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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

Apr 27, 2023

Aki Vesikallio
VP of Investor Relations, Cargotec

Welcome to Cargotec's first quarter 2023 results call. On this historical day, as we announce both record-breaking results and a plan to separate Kalmar and Hiab. This is also the first result call for our new CEO, Casimir Lindholm. Welcome. In first quarter, our comparable operating profit was record high, driven by our core businesses and strong development in sales. Underlying demand for our solutions remained at a good level. My name is Aki Vesikallio, I'm from Cargotec's IR. Today's presenters will be Casimir Lindholm, CFO Mikko Puolakka, Kalmar's President Michel van Roozendaal, and Hiab's President Scott Phillips. Please pay attention to disclaimers in the presentations as we will be making forward-looking statements. Casimir will start by covering the quarterly highlights and group-level figures. After him, Michel van Roozendaal will enter the stage and cover Kalmar's first quarter, followed by Hiab, presented by Scott Phillips.

Our CFO, Mikko Puolakka, will go through MacGregor's quarter as well as financials and outlook. After that, Casimir will get back on stage to present our plan to separate Kalmar and Hiab. After the presentations, there will be a wrap-up with a Q and A. With that, the stage is yours, Casimir.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you, Aki. Comparable operating profit margin above 10%. We started off the year in a very good way. Orders received also on a healthy level. Come back to that a bit later. Sales increased by 26%, especially then in Kalmar and Hiab. Really glad to see comparable operating profit improving in all three business areas. Orders received continue to improve in MacGregor, both Michel, Scott, and Mikko will then talk more about the order and the order mix. All in all, we see that the orders are on a good and stable level now, that is especially true looking at 2023, where we find that we have a solid order book in all three business areas.

We had a strong development in sales, especially in Kalmar and Hiab. There are particular reasons for that, and Scott and Michel will go through it in more detail. All in all, a great start to the year also from a sales perspective, and that was the main driver for the record-high operating profit. Service continue on a good path, being improving quarter by quarter here. Again, really strong message here that service sales is improving in all three business areas. All in all, service share was 32% of total sales. The eco portfolio also continued to improve and is on a good level. All in all, the eco portfolio share is 32% of Cargotec total sales in the first quarter. With that, I will give now the word and the stage to Michel. Please, Michel.

Michel van Roozendaal
President, Kalmar, Cargotec

Thank you, Casimir. My name is Michel van Roozendaal , and I have the pleasure to present the Kalmar result. Very happy to present to you record comparable operating profit. You'll see that also the orders for our strategically important eco portfolio are continued to increase, and we have also now started the production of our electric range, which is testimony of our sustainability journey. If you look at a bit more detail, we see steady demand for Kalmar. The flip side is that some of the larger projects are taking a bit more time before orders are being awarded. At the same time, we see an order book that is very solid and service orders that are continue to be very strong.

The order book is such that it basically covers, in essence, the rest of this year, if you realize that there are no order backlog, in essence, for the service side, also spreads into next year. We then look at the sales side, very strong development compared to Q1 of 2022, 31% increase. Service sales, which is maybe less spiky, shows a consistent growth of 18%. What is important is that we have our capture rate, which means the part of our own business we capture is gradually and continuously increasing, which is testimony of our ability to basically perform the service business in an efficient and performant way. At the same time, we see on the flip side some persisting tightness and volatility of component availability, which is still a challenge for our output.

In general, the improved efficiency on the supply chain makes that we have had the ability to reach this very strong sales level. If you continue to look at margin expansion, I'm very pleased to show to you the historically highest percentage of Kalmar, 13%, which is the highest percentage we've ever had for comparable operating profit. If you compare that to Q1 of last year, it's more than double, and of course, the percentage is from 7.6% to 13.0%. Why is that? It's driven by higher sales and also our ability to have good management of inflationary pressures. In general, we are starting or have started our lean journey, and we believe we will continue to be able to perform strong on this side.

We have announced last year, you will recall that the exit of our heavy crane business and the losses which are underlying there were EUR 4 million lower. That has led to this 13% profit margin. Thank you. I'm now handing over to my friend and colleague, Scott Phillips. Scott, welcome to the stage.

