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Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Feb 4, 2022

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the webcast for Fiskars' Q4 and full year 2021 results. My name is Kristian Tammela. I'm the Director of Investor Relations. Today we are in a bit of a different setting here as we actually are in the middle of moving our headquarters to Espoo, so next time we'll have a different place again. Today, as usual, we'll have presentations first by our CEO, Nathalie Ahlström, followed by one from CFO Jussi Siitonen. Let's get started immediately. I'll hand over to Nathalie.

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Thank you, Kristian, and also from my side, welcome everybody. It's really a pleasure to be here today to talk about our record performance in 2021. This is the all-time high, what we've done on profit and net sales ever in the 372-year history of the company, so very strong and we're very pleased about being here today and talking about the performance. This was also the seventh consecutive straight quarter where we were growing, so also on the growth strategy we are delivering. At the same time, in Q4 if you look, our growth investments that we already flagged in Q3, they are weighing down on the profitability in Q4, sorry, but at the same time, that's growth for the future.

Our outlook then for the year to come, 2022, is that we are going to increase from these record levels also then in 2022. We are going to increase from last year's level. Finally, the dividend proposal, a strong dividend of EUR 0.76 per share for this year. Let me go into the details about the performance. Starting with net sales growth, here we see that in Q4 we grew 13% and that is 15% more than 2019, so strong growth year-over-year. For the full year, the growth for the whole company was 14.2%. When we look at our business and how it's made up, we see that we have a strong, well-balanced portfolio. That is the strength of us. All our businesses are delivering and here we see Vita, Terra, and Crea, all of them delivering.

When looking at the full year figures, Vita in total the whole year grew 19%, Terra 8%, and Crea 5%, so strong performance from all the businesses. Going to the profit side, as already said, it's Q4 was somewhat below last year's level. At the same time, last year was an all-time high and supported by the record year in 2020. The somewhat lower Q4 is due to the growth investments, the conscious growth investments we've done in Q4. This is really to invest into our future and the continued growth in 2022. A bit on the investments, where do we invest? The biggest focus is on investing in talent capabilities, and secondly on digital, the digital journey. That is to future-proof the company.

Let's take a short look at our strategy and the growth for the future. This is our growth strategy that we presented during the Capital Markets Day. We are well underway to deliver on this strategy as you will see in our figures. Jussi will also in his part talk about how we are performing against the new financial targets we set during the Capital Markets Day. As I promised during the Capital Markets Day, we will every quarter come back to how are we progressing on the transformation levers so that we know how the growth strategy is going into execution every single quarter. Looking at where we are now, if I start with commercial excellence, here we have our four transformation levers, the progress on this.

On commercial excellence we can truly say that the power of the brand is visible. We have, despite the dynamic market, despite the inflation environment we are living in, we have been able to improve the gross margin both in Q4 and for the full year. Every single quarter we have improved the gross margin. In Q4, 180 basis points, and for the whole year, 240. That's. I just can thank the whole team for that. That's a remarkable achievement taking into account the inflationary environment we are in. That shows the power of the brands and also when we are focusing on transformation lever like commercial excellence, it does pay off. The second one is direct to consumer. In direct to consumer channel, being both e-com and retail, physical retail, we are growing above group average.

In Q4, 14% and for the full year, 20%, so that's really a transformation lever for our growth going forward. U.S. also performing well. Good sales growth in Vita and Terra in Q4, and overall double-digit growth versus last year. China, our fantastic success with our local team in China, Q4 continued strong as net sales were up 1.5x. For the full year 2021 in China, we nearly doubled the net sales in China. On the transformation levers. We are delivering on them, and as I've promised, we will continue also to show and tell where we are going forward with this. On executing our strategy, we have done strategic choices. As we have said, we are focusing on the winning brands, the winning channels, and the winning countries.

Part of focusing on winning brands that we also have asked ourselves, "Where are we the right owner?" As you saw earlier this week, we announced that we have now completed the divestment of the North American watering business. That was completed earlier this week. In the deal, we have divested the Gilmour and Nelson brands and the related assets and trademarks. This is really about strategic execution, where we ask ourselves, "Are we the right owner for the business?" With this more commoditized business of Gilmour and Nelson, we know we were not the right owners, and therefore, this was in line with our growth strategy.

