, 17.2%. What's happened there?
Yeah, when we look at the at the fourth quarter financial result, it's EUR 13, wait a minute. It's EUR sixteen and a half million, and this is mainly based on here reversals of foreign exchange effects. Yeah. We have a high coverage, we have to say, of swaps against intercompany loans, mostly US dollar, but also against the Swiss franc. Those were some technical effects here relative to the rolling of those instruments. Yeah. The second question on the engineered plastics business. This is, yeah, items around provision for losses to some extent, for expectation that we had in the plan for material cost. Now, that may come into play or not. Yeah.
Here we have been thinking, you know, in the group, in some areas, we have been thinking from a planning perspective, with higher material costs that may not come. I think, this is gonna be, you know, isolated item relative to those, to those effects. Yeah. There is in Q4, by the way, there's also a mid-single digit impairment in the gross margin. When you look at gross margin quality, it's important to note that for Q4 there is a mid-single digit amount in there. Yeah.
Thank you. Pieper?
Yeah. Jürgen Pieper Metzler. I have one question on your customer list. There is no concrete Chinese name in your key customer list. What are the largest names here in Asia? Is there the distribution between ICE business and e-mobility business similar to here, or is this still more traditional business?
Most of that is traditional business. We have all the major Chinese customers like Chery, Geely, Byton, Great Wall, but that's all combustion engine products. We started about half a year ago, nine months ago, we started a new subsidiary for EKPO, ElringKlinger Plastic Omnium, EKPO Fuel Cell Technologies in China. It's located at our location in Suzhou, close to Shanghai, and we are working on component business. I don't think that we're gonna be successful with systems in China. They are producing, you know, their own battery packs. They are producing their own fuel cell systems. Of course, the fuel cell stacks that they produce are far behind, you know, our technology. I think we have good potential for components.
They buy bipolar plates, for example, from us, or they buy cell contacting systems from us. But as of today, I would say almost 100% of the business in China is internal combustion engine. Yeah, let me add something to that. The typical product, you know, that goes in China is innovative sealing applications for example, EDUs, in terms of shaft seals for, you know, high RPM EDUs, where we have a very good position in China. You know, coming out of engineered plastics, and then we have also applications in China in regard to EDU sealing in terms of a metal-elastomer application type of thing. And we have also battery seals in terms of metal-elastomer application in China. What Dr.
Wolf is saying from the amount, is really, of course not the high amount here, but we see that there's innovative sealing solutions needed that even in the Chinese market, we can make some headwind there in regard to the placement of new products, but like, not with the big dollar items except for lightweight. Yep. Yeah, maybe, to add this, you know, that it's a general trend in China. You have to be innovative, and you have to have a technology that is not available from a Chinese supplier. Everything that is available from Chinese suppliers, they are consequently changing their supply bases, just eliminating international suppliers and they go to Chinese, pure Chinese suppliers.
You win the battle in the future in China with Chinese customers if you have technology that is not available from Chinese competitors. That is our focus. Yeah. That's why we are focused on those products that Mr. Jesulat just mentioned, but also on bipolar plates and cell contacting systems and so on, because we are here better than the Chinese suppliers. Yeah. That is a clear trend. That is a clear new direction that Chinese car manufacturers, they wanna buy Chinese if it's possible. Of course, you saw the figures that I showed, yeah. This market is very important for our industry. It's the most important market for our industry, and I still see a lot of potential there. I'm sure that within a couple of years, we will see 30 million units in China. Bill?
Yes, hello. A couple of questions here. Frank Biller, LBBW. The one question is about your chart here, product transformation. When looking at this chart until 2030, it seems to me that you are heading for outperformance of 4%-5% per annum. When looking at the percentage rate in ICE drivetrains and BEV automotives, it seems to me that you are underperforming the market despite a very high magnitude in orders for the new electric business. The charts seem to be that it's 60% in electric mobility, and the market should be at a 73% range here with these charts you presented on page three. What is behind there?
Is it the content per vehicle going down for you, or is it just a cautious assumption here, off your side? The other question is, dividend policy here, so a stable dividend in, 2022. What is your dividend strategy behind it? Are you more looking on the net earnings and here a ratio, or is it more on the free cash flow side here, and what we should assume here for the future? The other thing on this new definition on adjusted EBIT of what you are guiding here. 5%, what is calculated from today's perspective? What is as an adjustment already seeable here? For 2023, of course, yeah.
Yeah. Thank you for your question. On the, on the adjusted EBIT, you know, a lasting topic would be a depreciation on purchase price allocation. There's not gonna be anything left, that we had in the past. You know, it would be really, you know, a new start, in regard to that. There is no lasting component. There is of course cost types that we internally specify then really in a tight way according to IFRS, for example, restructuring. There is an internal ruling in regard to that, and it's not a very wide interpretation that we would have.
Now, when we look at your first question here in terms of the scenario, yeah, this is in our perspective, it should be really a robust scenario that takes into account maybe a more negative development also in regard to ICE that may happen. It needs to be robust in a way that this growth that we see here is a significant number when we talk about non-ICE. The target that we have here is that a growth in the new products, you know, those strategic products, carries us towards the target of the EUR 3 billion, which is a comfortable situation to see, you know, the further decline of ICE, at least in Europe, down the road.
It's a little bit of scenario thinking in here, and we wanna have a robust plan in regard to what we, what we go for here in terms of the known ICE share, and this is a little bit of background of that, right? It is not also 100% when you look at, you know, the rundown towards 2030 and 2035 maybe in terms of ICE. It's not one-to-one an S&P figure. Yeah.
I assume that you took the 97.1 million units in 2030 on page three, and then you took the 70.7 million units on page four, and you just divided that. You have to see that in those 70.7 million units, there are 26.6 million units hybrid, and hybrids have an internal combustion engine. You have to add those 26.6 to the internal combustion engines. Yeah. That's, the ratio is not. You cannot take that. You have to take out the 26.6 million units.
Well, we just wanted to have this year continuity. We take that decision every year in spring. We of course discuss it with the supervisory board, also of course with the majority shareholder. Yeah, pretty clear. You know, they have 52% of the shares. We would just like to get back into. We had a pretty stable continuity until, I think three years ago. We had three years with no dividend, but we wanna get back into that.
E of our things that we have to fulfill is to earn money and to let the shareholders contribute because, you know, the founder family, they give a lot of the dividend in two trusts. And those two trusts, they have, of course, obligations, you know, social things. And that's why one of our clear focus is also to achieve good EBIT, to achieve good and remarkable free cash flows, to be able to, you know, pay a dividend also with regards to those obligations that are in those two trusts of the family. So focus is on EBIT and free cash flow.
Further questions.
That does not seem to be the case, so thank you very much for attending our conference here, also the ones that were here digital with us. All the best. The one thing that the ones that just dialed in are missing is the wonderful buffet that we have out there that is provided by Commerzbank. Thank you very much also for Commerzbank, that we can have this analyst conference every year here in this wonderful building. Thank you very much to Commerzbank. All the best to you. You know the dates for our quarterly reports and the calls. I'm looking forward to hearing you in those calls. Of course, looking forward, I hope, seeing you here next year again. Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now concluded, and you may disconnect your telephone. Thank you for joining, and have a pleasant day. Goodbye.