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Thank you, Michel, and good morning from my side. In summarizing the quarter, we had a strong start to the year. As Casimir had alluded to earlier, the strong start was largely supported by a big increase in sales year- over- year. Orders were declined year over year and sequentially slight improvement. I'll go into more details about that one. All enabled from the continued excellent operational execution in the business, both in our factories as well as our suppliers. Strong effort from all the team that we have at Hiab, so really proud of the job that everybody is doing. Our services business continues on a nice trajectory. Sales are up 21% year- over- year, as indicated earlier.

At the same time, I'm pleased with very nice positive operating leverage, well in line with our target framework. Going into the orders, we're about in line with consensus, slight sequential improvement. We still have a nice strong backlog coverage of over EUR 1.1 billion, we're nicely covered for the year. We did have a year-over-year decline of 21%. Keep in mind, it's off of a rather strong comparable as quarter one last year was our third highest quarter in the history of Hiab. A nice start to the year nonetheless. We had, at the same time, continued challenges from really three factors that are pulling orders down. We have the continuation of long lead times and challenges with certain availability of components.

That combined with long lead times of truck chassis, the overall general inflation, and then the interest rates are certainly having an impact on delaying orders. Although I must say that sequentially throughout the quarter, we see a nice development in terms of order activity, really pleased about that. Moving to the sales side, nice development, both sequentially as well as year-over-year. We had a 27% improvement on sales at EUR 432 million. Our service sales also improved nicely. As I mentioned earlier, equipment sales up 28% year-over-year. Really pleased with the strong start to the year. Great execution, as I mentioned, from all of our key stakeholders and colleagues within Hiab, as well as our suppliers.

I must say that a big thank you to our customers as well as we've been able to calculate our net promoter score year-over-year. The strong services execution and the focus on customers has enabled us to improve our net promoter score by 40%. If you go back to the Capital Markets Day presentation, that translates into strong percentage of repurchase. We're really excited about that development. Moving into operating profit, we have a nice both sequential development as well as year-over-year as we were up EUR 14 million in absolute value, 29% in terms of relative change year-over-year. That delivered 14.2% results. We're happy with that. That's well within our target framework and a nice strong start to the year.

At the same time, we are still under pressure from the relationship of our pricing as we target to offset inflation. With the continued long lead times, we are still slightly lagging. Excellent execution with the team to manage their fixed cost base in order to continue to deliver to our target profit framework. Really pleased with that one. Overall, I'd say it's a strong start to the quarter, strong confidence shown from our customers and, of course, really exciting news for the day. With that, I'll turn it over to Mikko, and he'll talk about MacGregor.

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Thank you, Scott. On MacGregor, this was the fourth quarter in the row when MacGregor order intake was actually developing in a nice way. 80% of MacGregor quarter one order intake came from merchant or services related orders. In merchant, especially from car carrier type of vessels and container vessels. We start to have a sizable order book in MacGregor, almost EUR 960 million, so very good basis for the coming quarters' revenue development. At the moment, still, the orders have a fairly long lead time. For example, in quarter one, we did not yet see a sizable revenue uptick from the order book. This is expected now especially for the second half of the year to contribute then in revenues.

On profitability, a small positive result for the quarter one, very much driven by the excellent performance in services. Also the merchant division was performing well. Offshore division was still loss-making. As you recall also from the previous quarters, we are executing the offshore restructuring program and targeting to EUR 14 million cost savings during this year. Couple of financial highlights on the Cargotec level. As already discussed by Scott and Michel, we have an excellent order book, almost EUR 3.5 billion, that is mostly covering the full year equipment sales estimate already.

A good basis for this year's revenues. Our eco portfolio sales are almost EUR 350 million, so almost one-third of Cargotec revenues, quarter one revenues, are coming from eco portfolio. For example, from electric equipment and services, showing basically the strong development in our strategy, sustainability strategy execution. Comparable operating profit, like discussed already earlier, EUR 112 million, 85% improvement there, very much driven by the core business' strong performance, Kalmar and Hiab at 12.4% for the first quarter. Also comparable operating profit, including one-off costs of EUR 8 million, which were related to MacGregor, the operating profit improved by 177% in quarter one.