The rest of the watering business that we have in Fiskars, that's a total different kind of a value proposition, portfolio also, product portfolio that's sold under the Fiskars brand, and that will continue and be a successful part of our portfolio in Europe going forward. So no change there. About one of our important enablers for the growth strategy is sustainability, and I'll give a few examples on sustainability achievements we've done this year. One, for example, is our commitment to reduce waste to landfill. Only in 2021 we were able to reduce 28% of waste to landfill in only one year. That's quite a remarkable achievement. Again, an example of where we are taking steps forward on sustainability. Another example is products from recycled materials.

During 2021, we were able to increase the net sales of recycled products by 78%, so we're also doing our part of the circular economy. Growth strategy going forward, we're executing on what we are saying we are going to do. You will see that soon also in the financials, and that of course leads to the guidance for 2022. We expect our guidance of EBIT. From here on, we are reporting EBIT to increase from the 2021 level. At the same time, we are going to continue to invest in growth, invest in the growth in talent, digitalization, and so on, to be able to deliver on our transformation levers. With that, I hand over to Jussi.

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Thank you, Nathalie, and hello, everyone. Before diving a bit deeper into the Q4 financials there, just a reminder, our financial targets we announced in November last year. Even though the financial targets were set for 2022 to 2025 period, we have now a good start for this four-year journey. What you can see here is our net sales growth, the target being that we should deliver mid-single digit growth year-on-year. Last year, we were at strong double-digit growth there. On profitability, achieving this roughly mid-teen EBIT margin by end of 2025 now being a level of 12.3% there.

What we have also highlighted is that this is not meant to be a hockey stick effect there, that all the improvement is coming then late in this journey. The target is to sustainably improve our EBIT margin to around this, toward this roughly 15%. On cash flow conversion, target being over 80%, even though last year we invested quite significantly in working capital and inventories there, we were well above this target. Compared to 2022, I would say we had a lot of interventions there, and by no means this kind of over 200% cash conversion is not a sustainable level. Net debt to EBITDA is 0.7 x, target being less than 2.5x.

We can say that at least four, three out of four we are green and the fourth one, high profitability, is well toward its targeted level by end of 2025. About Q4, and what you can see here is Q4 also for 2020 and 2019. As Nathalie said, we continued improving gross margin there. 180 basis points versus 2020 and 50 basis points versus 2019. More importantly, all the BAs, all the businesses improved their gross margin in Q4, so it was very broad-based contributions what we got there. As we mentioned in Q3, we had some year-end loaded investments there. The total amount approximately EUR 20 million for full year 2021. Most of this EUR 20 million in Q4. This was well in line with what we guided earlier.

Items affecting comparability, what we said in Q3 in October, actually it was that it's approximately EUR 10 million for the quarter. We are a bit lower level, EUR 8 million there, and now what I can confirm that all those big restructuring programs are now closed, so we don't continue them anymore. One word about gross margin still. What's remarkable, not only for Q4 but on full year basis, we succeed more than offset the negative impacts therefrom input cost inflations. That is how our model is built, so we can continue tackling this kind of extra challenges therefrom macro and then continue improving our gross margin. BA by BA.

What you can see here in all the BAs is that profitability, EBITDA, is coming down versus, I would say, abnormal high level when we talk about 2020 Q4. The most important thing is that all the BAs, they continued improving gross margin, which is the driving engine of our profitability improvement. Vita, up roughly 8%, versus previous quarter, and well up versus 2019 same period there. What's important here is that we had both sales volumes and channels and price mix, which were improving both growth and profitability on full-year basis. One note also is that English and Crystal brands, you all know that they have been under pressure in the recent years. They were one of the biggest contributor to this improvement what we had in Vita.

Coming from their break-even-ish level, they are now at not yet at very good profitability, but really contributing to improvement what we had at group level also. On Terra, actually Terra was the biggest contributor to our gross margin and top line in Q4. Top line up 18% versus last year and then over 20% versus 2019. There also gross margin, as I said, continued improving. Profitability, partly due to the fact that Q4 last year before, was at subnormal level, we are now improving nicely towards 2022. Crea, top line up 6% and then versus 2019, 19% up. Strong improvement there on top line. Profitability followed the trend what we had in other businesses also.