Our cash flow improved from last year's quarter one, it was still burdened by the high net working capital, especially by the inventory increase. We have still component availability challenges like described by Michel and Scott, this is resulting to kind of extraordinarily high work in progress, more than EUR 300 million, or roughly EUR 300 million work in progress, equipment which is waiting for components. This is still burdening our cash flow, gradually, hopefully, we see also improvement in the supply chain. Our balance sheet is very strong, gearing 26%, no major debt repayments during this year, we are also well-hedged against the rising interest rates with 60% of our loans in fixed interest rates.

Where we reiterate our guidance for this year, we expect Kalmar and Hiab, the core businesses' comparable operating profit to improve from last year, supported by the strong order book. In MacGregor, we expect the MacGregor results to be positive this year, very much driven by the improvement in merchant and services, and then the restructuring in our offshore business. I would hand it over back to Casimir to the second big news of today.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you, Mikko. On top of a strong start to the year, strong financial performance in the first quarter, we have other exciting news. This morning, board of directors at Cargotec decided that we're gonna investigate and plan a potential separation of Kalmar and Hiab. There were other strategic options also involved in that process, this one was the one that the board decided upon. This journey starts today, it will be going into a planning phase here during Q2 and onwards. At the end, we're looking to separate Kalmar and Hiab into two focused, world-leading standalone listed companies, through that, unlock shareholder value. The technical aspect of this is that we are planning to separate Kalmar through a partial demerger.

The listing of Kalmar would happen in Helsinki and is expected to take place in 2024. We will need this year for planning and execution later on if the board finally decides to go ahead with the plan. At the same time, we'll continue to focus on turning around MacGregor. Like Mikko was referring to, we see positive things happening, especially on the after-sale service side and merchant business in MacGregor, the focus is on turning around the business in offshore. At the end, if the planned actions are completed, there would be three separate businesses, Kalmar, Hiab, and MacGregor, like announced already last year. All the actions are subject to shareholder approval, and normal local legal requirements, we do not need approval from authorities in this process.

The aim around it, and the separation is, of course, to support Kalmar and Hiab in their journey regarding growth, both organic and inorganic growth. This would also mean that Kalmar and Hiab would not compete for the same resources, for example, equity or investments. The rationale behind it is that we will, by doing this, unlock full potential of Kalmar and Hiab, clear strategies, clear structures, easier governance all the way down from board to management, focus on one business. There is no real cross-selling or operational synergies between Hiab and Kalmar, and they could focus on their own business to 100%. Again, as mentioned before, there wouldn't be competition around capital allocations, for example. I fully believe that both Kalmar and Hiab would be more agile.

They would be more focused both internally and externally, towards customers, but also internal regarding processes and systems and so forth. It would simplify the overall structure and give transparency both to investors and owners, and in that sense also accountability all to boards and management. It is also a great opportunity for our employees at Cargotec because we of course need to develop Kalmar and Hiab to become then separate companies and there are a lot of functions that needs support and needs to be established within Kalmar and Hiab, and on top of that a very exciting journey within this project. As mentioned before, we see no real overlap regarding customers or sales channels between Kalmar and Hiab, and the focus in their own business is a positive one.

Again, also giving more power to the M&A journey, especially regarding Hiab going forward. Today of course we have Cargotec on top in this conglomerate model and Kalmar and Hiab and MacGregor as business areas. During this transition period, the aim is then in 2024 to have Kalmar as a separate listed company. Over some period of time, Cargotec would continue with Hiab and MacGregor as business areas. We are heading and trying to find a solution for MacGregor in 2024. At the end there would be the targeted structure where we have Kalmar and Hiab as separate companies. The structure as such, listing like mentioned before, listing happening in Helsinki.

Ownership of Kalmar and Hiab would be that the Cargotec shareholders would be owners then in Kalmar and Hiab going forward. There is also another strong message here that we do not need any equity, we do not need capital for this transaction to happen and to go through. Again, we do not need any permission from authorities. It's very much an internal planning project and execution. Of course, at the end of the day, we need shareholder approval. Next steps and time plan. We will start the investigation and the planning, and this includes of course the full organization, our employee representatives. When we know more we'll come back to you regarding this topic and communicate when things progress.

Again, during 2023, 2024, If we go through with this project, we need approval from Cargotec Board of Directors regarding the partial demerger plan. Then shareholder approval later on. During 2024, again, aim to have Kalmar as a separate listed company in Helsinki and continue to look for a solution for MacGregor. At the end of the day, we would have Kalmar and Hiab as separately listed companies in Helsinki. That was the end of the presentation. We go to the Q and A.

Aki Vesikallio
VP of Investor Relations, Cargotec

Thank you, Casimir. Thank you Mikko, Michel, and Scott as well. I will welcome the gentlemen back on stage, and with that we are ready to start the Q and A. Please, operator, please go ahead.

Operator

The next question comes from Markku Moilanen from Nordea. Please go ahead.

Markku Moilanen
Senior Credit Research Analyst, Nordea

Hello, this is Markku from Nordea. Thank you for the presentation. I have actually one question regarding this planned demerger. If it takes place, how does it affect the outstanding bonds? You know, does it need like a approval from the bondholders or are you required to redeem the bonds if the demerger takes place? What is like the impact to the bondholders at this stage? Thank you.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you for the question. Yes, during the planning process, of course, we would be also contacting the lenders and including also the bondholders. Then, there are various ways either to get the waiver or then, possibly redeem the bonds. This is something to be evaluated now also as a part of this planning process.

Markku Moilanen
Senior Credit Research Analyst, Nordea

Okay. Thank you. That's all from me.

Operator

The next question comes from Panu Laitinmäki from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Yes. Thank you. I have two questions. Firstly, on Kalmar's margins, I mean, it was a very good level and when we see numbers that we haven't seen before, it always kind of raises the question that was there something exceptional? How sustainable do you see this level going forward? Can you please talk about it, like how did it be so good and what do you see going forward?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Yes, thank you for the question. We are pleased with the margins. There is no extraordinary element. We had a favorable mix at this stage for the slightly more profitable units. At the same time, it's testimony of our ability to execute and perform on the margin expansion operational excellence. At the same time, we see ahead of us some challenges more around the volatility of the components, availability and the mix. At this stage, we won't make any statements as to how sustainable that would be going forward, but we were pleased with the quarter.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Okay, thanks. On the planned demerger , can you kind of? I understand that you are going into planning phase now, but any kind of initial thoughts? How would the companies look like? How would you split the group costs into these new companies? Did I understand correctly that, like, Hiab will remain as the Cargotec and then Kalmar spinned off? Is it so that MacGregor will remain in Hiab until it's divested and or how does it play out?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you for the question. Yes, like in the last pictures there, they would describe that yes, MacGregor will stay within Cargotec and of course, Hiab as well, when we enter into 2024. We haven't come that far in the process that we would be able to talk about how fixed cost will be split going forward. That's, that is, of course, an exercise that we need to do as part of also building the functions within Kalmar and Hiab so that they can be stock-listed companies and have listing readiness on their own. That is exactly one of the key parts of this process, how we plan the organizations. There's, of course, there will be both internal and external recruitment processes, during this time, if the plan as such is approved later on.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Okay, thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Johan Eliason from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah, hi. It's Johan at Kepler Cheuvreux. Sorry I haven't been able to see your presentation. There seems to be some technical issues for me. I was just wondering about one wording about this, the merger. You say partial demerger, but it's pretty clear that the Kalmar business will be sort of handed out to Cargotec's existing shareholders. It's not like the Cargotec holding will sort of partly remain with Cargotec. Just to make that clear.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Yes, you are correct. It's a partial demerger, meaning that basically Kalmar-related assets and liabilities are carved out from the current listed, Cargotec Oyj. There will be a new, listed, company with the new company identity code. The current Cargotec shareholders would, own with the same proportion, the, newly established, Kalmar listed, company. Yes, partial demerger.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah, good. You plan to keep the same share structure with high voting shares and low voting shares?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

This is something what will be evaluated also as a part of this, planning process. Once, we have more clarity on the planning, this will then be also kind of, opened more.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah, excellent. Now, just timing-wise, I mean, you weren't able to do that last year. Is the demerger of Kalmar sort of dependent on that you have somehow secured a potential buyer of MacGregor before you do this? I mean, otherwise you would be risking Hiab sitting with this not so well-performing unit. Then the follow on on that one is that presumably you will get cash for the MacGregor divestment, and will those only go to the Hiab shareholders one day when then the MacGregor part is divested? How, how timing-wise is Is it linked in any way?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you for the question. It is not linked in any way, so all the three processes here are going on their own. The aim is to find a solution for MacGregor in 2024. That of course requires that we're able to turn around MacGregor in 2023. It was a good start in Q1, especially then in service and merchant businesses. It's not linked. If we wouldn't be able to find a solution, for example in early 2024 for MacGregor, that doesn't stop the Kalmar process.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, good. Just on the operational numbers, order and revenues obviously deviated in the quarter for obvious reason. I was just wondering how much of the sort of growth in orders were price related, and then how much was it in the sales development that was price related of the growth there. Thank you.