When it comes to regional sales improvement there, it's very broad-based. In Europe, in Americas, in Asia Pacific, all strong growth. Europe and Americas both 9% up on currency-neutral basis. U.S. alone, as Nathalie mentioned, double-digit growth in Q4. Asia Pacific, 14% up versus last year, very much driven by China, which was 1.5x versus 2020. Moving then to cash flow, while we invested significantly in inventories to ensure our 2022 deliveries there, we succeeded to maintain a strong cash conversion, 109, target being over 80%. You can see here on our full-year numbers that over EUR 90 million increase in our inventories.

It's fresh inventory what we have, so we can secure our shipments now in the first half this year, second half this year, and therefore we are off a good start also in that sense. On balance sheet, on top of having a profitable growth, we also had an asset-efficient growth. What you can see here on the bottom right is the return on capital employed improved significantly versus last year, so we have a 5.5 percentage point up. The good thing is that not only on EBIT margin improvement, but also capital turnover improved significantly, contributing this return of capital employed.

One note about this U.S. watering, what you can see here on our capital employed of EUR 922 million by end of 2021, EUR 38 million of that capital employed is now off from our balance sheet when we close the deal with this U.S. watering. Last but definitely not least, our dividend. The dividend proposal for the shareholder meeting is EUR 0.76 per share paid in two installments. On top of this dividend, the board has also decided to start share buybacks. We are now contributing the cash flow to our owners in two ways with this dividend and share buybacks. That's pretty much all about Q4 financials.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. We have some questions, and the first one going actually to Jussi. Regarding the guidance, we guided for 2022 to be clean EBIT to increase. How is the divested U.S. watering business excluded from this guidance? Or how do you take that into consideration?

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Yeah. We finished 2021 at level of EUR 154 million EBIT, and the guidance is compared to this EUR 154 million. Of course, when we are closing our Q1, we are telling about top-line improvement because our net sales growth target is organic growth target, and there we will exclude U.S. watering. When it comes to EBIT, EUR 154 million is the baseline where we are comparing our 2022.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Yes. Regardless of that.

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Yeah.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

We continue with you. What's the annual CapEx level for 2022 and onwards for the strategy period?

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Our 2021 CapEx was 2.7% of sales, and we have said that we should be there at roughly 3%. Part of that is phasing. We are getting gradually towards this roughly 3%. The biggest driver of our CapEx is that we continue investing in digital, and then also we are continue investing in D2C. Those are the ones which are taking more CapEx in the future. We are roughly at that level, 2.7% versus roughly 3%, what's our long-term target.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. This one will go to Nathalie then. In Q4, we saw the highest sales growth in Terra. Sorry. What would you say was the main reason, and do you believe that this trend will continue now that Terra, and obviously the Americas is an important part of the strategy?

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Thank you. When looking at Terra and Q4 this was normal sales, so there was no extraordinary pull forward from Q1 which also of course bodes well for the year to come in 2022. When we look at then consumer behavior for 2022, we feel there's a good demand in the market, and we feel there's a strong pull from consumers. At the same time this means that we continue to work closely to ensure that we have the supply and the volumes and availability in place. Good place to be.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. If you continue with that, being slightly more than one month into 2022, what is your feeling about Q1 so far?

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

I feel our guidance for next year or 2022 is correct. It's a good guidance.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. Jussi, you already mentioned about how much we did in extraordinary investment spending in 2021. Could you first of all give more flavor on how that is and how you see the OPEX base scaling in 2022, now that it's part of the growth journey?

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Yeah. As I mentioned, roughly EUR 20 million in our 2021 numbers. Most of that in Q4. When it comes to this year, and then bearing in mind how we have built our long-term strategy there, you might remember our targeted P&L structure. We are loyal to that one, so we continue improving our gross margin, and then OPEX will be there, following the trend. This kind of big extraordinary investments of course they are not so at that level anymore, but we continue. It's part of the normal business to continue investing there. Instead of focusing how much we have this kind of investments there, I would more focus to deliver the long-term targets what we have.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. Then Nathalie , you delivered an impressive sales growth in all divisions. Could you please discuss how much of this was market growth and how much your own actions are taking market share?