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

I would say that overall, if we look at Q1 order intake, there is certain element of price increases still as we have been basically increasing throughout 2022 year prices every quarter to a certain extent. We have not disclosed specifically by the business areas. I would say that the price element is getting smaller and smaller as we proceed now with the quarters as already quite sizable price increases were made last year.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

In the revenues?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

In the revenues, I would say, depending a bit on the business, the price increase impact is ranging from one-third to two-thirds.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. This is valid for Kalmar Hiab, I suppose?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Yes, yes.

Johan Eliason
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah. Excellent. Thank you.

Operator

Please state your name and company. Please go ahead.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Hello, this is Antti from SEB. Thanks for taking my question. I'll start from the operational side and a follow-up on the previous question on profitability and margins. I mean, we've seen this kind of a very strong margin development now in Q1 for many of the industrial companies. Should we be a bit cautious going into the back half of this year? I mean, you've done a lot of price increases. You're seeing a lot of deliveries going out and perhaps the inflation is moderating. How will kind of accelerating labor costs and things like that impact then the delivery margins going into second half? I mean, you're not raising your prices anymore, should we be a bit cautious on how this trend continues throughout the year?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Yeah, in general, you are right that there is some moderation in the inflation. On the other hand, there is labor cost increases. What we have seen, for example, in the component prices is that in some areas the raw material costs have been declining. On the other hand, the energy costs as well as labor cost have been offsetting. All in all, one could say that actually the component prices has remained fairly stable. We need to keep an eye on our own labor cost development, and in some areas we have done some moderate price increases still during this year in order to offset the inflation impact.

Overall, we are keeping a close eye on the margin development and are doing, of course, our internal development actions, designed to cost activities in the business areas to reduce the cost of raw material, keeping an eye also on the prices.

Michel van Roozendaal
President, Kalmar, Cargotec

Yeah, Antti, allow me to give a little bit of flavor, if I may. I agree with your statement about caution, but let me add one element which is relevant for Kalmar, and that is the freight cost, which is a not insignificant component, and we see that actually coming down at this stage. I do agree that we will be cautious for the back half of the year.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

I mean, I'd imagine your clients are always asking for lower prices and lower prices. Is this something that is starting to pick up now that we are seeing this moderating in inflation and perhaps some of the end demand is cooling off as well? Is there a pressure of lower prices?

Michel van Roozendaal
President, Kalmar, Cargotec

Is there a pressure of lower prices? There's always a pressure of lower prices because we got competitors there. At the same time, there is still an element of demand. At this stage, we are at equilibrium between supply and demand with the price level, which is currently being quoted and being accepted by customers.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Okay. A couple of questions on the demerger plans. I mean, I just want to clarify something regarding any shared resources between Kalmar and Hiab, especially on the production side. There is none. There's nothing that would kind of trigger any extra CapEx for either of the businesses as the demerger has been executed.

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Yeah. No. Speaking from Hiab's side, and I think I can talk for Michel as well, the answer to that one quickly would be no. No need for additional CapEx. At this time, no issues with shared operational facilities.

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Remember that we have—

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Basically you.

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Yeah. It's good to remember that, yeah, from the manufacturing point of view, we do not have shared factories, but there are certain shared platforms like IT systems, which would need to be separated for this kind of demerger purposes. We have a shared service operations, of course, where we need to also see that how to arrange that to support also the demerged Kalmar.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Perhaps just a couple of technical questions helping to value the businesses individually. Mikko, maybe you can remind what has kind of been the maintenance CapEx levels of the two businesses, the sustained working capital levels, the cash conversions, the returns on capitals, and so on for Hiab and Kalmar separately. If you know, go back, let's say five years.

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Yeah. I would say we have not disclosed the business area specific CapEx numbers. Overall on Cargotec level, we are talking about EUR 180-100 million CapEx. As we are in the assembly-only operations, the CapEx as such is a fairly small amount in our business. The cash conversion, like described also in the Capital Markets Day, has been typically for Kalmar and Hiab at 100% or in some years even above 100%. However, due to this component availability situation at the moment, the cash conversion for both businesses has been below 100%. In a more normal situation, expected to be strong cash generating businesses.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Am I correct on remembering that Kalmar has a bit more favorable working capital versus Hiab, where you perhaps hold more inventories, or am I wrong here?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

I would say that in Kalmar's case, in history, it has been so that we have had the heavy cranes, where we have had the advanced payments, and that has been kind of bringing additional cash in in Kalmar. Otherwise, I would say that the cash generation profiles for Kalmar, the new Kalmar and for Hiab would be very, very similar. Yeah.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

The returns on capital employed, I remember maybe you had the number for the core business on CMD, but does that differ materially between the two?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

In Hiab's case, it's somewhat higher than in Kalmar's case due to the slightly higher profitability, rolling 12 months profitability, but very strong ROCI numbers for both businesses.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

All right. Thanks so much. All from me.

Operator

Please state your name and company. Please go ahead.

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

Hi, this is Tomi Railo from DNB. A couple of questions. Firstly, Casimir, you mentioned other options were involved with regards to a potential split. Can you just share a little bit what you meant with other options?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Yes. Thank you for the question. There were options where there were different roles that Cargotec could play in the future. Those were the main discussions. Being at a holding company or then the separation like we're seeing now today. Those were the main discussions that were part of the strategy process. That potential role of Cargotec.

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

Okay. you're not suggesting that there has been approach from outside the company or industry, private equity or so?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

No. No. This was purely around strategy of the organizational setup. Internal discussions from a strategy point of view, that what would make most sense going forward. This one is the one that we feel that and the board feels this unlocks the potential on a market cap valuation point of view, the best way forward for Cargotec.

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

Thank you. Then maybe operationally, Hiab orders down 21%. I know you, or we know the comparison, but can you just explain a little bit geographically, where did you see weakness and then by end markets, where was the weakness coming from?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Yeah. In terms of the geographical piece, thanks for the question. A little bit weaker in Europe versus the U.S. In terms of end markets, more impacting on the, let's say, the heavier side of the business, versus the smaller equipment solutions.

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

As a follow-up, would you pinpoint that building, for example, weakness was visible?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Can you repeat the question, please?

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

Yeah. in terms of, like, construction-related activity, building, related activities, did you see weakness there?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Not driven from the end user activity levels. Actually, there was a sequentially through the quarter, there was improvement in activity levels there. It's much more the, the three variables I talked about earlier. The combination of high inflation, long lead times, interest rates are 4 to 5x higher, so it is creating some delays in decisions around certain equipment solution purchases. Less to do with the end user markets.

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

Okay. Then a final question. If you can say anything about the April activity. Are we trending similarly in Kalmar and Hiab demand point of view?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

I mean, overall, if we are looking the activity levels, whether it's an equipment utilization activity or what we see from the customer side, sales funnel point of view, very similar kind of activity levels what we have seen throughout quarter one overall. No changes in that area.

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Yeah. Just as a follow on, I wouldn't talk about what type of activity we're seeing so far within the quarter that we're not yet reporting. As I stated earlier, sequentially throughout the first quarter, we did see a nice uptick of overall quotation activity. We're a bit optimistic in that regard, but too early to talk about the current period.

Tomi Railo
Head of Equity Research, DNB

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 13

Sorry, Mikko, I don't really understand this, you know, in the offshore when you have this big provision in the fourth quarter. I mean, what does it mean for kind of the margin going forward for the offshore? I mean, that you did this cleanup in the fourth quarter.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Yes. We have still loss-making projects in offshore. Those continue to burden the offshore division result until those projects have been finalized.

Speaker 13

Okay. I wonder whether what it has been a consideration that Kalmar and Hiab, if they get a great valuation on the stock market, if they, you know, could see a chance to use their own share, you know, in acquisitions. I mean, has it been a problem for Cargotec that you have been forced to do all acquisitions with cash given the low valuation?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

I mean, that's part of the journey going forward and the planning and the financial structures, balance of Kalmar and Hiab going forward and the financial solution at the end that with what kind of balance sheet and what kind of equity they go forward, that is part of the planning phase as well. But it has not so far that has not been a burden or a problem for Cargotec to do M&As. Of course, like stated before, when you have three businesses competing about resources, then you, of course, have to prioritize during the journey.