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Yeah, that's a good question. Of course, I mean, we have been benefiting of the COVID stay-at-home trend. Of course we have that. At the same time, huge thanks to the team. I shortly mentioned it earlier also, but our growth, half of it comes from price, half of it from volume which means that our actions, our own actions really do matter. Also not only the price of course with the commercial excellence, but also with the volume ensuring that we can be there for the consumer when the demand is there which means a seamless cooperation from the whole supply chain out to the sales to the shop floor, the omni-channel experience. It's a combined answer. Stay-at-home helps, and at the same time we have a relentless team making sure we deliver every day.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. If we continue with you. Regarding Terra, there was mention about headwinds in the government channel and this obviously relates to Gerber. Is this normal fluctuation in demand or have you been replaced as a provider?

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

The whole for Gerber, the government section is not that big part of it anymore, and we are actually focusing more on the broader consumers and also working on shifting the brand proposition more to the outdoor and also including the female consumers in this. Back to the question, is this normal fluctuation? Yes, it is, because it's big contracts that come and go.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

About Royal Copenhagen with the Royal Creatures collection, that was only in our direct channel. The question is, can we expect similar launches for other brands to strengthen the brand image and then the DTC strategy?

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Yes, we can. That was a good example of where we are showing the power of the brand combining that also within our direct-to-consumer approach. At the same time we do this in very close cooperation with our big customers, so there has to be a total value proposition for all our partners in the play.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Right. Jussi, then about Terra's profits. That decreased quite a lot, despite the strong top line growth. Could you give a bit more flavor on why is that? Were there any non-recurring costs included in here?

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Yeah. Even though Terra improved gross margin there in Q4, it's partly also phasing how the price increases are then hitting other markets. Therefore that was part of the reason. As said, we had also some tailwinds there in Q4 2020. Therefore the comparison is not a very favorable here for Q4 2021. The trend what we see there, we are very relaxed in that one, so we see profitability improvement there as we can continue improving gross margin.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Right. Then, if we continue with you, then operating expenses were up significantly. How should we think about that going into 2022? You already maybe talked about a bit about this, so.

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Yeah. I think I tackled it already.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Yes.

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Yeah.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

All right. Nathalie, what kind of assumptions do you have for market demand in Terra and Crea in 2022, given that, you know, pandemic has boosted demand in 2020 and 2021? How do you see that?

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Yeah. During the Capital Markets Day in November, I spoke about the growth strategy, and I said that all these transformation levers, they are all in our own hands. The whole growth strategy is based on what we are doing. We are committed to grow regardless of what happens externally. Of course then on demand, of course it helps us and, it looks good. It looks good for 2022, the consumer demand.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Yes. We have at least one more question. Maybe Jussi can take that. Why did you not provide a comparable sales growth guidance for 2022? Why is that, and will you do that later this year?

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Well, we have this guidance set for period 2022-2025 that year-on-year we need to deliver mid-single-digit growth. That's a long-term guidance, and as said, we are loyal to our financial targets there. Of course, when we have a visibility better for full year and we can be more precise, then we need to figure out whether we are also be more precise with the guidance.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. We have a question. Moomin Characters is now a big owner of Fiskars. Did you use stocks to pay for Moomin? Not quite sure what that means.

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

No.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Maybe you can explain how that went.

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Yeah. In September, we announced that we bought the minority stake in Rights & Brands, which is a licensing agent of Moomin Characters. That was a pure cash deal. Why did we do this? We see that our values, starting with the values of Fiskars Group and Moomin, were very much aligned. We're focusing on the Nordic design and also taking those values then externally. We see that by having a strategic partnership, by our investment into Rights & Brands, we can take this much further and much faster grow the potential of Moomin brand within the Fiskars portfolio.

Kristian Tammela
Director of Investor Relations, Fiskars Group

Great. Let's just see if there are any other questions coming in. If not, then if there are any further questions, please reach out to us and we'll be glad to help out with those. Otherwise, we'll just thank you for the attention and hope you all have a great day.

Jussi Siitonen
CFO, Fiskars Group

Thank you.

Nathalie Ahlström
President and CEO, Fiskars Group

Thank you.

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