If this plan goes through, then they are on their own, and then the focus is only on one business, out of one valuation and one balance sheet in the respective companies. It clarifies things, and I think it improves decision-making going forward.

Speaker 13

Do you have any early estimate how large, you know, the new head office costs will be that we should add and perhaps, you know, R&D?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

No, we don't have any estimates. That is part of the planning process. Look at the organizations in Hiab and Kalmar. Parts of those needs to be strengthened to become listed companies in the future, especially regarding the functions. That is part of the planning process then at, to look at the headquarters on Cargotec level today. There will be a lot of opportunities for our employees in new and interesting roles and responsibilities within Hiab and Kalmar. To R&D.

Speaker 13

And then-

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

What comes to R&D expenditure, we do not have at the moment any more R&D expenditure on group level. After the latest operating model change, what we implemented last year, basically all R&D type of activities have been moved to the business area. That roughly EUR 100 million, what we have had in the past is basically in those, our three businesses.

Speaker 13

Reading your statement, it sounds like one alternative is also to spin out MacGregor as an independent company and not sell it. Is that right? Do I understand that right?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

I think it's a bit early days for that conclusion. We will continue to focus on the business, and that goes for all three business areas. That is the most important thing to drive our day-to-day operations. Then, the functions in this case will focus on planning of things that is to come. Regarding MacGregor, we're looking for a solution in 2024. Too early to go in any direction on that one. First of all, we need to turn MacGregor around and have a good 2023, and then we take it from there.

Speaker 13

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Panu Laitinmäki from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Thank you. I just wanted to come back to the demand topic. Basically you said in Hiab that you saw an improvement sequentially during the quarter. I'm wondering kind of what is the magnitude? How big was the improvement like, at the end of quarter compared to how it started? Basically the same question for Kalmar. What did you see there? Was the trend weakening towards the end of quarter or otherwise?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Yeah. Basically, I'll comment the same way I did earlier, thanks for the question again, is the quotation activity increased nicely through the quarter. The magnitude, which I can't comment on. A good strong development in terms of the quotation activities. Nevertheless, the decisions are being delayed due to the factors that I shared earlier.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Panu-

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Okay

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Comment from Kalmar and I made that comment in my brief pitch, is that notably the slightly larger projects, take a bit more time, to be decided and awarded. That means that some of the demand is, basically, pushed a little bit, backward. Only comment to make.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

You basically see it as that things take longer, but the pipeline as such remains fine, or how do you see it?

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

I would agree with that. Of course, there is a mix between some of the various vehicles we sell and the slightly more, if you like, complex projects. The comment is basically referring to the slightly larger projects.

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Again,

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Maybe.

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Just to reiterate, the underlying demand drivers remain quite healthy as we've laid out on the slides earlier.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Okay. Maybe finally, how much would you kind of describe that out of Kalmar's demand, is something that's replacement for the customers?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

A fair bit. I won't give you any numbers, but we got a 65,000 total vehicles out basically all over the world. Many people come back to Kalmar and there is a, I should define, natural economic life cycle and there is an underlying demand, if you like, which basically doesn't mean that there is a growth in the application. It's basically the replacement cycle. Given the strength of Kalmar, given the fact that we got 65,000 vehicles out there, that demand for replacement is quite, I should say, substantial and gives a strong underlying continuous demand, which is less affected by the cycles.

Panu Laitinmäki
Head of Equity Research Finland, Danske Bank

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Please state your name and company. Please go ahead.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Hi, this is Antti from SEB. Thanks for taking a follow-up. apologies, Scott, if you already mentioned, but could you talk a little bit about what you're seeing in terms of the truck makers' production and delivery volume improvements? I guess that's been curtailing the growth in your business. Is that improving? Is that impacting the industry lead times, your own lead times positively? How do you see that playing out throughout the year?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Yeah. Thank you, Antti. The way we're seeing it is, you've seen a few reported results so far from the truck OEMs, and you see a decent year-over-year improvement in overall sales volumes. It's a mix with regards to the lead time. The lead times still are an issue, and from two dimensions, not only the overall time, but then also the precision or the variability around when the chassis arrive. It's it varies by markets. I can't comment or I'd prefer not to comment at real granular level by country, we do see a different situation depending upon the geography.

We've yet to see an overall improvement enough that will allow us, let's say, to maximize the potential that we would have, given our inventory position and the order backlog, to be able to convert further the inventory and the backlog into sales. We look forward to a continued positive development on the truck OEM side.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

What is currently your own, let's say, average lead time that you can now, let's say, promise to your clients if they are ordering on the second quarter?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

Well, our lead times in terms of being able to recognize, let's say, invoice the unit is still the controlling factor is the truck lead time. From a product line perspective as well as each of our factories, we're actually well within our target corridor of being able to deliver according to our planned lead time. If we were to see truck chassis lead times get back to, let's say, pre Q3, Q4 levels of 2020, we would be able to adjust quite quickly to accommodate those improved lead times.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

Would you imagine that this would encourage more demand from our clients? Is this a big pain point regarding actually, you know, firming orders and so forth? Are everybody just used to the new situation and ordering with long lead times?

Scott Phillips
President and CEO Hiab, Cargotec

It's a mix depending upon the product line. In some cases, you're exactly right, and in others, again, it depends. As of course, Mikko and Michel talked about in previous quarters, there is a level of demand that was driven by securing manufacturing slots in the future. That has materialized in some of our sequential and year-over-year development order intake in past periods. But overall, I would say it would be a favorable development from a customer side if lead times were to continue to improve over time. As I mentioned earlier, the underlying demand drivers are still quite in a quite a good level.

Antti Karessuo
Head of Equity Sales Finland, SEB

All right. Very helpful. Thanks so much.

Operator

The next question comes from Erkki Vesola from Inderes. Please go ahead.

Erkki Vesola
Analyst, Inderes

Hi, guys. It's Erkki from Inderes. Just to make sure, are there really no operational synergies whatsoever between Hiab and Kalmar, for instance, in the Poland factory and the linked supply chain? Linked to that, how will the manufacturing structures evolve after the demerger, or what will the changes be if there are any changes in the manufacturing setup?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Yeah. It is if you look, for example, our Polish factory, the Starogard factory, we have separate buildings. Hiab is a separate manufacturing or assembly operations, and Kalmar. We have some joint sourcing activities, but at the moment it's difficult to estimate what kind of possible negative synergies there could be. Expectation is that no major negative synergy is expected. Otherwise, the manufacturing operations, as discussed earlier, are business area specific. Then we have certain common platforms like the ERP system, like the shared services operations, which are to be separated, should the demerger be approved.

Erkki Vesola
Analyst, Inderes

Okay. We already talked about the headquarter functions. Is it so that you are not at all concerned about the potential negative synergies by doubling the headquarter functions, I mean, establishing, like, HR, IT, and other control functions?

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

This is something what needs to be evaluated during the planning phase. Then of course we need to be careful in the sizing calculations for Kalmar, and then of course the remaining Cargotec headquarter functions. Ultimately, of course, splitting one into two might increase to certain extent the cost as we need to establish or duplicate certain competencies. On the other hand, like Casimir said, there are multiple other synergies like agility, transparency, capital allocation, which in our opinion outweighs the possible moderate cost increases.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

For example, regarding systems, it's not guaranteed that when you have many businesses under one umbrella that it makes it cheaper. That is not always the case. I think there are opportunities in the other direction as well to simplify all the way from the governance to running the business processes, interfaces and so forth. I think there's a lot of opportunities as standalone companies to be specialized and more focused and more agile.

Erkki Vesola
Analyst, Inderes

Okay. Looking forward to further information probably in the coming months. Thank you so much, guys. That's all from me.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time, so I hand the conference back to the speakers.

Aki Vesikallio
VP of Investor Relations, Cargotec

Okay. Thank you for the great questions and for your interest today. Thank you, gentlemen, for the great answers. We will come back with our second quarter results on the 20th of July. Until that, stay tuned.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you.

Mikko Puolakka
EVP and CFO, Cargotec

Thank you very much.

Erkki Vesola
Analyst, Inderes

Thank you.

Casimir Lindholm
President and CEO, Cargotec

Thank you.

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